So this may be a newbie question too. It seems like (as town) you would generally not want to lynch during the first day. Simply because there are more town than scum. So your chance of mislynch is pretty high.. even if one or two players gets a good read, the chance of a majority going along with the correct lynch seems small.
Is there usually a day 1 lynch in these games? Has anyone done the statistics on how often they're correct?
Regardless of its correct percentage it is a lynch town get so direct(hence my current vote on Adk due to the fact that he is difficult for me to read so a great lunch if he is mafia and still a decent lynch if he is town) also there is something referred I as parity, mafia wins when the equal Hal the town so currently there are 7 town and 2 mafia;
Mislynch/nk opens day 2 with 5T 2M
Mislynch/nk opens day 3 with 3T 2M(we get one more try)
Mislynch/nk opens day 4 with 1T 2M(we lose)
Nolych/nk opens day 2 with 6T 2M
Mislynch/nk opens day 3 with 4T 2M(we get one more try)
Mislynch/nk opens day 4 with 2T 2M(we lose)
So if we mislynch today we only get 2 guesses as town, if we guess today and get it wrong we still have 2 more guesses. So in a worst case scenario today is a "free guess"
Here is an example of where a nolynch would be good
Mislynch/nk opens day 2 with 5T 2M
Mislynch/blocked nk(doc) opens day 3 with 4T 2M now if we mislynch we lose but if we
Nolynch/nk opens day 4 with 3T 2M so we have essentially gotten an extra day with a smaller town
After a blocked nightkill, we have only have one guess even if we no lynch.
I hope that makes sense T stands for town an M stands for mafia