Lynch SK or mafia, town loses.

Lynch town, up to who shoots who for a winner to be decided. If one scum kills town or doesn’t shoot or hits a BP, the other scum wins. If neither scum shoots, kingmaking lylo where town loses.

So, for town to win, no lynch and hope scum kill each other is the only option. Even then, a no lynch into one scum death and one town death is a town loss, but both scum die and only one scum dies are possibilities, so chances are better.

Full breakdown:

Lynch scum - town loses 100% (Commuter is gone, WCD claimed, so scum shoots remaining town for the win.)

Lynch town...1/4 chance to win.

Scum kill each other and town wins.

One scum dies, the other survives, town endgamed.

One town dies, scum wins by mod decision? Town loses.

No one dies, kingmaker lylo, town loses.

No lynch...2/5 chances to win.

Scum kill each other and town wins.

One scum dies, the other survives, regular lylo.

One scum dies, one town dies, scum wins.

One town dies, kingmaker lylo, town loses.

Two town dies, scum wins by mod decision? Town loses.