Anyone have any idea why we all just gained a copper? I probably should not expand it into anything, right?
eHalcyon, do you trust my claim now? Is there still something that needs clearing?
Your claim is no longer suspect.
I still hold all of you suspicious though.
Of all the day 1 ability claims, the ones that have
some evidence in their favour are:
Robz (confirmed townie, though I still find it really weird that a Goons would have no ability)
Ozle (confirmed townie, and backed by Grujah)
Axxle (confirmed townie, apparently had a secret vote at least on d1)
Eevee Expand (gained cards announced)
cayvie Transmute (gained Transmute, result from n2)
Galz Tournament (gained Gold, result from n2)
Glooble Tactician (Morgrim acknowledged his d1 no vote)
O Stash (didn't die from being shot, but Hider makes more sense!)
Ins' Tunnel (results from cayvie's shot and Galz' investigation of O)
The ones for which we have no evidence:
jo's UFT (impossible to test without vig)
Gruj's Diadem
ftl's Swindler
CF's Ironworks
Some of these are impossible to verify now, unless those roles come back in a future reshuffle.
Evidence makes O
most suspicious to me; I think he's the one to lynch. "Stash is Hider variant" makes the most sense to me. It comes from a combination of cayvie's shot, Galz's investigation and the clear link between the name "Stash" and a Hider ability. Bus driving is possible, but then Insomniac got that "hand: stash" PM. If O had gotten something similar, I would be more inclined to consider bus driving between the two of them. O also claims that Morgrim said Stash-BP was automatically used, which is unintuitive and doesn't fit with Bus Driver theory. To reconcile it, we would have cayvie shooting O but hitting Ins and (random scum) shooting Ins and hitting O (activating BP). Possible, but it's a lot to assume. Why would scum shoot Ins anyway? If Ins is town he has no reason to lie about being BP, and (role)cop device doesn't help them. So yeah, O is suspicious.
I have bad feelings about ftl though. "Random power" is a convenient cover-up for possible lies. With all the stuff happening in the open (cards getting "gained", Insomniac's hand showing "Stash", etc.) I find it odd that ftl's Swindler did nothing notable two nights in a row. If we lynch O and he flips town, ftl would be the next place to look I think. Swindler is the most likely of all the d1 roles to be a Bus Driver, and he was pretty quick on the draw to vote for O just because I mentioned some unspecified meta reason to suspect O.
How many scum/mafia are there?Given the relative dearth of death so far, it seems unlikely that there are multiple scum factions.