I uh, forgot about this yesterday. Doesn't help that my internet was terrible either. I'll catch up now, I got the VCA set up but I haven't analyzed it yet.
Vote: EFHW 's in the best possible spot for scum: outside the scum wagon, on the counterwagon, not directly tied to the Galz wagon on either side. If scum's on it, it would be either Space or gkrieg, which have the best bus spot and the least impactful vote.
How is putting someone to E-1 saying that I won't be around for the deadline the least impactful vote?
Well, compared to the first vote, which allowed raptor to start the wagon, LL's vote, which essentially made it Galz vs mcmc, and mcmc's hammer, I'd say that yours and Space's votes are the least impactful ones (made by non-greens anyway: you can argue yours is more important than raptor's). But thinking about it better, yours is probably on par with LL's: I didn't really realize it at the time, but I suppose your vote is what made Galzria a dead man walking, since mcmc could just hammer whenever. I think i was still on the train of thought I had D1, which was thinking about a town!Galz, but if he's scum, then there were considerably more chances of surviving at X-2 than at X-1.
It's sort of interesting that the off-wagon people were much more present. EFHW also posted in the middle of Galz's wall of posts, at #251, so she could have chosen to hammer but didn't. MiX and ADK both posted within minutes of the hammer, hadn't posted before that.
I think MiX and mcmc are emerging as people who are looking suspicious now. The former for trying so hard not to exile Galz, and the latter for being so decisive about exiling him.
Interestingly, I feel like it's unlikely they're both scummy, because MiX moved his vote from LL, who'd been on two votes, onto mcmc, putting him to three votes. I don't think scum!MiX tries to detract from scum!Galz's wagon by growing a wagon on scum!mcmc instead.
Also, looking at possible D1 bussing off-wagon, there's really not a lot of scope for it if I also assume that MiX and mcmc aren't scum together. ADK was on the first incarnation of the Galz wagon, and later also voted Dylan and mcmc. EFHW voted mcmc. Dylan voted LL. Those are the only cases of unknown-on-unknown voting, from my point of view. It makes me recall that some scum teams decide explicitly not to bus in D1, so it's worth considering that we might be in that sort of a situation here, in which case maybe there's not a lot of on-wagon bussing either.
I'm not sure that helps us much at all here, but I want to put it out there. The consequences would make mcmc look a bit more townie (since he picked up many of the unknown votes), and MiX and possibly LL look more likely to be scum. However, I doubt scum was counting on Galz going down so hard at the end, and it's true that at least one of them would almost certainly have benefitted from bussing if they were able, so this reasoning is probably a bit far out there to rely on.
I forgot if I said this already, but I was reading the Galzria rapid-fire posts when the hammer dropped, so I commented on it.
I'm kinda surprised people aren't looking at EFHW, and are instead looking at mcmc, which I believe to be one of the most townie people in general. I haven't reread D1 yet, and the scum!mcmc arguments aren't bad, but still, nothing about EFHW. The lack of interaction with the wagon at all feels exactly what one of the scum would do, and it makes sense with what I remember of her D1.
I, uh, agree with the third statement. Moving on.
I'm kinda confused on what you're trying to say at the last 2 paragraphs. Is this like a mini-VCA, or are the votes that useless that this is the complete VCA?
still, actions of some people (mcmc and dylan) are for me more telling and more scummy than relying on trying to decode Galzria's post. I agree with Space that MiX defending Galzria is too bold of a move, MiX is a bit more rational than that, I believe. That leaves Space in the roster of people mentioned by Galz, and although I suspect them as well, their actions on D1 seem less scummy than convenient "rusty" mcmc hammer if that makes sense.
What "actions of dylan" are you talking about here?