scum: robz, e, sudgy, archetype
nice. That means me and my scum partner discussed a brilliant strategy where either
No, it doesn't! I touched on this earlier, but I specifically do NOT think you are likely to be from the same team. I'm not even saying you are both scum of opposing teams!
I'm saying you are both on the scummy end of the spectrum for me. I think once, and only once i my 50 or something game mafia "career" my entire reads list (at a comparable state of the game) has been correct (the game where I nailed jotheonah/Qvist/someone early day 2 and stuck to my guns - my glorious only MVP game I think, it was waay back). I understand my limitations, I'm not claiming the two scum teams consist of these four players. These are the players I think are mostly likely to flip scum, individually and without relation to the other people on the list.
Basically, my reads at this point are:
Myself: Well, the pm I got says town.
Voltaire: Might as well have gotten a pm, the real doctor would have counterclaimed already.
yuma: Should probably explain this in it's own post, especially as I'm blanking on verbalizing the reasons for the 180° right now.
Gweoniz, Jimmmm, liopoil: I'm pretty much totally null for the lack of information (either because they haven't posted enough, because nothing in their posts has stood out to me enough or simply because I can't remember their posts). I think having a null category this size at this point in the game is ok. I could develop meaningful and informed reads on them by putting in more work, and that will become necessary later days, but given I have a healthy pool of scum reads already (so I expect these guys to mostly fill the town read category), I don't feel the effort it would take is necessary (=advances the accuracy of my reads enough compared to the unpleasant effort it would take). Basically, without being on the reread all the time, my brain can hold a meaningul, informed read on only so many players at the time.
Archetype: a slight scum read, for the case E (spoiler: another scum read) made. Now, in this game I don't think it particularly matters if a case on someone is built by your scum read or your town read, especially at this point where a lot of our reads also tend to just be wrong. Sure, if I'm right about E, I'll put less credit to his case after the flip, because scum just has a harder time nailing scum due to there being only half the amount of scum for them to hunt, but for the time being I'm fine with agreeing with a case made by my strongest scumread. I only read the case once and that was from phone when catching up late last night, so I haven't gone back to verify anything (or read archetype's rebuttal yet, as there isn't one). I don't even really remember what there was to the case other than the lurking, I just remember there was a case and I found myself nodding in agreement upon reading it. Again, my brain can only hold so much, and this will become more topical once archetype comes back to answer E. I feel my efforts are better concentrated elsewhere until that happens, so I'll come back to Archetype when he comes back to the game.
Robz: Covered above.
sudgy: His answers to yuma's grilling regarding the faust-vote are very lackluster to me. I see a strong possibility of scum putting down a scummy vote, being called out on it and not being able to explain it. Especially as sudgy's attitude hasn't been "I made a mistake", which is what again I'd think the plausible town narrative would be. He is insisting he had sufficient reasons for the vote, yet is as far as I can see unable to provide them.
E: Well, the timeline, as I see it, for E's day 2 is he does a couple of very scummy things (his arbitrary excluding and including people of different lists and deciding where the scum lies based on his assumptions reeked of scum just wanting to manipulate town towards his desired direction, and I covered how scummy I deemed his sheeping of Robz's case when I answered to that), gets called out on them (by the IC, of all people) and when the general atmosphere clearly starts to turn towards him being thought of as a lynch candidate, he rushes off to do quite extensive rereads, changes his tone of posting completely (I want to say from scummy to more calculated and cautious but that's just my perspective). Now, I do not want to give the impression I don't appreciate the work he put into the rereads and the game in general - I know it tremendously helped me to catch up quickly and more effortlessly. However, I disagree with giving him town cred for that - in fact it builds more towards the narrative of scum aggressively pursuing a mislynch (=lynch of someone not in his team), until he realizes he stepped over the line and then bolting back to his trench to wait out the attack (wait out not by lurking but by posting non-controversial stuff, and so much of it that the earlier stuff would be forgotten or forgiven.. some people react to cases on them by staying silent and hoping the case disappears, to me it seems like e reacted by abandoning his earlier goal of aggressively pushing us towards a lynch and just taking a defensive (albeit a very active) stance). This metaphor is much clearer in my heads, but think of it as a WW2 battle, first he runs from the trenches his guns blazing at his enemies like Rambo, then he gets called out on trying to shoot them and they shoot back, so he retreats to the bunker to wait out until we forget about him.