Players:
1. Dsell
2. sudgy
3. Voltaire
4. Voltgloss
5. mail-mi
6. Eevee
7. Jimmmmm
8. xeiron - Voltgloss, the Mafia Janitor - Destroyed by magic on Night 1
9. 2.7....
10. Chairs - Morgrim7, the Mafia Suicidal Goon - Lynched Day 1
11. EFHW
12. WalrusMcFishSr - Voltaire, the Werewolf Compulsive D2 Suicide Bomber - Self-detonated Day 2
13. Robz888 - shraeye, the Mafia Compulsive D2 Suicide Bomber - Self-detonated Day 2
14. Twistedarcher - Galzria, the Vanilla Townie - Bombed by WalrusMcFishSr D2
15. liopoil
16. Morgrim7 - mail-mi, the redacted role - Bombed by Robz888 D2
17. mcmcsalot
18. faust
All right, so D2 starts and this is what we have.
12 alive people 1. Dsell 2. sudgy 3. Voltaire 4. Voltgloss 5. mail-mi 6. Eevee 7. Jimmmmm 8. 9. 2.7.... 10. 11. EFHW 12. 13. 14. 15. liopoil 16. 17. mcmcsalot 18. faust | | 14 player metas still alive 1. Dsell 2. sudgy 3. 4. 5. 6. Eevee 7. Jimmmmm 8. xeiron 9. 2.7.... 10. Chairs 11. EFHW 12. WalrusMcFishSr 13. Robz888 14. Twistedarcher 15. liopoil 16. 17. mcmcsalot 18. faust | | dead non-player metas shraeye Galzria
|
So the question in my mind is how many more non-player metas are out there? Being relatively new, I think it is kind of pointless to vote for me, since it is clear Ash used more well-known metas. So who do we have out there that could possibly be used? Look at the dead metas: Voltgloss, Morgrim7, shraeye, Galzria, Voltaire, mail-mi.
So the chance that a well-known meta will go through for a lynch: 78.3%
I come to this conclusion with conclusive evidence based on a wide variety of things.
1) Let's say there are 23 veteran metas that Ash chose from
2) There are 18 players that he had to choose metas for.
3) 18/23 is about 78.3%
So by the all the laws of averages that I know, this is irrefutable proof that we will most likely get a lynch from voting well-known players. Now which one. My formula from D1 was almost right (I landed on Walrus who was a suicide bomber-I mean, had we lynched him it would have saved a life) so with just a little bit of change I think I can come up with a fool-proof lynch.
((# of players)-(# of dead players)+(number of total posts))/(# of posts by Ashersky) +/- 2.71828=player we lynch.
so (18+6+535)/(74)=7.55405405
+2.718= about 10 so
vote: chairs-2.718= about 5 so
vote: jotheonah (modded the 5th BM game)