Okay, I have been looking back over everything quite extensively.
My first big discovery is not so much a discovery as something I simply remembered: Frisk isn't a mafia member. Why? Here's why:
Vote Count 2-3
jotheonah (2): Galzria, Dsell
Glooble (1): Captain_Frisk
Galzria (1): jotheonah
Captain_Frisk (2): popsofctown, O
Not voting {6}: Robz888, Glooble, Tables, Grujah, SwitchedFromStarcraft, Axxle
With 12 alive, it takes 7 to lynch
Lynch deadline: Monday, June 25, 9:59 a.m. EDT
O was the second person to get on the Frisk wagon here. Granted, this is early in the round. Still, I can't see a mafia getting on a wagon against their fellow mafia and being the second vote here, with no other leading contenders for lynch. That is a risk they don't need to take.
This leaves Jo, Dsell, and Axxle2, in my suspicions.
The important thing here is that Jo and Dsell absolutely cannot both be mafia. Dsell voted for Jo more consistently than any other person did, which is quite a feat, being that I voted for Jo all the time. Also, Jo and Axxle2 probably can't both be mafia, because Axxle2 kept his vote on Jo all day round 1--back when he was Green Opal. Mind you, Jo very well could have been the lynch on Day 1. So Jo cannot be mafia along with either of these people.
O and Jo could both be mafia. And O could be mafia with Dsell or Axxle2, or both together. But Jo and Dsell cannot be mafia, and Jo and Axxle2/Opal cannot be mafia. Because O is mafia, Frisk is not.
Which means that if I still think Jo is mafia, I must look at Pops or Glooble. (SFS had a key vote parked on Jo Day 1, so he's out, and also for his claim, which I believe). There is a vote that casts some doubt on Pops/Jo (that's vote 2-13), and also I think O/Pops is not likely. And then of course the Jo/Glooble thing has the twin claim problem.
So I end up setting aside Jo. Which leaves me with Dsell and Axxle.
Interestingly enough, Dsell, Axxle2, and O
never voted for each other at any point in the game, with one exception--Axxle2 was the 5th vote to kill O on Day 2. (I'm 95% sure of that, at least. Hopefully one of them can correct me if I'm wrong. I went through the whole thing and I'm pretty sure.)
On Day 1, Dsell and Axxle2 voted for the same person (Jo.) O voted for thoerel. None voted for the actual kill Axxle. Which is a great move, if you can pull it off. They very well might have. On Day 2, Dsell voted Jo, O voted Galzria, and Axxle2 was the 5th vote on O. I am willing to say that O was PROBABLY going to be killed by the time Axxle2 placed that vote. Though I admit this is the biggest wrench in the theory.
The evidence makes me more confident of Dsell, however, than Axxle2.
I must admit it is only recently that I began to even consider Dsell. He was not an Axxle1 voter. Also--and this is important--
I thought he was a Vigilante, off a hunch. It seemed to me he would have killed theorel, because they argued. But now I'm not sure we have anymore Vigs.
To reiterate: Despite having more suspicion of
Jo individually,
Dsell seems the more likely mafia when I start looking to ferret out 2 more mafia members.
This overturns some of my earlier theories, but hey, I'm looking at new evidence. And I've been doing pretty well so far. Thoughts?