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[popsofctown]

Weren't they planning on adding a host of different games once they got going?

They have a Catan game that was being playtested. I have no idea what happened to that. Plus, a couple of months ago, Dominion iOs was supposed to launch. Again, I have no idea what happened to that.

Did they shut down playcatan? I thought I remember some free catan pc app i used to play online a couple times, before Goko, I thought selling the expansions on that was already how the Catan people got their online moneys.

[Watno]

What Goko was developing was some kind of Catan MMO.

[Stealth Tomato]

Goko doesn't directly reveal when players purchase new expansion sets, but presumably people don't buy expansions and then immediately quit Goko without ever playing them.  So you can pretty much tell when a player buys an expansion by looking at when they first host a game with it.

I didn't bother to break down the game data to determine exactly which expansions were used in each game, but I've already been tracking whether Shelters or Estates were used.  So I can at least say when a player first hosts with Dark Ages cards, which is probably also when they first bought a DA expansion.  Unless people are way more or less likely to buy DA than any other expansion, this gives a decent proxy for Goko's overall expansion-based revenue:



As far as evaluating trends and predicting Goko's future, we really should throw out everything from the Aug 2012 "launch" through Isotropic's demise:



So that's where Goko's been going these last 8 months.  No real surprises here, except perhaps for the fact that Guilds (June) didn't bring in any new customers.  I like to think that the mysterious spike in late August was the release of Salvager's auto-Automatch.

Even more remarkable than the trend is simply how few paying customers Goko has brought in.  If every single new DA player is purchasing the full $40 complete expansion pack, then Goko has grossed about $150k in the past 8 months, and currently brings in about $350/day.  That's a pretty generous assumption, so I'd bet it's really more like $200/day and $100k in the past 8 months.

Might be useful to smooth the data by giving weekly/monthly stats rather than just fitting a line. It's too messy when you use daily.

[Warfreak2]

If you smooth it out, the linear regression will still be the same...

[DStu]

If you smooth it out, the linear regression will still be the same...

only if you smooth linearly...

[popsofctown]

What Goko was developing was some kind of Catan MMO.

Those words, can they be used together in a sentence, in that way?

[SCSN]

What Goko was developing was some kind of Catan MMO.

Those words, can they be used together in a sentence, in that way?

Can't they?

"Goko was developing some kind of Catan MMO" is more succinct, but it's also less precise. "What Goko was developing was..." implies that there was a previous mention of Goko developing something, the exact nature of which was either withheld or incorrectly stated and is now, at last, being revealed or corrected by the noun phrase that follows.

[Warfreak2]

Maybe it was "catan mmo" that was contentious... or "goko developing".

[popsofctown]

What Goko was developing was some kind of Catan MMO.

Those words, can they be used together in a sentence, in that way?

Can't they?

"Goko was developing some kind of Catan MMO" is more succinct, but it's also less precise. "What Goko was developing was..." implies that there was a previous mention of Goko developing something, the exact nature of which was either withheld or incorrectly stated and is now, at last, being revealed or corrected by the noun phrase that follows.

That was a quote from Spongebob.  It is meant to describe disbelief, not grammatical disapproval.

[SCSN]

lol, fair enough.