On phone, but I just want to say, I only support an Axxel lynch. I'll be the hammar, but if much rather see an Axxel lynch.
I guess my biggest qualm is that if Faust turns up mafia, you die, then why is Axxel the SK? We'd be in the same spot as now
Axxle is the SK because HC!Faust has no reason to lie. He still wants to find the SK, because if he lies about a Townie, the SK knows that he's scum and will shoot him that night.
Oh I got you. Yeah this is pretty full proof
vote: faust
For example, this. Yes, if faust flips HC then Axxle is probably the SK. But how does that prove that faust is scum?
I agree that one of faust and Axxle is definitely scum, because if Arch and DD were both scum, faust wouldn't claim this result on Axxle. That rules out Arch/DD as the 2 scum.
We have ruled out Axxle/Arch partners b/c Arch didn't hammer faust.
But how have you ruled out faust/Arch, faust/DD, Axxle/DD and Axxle!Sk/ArchHC? Let's get systematic about this.
My results and votes lately are shaky, I'm sorry. This is confusing me and I'm just going with what makes sense at the time.
I'm pretty sure we know for sure Axxel has to be scum, because mafia!faust has 0 incentive to lie unless he's on a team. I don't think there's a possibility for a faust/x team.
So faust/Arch, faust/DD, Axxle/DD and Axxle!Sk/ArchHC.
Faust/Arch: They would have to be a team, otherwise Faust wouldn't lie. I just don't see why Arch would do the huge gambit with claiming faust is scum, then saying he lied. Why wouldn't he just go with the wagon and win? Plus why would they kill Andrew and not you? If they killed you, then it'd be me, axxel, andrew, faust, arch. They could easily ride the axxel train, especially since I was pretty against axxel. Or they could just say andrew, and then lynch him like we were all going to do. This approach seems backwards. God, even arch could have used timid sensor on faust, confirmed him town, they lynch someone else, and they still win. This seems like too much of a wrap around. Sure the andrew kill is stupid in any scenario, but it seems especially stupid if there's only one scum faction left.
Faust/me: We'd also have to be a team. We'd have to kill arch. because he had timid sensor. Also, I am willing to lynch faust now. I've thought, thought so more, changed my mind at least 8 times, and will continue to do so, but right now, I'm down to lynch faust. I'm pretty sure I will stay there, but I want to keep looking over the possibilities.
Axxel/DD: Two possibilities here:
1. We're a team, but then the andrew kill makes no sense, still, as above. I know you don't like this as an argument, but I think the only logical explanation for an Andrew kill was SK trying to hit mafia, or shoot someone mafia wouldn't shoot. Also, why wouldn't we shoot Arch. who could have confirmed faust as town?
2. He's a SK and I'm mafia: The only thing is scum!me wouldn't shoot arch. I'd have a lot more incentive just to shoot you or faust. There wasn't a mafia kill, so it probably was a shot vs. arch. This is definitely a possibility. I can't really figure out any more reasons this isn't a possibility.
Axxle!Sk/ArchHC:
This is only an option if mafia!Arch shot at Axxel and axxel had bulletproof, which is pretty likely. I don't know why Arch would be okay with a faust lynch though over a axxel lynch. There would be a shoot out tonight and they'd die.
I don't think faust/me or faust/arch are logical, and since those are the teams with faust, faust is either town or mafia.
This leaves me with two logical scenarios:
1. mafia!me, sk!axxel
2. mafia!faust, sk!axxel.
Now I'm fine with lynching faust or axxel, after thinking this through. I know scenario one isn't true, so that leaves me with scenario 2. Now, you guys can't trust me on that. So we should lynch axxel with faust on the wagon, since I think he's scum and I think arch thinks he's scum. It's pretty irrelevant, but faust's vote is there anyway. Since axxel is scum, then mafia is the only one left. At night, arch just will be killed. Mafia cannot have him stay alive and be able to investigate faust or me. That leaves it me, faust, EFHW. It will be down to you then EFHW. This is the best scenario I see right now.
PPE:2