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Author Topic: M103: fleetwood mac (that's all for everyone)  (Read 163155 times)

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iguanaiguana

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #425 on: July 04, 2017, 06:01:01 pm »

And I look like Jake's partner if I'm wrong about him, surely. So that's fun!
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

Eevee

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #426 on: July 04, 2017, 06:13:17 pm »

I like TWM saying his piece even after Iguana pretty much got the opposite conclusion from the same data in the previous page. I think if it was scum pushing a fabricated case, he might think twice.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #427 on: July 04, 2017, 06:16:49 pm »

I like TWM saying his piece even after Iguana pretty much got the opposite conclusion from the same data in the previous page. I think if it was scum pushing a fabricated case, he might think twice.

This might be a real townslip.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

Joseph2302

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #428 on: July 04, 2017, 06:24:04 pm »

Ugh, not in favour of a jake lynch particularly. I've read the posts and not seeing a scum narrative from it.
This is the scum narrative: Jake was assigned scum. He has made progress in changing his town meta, but now that he is scum he has reverted slightly back, possibly due to feeling like he has to act like "himself" or being unsure how to act.

if you disagree, then that is fine.
I disagree, bur that's fine
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Town: 22 games, 8 wins
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Joseph2302

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #429 on: July 04, 2017, 06:24:47 pm »

I like TWM saying his piece even after Iguana pretty much got the opposite conclusion from the same data in the previous page. I think if it was scum pushing a fabricated case, he might think twice.

This might be a real townslip.
!?  Explain?
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Mafia Stats: (correct as of 2017)
Town: 22 games, 8 wins
Scum: 5 games, 3 wins

iguanaiguana

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #430 on: July 04, 2017, 06:28:06 pm »

Scum doesn't have to push a fabricated case D1. They're looking for the other scum faction.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

J Reggie

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #431 on: July 04, 2017, 06:46:09 pm »

I'm never really a fan of lynching Jake. Could we try vote: gkrieg?

JaketheBaseballGod22

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #432 on: July 04, 2017, 07:04:09 pm »

I like TWM saying his piece even after Iguana pretty much got the opposite conclusion from the same data in the previous page. I think if it was scum pushing a fabricated case, he might think twice.

This might be a real townslip.
I don't think so
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Baseball For Life
Mafia Record Overall (6-14) 30%

Town Wins (4-11) 26.7% M88L, M89L, NM9L, M91L, M95L, M97L,NM10W, RMM41L, M100L, M103L, M105W, M107W, RMM45W, M109L, RMM46L

Scum Wins (2-3) 40% M87L, M94W, ZM23L, M99L, ZM24W

MVP's: None

Eevee

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #433 on: July 04, 2017, 07:11:10 pm »

Ah, it's just me not thinking clearly. I guess scum might believe in their case despite some opposition just as well.

I do like that iguana's head went there though, giving out town points too willy nilly seems like a town tell.
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The_Wine_Merchant

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #434 on: July 04, 2017, 07:17:11 pm »

I'm never really a fan of lynching Jake. Could we try vote: gkrieg?
You can try. I thought I saw something there but turns out, I didn't.
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gkrieg13

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #435 on: July 04, 2017, 07:24:34 pm »

I would be a waste of a lynch. I'll probably be killed N1 or N2 anyway.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #436 on: July 04, 2017, 08:21:44 pm »

I would be a waste of a lynch. I'll probably be killed N1 or N2 anyway.

Lolol
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

The_Wine_Merchant

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #437 on: July 04, 2017, 11:21:14 pm »

Is that a thing for you, gkrieg? I went and looked at the last page of the Records thread and only saw you Night killed once on night 1 or night 2, in M75.
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Wins: M91, M96, NM10, M98, M102, M105
Losses: M100, M103, M104, M109, M112

MVPs: M91, M96
Win percentage: 54.5 (6/11)

gkrieg13

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #438 on: July 05, 2017, 01:52:37 am »

Is that a thing for you, gkrieg? I went and looked at the last page of the Records thread and only saw you Night killed once on night 1 or night 2, in M75.

Well it has happened more lately. It happens even more when LaLight is scum!
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ashersky

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #439 on: July 05, 2017, 06:14:01 am »

I get the sense that it's something we expect to happen more often than it does.  There's a subset of strong town players that we think scum will always kill within the first two nights, but more often than not they aren't.  Then they get some heat for surviving, regardless of play.

Currently, it's probably faust and gkrieg13.  It used to be Teproc as well, then he left. 
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J Reggie

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #440 on: July 05, 2017, 08:22:37 am »

I would be a waste of a lynch. I'll probably be killed N1 or N2 anyway.

So you're saying you're mafia?

The_Wine_Merchant

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #441 on: July 05, 2017, 09:26:49 am »

Hey Robz!
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Wins: M91, M96, NM10, M98, M102, M105
Losses: M100, M103, M104, M109, M112

MVPs: M91, M96
Win percentage: 54.5 (6/11)

gkrieg13

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #442 on: July 05, 2017, 10:07:54 am »

I would be a waste of a lynch. I'll probably be killed N1 or N2 anyway.

So you're saying you're mafia?

?  What?
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Joseph2302

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #443 on: July 05, 2017, 10:24:29 am »

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Mafia Stats: (correct as of 2017)
Town: 22 games, 8 wins
Scum: 5 games, 3 wins

JaketheBaseballGod22

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Mafia Record Overall (6-14) 30%

Town Wins (4-11) 26.7% M88L, M89L, NM9L, M91L, M95L, M97L,NM10W, RMM41L, M100L, M103L, M105W, M107W, RMM45W, M109L, RMM46L

Scum Wins (2-3) 40% M87L, M94W, ZM23L, M99L, ZM24W

MVP's: None

faust

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #445 on: July 05, 2017, 10:37:43 am »

I get the sense that it's something we expect to happen more often than it does.  There's a subset of strong town players that we think scum will always kill within the first two nights, but more often than not they aren't.  Then they get some heat for surviving, regardless of play.

Currently, it's probably faust and gkrieg13.  It used to be Teproc as well, then he left.
Doesn't the naming thing in the setup completely screw all these considerations anyway?
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ashersky

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #446 on: July 05, 2017, 10:47:59 am »

I get the sense that it's something we expect to happen more often than it does.  There's a subset of strong town players that we think scum will always kill within the first two nights, but more often than not they aren't.  Then they get some heat for surviving, regardless of play.

Currently, it's probably faust and gkrieg13.  It used to be Teproc as well, then he left.
Doesn't the naming thing in the setup completely screw all these considerations anyway?

Only insofar as their (your) alignments dictate.

There's plenty of theory discussion to be had on optimal naming here.  Does mafia include a partner in the list, strongest town, etc.?

When the list is published, we can see if you/gkrieg/Teproc are on it, then discuss further the following day.
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faust

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #447 on: July 05, 2017, 10:51:22 am »

Yes it certainly tells something. There's just a lot more WIFOM mixed in than is usual for nightkills.

An interesting observation is that if mafia names the two Werewolves, they basically force the nightkill. A naming of WW, WW, mafia would be the worst possible thing for mafia.
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faust

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #448 on: July 05, 2017, 10:55:40 am »

Another notable thing about that. If we are lucky, some kind of a last-minute lynch could theoretically lead to a dead player on the mafia's list, and that means that the Werewolves can kill whoever they want. At the same time, the mafia can theoretically invalidate their own list if they want.
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ashersky

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Re: M103: fleetwood mac (Day 1)
« Reply #449 on: July 05, 2017, 11:24:58 am »

Another notable thing about that. If we are lucky, some kind of a last-minute lynch could theoretically lead to a dead player on the mafia's list, and that means that the Werewolves can kill whoever they want. At the same time, the mafia can theoretically invalidate their own list if they want.

Or submit no list, right?
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11x MVP: M30, M83, ZM16, M25, M38, M61, M76, RMM5, RMM41, RMM46, M51
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