Okay, finished re-reading. First round of thoughts on Space:
First off, their claimed not-game-related preference for lynching Joseph is genuine and their posts sound fully honest to me. While I wouldn't put it past them to fake that as scum, this makes me townread them.
Why no number for voting Joseph?
I'm sorry, Joseph is not a menu option. He is acting like himself, which is decidedly null. Please press 4 to listen to the menu again, or state which option you would like.
I agree that Joseph's behaviour is very Joseph-like, rather than being necessarily role-indicative. That doesn't necessarily make him a bad lynch for D1.
Ok, really the only people who haven't commented directly on Joseph and/or his wagon are e, Space, and Calamitas, and I'm inclined to think that's as much due to their inactivity (>24 hours since last post for all 3) than to any intentional ignoring.
Mine is partly due to intentional ignoring. I can never really pass up a reason to vote Joseph, but I'm trying to be a better person.
As for Calamitas, perhaps I'm finally in a game again with the one person around here who's still less fond of making D1 reads than I am :-P I'm sure if we get a good converastion on probabilities of role distributions going, Camamitas and I will have a lot more to contribute...
Ok, really the only people who haven't commented directly on Joseph and/or his wagon are e, Space, and Calamitas, and I'm inclined to think that's as much due to their inactivity (>24 hours since last post for all 3) than to any intentional ignoring.
Mine is partly due to intentional ignoring. I can never really pass up a reason to vote Joseph, but I'm trying to be a better person.
As for Calamitas, perhaps I'm finally in a game again with the one person around here who's still less fond of making D1 reads than I am :-P I'm sure if we get a good converastion on probabilities of role distributions going, Camamitas and I will have a lot more to contribute...
Can you work out the probabilities and expected number of each PR in the game?
Also, the question by Joseph sounds genuinely curious and when I first read this I definitely felt like Space was genuinely in "stats-sharing and math is exciting" mode. I am highly confident Space would have shared their stats in N0 with the scumteam.
Some thoughts I am having
1) My gut feeling is that this conversation wouldn't have taken place that way if Joseph had already gotten a full list of probabilites in N0. First, because
a) I would feel super scary to ask about it in that situation and the tone doesn't sound overthinking, Space sounds natural as well
b) From the point of a stats person, "Expected number of PRs" is a weird thing to ask for and not the reason why we are doing stats. This sounds much like him not having the stats and not knowing what exactly is interesting
Overall, townreading Space after this.
PPE: Some