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Author Topic: M141: the coalition (day 2)  (Read 4883 times)

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Cuzz

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #100 on: August 27, 2024, 10:31:04 am »

Something I just noticed about the setup: Mafia has day talk!

Add: Eevee

lol
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Cuzz

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #101 on: August 27, 2024, 10:31:44 am »

Add: joth
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Cuzz

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #102 on: August 27, 2024, 10:32:22 am »

vote counts in this phase are going to be a nightmare to keep track of
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Eevee

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #103 on: August 27, 2024, 10:34:57 am »

They are probably pushing each other to be added to the coalition, aren't they?

We need to have town steer the ship so everyone (just town!) be extra stubborn and suspicious of mafia trying to manipulate you. They can cook up all sort of schemes in the day chat.
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Eevee

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #104 on: August 27, 2024, 10:35:32 am »

vote counts in this phase are going to be a nightmare to keep track of
If you want to help the nice mod men out just post your full list any time you edit it.
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mcmcsalot

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #105 on: August 27, 2024, 10:35:42 am »

mcmc is out for me for now.

I think I like add: Robz and add: MiX for now mostly based on tone so far and I’ll look more closely at others later.

In this game too there is essentially no pro town excuse for lurking—if you’re town you want to be in the coalition and no one can add you if you’re not talking and giving others something to go off of, so I’m most likely gonna not have a sense of my full list until we’re a few days in and everyone has said a decent amount each.

Why are you out on me? Do you not like my idea for how to formulate the coalition, do you think my stated ability to read people is disingenuous, or just don't like that I am excluding you?

I think you seem a bit jumpy

Jumpy like quick to act? That's reasonable, I am excited to be playing again! Though not sure why thats scummy. Unless you mean jumpy like skittish which I don't think I have been.

But I do also wonder why you specifically don’t want to consider me—did you buy joth’s argument that being against a random coalition is scummy?

No, I don't think being against a random coalition is scummy. I think town is as likely to not want that as scum. I took you out only because I felt robz and joth would have a better time reading eevee than you. You are absolutely my 6th man up currently, as stated I think I can read you and eevee better than Awaclus, Scola, and Jack but worse than Robz, Joth, and Mix
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Wins: M19, M21, M23, M24, M26, M39, M91, M94, M102, M104, M107, M114, M115, M118, M120, M122, M123, M124, M133, M134
Losses: M20, M22, M25, M27, M30, M31, M35, M38, M40, M42, M46, M60, M90, M93, M96, M98, M100, M101, M106, M111, M113, M119, M128
Winrate: 46.5%(20/43) 40.6%(13/32), 63.6%(7/11)

mcmcsalot

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #106 on: August 27, 2024, 10:36:47 am »

vote counts in this phase are going to be a nightmare to keep track of
If you want to help the nice mod men out just post your full list any time you edit it.

Yea I think we should 100% do this for clarity purposes
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Wins: M19, M21, M23, M24, M26, M39, M91, M94, M102, M104, M107, M114, M115, M118, M120, M122, M123, M124, M133, M134
Losses: M20, M22, M25, M27, M30, M31, M35, M38, M40, M42, M46, M60, M90, M93, M96, M98, M100, M101, M106, M111, M113, M119, M128
Winrate: 46.5%(20/43) 40.6%(13/32), 63.6%(7/11)

Cuzz

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #107 on: August 27, 2024, 10:38:39 am »

vote counts in this phase are going to be a nightmare to keep track of
If you want to help the nice mod men out just post your full list any time you edit it.

I agree this seems like a friendly thing to do. I’ll get in the habit once I’ve got 5

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Cuzz

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #108 on: August 27, 2024, 10:40:09 am »

They are probably pushing each other to be added to the coalition, aren't they?

We need to have town steer the ship so everyone (just town!) be extra stubborn and suspicious of mafia trying to manipulate you. They can cook up all sort of schemes in the day chat.

Who is “they?” Just scum in general?
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mcmcsalot

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #109 on: August 27, 2024, 10:42:29 am »

They are probably pushing each other to be added to the coalition, aren't they?

We need to have town steer the ship so everyone (just town!) be extra stubborn and suspicious of mafia trying to manipulate you. They can cook up all sort of schemes in the day chat.

As joth said, wifom about if scum wants to be 2 in or 1 in 1 out. I guess once scum knows if they are 1 in 1 out or 2 in they will adjust their NK preferences accordingly. Probably they care most about the whole 1 in so we don't lose the game and then let the other one fall in where they will based on looking least scummy.
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Wins: M19, M21, M23, M24, M26, M39, M91, M94, M102, M104, M107, M114, M115, M118, M120, M122, M123, M124, M133, M134
Losses: M20, M22, M25, M27, M30, M31, M35, M38, M40, M42, M46, M60, M90, M93, M96, M98, M100, M101, M106, M111, M113, M119, M128
Winrate: 46.5%(20/43) 40.6%(13/32), 63.6%(7/11)

Eevee

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #110 on: August 27, 2024, 10:53:29 am »

They are probably pushing each other to be added to the coalition, aren't they?

We need to have town steer the ship so everyone (just town!) be extra stubborn and suspicious of mafia trying to manipulate you. They can cook up all sort of schemes in the day chat.

Who is “they?” Just scum in general?
Yup.

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jotheonah

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #111 on: August 27, 2024, 10:53:48 am »

They are probably pushing each other to be added to the coalition, aren't they?

We need to have town steer the ship so everyone (just town!) be extra stubborn and suspicious of mafia trying to manipulate you. They can cook up all sort of schemes in the day chat.

As joth said, wifom about if scum wants to be 2 in or 1 in 1 out. I guess once scum knows if they are 1 in 1 out or 2 in they will adjust their NK preferences accordingly. Probably they care most about the whole 1 in so we don't lose the game and then let the other one fall in where they will based on looking least scummy.

But that's like WIFOM within WIFOM because whether they NK in or out of the group also sends a message about where they fall, but it's also a message they know we're reading... it makes my head hurt.

That's partly why I'm not too bothered about speculating about this out loud. I guarantee scum is having these conversations, so we may as well have them out in the open here so that everyone is equally aware of the game. Also, it's something to talk about.
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Cuzz

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #112 on: August 27, 2024, 10:54:26 am »

mcmc is out for me for now.

I think I like add: Robz and add: MiX for now mostly based on tone so far and I’ll look more closely at others later.

In this game too there is essentially no pro town excuse for lurking—if you’re town you want to be in the coalition and no one can add you if you’re not talking and giving others something to go off of, so I’m most likely gonna not have a sense of my full list until we’re a few days in and everyone has said a decent amount each.

Why are you out on me? Do you not like my idea for how to formulate the coalition, do you think my stated ability to read people is disingenuous, or just don't like that I am excluding you?

I think you seem a bit jumpy

Jumpy like quick to act? That's reasonable, I am excited to be playing again! Though not sure why thats scummy. Unless you mean jumpy like skittish which I don't think I have been.

But I do also wonder why you specifically don’t want to consider me—did you buy joth’s argument that being against a random coalition is scummy?

No, I don't think being against a random coalition is scummy. I think town is as likely to not want that as scum. I took you out only because I felt robz and joth would have a better time reading eevee than you. You are absolutely my 6th man up currently, as stated I think I can read you and eevee better than Awaclus, Scola, and Jack but worse than Robz, Joth, and Mix

I also just disagree with this approach in general—the point of this phase is still scumhunting, and we win if we do it well.

You seem to be assuming (hoping?) that it’s certain we won’t get it right in this phase and out of the gate you are jumping to this meta level based on who can read whom best going forwards, instead of just who seems most likely to be town.
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Robz888

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #113 on: August 27, 2024, 11:10:09 am »

That's partly why I'm not too bothered about speculating about this out loud. I guarantee scum is having these conversations, so we may as well have them out in the open here so that everyone is equally aware of the game. Also, it's something to talk about.

I strongly agree with this remark in general, but particularly because scum have day chat... and also, we don't have PRs. The number one reason to avoid setup speculation is to avoid outing special townies, or avoid giving scum indication of who has thought about setup ramifications the hardest.
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Robz888

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #114 on: August 27, 2024, 11:11:23 am »

I guess 1 in, 1 out is what scum is aiming for, but it doesn't seem THAT important, the biggest thing of course is that they just don't want to lose immediately.
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Cuzz

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #115 on: August 27, 2024, 11:13:14 am »

That's partly why I'm not too bothered about speculating about this out loud. I guarantee scum is having these conversations, so we may as well have them out in the open here so that everyone is equally aware of the game. Also, it's something to talk about.

I strongly agree with this remark in general, but particularly because scum have day chat... and also, we don't have PRs. The number one reason to avoid setup speculation is to avoid outing special townies, or avoid giving scum indication of who has thought about setup ramifications the hardest.

Isn’t it also to avoid giving scum ideas about optimal play that they may not have thought of?
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Robz888

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #116 on: August 27, 2024, 11:16:15 am »

Man, scum having day chat was NOT advertised very prominently. I thought I had read the setup carefully enough—it's a new setup!—and I didn't notice it.

Did other people notice it? Other than Eevee? I was not scum!reading Eevee at all, but in this specific case it seems like something scum would recognize more readily than town. It's only noted in the mafia PM...
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Cuzz

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #117 on: August 27, 2024, 11:18:43 am »

Man, scum having day chat was NOT advertised very prominently. I thought I had read the setup carefully enough—it's a new setup!—and I didn't notice it.

Did other people notice it? Other than Eevee? I was not scum!reading Eevee at all, but in this specific case it seems like something scum would recognize more readily than town. It's only noted in the mafia PM...

I noticed it from reading the mafiascum wiki page before the game began.

Eevee either just noticed it or decided to pretend to just notice it for cheap town points.
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Cuzz

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #118 on: August 27, 2024, 11:20:35 am »

Daychat means scum can end up being less active in thread than they mean to be, since however active they feel like they’re being during the day, some large fraction of that is hidden away in the scum chat.
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mcmcsalot

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #119 on: August 27, 2024, 11:22:34 am »

Man, scum having day chat was NOT advertised very prominently. I thought I had read the setup carefully enough—it's a new setup!—and I didn't notice it.

Did other people notice it? Other than Eevee? I was not scum!reading Eevee at all, but in this specific case it seems like something scum would recognize more readily than town. It's only noted in the mafia PM...

I did not notice it either until eevee mentioned it.
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Wins: M19, M21, M23, M24, M26, M39, M91, M94, M102, M104, M107, M114, M115, M118, M120, M122, M123, M124, M133, M134
Losses: M20, M22, M25, M27, M30, M31, M35, M38, M40, M42, M46, M60, M90, M93, M96, M98, M100, M101, M106, M111, M113, M119, M128
Winrate: 46.5%(20/43) 40.6%(13/32), 63.6%(7/11)

mcmcsalot

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #120 on: August 27, 2024, 11:27:49 am »

I also just disagree with this approach in general—the point of this phase is still scumhunting, and we win if we do it well.

You seem to be assuming (hoping?) that it’s certain we won’t get it right in this phase and out of the gate you are jumping to this meta level based on who can read whom best going forwards, instead of just who seems most likely to be town.

That makes sense. I am definitely building my coalition around the tangible ability to read players vs the D1 town read victory win con which I am just assuming wont happen. Though I for sure will adjust my coalition based on reads as those develop.
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Wins: M19, M21, M23, M24, M26, M39, M91, M94, M102, M104, M107, M114, M115, M118, M120, M122, M123, M124, M133, M134
Losses: M20, M22, M25, M27, M30, M31, M35, M38, M40, M42, M46, M60, M90, M93, M96, M98, M100, M101, M106, M111, M113, M119, M128
Winrate: 46.5%(20/43) 40.6%(13/32), 63.6%(7/11)

Eevee

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #121 on: August 27, 2024, 01:24:46 pm »

One of these things happened

Option A
I went back to post#1 to re-read the setup and caught day chat in the mafia pm with my eagle eyes

Option B
I've been chatting away with my partner in the mafia thread all this time and decided to bring it up for town cred.

Who thinks A/B?
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Robz888

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #122 on: August 27, 2024, 01:31:14 pm »

One of these things happened

Option A
I went back to post#1 to re-read the setup and caught day chat in the mafia pm with my eagle eyes

Option B
I've been chatting away with my partner in the mafia thread all this time and decided to bring it up for town cred.

Who thinks A/B?

I mean, both are plausible! But I know I didn't catch it. I'm possibly not the most observant reader of things like this, which is why I wonder about everyone else.
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mcmcsalot

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #123 on: August 27, 2024, 01:37:12 pm »

If it was me it would be B but I am bad a reading the setup and I like to make “pro-town” posts as scum. Similar to talking about scum plans as town, I think town is going to figure it out eventually might as well take credit. All that said it doesn’t change that it is indeed pro-town of eevee to point out.
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Wins: M19, M21, M23, M24, M26, M39, M91, M94, M102, M104, M107, M114, M115, M118, M120, M122, M123, M124, M133, M134
Losses: M20, M22, M25, M27, M30, M31, M35, M38, M40, M42, M46, M60, M90, M93, M96, M98, M100, M101, M106, M111, M113, M119, M128
Winrate: 46.5%(20/43) 40.6%(13/32), 63.6%(7/11)

mcmcsalot

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Re: M141: the coalition (the coalition phase)
« Reply #124 on: August 27, 2024, 01:38:26 pm »

Robz what did you think about my post for a me, you, joth, eevee, mix coalition?
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Wins: M19, M21, M23, M24, M26, M39, M91, M94, M102, M104, M107, M114, M115, M118, M120, M122, M123, M124, M133, M134
Losses: M20, M22, M25, M27, M30, M31, M35, M38, M40, M42, M46, M60, M90, M93, M96, M98, M100, M101, M106, M111, M113, M119, M128
Winrate: 46.5%(20/43) 40.6%(13/32), 63.6%(7/11)
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