Right. Eevee next.
*****Conclusion Here, Read fully if you desire***
I really don't like how Eevee has tied himself to me throughout d1. Between posts #245, and #977, combined with the sheeping onto Reggie and LaLight I do feel like he's setting me up to be a mislynch/Vig target should he ever die (assuming he flips scum). If he's town, I don't really know how to explain his play. - I'm definitely more in the scum!Eevee camp than I am in town!Eevee camp based off what I see below though.
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A jumping off point for what I thought of Eevee early/mid d1:
What I really want to focus on here are two things though:
1) Eevee/Reggie
2) Eevee/Sheep
3) Eevee/Galz
First and Second, Eevee/Reggie and Eevee/Sheep:
No interaction at all prior to his vote on Reggie in post #902. My case was posted in #854, and this was Eevee's first post since that point. e, Dylan and TWM had all voted to Reggie in between, making Eevee vote #5. Eevee's vote post:
Vote: J Reggie
His very next post also contained nothing about Reggie, but did pertain to me. I'll circle back to it at the end of this post (along with a few other posts of his on this topic). In post #984, he asks "Want to vote andrew with me?", referencing a scum read he had prior to voting Reggie - note he still hasn't mentioned Reggie outside his vote at this point.
After Reggie first mentions a plan, Eevee unvotes. This is in post #1019. We still have yet to see a reason why he was on Reggie to begin with.
Unvote
Even though Reggie just pulled something like this as scum, I'm not so sure he is here.
He followed that up with an immediate vote back to Andrew - the one place he's been consistent about scumreading so far.
The following post (#1108, 200 after his initial vote) is the first time Eevee mentions anything about his Reggie vote - and it's pretty much just to acknowledge that it was nothing more than a sheep vote. Reggie was a pretty active poster though, and Eevee did spend much of the day heavily suggesting we should be going after lurkers - so it's surprising that he like my case on Reggie enough to get on board with it - even more that he liked it enough to get on board without actually saying anything about it.
I'm kind of torn, because reading the setup wizards trying to analyze the draft is very interesting to me, but I'm doubtful if we can find any conclusions that are more beneficial than the accidental revealing stuff for scum would be. Like, I doubt we could find anything super useful for certain, but I could easily see an important PR being outed. Is the juice worth the squeeze?
If you wish to do something helpful, how about answering my question about your Andrew vote?
I don't really have any great master theories, I dislike some of the bigger wagons because lynching a top poster doesn't seem productive, Andrew has been less controversial and visible than I'd expect, and hasn't posted anything that made me think "that's towny". I don't really have a any case to post I would expect others to follow, but I think someone like Andrew would be our best bet for hitting scum.
Of the viable wagons, I guess I like Reggie the best.
I must admit, I don't have the patience for trying to create "real" day 1 cases, because they feel like such guesswork. I'd be happy to sheep one if someone created one I fancy (like I initially did with J Reggie).
A little strange, following that Cuzz pushed Eevee on "I don't really have any great master theories, I dislike some of the bigger wagons because lynching a top poster doesn't seem productive" specifically, and asked him the following 3 questions:
"Which wagons do you consider the bigger ones?
Of those, which ones do you dislike?
Who do you consider the top posters among them?"
Eevee responds in post #1115 by mentioning the TWM and mcmc wagon - but not the Reggie wagon. In #1142 I ask him to expand on his reason for joining the Reggie wagon, and his response is simply "I thought he was a superior option to TWM/mcmc." - but it's not like those were the only 3 people that could have votes on them. It feels more like Eevee chose to be on the Reggie wagon for the sake of being on a wagon - which is definitely a little scummy. I'm all for wagons, but part of the reason is that it forces people to post opinions. He didn't do that.
In post #1207 I vote LaLight following a series of back and forths with him, and in Eevee's very next post, he sheeps along on the vote (note where he says faust I assume he means me - faust hadn't said anything about LaLight at that point):
Vote: LaLight
For reasons faust just so concisely outlined.
That vote was post #1219. In post #1269 TWM calls out the quick joiners of the LL wagon (O, PPS, Eevee), and in Eevee's very next post (#1274) he unvotes.
In #1390 Eevee gives his first Reggie read in awhile, shortly before Reggie gets lynched (mcmc hammered in #1400), suggesting he looks too erratic to be scum. It almost feels like "Oh no... don't lynch Reggie... there's no way he's scum..." - as in, it doesn't feel like his heart is in trying to prevent this lynch from happening. Maybe that's just how I'm reading it?
All in all, his interactions with the Reggie wagon are really weak, especially considering they seem to contradict most of his feelings throughout the day regarding where we should be looking to lynch.
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Lastly, I wanted to touch on two posts that are really weird to me because they feel like he's tying himself to me unnaturally. Like he wants me to like him and find him townie.
First post, his first of the game:
Heyooo! It's so cool to see O and Galzria back, both are true legends of f.ds mafia. Galzria was such a killer in his heyday.
And post #977 (This one moreso, because it answered the question while deflecting and not answering the question. There was no real context to this game):
Galz how do you feel about eevee. Same question to eevee but vise versa.
I missed Galzria! I don't think he looks scummy. I also don't think I would suspect anything if he was scum.
Fun fact: The worst I've ever been duped, it was Ozle's first murder mystery game (maybe my favorite game ever), I was some sort of a semi-cop, and had a QT with Galzria for some reason. I hadn't claimed, and was withholding my results from town, but felt so comfortable with Galzria in our QT, I told him what I had found out and asked for advice.
I didn't make it to the morning and never got to claim. Galzria was scum.
I'm going to put my conclusion at the top since this post is entirely too long, and my thoughts are a little scattered.