Nope, I don't understand why you don't believe him. You're original argument seemed to center on the SK not being Yates and when I pointed out it's possible you just removed that from your argument and doubled down on him not being SK. So, which is it? And why?
Well, hmm, yeah, you're right, I was confusing there, mostly because I went back and forth on what guarantees ash's MQ. Okay, I'll explain.
If ash is SK!Yates, we already lost, so we can just remove that from the realm of possibilites. But he could still be SK, right? Well, the quote I mentioned has him forgetting that he's bulletproof, therefore he's not SK, which means he's MQ.
Confusing? Yeah. But I see no reason to think ash's SK instead of MQ here anyway, so that single quote's enough to continue my vote on him.
There's no reason we lose with SK Yates, if anything the SK power more or less negate a one shot commute. Why do you think it's so powerful? And that quote seems like exactly what it is, SK can't be NK'd. Once again, I don't understand your argument. This is getting old.
My argument for why ash isn't SK is essencially that quote plus his thinking that I'm MQ, which is obviously wrong. That and I don't see why the claim would come from SK more than MQ.
For why SK!Yates means a town loss, well, it all depends on Didds.
If Didds is town, is Dax, and scum believe her, then town loses. The reason? Well, assuming we lynch MQ, N5 SK NKs (ha, that's a good letter combo) town, we wake up 2v1v1, no matter who we lynch, then N6 scum NKs the non-Didds: since that person isn't Yates, they die, so we lose. This is simply if Yates isn't town, being SK doesn't change anything. There's also the fact that Didds could clearly be lying about role or alignment, in which case we have higher chances of winning, however there's a way for scum to bypass it. I'm not saying what it is because it requires extreme coordination between both scum and full cooperation, which means there's a way they get it wrong (there's also a way they accidentally get it right). There's also the chance that Didds doublebluffs, makes scum believe she's not Dax, shoots her, and then she's Dax. MVP if that happens, would be hilarious, but again, scum can bypass that with weird coordination. All in all, Yates must be town for town to enter LyLo, that is, to win (I'm assuming LyLo is a win otherwise I would get too demoralized).
I think MiX has a point. In Ash's claim, he specifically asked us whether scum wouldn't just kill him because he's trying to get town to buy into the idea that he might consider kingmaking on the side of town.
More specifically, he referred to his "nighttime survival skills" as the reason why the Maquis wouldn't kill him in the night. That appears to be referring to Yates's ability as a commuter, whereas the SK should just know that they can never be killed at night because of the bulletproof. It's now possible that Ash will sidestep it by insisting that he meant the SK's nighttime survival skills, but it's also possible that if he's actually Maquis, he's trying to warn the SK off targeting him.
If he's MQ, SK knows that already, due to his claim. Otherwise, yes, yes, that's exactly my point, I love you Space. Also, Happy Birthday! In case the day ends earlier than expected and I don't get to say it.