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Author Topic: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Game over!)  (Read 231925 times)

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iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #75 on: November 13, 2017, 06:02:36 am »

Massclaim is terrible. But the Awaclus claim is perfect.

I am not Awaclus.

Vote: Ash
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ashersky

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #76 on: November 13, 2017, 06:05:00 am »

Basically we’ve never done it.  There’s no data on how good or bad it really might be.  I mean, the setup post says bad guys get two fake claims.  So, there is that.  But other stuff isn’t fakeable.

Like, think about your own role.  Here are the calculations I think each town player should make:

—how much more likely am I to be targeted at night if my role is known
—how much more likely are other town players to use their own powers more usefully by knowing my role
—how much more likely is it that there are ways scum use the knowledge of my role against Town other than killing me

Assume 70% of town believe your claim.  Apply the answers to the above to those calculations.  Determine if the results are more pro-Town than pro-scum.  Then you can decide if mass claim is good.  (Well, technically, if your own personal claim is good.)

So, if my made up answers are 5%, 40%, 20%, I might decide the benefit outweighs the detriment by 15%, applied to 70% of town.  Maybe that’s not worth it.

*Note, all math is made up.
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ashersky

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #77 on: November 13, 2017, 06:06:57 am »

Massclaim is terrible. But the Awaclus claim is perfect.

I am not Awaclus.

Vote: Ash

Massclaim might be terrible.  Or it might be phenomenal.

What Awaclus plan?

vote: igu for being overly confident about something without showing his work.  Scum trait.
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f.ds Mafia Board Moderator

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silverspawn

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #78 on: November 13, 2017, 06:33:39 am »

but we have done it. I don't remember what the game was called, but there was an RMM where we straight up claimed everything day 1. As far as I remember, you were town and I was scum.

Haddock

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #79 on: November 13, 2017, 06:41:50 am »

Been a while.

My office PC is broken and phoneposting sucks. So won't be about much today. (Irl)

I like draft+item claiming. 
Not sure how I feel about full claiming. Ingrained habit says it's bad, but last time we played rewind, I was scum and full claiming went really well for town since it basically broke the setup. So, y'know; upsides.

Hard to say.
Will keep thinking.
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M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

silverspawn

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #80 on: November 13, 2017, 06:57:56 am »

I don't like draft and item claims either. how does that hurt scum?

iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #81 on: November 13, 2017, 07:20:44 am »

I'll quote and comment on Awaclus' plan where I disagree with it.

Claiming One Dose of Spice is fine if I've understood correctly that we don't know what it does.

I don't know if we want to claim this. In Dune 3, there were characters who would die if they didn't regularly ingest spice. This spice might be for one of those characters, so that they can live. If they claim they have it, it could get stolen from them and they could die.

Quote
Everything in Slot 6 should be fine to claim.

Not sure about flint for the same reason as spice. I don't know what game flint hails from though - an earlier Dune? Does anyone know what it did in its last appearance?

Quote
Slot 7:
Golden Touch is bad to claim.
Why would 1 shot roleblocker be bad to claim?

Also, not sure about the water - same thing as the spice and the flint.

I pretty much agree with his conclusions, although now I guess I am advocating for an even more limited range of items to claim. Mostly I think we benefit from hearing who got what in slot 3.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #82 on: November 13, 2017, 07:21:31 am »

Massclaim is terrible. But the Awaclus claim is perfect.

I am not Awaclus.

Vote: Ash

Massclaim might be terrible.  Or it might be phenomenal.

What Awaclus plan?

vote: igu for being overly confident about something without showing his work.  Scum trait.

Okay, Ash-Sensei. I showed my work (above). Can I get full credit now?
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #83 on: November 13, 2017, 07:23:20 am »

Oh, also,

if anyone is from Guilds mafia, they should claim so that they can be IC. lol
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

ashersky

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #84 on: November 13, 2017, 07:50:42 am »

Massclaim is terrible. But the Awaclus claim is perfect.

I am not Awaclus.

Vote: Ash

Massclaim might be terrible.  Or it might be phenomenal.

What Awaclus plan?

vote: igu for being overly confident about something without showing his work.  Scum trait.

Okay, Ash-Sensei. I showed my work (above). Can I get full credit now?

I meant show why massclaim is terrible.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #85 on: November 13, 2017, 07:56:05 am »

Massclaim is terrible. But the Awaclus claim is perfect.

I am not Awaclus.

Vote: Ash

Massclaim might be terrible.  Or it might be phenomenal.

What Awaclus plan?

vote: igu for being overly confident about something without showing his work.  Scum trait.

Okay, Ash-Sensei. I showed my work (above). Can I get full credit now?

I meant show why massclaim is terrible.

It gets difficult to talk about the reasons one might have for not wanting to talk about something.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #86 on: November 13, 2017, 07:59:33 am »

What I am strongly confident about, on further reflection, is that Awaclus is right about it being positive utility for slot #3 bidders to claim. To the extent that I think everyone should claim whether or not they bid slot #3. I'm not as confident about the other boxes he proposed. I'm not confident that mass claim is good - I think it's probably bad today just like it usually is, but maybe good in a day or two. 

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iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #87 on: November 13, 2017, 08:01:34 am »

Oh, also,

if anyone is from Guilds mafia, they should claim so that they can be IC. lol

Also this was a joke and reference to the last run of Rewind Mafia. It wouldn't IC anyone in this game because Guilds mafia claims could easily be fakeclaims.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
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pingpongsam

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #88 on: November 13, 2017, 08:04:54 am »

Vote: ash

Opposed to massclaim of anything. Not opposed to claims on slot 3.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #89 on: November 13, 2017, 08:23:10 am »

Okay, liters of water are like Spice - but for a character from Dune 1 or 2. See here: http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=12406.msg455485#msg455485 and here: http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=11626.msg410774#msg410774

We don't want the water-bearer to claim. Either it's scum, or it's someone from Dune mafia who may die if their water is stolen.

I still don't know what flint is in reference to.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #90 on: November 13, 2017, 08:42:51 am »

Flint was from Dune Mafia 1. Mail-mi's character was able to use it to start a fire. It looks like he tried to do so toward the end of the game, but what effect that would have had is not clear to me. Maybe Ash can enlighten us? Faust's flint may do something different though...
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JaketheBaseballGod22

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #91 on: November 13, 2017, 08:44:33 am »

Not opposed to claims on slot 3.
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Town Wins (4-11) 26.7% M88L, M89L, NM9L, M91L, M95L, M97L,NM10W, RMM41L, M100L, M103L, M105W, M107W, RMM45W, M109L, RMM46L

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #92 on: November 13, 2017, 08:51:33 am »

Also, fully support a full, total, absolute mass claim.

I am the IC
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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #93 on: November 13, 2017, 09:07:12 am »

I have more stuff I could claim, but I am going to let you non-IC people fight it out.

I tend to fall on the ashersky side of let's do the mass claim, just in case anyone is curious
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iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #94 on: November 13, 2017, 09:09:09 am »

I have more stuff I could claim, but I am going to let you non-IC people fight it out.

I tend to fall on the ashersky side of let's do the mass claim, just in case anyone is curious

Except when you are the SK with no safe way to claim VT.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #95 on: November 13, 2017, 09:11:53 am »

Oh, that's just no fun though.

I was draft position 6, went for paper (slot 3) and did not recieved the item (or the penalty item)

I was actually kind of hoping to be a Miller IC. Thought that would be funny. Instead I am just an IC IC.
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Man. I had four strips of bacon yesterday. Was one automatically undercooked, one automatically overcooked? No, let's put a stop to that right here, all four strips were excellent.

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #96 on: November 13, 2017, 09:12:19 am »

I have more stuff I could claim, but I am going to let you non-IC people fight it out.

I tend to fall on the ashersky side of let's do the mass claim, just in case anyone is curious

Except when you are the SK with no safe way to claim VT.

Is that why you don't want to claim?
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Man. I had four strips of bacon yesterday. Was one automatically undercooked, one automatically overcooked? No, let's put a stop to that right here, all four strips were excellent.

iguanaiguana

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #97 on: November 13, 2017, 09:14:04 am »

I have more stuff I could claim, but I am going to let you non-IC people fight it out.

I tend to fall on the ashersky side of let's do the mass claim, just in case anyone is curious

Except when you are the SK with no safe way to claim VT.

Is that why you don't want to claim?

No, I was remembering your opposition to mass claim in M100.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #98 on: November 13, 2017, 09:14:43 am »

 But yeah, I have to make the most of D1. Might not live much longer. The perils of being IC
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Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 1)
« Reply #99 on: November 13, 2017, 09:16:06 am »

I have more stuff I could claim, but I am going to let you non-IC people fight it out.

I tend to fall on the ashersky side of let's do the mass claim, just in case anyone is curious

Except when you are the SK with no safe way to claim VT.

Is that why you don't want to claim?

No, I was remembering your opposition to mass claim in M100.

I was for it before I was against it before I was for it. If anything, you can always count on my position towards a mass claim to change
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Man. I had four strips of bacon yesterday. Was one automatically undercooked, one automatically overcooked? No, let's put a stop to that right here, all four strips were excellent.
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