sparky, post more!
Heh. I actually think I've been doing rather well so far, I'm proud of myself for being as active as I have been haha. I've waited all day Sunday for replies with barely any (I did respond to shraeye's concerns about the math), and then as I go to sleep the thread explodes with over a page of posts.
One theory that I developed over the years that may be completely bonkers is that longer posts = pro-town. It means that you're putting more effort into protecting the good guys. With mafia, it's hard to do that. Moreover, if mafia just try to disprove
anyone whenever the opportunity presents itself, instead of putting their thoughts into one specific issue (because maybe it makes them look uncomfortable? the heart of the issue is that they're mafia maybe?), it gives them more room into faking innocence. Someone who fits this bill perfectly, is Axxle. His posts seem to be all over the map, and they don't add much. Perhaps he always plays like that? And I have yet to see him answer this question:
I guess Morgrim mentioned that Galz looked real scummy because
He's been awfully quiet, (something he doesn't normally do) and when he does say something, its like this: I apologize for the delay. I'm trying to get caught up everywhere but I'm exhausted. I see I have 4 votes on me? Exciting times! Still, those of you waiting for answers will need to wait a little bit longer. I need to catch some Zzz's (and trust me, they've been elusive). Luckily, other games should be moving into Night soon, so I should have time to catch up on all (...8? >.>) pages here tomorrow.
Is this the reason that he looked scummy to you ftl? Or was it really just because you wanted there to be a bandwagon? What was the reason for your vote, Axxle? Is there really something to that Lie Detector role? I wonder if there's something I've missed but I have only the neutralest of reads on Galz so far. Hey Galz, post more!
shark_bait has contributed almost nothing to the scumhunting. He mentions that it's hard to do on Day 1. Well, doesn't mean we shouldn't try, right? I've seen plenty of games where scum was nailed Day 1.
Ditto for Robz888, although he's realized that this is bad for him.
Doesn't look to me like there's been much serious analysis.
Hey, I've been trying to seriously analyze
If you all were looking for my reaction to Galzria... I'm inconclusive so far. It really didn't look like he was pressured after 4 votes. He does mention this which I find important:
Personally I believe that "naturally" looking like town is infinitely easier for scum, who come into the game with a certain amount of confidence that their "reads" can never exactly be wrong. Town members on the other hand look around and see potential scum in every player on the list. Because of this, there's an inherent desire to want to be trusted and it comes across as unnatural. It's a large part of the reason f.DS has yet to lynch Mafia D1. Town just looks so much more uncomfortable, and thus scummy.
So, according to this, we should go for who appears to be the most comfortable and on top of the game? Right now shraeye sticks out in my mind for this, but he's been putting too much effort into his posts to make me believe that he is scum. He's putting too much effort into the scumhunting to be scum himself. Someone else who appears comfortable... is Galzria himself? Trying to cover yourself, even implicitly, seem like a scum-tell in my opinion. I don't think he would have said that (and I think he would have had a different reaction to his votes) if he was mafia. Now I'm leaning Galzria more towards the clean side.
Actually, Galzria has been acting pretty comfortable the whole game:
Quote from: O on August 09, 2012, 11:24:53 pm
Quote from: Galzria on August 09, 2012, 10:15:57 pm
Frisk, I need to know up front, are you scum?
Quote from: Galzria on August 09, 2012, 10:18:06 pm
Shraeye, are you a Serial Killer?
Quote from: Galzria on August 09, 2012, 10:16:51 pm
Volt, are you a Werewolf?
Quote from: Galzria on August 09, 2012, 10:17:14 pm
Axxle, are you Mafia?
Quote from: Galzria on August 09, 2012, 11:12:32 pm
They were all serious. I haven't heard from Volt or CF yet.
eHunt, want to answer for your Mafia buddy?
Eevee, what about you? Who are you planning on NK'ing for your faction kill?
YOU'RE NOT SUBTLE. WHY CAN'T YOU BE SUBTLE FOR ONE GODDAMN GAME IN YOUR LIFE
RAGEVOTE: GALZRIA
*yawn*
That strikes me as "oh wow, this raging over me is quite pointless. Because I know who I am. And it's not scum."
Maybe I'm reading too much into things. At least I'm going after players now.
PS Insomniac has three votes, not two.