2.7 claimed at post 2991.
Before that we had the following information (thanks to faust compiling just a few posts above).
faust - 1, 2-shot Vig (Slot 1)
LaLight - 5, VT
sudgy - 7, VT
Dylan32 - 8, VT
Jimmmmm - 9, non-VT
Awaclus - 10, VT
iguanaiguana - 11, VT
ashersky - 12, non-VT
JReggie - 14, VT
JaketheBaseballGod22 - 17, non-VT
SpaceAnemone - 18, VT
Galzria - 20, Jailkeeper (Slot 11)
O - 21, VT
2.71828..... - ?, VT
pingpongsam - ?, Restless Sheeper
RoadRunner - ?, VT
The_Wine_Merchant - ?, Hider (Slot 10)
mcmcsalot - ?, Hammer Hero (Slot 9)
Dead and unclaimed:
AndrewisFTTW - ?, VT
gkrieg - ?, VT
Calamitas - ?, Mafia Goon
Eevee - ?, Masonic Lover or VT
Cuzz - ?, VT
There were 5 players that had not yet claimed their draft position or what they went for. 2.7, PPS, RR, TWM, mcmcsalot.
3 of those are claimed PRs. So they probably aren't slot 19. That only leaves you. So there is one player that could also be slot 19. Looking at the list, the bottom of the list has 17, 18, 20 and 21 already taken. So that leaves 19 and 22 as the ones that are left.
2.7 would have to think that you are likely either #19 or #22. It is unlikely (as we go further down the list), but still possible that you could be one of the tops, #6, #11, #13 or #15.
So realistically he could have picked probably 15, 19 or 22 without running into much trouble about why he didn't get a slot that he said he picked. He happened to pick 19. That is relatively reasonable.
So, the question then becomes, does this become a calculated risk? And why does he have to make it in the first place