So there are people in this game .. and there is timing.
And this is mostly my gut, but depending on the flips and what happens i want to write it down just so people maaaybe remember it in later days. I know people won't read my posts once i am dead, but here's for hoping.
Let us start with the mainwagon - Lio.
Something that i disliked and that people should take a closer look at IF lio flips scum.
Melisandres push timing on me was at a moment where the lio wagon was getting stronger.
That timing in itself might be him trying to derail the lio wagon.
His accusation on me in itself was weak, but if he is scum and knows i am town, then he might not want to overcommit there.
He didn't think i was really scum, he just wanted me to get into roleclaim territory.
Uncertainty on day 1 is a thing, so it is not damning, but something to look at if Lio flips scum.
To add to that is the fact that he unvoted when RR put lio on L-2.
That might be a coincidence, but it is something to at least look at if lio is scum. If lio is town this though process doesn't matter at all.
To add to that is that I think Melisandres reads this game differ a bit from the champs game.
In the champs game he iso read people and was fairly certain that they are town from it (not every time but more often than not)
This game he felt less sure about his conclusion. Which might just be because it is a different game with different people.
I just remember him read christian d1 hard town, then rad chdog hard town d2 despite him having awful content, just for tone/attitude alone. Calling Yatta the obvious Lynchbait d2.
This game might still be in d1, but the gametimes is longer and the content most people have given is similar to the ones those people gave that game.
Maybe I am remembering this wrong and he gave several clear reads this game, but he felt less commited in what i remember. (something to check back on, just wanted to push it out there).
Moving on!
Now I want to talk for a minute about E! I will refer to him as "number two" or #2 because he is the 2nd wagon and well E.
If #2 is scum then taking a look and Silverspawn might not be the worst idea.
I mentioned how i felt like silver is keeping his options open with me being aligned to E because people fake certain situations/interactions.
While he did that he instantly agreed to clear Melisandre (he townread both E and Melisandre). I gave the reason that Melisandres push timing was weird to be my partner, considering the lio wagon, BUT faking a bad push just to make me look better is as easy as faking a fight.
So yeah .. if #2 is scum, then there is a good chance silverspawn is with him and Melisandre is town.
Next step would be my dear fontisian aka fonti aka devils bride aka fartface.
I am split about her as of right now, because several towny things she did are not exactly working out fine.
I think if lio is town then she is likely to be town too, because of the questioning with was either just helpful or coaching.
If lio is scum then they might be partners. Nothing I am 100% sure about, but iI disliked some of their interactions. Her read on him early, his weak push against it, without actually caring. Then him kinda flipping his read if i remember correctly (not looking stuff up right now). Possible partners, his reaction towards her was slightly off i think.
I am unsure where to put #2 in that case. I can see them splitting between myself and #2, fonti knows her pushing on me there would basically out her instantly and the moment i flip town she would always be the next lynch.
I am not sure if #2 is town in that case, because fontis momentum to jump on #2 was perfect for a veteran to bus a partner that they felt just fucked up.
#2 got soft protected by several other people, so nothing bad happened to him.
Will have to think a little bit more about that. Might add more soon.
As said this are mostly theories and behavior analysis if at one point either lio or #2 become confirmed scum.
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Topic: M79: Sherlock Mafia (Game over!) (Read 264740 times)