Ok, I had formerly said that lynching yuma, Ash, and MiX would find scum #3. Scum wouldn't be stuck so hard on the no lynch, because the simple fact is scum wants us to go ahead and lynch. Yes, no lynching doesn't really help since there's no way to force scum to shoot either, but I feel like scum would be in the why not, let's just go ahead and lynch, especially when more than half the town agrees rather than sticking out like this, so I'm considering MiX out of the lynch pool.
Which means the case on LL could be true, but I just think Swan is putting too much stock on the off wagon D1, on wagon D2 pool being scummier. So it's scummier to be on a wagon that successfully lynches scum than it is to be on one that comes up short? That's basically what you're saying. Yuma went from bussing (after momentum was building towards Joseph, they were the fifth person on out of six, so it's not like it was the pivotal vote to make it viable) D1 when raptor failed to hammer to straight up pushing away from Joseph and raptor saying it was a false road to go down, and LL seeing raptor's fail as scummy and voting Joseph is worse? Ok, as I typed that, I guess LL voting so quickly and confidently does come across as scum planning on bussing there... But if LL is town, yuma should be our next lynch.
Seriously, the only defense yuma has given is that the start of D2 would have been terrible scum play. Honestly, it almost was great. People were starting to pull away from the Joseph wagon D2 until I claimed, then faust, ash, and maybe someone else came back to it and pushed the lynch through, so it wasn't a given that Joseph was getting lynched. Also, if I remember past games, it seems like people who survive having big wagons D1 tend to make it fairly deep into the game unless they keep looking scummy or get caught by a PR or lie. As long as Joseph doesn't flip, that slight pressure away from him combined with yuma's other comment about their lynch record being just so-so and fact they could play the "1st game back, I'm rusty" card would be enough to keep pressure off of you. It's only the cop result and nearly immediate lynch and flip that makes it look bad, because the simple fact is it could have worked.
All that said, willing to vote LL today, but don't remember what the count is yet, so I'm gonna look back before I do.