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Messages - Axxle2

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101
Lynch wero, vig spirit, block robz sound good?

That goes really amiss though if Des is an SK rather than a vig, you see?
It will be painfully obvious whether he is an sk or not once we know all the PRs.

No, it won't be. What if we have a second vig claim? What if we have a second roleblocker claim? A cop? These are all claims that would take up two letters. How would we be able to tell truth from lie?
That's one benefit of the massclaim, so we know these edge cases now and know that the SK is one or the other.

102
I'm not so sure that we want Des to vig someone tonight.
An extra town controlled kill is super useful.

103
Lynch wero, vig spirit, block robz sound good?

That goes really amiss though if Des is an SK rather than a vig, you see?
It will be painfully obvious whether he is an sk or not once we know all the PRs.

104
Lynch wero, vig spirit, block robz sound good?

105
I'm going through all the possibilities, and it seems very very likely we've won this as long as Dest and I coordinate our powers.

106
I couldn't agree more with Robz. I think a massclaim is a bad, bad, bad idea.

The only claims I think that should come out are a Mason claim, or a cop claim with a result. Nothing else.
I think cop claim with living town results would be good in this case too.

107
Dest is town in all but the one case, I can post the analysis but it might give remaining scum ideas of how to claim when we get down to it.  Let me know if you want it, TA or Dest

108
Okay listen up people, this is important.

The goal of massclaim is that hey, we know there are a total of 7 Ts distributed amongst the players. We know where I think 4 of those Ts already are, and we match that with what we know as scum. And then everyone claims, and we either end up with too many people claiming PRs (so we know one of those PR people are lying), or we end up with the exact right amount and we know one of our VTs is scum.

The PROBLEM is it's easy to get thrown off. Like, okay, what if Des is a SK, not a Vig? Axxle claims he roleblocked Des each night. Well, let's say Axxle is telling the truth, but Des was actually the Serial Killer. This means we actually only know of 3 Ts, not 4, and the actual scum scenario is one with an SK. This is perfectly possible by the way. Well it would throw off our entire post-massclaim scumhunt. And that's bad.

The bottom line is, massclaim is a shortcut that might pay off but could also really, really screw us. Being that we are in such good position, I' not sure why we need to risk throwing that away.
Vig is a VV role, SK is a T role, it should be more obvious if he's vig or sk after a massclaim than if he claimed something else.

109
The more I tihnk about this, assuming Des is telling the truth, Axxle probably IS a roleblocker.

The question is whether he is a Town or Scum roleblocker.

Full claiming would sort this out wouldn't it? I mean we could get the exact setup and decide what we are dealing with. Also if we have TA give us an order we could catch scum I there fake claim, something won't fit.

Look, massclaiming never works out for us as well as we hope. Seriously, I would bet you that scum have won 80 or 90% of the games that involved a massclaim.

We had a very similar situation to this in Mafia XII. We massclaimed on Day 2, we got all our PRs outed, and we lost horrifically.
We've killed all but one or two of the scum and lost none of our prs.

Currently we have: VVMB with three letters not claimed.  I think the only combinations left are TT, T, 0T.  There is at least one more PR left.  9 players and 4 prs.  Massclaim won't win us the game but might get us close.  Actually I think with the current roles outed we might be able to go down the line pretty well, vigging and blocking all the way down the line.

Right, but we have NO way to differentiate between which claims are correct, and which ones aren't. We'd be left with everyone having a feasible claim, and unable to tell which ones are true, and which ones aren't. But guess who will know which claims are true -- mafia will! We won't gain anything, but mafia will.
We might be able to narrow it down to a VT falseclaim or a PR falseclaim, but yeah, I think we can make things work with the current outed roles.

110
The more I tihnk about this, assuming Des is telling the truth, Axxle probably IS a roleblocker.

The question is whether he is a Town or Scum roleblocker.

Full claiming would sort this out wouldn't it? I mean we could get the exact setup and decide what we are dealing with. Also if we have TA give us an order we could catch scum I there fake claim, something won't fit.

Look, massclaiming never works out for us as well as we hope. Seriously, I would bet you that scum have won 80 or 90% of the games that involved a massclaim.

We had a very similar situation to this in Mafia XII. We massclaimed on Day 2, we got all our PRs outed, and we lost horrifically.
We've killed all but one or two of the scum and lost none of our prs.

Currently we have: VVMB with three letters not claimed.  I think the only combinations left are TT, T, 0T.  There is at least one more PR left.  9 players and 4 prs.  Massclaim won't win us the game but might get us close.  Actually I think with the current roles outed we might be able to go down the line pretty well, vigging and blocking all the way down the line.

111
Oh are you saying, what would you lie and pretend that you were? Vigilante.
Investigative proof and it depends on the timing, I'd probably claim a oneshot power since it's risky and if it works I'm basically cleared.

112
It's very possible. WS was the goon, the least necessary part of the scumteam.

113
Forum Games / Re: Vacation/Limited Access announcements
« on: April 24, 2013, 01:26:29 am »
Tomorow(today actually the 23rd) is my 21st birthday and I have a job interview so I will be busy almost all day, I will try to keep up from mobile but don't want to be rude to anyone I am out with. I will have consistent access till about 1 an then will be v/la the rest of the day.
My birthday was yesterday!  Woo!
You should clarify you turned 25, you old coot!

Turning 1 on June 10th, I'm so excited!

114
Ok, here's the deal. I am a Town Vigilante. The last two nights I tried to kill Axxle. Neither attempt succeeded (Obviously).

There are three reasons why it might not have.

1. I was roleblocked

2. Axxle was doctored

3. Axxle is SK, and picked 1 shot BP

Now, in what order these all happened I'm not entirely sure, but I must say I am comfortable with an axxle lynch today. Again, he only posted twice yesterday.

Vote: Axxle2
I roleblocked you each night.  I am a town roleblocker.

Why did you roleblock him each night?
I thought he was in the wrong position in each end of day wagon.  On day 1 he voted off the WS wagon, distinctly without voting with WS.  This was a tossup between you and him, but I thought that you wouldn't perform the kill anyway just in case you were roleblocked.  On night 2 I saw that there is already two scum voting for mcmc, and Dest was again voting off the scum lynch, so I blocked him.

side note: Looking back at all the votes I really doubt you're scum now since I doubt you'd all pile on one guy just to save the goon.

115
Vote: spiritbears

116
I think mailmi's push on me makes it pretty clear I'm town, he was going for the easy mislynch.

I don't get the liopoil kill from a mafia perspective, I'm thinking that comes from town.

I think everyone should claim, we still have all of our power roles and can probably solve the setup now.

From scummiest to towniest:

spiritbears - his actions today scream scum that wants to confuse
Dest - he's voting position seems very scummy to me, but being a vig might explain why he was so big on targeting me yesterday.
werothegreat - he comes across as behaving more confused than he should be, he might be faking it as scum.  Breaking the lock yesterday seems like he's mad he couldn't save his teammate but trying to make it look like he's just mad to be left out of it as town.
Eevee - I remember there being a few phrases from eevee that comes from scum more often than town, but I'd have to track them down to be sure.
Robz888 - Still reserved here but I think his play might have been a bit different as scum, I think he would have bussed the goon and not the godfather, not the other way around
sudgy - meh
mcmcsalot - meh

117
Ok, here's the deal. I am a Town Vigilante. The last two nights I tried to kill Axxle. Neither attempt succeeded (Obviously).

There are three reasons why it might not have.

1. I was roleblocked

2. Axxle was doctored

3. Axxle is SK, and picked 1 shot BP

Now, in what order these all happened I'm not entirely sure, but I must say I am comfortable with an axxle lynch today. Again, he only posted twice yesterday.

Vote: Axxle2
I roleblocked you each night.  I am a town roleblocker.

118
Just looking at voting positions at the end of yesterday, I like des as a potential scumbuddy.  Still want to read more though.

You've been wanting to read more for ages now. You have not contributed anything of worth in forever, and haven't been answering my questions at all. Please do so or I'll push for your lynch.
Reading is haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaard.

119
Just looking at voting positions at the end of yesterday, I like des as a potential scumbuddy.  Still want to read more though.

120
sure, cause it is soooo much easier for me to go find it than for you to look for yourself...
It is.  You know what it looks like and when you posted it a lot more than he does since you wrote it.
sorry, that was snippy. I apologize.
:)

121
sure, cause it is soooo much easier for me to go find it than for you to look for yourself...
It is.  You know what it looks like and when you posted it a lot more than he does since you wrote it.

122
Wero - A Lio lynch is looking unlikely, and a Robz lynch won't happen at all today. The two real options are WS and Mcmc at this point. Which would you rather vote for?
no clue.  reading now.

123
Reminder: Soft Deadline tonight at Midnight
tick tick tick tick... we've wasted lots of bankable time, partially my fault for having a wagon on me for so long that has now pretty much gone away.

I'll take another look at Mcmc.

PPE: axxle2 post. axxle2, instead of re-reading those game, maybe catch up in this one first?
Well, yeah.

124
Going through trying to see what changed Robz's opinion of mcmc (he had him pegged as super obv town in one post)

Do not like the wording Eevee uses for his reads in this post.


Robz - Too good to be obviously caught, but the little things are adding up.
WinterSpartan - I thought he was really insightful in RMM7, has been smaller of a presemce here which I find suspect.
Box - I'll suspect you until you post more.
Wero - Ditto, you two are not taking very many stances, I don't have any stronger suspicions so I PoE to the least controversial players.
sudgy - I feel your playing style is such that I'll always suspect you, but you are playing like you did in RMM7, maybe you'd be different as town?
liopoil - I feel dumb writing these because I'm basically randomly assigning everyone in the middle.
Destierro - Ditto, I cant say anything about you guys. No particular suspicion or trust in most of the guys in this game.
Axxle - Yeah yeah.
yuma - yeah yeah again, yuma just always seems towny :( I dont remember anything specific, I guess I should do a big reread if I wanted to be of much help.

Myself & TA - Well, these are two townies if I ever saw any!

You'll need more than just "I don't like the wording" to explain what's scummy about it, at least to convince me. I’m intrigued to hear more, though.
Mostly because he's being incredibly vague with most of it,

125
Yes, this scum read on him contradicts my early impression, but oh well.
Goodness this is for sure "Yeah I'm being scummy but I'm not scum" scum robz.
Vote: Robz

You think this a Robz scumtell. It isn't, and it hasn't been. You claimed it was in M-XVI and were wrong. You claimed it was in M-XVII and were wrong.
I'll have to reread those games sometime.
Vote: liopoil

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