I just played this game:
http://dominion.isotropic.org/gamelog/201209/28/game-20120928-131821-ea2d82ce.htmlSupply:
$6
Border Village
$5
City
Market
Mountebank
Tribute
$4
Horse Traders
Pirate Ship
Tournament
Young Witch
$3
Ambassador (bane)
$2
Pearl Diver
I got 5/2 and my opponent got 4/3. I figured I was a dead duck with both Ambassador and Tournament on the board. So I went for Mountebank, figuring that even if the Curses would come back to me, I had to gamble that the attack would slow him down enough for me to pick up an Ambassador before the second reshuffle and try to catch up.
I pulled out a victory, and it wasn't close really: 31-14. When the game was over he asked, "How did you get your deck to work?" And I said, "... I'm actually not quite sure!"
So, what do you think I (unknowingly) did right here? I think a huge part of it actually was the sheer luck that a Tournament game sometimes requires--I bought my first Province on T14, and got the first prize (Followers) on T15. I mean, that's really, really lucky especially considering he bought his first Province on T9 and had more Tournaments than me, both at the time and at the end of the game.
But anyway, I can only see four apparent reasons why I was able to win:
- my Mountebank gamble did seem to pay off--I think I did slow him down a fair amount
- he didn't play his Ambassador that well (on T3 he had Amb-CCCE and returned the Estate, buying a Silver. He should have focused on the Coppers, especially since I opened Mountebank)
- my really extremely lucky Tournament hit, which let me get Followers
- he got the second prize and went for... Diadem? He had some level-2 Cities and a couple Border Villages, but still. Seemed like a really weird decision to me, I would have gone Steed or maybe Princess at that point.
Do you see any other key factors though?