OK I want to get this out prior to the actual gauntlet being thrown down so it doesn't loose value in the eyes of everyone...
1) Joth waiting for a claim is weird. There is no world in which there is a CC prior to a target being selected.
- If faust is Town and skum wants to CC, they would wait for it to be Joth vs Faust and then do the CC. If it is Town V Town, they would obviously then stay quiet. No point in outing themselves. If Joth is skum, and it is skum vs town, they would probably still not do it - cuz that pretty much starts us Day 5 1vs5. So all in all, I don't see a skum counter claim happening here - under the assumption faust is the Town Tracker.
- If faust is skum and fake claiming Tracker, I do not know if the right play would be to come out as the real Tracker. That would put them in the spot of being selected for the second target of the lynch pool vs faust. If they lose that, we lose the tracker. If they win that, skum still kills the tracker at night. Either which way, if you fast forward to Day 4, we are down 1 skum and 1 tracker. The downside of them not claiming is obviously that if faust is skum then they probably get a pass on today's lynch pool, but the tracker can still claim tomorrow. They get an extra night of results, we gain interaction not based solely on focusing on the CC aspect, and assuming the Tracker is Town without a result on Joth... it leaves Joth on the table.
2) I do not believe that Galz and MiX can be skum together
3) I do not believe that faust and Galz can be skum together
4) I do not believe Galz and Joth can be skum together
5) I believe it is very unlikely that Joth and faust are skum together
Add all the above up, I do not think there is 2 or more skum in [Mix, Galz, faust, Joth]. I do however think that it is likely there is 1 skum there.
So, removing Joth!Galz and Joth!Faust, I am left with Joth!MiX as tho last option. As I mentioned, I do not think that Galz!MiX and I do not think it is likely Joth!Faust.
I am not trying to be counter productive, but at this point I am admitting defeat on my reads yesterday for Joth vs Joseph.
I think that Faust is most likely telling the truth, and if they are not, then the most likely scenario is a set up with faust. But mostly, faust is probably telling the truth.
I think that Galz is either the Town Promoter or the Traitor. If they are the Traitor then it could also be Galz!MiX, which adds into that idea, but still it is equally likely that he is just being honest.
I think if there is any scenario in 2 of the above being skum are true, it is Joth!MiX... and that is about as far fetched as you can get.
I think MiX is Town over Joth.
The logical explanation is either that this is somehow Skum vs Skum vs Town vs Town, or it is Skum vs Town vs Town vs Town, or I suppose it could be all Town.... but I find the last unlikely.
If faust is lying he will be found out.
If Galz is lying we will get some weird no kill situation, and they will be found out.
That leaves MiX and Joth.
So either...
1) All the skum is within [Ari, Swan, Chairs, ADK, GK, Glooble, Space, EFHW]... which is either 2/8 or 3/8
2) Some amount of skum is within the same pool, and another is within [Joth, Mix, Galz, faust]
... which sucks. I have never played with a Promoter before, but I cannot come up with a solution for this one.
PPE 1