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[silverspawn]

I rate the second season of black summer 8/10

[silverspawn]

So in summary, the following things seem true about NFTs

- nothing inherently wrong with the concept
- sellers lying about what they are is very rare
- people who claim otherwise are just making stuff; they've never seen a single instance of a seller lying to a buyer
- NFTs are not doing anything in most cases (I find the idea of them "doing something" inexplicably hilarious)
- the number of people who buy them under false pretenses is unknown. No-one has any data.

[silverspawn]

Mh seems like the crypto markets are in worse state than in 2020. That's disappointing.

[silverspawn]

Guess I'm not betting on Trump because there isn't a way to do that anymore. Augur is basically dead and there doesn't seem to be anything else that's functional. BetFair is the large non-crypto market, but the politics section is unavailable from Germany (and VPNs don't help); predictit is the small non-crypto market, but also not available from Germany. And I'm not gonna bother one of my USA friends this time.

[silverspawn]

actually there is FTX but it looks shady. People on reddit talking about withdrawal issues. So far, I've never been screwed over by anyone in crypto land, so I better keep it that way and don't risk it

[silverspawn]

One thing I haven't yet figured out about life is why about 1% of people have the same face as Mark Zuckerberg

[silverspawn]

I do love Aella polls. It's lovely how taboo they often are

[silverspawn]

In my defense I remember that time when we had two mafia games going on simultaneously and Mix posted a comment about game x in game y

[silverspawn]

I also remember the time when ash and ? pretended to be masons and it worked because scott and I were the only ones capable of approximating the proper bayesian update and we weren't in the game

then there was another game where some very unlikely thing happened and I advocated for the lynch based on that but WW disagreed and was right

[silverspawn]

In my defense I remember that time when we had two mafia games going on simultaneously and Mix posted a comment about game x in game y

actually I think that wasn't mix but someone else did it

[silverspawn]

then there was the time when I got almost lynched

[silverspawn]

there also was a time when faust challenged ash to a duel and lost

[silverspawn]

Some people said that there was a time when ash was new but this is probably a lie

[silverspawn]

If this really is something the Biden administration tweeted, then this is really hideously bad.

Also that "I don't believe my unfavorable ratings" comment is bad. I don't know if I can blame Trump for this, but Biden isn't looking so hot

[Awaclus]

I also remember the time when ash and ? pretended to be masons and it worked because scott and I were the only ones capable of approximating the proper bayesian update and we weren't in the game

? = gkrieg

[silverspawn]

Let's see how many games in a row I can not-lose.

[silverspawn]

hm 0

[silverspawn]

let's try again

[silverspawn]

1

[silverspawn]

2

[silverspawn]

[silverspawn]

It really is the case that if you announce "I'm going to pick a female VP" or "I'm going to pick a black female supreme court justice" then this has the appearance of devaluing the gesture even if you would have picked the person anyway.

It seems almost strictly better to just go ahead and pick the black female supreme court justice without the announcement. That way, you don't humiliate her by making it explicit that she was picked out of a much smaller set of candidates.

The best thing I can say about it is that it is weirdly more honest.

[silverspawn]

MTG has it over the real world. Everyone already understands that there can never be a best color other than blue.

[silverspawn]

interesting

[silverspawn]

Random note, the work of QRI, the consciousness-researching institute that I am big fan of, predicts that listening to white noise will move your current level of valence (i.e., how pleasant the current moment is) toward neutrality. So if you feel really bad, it will make it less bad, whereas if you feel good, it will make it less good. This is not a hard law because it's confounded by how your brain reacts to white noise, but it should be a good approximation.

I've tried this once using mynoise.net and it seemed to work.

In general, music should be inherently pleasant if the sounds are consonant, which explains a pretty major evolutionary riddle. But this is confounded more than noise because emotional effects and boredom both play major roles.