My alarm bells are telling me to consider the possibility of an ash/gkrieg/yuma team.
Each person should think about the situation themselves and see if they come up with the same conclusion as yuma.
My conclusion should be the same regardless of my alignment.
It boils down to this:
"Do you think that gkierg and ash would have risked claiming masons Night0--when they would have discussed it--know that there was a chance that the setup was TTT and that a single M role would have ruined their fakeclaim?"
I will concede that it still is possible that ash/gkierg are lying and one of the other four is their partner (awaclus would be my bet given that they two of them have been the only two players to vote for him...)
If someone with a better grasp of statistics wants to look at it, that would be cool... I just tried and realized that I had forgotten a lot in the last 10 years since my last stats class.
Regardless, I think it would have been too risky to try. The scenario where TA was fake claiming as well would have been a lot less risky as the Setup would have either been 1T or 0T, but now that TA is confirmed as a roleblocker we know town had at least TTTT and far more likely just a T (DBMMM)
It is also important to remember that gkierg claimed before faust claimed UB. This is an important piece to remember as if it was fake it was far riskier to claim before knowing about the UB status than it was to claim after and I would have been much more skeptical of the claim had it come after...
So the argument against this is this:
Given there's either 3 or 4 Ts and not 2 Ms, by my calculations (and I can't guarantee they're correct, but I can walk you through what I did if you want), there is a 35.3% chance that there is either 1 or 3 Ms.
Now if the team is yuma, ash and gkrieg, I mean no offense to gkrieg and I haven't played with him before so really I don't know, but I imagine yuma and ash are the stronger players (because they're both very strong players). I could totally see this team agreeing to a 35% chance of losing their choice of scum in exchange for getting Masons to claim, and a 65% chance of pretty much just winning the game.
Knowing there are 2-3 non-Ts, they would also have known that there were some non-VTs around which would likely claim sooner or later, giving them other targets to shoot to avoid them falling under suspicion for not dying.
To the other 3, if you're Town please consider this possibility seriously and let us know what you think.