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Author Topic: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - GAME OVER PERFECT SCUM WIN  (Read 108413 times)

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mathdude

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #475 on: April 12, 2021, 05:05:57 pm »

With this (almost) stalemate, it makes me feel like either:
1. both are town, and scum doesn't care who gets exiled, or
2. both are scum, and scum can't change the wagon this late (just has to hope for no exile)

Also possible, though less likely... one is scum, the other is not, and partner(s) are already locked and can't sway the votes anymore.

I think the third option is much more likely than the second.

It would seem odd and quite fortuitous if we had actually picked 2 correct on day 1, though I'm sure stranger things have happened.  Though I guess you are correct... with many people having not changed votes lately, some giving reasons for not changing last-minute (such as being busy, likely until deadline).  My gut told me that option 3 was less likely, but it is definitely possible too (obviously!)
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Galzria

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #476 on: April 12, 2021, 05:06:04 pm »

Swowl sets off fireworks that confirm that Didds has a QT with Day Chat with some amount of the 7 Dwarves within it.

Unvote

Swowl - do you think that:

A) Didds is more likely to be town
B) Jimmmmm is more likely to be scum
C) Both A & B

?

Basically - are you voting Jimmmmm because you think he’s scum, or because you DON’T want Didds Exiled, or both?

Swowl writes a note to galz on a piece of parchment stating they think that the answer to their question is an in between.
Swowl does feel like Didds is Town, but also feels the need to put forth that they do not have a crazy SR on Jimmm, it is just a better option than didds to them by a mile at this point.


Vote: Jimmmmm

X-1

I’m town reading math & swowl. They’re both on Jimmmmm.
I’m scum reading fang and bright. They’re both on Didds.

If it’s truly a tossup, I’ll side with my town reads.
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Quote from: Voltgloss
Derphammering is when quickhammers go derp.

Faust has also been incredibly stubborn this game. In other news, it's hot in the summer, and water falls from the sky when it rains.


Mafia Record:
TOWN Wins: M3, M5, M6, M11, M17, M28, M32, M105, M108, M114, M118, M120, M122, DM1, DoM1, OZ2, RM45, RM47, RM48, RM49, RM55
TOWN Losses: M4, M7, M8, M9, M13, M14, M18, M31, M110, M111, M113, M117, M125, RM3, RM4, RM54
SCUM Wins: M2, M19, M23, M100, DM3, RM1, RM2, RM48, RM50
SCUM Losses: M15 (SK), M102 (Tr), OZ1, RM55

Total Wins: 30
Total Losses: 20

Jimmmmm

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #477 on: April 12, 2021, 05:07:42 pm »

Well I guess I better Vote: Didds, in case the mail comes today.
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Swowl

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #478 on: April 12, 2021, 05:09:22 pm »

Swowl points out both players are at X-1 and there is no one off wagon. He thinks this to be true.
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
Skum: 7 wins, 7 losses (1 MVP)
3-Party: 4 wins, 1 loss

mathdude

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #479 on: April 12, 2021, 05:09:37 pm »

Well I guess I better Vote: Didds, in case the mail comes today.

Is that now a lock at 6-6?  Plus an extra (and strange) vote on EFHW?

And here's Jimmmmm again with an odd comment added to the post again.  Obviously something with the role, I'm guessing?  Or a way to keep things random, so any accidental scum-tells aren't as obvious?
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scolapasta

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #480 on: April 12, 2021, 05:09:57 pm »

Yes, Swowl is a 7 dwarf. I think Scola had already figured that out.

Funny thing is I was way off on who I thought Swowl was when I first suggested it.

Let's not exile Didds today. Whoever said we have a better chance of learning more from her activity is right.
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Awaclus

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #481 on: April 12, 2021, 05:10:41 pm »

Swowl wonders if Awaclus thinks it is more likely than the first

Probably about the same? I can't be assed to do the math but I think it's roughly as likely to pick 2 town or 1 town, 1 scum out of 3 scum and 9 town, which I'm assuming is the setup unless we get evidence of third parties existing. I don't think the fact that we have a "stalemate" is indicative in either direction.
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Awaclus

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #482 on: April 12, 2021, 05:11:41 pm »

How much time do we have?
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scolapasta

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #483 on: April 12, 2021, 05:12:03 pm »

Swowl wonders if Awaclus thinks it is more likely than the first

Probably about the same? I can't be assed to do the math but I think it's roughly as likely to pick 2 town or 1 town, 1 scum out of 3 scum and 9 town, which I'm assuming is the setup unless we get evidence of third parties existing. I don't think the fact that we have a "stalemate" is indicative in either direction.

I have to imagine with dwarfs from all sorts of stories, there has to be a 3rd party of some sort.
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jotheonah

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #484 on: April 12, 2021, 05:12:14 pm »

How much time do we have?

3 minutes
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Awaclus

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #485 on: April 12, 2021, 05:12:20 pm »

Not much time it seems. Vote: Jimmmm
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mathdude

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #486 on: April 12, 2021, 05:12:25 pm »

Swowl wonders if Awaclus thinks it is more likely than the first

Probably about the same? I can't be assed to do the math but I think it's roughly as likely to pick 2 town or 1 town, 1 scum out of 3 scum and 9 town, which I'm assuming is the setup unless we get evidence of third parties existing. I don't think the fact that we have a "stalemate" is indicative in either direction.

I don't think random distribution or equal probabilities matter at this point.  I think there are enough interactions and reads that this is dependent probability (not independent).
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Awaclus

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #487 on: April 12, 2021, 05:14:53 pm »

Sure, but we could very easily have a wagon on scum pushed by town, and another wagon on town primarily pushed by scum who managed to convince some townies. Or we could have scum on the town wagon, and scum also on the scum wagon. Or it could just be town and town.
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Awaclus

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #488 on: April 12, 2021, 05:15:52 pm »

I wonder if we get twilight.
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scolapasta

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #489 on: April 12, 2021, 05:17:14 pm »

I wonder if we get twilight.

Vampire Dwarves vs Werewolf Dwarfs?
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Awaclus

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #490 on: April 12, 2021, 05:18:35 pm »

Looks like we do.

@Jimmmmm: do you have anything useful to say while you have the chance?
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Jimmmmm

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #491 on: April 12, 2021, 05:21:16 pm »

@Jimmmmm: do you have anything useful to say while you have the chance?

Never forget who you are.
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Awaclus

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #492 on: April 12, 2021, 05:22:30 pm »

@Jimmmmm: do you have anything useful to say while you have the chance?

Never forget who you are.

Thanks for the advice.
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jotheonah

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY ONE
« Reply #493 on: April 12, 2021, 05:24:49 pm »

When dwarves gather, it can get rowdy. This group of dwarves had spent all day yelling at each other until their beards turned blue about who could have been responsible for Beardy's murder.

One dwarf, who appeared to be joining via videoconferencing, kept saying strange things that didn't quite add up. The other dwarves decided they couldn't trust him, so they sent him away. And the Red Dwarf flew off, never to be heard from again.


Vote Count 1.6



Jimmmmm (7): Swowl, EFHW, mathdude, WestCoastDidds, scolapasta, Galzria, Awaclus
WestCoastDidds (5): pubby, faust, Brightgalrs, infangthief, Jimmmmm
EFHW (1):

Not voting:
Not playing: MiX, jotheonah, Ozle
I'm serious, definitely not playing and already modkilled even if he were: MiX


Jimmmmm has been exiled. He was Holly, the shipboard AI of the Red Dwarf. He was a GOOD DWARF.

With 12 alive, it took 7 to exile. Night 1 begins now and ends in 48 hours, but night actions are due in 24 hours. It is important you meet this deadline, then continue to watch your QTs for the second 24 hours.

THREAD LOCKED
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jotheonah

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - NIGHT ONE
« Reply #494 on: April 13, 2021, 03:02:21 pm »

Just a reminder that night actions are due in 2 hours and 15 minutes. There will be a 15-minute grace period, but anything received after 5:30 will not be processed. (PINL)
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jotheonah

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY TWO
« Reply #495 on: April 14, 2021, 04:50:07 pm »

Weirdly, shunning the mining vessel did not stop the killing. As the sun rose over Dwarfsburg or whatever I called it, the town was shocked to discover another of its bearded brethren taken down. Charms Professor Filius Flitwick was struck dead, wand in hand.

EFHW has been killed. She was Professor Flitwick, a GOOD DWARF

infangthief is floating above the ground. He is now loved. He takes one additional vote to exile.

pubby is now hated. He takes one less vote to exile.


Day 2 begins now and ends in five IRL days.

THREAD UNLOCKED
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Swowl

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY TWO
« Reply #496 on: April 14, 2021, 05:42:56 pm »

Swowl wonders if anyone has information regarding the weird EFHW vote count thing.
He also wonders if anyone else started getting mod messages in Norse.
Swowl chuckles when he thinks about the time he spent on google to figure out it was Norse.
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
Skum: 7 wins, 7 losses (1 MVP)
3-Party: 4 wins, 1 loss

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY TWO
« Reply #497 on: April 14, 2021, 07:05:58 pm »

Norse?!?!

No, I got nothing in Norse.
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Awaclus

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY TWO
« Reply #498 on: April 14, 2021, 07:07:57 pm »

I didn't get anything in Norse either. I also don't know anything about EFHW.
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scolapasta

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Re: BM32: All Dwarves are Bastards Mafia - DAY TWO
« Reply #499 on: April 14, 2021, 07:08:40 pm »

Swowl wonders if anyone has information regarding the weird EFHW vote count thing.
He also wonders if anyone else started getting mod messages in Norse.
Swowl chuckles when he thinks about the time he spent on google to figure out it was Norse.


Did it make any sense (game wise) once translated?
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