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Author Topic: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 7)  (Read 267324 times)

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TheMunch

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #850 on: January 13, 2013, 11:59:19 am »

guys, let's be honest here. I am not going to read those ridiculously long posts. They are hard enough to read day 2 or 3 or 4 when there is actual context and depth to them. But this early in the game when they are cases based off thin air and fluff and then responses to the fluff with fluff and then responses to those responses with more fluff... There just isn't going to be anything there that is going to interest me. I appreciate the effort (and especially the time that is put into them, I know that it can take a good long while...), but I do not think it is going to get us any closer to finding scum. All it is going to do is make day 1 really hard to read and make getting reads out of it for later days even harder.

Am I the only one that feels this way?

In that case I'm a bit stuck because I'm not sure what else to do. What's the pro-Town thing for us to do now?

I agree with this completely. It's probably why I haven't posted as much as I should. I could post big fluffy posts but it doesn't seem worth it. Yuma's latest post about mini-wagons seems to be the way to go about it. voting history is real, solid evidence. So is things like what happened a the beginning with the eevee-dsell station-town thing. Nothing like that has happened since. I plan on posting much more today.

With all this talk of big posts and huge amounts of discussion, all I can think of is casino where we got to 50 pages on the first day and then were never really used that information.  Obv I was scum in that game, but I dont think I would have used that info too much as town either.  The only real things we actually got were the wagons, which we already have here.  I'm down for lynching either Cuzz or Jimm at this point and moving on to the next day.
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liopoil

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #851 on: January 13, 2013, 12:25:31 pm »

Same. Vote:

cuzz or jimmmm? I'll go figure out which one I'd rather lynch.
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mcmcsalot

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #852 on: January 13, 2013, 12:56:18 pm »

Jim there is a significant difference between me picking apart your case on shraeye and you picking apart shraeye's case on cuzz. The difference is me picking apart your case on shraeye was because I believe you to be scum and it is not in response to anything you said to me. You picking apart shraeye's case on cuzz is your defense for shraeye making a case against you. I'm not telling you not to scumhunt I'm saying if you are town you should be able to defend yourself by picking apart the case made against you not by making a case on the person making the case against you.

I didn't just gloss over those posts, they were very long with many quote layers and I couldn't figure out how to quote from them directly, that is the reason for me simply referencing the posts.

Lastly, post 841 is what I expected to see in place of posts 832, this is a solid defense of yourself. Had these two post reversed in order my vote would not be on you right now, but as it is I still find you scummy for what I have said and think you have made a solid defense due to all D1 cases being defensible in some way or another. My issue is this defense has come too late. The way you have pushed cases  and defended yourself thus far I find a scummy way to go about things.
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Glooble

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #853 on: January 13, 2013, 01:14:47 pm »

In that case I'm a bit stuck because I'm not sure what else to do. What's the pro-Town thing for us to do now?

I am not sure if this is the right thing to do, but it was I am going to do. Look at the mini-wagons that have formed thus far (because it is something concrete that can't be manipulated, and then go from there)...

So we have had wagons on Eevee (kinda two on him thus far), Jimmm and Glooble and Cuzz

Glooble: ashersky, Eevee, yuma, Jimmmmm, Cuzz

Cuzz: Galzria, TheMunch, shraeye, Eevee, Robz888

Jimmmmm: Glooble, liopoil, Shraeye, raerae, yuma, mcmc

Eevee: TheMunch, Cuzz, Jimmmm, theorel, Robz888, ashersky

I hope this is accurate. I took vote counts to find miniwagons and then checked for other votes... Note that the above is not necessarily the order in which the votes occurred.

So here we have:

People on 0 mini-wagons: Dsell
People on 1 mini-wagon: Eevee, Raerae, mcmc, theorel, Galzria, liopoil
People on 2 mini-wagons: ashersky, Robz, yuma, shraeye, Cuzz, Jimmmm, TheMunch, Glooble

Hmmm. So this didn't bring about as much as I had hoped and I can't really analyze it much more at the moment. I gotta run, but will be back after noon my time. If anyone else wants to take a stab at it go right ahead.

Your math is a little off - jimmm is the only wagon I've been on. I voted for ashersky for a while, but my case was weak and no one joined it.
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jotheonah

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #854 on: January 13, 2013, 02:54:19 pm »


"You know," Keiko O'Brien says to her husband over dinner, "With all this worry about Maquis, the Mirror Universe, and Changelings, it's sort of surprising the captain's not more concerned about crewmen being possessed by Pah-Wraiths."

"Maybe best we don't mention it to him," Miles says. "He's got me working enough overtime as it is."

Vote Count 1.13

Cuzz (3): Galzria, TheMunch, shraeye
raerae (1): ashersky
Jimmmmm (2): raerae, mcmcsalot
shraeye (1): theorel
Glooble(2):  Eevee, yuma
mcmcsalot(1): Robz888

Not Voting (5): Dsell, Glooble, Jimmmmm, Cuzz, liopoil

With 15 alive, it takes 8 to lynch

Deadline is January 18 at 7:10 p.m., forum time.
« Last Edit: January 13, 2013, 03:27:10 pm by jotheonah »
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liopoil

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #855 on: January 13, 2013, 03:03:24 pm »

raerae and mcmc are two people.
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yuma

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #856 on: January 13, 2013, 03:10:12 pm »

guys, let's be honest here. I am not going to read those ridiculously long posts. They are hard enough to read day 2 or 3 or 4 when there is actual context and depth to them. But this early in the game when they are cases based off thin air and fluff and then responses to the fluff with fluff and then responses to those responses with more fluff... There just isn't going to be anything there that is going to interest me. I appreciate the effort (and especially the time that is put into them, I know that it can take a good long while...), but I do not think it is going to get us any closer to finding scum. All it is going to do is make day 1 really hard to read and make getting reads out of it for later days even harder.

Am I the only one that feels this way?

In that case I'm a bit stuck because I'm not sure what else to do. What's the pro-Town thing for us to do now?

I agree with this completely. It's probably why I haven't posted as much as I should. I could post big fluffy posts but it doesn't seem worth it. Yuma's latest post about mini-wagons seems to be the way to go about it. voting history is real, solid evidence. So is things like what happened a the beginning with the eevee-dsell station-town thing. Nothing like that has happened since. I plan on posting much more today.

I thought it would be, but I can't really gleam anything super useful out of it. Part of that is because I don't know if the mini-wagons were formed on scum or on town. Hmmm, there is a question I can ask, because the wagonie (the person being voted by the wagoners) knows their alignment and have more information than I do... as such I would like all of Eevee, Cuzz, Jimmm and Glooble to discuss their individual wagons and tell us who out of the who voted for them are the most likely to be town and the most likely to be scum.
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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #857 on: January 13, 2013, 03:38:11 pm »

I thought it would be, but I can't really gleam anything super useful out of it. Part of that is because I don't know if the mini-wagons were formed on scum or on town. Hmmm, there is a question I can ask, because the wagonie (the person being voted by the wagoners) knows their alignment and have more information than I do... as such I would like all of Eevee, Cuzz, Jimmm and Glooble to discuss their individual wagons and tell us who out of the who voted for them are the most likely to be town and the most likely to be scum.

I lean strongly toward Robz being town. The perception of my feelings toward Eevee got blown a bit out of proportion, so I lean toward a scumread on Eevee, but am not certain by any means. Galz seems townish, but isn't blowing me away with townvibes as he sometimes does as town.

shraeye and Munch seem pretty scummy. I especially did not like Munch's "let's just lynch Jimmmmm or Cuzz and get it over with" comment. Jimmmmm and I have 3 and 2 votes on us respectively at the moment. Neither constitutes any kind of consensus (Glooble also still has 2 votes on him fwiw). I agree we don't want to spin our wheels too much, but at least try to make a case that you think someone is scum.
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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #858 on: January 13, 2013, 04:02:31 pm »

Anybody up for a post count?  I'd say do it and lynch the biggest undercontributor.  My best guess is Dsell, looking at the list.

That, or we choose one of {shraeye, cuzz, eevee, Jimmmmm} and go for it.
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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #859 on: January 13, 2013, 04:05:02 pm »

Anybody up for a post count?  I'd say do it and lynch the biggest undercontributor.  My best guess is Dsell, looking at the list.

That, or we choose one of {shraeye, cuzz, eevee, Jimmmmm} and go for it.

There is no way I will be voting for Dsell today.
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liopoil

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #860 on: January 13, 2013, 04:05:30 pm »

But Dsell still has a very good town case... while this shouldn't absolve him from suspicion, I think we have better options, such as the four you mentioned. I won't vote for Dsell today either.
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ashersky

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #861 on: January 13, 2013, 04:06:58 pm »

Anybody up for a post count?  I'd say do it and lynch the biggest undercontributor.  My best guess is Dsell, looking at the list.

That, or we choose one of {shraeye, cuzz, eevee, Jimmmmm} and go for it.

There is no way I will be voting for Dsell today.

But Dsell still has a very good town case... while this shouldn't absolve him from suspicion, I think we have better options, such as the four you mentioned. I won't vote for Dsell today either.

I think it's important to point out that he tossed out a post early in the game, got HUGE towncred for it, then stopped contributing.  That negates any towncred he earned for "calling out" Eevee.
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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #862 on: January 13, 2013, 04:11:39 pm »

Anybody up for a post count?  I'd say do it and lynch the biggest undercontributor.  My best guess is Dsell, looking at the list.

That, or we choose one of {shraeye, cuzz, eevee, Jimmmmm} and go for it.

There is no way I will be voting for Dsell today.

But Dsell still has a very good town case... while this shouldn't absolve him from suspicion, I think we have better options, such as the four you mentioned. I won't vote for Dsell today either.

I think it's important to point out that he tossed out a post early in the game, got HUGE towncred for it, then stopped contributing.  That negates any towncred he earned for "calling out" Eevee.

It absolutely does not negate the towncred. It's not standard towncred, like "oh he did something pro-town" or "he helped us lynch scum." It's the kind where it's overwhelming likely that he is town for him to have done what he did. Being quiet afterwards in no way negates that.
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liopoil

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #863 on: January 13, 2013, 04:13:43 pm »

Yes, like I said it doesn't make him auto-town, but the thing is it is highly improbable that scum could have written that post. I don't think not-contributing nearly negates this.
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ashersky

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #864 on: January 13, 2013, 04:17:43 pm »

Anybody up for a post count?  I'd say do it and lynch the biggest undercontributor.  My best guess is Dsell, looking at the list.

That, or we choose one of {shraeye, cuzz, eevee, Jimmmmm} and go for it.

There is no way I will be voting for Dsell today.

But Dsell still has a very good town case... while this shouldn't absolve him from suspicion, I think we have better options, such as the four you mentioned. I won't vote for Dsell today either.

I think it's important to point out that he tossed out a post early in the game, got HUGE towncred for it, then stopped contributing.  That negates any towncred he earned for "calling out" Eevee.

It absolutely does not negate the towncred. It's not standard towncred, like "oh he did something pro-town" or "he helped us lynch scum." It's the kind where it's overwhelming likely that he is town for him to have done what he did. Being quiet afterwards in no way negates that.

Look, I am not trying to argue that Dsell is scum.  I'm trying to argue that he's not helping the town by being silent.  This is the same thing we were saying about Glooble.  Now he's back and talking (a little).  Dsell got stamped "IC" by most of you and got a free ride all day.

I mean, how many people are complaining about not knowing what direction to go to end D1?  How many people have already had bad flashbacks to 50-page D1s with nothing to analyze?

I know what to do the next game I'm scum, though.  Do something to get outrageous towncred on the first or second page, then coast to victory.
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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #865 on: January 13, 2013, 04:18:21 pm »

Yes, like I said it doesn't make him auto-town, but the thing is it is highly improbable that scum could have written that post. I don't think not-contributing nearly negates this.

I could have done that post as scum.  Just saying.  So could Robz, Galz, Dsell, Eevee, Insom, liopoil, Cuzz, Archetype, etc. etc. etc.
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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #866 on: January 13, 2013, 04:21:27 pm »

Imagine a naive cop who gets a correct response about 85% of the time. He investigates Dsell and gets the result "town" (sorry, "station"). That's roughly how I feel about Dsell right now. Which on D1 makes him the worst possible lynch to me besides myself.
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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #867 on: January 13, 2013, 04:21:51 pm »

I think Cuzz is a reasonable alternative to the Jimmmm lynch, though I still prefer Jimmm right now.  I have scheduled a reread of Jimmm, Cuzz and mcmcsalot when I get time.

Dsell, if you are staunchly against Jimmm (and do answer yuma's question above, please), could you tell me what you think about Cuzz?

I looked for a more recent comment, but this is the last time shraeye mentioned anything about a reread that I saw.  (i.e. he still hasn't done it unless he just failed to mention it after several comments of his need to do so)

Where do dsell and theorel look at things closer? Simply because they support you they have a better "understanding" of the whole case? I think shraeye has provided much support for how you have been acting scummy all game and points to other people who have made cases against you as well. This looks like a much closer look into you then simply understanding how you came to the conclusion you did.

Okay, so after reading mcmcsalot's post I thought, "man that read scummy".  But I know I'm on the Jimmmmm-side of the shraeye-Jimmmmm debate.  I was concerned that I was picking up a scum-read from it for no reason.  Then I reread it today, and this is the thing that I can't resolve.  I think this has also been playing into my scum-read of shraeye.  I mean he  (apparently in all seriousness) has stated "I don't understand why the Jimmm lynch isn't getting any traction."  But he stated over-and-over for three days (Jan 8-Jan 10) how he needed to schedule a reread of Jimmmmm.  But somehow he is certain that those opinions on Eevee were manufactured?  Even though players that have reread him don't agree...even though his case can't pick up traction (usually indicating it's a bad case), he keeps harping on the case.  Every case-building post on Cuzz included a "But Jimmmmm is scummier, so I'll vote for him instead".

Now mcmcsalot defends him by saying, "Jimmmmm is scummy for pointing out shraeye's terrible cases".  Obviously shraeye, the player that never has time to reread Jimmmmm has read him more in depth than DSell, the player who claimed he reread Jimmmmm with a "critical eye".

So, There are three possibilities I see for this mistake:
1. chainsaw defense.  This only works if shraeye/mcmcsalot are a scumteam.  Possible, but I'm not convinced...I'm also starting to tunnel shraeye (well at least, I'm starting to recognize that I'm tunneling him, I've preobably been doing it for about a day).  This means that chainsaw defense is the scum-tell that I'm detecting, even if not by name.  i.e. I think shraeye is scum, when I see someone defend him with bad arguments I'm going to assume they're scum also.  But that's only a strong argument if shraeye is scum.

2. mcmcsalot didn't realize that shraeye had frequently stated his need to reread Jimmmmm (and Cuzz btw) which is hilarious given they're the cases he's been pushing for the whole time he's stating the need to reread.  But mcmcsalot said he just reread shraeye, so that's actually not possible.

3. mcmcsalot decided first that Jimmmmm was scum, and allowed confirmation bias to talk for him instead of y'know actual facts.  Basically mcmcsalot thinks Jimmmm is scum, in order to perpetuate that idea he must dismiss the people defending him as lacking the depth of read, and defend the people accusing him as having the deep read.

Anyways, last time I tunneled someone this hard, it was O, and he was town.  So, I have to back off.  But that's easier said than done.  If I had a reasonable alternative scum-read to redirect attention towards, that would be help.  I'm in one of those "how does no one else see shraeye's behavior as scummy?" brain-warping situations.  The only thing I can do at this point is drop the case, because no one else thinks his behavior is scummy.  I can't help but note here though that shraeye has won EVERY GAME he's ever played as scum.  I definitely think you're all being blind to his scum-tactics.  BUT I must acknowledge that I've never played with him as scum, and I'm not accusing him based on his scum-tactics, I'm accusing him based on behavior that looks scummy to me, and am using the fact that he's won every game as scum to justify to myself why I might be seeing his behavior as scummy when no one else is.  Stupid paranoia...and so I'm going to do what I originally intended to do, even though I feel like his continual pushing of Jimmmmm and Cuzz without rereading is adding fuel to the fire of him being so obviously scummy.  unvote.  I hate my brain.
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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #868 on: January 13, 2013, 04:23:06 pm »

Imagine a naive cop who gets a correct response about 85% of the time. He investigates Dsell and gets the result "town" (sorry, "station"). That's roughly how I feel about Dsell right now. Which on D1 makes him the worst possible lynch to me besides myself.

You realize that deciding to give someone a pass for an entire day due to one post is not helpful?

/inbefore "but he's posted more than once!" -- Yes, but all anyone seems to say about Dsell is how town he is for calling out Eevee on station vs. town.  I mean, come on people.  Yeah, that was sort of towny.  Move on.
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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #869 on: January 13, 2013, 04:29:32 pm »

Imagine a naive cop who gets a correct response about 85% of the time. He investigates Dsell and gets the result "town" (sorry, "station"). That's roughly how I feel about Dsell right now. Which on D1 makes him the worst possible lynch to me besides myself.

You realize that deciding to give someone a pass for an entire day due to one post is not helpful?

/inbefore "but he's posted more than once!" -- Yes, but all anyone seems to say about Dsell is how town he is for calling out Eevee on station vs. town.  I mean, come on people.  Yeah, that was sort of towny.  Move on.

Did you completely miss that exchange at the beginning of the day?
I am not saying Dsell is probably town for "calling Eevee out for not saying 'station'"

I am saying this post:

Wait wait wait. Nobody claim anything just yet.

I'm not sure if it's a mod oversight, and I'm not sure if I'm breaking the game.

But I am not town-aligned. I am the equivalent of town-aligned, but there is a different word for the "town" faction.

Eevee claimed town in his first post.

This may only work once (or not at all if Joth snuffs us out), but I'd like Eevee to claim his specific alignment.

almost certainly comes from someone who noticed that his role pm said "station aligned" and wanted to set a trap for Eevee. The mental gynmastics Dsell would have had to go through to make this post to gain towncred if he were scum would be incredibly impressive to say the least. It seems like you're completely missing this aspect.

I don't know how much more I need to discuss this. I'm not voting for Dsell today. End of story.

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #870 on: January 13, 2013, 04:32:34 pm »

I looked for a more recent comment, but this is the last time shraeye mentioned anything about a reread that I saw.  (i.e. he still hasn't done it unless he just failed to mention it after several comments of his need to do so)
Nope, haven't had time to reread yet.  Working on it now.

I mean he  (apparently in all seriousness) has stated "I don't understand why the Jimmm lynch isn't getting any traction."  But he stated over-and-over for three days (Jan 8-Jan 10) how he needed to schedule a reread of Jimmmmm.  But somehow he is certain that those opinions on Eevee were manufactured?
Jimmm's opinions on Eevee definitely read manufactured to me the first time I saw them.  It sounds a bit like you're saying "how can shraeye think these are manufactured opinions if he hasn't read Jimmm".  Also, I recall you having issues with me simultaneously agreeing that Jimmm wasn't trying to trick people over Eevee's contradiction, and that his opinions are manufactured.  Let me clarify.  I'm saying that Jimmm genuinely found a contradiction, and the manufactured part is that he's painting that contradiction as scummy.  Then he said later on that it was not as scummy at second look, and then later he dropped it entirely.  At least that's the progression I remember.  I'm not saying that the contradiction's existence was manufactured, I'm saying that Jimmm's scummy interpretation of it was manufactured.
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raerae

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #871 on: January 13, 2013, 04:37:20 pm »

I don't know how much more I need to discuss this. I'm not voting for Dsell today. End of story.

Ok, fabulous, you won't vote for Dsell.  Who will you vote for?  I admittedly haven't done a reread of you but so far as I can remember you've only barked at shraeye for making a case on you and then had words with mcmc over his support of that case (might be wrong on the specifics there but definitely remember you and mcmc having some interaction).  I don't remember you making any cases against anybody.
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ashersky

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #872 on: January 13, 2013, 04:37:35 pm »

Did you completely miss that exchange at the beginning of the day?
I am not saying Dsell is probably town for "calling Eevee out for not saying 'station'"

I am saying this post:

Wait wait wait. Nobody claim anything just yet.

I'm not sure if it's a mod oversight, and I'm not sure if I'm breaking the game.

But I am not town-aligned. I am the equivalent of town-aligned, but there is a different word for the "town" faction.

Eevee claimed town in his first post.

This may only work once (or not at all if Joth snuffs us out), but I'd like Eevee to claim his specific alignment.

almost certainly comes from someone who noticed that his role pm said "station aligned" and wanted to set a trap for Eevee. The mental gynmastics Dsell would have had to go through to make this post to gain towncred if he were scum would be incredibly impressive to say the least. It seems like you're completely missing this aspect.

I don't know how much more I need to discuss this. I'm not voting for Dsell today. End of story.

That "trap" is exactly what I am talking about.  It was a "trap" laid to call out Eevee because Eevee said "town" and not "station."  That's what I meant by:

...is how town he is for calling out Eevee on station vs. town...

Mental gymnastics, quick thinking, whatever.  It was one thing, DAYS ago.  Tell me something pro-town he's done since then.  Guess what's not pro-town: gaining a billion points of towncred from you all and coasting.  And you continue to promise NOT to vote for him.

So, if you all have made him an IC, and he is in fact town, he's an easy NK target (if scum is looking to reduce the number of station-aligned folks to make hunting the other faction/rest of town easier or if they think he's a PR).  ICs are amazingly helpful when they are around to lead the town.  ICs are not helpful when they are absent.

Guess what, though.  Dsell is NOT an IC.  So he's not unlynchable.  Man...Jimmmmm is Hated and Dsell is an IC?  What is this, FakeRMM?  People, quit assigning roles and modifiers to people when we don't have any claims/confirmation.
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raerae

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #873 on: January 13, 2013, 04:41:21 pm »

Anybody up for a post count?  I'd say do it and lynch the biggest undercontributor.  My best guess is Dsell, looking at the list.

That, or we choose one of {shraeye, cuzz, eevee, Jimmmmm} and go for it.

Why these four when your vote is still on me?  Or why is your vote still on me when you've picked these four as the best lynch targets today?  Same question, pick your favorite phrasing.
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ashersky

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Re: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #874 on: January 13, 2013, 04:43:21 pm »

Anybody up for a post count?  I'd say do it and lynch the biggest undercontributor.  My best guess is Dsell, looking at the list.

That, or we choose one of {shraeye, cuzz, eevee, Jimmmmm} and go for it.

Why these four when your vote is still on me?  Or why is your vote still on me when you've picked these four as the best lynch targets today?  Same question, pick your favorite phrasing.

I think you are probably scum.  I do NOT think the rest of town will support me in lynching you today.

Those four have had the most discussion on them, so I figure if we're getting anywhere, it's with those four.  I think lynching an undercontributor is probably more useful, though.
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