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[Witherweaver]

Wait.

Who were XP's targets again?

Nonsense and nonsense, which is pretty consistent for town!XP.

[Witherweaver]

XP claimed to Doctor Silverspawn Night 1 and .. Hydrad? Night 2.

[Hydrad]

also one thing we can consider is a kingzog lynch or something to see if Volt cop goes through. If we have to find his partner anyways does it really hurt to let him cop someone incase he actually is town?

[Voltaire]

XP claimed to Doctor Silverspawn Night 1 and .. Hydrad? Night 2.

ok nevermind.

[Voltaire]

also one thing we can consider is a kingzog lynch or something to see if Volt cop goes through. If we have to find his partner anyways does it really hurt to let him cop someone incase he actually is town?

+1, would read again

[Eevee]

Aren't you claiming there is a roleblocker, though? No way you'd ever get a result anymore.

[Hydrad]

Aren't you claiming there is a roleblocker, though? No way you'd ever get a result anymore.

Unless we lynch his partner who is a roleblocker! i dunno.

[Voltaire]

OK, reads, do with them what you will.

Most likely we're looking at 2 in (WW/Zog/Eevee/lio).

I think lio is the most likely to be town.
Then Zog.
Then WW.
Then Eevee.

If there is time I will re-read to see if certain pairings significantly alter this. Though everyone seems in a rush.

Silver is a VT now, XP is not. So XP or I are dying tonight. Probably me, with XP being roleblocked, though they might consider roleblocking me and killing XP, depending on which way they want to WIFOM. Actually probably me to preserve the scenario where it's silver/XP, right? So I'm not living to tomorrow either way.

I will 100% vote to lynch one of the Big Three.

PPE: Yes Eevee I'm done being useful this game, I think my death is going to be much more productive.

[Eevee]

There is no rush. If you are willing to reread, we will happily wait.

[Eevee]

So no reread?

[Eevee]

Oh, you referred to being roleblocked, duh.

[silverspawn]

forget the reread. rather, give me a scenario in which you are cop and we don't have 0 T's

[Voltaire]

I will absolutely re-read for pairings.

[Voltaire]

forget the reread. rather, give me a scenario in which you are cop and we don't have 0 T's

I don't think there are any. Don't they require a SK?

[Eevee]

I will absolutely re-read for pairings.

I'm interested in this.

[Voltaire]

I will absolutely re-read for pairings.

But shit. Not until Monday. See V/LA thread, and I don't have time for a lylo-esque re-read tonight.

[silverspawn]

I don't think there are any.

in that case, I would just admit that you're scum if I were you. There is no way we don't lynch you if the only setup in which you are not scum has less than 1% chance

[Voltaire]

I don't think there are any.

in that case, I would just admit that you're scum if I were you. There is no way we don't lynch you if the only setup in which you are not scum has less than 1% chance

Pick any setup.

THE ODDS FOR THAT SPECIFIC SETUP ARE LOW

[Witherweaver]

The problem is Volt getting Roleblocked. The semiplausible explanation for this is XP is scum and the scum team was pretty confident that Hydrad would mis-shoot, which was Volt's original explanation.  But this requires XP (and hence Silver) to be scum, and now even Volt admits that XP is most likely town.

The much more believable explanation is that Volt is scum and XP has been roleblocked, because killing the IC's and Roleblocking the Doctor makes a lot of sense.

[Witherweaver]

I don't think there are any.

in that case, I would just admit that you're scum if I were you. There is no way we don't lynch you if the only setup in which you are not scum has less than 1% chance

Pick any setup.

THE ODDS FOR THAT SPECIFIC SETUP ARE LOW

I BET YOU LIKE THE ANTHROPIC PRINCIPLE TOO!!!

[Voltaire]

The problem is Volt getting Roleblocked. The semiplausible explanation for this is XP is scum and the scum team was pretty confident that Hydrad would mis-shoot, which was Volt's original explanation.  But this requires XP (and hence Silver) to be scum, and now even Volt admits that XP is most likely town.

The much more believable explanation is that Volt is scum and XP has been roleblocked, because killing the IC's and Roleblocking the Doctor makes a lot of sense.

Actually with XP's announcement that he was going to do a random-ish thing, and his terrible D1 choice, it actually seems pretty likely I slipped D2, or they had a great hunch, and knew they could safely kill IC/explore around the roleblocking.

[KingZog3]

I'm game to lynch a Vanilla townie. We may get the roleblocker, and even then they can't roleblock both cop and doctor, which I'm pretty sure XP is now.

[Voltaire]

*N1 choice

[silverspawn]

Pick any setup.

THE ODDS FOR THAT SPECIFIC SETUP ARE LOW

that's not how probability works. I'm talking about a specific aspect of the setup: the number of T's

0/7 => 1/128
1/6 => 7/128
2/5 => dunno, but much more

[silverspawn]

the 1/3 earlier was wrong, I'm pretty sure. this is something with

(A
 -
 B)

I have no idea how you even call this function in english