Sorry.. was all set to come back to this game tonight but then friends appeared in other bits of the internet and stole my attention away :-P
I think the wagon-gazing is lacking something if you're only looking at who's following whom on the EoD wagons, and also not considering votes that follow our only flipped actual scum.
For instance in D1:
#40 EFHW votes Robz, following mcmc.
#129 ash votes joth, following mcmc (with faust in between).
#134 joth follows EFHW onto Ash, but only for a few posts.
Late D1: ash, joth and efhw all follow Dylan onto the mathdude wagon, with faust in between, and with a bit of vote-wavering by both ash and EFHW in the meantime.
Possibly that type of wagon-gazing lacks something overall anyway, because nothing feels like it's likely to be a strong enough signal to scum for the remaining non-traitor to hit the traitor on what may be their very first attempt, given that they pretty much had to take out MiX on N2, and Robz makes a lot of sense as a N1 target if they hadn't already worked it out.
Anyway, I'll pull more thoughts together tomorrow if I have time!