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Dominion General Discussion / Why does luck in Dominion feel streaky?
« on: June 30, 2015, 07:26:35 pm »
I just had a very demoralizing day of Dominion, including having shuffle luck that ranged from below average to comically horrible in about three-quarters of the games I played. It's frustrating. And just a few days ago, I beat Marin three times in a row, in large part due to luck (because really, how else would I have pulled that off? I'm not that good).
And I was just thinking, luck (both good and bad) in Dominion always feels to me like it comes in bunches, and that I have good days and bad days. After the first 2-3 games I play in a session, if I keep playing it always seems like the luck, good or bad, generally continues for the remainder of the day, only changing the next day, or maybe after I take an extended break.
I know enough about statistics to know that there's no possible way this could actually be true. But a lot of people I've chatted with while playing say that it seems the same way to them too, that their perception is always that luck seems to come in streaks, and does not seem to follow what you'd expect to be a normal distribution pattern.
Do you feel the same way? And, why is this true? What is it about our perception that tricks us into thinking that there's discernible patterns to shuffle luck?
And I was just thinking, luck (both good and bad) in Dominion always feels to me like it comes in bunches, and that I have good days and bad days. After the first 2-3 games I play in a session, if I keep playing it always seems like the luck, good or bad, generally continues for the remainder of the day, only changing the next day, or maybe after I take an extended break.
I know enough about statistics to know that there's no possible way this could actually be true. But a lot of people I've chatted with while playing say that it seems the same way to them too, that their perception is always that luck seems to come in streaks, and does not seem to follow what you'd expect to be a normal distribution pattern.
Do you feel the same way? And, why is this true? What is it about our perception that tricks us into thinking that there's discernible patterns to shuffle luck?
