I also disagree with him on a couple of his points regarding sudgy:
I disagree on the panicking thing. I think town often gets bogged down in defending themselves, while scum is often on the lookout for an alternate lynch. Any lynch which isn't a scum-mate is good for scum, while town doesn't particularly want to deflect onto another townie. If there were another wagon out there, I would expect sudgy to be on it, because they have a higher chance of being scum. But no one's really found a compelling case outside of sudgy (by which I mean one that's caught on) to call sudgy scum for his inability to do so seems wrong. It's not like he hasn't been voting or giving reads, he's just not finding a compelling case.
This is what I was referring to, Theorel. You're saying that town is more likely to focus on themselves, while scum is trying to find another player who's more scummy than them. I just disagree, and my experiences as town under the gun have been aligned entirely with the second experience.
As scum, you want to convince other people that you're not scum. That's it. Anywhere else is good, (well, not your teammate, but you probably will take your chances that the lynch doesn't land on your teammate.)
As town, you want to convince other people that you're not scum, yeah. But you also need to find the correct alternate lynch. This is because if the lynch moves off you, and onto another town member, that's
worse than you just being mislynched. A town member is dead in both cases, but in the alternate-town lynch, you, a townperson who many people suspect, are still left alive!
Sudgy focused too much on the getting the wagon off him part and not enough on the finding scum part. Which is what we would expect, since he was the Serial Killer.
If you disagree with me that scum are more likely to focus on themselves rather than alternate lynches, that's fine, but my experience really indicates otherwise. Both with my own behavior and with Sudgy's behavior from LOTR2. That's why I moved over when I did. I kind of do think that Sudgy was a little bit right in that we would have been suspicious of him even if he were town.. but his reactions are ultimately what sold me on him being scum.