Upon a reread the whole raerae wagon looks like a confused mess to me, not like something that scum would have deliberately set up to get going and then fail, especially with the L-1 confusion. So I would think that's a wagon on town, and that one or more of the people who jumped on it are scum. First and foremost would be mail-mi, who I'm keeping my vote on, since he did kind of the same thing with the shraeye wagon. Other players I'm suspicious of are SP mcmc, who jumped on and then off but kept trying to push it from the sidelines. I'm slightly suspicious of FTTW but he seems more newbie than anything else, and his defensiveness to accusations against are coming off as townie.
@yuma: I said you didn't comment on raerae but I was just looking at the post above mine, I've been trying to reread all this over and over and keep getting confused, sorry about that.
@Robz and FTTW: How cautious is too cautious? I'm just trying to be honest about that fact that I don't have terribly good reads yet, it's still Day One. (Also, FTTW, I am a guy, but good on you for not making assumptions about gender).