so I am going to break this down as such into analysis of people (before performing a reread) that I consider highly likely to be scum, likely to be scum, potential scum, unlikely scum (at least in relation to Grujah). I will perform a heavy reread on highly likely, a light reread on likely and potential and no reread on unlikely.
Highly Likely to be scum: Dsell, Young Nick, TheMunch, jotheonah, Voltaire
Likely to be scum: Morgrim7, CaptainFrisk, ftl
Potential scum: sparky, theorel, Cuzz, ashersky, Watno
Unlikely to be scum: Galzria, ehunt, Cayvie, eHal, Axxle, shraeye
This isn't going to be indepth, because multiple people have already done that and frankly we need to get today moving... times like these I wish Voltgloss was still in the game, he could sure get the town rolling FOS: sparky for not adequately filling voltgloss's shoes (no, not really... you are doing fine).
Dsell - Galz's analysis of him was well done. I found the most compelling argument against him was in regard to him listing Grujah as a potential lynch candidate (3rd) but then never voting on him and even saying that he no longer had a scum read on Grujah when Grujah had done very little to warrant such a change in opinion. It looked like an attempt to cast a very small amount of suspicion at a scumbuddy so later in the game he could say, "well I was pretty suspicious of him." Along those lines, the redirect to Morgrim and his "warming up to Grujah." Like Galz notes, it is worth something that Dsell came out of the gates and admitted to trying to derail the Grujah wagon, but then again, that seems like a perfect scum strategy.
Young Nick - again, this time shraeye, has already performed an analysis. I do not blame him at all for not rereading and don't find it scummy. To go back and do a complete reread would have rendered him useless as town for still more days and left him unable to participate for even longer. Both shraeye and I have noted that Young Nick's questioning of me as the Grujah wagon began to take off was just plain odd. Young Nick states that if we should lynch someone it should be someone who is lurkier than Grujah. And he provides ibgtennis and himself as potential candidates. For me this argument is absolute bunk. Grujah lurked hard! And while I wasn't out to lynch a "lurker" it is exactly what he was doing. I imagine that if I had voted Young Nick for lurking he would have responded "why are you voting for me? There are other lurkers just as lurky as me? Why not Grujah or ibgtennis?" Add in his conflicting opinion about TheMunch and you have a pretty compelling case.
TheMunch - Yeah, again this has already been done for me by Galz. As he notes, TheMunch is very liberal with his vote. It seems he uses it in the same way that others use a FOS. That isn't my play style, but I don't really mind it. The buddying with shraeye isn't a huge deal for me (see me as town defending and having eerily similar reads as Frisk who was scum in MVIII). His vote on me was interesting, and could go either way, but annoyed me as he kept putting words into my mouth (well... keyboard) and misinterpreting my posts. That wasn't cool. His defense of Grujah is scummy, more so than Dsell in my opinion, but even worse was his complete questioning of the motives of the Grujah wagon--while it is very possible for scum to be on it--his analysis was that every single vote was bad and provided no information. TheMunch is really into getting "information" but doesn't seem to be too interested in lynching scum.
jotheonah - I mentioned before that if anyone on the wagon is scum I would put jot at the top of the list. I don't think anyone has done an analysis on him, so while I won't go a Galz style one, I will take a good look at him. Early day 1 he had his votes in a couple of places and argued heavily with ehunt and galz, and posted quite a bit, but wasn't ever in the forefront (jot has a tendency in Mafia to have a lot of short posts, that is just his style, not necessarily a reflection of his alignment). He lists his top 3 as (ehunt, Watno and eHal) changing his vote from ehunt to eHal over his copping-Morgrim thing, and then goes back to Galz and then unvotes... all three of these w/o any stated reason. Jot isn't around, or isn't posting when the Grujah wagon takes off. At 7 votes he continues his argument with eHal and then votes Morgrim--competely ignoring the case on Grujah except to say, "Vote: Morgrim he IS acting a bit odd, and I don't think he's scum, but I think he's more likely scum than Grujah at this point." because he is: "participating more than usual, but with just as little content." The wagon then grows to 9 and jot says, "he part of me that wants the longest day ever to be over with is fighting with the part of me that thinks Grujah is town and therefore a bad lynch." and then "I don't personally agree with the Grujah wagon, but I don't think it's scummy. Which IS gonna make tomorrow tougher, but c'est la vie. Unless I'm wrong and Grujah IS scum, in which case tomorrow will be awesome." He then states that his top candidates are still ehunt, watno, and ehal and doesn't really think morgrim is scum, but is ok with it because "the worst case scenario is we get rid of Morgrim. Who is not exactly a huge asset." He then votes Grujah after Galz's case and puts him at L-2 and calls him buddy? Day 2: he has his "probably wasn't a whole lot of bussing in that lynch" which got a lot of heat, but potentially not enough...
Voltaire - I'll just say this right now. Is it possible that Voltaire saw that his scum mate was lynched and decided, "well this game is over and stopped caring?" I dont' know Voltaire personally and haven't played with him too much, but I think that it is plausible. Kind of like a ragequit in isotropic? I hope that if Voltaire reads this he doesn't take it personally, but it is odd to completely disappear from the game for so long. Either some emergency came up (which is understandable) or a scum voltaire just gave up and stopped caring? But at this point I wont' vote for that, but I will look at voltaire a bit more. I guess now that I look at this, it is less likely as he wasn't around at all during the Grujah wagon, his last post being september 25, although he was on the forum October 1. It is notable that he is one person that was on my wagon (remember I know I am confirmed town), and the most scummy out of all of them for it. Toward the end of the game his top 3 was jot, watno and frisk, although he was still voting for Insomniac when he posted that. I am sure there is more to look at, but I haven't looked through all of it.
Morgrim7 - I always find him scummy, and I am not going to do a full reread, but I can summerize it from memory: Morgrim participates in RVS, he sheeps reads, votes w/o explanation, self votes and then joins the wagon that lynched Grujah. The end.
CaptainFrisk - Looking through day 2=no content. Basically he just suggests to look off wagon and analyze who didn't help lynch and WHY? But never actually looks off wagon himself. So let's look at why he didn't vote Grujah. Frisk was certainly online during the Grujah lynch. He voted for O (the only vote at the time) at L-4 because O hadn't voted for anyone yet so close to the deadline. Frisk says absolutely nothing about Grujah. Nil. Previous to his O vote he was voting shraeye for getting angry. Previous and prior to that he has a lot of helpful posts, vote count analysis, summaries for Young Nick, the electing a lyncher idea, helping with plurality, but not much substance
ftl - my read on him was the same as the Day 1 in my post when I voted for Grujah. There is said this: "ftl (1) - ftl looks to me like a perfect example of scum trying at the beginning of the game to be active and fully participate, but as the game wore on, it became more and more difficult to keep up and not make a mistake, so instead of posting more and potentially making a mistake, he slowly sinks into the background."
So in summary, I would prefer to vote for: Dsell, Young Nick, TheMunch, jotheonah, but willing to vote for ftl and Frisk. I don't think I would want to pursue a voltaire or a morgrim lynch at this point.
For now it really is a toss up between voting for Dsell, YoungNick and TheMunch. but I will vote: TheMunch
Two other unrelated points I want to bring up.
1. On the off chance that Galz's cup is cult related, shall we change the status to "not drink." I think if the cup is cult related it is more likely that to "drink" is more likely to result in being cult recruited, that to "not drink."
2. TheMunch wagon is taking off. But on the chance that it doesn't. Should we implement a soft deadline similar to yesterday's?
PPE: Ashersky just got bumped up to likely scum, but themunch's vote on him seems to be more of a deflection to get town to pay attention to ashersky instead of theMunch