Compiling all of PPS statements about his claim for clarity: (some are edited for readability):
Well, I'm going to give credence to TA since he is fervently pushing a case. I was a N1 cop and I investigated TA and he turned up a Town result.
I didn't see much utility in divulging this until he started flailing on this case which I'm not wholly impressed by but I admit he is Town. It's also why I gave him a pass on analyzing the D1 wagons wherein he was off-wagon.
So main points are give credence to TA, not the case, doens't like the case, but shows that TA is town... and something to look back on PPS's analysis of day1 wagons (if it corresponds this means that PPS had to establish early on that he would fake claim a result on TA at that point...) * see below
I thought I fairly well breadcrumbed this investigation yesterday. faust pretty much forced me to directly deny it. I didn't reveal my results when I did because of where my wagon was, that would be ridiculous since an obvious move is to lynch me, not to back off on the wagon. I revealed the information because I tend to agree with faust that the time was ripe for it and because TA was starting to look otherwise desperate with his efforts towards Eevee.
......
All that said, AHoppy seems to enthusiastic to move off my wagon now that my lynch looks like a done deal. Thus, he can avoid any suspicion at all tomorrow. Vote: AHoppy
Breadcrumbed yesterday... worth checking (**see below) up on as well. Again his timing makes sense given right before then faust said something about people should have claimed by that point and that TA wasn't being taken seriously... nothing about the case being good or bad or supporting the case itself. Still doesn't vote eevee, votes ahoppy
Whether it is believed or not; I didn't really even know where my wagon stood when I claimed. I claimed at the behest of faust because he had indicated that at that point in the game there must not have been any results or else we would have seen them already. That my results were on TA and TA was floundering was additional motivation.
very believable given the lack of vote counts in this game. Remember the whole pps is at L-1 thing, panic! that happened a few days before?
I interpreted the repeated cries for an Eevee lynch as floundering since you were becoming visibly frustrated with the lack of response. Maybe it was a poor choice of words. I meant it in the sense of you were making motion to no real effect. While I never saw much to your case on Eevee I felt it deserved some attention because I knew you to be Town and thus revealing the results at least gave it the attention a known Townie deserves.
I didn't mean foundering as in you were in any risk of being lynched or under suspicion.
Consistent with the above.
My off the cuff reads:
Town, won't lynch - pps, TA
strong Town read won't lynch - yuma
slight Town would be hard pressed to lynch - Jimmmmm
null would sheep lynch - Robz, scott, chairs, Eeveee, Archetype
slight to moderate scum would lynch - faust, AHoppy
My initial lean is to sheep my 2 strongest Town reads and vote Eevee.
Considering that faust and Eevee lead the charge on Archetype makes me uneasy about it but I am not opposed to his lynch. I think the Eevee/Arch mutual votes look like they could be scum distancing. If that were the case it would give faust a much higher probability of being town and thus I am willing to Vote: Archetype to see how these 2 behave if it builds.
Eevee in the null would sheep area, but doesn't vote eevee, instead votes arch.
Next quote... consistent with the above as well.
Checking on the things I wanted to check:
*
The D1 votes were almost entirely distributed between 2 wagons. The one wagon we know was on Town and also contained a Town vote. So the distribution of scum votes gets quite limited unless scum was voting off wagon which implicates TA but I am giving him a pass right now.
So yes, I am basing my assumption on the fact that AHoppy nearly got lynched but just couldn't. I thought this much was patently obvious.
**
Do you think I'm scum, pps?
I don't know. I think you are my favorite target for discovering your alignment because if I could know you were town I would be able to set said my suspicions and discover a better focus. If I thought you were for sure scum I'd be voting you right now.
and
I am not calling scum teams and I am not asserting that if TA were scum he somehow has to have 4 partners. What I am saying is that IF TA is scum then a partner is in the mix because there appears to be enough cooperation and/or sheeping to support the idea. I have so many Town reads because when I read each player outside the TA partner lens they come off as Town which I think is a more logical way to read someone if my suspicion on TA is wrong. I mean, I did just say calling pairs is bad, right? When I put on the TA must be Town lens everyone around him appears even Townier.
My read is that PPS has been consistent in 1. his desire to investigate TA 2. investigated TA and had this in mind throughout day2 and 3. was consistent in his reasons for waiting (even if I think those reasons aren't very applicable as I think town results should be claimed in the first 2-3 days).
Yes, it is possible that PPS was very good and very well planned to have an investigation on TA... (but also keep in mind those sorts of breadcrumbs can be dangerous if they are picked up on by town and the player doesn't end up claiming for various reasons) but combined with my town read on him from before and I truly believe PPS's claim.