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Author Topic: Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Game over - Mafia wins!)  (Read 18570 times)

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jotheonah

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #675 on: October 06, 2024, 04:14:00 pm »

Not caught up at all— had a wedding this weekend. I will be able to catch up tonight or tomorrow. Sorry. Should have V/LA’d before hand.
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #676 on: October 07, 2024, 05:55:12 am »

Vote Count 3.1

shraeye (1): Robz888
jotheonah (1): WestCoastDidds

Not Voting (6): Cuzz, mcmcsalot, EFHW, jotheonah, shraeye, Awaclus

With 8 alive, it takes 5 to exile. Day 3 lasts until October 09, 2024, 02:10:00 pm.
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jotheonah

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #677 on: October 07, 2024, 07:49:37 am »

I also think dids is scum. Was waiting to vote till I could go back and do a re-read but the outrage for the swowl exhile feels really fake scummy

I have a minute before is pass out from tired.

No fake outrage. I think Swowl is super helpful when he’s town and he’s one of the people I understand best. I’m frustrated that the LL claim happened so late that there was no other option. Honestly moving to me or anyone else who wasn’t obvtown would have been better for us as a whole. I don’t think that the last few people voting for him even thought he was a baddie. This is just on reread but EFHW summed it up “to get an exile” when she voted. So I’m frustrated, and think everyone should be, that we can’t seem to figure something out earlier when more people are actually around. Especially when I and gave others have said we are specifically busy at the deadline. So, it’s not outrage. It’s frustration. We’ve done this two days in a row…waited until the last minute and that left it up to a small number of people. I think scum has to be among them, and why cede them that power just because they can be there. I don’t have any solutions for it. Life is gonna life for all of us, but gah.

I apologize if you thought I was pressuring you to vote. I was hoping that we could get some consolidation before I had to go to class. But I don’t like it when people do that to me. I apologize.

In my return to playing after our long hiatus the agreement I made with myself was to try to take things less personally. So I can’t convince you or Cuzz that I’m town, it’s all feels and senses anyway. But if there is an argument there, it shouldn’t be fake outrage. It’s actual frustration.

Cuzz, why isn’t Joth on your list of potential baddies? What has he done that was “consequential”?  Or Mcmc? Who meets your standard?

Sleep now. More later.

What I find frustrating is all the handwringing about last-minute panic exiles (not just from you) that doesn't mention the obvious problem: our culture of forcing last-minute claims and always believing them. I think it's objectively anti-town at this point.

So there's actually four pieces that lead to these negative outcomes.

1) We don't consolidate until the last minute.
2) We almost always believe claims, leading the correct scum play to be fakeclaiming 100% of the time.
3) Both town and scum seem to think it's beneficial to claim as late as possible.
4) We don't have a sufficient number of townies available at deadline to make high-quality alternate wagons.

Fixing #1 would be the best fix and the most feasible, but we seem allergic to it. #4 will always be an issue because we have lives and timezones exist. But I really think people should be giving more thought to #2 and #3 and their affect together.

We could, as a community, be more skeptical of claims, especially claims of roles that can't easily be confirmed like Tracker. Or, we could set an expectation that town PRs claim 24 hours before deadline or not at all (this would be helped by the rest of the town trying to run up our wagons more than 24 hours before deadline).

We currently have about two days before deadline and nothing to work with except a fairly silly case on Shraeye from Robz, a misguided case on me from Didds, and some FoSes on Didds that aren't backed up by votes.

Am I the only one who still doesn't believe EFHW's claim? We have gotten no useful information from her role, and nothing about the suspiciousness of her claim has changed. Her continued survival is still scummy, although I suppose it's no more scummy today given that we gave scum a more useful PR to get rid of.

I agree with mcmc that we should put our cards on the table at this point. Here's my broad buckets:

town: mcmc, Cuzz
???: shraeye, Awaclus
scummy: EFHW, Robz, Didds

I am ready to vote: WestCoastDidds at the risk of seeming to OMGUS. I actually think her vote on me isn't completely terrible -- scum are sometimes inexplicably hard to exile and I'm sure I've made cases like that before. I can't fault it.

But something is definitely off about her play. I kind of agree that the frustration feels hollow and performative. And her scumhunting, such as it is, also feels hollow and performative. She's posted just enough to look like she's participating but hasn't actually driven forward much of anything.

Like, do an iso on her posts. There's a lot of setup talk and a lot of socialising. And then there's a lot of tactical posting to get us an exile -- deadline is this soon, how many people are on this wagon, etc. But what there isn't a lot of is actual case-building that seems legitimately concerned with finding scum. Even when she votes it's in a sort of noncommital "I could see X being scum" kind of way.

Which, like, I get, could probably apply to a lot of us. No one has had a ton of conviction this game. But all these things together... idk. Town Didds is buckling down and being helpful and pro-town at this point in the game. Scum Didds is just trying to look helpful.
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Awaclus

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #678 on: October 07, 2024, 08:14:52 am »

I do not agree that we should put our cards on the table, but I guess I'm fine with Vote: Didds.
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #679 on: October 07, 2024, 08:19:15 am »

Also we are technically now in quickhammer territory, but I am checking the game for new posts pretty frequently so I feel like I could react if Didds was town and scum tried to do something.
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WestCoastDidds

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #680 on: October 07, 2024, 09:14:38 am »

Joth, you are right that I haven’t built any cases on anyone. But I don’t think I’m alone in that. EFHW’s claim is being wholesale accepted and she hasn’t made a case on anyone, so I don’t think I’m alone in that. Right now, I’m mostly looking at vote counts and who has been instrumental in getting town exiled. That has not been me, it’s been me.

There is no way at all that I can answer “she’s off”. I’m distracted…I’m buying a house, but off? Last game when I was 100 % town EVERYONE except Cuzz, obvi, in the speccy thought I was scum. All of you. Of course I couldn’t see that so I wasn’t engaging with it, but what was going on there? What is it about me that misguided all of you? Heck, I’d have been exiled if faust hadn’t needed the town cred and voted for Jimmm. It was so crystal clear to me that I would never have played scum the way Jimmm was saying I would. (But none of the speccy believed me) but this “case” doesn’t even have a narrative. It’s just that I’m off.  It’s a completely harmless case for scum-you to make because there is no way yo disprove it or catch you in a lie. You read the room (I don’t know what fos means but it must be bad) and open the door to a a quick exile, assuming there are at least a  baddie or two in you, awaclus, Mcmc, and Cuzz.
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jotheonah

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #681 on: October 07, 2024, 10:07:10 am »

FoS is "finger of suspicion" -- saying someone is scum but not backing it up for whatever reason.
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Awaclus

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #682 on: October 07, 2024, 10:09:13 am »

That has not been me, it’s been me.

What?
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WestCoastDidds

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #683 on: October 07, 2024, 11:02:16 am »

That has not been me, it’s been me.

What?

Fail! That’s has not been me, it’s been you (Joth). He has been instrumental in exiling both townies
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #684 on: October 07, 2024, 11:24:07 am »

I can’t just please with people to believe me. It’s rather more emotionally exhausting for me than I realized and it’s beyond frustrating to spend time in that kind of headspace. I can answer a case, but  there isn’t one. I’d care less if it didn’t mean we’d lose. But since we’d lose I can’t just say, try me and find out so 🤷🏻‍♀️
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Robz888

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #685 on: October 07, 2024, 02:17:01 pm »

I think I got something. Joth just posted a reads list where he labeled Cuzz as town.

town: mcmc, Cuzz
???: shraeye, Awaclus
scummy: EFHW, Robz, Didds

And yet Joth voted for Cuzz on Day 2, building a (admittedly not totally solid or passionate) case against him, and also did one of those "hey I'll move my vote if you can sell me on it" things that I always find scummy.

Let's try vote: Cuzz

We had a Cuzz wagon day 1 and it wasn't a terrible idea. It kind of got derailed mainly because EFHW voted for it in a scummy way and then the wagon turned to her. But EFHW IS town, we should really look at Cuzz again.

In addition to starting the speculation about mods, Cuzz feels a little off to me from his town meta, and he seemed awfully defensive day 1 on a quite small wagon.

I’m just saying, we were looking at you yesterday and it was EFHW’s vote on you being scummy that turned us in that direction instead.

I’m just saying, we were looking at you yesterday and it was EFHW’s vote on you being scummy that turned us in that direction instead.

Ok but you’re also actually voting for me, but I can’t quite tel if your heart is in it.

it's not. give me a better option.

I don' think it's scummy to change your opinion, obviously. But I don't see any evidence or reasoning that caused his opinion to change, which raises the possibility that it's inconsistent because Joth is scum. I do think mafia sometimes feel pressured to have town reads and it ends up coming off insincere. This strikes me as one of those times.

I also think Joth is dead dead dead wrong to continue to persist in thinking EFHW is scum and the claim is false—it seems extraordinarily likely to be true, the reason the meta here is to believe claims is that the claims are usually true—which is more anti-town than scummy, but it COULD be scummy.

I also don't find WCD's outrage to be particularly suspicious. I often feel extremely entitled to outrage when we exile someone I think is obvtown over my objections. I find Joth's outrage over the outrage to be far more performative.

Taking that altogether, Vote: Joth with an actual degree of confidence.
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Robz888

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #686 on: October 07, 2024, 02:27:58 pm »

My scum to chum list

Scum: Joth, Shraeye
Neutral: Mcmc, Cuzz, Awaclus
Lean town: WCD
Town: EFHW
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shraeye

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #687 on: October 07, 2024, 03:30:19 pm »

so, the votes at the end of Day1 went from

Vote Count 1.4
Cuzz (2): Awaclus, jotheonah
EFHW (5): LaLight, WestCoastDidds, mcmcsalot, Galzria, Cuzz
jotheonah (1): Swowl
Galzria (3): EFHW, shraeye, scolapasta
scolapasta (1): Robz888
Not Voting (0)

to

Cuzz (1): Awaclus
EFHW (1): Galzria
jotheonah (1): Swowl
Galzria (2): shraeye, scolapasta
scolapasta (7): Robz888, Cuzz, LaLight, EFHW, WestCoastDidds, jotheonah, mcmcsalot

Not Voting (0)

What happened around this? Cuzz said "hey it's pretty much EFHW or nothing, barring a flurry of activity" and then EFHW claimed.

Cuzz switches to scola, notably instead of Galz.  Galz wagon has more votes here, so if Cuzz was pushing for just-any-exile it doesn't make sense to switch to scola. Stated that Cuzz doesn't like the galz exile, but had reservations...so overall this reads as Cuzz is still trying to get a "good exile" through instead of just pushing anything.

mcmc still wants to stick with EFHW, but would pivot.

Robz reaffirms scola vote; Didds chimes in and sees EFHW's claim, no reaction for now

LaLight also picks scola (having previously been against Galz wagon)
That's probably the moment when it became scola or no-exile, I think.

EFHW votes for scola, then Didds

Joth is the first vote that reads exile-or-bust through and through
There are five votes for scolapasta.

vote: scolapasta

Now there are six.

scola you can claim now if you want but I kinda think we're probably exiling you regardless.
Joth also puts suspicion on EFHW's claim.  Then says "failing to exile isn't the worst thing".  If that's an option that joth truly wanted to consider, his actions speak towards a very different mindset.

mcmc provides the hammer.

Also of note, Awaclus is clearly around and commenting, AND saying no-exile is a bad decision. He could have provided the hammer, if mcmc had not. So the fact that he never ends up on the scola wagon is significant.  For all intents and purposes, any vote-count looking at scola's final wagon composition should include Awaclus as on-wagon.



I'm reading Cuzz in a positive light from this, mcmc slightly so.  Joth's actions/words seem the most incongruous, scumread there. Awaclus and Didds also ping scummily in my head. Neutral for Robz/EFHW. Worth looking into, but I'm already using time I don't have...Didds' overall EFHW impression over day2, Awaclus' opinion on the final Day1 vote count.
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WestCoastDidds

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #688 on: October 07, 2024, 03:49:03 pm »

Ugh…so many apologies for all the typos. Jet lag is real. I appreciate reading my posts from the last 24 hours with grace!

Shraeye and Robz showing up and putting in some work. Nicely done. 

Shraeye, I didn’t move my vote from EFHW after she claimed because I wasn’t sure I believed her. But I thought Cuzz’s immediate move from her was more towny than not, even though I wish that he had a bit more suspicion.

Scum: Joth
Lean scum: Mcmc, awaclus
Neutral: Robz, Shraeye
Lean town: EFHW, Cuzz
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Awaclus

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #689 on: October 07, 2024, 04:07:28 pm »

For all intents and purposes, any vote-count looking at scola's final wagon composition should include Awaclus as on-wagon.

I mean, I would have hammered scola if it had been necessary, but it's absolutely ridiculous to act like that makes me pretty much the same as the people who could have chosen to build a wagon on anyone and chose to build it on scola, or the people who could have chosen to build a competing wagon but chose to join the existing scola wagon instead. There weren't really any alternative wagons that had traction at the time besides Galz, who I wasn't excited to exile, but I was on Cuzz whose wagon had had some traction earlier, so I was actively doing at least a thing that could have contributed towards a different exile happening, in a situation where opportunities to do things were extremely scarce.
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Cuzz

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #690 on: October 07, 2024, 04:56:15 pm »

Ugh…so many apologies for all the typos. Jet lag is real. I appreciate reading my posts from the last 24 hours with grace!

Shraeye and Robz showing up and putting in some work. Nicely done. 

Shraeye, I didn’t move my vote from EFHW after she claimed because I wasn’t sure I believed her. But I thought Cuzz’s immediate move from her was more towny than not, even though I wish that he had a bit more suspicion.

Scum: Joth
Lean scum: Mcmc, awaclus
Neutral: Robz, Shraeye
Lean town: EFHW, Cuzz

Why scumreading mcmc?
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #691 on: October 07, 2024, 05:36:01 pm »

For all intents and purposes, any vote-count looking at scola's final wagon composition should include Awaclus as on-wagon.

I mean, I would have hammered scola if it had been necessary, but it's absolutely ridiculous to act like that makes me pretty much the same as the people who could have chosen to build a wagon on anyone and chose to build it on scola, or the people who could have chosen to build a competing wagon but chose to join the existing scola wagon instead. There weren't really any alternative wagons that had traction at the time besides Galz, who I wasn't excited to exile, but I was on Cuzz whose wagon had had some traction earlier, so I was actively doing at least a thing that could have contributed towards a different exile happening, in a situation where opportunities to do things were extremely scarce.
You provide two versions of what I was doing, both false and both miss the point. I'm not pretending you built a wagon on scola. And as you say, there were no competing wagons so the second version is moot all around.

But you DID express a desire to have an exile, and no argument against it being scola.  So the brush I paint you with applies.

And I disagree whole-heartedly with your description of EndOfDay1 Awaclus as "actively" doing any thing.
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #692 on: October 07, 2024, 05:45:26 pm »

But you DID express a desire to have an exile, and no argument against it being scola.  So the brush I paint you with applies.

Because it would have been bad to no-exile in a setup where kills and exiles can be prevented, which was objectively true (if we *had* no-exiled and then exiled all the same people we have exiled now, it's likely we would have already lost!), and defending other people is generally anti-town.

And I disagree whole-heartedly with your description of EndOfDay1 Awaclus as "actively" doing any thing.

No you don't:
Also of note, Awaclus is clearly around and commenting, AND saying no-exile is a bad decision. He could have provided the hammer, if mcmc had not.
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #693 on: October 07, 2024, 05:50:14 pm »

And to be fair, my main problem with the scola wagon wasn't that I had a strong townread on him, I just didn't like the wagon because it wasn't helping me read anyone.
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #694 on: October 07, 2024, 07:45:45 pm »

I think we have all gotten too good at playing scum. I'm not going to post a scum to chum because I have to pick a tracker target, but I'd be willing to vote Robz or mcmc.

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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #695 on: October 07, 2024, 10:37:43 pm »

Cuz has just been towny today. My effort to get a Cuzz wagon going wasn’t particularly emphatic anyway. I was just casting around for a case. I think Robz is making a mountain out of a mole hill.

Robz, you and I disagree about EFHW. But no one has given a good reason why scum didn’t kill the claimed PR night 1. Maybe worried about rolestopper? I guess we’ll find out tonight.
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #696 on: October 08, 2024, 06:07:22 am »

But no one has given a good reason why scum didn’t kill the claimed PR night 1.

Good! As long as we aren't exiling EFHW, I'd highly recommend not speculating about the reasons why scum didn't kill her, unless you are EFHW and doing so to defend yourself.
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #697 on: October 08, 2024, 08:20:51 am »

Ugh…so many apologies for all the typos. Jet lag is real. I appreciate reading my posts from the last 24 hours with grace!

Shraeye and Robz showing up and putting in some work. Nicely done. 

Shraeye, I didn’t move my vote from EFHW after she claimed because I wasn’t sure I believed her. But I thought Cuzz’s immediate move from her was more towny than not, even though I wish that he had a bit more suspicion.

Scum: Joth
Lean scum: Mcmc, awaclus
Neutral: Robz, Shraeye
Lean town: EFHW, Cuzz

Why scumreading mcmc?

Instrumental in Scola and Swowl exiles, general demeanor and contribution
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #698 on: October 08, 2024, 08:22:19 am »

I think we have all gotten too good at playing scum. I'm not going to post a scum to chum because I have to pick a tracker target, but I'd be willing to vote Robz or mcmc.

I think that’s smart. Mcmc is on my list, but I’m more neutral on Robz
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Re: M142: Spiel des Jahres Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #699 on: October 08, 2024, 08:46:19 am »

Cuz has just been towny today. My effort to get a Cuzz wagon going wasn’t particularly emphatic anyway. I was just casting around for a case. I think Robz is making a mountain out of a mole hill.

Robz, you and I disagree about EFHW. But no one has given a good reason why scum didn’t kill the claimed PR night 1. Maybe worried about rolestopper? I guess we’ll find out tonight.

“Worried about a role stopper” is the compelling explanation, yes. If I was scum I would not have killed EFHW on Night 1 for that reason.
Logged
I have been forced to accept that lackluster play is a town tell for you.
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