Alright, here I am. My thoughts since last night:
I do think it is probable that we do all have second lives. It would make the game longer, the idea of a compulsive gladiator D1 in a 9p game makes more sense. It does seem likely that scum knew that ash would survive, which is probably why he got targeted again. There are other ways to explain this happening, like maybe some redirection jazz, or ash shooting himself(?). But probabilistically speaking it seems like somebody knew about it.
Here's the thing though: if all this is true, then how would we expect scum to react going into today? I would think that either they would be acting
too "surprised", or not "surprised"
enough, if you know what I mean.
Anyway this was my lens for rereading the beginning of D2.
EFHW's reaction reads natural to me. I don't think that Voltaire's flip confirms that he's town, but it's some evidence anyway. The fact that EFHW just comes out and says it sounds like something a confused person might say. If they're both scum, I guess she could be planting the seed in people's minds, but that seems like it would be clumsily done. And then she says scum "clearly knows" something else...it just gives me a towny feeling. Town points for EFHW.
Archetype...maybe a little heavy-handed. "I'm confused! Need mass-claim!" Still not sure what I think about Arch this game.
joth: Quite matter-of-fact. "Do we all have two lives?" "Guessing we all start off as secondaries and come back as Bluths." Idk joth, *do* we? But then, would scum be this blatant about it, if they did know beforehand. Hmmmm...landing pretty null here.
Volt seems maybe a little surer than he should about this...but he does have more information than the rest of us I guess. Immediately agrees with joth's two-lives speculation. I still think he should claim his new role and flavor if he's got one.
xeiron: Also quite confident. Seems quite sure about the first flip/second flip thing. Also quite quick to point out that Voltaire is not confirmed town. Slight overconfidence here, have some scum points.
Eevee's reaction seems good to me. Have some town points. Don't like the fact that his posting rate seems to have dropped off, but hey sometimes that's how it goes.
faust...faust, faust faust. I've had a bad feeling about him since D1, and I'm trying to be objective here. But I can't help but continue to feel bad about him. I found the vote on EFHW to be...indignant, I guess? It seems like he was initially too confused, then lashed out at EFHW for trying to puzzle it out, and then he seems too sure of himself..."obviously chosen before knowing about the two lives stuff". The claim I imagine is relatively worthless if there's a "true" claim underneath, and maybe he knew about that D1. Idk, it all just seems sort of like acting to me. I'm happy with a
vote: faust for now.
faust to answer your question, I had a townier read on him, but my role is kind of weird and involves randomness, so it was a tricky decision to make.
And now, it's time for the tin-foil hat portion of this episode: COLOR-BASED SCUMSLIP ANALYSIS!
It looks like the first flip color for ash and Volt was
GREEN. Fine.
ash's second flip color was
DARK, NAVY BLUE.I did wonder last night why we never got Asherskys alignment when he died (he flipped in green, but it never said that he was town).
I first thought green ment town, but now I thing it is just a confusing element added by the mod.
First flip is always in green (even for scum) the secon and final flip is in grey and states allignment.
I really think it looks like this: We have secondary characters (colored green regardless of alignment) that turn into good Bluths (colored purple) or evil Bluths (colored red presumably). And everyone keeps their wincon in the process.
So xeiron thought it was
GREY, faust thought it was
PURPLE. Now to the extent that I'm actually believing this silly argument, I think that implicates faust somewhat more than xeiron, as purple is a color that seems to be used traditionally for third-party roles, more-so than grey anyway. Maybe a SK? Ooh, and faust was the one who accused me D1 of a "3rd party slip" for mentioning that I felt like the "3rd party" for holding the hammer? That could be a double reverse guilty conscience scumslip accusation scumslip!
Definitely not no-lynch. I don't get why people push for no-lynches all the time. They're so boring!