Okay, so here's the sudgy case (and defense) as far as I understand it:
1. sudgy non-RVS voted ash in the middle of his RVS.
DEFENSE: It was for reactions, he didn't really mean the case on ash.
1.a. That doesn't really make sense, because he didn't search out reactions. Also (added by me) he jumped straight back into RVS when he got the reactions (which was votes on him). He never pursued any results on his reactions for his bad case.
2. sudgy was trying to be like ash, but said he wasn't.
DEFENSE: misunderstood. He meant that he didn't mean the case. (This is sufficiently reasonable to my mind)
3. sudgy disrupted the transition out of RVS with more RVS. (i.e. the TA votes at this time were non-RVS).
DEFENSE: He did not realize the TA votes were non-RVS. By which he meant, he just thought back, didn't remember any non-RVS stuff, and went ahead and voted. (This seems fair to me again, because I didn't remember them myself. The sudgy-wagon is the first non-RVS activity that I remember...that doesn't mean it didn't happen, just that it wasn't memorable).
4. sudgy is trying to act towny, which is what he would do as scum. (this is TA's case I think? This is ridiculous to me, that's also presumably what he'd do as town. He's pointing out pro-town things, which he has stated is what he would do as town or scum. This isn't a case, basically at all).
DEFENSE: "sudgy isn't good at defending himself". (Odd that this is the one he has trouble with. I mean seriously, someone points out pro-town things and says, "looks scummy for being pro-town"...and that's when he starts having trouble defending himself?)
5. sudgy seems to be forcing a meta-change, which is usually scummy.
DEFENSE: none offered yet, he hasn't posted since the accusation.
1 seems strongest to me. 5 is potentially strong, though I don't have a good feel for sudgy's meta at this time to verify it. 4 is weird, and is what caused me confusion in this whole thing. The case is super-weak, but he can't defend it. It felt sooo weak to me, that I couldn't see how it was the basis for this renewed push on sudgy. Maybe the renewed push has more to do with 2 and 3, and it took him so long to answer those points, that 4 just kind of slipped in?
I'm gonna sleep on this. I'm going back and forth here. I can see a slipping town becoming persecuted...I can also see a scum error becoming out-of-control situation. I'm leaning slipping town, because it seems like it's happened so many times...
In other news, I don't get nkirbit's vote here. It's a complete switch from everything here is null to a vote with no explanation.