Here's my reread and off-the-top of my head reactions.
Sweet let's shoot some people.
So there's no Night phase.. setup doesn't say anything about the scum team getting day chat. Anyone play this format before?
“I don't know something scum would know!” in his first post. I know I bring up Monster's U a lot but dammit I was right about that. It's not a huge deal but I'm going on the record as not exactly buying it.
Silverspawn's early posts seem towny to me. His whole “I'm not the gunbearer?” seems natural.
Maybe you're scum.
Maybe they thought ADK was hard to read.. maybe they think ADK has bad reads, or they don't often get found out by him.
I can tell you I certainly wouldn't have chosen ADK, because he's always the sole guy that suspects me as scum from very early on. This is exactly the worst format for me as scum and ADK as town. Or maybe I played some WIFOM with that and convinced my scum team so that I could make this argument. Of course, if I did that, I wouldn't make this argument, I'd wait until someone else brought it up.
This would be a decent point, except that he was self-conscious enough to bring it up. And I do remember at least one game (Homeland I think) where I didn't suspect WW at all until he made a post saying “ADK hasn't accused me of being scum yet, you ok?”.
vote : WW
I generally get a towny vibe from vote-only posts, especially early in the game. Scum goes out of their way to justify their votes. Though at this point, I think I should point that Teproc might have a very good meta reason to make me the notebearer- in Dune mafia, which just finished, I was town and he was scum and I was completely convinced of his towniness.
I'm not so concerned with getting shot, though. Because then I get a gun. And then I can shoot bitches.
“Because I'm totally town!”
Vote: silverspawn
I agree that his first post seems like it's pushing aside suspicion when there isn't any, and it could be planned in a QT. I usually do RVS but I actually found a legitimate reason to vote someone right away.
This is in the middle of Teproc and WW going back and forth, if WW is scum sudgy might easily be his partner trying to distract.
XP's first posts seem pretty null to me. He votes for WW but it's a point in the game where a wagon obviously isn't going to go through, so it could just as easily come from a scum as from town (regardless of WW's alignment).
Hey guys. Good to be back in the game.
ADK is the IC I see. I am totally fine with him creating whatever deadline works best for him. silverspawn and WW are extremely self-aware, which is cool but not necessarily scummy (never played with silverspawn, but from what I have watched of his play that seems pretty normal). Teproc seems like his usual self (as far as I remember). Keeping track of votes for wagons and helping direct the kill sounds very reasonable.
This is kind of contentless first post from e. I guess they can't all be the best first post ever.
I don't think scum would care about someone's reads when choosing who gets the gun; we decided we would do majorities and with a four-man scum team, I'm sure they realized that's what we would do.
This strikes me as a little odd, since it's not necessarily true. The majority thing is up to the gunbearer and while it's what I'm doing, I think there are players who would shoot whoever the hell they wanted.
silverspawn being self-aware is indeed very normal for him, which is why I was asking sudgy if he had played with him.
This post by e reminds me of that blitz game where he was scum though. Just saying obvious stuff about everyone, not actually taking any position, keeping your options open.
vote: e
Yes, I kept my options open with my first post of the game, rather than immediately voting for someone like you did.
I agree with Teproc that e is reminding of the blitz game with him. It's the nervousness thing, in that game he made all sorts of “oh in my scum QT” jokes. Then again I think that's the one of the only times I've played with him, so maybe I'm biased. Also the quoted post is indeed pretty ridiculous, scum's way more worried about “keeping their options open” in the early game than town.
Axxle2's big catch-up posts... kind of remind of a similar thing that scum!ash did at beginning of Super Mario, which is put out a lot content without actually saying very much or taking much of a stance. And the whole “I'm too relaxed and jokey to be a nervous scumbag” thing is something I might buy from a newer player, but he's experienced enough to fake it.
Then everyone wants to shoot him. I'd rather shoot some of those people first than try and figure out Axxle2, really.
It seems I'll be vla till monday. I hope you won't generate something like agot d1 volume in the meantime
We need more from you. We have some time, though.
Off-topic: please, please, please continue this.
Sure, I have 3 votes for me to be the next notebearer, so I might as well respond to them.
[snipped]
e's uncomfortable with votes on him. Which, sure, town is too. Defending yourself isn't scummy. But the whole post is a bit defensive, a bit nervous. And starting it off with that “I'm going to be the next notebearer if I get shot, because I'm town, for reals you guys” comment, I dunno.
XP's series of posts reads towny to me. Especially from he, he's usually quieter, but I think that he tends to be quieter as scum than as town.
Vote: e
I feel like e or WW is scum but I don't know why I get that feeling. I'm going with e for now though.
Hydrad... okay, Hydrad seems scummy to me, like, 100% of the time. In that game I modded I had to keep reminding myself that he wasn't actually scum. I'm getting a better feel for his meta I guess, I mean he seems like his normal self. I don't know.
Silverspawn's statement has a lot of convenience in it. As hypothetical scum, even if e is not his partner, Silver gets some town cred for defense, and saying "there is scum on the wagon" is probably more likely to be true than not. And if we end up lynching one of Silver's partner on the wagon, then he gets some bus cred there too.
Okay, there's some truth to this. And I do think what WW is describing is how newer scum players tend to play; in my first scum game I went out of my way to defend a player I new would flip town (I know I reference other games a lot, it's just how I approach this game, I'm the IC so y'all can just deal with it for now)
I agree that silver saying there's scum on the wagon is obviously a very safe statement, however it seems to be a pretty normal town mindset than to think "wow, in this game with 4 scum, that fast-moving wagon has to be manipulated by scum". I also have that voice in my head at least.
The thing is, I think that scum is going to be very self-conscious about wagon manipulation. With four players, you could easily be too blatant. Having more partners isn't entirely a good thing, as there's more people you have to avoid interacting with in an incriminating way.
I like Eevee's first post, actually. I think scum would make more of an effort to comment on every little thing.
In conclusion:
I would be comfortable shooting WW or e. They're both scummy enough, and they're both people that I think are acceptable as the next notebearer if they are town.
One last thing, that I'm going to try- I think that a sometimes you can catch scum by looking at who's not talking to each other (in that, scum teams are going to avoid directly interacting with each other, whether intentionally or subconsciously). So for what it's worth, and as far as I can tell, here's who's not talking to/about who:
Hydrad (post count 14): teproc, eevee, egork, sudgy
Eevee (3): can't really analyze, as he's only made one post in-game (fix this!)
WW (33): Eevee, sudgy, EgorK
Teproc (28): mentions everyone at least once, but outside of his reads list (which leaves out silverspawn btw): Eevee, XP, EgorK
silverspawn (28): sudgy, EgorK, Teproc (I think SS quotes a Teproc posts but never directly comments on him or responds directly to one of his posts)
XP (24): sudgy
sudgy (
: EgorK, e, Eevee, Hydrad, WW
Axxle2 (25): Eevee. But he comments on everything, so.
EgorK (2): Everyone. Post more.
e (11): Eevee, Hydrad, XP, sudgy, EgorK
So no one's talking much about or to Eevee because they're not here. Outside of that, I guess it's not very useful until more people flip. I also think that I have to be more sophisticated in how I analyze this, because there are some people who talk to each other in a conversational way, but never comment on each other's alignments. But that's what I saw looking over things.