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Author Topic: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Mafia Wins Flawlessly)  (Read 78572 times)

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Destierro

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #125 on: December 19, 2012, 02:07:03 pm »

Look at my post earlier. If nobody claims and we lynch town, scum is put in a position where they can fakeclaim.

Yes, this is true. One needs to claim, the other stay silent -by days end-.

Even if we hit scum, and that Mason gets vengkilled, the other Mason is still an IC after he claims D2. Scum cannot counterclaim him, because a 1-1 trade at that point is strictly a scum loss.

Yeah, this exactly.

@Jimmm, maybe they could, but AT LEAST one needs to claim.
I don't see any benifit to claiming unless the mason is about to get lynched. Since there are no night kills besides Vengkill, it would be better to have them stay in the dark to avoid getting vengkilled.
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Eevee

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #126 on: December 19, 2012, 02:07:44 pm »

I basically agree with robz and hinted at that earlier.
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Galzria

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #127 on: December 19, 2012, 02:08:42 pm »

Well, he can sit here and Mason hunt all he wants, or he can do something useful like scum hunt.
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Quote from: Voltgloss
Derphammering is when quickhammers go derp.

Faust has also been incredibly stubborn this game. In other news, it's hot in the summer, and water falls from the sky when it rains.


Mafia Record:
TOWN Wins: M3, M5, M6, M11, M17, M28, M32, M105, M108, M114, M118, M120, M122, DM1, DoM1, OZ2, RM45, RM47, RM48, RM49, RM55
TOWN Losses: M4, M7, M8, M9, M13, M14, M18, M31, M110, M111, M113, M117, M125, RM3, RM4, RM54
SCUM Wins: M2, M19, M23, M100, DM3, RM1, RM2, RM48, RM50
SCUM Losses: M15 (SK), M102 (Tr), OZ1, RM55

Total Wins: 30
Total Losses: 20

Dsell

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #128 on: December 19, 2012, 02:10:56 pm »

Look at my post earlier. If nobody claims and we lynch town, scum is put in a position where they can fakeclaim.

Yes, this is true. One needs to claim, the other stay silent -by days end-.

Even if we hit scum, and that Mason gets vengkilled, the other Mason is still an IC after he claims D2. Scum cannot counterclaim him, because a 1-1 trade at that point is strictly a scum loss.

Yeah, this exactly.

@Jimmm, maybe they could, but AT LEAST one needs to claim.
I don't see any benifit to claiming unless the mason is about to get lynched. Since there are no night kills besides Vengkill, it would be better to have them stay in the dark to avoid getting vengkilled.

Because if no masons claim today and we lynch a townie, then the mafia may claim masons tomorrow and we will be forced to choose between the real masons and the mafia, and that is a bad spot to be in. If we pick right, we win, if we pick wrong, we lose.
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Jimmmmm

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #129 on: December 19, 2012, 02:13:41 pm »

On the other hand, if we lynch a Townie first up, still having a 50% chance of winning isn't terrible.
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Dsell

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #130 on: December 19, 2012, 02:16:17 pm »

That may be true, but I'd still rather have 1 IC rather than no ICs.

If we have 1 IC, 3 mafia, and 1 other townie (assuming you are town), you have a better than 50% chance of hitting scum.
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Dsell

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #131 on: December 19, 2012, 02:17:36 pm »

That may be true, but I'd still rather have 1 IC rather than no ICs.

If we have 1 IC, 3 mafia, and 1 other townie (assuming you are town), you have a better than 50% chance of hitting scum.

No, 2 ICs, sorry. Or 1 IC and 2 townies. This is the day after a townie lynch, assuming a mason claimed day 1.
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Jimmmmm

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #132 on: December 19, 2012, 02:18:39 pm »

Well true, but if we're going by percentages, hitting scum then only takes us back to the 50%.
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Robz888

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #133 on: December 19, 2012, 02:19:14 pm »

Well, he can sit here and Mason hunt all he wants, or he can do something useful like scum hunt.

I only want to know the thing the scum probably already know!
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Dsell

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #134 on: December 19, 2012, 02:20:57 pm »

Robz, I really doubt the mafia has already pieced together both masons. There is so much WIFOM with that.

That said, I guessed it's not SO bad if they both claim now, but I think I'd rather see some organic wagon growth before they step in to give IC thoughts.
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Galzria

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #135 on: December 19, 2012, 02:21:36 pm »

Well, he can sit here and Mason hunt all he wants, or he can do something useful like scum hunt.

I only want to know the thing the scum probably already know!

And by the end of the day you'll know one. With the Masons deciding which is best to step forward, and at what time.
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Quote from: Voltgloss
Derphammering is when quickhammers go derp.

Faust has also been incredibly stubborn this game. In other news, it's hot in the summer, and water falls from the sky when it rains.


Mafia Record:
TOWN Wins: M3, M5, M6, M11, M17, M28, M32, M105, M108, M114, M118, M120, M122, DM1, DoM1, OZ2, RM45, RM47, RM48, RM49, RM55
TOWN Losses: M4, M7, M8, M9, M13, M14, M18, M31, M110, M111, M113, M117, M125, RM3, RM4, RM54
SCUM Wins: M2, M19, M23, M100, DM3, RM1, RM2, RM48, RM50
SCUM Losses: M15 (SK), M102 (Tr), OZ1, RM55

Total Wins: 30
Total Losses: 20

Robz888

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #136 on: December 19, 2012, 02:22:48 pm »

Robz, I really doubt the mafia has already pieced together both masons. There is so much WIFOM with that.

That said, I guessed it's not SO bad if they both claim now, but I think I'd rather see some organic wagon growth before they step in to give IC thoughts.

Why is there WIFOM? If the Masons are creating WIFOM by not acting like Masons, they will be harder to believe tomorrow. If they aren't creating WIFOM, the scum probably have it narrowed down pretty well.
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Robz888

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #137 on: December 19, 2012, 02:23:12 pm »

Well, he can sit here and Mason hunt all he wants, or he can do something useful like scum hunt.

I only want to know the thing the scum probably already know!

And by the end of the day you'll know one. With the Masons deciding which is best to step forward, and at what time.

OK.
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Dsell

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #138 on: December 19, 2012, 02:24:47 pm »

It's not a matter of being hard to believe! If one or more masons come forward before the end of the day, they'll be ICs unless counterclaimed. If they're counterclaimed then voila! we have the scum team.
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Galzria

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #139 on: December 19, 2012, 02:25:14 pm »

Robz, I really doubt the mafia has already pieced together both masons. There is so much WIFOM with that.

That said, I guessed it's not SO bad if they both claim now, but I think I'd rather see some organic wagon growth before they step in to give IC thoughts.

Why is there WIFOM? If the Masons are creating WIFOM by not acting like Masons, they will be harder to believe tomorrow. If they aren't creating WIFOM, the scum probably have it narrowed down pretty well.

How will they be "harder to believe"? There will be a 0% chance of them being scum, thus a 100% chance that they are as claimed when they claim.
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Quote from: Voltgloss
Derphammering is when quickhammers go derp.

Faust has also been incredibly stubborn this game. In other news, it's hot in the summer, and water falls from the sky when it rains.


Mafia Record:
TOWN Wins: M3, M5, M6, M11, M17, M28, M32, M105, M108, M114, M118, M120, M122, DM1, DoM1, OZ2, RM45, RM47, RM48, RM49, RM55
TOWN Losses: M4, M7, M8, M9, M13, M14, M18, M31, M110, M111, M113, M117, M125, RM3, RM4, RM54
SCUM Wins: M2, M19, M23, M100, DM3, RM1, RM2, RM48, RM50
SCUM Losses: M15 (SK), M102 (Tr), OZ1, RM55

Total Wins: 30
Total Losses: 20

Insomniac

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #140 on: December 19, 2012, 02:27:05 pm »

Anyways we should start doing some scum hunting instead of fishing for masons.
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"It is one of [Insomniacs] badges of pride that he will bus anyone, at any time, and he has done it over and over on day 1. I am completely serious, it is like the biggest part of his meta." - Dsell

Eevee

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #141 on: December 19, 2012, 02:27:11 pm »

To try to move the game into a more fruitful direction, Vote: Dsell. Closed my eyes for 15 seconds and thought about the players in here, he felt scummiest.
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Robz888

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #142 on: December 19, 2012, 02:29:28 pm »

Robz, I really doubt the mafia has already pieced together both masons. There is so much WIFOM with that.

That said, I guessed it's not SO bad if they both claim now, but I think I'd rather see some organic wagon growth before they step in to give IC thoughts.

Why is there WIFOM? If the Masons are creating WIFOM by not acting like Masons, they will be harder to believe tomorrow. If they aren't creating WIFOM, the scum probably have it narrowed down pretty well.

How will they be "harder to believe"? There will be a 0% chance of them being scum, thus a 100% chance that they are as claimed when they claim.

Today, yes. As long as they claim today. I have no problem with that.
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Galzria

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #143 on: December 19, 2012, 02:32:34 pm »

Robz, I really doubt the mafia has already pieced together both masons. There is so much WIFOM with that.

That said, I guessed it's not SO bad if they both claim now, but I think I'd rather see some organic wagon growth before they step in to give IC thoughts.

Why is there WIFOM? If the Masons are creating WIFOM by not acting like Masons, they will be harder to believe tomorrow. If they aren't creating WIFOM, the scum probably have it narrowed down pretty well.

How will they be "harder to believe"? There will be a 0% chance of them being scum, thus a 100% chance that they are as claimed when they claim.

Today, yes. As long as they claim today. I have no problem with that.

Yes. One will claim by the end of the day, making both IC's tomorrow no matter what happens.
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Quote from: Voltgloss
Derphammering is when quickhammers go derp.

Faust has also been incredibly stubborn this game. In other news, it's hot in the summer, and water falls from the sky when it rains.


Mafia Record:
TOWN Wins: M3, M5, M6, M11, M17, M28, M32, M105, M108, M114, M118, M120, M122, DM1, DoM1, OZ2, RM45, RM47, RM48, RM49, RM55
TOWN Losses: M4, M7, M8, M9, M13, M14, M18, M31, M110, M111, M113, M117, M125, RM3, RM4, RM54
SCUM Wins: M2, M19, M23, M100, DM3, RM1, RM2, RM48, RM50
SCUM Losses: M15 (SK), M102 (Tr), OZ1, RM55

Total Wins: 30
Total Losses: 20

Dsell

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #144 on: December 19, 2012, 02:32:55 pm »

Seriously? I am being really, really pro-town here. If you got your way and no masons claimed, a D1 mislynch would mean you couldn't even trust your masons day 2.

I'm getting a townie vibe from Robz. He's not making the greatest arguments, but I don't really think that's a trait of scumRobz this early.
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Robz888

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #145 on: December 19, 2012, 02:33:45 pm »

Seriously? I am being really, really pro-town here. If you got your way and no masons claimed, a D1 mislynch would mean you couldn't even trust your masons day 2.

I'm getting a townie vibe from Robz. He's not making the greatest arguments, but I don't really think that's a trait of scumRobz this early.

Man I'm taking a beating lately.
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Dsell

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #146 on: December 19, 2012, 02:33:58 pm »

Seriously? I am being really, really pro-town here. If you got your way and no masons claimed, a D1 mislynch would mean you couldn't even trust your masons day 2.

I'm getting a townie vibe from Robz. He's not making the greatest arguments, but I don't really think that's a trait of scumRobz this early.

This is all addressed at Eevee, of course.
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Insomniac

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #147 on: December 19, 2012, 02:34:44 pm »

Seriously? I am being really, really pro-town here. If you got your way and no masons claimed, a D1 mislynch would mean you couldn't even trust your masons day 2.

I'm getting a townie vibe from Robz. He's not making the greatest arguments, but I don't really think that's a trait of scumRobz this early.

If they were scummy, but I am of course coming around to the claiming day 1. As long as its at the right time
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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #148 on: December 19, 2012, 02:35:12 pm »

Seriously? I am being really, really pro-town here. If you got your way and no masons claimed, a D1 mislynch would mean you couldn't even trust your masons day 2.

I'm getting a townie vibe from Robz. He's not making the greatest arguments, but I don't really think that's a trait of scumRobz this early.

Man I'm taking a beating lately.

I'm sorry! It's true though. As long as one of the masons claims today, they will be ICs tomorrow. There is no need for them to worry about not being believed.

Maybe you understood that and I was missing something, in which case sorry I guess.
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Eevee

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Re: Blitz Mafia VIII: Veterans and Friends (Old or New) D1 Underway
« Reply #149 on: December 19, 2012, 02:35:47 pm »

The question to me is whether to claim right away or to wait for an opportune moment (sometime d1).

Yay people read my posts yay.
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