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Author Topic: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Game Over!)  (Read 152240 times)

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Witherweaver

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1050 on: February 19, 2016, 10:17:08 am »

GOOD NEWS EVERYBODY!

I am the Even-Night Tracker and I can give us another IC - one that, frankly, surprised me a little.

(I wouldn't claim, but I don't think I'll make it to D5).

faust is Town.

Didn't you think the Egor thing made Faust unlikely?
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chairs

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1051 on: February 19, 2016, 10:17:24 am »

We know the only remaining Mafia member is the 2-shot Strongman. If Mafia did bus, I'd have guessed the bus would be L-1 or even the hammer for D2, because you don't want to drop to a one-man team if you can help it. D1 is a bit iffier, you maybe bus Hydrad a little early since A) he's the Goon, and B) D1 scum lynch on-wagon? Looking super Town.

chairs

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1052 on: February 19, 2016, 10:18:44 am »

GOOD NEWS EVERYBODY!

I am the Even-Night Tracker and I can give us another IC - one that, frankly, surprised me a little.

(I wouldn't claim, but I don't think I'll make it to D5).

faust is Town.

Didn't you think the Egor thing made Faust unlikely?

Personally I felt like faust was trying hard to push people off EgorK onto me. Biased a little, maybe, but that's how I felt.

Witherweaver

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1053 on: February 19, 2016, 10:20:16 am »

Alright.  Well at any rate scum!Chairs claiming this is 100% losing, so I guess we have two IC's.

Only scum on wagon could be Awaclus or Silverspawn.  Still probably better to look off.
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chairs

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1054 on: February 19, 2016, 10:29:07 am »

vote: RR. We ended the Day with RR not voting for anybody. That seems... odd.

Lekkit

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1055 on: February 19, 2016, 10:32:48 am »

Awaclus On wagon (also hammered), not lynching today.
faust Town
silverspawn On wagon - Probably the only one on wagon I'd be willing to lynch
yuma --> 2.7 On wagon, don't want to lynch
Roadrunner7671 Off wagon, definately willing to lynch
Lekkit Off wagon
Witherweaver On wagon, don't want to lynch
Teproc --> Ampharos Off wagon, definately willing to lynch. I still don't agree Teproc was very towny.
chairs Town
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Roadrunner7671

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1056 on: February 19, 2016, 11:19:45 am »

Ha ha, I'm dead now. Oh well. I'm town though.
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2.71828.....

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1057 on: February 19, 2016, 11:45:02 am »

That result is good for me. I was definitely thinking faust as possible scum
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silverspawn

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1058 on: February 19, 2016, 01:13:40 pm »

really? RR?

I would much rather vote: Lekkit. He was my top choice for yesterday, and then he defended Egork pretty heavily.

Roadrunner7671

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1059 on: February 19, 2016, 01:14:17 pm »

really? RR?

I would much rather vote: Lekkit. He was my top choice for yesterday, and then he defended Egork pretty heavily.
I like this. Thanks!
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chairs

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1060 on: February 19, 2016, 01:22:26 pm »

Voting rr was just my default,  I'm definitely going to do a long read soon. I just think it's generally good to have a vote down even if it's a really minor gut vote.

Also I'm going to be so smug at faust

Witherweaver

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1061 on: February 19, 2016, 01:22:44 pm »

really? RR?

I would much rather vote: Lekkit. He was my top choice for yesterday, and then he defended Egork pretty heavily.

What about his reaction after the lynch, though?  Looks forced to you?
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silverspawn

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1062 on: February 19, 2016, 01:23:28 pm »

Day 1 wagon: gkrieg13, chairs, faust, ADK, 2.7, RR, WW
Day 2 wagon: WW, chairs, 2.7, SS, faust, Awaclus

Based on that we have (of the players remaining in our lynchpool):

chairs, 2.7, WW
RR, silver, Awaclus
Lekkit, Ampharos

silverspawn

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1063 on: February 19, 2016, 01:24:59 pm »

really? RR?

I would much rather vote: Lekkit. He was my top choice for yesterday, and then he defended Egork pretty heavily.

What about his reaction after the lynch, though?  Looks forced to you?

This?

...

Expressing strong dislike of this wagon.

No, I don't think that makes him townie. It'd have been suicide to handwave his dislike for the wagon. He clearly didn't like it.

Witherweaver

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1064 on: February 19, 2016, 01:26:55 pm »

Maybe I'm remembering wrong.  Though, generally as a partner you don't fight your partner's lynch after it already happened. 
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Roadrunner7671

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1065 on: February 19, 2016, 01:41:39 pm »

So this is super super good. Now we just lynch RR and win.
Vote: Awaclus
Do you have anything besides frequent tunneling of Roadrunner for this town? Anything?
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Awaclus

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1066 on: February 19, 2016, 02:08:24 pm »

So this is super super good. Now we just lynch RR and win.
Vote: Awaclus
Do you have anything besides frequent tunneling of Roadrunner for this town? Anything?

Sometimes the frequent tunneling of Roadrunner is all that town needs.
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Lekkit

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1067 on: February 19, 2016, 05:00:02 pm »

really? RR?

I would much rather vote: Lekkit. He was my top choice for yesterday, and then he defended Egork pretty heavily.

What about his reaction after the lynch, though?  Looks forced to you?

This?

...

Expressing strong dislike of this wagon.

No, I don't think that makes him townie. It'd have been suicide to handwave his dislike for the wagon. He clearly didn't like it.

I didn't like it. There was no real case on him. People just voted. I mean. Try to find interactions with him. Imagine he had flipped town. The wagon was bad. The outcome was great. But that came down to almost pure luck.
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Lekkit

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #1068 on: February 19, 2016, 05:04:19 pm »

this wagon is also pretty townie

I would also like to know why you said this. Because as you probably can guess by now, I disagree.
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Roadrunner7671

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1069 on: February 19, 2016, 05:18:59 pm »

really? RR?

I would much rather vote: Lekkit. He was my top choice for yesterday, and then he defended Egork pretty heavily.

What about his reaction after the lynch, though?  Looks forced to you?

This?

...

Expressing strong dislike of this wagon.

No, I don't think that makes him townie. It'd have been suicide to handwave his dislike for the wagon. He clearly didn't like it.

I didn't like it. There was no real case on him. People just voted. I mean. Try to find interactions with him. Imagine he had flipped town. The wagon was bad. The outcome was great. But that came down to almost pure luck.
Then why doesn't it make me townie that I was off it?
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silverspawn

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #1070 on: February 19, 2016, 05:29:25 pm »

this wagon is also pretty townie

I would also like to know why you said this. Because as you probably can guess by now, I disagree.

That statement was a conclusion from the people to the wagon, not about how the wagon came to be. As in, the wagon is driven by my townreads - which it was, you can compare the reads list I posted right before that - therefore it's a towny wagon.

silverspawn

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1071 on: February 19, 2016, 05:32:04 pm »

But the case was also far from random. There was a strong PoE and Egork was not on the day 1 wagon.

Lekkit

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1072 on: February 19, 2016, 05:44:14 pm »

really? RR?

I would much rather vote: Lekkit. He was my top choice for yesterday, and then he defended Egork pretty heavily.

What about his reaction after the lynch, though?  Looks forced to you?

This?

...

Expressing strong dislike of this wagon.

No, I don't think that makes him townie. It'd have been suicide to handwave his dislike for the wagon. He clearly didn't like it.

I didn't like it. There was no real case on him. People just voted. I mean. Try to find interactions with him. Imagine he had flipped town. The wagon was bad. The outcome was great. But that came down to almost pure luck.
Then why doesn't it make me townie that I was off it?

Because he turned out to be scum. Being a part of making it so you are the only one in your team left  day 3 seems like a pretty bad plan.
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Roadrunner7671

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1073 on: February 19, 2016, 06:10:01 pm »

really? RR?

I would much rather vote: Lekkit. He was my top choice for yesterday, and then he defended Egork pretty heavily.

What about his reaction after the lynch, though?  Looks forced to you?

This?

...

Expressing strong dislike of this wagon.

No, I don't think that makes him townie. It'd have been suicide to handwave his dislike for the wagon. He clearly didn't like it.

I didn't like it. There was no real case on him. People just voted. I mean. Try to find interactions with him. Imagine he had flipped town. The wagon was bad. The outcome was great. But that came down to almost pure luck.
Then why doesn't it make me townie that I was off it?

Because he turned out to be scum. Being a part of making it so you are the only one in your team left  day 3 seems like a pretty bad plan.
RR and bad plans go hand in hand.
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faust

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Re: M75: Cupcake Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1074 on: February 19, 2016, 06:21:31 pm »

Well, here I was thinking that my switch to Egor was a really obvtown move. I guess that's bias.

I received a fruit from ADK by the way, which I don't think matters at all, but there it is.

It's interesting that scum decided not to PR hunt tonight. I think that's a mistake. Having the Even-Night Tracker dead before he can IC another player or out scum would really have been important. This makes me lean RR over Lekkit (I agree that these are our best shots at finding scum today).

I guess I will reread for Egor interactions. Shouldn't take too long.
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