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Author Topic: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Cult and Jester win!)  (Read 89155 times)

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Archetype

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #650 on: November 26, 2013, 11:45:15 am »

Vote Count 3.3:

mail-mi (3): Voltaire, mail-mi, EFHW

raerae (1): mcmcsalot

Not Voting (7): Dsell, sudgy, Voltgloss, Eevee, Jimmmmm, 2.7, Morgrim7

With 11 alive, it takes 6 to lynch.

Corpse Inspection:
Walrus (3): 2.7, EFHW, sudgy
Twistedarcher (1): Eevee
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mail-mi

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #651 on: November 26, 2013, 11:51:35 am »

inspect TA
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I currently imagine mail-mi wearing a dark trenchcoat and a bowler hat, hunched over a bit, toothpick in his mouth, holding a gun in his pocket.  One bead of sweat trickling down his nose.

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Voltaire

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #652 on: November 26, 2013, 11:58:40 am »

Inspect: TA!
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #653 on: November 26, 2013, 12:09:43 pm »

actually, morgrim is most likely still scum. vote: mail-mi
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #654 on: November 26, 2013, 12:42:08 pm »

People havea good point; inspect TA.
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 2)
« Reply #655 on: November 26, 2013, 12:46:58 pm »

Ok. Here is my official update for the game:

Players:
1.  Dsell
2.  sudgy
3.  Voltaire
4.  Voltgloss
5.  mail-mi
6.  Eevee
7.  Jimmmmm
8.  xeiron - Voltgloss, the Mafia Janitor - Destroyed by magic on Night 1
9.  2.7....
10.  Chairs - Morgrim7, the Mafia Suicidal Goon - Lynched Day 1
11.  EFHW
12.  WalrusMcFishSr - Voltaire, the Werewolf Compulsive D2 Suicide Bomber - Self-detonated Day 2
13.  Robz888 - shraeye, the Mafia Compulsive D2 Suicide Bomber - Self-detonated Day 2
14.  Twistedarcher - Galzria, the Vanilla Townie - Bombed by WalrusMcFishSr D2
15.  liopoil - Twistedarcher, the Suicidal Werewolf Goon - Suicided D2
16.  Morgrim7 - mail-mi, the redacted role - Bombed by Robz888 D2, but resurrected!
17.  mcmcsalot
18.  faust - Jimmmmm, the Jester - Lynched D2 and Wins!
19.  [yuma] - Dsell, the Town Deprogrammer - Poisoned N2

So for D3
11 alive people
1.  Dsell
2.  sudgy
3.  Voltaire
4.  Voltgloss
5.  mail-mi
6.  Eevee
7.  Jimmmmm
8.
9.  2.7....
10.
11.  EFHW
12.
13.
14.
15. 
16.  Morgrim (resurrected)
17.  mcmcsalot
18. 
19. 
    12 player metas still alive
1.
2.  sudgy
3.
4.
5.  mail-mi (resurrected)
6.  Eevee
7. 
8.  xeiron
9.  2.7....
10.  Chairs
11.  EFHW
12.  WalrusMcFishSr
13.  Robz888
14. 
15.  liopoil
16.
17.  mcmcsalot
18.  faust
19. 
    dead non-player metas
shraeye
Galzria

So no one followed up on yesterday's foolproof formula:

((# of players)-(# of dead players)+(number of total posts))/(# of posts by Ashersky) +/- 2.71828=player we lynch.

Which if we were to do today would mean:

so (19-8+653)/(101)=6.57425743
+2.718= about 9 (lands on 2.7)
-2.718= about 4 (lands on voltgloss's already dead meta)

Well, it is clear that this formula is incorrect, as it ends up giving my name out for lynching.  In fact, I think formulas might be an altogether wrong way to approach this.  Let us just go to straight percentages and odds.  11 alive, 6 to lynch.  We have the best odds to lynch a well-known f.ds meta.  We should lynch a well-known f.ds meta.  What am I saying?  mail-mi is a KNOWN meta.  100% chance of a lynch.  I like 100%.  Those are good odds.  But what is the chance that he is town? we don't want to lynch town?  In a bastard game, I would say the chance that he is town is about 50%.  (yes, I am saying ashersky flipped a coin on each of us to decide town/scum.  He was more selective about roles probably, but alignments can go crazy in a bastard game.  Which is why that is the one thing we are allowed to talk about.)  So 99% chance to lynch (you never know) + 50% chance of scum = 78.23% chance of being happy with the lynch.

vote: mail-mi

THAT IS L-1 EVERYBODY.  lets get the results of the inspection before a hammer at least.
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ashersky

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #656 on: November 26, 2013, 10:37:47 pm »

Vote Count 3.4:

mail-mi (5): Voltaire, mail-mi, EFHW, mcmcsalot, 2.7

Not Voting (6): Dsell, sudgy, Voltgloss, Eevee, Jimmmmm, Morgrim7

With 11 alive, it takes 6 to lynch.

Corpse Inspection:
Walrus (3): 2.7, EFHW, sudgy
Twistedarcher (4): Eevee, mail-mi, Voltaire, Dsell
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #657 on: November 26, 2013, 10:38:00 pm »

Also, where is everyone?
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Voltaire

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #658 on: November 26, 2013, 11:54:29 pm »

Also, where is everyone?

Trying to adhere to our usually lurking meta.

There I gave you a hint guys!
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #659 on: November 27, 2013, 03:08:48 am »

Yes, why don't we all kill morgrim! Vote: Theory
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I sit here, lost amongst the cloud, that which is the brain of the Morgrim Mod. Perhaps I will learn the inner workings of that storied mind. Perhaps I will simply go mad.

Mad, I tell you.

Maaaaaaaaaaaaad." -Voltgloss
Dominion Notation: http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=7265.msg206246#msg206246

Voltaire

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 2)
« Reply #660 on: November 27, 2013, 10:22:50 am »

vote: mail-mi

THAT IS L-1 EVERYBODY.  lets get the results of the inspection before a hammer at least.

Alright I think anyone can hammer now. We definitely need sunglasses to get this game moving again and we already have a robust scum just like faust. I don't think that Morgrim turned into a jester or anything.

We also need our corpse inspection results. Fortunately TA won that vote. Since this game will get pretty fanciful over the holiday HAMMER HAMMER HAMMER.
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EFHW

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 2)
« Reply #661 on: November 27, 2013, 11:27:12 am »

vote: mail-mi

THAT IS L-1 EVERYBODY.  lets get the results of the inspection before a hammer at least.

Alright I think anyone can hammer now. We definitely need sunglasses to get this game moving again and we already have a robust scum just like faust. I don't think that Morgrim turned into a jester or anything.

We also need our corpse inspection results. Fortunately TA won that vote. Since this game will get pretty fanciful over the holiday HAMMER HAMMER HAMMER.

vote: Archetype -- he lurks.  That post made no sense,  Voltaire.
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #662 on: November 27, 2013, 11:29:26 am »

Inspect: TA
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Voltaire

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 2)
« Reply #663 on: November 27, 2013, 11:31:33 am »

vote: mail-mi

THAT IS L-1 EVERYBODY.  lets get the results of the inspection before a hammer at least.

Alright I think anyone can hammer now. We definitely need sunglasses to get this game moving again and we already have a robust scum just like faust. I don't think that Morgrim turned into a jester or anything.

We also need our corpse inspection results. Fortunately TA won that vote. Since this game will get pretty fanciful over the holiday HAMMER HAMMER HAMMER.

vote: Archetype -- he lurks.  That post made no sense,  Voltaire.

Why are you not voting for mod-confirmed scum? You're next on my list EFHW.
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #664 on: November 27, 2013, 11:39:04 am »

mod confirmed scum?  Who is that?
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Voltaire

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #665 on: November 27, 2013, 11:41:03 am »

16.  Morgrim7 - mail-mi, the redacted role - Bombed by Robz888 D2, but resurrected!
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Voltaire

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 2)
« Reply #666 on: November 27, 2013, 11:43:49 am »

Oh no!  Robz888, the Mafia Compulsive D2 Suicide Bomber, has detonated his bomb!  He was channeling the spirit of shraeye.  He's taken Morgrim, the redacted role with him!  Morgrim was channeling the spirit of mail-mi.

But now it looks like Morgrim's alignment has been edited out. So bastard! I could swear he flipped scum.
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 2)
« Reply #667 on: November 27, 2013, 11:48:28 am »

Oh no!  Robz888, the Mafia Compulsive D2 Suicide Bomber, has detonated his bomb!  He was channeling the spirit of shraeye.  He's taken Morgrim, the redacted role with him!  Morgrim was channeling the spirit of mail-mi.

But now it looks like Morgrim's alignment has been edited out. So bastard! I could swear he flipped scum.

Maybe you have information the rest of us don't?
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EFHW

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 2)
« Reply #668 on: November 27, 2013, 11:48:46 am »

Oh no!  Robz888, the Mafia Compulsive D2 Suicide Bomber, has detonated his bomb!  He was channeling the spirit of shraeye.  He's taken Morgrim, the redacted role with him!  Morgrim was channeling the spirit of mail-mi.

But now it looks like Morgrim's alignment has been edited out. So bastard! I could swear he flipped scum.

Maybe you have information the rest of us don't?

scumslip!
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Voltaire

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #669 on: November 27, 2013, 11:50:12 am »

Look at the post I quoted, it has been edited.
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Voltaire

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #670 on: November 27, 2013, 11:52:04 am »

actually, morgrim is most likely still scum. vote: mail-mi

See mcmc degrees with me.
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 2)
« Reply #671 on: November 27, 2013, 12:40:06 pm »

vote: Archetype -- he lurks.  That post made no sense,  Voltaire.

Why are you not voting for mod-confirmed scum? You're next on my list EFHW.

To answer your question

Reread finished, luckily it wasn't that long.

Also can we inspect Morgrim? he was technically dead.

I am going to vote: raerae who I believe to be efhw who I believe to be scum.

EFHW doesn't want to lynch her scum partner. Also I can go through and quote the posts showing EFHW is raerae if you want though it's pretty obvious
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Losses: M20, M22, M25, M27, M30, M31, M35, M38, M40, M42, M46, M60, M90, M93, M96, M98, M100, M101, M106, M111, M113
Winrate: 38.2%(13/34) 29.6%(8/27), 71.4%(5/7)

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #672 on: November 27, 2013, 07:04:04 pm »

Not killed me yet? Hmm. Very interesting.
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I sit here, lost amongst the cloud, that which is the brain of the Morgrim Mod. Perhaps I will learn the inner workings of that storied mind. Perhaps I will simply go mad.

Mad, I tell you.

Maaaaaaaaaaaaad." -Voltgloss
Dominion Notation: http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=7265.msg206246#msg206246

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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #673 on: November 28, 2013, 03:21:41 am »

Vote: mail-mi
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Re: BM14: f.ds Meta Mafia! (Day 3)
« Reply #674 on: November 28, 2013, 04:18:58 am »

Vote Count 3.5:

mail-mi (5): Voltaire, mail-mi, mcmcsalot, 2.7, Jimmmmm
theory (1): Morgrim7
Archetype (1): EFHW

Not Voting (4): Dsell, sudgy, Voltgloss, Eevee

With 11 alive, it takes 6 to lynch.

Corpse Inspection:
Walrus (2): 2.7, sudgy
Twistedarcher (5): Eevee, mail-mi, Voltaire, Dsell, EFHW
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