Galzria: I understand your first point.
I'm OK with your second point. People aren't saying that they believe him, but that it is foolish to lynch him immediately after the claim. I think your position is reasonable, but so is the other position. I fall in line with the latter -- I want to give jo a chance.
Your certainty makes absolutely no sense to me. Unless you have a special role that confers that knowledge on you, you simply don't have that knowledge on day 1. Perhaps jo just had some tell that you picked up on and everyone else missed. OK, sure. That is almost believable. If someone were to make such a tell, it's unlikely that they are town that accidentally appeared super scummy.
But what about Robz? You were certain, absolutely certain, that he is town. Why? How can you be sure he isn't Mafia that has played a good game so far (and that's actually questionable -- plenty of people found his behaviour suspect). Why are you assuming that your DAY ONE reads are absolutely correct?
I can believe that you have a strong read that jo is Mafia. I can believe that you have a strong read that Robz is not. I find it had to swallow that you know both of these things with certainty after a single day. "I don't waffle, I don't hedge" does not work for me. You might want to be presented with an "actual reason to be wrong", but I haven't seen satisfactory evidence from you that you're right.
You are becoming more and more suspicious to me, but my fear is that you might have a special role that gives you certainty, and you just don't want to reveal that role. I can't tell if you are serious that you are simply not waffling or hedging. It really doesn't seem like you -- you were a very smart player in Mafia II, and claiming certainty does not seem smart at all. Did you go after people with "certainty" in that game (even though it would have been an act)? Can find examples? How did you react when it turned out you were "wrong"?
I'm actually pretty satisfied with no lynch at this point, and not just because my head is one of the ones on the chopping block. I feel like there's a lot of important information out there, and a lot of interesting alliances and rivalries, but I can't make sense of them yet. Perhaps our investigators or doctors will learn something helpful. Perhaps the mafia kill will put things in perspective.
I absolutely disagree. There are clearly several camps forming up. It would be easy for Mafia to select their kill to manipulate the feelings of those who have yet to join a side. If one of these factions is Mafia-infested, they could kill one of their townie supporters. Or they could go after the other side and argue double bluff. Or they could leave all this factional fighting alone and kill someone who isn't active. No lynch leaves us nowhere, unless you expect we have several town power roles who will get lucky tonight and make a claim tomorrow.