Wagon on Ash:
1) Snow, who votes Ash for his opposition to the hider plan. I don't find this scummy at all, since Ash hasn't said the "may as well vote me" bit yet, isn't an easy target at all.
--Ash says "everyone stop this speculative talk and we can lynch me today."
2) Mcmc says "either this is town ash or easily faked meta. Going with number 2". This is scummy.. he's the first one to push this as a serious wagon, and doesn't provide us with any reasons why it's the second, and not the first. If you think it's the second, tell us why! It looks like you're just picking at random between the two, at best.
3) Ash self votes.
4) Shraeye says "Yay, a wagon!" and votes Ashersky. No reason, but this is consistent with some of his earlier play. More on this later.
5) Mcmc unvotes Ash upon a re-read. Back to three votes.
6) Eevee comes and votes Ash for being "anti-town". I don't find this scummy because Eevee has a good reason here.. it's a contradiction that town!ash is frustrated by how anti-town the theory talk is, and as a result, starts a wagon on a townmember (himself!). That's a good point, and while I think Ash is in fact town because the incentives aren't there for him to act this way as scum, don't find Eevee scummy for this vote.
7) Jimm votes for Ash. I don't like this vote as much, because it seems to be for disagreeing about theory, which I think is always a bad way to vote.
TA votes Ash. I like his reasons, namely that Ash didn't seem to consider the plan, which was weird, and that Ash isn't finding TA scummy for proposing the plan despite it being his only major contribution, which was weird, and there wasn't actually that much risk since the first serious wagon of the day hardly ever goes through. I disagree with the last point, as it obviously does happen (I was the first major wagon day1 of B2B, for example), but it is true more often than not that it doesn't go through.
9) Chairs votes Ash. This is actually one of the more scummy votes on the wagon, as it pushes him to L-1 (although Chairs thought it was L-2), and came with hesitation. "I'm going to be miffed if you guys are right and he's just doing crazy things.". This is an odd thing to say with someone you vote! If you're voting someone, especially this early during the day, it should be because you're pretty sure they're scum! Voting someone, but attaching a "hope I'm not wrong!" to it makes it seem like you're not that sure he's scum, and at that point, why are you voting this early? You know who's most worried about what happens when a player flips town? Scum! Because if Ash is town (which I think he is), scum KNOW he's going to flip town! So they're the most likely ones to express worry about a mislynch, because the next day they want to be able to say "well, I wasn't sure of it!"
10) A couple people unvote just to make sure the lynch doesn't go through before everyone has time to process it. Good move, but null read.
The two scummiest people on the wagon were Mcmc and Chairs. Mcmc voted for bad reasons, then backed off. To me, this sounds like a scum member realizing that they're in a really bad position on the wagon, and they should remove themselves to protect from suspicion. If mcmc's town, it looks like he voted without reading what Ash had said. Possible, but I'm leaning more towards the scum narrative because I think town mcmc would be more careful about his votes than that, whereas scum mcmc has a large incentive to get a wagon at least rolling on ash. Either the wagon goes through, or we spend a lot of time talking about town members.
Chairs is the scummiest for me, though. Voting someone, and in the same post saying something like "hope I'm not wrong!" gives me the impression that you're covering for when it goes wrong. And who knows it's going to go wrong? Scum!
On Shraeye: A few times this game, he's sort of "set up traps". He voted for Lio, and said "Hop along and see what happens", and voted for Ash, simply saying "Ooh, a wagon!" This could either be a town member who's interested in pushing the game forward by actually creating voting analysis, but it could also be a scum member who's going to turn on the first town member who scummily falls into his trap. I have no idea which it is.. what does everyone else think?