So here's where I stand:
Eevee vs Robz:
Based on last nights interactions, I honestly don't know. I don't think I want to see either of them lynched, however I believe one is scum. That person I'm going to name Robz, and my reason is twofold:
First, Eevee reads FAR more genuine to me. Eevee was trying to look analytically at things while Robz was spouting off AtE. I hate AtE arguments. Cuzz proved just how effective scum can use them in M-XVI to avoid a lynch. Furthermore, I find Robz' town read on Joth INCREDIBLY manufactured. Yes, I read his "evidence" to Insomniac about it - but there wasn't anything there. Town!Robz is better than that.
Second, I believe very, very strongly in the buddy rule. Which rule is that?
One of my most favorite scum hunting tools is looking to see who is buddy-buddy, and finding the ONE scum between them. It's been a solid device since as far back as M-II.
Examples:
Galzria-Joth - MII
Robz-Volt - MII
O-Galz - MIV
Theorel-All - MV
Theorel-eHunt - MVI (this is the first instance that I used the tool, to successfully nail Theorel as scum D2 - although he wasn't killed until later)
CF-Theorel - MVIII (CF was tricky, but this was the case I brought against him before the infamous "0% chance of flipping town" slip)
Why would this work here for Scum!Robz? Because if he can use his unyielding town read on an actual townie to create reciprocal feelings, then he can't be lynched. In this case, Joth is the town between the two, and Robz needs Joth to be unwilling to consider him as an option.
But like I said, I wouldn't swear 100% by this read, so I don't want to lynch Robz. I DO want him to be the hammer vote however.
This brings me back to Joth/Eevee/Munch
Eevee I've already expressed above.
Joth I think is town in part based on Robz' play, and in part based on posts like:
You know the last time I made Galzria obv town in my eyes nd eliminated him from consideration? M-II. Never again.
This is NOTHING like M-II Joth.
It could be a lot like it if you" and Robz are the scum team. That's my nightmare scenario.
Scum Joth doesn't fake that level of concern. And while I might be wrong, I've got a DAMN good track record on reading Joth -when he's scum- (not so much when town
)
This brings me to Munch. Who was on NEITHER wagon yesterday, and expressed no interest to JOIN either wagon. He was absent much of the time leading up to the deadline so I can't even say that he showed a strong stance on either of those lynches.
One of the things I'm really frustrated with is mcmc's refusal to hammer Cuzz. If mcmc had -honestly- thought Cuzz was scum (and I believe that he did), then he had to have seen that there were only four outcomes:
Mcmc hammers scum Cuzz - Both die, 1 town 1 scum.
Mcmc doesn't hammer scum Cuzz but deadlines - Both die, 1 scum 1 town
SAME result.
Mcmc hammers town Cuzz - Cuzz dies, 1 town
Mcmc doesn't hammer town Cuzz but deadlines - Both die, 2 town
This is why I personally was so thrown off by mcmc. His refusal to be willing to hammer Cuzz boggled me.
But the fact remains that a hammer on either one would've resulted in only 1 town dying, not two. Insomniac didn't start with the "Voting/Unvoting is admission of guilt" until 30 minutes prior to the deadline. Up until that point we were still strongly working to get an actual lynch through.
And this is where Munch reads scummy to me. Because he was unwilling to take a stand on either, instead actively choosing to let them deadline together.
I would like to see Munch lynched, and Robz hammer, but I wish to hear more from everybody first.