Next, general things:
I think wagon analysis here has a slightly different feel to it from other games. Specifically, the fact that we had two wagons at L-1 simultaneously, and it really felt like the end of the day could have gone either way. So, if Eevee is town, and has a very good chance of being lynched (especially if theorel is town/telling the truth about the hammer), scum is probably just holding their breath and hoping the lynch falls in their favor, which it didn't. After the Eevee wagon built up, why would scum start bussing then? My point is that I think there's a chance that all scum were off wagon, and almost no chance that all scum were on wagon. I think Galz is almost certainly town in particular. If there is scum who voted for Lekkit, it would have to have been someone who was on Lekkit for a while from the beginning. Shraeye maybe? But I think looking off wagon is where to focus today, as many others have mentioned.
While I'm thinking of shraeye, I remember the weird time when Lekkit voted for shraeye for lurking right after replacing in, which just seemed super odd, since it was a weekend and he still needed time to reread. This probably means shraeye is more likely to be town, right?
(oh, btw I'm using town and scum here to mean not mafia/mafia. A serial killer would basically be acting as town during the day for all intents and purposes, and wagon analysis tells us nothing there)
So off wagon is theorel, Axxle, yuma, Frisk. I had a big townread on theorel D1. Is it really possible there's two scum in yuma/Frisk/Axxle? I can't imagine scum having put themselves in such a bad situation so early in the game, but maybe that attitude of mine is exactly the kind of WIFOM that could get them out of it. I think we should seriously consider the possibility. And I should probably rethink my townread on theorel, though he really does seem more like XII theorel than XI theorel.
So, I did have a scum read on yuma, and don't remember much from Frisk D1. I'll post my full thoughts on yuma later, but I did notice that yuma comes in D2 with:
A full reread on Frisk complete with an FoS. This definitely leaves the possibility of a Frisk/yuma scumteam open. It reminds me a bit of the case yuma built on me early in XIV. I don't think yuma would play exactly the same way as scum every time, but hard bussing against a scum partner who was not suspected a ton beforehand is well within yuma's scum wheelhouse.
Another random remark: Frisk's "tell me why I should switch to Lekkit" when the reasons should have been beyond obvious gives me a bad feeling.