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Author Topic: The Necro Wars  (Read 337272 times)

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silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1100 on: December 20, 2020, 05:56:04 pm »

Fisherman may just be the dumbest card ever printed. You could almost just throw some coins and give people extra $ at random moments in the game.

I'm not going to ban it because there are more important cards to ban, but I'm perplexed how it made the cut in Menagerie of all expansions.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1101 on: December 21, 2020, 05:57:04 am »

There's something about Chariot race that hacks directly into people's brains. It's truly incredible. People go after that card like it's the strongest card in the game. It's so consistent. Everyone is crazy about it, whether it's good or not.

Similar things are true for Nobles, but to a less extreme degree. Also, Sauna. People are so bad with Sauna.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1102 on: January 04, 2021, 05:16:45 pm »

Here is what chess.com thinks is good matchmaking:

Quote
kdmeteor (1237) vs. l1zzza (305) (20 min)
win 0 / draw -8 / lose -16

Awaclus

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1103 on: January 06, 2021, 11:34:27 am »

It never ceases to amaze me how much luck in dominion comes in streaks. I don't get how that works. The plausible-sounding explanation is that perceived good or bad luck is actually just mindset (you play better/worse depending on your recent history). But I'm not buying it.

That's probably most of what it is.

But I feel subjectively confident that I know how well I play.

Do you have streaks, too?

I tend to have streaks a lot in Prismata.
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silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1104 on: January 13, 2021, 03:14:06 pm »

So, online poker is legal in Germany, but (I don't actually know this but I strongly assume it's the case), there was a regulation passed that poker rooms had to include various safety warnings.

As a result, there is a 'ban yourself from gaming for 24 hours' button on pokerstars.

By itself, this may be a good idea. It probably is. But what is not a good idea is making this button work immediately, without asking for confirmation, without being reversible, and then putting it on top of every opened table next to the 'add chips' button.

Maybe asking for confirmation is not desirable because you don't want to give people the opportunity to think twice about it. If that's the problem, how about requiring a double click? Or at least, dunno, not putting it immediately next to a button that you need to click regularly?

(Yes, I clicked on it by accident. The 24 hour period is just about to run out.)

I'm kind of lucky that it happened in cash games. Had I been playing tournaments, it would have booted me from all of them, and in effect cost me financially.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1105 on: January 13, 2021, 03:14:48 pm »

butlikesrslyhowdoesthiskindofdesignpassanyreview

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1106 on: January 14, 2021, 03:20:54 pm »

I care so little about Chess right now it's crazy

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1107 on: January 16, 2021, 07:53:56 am »

(Yes, I clicked on it by accident. The 24 hour period is just about to run out.)

It happened again. And it didn't boot my from the tournament, only from cash tables! How nice.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1108 on: January 16, 2021, 02:14:25 pm »

Unsurprisingly, support told me they're forced to do this. This is a nice example of why conservatives have a problem with... okay, not really, since I'm sure most people believe most things for stupid reasons. It's a good example of why some smart conservatives have problems with regulations. Common sense such as 'people will obviously click on this button by accident all the time' can get lost in the bureaucratic process of lawmaking.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1109 on: January 25, 2021, 02:51:34 pm »

The phrase 'there is a maniac at the button' is pretty funny if taken out of context.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1110 on: January 29, 2021, 07:35:51 am »

I just wrote a python program in a txt editor and it compiled on the first try and even gave the desired output. How strange.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1111 on: February 04, 2021, 03:17:01 pm »

For some reason I have now written a program that solves sudokus four times.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1112 on: February 11, 2021, 11:15:25 am »

No-one has ever pointed out to me, and I didn't know it until I just realized it myself, that the standard formalism for random variables is underspecified.

If a random variable looks like this

X : Ω -> ℝ

then it actually is something like X = {(a,1), (c,4)}

and 𝔼(X) can't compute any number because that number depends on how likely a and c are.

A proper definition X would have to be something else, like maybe a triple

X = (A, Pr, m)

where A is the sigma algebra, Pr the probability measure, and m: Ω -> ℝ what X used to be. Alternatively, the information has to be carried around by 𝔼, but that strikes me as very ugly. I view expectation as one operation that always does the same thing, not as something that needs extra information to be computed.

I'm often annoyed about how lax people are about this kind of stuff. I spend a lot of time when learning staring at things and trying to figure out exactly how they make sense, and this is just one of several things in probability theory notation. I'm even more annoyed by P(X|Y) rather than P(X|Y = y) and by conflating X and x.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1113 on: February 11, 2021, 11:16:21 am »

Although nothing is as bad as f(x) = O(g(x))

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1114 on: February 11, 2021, 11:19:54 am »

Also while I'm complaining, everyone is teaching expectation wrong. You should frame it as 'you're measuring the same probability as before, but in a smaller probability space'. You can compute it as P(A|B) = P(A&B)/P(B), it's bad  practice to think of that as being what conditional probability is, and this starts to matter once you get to more complicated stuff like bivariate continuous distributions. Instead, you should think of P_B = P( | B) as being a different probability measure. This notion generalizes much more nicely

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1115 on: February 11, 2021, 11:20:47 am »

*I of course meant 'everyone is teaching conditional probability wrong'.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1116 on: February 11, 2021, 11:22:35 am »

Ime this kind of thing is just so so important. Precisely understanding a concept helps tremendously with doing complicated things with that concept

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1117 on: February 13, 2021, 01:10:46 pm »

Today I won half a bitcoin.

It was of course a scam. But a very clever scam. They built an entire website with a pretty good design. Making an account was easy, and the 'prize' came in the form of a promo code that I successfully 'redeemed', at which point I 'received' half a bit coin in my assets.

The catch was that I couldn't withdraw. To withdraw funds, you need to 'register' an account, which works by depositing at least {some amount of ETH or BTC that I believe was worth around 60$}.

It's not exactly hard to figure out that it was a scam by googling stuff about the site, but it's not trivial, either. I wonder how many people fall for it.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1118 on: February 14, 2021, 05:27:14 pm »

Fold Fold Fold Fold

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1119 on: February 20, 2021, 11:59:15 am »

Everybody knows.

Not literally everybody. But almost every serious person knows.

But no-one cares, and no-one is stupid enough to talk about it.

So it looks as if no-one knows.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1120 on: February 20, 2021, 12:17:38 pm »

This 'follow topics' thing on twitter is one of the dumbest ideas. almost every person is uninteresting. the only reason twitter is interesting is because you can choose who you want to follow among millions.

Jack Dorsey is well-intentioned but ugh

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1121 on: February 21, 2021, 03:32:01 pm »

Yes it does. The Vietnamese

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1122 on: February 22, 2021, 05:33:07 am »

In high-variance games, you just have to play enough for fate to get even. For example, I've lost three times going all-in with Kings against Aces and never got Aces against Kings. Until yesterday, where I finally got to lose going all-in with Aces against Kings. This is now patience gets rewarded.

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1123 on: February 23, 2021, 03:22:03 pm »

oh my god my chess rating keeps going up what is happening

silverspawn

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Re: The Necro Wars
« Reply #1124 on: February 23, 2021, 03:24:52 pm »

I just won 8 games in a row wtf
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