Ask yourself this: if Axxle is town, why is he so sure that Qvist is the Cop and I am the fake?
I have been equally sure and equally wrong in the past? Confirmation bias? Take your pick. But like I said if he is so sure because he is his scum buddy, this would literally lose them the game regardless of whether Qvist is lynched today. Qvist might be new but Axxle isnt.
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Town!Axxle is a lot more careful and cautious than you are Munch. No offense.
And I think scum!Axxle is trying to WIFOM you. You said you prefer Ockham's Razor to WIFOM, and that's the right approach. If I'm lynched, when I flip town, you will have one 100% confirmed scum (Qvist) and one other player (Axxle) who did everything in his power to prevent confirmed scum's lynch, at a time when if confirmed scum was lynched, scum would lose. Apply Ockham's Razor.