Dominion Strategy Forum

Miscellaneous => Forum Games => Mafia Game Threads => Topic started by: yuma on October 29, 2013, 07:54:48 pm

Title: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: yuma on October 29, 2013, 07:54:48 pm
Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory

Mods: yuma Voltgloss Twistedarcher

This is a normal mafia game with the setup of Stack the Deck (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Stack_the_Deck). See further set-up and deadline information in Post 2.

This game will not start before Toy Story Mafia.

Players:
1. Voltaire
2. Walrus
3. Robz - Oompa Loompa (from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory), Vanilla Townie Lynched Day3
4. Jimmmm - Grandpa Joe (from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory), the Goon Cop killed Night3
5. ashersky - The Green Grasshopper (from James and the Giant Peach), The Mafia Goon, lynched Day2
6. faust - Matilda (from Matilda) the Innocent Child Killed Night2
7. Jorbles The Big Friendly Giant (from the BFG), the Vanilla Townie Killed Night1
8. manda
9. Teproc
10. morgrim Sophie (from the BFG) the Town Tracker Lynched Day1
11. 2.7
12. mcmcsalot Charlie Bucket (from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory Lynched Day4


Spectators Tagged: Twistedarcher, liopoil, mail-mi

Day starts:


f.ds Mafia Ruleset

The Golden Rule:

Please remember that this is a game and your main objective is to have fun! Be considerate of each other, don’t get personal, and enjoy the game.

Please read The Civility Pledge before signing up for this game. If you have not /pledged there, you cannot play here.

Excessive personal attacks or uncivil behavior may be dealt with by modifiers or modkills.

General Gameplay and Etiquette:

1. You may not quote private Moderator-supplied information (either real or fabricated) of any kind. Paraphrasing (for role claims, etc.) is acceptable, check with the mod if you need clarifications.
2. Personal communication outside of the forum postings is NOT ALLOWED unless your Role PM specifically allows it.
3. If you have a role with a Night action, your choices are due to all mods by the posted deadline (generally 48 hours from Night start during the first few Nights; later Nights may have shorter deadlines). If we do not receive your choice via PM by the posted deadline you will forfeit your actions. In case of multiple submissions, the last valid one before the deadline will be used. Generally, one team member may submit the Night Actions for all team members. See rule 7 under miscellaneous below if you anticipate being VLA while having a PR.
4. Roles with Night actions will not be able to submit an action on Night 0 (i.e. during the confirmation stage), unless your Role PM specifically allows it.
5. Any player with a Night action may instead submit a “No Action” PM to let the Mods know that you do not want to perform your expected action that Night phase, unless your Action is compulsory.
6. As a general rule you should aim for more than one post every 24 hours, minimum, to keep the game moving. Please treat this game as a commitment. If you can't commit to this game because of outside activities/responsibilities, other forum games or other contributing factors please /out before the start of the game.


Voting, Deadlines, and Player Death:

1. A simple majority (rounded up) of all living members must agree on one person for a lynch to occur prior to deadline.
2. Once you have reached a simple majority no further unvoting will change someone’s fate. Further votes will also be ignored.
3. Once a player is lynched the game enters twilight until I post a death scene; all players including the one who was lynched may continue to post during twilight.
4. Please submit votes as: Vote: PlayerName. Votes will NOT be counted if they are not bold or do not follow this syntax! Obvious abbreviations or nicknames will be counted so long as they are unambiguous.
5. Please submit vote revocations as either Unvote: PlayerName or Unvote. Unvotes are not necessary before changing votes.
6. You may Vote: No Lynch - a simple majority of these vote types are required to send the game to Night phase without a lynch.
7. Once you are killed (either via lynch or night kill) you may no longer post in the game or in Quicktopics, except for twilight. This means that you do not even get a “Bah” post. The dead in this game are silent, but will be invited to the Spectator Quicktopic.
8. Do not edit or delete posts. We don't want some players having more information than others. If you want to clarify posts, feel free to double post.
9. This game will have 10 day deadlines and 2 days nights. Because this game may run into two major American Holidays (Thanksgiving and Christmas) 2 days will be added to deadlines if those holidays occur during a day. If those holidays occur during a night, the night will be extended 2 days.

Miscellaneous/Mechanics:

1. Bold, red text is reserved for the Mod. No invisible/small text is allowed, nor is cryptography.
2. If you have an issue/problem with the game, please PM the Mods privately. Do not post issues/complaints in the game thread.
3. The Mods may make mistakes - please point out any mistakes gently. Mistakes will be corrected where possible, but sometimes mistakes are made that cannot be reversed. These will stand as final to be commiserated over after the game. In the event of an incorrect vote count the mod has the right to revert the game state back to the state before the erroneous vote count. This means that any votes cast in the meantime will become void. Any time that was lost during this even will be added back onto for deadlines. Please note that if a mistake is not caught before a flip, the erroneous vote count will become binding.
4. Please bold all requests to the Mods so that they don’t get missed.
5. Prods of missing players will be issued automatically after 24 hours of no activity (VLA posts in the official VLA thread negate automatic prods). A prodded player has 24 hours to respond or risks replacement. A player who has been prodded 3 times is subject to replacement without further notice.
6. Rule violations will be dealt with according to their severity, up to and including a Modkill, or beyond.
7. If you anticipate being unavailable for more than a 48-hour period please post a notice to that effect in the thread. Treat this game as a commitment. Be considerate – don’t leave us hanging. If you have a Power Role and go on VLA for longer than 2 days (the time period of a Night) please submit a temporary Night Action before leaving on VLA. This will be a placeholder action in the event that you will be absent during the night. Failure to submit an action before leaving will result in a "no action" that night.
8. Players who discover they are too busy to play in a game or want to leave the game for civility issues are not allowed to officially /out in the thread. A request to /out must only be done via a PM to the moderator. Please do not use this as a manipulation technique. (Note players may continue to threaten to /out or imply that they might as long as it does not include an official request). Requests to /out are final once submitted. There will be no /outing and then /inning back into the game so make sure that when you /out you have thought it through and really want to do it. Players that can't be replaced will simply be mod-killed.

Helpful Links:

--Newbie Guide

--Frequently Asked Questions

--Commonly Used Abbreviations

TO CLARIFY, I AM NOT A MODERATOR OF F.DS IN ANY WAY, SHAPE OR FORM. IN THE CONTEXT OF THIS GAME, I AM MODERATING THAT THE RULES ARE FOLLOWED AND HIDDEN ACTIONS ARE COMPLETED PROPERLY.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory
Post by: yuma on October 29, 2013, 07:54:55 pm
Game Setup

Flavor and flavor names will be taken from the books of Roald Dahl. One and only one flavor name will have intentional significance in regard to roles and/or alignment. This is all I will say on the subject.

This game will be semi-open, using the Stack the Deck setup (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Stack_the_Deck).

There will be a total of twelve players, consisting of:
2 Mafia
1 1-shot Bulletproof Traitor (Mafia Aligned)
9 Town

Mechanics:
- All roles will be used according to mafiascum specification or according to the specifications provided by the mod: links provided below.
- Daystart
- Role Modification
During pre-game, mafia have 24 hours to select which (if any) of the modifications they want to their team. A maximum of three modifications may be selected.

- Bulletproof (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Bulletproof)
 - Role Cop (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Role_Cop) - The Role Cop can both perform the kill and perform the role copping in the same night.
 - JOAT (1 shot Strongman (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Strongman), 1 shot Ninja (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Ninja))
 - Daytalk (passive ability)
 - Recruit Traitor as Mafia Goon


For each modification that is selected by the mafia, town gains an additional role as well. The town has two roles to start, resulting in a maximum of five town roles randomly selected from the following:

 - Goon Cop - returns results of Goon, Not Goon or no result regardless of alignment.
 - Roleblocker (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Roleblocker)
 - Tracker (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Tracker)
 - Bodyguard (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Bodyguard)
 - Vigilante (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Vigilante)
 - Innocent Child (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Innocent_Child) (reveal at start of day one)


- At the beginning of the game all town aligned players receive a "Vanilla Town" role. Once mafia has selected their abilities all town roles go out. This prevents claims of "received roles before/after mafia modifications".
- No player may receive more than one role/modification
- The mafia traitor may not receive any abilities if not recruited as well.
- If the mafia traitor is the last mafia player alive, he will still be a "traitor" and retain possession of the 1-shot bulletproof if it has not been used up.
- Bulletproofs are passive abilities and as such are only used up when the player is targeted for a night kill. The player will not be told if their bulletproofs have been used up. Bulletproofness cannot be roleblocked.
- Trackers tracking someone who has been roleblocked will return the result of the intended target as if it had not been roleblocked.


The following mechanic rules apply:

- Kill flavor will NOT be a clue to the identity of the killer.
- Roles that target another player at night may NOT self-target, unless specified.
- Night actions will be processed in order of "natural action resolution" (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Natural_action_resolution).  This means that:

1.  All actions that cannot possibly be modified by any other actions are resolved FIRST.
2.  After those actions are resolved, step 1 is repeated for any remaining actions, until all actions are resolved.
3.  If there is a loop - e.g., Player X's action affects Player Y's action, which affects Player Z's action, which affects Player X's action - then actions will be resolved in the following order of priority:


Copy
Hide
Bus
Block
Redirect
Protect
Miscellaneous
Kill
Recruit
Inspect


Role PMs

Mafia Goon
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factor, X. You are a Mafia goon, along with Y. Additionally you know a Mafia Traitor exists, but you do not know who they are. You have the following abilities:
-Factional communication: You may talk with your mafia partners at [quicktopic link goes here] during night phases and before the start of day one.
-Factional kill: Every night, one living member of the mafia may PM me with the name of someone who you want to kill, as well as who you want to be the killer (if no killer is specified, I will assume that the person sending the PM is the killer). That person will die unless in some way protected.
Win condition: You win when all members of the town are dead and at least one member of the mafia is alive, or nothing can prevent the same.
- Before the game begins, you may choose up to three of the following abilities to add to your faction, but for each ability you add town will get an additional ability:
Change a Mafia Goon to Mafia Role Cop
Change a Mafia Goon to Mafia Bulletproof
Change a Mafia Goon to Mafia JOAT (One Shot Ninja, One Shot Strongman)
Recruit the Mafia Traitor as a Mafia Goon
Enable passive daytalk
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

Mafia Traitor
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are a Mafia Traitor. You know that [Player Name] and [Player Name] are Mafia Goons, but they do not know who you are. You have the following abilities:
You have a one shot bulletproof ability if you are not recruited.
If you are not recruited and are the last surviving member of the mafia, you will take over the factional kill.
If you are recruited by the mafia you will become a mafia goon, but may be given an additional power as well.
Win condition: You win when all members of the town are dead and at least one member of the mafia is alive, or nothing can prevent the same.
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

Vanilla Town
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X, you are Y from MMMMMMM, a Vanilla Townie. You may receive a power role later in the game.

You win when all threats to mafia have been eliminated. Please confirm via reply PM.

After mafia has selected their modifications (if any) town roles from the following pool are distributed. No player may receive more than one of any of the roles and no more than one of any role may be present. Players that do not receive a power will not receive a PM at this point.

Town Tracker
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Tracker. You have the following abilities:
Each night you may target a player. You will be informed who, if anyone, they targeted during the night.
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

Goon Cop
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Goon Cop You have the following abilities:
Each night you may target a player. You will receive a result of "Goon", "Not a Goon" or "No Result".
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

Town Roleblocker
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Roleblocker. You have the following abilities:
Each night you may target a player. They will be prevented from performing any actions for the night.
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

Town Innocent Child
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Innocent Child. You have the following abilities:
-You are confirmed town to the rest of the game by the moderator.
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

Town Bodyguard
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Bodyguard. You have the following abilities:
-Each night you may target a player. If they would die during the night, you will die in their place.
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

Town Vigilante
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Vigilante. You have the following abilities:
- Each night you may target a player to attempt to kill.
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

Mafia Bulletproof
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Mafia Bulletproof. You have the following abilities:
- You are immune to all night kills
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

Mafia JOAT
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Mafia JOAT. You have the following abilities:
- Once during any night you may use a ninja kill. This kill will be unable to be tracked.
Once during any night you may use a strongman kill. This kill will unable to be blocked by any method.

Mafia Recruited Goon
Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Recruited Goon. Welcome, [Player Name]. You are now a Mafia Goon with [Player Name] who is a XXX and [Player Name] who is a YYY. You have the following abilities:

Factional communication: During the night phase you may talk with your partner(s) here [QuickTopic link].
Factional kill: Each night phase, one of you or your partners may perform the factional kill.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Eevee on October 29, 2013, 07:58:29 pm
Can I play, please?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: yuma on October 29, 2013, 08:03:07 pm
Can I play, please?

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Eevee on October 29, 2013, 08:05:56 pm
Can I play, please?

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
I do, I do!

(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Twistedarcher on October 29, 2013, 08:08:06 pm
/tag
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: sudgy on October 29, 2013, 08:13:56 pm
Does a golden ticket in my mind work?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: yuma on October 29, 2013, 08:16:56 pm
Does a golden ticket in my mind work?

Nope... You need a real Golden Ticket. Let me know when you get one...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: mail-mi on October 29, 2013, 08:43:32 pm
/tag
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Robz888 on October 29, 2013, 08:47:42 pm
/in
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: sudgy on October 29, 2013, 08:53:21 pm
(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)

Can I play now?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: yuma on October 29, 2013, 09:15:29 pm
/in

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Robz888 on October 29, 2013, 09:24:55 pm
/in

Do you have a Golden Ticket?

(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)

You found a Golden Ticket!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Voltgloss on October 29, 2013, 09:48:46 pm
(http://makeameme.org/media/created/250/IF-YOU-ALL-c9vhmx.jpg)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: nkirbit on October 29, 2013, 10:14:36 pm
/tag
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on October 29, 2013, 10:43:42 pm
/in if it start after November 8.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: ashersky on October 30, 2013, 01:04:06 am
Incredibly hurt and devastated that I wasn't auto-inned.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: ashersky on October 30, 2013, 01:20:30 am
Also, questions:

Set-up says town has 2 roles automatically.  So if Mafia chooses to go with zero modifications, they are 2 Goons + Unknown Traitor vs. 2 random town PRs + 7 VTs, right?

So in a way, the basic set up is:

2 Mafia Goons
1 Mafia Traitor
2 Random Town PRs
7 VTs

Then, mafia may choose up to 3 out of 5 modifications.  If they do, town receives an equal number of additional PRs.  All town PRs are determined randomly.

Is that right?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: yuma on October 30, 2013, 01:51:08 am
Incredibly hurt and devastated that I wasn't auto-inned.

Did you get a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: yuma on October 30, 2013, 01:52:15 am
So in a way, the basic set up is:

2 Mafia Goons
1 Mafia Traitor
2 Random Town PRs
7 VTs

Then, mafia may choose up to 3 out of 5 modifications.  If they do, town receives an equal number of additional PRs.  All town PRs are determined randomly.

Is that right?

This is correct. It is intended to be a mashup of Pick Your Poison and C9++.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: ashersky on October 30, 2013, 02:33:36 am
Incredibly hurt and devastated that I wasn't auto-inned.

Did you get a Golden Ticket?

(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Voltaire on October 30, 2013, 10:53:38 am
/tag
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Voltgloss on October 30, 2013, 02:31:15 pm
From wikipedia:

In 1971, Mel Stuart offered [Gene] Wilder the lead role in his film adaptation of Roald Dahl's Charlie and the Chocolate Factory. Wilder was initially hesitant, but finally accepted the role under one condition:
 
“When I make my first entrance, I'd like to come out of the door carrying a cane and then walk toward the crowd with a limp. After the crowd sees Willy Wonka is a cripple, they all whisper to themselves and then become deathly quiet. As I walk toward them, my cane sinks into one of the cobblestones I'm walking on and stands straight up, by itself... but I keep on walking, until I realize that I no longer have my cane. I start to fall forward, and just before I hit the ground, I do a beautiful forward somersault and bounce back up, to great applause.”
 
When Stuart asked why, Wilder replied, "because from that time on, no one will know if I'm lying or telling the truth."
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Robz888 on October 30, 2013, 04:02:24 pm
But I want an Oompa Loompa now...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Voltgloss on October 30, 2013, 04:23:46 pm
But I want an Oompa Loompa now...

Now there's a player who knows where he's going.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: chairs on October 30, 2013, 06:41:33 pm
(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: yuma on October 30, 2013, 06:48:07 pm
(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)

How did you get a Golden Ticket without buying a Chocolate bar? Sounds suspicious to me...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: liopoil on October 30, 2013, 06:53:34 pm
/tag for now
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Jorbles on October 30, 2013, 07:39:12 pm
Those mechanics are awesome and so is this theme. In.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: yuma on October 30, 2013, 08:01:01 pm
Those mechanics are awesome and so is this theme. In.

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Jorbles on October 30, 2013, 08:47:18 pm
Those mechanics are awesome and so is this theme. In.

Do you have a Golden Ticket?

Why a matter of fact I do, eh.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Archetype on October 30, 2013, 08:51:26 pm
/tag for now. Depends what goes on in Toy Story.

/in
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open)
Post by: Archetype on October 30, 2013, 10:45:29 pm
(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 4 spots open)
Post by: Teproc on November 01, 2013, 11:33:42 am
Hey everyone !

I've been called out by yuma for reading up on old mafia games in the past week (I read all of MI and III, skimmed through II because of the huge walls of texts), and they definitely have made me want to try this out. I've played Mafia before... kinda. I've never played any kind of Internet Mafia, but there is a game here (France) called The Werewolves of Miller's Hollow, which is basically Werewolf/Mafia, although I've always played with the variant that roles are not revealed upon kill (which makes it a very different game).

In any case, I'd be glad to join, as from what I've read so far it looks very fun (and this particular setup seems interesting enough).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 4 spots open)
Post by: yuma on November 01, 2013, 11:38:26 am
Hey everyone !

I've been called out by yuma for reading up on old mafia games in the past week (I read all of MI and III, skimmed through II because of the huge walls of texts), and they definitely have made me want to try this out. I've played Mafia before... kinda. I've never played any kind of Internet Mafia, but there is a game here (France) called The Werewolves of Miller's Hollow, which is basically Werewolf/Mafia, although I've always played with the variant that roles are not revealed upon kill (which makes it a very different game).

In any case, I'd be glad to join, as from what I've read so far it looks very fun (and this particular setup seems interesting enough).

Yay! I am thrilled!

There is just one thing I need to ask first... Do you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 4 spots open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 01, 2013, 11:39:48 am
Hey everyone !

I've been called out by yuma for reading up on old mafia games in the past week (I read all of MI and III, skimmed through II because of the huge walls of texts), and they definitely have made me want to try this out. I've played Mafia before... kinda. I've never played any kind of Internet Mafia, but there is a game here (France) called The Werewolves of Miller's Hollow, which is basically Werewolf/Mafia, although I've always played with the variant that roles are not revealed upon kill (which makes it a very different game).

In any case, I'd be glad to join, as from what I've read so far it looks very fun (and this particular setup seems interesting enough).

Welcome! I've seen the Werewolves of Miller's Hollow at my local game shop, but I instead bought Ultimate Werewolf online because it's heaps better (in my and others' opinions). I played it with people who have played Mafia with a deck of cards a lot, and they insisted on not flipping cards on death, which frustrated me. Hopefully you enjoy getting the flips! I'm sure having played IRL before will give you a leg up on other Newbies who haven't.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Teproc on November 01, 2013, 11:46:47 am
As it happens, I do !

(http://blogs-images.forbes.com/kashmirhill/files/2012/10/GoldenTicket.gif)

As far as Werewolf / Werwolwes of... goes, I actually have no idea what the differences are. I've played games with flips before, but I don't think it works as well when playing IRL with non-gamers. Online with gamers though, it definitely seems like the better option.

@Jimmmm : Thanks ! Yeah, and I also know that I should avoid smileys if I don't want Robz against me... although a lot may have changed in 30+ games I guess.

Edit : Spelling
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Eevee on November 01, 2013, 11:55:42 am
You'd think so, but not really.  :)

Welcome welcome, though! This game is shaping up to be quite awesome.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 01, 2013, 11:57:03 am
As it happens, I do !

(http://blogs-images.forbes.com/kashmirhill/files/2012/10/GoldenTicket.gif)

As far as Werewolf / Werwolwes of... goes, I actually have no idea what the differences are. I've played games with flips before, but I don't think it works as well when playing IRL with non-gamers. Online with gamers though, it definitely seems like the better option.

@Jimmmm : Thanks ! Yeah, and I also now that I should avoid smileys if I don't want Robz against me... although a lot may have change in 30+ games I guess.

The game Werewolf is simply a retheme of the game Mafia. The mechanics are, in essence, identical. There are many different versions of the game under each name, which have different roles and sometimes different rules.

If you feel more comfortable doing something - whether that be using smileys or whatever else - than deliberately avoiding doing it, my suggestion is just to do it. People will learn pretty quickly that that's just what you do, and if they forget you can simply point to another instance (preferably a completed game in which you were Town) in which you did it. I don't think using smileys has ever been a major contributor to someone getting lynched.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Robz888 on November 01, 2013, 12:13:28 pm
Welcome!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 01, 2013, 05:36:58 pm
/in
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Robz888 on November 01, 2013, 05:48:29 pm
/in

!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: mail-mi on November 01, 2013, 05:48:51 pm
/in
:o I must play with the MORGRIM. /in
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Archetype on November 01, 2013, 05:57:10 pm
Hey everyone !

I've been called out by yuma for reading up on old mafia games in the past week (I read all of MI and III, skimmed through II because of the huge walls of texts), and they definitely have made me want to try this out. I've played Mafia before... kinda. I've never played any kind of Internet Mafia, but there is a game here (France) called The Werewolves of Miller's Hollow, which is basically Werewolf/Mafia, although I've always played with the variant that roles are not revealed upon kill (which makes it a very different game).

In any case, I'd be glad to join, as from what I've read so far it looks very fun (and this particular setup seems interesting enough).

Woo!

/in

Double Woo!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Eevee on November 01, 2013, 06:03:21 pm
Just when I thought this game game couldn't get any better.. it did!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Teproc on November 01, 2013, 06:27:44 pm
So, apparently Morgrim has become a legend ? Seems fair.

Game hasn't even started yet and I'm already quoted in a signature : mission accomplished !

P.S: MIV is getting really intense guys, I'm pretty sure Robz is SK. Then again, I really didn't think O was scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: yuma on November 01, 2013, 06:29:10 pm
/in

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: yuma on November 01, 2013, 06:32:24 pm
/in
:o I must play with the MORGRIM. /in

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 1 (2) spots open)
Post by: yuma on November 01, 2013, 06:34:24 pm
1 spot open! Well 2 spots technically but Jimmmm has first dibs on the second spot and I don't think this will start until after Nov. 8th as we will want to give Toy Story some breathing room. So really only one spot open. Grab it while you can!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: mail-mi on November 01, 2013, 07:08:24 pm
/in
:o I must play with the MORGRIM. /in

Do you have a Golden Ticket?

(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 02, 2013, 10:20:18 am
/in

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
No. Am I not allowed to play now?
Kidding. Of course I do. Id rather PM it to you though, so nobody sees it. Am i allowed to do that?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 3 spots open)
Post by: yuma on November 02, 2013, 12:11:07 pm
/in

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
No. Am I not allowed to play now?
Kidding. Of course I do. Id rather PM it to you though, so nobody sees it. Am i allowed to do that?

Sure!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 1 (2) spots open)
Post by: chairs on November 04, 2013, 09:59:37 am
/out, turns out my Golden Ticket was a phony.  Can you believe it?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 1 (2) spots open)
Post by: faust on November 05, 2013, 07:20:30 am
I'm dead in M34, so I can /in here!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 1 (2) spots open)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 05, 2013, 08:19:45 am
Well isn't this fun! I get to play with a lot of peeps I've never played with before!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 1 (2) spots open)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 05, 2013, 10:33:50 am
Too good a group to stay away, besides its been awhile. /in
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 1 (2) spots open)
Post by: sudgy on November 05, 2013, 11:04:47 am
Too good a group to stay away, besides its been awhile. /in

You ready for me to nail you as town or scum again?   ;)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 1 (2) spots open)
Post by: yuma on November 05, 2013, 06:58:06 pm
I'm dead in M34, so I can /in here!

Too good a group to stay away, besides its been awhile. /in

Do either of you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: yuma on November 05, 2013, 07:00:34 pm
We are currently full with 12 players, so as long as no one /outs we are set with the players listed.

I don't know when this will start. It will kinda depend on the mood in the next few days, but almost certainly after Toy Story moves into Day2.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 05, 2013, 07:26:46 pm

(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)

I found one, I found one!!!!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: yuma on November 05, 2013, 08:34:30 pm
Please note these important changes to the Mafia Ruleset for this game


9. This game will have 10 day deadlines and 2 day nights. Because this game may run into two major American Holidays (Thanksgiving and Christmas) 2 days will be added to deadlines if those holidays occur during a day. If those holidays occur during a night, the night will be extended 2 days.

...
 
3. The Mods may make mistakes - please point out any mistakes gently. Mistakes will be corrected where possible, but sometimes mistakes are made that cannot be reversed. These will stand as final to be commiserated over after the game. In the event of an incorrect vote count the mod has the right to revert the game state back to the state before the erroneous vote count. This means that any votes cast in the meantime will become void. Any time that was lost during this event will be added back onto deadlines. Please note that if a mistake is not caught before a flip, the erroneous vote count will become binding. Please help the mod by making sure vote counts--not just your votes--are accurate.

....

7. If you anticipate being unavailable for more than a 48-hour period please post a notice to that effect in the thread. Treat this game as a commitment. Be considerate – don’t leave us hanging. If you have a Power Role and go on VLA for longer than 2 days (the time period of a Night) please submit a temporary Night Action to the mod before leaving on VLA. This will be a placeholder action in the event that you will be absent during the night. Failure to submit an action before leaving will result in a "no action" that night if you do not return from VLA before the end of night.

...

8. Players who discover they are too busy to play in a game or want to leave the game for civility issues are not allowed to officially /out in the thread. A request to /out must only be done via a PM to the moderator. Please do not use this as a manipulation technique. (Note players may continue to threaten to /out or imply that they might as long as it does not include an official request). Once the game has started requests to /out are final once submitted to the mod. There will be no /outing and then /inning back into the game so make sure that when you /out you have thought it through and really want to do it. Players that can't be replaced will simply be mod-killed. Any /outs made in the thread will be ignored by the mod.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 1 (2) spots open)
Post by: ashersky on November 05, 2013, 08:49:01 pm
Any /outs made in the thread will be ignored by the mod.

Awesome!!!!  This doesn't count then.

/out, turns out my Golden Ticket was a phony.  Can you believe it?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 05, 2013, 08:51:13 pm
/out

just testing
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups now open, 1 (2) spots open)
Post by: yuma on November 05, 2013, 08:51:24 pm
Any /outs made in the thread will be ignored by the mod.

Awesome!!!!  This doesn't count then.

/out, turns out my Golden Ticket was a phony.  Can you believe it?

You missed a modifier:
Please note these important changes to the Mafia Ruleset for this game


Once the game has started requests to /out are final once submitted to the mod. There will be no /outing and then /inning back into the game so make sure that when you /out you have thought it through and really want to do it. Players that can't be replaced will simply be mod-killed. Any /outs made in the thread will be ignored by the mod.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 05, 2013, 08:52:02 pm
Oh crap /in /in /in (after the 8th)!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: yuma on November 05, 2013, 08:52:58 pm
Oh crap /in /in /in (after the 8th)!

Man... I was worried someone was going to swoop in and steal your spot....
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 05, 2013, 08:55:54 pm
Oh crap /in /in /in (after the 8th)!

Man... I was worried someone was going to swoop in and steal your spot....

Phew that was close!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: faust on November 06, 2013, 02:37:16 am
Here's my ticket:

(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: chairs on November 06, 2013, 01:20:01 pm
/tag for the speccy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Jorbles on November 06, 2013, 01:51:10 pm
When is this expected to start? (I'm not in a rush, I'm VLA from Friday to Tuesday)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: yuma on November 06, 2013, 07:36:09 pm
When is this expected to start? (I'm not in a rush, I'm VLA from Friday to Tuesday)

It will start after that time period. I want to give enough breathing room between Toy Story. This may even start after Game of Thrones is finished... It will kinda depend on the temperament of the community and it could certainly start before that game is finished. My guess is that I will start it when Toy Story reaches mid-day2ish...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Archetype on November 06, 2013, 08:15:17 pm
Heavily considering an /out. Leave me in for now, but just know I may need to give up my spot.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: yuma on November 06, 2013, 08:17:59 pm
Heavily considering an /out. Leave me in for now, but just know I may need to give up my spot.

Okay, keep me updated.

I guess I can start accepting replacement /ins for this potential slots and any other slots that might open up between now and the start of the game. (note this isn't for replacing once the game itself starts... that will be dealt with in a different place and time.)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 08, 2013, 04:39:16 am
/in!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 09, 2013, 01:27:29 am
Need a game to start! So...

(http://cdn.memegenerator.net/instances/400x/31021317.jpg)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: yuma on November 09, 2013, 06:31:09 pm
I'll send out PMs on Monday night after work and the game will start ~ Wednesday evening with the secondary PMs going out Tuesday Night.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 09, 2013, 06:57:08 pm
Hmm, I better finish eating that chocolate bar. I wonder if I'll find anything inside...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: yuma on November 09, 2013, 08:46:58 pm
Hmm, I better finish eating that chocolate bar. I wonder if I'll find anything inside...

Ahem! Yes... Sorry... Do you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 09, 2013, 08:57:19 pm
Hooray! As a matter of fact, yes I do!

(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Archetype on November 10, 2013, 11:50:58 pm
yeah, I think I'm going to need to /out. Sadly, I don't think I'll have enough time to play this. Make sure to send me the speccy!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: mail-mi on November 10, 2013, 11:59:48 pm
Me too. Gonna be in 4 games if I stay in.

P.S. /out
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Robz888 on November 11, 2013, 12:08:49 am
Slugworth got to them.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: ashersky on November 11, 2013, 12:22:09 am
I was going to say Voltgloss should in now that he's dead, but I see he's co-modding.

Better he un-co-mod and play!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Voltgloss on November 11, 2013, 08:53:55 am
(http://assets.diylol.com/hfs/4d8/ed6/a54/resized/slugworth-meme-generator-backup-mod-ready-and-waiting-494e3d.jpg)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: chairs on November 11, 2013, 11:19:24 am
I could probably handle this, with the caveat that I'll be about as post-happy as mail-mi.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: liopoil on November 11, 2013, 03:29:52 pm
I'll play if this doesn't start until I'm dead in toy story or it ends (probably unlikely). I'll go find a ticket if that happens.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: yuma on November 11, 2013, 06:44:04 pm
I figured at least someone might /out once I started thinking about opening up the game, but that is A-OK.

I'll keep liopoil and chairs in mind, but I personally am not in a huge rush to open this and it could probably wait until Game of Thrones is over as it looks like ash's BM game and Arch's RMM game are likely to open in the next few days.

so let's push this back by about a week or so...?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Archetype on November 11, 2013, 06:47:41 pm
I figured Arch's RMM game is likely to open in the next few days.
Hah! I wouldn't count on it. :P

I may be able to re-/in if/when I die in Toy Story.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Eevee on November 11, 2013, 06:47:49 pm
that'd be much better for me!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Robz888 on November 11, 2013, 06:50:46 pm
But I want an Oompa Loompa NOW.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: Voltgloss on November 12, 2013, 09:20:32 am
But I want an Oompa Loompa NOW.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M5QGkOGZubQ (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M5QGkOGZubQ)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Signups currently full)
Post by: sudgy on November 13, 2013, 11:40:08 am
Sorry, I'm gonna have to /out too.  I'm really busy and I don't want to be in yet another mafia game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (3 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: yuma on November 13, 2013, 07:22:53 pm
We break into your usual programming Forum Survivor with breaking news. In the latest episode of widespread forgery government officials have discovered three, yes that is right three people suspected of forging tickets to Willy Wonka's Chocolate Factory. This isn't the first attempt at such blatant disregard for everything Willy Wonka stands for, but government authorities wish to assure everyone that they will remain ever vigilant in hunting down forgers and will prosecute those they currently have in custody to the full extent of the law. Here are the photos of those accused of forgery:

(https://lh4.ggpht.com/RAL24klyPvX7F-4p-hvtAt4wayiHNTFnxKXxD7dUGx2Qvcg2hKXkdH-9RcCXtCXTqQ397mY=s85) (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/avatars/Dominion%20Cards/pawn.jpg)  (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/avatars/Dark%20Ages/count.jpg)

Government officials are unsure whether the three worked together or whether there are more potential collaborators or not. Please send any tips of potential forgers to the proper authorities at 1-800-555-SCAMS.

The bright side of this development means there are now three Golden Tickets on the lose out in the world in chocolate bar wrappers. For days people had believed there were none left and chocolate sales had dropped dramatically. Business owners expect stores to sell out within hours as people try and snag these last three elusive tickets

We now return you to your regularly scheduled programming.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (3 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: ashersky on November 13, 2013, 07:35:59 pm
We break into your usual programming Forum Survivor with breaking news. In the latest episode of widespread forgery government officials have discovered three, yes that is right three people suspected of forging tickets to Willy Wonka's Chocolate Factory. This isn't the first attempt at such blatant disregard for everything Willy Wonka stands for, but government authorities wish to assure everyone that they will remain ever vigilant in hunting down forgers and will prosecute those they currently have in custody to the full extent of the law. Here are the photos of those accused of forgery:

(https://lh4.ggpht.com/RAL24klyPvX7F-4p-hvtAt4wayiHNTFnxKXxD7dUGx2Qvcg2hKXkdH-9RcCXtCXTqQ397mY=s85) (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/avatars/Dominion%20Cards/pawn.jpg)  (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/avatars/Dark%20Ages/count.jpg)

Government officials are unsure whether the three worked together or whether there are more potential collaborators or not. Please send any tips of potential forgers to the proper authorities at 1-800-555-SCAMS.

The bright side of this development means there are now three Golden Tickets on the lose out in the world in chocolate bar wrappers. For days people had believed there were none left and chocolate sales had dropped dramatically. Business owners expect stores to sell out within hours as people try and snag these last three elusive tickets

We now return you to your regularly scheduled programming.


+1 billion
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (3 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: mail-mi on November 13, 2013, 07:40:49 pm
We break into your usual programming Forum Survivor with breaking news. In the latest episode of widespread forgery government officials have discovered three, yes that is right three people suspected of forging tickets to Willy Wonka's Chocolate Factory. This isn't the first attempt at such blatant disregard for everything Willy Wonka stands for, but government authorities wish to assure everyone that they will remain ever vigilant in hunting down forgers and will prosecute those they currently have in custody to the full extent of the law. Here are the photos of those accused of forgery:

(https://lh4.ggpht.com/RAL24klyPvX7F-4p-hvtAt4wayiHNTFnxKXxD7dUGx2Qvcg2hKXkdH-9RcCXtCXTqQ397mY=s85) (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/avatars/Dominion%20Cards/pawn.jpg)  (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/avatars/Dark%20Ages/count.jpg)

Government officials are unsure whether the three worked together or whether there are more potential collaborators or not. Please send any tips of potential forgers to the proper authorities at 1-800-555-SCAMS.

The bright side of this development means there are now three Golden Tickets on the lose out in the world in chocolate bar wrappers. For days people had believed there were none left and chocolate sales had dropped dramatically. Business owners expect stores to sell out within hours as people try and snag these last three elusive tickets

We now return you to your regularly scheduled programming.


+1 billion

This.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (3 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: Robz888 on November 13, 2013, 07:42:38 pm
I'm now telling the computer exactly what it could do with a life time supply of chocolate.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (3 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: yuma on November 13, 2013, 07:47:28 pm
I'm now telling the computer exactly what it could do with a life time supply of chocolate.

For the young kids....

link (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-VujGNQpRjQ)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (3 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 13, 2013, 10:16:58 pm
(http://i.minus.com/iknGm4KCDvJkc.gif)

(/in)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 13, 2013, 10:44:32 pm
(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: Eevee on November 14, 2013, 06:00:42 am
I'm going to have to sit this one out. I'm trying to make an effort to play less games, I thought I'd start after this but I just realized I'm going to china on monday, don't know what my availability will be, but likely only mornings and evenings at the hotel.. I'll probably have a hard enough time with the games I'm in currently.

I might be available to sub in though if the need arises.

Someone should take my place though! This game is going to be a hoot, I'm sure.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2013, 10:26:50 am
Once again we break into your regularly scheduled programming: Thursday Morning Pixar Presents: Toy Story XXXIII with more information on the Golden Ticket forgeries. This time we take you to our correspondent in Finland, Reijo Hämäläinen. What can you tell us Reijo?

Well John we have learned that a very successful online poker player obtained a forged copy of a Willy Wonka ticket as part of a bet. Government officials learned of this transaction after the forger turned himself in and named the suspect as the holder of the forgery. However, in a twist of events the forger--and here is a picture of what he looks like(https://encrypted-tbn2.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQR-6pgiahN_bPrfI3IHvQceqwAXo93doEILdYHosCBjfJXH1MmCg)
--was tipped off and escaped in a private jet to China. Chinese officials are being extremely uncooperative in extraditing this suspect since embargoes against Willy Wonka Chocolate have soured the relationship between WWCF and China.

Thanks Reijo. And once again the bright side to this horrible story is that there is another ticket floating around somewhere in the world, meaning there are three tickets available. There would have been four but a large Walrus found one last night.

We return you to: Thursday Morning Pixar Presents: Toy Story XXXIII, staring Tom Chanks, Jim Allen and Kelsey Grimmer
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2013, 10:28:24 am
I'm going to have to sit this one out. I'm trying to make an effort to play less games, I thought I'd start after this but I just realized I'm going to china on monday, don't know what my availability will be, but likely only mornings and evenings at the hotel.. I'll probably have a hard enough time with the games I'm in currently.

I might be available to sub in though if the need arises.

Someone should take my place though! This game is going to be a hoot, I'm sure.

well if people keep /outing at this rate the game may still be open for signups when you return. Feel free to snag a spot if there is one open at that point. Have fun in China!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: Eevee on November 14, 2013, 12:27:57 pm
Yes, I very well may!  :)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: chairs on November 14, 2013, 05:05:51 pm
Mrgh, I want to /in, but this is a -real- game, not BM, so I'm concerned about toasting habits.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: ashersky on November 14, 2013, 05:23:56 pm
Mrgh, I want to /in, but this is a -real- game, not BM, so I'm concerned about toasting habits.

I usually put peanut butter on my toast.  Not sure how you feel about that.  Definitely better than vegemite.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 14, 2013, 05:28:57 pm
 ash showing his true American colors here :P
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: ashersky on November 14, 2013, 06:07:15 pm
ash showing his true American colors here :P

Ironic, given I'm on the Australian World Cup Dominion Team.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: nkirbit on November 14, 2013, 06:46:39 pm
ash showing his true American colors here :P

Ironic, given I'm on the Australian World Cup Dominion Team.

gasp, traitor!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2013, 08:07:37 pm
Mrgh, I want to /in, but this is a -real- game, not BM, so I'm concerned about toasting habits.

I count you as /in for now. But let me know if you feel that you want to /out later.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: ashersky on November 14, 2013, 11:41:47 pm
Mrgh, I want to /in, but this is a -real- game, not BM, so I'm concerned about toasting habits.

I count you as /in for now. But let me know if you feel that you want to /out later.

But does he have a golden ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: manda2014 on November 18, 2013, 12:26:10 am
Any guess on about when this will start? I'd like to play but I can't do anything until after December 14th...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: manda2014 on November 18, 2013, 12:42:51 am
On second though I could probably swing a start on the 11th or 12th... potentially a few days earlier, but with the understanding that I'd be all but useless for a couple days (finals, you know).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2013, 09:05:03 am
I would hope that it starts before then, but if a spot is still open come say... December 8th, you are in
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2013, 09:11:57 am
Please note two rule changes


6. As a general rule you should aim for more than one post every 24 hours, minimum, to keep the game moving. Please treat this game as a commitment. If you can't commit to this game because of outside activities/responsibilities, other forum games or other contributing factors please /out before the start of the game.
...

5. Prods of missing players will be issued automatically after 24 hours of no activity (VLA posts in the official VLA thread negate automatic prods). A prodded player has 24 hours to respond or risks replacement. A player who has been prodded 3 times is subject to replacement without further notice.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 18, 2013, 10:57:24 am
This (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg313520#msg313520) and this (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg313718#msg313718) + the fact that I have plenty of free time right now + the fact that I will not have plenty of free time once mid-January rolls around meaning that I need to play as much as I can while I can = I need a ticket

(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (2 Spots Currently Open)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2013, 05:22:26 pm
So if chairs is playing this game is full.

chairs I need confirmation that you are playing. No pressure. i am not in a huge hurry to start this up so if you feel you can't play quite yet it isn't a problem.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Full Pending Confirm per Chairs)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2013, 05:33:20 pm
/justsendmemypmcat
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 or 2 slots open)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2013, 05:55:56 pm
Oops, I forgot to remove Eevee from his slot. So his slot and maybe chairs' is still open.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 or 2 slots open)
Post by: Voltaire on November 18, 2013, 05:57:58 pm
Actually.../in.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 or 2 slots open)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2013, 06:00:06 pm
Actually.../in.

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 or 2 slots open)
Post by: Voltaire on November 18, 2013, 06:00:51 pm
Actually.../in.

Do you have a Golden Ticket?

I do, I do, I do!

(http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4MNi9Ch7QuAFlV2yASnxJGZkihDlCXjeJSSBOLNr-HYUHE5zm)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 slot open)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2013, 08:14:02 pm
So chairs is not in atm. So there is officially one slot still open.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 Slot Open)
Post by: manda2014 on November 18, 2013, 10:47:29 pm
Count my spot as open if there's someone else interested with a better schedule. Don't let me get in the way of the game starting.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 Slot Open)
Post by: ashersky on November 19, 2013, 11:31:48 pm
Count my spot as open if there's someone else interested with a better schedule. Don't let me get in the way of the game starting.

Manda, how about we count your spot as IN so we can start the game?  We're okay with you just posting a few times a day.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 Slot Open)
Post by: manda2014 on November 20, 2013, 12:09:58 am
Count my spot as open if there's someone else interested with a better schedule. Don't let me get in the way of the game starting.

Manda, how about we count your spot as IN so we can start the game?  We're okay with you just posting a few times a day.

Are you wanting to start it now? I REALLY can't start until after Thanksgiving.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 Slot Open)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2013, 12:12:02 am
Count my spot as open if there's someone else interested with a better schedule. Don't let me get in the way of the game starting.

Manda, how about we count your spot as IN so we can start the game?  We're okay with you just posting a few times a day.

Are you wanting to start it now? I REALLY can't start until after Thanksgiving.

But really, it's like this.

You confirm in.  Yuma gets PMs out tonight or tomorrow.  We have at 24-48 hours of pre-game for mafia to chat, etc.  Game starts up and it's what, Saturday night?  Sunday?  You post once or twice a day Sunday-Thursday, and it's all of a sudden post-Tgiving.

No pressure.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 Slot Open)
Post by: manda2014 on November 20, 2013, 12:16:20 am
Count my spot as open if there's someone else interested with a better schedule. Don't let me get in the way of the game starting.

Manda, how about we count your spot as IN so we can start the game?  We're okay with you just posting a few times a day.

Are you wanting to start it now? I REALLY can't start until after Thanksgiving.

But really, it's like this.

You confirm in.  Yuma gets PMs out tonight or tomorrow.  We have at 24-48 hours of pre-game for mafia to chat, etc.  Game starts up and it's what, Saturday night?  Sunday?  You post once or twice a day Sunday-Thursday, and it's all of a sudden post-Tgiving.

No pressure.

Oh okay, what the hell. Who needs responsibility, right?

/in
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 Slot Open)
Post by: Dsell on November 20, 2013, 12:19:10 am
Niiiiiice (twinclaim between manda and myself)

Also /tag
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 Slot Open)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2013, 12:39:11 am
/sendmemypmcat
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (PMs coming soon)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2013, 07:45:03 am
This thread is locked except for tags and /outs... please let there be no more /outs! I'll role the setup today sometime at work and send out initial PMs tonight at about ~9 pm ft. Please be aware that if you role one of the two mafia roles you have 24 hours to decide what sort of upgrades you would like so be ready for that
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (PMs coming soon)
Post by: shraeye on November 20, 2013, 08:42:03 am
/out
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (PMs coming soon)
Post by: mail-mi on November 20, 2013, 09:36:48 am
Speccy?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (PMs coming soon)
Post by: chairs on November 20, 2013, 03:19:38 pm
/tag
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (1 Slot Open)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2013, 06:50:36 pm
Count my spot as open if there's someone else interested with a better schedule. Don't let me get in the way of the game starting.

Manda, how about we count your spot as IN so we can start the game?  We're okay with you just posting a few times a day.

Are you wanting to start it now? I REALLY can't start until after Thanksgiving.

But really, it's like this.

You confirm in.  Yuma gets PMs out tonight or tomorrow.  We have at 24-48 hours of pre-game for mafia to chat, etc.  Game starts up and it's what, Saturday night?  Sunday?  You post once or twice a day Sunday-Thursday, and it's all of a sudden post-Tgiving.

No pressure.

Oh okay, what the hell. Who needs responsibility, right?

/in

Forgot one important thing...

Do you have a Golden Ticket?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (PMs coming soon)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2013, 07:00:28 pm
PMs going out. Thread locked except for manda to give proof of Golden Ticket.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (PMs coming soon)
Post by: manda2014 on November 20, 2013, 10:39:09 pm
(http://www.christophermcgill.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/goldenticket.gif)

Got it!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (PMs coming soon)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2013, 06:13:57 pm
I am still waiting for response(s) from a(a few) player(s). As a result I am not sending out role  PMs until all players have confirmed because I don't want people to speculate as to whether or not missing player(s) are or are not scum. If I don't hear from the missing player(s) in 24 hours I will seek out replacement(s).

Thread still locked
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night 0)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2013, 08:18:37 pm
All players have confirmed. PMs for PRs will be sent out later tonight or tomorrow morning. After those are sent out Night0 will last for 24 hours.

Thread locked
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night0)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2013, 10:30:32 pm
PMs have been sent out to PRs. If you did not receive a PM then you are the role that you received in your initial PM.

Night0 will last 24 hours. Day1 will start at ~ 10:00 pm ft Friday, sorry about the weekend start, but that is the way it goes sometimes.

Thread still locked
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2013, 10:24:13 pm
The lucky ticket holders stood in a line just outside of the gates of Willy Wonka's Chocolate Factory. There was a chill in the air. Cameras clicked and watches ticked as the time counted down to 8:00 am, the time Willy Wonka was expect to make his appearance. Willy Wonka, you see, owned a fabulous chocolate factory which made many different kinds of chocolate.

He had recently announced that he had created a new type of chocolate. Chocomotions he called it. Pop in a piece of chocolove and you would love, a piece of chocotired and you would swiftly fall to sleep. A piece of chocosad and you would gently weep or a piece of chocoglad and you would smile and show your teeth. To publicize this new invention--which truth be told still had some kinks to work out--he decided to allow 12 lucky characters into his chocolate factory for a grand tour.

The clock struck 8 and out came Willy Wonka and stood on the steps of his factory.

"So much time and so little to do.... Wait a minute! Strike that. Reverse it."

He didn't even so much as greet his guests, but quickly turned around and went back in.

Puzzled the guests followed him into the factory. There they found a ginormous display. It was full of wizbangs, whatsits and whodads galore. On display were the new chocomotions.

"Please only look," said Willy Wonka. "Don't touch, don't eat."

The guests "Oooohed" and "Awwwed" the new candies. Except for four guests. Three of the more mischievous guests on the sly took from the chocobad pile. While it tasted good the aftertaste was kinda scummy. Another guest took from the chocohonest pile. It tasted pretty bitter at first but had a sweet, innocent aftertaste. Immediately after eating, Faust (Matilda) the Innocent Child said "Willy Wonka. I must tell the truth! I took a piece from the chocohonest pile. And I think three other pieces are missing! Look, three pieces are missing from the chocobad pile."

Willy Wonka wasn't too pleased. He said, "unless the 12 of you can figure out which of you took the chocomotions no one can go on the rest of the tour. Once you you decide that someone was a culprit they will be removed the factory."

The guests were a buzz as Willy Wonka put away the chocomtions. But as he did a few rolled onto the floor and were picked up by others. No one knew what emotions or powers those candies conveyed...

Day1 Starts Now!

Vote Count 1.1

Not Voting (12): mcmcsalot, Robz, Jorbles, Jimmmmm, faust, Mogrim, ashersky, manda, Walrus, Voltaire, 2.7, Teproc

Day1 will end in 12 days (10+2 for Thanksgiving) on December 4 at 10 pm forum time

Thread Unlocked
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 22, 2013, 10:58:35 pm
Wooooooo Mafiaaaa yeahhhhh
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 23, 2013, 02:15:18 am
Wooooooo Mafiaaaa yeahhhhh

Scum slip?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 23, 2013, 02:16:00 am
Someone explain the setup.  Then I'll share my plan.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 23, 2013, 02:16:25 am
(Hint: it involves lynching Voltaire)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 23, 2013, 02:17:31 am
I think I've not played with manda or teproc.  2.7 maybe?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 23, 2013, 03:14:30 am
(Hint: it involves lynching Voltaire)

I'm on board. We just don't get along!

Vote: Voltaire

I'm going to be really and truly VLA until Sunday afternoon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 23, 2013, 05:43:28 am
Well then, I'll try to be a good IC for you all.

Before we really get started, I would like everyone to answer the following question:

If you were mafia in this game, which (if any) powers would you have picked?

Everyone's answer should include his preferred set of powers (as mafia). Don't just say "well, this looks neat, but maybe I would have also chosen that."
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 23, 2013, 08:41:21 am

I'm on board. We just don't get along!

Vote: Voltaire

I'm going to be really and truly VLA until Sunday afternoon.

I've seen this Robz before. This is scum Robz.

Vote: Robz
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 23, 2013, 10:42:05 am
(Hint: it involves lynching Voltaire)

Then where's your vote?

vote: manda 'cause I haven't played with you before.

I may not be back on the forums until Monday, but I'll try to check in at least once tomorrow. Then I'll be able to sink my teeth into this.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 23, 2013, 10:54:40 am
Well then, I'll try to be a good IC for you all.

Before we really get started, I would like everyone to answer the following question:

If you were mafia in this game, which (if any) powers would you have picked?

Everyone's answer should include his preferred set of powers (as mafia). Don't just say "well, this looks neat, but maybe I would have also chosen that."

Think about whether this is actually a good idea or not. I think in the past pick your poison setups, we determined it was not. It helps the Mafia determine who has which PR.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 23, 2013, 11:14:48 am
Well then, I'll try to be a good IC for you all.

Before we really get started, I would like everyone to answer the following question:

If you were mafia in this game, which (if any) powers would you have picked?

Everyone's answer should include his preferred set of powers (as mafia). Don't just say "well, this looks neat, but maybe I would have also chosen that."

Think about whether this is actually a good idea or not. I think in the past pick your poison setups, we determined it was not. It helps the Mafia determine who has which PR.

Can you expand on how this would help mafia to find PRs?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 23, 2013, 04:35:00 pm
I'm at work until 9:30 central. I'll be following along on my phone whenever I have a chance, but won't be able to post until I'm off.

Excited to play though!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on November 23, 2013, 06:48:27 pm

Vote Count 1.2

Voltaire (1): Robz
Robz (1): Jimmmmmm
manda (1): Voltaire

Not Voting (9): mcmcsalot, Jorbles, faust, Morgrim, ashersky, manda, Walrus, 2.7, Teproc

Day1 will end in 12 days (10+2 for Thanksgiving) on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 23, 2013, 09:53:06 pm
Well then, I'll try to be a good IC for you all.

Before we really get started, I would like everyone to answer the following question:

If you were mafia in this game, which (if any) powers would you have picked?

Everyone's answer should include his preferred set of powers (as mafia). Don't just say "well, this looks neat, but maybe I would have also chosen that."

Think about whether this is actually a good idea or not. I think in the past pick your poison setups, we determined it was not. It helps the Mafia determine who has which PR.

I haven't read any past games with a similar set-up to this one, but I think Robz makes a good point. Since there's not a way to get that info to the IC privately and let him interpret it without everyone knowing, it seems like it would give way too much information to the mafia.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 23, 2013, 09:57:51 pm
Wouldn't the mafia already know what they picked?  Getting the opinions of town on the relative strengths of mafia powers won't help them pick better ones, if they chose any at all.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2013, 05:25:02 am
Well then, I'll try to be a good IC for you all.

Before we really get started, I would like everyone to answer the following question:

If you were mafia in this game, which (if any) powers would you have picked?

Everyone's answer should include his preferred set of powers (as mafia). Don't just say "well, this looks neat, but maybe I would have also chosen that."

Think about whether this is actually a good idea or not. I think in the past pick your poison setups, we determined it was not. It helps the Mafia determine who has which PR.

I haven't read any past games with a similar set-up to this one, but I think Robz makes a good point. Since there's not a way to get that info to the IC privately and let him interpret it without everyone knowing, it seems like it would give way too much information to the mafia.

Which kind of information is it that you think the mafia could use against us?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 24, 2013, 11:13:07 am
Which kind of information is it that you think the mafia could use against us?

I suppose our PRs might be biased to think that mafia chose more powers since they themselves have a PR (even though town has 2 PRs anyway)...I actually don't think this could go wrong as long as people are careful.

So, ash, do you actually have a plan?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 24, 2013, 11:26:50 am
Initially posted in the wrong thread:

I think if I was scum I would find a way to give each scum and Town power a rating, and pick the scum powers which have ratings above the average for Town powers. Sounds like a lot of work though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 24, 2013, 11:28:37 am
I think I agree with Robz here. I don't see what would be gained by a theory discussion in this setup, it seems like all we'd be doing is giving mafia info about what we think they've done, which I'm sure can be useful to them... somehow ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2013, 12:01:07 pm
I think I agree with Robz here. I don't see what would be gained by a theory discussion in this setup, it seems like all we'd be doing is giving mafia info about what we think they've done, which I'm sure can be useful to them... somehow ?

How? HOW can it be useful for them?! Everyone who is opposed to this remains awfully vague as to how discussing this would benefit scum.

Here's what I think: Going through this is going to help us determine how many PRs there are and against what we are playing. Both things that the mafia already knows. I seriously doubt that this will hurt us.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 24, 2013, 12:05:00 pm
I think I agree with Robz here. I don't see what would be gained by a theory discussion in this setup, it seems like all we'd be doing is giving mafia info about what we think they've done, which I'm sure can be useful to them... somehow ?

How? HOW can it be useful for them?! Everyone who is opposed to this remains awfully vague as to how discussing this would benefit scum.

Here's what I think: Going through this is going to help us determine how many PRs there are and against what we are playing. Both things that the mafia already knows. I seriously doubt that this will hurt us.

How are we going to determine how many PRs there are short of claiming PR/non-PR? Do you really trust scum to tell us what they actually picked?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2013, 02:18:21 pm
I think I agree with Robz here. I don't see what would be gained by a theory discussion in this setup, it seems like all we'd be doing is giving mafia info about what we think they've done, which I'm sure can be useful to them... somehow ?

How? HOW can it be useful for them?! Everyone who is opposed to this remains awfully vague as to how discussing this would benefit scum.

Here's what I think: Going through this is going to help us determine how many PRs there are and against what we are playing. Both things that the mafia already knows. I seriously doubt that this will hurt us.

How are we going to determine how many PRs there are short of claiming PR/non-PR? Do you really trust scum to tell us what they actually picked?

We may be able to conclude stuff from the result of this. Say everyone agrees that choosing exactly one scum power is bad. If everyone agrees on this, chances are the mafia came to the same conclusion (even if they lied about it). This makes it highly unlikely that town has exactly 3 PRs.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 24, 2013, 02:29:36 pm
Oh hey the game started! I'm busy most of today, but I'll catchup tomorrow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 24, 2013, 03:34:43 pm
Okay, here's how it helps scum:

If I say, "Well, I really don't think scum would put in X, but tey really wouldn't add Y," and then ashersky says, "No Robz, don't know about X but I can definitely see them using Y." Well, then the mafia know that I probably don't have power Y, but might indeed have power X, and reverse for ashersky. So it ends up helping mafia narrow down who might have which PR. Unless we deliberately lie about what PRs we think are int he game, in order to throww off mafia, but then that defeats the purpose of even talking about it. Make sense?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 24, 2013, 04:18:06 pm
Um, I think you read the setup wrong Robz. Mafia doesn't choose the PRs town has, it chooses it's own PRs and then town gets X PRs, where X is the number of PRs mafia took.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 24, 2013, 04:20:48 pm
Um, I think you read the setup wrong Robz. Mafia doesn't choose the PRs town has, it chooses it's own PRs and then town gets X PRs, where X is the number of PRs mafia took.

Okay, yeah you're right.

On the plus side, this makes me an IC now, yes?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 24, 2013, 04:21:34 pm
Um, I think you read the setup wrong Robz. Mafia doesn't choose the PRs town has, it chooses it's own PRs and then town gets X PRs, where X is the number of PRs mafia took.

Okay, yeah you're right.

On the plus side, this makes me an IC now, yes?

You're claiming IC status?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 24, 2013, 04:22:10 pm
Um, I think you read the setup wrong Robz. Mafia doesn't choose the PRs town has, it chooses it's own PRs and then town gets X PRs, where X is the number of PRs mafia took.

Okay, yeah you're right.

On the plus side, this makes me an IC now, yes?

You're claiming IC status?

Because the act of claiming IC status nullifies any Town points you may have otherwise received.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 24, 2013, 04:23:37 pm
Um, I think you read the setup wrong Robz. Mafia doesn't choose the PRs town has, it chooses it's own PRs and then town gets X PRs, where X is the number of PRs mafia took.

Okay, yeah you're right.

On the plus side, this makes me an IC now, yes?

You're claiming IC status?

Because the act of claiming IC status nullifies any Town points you may have otherwise received.

Discrediting the IC! This is Voltaire's fullproof way of finding scum.

What a laughably easy Day 1. Vote: Jimm
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 24, 2013, 04:33:11 pm
Um, I think you read the setup wrong Robz. Mafia doesn't choose the PRs town has, it chooses it's own PRs and then town gets X PRs, where X is the number of PRs mafia took.

Okay, yeah you're right.

On the plus side, this makes me an IC now, yes?

You're claiming IC status?

Because the act of claiming IC status nullifies any Town points you may have otherwise received.

Discrediting the IC! This is Voltaire's fullproof way of finding scum.

What a laughably easy Day 1. Vote: Jimm

I like it! vote: jimm
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 24, 2013, 05:31:55 pm
Yeah I'm not a huge fan of what Rob just did. Trying to get town points for not knowing the setup, and then acting all jokey about it when called out ? I think that's enough for a vote: Robz actually.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 24, 2013, 05:40:23 pm
Yeah I'm not a huge fan of what Rob just did. Trying to get town points for not knowing the setup, and then acting all jokey about it when called out ? I think that's enough for a vote: Robz actually.

How serious do you think he is?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 24, 2013, 05:41:05 pm
And by that I mean, do you think he actually thinks he deserves Town points, and does he actually think I'm scummy for not giving them to him?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 24, 2013, 05:59:03 pm
I think he was serious about deserving town points, but not about you being scummy for not giving them.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 24, 2013, 06:04:21 pm
I think he was serious about deserving town points, but not about you being scummy for not giving them.

In fact, the opposite.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 24, 2013, 06:06:30 pm
I think he was serious about deserving town points, but not about you being scummy for not giving them.

In fact, the opposite.

Well that makes no sense. You were not serious about being an IC but you were serious about me "discrediting the IC" which you were not serious about?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 24, 2013, 06:22:58 pm
I think he was serious about deserving town points, but not about you being scummy for not giving them.

In fact, the opposite.

Well that makes no sense. You were not serious about being an IC but you were serious about me "discrediting the IC" which you were not serious about?

I don't think I'm actually an IC now--although I reserve the right to demand to be treated like one--but I do think you got a little too enthusiastic and desperate to communicate your point that I wasn't an IC.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 24, 2013, 06:26:28 pm
I think he was serious about deserving town points, but not about you being scummy for not giving them.

In fact, the opposite.

Well that makes no sense. You were not serious about being an IC but you were serious about me "discrediting the IC" which you were not serious about?

I don't think I'm actually an IC now--although I reserve the right to demand to be treated like one--but I do think you got a little too enthusiastic and desperate to communicate your point that I wasn't an IC.

Well my tone was not entirely serious. Also I misread your post at first (missed the word "me") so my first post was just clarifying what you were saying.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on November 24, 2013, 07:16:52 pm
Vote Count 1.3

Robz (2): Jimmmmmm, Teproc
manda (1): Voltaire
Jimmmmm (2): Robz, mcmc

Not Voting (8): Jorbles, faust, Morgrim, ashersky, manda, Walrus, 2.7

Day1 will end in 12 days (10+2 for Thanksgiving) on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 25, 2013, 01:42:44 am
Sorry for my absence; based on the activity level in here though it looks to be a common state of affairs. I did want to get something down though.

I'm sure faust will be glad not to be mislynched for once! Well I haven't looked at the setup in great detail, but my first impression is that JOAT seems like the most useful power for scum.

Mini-wagons on Jimmmmm and Robz, eh? Well I like the one on Robz better. In fact vote: Robz. Even disregarding all this IC quasi-joking, from what I've seen scum!Robz is active and vibrant, while his town self is notoriously aloof. Despite the fact that he's been V/LA he's been one of the most frequent posters so far. Normally this would be a good thing. But for Robz it raises warning flags.

HOWEVER, I would also like to recall something that yuma said in Game of Thrones, to the effect that it is natural to want to scumhunt the active posters Day 1, because they're the ones who have actually out out material to analyze. We definitely should have LALL'ed more in that game. So let's get a few more posts down and see who's still L'ing.

I also walk away from the opening exchange with a slight scum read on ash. Talking about scum slips, talking about having a plan (without actually having one)--it all plays very nicely into ash's established meta without being very substantial. I would think that town!ash would actually have a plan and just jump right into it. Maybe someone better versed in asherskian iconography would care to comment.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 01:46:25 am
In fact vote: Robz. Even disregarding all this IC quasi-joking, from what I've seen scum!Robz is active and vibrant, while his town self is notoriously aloof. Despite the fact that he's been V/LA he's been one of the most frequent posters so far. Normally this would be a good thing. But for Robz it raises warning flags.

Lies. All lies.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 01:57:44 am
I think he was serious about deserving town points, but not about you being scummy for not giving them.

In fact, the opposite.

Well that makes no sense. You were not serious about being an IC but you were serious about me "discrediting the IC" which you were not serious about?

I don't think I'm actually an IC now--although I reserve the right to demand to be treated like one--but I do think you got a little too enthusiastic and desperate to communicate your point that I wasn't an IC.

Start treating the actual IC like one before you demand any rights to be treated like one yourself!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 02:03:06 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 02:11:55 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

I think this exercise is really quite useless. I'm not mafia, so I didn't give this question any thought, so now I'm like going over the setup trying to figure out what I would do if I was not my own role PM, and this seems pretty pointless. I mean I don't know that the people who ARE mafia are going to agree with me on what PRs are the right choices.

Okay, well I would not take BP; what's the point? There may not even be a Vig, and Vig's shoot town (mostly).
Role Cop seems overly risky and unnecessary, given that town could have a Tracker.
With JOAT, Strongman kill can backfire here if you shoot your Mafia Traitor.
I'm not convinced recruiting the Traitor is worthwhile.

Weird as it sounds, I might take just Daychat, or even nothing.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 02:16:08 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

You actually stole my plan.

Been busy today, will post more soon.  Hectic week for me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 02:18:00 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

I think this exercise is really quite useless. I'm not mafia, so I didn't give this question any thought, so now I'm like going over the setup trying to figure out what I would do if I was not my own role PM, and this seems pretty pointless. I mean I don't know that the people who ARE mafia are going to agree with me on what PRs are the right choices.

Okay, well I would not take BP; what's the point? There may not even be a Vig, and Vig's shoot town (mostly).
Role Cop seems overly risky and unnecessary, given that town could have a Tracker.
With JOAT, Strongman kill can backfire here if you shoot your Mafia Traitor.
I'm not convinced recruiting the Traitor is worthwhile.

Weird as it sounds, I might take just Daychat, or even nothing.

Agree with most of this.  I think day chat is coolest.  I think all or none would be my play.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 03:03:08 am
Agree with most of this.  I think day chat is coolest.  I think all or none would be my play.
What do you mean with "all"? You can only take three out of five.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 03:04:30 am
Agree with most of this.  I think day chat is coolest.  I think all or none would be my play.
What do you mean with "all"? You can only take three out of five.

Oh.  Then three.  Max or none, I think.  Because the expectation would be in between.  That was my point, that the most likely move is something between the minimum and maximum possible.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 03:05:41 am
Which kind of information is it that you think the mafia could use against us?

I suppose our PRs might be biased to think that mafia chose more powers since they themselves have a PR (even though town has 2 PRs anyway)...I actually don't think this could go wrong as long as people are careful.

So, ash, do you actually have a plan?

As mentioned, Faust stole it.

My actual idea was to have everyone rank all mafia powers in strength order and see what came out of that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 03:06:25 am
Initially posted in the wrong thread:

I think if I was scum I would find a way to give each scum and Town power a rating, and pick the scum powers which have ratings above the average for Town powers. Sounds like a lot of work though.

vote: jimmmmm for hiding in plain sight.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 03:06:41 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

I think this exercise is really quite useless. I'm not mafia, so I didn't give this question any thought, so now I'm like going over the setup trying to figure out what I would do if I was not my own role PM, and this seems pretty pointless. I mean I don't know that the people who ARE mafia are going to agree with me on what PRs are the right choices.

Seriously? Like, you didn't read this?

Please be aware that if you role one of the two mafia roles you have 24 hours to decide what sort of upgrades you would like so be ready for that

I absolutely thought about what roles I want to take if I get a mafia PM. Are you just trying to paint yourself extra-townie?

FoS: Robz
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 03:08:50 am
Yeah I'm not a huge fan of what Rob just did. Trying to get town points for not knowing the setup, and then acting all jokey about it when called out ? I think that's enough for a vote: Robz actually.

I quote tepid here, but am replying to the whole Robz ic thing.  This is classic town Robz.  Lazy, irreverent, doomed to fail.

This brings back memories of "just lynch newbies" Robz from MX.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 03:10:58 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

I think this exercise is really quite useless. I'm not mafia, so I didn't give this question any thought, so now I'm like going over the setup trying to figure out what I would do if I was not my own role PM, and this seems pretty pointless. I mean I don't know that the people who ARE mafia are going to agree with me on what PRs are the right choices.

Seriously? Like, you didn't read this?

Please be aware that if you role one of the two mafia roles you have 24 hours to decide what sort of upgrades you would like so be ready for that

I absolutely thought about what roles I want to take if I get a mafia PM. Are you just trying to paint yourself extra-townie?

FoS: Robz

Okay. Well, I didn't, because I didn't get a mafia PM.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 03:13:35 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

I think this exercise is really quite useless. I'm not mafia, so I didn't give this question any thought, so now I'm like going over the setup trying to figure out what I would do if I was not my own role PM, and this seems pretty pointless. I mean I don't know that the people who ARE mafia are going to agree with me on what PRs are the right choices.

Seriously? Like, you didn't read this?

Please be aware that if you role one of the two mafia roles you have 24 hours to decide what sort of upgrades you would like so be ready for that

I absolutely thought about what roles I want to take if I get a mafia PM. Are you just trying to paint yourself extra-townie?

FoS: Robz

"Didn't read the setup Robz" is also town!robz.  He knows this and could try to fake it, but I don't think he is.

Remember, "claim the wrong pr and get lynched on D1 as town anyway" is also a Robz that exists.  Other vets will back me up here, I think.

Scum!robz isn't this easy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 03:47:47 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

Goodness, I don't know. *Checks roles* JoAT and Bulletproof seem weaker than the average Town role, but of course also provide Godfather in case there's a Cop. Daytalk is great but probably not worth giving Town an extra role. Recruiting the Traitor would be good, but of couse is an anti-Godfather. In the end I'd probably take the Role Cop and see what my partner thought about recruiting the Traitor.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 03:49:03 am
Initially posted in the wrong thread:

I think if I was scum I would find a way to give each scum and Town power a rating, and pick the scum powers which have ratings above the average for Town powers. Sounds like a lot of work though.

vote: jimmmmm for hiding in plain sight.

Meaning?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 03:54:40 am
"Didn't read the setup Robz" is also town!robz.  He knows this and could try to fake it, but I don't think he is.

Remember, "claim the wrong pr and get lynched on D1 as town anyway" is also a Robz that exists.  Other vets will back me up here, I think.

Scum!robz isn't this easy.

I understand your first two points. They are both Town Robz we've seen before. I could see scum Robz not reading the setup before starting discussions with his partner and being corrected, and realising that he would do the same in the game thread if he was Town.

I disagree with your last point, in that even if this is scum Robz, it's not "this easy". Like, we don't have a big slamdunk case and Day 1 lynches are never easy, and any big Day 1 wagon always dissipates at some point. Robz knows that and so do you.

I guess in the end I could see Robz' behaviour as coming from either Town or scum, so I'm pretty null, which probably means I should Unvote.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 04:32:39 am
Initially posted in the wrong thread:

I think if I was scum I would find a way to give each scum and Town power a rating, and pick the scum powers which have ratings above the average for Town powers. Sounds like a lot of work though.

vote: jimmmmm for hiding in plain sight.

Meaning?

Meaning your statement was you being truthful about what you did as scum and masked as an "if I were scum" statement.  You are pulling a purloined letter.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 04:33:05 am
Speaking of which, dibs on Edgar Allan Poe Mafia.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 04:33:56 am
Initially posted in the wrong thread:

I think if I was scum I would find a way to give each scum and Town power a rating, and pick the scum powers which have ratings above the average for Town powers. Sounds like a lot of work though.

vote: jimmmmm for hiding in plain sight.

Meaning?

Meaning your statement was you being truthful about what you did as scum and masked as an "if I were scum" statement.  You are pulling a purloined letter.

I wasn't pulling anything. This was in response to a question asking what we would do as scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 04:35:53 am
Initially posted in the wrong thread:

I think if I was scum I would find a way to give each scum and Town power a rating, and pick the scum powers which have ratings above the average for Town powers. Sounds like a lot of work though.

vote: jimmmmm for hiding in plain sight.

Meaning?

Meaning your statement was you being truthful about what you did as scum and masked as an "if I were scum" statement.  You are pulling a purloined letter.

I wasn't pulling anything. This was in response to a question asking what we would do as scum.

And I'm saying you did exactly what you wrote.  You assign values and chose roles based on them.  Then you told us you would do it so we would think you didn't.

I mean, not solid by any means, but it's early D1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 04:40:32 am
Initially posted in the wrong thread:

I think if I was scum I would find a way to give each scum and Town power a rating, and pick the scum powers which have ratings above the average for Town powers. Sounds like a lot of work though.

vote: jimmmmm for hiding in plain sight.

Meaning?

Meaning your statement was you being truthful about what you did as scum and masked as an "if I were scum" statement.  You are pulling a purloined letter.

I wasn't pulling anything. This was in response to a question asking what we would do as scum.

And I'm saying you did exactly what you wrote.  You assign values and chose roles based on them.  Then you told us you would do it so we would think you didn't.

I mean, not solid by any means, but it's early D1.

Well yeah I've done that sort of thing before as scum. But there's no basis to your accusation. You could pick anyone's response to the question and say exactly the same thing. I just said what crossed my mind when I initially read the setup, before I knew my alignment.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 04:43:03 am
Initially posted in the wrong thread:

I think if I was scum I would find a way to give each scum and Town power a rating, and pick the scum powers which have ratings above the average for Town powers. Sounds like a lot of work though.

vote: jimmmmm for hiding in plain sight.

Meaning?

Meaning your statement was you being truthful about what you did as scum and masked as an "if I were scum" statement.  You are pulling a purloined letter.

I wasn't pulling anything. This was in response to a question asking what we would do as scum.

And I'm saying you did exactly what you wrote.  You assign values and chose roles based on them.  Then you told us you would do it so we would think you didn't.

I mean, not solid by any means, but it's early D1.

Well yeah I've done that sort of thing before as scum. But there's no basis to your accusation. You could pick anyone's response to the question and say exactly the same thing. I just said what crossed my mind when I initially read the setup, before I knew my alignment.

Probably.  But yours stuck out, so I voted.  At the very least, it got some convo going and a reaction on record.  Others can weigh in.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 04:45:03 am
Initially posted in the wrong thread:

I think if I was scum I would find a way to give each scum and Town power a rating, and pick the scum powers which have ratings above the average for Town powers. Sounds like a lot of work though.

vote: jimmmmm for hiding in plain sight.

Meaning?

Meaning your statement was you being truthful about what you did as scum and masked as an "if I were scum" statement.  You are pulling a purloined letter.

I wasn't pulling anything. This was in response to a question asking what we would do as scum.

And I'm saying you did exactly what you wrote.  You assign values and chose roles based on them.  Then you told us you would do it so we would think you didn't.

I mean, not solid by any means, but it's early D1.

Well yeah I've done that sort of thing before as scum. But there's no basis to your accusation. You could pick anyone's response to the question and say exactly the same thing. I just said what crossed my mind when I initially read the setup, before I knew my alignment.

Probably.  But yours stuck out, so I voted.  At the very least, it got some convo going and a reaction on record.  Others can weigh in.

Were you aware at the time that I'd received two of the previous three votes? Did that factor into your vote?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 25, 2013, 04:57:36 am
"Didn't read the setup Robz" is also town!robz.  He knows this and could try to fake it, but I don't think he is.

Remember, "claim the wrong pr and get lynched on D1 as town anyway" is also a Robz that exists.  Other vets will back me up here, I think.

Scum!robz isn't this easy.

You know what this reminds me of ? It reminds of mail-mi in GoT, where he got away with a super scummy voting history because "oh, he's just mail-mi". People are aware of what their meta are, they can play around with that. I'm fine with my vote for now.

I'm also not sure what you're going on about with Jimmmmm, it seemed like a pretty simple answer to faust's question. I mean, anyone answering that question is gonna say "If I were mafia, I would...", so I don't see what's specifically scummy about Jimmmmm's post here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 05:09:08 am

Were you aware at the time that I'd received two of the previous three votes? Did that factor into your vote?

Worried about a wagon now?  Didn't you just say a bit ago early wagons dissipate and aren't worth worrying about?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 05:10:52 am

Were you aware at the time that I'd received two of the previous three votes? Did that factor into your vote?

Worried about a wagon now?  Didn't you just say a bit ago early wagons dissipate and aren't worth worrying about?

No I was just assuming that the vote was related to the others. I guess it was a less serious vote than I took it for. Are you going to answer my questions?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 05:13:00 am
Teproc, since you're online and posting, could you answer my question?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 25, 2013, 05:16:58 am
I still don't think it's a great idea but sure.

I would have picked JOAT+Roleblocker, for two reasons. First, these are the only two that actually fight PRs. Second, it makes the Goon Cop completely useless

Maybe Day Chat is very powerful and I'm underestimating it though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 05:50:02 am
Also, Jimmmmm, you haven't really answered yet. You don't need to do your rating stuff if you don't have the time, just imagine you just got a mafia PM and had to decide within 24 hours. Which powers would you pick?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 05:51:01 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

Goodness, I don't know. *Checks roles* JoAT and Bulletproof seem weaker than the average Town role, but of course also provide Godfather in case there's a Cop. Daytalk is great but probably not worth giving Town an extra role. Recruiting the Traitor would be good, but of couse is an anti-Godfather. In the end I'd probably take the Role Cop and see what my partner thought about recruiting the Traitor.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 05:51:57 am
It was less complicated than I thought, and numbers probably wouldn't help much.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 05:52:40 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

Goodness, I don't know. *Checks roles* JoAT and Bulletproof seem weaker than the average Town role, but of course also provide Godfather in case there's a Cop. Daytalk is great but probably not worth giving Town an extra role. Recruiting the Traitor would be good, but of couse is an anti-Godfather. In the end I'd probably take the Role Cop and see what my partner thought about recruiting the Traitor.

Oh, sorry, forgot that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 25, 2013, 09:34:50 am
First of all, did anyone actually read the setup?

Um, I think you read the setup wrong Robz. Mafia doesn't choose the PRs town has, it chooses it's own PRs and then town gets X PRs, where X is the number of PRs mafia took.

Teproc is not quite right here.  Mafia does not choose PRs town has, they choose their own, then town gets 2+X PRs, where X is the number of PRs mafia took.

During pre-game, mafia have 24 hours to select which (if any) of the modifications they want to their team. A maximum of three modifications may be selected.

- Bulletproof (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Bulletproof)
 - Role Cop (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Role_Cop) - The Role Cop can both perform the kill and perform the role copping in the same night.
 - JOAT (1 shot Strongman (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Strongman), 1 shot Ninja (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Ninja))
 - Daytalk (passive ability)
 - Recruit Traitor as Mafia Goon


For each modification that is selected by the mafia, town gains an additional role as well. The town has two roles to start, resulting in a maximum of five town roles randomly selected from the following:

 - Goon Cop - returns results of Goon, Not Goon or no result regardless of alignment.
 - Roleblocker (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Roleblocker)
 - Tracker (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Tracker)
 - Bodyguard (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Bodyguard)
 - Vigilante (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Vigilante)
 - Innocent Child (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Innocent_Child) (reveal at start of day one)


So we know of one town PR (our wonderful IC faust), but that doesn't say anything at all about mafia PRs because we knew that we would have at least 2.  I will discuss my thoughts on ranking mafia PRs in another post, but I wanted to make sure my fellow town members did not jump to any conclusions that we know for certainty that mafia has in fact took advantage of the PRs they had available, because we do not know that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 25, 2013, 09:54:55 am
Okay so to answer the pr question thingy, for me it would depend on the scum team I was with. If I was with a team I thought could win I would chose no additional powers, if I was with a team I thought was very strategic but not so good at mid day communication I would pick day talk, and if I was with a team I though was really going to need help I would pick recruit.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 25, 2013, 09:57:23 am
My Personal Mafia PR PR  (Power Role Power Ranking).

1. JOAT (1 shot Strongman, 1 shot Ninja) - Extra NK.  yes please.
2. Daytalk (passive ability) - Can be very useful in developing strategies during the day.
3. Recruit Traitor as Mafia Goon - Useful for several reasons.  Don't want to mistakenly kill your buddy, day or night.
4. Role Cop - Could be useful, but not as much as the others
5. Bulletproof - one town PR can possibly kill you, and why risk taking a PR that could end up useless if town doesn't even get the Vigilante?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 25, 2013, 09:59:22 am
That's actually what I was saying 2.7, except I apparently forgot to say "X+2" in my post.

JOAT isn't an extra NK, it's instead of the regular night kill, right ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 25, 2013, 10:00:17 am
Well then, I'll try to be a good IC for you all.

Before we really get started, I would like everyone to answer the following question:

If you were mafia in this game, which (if any) powers would you have picked?

Everyone's answer should include his preferred set of powers (as mafia). Don't just say "well, this looks neat, but maybe I would have also chosen that."

I would have chosen Daytalk and JOAT. The other ones don't seem worth creating another town PR.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 25, 2013, 10:03:43 am
That's actually what I was saying 2.7, except I apparently forgot to say "X+2" in my post.

JOAT isn't an extra NK, it's instead of the regular night kill, right ?
if that is the case i need to redo my power rankings
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 25, 2013, 10:04:41 am
Actually changing my answer a bit, just more likely to pick a pr now then before, the ic sucks in this setup(no offense Faust) I believe most of an Ic's power has nothing to do with who roles it and what they do, it all has to do with the setup which does not favor an ic here. So now there really aren't many good powers.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 25, 2013, 10:11:09 am
Yeah I'm not a huge fan of what Rob just did. Trying to get town points for not knowing the setup, and then acting all jokey about it when called out ? I think that's enough for a vote: Robz actually.

Yeah, that seems like something I might see Robz fake for a bit of town cred. I'm willing to vote Robz (once I catch up).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 25, 2013, 10:11:49 am
I still don't think it's a great idea but sure.

I would have picked JOAT+Roleblocker, for two reasons. First, these are the only two that actually fight PRs. Second, it makes the Goon Cop completely useless

Maybe Day Chat is very powerful and I'm underestimating it though.

Not sure if anyone has corrected this yet, but there's no Roleblocker as an option. Does this change your answer?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 25, 2013, 10:13:06 am
I meant Rolecop, sorry. Really should proofread more apparently...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 25, 2013, 10:13:20 am
Yeah I'm not a huge fan of what Rob just did. Trying to get town points for not knowing the setup, and then acting all jokey about it when called out ? I think that's enough for a vote: Robz actually.

Yeah, that seems like something I might see Robz fake for a bit of town cred. I'm willing to vote Robz (once I catch up).

Okey dokey. Vote: Robz.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 10:14:10 am
That's actually what I was saying 2.7, except I apparently forgot to say "X+2" in my post.

JOAT isn't an extra NK, it's instead of the regular night kill, right ?

I think JOAT should not be an additional NK. That would be OP.

Just to make sure, let's ask the mod:

JOAT isn't an extra NK, it's instead of the regular night kill, right ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 10:15:13 am
My Personal Mafia PR PR  (Power Role Power Ranking).

1. JOAT (1 shot Strongman, 1 shot Ninja) - Extra NK.  yes please.
2. Daytalk (passive ability) - Can be very useful in developing strategies during the day.
3. Recruit Traitor as Mafia Goon - Useful for several reasons.  Don't want to mistakenly kill your buddy, day or night.
4. Role Cop - Could be useful, but not as much as the others
5. Bulletproof - one town PR can possibly kill you, and why risk taking a PR that could end up useless if town doesn't even get the Vigilante?

How many of those would you pick as mafia?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 10:16:40 am
Actually changing my answer a bit, just more likely to pick a pr now then before, the ic sucks in this setup(no offense Faust) I believe most of an Ic's power has nothing to do with who roles it and what they do, it all has to do with the setup which does not favor an ic here. So now there really aren't many good powers.

Yes, I agree. No watching, no doctor... it's likely that I'll be dead tomorrow, no additional information gained.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 25, 2013, 10:19:07 am
My Personal Mafia PR PR  (Power Role Power Ranking).

1. JOAT (1 shot Strongman, 1 shot Ninja) - Extra NK.  yes please.
2. Daytalk (passive ability) - Can be very useful in developing strategies during the day.
3. Recruit Traitor as Mafia Goon - Useful for several reasons.  Don't want to mistakenly kill your buddy, day or night.
4. Role Cop - Could be useful, but not as much as the others
5. Bulletproof - one town PR can possibly kill you, and why risk taking a PR that could end up useless if town doesn't even get the Vigilante?

How many of those would you pick as mafia?
I would definitely go for Daytalk and Recruiting, waiting to get the result back about JOAT but I think you all are right.  So that really drops JOAT down to #4.  In which case I am also doing Role Cop.  I am not scared of the town PRs as mafia.  And besides, lots of PRs make a more interesting game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 25, 2013, 10:20:47 am
My Personal Mafia PR PR 2.0

1. Daytalk (passive ability) - Can be very useful in developing strategies during the day.
2. Recruit Traitor as Mafia Goon - Useful for several reasons.  Don't want to mistakenly kill your buddy, day or night.
3. Role Cop - Could be useful, but not as much as the others
4. JOAT (1 shot Strongman, 1 shot Ninja) - extra powered NK? who needs that against the town PRs available
5. Bulletproof - one town PR can possibly kill you, and why risk taking a PR that could end up useless if town doesn't even get the Vigilante?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 10:45:59 am
Happy no longer weekend, everyone! And a Merry Doctor Who to you all.

In fact vote: Robz. Even disregarding all this IC quasi-joking, from what I've seen scum!Robz is active and vibrant, while his town self is notoriously aloof. Despite the fact that he's been V/LA he's been one of the most frequent posters so far. Normally this would be a good thing. But for Robz it raises warning flags.

Lies. All lies.

You say this, yet it is true. But last time you said this as town. So it's just a giant bowl of Robz!WIFOM soup.

"Didn't read the setup Robz" is also town!robz.  He knows this and could try to fake it, but I don't think he is.

Remember, "claim the wrong pr and get lynched on D1 as town anyway" is also a Robz that exists.  Other vets will back me up here, I think.

Scum!robz isn't this easy.

This is wrong because this:

You know what this reminds me of ? It reminds of mail-mi in GoT, where he got away with a super scummy voting history because "oh, he's just mail-mi". People are aware of what their meta are, they can play around with that. I'm fine with my vote for now.

I like that we had two quick wagons though. I want to re-read them more closely. At the moment though I'm not getting anything but null about Robz himself.

As far as mafia powers go, I'd say Daychat for sure, and then honestly it would depend on who my partner is for if we wanted to take any more. I've never actually played as scum without Daychat yet (just WWTWDP).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 10:58:23 am
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

You actually stole my plan.

Why didn't you say what your plan was right off the bat? Why wait until finding out what the IC is thinking?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 11:32:38 am

I'm on board. We just don't get along!

Vote: Voltaire

I'm going to be really and truly VLA until Sunday afternoon.

I've seen this Robz before. This is scum Robz.

Vote: Robz

Was this a serious statement?

Also unvote and vote: Morgrim. Morgrim do you still hammer everyone at L-1? If so reminder to everyone that L-1 is as good as L in this game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 11:33:48 am
Okay so to answer the pr question thingy, for me it would depend on the scum team I was with. If I was with a team I thought could win I would chose no additional powers, if I was with a team I thought was very strategic but not so good at mid day communication I would pick day talk, and if I was with a team I though was really going to need help I would pick recruit.

Which partners would go with which scenarios?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 25, 2013, 11:35:11 am
I have some research(mafia related) to do when I get back from class and will post thoughts about it.

Why the morgrim vote Voltaire?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 11:35:58 am

I'm on board. We just don't get along!

Vote: Voltaire

I'm going to be really and truly VLA until Sunday afternoon.

I've seen this Robz before. This is scum Robz.

Vote: Robz

Was this a serious statement?

Nope.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 11:38:00 am
Think about whether this is actually a good idea or not. I think in the past pick your poison setups, we determined it was not. It helps the Mafia determine who has which PR.

I haven't read any past games with a similar set-up to this one, but I think Robz makes a good point. Since there's not a way to get that info to the IC privately and let him interpret it without everyone knowing, it seems like it would give way too much information to the mafia.

So, Robz, is manda an IC too?

This may actually be slight townpoints for manda. None for Robz because Robz, but the line of thinking is not a bad one.

Why the morgrim vote Voltaire?

Because he hasn't posted yet.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 11:54:17 am
Current power picking statements:

Voltaire - Daychat (+ X)
Walrus - ?
Robz - (Daychat)
Jimmmm - Role Cop (+ Recruit)
ashersky - None or 3 (not specified which)
faust - TBA
Jorbles - Daychat, JOAT
manda - ?
Teproc - Role Cop, JOAT
morgrim - ?
2.7 - Daychat, Recruit, Role Cop
mcmcsalot - (Daychat + Recruit)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 12:02:41 pm
Discrediting the IC! This is Voltaire's fullproof way of finding scum.

What a laughably easy Day 1. Vote: Jimm

I like it! vote: jimm

What about this? Was this vote serious?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 12:11:12 pm
Post count (no pre-game)
20 Jimmmmm
17 ashersky
16 faust
10 Robz
8 Teproc
7 Voltaire
5 Jorbles
5 2.7...
4 mcmc
2 Walrus
2 manda
0 Morgrim
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 12:12:23 pm
ashersky - None or 3 (not specified which)

ash said daychat was the "coolest," so I assume that would be part of his three.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 12:33:35 pm
I like that we had two quick wagons though. I want to re-read them more closely. At the moment though I'm not getting anything but null about Robz himself.

So the wagons were smaller than I thought on a re-read. But - that "early wagons don't succeed" is now becoming the new understanding of things, so that means small town points to everyone who voted for Robz or Jimmmmm. Mayhap the most town points I have ever given out at once!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 12:55:49 pm
Think about whether this is actually a good idea or not. I think in the past pick your poison setups, we determined it was not. It helps the Mafia determine who has which PR.

I haven't read any past games with a similar set-up to this one, but I think Robz makes a good point. Since there's not a way to get that info to the IC privately and let him interpret it without everyone knowing, it seems like it would give way too much information to the mafia.

So, Robz, is manda an IC too?

This may actually be slight townpoints for manda. None for Robz because Robz, but the line of thinking is not a bad one.


Sounds right to me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 25, 2013, 01:37:16 pm
Ugh my schedule is such a mess.... I'm finally here and catching up. Post(s) to follow shortly.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 25, 2013, 01:44:32 pm
Okay so to answer the pr question thingy, for me it would depend on the scum team I was with. If I was with a team I thought could win I would chose no additional powers, if I was with a team I thought was very strategic but not so good at mid day communication I would pick day talk, and if I was with a team I though was really going to need help I would pick recruit.

Which partners would go with which scenarios?

I haven't looked at everyone in this game and decided that, I made my decision looking at powers. I'm not going to call anyone out for being a good or bad mafia player but there are people with better records than others, their are people I have better chemistry with, I see no reason to go through this game and figure that out and say so.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 25, 2013, 01:46:44 pm
Discrediting the IC! This is Voltaire's fullproof way of finding scum.

What a laughably easy Day 1. Vote: Jimm

I like it! vote: jimm

What about this? Was this vote serious?

Yes, it is day one and my first serious mafia game in some time, the vote was serious I found robz argument to be somewhat valid and the way Jimm was acting to be somewhat scummy so I voted.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 25, 2013, 01:48:07 pm
Okay so to answer the pr question thingy, for me it would depend on the scum team I was with. If I was with a team I thought could win I would chose no additional powers, if I was with a team I thought was very strategic but not so good at mid day communication I would pick day talk, and if I was with a team I though was really going to need help I would pick recruit.

Which partners would go with which scenarios?

I haven't looked at everyone in this game and decided that, I made my decision looking at powers. I'm not going to call anyone out for being a good or bad mafia player but there are people with better records than others, their are people I have better chemistry with, I see no reason to go through this game and figure that out and say so.

Why not? You've provided a super vague answer that doesn't really answer the question at all. I'd say if that's what you're going with then refusing to go through at least some scenarios is akin to refusing to answer the question. Not that we have to do something just because the IC said so, but I'd prefer an actual refusal to vagueness that you can hide behind.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 01:54:55 pm
I'm with mcmc on figuring out the mafia PR choice thing.

It's worth looking at again when we have some dead scum and dead PRs, of course, but for now, let's actually scumhunt.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 01:55:12 pm
#discredittheIC
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 25, 2013, 02:02:31 pm
Wow a lot to read since the last time I had a chance to check it.....

Not sure how I'd rank all the roles yet; I'll need to go back and look really closely at the setup, but I think daytalk is definitely the strongest role there. I know that, if I were scum, I'd be really nervous about trying to play out the day without a chance to openly rethink strategy with my partner, and daytalk would significantly decrease my stress level. Other than that, I'm not sure, but I think I agree with, ummm.... (not sure who said it lemme go look).... that adding a bunch of scum PRs wouldn't really be worth adding a ton of town PRs as well.

Also (and I say this feeling like I'm at a real disadvantage here because I have very little meta information to go off of and DEFINITELY don't have time to go back and examine it all. Such is life I guess), I am not sure I see the value in an extended discussion about whether someone is acting like town!themselves or scum!themselves, because an experienced player is likely knowledgable enough about their own meta to tailor their behavior to the self they want to come off as. That sort of discussion makes a lot of sense in a face-to-face mafia game, where people are having to think on the fly and it's easy to read panic in voices and body language, but this format allows people to be so calculating that I have a hard time seeing meta-analysis as being particularly helfpul...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 25, 2013, 02:04:43 pm
Well then, I'll try to be a good IC for you all.

Before we really get started, I would like everyone to answer the following question:

If you were mafia in this game, which (if any) powers would you have picked?

Everyone's answer should include his preferred set of powers (as mafia). Don't just say "well, this looks neat, but maybe I would have also chosen that."

I would have chosen Daytalk and JOAT. The other ones don't seem worth creating another town PR.

I guess this is the post I meant, in reference to scum PRs not being worth giving more power to town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 02:35:19 pm
Discrediting the IC! This is Voltaire's fullproof way of finding scum.

What a laughably easy Day 1. Vote: Jimm

I like it! vote: jimm

What about this? Was this vote serious?

Yes, it is day one and my first serious mafia game in some time, the vote was serious I found robz argument to be somewhat valid and the way Jimm was acting to be somewhat scummy so I voted.

How was what Jimmmmm did scummy? He was pointing out that Robz was making it a bit obvious that it could have been a scum strategy to forget setup information...which Robz then did...thus making him...more likely to be town? I think? I may have just talked myself into agreeing with you.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 02:38:23 pm
It's worth looking at again when we have some dead scum and dead PRs, of course, but for now, let's actually scumhunt.

Sure. Any contributions to make other than

#discredittheIC
?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 02:46:31 pm
Rage vote: Voltaire
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 02:47:23 pm
You don't get to tell me I'm not making contributions. I am making contributions. The thing you quoted was a contribution, for goodness sake.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 02:48:22 pm
You don't get to tell me I'm not making contributions. I am making contributions. The thing you quoted was a contribution, for goodness sake.

I never said that, actually!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 02:52:20 pm
The thing you quoted was a contribution, for goodness sake.

Honest question: what value do you see in discrediting the IC? Is it more than that you just don't like his plan of talking about what we'd take as mafia?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 03:03:08 pm
The thing you quoted was a contribution, for goodness sake.

Honest question: what value do you see in discrediting the IC? Is it more than that you just don't like his plan of talking about what we'd take as mafia?

The smaller thing is that I don't think talking about what mafia PRs we'd pick is very useful.

The bigger thing is wanted to see how other player's would react to the IC's plan, given me coming out strongly against it.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2013, 03:14:02 pm
The thing you quoted was a contribution, for goodness sake.

Honest question: what value do you see in discrediting the IC? Is it more than that you just don't like his plan of talking about what we'd take as mafia?

The smaller thing is that I don't think talking about what mafia PRs we'd pick is very useful.

The bigger thing is wanted to see how other player's would react to the IC's plan, given me coming out strongly against it.

What do you make out of their reactions now?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 03:16:27 pm
The thing you quoted was a contribution, for goodness sake.

Honest question: what value do you see in discrediting the IC? Is it more than that you just don't like his plan of talking about what we'd take as mafia?

The smaller thing is that I don't think talking about what mafia PRs we'd pick is very useful.

The bigger thing is wanted to see how other player's would react to the IC's plan, given me coming out strongly against it.

What do you make out of their reactions now?

I don't know, I don't think everyone has even reacted to them yet. Of course now people know I'm really scrutinizing that, so it's a bit polluted. #thanksvoltaire
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 03:16:54 pm
I don't think I've ever seen Robz this jokey. I don't think that's scummy though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 25, 2013, 03:17:44 pm
I personally see value in faust's plan. It gives us something to talk about early, and it might be useful to see what we all think would be strong (it seems like daychat is probably considered the best overall). Plus if someone flips scum and answered the question we can go back and gauge how honest we think they were given what we know.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 03:19:51 pm
I personally see value in faust's plan. It gives us something to talk about early, and it might be useful to see what we all think would be strong (it seems like daychat is probably considered the best overall). Plus if someone flips scum and answered the question we can go back and gauge how honest we think they were given what we know.

I do agree that it seems pretty likely we're facing a scum team with daychat. But I don't see how getting scum on the record about what they "would" chose will ever be anything other than WIFOM.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 25, 2013, 03:21:05 pm
I personally see value in faust's plan. It gives us something to talk about early, and it might be useful to see what we all think would be strong (it seems like daychat is probably considered the best overall). Plus if someone flips scum and answered the question we can go back and gauge how honest we think they were given what we know.

I do agree that it seems pretty likely we're facing a scum team with daychat. But I don't see how getting scum on the record about what they "would" chose will ever be anything other than WIFOM.

WIFOM's better than nothing though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 25, 2013, 03:23:06 pm
I personally see value in faust's plan. It gives us something to talk about early, and it might be useful to see what we all think would be strong (it seems like daychat is probably considered the best overall). Plus if someone flips scum and answered the question we can go back and gauge how honest we think they were given what we know.

I do agree that it seems pretty likely we're facing a scum team with daychat. But I don't see how getting scum on the record about what they "would" chose will ever be anything other than WIFOM.

WIFOM's better than nothing though.

Yeah.

The problem becomes if we talk about it more than scumhunting. Which is why I was curious to see what Robz will do after he pointed it out, which is a townie thing to do, but Robz is Robz.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on November 25, 2013, 07:28:24 pm
Vote Count 1.4

Robz (3): Teproc, Walrus, Jorbles
Jimmmmm (2): mcmc, ashersky
Morgrim (1): Voltaire
Voltaire (1): Robz

Not Voting (7): faust, Morgrim, manda, 2.7, Jimmmmm

Day1 will end in 12 days (10+2 for Thanksgiving) on December 4 at 10 pm forum time


That's actually what I was saying 2.7, except I apparently forgot to say "X+2" in my post.

JOAT isn't an extra NK, it's instead of the regular night kill, right ?

I think JOAT should not be an additional NK. That would be OP.

Just to make sure, let's ask the mod:

JOAT isn't an extra NK, it's instead of the regular night kill, right ?

Strongman and Ninja are modifiers of mafia's night kill and are not additional mafia kills.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 09:33:08 pm
Actually changing my answer a bit, just more likely to pick a pr now then before, the ic sucks in this setup(no offense Faust) I believe most of an Ic's power has nothing to do with who roles it and what they do, it all has to do with the setup which does not favor an ic here. So now there really aren't many good powers.

Yes, I agree. No watching, no doctor... it's likely that I'll be dead tomorrow, no additional information gained.

There's a Bodyguard possible.  So you could live at that player's expense.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 09:34:19 pm
Now that most reservations regarding my question seem to be cleared, let me ask once again:

In your next post, please name the set of powers you would have picked as mafia.

If you don't know what this is for, well trust me on this. It won't hurt town at least. And contrary to ashersky, I actually have a plan.

You actually stole my plan.

Why didn't you say what your plan was right off the bat? Why wait until finding out what the IC is thinking?

I asked a question, no one answered it.  In the mean time, Faust came out with his plan, which was very close to mine, so I didn't pursue it. 

I like to think my awesomeness is infecting other players.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 09:36:58 pm
Current power picking statements:

Voltaire - Daychat (+ X)
Walrus - ?
Robz - (Daychat)
Jimmmm - Role Cop (+ Recruit)
ashersky - None or 3 (not specified which)
faust - TBA
Jorbles - Daychat, JOAT
manda - ?
Teproc - Role Cop, JOAT
morgrim - ?
2.7 - Daychat, Recruit, Role Cop
mcmcsalot - (Daychat + Recruit)

Daychat for sure.  Man, daychat would be awesome.  It's a strong power.  As mentioned, if I was scum, I'd definitely go full on or zero, as much for wifom purposes as anything else.  So Daychat/Joat/Recruit?  BP is LAME-O and I see no use for a Role Cop whatsoever.  Otherwise, roll with two goons.

If we're facing two goons now, we have Faust + 1 PR.  That's pretty weaksauce, honestly, so a good scum team might prefer that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 09:37:50 pm
Ugh my schedule is such a mess.... I'm finally here and catching up. Post(s) to follow shortly.

Manda's avatar is too close to mcmc's, plus the name, so I am combining the two when I read the thread.  This post actually sounded just like a mcmc post, too.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 09:38:39 pm
Wow a lot to read since the last time I had a chance to check it.....

Not sure how I'd rank all the roles yet; I'll need to go back and look really closely at the setup, but I think daytalk is definitely the strongest role there. I know that, if I were scum, I'd be really nervous about trying to play out the day without a chance to openly rethink strategy with my partner, and daytalk would significantly decrease my stress level. Other than that, I'm not sure, but I think I agree with, ummm.... (not sure who said it lemme go look).... that adding a bunch of scum PRs wouldn't really be worth adding a ton of town PRs as well.

Also (and I say this feeling like I'm at a real disadvantage here because I have very little meta information to go off of and DEFINITELY don't have time to go back and examine it all. Such is life I guess), I am not sure I see the value in an extended discussion about whether someone is acting like town!themselves or scum!themselves, because an experienced player is likely knowledgable enough about their own meta to tailor their behavior to the self they want to come off as. That sort of discussion makes a lot of sense in a face-to-face mafia game, where people are having to think on the fly and it's easy to read panic in voices and body language, but this format allows people to be so calculating that I have a hard time seeing meta-analysis as being particularly helfpul...

Is manda getting the newbie D1 pass?  Just asking, because this was a scummy sounding post.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 09:38:58 pm
Rage vote: Voltaire

Fake.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 09:39:40 pm
The thing you quoted was a contribution, for goodness sake.

Honest question: what value do you see in discrediting the IC? Is it more than that you just don't like his plan of talking about what we'd take as mafia?

The smaller thing is that I don't think talking about what mafia PRs we'd pick is very useful.

The bigger thing is wanted to see how other player's would react to the IC's plan, given me coming out strongly against it.

What do you make out of their reactions now?

I don't know, I don't think everyone has even reacted to them yet. Of course now people know I'm really scrutinizing that, so it's a bit polluted. #thanksvoltaire

Alright sudgy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2013, 09:42:08 pm
And I'm caught up.

What have we really learned from the PR rankings?  Not much today, I think.  As we move forward, get some flips, I think it'll help us narrow stuff down.  I'm thinking mostly things like "hey, X flipped JOAT, and Y said JOAT is da bomb, maybe Y is part of the team" sorts of stuff, that won't be conclusive but will be helpful.

Also, actual PRs have a bit more info to think about, I guess.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 25, 2013, 11:30:23 pm
Wow a lot to read since the last time I had a chance to check it.....

Not sure how I'd rank all the roles yet; I'll need to go back and look really closely at the setup, but I think daytalk is definitely the strongest role there. I know that, if I were scum, I'd be really nervous about trying to play out the day without a chance to openly rethink strategy with my partner, and daytalk would significantly decrease my stress level. Other than that, I'm not sure, but I think I agree with, ummm.... (not sure who said it lemme go look).... that adding a bunch of scum PRs wouldn't really be worth adding a ton of town PRs as well.

Also (and I say this feeling like I'm at a real disadvantage here because I have very little meta information to go off of and DEFINITELY don't have time to go back and examine it all. Such is life I guess), I am not sure I see the value in an extended discussion about whether someone is acting like town!themselves or scum!themselves, because an experienced player is likely knowledgable enough about their own meta to tailor their behavior to the self they want to come off as. That sort of discussion makes a lot of sense in a face-to-face mafia game, where people are having to think on the fly and it's easy to read panic in voices and body language, but this format allows people to be so calculating that I have a hard time seeing meta-analysis as being particularly helfpul...

Is manda getting the newbie D1 pass?  Just asking, because this was a scummy sounding post.

Is there such a thing as a newbie D1 pass? Because that seems silly.

But whatt about it what I said seems scummy? It occurs to me, of course, that maybe those of you who have played quite a bit of forum mafia have found meta-analysis quite valuable, and that my perspective on it is rather naive... but it does seem to me that the combination of WIFOM-scenarios and the way the format of a forum allows people to construct an identity for themselves that is devoid of any treacherous body language results in a situation that makes meta-analysis potentially more dangerous than helpful.

As far as scum- or town-reads, I don't have a very solid read on anyone yet, and I'm inclined to think its best to wait until I'm comfortable suspicious of someone before accusing them, so I'll work more on that and proooobably post something more substantial tomorrow evening. I'll be either in class or traveling for most of the day tomorrow though, so I'll only be able to catch up sporadically throughout the day.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 25, 2013, 11:31:00 pm
Wow a lot to read since the last time I had a chance to check it.....

Not sure how I'd rank all the roles yet; I'll need to go back and look really closely at the setup, but I think daytalk is definitely the strongest role there. I know that, if I were scum, I'd be really nervous about trying to play out the day without a chance to openly rethink strategy with my partner, and daytalk would significantly decrease my stress level. Other than that, I'm not sure, but I think I agree with, ummm.... (not sure who said it lemme go look).... that adding a bunch of scum PRs wouldn't really be worth adding a ton of town PRs as well.

Also (and I say this feeling like I'm at a real disadvantage here because I have very little meta information to go off of and DEFINITELY don't have time to go back and examine it all. Such is life I guess), I am not sure I see the value in an extended discussion about whether someone is acting like town!themselves or scum!themselves, because an experienced player is likely knowledgable enough about their own meta to tailor their behavior to the self they want to come off as. That sort of discussion makes a lot of sense in a face-to-face mafia game, where people are having to think on the fly and it's easy to read panic in voices and body language, but this format allows people to be so calculating that I have a hard time seeing meta-analysis as being particularly helfpul...

Also, *helpful. Eeek.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 11:52:04 pm
No newbie pas for manda. Manda is not a newbie. She played Mafia VII.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 25, 2013, 11:55:23 pm
No newbie pas for manda. Manda is not a newbie. She played Mafia VII.

Which was, admittedly, a newbie game :P

But honestly, I've followed enough of Dsell's games that I'm really not new to the game play at all. Just WAY, WAY behind on knowing anything about metas and not interested in/able to go back and learn.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 25, 2013, 11:58:51 pm
Has Morgrim said anything? Has Jorbles?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 26, 2013, 12:03:50 am
Manda, in the post I quoted, as well as in your most recent substantial one, you commit what I see as a pretty standard scumtell: hedging.

It's stuff like "not sure...but..." and "I think I agree with...need to check" and "I think saying this means..." and "likely" and other modifiers.  You might call it hemming and hawing.  Or wishy-washy.  Or commitment adverse (like you and Dsell).

When you write a lot of text that seems to have a lot of substance, but actually don't take any firm stances and instead leave yourself a lot of "outs" like "maybes" and "I'll have to check," it's scummy.

That's why.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 26, 2013, 12:04:00 am
Has Morgrim said anything? Has Jorbles?

Jorbles has.  Morgrim has not.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 26, 2013, 12:20:10 am
Manda, in the post I quoted, as well as in your most recent substantial one, you commit what I see as a pretty standard scumtell: hedging.

It's stuff like "not sure...but..." and "I think I agree with...need to check" and "I think saying this means..." and "likely" and other modifiers.  You might call it hemming and hawing.  Or wishy-washy.  Or commitment adverse (like you and Dsell).

When you write a lot of text that seems to have a lot of substance, but actually don't take any firm stances and instead leave yourself a lot of "outs" like "maybes" and "I'll have to check," it's scummy.

That's why.

To be fair, my "need to check" was remedied in the next post after I went back to see who it was that I was paraphrasing. And, as I said when signing up for the game, my time is super limited until at least 12/8. I do, however, all but promise some substantial analysis tomorrow evening after I get to Texas (the "all but" being the less-than-promising internet connection at my grandmother's...)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 26, 2013, 12:41:04 am
Has Morgrim said anything? Has Jorbles?

Jorbles has.  Morgrim has not.

Can we get a prod on Morgrim?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 26, 2013, 03:04:15 am
OK, update time. You can expect about one of these * day^-1 from me until i get home on Saturday.

faust, in my last post I stated that I thought that the JOAT would be best for scum, you can check if you want. Some others have commented about daychat. Maybe I just haven't experienced its power first hand, but it seems like a waste to me. I was skimming through MII* for a lark, and one thing that Galz commented on at the end that struck me was how he and Robz barely used chat at all to coordinate, so as to keep their reactions as genuine as possible. Now I know this is frighteningly out of date. But that's what I think about daychat--not worth a town PR to me if I were wearing scum shoes.

Does one of you big-city liberal arts literary types care to explain what you mean by a purloined letter? :P I gather that it's a story by Poe. But what's the metaphor here.

I'm not seeing a better vote than Robz still so far. That rage!vote didn't help...I know Voltaire gets your goat Robz, but I believe that's more of a scumtell for you than town-.

ash is seeming townier to me in general than he did right at the beginning. Posting more rapid-fire ash-style questions/observations.

Now that he's back Voltaire initially seems more like the Voltaire I expected in Game of Thrones that never quite materialized in my eyes, i.e. incisive and scumhunty. But I was way off on Volt in GoT, so let's say a slight town read there.

I don't really get the wagon on Jimmmmm. Nothing he's done seems super suspicious to me. Although I haven't played with him as much, so I don't have as good a feel on him.

I'd like to reserve judgment on e until Toy Story is over, because that's where I've been watching him play most extensively. Null for now.

Teproc...well seems a bit different than he did in GoT? That was a weird situation because he was a sub, but I was amazed by how quickly he jumped into the fray and started analyzing the hell out of everything. I'm not seeing that as much right now. Maybe he'll shine more once we've actually generated a fair corpus of comments to sort through? But slight scum read for now.

manda's post seemed more new player than anything to me. Probably slight town even.

Null on the rest for not really having enough material to look at (unless I missed something huge).

*Some other highly relevant observations from MII:
--noob!Robz is adorable! "Hello, everyone! I am very excited to be involved in another Mafia game. Seriously in love with Mafia, here."
--noob!Galz thinks Voltgloss is Voltglass. He he. Although Voltglass sounds pretty badass too, like maybe the columns of minerals left by lightning strikes on beaches.
--noob!Voltgloss is a comedian! Posting Looney Tunes and shit. Hilarious.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 26, 2013, 03:07:48 am
I was skimming through MII* for a lark, and one thing that Galz commented on at the end that struck me was how he and Robz barely used chat at all to coordinate, so as to keep their reactions as genuine as possible. Now I know this is frighteningly out of date.

Bingo.

Does one of you big-city liberal arts literary types care to explain what you mean by a purloined letter? :P I gather that it's a story by Poe. But what's the metaphor here.

I believe it means, something hiding in plain sight.

I'm not seeing a better vote than Robz still so far. That rage!vote didn't help...I know Voltaire gets your goat Robz, but I believe that's more of a scumtell for you than town-.

It is, which is why this game will help rebalance things so that that's a null-tell again.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 10:25:23 am
Wow a lot to read since the last time I had a chance to check it.....

Not sure how I'd rank all the roles yet; I'll need to go back and look really closely at the setup, but I think daytalk is definitely the strongest role there. I know that, if I were scum, I'd be really nervous about trying to play out the day without a chance to openly rethink strategy with my partner, and daytalk would significantly decrease my stress level. Other than that, I'm not sure, but I think I agree with, ummm.... (not sure who said it lemme go look).... that adding a bunch of scum PRs wouldn't really be worth adding a ton of town PRs as well.

Also (and I say this feeling like I'm at a real disadvantage here because I have very little meta information to go off of and DEFINITELY don't have time to go back and examine it all. Such is life I guess), I am not sure I see the value in an extended discussion about whether someone is acting like town!themselves or scum!themselves, because an experienced player is likely knowledgable enough about their own meta to tailor their behavior to the self they want to come off as. That sort of discussion makes a lot of sense in a face-to-face mafia game, where people are having to think on the fly and it's easy to read panic in voices and body language, but this format allows people to be so calculating that I have a hard time seeing meta-analysis as being particularly helfpul...

Is manda getting the newbie D1 pass?  Just asking, because this was a scummy sounding post.

Why? It reads like a classic newbie post to me. Yes, she's getting a D1 pass. When have we ever lynched a newbie for playing like a newbie and had them flip scum? Never that I'm aware of. And Mafia VII was a long time ago, the f.ds meta has changed since then.

Manda, in the post I quoted, as well as in your most recent substantial one, you commit what I see as a pretty standard scumtell: hedging.

It's stuff like "not sure...but..." and "I think I agree with...need to check" and "I think saying this means..." and "likely" and other modifiers.  You might call it hemming and hawing.  Or wishy-washy.  Or commitment adverse (like you and Dsell).

When you write a lot of text that seems to have a lot of substance, but actually don't take any firm stances and instead leave yourself a lot of "outs" like "maybes" and "I'll have to check," it's scummy.

That's why.

I strongly disagree that this is scummy. Town is unsure. Mafia picks reasonable-sounding stances.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 10:36:21 am
It is, which is why this game will help rebalance things so that that's a null-tell again.

So as much as I hate to say it (because this sort of thing REALLY gets on my nerves), but I re-read Robz in an ongoing game and a complete game where he has different alignments, and this Robz does actually match the town Robz. Even though everything he's doing is screaming scum here, 1. my gut is usually wrong 2. that Robz is usually mislynched town Robz.

All of which means that because Robz gambits he's a null for me. But (and here's a meta argument for you manda): anti-town, carefree Robz is usually townRobz. Helpful, trying Robz is usually scumRobz. So I don't actually like the votes on him anymore.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 10:40:32 am
If we're facing two goons now, we have Faust + 1 PR.  That's pretty weaksauce, honestly, so a good scum team might prefer that.

But we can't be facing two goons because there will be a traitor whether they got recruited pre-game or not. So we have to act as though we're facing a three-man scum team because, well, we are. They just can't talk to each other.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on November 26, 2013, 10:43:44 am
Has Morgrim said anything? Has Jorbles?

Jorbles has.  Morgrim has not.

Can we get a prod on Morgrim?

Morgrim has a previously announced VLA at the moment.

Im gonna be vla on mon and tue.

But if he hasn't posted shortly after this this VLA he will receive a prod per the rules of the game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 10:49:00 am
Actually changing my answer a bit, just more likely to pick a pr now then before, the ic sucks in this setup(no offense Faust) I believe most of an Ic's power has nothing to do with who roles it and what they do, it all has to do with the setup which does not favor an ic here. So now there really aren't many good powers.

Yes, I agree. No watching, no doctor... it's likely that I'll be dead tomorrow, no additional information gained.

There's a Bodyguard possible.  So you could live at that player's expense.

Yes, but I doubt it would be good play from a Bodyguard to protect me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 10:51:44 am
Yes, but I doubt it would be good play from a Bodyguard to protect me.

Really? Isn't that ideal bodyguard play? Otherwise they're risking "protecting" mafia (a wasted action, but the Bodyguard isn't a Hider) or dying to save a VT. If the Bodyguard protects you, and mafia takes out you, we have another day with our IC.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 10:52:02 am
faust, in my last post I stated that I thought that the JOAT would be best for scum, you can check if you want. Some others have commented about daychat. Maybe I just haven't experienced its power first hand, but it seems like a waste to me. I was skimming through MII* for a lark, and one thing that Galz commented on at the end that struck me was how he and Robz barely used chat at all to coordinate, so as to keep their reactions as genuine as possible. Now I know this is frighteningly out of date. But that's what I think about daychat--not worth a town PR to me if I were wearing scum shoes.

So you're saying you would only pick JOAT as scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 26, 2013, 10:53:59 am
Yeah probs
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 10:55:38 am
Yes, but I doubt it would be good play from a Bodyguard to protect me.

Really? Isn't that ideal bodyguard play? Otherwise they're risking "protecting" mafia (a wasted action, but the Bodyguard isn't a Hider) or dying to save a VT. If the Bodyguard protects you, and mafia takes out you, we have another day with our IC.

What if there's say, a Cop that claims D2 because they have a guilty result? Then the Bodyguard can ensure they live for another Night, getting an extra result.

Also, we don't want our PRs outed early. Don't, don't , don't. If the Bodyguard dies protecting me, and mafia chose no powers from themselves, they can happily fakeclaim any town PR without risk of being counterclaimed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 10:57:47 am
Yes, but I doubt it would be good play from a Bodyguard to protect me.

Really? Isn't that ideal bodyguard play? Otherwise they're risking "protecting" mafia (a wasted action, but the Bodyguard isn't a Hider) or dying to save a VT. If the Bodyguard protects you, and mafia takes out you, we have another day with our IC.

What if there's say, a Cop that claims D2 because they have a guilty result? Then the Bodyguard can ensure they live for another Night, getting an extra result.

Mmmmm, yes, but that's assuming 1. We have a cop 2. They can investigate anyone. If the mafia took JOAT and Rolecop, they're immune to the Cop and he's a useless PR (other than being a named Townie).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 11:07:06 am
Yes, but I doubt it would be good play from a Bodyguard to protect me.

Really? Isn't that ideal bodyguard play? Otherwise they're risking "protecting" mafia (a wasted action, but the Bodyguard isn't a Hider) or dying to save a VT. If the Bodyguard protects you, and mafia takes out you, we have another day with our IC.

What if there's say, a Cop that claims D2 because they have a guilty result? Then the Bodyguard can ensure they live for another Night, getting an extra result.

Mmmmm, yes, but that's assuming 1. We have a cop 2. They can investigate anyone. If the mafia took JOAT and Rolecop, they're immune to the Cop and he's a useless PR (other than being a named Townie).

If the mafia took JOAT and Rolecop, there are 4 town PRs, so at least 2 better Bodyguard targets than me. Saving a Vigilante is better than saving me. Saving a Tracker is better than saving me. Saving a Roleblocker is better than saving me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 11:10:30 am
If the mafia took JOAT and Rolecop, there are 4 town PRs, so at least 2 better Bodyguard targets than me. Saving a Vigilante is better than saving me. Saving a Tracker is better than saving me. Saving a Roleblocker is better than saving me.

Well in the abstract, yes. But I think you have to target more conservatively, because we don't know any of that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 11:14:28 am
I wanted to wait for Morgrim, but he will be VLA today, and discussion should move on. So here's the (almost) final list:

Voltaire - Daychat (+ X)
Walrus - JOAT
Robz - (Daychat)
Jimmmm - Role Cop (+ Recruit)
ashersky - None or Daychat, JOAT, Recruit
faust – Role Cop (+Daychat)
Jorbles - Daychat, JOAT
manda - Daychat
Teproc - Role Cop, JOAT
morgrim - ?
2.7 - Daychat, Recruit, Role Cop
mcmcsalot - (Daychat + Recruit)

Up to now, everyone ignored one important factor in the PR decision: scum, and only scum, knows how many PRs are out there. So once all PRs are outed (claimed or killed), they can safely fakeclaim one of the remaining roles. This is the reason I think scum wouldn't choose three powers, because it would strip them of this possibility.

So what to choose? Daychat and Recruiting seems a good combo, because having another person to talk to strengthens the Daychat option. But of course this makes the Goon Cop super strong, so it's probably not the best option. A Role Cop is a great addition, I think, because it allows for earlier fake claims and helps taking out the town PRs. And this is it, all I would choose as mafia powers. Maybe, with a newbie scum, I might consider Daychat additionally.

Now to the second part of this – what do the answers reveal about the setup and about who scum is?

Many people seem to think that Daychat is a strong option, so chances are mafia thought that too. Please treat this game as though mafia had Daychat. That means: if there's an exchange between two players, and in the end of it both seem more townie to you, read again. Try to find out if the whole thing could be staged. Voting patterns also need to be analyzed with this in mind.

We can porbably write off the Bulletproof, as it is considered the weakest power by everyone. Recruiting doesn't have a lot of fans, so we probably deal with a Traitor. That makes it harder to scumhunt effectively. But if we're lucky, scum accidentally shoots the Traitor.

Generally, most of us think that one or two powers are probably the best choice. So we're looking at three, maybe four town PRs. At latest after the third claim, any further claims should be handled with a healthy dose of scepticism. In fact, I propose a claiming plan: After we have our first PR outed (which is actually the second, because I am already outed), if anyone wants to claim, they first state the intent to do so. Then everyone else gets a chance to claim PR. We determine a claiming order somehow, and then all PRs fullclaim. This should make it harder for scum to fakeclaim.

Finally, what to make of people's power picks? Get in the head of scum for a moment. It doesn't matter much if you say the truth or not, but can you actually use this to manipulate town? Yes, you can! Make them believe there are lots of PRs out there, so that later a fakeclaim will look less suspicious. Because of that, slight FoS to all who took the 3 powers option.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 11:52:27 am
In fact, I propose a claiming plan: After we have our first PR outed (which is actually the second, because I am already outed), if anyone wants to claim, they first state the intent to do so. Then everyone else gets a chance to claim PR. We determine a claiming order somehow, and then all PRs fullclaim. This should make it harder for scum to fakeclaim.

Finally, what to make of people's power picks? Get in the head of scum for a moment. It doesn't matter much if you say the truth or not, but can you actually use this to manipulate town? Yes, you can! Make them believe there are lots of PRs out there, so that later a fakeclaim will look less suspicious. Because of that, slight FoS to all who took the 3 powers option.

So the plan is basically to massclaim after the second PR is outed? I understand wanting to take mafia's ability to fakeclaim away from them, but they already know how many PRs we have. Why is it good to tell them what they are? Mafia will fakeclaim anyway and try to win the claim/counter-claim argument if they need to avoid creating an IC with any remaining power roles. So if we don't think mafia took 3 powers (5 for us), this means we're looking at 4, 3, or 2 PRs:


Wait no. This doesn't work. What if we have (just to pick something) IC, Goon Cop, Vig. Let's say the Vig dies tonight. Tomorrow we massclaim. What's to prevent mafia from claiming Roleblocker or Tracker or something? They know town has 3 PRs. They know 2 are dead. Their odds of getting away with a fakeclaim are 3/4. And then we start treating a mafia like an IC.

I don't think this plan works.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 12:10:05 pm
I don't want an immediate massclaim after the second PR is outed. I want the massclaim when the third PR is about to claim. This is a substantial difference. So Voltaire, in your example, we don't massclaim right away at D2, we massclaim when the Goon Cop thinks he should claim.

What we absolutely shouldn't do is treat anyone who claims as an IC. It could always be a lucky fake claim.

I'm not sure that my plan would work great, but we have to do something to prevent mafia from getting safe fake claims.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 12:15:36 pm
I don't want an immediate massclaim after the second PR is outed. I want the massclaim when the third PR is about to claim. This is a substantial difference. So Voltaire, in your example, we don't massclaim right away at D2, we massclaim when the Goon Cop thinks he should claim.

What we absolutely shouldn't do is treat anyone who claims as an IC. It could always be a lucky fake claim.

I'm not sure that my plan would work great, but we have to do something to prevent mafia from getting safe fake claims.

I'm not sure how it's better than just letting PRs claim when they think they should claim, and we are as skeptical as necessary. Why force the other PRs to out themselves when one PR wants to claim? (if, say, we had a goon cop AND a tracker remaining in my example). What would we gain from the tracker getting outed? (in this mafia's odds go to 2/4 odds of getting away with it. I know many players who would play those odds).

I am just super-wary of fakeclaims.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 26, 2013, 12:32:09 pm
I don't want an immediate massclaim after the second PR is outed. I want the massclaim when the third PR is about to claim. This is a substantial difference. So Voltaire, in your example, we don't massclaim right away at D2, we massclaim when the Goon Cop thinks he should claim.

What we absolutely shouldn't do is treat anyone who claims as an IC. It could always be a lucky fake claim.

I'm not sure that my plan would work great, but we have to do something to prevent mafia from getting safe fake claims.

I'm not sure how it's better than just letting PRs claim when they think they should claim, and we are as skeptical as necessary. Why force the other PRs to out themselves when one PR wants to claim? (if, say, we had a goon cop AND a tracker remaining in my example). What would we gain from the tracker getting outed? (in this mafia's odds go to 2/4 odds of getting away with it. I know many players who would play those odds).

I am just super-wary of fakeclaims.

I am as well, I don't think claiming is an amazing idea. I mean it's because I just don't think fake claiming is good as scum, I am happy to have scum fake claim and get counterclaimed. Okay sort of understanding things, if scum picked no powers, we have one more pr and once that is outed scum could claim another pr and we would have no idea it was fake, even so, if mafia flips goon it lessens the chance of pr, if the claimed pr doesn't die its less of a chance it is true, I mean i don't know I advise against town prs ever claiming unless counter claiming and I think is scum fake claims it will be outed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 26, 2013, 12:55:35 pm
Massclaiming at any point seems pretty bad to me because mafia knows exactly how many PRs are in the game. So let's say mafia took 1 power, once 3 PR's have claimed, mafia is free to fakeclaim whatever the hell they want and be safe from a counterclaim. Having PRs hidden makes it very risky for mafia to fakeclaim because they don't know which PRs are actually in the game.
I'll think about this a bit more, but it's not a very relevant discussion for today anyway, is it ?

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 26, 2013, 01:01:44 pm
Claiming: I don't like it.  Giving scum information that we don't need to that helps them more than it helps us.

Robz: Interesting.  I especially appreciated this:
I'm not seeing a better vote than Robz still so far. That rage!vote didn't help...I know Voltaire gets your goat Robz, but I believe that's more of a scumtell for you than town-.

It is, which is why this game will help rebalance things so that that's a null-tell again.
Claiming meta-modification.  Seems pretty bold to me.  Excited to see where this goes.  I tend to think this is more of a town move than scum, but I really like the way Robz just went all the way in there.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 26, 2013, 01:10:00 pm
I wanted to wait for Morgrim, but he will be VLA today, and discussion should move on. So here's the (almost) final list:

Voltaire - Daychat (+ X)
Walrus - JOAT
Robz - (Daychat)
Jimmmm - Role Cop (+ Recruit)
ashersky - None or Daychat, JOAT, Recruit
faust – Role Cop (+Daychat)
Jorbles - Daychat, JOAT
manda - Daychat
Teproc - Role Cop, JOAT
morgrim - ?
2.7 - Daychat, Recruit, Role Cop
mcmcsalot - (Daychat + Recruit)

[stuff]

Finally, what to make of people's power picks? Get in the head of scum for a moment. It doesn't matter much if you say the truth or not, but can you actually use this to manipulate town? Yes, you can! Make them believe there are lots of PRs out there, so that later a fakeclaim will look less suspicious. Because of that, slight FoS to all who took the 3 powers option.
People who took the 3 powers option:
2.7

I guess Ashersky said he would do all or none, so can I include him in this list?  Please?  I don't want to be all alone with that FoS pointed at me
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 01:11:39 pm
I guess Ashersky said he would do all or none, so can I include him in this list?  Please?  I don't want to be all alone with that FoS pointed at me

More importantly, do you think faust's reasoning is correct?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 01:21:34 pm
I wanted to wait for Morgrim, but he will be VLA today, and discussion should move on. So here's the (almost) final list:

Voltaire - Daychat (+ X)
Walrus - JOAT
Robz - (Daychat)
Jimmmm - Role Cop (+ Recruit)
ashersky - None or Daychat, JOAT, Recruit
faust – Role Cop (+Daychat)
Jorbles - Daychat, JOAT
manda - Daychat
Teproc - Role Cop, JOAT
morgrim - ?
2.7 - Daychat, Recruit, Role Cop
mcmcsalot - (Daychat + Recruit)

[stuff]

Finally, what to make of people's power picks? Get in the head of scum for a moment. It doesn't matter much if you say the truth or not, but can you actually use this to manipulate town? Yes, you can! Make them believe there are lots of PRs out there, so that later a fakeclaim will look less suspicious. Because of that, slight FoS to all who took the 3 powers option.
People who took the 3 powers option:
2.7

I guess Ashersky said he would do all or none, so can I include him in this list?  Please?  I don't want to be all alone with that FoS pointed at me

Yes, I would include ashersky.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 01:22:45 pm
Massclaiming at any point seems pretty bad to me because mafia knows exactly how many PRs are in the game. So let's say mafia took 1 power, once 3 PR's have claimed, mafia is free to fakeclaim whatever the hell they want and be safe from a counterclaim. Having PRs hidden makes it very risky for mafia to fakeclaim because they don't know which PRs are actually in the game.
I'll think about this a bit more, but it's not a very relevant discussion for today anyway, is it ?

I do NOT favor a massclaim. I suggest you read my proposal again, carefully. I suggest that everyone claims when our likely last PR wants to claim anyway.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 01:23:18 pm
Massclaiming at any point seems pretty bad to me because mafia knows exactly how many PRs are in the game. So let's say mafia took 1 power, once 3 PR's have claimed, mafia is free to fakeclaim whatever the hell they want and be safe from a counterclaim. Having PRs hidden makes it very risky for mafia to fakeclaim because they don't know which PRs are actually in the game.
I'll think about this a bit more, but it's not a very relevant discussion for today anyway, is it ?

I do NOT favor a massclaim. I suggest you read my proposal again, carefully. I suggest that everyone claims when our likely last PR wants to claim anyway.

But...that's a massclaim...and we have no way of knowing when anyone is our "last" PR.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 26, 2013, 01:25:32 pm
I don't want an immediate massclaim after the second PR is outed. I want the massclaim when the third PR is about to claim. This is a substantial difference. So Voltaire, in your example, we don't massclaim right away at D2, we massclaim when the Goon Cop thinks he should claim.

Seems to me you do want a massclaim ? I don't see how your plan gets away the problem I pointed out, which is that, once all town PRs have claimed, mafia can fakeclaim anything. The only case where this isn't true is if mafia chose 3 powers.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 01:34:48 pm
I don't want an immediate massclaim after the second PR is outed. I want the massclaim when the third PR is about to claim. This is a substantial difference. So Voltaire, in your example, we don't massclaim right away at D2, we massclaim when the Goon Cop thinks he should claim.

Seems to me you do want a massclaim ? I don't see how your plan gets away the problem I pointed out, which is that, once all town PRs have claimed, mafia can fakeclaim anything. The only case where this isn't true is if mafia chose 3 powers.

Well, mafia would need to claim generic PR, and then if we're lucky they have to claim first, so there's that. It also pressures mafia - they can't just claim whenever they want, they need to react quickly. And that's when mistakes are made.

On top of that, a simple "PRs don't claim" plan is bad as well, isn't it? Investigative roles WANT to claim once they have an incriminating result. It will be clear that a Vigilante is around as soon as we get two night kills. The Bodyguard wants other PRs to claim. Roleblockers like claims so they don't target the wrong people. I am already outed. On top of that, people die, and are automatically outed. Sooner or later, mafia WILL have the chance to fakeclaim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 26, 2013, 01:37:57 pm
vote: Teproc

Reread his posts, they all game me a very scummy vibe.

The way he is pushing Robz lynch is scummy to me, he seems to be going at it as scum trying to push a lynch. Rather than town looking for scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 26, 2013, 01:54:14 pm
before I answer if I think fausts reasoning is correct, let me make sure I understand his reasoning.  Faust, am I correct to summarize by saying:

Scum want town to think there are a lot of PRs out there in order to fakeclaim these roles to prevent themselves from being lynched at any given time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 01:57:56 pm
before I answer if I think fausts reasoning is correct, let me make sure I understand his reasoning.  Faust, am I correct to summarize by saying:

Scum want town to think there are a lot of PRs out there in order to fakeclaim these roles to prevent themselves from being lynched at any given time.

That's pretty much it. Of course fakeclaims can be used more subtly than plain "avoid to be lynched".
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 26, 2013, 02:15:56 pm
vote: Teproc

Reread his posts, they all game me a very scummy vibe.

The way he is pushing Robz lynch is scummy to me, he seems to be going at it as scum trying to push a lynch. Rather than town looking for scum.

I don't agree with this. From what I see he doesn't seem particularly scummy to me. Most of what he's said seems pretty rational, but maybe that's just because I found Robz scummy too. (However I do think this is the sort of post we should be moving towards. Mass claim discussions are a waste of time right now. Let's save it for a week or two from now.)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 02:19:08 pm
FWIW, I didn't want to spark a massclaim discussion. I just wanted to get the thought out there because I'm likely dead tomorrow. Now go scumhunting, children!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 02:20:38 pm
I don't agree with this. From what I see he doesn't seem particularly scummy to me. Most of what he's said seems pretty rational, but maybe that's just because I found Robz scummy too. (However I do think this is the sort of post we should be moving towards. Mass claim discussions are a waste of time right now. Let's save it for a week or two from now.)

This, all of this - except for the Robz stuff I've mostly agreed with what Teproc has said as well. We thought alike in GoT and we were both town. (It gives me a fun chance to try out my "people sheeping me in a gut way are scum" test, which has only ever been true about chairs in HP).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 26, 2013, 02:28:53 pm
In that case, no.  I do not agree with that line of reasoning. 

I do not think fake claiming will help the mafia.  In a game where scum control the PRs (or at least how many PRs that exist) every claim should be met with a certain level of scrutiny.  Why put yourself through that?  You are setting yourself up to be lynched.  You will probably only be able to take a single town member down with you.  We have 9 town, 3 mafia.  A claim will probably end in your death and the death of a town member.  so 8 town and 2 mafia left.  Scum need a better K-D ratio than that.  They will lose at that rate.

Now, if I am way off base with that tell me.  Also, vets, what are some games that I can go to as a reference for fakeclaims that are either well executed or poorly done?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 02:31:12 pm
In that case, no.  I do not agree with that line of reasoning. 

I do not think fake claiming will help the mafia.  In a game where scum control the PRs (or at least how many PRs that exist) every claim should be met with a certain level of scrutiny.  Why put yourself through that?  You are setting yourself up to be lynched.  You will probably only be able to take a single town member down with you.  We have 9 town, 3 mafia.  A claim will probably end in your death and the death of a town member.  so 8 town and 2 mafia left.  Scum need a better K-D ratio than that.  They will lose at that rate.

Now, if I am way off base with that tell me.  Also, vets, what are some games that I can go to as a reference for fakeclaims that are either well executed or poorly done?

Why are you "setting yourself up to be lynched" with a fake claim?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 02:35:20 pm
In that case, no.  I do not agree with that line of reasoning. 

I do not think fake claiming will help the mafia.  In a game where scum control the PRs (or at least how many PRs that exist) every claim should be met with a certain level of scrutiny.  Why put yourself through that?  You are setting yourself up to be lynched.  You will probably only be able to take a single town member down with you.  We have 9 town, 3 mafia.  A claim will probably end in your death and the death of a town member.  so 8 town and 2 mafia left.  Scum need a better K-D ratio than that.  They will lose at that rate.

Now, if I am way off base with that tell me.  Also, vets, what are some games that I can go to as a reference for fakeclaims that are either well executed or poorly done?

Well obviously scum's not going to fake claim now, that would be pretty terrible for them. But imagine we mislynch today, and scum kills tonight. Now it's 10 players on D2, 7 town and 3 scum. If mafia does a one-for-one claim/trade where the town is mislynched first, they win the game. Because the mislynch will make it 6 town, 3 scum and the nightkill wins the game, town never gets a chance to kill the confirmed scum.

And this doesn't get into the fact that a fake claim may not be caught by a counter-claim. Or that we might have a way to stop a kill, or kill mafia at night.

But the point is fake claiming could be amazing for mafia.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 26, 2013, 02:41:32 pm
In that case, no.  I do not agree with that line of reasoning. 

I do not think fake claiming will help the mafia.  In a game where scum control the PRs (or at least how many PRs that exist) every claim should be met with a certain level of scrutiny.  Why put yourself through that?  You are setting yourself up to be lynched.  You will probably only be able to take a single town member down with you.  We have 9 town, 3 mafia.  A claim will probably end in your death and the death of a town member.  so 8 town and 2 mafia left.  Scum need a better K-D ratio than that.  They will lose at that rate.

Now, if I am way off base with that tell me.  Also, vets, what are some games that I can go to as a reference for fakeclaims that are either well executed or poorly done?

Well obviously scum's not going to fake claim now, that would be pretty terrible for them. But imagine we mislynch today, and scum kills tonight. Now it's 10 players on D2, 7 town and 3 scum. If mafia does a one-for-one claim/trade where the town is mislynched first, they win the game. Because the mislynch will make it 6 town, 3 scum and the nightkill wins the game, town never gets a chance to kill the confirmed scum.

And this doesn't get into the fact that a fake claim may not be caught by a counter-claim. Or that we might have a way to stop a kill, or kill mafia at night.

But the point is fake claiming could be amazing for mafia.
I am probably missing something, but how does 5 town, 3 scum endgame town?  Town can lynch the scum, making it 5/2, lose one more at night (4/2) and keep lynching scum for a win.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 26, 2013, 02:42:38 pm
vote: Teproc

Reread his posts, they all game me a very scummy vibe.

The way he is pushing Robz lynch is scummy to me, he seems to be going at it as scum trying to push a lynch. Rather than town looking for scum.

I don't think I've been "pushing" for a Robz lynch really. He seemed scummy in the exchange he had with Jimmmmm, I said so and voted for him. Since then, he hasn't done anything to make me think he's town, so my vote has stayed on him. ashersky said it didn't look like something scum!Robz would do, and I said I was wary of meta defenses because that's the way mail-mi survived in GoT.

I also don't see how "pushing for a lynch" is scummy anyway. If I think someone is scum, I am definitely going to push for their lynch, why would I not ? Scum could do that as well of course, but I would expect scum to stand back and let others do the work for them so that they don't become a target after a mislynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 26, 2013, 02:45:03 pm
In that case, no.  I do not agree with that line of reasoning. 

I do not think fake claiming will help the mafia.  In a game where scum control the PRs (or at least how many PRs that exist) every claim should be met with a certain level of scrutiny.  Why put yourself through that?  You are setting yourself up to be lynched.  You will probably only be able to take a single town member down with you.  We have 9 town, 3 mafia.  A claim will probably end in your death and the death of a town member.  so 8 town and 2 mafia left.  Scum need a better K-D ratio than that.  They will lose at that rate.

Now, if I am way off base with that tell me.  Also, vets, what are some games that I can go to as a reference for fakeclaims that are either well executed or poorly done?

D2 of Mean Girls.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 02:45:25 pm
I am probably missing something, but how does 5 town, 3 scum endgame town?  Town can lynch the scum, making it 5/2, lose one more at night (4/2) and keep lynching scum for a win.

Dear lord apparently I need coffee or something. I was thinking 5 "town" as in "the town is comprised of all the players in the game, town and scum" and not "town, an alignment".

Carry on.  :P
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 26, 2013, 02:46:43 pm
one more thing about fakeclaiming:
If scum want to fakeclaim, they want as few real town PRs to exist as possible, but make us think that a lot of them exist.  More actual town PRs=More chance of a real claim on top of the fake claim.  So if you are thinking that scum have an eventual fakeclaim strategy, you should bring into question those people who thought scum should not take any PRs.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 26, 2013, 02:48:40 pm
one more thing about fakeclaiming:
If scum want to fakeclaim, they want as few real town PRs to exist as possible, but make us think that a lot of them exist.  More actual town PRs=More chance of a real claim on top of the fake claim.  So if you are thinking that scum have an eventual fakeclaim strategy, you should bring into question those people who thought scum should not take any PRs.

I'm trying not to make any assumptions about what scum would or would not do right now. I don't have any information to base such a guess on.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 26, 2013, 02:51:28 pm
one more thing about fakeclaiming:
If scum want to fakeclaim, they want as few real town PRs to exist as possible, but make us think that a lot of them exist.  More actual town PRs=More chance of a real claim on top of the fake claim.  So if you are thinking that scum have an eventual fakeclaim strategy, you should bring into question those people who thought scum should not take any PRs.

I think you've got that reversed, and that's why faust FoSed people who suggested that mafia took 3 power roles.

I might be misunderstanding : you're saying that if scum wanted to fakeclaim, they would have gone for 0 powers so that they've got a lesser chance to be counterclaimed right ? But they want us to believe there are a lot of PRs so that their claims might be credible.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 26, 2013, 03:07:06 pm
one more thing about fakeclaiming:
If scum want to fakeclaim, they want as few real town PRs to exist as possible, but make us think that a lot of them exist.  More actual town PRs=More chance of a real claim on top of the fake claim.  So if you are thinking that scum have an eventual fakeclaim strategy, you should bring into question those people who thought scum should not take any PRs.

I think you've got that reversed, and that's why faust FoSed people who suggested that mafia took 3 power roles.

I might be misunderstanding : you're saying that if scum wanted to fakeclaim, they would have gone for 0 powers so that they've got a lesser chance to be counterclaimed right ? But they want us to believe there are a lot of PRs so that their claims might be credible.

If scum had a fakeclaim plan:
1) They want town to think they have a lot of power roles (increase their credibility)
2) They do not actually want any power roles (decrease counterclaim possibility)

I think you are right that I am a little backwards.  Actually, I was thinking scum would be honest about their choices of PRs (for some reason) and would thus put down option 2.  However, who ever knew scum to be honest, so they would put down option 1.  Or they would put both down at once....Ashersky.  (remember, any suspicion about this comes with the premise that scum are coming to the game with a fakeclaiming strategy, which I reject)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2013, 03:11:20 pm
e, theory discussion aside, what are your reads so far?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 26, 2013, 03:33:14 pm
e, theory discussion aside, what are your reads so far?
I lean town on Robz and Ashersky.
I am not sure how I feel about mcmc coming out against Teproc because of "pushing the robz wagon" because I don't really see Teproc doing a whole bunch there.
Also, not a huge fan of the mcmc "non-RVS" Jimmmm vote

So maybe a very slight scum!mcmc because of 2 serious (!?) votes early in the first day.  That could easily fit into some meta that I don't know, but I don't really like it.

Not a whole lot on anyone else, but I didn't really do a great reread here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 27, 2013, 02:00:52 am
Well, I'm finally here after what seems like 4 lifetimes of driving. Time for a reread.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 27, 2013, 02:12:57 am
Also, gonna be mostly V/LA except for occasional chances to grab some internet until sometime Sunday.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 27, 2013, 02:22:22 am
OK, so time for my daily post, and I've got two pages about claiming to work with.

Not ideal! This is not really a conversation we need to be having right now and I think you know it. I do appreciate the sentiment behind faust's post, and he does bring up some good points. It was certainly a good way to kick off the day and get the dialogue flowing. But I think it got a little excessive. Just like soft deadlines--we don't need to spend 8 pages quibbling about the particulars of soft deadlines!! :P

Jorbles gets some town points from me for recognizing that as well.

mcmc is a bit of an enigma to me but seems townier on a reread.

Teproc...not so sure. His posts are less voluminous than I expected, but I don't see anything particularly scummy in them. Let's call it a null right now.

Voltaire still strikes me as townish.

But e seems scummish. I know I said I was going to wait until the end of Toy Story. But that could be ages from now. Despite being relatively active, he has done very little besides comment on the setup and now this claiming idea. A great way to generate presence without actually making any implicating statements on record. He was just called out on it now and had a couple vague things to say.

I'll vote: 1 + 1 + 1/2 + 1/6 + 1/24 + 1/120...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 27, 2013, 03:02:10 am
Wow, leave here for a couple days and the world goes to parts. Wow.

As for the Robz scenario, I do indeed think he's scummy enough to vote. Then again, this is super early in the game and I'm not sure that actually lynching him is such a great idea yet. Yet. Hey, wanna know something annoying? My "G" key is stuck and is hard to press. It's so frustrating.

Now "the list". First off, I'm not quite sure how this helps the town. In fact, it seems pretty pro scum. So, I think I'll refrain from putting my suggestions out...

Voltaire voted for me. I believe this is the first game we have played together Voltaire? Mmm. Good choice. Would you care for an apple?

Fake claiming. Huh. Well, every time a scum claims town its a fakeclaim, correct? And were all town, right? Good.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on November 27, 2013, 09:50:37 am
Vote Count 1.5

Robz (2): Teproc, Jorbles
Jimmmmm (1): ashersky
Morgrim (1): Voltaire
Voltaire (1): Robz
Teproc (1): mcmc
2.7 (1): Walrus

Not Voting (5): faust, Morgrim, manda, 2.7, Jimmmmm

Day1 will end in 12 days (10+2 for Thanksgiving) on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 27, 2013, 10:32:15 am
Voltaire voted for me. I believe this is the first game we have played together Voltaire? Mmm. Good choice. Would you care for an apple?

I'm not sure about that - we may have been in an RMM game a very long time ago. What kind of apple is it?

Walrus's most recent post reads pretty town (unlike when Robz said pretty much the same thing), because Walrus actually put actions behind his words. I know this gets under Robz's skin but it's true in my opinion.

ashersky has been far, far more in the background that I would expect. He hasn't really even replied to faust's plan, which he claims would be his plan. vote: ashersky
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 27, 2013, 12:46:06 pm
Voltaire voted for me. I believe this is the first game we have played together Voltaire? Mmm. Good choice. Would you care for an apple?

I'm not sure about that - we may have been in an RMM game a very long time ago. What kind of apple is it?

Walrus's most recent post reads pretty town (unlike when Robz said pretty much the same thing), because Walrus actually put actions behind his words. I know this gets under Robz's skin but it's true in my opinion.

ashersky has been far, far more in the background that I would expect. He hasn't really even replied to faust's plan, which he claims would be his plan. vote: ashersky

I agree, not that he hasn't given an answer but he hasn't gone anywhere with the discussion created from the plan. If he did indeed have a similar plan he should have some thoughts on the aftermath. It would also be very unlike ashersky for he plan to simply creat theory discussion so it can't be he feels all necessary discussion has been made.

vote: ashersky
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 27, 2013, 12:51:58 pm
Just did a reread of the thread. Reads :

Voltaire : Town. Very active, reminds me of his play in GoT.

Jorbles : Town. I had a town read on him before he defended me FWIW, but we were already agreeing on Robz, so that might be it. He hasn't be super active, but when he has he's been scumhunting and constructive.

Walrus : Town. Again, not very active but when he posts it's constructive and goes in the right direction.

manda: Slight town. Not a lot of posts but that's explained by RL reasons and she/he (?). She resisted the idea of a day 1 newbie pass, which I agree with, so that's where the slight town comes from

mcmsalot: Null. His vote on me seemed a little weird to me (mostly because I don't think pushing for a wagon is inherently scummy), but I can't say I find it scummy either, so...

2.7: Null. Not a lot of posts until recently, some content there but not enough for me to form a read at this point.

Morgrim : Slight scum. He only has one post, but the whole "hey, we're all town here !" is just... weird. Then again, he is known for a weird playstyle.

Jimmmmm: Slight scum. Very active early on, has been V/LA lately. Not a lot of content in his early posts, accuses Robz then says it wasn't entirely serious. We need people to be accountable for their votes, so I find that kind of attitude scummy.

ashersky: Scummy. Rereading I see why Voltaire is voting for him. If I understand his meta correctly, everyone always expects him to have a plan, and here he kind of tries to get out of it by claiming faust "stole" his plan. Not a huge fan of this.

Robz: Scum. Asking for town points for a weak reason and then maing fun of Jimmmmm for calling him out on it. Again, accountability is important, so anyone who tries to say that his scummy post was just a joke is scummy in my eyes. Got a little pressure and then disappeared, which seems like a good way to let people move on to other wagons.

PPE : haven't read mcmsalot's post.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 27, 2013, 01:05:51 pm
I think my initial thing with Jimm is still the most indicting thing that has happened yet. And I feel like he has been hiding since so it gets forgotten. Vote: Jimm
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 27, 2013, 01:06:29 pm
I agree with Voltaire and mcmcsalot that ashersky feels a little off to me, but I am confident-ish in my ash reads and would prefer to give that more time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 27, 2013, 01:08:38 pm
I think my initial thing with Jimm is still the most indicting thing that has happened yet. And I feel like he has been hiding since so it gets forgotten. Vote: Jimm

Isn't he V/LA ? I almost typed that in my reads but I think he's on a trip so that explains his recent absence.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 27, 2013, 01:09:26 pm
Yeah maybe.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 27, 2013, 01:09:38 pm
Oh yeah, he is. Well, eh, fine.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 27, 2013, 01:17:06 pm
I agree with Voltaire and mcmcsalot that ashersky feels a little off to me, but I am confident-ish in my ash reads and would prefer to give that more time.

Ash does feel a little off to me, but I can't quite put my finger on why. Can anyone explain why?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 27, 2013, 01:19:07 pm
I agree with Voltaire and mcmcsalot that ashersky feels a little off to me, but I am confident-ish in my ash reads and would prefer to give that more time.

Ash does feel a little off to me, but I can't quite put my finger on why. Can anyone explain why?

I had a reason but I don't remember what it was.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 27, 2013, 01:22:46 pm
I have some research(mafia related) to do when I get back from class and will post thoughts about it.

Why the morgrim vote Voltaire?

mcmc, I think you never shared the result of this research. What was it about?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 27, 2013, 01:24:35 pm
I agree with Voltaire and mcmcsalot that ashersky feels a little off to me, but I am confident-ish in my ash reads and would prefer to give that more time.

Ash does feel a little off to me, but I can't quite put my finger on why. Can anyone explain why?

I think it was mcmc who put it best. I'm used to ash with a brash plan. Instead he said the IC's plan was his (or close enough to it) and I can't remember anything he's done since then.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 27, 2013, 01:30:51 pm
But e seems scummish. I know I said I was going to wait until the end of Toy Story. But that could be ages from now. Despite being relatively active, he has done very little besides comment on the setup and now this claiming idea. A great way to generate presence without actually making any implicating statements on record. He was just called out on it now and had a couple vague things to say.

I'll vote: 1 + 1 + 1/2 + 1/6 + 1/24 + 1/120...

I can't really form a read on e until an ongoing game ends. He's auto-off my lynch list until then (call it TBD).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 27, 2013, 01:49:16 pm
I agree with Voltaire and mcmcsalot that ashersky feels a little off to me, but I am confident-ish in my ash reads and would prefer to give that more time.

Ash does feel a little off to me, but I can't quite put my finger on why. Can anyone explain why?

I think it was mcmc who put it best. I'm used to ash with a brash plan. Instead he said the IC's plan was his (or close enough to it) and I can't remember anything he's done since then.

Yeah, I've never seen ash with a small presence like this d1, scum or town. I've never seen someone beat him to explaining a plan though. So I guess it's a nullread.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 27, 2013, 01:50:57 pm
Yeah, I've never seen ash with a small presence like this d1, scum or town. I've never seen someone beat him to explaining a plan though. So I guess it's a nullread.

Then it must be on purpose.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 27, 2013, 01:54:07 pm
Yeah, I've never seen ash with a small presence like this d1, scum or town. I've never seen someone beat him to explaining a plan though. So I guess it's a nullread.

Then it must be on purpose.

That's a little cryptic. Do you think ash, as scum, would purposefully be less active ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 27, 2013, 01:56:35 pm
Yeah, I've never seen ash with a small presence like this d1, scum or town. I've never seen someone beat him to explaining a plan though. So I guess it's a nullread.

Then it must be on purpose.

That's a little cryptic. Do you think ash, as scum, would purposefully be less active ?

Ash, as any alignment, would purposely do crazy things. He once stopped posting so he would get prodded. I forget which game off the top of my head.

I have never actually played with scum!ash but if he doesn't use such tactics as scum he'd be the most obvious person in the universe.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2013, 02:48:30 pm
Happy Thanksgiving all.  I'm semi-VLA for the holiday.

I see I am the topic of conversation.  Glad to see you all miss me.

As for my reduced presence so far this game, honestly it's just been a busy couple of weeks irl, and I'm just keeping up.  I think I'm still generating more useful content than many in the game regardless, and will catch more scum than others with what I do say.

As for being les domineering (which I think is different than less active), I have been thinking of being more considerate of others (except jimmmmm), but I can turn up the asshole dial if you want.

On my stolen plan and lack of explanation thereof, there just isn't much to say.  I gave my opinion on how scum would choose, but until we get flips, the list isn't going to help us.  That's the purpose of the list, for reference/Poe later.

Did that touch on everything?  I'll try to pop in today, but I've finally got a day off to spend with my wife and I'll be roasting a turkey (which is sooooo overpriced here), so don't expect much until tomorrow.

Oh, and teproc is sheepy.

And mcmc is scum.  Dude is only active when he's scum, and here he has actually posted and voted.  Scum.  Write it down.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 27, 2013, 02:59:08 pm
I don't think mcmc is particularly active (he's pretty low on the post count actually). Is he usually super-lurking ?

And you haven't really answered to my main concern : if your plan was to question everyone about what they would have done as mafia, what do you think of the answers that have been given ? Do you agree with faust's interpretation ?

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2013, 03:03:45 pm
I don't think mcmc is particularly active (he's pretty low on the post count actually). Is he usually super-lurking ?

And you haven't really answered to my main concern : if your plan was to question everyone about what they would have done as mafia, what do you think of the answers that have been given ? Do you agree with faust's interpretation ?

First game with mcmc, I take it?  I think he's doubled his content compared to recent town efforts.

I think the answers are fine.  I don't think any of it tells us who is scum today, which is my point.  I wanted people on record so we can use it against them, or their partners, later.

I do this a lot, and truly believe it is an aid in scum hunting.  Make everyone put things down on the record, even if it seems harmless or useless at the time.  Putting opinions down in the open is always hard for scum because it might end up catching them later.  Whether it's a refusal to answer, an answer that's way off, or an answer that was exactly in the middle but provided after everyone else, we can find out things about other players.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 27, 2013, 03:16:07 pm
I do this a lot, and truly believe it is an aid in scum hunting.  Make everyone put things down on the record, even if it seems harmless or useless at the time.  Putting opinions down in the open is always hard for scum because it might end up catching them later.  Whether it's a refusal to answer, an answer that's way off, or an answer that was exactly in the middle but provided after everyone else, we can find out things about other players.

Ash with a subtle plan for D2 or later? Insanity. But I can buy it.

No need to "turn up the asshole dial". Thanks (I guess) for being where you are right now. Not sure I buy your insistence on mcmc but I'll look at him in other games.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 27, 2013, 03:30:48 pm
And mcmc is scum.  Dude is only active when he's scum, and here he has actually posted and voted.  Scum.  Write it down.

This also occurred to me, and it's true. But, I think my brother just might have more time on his hands since it's Thanksgiving break.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on November 27, 2013, 03:32:25 pm
I'm heading out soon for my Thanksgiving V/LA, so I'll leave everyone with an exciting sneak preview of the Voltaire Lynch Pool!

Post count (no pre-game):
37 Voltaire
31 faust
30 ashersky
26 Robz
21 Jimmmmm
16 Teproc
13 2.7...
11 Jorbles
11 manda
9 mcmc
5 Walrus
1 Morgim

I fell pretty good about this. No faust because he's IC, no me because duh. Manda gets a newbie pass whether she wants it or not. Morgrim...well, I wasn't around the one time (right, one time?) this community saw scum!Morgrim but I can't see him being anything other than "easy mislynch" unless he's changed his meta. Which he may have judging by his one post? Anyway.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 27, 2013, 04:15:19 pm
And mcmc is scum.  Dude is only active when he's scum, and here he has actually posted and voted.  Scum.  Write it down.

This also occurred to me, and it's true. But, I think my brother just might have more time on his hands since it's Thanksgiving break.

Also to should all take into account I for the first time ever since I started playing took a break(because I wasn't prioritizing mafia enough) and this is my return game so I really want to be participating. Also if you remember I was scum in like all of my first games, then my big schedule change occurred and my lurking began, so mcmc lurks as town is really just mcmc hasn't been scum all that much since when he started and had tons of time on his hands. Check my sig for proof.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 27, 2013, 04:31:52 pm
As for being les domineering (which I think is different than less active), I have been thinking of being more considerate of others (except jimmmmm), but I can turn up the asshole dial if you want.

What do you mean by this?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2013, 04:52:09 pm
As for being les domineering (which I think is different than less active), I have been thinking of being more considerate of others (except jimmmmm), but I can turn up the asshole dial if you want.

What do you mean by this?

Joking about our recent spats.  And I'm voting you, I think.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 27, 2013, 05:19:21 pm
I agree with Voltaire and mcmcsalot that ashersky feels a little off to me, but I am confident-ish in my ash reads and would prefer to give that more time.

Ash does feel a little off to me, but I can't quite put my finger on why. Can anyone explain why?

I think it was mcmc who put it best. I'm used to ash with a brash plan. Instead he said the IC's plan was his (or close enough to it) and I can't remember anything he's done since then.

Ugh I actually didn't do it, I will I promise. I really need to stop doing that. Baisically it was wondering if ash and robz have been sum together before and what it looked like. I think them as scum could pull off a very dominant style that looked like what they were beginning to do.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 27, 2013, 06:49:05 pm
It's a Fuji Apple, Voltaire. And weren't you named after a philosopher? Very interesting. I like this one.

Teproc thinks what I said was scummy. Are you denying the fact that we are all claiming town? Because that would mean you are scum. Ooh, I have this sinking feeling that I was meaning to post something and forgot it completely...hold on one second...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 27, 2013, 06:50:17 pm
We're waiting... Well I am anyways.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 27, 2013, 06:53:51 pm
Ahh. Ashes. You know, that's a cool nickname, ashes is. Catchy. And quick. A little dark though...
But anyway, back to ashes. I'm not completely sure, but I think the reason he could be acting weird is because he's trying to act normal. Which must mean his role isn't normal. Which must mean he's either not working with the town, or...working to get himself killed. I have a feeling he may not be completely without an agenda.
Then again, none of us are...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 27, 2013, 06:56:52 pm
Fake claiming. Huh. Well, every time a scum claims town its a fakeclaim, correct? And were all town, right? Good.

This looks like you're saying we shouldn't worry about fakeclaiming because, hey, we're all town ! Obviously you don't mean that exactly I'm sure, but it just reads like a weird way to divert us from talking about fakeclaims. And while I don't think theory talk is the most productive thing ever, it's still just a weird thing to say. I find it scummy because I'm having a hard time seeing it as towny.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 27, 2013, 07:00:54 pm
No, no, no. You misunderstand me, rocky. I'm not trying to divert your attention at all. In fact, I think it's healthy to talk about face claiming. So, let's talk. How are your cats today?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 27, 2013, 07:04:34 pm
What the hell is this ? Do you think being intentionally obtuse is helpful in any way, to anyone ? I understand that's kind of your thing, but it's incredibly counterproductive.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 27, 2013, 07:08:30 pm
That's a nice adjective. Incredibly. Will use that. I do have a question though. How am I being obtuse? I don't think I could be any more clear - Let's talk about fake claiming. You first.
What the hell is this? I think you mean "who". I am a person, after all.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 27, 2013, 07:22:59 pm
By "this" I mean the content of your posts, which I do believe is confusing, perhaps (probably) intentionally so. I don't actually think we should be talking about potential fakeclaims anymore, I just meant that your dismissal of it was weird.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 27, 2013, 07:24:39 pm
Uhh...okay? I'm sorry that it was weird? Nobody is normal though, so everyone is weird...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 27, 2013, 07:36:05 pm
I gotta say I missed Morgrim's style of play. It's just so different from everyone else's. I have no read on him right now, but I'm glad he's around. Teproc's reaction to it reads a little frustrated and a little towny to me, though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on November 27, 2013, 11:05:07 pm
As a reminder, I am VLA starting tomorrow and won't be back around until Sunday evening. Twistedarcher (three cheers for him) has volunteered to mod while I am gone with vote counts and flips if needed. If there is a night at any time during my VLA the thread will not open up until I get back regardless of how much time has passed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 27, 2013, 11:14:22 pm
Post Count:
Player
Voltaire
Walrus
Robz
Jimmmm
ashersky
faust
Jorbles
manda
Teproc
morgrim
e
mcmcsalot
D1 Post Count
38
5
26
22
31
31
13
11
19
6
13
11
Pre-Game Post count
3
3
8
10
13
2
3
6
3
3
1
2
I threw in the pre-game count to help people who want to check the post count themselves.  Thanksgiving/traveling has everyone a little V/LA or at least out of their normal routine, so I am not going to look at a low post count and think lurker.  We still have just under 7 days remaining today so plenty of time for good discussion as people (including myself) get back into the swing of things.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 28, 2013, 12:16:07 am
I'm heading out soon for my Thanksgiving V/LA, so I'll leave everyone with an exciting sneak preview of the Voltaire Lynch Pool!

Post count (no pre-game):
37 Voltaire
31 faust
30 ashersky
26 Robz
21 Jimmmmm
16 Teproc
13 2.7...
11 Jorbles
11 manda
9 mcmc
5 Walrus
1 Morgim

I fell pretty good about this. No faust because he's IC, no me because duh. Manda gets a newbie pass whether she wants it or not. Morgrim...well, I wasn't around the one time (right, one time?) this community saw scum!Morgrim but I can't see him being anything other than "easy mislynch" unless he's changed his meta. Which he may have judging by his one post? Anyway.

This reads differently from every other time you've done this.  You didn't go very far down the "top posters" ladder, like you usually do, and the Morgrim wave off feels like taking an easy road.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 28, 2013, 12:16:54 am
I gotta say I missed Morgrim's style of play. It's just so different from everyone else's. I have no read on him right now, but I'm glad he's around. Teproc's reaction to it reads a little frustrated and a little towny to me, though.

Agree across the board here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 28, 2013, 02:01:26 am
Hey guys way too drunk to post a proper sldaily post. So sorry. I will post toloreow morning is I have the time. Good night I love you all
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 28, 2013, 02:16:22 am
Hey guys way too drunk to post a proper sldaily post. So sorry. I will post toloreow morning is I have the time. Good night I love you all

Are you mafia?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 28, 2013, 02:47:41 am
Hey guys way too drunk to post a proper sldaily post. So sorry. I will post toloreow morning is I have the time. Good night I love you all

Did you play kickball?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on November 28, 2013, 09:21:41 am
Vote Count 1.6

Robz (2): Teproc, Jorbles
Jimmmmm (2): ashersky, Robz
2.7 (1): Walrus
ashersky (2): Voltaire, mcmcsalot

Not Voting (5): faust, Morgrim, manda, 2.7, Jimmmmm

Day1 will end in 12 days (10+2 for Thanksgiving) on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 28, 2013, 10:35:22 am
Such a missed opportunity Walrus, when you're super drunk is the best time to put up a daily post!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 11:29:48 am
Such a missed opportunity Walrus, when you're super drunk is the best time to put up a daily post!

It really is,

so some thoughts.

Teprocs reaction to morgrim did seem towny so I lean more town on him than before.

Jorbles doesn't seem to be posting very much quality in his posts so a bit scummy from him though not much because its sort of what I expect from jorbles(not a diss)

Robz post count for day one is interesting though I do think people are beginning to take mafia more seriously again across the board.

Ash responded towny to the arguments against him which again is a null tell in my opinion.(again I believe he is playing less domineering on purpose regardless of alignment) unvote

Still bad at reading new players.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 28, 2013, 11:48:32 am
The entire tone of just about all of mcmc's posts just scream scummy to me. Reminds me of DS9 mcmc.

Vote: mcmcsalot
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 12:12:58 pm
I don't really have great posting abilities right now but I will work on getting some reads out there. On my kindle so I won't be able to reference like I enjoy doing, and I will also have to post more slowly. So here are some reads. One at a time.
Jimmmm: a rvs vote on robz then he feels the need to explain his unvote? Makes me think his first vote wasn't really rvs. Gives me a little scum feel on him. His other interactions haven't done anything to change that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 12:17:47 pm
mcmc- I don't like so many serious votes so early in the day. I have never played with mcmc before, so maybe that is just his style, but it rubs me the wrong way.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 12:22:07 pm
mcmc- I don't like so many serious votes so early in the day. I have never played with mcmc before, so maybe that is just his style, but it rubs me the wrong way.

vote: 2.71828 absolutely ridiculous.  People seem to think talking about theory and random voting should last the entirety of day 1. It rubs you the wrong way that I am seriously scum hunting??? Must be because your scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 12:25:45 pm
The entire tone of just about all of mcmc's posts just scream scummy to me. Reminds me of DS9 mcmc.

Vote: mcmcsalot

Only thing I can say to this(because I see what your getting at) remember ds9 was multiball, and I was sincerely scum-hunting that whole game. I was truly convicted liopoil was scum, he wasn't and it ruined me(as well as poor interaction with galz/robz) but I was scumhunting.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 12:28:05 pm
Robz- I really like bold play, so scum or not I like robz approach to this game from claiming ic to meta-modification. D1 pass for me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 12:29:48 pm
mcmc- I don't like so many serious votes so early in the day. I have never played with mcmc before, so maybe that is just his style, but it rubs me the wrong way.

vote: 2.71828 absolutely ridiculous.  People seem to think talking about theory and random voting should last the entirety of day 1. It rubs you the wrong way that I am seriously scum hunting??? Must be because your scum.
OMGUS votes look more scummy than sharing thoughts and maybe catching some heat for them
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 28, 2013, 12:35:38 pm
The entire tone of just about all of mcmc's posts just scream scummy to me. Reminds me of DS9 mcmc.

Vote: mcmcsalot

Only thing I can say to this(because I see what your getting at) remember ds9 was multiball, and I was sincerely scum-hunting that whole game. I was truly convicted liopoil was scum, he wasn't and it ruined me(as well as poor interaction with galz/robz) but I was scumhunting.

The general feeling that I'm getting from you is just that you're quite blasé, which actually makes more sense from scum in a non-multiball. I'm having trouble trying to articulate what I mean, because it's really just the tone or feel of your posts, which I know is really hard to argue against.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 12:45:01 pm
 Ashersky
I do this a lot, and truly believe it is an aid in scum hunting.  Make everyone put things down on the record, even if it seems harmless or useless at the time.  Putting opinions down in the open is always hard for scum because it might end up catching them later.  Whether it's a refusal to answer, an answer that's way off, or an answer that was exactly in the middle but provided after everyone else, we can find out things about other players.

Ash with a subtle plan for D2 or later? Insanity. But I can buy it.

No need to "turn up the asshole dial". Thanks (I guess) for being where you are right now. Not sure I buy your insistence on mcmc but I'll look at him in other games.
I like the idea of a D2 plan from ash since his D1 plan was hijacked by the IC. I haven't seen anything especially scummy from him so I like the idea of a D1 pass here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 28, 2013, 12:51:17 pm
e, you're giving out lots of "D1 passes" early in the Day. Are you serious that you will not vote for Robz and ashersky?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 12:54:33 pm
e, you're giving out lots of "D1 passes" early in the Day. Are you serious that you will not vote for Robz and ashersky?
D1 pass might be a little strong, but it will take some convincing before I vote them.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 28, 2013, 12:56:39 pm
Ugh, scummy vibes from mcmc, Jimmmm and e's interaction. They can't all be scum (well I mean they could, but I really doubt it), but it kinda looks like they're all trying to muck someone up for a mislynch. I guess I think e's statements do strike me as the most out there. Especially, his reads on mcmc, but also giving people d1 passes so he has an excuse to not vote for them if they look like a good lynch. Personally I think passes are something you should reserve only for people you find extremely towny, or situations where there is some reason external to reads that should keep them alive (pending investigation, claimed PR, etc). e's playstyle reads scummy to me, enough that I find him scummier than Robz.

Vote: e (2.71etc)

PPE: I agree with faust, clearly.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 28, 2013, 12:59:58 pm
I think e2.7 looks a little scummy from that, but not as scummy as mcmc and Jimm.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 28, 2013, 01:01:32 pm
Okay, so we'll need a soft deadline. Here's the thing: As the IC, I'd like to be around for the soft deadline, but you know, this is sort of complicated with me living in Europe and all. I propose Tuesday, December 3, 2 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 01:12:25 pm
but also giving people d1 passes so he has an excuse to not vote for them if they look like a good lynch
And this is why I completely agree with manda when talking about D1 passes for newbies. They shouldn't exist. If someone is scummy, vote for them. I also sympathize with manda in regards to meta discussion. It is really hard for new players to learn anything from that discussion. I disagree with the conclusion that it is altogether pointless because I do see some good benefit in meta discussion. It is just hard for new players to get reads from metas. In fact, I like a lot of what manda has said. D1 pass for manda.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 01:14:47 pm
Okay, so we'll need a soft deadline. Here's the thing: As the IC, I'd like to be around for the soft deadline, but you know, this is sort of complicated with me living in Europe and all. I propose Tuesday, December 3, 2 pm forum time.
I am good with that soft deadline. We have our work cut out for us Monday and Tuesday though since we have had (and will have through the weekend) so much v/la.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 01:16:17 pm
I don't care I omgused you 2.7, you did something I found very scummy, I don't care who you thought was directed at. And then you followed it up with another very scummy post giving robz a d1 pass. So I am pretty happy with my vote.

Jorbles explain why you think me Jimm and e are scummy please. You mentioned why you found e scummy but not really me and Jimm. I think you just picked the people who were currently talking said they were all scummy and then explain/voted for 1. To me that reads like a scum player possibly casting mass suspicion and only backing up what he needs to(explain his vote)

Jimm I know it's tough but can you explain a little more what you mean by blase? Do you agree with 2.7 i am too serious or voting too much? Do you think I am not backing up my reads?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 01:20:13 pm
but also giving people d1 passes so he has an excuse to not vote for them if they look like a good lynch
And this is why I completely agree with manda when talking about D1 passes for newbies. They shouldn't exist. If someone is scummy, vote for them. I also sympathize with manda in regards to meta discussion. It is really hard for new players to learn anything from that discussion. I disagree with the conclusion that it is altogether pointless because I do see some good benefit in meta discussion. It is just hard for new players to get reads from metas. In fact, I like a lot of what manda has said. D1 pass for manda.

Wait what?  3 day 1 passes already?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 01:21:48 pm
Also at 2.7

You don't like meta discussion, as well as you don't like my serious votes? What do you suggest we talk about?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 28, 2013, 01:22:05 pm
Jorbles explain why you think me Jimm and e are scummy please. You mentioned why you found e scummy but not really me and Jimm. I think you just picked the people who were currently talking said they were all scummy and then explain/voted for 1. To me that reads like a scum player possibly casting mass suspicion and only backing up what he needs to(explain his vote)

No, I said that it looked like you were all trying to tar each other up for a mislynch. I'd say you were doing it the least, but I agree with Jimmm that your post 380 reads a little scummy (regardless of your later explanation). I didn't pick you guys because you were talking, I picked you guys because I got scummy vibes from all of you based on your interactions (posts 380-389).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 01:22:18 pm
but also giving people d1 passes so he has an excuse to not vote for them if they look like a good lynch
And this is why I completely agree with manda when talking about D1 passes for newbies. They shouldn't exist. If someone is scummy, vote for them. I also sympathize with manda in regards to meta discussion. It is really hard for new players to learn anything from that discussion. I disagree with the conclusion that it is altogether pointless because I do see some good benefit in meta discussion. It is just hard for new players to get reads from metas. In fact, I like a lot of what manda has said. D1 pass for manda.

Wait what?  3 day 1 passes already?
yeah, they are going hot. If you want one speak now. Limited supply
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 01:23:20 pm
but also giving people d1 passes so he has an excuse to not vote for them if they look like a good lynch
And this is why I completely agree with manda when talking about D1 passes for newbies. They shouldn't exist. If someone is scummy, vote for them. I also sympathize with manda in regards to meta discussion. It is really hard for new players to learn anything from that discussion. I disagree with the conclusion that it is altogether pointless because I do see some good benefit in meta discussion. It is just hard for new players to get reads from metas. In fact, I like a lot of what manda has said. D1 pass for manda.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 01:28:58 pm
Also at 2.7

You don't like meta discussion, as well as you don't like my serious votes? What do you suggest we talk about?
I am fine with meta discussion and your votes would be a part of that. Which is why in my post I hedged it a bit because I don't know your meta, as I said. I would hope that a vet would be able to weigh in on the matter and help me out. I didn't vote for you or anything, just said it rubs me wrong. If that is a null tail due to your meta, ok. Null read
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 28, 2013, 01:29:47 pm
but also giving people d1 passes so he has an excuse to not vote for them if they look like a good lynch
And this is why I completely agree with manda when talking about D1 passes for newbies. They shouldn't exist. If someone is scummy, vote for them. I also sympathize with manda in regards to meta discussion. It is really hard for new players to learn anything from that discussion. I disagree with the conclusion that it is altogether pointless because I do see some good benefit in meta discussion. It is just hard for new players to get reads from metas. In fact, I like a lot of what manda has said. D1 pass for manda.

Wait what?  3 day 1 passes already?
yeah, they are going hot. If you want one speak now. Limited supply

I want more than 1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 01:31:10 pm
but also giving people d1 passes so he has an excuse to not vote for them if they look like a good lynch
And this is why I completely agree with manda when talking about D1 passes for newbies. They shouldn't exist. If someone is scummy, vote for them. I also sympathize with manda in regards to meta discussion. It is really hard for new players to learn anything from that discussion. I disagree with the conclusion that it is altogether pointless because I do see some good benefit in meta discussion. It is just hard for new players to get reads from metas. In fact, I like a lot of what manda has said. D1 pass for manda.

Wait what?  3 day 1 passes already?
yeah, they are going hot. If you want one speak now. Limited supply

I want more than 1.
D2 pass for robz
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 28, 2013, 01:38:21 pm
Interesting. I don't like giving passes, especially this early and this many. Reducing your lynch pool is fine, but that's something you do when you need to lynch and work through POE rather than actual scumhunting.

I think mcmcsalot did come off scummy here, but not for the #380 post Jimmmmm and Jorbles didn't like, rather for this one.

mcmc- I don't like so many serious votes so early in the day. I have never played with mcmc before, so maybe that is just his style, but it rubs me the wrong way.

vote: 2.71828 absolutely ridiculous.  People seem to think talking about theory and random voting should last the entirety of day 1. It rubs you the wrong way that I am seriously scum hunting??? Must be because your scum.

I find this vote very scummy. Jimmmmm just voted for mcm, and 2.7 is saying that he doesn't like the way mcmc plays. This reads to me like mcmc is trying to OMGUS but not be too obvious about it, and is therefore targeting the guy that hasn't already voted for him. That way, when 2.7 does vote for him, he can accuse HIM of OMGUS. This might be a little far-fetched, but I don't really see what would warrant such a strong reaction in 2.7's post. It read to me like he was very uncertain about mcmc's play more than an outright accusation.

The more I think about it, the more this post and vote seems scummy to me.

OTOH, 2.7 is now doing that thing where he's accused of being scummy for something so he starts joking about it. That's not good either.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 28, 2013, 01:39:18 pm
Well, e, as I see it, you already reduced your lynch pool to 7 people. (3 D1 passes, you and me taken out) So which of those 7 DO you actually want to lynch?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 28, 2013, 01:39:47 pm
but also giving people d1 passes so he has an excuse to not vote for them if they look like a good lynch
And this is why I completely agree with manda when talking about D1 passes for newbies. They shouldn't exist. If someone is scummy, vote for them. I also sympathize with manda in regards to meta discussion. It is really hard for new players to learn anything from that discussion. I disagree with the conclusion that it is altogether pointless because I do see some good benefit in meta discussion. It is just hard for new players to get reads from metas. In fact, I like a lot of what manda has said. D1 pass for manda.

Wait what?  3 day 1 passes already?
yeah, they are going hot. If you want one speak now. Limited supply

I want more than 1.
D2 pass for robz

Good that's what I like to her.

Well, scum will shoot me.

Quick, pretend you think I'm scummy! I'll help: don't listen to our IC, let's just lynch a lurker, vigs shouldn't shoot (true regardless though), etc.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 28, 2013, 01:45:52 pm
I agree with Robz that a vig shouldn't shoot D1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 28, 2013, 01:46:10 pm
I agree with Robz that a vig shouldn't shoot D1.

That should read N1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 01:46:20 pm
Well, e, as I see it, you already reduced your lynch pool to 7 people. (3 D1 passes, you and me taken out) So which of those 7 DO you actually want to lynch?
I was working on that before I got distracted a bit. I will get back to my reads now. 5 down, 6 to go. (Skipping you and me)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 01:46:52 pm
I agree with Robz that a vig shouldn't shoot D1.

That should read N1.
explain please
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 28, 2013, 01:51:01 pm
I agree with Robz that a vig shouldn't shoot D1.

That should read N1.
explain please

Two night deaths will make it obvious that we have a vig. And like already discussed, I don't wan't our PRs outed early. Plus, the chances of hitting scum are low.

The ultimate decision is in the hands of the vig, of course. If they have a super-strong scum read on someone, maybe they should shoot.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 01:56:46 pm
Teproc, to explain a bit, I dislike theory discussion, there was a lot of it so I didn't post much, then I posted trying to get some scum-hunting going. During that you mentioned I was much too lurky, ash joked about my lurkyness, then I got called out by ash for participating and then by 2.7 for being too serious. So I was frustrated. Also I really think people need to be less "oh that's omygus" 2.7 said something I found scummy so I voted him, I don't think it was really omgus(though it was a bit). If he voted now voted me it would be for the reason he said before and presumably finding me scummy for how I responded, it wouldn't be omgus.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 02:05:08 pm
 Morgim- he hasn't been around much this game, but then not many people have been. His posts have been a fun read though. Null read
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 28, 2013, 02:08:22 pm
Happy Thanksgiving to those who celebrate it! And you're totally right, I should have just posted last night, because now I have to do a hungover post which is not half as fun lol. But let me get a few quick thoughts down before dinner.

Morgrim is hilarious. Never played with him, so I'm not sure what to make of that, but my first impression is towny. Teproc got a bit annoyed at his style...but I think I find that towny too.

I still think ash seems OK...not my towniest read, but on the townier side of null.

mcmc is way more active than I am used to; the one time I played with him was in M31, and he got lynched D1 for being an uberlurk. He does have an explanation for that. I'm not sure about these most recent posts though, especially his vote for e seemed a little off.

I still think e seems scummy in this most recent exchange. Especially how he tried to play it off as a joke, it just seemed really forced to me. HOWEVER the wagon on him has grown a bit more quickly than I am comfortable with. So I would like to analyze that later.

OK I'm out of time but I'll be back tonight.



Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 02:10:56 pm
Walrus- another victim of v/la. He did have a nice summary reads post though the other day. Too bad he didn't post more last night. Reads from people drunk-posting are the best reads ever. Null read.

PPE: another walrus useful post. Still null
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 28, 2013, 02:11:32 pm
I agree with Robz that a vig shouldn't shoot D1.

That should read N1.
explain please

Two night deaths will make it obvious that we have a vig. And like already discussed, I don't wan't our PRs outed early. Plus, the chances of hitting scum are low.

The ultimate decision is in the hands of the vig, of course. If they have a super-strong scum read on someone, maybe they should shoot.

Nope, not even then. They should accept their fallibility and show restraint.

Yuma, Galzria, and maybeVoltaire are the only people I would ever trust to shoot on Night 1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 28, 2013, 02:12:06 pm
Walrus- another victim of v/la. He did have a nice summary reads post though the other day. Too bad he didn't post more last night. Reads from people drunk-posting are the best reads ever. Null read.

PPE: another walrus useful post. Still null

Summaries are scummaries.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 02:13:08 pm
Walrus? Why do you find my most recent posts scummy but also find 2.7 scummy, my most recent posts are explaining why I find him scummy...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 02:13:47 pm
Walrus- another victim of v/la. He did have a nice summary reads post though the other day. Too bad he didn't post more last night. Reads from people drunk-posting are the best reads ever. Null read.

PPE: another walrus useful post. Still null

Summaries are scummaries.

Agreed yet another reason 2.7 is scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 02:15:30 pm
Walrus- another victim of v/la. He did have a nice summary reads post though the other day. Too bad he didn't post more last night. Reads from people drunk-posting are the best reads ever. Null read.

PPE: another walrus useful post. Still null

Summaries are scummaries.

Agreed yet another reason 2.7 is scum.

Ah I see you were calling walrus summary scummy, 2.7 giving a summary of what walrus's summary meant seems scummy to. Scummy summarception!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 02:17:40 pm
Walrus- another victim of v/la. He did have a nice summary reads post though the other day. Too bad he didn't post more last night. Reads from people drunk-posting are the best reads ever. Null read.

PPE: another walrus useful post. Still null

Summaries are scummaries.

Agreed yet another reason 2.7 is scum.
well it is scummier to stop halfway through my scummaries than finish them off.  4 to go.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 28, 2013, 02:26:59 pm
Not sure why you're doing them in multiple posts though. Trying to boost your vote count ? It also makes it slightly more difficult on the reread.

@mcmsalot : Fair enough. I don't think I called you lurky though, I responded to ashersky's comment about you being active by saying you were low on the vote count. The "super-lurky" thing was how I imagined you must be in other games, since ash found you suspiciously active even though you had less than 10 posts.

Summaries are scummaries.

Care to elaborate ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 02:30:39 pm
Jorbles- tough read as he hasn't said much and I have never played with him. He has been around to comment some, but hasn't given any real content. Slightly scummy until I get some reads from him, but the holidays mess with everyone's schedule, so I will withhold too much judgement until after holidays are over and everyone can post as normal
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 02:35:36 pm
I don't really have great posting abilities right now but I will work on getting some reads out there. On my kindle so I won't be able to reference like I enjoy doing, and I will also have to post more slowly. So here are some reads. One at a time.
Jimmmm: a rvs vote on robz then he feels the need to explain his unvote? Makes me think his first vote wasn't really rvs. Gives me a little scum feel on him. His other interactions haven't done anything to change that.
I usually post my summaries in one post (see toy story) but it is hard on my kindle without a keyboard and multiple tabs open to easily reference. So yeah, it does pump up my post count, but D1 post counts are sketchy today because of thanksgiving, so I for one will not give much weight to post count for my D1 vote
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 28, 2013, 02:40:06 pm
I think someone noted this, but the "x is scummy dude" statement followed by doing x even more, but in a jokey way, is a classic scum way of covering for a mistake.

See 2.7s day passes for an example.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 02:58:36 pm
Voltaire is a tough read for me. I really don't know. Some decent content. but not too much. He has some stuff that makes me think town, but then some stuff that doesn't sit quite right. I am not getting big reads in any direction, but rather than null it feels like i need a bit more time and content from him.

PPE: dare I say D1 pass? No, I better not
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 03:17:11 pm
My count was off. Only teproc remains.
Teproc- he has asked a bunch of questions, and hasn't answered too many himself. Town PR trying to get a feel for town, or scum? I don't see anything wrong with questions, lean towny. But he did have a scummary post, so definitely scum.

I will consolidate and make a better summary post when I get to a real computer.
Oh and for completion:
2.7- town
Faust-town
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 28, 2013, 04:22:07 pm
Jorbles- tough read as he hasn't said much and I have never played with him. He has been around to comment some, but hasn't given any real content. Slightly scummy until I get some reads from him, but the holidays mess with everyone's schedule, so I will withhold too much judgement until after holidays are over and everyone can post as normal

I've been giving reads and voting, what do you mean I haven't been giving real content?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 28, 2013, 04:23:17 pm
I think someone noted this, but the "x is scummy dude" statement followed by doing x even more, but in a jokey way, is a classic scum way of covering for a mistake.

See 2.7s day passes for an example.

Yeah, I tend to agree with this. I'm comfortable with my vote on him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 28, 2013, 08:00:45 pm
mcmc- I don't like so many serious votes so early in the day. I have never played with mcmc before, so maybe that is just his style, but it rubs me the wrong way.

vote: 2.71828 absolutely ridiculous.  People seem to think talking about theory and random voting should last the entirety of day 1. It rubs you the wrong way that I am seriously scum hunting??? Must be because your scum.
This strikes me as...absolutely ridiculous. That's a fallacy, by the way. Called Ad Populum, am I right? Also, Who is this someone? I would like to meet him one day. Sounds like an interesting person.

As for the vigilante idea, don't shoot. You could end up hitting one of us, or maybe your gun will jam and while you're fixing it a big cardboard box might fall on top of you and Amazon will pick it off and ship you to themselves and then flush you down the biggest toilet in the world which happens to have been moved to Greenland and while your still fixing your gun the box will hit an iceberg and not only will you die but the box will as well.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 08:29:15 pm
As for the vigilante idea, don't shoot. You could end up hitting one of us, or maybe your gun will jam and while you're fixing it a big cardboard box might fall on top of you and Amazon will pick it off and ship you to themselves and then flush you down the biggest toilet in the world which happens to have been moved to Greenland and while your still fixing your gun the box will hit an iceberg and not only will you die but the box will as well.
this seems very similar to this situation (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Cx7jzq2Bx4&sns=em). Town is the plant at the end.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 28, 2013, 08:44:50 pm
As for the vigilante idea, don't shoot. You could end up hitting one of us, or maybe your gun will jam and while you're fixing it a big cardboard box might fall on top of you and Amazon will pick it off and ship you to themselves and then flush you down the biggest toilet in the world which happens to have been moved to Greenland and while your still fixing your gun the box will hit an iceberg and not only will you die but the box will as well.
this seems very similar to this situation (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Cx7jzq2Bx4&sns=em). Town is the plant at the end.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 28, 2013, 08:45:33 pm
Mmm. Not quite. The only thing that is similar is the box. Good try though.
Hey, I never asked you. Would you like an apple?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 28, 2013, 09:09:14 pm
Mmm. Not quite. The only thing that is similar is the box. Good try though.
Hey, I never asked you. Would you like an apple?
the box and destruction at the end. An apple would be nice. Fuji is the best for eating, but in light of thanksgiving, I might want some granny smith to make an apple pie with.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 28, 2013, 09:58:00 pm
Fresh out of Granny Smith. Lots of people want one these days. My annoying brother got the last 15. As for destruction, well. We are all doomed to die in the end. Why not that much sooner?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 28, 2013, 10:09:57 pm
So...back to really playing?

I'm laughing and all, but this is really distracting from the scum hunting.  Unless that's your point?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 28, 2013, 10:23:43 pm
So...back to really playing?

I'm laughing and all, but this is really distracting from the scum hunting.  Unless that's your point?

Yup, I don't think he is scum simply because I don't believe(correct me if I am wrong) 2.7 has not been around long enough to pull of the interaction with morgrim if they were scum partners. And I think 2.7 is scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 28, 2013, 10:44:32 pm
So...back to really playing?

I'm laughing and all, but this is really distracting from the scum hunting.  Unless that's your point?
Are you suggesting that me and 2.7 are scum? If we were, don't you think that we would be smart enough not to do something you would immediately suspect us for, like talking about every day things during a mafia game?
And my point wasn't to make you laugh, it was to have a conversation. If I made you laugh, I'm sorry.
Not that I think you're scum, of course.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on November 28, 2013, 10:58:37 pm
So...back to really playing?

I'm laughing and all, but this is really distracting from the scum hunting.  Unless that's your point?
Are you suggesting that me and 2.7 are scum? If we were, don't you think that we would be smart enough not to do something you would immediately suspect us for, like talking about every day things during a mafia game?
And my point wasn't to make you laugh, it was to have a conversation. If I made you laugh, I'm sorry.
Not that I think you're scum, of course.

My thought was that you (Morgrim7) could be scum (or a boat), and therefore looking to distract everyone (an armada) from scum hunting.

I did not assume you and 2.7 were scum together.  In fact, I think if one of you is scum, the other isn't.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 28, 2013, 11:28:38 pm
You and rocky both. Interesting.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on November 29, 2013, 12:52:32 am
Aight I'm back. Not a whole lot since last time, I trust many of you are happily stuffed with stuffing and tryptophan!

I would also like clarification about the scummaries quip Robz. Are you calling me scummy, or e, or both? Or was it just sort of an off-handed aphorism?

Morgrim is being silly, but that's fine by me. You know I like a good laugh and if that's how he expresses himself, great. Better than lurking. The true intentions will (hopefully) bubble to the surface eventually.

Meanwhile such silliness does not seem as much in character for e. It feels like a distraction to me, like he's happy to seize on the opportunity to diffuse the attention on him. The separation of reads is a little weird but doesn't bother me so much; I can understand the limitations of posting from a suboptimal device.

mcmc, the fact that you think e is scummy is fine. Obviously I do too at the moment. It was in particular the post where you actually voted for him that seemed weird; a combination of the timing and semi-OMGUS-ishness that just made it feel somewhat off. As I said in the last post, I'm a little wary of how quickly the e wagon has grown. I voted for him, and very quickly a few others voted for him as well. Maybe they just reached the same conclusion as I did. But I'm not used to being so influential lol
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2013, 04:38:13 am
Walrus, what do you mean, the wagon on e has grown quickly? As I can see it, he's at two votes right now, I wouldn't even call that a wagon.

But you know what, let's make it one. Vote: e He seems scummy enough.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2013, 04:44:00 am
My count was off. Only teproc remains.
Teproc- he has asked a bunch of questions, and hasn't answered too many himself. Town PR trying to get a feel for town, or scum? I don't see anything wrong with questions, lean towny. But he did have a scummary post, so definitely scum.

Role fishing much? Also, if you think he's scum, why don't you vote?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 29, 2013, 05:25:37 am
Actually that makes four votes faust (Walrus, mcmcsalot, Jorbles, you). Considering he is on the 2.7 wagon, I don't think Walrus finds the wagon scummy, just mcmc's vote in particular, which I agree with. Mcmc has responded that he was frustrated by the contradictions on his level of activity (first criticised for being a lurker, then for being suspiciously active). That explains the tone of his post, but the timing is still scummy to me.

I don't think 2.7 was rolefishing here. I mean, there's no way a PR would actually respond to that kind of comment, I assumed he was just thinking out loud basically.

Morgrim : I'm "rocky" I guess ? Apparently even usernames have to be deciphered in your post, how wonderfully helpful of you. I'm actually more than annoyed now, I think this could genuinely be scum hiding in plain sight. Empty posts, and the perfect meta defense for it. In fact, he seems more "crazy" here than in the early games I've seen him in, where he at least seemed somewhat involved in the game, and I don't remember him being this cryptic.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2013, 07:54:07 am
I don't think 2.7 was rolefishing here. I mean, there's no way a PR would actually respond to that kind of comment, I assumed he was just thinking out loud basically.

But it's scummy to say that. Like, it's the thing a traitor would want to say. Giving your fellow scum hints at who you think the town PRs are.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Twistedarcher on November 29, 2013, 07:55:47 am
Vote Count 1.7

Robz (1): Teproc
Jimmmmm (2): ashersky, Robz
2.7 (4): Walrus, mcmcsalot, Jorbles, Faust
ashersky (1): Voltaire
mcmcsalot (1): Jimmmmm

Not Voting (3): Morgrim, manda, 2.7

Day1 will end in 12 days (10+2 for Thanksgiving) on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 29, 2013, 08:37:04 am
I don't think 2.7 was rolefishing here. I mean, there's no way a PR would actually respond to that kind of comment, I assumed he was just thinking out loud basically.

But it's scummy to say that. Like, it's the thing a traitor would want to say. Giving your fellow scum hints at who you think the town PRs are.
But you said we are under the assumption that scum have daychat.  Yet you contradict yourself here.  If I were scum, I would have no need to send subliminal messages that I think teproc has some sort of town PR.  #discredittheIC

also, it was never said explicitly by a mod so

Mods, with 12 alive it takes 6 or 7 to lynch?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Twistedarcher on November 29, 2013, 08:58:27 am
Mods, with 12 alive it takes 6 or 7 to lynch?

Please refer to the OP, which states that "A simple majority (rounded up) of all living members must agree on one person for a lynch to occur prior to deadline." So, with 12 players, 7 votes are required to lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 29, 2013, 09:35:19 am
(brief) summary of my summaries:
Jimmmmm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319616#msg319616)- a slight scum read
mcmc (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319618#msg319618)- an uneasy feeling at the time of my post, made more scummy by the interactions after my post
robz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319624#msg319624)- My first controversial "day pass."  His behavior could be town or scum, but I think it will be easier to find one of the two other scum than decipher whether the behavior is actually town or actually scum.
Ashersky (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319636#msg319636)- My second controversial "day pass."  Basically the same reason as Robz.
manda (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319670#msg319670)- New player I guess?  My first time playing with manda.  (as well as firsts mcmc, morgrim, teproc, jorbles, and walrus)  I have found manda's posts to have decent content, and I lean town here.
Morgrim (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319670#msg319670)- Need more content.  Nothing so far.  Other than a good laugh.  His brother is scummy for taking all the apples I would have had.
Walrus (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319672#msg319672)- Has been unable to post much, but from what he has I would say null to town.
Jorbles (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319682#msg319682)- I read as slightly scummy for what he had posted so far, but with an open mind because of Thanksgiving and the fact that I haven't played with him before.  More comments to follow-up on his reply later.  Not appropriate for this post.
Voltaire (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319691#msg319691)- I saved my tough reads for last.  I really don't know right now. 
Teproc (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319692#msg319692)- Lean Towny.

Now Faust asked me who I actually want to lynch (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319660#msg319660), so I better answer that since I did not actually do that.  It is difficult, so I will put everyone in tiers.

Would lynch if we needed the vote- Jimmmmmm, mcmc, jorbles
Don't want to lynch but would if we needed the vote- Voltaire, Teproc, Walrus, Morgrim
Don't want to lynch- Robz, Ashersky, manda
Never lynch- Faust, 2.7

I know, that still doesn't answer the question, but it is getting somewhere.  I am not ready to actually vote for anyone yet.  Votes can be several different things:
1) RVS votes- usually very early in the game just to get things rolling, get some discussion, etc
2) Pressure votes- You specifically want more input from a person and so you vote for them.  You hope that at least one or two more people will join you to make it more serious but you do not really want to lynch them yet.
3) Wagon votes- Someone has a few votes on them, and you decide to vote to further whatever cause was created by the first non-RVS vote on that person.  So, for example, you may join a Pressure vote wagon (which makes your vote a combo of pressure/wagon) because you think that person really does need to be held accountable for what they said or they need to answer a specific question.  Wagon votes can also be used as a disguising technique for scum hoping to get an easy lynch.
4) "I actually think you are scum" votes- You have a read on someone, you say why you have that read on that person, and you vote for them.  You think they are scum and you want to eliminate scum.  so you vote.
5) "I think it will be easy to lynch you" votes- This category is exclusively for scum.  They gameplan who they want to target (a few different people maybe) and get a feel for the day and then slowly build up a wagon on that person.  Not all at once (scum are smarter than that), but gradually and consistently to deflect people from thinking that they themselves are scum

There may be more categories, but these will suffice.  It is a little too late for me to RVS vote, there is no one I can really see as a pressure vote person, I won't join the wagon on me, and I am not confident enough in my reads to really think that mcmc, jorbles, or jimmmmmm are actually scum.  And I am not scum so category 5 does not apply to me.  So I will withhold my vote until such a time as I deem appropriate.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 29, 2013, 10:28:41 am
Jorbles- tough read as he hasn't said much and I have never played with him. He has been around to comment some, but hasn't given any real content. Slightly scummy until I get some reads from him, but the holidays mess with everyone's schedule, so I will withhold too much judgement until after holidays are over and everyone can post as normal

I've been giving reads and voting, what do you mean I haven't been giving real content?
Ok, to answer I will review your posts:
162 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318022#msg318022)- saying you will catch up
217 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318305#msg318305)- Briefly answer with your choices of mafia PR with no additional discussion
220 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318309#msg318309)- Post little suspicions about Robz
221 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318309#msg318309)- Correct a post by Teproc
223 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318312#msg318312)- Upon catching up (I presume) you vote Robz without further explanation
260 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318442#msg318442)- Expresses support of Faust's plan
262 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318445#msg318445)- slightly more elaboration on support of the plan
281 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318699#msg318699)- asks for Morgrim prod
313 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318862#msg318862)- Supports Teproc, says no to mass claiming while trying to push us in the direction of scum-hunting.
342 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319244#msg319244)- Expresses doubt over Ash
347 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319266#msg319266)- Ends null read on Ash
362 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319369#msg319369)- A "nod, I am listening to what you are about to say Morgrim" post.
370 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319393#msg319393)- comes null on morgrim, towny on faust
379 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319574#msg319574)- tells walrus he missed a great opportunity to drunk post

Those were all the posts I used for my read, but Jorbles did have a read here at 392 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319642#msg319642) before I actually posted that said the e/mcmc/jimmmm interaction was scummy and that I was the scummiest.  And then defends saying the 3 of us are scummy here at 400 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319652#msg319652).

Ok.  So what does this say?  First off, you had a little more content than I gave you credit for.  But even with that, is it really as much as it might seem?

1) The Robz vote.  You don't go into much at all about why you vote here.  It almost looks like you are sheeping teproc a bit.  I am a fan of original ideas and giving reasons behind a vote.  See my last post for vote categories.  Your vote here looks somewhere between 3 and 4.  Small wagon, with not well explained "I think you are scum."  And you never say anything else about it until you say I look scummier than Robz. 
2) support Faust.  Very easy since he is the IC.
3) Ash.  Quick to give the null read after expressing his doubts a few posts earlier.
4) Comments on the e/mcmc/jimmmmm interaction choosing me as the scummiest.  Again, a safe read here that should bring no trouble.

The phrase that I think Jorbles takes affront over is "He has been around to comment some, but hasn't given any real content."  While he has posted and given reads, what I look for is a more original content or a well reasoned explanation as to why you concur with another person's argument.  Especially when giving non-rvs votes as you have done for Robz and myself.  You came out and supported Faust and mentioned Ash a bit, but never really developed your thoughts too much.  So when I say "real content" I mean good explanations and backup for your reads rather than just agreeing with others and the IC.  So I stand by my statement that you have been around to comment, but haven't really said a whole lot yourself. (other than agreeing with the IC and coming towny on teproc for the morgrim interaction.)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 29, 2013, 10:30:17 am
I'm not being silly. How am I being silly?
Also, guys, I'm not sure rocky likes me. And I'm not scum, but if you think I am, well. vote: Morgrim is always a good solution for that.

Now, however, I should try to oblige to 2.7's preferences because I'm a good person like that.
Mcmc: seems scummy cause of that one post I quoted above. And how he's behaving kinda seems...I don't know...sketchy. There's a good one. Wait, I promised I would use incredibly. Incredibly sketchy. Would lynch him.
2.7: seems to be genuinely trying to help the town. Decent I suppose.
Rockabaloo: Doesn't like me, but I already said that. Meh.
Ashes: leaning slightly town.
Robz: leaning slightly scum
Sir Fishy McWalrus: leaning slightly towards the exact middle.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 29, 2013, 10:42:43 am
Why no reads on Voltaire, Jorbles, Jimmmmm and manda ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 29, 2013, 10:49:02 am
Why no reads on Voltaire, Jorbles, Jimmmmm and manda ?
Good point, rocky.

All towny except for Voltaire, who seems sorta neutral. And for manda, who also seems neutral. And for Jimmm, who reads a bit scummy. And Jorbles, who seems a bit up tight that 2.7 is arguing with him about posting.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 29, 2013, 11:00:16 am
I don't think 2.7 was rolefishing here. I mean, there's no way a PR would actually respond to that kind of comment, I assumed he was just thinking out loud basically.

But it's scummy to say that. Like, it's the thing a traitor would want to say. Giving your fellow scum hints at who you think the town PRs are.
But you said we are under the assumption that scum have daychat.  Yet you contradict yourself here.  If I were scum, I would have no need to send subliminal messages that I think teproc has some sort of town PR.  #discredittheIC

also, it was never said explicitly by a mod so

Mods, with 12 alive it takes 6 or 7 to lynch?

Not true in the situation that faust is describing where you are a traitor. If the traitor was not recruited they do not have daychat with their buddies, and would try to bread crumb info to them.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 29, 2013, 11:08:16 am
I don't think 2.7 was rolefishing here. I mean, there's no way a PR would actually respond to that kind of comment, I assumed he was just thinking out loud basically.

But it's scummy to say that. Like, it's the thing a traitor would want to say. Giving your fellow scum hints at who you think the town PRs are.
But you said we are under the assumption that scum have daychat.  Yet you contradict yourself here.  If I were scum, I would have no need to send subliminal messages that I think teproc has some sort of town PR.  #discredittheIC

also, it was never said explicitly by a mod so

Mods, with 12 alive it takes 6 or 7 to lynch?

Not true in the situation that faust is describing where you are a traitor. If the traitor was not recruited they do not have daychat with their buddies, and would try to bread crumb info to them.
You are correct.  I misread the bit about being a traitor as opposed to being a normal member of the mafia.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 29, 2013, 12:19:03 pm
Jorbles- tough read as he hasn't said much and I have never played with him. He has been around to comment some, but hasn't given any real content. Slightly scummy until I get some reads from him, but the holidays mess with everyone's schedule, so I will withhold too much judgement until after holidays are over and everyone can post as normal

I've been giving reads and voting, what do you mean I haven't been giving real content?
Ok, to answer I will review your posts:
162 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318022#msg318022)- saying you will catch up
217 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318305#msg318305)- Briefly answer with your choices of mafia PR with no additional discussion
220 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318309#msg318309)- Post little suspicions about Robz
221 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318309#msg318309)- Correct a post by Teproc
223 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318312#msg318312)- Upon catching up (I presume) you vote Robz without further explanation
260 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318442#msg318442)- Expresses support of Faust's plan
262 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318445#msg318445)- slightly more elaboration on support of the plan
281 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318699#msg318699)- asks for Morgrim prod
313 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318862#msg318862)- Supports Teproc, says no to mass claiming while trying to push us in the direction of scum-hunting.
342 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319244#msg319244)- Expresses doubt over Ash
347 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319266#msg319266)- Ends null read on Ash
362 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319369#msg319369)- A "nod, I am listening to what you are about to say Morgrim" post.
370 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319393#msg319393)- comes null on morgrim, towny on faust
379 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319574#msg319574)- tells walrus he missed a great opportunity to drunk post

Those were all the posts I used for my read, but Jorbles did have a read here at 392 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319642#msg319642) before I actually posted that said the e/mcmc/jimmmm interaction was scummy and that I was the scummiest.  And then defends saying the 3 of us are scummy here at 400 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319652#msg319652).

Ok.  So what does this say?  First off, you had a little more content than I gave you credit for.  But even with that, is it really as much as it might seem?

1) The Robz vote.  You don't go into much at all about why you vote here.  It almost looks like you are sheeping teproc a bit.  I am a fan of original ideas and giving reasons behind a vote.  See my last post for vote categories.  Your vote here looks somewhere between 3 and 4.  Small wagon, with not well explained "I think you are scum."  And you never say anything else about it until you say I look scummier than Robz. 
2) support Faust.  Very easy since he is the IC.
3) Ash.  Quick to give the null read after expressing his doubts a few posts earlier.
4) Comments on the e/mcmc/jimmmmm interaction choosing me as the scummiest.  Again, a safe read here that should bring no trouble.

The phrase that I think Jorbles takes affront over is "He has been around to comment some, but hasn't given any real content."  While he has posted and given reads, what I look for is a more original content or a well reasoned explanation as to why you concur with another person's argument.  Especially when giving non-rvs votes as you have done for Robz and myself.  You came out and supported Faust and mentioned Ash a bit, but never really developed your thoughts too much.  So when I say "real content" I mean good explanations and backup for your reads rather than just agreeing with others and the IC.  So I stand by my statement that you have been around to comment, but haven't really said a whole lot yourself. (other than agreeing with the IC and coming towny on teproc for the morgrim interaction.)

I'm not really sure how to respond to this. You acknowledge that you were wrong about me not providing content, but you just don't like the content I'm providing because it's not "original" enough for you. I guess I can live with that since I am of the opinion that you're probably scum. It kinda looks to me like you set yourself up to go after me thinking my posts were devoid of any content, but didn't find what you expected when you went to actually build a case. Maybe I'm OMGUSing a bit here. I'll let other people judge for themselves.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 29, 2013, 12:23:49 pm
Just started re-reading e, and came across this.

1. JOAT (1 shot Strongman, 1 shot Ninja) - Extra NK.  yes please.

Clearly if e was scum he would know that JoAT does not provide an extra NK. Now, as with Robz seemingly not knowing the setup, this could be a scum play. He could have said this in his QT and been corrected by his partner and chosen to do the same thing in the game thread. But I think something like this is less likely to come from e than from Robz.

Of course, even if we believe that they both genuinely didn't know the setup properly, that doesn't rule out them being the Traitor.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on November 29, 2013, 12:39:59 pm
Just started re-reading e, and came across this.

1. JOAT (1 shot Strongman, 1 shot Ninja) - Extra NK.  yes please.

Clearly if e was scum he would know that JoAT does not provide an extra NK. Now, as with Robz seemingly not knowing the setup, this could be a scum play. He could have said this in his QT and been corrected by his partner and chosen to do the same thing in the game thread. But I think something like this is less likely to come from e than from Robz.

Of course, even if we believe that they both genuinely didn't know the setup properly, that doesn't rule out them being the Traitor.

This is a good point, but as you say doesn't rule e out as the traitor, which is seeming most likely given how he has played. Traitor isn't a perfect world lynch, but it's not a bad thing in any situation.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on November 29, 2013, 12:47:42 pm
I would also like clarification about the scummaries quip Robz. Are you calling me scummy, or e, or both? Or was it just sort of an off-handed aphorism?

I was not calling anyone specifically scummy, just that long descriptive posts are easy to replicate as scum and don't prove much. Analytic posts, even short ones, are better.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2013, 12:56:54 pm
Why no reads on Voltaire, Jorbles, Jimmmmm and manda ?

Actually Teproc, what are your reads? You're voting Robz, but have recently expressed suspicion towards e and mcmc. Is Robz still the scummiest? Why?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 29, 2013, 06:13:19 pm
Just started re-reading e, and came across this.

1. JOAT (1 shot Strongman, 1 shot Ninja) - Extra NK.  yes please.

Clearly if e was scum he would know that JoAT does not provide an extra NK. Now, as with Robz seemingly not knowing the setup, this could be a scum play. He could have said this in his QT and been corrected by his partner and chosen to do the same thing in the game thread. But I think something like this is less likely to come from e than from Robz.

Of course, even if we believe that they both genuinely didn't know the setup properly, that doesn't rule out them being the Traitor.

Hmm, for some reason this post reads a lot to me like what Jimm covering for his scum partner 2.7 or at least it could be, so if one is scum I think the other is more likely scum. That being said it doesn't currently reveal anything.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on November 29, 2013, 06:42:37 pm
Just started re-reading e, and came across this.

1. JOAT (1 shot Strongman, 1 shot Ninja) - Extra NK.  yes please.

Clearly if e was scum he would know that JoAT does not provide an extra NK. Now, as with Robz seemingly not knowing the setup, this could be a scum play. He could have said this in his QT and been corrected by his partner and chosen to do the same thing in the game thread. But I think something like this is less likely to come from e than from Robz.

Of course, even if we believe that they both genuinely didn't know the setup properly, that doesn't rule out them being the Traitor.

Hmm, for some reason this post reads a lot to me like what Jimm covering for his scum partner 2.7 or at least it could be, so if one is scum I think the other is more likely scum. That being said it doesn't currently reveal anything.

So you disagree with my conclusion?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on November 29, 2013, 07:45:20 pm
Why no reads on Voltaire, Jorbles, Jimmmmm and manda ?

Actually Teproc, what are your reads? You're voting Robz, but have recently expressed suspicion towards e and mcmc. Is Robz still the scummiest? Why?

My reads are still pretty close to what they were a few pages ago when I did a reads post. I had both mcmcsalot and e as null then.

mcmc had a reasonable answer for his excessive reaction to e's post (he was frustrated with being labelled a lurker by some, right before being accused of being too active), but that's the second time he has voted for weak reasons in my mind, so he is a light scum read at this point.

e I have no idea. As I said, the way he started joking about his "day 1 passes" when he was criticized for them is scummy, but the rest of his recent posts have read town to me. I'd still put him as null.

The rest hasn't really changed. Morgrim is a cipher, but slightly on the side of scum to me.

That's the reason I haven't really updated my reads : nothing is really strong here.

As far as Robz goes, he hasn't given me a reason to unvote, and no one else has screamed scum, so my vote stays here. He's been a lot less noticeable lately, which seems to be a great way to get the pressure off him, because people want to move on and scumhunt elsewhere. But I don't think scumhunting necessitates throwing your vote around, so I'm fine with leaving it on Robz so far.

By the end of the week-end, I plan to do rereads on my top suspects as we will be closer to the deadline (soft or otherwise) and I'll also try to narrow down my lynch pool.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on November 29, 2013, 07:52:18 pm
Is it just me, or do Mcmc and Jorbles reactions seem scummy?
And the more I look at rocky, the more I'm sure he's on our side. At least, I hope.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on November 29, 2013, 08:01:09 pm
Just started re-reading e, and came across this.

1. JOAT (1 shot Strongman, 1 shot Ninja) - Extra NK.  yes please.

Clearly if e was scum he would know that JoAT does not provide an extra NK. Now, as with Robz seemingly not knowing the setup, this could be a scum play. He could have said this in his QT and been corrected by his partner and chosen to do the same thing in the game thread. But I think something like this is less likely to come from e than from Robz.

Of course, even if we believe that they both genuinely didn't know the setup properly, that doesn't rule out them being the Traitor.

Hmm, for some reason this post reads a lot to me like what Jimm covering for his scum partner 2.7 or at least it could be, so if one is scum I think the other is more likely scum. That being said it doesn't currently reveal anything.

So you disagree with my conclusion?

No, that's what I am saying, at face value it doesn't mean much, but if you were to flip scum I would be much more certain of 2.7 being scum. If 2.7 flips scum I would be a little more wary of you. As for what you said, I think what 2.7 said could have been from town or scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 30, 2013, 03:58:05 pm
I've finally escaped the land of no internet.... reading now and ACTUALLY POSTING here in a little bit.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on November 30, 2013, 05:32:58 pm
So, quick first impressions after catching up. Potentially more to come this evening but lots of other stuff to do. 

Morgrim's joking around is entertaining but, while maybe not harmful, definitely not helpful... Teproc's responses vocalized the frustration that I felt, so I'm inclined to say he's town for now.

As the recipient of one of 2.7's D1 passes, I hate to complain (joke, I love to complain), but I really don't like the idea of giving "passes" in general. I don't think it makes him seem super scummy, but I also think it can be a hindrance to the town when a player decides they will no longer consider a vote for any particular person (unless, as Jorbles has said, there is a pressing need to keep them alive).

mcmc's posts 397-399 feel very confrontational. Since that is generally a normal underlying personality characteristic that comes out when someone has pressure on them, I tend to think that scum would temper that and react non-confrontationally. Maybe I'm projecting too much of my own tendencies here, but I can't automatically equate confrontational with scumminess.

Super disappointed that we missed out on drunk analysis from Walrus.

I'll be in class when that soft deadline hits but I'll have a vote in by then. Again, I'm super limited on posting through at least the rest of next week and somewhat limited the following week.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 30, 2013, 09:58:22 pm
Ok.  So what does this say?  First off, you had a little more content than I gave you credit for.  But even with that, is it really as much as it might seem?

1) The Robz vote.  You don't go into much at all about why you vote here.  It almost looks like you are sheeping teproc a bit.  I am a fan of original ideas and giving reasons behind a vote.  See my last post for vote categories.  Your vote here looks somewhere between 3 and 4.  Small wagon, with not well explained "I think you are scum."  And you never say anything else about it until you say I look scummier than Robz. 
2) support Faust.  Very easy since he is the IC.
3) Ash.  Quick to give the null read after expressing his doubts a few posts earlier.
4) Comments on the e/mcmc/jimmmmm interaction choosing me as the scummiest.  Again, a safe read here that should bring no trouble.

The phrase that I think Jorbles takes affront over is "He has been around to comment some, but hasn't given any real content."  While he has posted and given reads, what I look for is a more original content or a well reasoned explanation as to why you concur with another person's argument.  Especially when giving non-rvs votes as you have done for Robz and myself.  You came out and supported Faust and mentioned Ash a bit, but never really developed your thoughts too much.  So when I say "real content" I mean good explanations and backup for your reads rather than just agreeing with others and the IC.  So I stand by my statement that you have been around to comment, but haven't really said a whole lot yourself. (other than agreeing with the IC and coming towny on teproc for the morgrim interaction.)

I'm not really sure how to respond to this. You acknowledge that you were wrong about me not providing content, but you just don't like the content I'm providing because it's not "original" enough for you. I guess I can live with that since I am of the opinion that you're probably scum. It kinda looks to me like you set yourself up to go after me thinking my posts were devoid of any content, but didn't find what you expected when you went to actually build a case. Maybe I'm OMGUSing a bit here. I'll let other people judge for themselves.
I was hoping that more people would share their thoughts on this, but no one seems to be around. .  And then people get distracted by my comment concerning the joat PR. (I won't say much here: the statement is what it is, believe what you will. Anything I add on the subject is WIFOM.) Morgrim finds both jorbles and mcmc little scummy for their reactions, but didn't go into any specifics.  Manda posts, but only really only comments on D1 passes.

As far as what I think about jorbles response: I think I built a pretty good case that he actually didn't have any content except posts to show passive involvement to avoid any real inspection D1. I tend to disagree with morgrim a bit though, and I am starting to lean a little more towny on jorbles because of his responses. If I do get lynched, I will flip town, and jorbles will be a prime target because of his reactions.  Scum would not be so decisive in this situation. Especially against someone they cannot really use meta analysis against since we have never played together before.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 01, 2013, 10:01:26 am
manda, e, both of you need to put a vote down really soon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 01, 2013, 12:49:02 pm
So, nothing has changed my opinion from a few days ago: I think mcmc and Jimm are the two scummiest people.

To an extent, this opinion is based on something I HATE doing--punishing people for being active. Jimm and mcmc here seem much more engaged in this game then in a lot of recent, previous games... and I would expect that if they were scum. And I hate to say that, because of course I would rather have them being more active.

There's a bit more to the case on Jimm. I've noticed him trying to "keep the circle wide" as I am calling it now, something I think scum does. Scum, I've realized, really wants to keep as many suspects on the table as possible. This is why--maybe--Jimm jumped at my self-declared IC status to try and refute it (when it really wasn't necessary to refute, I mean obviously I was not and am not IC). He's done this one other time recently that I supposed I should try to dig up to prove my case.

Anyway, Jimm, I guess. Vote: Jimm if I'm not currently.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 02:03:01 pm
Wow, I didn't realise I was considered one of the more active players in this game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 02:15:41 pm
Wow, I didn't realise I was considered one of the more active players in this game.
yeah.it has been super slow.
Faust: doing a reread now. Will have a vote today per your request.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 02:46:14 pm
There's a bit more to the case on Jimm. I've noticed him trying to "keep the circle wide" as I am calling it now, something I think scum does. Scum, I've realized, really wants to keep as many suspects on the table as possible. This is why--maybe--Jimm jumped at my self-declared IC status to try and refute it (when it really wasn't necessary to refute, I mean obviously I was not and am not IC). He's done this one other time recently that I supposed I should try to dig up to prove my case.

Explain this for me. My first post after your claiming IC status was clarifying what you said because I initially misread your post. Do you disbelieve me on this?

Do you disagree with my second post? If someone supposedly misunderstood the setup and then immediately claims Town points for it, that looks to me like they might have misunderstood the setup specifically for the Town points. Compare that to e's believing that the JoAT gave scum a second NK. I don't think what Robz did was particularly scummy, but I maintain that immediately claiming IC status for it nullifies any Town points he would otherwise have received.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 01, 2013, 03:42:48 pm
Okay, I re-read you and you doing "keep the circle wide" was not as strong as I thought.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 01, 2013, 03:52:40 pm
Alright, let me post something. I spent rather more time yesterday in the Detroit International Airport than I would have preferred. So I'm feeling a little burned out.

So I realized that I hadn't posted much about Jimmmmm, other to say that I found him townier than not, and he's come up a few times now, so I did a quick reread. It's mostly a bunch of quick one-liner type posts, many of which are questions. He is quick to accuse Robz (however jokingly) and mcmc, which is interesting. It seems like scumhunting, but is it earnest or forced? I don't know much about his ordinary playstyle.

One thing that jumped out at me was the unvote. I remember I caught some flak in Game of Thrones for my early unvote on faust. But then I also revoted, which may have been the more significant thing there.

Part of the reason I decided to do this look into Ji5m just now is because of his recent defense of e, who is still my top scumread. That caused the conspiracy theory part of my brain to think about this: what if it's like Dynasty Warriors, where e (a traitor perhaps) is analogous to sudgy, and Ji5m is like theorel, and I am trying to inexpertly apply yuma's reasoning here.

I'm not sure I actually buy it though. Anyway I still feel viscerally scummier about e right now...if e flipped traitor well then I might start to believe myself more. But that's getting way too hypothetical.

So I can certainly see the scum angle. I did think it was interesting that Robz brought up Jimmmmm's activity, considering that his posts are pretty front-loaded to the first half of the game so far. I haven't felt that he has been nearly so active in the past couple days as he was earlier, and I don't think it's a great idea to put so much stock right now in posting frequency, considering it's been a crazy week for a lot of us. So IDK, maybe that means Robz feels scummy, maybe it just feels like Robz vs. Ji5m is just town vs. town...h5m.

PPE: Robz backs off a little. Interesting.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 03:56:53 pm
Walrus, bear in mind (or in case you missed my V/LA announcements) that I'm in Canada at the moment, and have been for 4-5 days. I'm doing my best to keep contributing, but it's really hard to dedicate time and effort at the moment.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 01, 2013, 04:07:13 pm
So I can certainly see the scum angle. I did think it was interesting that Robz brought up Jimmmmm's activity, considering that his posts are pretty front-loaded to the first half of the game so far. I haven't felt that he has been nearly so active in the past couple days as he was earlier, and I don't think it's a great idea to put so much stock right now in posting frequency, considering it's been a crazy week for a lot of us. So IDK, maybe that means Robz feels scummy, maybe it just feels like Robz vs. Ji5m is just town vs. town...h5m.

PPE: Robz backs off a little. Interesting.

I don't think level of activity is a scum indicator for me though the way it is for mcmc and might be for Jimm.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 04:11:12 pm
So I can certainly see the scum angle. I did think it was interesting that Robz brought up Jimmmmm's activity, considering that his posts are pretty front-loaded to the first half of the game so far. I haven't felt that he has been nearly so active in the past couple days as he was earlier, and I don't think it's a great idea to put so much stock right now in posting frequency, considering it's been a crazy week for a lot of us. So IDK, maybe that means Robz feels scummy, maybe it just feels like Robz vs. Ji5m is just town vs. town...h5m.

PPE: Robz backs off a little. Interesting.

I don't think level of activity is a scum indicator for me though the way it is for mcmc and might be for Jimm.

Don't get too caught up on scum v Town performances of mine from ages ago. Obviously there aren't really recent example either way for me, but I did realise I was getting a bit of a reputation for lurking, particularly when Town, which is why I went for a while without playing a game, and I'm doing my best to remedy that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 01, 2013, 06:12:02 pm
Your mod is back, thanks to TA for filling in!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 01, 2013, 06:37:26 pm
Your mod is back, thanks to TA for filling in!

Can we get a vote count?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 01, 2013, 06:37:45 pm
Vote Count 1.8

Robz (1): Teproc
Jimmmmm (2): ashersky, Robz
2.7 (4): Walrus, mcmcsalot, Jorbles, Faust
ashersky (1): Voltaire
mcmcsalot (1): Jimmmmm
Morgrim (1): Morgrim

Not Voting (2): manda, 2.7

With 12 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Day1 will end in ~ 3 days on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 01, 2013, 06:38:22 pm
Your mod is back, thanks to TA for filling in!

Can we get a vote count?

You don't even say "Hi" or "How was your Thanksgiving?"

No vote count for you!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 01, 2013, 06:44:22 pm
I'll vote: 2.7 at this point.  His "let me joke about my scummy behavior so it comes off as not scummy" thing, plus being in the IC's sights, is enough for now.

I'm back from the long holiday/weekend, so re-read and posts incoming.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 01, 2013, 07:05:08 pm
Hi Yuma!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 01, 2013, 07:42:38 pm
Just back from week-end as well, I'll do rereads tomorrow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 08:04:51 pm
Well this is fun. The first wagon I have ever had against me. L-2
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 01, 2013, 08:08:20 pm
Well this is fun. The first wagon I have ever had against me. L-2
Actually, Its more like L-2.71828...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 08:23:29 pm
Well this is fun. The first wagon I have ever had against me. L-2
ok. Either I have done a spectacular job convincing town that I am scum, or there is scum voting for me right now. I really don't like ashersky's pre-reread vote. Like that seems super scummy. Although all my jokes are after he went v/la, so I guess that is a fine knee-jerk reaction. My only concern is that I am certain someone voting for me right now is scum. They sense blood, and see an easy mislynch. I hope I don't make it too easy.

Everyone at least wait to lynch before the soft deadline. Too many people v/la and unable to express opinions. By the time everything comes out, I am sure we will find a better lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 08:26:40 pm
Hmm no I'm sold on the e "case", which seems to be mostly "he seems scummy". My impression is that his playstyle simple comes across as scummy because he doesn't or hasn't yet learned to use certain filters etc which strong vets use whether Town or scum. This doesn't make him scum, but certainly make him an easy lynch. At this stage I do not support this lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 01, 2013, 08:38:12 pm
(brief) summary of my summaries:
Jimmmmm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319616#msg319616)- a slight scum read
mcmc (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319618#msg319618)- an uneasy feeling at the time of my post, made more scummy by the interactions after my post
robz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319624#msg319624)- My first controversial "day pass."  His behavior could be town or scum, but I think it will be easier to find one of the two other scum than decipher whether the behavior is actually town or actually scum.
Ashersky (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319636#msg319636)- My second controversial "day pass."  Basically the same reason as Robz.
manda (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319670#msg319670)- New player I guess?  My first time playing with manda.  (as well as firsts mcmc, morgrim, teproc, jorbles, and walrus)  I have found manda's posts to have decent content, and I lean town here.
Morgrim (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319670#msg319670)- Need more content.  Nothing so far.  Other than a good laugh.  His brother is scummy for taking all the apples I would have had.
Walrus (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319672#msg319672)- Has been unable to post much, but from what he has I would say null to town.
Jorbles (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319682#msg319682)- I read as slightly scummy for what he had posted so far, but with an open mind because of Thanksgiving and the fact that I haven't played with him before.  More comments to follow-up on his reply later.  Not appropriate for this post.
Voltaire (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319691#msg319691)- I saved my tough reads for last.  I really don't know right now. 
Teproc (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319692#msg319692)- Lean Towny.

Now Faust asked me who I actually want to lynch (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319660#msg319660), so I better answer that since I did not actually do that.  It is difficult, so I will put everyone in tiers.

Would lynch if we needed the vote- Jimmmmmm, mcmc, jorbles
Don't want to lynch but would if we needed the vote- Voltaire, Teproc, Walrus, Morgrim
Don't want to lynch- Robz, Ashersky, manda
Never lynch- Faust, 2.7

I know, that still doesn't answer the question, but it is getting somewhere.  I am not ready to actually vote for anyone yet.  Votes can be several different things:
1) RVS votes- usually very early in the game just to get things rolling, get some discussion, etc
2) Pressure votes- You specifically want more input from a person and so you vote for them.  You hope that at least one or two more people will join you to make it more serious but you do not really want to lynch them yet.
3) Wagon votes- Someone has a few votes on them, and you decide to vote to further whatever cause was created by the first non-RVS vote on that person.  So, for example, you may join a Pressure vote wagon (which makes your vote a combo of pressure/wagon) because you think that person really does need to be held accountable for what they said or they need to answer a specific question.  Wagon votes can also be used as a disguising technique for scum hoping to get an easy lynch.
4) "I actually think you are scum" votes- You have a read on someone, you say why you have that read on that person, and you vote for them.  You think they are scum and you want to eliminate scum.  so you vote.
5) "I think it will be easy to lynch you" votes- This category is exclusively for scum.  They gameplan who they want to target (a few different people maybe) and get a feel for the day and then slowly build up a wagon on that person.  Not all at once (scum are smarter than that), but gradually and consistently to deflect people from thinking that they themselves are scum

There may be more categories, but these will suffice.  It is a little too late for me to RVS vote, there is no one I can really see as a pressure vote person, I won't join the wagon on me, and I am not confident enough in my reads to really think that mcmc, jorbles, or jimmmmmm are actually scum.  And I am not scum so category 5 does not apply to me.  So I will withhold my vote until such a time as I deem appropriate.

So, this is the only real post of note from 2.7 during the long VLA lull for folks.  It's a big, giant bag of hedge.  I mean, read those reads, man.  HEDGE.

I actually like the second half of this though, with the different types of votes breakdown.  Well, I like the categories and stuff.  It's also a bunch of text that has nothing to do with the game, or scum hunting, so it is content for the sake of content, and therefore also scummy.

We need a lynch, and 2.7 is a good one.  Higher than average chance of flipping scum, good support including the IC.

Soft deadline is today, right?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 08:40:17 pm
It's at this stage that I start to think about what kind of players actually turn out to be scum, and generally it's the quieter, non-controversial ones who you can't really build much of a Day 1 case on. With this in mind, my first suspect is Jorbles. He hasn't said anything particularly controversial, he's simply been around, ready to give an opinion when necessary without really putting himself out there on anything.

This may not be a super strong case, but I do think it makes him significantly more likely to actually be scum than e, so I'm going to see if there's any support there.

Vote: Jorbles

PPE ash
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 01, 2013, 08:40:32 pm
Hmm no I'm sold on the e "case", which seems to be mostly "he seems scummy". My impression is that his playstyle simple comes across as scummy because he doesn't or hasn't yet learned to use certain filters etc which strong vets use whether Town or scum. This doesn't make him scum, but certainly make him an easy lynch. At this stage I do not support this lynch.

Disagree.  Here are points against 2.7:

1)  Posting in this game very differently from previous town performances.
2)  In relation to #1, lots of joke posts.
3)  Lots of posts, zero useful content.
4)  So much hedging he could start a lawn care company.
5)  Immediately upon being called out for scummy behavior, he ramps up the scummy behavior in the guise of jokes to cover for scummy behavior.  (This is a classic scum trait, and especially one for newbie scum.)
6)  Not a great reaction to his wagon and pressure.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 01, 2013, 08:42:15 pm
It's at this stage that I start to think about what kind of players actually turn out to be scum, and generally it's the quieter, non-controversial ones who you can't really build much of a Day 1 case on. With this in mind, my first suspect is Jorbles. He hasn't said anything particularly controversial, he's simply been around, ready to give an opinion when necessary without really putting himself out there on anything.

This may not be a super strong case, but I do think it makes him significantly more likely to actually be scum than e, so I'm going to see if there's any support there.

Vote: Jorbles

PPE ash

I guess I get your point, and I have no reason to think Jorbles isn't scum, but "significantly more likely" than 2.7?  That sounds like a stretch, to me.

I agree that there is probably at least one scum skating by in the quiet weeds.  Jorbles is a good mention.  Voltaire is awfully quiet for him, although he's VLA?

As for actual "cases" on D1, 2.7 is a good one.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 08:42:39 pm
Hmm no I'm sold on the e "case", which seems to be mostly "he seems scummy". My impression is that his playstyle simple comes across as scummy because he doesn't or hasn't yet learned to use certain filters etc which strong vets use whether Town or scum. This doesn't make him scum, but certainly make him an easy lynch. At this stage I do not support this lynch.
yeah, I am working on my "scummy while town" meta so I can do scummy things when I am actually scum. (If robz can claim meta modification, I should be able to claim meta creation.) Well, actually to say "scummy as town" might be a stretch. Let's go with "jokes about things at times when it makes people think you might be scummy"

PPE: I wrote this before ashersky's last 3 posts.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 08:42:52 pm
Hmm no I'm sold on the e "case", which seems to be mostly "he seems scummy". My impression is that his playstyle simple comes across as scummy because he doesn't or hasn't yet learned to use certain filters etc which strong vets use whether Town or scum. This doesn't make him scum, but certainly make him an easy lynch. At this stage I do not support this lynch.

Disagree.  Here are points against 2.7:

1)  Posting in this game very differently from previous town performances.
2)  In relation to #1, lots of joke posts.
3)  Lots of posts, zero useful content.
4)  So much hedging he could start a lawn care company.
5)  Immediately upon being called out for scummy behavior, he ramps up the scummy behavior in the guise of jokes to cover for scummy behavior.  (This is a classic scum trait, and especially one for newbie scum.)
6)  Not a great reaction to his wagon and pressure.

Hmm, that's much more helpful than anything else I could find. Other than joke posts, how has his posting been different?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 08:44:29 pm
yeah, I am working on my "scummy while town" meta so I can do scummy things when I am actually scum.

I really hope you're not serious, otherwise I'll just go ahead and policy vote you now.

If you are Town, please play for Town's win condition in THIS GAME.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 01, 2013, 08:46:37 pm
Hmm no I'm sold on the e "case", which seems to be mostly "he seems scummy". My impression is that his playstyle simple comes across as scummy because he doesn't or hasn't yet learned to use certain filters etc which strong vets use whether Town or scum. This doesn't make him scum, but certainly make him an easy lynch. At this stage I do not support this lynch.

Disagree.  Here are points against 2.7:

1)  Posting in this game very differently from previous town performances.
2)  In relation to #1, lots of joke posts.
3)  Lots of posts, zero useful content.
4)  So much hedging he could start a lawn care company.
5)  Immediately upon being called out for scummy behavior, he ramps up the scummy behavior in the guise of jokes to cover for scummy behavior.  (This is a classic scum trait, and especially one for newbie scum.)
6)  Not a great reaction to his wagon and pressure.

Hmm, that's much more helpful than anything else I could find. Other than joke posts, how has his posting been different?

The joke posts are a big part of it.  I think it's more what's lacking in his posts that are sticking out to me.  I recall 2.7 being incredibly thoughtful and useful right off the bat when he first started playing.  I think I was scum in a game with him being town and thinking "yikes, dangerous townie as a newbie" or something.  What was 2.7's first game, anyway?  I hope it isn't ongoing, and if it is, I am not intentionally discussing it.

I don't think he hedged so hard in his known town games, either.  Struck me as a decisive guy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 08:47:40 pm
Hmm no I'm sold on the e "case", which seems to be mostly "he seems scummy". My impression is that his playstyle simple comes across as scummy because he doesn't or hasn't yet learned to use certain filters etc which strong vets use whether Town or scum. This doesn't make him scum, but certainly make him an easy lynch. At this stage I do not support this lynch.

Disagree.  Here are points against 2.7:

1)  Posting in this game very differently from previous town performances.
2)  In relation to #1, lots of joke posts.
3)  Lots of posts, zero useful content.
4)  So much hedging he could start a lawn care company.
5)  Immediately upon being called out for scummy behavior, he ramps up the scummy behavior in the guise of jokes to cover for scummy behavior.  (This is a classic scum trait, and especially one for newbie scum.)
6)  Not a great reaction to his wagon and pressure.

Hmm, that's much more helpful than anything else I could find. Other than joke posts, how has his posting been different?
calm down there. Other than joke posts? What about my "it's a trap" post? That is only one example but it is in a semi-serious part of the game and I follow up and make a joke
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 08:49:02 pm
Hmm no I'm sold on the e "case", which seems to be mostly "he seems scummy". My impression is that his playstyle simple comes across as scummy because he doesn't or hasn't yet learned to use certain filters etc which strong vets use whether Town or scum. This doesn't make him scum, but certainly make him an easy lynch. At this stage I do not support this lynch.

Disagree.  Here are points against 2.7:

1)  Posting in this game very differently from previous town performances.
2)  In relation to #1, lots of joke posts.
3)  Lots of posts, zero useful content.
4)  So much hedging he could start a lawn care company.
5)  Immediately upon being called out for scummy behavior, he ramps up the scummy behavior in the guise of jokes to cover for scummy behavior.  (This is a classic scum trait, and especially one for newbie scum.)
6)  Not a great reaction to his wagon and pressure.

Hmm, that's much more helpful than anything else I could find. Other than joke posts, how has his posting been different?
calm down there. Other than joke posts? What about my "it's a trap" post? That is only one example but it is in a semi-serious part of the game and I follow up and make a joke
Does that count as discussing an on going game? If so I am sorry.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 08:50:15 pm
yeah, I am working on my "scummy while town" meta so I can do scummy things when I am actually scum.

I really hope you're not serious, otherwise I'll just go ahead and policy vote you now.

If you are Town, please play for Town's win condition in THIS GAME.
I was not being serious.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 09:01:14 pm
Hmm no I'm sold on the e "case", which seems to be mostly "he seems scummy". My impression is that his playstyle simple comes across as scummy because he doesn't or hasn't yet learned to use certain filters etc which strong vets use whether Town or scum. This doesn't make him scum, but certainly make him an easy lynch. At this stage I do not support this lynch.

Disagree.  Here are points against 2.7:

1)  Posting in this game very differently from previous town performances.
2)  In relation to #1, lots of joke posts.
3)  Lots of posts, zero useful content.
4)  So much hedging he could start a lawn care company.
5)  Immediately upon being called out for scummy behavior, he ramps up the scummy behavior in the guise of jokes to cover for scummy behavior.  (This is a classic scum trait, and especially one for newbie scum.)
6)  Not a great reaction to his wagon and pressure.

1-2 I can't really comment on because I don't think I've played with him in a non-ongoing game.
The rest is kind of what I'm talking about. Classic "scummy" behaviour which seems to always end up coming from Town. Do you have some good examples showing what you're talking about?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 01, 2013, 09:03:29 pm
It's at this stage that I start to think about what kind of players actually turn out to be scum, and generally it's the quieter, non-controversial ones who you can't really build much of a Day 1 case on. With this in mind, my first suspect is Jorbles. He hasn't said anything particularly controversial, he's simply been around, ready to give an opinion when necessary without really putting himself out there on anything.

This may not be a super strong case, but I do think it makes him significantly more likely to actually be scum than e, so I'm going to see if there's any support there.

Vote: Jorbles

PPE ash

I agree completely. Vote: Jorbles
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 09:04:31 pm
It's at this stage that I start to think about what kind of players actually turn out to be scum, and generally it's the quieter, non-controversial ones who you can't really build much of a Day 1 case on. With this in mind, my first suspect is Jorbles. He hasn't said anything particularly controversial, he's simply been around, ready to give an opinion when necessary without really putting himself out there on anything.

This may not be a super strong case, but I do think it makes him significantly more likely to actually be scum than e, so I'm going to see if there's any support there.

Vote: Jorbles

PPE ash

I agree completely. Vote: Jorbles

Interesting. Not sure exactly what I was expecting from you, but it wasn't that.

Can you expand at all?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 01, 2013, 09:07:18 pm
Well, you explained it pretty well. I really like the idea of late, semi-random Day 1 lynches on players with very little cause to be lynched. Not having generated a cause to be lynched on Day 1 is actually something of a scumtell.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 09:14:09 pm
Well, you explained it pretty well. I really like the idea of late, semi-random Day 1 lynches on players with very little cause to be lynched. Not having generated a cause to be lynched on Day 1 is actually something of a scumtell.

I can't tell if you're being sarcastic at all.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 01, 2013, 09:15:16 pm
Well, you explained it pretty well. I really like the idea of late, semi-random Day 1 lynches on players with very little cause to be lynched. Not having generated a cause to be lynched on Day 1 is actually something of a scumtell.

I can't tell if you're being sarcastic at all.

I'm not being sarcastic! Seriously, I think this a good idea.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 09:31:17 pm
Either I have done a spectacular job convincing town that I am scum, or there is scum voting for me right now.
that sentence could very well read: scum are voting for me. So ash, walrus, mcmc, or jorbles. PoE a bit. Not walrus. Maybe, but he started everything and I don't really see him as scum for that or for the other things he has done. Ash? I think he is town who genuinely believed me to be scum. Between mcmc and jorbles mcmc has come out the strongest against me, early and often. Too risky for scum IMO. Jorbles didn't like my overview against him, then argued against my case against him. I hedged that case, which ash doesn't like, but let me unhedge here. Vote: jorbles
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 09:38:19 pm
Ash, as far as content goes, build me a case that I can respond to. It doesn't have to be exhaustive, but give me some hard data. If you want to vote for someone who jokes but has no content, vote morgrim. Sure he has less scummy behavior because he has the ultimate hedge: a true lack of content. I felt jokey at times during my other game, I have just had more opportunity/better setups here to joke about.

Jorbles- tough read as he hasn't said much and I have never played with him. He has been around to comment some, but hasn't given any real content. Slightly scummy until I get some reads from him, but the holidays mess with everyone's schedule, so I will withhold too much judgement until after holidays are over and everyone can post as normal

I've been giving reads and voting, what do you mean I haven't been giving real content?
Ok, to answer I will review your posts:
162 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318022#msg318022)- saying you will catch up
217 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318305#msg318305)- Briefly answer with your choices of mafia PR with no additional discussion
220 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318309#msg318309)- Post little suspicions about Robz
221 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318309#msg318309)- Correct a post by Teproc
223 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318312#msg318312)- Upon catching up (I presume) you vote Robz without further explanation
260 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318442#msg318442)- Expresses support of Faust's plan
262 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318445#msg318445)- slightly more elaboration on support of the plan
281 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318699#msg318699)- asks for Morgrim prod
313 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318862#msg318862)- Supports Teproc, says no to mass claiming while trying to push us in the direction of scum-hunting.
342 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319244#msg319244)- Expresses doubt over Ash
347 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319266#msg319266)- Ends null read on Ash
362 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319369#msg319369)- A "nod, I am listening to what you are about to say Morgrim" post.
370 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319393#msg319393)- comes null on morgrim, towny on faust
379 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319574#msg319574)- tells walrus he missed a great opportunity to drunk post

Those were all the posts I used for my read, but Jorbles did have a read here at 392 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319642#msg319642) before I actually posted that said the e/mcmc/jimmmm interaction was scummy and that I was the scummiest.  And then defends saying the 3 of us are scummy here at 400 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319652#msg319652).

Ok.  So what does this say?  First off, you had a little more content than I gave you credit for.  But even with that, is it really as much as it might seem?

1) The Robz vote.  You don't go into much at all about why you vote here.  It almost looks like you are sheeping teproc a bit.  I am a fan of original ideas and giving reasons behind a vote.  See my last post for vote categories.  Your vote here looks somewhere between 3 and 4.  Small wagon, with not well explained "I think you are scum."  And you never say anything else about it until you say I look scummier than Robz. 
2) support Faust.  Very easy since he is the IC.
3) Ash.  Quick to give the null read after expressing his doubts a few posts earlier.
4) Comments on the e/mcmc/jimmmmm interaction choosing me as the scummiest.  Again, a safe read here that should bring no trouble.

The phrase that I think Jorbles takes affront over is "He has been around to comment some, but hasn't given any real content."  While he has posted and given reads, what I look for is a more original content or a well reasoned explanation as to why you concur with another person's argument.  Especially when giving non-rvs votes as you have done for Robz and myself.  You came out and supported Faust and mentioned Ash a bit, but never really developed your thoughts too much.  So when I say "real content" I mean good explanations and backup for your reads rather than just agreeing with others and the IC.  So I stand by my statement that you have been around to comment, but haven't really said a whole lot yourself. (other than agreeing with the IC and coming towny on teproc for the morgrim interaction.)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 01, 2013, 09:59:15 pm
Vote Count 1.9

Robz (1): Teproc
2.7 (5): Walrus, mcmcsalot, Jorbles, Faust, ashersky (L-2)
ashersky (1): Voltaire
Morgrim (1): Morgrim
Jorbles (3): Jimmmmm, Robz, 2.7

Not Voting (1): manda

With 12 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Day1 will end in ~ 3 days on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 10:00:44 pm
Ok. As much as I would love to fight this case against me, I think it will end in a big waste of time.

1) it is too easy for scum to come out against me now. (I wish Faust had saved his vote longer)
   A) since this is the case, I do not know that any additional people coming against me will gain us any new knowledge.
2) we want to avoid a mislynch.
3) I am a mislynch
4) since I am the bodyguard.

As I said, and especially since I am new, I am curious to see if I would have been able to fend off the lynch without a claim. But that is not in the best interest of town, especially since I think town believe very strongly that I am scum.

I will bodyguard Faust. If we both survive the night it is because scum think they can mislynch me later. I might be super early on this claim, but I have never done this kind of thing before so forgive me and maybe explain when an optimal time for a claim would have been. I mean, given my role, I would probably have died tonight anyway (even without the scummy [i mean jokey reactions-i like to think of my play as more noob town than scummy] play that I have done today), so might as well claim now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 10:06:33 pm
Although really, if mafia didn't choose any PRs town got gyped. IC and bodyguard? Weak.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 01, 2013, 10:06:42 pm
Barring extraordinary circumstances, you should only claim at L-1 (you are irritatingly early, in other words).

Everyone must have a chance to counter claim before we proceed at this point.

Keep in mind that if he were scum, this is a tough fakeclaim, because he has no idea whether there is a real Bodyguard or not (I mean, he knows how many town PRs there are, but not what they are). So the claim is probably true. Still... any counter claims? I am not counter claiming.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 10:07:07 pm
Hmm no I'm sold on the e "case", which seems to be mostly "he seems scummy". My impression is that his playstyle simple comes across as scummy because he doesn't or hasn't yet learned to use certain filters etc which strong vets use whether Town or scum. This doesn't make him scum, but certainly make him an easy lynch. At this stage I do not support this lynch.

Disagree.  Here are points against 2.7:

1)  Posting in this game very differently from previous town performances.
2)  In relation to #1, lots of joke posts.
3)  Lots of posts, zero useful content.
4)  So much hedging he could start a lawn care company.
5)  Immediately upon being called out for scummy behavior, he ramps up the scummy behavior in the guise of jokes to cover for scummy behavior.  (This is a classic scum trait, and especially one for newbie scum.)
6)  Not a great reaction to his wagon and pressure.

Hmm, that's much more helpful than anything else I could find. Other than joke posts, how has his posting been different?
calm down there. Other than joke posts? What about my "it's a trap" post? That is only one example but it is in a semi-serious part of the game and I follow up and make a joke

What do you mean "calm down there"? In what sense was my post not calm?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 01, 2013, 10:07:26 pm
Although really, if mafia didn't choose any PRs town got gyped. IC and bodyguard? Weak.

I would say IC is the strongest town PR there is available in this game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 10:07:43 pm
I was referring to ash
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 10:08:39 pm
Not counter-claiming.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 10:11:17 pm
I think, although he probably shouldn't have claimed at this point, his claim does get him some Town points. If he is scum, Town probably don't have many PRs, since if they do that would be too great a risk to take.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 01, 2013, 10:22:26 pm
unvote

I am inclined to believe this claim, because really, that's a terrible fake claim for scum.  As Robz mentioned, scum don't know what roles are in the game, so a fake claim's true purpose is to luckily survive or out a real PR.

vote: Jorbles.  I can get behind the semi-random D1 lurker lynch at deadline.  LALL after all.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 10:22:58 pm
Barring extraordinary circumstances, you should only claim at L-1 (you are irritatingly early, in other words).

Everyone must have a chance to counter claim before we proceed at this point.

Keep in mind that if he were scum, this is a tough fakeclaim, because he has no idea whether there is a real Bodyguard or not (I mean, he knows how many town PRs there are, but not what they are). So the claim is probably true. Still... any counter claims? I am not counter claiming.
given the role of bodyguard though, since nothing is preventing the scum from killing the doctor, which will kill me (I would have protected him no matter what), and given that I already had the ic voting for me, I don't see what additional information we could have gathered from more cases against me. I guess we could have learned from people defending me. The other reason I claimed now is because I don't want a haphazard case thrown together at the last second to get a lynch. By the time everyone would have had their opinions out, we will probably have had about 24 hours to throw together a lynch. Although I think I let myself get distracted by the soft deadline. I see more of why it would be a missplay by me, but it is what it is. We need to focus on scum now. Jorbles, anyone?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 01, 2013, 10:23:05 pm
I was referring to ash

Where?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 10:28:41 pm
I was referring to ash

Where?
in referring to making implications that I was totally devoid of jokes in my previous game. I said "calm down there" which I think may have been misinterpreted by jimmmm. Using the phrase in the sense of "slow down with the accusation because you are not quite right"
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 10:41:16 pm
I think e should definitely be taken off the table, at least for now. If he's scum, then at least they'll keep faust alive in order to keep e's cover. If he's Town, then they probably have no way of getting past e's Bodyguard since the we generally believe that scum probably wouldn't have taken JoAT. If faust dies, that probably means e is scum, but may mean they have a JoAT.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 01, 2013, 10:51:46 pm
I think e should definitely be taken off the table, at least for now. If he's scum, then at least they'll keep faust alive in order to keep e's cover. If he's Town, then they probably have no way of getting past e's Bodyguard since the we generally believe that scum probably wouldn't have taken JoAT. If faust dies, that probably means e is scum, but may mean they have a JoAT.
does joat kill through bodyguard? Because bodyguard doesn't prevent a kill it just deflects it onto yourself. Strongman says that the NK can't be blocked. Deflected seems different to me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 01, 2013, 10:55:41 pm
From the JoAT PM: "This kill will unable to be blocked by any method."
I take that to mean that it gets through a Bodyguard.

yuma: If Player 1, a JoAT, performs a Strongman kill on Player 2, and Player 3, a Bodyguard, guards Player 2 on the same Night, is it correct that Player 2 will die and Player 3 will not?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 01, 2013, 11:00:09 pm
From the JoAT PM: "This kill will unable to be blocked by any method."
I take that to mean that it gets through a Bodyguard.

yuma: If Player 1, a JoAT, performs a Strongman kill on Player 2, and Player 3, a Bodyguard, guards Player 2 on the same Night, is it correct that Player 2 will die and Player 3 will not?

The Bodyguard is a protective role and one that a Strongman kill would go through. As such in this scenario only Player 2 would die.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 01, 2013, 11:27:22 pm
Vote: Jorbles
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 01, 2013, 11:29:16 pm
Vote: Jorbles

That's L-2.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 01, 2013, 11:32:58 pm
Vote Count 1.9

Robz (1): Teproc
2.7 (4): Walrus, mcmcsalot, Jorbles, Faust
ashersky (1): Voltaire
Jorbles (5): Jimmmmm, Robz, 2.7, ashersky, Morgrim (L-2)

Not Voting (1): manda

With 12 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Day1 will end in ~ 3 days on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 12:08:46 am
Who unvoted? Or maybe I'm tired. Or maybe I'm sick. Or maybe I'm dead...
unvote
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: manda2014 on December 02, 2013, 01:11:27 am
Woah woah woah I missed a big day apparently....

I agree that, after claiming, 2.7 should be taken off the table for now until we have more solid information to analyze than just D1 speculation (I'm not counter-claiming, by the way).

I didn't like the idea of a random-ish Jorbles lynch at first, but the more I think about it the more it seems like, while perhaps not an elegant solution, it's no less of a good idea than anything we can get out of D1 analysis. I think I'm cool with doing that and seeing what comes out of it, so, especially with the soft deadline fast approaching, vote: Jorbles
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 01:14:42 am
Just to reiterate, we need every currently living non-e2.7 player to say whether he/she is/isn't the Bodyguard... before we lynch Jorbles.

So Unvote until that happens.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 01:29:46 am
Just to reiterate, we need every currently living non-e2.7 player to say whether he/she is/isn't the Bodyguard... before we lynch Jorbles.

So Unvote until that happens.

Town cred grab?  Scum!robz.

Noted for future discussion.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 01:34:16 am
I am not the bodyguard.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 01:38:23 am
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 01:39:06 am
Woah woah woah I missed a big day apparently....

I agree that, after claiming, 2.7 should be taken off the table for now until we have more solid information to analyze than just D1 speculation (I'm not counter-claiming, by the way).

I didn't like the idea of a random-ish Jorbles lynch at first, but the more I think about it the more it seems like, while perhaps not an elegant solution, it's no less of a good idea than anything we can get out of D1 analysis. I think I'm cool with doing that and seeing what comes out of it, so, especially with the soft deadline fast approaching, vote: Jorbles

Not sure I like this reason.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 01:41:02 am
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...

Agreed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 01:41:56 am
Just to reiterate, we need every currently living non-e2.7 player to say whether he/she is/isn't the Bodyguard... before we lynch Jorbles.

So Unvote until that happens.

Town cred grab?  Scum!robz.

Noted for future discussion.

No, I was actually fearful that this might get ignored. Claim Bodyguard in face of likely lynch, hope town is too lurky to get true claim posted in time? Would not be the strangest scum play ever.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 01:46:09 am
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...

Agreed.

Deadline approaches and we've had little activity up to now due to holiday vla. 

The claim was just so wrong for scum, I think.  It could be a Brilliant ploy to stay alive, but risky if there is a real bodyguard and not worth much to out him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 01:53:50 am
Yeah I think the claim is very likely true but still.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 01:53:57 am
OK OK. Crazy developments.

e claims? Interesting. Well I'm not counter-claiming. At first glance it's believable to me. I guess that would explain why he seemed to have been acting differently (although the last couple long reads posts have been more what I expected).

I am blown away by how quickly this Jorbles thing grew. I don't think it's natural. I just did a reread of Jorbles. Yeah it's not much of a presence. It could conceivably be scummy. But for 5 people to collectively decide that some random person needed to be lynched? That seems irrational to me. Are you afraid of the soft deadline? Confused in the aftermath of e's early claim? Or trying to make a bad lynch happens? It feels like falling into another of the D1 mislynches I've seen in other recent games. It would be nice to at least hear from the guy to see how he reacts.

So I feel like there's more likely scum on this wagon right now. I think I'm going back to vote: Robz

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 01:59:08 am
Why? Why are you voting for me?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 01:59:28 am
I changed my mind actually. vote: ashersky
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 02:00:45 am
Okay. Why?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 02:03:06 am
I had misremembered the timing of your Jorbles vote. I feel like ash's vote feels the scummiest here, working on the hypothesis that Jorbles is a mislynch. He was late on both the e wagon and now this wagon, pushing things along.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 02:11:40 am
I had misremembered the timing of your Jorbles vote. I feel like ash's vote feels the scummiest here, working on the hypothesis that Jorbles is a mislynch. He was late on both the e wagon and now this wagon, pushing things along.

Throwing stuff around to see what sticks?

If you want a scummy voter on Jorbles, look no further than manda.  I was pushing things along.  More than you, mr one post a day to lurk my way through the game as scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 02:14:21 am
I considered manda. And Morgrim. manda is new and I thought might be disproportionately swayed by the importance of the soft deadline. Morgrim just likes to lynch people.

If you don't like my posting style I don't know what to tell you. I'm just doing my thing man.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 02:18:01 am
I think we should use what time we have, unless of course that results in a lack of urgency causing little to no posting. As long as we'll have people around to hammer before deadline, there's no reason to end the Day early.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 02:19:56 am
I considered manda. And Morgrim. manda is new and I thought might be disproportionately swayed by the importance of the soft deadline. Morgrim just likes to lynch people.

If you don't like my posting style I don't know what to tell you. I'm just doing my thing man.

Your thing is perfect scum cover.  If we don't eventually lynch you for it, you'll continue to get away with it.

Manda is no newer than you, as discussed previously, no newbie pass.

I agree that it is useless trying to read anything into Morgrim ever.

Your thing was also jokes, but those have lessened this game.  Trying to lay low?  Under the radar?  No longer.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 02:21:53 am
I was pushing things along.  More than you, mr one post a day to lurk my way through the game as scum.

You don't consider my initial vote for e to be pushing the game along? I mean I'm not sure that I like that it ended up on an early claim. But I don't think that I'm just in the backseat here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 02, 2013, 02:27:53 am
unvote

I tend to believe e's claim for now, even though I disagree that it would be a bad fake claim as scum. But okay, let's keep him alive for now. If tomorrow both him and me are alive, great, the IC is still around. If I die, either e is lying scum or there is a JOAT, which means one additional PR for us. If he dies, well then at least we're sure he was telling the truth.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 02:34:13 am
I was pushing things along.  More than you, mr one post a day to lurk my way through the game as scum.

You don't consider my initial vote for e to be pushing the game along? I mean I'm not sure that I like that it ended up on an early claim. But I don't think that I'm just in the backseat here.

One vote, on a town pr no less, does not a mega townie make.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 02:38:30 am
I considered manda. And Morgrim. manda is new and I thought might be disproportionately swayed by the importance of the soft deadline. Morgrim just likes to lynch people.

If you don't like my posting style I don't know what to tell you. I'm just doing my thing man.

Your thing is perfect scum cover.  If we don't eventually lynch you for it, you'll continue to get away with it.

Manda is no newer than you, as discussed previously, no newbie pass.

I agree that it is useless trying to read anything into Morgrim ever.

Your thing was also jokes, but those have lessened this game.  Trying to lay low?  Under the radar?  No longer.

Look man, my thing is my thing. You're welcome to draw any conclusions from that as you wish. Your thing, as I understand it, is grandiose plans and hostile tendencies. I haven't seen a whole lot of that this game.

I haven't completely discounted manda.

Jokes happen when they happen. Humor can't be forced. First of all, I like to think I've been mostly as jolly in this game as ever. I've been on my phone a lot, so hasn't been as pronounced maybe. It's hard to post big ol' gifs from a phone for example. But I think it's mostly there.

Second, right now for example I'm sick, jet-lagged, and annoyed that I have to go to work tomorrow. So I'm not exactly in the mood.

Third, I think you'll see that I've become less clownish over time in general. When I first started out I played up the laughs because I had no idea what I was doing really. Now I occasionally have something to talk about that I think actually deserves attention. It's like I mentioned in my footnote: look at Voltgloss in MII. Bugs Bunny cartoons. Voltgloss is still hilarious now, but it's less slapstick.

Thank you for sitting through this extremely unfunny presentation.

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 02:40:30 am
In Game of Thrones you saw my serious side come out a bit. And I was town the WHOLE TIME!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 02, 2013, 02:41:28 am
I think we should base our scumhunting on what's most likely the case here - that e is town. So let's consider the e wagon at peak.

2.7 (5): Walrus, mcmcsalot, Jorbles, Faust, ashersky (L-2)

When I voted for e, it was partly because I thought he acted scummy, but also partly because I was looking for reactions to a wagon with me on it. And what I take from this is: there are likely multiple scum off the e wagon. What I found odd is that after I voted e, no one jumped the wagon for quite some time, until ashersky's vote.

As scum, I would be wary to vote e as this stage: either he is scum (possibly the Traitor), then scum doesn't want to lynch one of their own D1. Or he's town. Well, every vote after mine would get heat D2 for jumping the easy mislynch once e flipped town. So scum would hold back. And given that there was a lot of holding back going on, there was probably scum among them.

I will do a reread of those off-wagon and post the results soon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 02:41:42 am
In Game of Thrones you saw my serious side come out a bit. And I was town the WHOLE TIME!

Forced?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 02:45:13 am
I think we should base our scumhunting on what's most likely the case here - that e is town. So let's consider the e wagon at peak.

2.7 (5): Walrus, mcmcsalot, Jorbles, Faust, ashersky (L-2)

When I voted for e, it was partly because I thought he acted scummy, but also partly because I was looking for reactions to a wagon with me on it. And what I take from this is: there are likely multiple scum off the e wagon. What I found odd is that after I voted e, no one jumped the wagon for quite some time, until ashersky's vote.

As scum, I would be wary to vote e as this stage: either he is scum (possibly the Traitor), then scum doesn't want to lynch one of their own D1. Or he's town. Well, every vote after mine would get heat D2 for jumping the easy mislynch once e flipped town. So scum would hold back. And given that there was a lot of holding back going on, there was probably scum among them.

I will do a reread of those off-wagon and post the results soon.

Good thinking. Well, Jorbles and mcmc look scummy there.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 02:59:44 am
In Game of Thrones you saw my serious side come out a bit. And I was town the WHOLE TIME!

Forced?

Forced.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 03:21:22 am
In Game of Thrones you saw my serious side come out a bit. And I was town the WHOLE TIME!

Forced?

Forced.

To me, saying "Forced" to a rhetorical question sounds forced.

I meant to mention it in my previous post, but had forgotten to. The only reason I brought it up was because mail-mi attacked me for my serious tone at one point in that game. And then he ended up being victorious scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 03:30:10 am
In Game of Thrones you saw my serious side come out a bit. And I was town the WHOLE TIME!

Forced?

Forced.

To me, saying "Forced" to a rhetorical question sounds forced.

I meant to mention it in my previous post, but had forgotten to. The only reason I brought it up was because mail-mi attacked me for my serious tone at one point in that game. And then he ended up being victorious scum.

The emphasis on "whole time" is interesting here.  Perhaps you are the traitor, unable to communicate with your partners?  You are stuck acting like town the whole time, even though you aren't?

It all adds up to vote: walrus at this point.  Better option than Jorbles.  Crumbled under pressure, a sure fire way to catch scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 03:36:23 am
Blah blah blah. Crumbled under pressure? What, I vote for you and then you vote for me, and that's crumbling under pressure? Deal with it.

"It all adds up to", as if you were formulating a case this whole time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 02, 2013, 03:55:37 am
Here's the promised reread:

Voltaire

Well, there's lots of VLA going on. But still, when he was available, he was very active. Had a small fight with Robz, which is null to me. Disagreed with me on theory stuff. Posted his lynch pool before he left, which - as ashersky pointed out - felt a little different than his usual lynch pools. Wasn't around when all the e stuff went down. I think town!Voltaire would be a strong asset for us, so we don't want to lynch him just because of VLA. He's out of my lynch pool for today, barring further developments.

Robz

First thing is disagreeing with me, the IC status thing, and the Jimmmmm vote. All of which fits in a town narrative for me, but could also be scum. Strange to claim that he didn't really read the setup, which is what I expect from a player like Robz and therefore gives some scum points. Then the fight with Voltaire, including a rage vote... this could certainly be faked, still I know that Voltaire and Robz don't get along well. Then, during the e discussion, Robz finds him scummy, but doesn't vote because he finds others scummier. This seems strange to me, because if you find someone scummy and there's a wagon on them, wouldn't you join regardless? He also helps distracting by joking with e. Joined the Jorbles wagon with little explanation later. Lastly, saying my post about hunting off-wagon scum was "good thinking" while suspecting two on-wagon players. Overall I get a scummy feel here.

Jimmmmm

First of all, I don't think his initial exchange with Robz regarding IC status is scummy. Much VLA following. Votes mcmc. Makes a point that speaks against e being scum. Later states he does not support an e lynch. Starts the Jorbles wagon. Later finds it suspicious how fast the Jorbles wagon grew. I don't see specifically scummy behaviour in Jimmmmm's posts overall. He's null to slight town to me.

manda

Agrees with Robz on that my plan is dangerous. Then also VLA. Doesn't think e is super scummy, even though she criticizes the D1 passes. Joins the Jorbles wagon without finding him scummy. I lean scummy on manda right now.

Teproc

Also agrees with Robz' initial criticism, although he later points out that Robz read the setup wrong. Gets into a little theory discussion with me. Finds Robz, ash, Jimmmmm and Morgrim scummy. Is frustrated with Morgrim which I agree seems rather townie. Finds e a little scummy for the D1 passes. Later has a null read on e. Overall slight town read.

morgrim

Well, Morgrim... not very helpful in his first contributions. Later a self-vote. But then gives reads, finds mcmc scummy and has a town read on e. Jumps the Jorbles wagon late. Could be scum, I'm pretty null here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 02, 2013, 03:58:14 am
In Game of Thrones you saw my serious side come out a bit. And I was town the WHOLE TIME!

Forced?

Forced.

To me, saying "Forced" to a rhetorical question sounds forced.

I meant to mention it in my previous post, but had forgotten to. The only reason I brought it up was because mail-mi attacked me for my serious tone at one point in that game. And then he ended up being victorious scum.

The emphasis on "whole time" is interesting here.  Perhaps you are the traitor, unable to communicate with your partners?  You are stuck acting like town the whole time, even though you aren't?

It all adds up to vote: walrus at this point.  Better option than Jorbles.  Crumbled under pressure, a sure fire way to catch scum.

So you think Walrus is a Traitor? If he is not, do you think he's more likely town or scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:16:40 am
In Game of Thrones you saw my serious side come out a bit. And I was town the WHOLE TIME!

Forced?

Forced.

To me, saying "Forced" to a rhetorical question sounds forced.

I meant to mention it in my previous post, but had forgotten to. The only reason I brought it up was because mail-mi attacked me for my serious tone at one point in that game. And then he ended up being victorious scum.

The emphasis on "whole time" is interesting here.  Perhaps you are the traitor, unable to communicate with your partners?  You are stuck acting like town the whole time, even though you aren't?

It all adds up to vote: walrus at this point.  Better option than Jorbles.  Crumbled under pressure, a sure fire way to catch scum.

So you think Walrus is a Traitor? If he is not, do you think he's more likely town or scum?

Traitor is scum.

I do think there is a specific traitor trail we should be able to pick up on, assuming mafia didn't select the recruit option.  And I think walrus (and 2.7 before him, actually) fit that mold, where they are actually seeming noticeably scummier than their known town selves.  That could be for many reasons, including the tried and true "gotta seem scummy enough to not get Nked because I'm a Pr" to "I'm the traitor and I want my secret partners to know they shouldn't kill me."

The fact of the matter is, walrus is scummier here than he has been in other, town games.  I didn't play GoT, but I followed.  Maybe someone who played there can weigh in.  But this walrus is not matching my clear vision of town!walrus.

That stems from his willingness to purloined letter himself via the 1-post-a-day method, his poor reaction to a full-court pressure press, and as previously mentioned, his noticeable turn toward scumminess.

So, in short, I do think walrus has a better than average chance of being the traitor.  If he's not the traitor, I'd say he's playing on the poor side as scum, or trying to change up his town meta.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 07:17:37 am
Wow, stuff happened.

I'm not the bodyguard. I agree that 2.7's claim seems very believable right now. I have some time ahead of me, so let's do rereads.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 08:15:19 am
I started with Robz, obviously. He's still scummy to me. There's the exchage with Jimmmmm which has been discussed already, but there are other things. He opposed faust's plan (which is fine ofc, I did that too), and then explained it with this post :

The smaller thing is that I don't think talking about what mafia PRs we'd pick is very useful.

The bigger thing is wanted to see how other player's would react to the IC's plan, given me coming out strongly against it.

These "plans" to trick people into reacting seem to come from scum more often than for town. It's mostly a good way to frame people and get away with scummy things. Not huge since opposing the plan isn't scummy in and of itself, but it's still a good way to cast suspicion over everyone. Then again, he didn't do that, so maybe that's a wash.

I'm with mcmc on figuring out the mafia PR choice thing.

It's worth looking at again when we have some dead scum and dead PRs, of course, but for now, let's actually scumhunt.

Saying "let's scumhunt" 5 posts beofre he explicitly rage votes on Voltaire. This kind of post is really easy to do as scum : you're supporting a very towny thing, but not actually participating in it. The fact that his words aren't backed with actions (and are in fact contradicted by them a few posts later) is scummy to me.

Those are the only things that jumped out at me though. He has mcmc and ash in his scum reads without ever voting for them, but that doesn't really mean anything since neither of them has really had a wagon on them. I still have a scummy read on Robz and would be willing to lynch him, but it looks like it's not going to happen, so I'll probably be moving my vote (top candidates are ash, manda, mcmc and Jim).

Off to reread Jorbles now since he has a wagon on him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 09:00:49 am
Jorbles then.

One of the things that I noticed is that he might be buddying me a little. First sheeping me on Robz, then defending me against mcmc, then leaning towny after my exchange with Morgrim :

Yeah I'm not a huge fan of what Rob just did. Trying to get town points for not knowing the setup, and then acting all jokey about it when called out ? I think that's enough for a vote: Robz actually.

Yeah, that seems like something I might see Robz fake for a bit of town cred. I'm willing to vote Robz (once I catch up).

vote: Teproc

Reread his posts, they all game me a very scummy vibe.

The way he is pushing Robz lynch is scummy to me, he seems to be going at it as scum trying to push a lynch. Rather than town looking for scum.

I don't agree with this. From what I see he doesn't seem particularly scummy to me. Most of what he's said seems pretty rational, but maybe that's just because I found Robz scummy too. (However I do think this is the sort of post we should be moving towards. Mass claim discussions are a waste of time right now. Let's save it for a week or two from now.)

I gotta say I missed Morgrim's style of play. It's just so different from everyone else's. I have no read on him right now, but I'm glad he's around. Teproc's reaction to it reads a little frustrated and a little towny to me, though.

Not quite sure what to make of this though. I got wary of Voltaire in GoT because of that, but it was much more overt and he turned out to be town. Maybe this is subtle enough to be scum doing it, but I'm leaning towards no right now.

Then there's his interactions with 2.7.

Ugh, scummy vibes from mcmc, Jimmmm and e's interaction.

[...]

Vote: e (2.71etc)

PPE: I agree with faust, clearly.

This post gets him in trouble with 2.7, who is now pretty much confirmed town (I guess a few people still haven't come in to not counterclaim, but it seems like a very risky and pointless fakeclaim anyway). Calling the three people who were active at the time is a bit scummy (notice that Robz does the exact same thing one post below), except that he does make a choice here with his 2.7 vote, which makes it less scummy than waiting to see who ends up getting the most votes out of the 3.

I'm not really sure how to respond to this. You acknowledge that you were wrong about me not providing content, but you just don't like the content I'm providing because it's not "original" enough for you. I guess I can live with that since I am of the opinion that you're probably scum. It kinda looks to me like you set yourself up to go after me thinking my posts were devoid of any content, but didn't find what you expected when you went to actually build a case. Maybe I'm OMGUSing a bit here. I'll let other people judge for themselves.

Here he is defending himself against 2.7's accusation that he lacks content, but his defense isn't very convincing, especially in the light of 2.7's towniness. I do think that, on the reread, Jorbles is lacking content (and my town read on him from earlier is gone because of that), but I don't think failing to defend yourself effectively is scummy.

Basically, it seems to me that the Jorbles wagon is more about a theoretical "semi-random" lynch on a slightly lurky player and on the idea that not getting suspected day 1 is scummy, more than on the actual contents of Jorbles posts, which I don't find particularly scummy. I guess that's fine as we're nearing a deadline, but I don't think it's the most informative kind of lynch, because people can just say "well, I didn't really think he was scummy, it was just a semi-random lynch". Accountability is the way we catch scum on the next days, so I don't support the Jorbles lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 02, 2013, 09:30:34 am
Teproc, e is in no way confirmed town! Just because he wasn't counterclaimed doesn't mean he's not scum. There might not be a Bodyguard in this setup!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 09:41:30 am
I'm going to consider him as town going forward because I feel it's extremely unlikely that mafia would chose that as a fakeclaim. They don't know what roles are in, so they would probably fakeclaim a role that is interesting to out, like Goon Cop or Roleblocker. I guess I shouldn't say "prety much confirmed town", but I have a hard time imagining he's scum, assuming he's not counterclaimed. Sure there's WIFOM and whatever but I just don't buy it. It's also pretty easy for us to turn on him if a claimed PR dies later in the game, as he'll have to explain why he didn't bodyguard them.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 09:47:27 am
Hey everyone! I'm finally back from my V/LA. I was able to read some of the thread over the weekend but I still have a lot of catching up to do in all of my games. I'm in another one that is at a critical juncture so that will get priority first, but then I'll be back here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2013, 10:06:22 am
Vote Count 1.10

Robz (1): Teproc
2.7 (2): mcmcsalot, Jorbles
ashersky (2): Voltaire, Walrus
Jorbles (3): Jimmmmm, 2.7, manda
Walrus (1): ashersky

Not Voting (3): Morgrim, Robz, faust

With 12 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Day1 will end in ~2 days on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 10:20:31 am
Back and caught up to everything but the last page, lots to say but not enough time yet so just getting to the necessities.

I am not the bodyguard.
2.7 makes a reasonably timed claim because of his role, he expecting to die instead of Faust anyway. So claiming with time left to get a lynch in is smart.
However I am expecting scum to now not target Faust leaving 2.7 and Faust alive.
This means Faust could be lying scum or scum is wifoming us. So when thought out the claim is extremely safe for scum to make.

@robz from awhile ago, IC is not very good unless he can be let alive and protect other roles as well. That is not something we have in this setup. Bodyguard doesn't stop an nk so if mafia is guaranteed a nk, this means anyone is an available target and no one is made safe. 2.7's claim may be able to keep our ic alive but it comes with the dangers of believing unconfirmed town. So that's negated.

@Jimm from awhile ago, the fast jorbles wagon is interesting. However untill a wagon goes all the way through there are people who support it and people who don't, jorbles could be scum and town caught on before scum could react to defend, baisically a nice defense for scum to make on a scum partner is "hey no one is against the jorbles lynch he has no scum partners defending him"
That being said I doubt scum Jimm defends scum partners 2.7 and jorbles on D1, so I guess I don't find you scummy for your statement.

More to come later.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 10:27:29 am
I am not the bodyguard.
2.7 makes a reasonably timed claim because of his role, he expecting to die instead of Faust anyway. So claiming with time left to get a lynch in is smart.
However I am expecting scum to now not target Faust leaving 2.7 and Faust alive.
This means Faust could be lying scum or scum is wifoming us. So when thought out the claim is extremely safe for scum to make.

OK that makes sense (I'm assuming you meant 2.7 in that last sentence). I shouldn't assume 2.7 is town. I still don't think we should lynch him today but we'll have to reevaluate tomorrow. I guess when I thought of possible fakeclaims during theory talk I excluded Bodyguard too hastily, and never really looked back on it.

I'll be doing rereads on my other scum reads later in the day.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 10:32:06 am
If e has claimed than I've got some reading to do. Unvote.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 10:32:17 am
OK, well then. That was more interesting than I expected.

Complete belief of e's claim (not counterclaiming). His scrambling read extremely town to me but I was not expecting a claim so early. But bodyguard is not the worst PR to have claimed out there, and I do not see how newbie scum (which is what e would be) claims bodyguard. His partner would almost certainly talked with him about how to deal with a wagon D1 and this is just not how I see it going down.

Who has not posted since e's claim?

This reads differently from every other time you've done this.  You didn't go very far down the "top posters" ladder, like you usually do, and the Morgrim wave off feels like taking an easy road.

Yeah, of course it's different - it's only halfway through D1. You and at least one other person have brought this up as though it's scummy. I have noticed multiple other people say "Voltaire feels scummy" without ever giving a reason. The last game that happened, it was Eevee pushing the most hilarious of mislynch cases ever, "Voltaire isn't amazing so let's lynch him." So huge FoS to anyone trying to vaguely scum up my reputation this game without any reasons.

Also, upset I stopped before you would get a pass?

As far as Robz goes, he hasn't given me a reason to unvote, and no one else has screamed scum, so my vote stays here. He's been a lot less noticeable lately, which seems to be a great way to get the pressure off him, because people want to move on and scumhunt elsewhere. But I don't think scumhunting necessitates throwing your vote around, so I'm fine with leaving it on Robz so far.

Oh man, Teproc speaks the sense again - almost. Except in the game where I did that it was one of my worst town games ever. And Teproc, scumhunting frequently does necessitate throwing your vote around. No town read on Teproc, but he goes out of the lynch pool. I should be able to read him better tomorrow. We appear to share the same brain.

The fact of the matter is, walrus is scummier here than he has been in other, town games.  I didn't play GoT, but I followed.  Maybe someone who played there can weigh in.  But this walrus is not matching my clear vision of town!walrus.

Did you really find Walrus townie as a spectator? I was town but I thought Walrus was scum, like, the WHOLE TIME.

Ash is behaving like his super-scummy self that has always turned out to be town (whoever pointed out his wagon jumping is right, but scum!ash would know that, but scum!ash would be that brash, so...), but I don't mind my vote remaining one bit.

I actually really like the idea of a Jorbles lynch in the abstract. I want to finish looking back/update the lynch pool. I find nothing wrong with the "lynch a lurker D1" line of thought.

Walrus I need to re-read.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 10:41:00 am
Well, you explained it pretty well. I really like the idea of late, semi-random Day 1 lynches on players with very little cause to be lynched. Not having generated a cause to be lynched on Day 1 is actually something of a scumtell.

Seriously? This is the case against me? That there isn't a case against me? I haven't finished catching up yet and possibly this has died off, but that is ridiculous.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 10:45:12 am
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...

Agreed.

Deadline approaches and we've had little activity up to now due to holiday vla. 

The claim was just so wrong for scum, I think.  It could be a Brilliant ploy to stay alive, but risky if there is a real bodyguard and not worth much to out him.

Wait, why is this a bad claim for scum, he was going to get lynched, now he's not, he hasn't been counter claimed and if he's scum he knew the likelyhood of getting counterclaimed. He also never has to prove anything(if scum) and can coordinate who he protects with who he kills/manipulate joat if there is one. This is an amazing scum claim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 10:48:27 am
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...

THIS! I don't care if you guys want to lynch me, but at least do it with a case. All you guys will learn by quicklynching me "semi-randomly" is that it's not a very effective way to find scum. At least you'll be able to find scum on my wagon though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 10:54:02 am
Can't finish my reread right now, but I will soon. (I'm not bodyguard btw).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 11:20:03 am
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...

THIS! I don't care if you guys want to lynch me, but at least do it with a case. All you guys will learn by quicklynching me "semi-randomly" is that it's not a very effective way to find scum. At least you'll be able to find scum on my wagon though.

Not true, the case on you is valid, you have had a really small presence which is a decent case for day1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 11:26:51 am
Caught up but need to reread, voltaire seems to be buddying teproc like A LOT. Not sure what it means though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 11:36:58 am
If you have time to take a look at day 2 in GoT, you'll see that he was doing it even more there (we were both town). I think we genuinely think alike, so the fact that he's buddying me is null imo, because he could replicate that as scum, or just not worry about it as town because of the GoT precedent.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 11:41:33 am
If you have time to take a look at day 2 in GoT, you'll see that he was doing it even more there (we were both town). I think we genuinely think alike, so the fact that he's buddying me is null imo, because he could replicate that as scum, or just not worry about it as town because of the GoT precedent.

Gonna go ahead and trust ya, I had found voltaire generally towny aside from that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 12:07:59 pm
These "plans" to trick people into reacting seem to come from scum more often than for town. It's mostly a good way to frame people and get away with scummy things. Not huge since opposing the plan isn't scummy in and of itself, but it's still a good way to cast suspicion over everyone. Then again, he didn't do that, so maybe that's a wash.

I think they almost always come from town, actually. Good or bad, they are usually town ideas.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 12:13:30 pm
I realise this is a very outdated reference and maybe scum doesn't do this anymore, but I remember thinking Voltgloss was town in MIII because he had such a plan (I think he put jo at L-3 and then accused the people following him) and he was scum. I think you or Galz also did something similar in MII.

In any case I don't think it's really indicative of anything here, as I said.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 01:00:58 pm
Any support for Vote: manda for her scummy jumping-on of the Jorbles wagon?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 01:35:28 pm
I have been reading and rereading this thread trying to figure out the jumble of vote jumping that has been going on.
(all times forum time)
Yesterday
6:44pm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320313#msg320313): Ash votes me
8:40pm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320355#msg320355): Jimmmmm votes Jorbles for similar reasoning as my case against jorbles
9:03pm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320369#msg320369): Robz votes Jorbles agreeing with Jimmmm
9:31pm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320380#msg320380): 2.7 votes Jorbles using established reasoning from prior post
10:00pm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320385#msg320385): 2.7 claims bodyguard
10:22pm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320396#msg320396): Ash votes Jorbles.  cites deadline and a (joking?) LALL.
11:27pm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320416#msg320416): Morgrim votes jorbles.  zero explanation
12:08am (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320421#msg320421): Morgrim unvotes when he realizes it is L-2 on jorbles? He doesn't really say.
1:11am (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320425#msg320425): Manda votes Jorbles not as an "elegant solution" but basically says we cannot learn anything else D1 so we might as well lynch.
1:14am (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320426#msg320426): Robz unvote presumably because Jorbles got to L-2 and almost L-1 and Robz did not want a quickhammer to get a chance to happen.
1:53am (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320436#msg320436): Walrus votes Robz because he thinks someone on the jorbles wagon is scum and from previous suspicions of Robz.
1:59am (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320438#msg320438): Walrus votes Ashersky because of the timing of Ash's vote on jorbles.  Also says his Robz vote was mistaken.  He thought it happened after my claim?
2:27am (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320446#msg320446): Faust unvotes.  Presumably because of the claim
3:30am (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320457#msg320457): Ash votes Walrus.  Cites "crumbling under pressure" and "better option than jorbles"
10:32am (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320506#msg320506): Jorbles unvotes due to the claim
1:00pm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320549#msg320549): Jimmmmm votes manda because of her Jorbles vote

overview of votes during this time (underlined people have unvoted for that person):
Jorbles (6): Jimmmm, Robz, 2.7, Ash, Morgrim, Manda
Ashersky (1): Walrus
Walrus (1): Ashersky
Manda (1) Jimmmmm

Current Vote Count 2.7
Robz (1): Teproc
2.7 (1): mcmcsalot
ashersky (2): Voltaire, Walrus
Jorbles (2): 2.7, manda
Walrus (1): ashersky
Manda (1): jimmmmm

not voting (3): Morgrim, Robz, faust
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 01:36:23 pm
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...

THIS! I don't care if you guys want to lynch me, but at least do it with a case. All you guys will learn by quicklynching me "semi-randomly" is that it's not a very effective way to find scum. At least you'll be able to find scum on my wagon though.

Not true, the case on you is valid, you have had a really small presence which is a decent case for day1.

Wait... you're saying we won't be able to find scum on Jorbles' wagon?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 01:57:20 pm
Based on their voting I find Ashersky and Manda to be most scummy recently.  So much for those D1 passes

Ashersky: Jumping on the Jorbles wagon.  I don't think that in itself is scummy, but
vote: Jorbles.  I can get behind the semi-random D1 lurker lynch at deadline.  LALL after all.
I don't like the little explanation he gives here at all.  If you get called out for it as scum, you say you are joking and switch off.  I mean, who actually says that they support a semi-random lynch?  In fact, Ash then does remove himself from the wagon when it is no longer popular and votes Walrus after attacking him for a brief period of time.

Manda: Her vote on Jorbles seemed to kill that wagon.  Quickly.  Why?  Her vote had a super scummy feel.
I didn't like the idea of a random-ish Jorbles lynch at first, but the more I think about it the more it seems like, while perhaps not an elegant solution, it's no less of a good idea than anything we can get out of D1 analysis. I think I'm cool with doing that and seeing what comes out of it, so, especially with the soft deadline fast approaching, vote: Jorbles
Ok. Let's lynch this guy really fast before we think about anyone else because we won't learn anything else today.  I think manda was a little over-worried about the soft deadline (which is in about 24 hours or so (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319645#msg319645)) and voted for the popular wagon of the time just to help getting a lynch.  I don't know just how "new" manda is, but she doesn't want to be treated like a new player and I just can't let a statement like this slide under the radar

vote: manda
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 02:08:36 pm
This post gets him in trouble with 2.7, who is now pretty much confirmed town (I guess a few people still haven't come in to not counterclaim, but it seems like a very risky and pointless fakeclaim anyway). Calling the three people who were active at the time is a bit scummy (notice that Robz does the exact same thing one post below), except that he does make a choice here with his 2.7 vote, which makes it less scummy than waiting to see who ends up getting the most votes out of the 3.

Though I agree we shouldn't lynch him today, but I don't consider 2.7 to be confirmed town. His claim makes sense from a scum perspective as much as it does from a town one. If you are scum and you think you're going to be lynched you should claim something in this setup. If someone counterclaims at least you've outed a PR and given your team mates setup info. If no one counterclaims you might just be lucky and have picked a role that doesn't exist in the game. It's the smart move for a scum player with a wagon that looks like a lynch forming, and we should consider 2.7 IC because of the claim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 02:12:23 pm
Voltaire
Walrus
Robz
Jimmmm
ashersky
faust
Jorbles
manda
Teproc
morgrim
2.7
mcmcsalot

Working through this now...being away from the thread for so long has garbled everything in my brain. Ashersky is scummy (see elsewhere), Robz is Robz (leaning town), Walrus I still haven't re-read, Jimmmmm I can't remember anything except for his early fight, Jorbles is acti-lurking, mcmc is trying and is that a scumtell.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2013, 02:13:17 pm
Vote Count 1.11

Robz (1): Teproc
2.7 (1): mcmcsalot
ashersky (2): Voltaire, Walrus
Jorbles (1): manda
Walrus (1): ashersky
manda (2): Jimmmmm, 2.7

Not Voting (4): Morgrim, Robz, faust, Jorbles

With 12 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Day1 will end in ~2 days on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 02:15:18 pm
This post gets him in trouble with 2.7, who is now pretty much confirmed town (I guess a few people still haven't come in to not counterclaim, but it seems like a very risky and pointless fakeclaim anyway). Calling the three people who were active at the time is a bit scummy (notice that Robz does the exact same thing one post below), except that he does make a choice here with his 2.7 vote, which makes it less scummy than waiting to see who ends up getting the most votes out of the 3.

Though I agree we shouldn't lynch him today, but I don't consider 2.7 to be confirmed town. His claim makes sense from a scum perspective as much as it does from a town one. If you are scum and you think you're going to be lynched you should claim something in this setup. If someone counterclaims at least you've outed a PR and given your team mates setup info. If no one counterclaims you might just be lucky and have picked a role that doesn't exist in the game. It's the smart move for a scum player with a wagon that looks like a lynch forming, and we should consider 2.7 IC because of the claim.

I agree that e should in no way be treated as confirmed Town. His claim did come at a strange time though, just as the Jorbles wagon was getting some momentum. You would expect scum to at least see the Jorbles wagon out and see what happened with that. But then you'd probably expect Town to do the same.

e, can you please explain the timing of your claim?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 02:16:12 pm
Voltaire
Walrus
Robz
Jimmmm
ashersky
faust
Jorbles
manda
Teproc
morgrim
2.7
mcmcsalot

Working through this now...being away from the thread for so long has garbled everything in my brain. Ashersky is scummy (see elsewhere), Robz is Robz (leaning town), Walrus I still haven't re-read, Jimmmmm I can't remember anything except for his early fight, Jorbles is acti-lurking, mcmc is trying and is that a scumtell.

Why have you crossed people off?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 02:19:02 pm
Voltaire
Walrus
Robz
Jimmmm
ashersky
faust
Jorbles
manda
Teproc
morgrim
2.7
mcmcsalot

Working through this now...being away from the thread for so long has garbled everything in my brain. Ashersky is scummy (see elsewhere), Robz is Robz (leaning town), Walrus I still haven't re-read, Jimmmmm I can't remember anything except for his early fight, Jorbles is acti-lurking, mcmc is trying and is that a scumtell.

Why have you crossed people off?
Those are his D-1 passes.  SCUMREAD!!!!! (joking)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 02:23:27 pm
Voltaire
Walrus
Robz
Jimmmm
ashersky
faust
Jorbles
manda
Teproc
morgrim
2.7
mcmcsalot

Working through this now...being away from the thread for so long has garbled everything in my brain. Ashersky is scummy (see elsewhere), Robz is Robz (leaning town), Walrus I still haven't re-read, Jimmmmm I can't remember anything except for his early fight, Jorbles is acti-lurking, mcmc is trying and is that a scumtell.

Why have you crossed people off?
Those are his D-1 passes.  SCUMREAD!!!!! (joking)

What he said. But they're not just passed - they're people I've taken out of the lynch pool. The reasons are as folows:

myself - obviously
faust - IC
manda - newbie pass + nothing scummy I've seen
Teproc - only other game I've been in with him, I was able to read him like a book (he was town) since we appear to approach the game in almost exactly the same way. Therefore I'm trusting that should he ever start behaving strangely (in my eyes) this should be an extremely clear scumtell - and he hasn't done that yet
morgim - we gain nothing from lynching morgrim. He has a 3/10 chance of flipping scum, just like almost everyone else. If we want to random lynch, he goes back in the pool. But we don't want to random lynch.
2.7 - I believe the claim AND his play reads very town to me
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 02:36:54 pm
What do you think of manda's Jorbles vote?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 02:41:07 pm
What do you think of manda's Jorbles vote?

So scummy scum wouldn't do it. Was it you who was saying previously "but how many times does scum actually do this and how many times does town actually do this"? It's one of those.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 02:42:30 pm
What do you think of manda's Jorbles vote?

So scummy scum wouldn't do it. Was it you who was saying previously "but how many times does scum actually do this and how many times does town actually do this"? It's one of those.

When did I say that?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 02:42:56 pm
For the millionth time, manda is NOT a newbie!!!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 02:43:38 pm
What do you think of manda's Jorbles vote?

So scummy scum wouldn't do it. Was it you who was saying previously "but how many times does scum actually do this and how many times does town actually do this"? It's one of those.

When did I say that?

Then it wasn't you. Someone said that. When you read four days of the thread at once, it really blurs together.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 02:44:03 pm
For the millionth time, manda is NOT a newbie!!!

Only one game, ages ago, right? Newbie in my book.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 02:44:36 pm
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...

THIS! I don't care if you guys want to lynch me, but at least do it with a case. All you guys will learn by quicklynching me "semi-randomly" is that it's not a very effective way to find scum. At least you'll be able to find scum on my wagon though.

Not true, the case on you is valid, you have had a really small presence which is a decent case for day1.


I wouldn't call it decent. It's pretty weak. The case on me is basically that I've been around, but not as much as other people have, and am therefore scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 02:45:34 pm
What do you think of manda's Jorbles vote?

So scummy scum wouldn't do it. Was it you who was saying previously "but how many times does scum actually do this and how many times does town actually do this"? It's one of those.

When did I say that?

Then it wasn't you. Someone said that. When you read four days of the thread at once, it really blurs together.

I may have said something like that. I just want you to explain what you're saying.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 02:46:25 pm
Maybe we should just lynch Morgrim.

At worst, we lynched Morgrim. No offense, Morgrim.

Vote: Morgrim?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 02:46:49 pm
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...

THIS! I don't care if you guys want to lynch me, but at least do it with a case. All you guys will learn by quicklynching me "semi-randomly" is that it's not a very effective way to find scum. At least you'll be able to find scum on my wagon though.

Not true, the case on you is valid, you have had a really small presence which is a decent case for day1.


I wouldn't call it decent. It's pretty weak. The case on me is basically that I've been around, but not as much as other people have, and am therefore scum?

Is there a better case on someone else?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 02:46:59 pm
What do you think of manda's Jorbles vote?

Manda's vote on me is scummy I agree, but I tend to think more of ashersky's vote. Manda's vote seems so scummy that it's more likely to be town not thinking what they are doing through very much. Ash's vote looks more like he's looking to justify a way onto the wagon in a less suspicious way.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 02:52:28 pm
I admit that as much as I enjoy being agreed with by Robz and ash, I do find it strange.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 03:20:32 pm
Maybe we should just lynch Morgrim.

At worst, we lynched Morgrim. No offense, Morgrim.

Vote: Morgrim?

But what do we learn from lynching Morgrim?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 03:21:31 pm
What do you think of manda's Jorbles vote?

Manda's vote on me is scummy I agree, but I tend to think more of ashersky's vote. Manda's vote seems so scummy that it's more likely to be town not thinking what they are doing through very much. Ash's vote looks more like he's looking to justify a way onto the wagon in a less suspicious way.

Ash's vote onto my wagon is the scummiest joining of it I think. Vote: ash?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 03:21:59 pm
Maybe we should just lynch Morgrim.

At worst, we lynched Morgrim. No offense, Morgrim.

Vote: Morgrim?

But what do we learn from lynching Morgrim?

Only his alignment, nothing more. It's a random lynch without being random.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 03:30:23 pm
Ashersky: Jumping on the Jorbles wagon.  I don't think that in itself is scummy, but
vote: Jorbles.  I can get behind the semi-random D1 lurker lynch at deadline.  LALL after all.
I don't like the little explanation he gives here at all.  If you get called out for it as scum, you say you are joking and switch off.  I mean, who actually says that they support a semi-random lynch?  In fact, Ash then does remove himself from the wagon when it is no longer popular and votes Walrus after attacking him for a brief period of time.

@Jorbles mostly, because he should know better, but also to clarify for newbies, re-read my Jorbles vote, people.

Put that in the guess the poster thread and I guarantee you get a Robz, a Galz, and probably a Yuma in addition to me.  It's the opposite of what 2.7 describes it as, in fact.  It's a solid line of thinking for D1, one which I wasn't bothered by when Robz (jimmmm?) put it forward.  And it occurred at a time when a scum read claimed his way to safety and before walrus outed himself as scum.

I stand behind my jorbs vote as perfectly great at the time.  But now we have actually scummy folks to catch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 03:31:32 pm
What's with the interrogative votes, people ? If you're gonna vote someone be serious about it. It's too easy to go "well, I wasn't really sure about voting for him" afterwards with hedgy votes like that. FoS at Jorbles for that, and, well, I'm already voting for Robz.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 03:32:47 pm
What's with the interrogative votes, people ? If you're gonna vote someone be serious about it. It's too easy to go "well, I wasn't really sure about voting for him" afterwards with hedgy votes like that. FoS at Jorbles for that, and, well, I'm already voting for Robz.

Walrus claimed he voted for reactions too.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 03:41:29 pm
I'm intrigued at how easy it was to transfer everyone from e to Jorbles...

THIS! I don't care if you guys want to lynch me, but at least do it with a case. All you guys will learn by quicklynching me "semi-randomly" is that it's not a very effective way to find scum. At least you'll be able to find scum on my wagon though.

Not true, the case on you is valid, you have had a really small presence which is a decent case for day1.


I wouldn't call it decent. It's pretty weak. The case on me is basically that I've been around, but not as much as other people have, and am therefore scum?

Yes but that means tomorrow there will be no better case on you than that, low impact means harder to tell if your scum and harder to tell who is scum from your flip later on when it is important. As far as the wagon of jorbles goes I think it is similarly likely that the jorbles wagon grew fast with scum on it, that the jorbles wagon grew fast because hes scum and scum is off it. He hasn't gotten lynched, so it's not like the wagon is a super fast pushed through wagon on town. I think the assumption that scum has got to be on wagon for as little that actually happened.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 03:43:12 pm
What's with the interrogative votes, people ? If you're gonna vote someone be serious about it. It's too easy to go "well, I wasn't really sure about voting for him" afterwards with hedgy votes like that. FoS at Jorbles for that, and, well, I'm already voting for Robz.

I don't see any problem with doing things for reactions. We have to scumhunt somehow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 03:43:26 pm
Maybe we should just lynch Morgrim.

At worst, we lynched Morgrim. No offense, Morgrim.

Vote: Morgrim?

But what do we learn from lynching Morgrim?

Same thing I said about jorbles applies here though. Day one its okay, this isn't crunch time, if morgrim get a pass from posting real helpfull content today, when do we draw the line, will that be too late? So I think people need to participate(even though some people find that scummy...) and interact or else we can't figure out who scum is. vote: morgrim till he does something helpfull.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 03:45:28 pm
What's with the interrogative votes, people ? If you're gonna vote someone be serious about it. It's too easy to go "well, I wasn't really sure about voting for him" afterwards with hedgy votes like that. FoS at Jorbles for that, and, well, I'm already voting for Robz.

I don't see any problem with doing things for reactions. We have to scumhunt somehow.

This close to deadline ? Also, you're not getting any reaction out of it if your vote is explicitely for pressure.

Note that this is not what Robz was doing, but it has the same problem of being easy to wave away as an unsignificant vote later on.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 03:46:32 pm
I think we're jumping the gun on this "close to deadline" nonsense. We're getting there, but it's still 2 days away, right?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 03:48:11 pm
Isn't it tomorrow ?

Just checked, it's in 2 days. Soft deadline was today so I thought it was tomorrow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 03:52:54 pm
Maybe we should just lynch Morgrim.

At worst, we lynched Morgrim. No offense, Morgrim.

Vote: Morgrim?
Mmm...yeah...no. I think not. This seems like OMGUS? FoS: Robz
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 03:53:34 pm
To avoid ambiguity, let me quote:
Okay, so we'll need a soft deadline. Here's the thing: As the IC, I'd like to be around for the soft deadline, but you know, this is sort of complicated with me living in Europe and all. I propose Tuesday, December 3, 2 pm forum time.
So since we are in the business of throwing out random accusations, FoS to everyone who didn't remember the soft deadline, or the real one.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 03:54:09 pm
It all adds up to vote: walrus at this point.  Better option than Jorbles.  Crumbled under pressure, a sure fire way to catch scum.

I just finished re-reading Walrus and I just do not see a case on him at all, especially not "crumbling under pressure". In GoT we (and I really think it was town, I don't think scum helped out at all) mislynched Walrus for playing like newbie scum and he was town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 03:55:12 pm
Day1 will end in 12 days (10+2 for Thanksgiving) on December 4 at 10 pm forum time[/color]
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 03:55:53 pm
Maybe we should just lynch Morgrim.

At worst, we lynched Morgrim. No offense, Morgrim.

Vote: Morgrim?
Mmm...yeah...no. I think not. This seems like OMGUS? FoS: Robz

How is it OMGUS? You never voted for Robz. Your FoS looks like OMGUS.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 03:56:06 pm
Maybe we should just lynch Morgrim.

At worst, we lynched Morgrim. No offense, Morgrim.

Vote: Morgrim?
Mmm...yeah...no. I think not. This seems like OMGUS? FoS: Robz

Isn't OMGUS when you vote for someone who just accused/voted for you ?

PPE : I could have sworn the soft deadline was today. I actually thought that was the reason the Jorbles wagon went so quickly.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 03:56:58 pm
Yeah, what Morgrim did is OMGUS, not what I did.

I don't actually remember him even being this insane. It seems fake. Well, I know it's fake, because I know he's not actually crazy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 03:57:19 pm
It all adds up to vote: walrus at this point.  Better option than Jorbles.  Crumbled under pressure, a sure fire way to catch scum.

I just finished re-reading Walrus and I just do not see a case on him at all, especially not "crumbling under pressure". In GoT we (and I really think it was town, I don't think scum helped out at all) mislynched Walrus for playing like newbie scum and he was town.
I think this situation looks scummier on Ashersky than it does on Walrus.  From the progression of votes to his interaction with Walrus, Ashersky is earning a spot on my "scummy looking" list
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:00:17 pm
I don't actually remember him even being this insane. It seems fake. Well, I know it's fake, because I know he's not actually crazy.

Me neither. It feels very different. My pause is because this is his first game in awhile, so is he having difficulty getting back into "town" character?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 04:01:26 pm
Maybe we should just lynch Morgrim.

At worst, we lynched Morgrim. No offense, Morgrim.

Vote: Morgrim?

But what do we learn from lynching Morgrim?

Same thing I said about jorbles applies here though. Day one its okay, this isn't crunch time, if morgrim get a pass from posting real helpfull content today, when do we draw the line, will that be too late? So I think people need to participate(even though some people find that scummy...) and interact or else we can't figure out who scum is. vote: morgrim till he does something helpfull.
More? Interesting. Veeeery interesting. I think I will do something useful, starting by claiming. I am a tracker. Each night, I choose someone and moddy Yuma tells me who, if anyone, that person targeted.
I can be more helpful, if you want.
Care for an apple?

And gah, you're all all not understanding. I think Robz is scummy cause...what reason does he have to vote for me? It kinda looks like he's just doing it cause there's nobody better. And yeah, that's scummy...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:01:41 pm
I think this situation looks scummier on Ashersky than it does on Walrus.  From the progression of votes to his interaction with Walrus, Ashersky is earning a spot on my "scummy looking" list

Then vote!

PPE: ???????
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:02:34 pm
God damn it, Morgrim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:03:15 pm
This post gets him in trouble with 2.7, who is now pretty much confirmed town (I guess a few people still haven't come in to not counterclaim, but it seems like a very risky and pointless fakeclaim anyway). Calling the three people who were active at the time is a bit scummy (notice that Robz does the exact same thing one post below), except that he does make a choice here with his 2.7 vote, which makes it less scummy than waiting to see who ends up getting the most votes out of the 3.

Though I agree we shouldn't lynch him today, but I don't consider 2.7 to be confirmed town. His claim makes sense from a scum perspective as much as it does from a town one. If you are scum and you think you're going to be lynched you should claim something in this setup. If someone counterclaims at least you've outed a PR and given your team mates setup info. If no one counterclaims you might just be lucky and have picked a role that doesn't exist in the game. It's the smart move for a scum player with a wagon that looks like a lynch forming, and we should consider 2.7 IC because of the claim.

I agree that e should in no way be treated as confirmed Town. His claim did come at a strange time though, just as the Jorbles wagon was getting some momentum. You would expect scum to at least see the Jorbles wagon out and see what happened with that. But then you'd probably expect Town to do the same.

e, can you please explain the timing of your claim?
I made my claim when I did because I thought that we would need the time to really put together some good thoughts toward a good lynch.  Robz said "irritatingly early"- scum!robz liked the distraction on a mislynch?  This is not enough to really accuse Robz for anything, and I agree it is not standard operating procedure to claim when I did, but I did now want to distract people with the wagon on me when we needed to be scumhunting.  I felt like because of my role, claiming at that point was fine.  (If I had been the vig or something I would definitely not claimed when I did.  Only because I was the bodyguard did I make that claim)

PPE: Morgrim why do you claim now?  that seems really strange
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:03:38 pm
or was that claim not serious?  HOW CAN I KNOW?!?!?!?!?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 04:03:43 pm
I need help reacting to something.

What's with the early claims this game ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:04:11 pm
It's more than strange, it's terrible.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:04:40 pm
I think this situation looks scummier on Ashersky than it does on Walrus.  From the progression of votes to his interaction with Walrus, Ashersky is earning a spot on my "scummy looking" list

Then vote!

PPE: ???????
I want to give manda a chance to respond to her latest post/vote before I move on (because I do find that scummy).  If I am satisfied Ash is my next vote.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 04:05:13 pm
To avoid ambiguity, let me quote:
Okay, so we'll need a soft deadline. Here's the thing: As the IC, I'd like to be around for the soft deadline, but you know, this is sort of complicated with me living in Europe and all. I propose Tuesday, December 3, 2 pm forum time.
So since we are in the business of throwing out random accusations, FoS to everyone who didn't remember the soft deadline, or the real one.

I knew there was a soft deadline someone set, but I'm not subscribing to it. Let's use the time we have!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:05:18 pm
I need help reacting to something.

What do you mean?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 04:05:42 pm
What's with the interrogative votes, people ? If you're gonna vote someone be serious about it. It's too easy to go "well, I wasn't really sure about voting for him" afterwards with hedgy votes like that. FoS at Jorbles for that, and, well, I'm already voting for Robz.

Walrus claimed he voted for reactions too.

The question mark is not to indicate that I am unsure about the lynch. It's to indicate that I'm not sure there's support for the lynch. I was serious about my vote, just unsure if there was support for it.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 04:06:03 pm
or was that claim not serious?  HOW CAN I KNOW?!?!?!?!?
You can't be. You'll have to trust me. If you don't wanna do that, well. Vote: Morgrim is always a good solution for that...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 04:06:16 pm
It's a Community quote, and I was referring to Morgrim's claim. It's just so... weird to claim now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:06:57 pm
The question mark is not to indicate that I am unsure about the lynch. It's to indicate that I'm not sure there's support for the lynch. I was serious about my vote, just unsure if there was support for it.

I definitely think there is support for it!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:07:55 pm
Morgrim. Morgrim. There is no benefit to confusing us! Scum already know whether you are telling the truth or not! You shouldn't have claimed at all, but now that you have, you have to actually claim! Jeez.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 04:09:42 pm
Well if Morgrim is telling the truth it sucks that he got a PR and he felt the need to claim now (no offense Morgrim, but you haven't been that useful this game). Regardless, I'd say we take Morgrim off the table for Today. If he's Town maybe scum will NK him and on later Days his investigations will either help us catch scum or make it obvious he's scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 04:10:40 pm
Maybe we should just lynch Morgrim.

At worst, we lynched Morgrim. No offense, Morgrim.

Vote: Morgrim?

But what do we learn from lynching Morgrim?

Same thing I said about jorbles applies here though. Day one its okay, this isn't crunch time, if morgrim get a pass from posting real helpfull content today, when do we draw the line, will that be too late? So I think people need to participate(even though some people find that scummy...) and interact or else we can't figure out who scum is. vote: morgrim till he does something helpfull.
More? Interesting. Veeeery interesting. I think I will do something useful, starting by claiming. I am a tracker. Each night, I choose someone and moddy Yuma tells me who, if anyone, that person targeted.
I can be more helpful, if you want.
Care for an apple?

And gah, you're all all not understanding. I think Robz is scummy cause...what reason does he have to vote for me? It kinda looks like he's just doing it cause there's nobody better. And yeah, that's scummy...

Why would you claim that? That's the worst claim I've ever seen.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:11:41 pm
Morgrim. Morgrim. There is no benefit to confusing us! Scum already know whether you are telling the truth or not! You shouldn't have claimed at all, but now that you have, you have to actually claim! Jeez.

So if Morgrim is lying and there really is a Tracker, they probably shouldn't counter. Because at this point I have no faith that Morgrim isn't lying as town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 04:13:03 pm
Morgrim. Morgrim. There is no benefit to confusing us! Scum already know whether you are telling the truth or not! You shouldn't have claimed at all, but now that you have, you have to actually claim! Jeez.
Exactly. Because now that the scum have already figured out whether I'm lying, you have no choice but to trust me unless you want to mislynch me. Someone cop me and I'll prove it to you.

It's a Community quote, and I was referring to Morgrim's claim. It's just so... weird to claim now.
Maybe that's why I did it?

If he's Town maybe scum will NK him and on later Days his investigations will either help us catch scum or make it obvious he's scum.
That's why I claimed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:15:08 pm
Someone cop me and I'll prove it to you.

Well, if Morgrim is scum, he's not a Goon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:15:52 pm
Morg, really?

And the "someone cop me" could be he's got a non-goon role, so he's fine being copped.  That claim came out of nowhere, and is not very believable.

I don't think he comes off the table, Jimmmmm.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:16:21 pm
Someone cop me and I'll prove it to you.

Well, if Morgrim is scum, he's not a Goon.

Right.  Also makes him an even better lynch if he's scum.  Weakens the scum team more.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 04:16:42 pm
Copping you would prove nothing, since the only possible Cop in the game would be a Goon Cop. This is also assuming the Mafia took 2 powers (if you're telling the truth and there's a cop I mean).

In any case, i don't know what to do about this. I guess I believe it ? As crazy as Morgrim is, I don't think he would just claim a random role out of nowhere.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 04:17:17 pm
The question mark is not to indicate that I am unsure about the lynch. It's to indicate that I'm not sure there's support for the lynch. I was serious about my vote, just unsure if there was support for it.

I definitely think there is support for it!

I know you are in, but most other people haven't commented too much about whether they'd be willing to vote for ash or not. Or not to my memory anyways.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 04:18:15 pm
I don't think he comes off the table, Jimmmmm.

Really? He's someone who if scum will become easier and easier to catch as time goes on, and if Town will produce actual helpful results and may be NKed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:18:34 pm
The question mark is not to indicate that I am unsure about the lynch. It's to indicate that I'm not sure there's support for the lynch. I was serious about my vote, just unsure if there was support for it.

I definitely think there is support for it!

I know you are in, but most other people haven't commented too much about whether they'd be willing to vote for ash or not. Or not to my memory anyways.

Walrus is voting for ash. A couple people have said "ash is scummy" and not backed it up.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:18:39 pm
Post Count:

1. Voltaire - 58
2. Walrus - 21
3. Robz - 63
4. Jimmmm - 68
5. ashersky - 70
6. faust - 50
7. Jorbles - 35
8. manda - 20
9. Teproc - 41
10. morgrim - 27
11. 2.7 - 67
12. mcmcsalot - 33
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:19:34 pm
That missed a few PPE, but it's fine for what I was lookign for.

Lurkers:  morg, Manda
Acti-lurkers: Walrus, Jorbles, Teproc, mcmc
Contributors: Volt, Robz, Jim, Ash, faust, 2.7
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 04:20:07 pm
I don't think he comes off the table, Jimmmmm.

Really? He's someone who if scum will become easier and easier to catch as time goes on, and if Town will produce actual helpful results and may be NKed.
Again, exactly why I claimed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:20:21 pm
I don't think he comes off the table, Jimmmmm.

Really? He's someone who if scum will become easier and easier to catch as time goes on, and if Town will produce actual helpful results and may be NKed.

I don't think Morgrim gets any easier to catch than this.  He's not going to flip a sanity switch all of a sudden and play a pro-town game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:20:37 pm
I don't think he comes off the table, Jimmmmm.

Really? He's someone who if scum will become easier and easier to catch as time goes on, and if Town will produce actual helpful results and may be NKed.
Again, exactly why I claimed.

To get taken off the lynch table and survive as long as possible as scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 04:22:52 pm
I don't think he comes off the table, Jimmmmm.

Really? He's someone who if scum will become easier and easier to catch as time goes on, and if Town will produce actual helpful results and may be NKed.

I don't think Morgrim gets any easier to catch than this.  He's not going to flip a sanity switch all of a sudden and play a pro-town game.

I'm not arguing he's playing a pro-Town game. But he has to produce a result every Day now. Say Tomorrow he says you targeted someone you didn't, or didn't target anyone and you did, you know for a fact that he's lying. Can you really say that Town Morgrim would be playing any differently. You know that anti-Town != Mafia.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:23:28 pm
I don't think he comes off the table, Jimmmmm.

Really? He's someone who if scum will become easier and easier to catch as time goes on, and if Town will produce actual helpful results and may be NKed.
Again, exactly why I claimed.

If scum kills you tonight, how is what you've done helpful?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:24:15 pm
God, I am so mad. This claim put the ball totally in scum's court. They can decide to kill off one of our PRs, or they can decide to leave him and WIFOM us because he's not useful anyway.

I actually want to lynch him more now, because I don't believe Morgrim is actually stupid enough to make this claim as town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:27:10 pm
I don't think he comes off the table, Jimmmmm.

Really? He's someone who if scum will become easier and easier to catch as time goes on, and if Town will produce actual helpful results and may be NKed.

I don't think Morgrim gets any easier to catch than this.  He's not going to flip a sanity switch all of a sudden and play a pro-town game.

I'm not arguing he's playing a pro-Town game. But he has to produce a result every Day now. Say Tomorrow he says you targeted someone you didn't, or didn't target anyone and you did, you know for a fact that he's lying. Can you really say that Town Morgrim would be playing any differently. You know that anti-Town != Mafia.

No, I agree with you on the anti-town doesn't mean he's mafia thing.  It's just, I don't see him as a loss if we lynch him, and the upside that he's could be fake claiming is there.

This is one of those times where I personally don't want the real tracker to out himself if possible, because Tracker is actually useful (no offense 2.7).  So if we feel that Morgrim is lying, and possible a non-Goon role due to his Godfather claim (who did that in Samurai and Ninjas? sudgy?), he's a very good lynch candidate.

I get that he's going to be easy to catch if he's a lying, on a future day.  Or he says he tracked 2.7 who targeted Faust and we get nowhere.  Or he says he tracked a scumpartner, who lies to cover up for him.  In fact, if he's lying scum, that's exactly what he does to get away with this claim.  "I tracked my partner, who targeted player B."  Partner confirms, now Player B looks like a town PR.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:29:19 pm
Yep, I agree with ashersky.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 04:31:19 pm
Or he says he tracked a scumpartner, who lies to cover up for him.  In fact, if he's lying scum, that's exactly what he does to get away with this claim.  "I tracked my partner, who targeted player B."  Partner confirms, now Player B looks like a town PR.

But surely this unravels very quickly if we lynch one of them?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:34:35 pm
I think a risky, sort of nuts, but not altogether unthinkable scum!Morgrim plan is more likely than a completely insane, out of nowhere, actively detrimental town!Morgrim plan.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:34:42 pm
Or he says he tracked a scumpartner, who lies to cover up for him.  In fact, if he's lying scum, that's exactly what he does to get away with this claim.  "I tracked my partner, who targeted player B."  Partner confirms, now Player B looks like a town PR.

But surely this unravels very quickly if we lynch one of them?

IF we lynch one of them.  Say someone most people feel is towny is that partner.  And Morgrim comes in tomorrow and says:

"I tracked Voltaire last night.  He targeted no one."

Voltaire (just chose someone randomly) comes in and says, "yep, didn't target anyone."

Are you going to press for a Morg or Volt lynch at that point?  On what basis?  On the "well, ashersky thought this might happen on D1" argument?  That won't fly.  I mean, either Volt really didn't target anyone, or he's Morgrim's partner, or both.



A better argument would be to say that the real Tracker could counterclaim on D2 or D3 or whatever, leaving the liar alive while the real one tracks others to try to catch a partner.  But I assume a fakeclaiming scum would also do the night kill to insulate his partners as much as possible.


I think the only thing off the table in my mind is Morgrim being the Traitor.  Unless he's trying to get his scumpartners to kill him, he's not fakeclaiming like that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:35:02 pm
Especially given we moved off 2.7 lightning fast when he claimed. Morgrim might have expected the same treatment.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 04:36:44 pm
Those are good points actually. He will be a major liability if he survives the nights (which I think he will), especially since Tracker is not a conclusive investigative role by any stretch of the imagination. Mafia could even have a JOAT with 1-shot ninja.

The idea that we can catch him later is very risky. He can keep saying he targeted dead people, or scumbuddies. He doesn't even need to go for the gambit of making them seem like PRs, he can just say "I targeted X who targeted no one", then X confirms.

Also, if Mafia has day chat they could have concocted such a plan after the 2.7 claim or something. Morgrim had confirmed his crazy meta and 2.7's claim clearly saved him for the day, proving that a claim would be effective day 1.

Actually, let's vote: Morgrim

PPE : 2 unread.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:37:23 pm
Ash, I take no offense at Morgrim's PR being better than mine.  Which is why I didn't feel too bad claiming when I did.  Which is why it was terrible for Morgrim to claim when he did.

The reason my wagon dissipated was because it was a believable and relatively harmless claim.  claiming tracker now is not harmless to town.  It hurts town.

Vote: Morgrim

PPE: Teproc's vote
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:38:19 pm
<b>Can we get a vote count?</b>
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:38:43 pm
Can we get a vote count?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:39:24 pm
/inbefore <scumslip>!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 04:39:54 pm
He's at 5 votes right now I believe (Robz, mcmc, Morgrim, Teproc, 2.7)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 04:41:21 pm
Yes, totally want to lynch morgrim more than befor now, we do not have guarenteed pr's for counter claiming which makes scum more likely to do so as I said in 2.7's case, however this time there is no reason for morgrim to claim and he is being overall unhelpful.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:42:07 pm
He's at 5 votes right now I believe (Robz, mcmc, Morgrim, Teproc, 2.7)

That's correct.  This is L-1.

vote: Morgrim7
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:42:16 pm
He's at 5 votes right now I believe (Robz, mcmc, Morgrim, Teproc, 2.7)
two pre-claim (robz, mcmc) three after claim (teproc, 2.7, morgrim)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:42:27 pm
unvote
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 04:42:52 pm
That missed a few PPE, but it's fine for what I was lookign for.

Lurkers:  morg, Manda
Acti-lurkers: Walrus, Jorbles, Teproc, mcmc
Contributors: Volt, Robz, Jim, Ash, faust, 2.7

Bleh, since when is acti-lurking bieng in the middle of the post count, acti-lurking is having a decent post count but not actually contributing anything. You think me and teproc aren't contributing?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:42:58 pm
manda has not been around at all.  I don't want to lynch until she can say something.  anything.  even hello
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2013, 04:43:07 pm
Vote Count 1.12

ashersky (3): Voltaire, Walrus, Jorbles
Jorbles (1): manda
manda (1): Jimmmmm
Morgrim (5): Robz, mcmc, Morgrim, teproc, ashersky (L-2)

Not Voting (2): faust, 2.7

With 12 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Day1 will end in ~2 days on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 04:45:03 pm
Morgrim. If you're Town you need to actually do something good for Town and unvote. We need to hear what faust has to say about this.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:45:11 pm
That missed a few PPE, but it's fine for what I was lookign for.

Lurkers:  morg, Manda
Acti-lurkers: Walrus, Jorbles, Teproc, mcmc
Contributors: Volt, Robz, Jim, Ash, faust, 2.7

Bleh, since when is acti-lurking bieng in the middle of the post count, acti-lurking is having a decent post count but not actually contributing anything. You think me and teproc aren't contributing?

I think you've been swooping in at times, (which I admit can just be IRL) to ensure you add content when needed.  That's what I think of as acti-lurking.  It isn't necessarily scummy.  I did want to see how folks reacted to those labels.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:45:21 pm
unvote
although I will hammer morgrim if we get to L-1 without much traction in another direction.  Check it off my bucket list and all.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:45:36 pm
Faust, care to weigh in?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:46:26 pm
He's at 5 votes right now I believe (Robz, mcmc, Morgrim, Teproc, 2.7)

That's correct.  This is L-1.

vote: Morgrim7

Halt. Cease. Desist.

The scum!morgrim narrative requires so many "what ifs". I have not seen anything more compelling than "this is how town!morgrim plays". This is the sort of insanity I expect, with a different flavor, sure, but still. Is this really the best way to deal with him?

I mean I do buy ash's narrative as plausible but 1. it's coming from ash 2. it almost never makes sense to lynch a claimed PR.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 04:46:47 pm
Morgrim definitely needs to unvote anyway if he's town. If we're gonna lynch someone, it needs to have a full wagon to be more informative later.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 04:47:04 pm
unvote cause jimmm said to
Robz, ash, and rocky are town cause of their reaction, I think...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 04:47:18 pm
Maybe Voltaire too?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:47:49 pm
unvote cause jimmm said to
Robz, ash, and rocky are town cause of their reaction, I think...

Why?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 04:48:16 pm
That missed a few PPE, but it's fine for what I was lookign for.

Lurkers:  morg, Manda
Acti-lurkers: Walrus, Jorbles, Teproc, mcmc
Contributors: Volt, Robz, Jim, Ash, faust, 2.7

Bleh, since when is acti-lurking bieng in the middle of the post count, acti-lurking is having a decent post count but not actually contributing anything. You think me and teproc aren't contributing?

I think you've been swooping in at times, (which I admit can just be IRL) to ensure you add content when needed.  That's what I think of as acti-lurking.  It isn't necessarily scummy.  I did want to see how folks reacted to those labels.

reasonable explaination, I was curious if you just did it on post count alone, I am sure my posting is habitially timed and therefor reactive instead of active which I agree should be improved upon(it is partially irl partially habit)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 04:48:34 pm
He's at 5 votes right now I believe (Robz, mcmc, Morgrim, Teproc, 2.7)

That's correct.  This is L-1.

vote: Morgrim7

Halt. Cease. Desist.

The scum!morgrim narrative requires so many "what ifs". I have not seen anything more compelling than "this is how town!morgrim plays". This is the sort of insanity I expect, with a different flavor, sure, but still. Is this really the best way to deal with him?

I mean I do buy ash's narrative as plausible but 1. it's coming from ash 2. it almost never makes sense to lynch a claimed PR.

This. Morgrim could be scum, sure. But he could very well be Town, and if so he actually has a way he can definitely help us. Do we really want to lynch a claimed PR on Day 1?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:48:39 pm
I will go back to my vote: manda for now just so that I have a vote down.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 04:49:18 pm
unvote cause jimmm said to

Bullshit. If you're going to play, you need to play. If you're Town, you need to be better than this.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 04:49:52 pm
unvote cause jimmm said to
Robz, ash, and rocky are town cause of their reaction, I think...

Why?
They seem to be genuinely striving to help the town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:50:14 pm
He's at 5 votes right now I believe (Robz, mcmc, Morgrim, Teproc, 2.7)

That's correct.  This is L-1.

vote: Morgrim7

Halt. Cease. Desist.

The scum!morgrim narrative requires so many "what ifs". I have not seen anything more compelling than "this is how town!morgrim plays". This is the sort of insanity I expect, with a different flavor, sure, but still. Is this really the best way to deal with him?

This is far, far beyond the sort of insanity I expected.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 04:50:40 pm
He's at 5 votes right now I believe (Robz, mcmc, Morgrim, Teproc, 2.7)

That's correct.  This is L-1.

vote: Morgrim7

Halt. Cease. Desist.

The scum!morgrim narrative requires so many "what ifs". I have not seen anything more compelling than "this is how town!morgrim plays". This is the sort of insanity I expect, with a different flavor, sure, but still. Is this really the best way to deal with him?

I mean I do buy ash's narrative as plausible but 1. it's coming from ash 2. it almost never makes sense to lynch a claimed PR.

This. Morgrim could be scum, sure. But he could very well be Town, and if so he actually has a way he can definitely help us. Do we really want to lynch a claimed PR on Day 1?

When it claims like that yes, why not just massclaim D1 everygame(which may have happend here) it absolutely screws us, I am hoping to god morgrim is scum and not just not taking the game seriously at all.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 04:50:58 pm
unvote cause jimmm said to
Robz, ash, and rocky are town cause of their reaction, I think...

Why?
They seem to be genuinely striving to help the town.
But they know that.  They are vets.  They know the system.  At best their "helping town" in this situation is WIFOM a bit because your play was so anti-town
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:51:21 pm
This is far, far beyond the sort of insanity I expected.

But isn't this, like, how he always plays? My first f.ds game ever was subbing in for Morgrim after he claimed VT D1 and asked out.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 04:51:36 pm
<b>Vote: Morgrim</b>

I really want to do this now. Just not convinced it's actually a good idea if we're trying to win.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:53:14 pm
This is far, far beyond the sort of insanity I expected.

But isn't this, like, how he always plays? My first f.ds game ever was subbing in for Morgrim after he claimed VT D1 and asked out.

This is much crazier if you ask me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Morgrim7 on December 02, 2013, 04:53:58 pm
unvote cause jimmm said to
Robz, ash, and rocky are town cause of their reaction, I think...

Why?
They seem to be genuinely striving to help the town.
But they know that.  They are vets.  They know the system.  At best their "helping town" in this situation is WIFOM a bit because your play was so anti-town
mmm...good point
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 04:55:05 pm
This is far, far beyond the sort of insanity I expected.

But isn't this, like, how he always plays? My first f.ds game ever was subbing in for Morgrim after he claimed VT D1 and asked out.

This is much crazier if you ask me.

Having read most of the games we're talking about here, I definitely agree with this. That's why I was suspicious of him earlier, it seemed like he artificially amped up the craziness.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 04:55:52 pm
This is far, far beyond the sort of insanity I expected.

But isn't this, like, how he always plays? My first f.ds game ever was subbing in for Morgrim after he claimed VT D1 and asked out.

This is much crazier if you ask me.

Having read most of the games we're talking about here, I definitely agree with this. That's why I was suspicious of him earlier, it seemed like he artificially amped up the craziness.

Good, I'm glad to hear that it's not just my imagination. Thanks.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 04:56:53 pm
unvote cause jimmm said to
Robz, ash, and rocky are town cause of their reaction, I think...

Why?
They seem to be genuinely striving to help the town.
But they know that.  They are vets.  They know the system.  At best their "helping town" in this situation is WIFOM a bit because your play was so anti-town

Sweet, I'm already a vet ! But I agree, Morgrim having town reads on the people who are voting for him AND Voltaire for an exact opposite reaction to his claim is ludicrous. Well that's not exactly what you're saying I guess, but I do think that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 02, 2013, 04:57:32 pm
Sweet, I'm already a vet ! But I agree, Morgrim having town reads on the people who are voting for him AND Voltaire for an exact opposite reaction to his claim is ludicrous. Well that's not exactly what you're saying I guess, but I do think that.

Ludicrous yes, but how is it scummy?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 04:58:10 pm
He's at 5 votes right now I believe (Robz, mcmc, Morgrim, Teproc, 2.7)

That's correct.  This is L-1.

vote: Morgrim7

Halt. Cease. Desist.

The scum!morgrim narrative requires so many "what ifs". I have not seen anything more compelling than "this is how town!morgrim plays". This is the sort of insanity I expect, with a different flavor, sure, but still. Is this really the best way to deal with him?

I mean I do buy ash's narrative as plausible but 1. it's coming from ash 2. it almost never makes sense to lynch a claimed PR.

This. Morgrim could be scum, sure. But he could very well be Town, and if so he actually has a way he can definitely help us. Do we really want to lynch a claimed PR on Day 1?

When it claims like that yes, why not just massclaim D1 everygame(which may have happend here) it absolutely screws us, I am hoping to god morgrim is scum and not just not taking the game seriously at all.

Mcmc makes a good point here.  We don't know how many PRs we have, so Morgrim may have outed them all.  Scum knows this, even while we don't.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2013, 04:59:00 pm
Vote Count 1.13

ashersky (3): Voltaire, Walrus, Jorbles
Jorbles (1): manda
manda (2): Jimmmmm, 2.7
Morgrim (4): Robz, mcmc, teproc, ashersky (L-3)

Not Voting (2): faust, Morgrim

With 12 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Day1 will end in ~2 days on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 04:59:36 pm
Sweet, I'm already a vet ! But I agree, Morgrim having town reads on the people who are voting for him AND Voltaire for an exact opposite reaction to his claim is ludicrous. Well that's not exactly what you're saying I guess, but I do think that.

Ludicrous yes, but how is it scummy?

It's not.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 05:02:13 pm
Morgrim, are you trying to win this game?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 05:02:45 pm
Well, I have to head out now.  I hope that I don't come back to a lynch or anything.  Let's at least wait until manda has said something.  Also, due to my claim and [most] people thinking it is real, I appoint myself unofficial IC and ask everyone a question:

Do you think Morgrim is:
A) Fakeclaiming as town.
B) Fakeclaiming as scum.
C) Actually the tracker.

I hope it is B.  I want it to be B.  I am not familiar with Morgrim from previous games, but as everyone seems to say he is pretty crazy, but this is off the charts.  I actually think this is A.  Morgrim fakeclaiming as town.  It makes no sense.  It is bizarre.  It doesn't help at all.  I mean, it could be C but I just don't know.  I am actually fine with lynching Morgrim in any of the situations, I just want you all to say what you think.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 02, 2013, 05:06:07 pm
If you think it's A, why did you vote for him ?

I don't think it's A. Even Morgrim isn't that crazy. Which is why I think B is the most likely, although it could be C. I'm not fine with lynching him if it's C (even if he's the least helpful Tracker ever, he would still be town), but there's obviously no way to know.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 02, 2013, 05:07:07 pm
Well, I have to head out now.  I hope that I don't come back to a lynch or anything.  Let's at least wait until manda has said something.  Also, due to my claim and [most] people thinking it is real, I appoint myself unofficial IC and ask everyone a question:

Do you think Morgrim is:
A) Fakeclaiming as town.
B) Fakeclaiming as scum.
C) Actually the tracker.

I hope it is B.  I want it to be B.  I am not familiar with Morgrim from previous games, but as everyone seems to say he is pretty crazy, but this is off the charts.  I actually think this is A.  Morgrim fakeclaiming as town.  It makes no sense.  It is bizarre.  It doesn't help at all.  I mean, it could be C but I just don't know.  I am actually fine with lynching Morgrim in any of the situations, I just want you all to say what you think.

you are a D1 unconfirmed claimed town power role, by no means unoficial IC, your claim just wasn't so bonkers it's worth keeping you around because you may be telling the truth.

Claiming and not being countered doesn't give you towncred it makes you a unappealing lynch
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 05:08:33 pm
Well, I have to head out now.  I hope that I don't come back to a lynch or anything.  Let's at least wait until manda has said something.  Also, due to my claim and [most] people thinking it is real, I appoint myself unofficial IC and ask everyone a question:

Do you think Morgrim is:
A) Fakeclaiming as town.
B) Fakeclaiming as scum.
C) Actually the tracker.

I hope it is B.  I want it to be B.  I am not familiar with Morgrim from previous games, but as everyone seems to say he is pretty crazy, but this is off the charts.  I actually think this is A.  Morgrim fakeclaiming as town.  It makes no sense.  It is bizarre.  It doesn't help at all.  I mean, it could be C but I just don't know.  I am actually fine with lynching Morgrim in any of the situations, I just want you all to say what you think.

Please not A. If it's A I'm policy lynching Morgrim for the next like 5 games.

I could go either way on B or C. I'd probably lean C at about 55-45.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 05:12:06 pm
Lying as town is so very, very bad.  So I refuse to consider "A" an option, because if it is, it's just as bad as B.

So I think B or C, in that order.  I'd flip Jimmmmm, saying maybe 60-40 scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 05:18:52 pm
Lying as town is so very, very bad.  So I refuse to consider "A" an option, because if it is, it's just as bad as B.

So I think B or C, in that order.  I'd flip Jimmmmm, saying maybe 60-40 scum.

Agreed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 05:38:46 pm
Well, I have to head out now.  I hope that I don't come back to a lynch or anything.  Let's at least wait until manda has said something.  Also, due to my claim and [most] people thinking it is real, I appoint myself unofficial IC and ask everyone a question:

Do you think Morgrim is:
A) Fakeclaiming as town.
B) Fakeclaiming as scum.
C) Actually the tracker.

I hope it is B.  I want it to be B.  I am not familiar with Morgrim from previous games, but as everyone seems to say he is pretty crazy, but this is off the charts.  I actually think this is A.  Morgrim fakeclaiming as town.  It makes no sense.  It is bizarre.  It doesn't help at all.  I mean, it could be C but I just don't know.  I am actually fine with lynching Morgrim in any of the situations, I just want you all to say what you think.

I do not consider you IC, but I acknowledge that your claim is possible. I do not know whether I feel A, B or C is most likely. It's not that I'm not thinking about it I just can't wrap my head around why he would do this in any situation. I'll guess I'll run it through here.

Let's assume that even though Morgrim acts a little crazy there is some rational reason behind his claim.

A: If it's A he might think it's useful to try and draw the NK. I think this is a horrible strategy, but it is one possible reason.
B: He might be trying to keep himself alive for a little while, and sew confusion for town. This might actually be a worthwhile strategy as the traitor (or if the traitor I could see this being possible too). Claim for no reason, confuse everyone, if you draw the NK your team mates will become aware that you are actually the traitor when the kill doesn't proc (assuming they don't strongman it). When you eventually get lynched maybe you've gotten the game to a state where everyone has terrible reads and your team mates can win.
C: He might actually be the tracker, the reason being that maybe he thinks that scum won't believe him, and will leave him alive for a mislynch. They probably wouldn't have killed him anyways though so ummmm I'm not sure why you'd do this. He wasn't going to get NKed tonight, scum like to leave him alive in hopes that he'll be mislynched. So this claim would actually make him more likely to get killed than before.

I would not do any of these strategies, but B seems more rational than the others. Assuming Morgrim is acting rationally is not something you can count on though. I guess I think B is probably most likely if we assume he's acting rationally. I'd say there's about a 50/50 shot that he's acting rationally though. If he's not it doesn't matter what his reasoning was.

I think I would lynch Morgrim. Either he's acting rationally and is scum or he's a detriment to town so we might as well get it over with and lynch him. Am I missing any reasons why it might be a good idea to do this as A or C?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 06:01:45 pm
Okay, this is L-2.

Vote: Morgrim7
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 06:07:45 pm
Are we all going to feel dumb if Morgrim flips Tracker?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 06:09:55 pm
Are we all going to feel dumb if Morgrim flips Tracker?

No.  We're all going to continue being unhappy to livid.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 06:10:29 pm
So "head out" ended up meaning "get a haircut and drive home" so here are some more thoughts:
If you think it's A, why did you vote for him ?

I don't think it's A. Even Morgrim isn't that crazy. Which is why I think B is the most likely, although it could be C. I'm not fine with lynching him if it's C (even if he's the least helpful Tracker ever, he would still be town), but there's obviously no way to know.
while driving home I cooled of a bit and realized that my vote was mostly a rage vote. Then I thought to myself, I don't like rage votes they are bad for town. And then I realized that morgrim could very well be the tracker. (Hasn't considered jorbles thoughts on B, which I will comment on soon) I should not rage vote. Even if it turns out that morgrim is a VT, we should not lynch him because that hurts town. So upon getting home I was willing to recant my vote on morgrim and get back to more [hopefully] level-headed play.

Jorbles thoughts on him being a traitor make a lot of sense though. I do not think he is regular scum. I should add a point D: fake claiming as the traitor.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 06:14:54 pm
As far as me being IC, I know that is not the case. But it was just fun to claim. I will never be confirmed town as the bodyguard, because my position is such that I have to die in order to be useful. so my death is really the only thing to prove my innocence. Until then it is WIFOM.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 06:16:34 pm
Are we all going to feel dumb if Morgrim flips Tracker?

We will know we were living in a universe where our Tracker was never going to help us.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 06:17:03 pm
Are we all going to feel dumb if Morgrim flips Tracker?

We will know we were living in a universe where our Tracker was never going to help us.

Fixed above, ignore last post.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 02, 2013, 07:07:51 pm
What the hell Morgrim.

Ehhhhhhhhhhhhh I'm not sure what I think about all this. I prefer the Morgrim lynch to the Jorbles lynch if it came to that. But it's all just so bizarre.

My gut feeling is still that Morgrim is still more likely to flip town. If we let him live, he'll have to produce results of some kind, and it may be possible to catch him in his own potential web of lies. Either that or he'll just get shot. I don't know if it's worth risking lynching a PR Day 1, as absurd as these circumstances are.

I can certainly understand the frustration that I am seeing from some of you though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2013, 07:15:43 pm
Vote Count 1.14

ashersky (2): Voltaire, Walrus
Jorbles (1): manda
manda (2): Jimmmmm, 2.7
Morgrim (5): Robz, mcmc, teproc, ashersky, Jorbles (L-2)

Not Voting (2): faust, Morgrim

With 12 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Day1 will end in ~2 days on December 4 at 10 pm forum time
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 07:24:38 pm
We've got just around 50 hours total IRL to deadline.  Just noting that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 08:25:02 pm
Popsquiz time.  I'd ask that everyone do it, given the deadline time constraints:

Lynch!  Walrus, Morgrim
Would lynch: manda, mcmc, Jorbles
Won't lynch: Robz, 2.7, Jimmmm, Voltaire, Teproc, faust
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 02, 2013, 08:26:56 pm
Lynch! Morgrim
Would lynch: Jorbles, Jimm, mcmcsalot
Would watch be lynched: manda, Teproc, Walrus, ashersky, Voltaire
Won't lynch: 2.7, faust
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 08:32:20 pm
Would lynch: mcmcsalot, Jorbles, manda
Would be okay lynching: Walrus, Teproc
Keeping an eye on for a later Day: Robz, ashersky
Won't lynch: e
Want to lynch in spite of probably being Town: Morgrim
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 02, 2013, 08:58:44 pm
Preferred lynches: Morgrim, ashersky
Would be okay with lynching: Robz, mcmc, Jimmmm, Walrus, manda
Would not lynch, but would watch it happen: Voltaire, Teproc
Won't lynch (yet): 2.7
Won't lynch. Period.: faust
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 09:06:52 pm
Preferred lynch: ashersky, manda
Would be ok lynching: robz, jorbles, mcmc, morgrim
Wouldn't shed a tear over lynching: jimmmm, walrus, teproc, voltaire
No lynch: Faust, 2.7
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2013, 10:01:27 pm
As a reminder, I am starting in on my on-week at work meaning that I won't be around as much to provide vote counts/flips for the next week. Both Twistedarcher and I will do vote counts when we are available but they may be more sporadic than you have been used to thus far. I strongly encourage individually and collectively monitoring the votes during the hours that we are less available. Only counts from Twistedarcher or myself are considered official counts.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 10:04:27 pm
As a reminder, I am starting in on my on-week at work meaning that I won't be around as much to provide vote counts/flips for the next week. Both Twistedarcher and I will do vote counts when we are available but they may be more sporadic than you have been used to thus far. I strongly encourage individually and collectively monitoring the votes during the hours that we are less available. Only counts from Twistedarcher or myself are considered official counts.

Jimmmmm, time to vote Morgrim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 02, 2013, 10:21:40 pm
As a reminder, I am starting in on my on-week at work meaning that I won't be around as much to provide vote counts/flips for the next week. Both Twistedarcher and I will do vote counts when we are available but they may be more sporadic than you have been used to thus far. I strongly encourage individually and collectively monitoring the votes during the hours that we are less available. Only counts from Twistedarcher or myself are considered official counts.

Jimmmmm, time to vote Morgrim.

If Morgrim is really to be Today's lynch I will vote for him before deadline if necessary. But we definitely want faust to weigh in before then. We still have TA to provide the flip if necessary.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 10:28:07 pm
Good point on Faust.

Come on man!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2013, 10:39:52 pm
And manda. Everyone is forgetting manda.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2013, 10:43:47 pm
And manda. Everyone is forgetting manda.

Perhaps that's her nefarious plan.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 03, 2013, 06:08:27 am
Lynch ! Morgrim
Would lynch : Robz, manda, mcmcsalot
Would watch be lynched: ashersky, Jimmmmm, Jorbles
Won't lynch : Walrus, Voltaire, 2.7
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 06:11:17 am
Well, this is insane.

I can only jugde Morgrim from one game, and it isn't over yet, so I can't really share my thoughts. It is definitely possible that he is town in this situation, is all I can say. But this just screams to be lynched. I explicitly stated that the third PR should NOT claim right away, and Morgrim has not listened to that (without arguing against it), which is scummy in itself.

How much use will a Tracker be? Not much. Likely, if Morgrim is telling the truth, all our PRs are outed (we might have one more). This means he has to target the one scum that performs the night kill to be useful, and live through the night. Then still, there's lots of WFIOM because Morgrim could still be scum.

The information whether Morgrim is telling the truth might be more useful for us than his Tracker ability.

I am willing to lynch Morgrim today, but I'm not voting yet, because I'm afraid of the well-known Morgrim self-hammer, and I want everyone's opinion (manda!) on this before we enter the night.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 06:16:52 am
Someone cop me and I'll prove it to you.

Well, if Morgrim is scum, he's not a Goon.

That is not quite right. He could be scum that knows we only have two PRs, and they are both outed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 06:22:47 am
To avoid ambiguity, let me quote:
Okay, so we'll need a soft deadline. Here's the thing: As the IC, I'd like to be around for the soft deadline, but you know, this is sort of complicated with me living in Europe and all. I propose Tuesday, December 3, 2 pm forum time.
So since we are in the business of throwing out random accusations, FoS to everyone who didn't remember the soft deadline, or the real one.

I knew there was a soft deadline someone set, but I'm not subscribing to it. Let's use the time we have!

I take it you don't care whether the IC is around for the deadline?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 06:24:58 am
Popsquiz time.  I'd ask that everyone do it, given the deadline time constraints:

Lynch!  Walrus, Morgrim
Would lynch: manda, mcmc, Jorbles
Won't lynch: Robz, 2.7, Jimmmm, Voltaire, Teproc, faust

Also, everyone answer this.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 06:28:41 am
New idea.

Morgrim, if you are the Tracker, target 2.7 tonight. 2.7, target someone. Tomorrow, we can verify if Morgrim really is the Tracker. Problem solved.

So everyone, we are not lynching Morgrim today!

Also Morgrim, if you do not listen to this, prepare to be lynched tomorrow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 06:32:51 am
This plan is neat especially because it confirms both claimed PRs. It will only fail if both e and Morgrim are scum, and I don't think that's likely to happen.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 03, 2013, 06:48:21 am
Let's see. The question is how has to speak first.

1) Morgrim speaks first :

1a) Morgrim is scum and 2.7 is town : Morgrim guesses a target, 2.7 outs him if he's wrong. Note that Morgrim could be lucky. The question is what is the obvious target for 2.7 ? I don't want to discuss that too much, but I do believe this plan somewhat reduces the Bodyguard's potency in night 1.

1b) Morgrim is town and 2.7 is scum : This is the ideal situation I think. Morgrim can out 2.7 if he targeted no one, or if he targeted the night kill. Well, not really out because strrongman kill can exist. 2.7 could also be a Rolecop. If that's the case, he can also frame Morgrim by saying the result is false.

1c) Morgrim is town and 2.7 is town : That's pretty easy, but I don't think we can actually clear them because of the way the other scenarios play out.

1d) Morgrim is scum and 2.7 is scum : They can do pretty much whatever they want.


2) 2.7 speaks first :

2a) 2.7 is scum and Morgrim is town. If he's Rolecop he's fine. Even if he's not he might be JOAT and perform a strongman kill. That requires a lot of things though, so I guess that situation is pretty good because we can clear/out 2.7 probably.

2b) 2.7 is town and Morgrim is scum. Then we learn nothing, since 2.7 speaks first and Morgrim confirms.

2c) 2.7 is town and Morgrim is town.  Again, the other scenarios make it pretty hard to clear them. Like, let's say 2.7 targeted me and I didn't die, then Morgrim confirms this. We could still be in 2a, 2b or 2d.

2d) 2.7 is scum and Morgrim is scum. We learn noting

I might be wrong here, but I don't think this is a good plan at all. Morgrim speaking first seems better, but even then I don't think we can get anything conclusive about it. Have to think about it more though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 07:52:32 am
I'm thinking about a nice plan where I have them name sets of three people which include the target or something... I believe we can work something out that actually works. And anyway, the most likely cases are e is town, Morgrim is scum, or both are town. So it will pretty much have to be Morgrim who speaks first.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 09:03:07 am
New idea.

Morgrim, if you are the Tracker, target 2.7 tonight. 2.7, target someone. Tomorrow, we can verify if Morgrim really is the Tracker. Problem solved.

So everyone, we are not lynching Morgrim today!

Also Morgrim, if you do not listen to this, prepare to be lynched tomorrow.
Problem not solved.

We have the following scenarios:

When I claimed, I stated that I would bodyguard Faust.  Suppose:
1) I bodyguard Faust, scum kill Faust (or even me directly):
 -  scum!morgrim can (accurately) say that I targeted Faust.  However, I regrettably died so there is no way to confirm and that is a easy claim because I already said I would target Faust
 -  town!morgrim can actually track me and accurately  say that I targeted Faust.  But I am still dead.  No way to confirm

2) I bodyguard Faust, scum kill another townie who they perceive as a threat. (say Robz or Ash or some other vet that they see danger from) (I am not saying they I town, but for the sake of the argument say that they are)
 -  scum!morgrim says I did not target Faust.  WIFOM.  My word against his.
 -  scum!morgrim says that I did target Faust.  I verify, and scum!morgrim gains some credibility for his claim. (but not too much since that was my stated intent)
 -  town!morgrim can only say that I targeted faust, and there is a bunch of WIFOM and "who speaks first"

OR

1) I bodyguard a random player, Faust dies. 
 -  scum!morgrim claims that I am scum since I did not save Faust.  Ugh.  I don't like this.  He will have to say who I did target, but that gets into the "who speaks first" debate
 -  town!morgrim says I targeted player X, and I confirm.  Again, "who speaks first"
2) I bodyguard a random player, I die. 
 -  scum!morgrim is now in the driver's seat.  What story does he want to tell?  The story where I targeted a random VT but scum NKed him?  (least likely)  That I actually targeted Faust and scum targeted Faust?  Or that I targeted [insert name here] but the scum killed me directly.  Interesting situation, and no one quite knows what to believe
 -  town!morgrim can say who I targeted, but it makes no difference.  I can't confirm.  He could just as easily give one of the other two stories.  Basically, which story serves his purpose (staying alive as town) best
3) I bodyguard a random player, Faust and I both survive. And so does Morgrim
 -  A whole lot of WIFOM.  Then we get into Teproc's whole "who speaks first" analysis
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 09:04:45 am
New idea.

Morgrim, if you are the Tracker, target 2.7 tonight. 2.7, target someone. Tomorrow, we can verify if Morgrim really is the Tracker. Problem solved.

So everyone, we are not lynching Morgrim today!

Also Morgrim, if you do not listen to this, prepare to be lynched tomorrow.
Also, are you telling me not to target you?  I mean, I would love to live another day, but I will always be questionable town whereas you are confirmed town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 09:30:50 am
To avoid ambiguity, let me quote:
Okay, so we'll need a soft deadline. Here's the thing: As the IC, I'd like to be around for the soft deadline, but you know, this is sort of complicated with me living in Europe and all. I propose Tuesday, December 3, 2 pm forum time.
So since we are in the business of throwing out random accusations, FoS to everyone who didn't remember the soft deadline, or the real one.
The IC does not need to be around for the deadline.  He just needs to make his thoughts clear.  I do think we can throw out the soft deadline though.  There has been too much discussion to really come to a good conclusion by then.  I mean, the actual deadline is December 4 at 10 pm forum time. That means we have 36 hours to get a lynch together.  If you are taking Morgrim off the table, we will need all the time we can get.
I knew there was a soft deadline someone set, but I'm not subscribing to it. Let's use the time we have!

I take it you don't care whether the IC is around for the deadline?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 09:33:26 am
To avoid ambiguity, let me quote:
Okay, so we'll need a soft deadline. Here's the thing: As the IC, I'd like to be around for the soft deadline, but you know, this is sort of complicated with me living in Europe and all. I propose Tuesday, December 3, 2 pm forum time.
So since we are in the business of throwing out random accusations, FoS to everyone who didn't remember the soft deadline, or the real one.
The IC does not need to be around for the deadline.  He just needs to make his thoughts clear.  I do think we can throw out the soft deadline though.  There has been too much discussion to really come to a good conclusion by then.  I mean, the actual deadline is December 4 at 10 pm forum time. That means we have 36 hours to get a lynch together.  If you are taking Morgrim off the table, we will need all the time we can get.
I knew there was a soft deadline someone set, but I'm not subscribing to it. Let's use the time we have!

I take it you don't care whether the IC is around for the deadline?

oops.  I lost my comment somewhere.  I don't want to type it again so I will summarize:
1) throw out the soft deadline
 - If we take Morgrim off the table (which I do not like) we will need all the time we can get.

2) The IC does not need to be around at deadline.  He needs to make is intentions clear though
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 03, 2013, 10:39:17 am
New idea.

Morgrim, if you are the Tracker, target 2.7 tonight. 2.7, target someone. Tomorrow, we can verify if Morgrim really is the Tracker. Problem solved.

So everyone, we are not lynching Morgrim today!

Also Morgrim, if you do not listen to this, prepare to be lynched tomorrow.

Yea I think this plan has a whole lot of problems with it. I think it will also cloud day 2 with only plan discussion and we will be on day three with no more knowledge than whats going on with morg and 2.7 along with dead townies. I think it would be better to lynch morg, I can't believe he is town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 10:39:53 am
I was not thinking things through about Morgrim yesterday. I am quite fine with his lynch. If he flips town, it gives any other PRs out there more information to use in their night actions. And should he flip scum, which I now think is more likely, the same thing except we have one scum down on D1! I agree with what faust said - the wagon/interactions may matter more than his flip, which is darn useful in the first place.

As far as everyone else is concerned:

Want to lynch: morgrim
Would lynch: ash, Jorbles, Jimmmmm, Walrus, Robz
Won't lynch: myself, faust, e, Teproc, manda
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 03, 2013, 10:40:58 am
Want to lynch: Morg
Would lynch: jorbles, manda, walrus, jimmm
Won't lynch: Faust, Robz, Ash, teproc, Volt, 2.7
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 10:41:12 am
Oh, left off mcmc. Would lynch, but don't want to lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 03, 2013, 10:44:01 am
Likely, if Morgrim is telling the truth, all our PRs are outed (we might have one more).

This isn't the case we could have up to 5 PRs. We don't know what things mafia picked.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 03, 2013, 10:48:17 am
I'm thinking about a nice plan where I have them name sets of three people which include the target or something... I believe we can work something out that actually works. And anyway, the most likely cases are e is town, Morgrim is scum, or both are town. So it will pretty much have to be Morgrim who speaks first.

What if scum just kill whichever one isn't scum (probably e)? Then Morgrim comes in and says e targeted soinso, and e can't verify because he's dead.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 10:49:44 am
I'm thinking about a nice plan where I have them name sets of three people which include the target or something... I believe we can work something out that actually works. And anyway, the most likely cases are e is town, Morgrim is scum, or both are town. So it will pretty much have to be Morgrim who speaks first.

What if scum just kill whichever one isn't scum (probably e)? Then Morgrim comes in and says e targeted soinso, and e can't verify because he's dead.

Yes, the plan doesn't work. That's covered.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 11:09:34 am
I'm thinking about a nice plan where I have them name sets of three people which include the target or something... I believe we can work something out that actually works. And anyway, the most likely cases are e is town, Morgrim is scum, or both are town. So it will pretty much have to be Morgrim who speaks first.

What if scum just kill whichever one isn't scum (probably e)? Then Morgrim comes in and says e targeted soinso, and e can't verify because he's dead.

Yes, if e dies, this doesn't work obviously. Then again, if e dies, it's only our weakest PR down, so that's not too bad for us.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 11:10:31 am
Likely, if Morgrim is telling the truth, all our PRs are outed (we might have one more).

This isn't the case we could have up to 5 PRs. We don't know what things mafia picked.

Yes, but I do not believe we have 5 PRs, and you should be very sceptical about this as well.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 11:11:48 am
I was not thinking things through about Morgrim yesterday. I am quite fine with his lynch. If he flips town, it gives any other PRs out there more information to use in their night actions. And should he flip scum, which I now think is more likely, the same thing except we have one scum down on D1! I agree with what faust said - the wagon/interactions may matter more than his flip, which is darn useful in the first place.

As far as everyone else is concerned:

Want to lynch: morgrim
Would lynch: ash, Jorbles, Jimmmmm, Walrus, Robz
Won't lynch: myself, faust, e, Teproc, manda

Which town PRs do you think would profit from a town flip?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 11:14:18 am
To avoid ambiguity, let me quote:
Okay, so we'll need a soft deadline. Here's the thing: As the IC, I'd like to be around for the soft deadline, but you know, this is sort of complicated with me living in Europe and all. I propose Tuesday, December 3, 2 pm forum time.
So since we are in the business of throwing out random accusations, FoS to everyone who didn't remember the soft deadline, or the real one.
The IC does not need to be around for the deadline.  He just needs to make his thoughts clear.  I do think we can throw out the soft deadline though.  There has been too much discussion to really come to a good conclusion by then.  I mean, the actual deadline is December 4 at 10 pm forum time. That means we have 36 hours to get a lynch together.  If you are taking Morgrim off the table, we will need all the time we can get.
I knew there was a soft deadline someone set, but I'm not subscribing to it. Let's use the time we have!

I take it you don't care whether the IC is around for the deadline?

oops.  I lost my comment somewhere.  I don't want to type it again so I will summarize:
1) throw out the soft deadline
 - If we take Morgrim off the table (which I do not like) we will need all the time we can get.

2) The IC does not need to be around at deadline.  He needs to make is intentions clear though

Yes, we need all the time we can get now. But that post is from earlier, when this wasn't all that clear. And I think it's generally better to have the IC around at deadline, so they can react to last-minute events.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 11:15:40 am
New idea.

Morgrim, if you are the Tracker, target 2.7 tonight. 2.7, target someone. Tomorrow, we can verify if Morgrim really is the Tracker. Problem solved.

So everyone, we are not lynching Morgrim today!

Also Morgrim, if you do not listen to this, prepare to be lynched tomorrow.
Also, are you telling me not to target you?  I mean, I would love to live another day, but I will always be questionable town whereas you are confirmed town.

I tell you to target whoever you think is the best target, given the circumstances. That doesn't necessarily have to be me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 11:18:08 am
Which town PRs do you think would profit from a town flip?

It's Morgrim's flip specifically, if he should flip town. Because if there are any remaining town PRs out there, they probably have a scum read on Morgrim just based on what we all have posted. If Morgrim lives to tonight, what if the RB blocks Morgrim? What if the Goon Cop investigates him? What if the Vig decides to simplify things drastically and shoots him? If there's a real Tracker who's not Morgrim, they have to WIFOM if they want to track him.

Do you see what I am saying?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 11:19:39 am
To avoid ambiguity, let me quote:
Okay, so we'll need a soft deadline. Here's the thing: As the IC, I'd like to be around for the soft deadline, but you know, this is sort of complicated with me living in Europe and all. I propose Tuesday, December 3, 2 pm forum time.
So since we are in the business of throwing out random accusations, FoS to everyone who didn't remember the soft deadline, or the real one.

I knew there was a soft deadline someone set, but I'm not subscribing to it. Let's use the time we have!

I take it you don't care whether the IC is around for the deadline?

I'm not sure what you mean by this. I think we should use as much time as we need even if that means going past the soft deadline, and we definitely needed to hear from you before we lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 03, 2013, 11:21:22 am
I'm thinking about a nice plan where I have them name sets of three people which include the target or something... I believe we can work something out that actually works. And anyway, the most likely cases are e is town, Morgrim is scum, or both are town. So it will pretty much have to be Morgrim who speaks first.

What if scum just kill whichever one isn't scum (probably e)? Then Morgrim comes in and says e targeted soinso, and e can't verify because he's dead.

Yes, if e dies, this doesn't work obviously. Then again, if e dies, it's only our weakest PR down, so that's not too bad for us.

But then we have no solution to our Morgrim problem and the plan puts us back where we started.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 11:24:34 am
Faust, the plan was a very good attempt at finding an elegant solution to the problem, but I believe we just have to accept the (small) risk that Morgrim is the real Tracker and lynch him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 11:24:47 am
Which town PRs do you think would profit from a town flip?

It's Morgrim's flip specifically, if he should flip town. Because if there are any remaining town PRs out there, they probably have a scum read on Morgrim just based on what we all have posted. If Morgrim lives to tonight, what if the RB blocks Morgrim?
Same goes for any other town member. And even if Morgrim is scum, I think he's unlikely to perform the kill tonight.

Quote
What if the Goon Cop investigates him?
Then they get a Non-Goon result. Same would have happened if they investigate any town member we mislynch instead.

Quote
What if the Vig decides to simplify things drastically and shoots him?
Now, that wouldn't be too bad. Actually, if we have a vig, they should consider this.

Quote
If there's a real Tracker who's not Morgrim, they have to WIFOM if they want to track him.

Do you see what I am saying?

So no, I don't really see what you are saying, other than that a town flip of course prevents PRs from wasting their night action on a townie, which goes for any and all town flips.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 11:26:17 am
Faust, the plan was a very good attempt at finding an elegant solution to the problem, but I believe we just have to accept the (small) risk that Morgrim is the real Tracker and lynch him.

See, I don't think the risk is that small. After all, we agree that if he's not scum, he likely IS the Tracker, right? Well, there's not a whole lot of scum out there.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 11:27:41 am
faust, at this stage I think you're probably the only one who can lead a non-Morgrim lynch. If you still don't want to lynch Morgrim, who are you thinking?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 03, 2013, 11:28:16 am
Preferred lynch: ashersky
Would lynch: Robz, manda
Would reluctantly lynch: Jimmmmm, mcmc, Jorbles
Don't want to lynch: Teproc, Voltaire
No lynch: faust, Walrus, e
Don't think we should lynch despite rage: Morgrim

Does anyone have any experience with Morgrim as a PR? I thought e was scummy but I might have just been detecting his PR-ness, assuming that's true. Could Morgrim's excessive weirdness be explained that way? Really the only thing I know about him historically is his propensity for self-voting.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 11:31:08 am
Faust, the plan was a very good attempt at finding an elegant solution to the problem, but I believe we just have to accept the (small) risk that Morgrim is the real Tracker and lynch him.

See, I don't think the risk is that small. After all, we agree that if he's not scum, he likely IS the Tracker, right? Well, there's not a whole lot of scum out there.

There's three scum, and a very small lynch pool. Town knows they are town, you're an IC, e in my mind has a very believable claim (and actions), so my lynch pool (ignoring my reads!) is only 9 players, 3 of which are scum. That's before factoring in anything else. I have confidence in lynching Morgrim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 03, 2013, 11:36:05 am
Yes, no offence to you Faust, I think this is one of those situation where you are confirmed town but not confirmed right. I think Morg is our best lynch by far today.

Also note he has still done nothing to help us since his outrageous claim. Oh other than unvote himself...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 03, 2013, 11:36:53 am
When a town pr is really a town pr and claim trying to get the lynch of them, they fight. Or at least I do, morg doesn't care to help us.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 11:44:29 am
Yes, no offence to you Faust, I think this is one of those situation where you are confirmed town but not confirmed right. I think Morg is our best lynch by far today.

Also note he has still done nothing to help us since his outrageous claim. Oh other than unvote himself...

Right. He's doing very little to avoid being lynched. Whether he would try to avoid being lynched as scum or Town who knows, but you've got to think that he'd put at least some effort in if scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 11:47:36 am
Most recent Morgrim opinions. Let me know if any of this is wrong:

Voting Morgrim: Robz, mcmc, teproc, ashersky, Jorbles
Intent to vote Morgrim: Voltaire
OK to watch Morgrim lynch: 2.7, Jimmmmm(?)
Will not vote for: faust, Walrus
Who knows: Morgrim, manda

So we need manda to get back here.

Another thing to think about: if Morgrim is the traitor, scum has an incredibly risky position to take. Do they lynch Morgrim, risking they're lynching one of their own? Or do they happily lynching Morgrim, hoping they're taking out a town PR D1?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 03, 2013, 11:48:30 am
Yes, no offence to you Faust, I think this is one of those situation where you are confirmed town but not confirmed right. I think Morg is our best lynch by far today.

Also note he has still done nothing to help us since his outrageous claim. Oh other than unvote himself...

Right. He's doing very little to avoid being lynched. Whether he would try to avoid being lynched as scum or Town who knows, but you've got to think that he'd put at least some effort in if scum.

No no no no no no! We cannot continue this X is trying really hard he must be scum or Y doesn't even care hes getting lynched he can't be scum. Your town, you are obligated to try and find scum and lynch them, you are obligated to fight your own lynch. As scum you should try to do the same, but if you choose not to all you do is hurt your faction whatever that is. So if morgrim is town he is hurting town, if he is scum he is hurting town(by being scum) if we let him live he continues to hurt town, if w lynch him he stops hurting town. No amount of apathy will change that!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 11:50:47 am
When a town pr is really a town pr and claim trying to get the lynch of them, they fight. Or at least I do, morg doesn't care to help us.

If you exchange "town PR" with "scum" in the sentence above, it still works. So Morgrim not defending himself is a nulltell at best.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 11:51:05 am
Yes, no offence to you Faust, I think this is one of those situation where you are confirmed town but not confirmed right. I think Morg is our best lynch by far today.

Also note he has still done nothing to help us since his outrageous claim. Oh other than unvote himself...

Right. He's doing very little to avoid being lynched. Whether he would try to avoid being lynched as scum or Town who knows, but you've got to think that he'd put at least some effort in if scum.

No no no no no no! We cannot continue this X is trying really hard he must be scum or Y doesn't even care hes getting lynched he can't be scum. Your town, you are obligated to try and find scum and lynch them, you are obligated to fight your own lynch. As scum you should try to do the same, but if you choose not to all you do is hurt your faction whatever that is. So if morgrim is town he is hurting town, if he is scum he is hurting town(by being scum) if we let him live he continues to hurt town, if w lynch him he stops hurting town. No amount of apathy will change that!

Why? Unfortunately that's how it is sometimes. We shouldn't lynch the least helpful Town, we should lynch scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 11:53:02 am
Most recent Morgrim opinions. Let me know if any of this is wrong:

Voting Morgrim: Robz, mcmc, teproc, ashersky, Jorbles
Intent to vote Morgrim: Voltaire
OK to watch Morgrim lynch: 2.7, Jimmmmm(?)
Will not vote for: faust, Walrus
Who knows: Morgrim, manda

So we need manda to get back here.

Another thing to think about: if Morgrim is the traitor, scum has an incredibly risky position to take. Do they lynch Morgrim, risking they're lynching one of their own? Or do they happily lynching Morgrim, hoping they're taking out a town PR D1?

I want to lynch Morgrim because he's frustrating and unhelpful. But I'm loath to lynch a claimed PR who, if truthful, can potentially give us decent results.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 11:55:06 am
I want to lynch Morgrim because he's frustrating and unhelpful. But I'm loath to lynch a claimed PR who, if truthful, can potentially give us decent results.

Faust pointed out how this is unlikely:

How much use will a Tracker be? Not much. Likely, if Morgrim is telling the truth, all our PRs are outed (we might have one more). This means he has to target the one scum that performs the night kill to be useful, and live through the night. Then still, there's lots of WFIOM because Morgrim could still be scum.

The information whether Morgrim is telling the truth might be more useful for us than his Tracker ability.

and I agree with it. I also think the odds Morgrim fake-claimed ala ashersky's thinking to be extremely high.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 03, 2013, 11:56:13 am
Yes, no offence to you Faust, I think this is one of those situation where you are confirmed town but not confirmed right. I think Morg is our best lynch by far today.

Also note he has still done nothing to help us since his outrageous claim. Oh other than unvote himself...

Right. He's doing very little to avoid being lynched. Whether he would try to avoid being lynched as scum or Town who knows, but you've got to think that he'd put at least some effort in if scum.

No no no no no no! We cannot continue this X is trying really hard he must be scum or Y doesn't even care hes getting lynched he can't be scum. Your town, you are obligated to try and find scum and lynch them, you are obligated to fight your own lynch. As scum you should try to do the same, but if you choose not to all you do is hurt your faction whatever that is. So if morgrim is town he is hurting town, if he is scum he is hurting town(by being scum) if we let him live he continues to hurt town, if w lynch him he stops hurting town. No amount of apathy will change that!

Why? Unfortunately that's how it is sometimes. We shouldn't lynch the least helpful Town, we should lynch scum.

But it's D1, yes if we were close to Mylo this would be different, lynching least helpful Town D1 is not a bad lynch. It makes it easier to lynch scum later.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 11:57:28 am
Yes, no offence to you Faust, I think this is one of those situation where you are confirmed town but not confirmed right. I think Morg is our best lynch by far today.

Also note he has still done nothing to help us since his outrageous claim. Oh other than unvote himself...

Right. He's doing very little to avoid being lynched. Whether he would try to avoid being lynched as scum or Town who knows, but you've got to think that he'd put at least some effort in if scum.

No no no no no no! We cannot continue this X is trying really hard he must be scum or Y doesn't even care hes getting lynched he can't be scum. Your town, you are obligated to try and find scum and lynch them, you are obligated to fight your own lynch. As scum you should try to do the same, but if you choose not to all you do is hurt your faction whatever that is. So if morgrim is town he is hurting town, if he is scum he is hurting town(by being scum) if we let him live he continues to hurt town, if w lynch him he stops hurting town. No amount of apathy will change that!

Why? Unfortunately that's how it is sometimes. We shouldn't lynch the least helpful Town, we should lynch scum.

But it's D1, yes if we were close to Mylo this would be different, lynching least helpful Town D1 is not a bad lynch. It makes it easier to lynch scum later.

It is if that Town is a PR who can actually provide helpfulness due to his role.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 12:01:14 pm
faust, what do you want to have happen before a lynch? I'm willing to vote morgrim but that runs the risk he self-hammers. With the exception of manda, I'm fine with the day ending.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 03, 2013, 12:04:03 pm
Yes, manda's statement is the big thing. I would also like to hear from Morgrim again.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 01:17:13 pm
When a town pr is really a town pr and claim trying to get the lynch of them, they fight. Or at least I do, morg doesn't care to help us.

If you exchange "town PR" with "scum" in the sentence above, it still works. So Morgrim not defending himself is a nulltell at best.
The sentence actually does not work for Morgrim.  Because he did not claim his PR trying to get the lynch off him. (I assume mcmc meant "off" and not "of")
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 01:30:25 pm
I am also willing to vote morgrim.  After going through and analyzing some of the situations (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320953#msg320953) that might occur when not lynching either morgrim or myself, it basically ends in a whole bunch of WIFOM that will distract town from scum hunting most likely for a large portion of D2 and maybe into D3. That is scum's goal.  Detract from scum hunting. 

Manda not being around is troubling.  Like I really don't like it.  It has been 36 hours since her last post
5. Prods of missing players will be issued automatically after 24 hours of no activity (VLA posts in the official VLA thread negate automatic prods). A prodded player has 24 hours to respond or risks replacement. A player who has been prodded 3 times is subject to replacement without further notice.

Yuma, can you prod manda

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 02:03:34 pm
I don't think waiting around for manda will do anything.  Hopefully she is able to fully participate D2.  Giving her the night to do a reread is fine with me.  Hopefully we will not need a replacement overnight.  But you never know

As I mentioned my last post, I convinced myself here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320953#msg320953) that lynching Morgrim is the best option for town.  Not merely because there is chance that Morgrim flips scum, but because even if he is the tracker we will never really trust what he says.

vote: Morgrim.  This is L-1

I would like Morgrim to post more content, but if that additional content is a self-hammer, so be it.  I do not think we will learn such a significantly more amount of knowledge from him in a few posts that will make it so much better for town on coming days.

I also hope that the IC hammers, not some other person.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jorbles on December 03, 2013, 02:10:47 pm
I also hope that the IC hammers, not some other person.

Really? I hope someone else does. It's much more informative.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 02:12:53 pm
I also hope that the IC hammers, not some other person.

Really? I hope someone else does. It's much more informative.
Good point. Hammer anyone?  Voltaire expressed interest in voting
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 03, 2013, 02:17:22 pm
I'm ready for a hammer as well.

I've been mentally backing off my insistence on lynching Morgrim a little bit as I remember all those times I said, "He's just crazy, never scum." But, okay, he expects me to say that by now, doesn't it? So ultimately I think there is still just too strong a chance this was scum play... and if it wasn't scum play, this is the not a terrible lynch (we weren't going to get much out of our Tracker, anyway), and I think a decently informational Day 1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 03, 2013, 02:24:16 pm
I'm fine with Voltaire (or Jimmmm or whoever) hammering as well. manda being absent sucks but I doubt her opinion is going to suddenly sway everyone.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 02:25:43 pm
Another thing: IC said I could bodyguard anyone I think is a good target.

I already gave Robz a D2 pass, so bodyguarding him would be straight up favoritism.  Anyone else want to make a pitch as to why they should be guaranteed to survive N1?





(before anyone goes ballistic, the D2 pass for Robz was a joke.  Thought I should clear that up)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 03, 2013, 02:39:00 pm
Another thing: IC said I could bodyguard anyone I think is a good target.

I already gave Robz a D2 pass, so bodyguarding him would be straight up favoritism.  Anyone else want to make a pitch as to why they should be guaranteed to survive N1?





(before anyone goes ballistic, the D2 pass for Robz was a joke.  Thought I should clear that up)

I'll make a pitch to hope NOONE makes a pitch and publicly causes you to make a decision that is not 100% your own and guessable by scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 02:41:35 pm
Another thing: IC said I could bodyguard anyone I think is a good target.

I already gave Robz a D2 pass, so bodyguarding him would be straight up favoritism.  Anyone else want to make a pitch as to why they should be guaranteed to survive N1?

If I were you I'd protect faust. I don't think you should broadcast what you're going to do, but I would like the IC to survive to Day 2.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 02:47:35 pm
We've got, what, 31 hours before deadline. I'll hammer to avoid a no-lynch but not otherwise.

faust, if you want to call for a different, non-claimed-PR lynch, you had better do it quickly.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 02:48:56 pm
I think this is clearly the best move. We've hashed this out enough. vote: Morgrim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 02:49:53 pm
Well there you go. I guess lynching claimed PRs is kind of what we do here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 02:50:57 pm
Well there you go. I guess lynching claimed PRs is kind of what we do here.

This exact situation is the 1% of the time I'm willing to do that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 03, 2013, 02:51:38 pm
Well there you go. I guess lynching claimed PRs is kind of what we do here.

Unconfirmable, unprovoked, D1 claims...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 02:52:16 pm
Well there you go. I guess lynching claimed PRs is kind of what we do here.

Unconfirmable, unprovoked, D1 claims...

Exactly.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 02:52:37 pm
None of yuma, Twisted or Morgrim are online, so we could be waiting a while for a flip.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 02:54:08 pm
If Morgrim actually flips scum I will thank you and admit you've done the right thing. Unfortunately I don't think that's going to happen.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 02:55:09 pm
If Morgrim actually flips scum I will thank you and admit you've done the right thing. Unfortunately I don't think that's going to happen.

Well, I clearly disagree.  :P
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 03, 2013, 03:17:07 pm
Robz not screaming at the top of his lungs that vigs shouldn't shoot N1 if it exists?  Scum!robz.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 03, 2013, 03:18:09 pm
I also agree with Volt, obviously, that this was the right move.

I think we're in good shape for tomorrow.

I second mcmc that no one else should try to convince 2.7 on a target.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 03:18:47 pm
Robz not screaming at the top of his lungs that vigs shouldn't shoot N1 if it exists?  Scum!robz.

No. He didn't do that in WWTWDP and he was town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 03, 2013, 03:19:55 pm
Robz not screaming at the top of his lungs that vigs shouldn't shoot N1 if it exists?  Scum!robz.

No. He didn't do that in WWTWDP and he was town.

Huh.  Was he the vig?

Maybe he's changed his mind?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 03:21:13 pm
Robz not screaming at the top of his lungs that vigs shouldn't shoot N1 if it exists?  Scum!robz.

No. He didn't do that in WWTWDP and he was town.

Huh.  Was he the vig?

Maybe he's changed his mind?

Are you rolefishing? Because it really looks like you're rolefishing.

He was not the Vig, btw. I was scum, and my team thought he was the Vig because of it.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 03, 2013, 03:23:02 pm
Robz not screaming at the top of his lungs that vigs shouldn't shoot N1 if it exists?  Scum!robz.

No. He didn't do that in WWTWDP and he was town.

Huh.  Was he the vig?

Maybe he's changed his mind?

Are you rolefishing? Because it really looks like you're rolefishing.

He was not the Vig, btw. I was scum, and my team thought he was the Vig because of it.

Fishing for what?  I agree with Faust, we are likely out of PRs.

I woke up to twilight, just trying to get everything out there that comes to mind before a lock.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 03:23:42 pm
No, I am the one rolefishing asking people to give reasons why I should bodyguard them.

c'mon guys, you really think I would take someone's advice?  It would really just be one more thing down on record about them that we can consider. 

well, hopefully WE can consider.  Some of us will be considering things at least.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 03, 2013, 03:25:42 pm
No, I am the one rolefishing asking people to give reasons why I should bodyguard them.

c'mon guys, you really think I would take someone's advice?  It would really just be one more thing down on record about them that we can consider. 

well, hopefully WE can consider.  Some of us will be considering things at least.

You don't see the problem with this?  A PR may be more likely to ask for protection seems to be your premise.  If true, that's terrible for us.  So you aren't helping.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 03:26:17 pm
Fishing for what?  I agree with Faust, we are likely out of PRs.

I woke up to twilight, just trying to get everything out there that comes to mind before a lock.

We don't know we're out of PRs at all. It is likely we are, but we do not know that.

It really looks like you were trying to out Robz as more likely to be the Vig. I can't envision a scenario where that makes sense unless you're the Traitor, so I really want that Morgrim flip more now.

PPE: e wtf?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 03, 2013, 03:27:03 pm
Ugh. Everyone shut up and let's wait for the flip.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 03, 2013, 03:30:00 pm
Ugh. Everyone shut up and let's wait for the flip.

Yeah, no.

I was calling out Robz (half jokingly) for not jumping up and down about what a vig should do.  He and I are opposed on the matter.  Especially if we lynched scum today, I think shooting is the right move.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 03, 2013, 03:51:25 pm
No, I am the one rolefishing asking people to give reasons why I should bodyguard them.

c'mon guys, you really think I would take someone's advice?  It would really just be one more thing down on record about them that we can consider. 

well, hopefully WE can consider.  Some of us will be considering things at least.

You don't see the problem with this?  A PR may be more likely to ask for protection seems to be your premise.  If true, that's terrible for us.  So you aren't helping.
Ok.  That a PR would ask for my protection was not my original thought.  It was kind of an add-on when I saw the post about role-fishing.  My original thought was primarily just to get some reactions and see what happened.  I was not being all that serious.  If someone actually responded (which I doubted) we may have been able to learn something which would have been cool.  I didn't have very high expectations for serious responses.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 03, 2013, 04:02:40 pm
Most recent Morgrim opinions. Let me know if any of this is wrong:

Voting Morgrim: Robz, mcmc, teproc, ashersky, Jorbles
Intent to vote Morgrim: Voltaire
OK to watch Morgrim lynch: 2.7, Jimmmmm(?)
Will not vote for: faust, Walrus
Who knows: Morgrim, manda

So we need manda to get back here.

Another thing to think about: if Morgrim is the traitor, scum has an incredibly risky position to take. Do they lynch Morgrim, risking they're lynching one of their own? Or do they happily lynching Morgrim, hoping they're taking out a town PR D1?

This will be very important/useful tomorrow for wagon anaylsis.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 03, 2013, 04:05:33 pm
This:

I want to lynch Morgrim because he's frustrating and unhelpful. But I'm loath to lynch a claimed PR who, if truthful, can potentially give us decent results.

Plus this:

Well there you go. I guess lynching claimed PRs is kind of what we do here.

= noticable hesitation while still wanting to see willing to go with the lynch.  Scum afraid of lynching the Traitor?  Scum not wanting to look like he's taking the easy lynch option?  Town truly hesitant?

(FWIW, I do believe Jimmmmm's beliefs about how the game works matches up with his hesitation, so I see town!Jimmmmm as likely to exist in this situation as scum!Jimmmm.  I just noticed this on catch-up re-read and felt it bore mentioning.)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Robz888 on December 03, 2013, 04:20:07 pm
Ash, I had similar thoughts about Jimm, but I think they are best explored Day 2. Well, we need the flip for one thing. For another, I don't want to clue scum in to who they should shoot based on where my suspicions currently lie.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 03, 2013, 04:44:29 pm
This:

I want to lynch Morgrim because he's frustrating and unhelpful. But I'm loath to lynch a claimed PR who, if truthful, can potentially give us decent results.

Plus this:

Well there you go. I guess lynching claimed PRs is kind of what we do here.

= noticable hesitation while still wanting to see willing to go with the lynch.  Scum afraid of lynching the Traitor?  Scum not wanting to look like he's taking the easy lynch option?  Town truly hesitant?

(FWIW, I do believe Jimmmmm's beliefs about how the game works matches up with his hesitation, so I see town!Jimmmmm as likely to exist in this situation as scum!Jimmmm.  I just noticed this on catch-up re-read and felt it bore mentioning.)

I was never willing to go with the lynch at any time after the claim. I wanted to vote for Morgrim from an emotional, policy vote point of view because he was being frustratingly unhelpful, but I never wanted to vote for him from a wanting to win the game point of view. The second quote was resigned sarcasm.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: yuma on December 03, 2013, 07:30:11 pm
Final Day1 Vote Count

ashersky (1): Walrus
Jorbles (1): manda
manda (1): Jimmmmm
Morgrim (7): Robz, mcmc, teproc, ashersky, Jorbles, 2.7, Voltaire

Not Voting (2): faust, Morgrim

The guests spent the first hour exploring the edible candy garden. They were fascinated by how everything was edible. The grass was edible, the trees were edible, the benches were edible. Even the birds and the worms were edible (raw!) And everything tasted like candy.

Morgrim (Sophie, from The BFG) suddenly declared... I wonder if I am edible and took a bite out of her arm.

"Gah! That is horrible!" cried the other guests. "Only someone who ate from the chocobad pile would be capable of something so bad! He must be one of the bad guests who ate the candy and must be punished!"

"Quick remove him from the premises if you think he is bad," cried Willy Wonka. "I won't have thievery in my factory!"

The guests quickly assembled a mob and pushed Morgrim into the Chocolate River. He was then sucked up and taken away by a giant robot vacuum.

"Where will it take him?" asked a guest.

"To the garbage dump where all the bad guests must go," Willy replied.

As Morgrim disappeared someone noticed a wrapper on the ground. The guest picked it up and read "chocosneaky"... Morgrim (Sophie from the BFG) the Town Tracker  has been removed from the Chocolate Factory.

Night1 Starts Now!
Thread Locked


Night will last for 48 hours and will end December 5 at 7:30 pm forum time. All players must PM me and TA to confirm the start of night.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: yuma on December 04, 2013, 08:25:35 am
As a reminder, ALL PLAYERS must send me and TA a PM acknowledging the start of night. We have only received a couple so far and want to make sure that everyone is aware of this rule. Failing to do so by 7:30 pm forum time tonight may start the process of finding a replacement for you as day2 cannot start until all players have checked in.

Thread still locked
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: yuma on December 05, 2013, 07:42:17 pm
The guests then pilled into Willy Wonka's fabulous gondolier. It was edible as well. The guests and Willy floated on the Chocolate River and sipped casually from the cups dipped into the chocolate. The chocolate was rich and creamy. But alas! One guest seemed to have an adverse reaction to the chocolate. Jorbles, The Big Friendly Giant (from the BFG), Vanilla Townie had an allergic reaction to some peppermint a bad guest had put into his cup. He had to be escorted to the gates and receive medical attention.

Day2 Starts Now!
Thread Unlocked
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: yuma on December 05, 2013, 07:42:28 pm
Vote Count 2.1

Not Voting (10): faust, ashersky, Robz, Walrus, Jimmmmm, Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7, Voltaire

With 10 alive it takes 6 to lynch.
Day2 will end December 15 at 6:00 pm forum time.

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 07:59:50 pm
Well I hate to say I told you so.

I see Jorbles was Town though. Seems a strange kill.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 05, 2013, 09:08:50 pm
Well I hate to say I told you so.

I see Jorbles was Town though. Seems a strange kill.

 Jimm has said almost this exact same thing in a prior game, I believe he got some flak for it but I can't remember his alignment.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 09:14:11 pm
Well I hate to say I told you so.

I see Jorbles was Town though. Seems a strange kill.

 Jimm has said almost this exact same thing in a prior game, I believe he got some flak for it but I can't remember his alignment.

Hmm. Can you remember which game it was? I can see where you're coming from. I'm still a bit annoyed that we lynched our Tracker on Day 1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:00:34 pm
I do find it strange that scum would kill a person who had a D1 wagon on them. I need to go back and reread jorbles to see what he said to cause that kill.

Also, unfortunate that morgrim was in fact the tracker. I guess he won't be able to confirm that I bodyguarded or IC Faust last night.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:18:23 pm
People jorbles discuss as scummy: me, ashersky (post bodyguard claim), and manda for her vote on him

Most of the time he was targeting me, or defending himself. I would say that jorbles was one of the top people (if not the top person) who suspected me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:19:34 pm
I would say that jorbles was one of the top people (if not the top person) who suspected me.

inb4?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:19:44 pm
Well I hate to say I told you so.

I see Jorbles was Town though. Seems a strange kill.

 Jimm has said almost this exact same thing in a prior game, I believe he got some flak for it but I can't remember his alignment.

Hmm. Can you remember which game it was? I can see where you're coming from. I'm still a bit annoyed that we lynched our Tracker on Day 1.
I am still annoyed that he claimed before he could even real one person.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:20:13 pm
Well I hate to say I told you so.

I see Jorbles was Town though. Seems a strange kill.

 Jimm has said almost this exact same thing in a prior game, I believe he got some flak for it but I can't remember his alignment.

Hmm. Can you remember which game it was? I can see where you're coming from. I'm still a bit annoyed that we lynched our Tracker on Day 1.
I am still annoyed that he claimed before he could even real one person.

Yes of course, he is one of the people I'm annoyed at.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:21:09 pm
Well I hate to say I told you so.

I see Jorbles was Town though. Seems a strange kill.

 Jimm has said almost this exact same thing in a prior game, I believe he got some flak for it but I can't remember his alignment.

Hmm. Can you remember which game it was? I can see where you're coming from. I'm still a bit annoyed that we lynched our Tracker on Day 1.
I am still annoyed that he claimed before he could even track one person.
ugh auto correct.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:24:01 pm
First of all: boo Morgrim.  Dude.  Come on.

Second of all: Jorbles?  Did he breadcrumb something that would have drawn an NK?  I have very little recollection of Jorbles's play.  Time to re-read!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 05, 2013, 10:24:36 pm
Trying to make sense of the Jorbles kill, it reminds me of the Robz kill in GoT, ie I think it's scum PR hunting.

I'm not sure what this means as far as 2.7 goes yet. WIFOM, WIFOM everywhere.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 05, 2013, 10:25:54 pm
Well the obvious thing about Jorbles is the semi-random wagon that ran up at the end of D1. Here's the question: does the NK suggest that scum is more likely to be on or off that wagon?

I'm not sure. Well naturally my personal inclination is that scum would more likely be on, because I was off wagon. In fact I made a point of saying that I felt like we were heading towards a mislynch. My egocentric concern is that scum will use that fact to accuse me of defending "known" town to win towncred, to butter me up for a mislynch. Especially because I also opposed the Morgrim lynch, which was a mislynch for reals. But that could be improbable and self-centered. I'm not sure if anyone else came out as strongly against the wagon as I did...I remember Jimmmmm saying it was "interesting" how quickly the focus of the wagon had shifted.

You might think that scum would want to be off-wagon, because why would you want to lynch a townie? But I think that's too "first-order" for f.ds, and you'd be more likely to see the opposite. But of course it's entirely possible they're playing "third-order" or "(2n+1)th-order", so it's by no means a sure thing. Part of my reasoning is based on my own personal perspective. But really the point is there could be clues surrounding this wagon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:27:26 pm
I'm not sure if anyone else came out as strongly against the wagon as I did...I remember Jimmmmm saying it was "interesting" how quickly the focus of the wagon had shifted.

I'm not sure if you're implying something by this, but if you recall, I started the Jorbles wagon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:28:00 pm
I think we need to look at Walrus, given the Jorbles NK.

He was off wagon there, and he even went to the point of saying it felt like we were heading towards a mislynch.  That's easily just scum defending "known" town to win towncred.  Walrus also opposed the Morgrim lynch.  I'm not sure that anyone came out as strongly against the wagon as he did.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 05, 2013, 10:29:51 pm
vote: ashersky

Tell me I didn't just call that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:30:03 pm
Walrus also opposed the Morgrim lynch.  I'm not sure that anyone came out as strongly against the wagon as he did.

Was he stronger than me? I don't recall.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:31:06 pm
I think we need to look at Walrus, given the Jorbles NK.

He was off wagon there, and he even went to the point of saying it felt like we were heading towards a mislynch.  That's easily just scum defending "known" town to win towncred.  Walrus also opposed the Morgrim lynch.  I'm not sure that anyone came out as strongly against the wagon as he did.
funny how he just said all of that right before you did. He was clearly anticipating this angle. Prepared for it overnight because (as scum) he knew jorbles would die?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:31:57 pm
vote: ashersky

Tell me I didn't just call that.

I think we need to look at Walrus, given the Jorbles NK.

He was off wagon there, and he even went to the point of saying it felt like we were heading towards a mislynch.  That's easily just scum defending "known" town to win towncred.  Walrus also opposed the Morgrim lynch.  I'm not sure that anyone came out as strongly against the wagon as he did.
funny how he just said all of that right before you did. He was clearly anticipating this angle. Prepared for it overnight because (as scum) he knew jorbles would die?

Are you two both being intentionally thick?  I mean, fucking read, people.  Go, read what Walrus wrote.  Then read what I wrote.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:35:05 pm
vote: ashersky

Tell me I didn't just call that.
ashersky was one of my D1 scumreads as well. The only thing I am concerned about regarding ash is that he was the only other person jorbles suspected other than me. (Not counting manda) so my question: does scum!ash NK a person who suspected him because he thought we would WIFOM ourselves out of lynching him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:37:50 pm
Well naturally my personal inclination is that scum would more likely be on, because I was off wagon. In fact I made a point of saying that I felt like we were heading towards a mislynch. My egocentric concern is that scum will use that fact to accuse me of defending "known" town to win towncred, to butter me up for a mislynch. Especially because I also opposed the Morgrim lynch, which was a mislynch for reals. I'm not sure if anyone else came out as strongly against the wagon as I did

I think we need to look at Walrus, given the Jorbles NK.

He was off wagon there, and he even went to the point of saying it felt like we were heading towards a mislynch.  That's easily just scum defending "known" town to win towncred.  Walrus also opposed the Morgrim lynch.  I'm not sure that anyone came out as strongly against the wagon as he did.

Oh haha ok.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:38:37 pm
Are you two both being intentionally thick?  I mean, fucking read, people.  Go, read what Walrus wrote.  Then read what I wrote.

In other news, this seems an overreaction.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:40:04 pm
Are you two both being intentionally thick?  I mean, fucking read, people.  Go, read what Walrus wrote.  Then read what I wrote.

In other news, this seems an overreaction.

Possibly.  I was just really gobsmacked that the joke resulted in a vote and a "must be scum cooking shit up in his QT!" accusation.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 05, 2013, 10:41:35 pm
I think it's amazing that I was able to predict it so accurately. As soon as I saw the NK that's what my brain screamed at me. You know, I didn't know if I should post it to be honest, because I felt like it would just look weird and paranoid. But I am of the mind that it's better to post your thoughts even if they're kind of crazy.

And I'm glad I did. Not so crazy at all.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:41:50 pm
Well naturally my personal inclination is that scum would more likely be on, because I was off wagon. In fact I made a point of saying that I felt like we were heading towards a mislynch. My egocentric concern is that scum will use that fact to accuse me of defending "known" town to win towncred, to butter me up for a mislynch. Especially because I also opposed the Morgrim lynch, which was a mislynch for reals. I'm not sure if anyone else came out as strongly against the wagon as I did

I think we need to look at Walrus, given the Jorbles NK.

He was off wagon there, and he even went to the point of saying it felt like we were heading towards a mislynch.  That's easily just scum defending "known" town to win towncred.  Walrus also opposed the Morgrim lynch.  I'm not sure that anyone came out as strongly against the wagon as he did.

Oh haha ok.
they look pretty similar to me. Please explain how they are different. I am to thick to get it.

PPE: I didn't like the vote either.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:42:04 pm
Are you two both being intentionally thick?  I mean, fucking read, people.  Go, read what Walrus wrote.  Then read what I wrote.

In other news, this seems an overreaction.

Possibly.  I was just really gobsmacked that the joke resulted in a vote and a "must be scum cooking shit up in his QT!" accusation.

I must admit it took me quite a while to realise what was going on. I initially pulled up the quotes to inform you exactly what they were talking about.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:43:47 pm
Hey people: It was a joke! ashersky was joking. We here at f.ds do that sometimes. Maybe it was scummy joking, I don't know. We do that too. But it was a joke.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:44:57 pm
they look pretty similar to me. Please explain how they are different. I am to thick to get it.

PPE: I didn't like the vote either.
[/quote]

That's the point.  I literally copied his text and changed it so it was about Walrus and not written by Walrus.  I thought it was funny.

Obviously it was, instead, me being ridiculously stupid and falling right into Walrus's trap to catch stupid scum that say stupid things right after town predicts scum will say it because scum is stupidface and says things that will obviously make them clearly stupidscum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:46:22 pm
Oh. Joking. Like what I did a lot on D1 and it got me in trouble. I SEE NO SCUM READ FROM PEOPLE JOKING.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:46:37 pm
Obviously it was, instead, me being ridiculously stupid and falling right into Walrus's trap to catch stupid scum that say stupid things right after town predicts scum will say it because scum is stupidface and says things that will obviously make them clearly stupidscum.

Obviously. Gosh that Walrus is witty, he sure outsmarted you!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 05, 2013, 10:46:55 pm
Oh...

:-[
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:47:32 pm
Oh. Joking. Like what I did a lot on D1 and it got me in trouble. I SEE NO SCUM READ FROM PEOPLE JOKING.
yeah, I was a little slow on that joke though. Thanks for explaining it
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:48:19 pm
Obviously it was, instead, me being ridiculously stupid and falling right into Walrus's trap to catch stupid scum that say stupid things right after town predicts scum will say it because scum is stupidface and says things that will obviously make them clearly stupidscum.

Obviously. Gosh that Walrus is witty, he sure outsmarted you!

You can't say "gosh" in Australian.  Doesn't work.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:51:33 pm
Obviously it was, instead, me being ridiculously stupid and falling right into Walrus's trap to catch stupid scum that say stupid things right after town predicts scum will say it because scum is stupidface and says things that will obviously make them clearly stupidscum.

Obviously. Gosh that Walrus is witty, he sure outsmarted you!

You can't say "gosh" in Australian.  Doesn't work.

I find that when I'm trying to sound dumb I automatically put on an American accent. Maybe a redneck accent, not sure. I don't know if gosh is more acceptable in that case, but I wouldn't say it when speaking normally.

No offense to Americans or anyone else by the way. I was not at all implying that Walrus or e were dumb.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 05, 2013, 10:53:06 pm
Goddamn it. unvote

I'm going to have sex and eat spaghetti.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:53:55 pm
Final Day1 Vote Count

Morgrim (7): Robz, mcmc, teproc, ashersky, Jorbles, 2.7, Voltaire

Moving on.

Wagon analysis!  7 on wagon, Jorbles was town.

We have six others on wagon.  How many scum rode the known (to them) mislynch of a PR?  2?  Hilariously, if the traitor isn't recruited, they don't know if they are on wagon together or not.

Off-wagon: Walrus, manda, Jimmmmm, faust, Morgrim

At least one scum was off-wagon, I'd say.  Mathematically, easier to hit scum off-wagon today, I suppose,from an outsider's perspective, but from my own, up to 2 out of 4 on wagon with me were scum, so that's slightly higher chances there.

Anyone else with some wagon analysis?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:54:06 pm
I'm going to have sex and eat spaghetti.

In that order?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:55:27 pm
Obviously it was, instead, me being ridiculously stupid and falling right into Walrus's trap to catch stupid scum that say stupid things right after town predicts scum will say it because scum is stupidface and says things that will obviously make them clearly stupidscum.

Obviously. Gosh that Walrus is witty, he sure outsmarted you!

You can't say "gosh" in Australian.  Doesn't work.

I find that when I'm trying to sound dumb I automatically put on an American accent. Maybe a redneck accent, not sure. I don't know if gosh is more acceptable in that case, but I wouldn't say it when speaking normally.

No offense to Americans or anyone else by the way. I was not at all implying that Walrus or e were dumb.
living in the American southeast for the past 8 years (high school and college) and knowing a few remarks myself, I would say a redneck accent is about right.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:56:59 pm
Obviously it was, instead, me being ridiculously stupid and falling right into Walrus's trap to catch stupid scum that say stupid things right after town predicts scum will say it because scum is stupidface and says things that will obviously make them clearly stupidscum.

Obviously. Gosh that Walrus is witty, he sure outsmarted you!

You can't say "gosh" in Australian.  Doesn't work.

I find that when I'm trying to sound dumb I automatically put on an American accent. Maybe a redneck accent, not sure. I don't know if gosh is more acceptable in that case, but I wouldn't say it when speaking normally.

No offense to Americans or anyone else by the way. I was not at all implying that Walrus or e were dumb.
living in the American southeast for the past 8 years (high school and college) and knowing a few rednecks myself, I would say a redneck accent is about right.
stupid auto correct on my kindle. I am going to bed now before I misstype anything else.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:57:48 pm
Post Count:

Voltaire - 81
Walrus - 28
Robz - 76
Jimmmm - 104
ashersky - 107
faust - 66
Jorbles - 43
manda - 20
Teproc - 53
morgrim - 32
2.7 - 99
mcmcsalot - 47
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 10:58:44 pm
Walrus at 28 seems really low.  I guess he was really inactive on D1 (comparatively). 

Manda needs to step it up.  Everyone else is basically fine.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 10:59:05 pm
At least one scum was off-wagon, I'd say.  Mathematically, easier to hit scum off-wagon today, I suppose,from an outsider's perspective, but from my own, up to 2 out of 4 on wagon with me were scum, so that's slightly higher chances there.

I disagree with this in principal and also with your maths. If we assume that there are 2 scum on-wagon and 1 off, then there are 2 of 6 on and 1 of 3 off, which are equal chances. I also disagree with assuming anything about how scum would distribute themselves.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 10:59:37 pm
Post Count:

Voltaire - 81
Walrus - 28
Robz - 76
Jimmmm - 104
ashersky - 107
faust - 66
Jorbles - 43
manda - 20
Teproc - 53
morgrim - 32
2.7 - 99
mcmcsalot - 47
that post count is skewed because of all the v/la though. Manda is the only one I really think is to note from D1, because she went missing at the end.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 11:01:00 pm
I also don't like the idea of marketing the lynch pool so soon. Let's see what our IC had to say before we do anything like that
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 11:01:57 pm
At least one scum was off-wagon, I'd say.  Mathematically, easier to hit scum off-wagon today, I suppose,from an outsider's perspective, but from my own, up to 2 out of 4 on wagon with me were scum, so that's slightly higher chances there.

I disagree with this in principal and also with your maths. If we assume that there are 2 scum on-wagon and 1 off, then there are 2 of 6 on and 1 of 3 off, which are equal chances. I also disagree with assuming anything about how scum would distribute themselves.

That's fine, but it is valid analysis either way.  I tend to believe that scum teams are very cognizant of whether they are on/off wagon together, and also of doing NKs on/off wagon.

Harry Potter is a great example of scum shooting themselves in the foot by kill on-wagon on N1.

Here, does scum really kill on-wagon and reduce that pool by one if they are mostly there?  WIFOM, sure, but man, you have to consider it.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 05, 2013, 11:02:34 pm
I also don't like the idea of narrowing the lynch pool so soon. Let's see what our IC had to say before we do anything like that
last post. I need to reread every post for autocorrects before every post I guess
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 11:02:56 pm
I also don't like the idea of marketing the lynch pool so soon. Let's see what our IC had to say before we do anything like that

Marketing?  Auto-correct?

I'm just trying to get some scum hunting going based on what I see as a whole lot more data to study.  Wagons, flips, that's what we want and need to make determinations.  This should get discussion going, not get someone lynched in the next hour.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 11:05:13 pm
At least one scum was off-wagon, I'd say.  Mathematically, easier to hit scum off-wagon today, I suppose,from an outsider's perspective, but from my own, up to 2 out of 4 on wagon with me were scum, so that's slightly higher chances there.

I disagree with this in principal and also with your maths. If we assume that there are 2 scum on-wagon and 1 off, then there are 2 of 6 on and 1 of 3 off, which are equal chances. I also disagree with assuming anything about how scum would distribute themselves.

That's fine, but it is valid analysis either way.  I tend to believe that scum teams are very cognizant of whether they are on/off wagon together, and also of doing NKs on/off wagon.

Harry Potter is a great example of scum shooting themselves in the foot by kill on-wagon on N1.

Here, does scum really kill on-wagon and reduce that pool by one if they are mostly there?  WIFOM, sure, but man, you have to consider it.

I remember a scumteam - in fact I think it was RMM9, with you on it - deliberately planning to all either be on-wagon or off-wagon together, because people wouldn't expect that. Have you forgotten this, or are you choosing not to remember it?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 11:09:17 pm
At least one scum was off-wagon, I'd say.  Mathematically, easier to hit scum off-wagon today, I suppose,from an outsider's perspective, but from my own, up to 2 out of 4 on wagon with me were scum, so that's slightly higher chances there.

I disagree with this in principal and also with your maths. If we assume that there are 2 scum on-wagon and 1 off, then there are 2 of 6 on and 1 of 3 off, which are equal chances. I also disagree with assuming anything about how scum would distribute themselves.

That's fine, but it is valid analysis either way.  I tend to believe that scum teams are very cognizant of whether they are on/off wagon together, and also of doing NKs on/off wagon.

Harry Potter is a great example of scum shooting themselves in the foot by kill on-wagon on N1.

Here, does scum really kill on-wagon and reduce that pool by one if they are mostly there?  WIFOM, sure, but man, you have to consider it.

I remember a scumteam - in fact I think it was RMM9, with you on it - deliberately planning to all either be on-wagon or off-wagon together, because people wouldn't expect that. Have you forgotten this, or are you choosing not to remember it?

Yep, the ninth non-mod post in the Mafia QT (http://www.quicktopic.com/50/H/XjBeXRhkgk3):

"Another thing, I think it'd be great if we were all on or off lynch wagon on D1. Wagon analysis invariably turns to were they on or off, and usually falls on a split. If we are all together, it helps survive later in the game. "

And you're trying to make us assume how scum will split between on- and off-wagon?

Vote: ashersky
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 11:29:45 pm
At least one scum was off-wagon, I'd say.  Mathematically, easier to hit scum off-wagon today, I suppose,from an outsider's perspective, but from my own, up to 2 out of 4 on wagon with me were scum, so that's slightly higher chances there.

I disagree with this in principal and also with your maths. If we assume that there are 2 scum on-wagon and 1 off, then there are 2 of 6 on and 1 of 3 off, which are equal chances. I also disagree with assuming anything about how scum would distribute themselves.

That's fine, but it is valid analysis either way.  I tend to believe that scum teams are very cognizant of whether they are on/off wagon together, and also of doing NKs on/off wagon.

Harry Potter is a great example of scum shooting themselves in the foot by kill on-wagon on N1.

Here, does scum really kill on-wagon and reduce that pool by one if they are mostly there?  WIFOM, sure, but man, you have to consider it.

I remember a scumteam - in fact I think it was RMM9, with you on it - deliberately planning to all either be on-wagon or off-wagon together, because people wouldn't expect that. Have you forgotten this, or are you choosing not to remember it?

Yep, the ninth non-mod post in the Mafia QT (http://www.quicktopic.com/50/H/XjBeXRhkgk3):

"Another thing, I think it'd be great if we were all on or off lynch wagon on D1. Wagon analysis invariably turns to were they on or off, and usually falls on a split. If we are all together, it helps survive later in the game. "

And you're trying to make us assume how scum will split between on- and off-wagon?

Vote: ashersky

If I was trying to keep people from thinking about it, I wouldn't have starting talking about it, would I?

Of course I remember that QT, and that planning.  Didn't work out, though.  Brilliant idea at the time, but was there for everyone who ever read the QT to see, and so I'd say pretty stupid to emulate now.

Are you waiting for me to pull something straight from my Mean Girls performance, too?

Shall I go copy and paste things from LOTR1 and match them up with things you do here?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 11:31:18 pm
Also, you just proved MY point.  We have to analyze the wagons.  We have to decide if scum is more likely on or off.

You also forgot to take into account something key -- the scum team can't plan to be all together because one of them is scum all by his/her lonesome.

It is impossible for them to plan to be on/off wagon together, unless they recruited.

I think this makes you more likely to be town, though, since I don't think scum would make that mistake.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 11:33:05 pm
Shall I go copy and paste things from LOTR1 and match them up with things you do here?

Be my guest. For someone who is all about people's metas which are all about past performances, you seem really offended that I've brought up one of yours.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 05, 2013, 11:34:41 pm
Shall I go copy and paste things from LOTR1 and match them up with things you do here?

Be my guest. For someone who is all about people's metas which are all about past performances, you seem really offended that I've brought up one of yours.

I'm honored you memorized my play.

I'm annoyed that you think I would repeat something so blatantly, and from such a recent scum game.  You really do think I'm an idiot.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 11:39:24 pm
Also, you just proved MY point.  We have to analyze the wagons.  We have to decide if scum is more likely on or off.

Your point was that there was probably 2 scum on, 1 off. My first point is that no you can't assume this. My bigger point is that you should know better than that.

Quote
You also forgot to take into account something key -- the scum team can't plan to be all together because one of them is scum all by his/her lonesome.

It is impossible for them to plan to be on/off wagon together, unless they recruited.

You know for a fact that they didn't?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 11:40:38 pm
I'm annoyed that you think I would repeat something so blatantly, and from such a recent scum game.  You really do think I'm an idiot.

This is that old "Your play makes no sense as Town." "But it makes no sense as scum either!" fallacy. It doesn't work.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 05, 2013, 11:43:49 pm
In other news, manda was posting in this thread, and now is not.

manda, say something!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:04:33 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 06, 2013, 12:07:15 am
Post Count:

Voltaire - 81
Walrus - 28
Robz - 76
Jimmmm - 104
ashersky - 107
faust - 66
Jorbles - 43
manda - 20
Teproc - 53
morgrim - 32
2.7 - 99
mcmcsalot - 47
that post count is skewed because of all the v/la though. Manda is the only one I really think is to note from D1, because she went missing at the end.

I'm here! First I want to apologize for basically disappearing at the end of D1... school+work got super crazy (finals next week, papers due, etc.), and honestly in the midst of everything it didn't occur to me to come on and get my 2 cents in until it was too late. I know I said in pre-game that I wouldn't be very active until after school got out but I don't think I realized just how hectic it would be. Only one more week though, and then I'll have time to play a little more faithfully....

Anyway!

Well the obvious thing about Jorbles is the semi-random wagon that ran up at the end of D1. Here's the question: does the NK suggest that scum is more likely to be on or off that wagon?

I think this is an interesting question. Obviously I was on the wagon, for (real life and in-game) reasons I think were justified--there was little enough information to go on that I was comfortable with a random lynch that would provide more information, and I knew that I wouldn't have time to commit to any serious analysis. However, the fact that he got NK'd definitely adds a new dimension to that wagon. So the question is: What about Jorbles' play D1 would invite a lynch?

My first thought was that perhaps scum is trying to find PRs and eliminate them from play, but I looked over Jorbles' D1 posts and I didn't see anything that sounded particularly like breadcrumbing, or even an unintentional implication of a PR. My second thought was that he got too close in his votes/analyses (2.7 & Ash)--if this is the justification for a lynch, it makes more sense that scum would be on wagon.... Better that "town" gets rid of the threat and you can spend your NK on a potential PR. 

PPE: I WAS posting.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:07:52 am
Ah there she is! :)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:08:29 am
Also, you just proved MY point.  We have to analyze the wagons.  We have to decide if scum is more likely on or off.

Your point was that there was probably 2 scum on, 1 off. My first point is that no you can't assume this. My bigger point is that you should know better than that.

My guess is that it is 2 on, 1 off, yes.  I could be wrong, and the scum team is you, manda, and Walrus.  Actually, that sounds very possible.  AND you remember my note about how it would be pretty awesome for a scum team to be able to stay all on or all off wagon.  So perhaps you planned it?

Quote
You also forgot to take into account something key -- the scum team can't plan to be all together because one of them is scum all by his/her lonesome.

It is impossible for them to plan to be on/off wagon together, unless they recruited.

You know for a fact that they didn't?

You know for a fact they did?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:08:50 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:10:17 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

OMGUS?

Back to Vote: ashersky
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:10:59 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

OMGUS?

Back to Vote: ashersky

OMGUS?  I didn't even vote for you.

Or you mean how you are voting me now?

Like I said before your ridiculousness, your missteps made you seem more likely town to me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:11:53 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

This is also a valid point, in my opinion.  A safe vote for someone for something you knew would be rectified, a vote you didn't really mean.  Scum wants to do this.  They want to put down votes on their partners but be able to take them off without drawing suspicion.

Look, that's what you did.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:12:08 am
Quote
You also forgot to take into account something key -- the scum team can't plan to be all together because one of them is scum all by his/her lonesome.

It is impossible for them to plan to be on/off wagon together, unless they recruited.

You know for a fact that they didn't?

You know for a fact they did?

No, I never assumed they did. You seemed to assume they didn't.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:12:53 am
Quote
You also forgot to take into account something key -- the scum team can't plan to be all together because one of them is scum all by his/her lonesome.

It is impossible for them to plan to be on/off wagon together, unless they recruited.

You know for a fact that they didn't?

You know for a fact they did?

No, I never assumed they did. You seemed to assume they didn't.

Go read D1.  The consensus was that mafia probably wouldn't.  Of their choices, that one was pretty darn weak, and not worth giving town an extra PR.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:13:21 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

OMGUS?

Back to Vote: ashersky

OMGUS?  I didn't even vote for you.

Or you mean how you are voting me now?

Like I said before your ridiculousness, your missteps made you seem more likely town to me.

OMGUS doesn't necessarily have to include a vote. You're saying I'm scum - why not vote for me? So you can say it's not OMGUS?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:14:08 am
Also, what ridiculousness?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:14:52 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

OMGUS?

Back to Vote: ashersky

OMGUS?  I didn't even vote for you.

Or you mean how you are voting me now?

Like I said before your ridiculousness, your missteps made you seem more likely town to me.

OMGUS doesn't necessarily have to include a vote. You're saying I'm scum - why not vote for me? So you can say it's not OMGUS?

Again, for the third time, I most recently said that you seemed MORE LIKELY TOWN to me.  You are OMGUSing my slight town read on you?  That makes no sense.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 06, 2013, 12:15:11 am
I also don't like the idea of marketing the lynch pool so soon. Let's see what our IC had to say before we do anything like that

I'm also really interested to hear what the IC has to say before getting too deep into an analytic spiral.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:15:21 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

This is also a valid point, in my opinion.  A safe vote for someone for something you knew would be rectified, a vote you didn't really mean.  Scum wants to do this.  They want to put down votes on their partners but be able to take them off without drawing suspicion.

Look, that's what you did.

I voted for manda to get her to post. She posted. So I went back to my scumread.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 06, 2013, 12:15:35 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

OMGUS?

Back to Vote: ashersky

OMGUS?  I didn't even vote for you.

Or you mean how you are voting me now?

Like I said before your ridiculousness, your missteps made you seem more likely town to me.

OMGUS doesn't necessarily have to include a vote. You're saying I'm scum - why not vote for me? So you can say it's not OMGUS?

Again, for the third time, I most recently said that you seemed MORE LIKELY TOWN to me.  You are OMGUSing my slight town read on you?  That makes no sense.

Or an OMGUS spiral....
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:15:58 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

OMGUS?

Back to Vote: ashersky

OMGUS?  I didn't even vote for you.

Or you mean how you are voting me now?

Like I said before your ridiculousness, your missteps made you seem more likely town to me.

OMGUS doesn't necessarily have to include a vote. You're saying I'm scum - why not vote for me? So you can say it's not OMGUS?

Again, for the third time, I most recently said that you seemed MORE LIKELY TOWN to me.  You are OMGUSing my slight town read on you?  That makes no sense.

Wait, you're saying I'm OMGUSing you?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:17:12 am
Also, what ridiculousness?

The "oh oh ash said something once in a previous mafia QT and that must mean he's stupid enough to immediately repeat it this game" thing.


PPE: OMGUS
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:18:00 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

This is also a valid point, in my opinion.  A safe vote for someone for something you knew would be rectified, a vote you didn't really mean.  Scum wants to do this.  They want to put down votes on their partners but be able to take them off without drawing suspicion.

Look, that's what you did.

I voted for manda to get her to post. She posted. So I went back to my scumread.

And every other player who hasn't posted yet?  Why single out manda, exactly at the moment she was about to Post?  That is very, very odd.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:19:09 am
And Jimmmmm, why in the world are you trying to scum your way out of a town read?  I really do not understand you.

I get the feeling this is one of those pressure plan tactics thingies that you like to do as town, where you go all batshit crazy for a bit, then calm back down to normal and go "yeah, that was to see what people would say and do."
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 06, 2013, 12:20:14 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

This is also a valid point, in my opinion.  A safe vote for someone for something you knew would be rectified, a vote you didn't really mean.  Scum wants to do this.  They want to put down votes on their partners but be able to take them off without drawing suspicion.

Look, that's what you did.

I voted for manda to get her to post. She posted. So I went back to my scumread.

And every other player who hasn't posted yet?  Why single out manda, exactly at the moment she was about to Post?  That is very, very odd.

Exactly what I was thinking >.> Although I was posting/watching tv and maybe it timed out on where it shows what each person is doing? I'm not sure how that works but maybe....
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:22:51 am
Also, what ridiculousness?

The "oh oh ash said something once in a previous mafia QT and that must mean he's stupid enough to immediately repeat it this game" thing.


PPE: OMGUS

Okay.

I don't know if you're deliberately misunderstanding and/or misrepresenting my point. Let me restate it.

In a recent game you planned to stay together on or off wagons with your scumbuddies. Now you are assuming and encouraging the assumption that scum are going to be split on and off, most likely with 2 on and 1 off. I'm saying that given you recently planned as scum to do differently, and so, if you're Town, you should know better than to assume this. Your assumption makes no sense to me from a Town point of view. Whether it makes sense from a scum point of view is basically nothing but WIFOM, and so largely irrelevant.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:25:43 am
manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

This is also a valid point, in my opinion.  A safe vote for someone for something you knew would be rectified, a vote you didn't really mean.  Scum wants to do this.  They want to put down votes on their partners but be able to take them off without drawing suspicion.

Look, that's what you did.

I voted for manda to get her to post. She posted. So I went back to my scumread.

And every other player who hasn't posted yet?  Why single out manda, exactly at the moment she was about to Post?  That is very, very odd.

Uh, no. manda hadn't posted for a long time. I saw her posting, then I saw her doing something. Then I saw her viewing the thread, then I saw her doing something else. So I prodded her to post. Not odd or unusual at all. Are you saying I should have known that she was about to actually post?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:27:27 am
And Jimmmmm, why in the world are you trying to scum your way out of a town read?  I really do not understand you.

Why do you keep reminding me of this? It feels like your either buttering me up or threatening me to get off your case or else you'll produce a scum read on me.

Quote
I get the feeling this is one of those pressure plan tactics thingies that you like to do as town, where you go all batshit crazy for a bit, then calm back down to normal and go "yeah, that was to see what people would say and do."

Please point to an instance when I've gone batshit crazy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:27:46 am
you're*
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:33:05 am
Also, what ridiculousness?

The "oh oh ash said something once in a previous mafia QT and that must mean he's stupid enough to immediately repeat it this game" thing.


PPE: OMGUS

Okay.

I don't know if you're deliberately misunderstanding and/or misrepresenting my point. Let me restate it.

In a recent game you planned to stay together on or off wagons with your scumbuddies. Now you are assuming and encouraging the assumption that scum are going to be split on and off, most likely with 2 on and 1 off. I'm saying that given you recently planned as scum to do differently, and so, if you're Town, you should know better than to assume this. Your assumption makes no sense to me from a Town point of view. Whether it makes sense from a scum point of view is basically nothing but WIFOM, and so largely irrelevant.

I was not deliberately misunderstanding your point.  I will assume you are not deliberately misunderstanding mine (the original one that started this).  Is that a fair assumption?

I think for you to say I was "encouraging the assumption" is a laying it on a bit thick for the purpose of trying to support your point.  I do think the most likely take away from looking at the wagons is that there are probably two scum on the Morgrim wagon and one scum off wagon.  I think that based on the compositions of the wagons, but also on how I think scum would generally think, and the fact that scum killed on-wagon.

There are three players off wagon, and I think that one of them is likely scum (since D1, in fact).  Of the five players on wagon with me, I don't see it being unlikely that there could be two scum.

This is what I think, based on looking at the wagons.  I would like to hear what you think, and what others think, about the composition of the wagon/off-wagon, and possibilities of where to find scum.

Again, we were able to POE scum in HP through this type of analysis.  I think it is worthwhile.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:36:01 am
Walrus at 28 seems really low.  I guess he was really inactive on D1 (comparatively). 

Manda needs to step it up.  Everyone else is basically fine.

And then you accuse me of singling manda out?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 12:43:02 am
Walrus at 28 seems really low.  I guess he was really inactive on D1 (comparatively). 

Manda needs to step it up.  Everyone else is basically fine.

And then you accuse me of singling manda out?

For a vote, yes.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:47:45 am
Walrus at 28 seems really low.  I guess he was really inactive on D1 (comparatively). 

Manda needs to step it up.  Everyone else is basically fine.

And then you accuse me of singling manda out?

For a vote, yes.

Was the problem that I singled her out or that I voted for her?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:48:30 am
I mean, you're going back and forth giving reasons why I'm scum and reminding me you have a Townread on me. Which is it?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 01:04:34 am
Walrus at 28 seems really low.  I guess he was really inactive on D1 (comparatively). 

Manda needs to step it up.  Everyone else is basically fine.

And then you accuse me of singling manda out?

For a vote, yes.

Was the problem that I singled her out or that I voted for her?

You singled her out AND voted for her, but it wasn't for lurking.  I pointed out that she lurked the most and needed to start contributing.  You pointed out that you spied her here and didn't post.

It was odd to suddenly know she was online, know she was viewing the thread, and be able to swoop in and vote her.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 01:05:34 am
I mean, you're going back and forth giving reasons why I'm scum and reminding me you have a Townread on me. Which is it?

Slight townread, which you are chiseling away via scummy actions and posting.  Like I said, it feels like you are being intentionally obtuse and combative.  You are either scum trying to drive me insane or town playing at some odd plan.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 01:07:39 am
It was odd to suddenly know she was online, know she was viewing the thread, and be able to swoop in and vote her.

Well that's spin if I ever heard it. I "swooped in" and voted her? Why is it odd to know she was online? We have a "Who's Online" page. I check it sometimes to see who else is about. I saw her posting and eagerly waited for her input. When it didn't come I checked again, and she was doing something else.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 01:08:28 am
I mean, you're going back and forth giving reasons why I'm scum and reminding me you have a Townread on me. Which is it?

Slight townread, which you are chiseling away via scummy actions and posting.  Like I said, it feels like you are being intentionally obtuse and combative.  You are either scum trying to drive me insane or town playing at some odd plan.

If this Townread is so slight, why is it taking so long to be chiselled away? How am I being obtuse?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 01:10:18 am
I mean, you're going back and forth giving reasons why I'm scum and reminding me you have a Townread on me. Which is it?

Slight townread, which you are chiseling away via scummy actions and posting.  Like I said, it feels like you are being intentionally obtuse and combative.  You are either scum trying to drive me insane or town playing at some odd plan.

If this Townread is so slight, why is it taking so long to be chiselled away? How am I being obtuse?

This is you being obtuse.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 01:11:04 am
I mean, you're going back and forth giving reasons why I'm scum and reminding me you have a Townread on me. Which is it?

Slight townread, which you are chiseling away via scummy actions and posting.  Like I said, it feels like you are being intentionally obtuse and combative.  You are either scum trying to drive me insane or town playing at some odd plan.

If this Townread is so slight, why is it taking so long to be chiselled away? How am I being obtuse?

This is you being obtuse.

Obtuse how? You seem to be throwing these words around hoping people will believe them.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 06, 2013, 01:11:48 am
Fuck this.  I'm done.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 01:12:37 am
Fuck this.  I'm done.

Is this where you vote for yourself?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 01:32:27 am
Something I was going to say earlier - I think a probable reason for the Jorbles kill is scum who are aware that we will analyse who they kill and wanted not to give us any good leads. Possibly they planned to manipulate the analysis.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 06, 2013, 04:35:31 am
So, so. What did I tell you? But you, of course, don't listen to the IC. See where it brought you.

The Jorbles lynch is indeed interesting. I don't see any reason to do this besides scum thinking he's a PR, which mean hey, we have another PR out there! This makes me quite happy.

We have two important wagons to analyze today: the Morgrim wagon and the Jorbles wagon. Everyone seemed so happy to lynch Morgrim D1 that I needed to be against it just so that people could actually be held accountable for their actions.

Wha happened today? Not much, mostly ashersky being ashersky. Seems strange to me to look for scum off-wagon, one would think that scum is quite happy to lynch a claimed PR.

That's all for now. Analysis of D1 will follow later.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 06, 2013, 05:19:02 am
Something I was going to say earlier - I think a probable reason for the Jorbles kill is scum who are aware that we will analyse who they kill and wanted not to give us any good leads. Possibly they planned to manipulate the analysis.

But how much use is that? I mean, scum could have just targeted me, and then e would probably have died. Not much to analyze for us because it's the generic scum move. So we would not have gotten any good leads from another kill.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 06, 2013, 09:04:42 am
About the Jorbles kill. Scum trying to hit a PR is the most obvious explanation to me. That would mean there is another PR though. We already have 2 confirmed (faust and Morgrim) and a third claimed (2.7). So if we think Jorbles was killed because he was suspected of being a PR, this can mean one of two things :
- scum picked 2 PRs or more
- e is scum and scum picked 1 PR or more

I think the second one is definitely worth pursuing. I really thought scum would shoot faust or e tonight, and I have a hard time thinking of a reason not to do this is e isn't scum. I'm assuming non-e scum would believe e's claim because I don't see a reason for them not too. The problem I have with the Jorbles kill is that if scum thought Jorbles was a PR, it would have been more logical for them to kill e first, unless they were really sure about Jorbles. I find that unlikely, since I didn't pick up on any PRness when I reread him in day 1.
It would be better to kill e first for them because if there's, say, a Roleblocker left, if he claimed, an alive Bodyguard is really bad news for scum, as they would have to kill the Bodyguard and THEN kill the Roleblocker. Which leaves the PR alive for way too long for scum to be comfortable with this I think. So scum would have had to be pretty damn sure about Jorbles to want to kill him beofre e (or faust)

But of course if e is scum, well they don't want to kill him. They do want to kill faust, but what position would e have been in if faust had died tonight ? Of course faust said e shouldn't necessarily target him, but I think that was more to WIFOM scum than anything else (faust ?), as there's really no other good target for a Bodyguard tonight.
So they have to kill someone. At that point, the Jorbles kill makes more sense, because the alternatives aren't as great so he doesn't need to scream PR to be a target. He was on the 2.7 wagon as well, but I don't remember if he seemed convinced by the claim or not.

I'll reread e now (well, later today), but I kinda want people's thoughts about this. Did I miss something obvious ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 06, 2013, 09:09:02 am
As far as ashersky vs Jimmmmm goes, I don't like the way ash is behaving at all, but as I understand it, that's his usual playstyle. I think they are both over-reacting and that makes them both a little more likely to be town I think.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 06, 2013, 10:21:30 am
Well Teproc, if e truly is scum, then I live as long as he lives, because else his cover is blown. So we might want to hit the other scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 10:30:22 am
Catching up now. This day started fast!

We have six others on wagon.  How many scum rode the known (to them) mislynch of a PR?  2?  Hilariously, if the traitor isn't recruited, they don't know if they are on wagon together or not.

This may not be right. Because Morgrim is Morgrim, scum might not know if he was their traitor who got away with a fakeclaim. So scum might not know if they are lynching a town PR or not.

I also don't like the idea of marketing the lynch pool so soon. Let's see what our IC had to say before we do anything like that

I'm also really interested to hear what the IC has to say before getting too deep into an analytic spiral.

No. To both of you. You scumhunt on your own.

Re: ash. I do not like his play today. At all. But I do not see a clear through-line for scum!ash to be doing what he's doing. I believe this is more likely tunneling-his-reads town!ash, at least right now. Like this:

And every other player who hasn't posted yet?  Why single out manda, exactly at the moment she was about to Post?  That is very, very odd.

That is just hardcore tunneling on Jimmmmm. Of course manda stands out more than other lurkers. This is a reasonable action by Jimmmmm.

But - and this is where I say screw it, I'm making assumptions! - vote: Jimmmmm. At the end of D1, I had the same thoughts as Robz here:

Ash, I had similar thoughts about Jimm, but I think they are best explored Day 2. Well, we need the flip for one thing. For another, I don't want to clue scum in to who they should shoot based on where my suspicions currently lie.

which was referring to ash here:

This:

I want to lynch Morgrim because he's frustrating and unhelpful. But I'm loath to lynch a claimed PR who, if truthful, can potentially give us decent results.

Plus this:

Well there you go. I guess lynching claimed PRs is kind of what we do here.

= noticable hesitation while still wanting to see willing to go with the lynch.  Scum afraid of lynching the Traitor?  Scum not wanting to look like he's taking the easy lynch option?  Town truly hesitant?

I do NOT like the fact that I am thinking like ashersky, but if he's town that's fine, and I'm now thinking much more in that direction. And this is what I was talking about with my "everyone shut up and wait for a flip" after Jimmmmm's cred-move and e's insanity.

Basically - if there's scum off-wagon, it's probably Jimmmmm.

Wha happened today? Not much, mostly ashersky being ashersky. Seems strange to me to look for scum off-wagon, one would think that scum is quite happy to lynch a claimed PR.

Yes, but - and even this requires an assumption - if they know Morgrim is a PR, they know how obvious it would look to be on-wagon. At least one scum is on wagon for sure, there is no doubt about that. Maybe 2 or 3. But it's WIFOM.

I have no idea what to make of the e situation right now. It would be so easy for scum to try to frame e if he is town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 10:42:07 am
Is there a reason the player list is spoilered?  ???
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 10:45:17 am
At the end of D1, I had the same thoughts as Robz here:

Ash, I had similar thoughts about Jimm, but I think they are best explored Day 2. Well, we need the flip for one thing. For another, I don't want to clue scum in to who they should shoot based on where my suspicions currently lie.

which was referring to ash here:

This:

I want to lynch Morgrim because he's frustrating and unhelpful. But I'm loath to lynch a claimed PR who, if truthful, can potentially give us decent results.

Plus this:

Well there you go. I guess lynching claimed PRs is kind of what we do here.

= noticable hesitation while still wanting to see willing to go with the lynch.  Scum afraid of lynching the Traitor?  Scum not wanting to look like he's taking the easy lynch option?  Town truly hesitant?

I do NOT like the fact that I am thinking like ashersky, but if he's town that's fine, and I'm now thinking much more in that direction. And this is what I was talking about with my "everyone shut up and wait for a flip" after Jimmmmm's cred-move and e's insanity.

I'll say this again - I was never at any point okay with the Morgrim lynch. I wanted to vote for him as a response to being frustrated by him, but I never wanted to lynch him from the point of view of trying to win the game. Lynching him was a dumb move.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 10:45:44 am
Is there a reason the player list is spoilered?  ???

I was wondering the same thing.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 10:48:04 am
Re: ash. I do not like his play today. At all. But I do not see a clear through-line for scum!ash to be doing what he's doing. I believe this is more likely tunneling-his-reads town!ash, at least right now. Like this:

And every other player who hasn't posted yet?  Why single out manda, exactly at the moment she was about to Post?  That is very, very odd.

That is just hardcore tunneling on Jimmmmm. Of course manda stands out more than other lurkers. This is a reasonable action by Jimmmmm.

Whatever ash is doing, he's certainly not tunnelling. He reminded me a number of times of his Townread on me and that if I kept up what I was doing that was in danger of becoming a scumread, but also gave a number of reasons why he thought I was scum. Hedging maybe. Manipulative maybe. But not tunnelling.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 10:50:09 am
Re: ash. I do not like his play today. At all. But I do not see a clear through-line for scum!ash to be doing what he's doing. I believe this is more likely tunneling-his-reads town!ash, at least right now. Like this:

And every other player who hasn't posted yet?  Why single out manda, exactly at the moment she was about to Post?  That is very, very odd.

That is just hardcore tunneling on Jimmmmm. Of course manda stands out more than other lurkers. This is a reasonable action by Jimmmmm.

Whatever ash is doing, he's certainly not tunnelling. He reminded me a number of times of his Townread on me and that if I kept up what I was doing that was in danger of becoming a scumread, but also gave a number of reasons why he thought I was scum. Hedging maybe. Manipulative maybe. But not tunnelling.

I do agree with you. Maybe there's ash!tunneling, a different thing. What I mean is that (from my point of view) there is a decent case on you, and ash is spinning literally everything to be a case on you, even things that are not/should give you town points.

It reminds me very strongly of ash in Clue vs. TA.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 10:52:36 am
Re: ash. I do not like his play today. At all. But I do not see a clear through-line for scum!ash to be doing what he's doing. I believe this is more likely tunneling-his-reads town!ash, at least right now. Like this:

And every other player who hasn't posted yet?  Why single out manda, exactly at the moment she was about to Post?  That is very, very odd.

That is just hardcore tunneling on Jimmmmm. Of course manda stands out more than other lurkers. This is a reasonable action by Jimmmmm.

Whatever ash is doing, he's certainly not tunnelling. He reminded me a number of times of his Townread on me and that if I kept up what I was doing that was in danger of becoming a scumread, but also gave a number of reasons why he thought I was scum. Hedging maybe. Manipulative maybe. But not tunnelling.

I do agree with you. Maybe there's ash!tunneling, a different thing. What I mean is that (from my point of view) there is a decent case on you, and ash is spinning literally everything to be a case on you, even things that are not/should give you town points.

It reminds me very strongly of ash in Clue vs. TA.

What the case on me? That I was against the Morgrim lynch but said I wanted to do it out of frustration and sarcastically said that lynching PRs is what we do?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 11:01:31 am
What the case on me? That I was against the Morgrim lynch but said I wanted to do it out of frustration and sarcastically said that lynching PRs is what we do?

That first part, yes. Very much. Scum would have two reactions, depending on the setup, to the Morgrim wagon:

1. Jumping with insane glee
2. Extreme paranoia that Morgrim drew traitor

I can see what you did fitting very nicely with 2 (also, I don't remember you working hard to derail the lynch, even though you were against it) and 1 both. There's also the rest of your play D1, like refusing to give Robz townpoints on his setup confusion (which I am now really starting to think makes him well and truly town, along with manda). There was something more relating to mcmc but I can't find it now and am getting worried it was from another game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 11:06:23 am
What the case on me? That I was against the Morgrim lynch but said I wanted to do it out of frustration and sarcastically said that lynching PRs is what we do?

That first part, yes. Very much. Scum would have two reactions, depending on the setup, to the Morgrim wagon:

1. Jumping with insane glee
2. Extreme paranoia that Morgrim drew traitor

I can see what you did fitting very nicely with 2 (also, I don't remember you working hard to derail the lynch, even though you were against it) and 1 both. There's also the rest of your play D1, like refusing to give Robz townpoints on his setup confusion (which I am now really starting to think makes him well and truly town, along with manda). There was something more relating to mcmc but I can't find it now and am getting worried it was from another game.

So you're saying that I had extreme paranoia that Morgrim was the Traitor, but you're also accusing me of not trying hard enough to derail the lynch? Which one is it?

Do you disagree with me on Robz? Do you believe that if someone does something then immediately claims Townpoints for it, you should just give it to them?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 11:09:04 am
So you're saying that I had extreme paranoia that Morgrim was the Traitor, but you're also accusing me of not trying hard enough to derail the lynch? Which one is it?

Do you disagree with me on Robz? Do you believe that if someone does something then immediately claims Townpoints for it, you should just give it to them?

If you are scum, I see your behavior fitting either scenario. With it more likely you wanted cred but the lynch to go through.

I actually think it doesn't change whether or not they get townpoints for it. I actually think maybe it makes it more likely they should get them (except for Robz).

I mean, I don't think Robz/manda are obvtown. It will depend on how they play today. But manda's play hasn't had anything scummy in it to me and Robz hasn't checked in yet.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 11:12:47 am
I actually think it doesn't change whether or not they get townpoints for it. I actually think maybe it makes it more likely they should get them (except for Robz).

Does this scenario make sense to you at all?

Robz makes a setup mistake in his scum QT. His partner corrects him on it. Together they decide that Robz should make the same mistake in the game thread in order to get Town points.

I'm not saying that happened. I just disagree with giving Town points to someone who makes a setup mistake and then immediately asks for Town points for it.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 11:13:56 am
I actually think it doesn't change whether or not they get townpoints for it. I actually think maybe it makes it more likely they should get them (except for Robz).

Does this scenario make sense to you at all?

Robz makes a setup mistake in his scum QT. His partner corrects him on it. Together they decide that Robz should make the same mistake in the game thread in order to get Town points.

Yes. That absolutely could have happened. I just do not find it the most likely explanation. Also, does Robz then immediately ask for Town points in your scenario? Why?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 11:15:46 am
I actually think it doesn't change whether or not they get townpoints for it. I actually think maybe it makes it more likely they should get them (except for Robz).

Does this scenario make sense to you at all?

Robz makes a setup mistake in his scum QT. His partner corrects him on it. Together they decide that Robz should make the same mistake in the game thread in order to get Town points.

Yes. That absolutely could have happened. I just do not find it the most likely explanation. Also, does Robz then immediately ask for Town points in your scenario? Why?

That's a good question, I don't know. WIFOM. You'll not that I never gave Robz scum points for it.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 11:16:02 am
note*
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 11:17:24 am
I actually think it doesn't change whether or not they get townpoints for it. I actually think maybe it makes it more likely they should get them (except for Robz).

Does this scenario make sense to you at all?

Robz makes a setup mistake in his scum QT. His partner corrects him on it. Together they decide that Robz should make the same mistake in the game thread in order to get Town points.

Yes. That absolutely could have happened. I just do not find it the most likely explanation. Also, does Robz then immediately ask for Town points in your scenario? Why?

That's a good question, I don't know. WIFOM. You'll not that I never gave Robz scum points for it.

This is why I lean town. It makes sense as a scum ploy to make that mistake. That's already a gambit. I do not see adding another layer of gambit with the "asking for points".
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 11:21:12 am
I actually think it doesn't change whether or not they get townpoints for it. I actually think maybe it makes it more likely they should get them (except for Robz).

Does this scenario make sense to you at all?

Robz makes a setup mistake in his scum QT. His partner corrects him on it. Together they decide that Robz should make the same mistake in the game thread in order to get Town points.

Yes. That absolutely could have happened. I just do not find it the most likely explanation. Also, does Robz then immediately ask for Town points in your scenario? Why?

That's a good question, I don't know. WIFOM. You'll not that I never gave Robz scum points for it.

This is why I lean town. It makes sense as a scum ploy to make that mistake. That's already a gambit. I do not see adding another layer of gambit with the "asking for points".

Okay sure. But this isn't about Robz is it? This is about my reaction to it. Do you think it makes sense for me from a Town point of view to not give Robz the Town points?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 11:24:04 am
Okay sure. But this isn't about Robz is it? This is about my reaction to it. Do you think it makes sense for me from a Town point of view to not give Robz the Town points?

Yes. But it makes more sense for you, as scum, to quickly shut down Robz (and manda, but you wouldn't know that) becoming an IC. You don't know how town is going to take his comment, so just steer the reaction the way you want it to go.

I cannot for the live of me find the other post that makes you scummy though, that is the one that has been hanging around in the back of my mind. It had to do with mcmc and I thought it was related to the D1 ash/Jimmmmm fight.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 11:26:48 am
Okay sure. But this isn't about Robz is it? This is about my reaction to it. Do you think it makes sense for me from a Town point of view to not give Robz the Town points?

Yes. But it makes more sense for you, as scum, to quickly shut down Robz (and manda, but you wouldn't know that) becoming an IC. You don't know how town is going to take his comment, so just steer the reaction the way you want it to go.

I cannot for the live of me find the other post that makes you scummy though, that is the one that has been hanging around in the back of my mind. It had to do with mcmc and I thought it was related to the D1 ash/Jimmmmm fight.

Do you mean my first post of Day 2, and mcmc saying that I've been called out for that before but he couldn't remember my alignment?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 11:29:11 am
Do you mean my first post of Day 2, and mcmc saying that I've been called out for that before but he couldn't remember my alignment?

No, it was definitely older than that. I had you as a lite scum read for most of D1, and started getting really worried at day's end/flip time. The rest of the stuff is from re-reading you. Thank you for helping me out though!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 11:32:41 am
Do you mean my first post of Day 2, and mcmc saying that I've been called out for that before but he couldn't remember my alignment?

No, it was definitely older than that. I had you as a lite scum read for most of D1, and started getting really worried at day's end/flip time. The rest of the stuff is from re-reading you. Thank you for helping me out though!

I did say something earlyish Day 1 about mcmc's play reading scummy to me and him reminding me of scum mcmc in DS9. He's still a slight scumread for me, and I'll have another look at this at some point.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 11:38:28 am
I did say something earlyish Day 1 about mcmc's play reading scummy to me and him reminding me of scum mcmc in DS9. He's still a slight scumread for me, and I'll have another look at this at some point.

That's it!

It's not at all what I remembered. unvote
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 11:52:45 am
OK, let's look at this again. If I'm right about Robz/manda:

Voltaire
Walrus
Robz
Jimmmm
ashersky
faust
manda
Teproc
2.7
mcmcsalot

I'm looking at 3/4 (!!!) if I'm right, 2/4 if e is scum. Teproc should remain easy to read. So...game over? I want to re-read for interactions now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 06, 2013, 12:08:23 pm
What ?

We're not even 24 hours into day 2 and your lynch pool is 4 people ? That makes no sense. What warrants excluding ash, manda and Robz when 2 of these people have barely posted today ? Having town reads on them, why not, but starting POE on such little material (manda and Robz being wrong on setup, what's the reason for ash again ?) is downright stupid.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 12:12:29 pm
What ?

We're not even 24 hours into day 2 and your lynch pool is 4 people ? That makes no sense. What warrants excluding ash, manda and Robz when 2 of these people have barely posted today ? Having town reads on them, why not, but starting POE on such little material (manda and Robz being wrong on setup, what's the reason for ash again ?) is downright stupid.

Hohoho! This game is about if/thens. If I'm right about Robz and manda, they're town and out of the pool. So am I. So is faust. So is e (I really really think he's town, but there are scenarios where he's scum but it does not make sense to lynch him to find out). ash is behaving like town!ash now. Ta-da!

Last time I was told something like this was really stupid was by scum!Robz.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 06, 2013, 12:18:20 pm
That kind of confidence is just insane. What if you're wrong ? What if e/ash/Robz is the scum team or something ? You've just guaranteed scum you're not going to vote for them. In fact, with 7 town alive, if youre town and you're wrong, it means ALL the other town players must vote correctly to lynch scum. Are you that sure that manda didn't repeat a mistake from the QT, and are you that confident in your read of ash ? If you are, you're just delusional.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 12:20:53 pm
That kind of confidence is just insane. What if you're wrong ? What if e/ash/Robz is the scum team or something ? You've just guaranteed scum you're not going to vote for them. In fact, with 7 town alive, if youre town and you're wrong, it means ALL the other town players must vote correctly to lynch scum. Are you that sure that manda didn't repeat a mistake from the QT, and are you that confident in your read of ash ? If you are, you're just delusional.

I am making if/then statements. That is how the game is played.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 06, 2013, 12:22:15 pm
You are making them way too early is what I'm saying. POE is how you get to a lynch after content has been generated by everyone, not right at the start of the day.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:22:50 pm
That kind of confidence is just insane. What if you're wrong ? What if e/ash/Robz is the scum team or something ? You've just guaranteed scum you're not going to vote for them. In fact, with 7 town alive, if youre town and you're wrong, it means ALL the other town players must vote correctly to lynch scum. Are you that sure that manda didn't repeat a mistake from the QT, and are you that confident in your read of ash ? If you are, you're just delusional.

This. Generally scum's number one goal is to convince people they're Town. Taking people out of the lynch pool for "acting like their Town selves" is ridiculous. faust is an IC. e should be off the table for now in my opinion. Everyone is 100% fair game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 06, 2013, 12:24:06 pm
I am making if/then statements. That is how the game is played.

If Walrus, manda, Teproc, e and mcmcsalot are all Town, then the scum team is Volt/ash/Robz. Game over.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 12:26:03 pm
You are making them way too early is what I'm saying. POE is how you get to a lynch after content has been generated by everyone, not right at the start of the day.

When did I say this was final?

That kind of confidence is just insane. What if you're wrong ? What if e/ash/Robz is the scum team or something ? You've just guaranteed scum you're not going to vote for them. In fact, with 7 town alive, if youre town and you're wrong, it means ALL the other town players must vote correctly to lynch scum. Are you that sure that manda didn't repeat a mistake from the QT, and are you that confident in your read of ash ? If you are, you're just delusional.

This. Generally scum's number one goal is to convince people they're Town. Taking people out of the lynch pool for "acting like their Town selves" is ridiculous. faust is an IC. e should be off the table for now in my opinion. Everyone is 100% fair game.

Obviously on your first statement. But there are such things as town!slips. I stand by my decision on ash for today. manda and Robz may go in or out, the list is not final. We'll see what they do today. I'd be very happy to lynch within my pool as it stands.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 12:26:56 pm
I am making if/then statements. That is how the game is played.

If Walrus, manda, Teproc, e and mcmcsalot are all Town, then the scum team is Volt/ash/Robz. Game over.

That. Is. Not. What. I. Am. Doing.

I gave real reasons for why I took people (PROVISIONALLY!) out of the pool. What are yours for Walrus, manda, Teproc, e and mcmcsalot?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 06, 2013, 12:31:14 pm
Okay I need to post as I go since there has been a lot of stuff.

This
vote: ashersky

Tell me I didn't just call that.

Along with this
I think it's amazing that I was able to predict it so accurately. As soon as I saw the NK that's what my brain screamed at me. You know, I didn't know if I should post it to be honest, because I felt like it would just look weird and paranoid. But I am of the mind that it's better to post your thoughts even if they're kind of crazy.

And I'm glad I did. Not so crazy at all.

Seem really scummy to me. I mean first off I got what ashersky did instantly, but that second post by walrus feels like scum getting really excited about a knock out case and then weirdly covering/explaining why it happened. Throw in some typical scum tells such as "wasn't sure if I should post and not wanting to look paraniod" I think this is really scummy.

Next page;
 2.7 reacts towny confused/angry about joke suspicion(he is coming across as a smart player I don't think he would complain about the joke suspicion if he was scum)
Jimm reacts like Jimm, null tell to be honest
Ash reacts like ash, null tell as well.

Have not read past that will contuniue while posting.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 12:40:27 pm
This
vote: ashersky

Tell me I didn't just call that.

Along with this
I think it's amazing that I was able to predict it so accurately. As soon as I saw the NK that's what my brain screamed at me. You know, I didn't know if I should post it to be honest, because I felt like it would just look weird and paranoid. But I am of the mind that it's better to post your thoughts even if they're kind of crazy.

And I'm glad I did. Not so crazy at all.

Seem really scummy to me. I mean first off I got what ashersky did instantly, but that second post by walrus feels like scum getting really excited about a knock out case and then weirdly covering/explaining why it happened. Throw in some typical scum tells such as "wasn't sure if I should post and not wanting to look paraniod" I think this is really scummy.

This is a very good point.

vote: Walrus
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 06, 2013, 12:43:22 pm
Wagon analysis from ash which I think is always not really useful when done from a are they on or off perspective, it's just wifom. Scumm read I ash for that, as well as the way he goes about his analysis.

Jimm/ash get into another debate and Jimm changes topic to walrus. Town vs town or town vs scum, you lose when you argue with ash(mans got talent) so null tell from what would have been a scum read on Jimm.

Oh, looks like round two went on a bit longer. Null tell from both because guess what town argues to...and that's all they were doing, arguing.

Stopped just befor Faust post.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 06, 2013, 12:48:33 pm
Faust and teproc posts read.

Teproc had a lot of bulk that meant nothing. If scum leaves 2.7
Alive they leave us guessing, they know if they can make us lynch another of our own pr's by not believing him. Or he could be scum doesn't matter either way the nk won't help us figure out 2.7 alignment unless 2.7 dies.

I think 2.7 has actually been towny today so slight scum read on teproc for pushing a 2.7 scum read based on nothing.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 12:52:53 pm
Faust and teproc posts read.

Teproc had a lot of bulk that meant nothing. If scum leaves 2.7
Alive they leave us guessing, they know if they can make us lynch another of our own pr's by not believing him. Or he could be scum doesn't matter either way the nk won't help us figure out 2.7 alignment unless 2.7 dies.

I think 2.7 has actually been towny today so slight scum read on teproc for pushing a 2.7 scum read based on nothing.

I didn't take that as Teproc pushing a scum read, I took that as Teproc being cautious. If Teproc had voted/advocated lynching 2.7 today that would be a different story.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 06, 2013, 12:53:07 pm
What ?

We're not even 24 hours into day 2 and your lynch pool is 4 people ? That makes no sense. What warrants excluding ash, manda and Robz when 2 of these people have barely posted today ? Having town reads on them, why not, but starting POE on such little material (manda and Robz being wrong on setup, what's the reason for ash again ?) is downright stupid.

Waitwaitwait... when was I wrong on the setup?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 12:54:56 pm
What ?

We're not even 24 hours into day 2 and your lynch pool is 4 people ? That makes no sense. What warrants excluding ash, manda and Robz when 2 of these people have barely posted today ? Having town reads on them, why not, but starting POE on such little material (manda and Robz being wrong on setup, what's the reason for ash again ?) is downright stupid.

Waitwaitwait... when was I wrong on the setup?

Well then, I'll try to be a good IC for you all.

Before we really get started, I would like everyone to answer the following question:

If you were mafia in this game, which (if any) powers would you have picked?

Everyone's answer should include his preferred set of powers (as mafia). Don't just say "well, this looks neat, but maybe I would have also chosen that."

Think about whether this is actually a good idea or not. I think in the past pick your poison setups, we determined it was not. It helps the Mafia determine who has which PR.

I haven't read any past games with a similar set-up to this one, but I think Robz makes a good point. Since there's not a way to get that info to the IC privately and let him interpret it without everyone knowing, it seems like it would give way too much information to the mafia.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 06, 2013, 12:55:05 pm
Okay sure. But this isn't about Robz is it? This is about my reaction to it. Do you think it makes sense for me from a Town point of view to not give Robz the Town points?

Yes. But it makes more sense for you, as scum, to quickly shut down Robz (and manda, but you wouldn't know that) becoming an IC. You don't know how town is going to take his comment, so just steer the reaction the way you want it to go.

I cannot for the live of me find the other post that makes you scummy though, that is the one that has been hanging around in the back of my mind. It had to do with mcmc and I thought it was related to the D1 ash/Jimmmmm fight.

Do you mean my first post of Day 2, and mcmc saying that I've been called out for that before but he couldn't remember my alignment?

I believe he is referring to day 1, we got into a omgusish thing for I believe the same discussion about giving robz town cred. If I remember found robz towny(not just for that) you disagreed I voted you for you opinion on robz and volt and you claimed omgus. I believe jorbles got involved somehow as how.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 06, 2013, 12:56:06 pm
Ok, it's true that scum could be trying to frame him and lead me to my reasoning. Again, I wasn't "pushing" for a lynch, just trying to see what we could get out of the Jorbles flip, but then you seem to love using that phrase against me for some reason.

PPE : manda : I think you did early on and Voltaire is giving you town points (and even taking you out of his lynch pool... sigh) for that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 06, 2013, 12:56:59 pm
I did say something earlyish Day 1 about mcmc's play reading scummy to me and him reminding me of scum mcmc in DS9. He's still a slight scumread for me, and I'll have another look at this at some point.

That's it!

It's not at all what I remembered. unvote

Or this
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 12:58:29 pm
I did say something earlyish Day 1 about mcmc's play reading scummy to me and him reminding me of scum mcmc in DS9. He's still a slight scumread for me, and I'll have another look at this at some point.

That's it!

It's not at all what I remembered. unvote

Or this

Actually it's not at all what I remembered - because your summary is what I'm remembering, but I can't find the posts! You described it just now. Can you send me to the post numbers?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 06, 2013, 01:01:36 pm
That kind of confidence is just insane. What if you're wrong ? What if e/ash/Robz is the scum team or something ? You've just guaranteed scum you're not going to vote for them. In fact, with 7 town alive, if youre town and you're wrong, it means ALL the other town players must vote correctly to lynch scum. Are you that sure that manda didn't repeat a mistake from the QT, and are you that confident in your read of ash ? If you are, you're just delusional.

This. Generally scum's number one goal is to convince people they're Town. Taking people out of the lynch pool for "acting like their Town selves" is ridiculous. faust is an IC. e should be off the table for now in my opinion. Everyone is 100% fair game.

This is essentially what I was trying to say early on about too much meta-analysis not being helpful. People generally know how they normally act, and if they're scum, they're going to be extra careful to sound just like they do when they're town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 06, 2013, 01:02:30 pm
This is essentially what I was trying to say early on about too much meta-analysis not being helpful. People generally know how they normally act, and if they're scum, they're going to be extra careful to sound just like they do when they're town.

Of course that's what scum is always trying to do. It sounds simple, but it isn't simple.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: manda2014 on December 06, 2013, 01:04:04 pm
Okay sure. But this isn't about Robz is it? This is about my reaction to it. Do you think it makes sense for me from a Town point of view to not give Robz the Town points?

Yes. But it makes more sense for you, as scum, to quickly shut down Robz (and manda, but you wouldn't know that) becoming an IC. You don't know how town is going to take his comment, so just steer the reaction the way you want it to go.

I cannot for the live of me find the other post that makes you scummy though, that is the one that has been hanging around in the back of my mind. It had to do with mcmc and I thought it was related to the D1 ash/Jimmmmm fight.

Do you mean my first post of Day 2, and mcmc saying that I've been called out for that before but he couldn't remember my alignment?

I believe he is referring to day 1, we got into a omgusish thing for I believe the same discussion about giving robz town cred. If I remember found robz towny(not just for that) you disagreed I voted you for you opinion on robz and volt and you claimed omgus. I believe jorbles got involved somehow as how.

hmmmm I'm gonna go reread that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: manda2014 on December 06, 2013, 01:18:22 pm
Okay sure. But this isn't about Robz is it? This is about my reaction to it. Do you think it makes sense for me from a Town point of view to not give Robz the Town points?

Yes. But it makes more sense for you, as scum, to quickly shut down Robz (and manda, but you wouldn't know that) becoming an IC. You don't know how town is going to take his comment, so just steer the reaction the way you want it to go.

I cannot for the live of me find the other post that makes you scummy though, that is the one that has been hanging around in the back of my mind. It had to do with mcmc and I thought it was related to the D1 ash/Jimmmmm fight.

Do you mean my first post of Day 2, and mcmc saying that I've been called out for that before but he couldn't remember my alignment?

I believe he is referring to day 1, we got into a omgusish thing for I believe the same discussion about giving robz town cred. If I remember found robz towny(not just for that) you disagreed I voted you for you opinion on robz and volt and you claimed omgus. I believe jorbles got involved somehow as how.

hmmmm I'm gonna go reread that.

Fairly certain this didn't actually happen.

Aaaanyway.

Okay I need to post as I go since there has been a lot of stuff.

This
vote: ashersky

Tell me I didn't just call that.

Along with this
I think it's amazing that I was able to predict it so accurately. As soon as I saw the NK that's what my brain screamed at me. You know, I didn't know if I should post it to be honest, because I felt like it would just look weird and paranoid. But I am of the mind that it's better to post your thoughts even if they're kind of crazy.

And I'm glad I did. Not so crazy at all.

Seem really scummy to me. I mean first off I got what ashersky did instantly, but that second post by walrus feels like scum getting really excited about a knock out case and then weirdly covering/explaining why it happened. Throw in some typical scum tells such as "wasn't sure if I should post and not wanting to look paraniod" I think this is really scummy.

Next page;
 2.7 reacts towny confused/angry about joke suspicion(he is coming across as a smart player I don't think he would complain about the joke suspicion if he was scum)
Jimm reacts like Jimm, null tell to be honest
Ash reacts like ash, null tell as well.

Have not read past that will contuniue while posting.


I'm still trying to figure out how I feel about Walrus's posts here. On the one hand, mcmc's interpretation of it makes a lot of sense, BUT... I'm also inclined to think that he was almost TOO self-congratulatory in that post for it to be scum (or at least for it to be scum played well). It's so very "oh look what I did" that it seems too sloppy for scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 06, 2013, 05:24:14 pm
Ok.  I have been reading everything that has happened since I left last night and trying to make sense of it all.  Here we go:

Jimmmmm:  I find the case on him (described best by Voltaire (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322358#msg322358) and that is what I am using as the "official" case against Jimmmmm - correct me if you think differently) to be rather underwhelming.  As far as his exchange with Ashersky goes, I didn't get any huge scum reads from it.  In fact, it looked a lot more like town/town arguing with each other in my opinion.

Ashersky: As I just said, the Jimmmmm exchange looked like town/town arguing to me.  However, Jorbles had a scum read on Ash enough to make him want to vote, so would scum!Ash NK jorbles for that?  I don't think so, especially since Ash is the only scum read Jorbles had that we can actually do much with.  (Manda and myself were the other two.  Manda because of her vote on Jorbles but there is really not much there to look into since Manda disappeared the rest of the Day.  Me because I was making jokes that he thought were scummy but then after my claim he delayed lynching me until we had some night data.)

Walrus: Not getting the joke right away is fine.  But his original post very much looked like a "I will put this out so no one can challenge me on it today without being scummy because I said so."  so slightly scummy.  I do not really see him as scummy for his reaction to Ash, but rather that original post trying to stop accusations before they happen.

Voltaire: Interesting posts so far today, and helpful.  I don't quite know whether his assertiveness is his scumhunting style (as he told Manda and myself (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322329#msg322329), you scumhunt on your own) or whether it is actually scummy by his own declaration here:
Town is unsure. Mafia picks reasonable-sounding stances.
Because I have to admit, he is well on his way to convincing me of his position.  I just don't have that good of a feeling about Voltaire right now.  Not based on a scum read.  Just not a town read either.  Null read.  (I hate null reads, and am therefore uncomfortable about Voltaire right now)  So nothing on Voltaire yet, but he is on my watch carefully list.

Robz: No posts today? oh well.  Real life happens

Manda:
Obviously I was on the [Jorbles] wagon, for (real life and in-game) reasons I think were justified--there was little enough information to go on that I was comfortable with a random lynch that would provide more information, and I knew that I wouldn't have time to commit to any serious analysis. However, the fact that he got NK'd definitely adds a new dimension to that wagon.
I am still uncomfortable with Manda's Jorbles vote.  The NK does bring an interesting dimension to it.  It also makes me suspect Manda more as town similar to the way I suspect Ash more as town because of the NK.  Because of the way she voted on the wagon, and how it makes her look after the NK, would she be so bold as to off the person she voted for just before disappearing?  I don't think so.

Teproc/mcmc:  neither of them have said much today at all.  So I don't really have much to say about them right now.  mcmc did help convince Voltaire to vote walrus.  Teproc said he was rereading me.  I need a bit more time to figure out about them.

I didn't mean for this to become a scummary (I will call them that for the rest of this game) but it became on (of sorts).  Big takeaway: The NK shifted D1 scum reads on Manda and Ashersky to town reads.  So either this NK was brilliant by scum (if at least one of them is scum) or it was a blunder (if both Ash and Manda are town). 
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 06, 2013, 06:09:00 pm
Walrus: Not getting the joke right away is fine.  But his original post very much looked like a "I will put this out so no one can challenge me on it today without being scummy because I said so."  so slightly scummy.  I do not really see him as scummy for his reaction to Ash, but rather that original post trying to stop accusations before they happen.

This is very true (the part about lampshading your own scumminess being scummy).

I won't reread you actually, because I've been convinced that the NK doesn't actually tell us anything about you, and we're better off waiting. I don't like it, but we can't risk lynching another PR. Instead, I'll reread Walrus. I had a town read on him day 1 but his interaction with ash was very scummy (as has been pointed out by mcmc).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 06, 2013, 06:30:16 pm
Yeah yeah I know. Not one of my finer moments. I thought I had done something extremely brilliant, instead I acted very foolish. Quite embarrassing...it sort of makes me want to crawl under a rock and just try again next game lol.

Give me a minute and I'll take a look at what has transpired since then.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 06, 2013, 07:22:50 pm
I started trying to catch up, but didn't, and I think I have to re-read what I read anyway because it turned out consequential, this walrus/ash joke thing? It gave me the strong impression that ash was scum, but I have to review why I thought that because maybe I misread. Anyway, sorry, don't like lynch someone anytime soon please.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 06, 2013, 07:48:50 pm
Well I'm finding it difficult to come up with anything definitive looking at the last couple pages. Partially because my head is still clouded with annoyance.

Jimmmmm vs. ashersky is feeling townish vs. townish here. More town points to Jimmmmm than ash though.

Teproc still feels a little off to me...like in Game of Thrones, I feel like he posted a whole lot more right from the get go. Big, substantial posts with high frequency and lots of content. Now while the stuff he's been saying is rationalistic enough, it just doesn't quite feel the same.

Hard to read manda, but I still want to say town...I would think she would have been more involved by now and concerned with her public appearance if she were scum.

Voltaire still seems towny, throwing around lots of good discussion.

mcmc maybe on the scummy side. Like, he said just now that he found me scummy, without backing it up with a vote or anything...it seems like he might be in the sweet spot of actilurking and safe opinions where scum likes to hang out.

I'd also like to hear more from Robz...he was one of my scumreads going into yesterday, for being all over the place with his vote and generally not feeling like Robz.

This isn't as much as I wanted to write but I am fairly swamped with work at the moment.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: yuma on December 06, 2013, 07:55:36 pm
Vote Count 2.2

ashersky (1): Jimmmmm
Walrus (1): Voltaire

Not Voting (8): faust, ashersky, Robz, Walrus, Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7

With 10 alive it takes 6 to lynch.
Day2 will end December 15 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 06, 2013, 09:31:42 pm
Everyone saying Jimm vs Ash is so definitely town vs town is not a sentiment I share. I think it is equally plausible that the argument was scum/town, town/town, town/scum. I mean just that it fits for town and scum ash and jimm to have acted that way toward eachother.

So if one of Walrus or 2.7 is scum I think one of ash/jimm is likely to be scum.

Also I still think vote: walrus is probably scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 07, 2013, 05:18:59 am
Some voting history.

D1:

Robz votes Voltaire (1)
Jimmmmm votes Robz (1)
Voltaire votes manda (1)
Robz votes Jimmmmm (1)
mcmc votes Jimmmmm (2)
Teproc votes Robz (2)
Walrus votes Robz (3)
ashersky votes Jimmmmm (3)
Jimmmmm unvotes
Jorbles votes Robz (3)
Voltaire votes Morgrim (1)
Robz votes Voltaire (1)
mcmc votes Teproc (1)
Walrus votes e (1)
Voltaire votes ashersky (1)
mcmc votes ashersky (2)
Robz votes Jimmmmm (2)
mcmc unvotes
Jimmmmm votes mcmc (1)
mcmc votes e (2)
Jorbles votes e (3)
faust votes e (4)
Robz votes Jimmmmm (2)
ashersky votes e (5)
Jimmmmm votes Jorbles (1)
Robz votes Jorbles (2)
e votes Jorbles (3)
ashersky votes Jorbles (4)
Morgrim votes Jorbles (5)
Morgrim unvotes
manda votes Jorbles (5)
Robz unvotes
Walrus votes Robz (2)
Walrus votes ashersky (2)
faust unvotes
ashersky votes Walrus (1)
Jorbles unvotes
Jimmmmm votes manda (1)
e votes manda (2)
Robz votes Morgrim (1)
Jorbles votes ahsersky (3)
mcmc votes Morgrim (2)
Morgrim votes Morgrim (3)
Teproc votes Morgrim (4)
e votes Morgrim (5)
ashersky votes Morgrim (6)
e unvotes
Morgrim unvotes
e votes manda (2)
Jorbles votes Morgrim (5)
e votes Morgrim (6)
Voltaire hammers Morgrim (7)

D2:

Walrus votes ashersky (1)
Walrus unvotes
Jimmmmm votes ashersky (1)
Jimmmmm votes manda (1)
Jimmmmm votes ashersky (1)
Voltaire votes Jimmmmm (1)
Voltaire unvotes
Voltaire votes Walrus (1)
mcmc votes Walrus (2)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 07, 2013, 05:33:57 am
People on all three wagons:

ashersky

People on all wagons not them:

e, Jorbles

People on two wagons:

mcmc, Robz, Morgrim

People on one wagon:

Voltaire, faust, Jimmmmm, Teproc, manda, Walrus

People on no wagon:

noone

Total number of votes:

7 - Jimmmm
6 - Robz
6 - mcmcsalot
5 - Voltaire
5 - Walrus
5 - ashersky
5 - 2.7
4 - Jorbles
2 - Teproc
2 - morgrim
1 - faust
1 - manda




Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 07, 2013, 08:09:25 am
Faust what is your analysis of this data?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 07, 2013, 08:22:10 am
Faust what is your analysis of this data?

I would like the rest to review this data first, my analysis will follow later.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 07, 2013, 08:59:51 am
Well, let me say one thing already: Robz has stated previously, here and elsewhere, that he thinks IC is a very powerful role. Therefore, I do not believe that scum!Robz would be okay with not trying to NK the IC. So I highly doubt that Robz chose the NK target. It could be of course that Robz is the Traitor, but I'd like to take him out of the lynch pool today.

And one more thing: Jorbles dying does not necessarily mean that scum NK'ed him. It's unlikely, but there is a possibility that he died by the hands of town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 07, 2013, 09:40:39 am
Succesful Roleblocker + Vig would be necessary for that right ? Pretty unlikely, but I guess it's theoretically possible.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 07, 2013, 09:56:47 am
Succesful Roleblocker + Vig would be necessary for that right ? Pretty unlikely, but I guess it's theoretically possible.

This or Vig + scum shot their own Traitor. But this would also mean that scum did not shoot me, which is weird.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 07, 2013, 10:02:51 am
It also means the Vig would have shot Jorbles, which I find very unlikely. Also, isn't the non-ash consensus that vigs shouldn't shoot night 1 ? So yeah, interesting in theory but probably too unlikely to matter. I guess it might be useful to remember if there's a claimed vig at some point.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 07, 2013, 10:30:32 am
I would say it is pretty safe to assume that jorbles was NKed by scum. I will be working under that assumption until someone claims vig or we get two NKs which confirms vig, even if we do not know who it is.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: faust on December 07, 2013, 10:41:49 am
What the case on me? That I was against the Morgrim lynch but said I wanted to do it out of frustration and sarcastically said that lynching PRs is what we do?

That first part, yes. Very much. Scum would have two reactions, depending on the setup, to the Morgrim wagon:

1. Jumping with insane glee
2. Extreme paranoia that Morgrim drew traitor

I can see what you did fitting very nicely with 2 (also, I don't remember you working hard to derail the lynch, even though you were against it) and 1 both. There's also the rest of your play D1, like refusing to give Robz townpoints on his setup confusion (which I am now really starting to think makes him well and truly town, along with manda). There was something more relating to mcmc but I can't find it now and am getting worried it was from another game.

Sorry, this is a really weak case. Why would scum need to have paranoia that Morgrim was a Traitor? What exactly made Morgrim more likely a Traitor than anyone else in this game? And - we do not even know if there's still a Traitor around. Basing your accusations on this assumption is already making them weaker. And the "refusing to give Robz town points" stuff - man, there's just nothing there. I did not give Robz townpoints for that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: faust on December 07, 2013, 10:44:41 am
Basically - if there's scum off-wagon, it's probably Jimmmmm.

Why not Walrus?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 07, 2013, 12:00:06 pm
Basically - if there's scum off-wagon, it's probably Jimmmmm.

Why not Walrus?

I currently think it is more likely Walrus! The Jimmmmm stuff you quoted was based on me remembering a "gut" scummy read on him and trying to figure out where it came from. I then built a case on him from my poor memory. Are you caught up? I'm voting Walrus.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: faust on December 07, 2013, 12:36:19 pm
Basically - if there's scum off-wagon, it's probably Jimmmmm.

Why not Walrus?

I currently think it is more likely Walrus! The Jimmmmm stuff you quoted was based on me remembering a "gut" scummy read on him and trying to figure out where it came from. I then built a case on him from my poor memory. Are you caught up? I'm voting Walrus.

Sorry, I was rereading and not remembering current events....
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 07, 2013, 12:43:05 pm
Yeah yeah I know. Not one of my finer moments. I thought I had done something extremely brilliant, instead I acted very foolish. Quite embarrassing...it sort of makes me want to crawl under a rock and just try again next game lol.

Give me a minute and I'll take a look at what has transpired since then.
Walrus, when you say "not one of my finer moments" are you referring to not getting the joke right away, or to your original post (basically saying it was a mistake to post what you did)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 07, 2013, 12:52:27 pm
Not getting the joke. I still stand by my original post.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 08, 2013, 11:09:53 am
Not getting the joke. I still stand by my original post.

I'm glad you clarified.... I thought you meant your original post at first as well, and I was about to point out how ridiculously scummy that seemed... actually I'm almost disappointed XD

It seems unlikely to me that we have a vig, although I suppose it's possible..... It seems foolish though, to assume that Jorbles' death was anything but an NK until we have some indication that it was otherwise.

Sorry for the lack of serious content, but finals week has officially started, so I will be only intermittently available until Wednesday. I likely won't be on again at all today (rl day, not game day).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 08, 2013, 03:26:34 pm
Bump? Anyone there? Robz you are online, what are your thoughts? I don't really have much to say that I didn't say in my scummary. I do lean town for walrus right now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 08, 2013, 03:32:23 pm
Bump? Anyone there? Robz you are online, what are your thoughts? I don't really have much to say that I didn't say in my scummary. I do lean town for walrus right now.

I'm still behind, unfortunately.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 08, 2013, 03:34:12 pm
Big takeaway: The NK shifted D1 scum reads on Manda and Ashersky to town reads.  So either this NK was brilliant by scum (if at least one of them is scum) or it was a blunder (if both Ash and Manda are town).

What do you guys think of this?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 08, 2013, 06:24:32 pm
Big takeaway: The NK shifted D1 scum reads on Manda and Ashersky to town reads.  So either this NK was brilliant by scum (if at least one of them is scum) or it was a blunder (if both Ash and Manda are town).

What do you guys think of this?

Well, I had a null/town read on manda D1 and a scum read on ashersky, and now I have a town read on both, so...I think you have right(er) reads now, regardless of the reason.

I am now dead in my other ongoing game, so I can finally focus more fully on this one.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 08, 2013, 08:02:22 pm
Okay, I'm going to read Day while I am on the plane tomorrow. I promise!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 08, 2013, 09:08:21 pm
I took the weekend off from this game to cool down from stuff.

I'll read from where I walked away and get some thoughts down.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: yuma on December 08, 2013, 09:23:33 pm
Vote Count 3.2

ashersky (1): Jimmmmm
Walrus (2): Voltaire, mcmc

Not Voting (7): faust, ashersky, Robz, Walrus, Teproc, manda, 2.7

With 10 alive it takes 6 to lynch.
Day2 will end December 15 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 08, 2013, 11:54:22 pm
Is there a reason the player list is spoilered?  ???

Probably for future reading?  It was the norm back in the beginning of f.ds mafia.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 08, 2013, 11:56:27 pm
That kind of confidence is just insane. What if you're wrong ? What if e/ash/Robz is the scum team or something ? You've just guaranteed scum you're not going to vote for them. In fact, with 7 town alive, if youre town and you're wrong, it means ALL the other town players must vote correctly to lynch scum. Are you that sure that manda didn't repeat a mistake from the QT, and are you that confident in your read of ash ? If you are, you're just delusional.

I am making if/then statements. That is how the game is played.

This whole thing seemed town on town in re-read.  Both of them have good points, in that I've watched Voltaire do this thing he does as town and Tep makes sense for saying it is delusional and crazy (it is, sometimes).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 08, 2013, 11:57:53 pm
This is essentially what I was trying to say early on about too much meta-analysis not being helpful. People generally know how they normally act, and if they're scum, they're going to be extra careful to sound just like they do when they're town.

Of course that's what scum is always trying to do. It sounds simple, but it isn't simple.

Agree with Voltaire here.  If it was as easy as Manda says, we'd never catch scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 12:00:38 am
Everyone saying Jimm vs Ash is so definitely town vs town is not a sentiment I share. I think it is equally plausible that the argument was scum/town, town/town, town/scum. I mean just that it fits for town and scum ash and jimm to have acted that way toward eachother.

So if one of Walrus or 2.7 is scum I think one of ash/jimm is likely to be scum.

Also I still think vote: walrus is probably scum.

You know, for awhile now I've been thinking that, when someone makes these statements (see bolded) but leaves out the "scum/scum" possibility, they are actually scum.  They know that both of the players arguing are town, and they would like the lynch to fall on one of the two, so they make these sorts of "well it could be scum/town, town/scum..." sorts of statements, but they forget to say "scum/scum" because they are scum and they don't want to push it.  Just a thought.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 12:12:38 am
Big takeaway: The NK shifted D1 scum reads on Manda and Ashersky to town reads.  So either this NK was brilliant by scum (if at least one of them is scum) or it was a blunder (if both Ash and Manda are town).

What do you guys think of this?

There's been some discussion on the NK, including from faust.  One thing to consider is that 2.7's claim only survives as long as the person he claims to have protected survives.

I'm assuming 2.7 is claiming to have protected faust?  As faust mentions, his claim only holds up as long as that holds up.  The off-faust NK is, at the very least, helping 2.7 keep up his fakeclaim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 09, 2013, 12:20:18 am
I'm assuming 2.7 is claiming to have protected faust?  As faust mentions, his claim only holds up as long as that holds up.  The off-faust NK is, at the very least, helping 2.7 keep up his fakeclaim.

You believe e to be scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 12:39:11 am
I'm assuming 2.7 is claiming to have protected faust?  As faust mentions, his claim only holds up as long as that holds up.  The off-faust NK is, at the very least, helping 2.7 keep up his fakeclaim.

You believe e to be scum?

If he fakeclaimed, then yes.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 09, 2013, 12:39:50 am
I'm assuming 2.7 is claiming to have protected faust?  As faust mentions, his claim only holds up as long as that holds up.  The off-faust NK is, at the very least, helping 2.7 keep up his fakeclaim.

You believe e to be scum?

If he fakeclaimed, then yes.

Do you believe he fakeclaimed?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 09, 2013, 12:40:06 am
I took the weekend off from this game to cool down from stuff.

I'll read from where I walked away and get some thoughts down.

What got you so upset?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 12:41:20 am
I'm assuming 2.7 is claiming to have protected faust?  As faust mentions, his claim only holds up as long as that holds up.  The off-faust NK is, at the very least, helping 2.7 keep up his fakeclaim.

You believe e to be scum?

If he fakeclaimed, then yes.

Do you believe he fakeclaimed?

Unsure.  I'm willing to believe him for now.  As I mentioned no D1, I don't think it's a sensible fake claim at the time it happened for scum.  Just wanted to point out that we'll need to keep it in mind.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 12:41:52 am
I took the weekend off from this game to cool down from stuff.

I'll read from where I walked away and get some thoughts down.

What got you so upset?

You.  We're past that now, no need to rehash.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 09, 2013, 12:42:52 am
I took the weekend off from this game to cool down from stuff.

I'll read from where I walked away and get some thoughts down.

What got you so upset?

You.  We're past that now, no need to rehash.

I'm not sure we are. Why do you want to brush it all under the carpet?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 12:58:24 am
I took the weekend off from this game to cool down from stuff.

I'll read from where I walked away and get some thoughts down.

What got you so upset?

You.  We're past that now, no need to rehash.

I'm not sure we are. Why do you want to brush it all under the carpet?

Because I really think it's in the best interest of the game, and you and me, and the forum, to not have more incivility than necessary.

Why do you insist on restarting this fight?  What do you get out of that?  What does the game get out of it?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 09, 2013, 01:00:04 am
Because I really think it's in the best interest of the game, and you and me, and the forum, to not have more incivility than necessary.

Why do you insist on restarting this fight?  What do you get out of that?  What does the game get out of it?

Wait, what incivility? You called me obtuse a couple of times and then said "fuck this" and left for a while. What did I do that was uncivil? Genuine question.

I think you think it's in the best interest of you staying alive to not continue the discussion.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 01:02:58 am
Because I really think it's in the best interest of the game, and you and me, and the forum, to not have more incivility than necessary.

Why do you insist on restarting this fight?  What do you get out of that?  What does the game get out of it?

Wait, what incivility? You called me obtuse a couple of times and then said "fuck this" and left for a while. What did I do that was uncivil? Genuine question.

I think you think it's in the best interest of you staying alive to not continue the discussion.

You were (and still seem to be) purposefully being disrespectful and rude to me.  If you are scum, then fine, I get it, that's part of the game.  But there is a fine line with the civility pledge, and you were at the very least toeing it.  I reached out to the mod about it, and we decided a break from the game was fine, although I risked the prod penalty nonetheless.

It wasn't worth making the game worse for everyone else, so I left.  If you prefer I /out instead to satisfy you, say the word.  I don't understand your need to make this game so terrible for everyone else, though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 09, 2013, 01:07:40 am
You were (and still seem to be) purposefully being disrespectful and rude to me.  If you are scum, then fine, I get it, that's part of the game.  But there is a fine line with the civility pledge, and you were at the very least toeing it.  I reached out to the mod about it, and we decided a break from the game was fine, although I risked the prod penalty nonetheless.

It wasn't worth making the game worse for everyone else, so I left.  If you prefer I /out instead to satisfy you, say the word.  I don't understand your need to make this game so terrible for everyone else, though.

I genuinely don't understand where you're coming from. Civility and this community and not causing actual rifts between people is very important to me. It would really help me if you pointed out exactly what I said that made you feel like I was being rude or disrespectful for you, because that was definitely not my intent, and I'm truly sorry that you feel that way.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 01:15:41 am
I genuinely don't understand where you're coming from. Civility and this community and not causing actual rifts between people is very important to me. It would really help me if you pointed out exactly what I said that made you feel like I was being rude or disrespectful for you, because that was definitely not my intent, and I'm truly sorry that you feel that way.

I appreciate that.  I mean, I guess I assumed that, to be honest.  If you are scum, you could use argumentation and other tactics as part of your game.  I'd support your right to, even.  You know as well as any that I've done it myself.

If you are town, and as I've mentioned (and you pointed out that I mentioned) I think you are more likely to be, is where the feeling I was getting from your posts weren't good, because you'd have no reason to do it as town.

When we were arguing, it really did feel like you were pushing buttons in a way that was designed to make me angry or upset, and weren't related to the game directly.  It was more about me personally, and not the game, which is what we try our best not to do, even in a game that is all about each others' "metas" or personalities.  If that's not how you meant it, I accept that, and as I mentioned, prefer to move on from it and refocus on the game.  It doesn't change how I felt at the time, but the reaction, over or not, is passed.  I don't want to let it ruin the game, distract others from playing the game and scumhunting, or harm other games present or future.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 09, 2013, 01:21:35 am
I genuinely don't understand where you're coming from. Civility and this community and not causing actual rifts between people is very important to me. It would really help me if you pointed out exactly what I said that made you feel like I was being rude or disrespectful for you, because that was definitely not my intent, and I'm truly sorry that you feel that way.

I appreciate that.  I mean, I guess I assumed that, to be honest.  If you are scum, you could use argumentation and other tactics as part of your game.  I'd support your right to, even.  You know as well as any that I've done it myself.

If you are town, and as I've mentioned (and you pointed out that I mentioned) I think you are more likely to be, is where the feeling I was getting from your posts weren't good, because you'd have no reason to do it as town.

When we were arguing, it really did feel like you were pushing buttons in a way that was designed to make me angry or upset, and weren't related to the game directly.  It was more about me personally, and not the game, which is what we try our best not to do, even in a game that is all about each others' "metas" or personalities.  If that's not how you meant it, I accept that, and as I mentioned, prefer to move on from it and refocus on the game.  It doesn't change how I felt at the time, but the reaction, over or not, is passed.  I don't want to let it ruin the game, distract others from playing the game and scumhunting, or harm other games present or future.

Okay. Um. Hmm. Can you please quote the lines that I said that you had a problem with? I mean, I still have a scumread on you, based on things you've said. I want to make an actual case on you that is not just a back-and-forth argument, and see what people think, but I'm still not sure what you're okay and not okay with me saying. I definitely never wanted to make you angry in a non-game sense.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 09, 2013, 01:34:48 am
I truly do not see anything Jimmmmm did as pushing buttons/toeing the line on the civility pledge. Color me very confused.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 01:35:59 am
I genuinely don't understand where you're coming from. Civility and this community and not causing actual rifts between people is very important to me. It would really help me if you pointed out exactly what I said that made you feel like I was being rude or disrespectful for you, because that was definitely not my intent, and I'm truly sorry that you feel that way.

I appreciate that.  I mean, I guess I assumed that, to be honest.  If you are scum, you could use argumentation and other tactics as part of your game.  I'd support your right to, even.  You know as well as any that I've done it myself.

If you are town, and as I've mentioned (and you pointed out that I mentioned) I think you are more likely to be, is where the feeling I was getting from your posts weren't good, because you'd have no reason to do it as town.

When we were arguing, it really did feel like you were pushing buttons in a way that was designed to make me angry or upset, and weren't related to the game directly.  It was more about me personally, and not the game, which is what we try our best not to do, even in a game that is all about each others' "metas" or personalities.  If that's not how you meant it, I accept that, and as I mentioned, prefer to move on from it and refocus on the game.  It doesn't change how I felt at the time, but the reaction, over or not, is passed.  I don't want to let it ruin the game, distract others from playing the game and scumhunting, or harm other games present or future.

Okay. Um. Hmm. Can you please quote the lines that I said that you had a problem with? I mean, I still have a scumread on you, based on things you've said. I want to make an actual case on you that is not just a back-and-forth argument, and see what people think, but I'm still not sure what you're okay and not okay with me saying. I definitely never wanted to make you angry in a non-game sense.

Serious question: did you want to make me angry in an in-game sense?

I don't want to point more fingers.  We could end up arguing over whether the stuff was harmful or not, and it spirals further out.  I say just make your case, based on in-game stuff.  It's the "ash is the type of person to do X" stuff that isn't cool.  I was doing it to you too, at the time, in retorts, and so I stepped away (albeit angrily).  Present the case.  You aren't the first person with a mistaken scum read, you won't be the last.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 09, 2013, 01:37:46 am
What no what everyone be nice kickball.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 09, 2013, 01:44:10 am
Serious question: did you want to make me angry in an in-game sense?

If you're scum I want you to feel under pressure and have to react in ways that might give you away. This game can be super frustrating, especially when you're scum. I have no problem with frustrating people in this way, with the assumption that we can still be friends because that's just the game.

I'm still no closer to understanding what upset you. Please know that I would never intentionally break or come close to breaking the civility pledge. I would appreciate it if in future if you feel this way, that you let me know at the time what offended you so we can work it out as soon as possible rather than leaving each other upset and/or confused.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 01:47:18 am
Serious question: did you want to make me angry in an in-game sense?

If you're scum I want you to feel under pressure and have to react in ways that might give you away. This game can be super frustrating, especially when you're scum. I have no problem with frustrating people in this way, with the assumption that we can still be friends because that's just the game.

I'm still no closer to understanding what upset you. Please know that I would never intentionally break or come close to breaking the civility pledge. I would appreciate it if in future if you feel this way, that you let me know at the time what offended you so we can work it out as soon as possible rather than leaving each other upset and/or confused.

I agree with your statements above.  At the time of the argument, I was honestly too upset to articulate anything.  Who knows, real life stress can add to this stuff.  Anyway, no hard feelings now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 01:47:44 am
What no what everyone be nice kickball.

Drunk AMA?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 09, 2013, 01:52:28 am
What no what everyone be nice kickball.

Drunk AMA?

Sure. I already revealed all (photographicaly) elsewhere.

Unless talking about ongoing threads is FORBIDDEN

but I do have work tomorrow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 01:54:44 am
Are you not not not town?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 09, 2013, 01:55:47 am
Are you not not not town?

No! I think. I'm town! Your turn. This is fun!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 09, 2013, 05:14:53 am
Everyone saying Jimm vs Ash is so definitely town vs town is not a sentiment I share. I think it is equally plausible that the argument was scum/town, town/town, town/scum. I mean just that it fits for town and scum ash and jimm to have acted that way toward eachother.

So if one of Walrus or 2.7 is scum I think one of ash/jimm is likely to be scum.

Also I still think vote: walrus is probably scum.

You know, for awhile now I've been thinking that, when someone makes these statements (see bolded) but leaves out the "scum/scum" possibility, they are actually scum.  They know that both of the players arguing are town, and they would like the lynch to fall on one of the two, so they make these sorts of "well it could be scum/town, town/scum..." sorts of statements, but they forget to say "scum/scum" because they are scum and they don't want to push it.  Just a thought.

This is a quite good observation. mcmc, why did you leave out the scum/scum option?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 09, 2013, 06:59:03 am
This game may need a little push, so I'm just throwing my current suspicions out there:

e - suspicious for not dying tonight. Also seems very eager to sheep the IC.

manda - LAL. Her Jorbles vote from D1 is scummy. Also wants to play "sheep the IC".

ashersky - being on all three D1 wagons is scummy, especially when two of them are confirmed town. Wants to lynch off-wagon, which means not lynching him, so it's a self-preservation tactic in disguise.

mcmc - mostly what ashersky pointed out, leaving out the scum/scum option. Also was on the e and the Morgrim wagon, and has done nothing so far to convince me of his townieness.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: yuma on December 09, 2013, 07:51:07 am
Is there a reason the player list is spoilered?  ???

Probably for future reading?  It was the norm back in the beginning of f.ds mafia.

Oh, yes, this was the reason.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 09, 2013, 11:37:36 am
This game may need a little push, so I'm just throwing my current suspicions out there:

e - suspicious for not dying tonight. Also seems very eager to sheep the IC.

What do you think about the way e behaved prior to his claim? That's one of the biggest reasons I think e is town. I just don't see scum doing that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 09, 2013, 11:43:16 am
This game may need a little push, so I'm just throwing my current suspicions out there:

e - suspicious for not dying tonight. Also seems very eager to sheep the IC.

What do you think about the way e behaved prior to his claim? That's one of the biggest reasons I think e is town. I just don't see scum doing that.

What exactly about his play is it that makes you think e is town?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 09, 2013, 11:47:36 am
Ok so, Walrus reread.

Walrus's playstyle is interesting. I think 1 substantial post a day is ok as town, but it also seems like a playstyle that would be very accomodating to replicate as scum. That's also more or less what he was doing in GoT though.

However :

Sorry for my absence; based on the activity level in here though it looks to be a common state of affairs. I did want to get something down though.
OK, so time for my daily post, and I've got two pages about claiming to work with.
Alright, let me post something. I spent rather more time yesterday in the Detroit International Airport than I would have preferred. So I'm feeling a little burned out.

So I realized that I hadn't posted much about Jimmmmm

To me, it looks like Walrus is forcing himself to post, and even specifically being wary of not having given reads on everyone (the comment about Jimmmm). Basically it looks like he wants to be very consistent about his posting habits, and I have to ask : why would you care if you're town ? Shouldn't you just post whenever you have something to say ? That doesn't mean you should post six hundred times a day (I certainly don't), but I think I'm getting what ash was saying about Walrus' posts feeling "forced" on the reread. I looked back at his GoT posts, and they didn't have that kind of slight awkwardness at all. So this could be Walrus figuring out that his meta will let him get away with posting about once a day, as long as he makes sure that these posts seem substantial. The third quote is the most relevant here I think, as it shows he wants to make sure to appear balanced in his reads, which is definitely scummy in my eyes.

Interestingly, this changes when he's put under some pressure by ash. His posts are shorter, snappier. Now this is a pretty normal reaction I think, but it contrasts a lot with his posts before that, which is interesting. This is not what happened in GoT. Granted, we mislynched him there, so he could have decided he had to defend himself more to survive.

Now that I think of it, this was pretty much ash's case against him day 1 I think. Not sure why I didn't see it then. Sorry ash !

Then we get to day 2 and we have this of course :

I'm not sure. Well naturally my personal inclination is that scum would more likely be on, because I was off wagon. In fact I made a point of saying that I felt like we were heading towards a mislynch. My egocentric concern is that scum will use that fact to accuse me of defending "known" town to win towncred, to butter me up for a mislynch. Especially because I also opposed the Morgrim lynch, which was a mislynch for reals. But that could be improbable and self-centered. I'm not sure if anyone else came out as strongly against the wagon as I did...I remember Jimmmmm saying it was "interesting" how quickly the focus of the wagon had shifted.
vote: ashersky

Tell me I didn't just call that.
I think it's amazing that I was able to predict it so accurately. As soon as I saw the NK that's what my brain screamed at me. You know, I didn't know if I should post it to be honest, because I felt like it would just look weird and paranoid. But I am of the mind that it's better to post your thoughts even if they're kind of crazy.

And I'm glad I did. Not so crazy at all.

I don't really have anything new to say here, mcmc summed it up pretty well. Pointing out the way people might attack you is very scummy to me. You could do something scummy and immediately call attention on its scumminess to discredit future attacks on you, or you could, as Walrus does here, realize you might seem scummy in light of a flip and take preemptive measures. This could very well have been discussed in a scum QT during night 1 (or early day 2 for that matter).

His misread of ash's post seems like wishful thinking then, hoping that ash didn't see his post in PPE and that he'll be able to go after him easily.

Now I included the third post because others find it scummy, but it is actually pretty null for me. Walrus did seem very happy with himself when EFHW turned out to be town in GoT, so I think he just tends to do that.

In any case, this is more than enough for me to vote: Walrus .
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 09, 2013, 11:50:53 am
What exactly about his play is it that makes you think e is town?

He was posting statements that sound extremely scummy but have town logic behind them. This is extremely common among new(ish) players, I've noticed, and it's part of why they frequently get mislynched. The best examples come from an ongoing game unfortunately.

Take for example all his D1 passes, and his post-spammy way he went about giving/explaining them. I just don't see why scum goes about things that way - wouldn't they be more "careful"?

Though I could be biased because I do D1 passes too I suppose.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 09, 2013, 01:54:35 pm
Everyone saying Jimm vs Ash is so definitely town vs town is not a sentiment I share. I think it is equally plausible that the argument was scum/town, town/town, town/scum. I mean just that it fits for town and scum ash and jimm to have acted that way toward eachother.

So if one of Walrus or 2.7 is scum I think one of ash/jimm is likely to be scum.

Also I still think vote: walrus is probably scum.

You know, for awhile now I've been thinking that, when someone makes these statements (see bolded) but leaves out the "scum/scum" possibility, they are actually scum.  They know that both of the players arguing are town, and they would like the lynch to fall on one of the two, so they make these sorts of "well it could be scum/town, town/scum..." sorts of statements, but they forget to say "scum/scum" because they are scum and they don't want to push it.  Just a thought.

This is a quite good observation. mcmc, why did you leave out the scum/scum option?

I guess it is because I feel like it would make no sense for them both to be scum. I do not by any means think it meanse they ouldn't be scum together. I jut doubt it.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 09, 2013, 03:08:18 pm
I guess it is because I feel like it would make no sense for them both to be scum. I do not by any means think it meanse they ouldn't be scum together. I jut doubt it.

I for one find it far more of a scum-tell when people say that arguments are likely scum/town, as most arguments are certainly town/town. So null tell here on mcmc because of it, because in this situation, I could definitely see either Jimmmmm or ash being scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 09, 2013, 03:18:48 pm
I am caught up! I'll post my full thoughts when I get a chance but... I lean town on ash, heavily on Voltaire. Town still on 2.7. Walrus and Jim most likely scum to me. Teproc and mcmc are my big unknowns
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 09, 2013, 03:43:56 pm
I am caught up! I'll post my full thoughts when I get a chance but... I lean town on ash, heavily on Voltaire. Town still on 2.7. Walrus and Jim most likely scum to me. Teproc and mcmc are my big unknowns

Curious for your takes on Teproc and Jimmmmm particularly. What about manda?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 09, 2013, 03:53:29 pm
Sorry still in phone. I'm assuming manda is town for now.

I think there is a very compelling case against Jim, which I will post when I get a chance.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 09, 2013, 06:40:04 pm
Okay I have to post while it's still fresh in my mind.

Jimm, I really think is scum.

First off, this is a level of activity I've never seen from Jimm, or least not in recent memory. Jimm is usually town, he usually is pleasant, psuedo-lurking. He's very active here, and this questioning strategy, I've never seen from him. I've been on him since the beginning because of our exchange over me being considered an IC.

And... what was the rest of it... well, I think ash is town. As always. I think Jimm had a better argument there, and kept driving it home to score easy "win points" if that makes any sense.

Let's see, Jimm keeps trying to draw the circle wider (Teproc is too, by the way).

Oh! And yeah, his stance on the Morgrim thing raised major red flags. Seemed like a likely stance scum would have.

Vote: Jimm and I feel pretty good about it.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 09, 2013, 07:40:11 pm
Okay I have to post while it's still fresh in my mind.

Jimm, I really think is scum.

First off, this is a level of activity I've never seen from Jimm, or least not in recent memory. Jimm is usually town, he usually is pleasant, psuedo-lurking. He's very active here, and this questioning strategy, I've never seen from him. I've been on him since the beginning because of our exchange over me being considered an IC.

And... what was the rest of it... well, I think ash is town. As always. I think Jimm had a better argument there, and kept driving it home to score easy "win points" if that makes any sense.

Let's see, Jimm keeps trying to draw the circle wider (Teproc is too, by the way).

Oh! And yeah, his stance on the Morgrim thing raised major red flags. Seemed like a likely stance scum would have.

Vote: Jimm and I feel pretty good about it.

This I agree with as well as the most recent interaction between ash and jimm in which jimm awkwardly pushed ash about wanting to "sweep things under the rug" which to me looked like jimm trying to make ash look scummy for something null.

vote: Jimm
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: yuma on December 09, 2013, 07:57:25 pm
Vote Count 2.4

ashersky (1): Jimmmmm
Walrus (2): Voltaire, Teproc
Jimmmmm (2): Robz, mcmc

Not Voting (5): faust, ashersky, Walrus, manda, 2.7

With 10 alive it takes 6 to lynch.
Day2 will end December 15 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 09, 2013, 08:21:00 pm
Let me say I still think walrus is more likely scum. But will vote for either, walrus just wasn't getting anywhere.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 09, 2013, 08:23:33 pm
I was kind of waiting around for robz to respond before going on, and now that he has I am doing a reread and will post some more thoughts tonight or tomorrow at latest. We have about six days still, but I think there is a lot that still needs to be covered. Hopefully this will be a more lively week after a dead weekend.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 09, 2013, 10:03:27 pm
Some other reads...

I do think Walrus could very well be scum, but don't have like a really good reason to think so, if that makes any sense.

I really actually believe 2.7's claim. I think not shooting the IC so as to leave 2.7 alive so as to make us wonder about him is a very cute and likely thing for scum to do.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 09, 2013, 11:01:01 pm
Now I am available to talk and everyone is gone!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 09, 2013, 11:02:26 pm
I'm here for a REALLY QUICK read and post before I disappear back into the finals void....
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 09, 2013, 11:29:22 pm
Everyone saying Jimm vs Ash is so definitely town vs town is not a sentiment I share. I think it is equally plausible that the argument was scum/town, town/town, town/scum. I mean just that it fits for town and scum ash and jimm to have acted that way toward eachother.

So if one of Walrus or 2.7 is scum I think one of ash/jimm is likely to be scum.

Also I still think vote: walrus is probably scum.

You know, for awhile now I've been thinking that, when someone makes these statements (see bolded) but leaves out the "scum/scum" possibility, they are actually scum.  They know that both of the players arguing are town, and they would like the lynch to fall on one of the two, so they make these sorts of "well it could be scum/town, town/scum..." sorts of statements, but they forget to say "scum/scum" because they are scum and they don't want to push it.  Just a thought.

This is a really good and interesting point. Obviously, if those three combinations are possible, then the fourth is also possible while the person stating it is town. Not enough to make me throw out a vote yet, certainly, but it's interesting...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 09, 2013, 11:32:57 pm
I think it's an interesting observation too, I just have no reason to believe it's accurate. Maybe he just didn't put scum/scum because it's the most easily disqualifiable scenario.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 09, 2013, 11:40:13 pm
I think it's an interesting observation too, I just have no reason to believe it's accurate. Maybe he just didn't put scum/scum because it's the most easily disqualifiable scenario.

I don't have any data to back it up, either.  Just something of interest to note.  I've seen it in other games, too, where we argue the possible pairings, and usually all options are included.  Here they weren't.  That was all.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 10, 2013, 12:12:06 am
Hmm. Hmm hmm hmm.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Night1)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 10, 2013, 02:03:33 am
Okay, time to collect my thoughts on ash.

Wagon analysis!  7 on wagon, Jorbles was town.

We have six others on wagon.  How many scum rode the known (to them) mislynch of a PR?  2?  Hilariously, if the traitor isn't recruited, they don't know if they are on wagon together or not.

Off-wagon: Walrus, manda, Jimmmmm, faust, Morgrim

At least one scum was off-wagon, I'd say.  Mathematically, easier to hit scum off-wagon today, I suppose,from an outsider's perspective, but from my own, up to 2 out of 4 on wagon with me were scum, so that's slightly higher chances there.

Anyone else with some wagon analysis?

This was the post that started everything. I disagreed with this at first because assuming scum will act in a certain way is always dangerous.

Then I remembered ash's plan in a recent scum QT to stick together on or off the D1 wagon:

"Another thing, I think it'd be great if we were all on or off lynch wagon on D1. Wagon analysis invariably turns to were they on or off, and usually falls on a split. If we are all together, it helps survive later in the game."

My point was not that this must be what ash is doing. My point is that if ash is Town, he must know better than to make assumptions how scum will act, given that he deliberately goes against these very assumptions as scum.

Immediately ash showed that he didn't like what I was saying about this:

Are you waiting for me to pull something straight from my Mean Girls performance, too?

Shall I go copy and paste things from LOTR1 and match them up with things you do here?

He seems to be assuming that scum didn't recruit. He said later that this is because people said they probably wouldn't Recruit if scum. I'm now thinking they probably would, but I wouldn't assume it in the way ash seems to be:

You also forgot to take into account something key -- the scum team can't plan to be all together because one of them is scum all by his/her lonesome.

It is impossible for them to plan to be on/off wagon together, unless they recruited.

He makes his first point of saying he thinks I'm Town.

Quote
I think this makes you more likely to be town, though, since I don't think scum would make that mistake.

He then starts giving reasons why I could be scum:

My guess is that it is 2 on, 1 off, yes.  I could be wrong, and the scum team is you, manda, and Walrus.  Actually, that sounds very possible.  AND you remember my note about how it would be pretty awesome for a scum team to be able to stay all on or all off wagon.  So perhaps you planned it?

manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

Then reminding me of his Townread on me:

Like I said before your ridiculousness, your missteps made you seem more likely town to me.

And in the next post, arguing I could be scum:

manda was again viewing this thread, and again had nothing to say.

Vote: manda

Prodding your partner to post?  Didn't select daychat, I see.

This is also a valid point, in my opinion.  A safe vote for someone for something you knew would be rectified, a vote you didn't really mean.  Scum wants to do this.  They want to put down votes on their partners but be able to take them off without drawing suspicion.

Look, that's what you did.

And then again reminding me of his Townread on me:

Again, for the third time, I most recently said that you seemed MORE LIKELY TOWN to me.  You are OMGUSing my slight town read on you?  That makes no sense.

And again:

And Jimmmmm, why in the world are you trying to scum your way out of a town read?  I really do not understand you.

Does anyone read this as anything other than, "Please stop talking about me. If you don't, I'll have a scumread on you."?

And again:

I mean, you're going back and forth giving reasons why I'm scum and reminding me you have a Townread on me. Which is it?

Slight townread, which you are chiseling away via scummy actions and posting.  Like I said, it feels like you are being intentionally obtuse and combative.  You are either scum trying to drive me insane or town playing at some odd plan.

Unless I missed it, he didn't mention what my "scummy actions and posting" was, he simply stated that I had them.

So yeah. That's the main parts from Day 2. In summary:
-Assuming scum will do something he has deliberately not done as scum.
-Threatening me to stop what I'm saying about him by reminding me of his Townread on me.
-Going back and forth on me from Townread to scummy.
-Throwing out words like "scummy" and "obtuse" and "combative" without explaining what he means by them.

I also want to look at his Day 1 at some point. I do remember him being much more agreeable than I would have expected from him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 10, 2013, 02:04:10 am
Thoughts/responses on my ash case?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 10, 2013, 02:14:59 am
This I agree with as well as the most recent interaction between ash and jimm in which jimm awkwardly pushed ash about wanting to "sweep things under the rug" which to me looked like jimm trying to make ash look scummy for something null.

vote: Jimm

Go back and read ash reminding me of his Townread on me and tell me that wasn't him trying to stop me from talking about him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 10, 2013, 02:21:06 am
This I agree with as well as the most recent interaction between ash and jimm in which jimm awkwardly pushed ash about wanting to "sweep things under the rug" which to me looked like jimm trying to make ash look scummy for something null.

vote: Jimm

Go back and read ash reminding me of his Townread on me and tell me that wasn't him trying to stop me from talking about him.

It wasn't.  My town read came from before our conversation started.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 10, 2013, 07:52:27 am
I guess it is because I feel like it would make no sense for them both to be scum. I do not by any means think it meanse they ouldn't be scum together. I jut doubt it.

I for one find it far more of a scum-tell when people say that arguments are likely scum/town, as most arguments are certainly town/town. So null tell here on mcmc because of it, because in this situation, I could definitely see either Jimmmmm or ash being scum.

Actually, that's not really true.

P(argument is town/town)=6/9*5/8=41,67%
P(argument is scum/town)=6/9*3/8+3/9*6/8=50%

Just saying.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 10, 2013, 08:14:47 am
Okay I have to post while it's still fresh in my mind.

Jimm, I really think is scum.

First off, this is a level of activity I've never seen from Jimm, or least not in recent memory. Jimm is usually town, he usually is pleasant, psuedo-lurking. He's very active here, and this questioning strategy, I've never seen from him. I've been on him since the beginning because of our exchange over me being considered an IC.

And... what was the rest of it... well, I think ash is town. As always. I think Jimm had a better argument there, and kept driving it home to score easy "win points" if that makes any sense.

Let's see, Jimm keeps trying to draw the circle wider (Teproc is too, by the way).

Oh! And yeah, his stance on the Morgrim thing raised major red flags. Seemed like a likely stance scum would have.

Vote: Jimm and I feel pretty good about it.

As for activity, Jimmmmm has been equally active in RMM11 I think, and was town there.

Why is Jimmmmm's stance on the Morgrim thing scummy? I never really got that, because I pretty much shared Jimmmmm's sentiment there.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 10, 2013, 10:07:42 am
I guess it is because I feel like it would make no sense for them both to be scum. I do not by any means think it meanse they ouldn't be scum together. I jut doubt it.

I for one find it far more of a scum-tell when people say that arguments are likely scum/town, as most arguments are certainly town/town. So null tell here on mcmc because of it, because in this situation, I could definitely see either Jimmmmm or ash being scum.

Actually, that's not really true.

P(argument is town/town)=6/9*5/8=41,67%
P(argument is scum/town)=6/9*3/8+3/9*6/8=50%

Just saying.

Isn't that what I said? That any generic argument is most likely town/town?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 10, 2013, 10:15:22 am
Why is Jimmmmm's stance on the Morgrim thing scummy? I never really got that, because I pretty much shared Jimmmmm's sentiment there.

Jimmmmm's stance is the easiest/most "tempting" one for scum to pick. Because if scum thinks Morgrim really is the tracker (if, say, they recruited), they realllllllllly want that lynch to go through on a town PR, but they don't want to get caught red-handed if it becomes clear Morgrim is telling the truth (which never happened because Morgrim, but it has on lynches that turned out to be terribad in the past). So scum hedges/goes for cred.

If that's the opinion you yourself hold then yes sure there you go town can hold it too. One of those "probability" things.

So I like Robz's case on Jimmmmm because it gives reasons to my gut scummy read on Jimmmmm - but my gut is usually wrong. My vote stays on Walrus but I could switch to Jimmmmm I think.

Robz's reads seem to match my reads exactly and so I am nervous about sheeping but willing to ride it out right now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 10, 2013, 10:39:19 am
Okay right. I'm scummy. I could be scum. Whatever.

What do people think about ash?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 10, 2013, 10:45:15 am
Okay right. I'm scummy. I could be scum. Whatever.

What do people think about ash?

You are completely right that he felt different D1. I pointed this out yesterday. But I don't find anything compelling in the "town read/scum read" part of your argument. I do completely agree that ash treated it as a personal argument out of nowhere. But I find you scummy so your case is a null to me right now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 10, 2013, 10:58:48 am

Actually, that's not really true.

P(argument is town/town)=6/9*5/8=41,67%
P(argument is scum/town)=6/9*3/8+3/9*6/8=50%

Just saying.

Isn't that what I said? That any generic argument is most likely town/town?

No, this is saying a generic argument (at our current game state and assuming the argument doesn't include me) is a little more likely to be scum/town than town/town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 10, 2013, 11:06:27 am
Okay right. I'm scummy. I could be scum. Whatever.

What do people think about ash?

I think he's town. I mean, you'll just never persuade me, "Ash is not backing up his cases! He's retaliatory and OMGUS! He must be scum!" This is always town ashersky.

I mean, I actually have something of a bad feeling about him here, I don't think he's his quintessential self. A little off. Maybe you're fight WAS scum/scum!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 10, 2013, 11:11:09 am

Actually, that's not really true.

P(argument is town/town)=6/9*5/8=41,67%
P(argument is scum/town)=6/9*3/8+3/9*6/8=50%

Just saying.

Isn't that what I said? That any generic argument is most likely town/town?

No, this is saying a generic argument (at our current game state and assuming the argument doesn't include me) is a little more likely to be scum/town than town/town.

Oh, interesting. I wasn't seeing the comma and thought it was 67%, not 42%.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 10, 2013, 11:11:30 am
Okay right. I'm scummy. I could be scum. Whatever.

What do people think about ash?

I think he's town. I mean, you'll just never persuade me, "Ash is not backing up his cases! He's retaliatory and OMGUS! He must be scum!" This is always town ashersky.

I mean, I actually have something of a bad feeling about him here, I don't think he's his quintessential self. A little off. Maybe you're fight WAS scum/scum!

What does scum ashersky look like?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 10, 2013, 11:12:48 am
Jimmmm- I am not convinced by the case against him.  Especially when it comes to the whole Ash-Jimmmmm exchange.

1) Ashersky gets frustrated that Jimmmmm brings up a previous game and then implies that Ashersky would behave similarly in this game.  It is called meta analysis.  It is not a big deal.  Nothing to get upset about anyway.

2)
Also, you just proved MY point.  We have to analyze the wagons.  We have to decide if scum is more likely on or off.

You also forgot to take into account something key -- the scum team can't plan to be all together because one of them is scum all by his/her lonesome.

It is impossible for them to plan to be on/off wagon together, unless they recruited.

I think this makes you more likely to be town, though, since I don't think scum would make that mistake.
Jimmmm points out that this seems to be Ashersky assuming that scum would not recruit the traitor.  Ashersky's response is that "it was the general consensus (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322180#msg322180)" that scum would not recruit the traitor.  However, when I read D1 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318787#msg318787), I find Ashersky putting down recruit the traitor as one of the 3 scum options that he would choose.  Also, 4 people select it as a reasonable scum choice.  That is 1/3 of our players.  Not really the "general consensus" that Ashersky makes it seem like it is.  Plus, we know mafia chose at least one PR since morgrim flipped tracker.  (well, I know.  The rest depends on if you guys believe my claim)  So I think it is entirely reasonable to think that scum may have recruited the traitor.  Now, Faust was a little harsh to recruiting in his analysis by saying that "it didn't have many fans."  In fact, it had just as many fans as Role Cop or JOAT.  Each of these three had 4 votes.  So basically I do find Ash a bit scummy for this.

3)
Walrus at 28 seems really low.  I guess he was really inactive on D1 (comparatively). 

Manda needs to step it up.  Everyone else is basically fine.

And then you accuse me of singling manda out?

For a vote, yes.

Was the problem that I singled her out or that I voted for her?

You singled her out AND voted for her, but it wasn't for lurking.  I pointed out that she lurked the most and needed to start contributing.  You pointed out that you spied her here and didn't post.

It was odd to suddenly know she was online, know she was viewing the thread, and be able to swoop in and vote her.
So I have just outlined in point 2 why I think Ash was on a crash course of scummy behavior in regards to discussing PRs, so what does scum do?  Change the topic.  You accuse Jimmmmm of being scummy because you find it "odd to suddenly know she was online, know she was viewing the thread, and be able to swoop in and vote her."  Ash, have you never looked at the "who's online (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?action=who)" page?  Have you never looked at the little thing in the top right of every topic that says "X members and Y guests are viewing this topic."  Have you never been curious as to which members are viewing this topic?  I know I have.  So I go to "who's online" and it tells me what every member is doing on the forum at that time.  You and Jimmmm were having a back-and-forth.  Jimmmmm sees extra people viewing the thread.  Goes to "who's online" to see who it is.  Sees it is Manda.  Wants to make sure everyone knows that she was viewing the thread but hadn't posted, which would be deserving of a vote if she hadn't posted.  She does post, and he goes back to looking at you. 

Then you storm away from the argument.  Now, after returning, you state
It's the "ash is the type of person to do X" stuff that isn't cool.  I was doing it to you too, at the time, in retorts, and so I stepped away (albeit angrily).  Present the case.  You aren't the first person with a mistaken scum read, you won't be the last.
I do agree with Ashersky that Jimmmmm's original Ashersky vote made no logical sense (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322151#msg322151), and Ashersky could very well get frustrated by it.  Getting super annoyed and having the frustration build to a breaking point, I can get it.  But what I am most concerned about your back-and-forth with Jimmmmm was the interesting comment about scum definitely not having recruited the traitor.  Then shifting the conversation away from that as soon as you saw the opportunity with the Manda thing.

Anyway, I think that Ash actually "lost" that little back-and-forth and comes out scummier.

PPE- I wrote this before the last 8 posts.  I was writing then had to step away for about an hour for a meeting.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 10, 2013, 11:14:09 am
I too thought the general consensus was that scum would recruit the traitor.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 10, 2013, 11:14:29 am
I too thought the general consensus was that scum would recruit the traitor.

Would NOT**** recruit the traitor.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 10, 2013, 11:14:49 am
What does scum ashersky look like?

The only time I ever played with scum!ash was Monster Madness. Pretty sure I thought he was town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 10, 2013, 11:16:24 am
I too thought the general consensus was that scum would recruit the traitor.

Would NOT**** recruit the traitor.

It was. e's statement that 1/3 of us "chose" it proves this point. But WIFOM on if scum told the truth through that whole exercise.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 10, 2013, 11:19:04 am
So the general consensus was that scum chose one PR, and that was daychat?  Because if they chose any more than one, I see there being equal likelihood (according to what people chose) of them having JOAT, recruit, or role cop.  In that order with JOAT being most likely, but that it would not be out of the question for them to recruit
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 10, 2013, 11:20:47 am
I really think Jimm is scum, guys.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 10, 2013, 11:25:30 am
I really think Jimm is scum, guys.
Based on his level of activity, drawing a wider circle, and morgrim stance?  Is that your argument that brings you to that conclusion or is it part gut feeling with the argument?  Please expand on your argument.  I see the point about his Morgrim stance, and if he is scum this won't be the first time I have defended scum, but I just don't see a really great argument against Jimmmm.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 10, 2013, 11:34:25 am
So the general consensus was that scum chose one PR, and that was daychat?  Because if they chose any more than one, I see there being equal likelihood (according to what people chose) of them having JOAT, recruit, or role cop.  In that order with JOAT being most likely, but that it would not be out of the question for them to recruit

I thought we also agreed daychat wasn't likely? I'm just going to go find the summary post:

Voltaire - Daychat (+ X)
Walrus - JOAT
Robz - (Daychat)
Jimmmm - Role Cop (+ Recruit)
ashersky - None or Daychat, JOAT, Recruit
faust – Role Cop (+Daychat)
Jorbles - Daychat, JOAT
manda - Daychat
Teproc - Role Cop, JOAT
morgrim - ?
2.7 - Daychat, Recruit, Role Cop
mcmcsalot - (Daychat + Recruit)

So my memory was very wrong. You are right. 1 power (daychat) is "most likely", probably JOAT or rolecop after that if 2 power or if not daychat. But I'm not really sure how "useful" this is, honestly.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 10, 2013, 11:40:12 am
I really think Jimm is scum, guys.

Are you breadcrumbing a PR here? Because if you are, and have an incriminating result on Jimmmmm, I'd prefer if you claimed right away. That way, we can safely lynch Jimmmmm, e can protect you for another night, and if he doesn't because he's scum, well, there we have found our second scum and are in quite good shape.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 10, 2013, 11:46:00 am
So the general consensus was that scum chose one PR, and that was daychat?  Because if they chose any more than one, I see there being equal likelihood (according to what people chose) of them having JOAT, recruit, or role cop.  In that order with JOAT being most likely, but that it would not be out of the question for them to recruit

I thought we also agreed daychat wasn't likely? I'm just going to go find the summary post:

Voltaire - Daychat (+ X)
Walrus - JOAT
Robz - (Daychat)
Jimmmm - Role Cop (+ Recruit)
ashersky - None or Daychat, JOAT, Recruit
faust – Role Cop (+Daychat)
Jorbles - Daychat, JOAT
manda - Daychat
Teproc - Role Cop, JOAT
morgrim - ?
2.7 - Daychat, Recruit, Role Cop
mcmcsalot - (Daychat + Recruit)

So my memory was very wrong. You are right. 1 power (daychat) is "most likely", probably JOAT or rolecop after that if 2 power or if not daychat. But I'm not really sure how "useful" this is, honestly.
The only reason I brought it up is because Ashersky stated that he thought we were under the assumption that scum did not recruit the traitor.  Yet he put that recruiting would be an option that he chose.  So this seems to be a little contradictory to me.  It might be nothing, but I want a good response from Ash as to why we are "assuming" that there is a traitor out there when I do not see any conclusive evidence that it was a majority opinion.  Unless we took Fausts opinion as 100% true, which I am not willing to do.  (no offense Faust, but you know as much about scum as the rest of us.  ICs don't get special scum knowledge)  I never saw any more discussion about PRs after that, only about fakeclaiming.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 10, 2013, 12:01:01 pm
I really think Jimm is scum, guys.

Are you breadcrumbing a PR here? Because if you are, and have an incriminating result on Jimmmmm, I'd prefer if you claimed right away. That way, we can safely lynch Jimmmmm, e can protect you for another night, and if he doesn't because he's scum, well, there we have found our second scum and are in quite good shape.

This is incredibly dangerous if there's a JOAT in the scum team. I want to FoS you for rolefishing, but your're the IC, so...

The ash/Jimmmm fight was so... empty, taht I think it's town v town, if that makes sense. I was siding with Jimmmm in it, but I felt like both were taking it a little too far on purpose, and I didn't really get why ash was upset by it at all. It reminded me of (old reference but it happens to the game manda played in, so there's that) the early stages of the timchen/Galzria fight in MVII (although that one went muuuuuuch farther). So I agree that ash had a pretty scummy day 1 (the plan that was conveniently "stolen" by faust, the voting record), but his day 2 is making him a null read in my book.

And I now think Jimmmmm is probably town. I see the argument about the Morgrim stance, but I'm worried it's scum making it to make us look off-wagon (also because I still think Robz is scum).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 10, 2013, 12:02:32 pm
(also because I still think Robz is scum).

Really? Is this new? Why?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 10, 2013, 12:11:32 pm
I was voting for him all day 1 (before I voted for Morgrim), so no, it's not new.. Unlike you, I got a scum read out of the "IC" exchange early on, he then disappeared for a while which convenienly got people to unvote. I did a reread on him here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320482#msg320482) on day 1 and found a few other scummy things he's done, but mostly it's a gut feeling, which is why I'm not really pushing for it at this point (also the fact that I'm apparently alone in this). I might be tunneling a bit on him, but I just can't really shake it for some reason. I'll probably reread him again later today (game day).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: ashersky on December 10, 2013, 02:47:38 pm
I wanted to wait for Morgrim, but he will be VLA today, and discussion should move on. So here's the (almost) final list:

Voltaire - Daychat (+ X)
Walrus - JOAT
Robz - (Daychat)
Jimmmm - Role Cop (+ Recruit)
ashersky - None or Daychat, JOAT, Recruit
faust – Role Cop (+Daychat)
Jorbles - Daychat, JOAT
manda - Daychat
Teproc - Role Cop, JOAT
morgrim - ?
2.7 - Daychat, Recruit, Role Cop
mcmcsalot - (Daychat + Recruit)

Up to now, everyone ignored one important factor in the PR decision: scum, and only scum, knows how many PRs are out there. So once all PRs are outed (claimed or killed), they can safely fakeclaim one of the remaining roles. This is the reason I think scum wouldn't choose three powers, because it would strip them of this possibility.

So what to choose? Daychat and Recruiting seems a good combo, because having another person to talk to strengthens the Daychat option. But of course this makes the Goon Cop super strong, so it's probably not the best option. A Role Cop is a great addition, I think, because it allows for earlier fake claims and helps taking out the town PRs. And this is it, all I would choose as mafia powers. Maybe, with a newbie scum, I might consider Daychat additionally.

Now to the second part of this – what do the answers reveal about the setup and about who scum is?

Many people seem to think that Daychat is a strong option, so chances are mafia thought that too. Please treat this game as though mafia had Daychat. That means: if there's an exchange between two players, and in the end of it both seem more townie to you, read again. Try to find out if the whole thing could be staged. Voting patterns also need to be analyzed with this in mind.

We can porbably write off the Bulletproof, as it is considered the weakest power by everyone. Recruiting doesn't have a lot of fans, so we probably deal with a Traitor. That makes it harder to scumhunt effectively. But if we're lucky, scum accidentally shoots the Traitor.

Generally, most of us think that one or two powers are probably the best choice. So we're looking at three, maybe four town PRs. At latest after the third claim, any further claims should be handled with a healthy dose of scepticism. In fact, I propose a claiming plan: After we have our first PR outed (which is actually the second, because I am already outed), if anyone wants to claim, they first state the intent to do so. Then everyone else gets a chance to claim PR. We determine a claiming order somehow, and then all PRs fullclaim. This should make it harder for scum to fakeclaim.

Finally, what to make of people's power picks? Get in the head of scum for a moment. It doesn't matter much if you say the truth or not, but can you actually use this to manipulate town? Yes, you can! Make them believe there are lots of PRs out there, so that later a fakeclaim will look less suspicious. Because of that, slight FoS to all who took the 3 powers option.

Here you go.  5th paragraph of analysis.  Probably didn't recruit, dealing with traitor, harder to scum hunt. 

This is the exact post I was thinking of, but on reread looking for it, it is easy to see that the traitor possibility was in people's minds D1.  There's an exchange between 2.7 and Jorbles, for example, around pages 18-20.  It comes up in discussions of Morgrim. 
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 10, 2013, 02:49:16 pm
Yo guys, I know I've been super absent. I'm scheduling a complete reread and current impressions post for lunchtime.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 10, 2013, 04:06:35 pm
As far as the recruit thing goes, I was also under the impression that no recruit was more or less the consensus on day 1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 10, 2013, 09:04:19 pm
Still working on this I promise.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 11, 2013, 02:17:46 am
OK, well I hate to do this, but I'm not going to get this done tonight. But I promised something, so let me throw down a vote at least:

Based on my preliminary reading, I am going to vote: mcmc. I felt like his presence was right in the lurk zone (where the scum in Game of Thrones eluded us, for example), along with a couple of questionable votes and unvotes--they seemed somehow safe yet arbitrary in a way that just felt scummy. So that's my #1 pick for now.

I don't mean to single you out mcmc--I hope to expand on this reasoning and provide reads for other players tomorrow. I also still have to reread the second half of the game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 11, 2013, 02:50:38 am
I really think Jimm is scum, guys.

Are you breadcrumbing a PR here? Because if you are, and have an incriminating result on Jimmmmm, I'd prefer if you claimed right away. That way, we can safely lynch Jimmmmm, e can protect you for another night, and if he doesn't because he's scum, well, there we have found our second scum and are in quite good shape.

This is incredibly dangerous if there's a JOAT in the scum team. I want to FoS you for rolefishing, but your're the IC, so...

I considered this. I still think a Goon Cop that has found a Goon should claim now. If there is a JOAT, well, that Cop won't be much use for us anyway.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 11, 2013, 02:53:59 am
Where is everyone? Robz, manda and Walrus definitely need to get more active, but also the rest of you should post more.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 11, 2013, 03:44:52 am
I have a question I'd like every player to answer.

Based on the Jimmmmm vs ash fight (and anything else), in which order would you place the following, from most likely to least likely?

A) Both Town
B) Jimmmmm scum
C) ash scum
D) Both scum

faust, would you mind endorsing this question? You have a heck of a lot more pull than I do.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 11, 2013, 03:48:42 am
I have a question I'd like every player to answer.

Based on the Jimmmmm vs ash fight (and anything else), in which order would you place the following, from most likely to least likely?

A) Both Town
B) Jimmmmm scum
C) ash scum
D) Both scum

faust, would you mind endorsing this question? You have a heck of a lot more pull than I do.

Fine, I'll endorse that question. Everyone answer please, and I will answer last.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 11, 2013, 03:49:09 am
I have a question I'd like every player to answer.

Based on the Jimmmmm vs ash fight (and anything else), in which order would you place the following, from most likely to least likely?

A) Both Town
B) Jimmmmm scum
C) ash scum
D) Both scum

faust, would you mind endorsing this question? You have a heck of a lot more pull than I do.

Did you want my answer?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 11, 2013, 03:49:57 am
I have a question I'd like every player to answer.

Based on the Jimmmmm vs ash fight (and anything else), in which order would you place the following, from most likely to least likely?

A) Both Town
B) Jimmmmm scum
C) ash scum
D) Both scum

faust, would you mind endorsing this question? You have a heck of a lot more pull than I do.

Did you want my answer?

I don't see why not.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 11, 2013, 03:56:56 am
A, then B.  C and D are invalid.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 11, 2013, 05:48:21 am
Meanwhile, I'll be doing D1 rereads on all of you, and I need you to answer some questions about your play D1. Starting with Voltaire.

So Voltaire. I reviewed your stance on the Morgrim wagon specifically. Prior to Morgrim claiming, you say this:

Well obviously scum's not going to fake claim now, that would be pretty terrible for them.

we gain nothing from lynching morgrim. He has a 3/10 chance of flipping scum, just like almost everyone else. If we want to random lynch, he goes back in the pool. But we don't want to random lynch.

Directly after Morgrim's claim, you post this:

Well, if Morgrim is scum, he's not a Goon.

Halt. Cease. Desist.

The scum!morgrim narrative requires so many "what ifs". I have not seen anything more compelling than "this is how town!morgrim plays". This is the sort of insanity I expect, with a different flavor, sure, but still. Is this really the best way to deal with him?

I mean I do buy ash's narrative as plausible but 1. it's coming from ash 2. it almost never makes sense to lynch a claimed PR.

Until a little later, you suddenly changed your mind:

I was not thinking things through about Morgrim yesterday. I am quite fine with his lynch. If he flips town, it gives any other PRs out there more information to use in their night actions. And should he flip scum, which I now think is more likely, the same thing except we have one scum down on D1! I agree with what faust said - the wagon/interactions may matter more than his flip, which is darn useful in the first place.

You don't give reasons here why your earlier stances on Morgrim are no longer valid. Why weren't they? And the whole "if he flips town, it gives other PRs more info for their night action" is just not a valid reason to lynch anyone, as I already explained.

From there on, you seem really convinced that Morgrim is scum:

Faust, the plan was a very good attempt at finding an elegant solution to the problem, but I believe we just have to accept the (small) risk that Morgrim is the real Tracker and lynch him.

There's three scum, and a very small lynch pool. Town knows they are town, you're an IC, e in my mind has a very believable claim (and actions), so my lynch pool (ignoring my reads!) is only 9 players, 3 of which are scum. That's before factoring in anything else. I have confidence in lynching Morgrim.

What makes you so sure?

Then, short before the Day ends, you ask this:

faust, what do you want to have happen before a lynch? I'm willing to vote morgrim but that runs the risk he self-hammers. With the exception of manda, I'm fine with the day ending.

But yet you don't wait until any of the things I wanted to have happen happened and just go ahead and hammer. Why did you even ask?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 11, 2013, 06:15:24 am
Next on my reread list is Walrus.

So first of all let me stress again that I need you to post more.

Walrus strongly opposed both the Jorbles and the Morgrim lynch, which is interesting. Makes me think that if he's scum, he's informed scum (i.e. no Traitor).

Walrus, in your first post, you say this:

HOWEVER, I would also like to recall something that yuma said in Game of Thrones, to the effect that it is natural to want to scumhunt the active posters Day 1, because they're the ones who have actually out out material to analyze. We definitely should have LALL'ed more in that game. So let's get a few more posts down and see who's still L'ing.

You never came back to this. Why not?

Recently, you said ashersky was "townish". This contradicts your D1 stance on him. What changed your mind?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 11, 2013, 06:18:05 am
I have a question I'd like every player to answer.

Based on the Jimmmmm vs ash fight (and anything else), in which order would you place the following, from most likely to least likely?

A) Both Town
B) Jimmmmm scum
C) ash scum
D) Both scum

faust, would you mind endorsing this question? You have a heck of a lot more pull than I do.

As I said earlier, A>C>B>D
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 11, 2013, 07:33:18 am
Now to Robz.

As already stated that I think scum!Robz is unlikely to not try to NK the IC. This is somewhat mitigated by this post:

I would say IC is the strongest town PR there is available in this game.

which may mean that scum!Robz was trying to get me to think just that.

I never quite understood this post:

I think we should base our scumhunting on what's most likely the case here - that e is town. So let's consider the e wagon at peak.

2.7 (5): Walrus, mcmcsalot, Jorbles, Faust, ashersky (L-2)

When I voted for e, it was partly because I thought he acted scummy, but also partly because I was looking for reactions to a wagon with me on it. And what I take from this is: there are likely multiple scum off the e wagon. What I found odd is that after I voted e, no one jumped the wagon for quite some time, until ashersky's vote.

As scum, I would be wary to vote e as this stage: either he is scum (possibly the Traitor), then scum doesn't want to lynch one of their own D1. Or he's town. Well, every vote after mine would get heat D2 for jumping the easy mislynch once e flipped town. So scum would hold back. And given that there was a lot of holding back going on, there was probably scum among them.

I will do a reread of those off-wagon and post the results soon.

Good thinking. Well, Jorbles and mcmc look scummy there.

Can you tell me what you were trying to say here?

Lastly, this post:

I'm ready for a hammer as well.

I've been mentally backing off my insistence on lynching Morgrim a little bit as I remember all those times I said, "He's just crazy, never scum." But, okay, he expects me to say that by now, doesn't it? So ultimately I think there is still just too strong a chance this was scum play... and if it wasn't scum play, this is the not a terrible lynch (we weren't going to get much out of our Tracker, anyway), and I think a decently informational Day 1.

I don't think lynching a town PR D1 is ever "not terrible". This looks like scum!Robz preparing for Morgrim's town flip, justifying his support for the lynch before the flip.

I am also still awaiting an answer to my previous post. And an answer to Jimmmmm's question. Robz stated he was "confident-ish" in his ash reads, so this should be interesting.

One last point: Robz is tunneling Jimmmmm quite hard. I think that's something he would do as scum, he did it in M31.

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 11, 2013, 10:00:57 am
OK, well I hate to do this, but I'm not going to get this done tonight. But I promised something, so let me throw down a vote at least:

Based on my preliminary reading, I am going to vote: mcmc. I felt like his presence was right in the lurk zone (where the scum in Game of Thrones eluded us, for example), along with a couple of questionable votes and unvotes--they seemed somehow safe yet arbitrary in a way that just felt scummy. So that's my #1 pick for now.

I don't mean to single you out mcmc--I hope to expand on this reasoning and provide reads for other players tomorrow. I also still have to reread the second half of the game.

Delayed omgus? Not really you gave a reason but yea im lurky it's finals, also I think your post was scummy. Weak reason for a vote on me when I have no other votes on me or anything semi lat into a day. Also reasoning that you can drop if you need to, so I think it's a safe scum vote. This
Could be me seeing it that way since I think your scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 11, 2013, 10:02:39 am
I have a question I'd like every player to answer.

Based on the Jimmmmm vs ash fight (and anything else), in which order would you place the following, from most likely to least likely?

A) Both Town
B) Jimmmmm scum
C) ash scum
D) Both scum

faust, would you mind endorsing this question? You have a heck of a lot more pull than I do.

B A C D
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 11, 2013, 10:31:36 am
Based on the Jimmmmm vs ash fight (and anything else), in which order would you place the following, from most likely to least likely?

A) Both Town
B) Jimmmmm scum
C) ash scum
D) Both scum

B > A > C > D

Answers to your questions coming up next, faust.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 11, 2013, 10:43:57 am
You don't give reasons here why your earlier stances on Morgrim are no longer valid. Why weren't they? And the whole "if he flips town, it gives other PRs more info for their night action" is just not a valid reason to lynch anyone, as I already explained.

Second part first, I was misunderstanding the setup. First part second, they were still valid reasons, I just didn't know it. I do think it would have been better if we didn't lynch morgrim now (obviously) but only insomuch as he was town, not that he was a PR. I stand by our decision and my decision to hammer. Morgrim claimed D1 as the tracker. We could have no confidence that he would use his PR in a pro-town way. And he was behaving differently than crazy morgrim in the past - it did feel like he was faking his own meta. That's as much as I want to say.

From there on, you seem really convinced that Morgrim is scum:



What makes you so sure?

Nothing made me sure, but I became confident that lynching him was the right move.. I simply thought through the process again and came to a different conclusion.

Then, short before the Day ends, you ask this:

faust, what do you want to have happen before a lynch? I'm willing to vote morgrim but that runs the risk he self-hammers. With the exception of manda, I'm fine with the day ending.

But yet you don't wait until any of the things I wanted to have happen happened and just go ahead and hammer. Why did you even ask?

Because manda clearly wasn't coming back soon, a prod had to be issued. I was fine with the day ending, it was the day before deadline anyway. What were you expecting to get from Morgrim?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 11, 2013, 10:57:53 am
Because manda clearly wasn't coming back soon, a prod had to be issued. I was fine with the day ending, it was the day before deadline anyway. What were you expecting to get from Morgrim?

A reads list, for example. Having reads from confirmed town around is rather helpful I think.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 11, 2013, 11:00:01 am
Because manda clearly wasn't coming back soon, a prod had to be issued. I was fine with the day ending, it was the day before deadline anyway. What were you expecting to get from Morgrim?

A reads list, for example. Having reads from confirmed town around is rather helpful I think.

Obviously you can disagree, but...exactly how useful would those reads have been? In my opinion, useless.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 11, 2013, 11:00:23 am
Because manda clearly wasn't coming back soon, a prod had to be issued. I was fine with the day ending, it was the day before deadline anyway. What were you expecting to get from Morgrim?

A reads list, for example. Having reads from confirmed town around is rather helpful I think.

Obviously you can disagree, but...exactly how useful would those reads have been? In my opinion, useless.

I mean, again, on principle I agree with you. It's the "Morgrim is the exception to the rule" situation.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 11, 2013, 11:13:30 am
Because manda clearly wasn't coming back soon, a prod had to be issued. I was fine with the day ending, it was the day before deadline anyway. What were you expecting to get from Morgrim?

A reads list, for example. Having reads from confirmed town around is rather helpful I think.

Obviously you can disagree, but...exactly how useful would those reads have been? In my opinion, useless.

Well, while I think Morgrim plays differently from most others here, I don't think that he does not know what he's doing.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 11, 2013, 11:37:58 am
faust: You're right, I totally forgot about the LALL'ing thing until recently. In fact, that was my primary hypothesis that I was keeping in mind while going through this reread, and it's part of the reason I picked out mcmc as being likely scum.

mcmc: My recent vote comes mostly from rereading the first half of the game. So it is indeed delayed, but not so much OMGUS. I could understand why you might think that way though.

Jimmmmm: As I stated before, I found your most recent spat with ash to feel quite town vs. town (this explains also where my town points for ash came from, faust).

I gave more town points to Jimmmmm than ash. Since the "asshole dial" comment, I feel like ash has been acting more like his "normal" self. So it's possible that was just a V/LA shift. On the other hand, I know ash is capable of anything...it's possible he realized people were expecting more asshole, and so he adapted to what the people wanted. And it doesn't completely cancel out my earlier scumread on him.

Jimmmmm has been very out in the open, and I think he's exposing himself more than scum would like to do. One reservation I have is that he himself specifically asked for people to answer this question, which strikes me as a little weird. So mitigate those town points somewhat.

But bottom line is that both of them got kicked down a notch on my lynch list.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 11, 2013, 03:34:40 pm
I have a question I'd like every player to answer.

Based on the Jimmmmm vs ash fight (and anything else), in which order would you place the following, from most likely to least likely?

A) Both Town
B) Jimmmmm scum
C) ash scum
D) Both scum

faust, would you mind endorsing this question? You have a heck of a lot more pull than I do.

B, C, D, A
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 11, 2013, 03:37:18 pm
Now to Robz.

As already stated that I think scum!Robz is unlikely to not try to NK the IC. This is somewhat mitigated by this post:

I would say IC is the strongest town PR there is available in this game.

which may mean that scum!Robz was trying to get me to think just that.

I never quite understood this post:

I think we should base our scumhunting on what's most likely the case here - that e is town. So let's consider the e wagon at peak.

2.7 (5): Walrus, mcmcsalot, Jorbles, Faust, ashersky (L-2)

When I voted for e, it was partly because I thought he acted scummy, but also partly because I was looking for reactions to a wagon with me on it. And what I take from this is: there are likely multiple scum off the e wagon. What I found odd is that after I voted e, no one jumped the wagon for quite some time, until ashersky's vote.

As scum, I would be wary to vote e as this stage: either he is scum (possibly the Traitor), then scum doesn't want to lynch one of their own D1. Or he's town. Well, every vote after mine would get heat D2 for jumping the easy mislynch once e flipped town. So scum would hold back. And given that there was a lot of holding back going on, there was probably scum among them.

I will do a reread of those off-wagon and post the results soon.

Good thinking. Well, Jorbles and mcmc look scummy there.

Can you tell me what you were trying to say here?

Lastly, this post:

I'm ready for a hammer as well.

I've been mentally backing off my insistence on lynching Morgrim a little bit as I remember all those times I said, "He's just crazy, never scum." But, okay, he expects me to say that by now, doesn't it? So ultimately I think there is still just too strong a chance this was scum play... and if it wasn't scum play, this is the not a terrible lynch (we weren't going to get much out of our Tracker, anyway), and I think a decently informational Day 1.

I don't think lynching a town PR D1 is ever "not terrible". This looks like scum!Robz preparing for Morgrim's town flip, justifying his support for the lynch before the flip.

I am also still awaiting an answer to my previous post. And an answer to Jimmmmm's question. Robz stated he was "confident-ish" in his ash reads, so this should be interesting.

One last point: Robz is tunneling Jimmmmm quite hard. I think that's something he would do as scum, he did it in M31.

What do you mean, what was I trying to say? I was trying to say what I said, that based on the analysis I was quoting, those ere the scummy people.

I'm tunneling Jimm because I think he is scum, and I think he's scum for very good reasons that I have stated.

As for Morgrim, of course I was justifiyng my vote, it was a vote to kill a claimed PR. I didn't back off it, though. I didn't unvote, that would have been backing off.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 11, 2013, 03:39:35 pm
I have a question I'd like every player to answer.

Based on the Jimmmmm vs ash fight (and anything else), in which order would you place the following, from most likely to least likely?

A) Both Town
B) Jimmmmm scum
C) ash scum
D) Both scum

faust, would you mind endorsing this question? You have a heck of a lot more pull than I do.

B, C, D, A

!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 11, 2013, 03:41:29 pm
Yeah that's... a pretty bold ordering, probability wise.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 11, 2013, 03:44:30 pm
I know, well, it's what I think. Sorry, I was asked. The only thing felt off to me though, and not town on town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:08:25 am
Sheesh. Lurk much?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 12:11:59 am
Post count:

1. Voltaire - 129
2. Walrus - 35
3. Robz - 93
4. Jimmmm - 160
5. ashersky - 150
6. faust - 92
8. manda - 31
9. Teproc - 68
11. 2.7 - 115
12. mcmcsalot - 58
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 12:13:05 am
Thoughts...

Abnormally high for Jimmmm.
Walrus and Manda severely need to post more.
mcmc and Tep seem to be in the actilurker zone.

Everything else looks as one would expect.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:29:32 am
Thoughts...

Abnormally high for Jimmmm.
Walrus and Manda severely need to post more.
mcmc and Tep seem to be in the actilurker zone.

Everything else looks as one would expect.

It's abnormal because he's scum. Go with the simple explanation!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:49:08 am
Thoughts...

Abnormally high for Jimmmm.
Walrus and Manda severely need to post more.
mcmc and Tep seem to be in the actilurker zone.

Everything else looks as one would expect.

It's abnormal because he's scum. Go with the simple explanation!

Occam's Razor, right?

Tell me again, why the Town read on ash?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:51:14 am
Thoughts...

Abnormally high for Jimmmm.
Walrus and Manda severely need to post more.
mcmc and Tep seem to be in the actilurker zone.

Everything else looks as one would expect.

I don't always lurk when scum.
I was up there in DS9.
More recently, I was way out on top for at least some parts of RMM11.
Really, a high post count for me should at worst be a nulltell.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:52:03 am
I don't always lurk when scum.

Whoops! Friskian scumslip! This of course should say "I don't always lurk when Town."
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:52:39 am
Still need a response from Walrus, manda and e.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:57:46 am
It's not just that town Jimm is a lurker, it's that his content is mild and unmemorable and inoffensive.

Here, you have been in the driver's seat, and you are raising questions like I've never seen from you before. Yo are different, AND you had the scummy reaction to the prospective Morgrim lynch.

My town read on ash is because this is the ash I know, although he is a little off, which is why I had the audacity to actually predict that this could be scum/scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 01:00:04 am
It's not just that town Jimm is a lurker, it's that his content is mild and unmemorable and inoffensive.

Yeah I know. I'm boring. I realised this when I thought about what my meta description would be in that other game. I'm generally making an effort to spice things up a bit. See my first post or so in this game and RMM11 for examples.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 01:01:11 am
Here, you have been in the driver's seat, and you are raising questions like I've never seen from you before. Yo are different, AND you had the scummy reaction to the prospective Morgrim lynch.

Don't you love playing a game in which you can promote doing something extremely anti-Town and then throw suspicion on someone who didn't want to do it?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 01:03:00 am
Here, you have been in the driver's seat, and you are raising questions like I've never seen from you before. Yo are different, AND you had the scummy reaction to the prospective Morgrim lynch.

Don't you love playing a game in which you can promote doing something extremely anti-Town and then throw suspicion on someone who didn't want to do it?

Yes! That was part of the reason to do it: See who dared to say the sane thing.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 01:03:20 am
And Jimm, I really love THIS Jimm. I hope you're not scum. But I can't shake the evidence, man.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 02:33:14 am
What do you mean, what was I trying to say? I was trying to say what I said, that based on the analysis I was quoting, those ere the scummy people.

I mean, why did you say my post was "good thinking" and at the same time paint two players as scummy that, according to my post, are less likely to be scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 02:41:24 am
And Jimm, I really love THIS Jimm. I hope you're not scum. But I can't shake the evidence, man.

Glad to hear it! Hopefully I can help you shake it in the not too distant future.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 03:28:38 am
Okay, thread's a bit quiet, only a few days until deadline, let's do this thing.

I've been trying to get as many opinions on ash as I could before I did this, but had a hard time getting people to bite. Although now everyone except manda has at least given some sort of stance about me vs ash.

Here goes...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 03:30:45 am
I am the Goon Cop.

Last Night I investigated ashersky.

He is a Goon.


Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 03:36:13 am
Now this has a few ramifications. It means that scum chose at least one bonus. If e is really a Bodyguard, it means they chose at least two, one of which was recruiting the Traitor (since ash is a Goon). If we have any more PRs that means I managed to pick the one and only Goon and from here on out I'm basically a named VT.

Now I'm actually perfectly fine with not lynching ash Today and trying to find his partners instead, for a few reasons:
-ash is a Goon and therefore his non-Goon partner/s are a higher priority.
-Keeping ash alive will disincentive them from killing me since when you get my flip ash becomes confirmed scum.
-Lynching someone other than ash will at least narrow down my investigation pool in the event that there is still a Goon left for me to find.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 03:51:32 am
I am the Goon Cop.

Last Night I investigated ashersky.

He is a Goon.


vote: Jimmmmm

This is a great fake claim for scum's role cop, I suppose.  But he didn't get a result last night, So maybe they picked up that I was a PR from D1.

My hesitant town read came from the fact that I roleblocked Jimmmmm last night and a kill still happened.  That made him at least slightly less likely to be scum in my opinion, but not enough to clear him.

At least I'm relieved that you have a good excuse for our fight--that was more acceptable behavior from scum.  It makes way more sense.  You were just too different from your town self.

Also, if there is a real goon cop, don't claim!  Jimmmmm is trying to out you and mislynch me.  Better I'm outed than the cop.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 03:52:57 am
Hi ash!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 03:55:11 am
Now this has a few ramifications. It means that scum chose at least one bonus. If e is really a Bodyguard, it means they chose at least two, one of which was recruiting the Traitor (since ash is a Goon). If we have any more PRs that means I managed to pick the one and only Goon and from here on out I'm basically a named VT.

Now I'm actually perfectly fine with not lynching ash Today and trying to find his partners instead, for a few reasons:
-ash is a Goon and therefore his non-Goon partner/s are a higher priority.
-Keeping ash alive will disincentive them from killing me since when you get my flip ash becomes confirmed scum.
-Lynching someone other than ash will at least narrow down my investigation pool in the event that there is still a Goon left for me to find.

Also, scum slip here.  No reason that "ash is a goon" means traitor recruited was selected.  There are plenty of options to select (day talk + bulletproof) for example that leaves multiple goons.  Remember, jimmmmm has to work the math to fit his lie.  He can't shake his own knowledge, though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 03:55:26 am
Hi ash!

Hi scum!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 03:58:51 am
Now this has a few ramifications. It means that scum chose at least one bonus. If e is really a Bodyguard, it means they chose at least two, one of which was recruiting the Traitor (since ash is a Goon). If we have any more PRs that means I managed to pick the one and only Goon and from here on out I'm basically a named VT.

Now I'm actually perfectly fine with not lynching ash Today and trying to find his partners instead, for a few reasons:
-ash is a Goon and therefore his non-Goon partner/s are a higher priority.
-Keeping ash alive will disincentive them from killing me since when you get my flip ash becomes confirmed scum.
-Lynching someone other than ash will at least narrow down my investigation pool in the event that there is still a Goon left for me to find.

Also, scum slip here.  No reason that "ash is a goon" means traitor recruited was selected.  There are plenty of options to select (day talk + bulletproof) for example that leaves multiple goons.  Remember, jimmmmm has to work the math to fit his lie.  He can't shake his own knowledge, though.

No scumslip. That was under "If e is really a Bodyguard". In which case you or your partners selected at least Two bonuses. If neither was Recruiting, there would not be any Goons. So either you have one scum PR and two Goons (one originally being the traitor) or two scum PRs and one traitor come Goon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 03:59:47 am
ash, why Roleblock me?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 04:01:34 am
Now this has a few ramifications. It means that scum chose at least one bonus. If e is really a Bodyguard, it means they chose at least two, one of which was recruiting the Traitor (since ash is a Goon). If we have any more PRs that means I managed to pick the one and only Goon and from here on out I'm basically a named VT.

Now I'm actually perfectly fine with not lynching ash Today and trying to find his partners instead, for a few reasons:
-ash is a Goon and therefore his non-Goon partner/s are a higher priority.
-Keeping ash alive will disincentive them from killing me since when you get my flip ash becomes confirmed scum.
-Lynching someone other than ash will at least narrow down my investigation pool in the event that there is still a Goon left for me to find.

Also, scum slip here.  No reason that "ash is a goon" means traitor recruited was selected.  There are plenty of options to select (day talk + bulletproof) for example that leaves multiple goons.  Remember, jimmmmm has to work the math to fit his lie.  He can't shake his own knowledge, though.

No scumslip. That was under "If e is really a Bodyguard". In which case you or your partners selected at least Two bonuses. If neither was Recruiting, there would not be any Goons. So either you have one scum PR and two Goons (one originally being the traitor) or two scum PRs and one traitor come Goon.

Dude, day talk + bulletproof.  That's two goons and a traitor.

Thanks for letting us know you recruited, though.

I assume Faust, morg, 2.7 and I are probably it, and jimmmmm recruited + I more.  The goon cop fake claim tells us they are more afraid of that role, which sounds like two goons.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 04:04:04 am
ash, why Roleblock me?

You've been off this game.  I had a read on you D1.  You were either scum, or doing a Robz trying to draw the NK as a VT.


Why cop me?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 04:05:03 am
Dude, day talk + bulletproof.  That's two goons and a traitor.

Yeah, I'm an idiot. A fool, but an honest fool I remain.

I need to go re-check the powers you could have chosen.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 04:09:54 am
If we have any more PRs that means I managed to pick the one and only Goon and from here on out I'm basically a named VT.

As ash helpfully pointed out, this is wrong. If e is a Bodyguard and we have no more Town PRs, then scum had to have chosen at least one of Daytalk and Recruit.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 04:13:10 am
Why cop me?

It was actually quite a stroke of luck. Parts of Day 1 I was feeling uncomfortable about you and Robz, at least in part because of how agreeable you were. I initially put you down in case I didn't get a chance to have a proper look. I was planning on putting a proper re-read in and was thinking I'd probably change to Jorbles. Luckily (for Town) I never got a chance to, and I returned home one evening to a lovely surprise.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 05:14:22 am
Food for thought:  here are two scum narratives.

A is scum.  He decides on D2 to stage an emotional fight with Jimmmmm to gain towncred, even though everyone on f.ds knows that A is prone to emotional reactions as town or scum, and it probably is a stupid way to try to gain towncred.  He then gets called as scum by the cop.  Unlucky him.

B is scum.  He hedged badly on a free PR lynch on D1, then decided on N1 to find a way to out the goon cop while scoring one of the easier mislynches on f.ds, ashersky.  He opens the day with a pre-loaded argument against ashersky specifically, that being the QT bit from RMM9 which he had gone and found the night before to use against him.  Then, when he gets under pressure, he plays his pre-planned trump card, the fakeclaim.  Much like ashersky in Mean Girls, he hopes to preempt everyone by claiming early, and in the process kill off a townie AND maybe get the real cop to counterclaim.  All in a trade for a Goon lynch on D3.

Hmmm...which one seems more likely to you?  I must say, I know how mcmc felt in Mean Girls now.  Maybe it's karma.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 05:17:58 am
Also, one reason I was more wary of Morgrim's claim was that, as a PR, after 2.7's claim, I knew it was less likely he was telling the truth.

You should have had the same reaction, but you didn't.  You hedged hardcore, and tried to look like you didn't want to mislynch, because you knew already that he wasn't lying.  You had recruited your traitor, and you knew how many PRs you chose, so you reacted by trying to seem innocent in the whole thing, not voting.

If you were a real town PR, you'd have seriously doubted Morgrim's claim way more than you did.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 05:19:14 am
Wow. Well, this is a strange game.

Why claim now Jimmmmm ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 05:24:24 am
Very interesting.

Goon Cop is a pretty terrible fake claim. If Jimmmmm does not tell he truth, we'll know the next Day. If he would want to fake claim, there are other options: Roleblocker and Vigilante. Roleblocker is better because it can't be confirmed. Vigilante also can't be confirmed, even though it would raise the question why there is only one NK at some point. Still, it would allow Jimmmmm to live longer than with his current claim.

And guess what? Ashersky claimed Roleblocker. The best fake claim. That plus the fact that ash always looked more scummy than Jimmmmm to me makes me vote: ashersky
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 05:25:53 am
Note that there certainly is room for Jimmmmm fakeclaiming as scum and outing his partner.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 05:31:18 am
I'm not sure Goon Cop is such a terrible fake claim. It has a chance of outing the actual Goon Cop, which may or may not be very desireable (depending on what mafia chose) and there's the possibility of a scum v scum ploy. I don't really believe that but I guess it's possible. Jimmmmm's claim is a little weird to me in many ways, which is why I'm interested as to his reasoning for claiming now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 05:32:19 am
ash, why Roleblock me?

You've been off this game.  I had a read on you D1.  You were either scum, or doing a Robz trying to draw the NK as a VT.


Why cop me?

Jimmmmm definitely was very acive and under suspicion D1. BUT - doesn't this make im a bad RB target? Even if he was scum, wouldn't he let his partner who was more under the radar do the NK?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 05:34:49 am
Jimmmmm's claim makes a lot of sense in the light of this:

I really think Jimm is scum, guys.

Are you breadcrumbing a PR here? Because if you are, and have an incriminating result on Jimmmmm, I'd prefer if you claimed right away. That way, we can safely lynch Jimmmmm, e can protect you for another night, and if he doesn't because he's scum, well, there we have found our second scum and are in quite good shape.

He did his question in the post after that, which means he decided to claim immediately after I urged the Goon Cop to claim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 05:36:02 am
I agree by the way that should there be an actual Goon Cop, they shouldn't claim now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 05:37:07 am
Still, Jimmmmm, why didn't you claim right away?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 05:39:32 am
I'm not sure Goon Cop is such a terrible fake claim. It has a chance of outing the actual Goon Cop, which may or may not be very desireable (depending on what mafia chose) and there's the possibility of a scum v scum ploy. I don't really believe that but I guess it's possible. Jimmmmm's claim is a little weird to me in many ways, which is why I'm interested as to his reasoning for claiming now.

Well yes, that's all possible, but even if his were he case, our best way to proceed is lynching ashersky, right? Then we can think about whether Jimmmmm is scum tomorrow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 05:39:54 am
ash, why Roleblock me?

You've been off this game.  I had a read on you D1.  You were either scum, or doing a Robz trying to draw the NK as a VT.


Why cop me?

Jimmmmm definitely was very acive and under suspicion D1. BUT - doesn't this make im a bad RB target? Even if he was scum, wouldn't he let his partner who was more under the radar do the NK?

I don't know their thinking.  Clearly Jimmmm didn't do the kill.

Roleblocker is a hard role, I think, because you DON'T want to block town PRs, so there's negative utility.   In the end, I went with the scum read that I thought was playing the most sly, if that makes sense.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 05:40:54 am
I'm not sure Goon Cop is such a terrible fake claim. It has a chance of outing the actual Goon Cop, which may or may not be very desireable (depending on what mafia chose) and there's the possibility of a scum v scum ploy. I don't really believe that but I guess it's possible. Jimmmmm's claim is a little weird to me in many ways, which is why I'm interested as to his reasoning for claiming now.

Well yes, that's all possible, but even if his were he case, our best way to proceed is lynching ashersky, right? Then we can think about whether Jimmmmm is scum tomorrow.

Unless we're partners that planned this.  (spoiler alert: we're not.)  Then he sails off into the sunset.

If you haven't read LOTR1, I highly recommend it.  That scum!Jimmmmm is resurrected here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 05:42:10 am
Now I'm actually perfectly fine with not lynching ash Today and trying to find his partners instead, for a few reasons:
-ash is a Goon and therefore his non-Goon partner/s are a higher priority.
-Keeping ash alive will disincentive them from killing me since when you get my flip ash becomes confirmed scum.
-Lynching someone other than ash will at least narrow down my investigation pool in the event that there is still a Goon left for me to find.

This makes Jimmmmm more likely scum actually. You understand that we have to lynch ash now because we don't know if you're telling the ruth oherwise, right?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 05:43:07 am
I'm not sure Goon Cop is such a terrible fake claim. It has a chance of outing the actual Goon Cop, which may or may not be very desireable (depending on what mafia chose) and there's the possibility of a scum v scum ploy. I don't really believe that but I guess it's possible. Jimmmmm's claim is a little weird to me in many ways, which is why I'm interested as to his reasoning for claiming now.

Well yes, that's all possible, but even if his were he case, our best way to proceed is lynching ashersky, right? Then we can think about whether Jimmmmm is scum tomorrow.

Unless we're partners that planned this.  (spoiler alert: we're not.)  Then he sails off into the sunset.

If you haven't read LOTR1, I highly recommend it.  That scum!Jimmmmm is resurrected here.

Only he doesn't. I'm still suspicious of if and will continue to be even if you flip scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 05:46:21 am
I'm not sure Goon Cop is such a terrible fake claim. It has a chance of outing the actual Goon Cop, which may or may not be very desireable (depending on what mafia chose) and there's the possibility of a scum v scum ploy. I don't really believe that but I guess it's possible. Jimmmmm's claim is a little weird to me in many ways, which is why I'm interested as to his reasoning for claiming now.

Well yes, that's all possible, but even if his were he case, our best way to proceed is lynching ashersky, right? Then we can think about whether Jimmmmm is scum tomorrow.

Probably. Ash's counterclaim is also not convincing at all to me, so lyching him seems fine. But I'm intrigued by Jimmmm's claim, and not in a good way.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 05:52:52 am
The Jorbles NK makes more sense now, with jimmmmm confirmed as scum.  Separate on wagons, no real interaction.  Good choice for him specifically.

Any likely partners for jimmmmm stick out?  Walrus, manda...

Robz could be epically bussing, I guess.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 05:53:49 am
I'm not sure Goon Cop is such a terrible fake claim. It has a chance of outing the actual Goon Cop, which may or may not be very desireable (depending on what mafia chose) and there's the possibility of a scum v scum ploy. I don't really believe that but I guess it's possible. Jimmmmm's claim is a little weird to me in many ways, which is why I'm interested as to his reasoning for claiming now.

Well yes, that's all possible, but even if his were he case, our best way to proceed is lynching ashersky, right? Then we can think about whether Jimmmmm is scum tomorrow.

Probably. Ash's counterclaim is also not convincing at all to me, so lyching him seems fine. But I'm intrigued by Jimmmm's claim, and not in a good way.

Not sure how to be convincing for you.  You've never played with me.  Vets will know.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 05:58:30 am
Well, ok, have you been in this situation before so that I can look it up and compare ? I'm wary of meta defenses for scummy things, but I guess I might as well get informed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 06:17:35 am
Well, ok, have you been in this situation before so that I can look it up and compare ? I'm wary of meta defenses for scummy things, but I guess I might as well get informed.

You mean scum fake claims catching town PRs in a mislynch?  Most famously, I got mcmc mislynched D2 of Mean Girls, basically exactly the way Jimmmmm is doing here.

My very first game, I was town doc who caught scum in a fake cop claim.
In Hydras mafia, scum fake claimed cop with a guilty result on me when I was the real cop.  I wasn't believed and was mislynched in Lylo for the town loss.

In all cases, scum was the first claim, town was the counter.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 06:21:10 am
The third case was the one I was thinking of (to see if you're usually more believeable counterclaiming as town), I'll check that out. I did read your first game but you were a newbie back then, even missing that you could counterclaim Frisk immediately so I don't know how relevant that would be. I'll check out the hydra game I guess.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 07:19:24 am
You know what? In this situation, it would be really neat if we still had a Tracker...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 07:22:18 am
Also unvote. I still think lynching ashersky is our best move, but no need to rush things. There's still time, and everyone should have the chance to discuss this situation.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 10:54:17 am
Now I'm actually perfectly fine with not lynching ash Today and trying to find his partners instead, for a few reasons:
-ash is a Goon and therefore his non-Goon partner/s are a higher priority.
-Keeping ash alive will disincentive them from killing me since when you get my flip ash becomes confirmed scum.
-Lynching someone other than ash will at least narrow down my investigation pool in the event that there is still a Goon left for me to find.

This makes Jimmmmm more likely scum actually. You understand that we have to lynch ash now because we don't know if you're telling the ruth oherwise, right?

Oh my! What a busy night last night. But this seems really good, actually. Let's think it through.

Regardless of if any of them are telling the truth, at least one is scum. So let's work through the scenarios:


I actually think we should lynch Jimmmmm since the scenarios look identical - RB is more valuable to have around, right? So if we're wrong, we want to lose the least hurtful PR. Am I missing something?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 11:04:18 am
Thanks, Voltaire. I was having the same thoughts while thinking this through a bit more, but decided to wait and see if someone else posts them. Lynching Jimmmmm might actually be the better move here. The reasons look like this to me:

Lynch ashersky:
- Jimmmmm's claim was more believable
- ashersky's play looks scummier (to me at least)
- his claim can not be confirmed unless we have a night without NK.

Lynch Jimmmmm:
- if Jimmmmm is town, ashersky is only a Goon. If ashersky is town, Jimmmmm might be a scum PR.
- Jimmmmm's role is likely useless from now on
- his claim can not be confirmed as he might be scum sacrificing his partner
- what he said after his claim (about not lynching ashersky) looks scummy
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 11:06:05 am
I guess I will continue my D1 rereads. Look, up next are Jimmmmm and ashersky. How fitting...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 11:14:20 am
- his claim can not be confirmed unless we have a night without NK.

Though if he is scum that could be his team no-killing to try to make his claim more believable.

I could actually see this being a scum/scum gambit since it involves ashersky...and Jimmmmm was the scummier of the two in my book.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 11:22:39 am
- his claim can not be confirmed unless we have a night without NK.

Though if he is scum that could be his team no-killing to try to make his claim more believable.

I could actually see this being a scum/scum gambit since it involves ashersky...and Jimmmmm was the scummier of the two in my book.

^^Yes, wasn't I saying that this was more likely scum/scum than town/town, to me?

Definitely lynch Jimm, I think. If it's town!Jimm and scum!ash and ash gets away with this crap again, that will really really suck... but what else can we do? Jimm is just so so different to me this game. If he were truly the cop he should be playing his typical reserved self, to maximize his chances of living long. And Jimm usually lives a long time for precisely this reason. If you're a town PR, you picked the really wrong time to switch up your meta!

Yeah, so lynch Jimm.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 11:30:34 am
Jimmmmm, I don't understand why you decided to claim now (as opposed to earlier in the day or at L-2/L-1), and I really don't understand why you don't want to lynch ashersky if you know he's scum. Well I do understand it actually, but you have to admit that it makes the scum/scum possibility a lot more likely.

I don't think we should lynch Jimmmmm. We already lynched a PR for pretty similar reasons, remember ? I'm scared that this is Morgrim all over again (I mean, Jimmmmm's claim is a lot saner than Morgrim's obviously, but there still are similarities).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 11:32:49 am
It's actually extra-nice this happened. I was thinking last night about how close the deadline is. We should be able to sort this out in the next two days and lynch and avoid the terrible weekend lull.

vote: Jimmmmm. That's 4 votes on Jimmmmm, L-2 (6 to lynch).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 11:34:33 am
I don't think we should lynch Jimmmmm. We already lynched a PR for pretty similar reasons, remember ? I'm scared that this is Morgrim all over again (I mean, Jimmmmm's claim is a lot saner than Morgrim's obviously, but there still are similarities).

But we're also lynching a claimed PR if we lynch ash.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 11:35:24 am
So, here's Jimmmmm's reread:

I'll just colllect everything noteable and give post numbers, since I don't want to quote all of it. In the beginning, we have the famous refusal to give Robz town points (#167). Then, early on, he has an exchange with ashersky (around #206). He then accuses mcmc of being vague (#245) and votes for him (#381). Note that he never says that he is no longer suspicious of mcmc.

During the e discussion, he defends e (#459, #491) and then is the first to vote Jorbles (#493). He then again has a conversation with ashersky (around #503). The next post, after e's claim, is interesting enough to quote it:

I think, although he probably shouldn't have claimed at this point, his claim does get him some Town points. If he is scum, Town probably don't have many PRs, since if they do that would be too great a risk to take.

This could be PR breadcrumbing (if he is scum, town doesn't have many PRs. I have a PR, so e is more likely town), but it's far from clear.

He is then suspicious of how quickly the Jorbles wagon grew (#536) and votes manda for her scummy Jorbles vote (#587). What follows, his whole opposition to the Morgrim wagon, is already well-discussed.
Now something big: At the start of D2, he posts this:

Hey people: It was a joke! ashersky was joking. We here at f.ds do that sometimes. Maybe it was scummy joking, I don't know. We do that too. But it was a joke.

By that time, according to his claim, he already knew that ashersky was scum. Why defend known scum?

All in all, the scum narrative for Jimmmmm is definitely there. I want him to respond to all this before we settle on a lynch though. ashersky reread is up next.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 11:40:56 am
- his claim can not be confirmed unless we have a night without NK.

Though if he is scum that could be his team no-killing to try to make his claim more believable.

I could actually see this being a scum/scum gambit since it involves ashersky...and Jimmmmm was the scummier of the two in my book.

Well, no, since if we get a night with no NK, ash has to tell us who he targeted, and if that person is town, we've caught him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 11:42:16 am
L-2 already ? mcmc hasn't been there since the claim, so we should wait until he's back to put Jimmmmm at L-1 at the very least.

The possibilities are :
1) Jimmmmm is town, ash is scum
2) Jimmmmm is scum, ash is town
3) Both are scum

While Jimmmmm's claim is a little weird, it's a lot more believable to me than ash's claim, which feels like a last itch effort by caught scum to out the Roleblocker. If both are scum, the order in which we lynch them is basically irrelevant, and I feel like 1 is just way more likely than 2.

vote: ashersky
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 12, 2013, 11:43:26 am
Wait. No. Stop. All wrong.

I am the real roleblocker. I targeted Robz N1.

vote: ashersky

Nice try ash.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 11:45:17 am
He hedged badly on a free PR lynch on D1

This is such a gross misrepresentation. I never wanted to or advocated lynching Morgrim. If you think I did, you don't understand either frustration or sarcasm.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 11:45:21 am
Unvote
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 11:47:15 am
Thanks, Walrus. Well, it has to be ash, then.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 11:47:45 am
Crazy, crazy, crazy. Walrus, who did you target last night?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 11:48:06 am
Crazy, crazy, crazy. Walrus, who did you target last night?

Uh, I can't read.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 11:49:45 am
Scum team: Walrus, ashersky, Jimmmmm?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 11:50:47 am
Wait. No. Stop. All wrong.

I am the real roleblocker. I targeted Robz N1.

vote: ashersky

Nice try ash.

Wow okay. I guess that had to happen.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 11:50:51 am
Thanks, Walrus. Well, it has to be ash, then.

unvote. Does it? No scenario where Walrus is covering for Jimmmmm?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 11:51:17 am
Thanks, Walrus. Well, it has to be ash, then.

unvote. Does it? No scenario where Walrus is covering for Jimmmmm?

The scenario where two scum are outed after ash flips?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 11:52:11 am
That would be pretty insane. It's possible though. The safest route is still to lynch ash first, right ? The other might be PRs, but that's irrelevant because in that scenario we have no PRs (or they couldn't throw fakeclaims around like that).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 11:52:23 am
Thanks, Walrus. Well, it has to be ash, then.

unvote. Does it? No scenario where Walrus is covering for Jimmmmm?

The scenario where two scum are outed after ash flips?

Right right.

vote: ashersky
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 11:56:22 am
Thanks, Walrus. Well, it has to be ash, then.

unvote. Does it? No scenario where Walrus is covering for Jimmmmm?

The scenario where two scum are outed after ash flips?

How so ? In this scenario, scum recruited and knows there are no PRs left so they can fakeclaim however much they want.

Pretty unlikely to do such a ballsy plan without daychat though, which would make it more difficult because there could be an actual Roleblocker / Goon Cop.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 11:58:36 am
Thanks, Walrus. Well, it has to be ash, then.

unvote. Does it? No scenario where Walrus is covering for Jimmmmm?

The scenario where two scum are outed after ash flips?

Right right.

vote: ashersky

Actually I think there are scenarios where faust's scumteam is true. But occam's razor, ash is scum either way.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:00:52 pm
Okay, to answer a couple of questions?

Why not claim earlier? I wanted to get as much from Today as possible. If I claim immediately and we lynch quickly, we don't get any progress towards outing ash's partners. Even if we don't lynch immediately, scum know that ash will die soon, and will act accordingly. I wanted to get people's opinions on ash before I claimed.

Why don't I want to lynch ash? Well I do, but I'd rather find his possible PR partners. Right now for me ash is caught scum. When I'm killed, and presumably that will happen at some point, ash will be 100% caught scum. We will lynch him when we choose to lynch him, which will probably be sooner rather than later. I am intrigued about the idea of keeping him alive to see if that would keep me alive, and I've actually suggested doing the same thing in another game, but I realise from an external point of view we could both be scum so that's probably not going to happen. You'll note I'm still voting for him.

Why claim when I did? Proximity to deadline, the fact that the game was moving slowly and that most people had put down an opinion on ash.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:03:11 pm
The Jorbles NK makes more sense now, with jimmmmm confirmed as scum.  Separate on wagons, no real interaction.  Good choice for him specifically.

Except I started the Jorbles wagon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 12:06:34 pm
Daychat for sure.  Man, daychat would be awesome.  It's a strong power.  As mentioned, if I was scum, I'd definitely go full on or zero, as much for wifom purposes as anything else.  So Daychat/Joat/Recruit?  BP is LAME-O and I see no use for a Role Cop whatsoever.  Otherwise, roll with two goons.

How much you want to bet ash's team took daychat/JOAT/recruit? He did a "claim reality" thing in the latest RMM game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:07:55 pm
If he were truly the cop he should be playing his typical reserved self, to maximize his chances of living long. And Jimm usually lives a long time for precisely this reason. If you're a town PR, you picked the really wrong time to switch up your meta!

Yeah I actually planned this. I was intending to be sort of middle of the posting, uncontroversial etc to try to avoid the NK. I'm not actually sure what happened to that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:10:42 pm
Jimmmmm's claim makes a lot of sense in the light of this:

I really think Jimm is scum, guys.

Are you breadcrumbing a PR here? Because if you are, and have an incriminating result on Jimmmmm, I'd prefer if you claimed right away. That way, we can safely lynch Jimmmmm, e can protect you for another night, and if he doesn't because he's scum, well, there we have found our second scum and are in quite good shape.

He did his question in the post after that, which means he decided to claim immediately after I urged the Goon Cop to claim.

I took that under some consideration, but it didn't really have a lot to do with the fact that I claimed, or the timing of my claim. It was always going to come at some point in the next few days after that post.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 12:10:56 pm
Now you're making my head hurt. Trying to analyze this. These are the claims:

faust  - IC
Morgrim - Tracker
e - Bodyguard
Jimmmmm - Goon Cop
ashersky - Roleblocker
Walrus - Roleblocker

Possible scenarios:

1. scum chose 0 powers.
In that case we have 4 fake claims. Doesn't make sense.

2. scum chose 1 power.
Here, we have 3 fake claims. I don't see a Jimmmmm/ashersky/Walrus scum team in this case, since to coordinate what just happened, they would need Recruiting and Daytalk IMO. So Walrus is telling the truth in this scenario. Everyone else is lying. I doubt that scum would make 3(!) fakeclaims with 1 PR still out there, so it's an unlikely scenario.

3. scum chose 2 powers.
In that case, e's claim would have been quite dangerous as scum (50% chance of being counterclaimed). So I'm inclined to trust e's claim. Then two other claims must be false. Who is telling the truth here? Definitely not ashersky. Jimmmmm is possible, with Walrus trying to grab towncred by lynching his partner. If Walrus was town here, I don't think Jimmmm and ash would have pulled this knowing one PR is still out there. So yes, in this case Jimmmmm has to be the one to tell the truth.

4. scum chose 3 powers
This means we probably have either one fakeclaim and ashersky is lying or one PR still unclaimed and the scenario of 3.

PPE: 7
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:13:06 pm
You know what? In this situation, it would be really neat if we still had a Tracker...

So much this.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:18:59 pm
Well we never had a Tracker, our Tracker was Morgrim. Get...over...it...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 12:19:40 pm
Right now, I would say ashersky has a 0% chance of flipping town (see what I did there?). There is no need to lynch him now, let's try and find the scum PR instead.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:20:46 pm
Right now, I would say ashersky has a 0% chance of flipping town (see what I did there?). There is no need to lynch him now, let's try and find the scum PR instead.

No, we should lynch ash, for sure for sure. It would be insane not to lynch ash today.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:21:42 pm
So, here's Jimmmmm's reread:

I'll just colllect everything noteable and give post numbers, since I don't want to quote all of it. In the beginning, we have the famous refusal to give Robz town points (#167). Then, early on, he has an exchange with ashersky (around #206). He then accuses mcmc of being vague (#245) and votes for him (#381). Note that he never says that he is no longer suspicious of mcmc.

My suspicion of mcmc is still there, and I will have more to say about him before the Day ends.

Quote
During the e discussion, he defends e (#459, #491) and then is the first to vote Jorbles (#493). He then again has a conversation with ashersky (around #503). The next post, after e's claim, is interesting enough to quote it:

I think, although he probably shouldn't have claimed at this point, his claim does get him some Town points. If he is scum, Town probably don't have many PRs, since if they do that would be too great a risk to take.

This could be PR breadcrumbing (if he is scum, town doesn't have many PRs. I have a PR, so e is more likely town), but it's far from clear.

No that wasn't breadcrumbing, although it was probably influenced by having a PR.

Quote
He is then suspicious of how quickly the Jorbles wagon grew (#536) and votes manda for her scummy Jorbles vote (#587). What follows, his whole opposition to the Morgrim wagon, is already well-discussed.
Now something big: At the start of D2, he posts this:

Hey people: It was a joke! ashersky was joking. We here at f.ds do that sometimes. Maybe it was scummy joking, I don't know. We do that too. But it was a joke.


By that time, according to his claim, he already knew that ashersky was scum. Why defend known scum?
[/quote]

Yeah, at that point I still wasn't sure the best way to approach my result. Mostly I saw what ash was doing (joking) and didn't want to waste pages on people misunderstanding it.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 12:22:19 pm
Right now, I would say ashersky has a 0% chance of flipping town (see what I did there?). There is no need to lynch him now, let's try and find the scum PR instead.

Do you mean try to find his partners in-game today and lynch ash at the end of it, or do you mean lynch someone else today?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:22:47 pm
We should and will and must lynch ash today.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:23:45 pm
So, here's Jimmmmm's reread:

I'll just colllect everything noteable and give post numbers, since I don't want to quote all of it. In the beginning, we have the famous refusal to give Robz town points (#167). Then, early on, he has an exchange with ashersky (around #206). He then accuses mcmc of being vague (#245) and votes for him (#381). Note that he never says that he is no longer suspicious of mcmc.

My suspicion of mcmc is still there, and I will have more to say about him before the Day ends.

Quote
During the e discussion, he defends e (#459, #491) and then is the first to vote Jorbles (#493). He then again has a conversation with ashersky (around #503). The next post, after e's claim, is interesting enough to quote it:

I think, although he probably shouldn't have claimed at this point, his claim does get him some Town points. If he is scum, Town probably don't have many PRs, since if they do that would be too great a risk to take.

This could be PR breadcrumbing (if he is scum, town doesn't have many PRs. I have a PR, so e is more likely town), but it's far from clear.

No that wasn't breadcrumbing, although it was probably influenced by having a PR.

Quote
He is then suspicious of how quickly the Jorbles wagon grew (#536) and votes manda for her scummy Jorbles vote (#587). What follows, his whole opposition to the Morgrim wagon, is already well-discussed.
Now something big: At the start of D2, he posts this:

Hey people: It was a joke! ashersky was joking. We here at f.ds do that sometimes. Maybe it was scummy joking, I don't know. We do that too. But it was a joke.


By that time, according to his claim, he already knew that ashersky was scum. Why defend known scum?

Yeah, at that point I still wasn't sure the best way to approach my result. Mostly I saw what ash was doing (joking) and didn't want to waste pages on people misunderstanding it.

(fixed quoting)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 12:23:59 pm
Right now, I would say ashersky has a 0% chance of flipping town (see what I did there?). There is no need to lynch him now, let's try and find the scum PR instead.

Do you mean try to find his partners in-game today and lynch ash at the end of it, or do you mean lynch someone else today?

I mean lynching someone else today. We can lynch ashersky when we're at LyLo. He's only a Goon, after all.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 12:25:22 pm
The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 12:25:38 pm
I'm not sure we would be in that good a position, because Morgrim wouldn't be confirmed PR, and, being Morgrim, he would probably be saying weird stuff that makes us think he's scum. Think about the last post you made faust, the situation would be insanely confusing if we didn't know about 2 PRs for sure.

Of course this is rather pointless discussion. I'm trying to think of the fakeclaiming Jimmmm/Walrus scenarios, and I think I agree with faust's post. It's either Jimmmm/Walrus/ash without daychat, or ash/Walrus/X with daychat in those scenarios.

Actually, doesn't ash/Walrus with daychat + Traitor work pretty well ? It also helps that I personally think Walrus is scum (see my vote on him earlier).

Or they could just be both telling the truth. That would put us in an insanely good position, but there's no way to be sure unfortunately.

PPE: 9 replies.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 12:27:31 pm
The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmc
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 12:28:26 pm
Daychat for sure.  Man, daychat would be awesome.  It's a strong power.  As mentioned, if I was scum, I'd definitely go full on or zero, as much for wifom purposes as anything else.  So Daychat/Joat/Recruit?  BP is LAME-O and I see no use for a Role Cop whatsoever.  Otherwise, roll with two goons.

How much you want to bet ash's team took daychat/JOAT/recruit? He did a "claim reality" thing in the latest RMM game.

Possible. But consider ash might have been the Traitor and got recruited, in which case he had nothing to say in the power choosing process.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:33:25 pm
Right now, I would say ashersky has a 0% chance of flipping town (see what I did there?). There is no need to lynch him now, let's try and find the scum PR instead.

Do you mean try to find his partners in-game today and lynch ash at the end of it, or do you mean lynch someone else today?

I mean lynching someone else today. We can lynch ashersky when we're at LyLo. He's only a Goon, after all.

I think this is a bad idea. I mean, if Walrus and Jimm knew we would do that, then their plan would have actually made sense and they could be the scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:34:19 pm
The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.

Robz
manda
mcmcsalot
Voltaire
Teproc
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 12:34:49 pm
The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.

Voltaire
manda
mcmcsalot
Robz

Haven't really had time to reevaluate after the claims though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 12:38:02 pm
Right now, I would say ashersky has a 0% chance of flipping town (see what I did there?). There is no need to lynch him now, let's try and find the scum PR instead.

Do you mean try to find his partners in-game today and lynch ash at the end of it, or do you mean lynch someone else today?

I mean lynching someone else today. We can lynch ashersky when we're at LyLo. He's only a Goon, after all.

I think this is a bad idea. I mean, if Walrus and Jimm knew we would do that, then their plan would have actually made sense and they could be the scum.

I highly doubt that they could possibly have anticipated this.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 12:40:39 pm
The thing is: I strongly suppose that scum has a JOAT. I strongly suppose they will kill me tonight. The only way to avoid this (and at the same time give us the chance to confirm e's claim) is to kill the JOAT.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:42:43 pm
I think I would rather have ash dead and absolutely confirmed as scum, than you still alive.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:45:23 pm
Most scummy to least scummy:

mcmcsalot
Robz
manda
Teproc
Voltaire

Admittedly I have not paid much attention to Teproc or Volt. Volt gets to be at the bottom because I think he's been fairly active and nothing has jumped out at me as scummy from him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 12, 2013, 12:46:52 pm
I think I would rather have ash dead and absolutely confirmed as scum, than you still alive.

This.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:47:34 pm
Most scummy to least scummy:

mcmcsalot
Robz
manda
Teproc
Voltaire

Admittedly I have not paid much attention to Teproc or Volt. Volt gets to be at the bottom because I think he's been fairly active and nothing has jumped out at me as scummy from him.

Whoops, wrong way round.

From least scummy to most scummy:

Voltaire
Teproc
manda
Robz
mcmcsalot
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 12, 2013, 12:48:23 pm
I think I would rather have ash dead and absolutely confirmed as scum, than you still alive.

This.

I mean, I can KIND OF see the argument for leaving ash alive, only because our IC is making it and I think that's a pretty unexpected plan, thus scum could not have banked on it, which was the only way this would make sense. But that's just a lot of ifs that would cause us to insta-lose the game.

I don't think we have to play risky. Ash is scum, and we should lynch him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:50:00 pm
I think I would rather have ash dead and absolutely confirmed as scum, than you still alive.

I agree that you'd have to have a decent amount of trust in me at this point to keep ash alive and assume he's a Goon. Absent that, obviously lynching ash is the right move.

Tough work for e to work out who to protect Tonight if he's Town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 12:50:39 pm
Well it's unexpected except that Jimmmmm clearly had that plan when he claimed, scum or not. So it is actually very much expected if scum, you know, reads the thread.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 12:54:17 pm
Well it's unexpected except that Jimmmmm clearly had that plan when he claimed, scum or not. So it is actually very much expected if scum, you know, reads the thread.

I never actually expected we would lynch someone other than me or ash Today. Keeping ash alive probably helps me do my job better (if there's still a job for me to do), so that would be nice. And it would be nice if everyone would believe me and we would operate under the assumption that ash is a Goon. Obviously no one really trusts me enough to do that, which is fair enough, so it's best to lynch ash, and then operate under the knowledge that he's a Goon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 12, 2013, 12:55:14 pm
It is my opinion that we should certainly lynch ash tonight.

First of all, it would go a long way towards corroborating my claim and Jimmmmm's, which I would obviously appreciate. It's not perfect information, I know, but it's something.

Second, having one goon down would boost the effectiveness of my PR by a fair amount. If there's only one goon alive, that means that I have a much better chance of actually blocking them, or at least getting a definitive result. Even if they've recruited the traitor, it's still an improvement. Who knows faust, maybe I even block them from killing you! Or maybe they just kill me or somebody else instead.

I'll do the scumminess ordering thing when I get to work
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 12:57:44 pm
Walrus, you don't block them from killing me. Strongman goes through your roleblocking.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 12:58:20 pm
Well it's unexpected except that Jimmmmm clearly had that plan when he claimed, scum or not. So it is actually very much expected if scum, you know, reads the thread.

I never actually expected we would lynch someone other than me or ash Today. Keeping ash alive probably helps me do my job better (if there's still a job for me to do), so that would be nice. And it would be nice if everyone would believe me and we would operate under the assumption that ash is a Goon. Obviously no one really trusts me enough to do that, which is fair enough, so it's best to lynch ash, and then operate under the knowledge that he's a Goon.

Huh ? If you didn't expect it, why did you try to argue for it ? I mean I understand how it's beneficial for you but you thought you had a chance to convince us, otherwise you wouldn't have said to lynch someone else first in your initial claim, right ?

In any case, yes, we need to lynch ash today, that is pretty obvious.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 01:01:51 pm
Well it's unexpected except that Jimmmmm clearly had that plan when he claimed, scum or not. So it is actually very much expected if scum, you know, reads the thread.

I never actually expected we would lynch someone other than me or ash Today. Keeping ash alive probably helps me do my job better (if there's still a job for me to do), so that would be nice. And it would be nice if everyone would believe me and we would operate under the assumption that ash is a Goon. Obviously no one really trusts me enough to do that, which is fair enough, so it's best to lynch ash, and then operate under the knowledge that he's a Goon.

Huh ? If you didn't expect it, why did you try to argue for it ? I mean I understand how it's beneficial for you but you thought you had a chance to convince us, otherwise you wouldn't have said to lynch someone else first in your initial claim, right ?

In any case, yes, we need to lynch ash today, that is pretty obvious.

If there's enough support, from my point of view it's a great thing to do. From a neutral point of view it's a riskier thing to do. Still voting for ash.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 12, 2013, 01:05:08 pm
Shit. Forgot about the Strongman.

Well still. If we want to use the rest of the day for scum hunting and discussion, that's fine, but my vote isn't moving.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 12, 2013, 01:35:41 pm
Least to most scummy:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmc
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 12, 2013, 01:53:41 pm
I have to go for today. Don't lynch yet. We can still sort this out tomorrow. And we need manda and mcmc to weigh in.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 12, 2013, 02:23:38 pm
Thought I'd post a top-of-my-head reads list.

2.7 - I mostly believe his claim. Will not lynch at this stage.
Walrus - I mostly believe his claim. Wouldn't 100% rule out him counter-claiming his scumpartner for the Town cred, knowing that ash will not be alive for much longer, but it's super bold and unlikely. Will not lynch at this stage.
Voltaire - Can't remember much he's said, although having a bit of a look back has been quite a supporter of Robz against me. Might lynch.
Teproc - Can't remember anything he's said. Might lynch
manda - Need more input. Might lynch.
Robz - Unsure what to make of him. I was uncomfortable with him along with ash Day 1 for how easily he agreed with me. His "discrediting the IC" thing is kind of weird and a strong stance for what it was. I'm not sure what to make of his staunch disagreement with me. At times I've felt like he feels much more strongly about things than he should given his arguments. Like, I'm posting a lot, so he can't shake the evidence that I'm scum. Would lynch.
mcmcsalot - Reads scummy to me as I've said. While I was having my pre-claim argument with ash, he was someone who stuck out to me as a possible partner. One thing I was looking for is someone who wanted to stay away from the argument, since they wouldn't want to strongly support ash do a mislynch, but also wouldn't want to help me lynch ash. The other person who stood out like this was Walrus, who has now claimed. Afterwards, mcmc followed Robz into voting for me (for the second time this game). Would lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 03:05:26 pm
crap.  I actually had to do some work today and I missed all the fun

will respond as quickly as I can get my thoughts down.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 03:06:39 pm
The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.

Robz
Voltaire
Teproc
Manda
mcmc
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 03:21:18 pm
I was reading through the thread all at once and this was my thought process:

Robz posts to mention (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325024#msg325024) how quiet/lurky it has been: "yeah, I have been kind of quiet.  I need to post more"

Jimmmmm claims Goon Cop (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325071#msg325071), and accuses Ash of being scum: "Ok, that is reasonable.  Seems like a really early claim though.  Doesn't feel quite right but lets see what happens."

Ashersky claims right back (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325077#msg325077).  Immediately: "Things are getting interesting now."  *Checks the bottom of the page* "wow there are two more pages of stuff to read.  I missed a lot"

reading....reading....getting more convinced that Jimmmm is scum.  Teproc comes out uncomfortable with both claims (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325110#msg325110), but lands on voting Ash (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325192#msg325192) after Voltaire puts forward a great case (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325171#msg325171) for why lynching Jimmmm is the best option for the lynch:  "Ok.  I like the idea of lynching Jimmmm and the conclusions that we are drawing from it.  Teproc seems scummy though for voting Ash after a clear case for why the Jimmmmm lynch is better."

Walrus counterclaims (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325193#msg325193): "That is a lot of PRs for one day.  And oh by the way, this makes Teproc look extremely towny for seeing through Ashersky's fakeclaim"

Then all the other talk, but basically I am ready to lynch Ashersky as soon as more people pitch in with thoughts.

what is the current vote count?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 03:32:59 pm
reading....reading....getting more convinced that Jimmmm is scum.  Teproc comes out uncomfortable with both claims (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325110#msg325110), but lands on voting Ash (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325192#msg325192) after Voltaire puts forward a great case (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325171#msg325171) for why lynching Jimmmm is the best option for the lynch:  "Ok.  I like the idea of lynching Jimmmm and the conclusions that we are drawing from it.  Teproc seems scummy though for voting Ash after a clear case for why the Jimmmmm lynch is better."

Walrus counterclaims (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325193#msg325193): "That is a lot of PRs for one day.  And oh by the way, this makes Teproc look extremely towny for seeing through Ashersky's fakeclaim"

So... as much as I enjoy getting town points, I don't think this makes much sense. The fact that Walrus counterclaimed ash just after I posted shouldn't really change the way you read my post, because I didn't know about Walrus when I wrote it. If you think Voltaire's case for lynching Jimmmmm first was very good with the information we had at that point (I don't), you should evaluate the post with that information in mind. In fact, it's easier for scum to be right all the time than for town, so being right (assuming I am right about ash) isn't particularly towny in my mind.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 03:41:02 pm
Caught up.  Huge respect to the gambit the Jimmmmm/ Walrus scum team is pulling.  They absolutely deserve to win if the whole town falls for it.

Remember, this sets them up perfectly for two more days.  When I flip as the real RB, they can fight each other, ensuring whichever is the weaker gets lynched.  They get a mislynch and two NKs out of this

They must have know the setup was 4 PRs.  They needed to out the final one and ensure they could hardcore bus on D3.  It sets up the invisible 3rd partner (manda?) to sail through multiple days without having to make an impression, leaving them in a good spot in mylo/Lylo situations in the endgame.

Well played, scum.  You are caught out, but will probably succeed, given my terrible track record of being believed as the caught town PR.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 03:46:16 pm
Ok.  Ash is correct in that if he is town, it will take us quite some time to lynch our way through scum.  But let's look at the situation

Lynch ash (town), town NK
8 alive 3 scum

lynch Jimmmmm, town NK
6 alive.  2 scum

Lynch Walrus, town NK
4 alive 1 scum

We will have to find the remaining scum in a 3v1 scenario.

Now, if only 1/3 of Jimmmmm, Walrus, Ashersky is scum, then the situation I describe above ends in a scum win.

Lynch Ash (town), town NK
8 alive, 3 scum

Lynch Jimmmm (or Walrus) (town), town NK
6 alive, 3 scum

Scum win
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 04:12:26 pm
Now you're making my head hurt. Trying to analyze this. These are the claims:

faust  - IC
Morgrim - Tracker
e - Bodyguard
Jimmmmm - Goon Cop
ashersky - Roleblocker
Walrus - Roleblocker

Possible scenarios:

[1/2 edited out because of their impossibility/improbability because I am the bodyguard]

3. scum chose 2 powers.
In that case, e's claim would have been quite dangerous as scum (50% chance of being counterclaimed). So I'm inclined to trust e's claim. Then two other claims must be false. Who is telling the truth here? Definitely not ashersky. Jimmmmm is possible, with Walrus trying to grab towncred by lynching his partner. If Walrus was town here, I don't think Jimmmm and ash would have pulled this knowing one PR is still out there. So yes, in this case Jimmmmm has to be the one to tell the truth.

4. scum chose 3 powers
This means we probably have either one fakeclaim and ashersky is lying or one PR still unclaimed and the scenario of 3.

Jimmmmmm- Original claim.  Intent to lynch Ash

Ashersky- Claims Roleblocker.  If scum that believes the claim, why come out against Jimmmmm here?  You know you are trading Goon for town PR at best.  Seems like a silly immediate claim.  I would have tried to fight the case some, but maybe Ash was looking ahead and knew it would be hard for him to survive without a claim of some sort.  So he claims roleblocker.  but,
My hesitant town read came from the fact that I roleblocked Jimmmmm last night and a kill still happened.  That made him at least slightly less likely to be scum in my opinion, but not enough to clear him.
A roleblocker doesn't actually stop a night kill, does it?  My reading about roleblockers on MafiaWiki (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Roleblocker#Town) seem to show that they do not stop a kill unless that person is the very last member of the mafia?  It might stop a JOAT from using strongman, but the kill would still happen because of the other members of the mafia.  But if that is the case wouldn't Ash already know because he is a vet?  Confusing to me.

Walrus- Counterclaims Ash.  Believable to me.  Especially if Ash was wrong about roleblockers in general.  I think that the real role blocker would figure out exactly what his role was.  Now if walrus is scum, this claim is really interesting.  Bold scum maneuver to gain town credit as the roleblocker, then ride it to the end.  "blocking scum" and such.  Interesting
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 04:13:01 pm
Does a roleblocker prevent a NK?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 04:14:39 pm
It does.

Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Roleblocker. You have the following abilities:
Each night you may target a player. They will be prevented from performing any actions for the night.
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

(quoted from the OP)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 12, 2013, 04:17:39 pm
And I'm fairly certain the strongman trumps the Roleblocker. Again, from the OP :

Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Mafia JOAT. You have the following abilities:
- Once during any night you may use a ninja kill. This kill will be unable to be tracked.
Once during any night you may use a strongman kill. This kill will unable to be blocked by any method.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 04:17:59 pm
It does.

Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Roleblocker. You have the following abilities:
Each night you may target a [single] player. They will be prevented from performing any actions for the night.
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

(quoted from the OP)

you roleblock one scum.  there are two more scum out there.  I could be totally off on this, but this is from MafiaWiki on roleblockers (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Roleblocker#Town).  Seems to imply that kills will continue until one scum is left. 
Quote
if the Mafia's kill goes through, whoever was blocked that Night isn't the last Mafioso
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 04:19:06 pm
And I'm fairly certain the strongman trumps the Roleblocker. Again, from the OP :

Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Mafia JOAT. You have the following abilities:
- Once during any night you may use a ninja kill. This kill will be unable to be tracked.
Once during any night you may use a strongman kill. This kill will unable to be blocked by any method.
yeah, you are correct there.  only a hider and commuter (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Strongman) are safe from strongman, and we have neither of these. 
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 04:34:00 pm
It does.

Quote
Welcome to Mafia and the Chocolate Factory, X. You are the Roleblocker. You have the following abilities:
Each night you may target a [single] player. They will be prevented from performing any actions for the night.
Please confirm via PM by stating your role.

(quoted from the OP)

you roleblock one scum.  there are two more scum out there.  I could be totally off on this, but this is from MafiaWiki on roleblockers (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Roleblocker#Town).  Seems to imply that kills will continue until one scum is left. 
Quote
if the Mafia's kill goes through, whoever was blocked that Night isn't the last Mafioso

There were multiple scum alive on N1.  If I had targeted the scum member who had performed the kill, and the kill was not strongman, it would not have gone through.

I don't see hwo you are confused here.  But you should know I'm not.  I've played/modded enough games here to know how a roleblocker works.

Jimmmmm was either the strongman killer on N1, or he did not perform the kill.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 04:43:51 pm
There were multiple scum alive on N1.  If I had targeted the scum member who had performed the kill, and the kill was not strongman, it would not have gone through.

I don't see hwo you are confused here.  But you should know I'm not.  I've played/modded enough games here to know how a roleblocker works.

Jimmmmm was either the strongman killer on N1, or he did not perform the kill.
Exactly.  I assumed you would know the setup and how the NKs work.  Which is why I am confused as to why you gave Jimmmmm town points because the NK went through.  You were just assuming that he would be the scum who performed the NK?  scum can't have multiple people say "I want to kill that person tonight" and as long as one of them is not roleblocked the kill will go through?  So why did a NK going through make Jimmmmmm slightly less scummy to you?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 12, 2013, 05:07:13 pm
FINALS.

ARE.

DONE.

Aka now I can read. about to leave for the Hobbit premiere but I'll be reading slash posting (some) from my phone.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 05:13:26 pm
There were multiple scum alive on N1.  If I had targeted the scum member who had performed the kill, and the kill was not strongman, it would not have gone through.

I don't see hwo you are confused here.  But you should know I'm not.  I've played/modded enough games here to know how a roleblocker works.

Jimmmmm was either the strongman killer on N1, or he did not perform the kill.
Exactly.  I assumed you would know the setup and how the NKs work.  Which is why I am confused as to why you gave Jimmmmm town points because the NK went through.  You were just assuming that he would be the scum who performed the NK?  scum can't have multiple people say "I want to kill that person tonight" and as long as one of them is not roleblocked the kill will go through?  So why did a NK going through make Jimmmmmm slightly less scummy to you?

Because it proved he did NOT kill anyone.  That makes his less likely to be scum than, say, the person who did the kill.  I don't see how you cannot understand this.

I don't make ICs.  Even if there was no kill at all, it wouldn't have made Jimmmmm 100% scum, because they could have shot their traitor or whatever.  But a blocked Jimmmmm not stopping the kill meant that someone other than Jimmmmm is scum.  That reduced the chances of Jimmmmm being scum by some percentage.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 12, 2013, 05:32:07 pm
There were multiple scum alive on N1.  If I had targeted the scum member who had performed the kill, and the kill was not strongman, it would not have gone through.

I don't see hwo you are confused here.  But you should know I'm not.  I've played/modded enough games here to know how a roleblocker works.

Jimmmmm was either the strongman killer on N1, or he did not perform the kill.
Exactly.  I assumed you would know the setup and how the NKs work.  Which is why I am confused as to why you gave Jimmmmm town points because the NK went through.  You were just assuming that he would be the scum who performed the NK?  scum can't have multiple people say "I want to kill that person tonight" and as long as one of them is not roleblocked the kill will go through?  So why did a NK going through make Jimmmmmm slightly less scummy to you?

Because it proved he did NOT kill anyone.  That makes his less likely to be scum than, say, the person who did the kill.  I don't see how you cannot understand this.

I don't make ICs.  Even if there was no kill at all, it wouldn't have made Jimmmmm 100% scum, because they could have shot their traitor or whatever.  But a blocked Jimmmmm not stopping the kill meant that someone other than Jimmmmm is scum.  That reduced the chances of Jimmmmm being scum by some percentage.
ok. You are correct. Mathematically. But it is not by such a huge percentage that would influence me in thinking he is even slightly more towny. I just found out interesting that you would follow this line of reasoning.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 12, 2013, 06:38:05 pm
As a town PR, I always use my results to help shape my reads.  I'm the only one who knows them (unless I block someone from doing something) and I need to get something out of it.  Roleblocker is that type of role that isn't awesome, but can really help out in the late game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 12, 2013, 08:14:11 pm
As a *real* town PR, I do the same. Which is why I've backed off on Robz somewhat despite the fact that he was a D1 scumread for me.

Of course I know my results are not perfect, which is why he didn't make the top of my chum list, but I did take it into account.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 12, 2013, 09:23:45 pm
Eek. Ahhh. What to think. I was pretty convinced ash had fake claimed as I was skimming it but now I'm just not sure.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 12, 2013, 10:17:46 pm
Vote Count 2.5

ashersky (4): Jimmmmm, Teproc, Walrus, Voltaire {L-2}
Jimmmmm (2): mcmc, Ashersky

Not Voting (4): manda, 2.7, faust, Robz

With 10 alive it takes 6 to lynch.
Day2 will end December 15 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 12:19:31 am
Jimmmmm claims Goon Cop (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325071#msg325071), and accuses Ash of being scum: "Ok, that is reasonable.  Seems like a really early claim though.  Doesn't feel quite right but lets see what happens."

Why early? It was only a few days before deadline.

Quote
reading....reading....getting more convinced that Jimmmm is scum.

Why? I mean, I thought I was doing an okay job of dealing with my investigation result. I pounced on something ash said really early, kept on it, wouldn't let it go, asked everyone for opinions and then gave my result. ash did some things that I genuinely think are scummy, but people just say "Oh that's just ash". And they call me scummy without really giving solid reasons why. I'm pretty much an open book at this point - engage with me. Tell me why you think I'm scummy. Obviously ash is being lynched now because of Walrus' counterclaim, but I feel like without that ash would win simply for having a crazy meta and people simply dismissing what he says as being "just ash".
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 12:22:31 am
Caught up.  Huge respect to the gambit the Jimmmmm/ Walrus scum team is pulling.  They absolutely deserve to win if the whole town falls for it.

Remember, this sets them up perfectly for two more days.  When I flip as the real RB, they can fight each other, ensuring whichever is the weaker gets lynched.  They get a mislynch and two NKs out of this

They must have know the setup was 4 PRs.  They needed to out the final one and ensure they could hardcore bus on D3.  It sets up the invisible 3rd partner (manda?) to sail through multiple days without having to make an impression, leaving them in a good spot in mylo/Lylo situations in the endgame.

Well played, scum.  You are caught out, but will probably succeed, given my terrible track record of being believed as the caught town PR.

This post is rubbish (in a game sense, not a personal sense). Scum "wins" a mislynch and 2 NKs for outing two of their three? Ridiculous. If you were Town you'd have self-voted already, quite happy to sacrifice yourself to catch two scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 12:37:06 am
Ok.  Ash is correct in that if he is town, it will take us quite some time to lynch our way through scum.  But let's look at the situation

Lynch ash (town), town NK
8 alive 3 scum

lynch Jimmmmm, town NK
6 alive.  2 scum

Lynch Walrus, town NK
4 alive 1 scum

We will have to find the remaining scum in a 3v1 scenario.

Now, if only 1/3 of Jimmmmm, Walrus, Ashersky is scum, then the situation I describe above ends in a scum win.

Lynch Ash (town), town NK
8 alive, 3 scum

Lynch Jimmmm (or Walrus) (town), town NK
6 alive, 3 scum

Scum win

If ash is Town then both Walrus and I are scum. 100%. The situation you describe is equivalent to the second best case scenario, ie best case unless we lynch all three scum in the next three Days.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 01:08:38 am
Ok.  Ash is correct in that if he is town, it will take us quite some time to lynch our way through scum.  But let's look at the situation

Lynch ash (town), town NK
8 alive 3 scum

lynch Jimmmmm, town NK
6 alive.  2 scum

Lynch Walrus, town NK
4 alive 1 scum

We will have to find the remaining scum in a 3v1 scenario.

Now, if only 1/3 of Jimmmmm, Walrus, Ashersky is scum, then the situation I describe above ends in a scum win.

Lynch Ash (town), town NK
8 alive, 3 scum

Lynch Jimmmm (or Walrus) (town), town NK
6 alive, 3 scum

Scum win

If ash is Town then both Walrus and I are scum. 100%. The situation you describe is equivalent to the second best case scenario, ie best case unless we lynch all three scum in the next three Days.

Could you tell us your third?  That'd be helpful.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 01:10:28 am
Could you tell us your third?  That'd be helpful.

Only if you tell us your other two.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 01:11:52 am
Obviously ash is being lynched now because of Walrus' counterclaim, but I feel like without that ash would win simply for having a crazy meta and people simply dismissing what he says as being "just ash".

Man, this is so scummy.  Sounds like really annoyed scum for not being able to overcome "crazy ash" meta problems.  It's like "thank god my partner counterclaimed to make sure we could win out over crazy meta considerations...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 01:12:02 am
Could you tell us your third?  That'd be helpful.

Only if you tell us your other two.

Scumslip?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 01:12:51 am
Obviously ash is being lynched now because of Walrus' counterclaim, but I feel like without that ash would win simply for having a crazy meta and people simply dismissing what he says as being "just ash".

Man, this is so scummy.  Sounds like really annoyed scum for not being able to overcome "crazy ash" meta problems.  It's like "thank god my partner counterclaimed to make sure we could win out over crazy meta considerations...

In fact, I can't let this go.  It is so much of a "my partner counterclaimed town so really, you need to believe us" argument that it's crazy.

Man, so so so so scummy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 01:13:00 am
Could you tell us your third?  That'd be helpful.

Only if you tell us your other two.

Scumslip?

Gee your sarcasm radar's off this game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 01:14:21 am
Obviously ash is being lynched now because of Walrus' counterclaim, but I feel like without that ash would win simply for having a crazy meta and people simply dismissing what he says as being "just ash".

Man, this is so scummy.  Sounds like really annoyed scum for not being able to overcome "crazy ash" meta problems.  It's like "thank god my partner counterclaimed to make sure we could win out over crazy meta considerations...

In fact, I can't let this go.  It is so much of a "my partner counterclaimed town so really, you need to believe us" argument that it's crazy.

Man, so so so so scummy.

Of course you can't let it go. You're running out of ways to try to lynch me instead of your partners NKing me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 01:30:28 am
Caught up.  Huge respect to the gambit the Jimmmmm/ Walrus scum team is pulling.  They absolutely deserve to win if the whole town falls for it.

Remember, this sets them up perfectly for two more days.  When I flip as the real RB, they can fight each other, ensuring whichever is the weaker gets lynched.  They get a mislynch and two NKs out of this

They must have know the setup was 4 PRs.  They needed to out the final one and ensure they could hardcore bus on D3.  It sets up the invisible 3rd partner (manda?) to sail through multiple days without having to make an impression, leaving them in a good spot in mylo/Lylo situations in the endgame.

Well played, scum.  You are caught out, but will probably succeed, given my terrible track record of being believed as the caught town PR.

This post is rubbish (in a game sense, not a personal sense). Scum "wins" a mislynch and 2 NKs for outing two of their three? Ridiculous. If you were Town you'd have self-voted already, quite happy to sacrifice yourself to catch two scum.

This argument applies to you, no?  Why haven't you self-voted to catch the two scum?  Isn't it very possible walrus claims the same as his scum partner for town cred post flip?  If you think I'm scum, why not consider how easy it would be for a scum partner to counterclaim me for cred?

You are playing a scummy game, and everything in your play says you are doing and saying things only for your own best interest, not the town's.  That is pure scum play.  The late and convenient fake claim, your strained reasons for the targeting of me (such an easy frame), the odd, off attitude you've been taking all game and especially D2 when you decided to use this gambit (the wagon analysis set piece you used was probably your "go" signal).

Amazing play, man.  It's vintage asherscum, actually.  You've learned well.  But you know town!ash, and you know this is it.  The same way other vets who have played in many games with he just know my alignment, you know.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 01:41:45 am
Caught up.  Huge respect to the gambit the Jimmmmm/ Walrus scum team is pulling.  They absolutely deserve to win if the whole town falls for it.

Remember, this sets them up perfectly for two more days.  When I flip as the real RB, they can fight each other, ensuring whichever is the weaker gets lynched.  They get a mislynch and two NKs out of this

They must have know the setup was 4 PRs.  They needed to out the final one and ensure they could hardcore bus on D3.  It sets up the invisible 3rd partner (manda?) to sail through multiple days without having to make an impression, leaving them in a good spot in mylo/Lylo situations in the endgame.

Well played, scum.  You are caught out, but will probably succeed, given my terrible track record of being believed as the caught town PR.

This post is rubbish (in a game sense, not a personal sense). Scum "wins" a mislynch and 2 NKs for outing two of their three? Ridiculous. If you were Town you'd have self-voted already, quite happy to sacrifice yourself to catch two scum.

This argument applies to you, no?

No.

Quote
Why haven't you self-voted to catch the two scum?  Isn't it very possible walrus claims the same as his scum partner for town cred post flip?  If you think I'm scum, why not consider how easy it would be for a scum partner to counterclaim me for cred?

How often have you seen me self-vote? If I know anything about Town ash, it's that he'll gladly sacrifice himself if it would catch two scum, to make a point as much as anything else. Are you suggesting that as a Cop with a guilty result and someone who has counterclaimed the confirmed scum I would be happy to lynch myself? What exactly are you basing that on?

Quote
You are playing a scummy game, and everything in your play says you are doing and saying things only for your own best interest, not the town's.  That is pure scum play.

This is one of many things you've said without giving any sort of reason. What exactly has I done for my own interest instead of the Town's? I successfully caught scum Night 1, put the focus on you Day 2, asked for opinions on you to try to find your partners, and then claimed. Are you suggesting that claiming immediately before getting opinions would be more pro-Town? I strongly disagree.

Quote
The late and convenient fake claim, your strained reasons for the targeting of me (such an easy frame), the odd, off attitude you've been taking all game and especially D2 when you decided to use this gambit (the wagon analysis set piece you used was probably your "go" signal).

What off attitude? Explain yourself.

Quote
Amazing play, man.  It's vintage asherscum, actually.  You've learned well.  But you know town!ash, and you know this is it.  The same way other vets who have played in many games with he just know my alignment, you know.

You're really suggesting that outing oneself and one's teammate is amazing scum play?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 01:50:44 am
iPad posting so NK fancy quotes.

You and walrus are getting away with it.  That makes it amazing. The fact that you ask in such a smarmy way confirms that you know you are pulling off what will go down as the greatest scum gambit in f.ds history.

Think about it.  When I flip town RB, walrus becomes suspect #1.  But by then, you taken out the tracker and the Roleblocker, killed off a VT, and probably the Bodyguard tonight.  That leaves just the IC vs. a full scum team.

Day 3 is spent discussing Walrus, ending (I hope!) in his lynch.  But what about scum partner Jimmmmm?  What about the anonymous third partner?  You are still smooth sailing, and killing IZc on N3 takes out your only real opposition.

It's 5 vs 3 on D3.  It's 4 vs 2 on D4.  That is pretty amazing.  Even if you can't rogue your way out of a lynch on D4, it's mylo on D5.  If you do argue your way out of a lynch on D4 (and you laid out that foundation today with the "let scum live so we can find the partner" speech -- that was never meant for me, as town, it was meant for you on a future day), it's a scum win.

You are playing an awesome scum game.  Like I've said, this is reminiscent of LOTR1 dragon Jimmmmm.  Just masterful.  It's the "so crazy, no way scum do it" defense.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 01:51:46 am
As for your scummy behavior and self-serving attitude, I'm not going to go quote all your posts for you.

Just do a Ctrl-F for "Post by: Jimmmmm".
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 01:53:02 am
On self-votes, I don't know if you have.  But your argument, not mine, was that optimal town play was for the town PR to self-vote.  If that's your argument, why aren't you doing it as a "town pr"?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:06:10 am
iPad posting so NK fancy quotes.

You and walrus are getting away with it.  That makes it amazing. The fact that you ask in such a smarmy way confirms that you know you are pulling off what will go down as the greatest scum gambit in f.ds history.

Think about it.  When I flip town RB, walrus becomes suspect #1.  But by then, you taken out the tracker and the Roleblocker, killed off a VT, and probably the Bodyguard tonight.  That leaves just the IC vs. a full scum team.

That's ridiculous. If you flipped Town, Walrus wouldn't be become "Suspect #1". He would be confirmed scum. So would I. We would be the next two lynches, 100%.

Quote
Day 3 is spent discussing Walrus, ending (I hope!) in his lynch.  But what about scum partner Jimmmmm?  What about the anonymous third partner?  You are still smooth sailing, and killing IZc on N3 takes out your only real opposition.

It's 5 vs 3 on D3.  It's 4 vs 2 on D4.  That is pretty amazing.  Even if you can't rogue your way out of a lynch on D4, it's mylo on D5.  If you do argue your way out of a lynch on D4 (and you laid out that foundation today with the "let scum live so we can find the partner" speech -- that was never meant for me, as town, it was meant for you on a future day), it's a scum win.

Of course I wouldn't "rogue my way out of a lynch on D4". If you flip Town I am confirmed scum. There's no getting out of that.

It's currently 7 v 3. Fast forward 3 Days. Unless we (Town) have won by then, the best we can hope for is 3 v 1. That's with two correct lynches and one mislynch. That's right. Mylo is only one mislynch away already. You really think if Walrus and I were scum together the only way we thought we could force one single mislynch in 3 Days is to confirm both of us as scum? You really think a scum play that outs two out of the three scum is masterful play? Of course you don't, you're way smarter than that.

Quote
You are playing an awesome scum game.  Like I've said, this is reminiscent of LOTR1 dragon Jimmmmm.  Just masterful.  It's the "so crazy, no way scum do it" defense.

The play you're describing is so stupid that I'm slightly offended that you think others will believe I'm that obtuse.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:06:49 am
On self-votes, I don't know if you have.  But your argument, not mine, was that optimal town play was for the town PR to self-vote.  If that's your argument, why aren't you doing it as a "town pr"?

Sigh. I guess there's no point asking you to stop misrepresenting me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:07:36 am
As for your scummy behavior and self-serving attitude, I'm not going to go quote all your posts for you.

Refusing to even put in the effort to back up what you're saying? If you've given up why are you still posting?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 02:10:18 am
As for your scummy behavior and self-serving attitude, I'm not going to go quote all your posts for you.

Refusing to even put in the effort to back up what you're saying? If you've given up why are you still posting?

As mention, I'm on mobile.  I believe others can back up your different attitude this game.  It's been discussed.

On self-votes, I don't know if you have.  But your argument, not mine, was that optimal town play was for the town PR to self-vote.  If that's your argument, why aren't you doing it as a "town pr"?

Sigh. I guess there's no point asking you to stop misrepresenting me.

You are misrepresenting ME by getting me mislynched through your gambit!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:11:14 am
You are misrepresenting ME by getting me mislynched through your gambit!

Nope. You're scum. I'm a Cop. You're caught.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 02:13:40 am
I believe you both would have been POE candidates today.  You were both already under pressure early in the game.  You had to try something, and this fake claim plan was it.  It is awesome.  Ballsy.  Bravo for trying.

Getting caught out on a fake claim is part of fake claiming.  You don't ever expect to survive it.  So getting 3 guaranteed town kills in exchange for losing possibly two of three scum partners in the mid game is acceptable.

You could argue that you are town, even when I flip town.  Misunderstood results, role, etc.  Plenty of opportunities for misdirection, as you'll get to live two more days.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 02:14:36 am
You are misrepresenting ME by getting me mislynched through your gambit!

Nope. You're scum. I'm a Cop. You're caught.

That's a lie.  Just like when I "caught" mcmc in Mean Girls.  Just like when I was "caught" at the end of Hydras.

That's a scum lie.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:15:28 am
On self-votes, I don't know if you have.  But your argument, not mine, was that optimal town play was for the town PR to self-vote.  If that's your argument, why aren't you doing it as a "town pr"?

Sigh. I guess there's no point asking you to stop misrepresenting me.

You are misrepresenting ME by getting me mislynched through your gambit!

I mean, I said that if you were Town what you would do is self-vote knowing that it will catch two scum. That's your Town meta.
You said that I said that optimal play is for a PR to self-vote. That's just a bold-face lie.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:16:31 am
I believe you both would have been POE candidates today.  You were both already under pressure early in the game.  You had to try something, and this fake claim plan was it.  It is awesome.  Ballsy.  Bravo for trying.

Getting caught out on a fake claim is part of fake claiming.  You don't ever expect to survive it.  So getting 3 guaranteed town kills in exchange for losing possibly two of three scum partners in the mid game is acceptable.

You could argue that you are town, even when I flip town.  Misunderstood results, role, etc.  Plenty of opportunities for misdirection, as you'll get to live two more days.

So you're saying that me/Walrus/X thought we were so screwed that we would be the next three lynches?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 02:20:18 am
On self-votes, I don't know if you have.  But your argument, not mine, was that optimal town play was for the town PR to self-vote.  If that's your argument, why aren't you doing it as a "town pr"?

Sigh. I guess there's no point asking you to stop misrepresenting me.

You are misrepresenting ME by getting me mislynched through your gambit!

I mean, I said that if you were Town what you would do is self-vote knowing that it will catch two scum. That's your Town meta.
You said that I said that optimal play is for a PR to self-vote. That's just a bold-face lie.

Go read your post again. You said self lyching catches two scum. Is that not optimal?  I made that leapt of logic from your post. 

Of course, you don't actually think catching two scum is optimal, because you are scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:20:47 am
You could argue that you are town, even when I flip town.  Misunderstood results, role, etc.  Plenty of opportunities for misdirection, as you'll get to live two more days.

Nope. I've double, triple, quadruple checked my result PM. It mentions your name, and the word "Goon" in bold without negation.

If you are Town, I am scum. I'll put that on the record:

If ashersky flips Town I will self-vote immediately the next Day and never post in this game again.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 02:22:15 am
I believe you both would have been POE candidates today.  You were both already under pressure early in the game.  You had to try something, and this fake claim plan was it.  It is awesome.  Ballsy.  Bravo for trying.

Getting caught out on a fake claim is part of fake claiming.  You don't ever expect to survive it.  So getting 3 guaranteed town kills in exchange for losing possibly two of three scum partners in the mid game is acceptable.

You could argue that you are town, even when I flip town.  Misunderstood results, role, etc.  Plenty of opportunities for misdirection, as you'll get to live two more days.

So you're saying that me/Walrus/X thought we were so screwed that we would be the next three lynches?

There's your boldface lie.  When did I say screwed?  Or so screwed?  Or that you'd be the next three lynches?

You were both under enough pressure that it was worth the gambit.  And it is paying off for you, if you can get this mislynch through.  If you get the rest of town to lynch me, all you need is your third to stay safe and it's a guaranteed win for you.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 02:23:01 am
You could argue that you are town, even when I flip town.  Misunderstood results, role, etc.  Plenty of opportunities for misdirection, as you'll get to live two more days.

Nope. I've double, triple, quadruple checked my result PM. It mentions your name, and the word "Goon" in bold without negation.

If you are Town, I am scum. I'll put that on the record:

If ashersky flips Town I will self-vote immediately the next Day and never post in this game again.

Easy to say now.  Hard to believe you'd follow through.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: ashersky on December 13, 2013, 02:24:09 am
You could argue that you are town, even when I flip town.  Misunderstood results, role, etc.  Plenty of opportunities for misdirection, as you'll get to live two more days.

Nope. I've double, triple, quadruple checked my result PM. It mentions your name, and the word "Goon" in bold without negation.

If you are Town, I am scum. I'll put that on the record:

If ashersky flips Town I will self-vote immediately the next Day and never post in this game again.

Easy to say now.  Hard to believe you'd follow through.

Also, smart move.  Takes attention from walrus and gives you an excuse not to bus.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:26:40 am
On self-votes, I don't know if you have.  But your argument, not mine, was that optimal town play was for the town PR to self-vote.  If that's your argument, why aren't you doing it as a "town pr"?

Sigh. I guess there's no point asking you to stop misrepresenting me.

You are misrepresenting ME by getting me mislynched through your gambit!

I mean, I said that if you were Town what you would do is self-vote knowing that it will catch two scum. That's your Town meta.
You said that I said that optimal play is for a PR to self-vote. That's just a bold-face lie.

Go read your post again. You said self lyching catches two scum. Is that not optimal?  I made that leapt of logic from your post. 

Of course, you don't actually think catching two scum is optimal, because you are scum.

Please. You're not really this thick.

YOU being lynched would catch 2 scum if you're Town. YOU. The guy named ashersky. The guy who repeatedly self-votes when receiving any suspicion at all and has strongly made the point that he will sacrifice himself to catch scum. I never said anything about optimality, I said THAT'S WHAT YOU WOULD DO IF YOU WERE TOWN. You. Do you understand?

I, me, the guy named Jimmmmm have never demonstrated the above tendencies and would not do it. I would try my hardest to lynch the person who I know is scum. Which is you. If you're Town you know two scum, being lynched would confirm 2 scum. I know one scum, being lynched confirms one scum. In neither situation is it optimal to lynch Town today. I want to lynch you, because you are scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:28:35 am
I believe you both would have been POE candidates today.  You were both already under pressure early in the game.  You had to try something, and this fake claim plan was it.  It is awesome.  Ballsy.  Bravo for trying.

Getting caught out on a fake claim is part of fake claiming.  You don't ever expect to survive it.  So getting 3 guaranteed town kills in exchange for losing possibly two of three scum partners in the mid game is acceptable.

You could argue that you are town, even when I flip town.  Misunderstood results, role, etc.  Plenty of opportunities for misdirection, as you'll get to live two more days.

So you're saying that me/Walrus/X thought we were so screwed that we would be the next three lynches?

There's your boldface lie.  When did I say screwed?  Or so screwed?  Or that you'd be the next three lynches?

You were both under enough pressure that it was worth the gambit.  And it is paying off for you, if you can get this mislynch through.  If you get the rest of town to lynch me, all you need is your third to stay safe and it's a guaranteed win for you.

Having 2 scum lynched in the next three Days is only a good result for scum if the alternative is having all 3 scum lynched in the next three Days. Thus scum would only out themselves to guarantee a single mislynch if they thought they were screwed enough to all be lynched in a row.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 13, 2013, 02:33:27 am
No, YOU'RE the greatest scum gambit in f.ds history!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 02:36:31 am
I mean, does anyone actually believe that would be good play? For scum to out 2 out of their 3 in order to secure a single mislynch?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 13, 2013, 08:55:11 am
Everything ashersky would make me even more sure that he is scum, if I wasn't already 100% sure. There's no use in arguing with him, Jimmmmm. It only takes away the attention from the topics we should be discussing.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 13, 2013, 08:59:56 am
Everything ashersky would make me even more sure that he is scum, if I wasn't already 100% sure. There's no use in arguing with him, Jimmmmm. It only takes away the attention from the topics we should be discussing.

My thoughts exactly. This all seems pointless and might very well be engineered to make Jimmmmm into an IC after ash flips.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 13, 2013, 09:34:02 am
Can we get a prod on mcmc?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 13, 2013, 09:37:00 am
Eek. Ahhh. What to think. I was pretty convinced ash had fake claimed as I was skimming it but now I'm just not sure.

manda, I need you to post more than this. Seriously. Answer my question as a start.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 13, 2013, 09:37:55 am
Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmc

Why is Teproc scummy?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 13, 2013, 09:38:59 am
Robz
manda
mcmcsalot
Voltaire
Teproc

Same question to you. Also, what do you think of the lurkers, manda and mcmc? What makes them unlikely to be scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: faust on December 13, 2013, 09:40:01 am
Voltaire
manda
mcmcsalot
Robz

Haven't really had time to reevaluate after the claims though.

Can you summarize your case on Robz? Also, why is Voltaire town?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 13, 2013, 10:02:51 am
I'll note that I haven't really had time to reevaluate since Jimmmmm, ash and Walrus claimed.

Robz basically had a very scummy day 1 : the exchange with Jimmmmm, disappearing when under pressure, which is not at all what he did in GoT as town, his justification of the Jorbles wagon as a "semi-random lynch", leading the Morgrim wagon (along with ash, interestingly enough).

Day 2 he's been V/LA until recently and then a bunch of stuff happpened so I haven't gone back to him, but he hasn't done anything to make me think he's town, basically. I also think there might be something in his interactions with ash, but that calls for a reread (assuming ash does flip scum).

Voltaire is just playing much the same way he was in GoT I feel. I haven't really thought once "well this is scummy" when he posted, which is more than I can say for any of the other people on the "unclaimed" list. I didn't like his arguments for lynching Jimmmmm after he claimed but that's about it basically.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 13, 2013, 10:31:32 am
Can we get a prod on mcmc?

Prod Issued.

Yuma has been away from the forums for a few days. Hopefully he'll be back soon, but the game will keep going on regardless.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 13, 2013, 10:58:10 am
And why exactly have we not lynched ashersky?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 13, 2013, 11:21:47 am
I know mcmc has an upcoming week-long no access period, but I don't think it's started yet.

Yeah, I think it's fine to lynch ashersky now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 13, 2013, 11:22:01 am
vote: ashersky if I am not already.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 13, 2013, 11:29:44 am
Vote Count 2.6

ashersky (5): Jimmmmm, Teproc, Walrus, Voltaire, Robz {L-1}
Jimmmmm (2): mcmc, Ashersky

Not Voting (3): manda, 2.7, faust

With 10 alive it takes 6 to lynch.
Day2 will end December 15 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 13, 2013, 11:52:10 am
Jimmmmmm, Walrus, Ashersky

If Ash is town, Jimmmm and Walrus are scum.

If Ash is scum, we get a good lynch in.

hammer time

vote: Ashersky
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 13, 2013, 11:54:36 am
Vote Count 2.Final

ashersky (6): Jimmmmm, Teproc, Walrus, Voltaire, Robz, 2.7
Jimmmmm (2): mcmc, Ashersky

Not Voting (2): manda,faust

With 10 alive it took 6 to lynch.

Twilight for a bit.

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 13, 2013, 11:55:57 am
Everything ashersky would make me even more sure that he is scum, if I wasn't already 100% sure. There's no use in arguing with him, Jimmmmm. It only takes away the attention from the topics we should be discussing.

I know, you're right. I got sucked into it a bit.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 13, 2013, 12:01:30 pm
Is it worth announcing whom I will roleblock tonight, just in case I die? Or better to keep it secret for now?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 13, 2013, 12:02:45 pm
Well if they recruited that's really bad, so I'd say no.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 13, 2013, 12:06:05 pm
In fact even if they didn't, what's the point ? If you roleblock succesfully you won't die. If you die, it means your roleblock failed, so it's not very useful information (it does make your target statistically more likely to be town, but that's not much).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 13, 2013, 12:11:30 pm
Well, that was pretty much the point. I agree it's not much but I thought I'd ask.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 13, 2013, 01:09:48 pm
<insert flavor>

Ashersky has been lynched. He was The Green Grasshopper, Mafia Goon.

Night 2 Begins, and will last for 48 hours (subject to change by Yuma).

Please submit your night actions to both myself and Yuma. Each player is required to check-in to both mods within 24 hours as well.


Thread Locked!!!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: yuma on December 13, 2013, 02:23:07 pm
As mentioned in the VLA thread I have extremely limited access. Please thank TA for filling in for me. As he said all PMs and such questions need to be sent to both of us (and if he wants another co-mod to help him out, to that player as well) all decisions made by TA are considered final and binding. Thanks for the help TA, couldn't have done it without you. I'll fill in flavor later, or TA can make it up if he so desires...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 13, 2013, 02:58:38 pm
I don't have the link for the Spec QT -- if some fine spectator could PM it to me so I can give it out to dead players, that would be extremely helpful!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 15, 2013, 02:14:58 pm
<insert flavor>

Faust, also known as Matilda, the Innocent Child, has been killed.

Day3 Starts Now!
Thread Unlocked


Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 15, 2013, 02:15:12 pm
Vote Count 3.1

Not Voting (10): Robz, Walrus, Jimmmmm, Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7, Voltaire

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 15, 2013, 02:21:04 pm
I guess I should have bodyguarded Faust.

I actually bodyguarded walrus, because I believed his claim as roleblocker after ash died. And I think a roleblocker's power increases as the game goes on. So I thought scum would naturally target him. Especially when they passed over Faust N1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 15, 2013, 02:24:46 pm
However, since I am still alive, I will provide a scum narrative for walrus since the mafia behaved differently than I thought they would.

Walrus and ash are on the same team. They have day chat. Ash claims. They wait a while for a counter claim. None comes.  They see ash being lynched D2 or D3. They turn it to their advantage by having walrus counter claim, thus creating a really good cover for scum, because town does not want to lynch a roleblocker
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 15, 2013, 03:10:14 pm
Oompa Loompa doom-pa-dee
-doo,
I've got a perfect puzzle for you.
Oompa Loompa doom-pa-dee-dee,
If you are wise you'll listen to me

What do you get when you make a false claim?
Something I think is incredibly lame!
What do you get when you're acting like scum?
Did you think that we were all so dumb?

SOMEONE COUNTERCLAIMS YOU!

Oompa Loompa doom-pa-dee-da,
If you are truthful you will go far.
You will live in towniness too,
Like the Oompa Loompa doom-pa-dee-doo!
















Doom-pa-dee-doo!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 15, 2013, 03:13:26 pm
I roleblocked Teproc by the way (because it rhymes). No dice, I guess. Didn't want to target mcmc; it would have been too obvious perhaps based on my previous suspicions expressed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 15, 2013, 03:30:24 pm
While we wait for Jimmmmm to show up and tell us more, I'll say that I agree with 2.7 that I think Walrus' claim has a pretty good chance of being fake and planned through daychat with ash. Being the last claim means it can have been done with knowledge that there isn't anyone left to counterclaim, and I also happen to think Walrus is scummy regardless (see my vote for him on day 2).

What I'm struggling to figure out is what faust's death means with regard to 2.7's claim. Why did you protect Walrus rather than Jimmmmm, given that you seem to find Walrus' claim scummier ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 15, 2013, 03:48:29 pm
While we wait for Jimmmmm to show up and tell us more, I'll say that I agree with 2.7 that I think Walrus' claim has a pretty good chance of being fake and planned through daychat with ash. Being the last claim means it can have been done with knowledge that there isn't anyone left to counterclaim, and I also happen to think Walrus is scummy regardless (see my vote for him on day 2).

What I'm struggling to figure out is what faust's death means with regard to 2.7's claim. Why did you protect Walrus rather than Jimmmmm, given that you seem to find Walrus' claim scummier ?
at the end of D2 I thought walrus's claim was true and that scum would NK a roleblocker. Since they did not, a fake claim by walrus is not impossible. I don't quite know what to think about walrus right now since I am still alive. (had I died I would be posting in the spectator QT saying he is town) I just wanted to throw out the fake claim possibility to help stimulate discussion.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 15, 2013, 03:58:32 pm
Looking back, protecting jimmmm might have been better. Either way, I am surprised by the NK one again. Jimmmm or walrus were the obvious targets, yet they target Faust. Scum trying to work towards a D3 PR mislynch?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 15, 2013, 04:00:30 pm
Looking back, protecting jimmmm might have been better. Either way, I am surprised by the NK one again. Jimmmm or walrus were the obvious targets, yet they target Faust. Scum trying to work towards a D3 PR mislynch?
I should say, if both jimmm and walrus's claims are true, they are the obvious targets. Much more dangerous than an IC.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 15, 2013, 04:06:33 pm
Well there's also the question of how useful these PRs are. For all we know, there might not be any Goons left, so Jimmmmm isn't as valuable to town as faust, because he's not mod-confirmed, and many people seemed to find him scummy enough yesterday, so, in that scenario, he would be less dangerous to scum than faust because he's not mod-confirmed town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 15, 2013, 06:02:03 pm
I think Walrus has to be town regardless.

We were all on board for lynching Jimm before ash, weren't we? Weren't we at least strongly leaning that way? walrus's claim made ash the lynch for certain.

Mafia probably spared him to push a case they mistakenly thought would have merit. Nope, I'm not fooled.

Killing the IC is arguably more important anyway. Walrus COULD be scum, and would engender suspicion if he lived. Faust is more important to kill, because all cases against him are automatically false.

I no longer believe 2.7's claim. We needed our IC, you didn't protect him, and he died? Obvscum.

Vote: 2.7
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 15, 2013, 06:19:38 pm
I have a scum narrative on walrus. Here is one on Robz:

Clever to wait until N2 to kill the IC. You knew I would bodyguard him N1, so you just kill a VT, maybe getting lucky and hitting a PR. Now, some you have daychat, you get ash to claim a useful PR, putting the real PR, who you know is more powerful than the IC, who you hope I will protect. It is now a good opportunity to NK Faust. Either you eliminate any protection walrus can have on later nights, or you are perfectly set up to try to mislynch me.

I know, a little OMGUS feel to this case, but does anyone doubt that if someone were to try to pull this off, it would be a robz/ash scum team
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 15, 2013, 06:27:52 pm
I have a scum narrative on walrus. Here is one on Robz:

Clever to wait until N2 to kill the IC. You knew I would bodyguard him N1, so you just kill a VT, maybe getting lucky and hitting a PR. Now, some since you have daychat, you get ash to claim a useful PR, putting the real PR, who you know is more powerful than the IC, who you hope I will protect. It is now a good opportunity to NK Faust. Either you eliminate any protection walrus can have on later nights, or you are perfectly set up to try to mislynch me.

I know, a little OMGUS feel to this case, but does anyone doubt that if someone were to try to pull this off, it would be a robz/ash scum team
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 15, 2013, 06:42:39 pm
There is no one more powerful than the IC. The IC helps us POE scum. You dying while protecting the IC is the best thing that could happen. Either you messed up big time, or you are scum.

Your OMGUS certainly makes me more certain.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 15, 2013, 07:03:08 pm
What do you make of this, if protecting the IC is the only correct play for me?
Tough work for e to work out who to protect Tonight if he's Town.
jimmm being scum trying to manipulate me? Because I should have no doubt about protecting Faust according to you, and it is so obvious to everyone
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 15, 2013, 07:08:57 pm
Thanks, Walrus. Well, it has to be ash, then.
you seem like you really believed walrus here. Explain to me why a confirmed IC is so much better than someone who is virtually an IC by merit of his claim? The only IC experience I have had was Voltaire in toy story, and narrowing the lynch pool did not help us lynch anyone correctly there. I just don't see IC being as powerful as you make it out to be. Please illuminate me, as I apparently made an egregious error.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 15, 2013, 10:43:10 pm
At LAX. Little time. Teproc is not a Goon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 16, 2013, 12:29:12 am
Ugh so sorry I missed the lynch..... Got home and then family stuff and I felt guilty leaving them to mafia so there ya go. But school is out now so I'm here in the evenings to play for real now. Sorry again.

Reading now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 01:01:18 am
Mcmc is gone for the week, by the way. He's on a cruise.

When Voltaire gets here, I am confident he will agree with me (unless he is scum).

2.7, it's not that your decision was an automatic and easy one. Jimm was correct in that respect. A roleblocker is also a very important thing for town to have, of course.

But there is a significantly greater chance that we lynch Walrus today than a chance that we lynch faust, making faust much much much more dangerous. The fact that faust died and you immediately begun spinning a yarn about why walrus was both more important to protect and also still possibly scum, and you did this immediately, right off the bat--a quintessential scum move to get all your pre-planned facts out in the open ASAP.

I wouldn't be so confident--and I may indeed be wrong--but you look like caught scum watching his carefully planned out explanation fail to persuade, and now resorting to OMGUS and conspiracy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 16, 2013, 01:06:09 am
Thanks, Walrus. Well, it has to be ash, then.
you seem like you really believed walrus here. Explain to me why a confirmed IC is so much better than someone who is virtually an IC by merit of his claim? The only IC experience I have had was Voltaire in toy story, and narrowing the lynch pool did not help us lynch anyone correctly there. I just don't see IC being as powerful as you make it out to be. Please illuminate me, as I apparently made an egregious error.

Because it's still possible he could be fakeclaiming? 1) Better for town to have someone whose reads they can absolutely trust to be, if not necessarily accurate, not deliberately misleading, and 2) Even if narrowing the lynch pool doesn't always result in success, it still, mathematically, gets us closer to a correct lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 16, 2013, 01:08:43 am
Yeah, Walrus is certainly not an IC, although at this stage I'm very against lynching him. If he turns out to be scum I wouldn't be shocked, but I would be quite surprised.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 01:11:21 am
So I've been thinking a little bit more about the setup, and we need to consider a couple things.

We know we have an IC (faust) and a Tracker (Morgrim). We know we very likely have a Goon Cop (Jimm). I very much believe we have a Roleblocker (Walrus), or else Walrus counterclaimed only to get his scum buddy immediately killed. If 2.7's claim is true and he is indeed a Bodyguard, we actually have the maximum amount of PRs. We start with 2 automatically, and and we can get a maximum 3 more if scum picked their maximum number of PRs. This means that if any living person is a Vigilante, he or she should immediately claim. This would effectively be a counter claim. It would be impossible for this claim, and Walrus, and Jimm, and 2.7 to all be true.

I assume there is no Vigilante, because you should have already known this, and you should have probably shot 2.7 based on this information (thus confirming your own identity since there would be two kills). I am not the Vigilante--if you are (whoever you are) you screwed up, but tell us!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 01:12:36 am
Yeah, Walrus is certainly not an IC, although at this stage I'm very against lynching him. If he turns out to be scum I wouldn't be shocked, but I would be quite surprised.

The reason it would surprise me is that his counterclaim got ash lynched, when you would have been lynched instead. That's truly bizarre play from a partner.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 16, 2013, 01:16:24 am
Yeah, Walrus is certainly not an IC, although at this stage I'm very against lynching him. If he turns out to be scum I wouldn't be shocked, but I would be quite surprised.

The reason it would surprise me is that his counterclaim got ash lynched, when you would have been lynched instead. That's truly bizarre play from a partner.

My thoughts exactly. Of course, that could be exactly what we're supposed to think.

What if I was scum as well?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 01:17:49 am
So back to PRs.

Let's say I believe Jimm and Walrus. Should I believe 2.7? This means that scum took ALL the available PRs they could.

I've been thinking that it makes much, much more sense to take Daychat if you are also going to recruit the Traitor (which I increasingly think is a very smart thing to do). Cooking up day schemes is much more worthwhile if you actually have three people. I could see scum just taking both these and walking away, thus generating 4 of our 5 town PR claims (2.7 would be suspect here).

However, scum could very well spring for the Role Cop (which will be useful for investigating all those town PRs they gave us!), or maybe even the JOAT. In which case, 2.7's claim would be true and all remaining scum are among Voltaire, Teproc, mcmc, manda, and myself.

What do you all think?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 01:20:42 am
Yeah, Walrus is certainly not an IC, although at this stage I'm very against lynching him. If he turns out to be scum I wouldn't be shocked, but I would be quite surprised.

The reason it would surprise me is that his counterclaim got ash lynched, when you would have been lynched instead. That's truly bizarre play from a partner.

My thoughts exactly. Of course, that could be exactly what we're supposed to think.

What if I was scum as well?

I mean, I'm the person that said your fight seemed more likely to be scum/scum than town/town. I don't think it's more likely scum/scum than scum/town.

I mean... if you had daychat, I could sort of see ash saying, "throw me under! get max towncred!" But under this circumstance, both of you came out with risky fakeclaims that could have been counterclaimed. Your Goon Cop claim is insanely risky in this scenario, and if it pays off... you get your partner lynched?

The very plausible explanation is simply that you are town who caught scum, that scum tried to do what he could--fake claim and either survive another day or out a town PR, achieving the latter.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 01:21:36 am
Again, I am asking Voltaire, mcmcsalot, Teproc, and manda to all claim Vigilante/Not Vigilante. Unfortunately, we will have to wait a week for mcmc's answer.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 16, 2013, 01:23:37 am
Just about to board. My final thought for now is that e's claim should give him more Towncred than others because it came early. If he knew that there were 2 other Town PRs out there, the chances of being counterclaimed are pretty high.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 01:28:38 am
Just about to board. My final thought for now is that e's claim should give him more Towncred than others because it came early. If he knew that there were 2 other Town PRs out there, the chances of being counterclaimed are pretty high.

That's true.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 01:29:06 am
He claimed Bodyguard on Day 1, right?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 01:29:25 am
I don't actually remember why he did. Were we going to lynch him?

2.7, why did you claim BG?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 16, 2013, 01:59:20 am
He claimed Bodyguard on Day 1, right?

I think so. I can't remember if it was before or after Morgrim's claim. There was suspicion on him, but he certainly wasn't about to be lynched.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 02:08:44 am
Well Unvote I think. Thanks for reminding me of that, Jimm.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 06:11:51 am
He claimed at L-2 on day 1, before Morgrim did, IIRC.

I see why you believe Walrus' claim Robz, but I simply don't agree with your premise, which is that Jimmmmm would have been lynched if Walrus hadn't stepped in. Probably because I still don't understand why you (and Voltaire and faust) wanted to lynch him first, that still makes no sense to me. I believe he had 3 votes on him when Walrus stepped in ?

I'm having a hard time believing scum took 3 powers. I mean, maybe they did, but that seems very risky because it makes them super weak to the Goon Cop, who'd have a very high likelihood to exist if they did that. And I'm much more inclined to believe 2.7's and Jimmmm's claims because I have a town reads on them regardless, whereas I think Walrus has legitimately been scummy this game. Maybe I'm just being paranoid.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 06:23:17 am
Oh, and I'm not the Vigilante.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 09:18:23 am
I don't actually remember why he did. Were we going to lynch him?

2.7, why did you claim BG?

Ok. As much as I would love to fight this case against me, I think it will end in a big waste of time.

1) it is too easy for scum to come out against me now. (I wish Faust had saved his vote longer)
   A) since this is the case, I do not know that any additional people coming against me will gain us any new knowledge.
2) we want to avoid a mislynch.
3) I am a mislynch
4) since I am the bodyguard.

As I said, and especially since I am new, I am curious to see if I would have been able to fend off the lynch without a claim. But that is not in the best interest of town, especially since I think town believe very strongly that I am scum.

I will bodyguard Faust. If we both survive the night it is because scum think they can mislynch me later. I might be super early on this claim, but I have never done this kind of thing before so forgive me and maybe explain when an optimal time for a claim would have been. I mean, given my role, I would probably have died tonight anyway (even without the scummy [i mean jokey reactions-i like to think of my play as more noob town than scummy] play that I have done today), so might as well claim now.

I claimed bodyguard because I wanted to get some serious scum hunting in before D1 ended.  There were about 3 days remaining in D1, and I did not want the case against me to distract from hunting scum.  Now, in hindsight maybe I should have kept fighting and maybe Morgrim would not have claimed, who knows though. 
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 09:36:22 am
The fact that faust died and you immediately begun spinning a yarn about why walrus was both more important to protect and also still possibly scum, and you did this immediately, right off the bat--a quintessential scum move to get all your pre-planned facts out in the open ASAP.
Ok.  You are right about this coming off a little scummy.  I did clarify here a bit:
at the end of D2 I thought walrus's claim was true and that scum would NK a roleblocker. Since they did not, a fake claim by walrus is not impossible. I don't quite know what to think about walrus right now since I am still alive. (had I died I would be posting in the spectator QT saying he is town) I just wanted to throw out the fake claim possibility to help stimulate discussion.
I was surprised by the NK.  I thought they would take out the PR that was the biggest threat to them, which would be Walrus in my opinion because he has the potential to block a NK.  So I was immediately mildly suspicious, and threw out a situation where it seems plausible that walrus is scum.  I do not necessarily even believe my case, I just was putting some thoughts down to get a reaction. 
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 09:37:32 am
And I am the vigila.......err......bodyguard
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: yuma on December 16, 2013, 10:04:23 am
Vote Count 3.2

Not Voting (8): Robz, Walrus, Jimmmmm, Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7, Voltaire

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 10:05:35 am
At LAX. Little time. Teproc is not a Goon.
Just to mod-confirm because it is important:  If mafia is JOAT or role cop and gets investigated by the goon cop, will the result be "Goon", "Not a Goon" or "No Result"?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory
Post by: yuma on December 16, 2013, 10:10:20 am
- Goon Cop - returns results of Goon, Not Goon or no result regardless of alignment.

A Goon Cop only returns the above three results.

A Goon Cop only returns "Goons" on players that are specifically Goons.

Anyone that is not a Goon (including Vanilla Townies, Town PRs, Mafia PRs or Mafia Traitor) will return the result "Not Goon."

A "no result" is given if the Cop is somehow blocked from using the investigative role during the night.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 10:25:38 am
At LAX. Little time. Teproc is not a Goon.
Ok.  So if we believe Jimmmmm's claim, which I think is a pretty solid claim, then Teproc is either a VT, JOAT, role cop, or traitor.  Since Ash flipped regular goon, it really hurts the goon cop's ability because scum picked so many PRs.  It is entirely conceivable that scum did not choose to NK Jimmmmm because they knew that it was impossible for him to give a result.  (say they picked daytalk, JOAT, and (bulletproof or role cop)).  Picking Bulletproof or role cop is more likely given the fact that it is very possible that they chose 3 PRs.  I think Jimmmmm's result does lower any suspicion on Teproc, but is nothing that I would give a day pass for.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 10:30:17 am
Another possibility is if mafia picked daychat, JOAT and didn't recruit (the Mafia Traitor would also not return Goon if not recruited). That would mean someone is fakeclaiming, which I do think is very possible. Scum would never pick Bulletproof, I don't really know why it's in the setup to be honest. Rolecop is a possibility though.

Basically Jimmmmm's result on me + Walrus roleblocking me don't prove anything about me, unfortunately. I guss they statistically reduce the likeliness of me being scum, but not enough for that to matter all that much I think.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 11:34:06 am
Back from my weekend (mostly) away from the forums. Catching up now. Robz, I don't agree with you!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 11:48:56 am
I think Walrus has to be town regardless.

We were all on board for lynching Jimm before ash, weren't we? Weren't we at least strongly leaning that way? walrus's claim made ash the lynch for certain.

Mafia probably spared him to push a case they mistakenly thought would have merit. Nope, I'm not fooled.

Killing the IC is arguably more important anyway. Walrus COULD be scum, and would engender suspicion if he lived. Faust is more important to kill, because all cases against him are automatically false.

I no longer believe 2.7's claim. We needed our IC, you didn't protect him, and he died? Obvscum.

Vote: 2.7

OK, I see that Jimmmmm already pointed out a reason why this doesn't make any sense, but here's another. If e were scum, why would his team kill faust? They'd have to know it would make him incredibly suspicious, he'd fakeclaimed bodyguard! Is killing faust that worth it? This is reason, like, 626 why I think e is obv!town now.

Scum would never pick Bulletproof, I don't really know why it's in the setup to be honest.

because we could have had a Vigilante. Which I am not.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 12:24:25 pm
Yeah yeah yeah I'm off the 2.7 bandwagon already, keep up! Scum is now Teproc...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 12:25:31 pm
Teproc is scum.

He claimed at L-2 on day 1, before Morgrim did, IIRC.

I see why you believe Walrus' claim Robz, but I simply don't agree with your premise, which is that Jimmmmm would have been lynched if Walrus hadn't stepped in. Probably because I still don't understand why you (and Voltaire and faust) wanted to lynch him first, that still makes no sense to me. I believe he had 3 votes on him when Walrus stepped in ?

I'm having a hard time believing scum took 3 powers. I mean, maybe they did, but that seems very risky because it makes them super weak to the Goon Cop, who'd have a very high likelihood to exist if they did that. And I'm much more inclined to believe 2.7's and Jimmmm's claims because I have a town reads on them regardless, whereas I think Walrus has legitimately been scummy this game. Maybe I'm just being paranoid.

Teproc is scum who has to argue that all the PR claims are actually not true, because he knows he gets POEd here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 12:25:56 pm
At LAX. Little time. Teproc is not a Goon.
Ok.  So if we believe Jimmmmm's claim, which I think is a pretty solid claim, then Teproc is either a VT, JOAT, role cop, or traitor.  Since Ash flipped regular goon, it really hurts the goon cop's ability because scum picked so many PRs.  It is entirely conceivable that scum did not choose to NK Jimmmmm because they knew that it was impossible for him to give a result.  (say they picked daytalk, JOAT, and (bulletproof or role cop)).  Picking Bulletproof or role cop is more likely given the fact that it is very possible that they chose 3 PRs.  I think Jimmmmm's result does lower any suspicion on Teproc, but is nothing that I would give a day pass for.

Yeah, well, he's just a JOAT or Rolecop.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 12:26:12 pm
Vote: Teproc
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 12:27:18 pm
At LAX. Little time. Teproc is not a Goon.
Ok.  So if we believe Jimmmmm's claim, which I think is a pretty solid claim, then Teproc is either a VT, JOAT, role cop, or traitor.  Since Ash flipped regular goon, it really hurts the goon cop's ability because scum picked so many PRs.  It is entirely conceivable that scum did not choose to NK Jimmmmm because they knew that it was impossible for him to give a result.  (say they picked daytalk, JOAT, and (bulletproof or role cop)).  Picking Bulletproof or role cop is more likely given the fact that it is very possible that they chose 3 PRs.  I think Jimmmmm's result does lower any suspicion on Teproc, but is nothing that I would give a day pass for.

Yeah, well, he's just a JOAT or Rolecop.

POE, scumming up PRs, very tempting. But he's also a cleared not-goon who was roleblocked (if we trust said PRs).

I want to re-read ash first.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 12:28:27 pm
Teproc is scum who has to argue that all the PR claims are actually not true, because he knows he gets POEd here.

This from the guy who wanted to lynch Jimmmmm earlier ? Or even better, who wanted to lynch e two hours ago ? I think e and Jimmmmm's claims are true, I don't think Walrus' is. He was the last one to claim, which is the sweet spot for a fakeclaim, and he's been acting scummy all game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 02:36:14 pm
The silence in this game is maddening. This is the exciting point! We lynched a scum! We have claims to evaluate! Can we solve it via POE? THIS IS THE FUN PART. WAKE UP TOWN.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 02:37:37 pm
Teproc is scum who has to argue that all the PR claims are actually not true, because he knows he gets POEd here.

This from the guy who wanted to lynch Jimmmmm earlier ? Or even better, who wanted to lynch e two hours ago ? I think e and Jimmmmm's claims are true, I don't think Walrus' is. He was the last one to claim, which is the sweet spot for a fakeclaim, and he's been acting scummy all game.

I don't really think he's been "acting scummy all game." Anyway, that arguments not very important anymore. His claim got ash lynched ahead of Jimm. That's crazy play for scum!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 02:47:00 pm
Ok.  At this point I believe Walrus and Jimmmmm.  I also believe myself.  So this is what I am looking at:

Walrus
Jimmmmm

2.7

Two scum in 5 people:
Robz
Teproc
manda
mcmcsalot
Voltaire
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 02:48:59 pm
Teproc is scum who has to argue that all the PR claims are actually not true, because he knows he gets POEd here.

This from the guy who wanted to lynch Jimmmmm earlier ? Or even better, who wanted to lynch e two hours ago ? I think e and Jimmmmm's claims are true, I don't think Walrus' is. He was the last one to claim, which is the sweet spot for a fakeclaim, and he's been acting scummy all game.

I don't really think he's been "acting scummy all game." Anyway, that arguments not very important anymore. His claim got ash lynched ahead of Jimm. That's crazy play for scum!

I don't think that's an accurate description of what happened. Jimmmm wasn't getting lynched when his claim was so clearly better than ash's claim. He got a few votes, sure, but I believe ash would have been lynched regardless of Walrus' roleclaim.

In fact, if Walrus was the roleblocker, wouldn't he have waited until Jimmmmm was at L-1 to counterclaim ash ? That certainly seems like the best play to me, Walrus was a little overeager in his counterclaim here. Maybe because he was so happy to have caught scum when ash claimed Rolebocker, or because it was a plan.

Arguments are not important anymore ? What ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 03:07:14 pm
No, arguments are important, just not "well, Walrus was kinda scummy bleh." Day 1 reads are just pretty useless in the face of the sort of real evidence we have now. Although re-reading Day 1 for clues to ash's partner would be a good thing to do.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 03:11:42 pm
I mean, it was ignored because Jimmmm claimed Goon Cop, but I had an actual case on Walrus on day 2, here it is :

You can agree or disagree but it's a little more than "kinda scummy bleh".

Of course what has happened changed stuff, my argument is that Warlus' claim is scummy. But you're right, I should reread to see his (and others) interactions with ash.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 03:20:26 pm
Teproc D1:

Chooses JOAT+Role Cop (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318278#msg318278) as his scum PR choices, with the option of daytalk.  If he is scum, we know he was lying since Ash was a regular goon.  But scum would be lying there anyway most likely.  (unless they weren't- Ash said all or none)

Is big on Robz being scum (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319232#msg319232).  Maintains this all day (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320482#msg320482).  Don't know what to read into this yet without one of them flipping.  He is also against the Jorbles lynch (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320489#msg320489).  He then eventually goes over to voting Morgrim after the Morgrim claim, which is something both town and scum did I am sure.  (how many scum did is a question worth reevaluating though.  Working under the assumption they chose 3 PRs means they probably have daytalk, and they must have discussed this.  But that is a different post)

D2:
A good post (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322299#msg322299) discussing the Jorbles NK.  Finds walrus scummy (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323655#msg323655).  Maintains his scum!robz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg324289#msg324289) read.  Finds Jimmmmm/Ash to be town/town (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg324670#msg324670). Eventually lands on an Ashersky vote (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325192#msg325192) (pre-walrus claim).  Says a bit more but not much else to note

D3:
Sheeps my hypothetical about a Walrus fake-claim (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326262#msg326262).  Mentions how there might not be any goons (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326275#msg326275) left.

Summary:
Big against robz.  I don't see both of them being scum.  But I could see either of them being scum.  He was basically right about Jimmmmm/Ashersky, and his vote on Ash before the walrus claim is big town points in my mind.  I am leaning town on Teproc right now.

PPE: 2
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 03:31:49 pm
I want to re-read ash first.

Alright. First off, I think it's pretty safe to assume at this point that mafia took 3 powers. Ash straight-up said it, and there's no way we have three/four fakeclaims. Ash also did the "derpity derp my exact scum role" thing in Grimm mafia. So we'd have 5 PRs (IC, Tracker, bodyguard, roleblocker, Goon Cop). Just based on that, I find all our claimed PRs very believable.

Upon a re-read of ash, this is how everyone looks:

Voltaire - me!

Walrus - the biggest thing, obviously, is that he counter-claimed ash. If they're teammates, this can only be a gambit for cred. We were looking likely to lynch Jimmmmm prior to this, which would have resulted in ash's lynch the day after, but scum gets in another night kill. I simply do not see this pairing one bit. Scenarios which include Walrus as an unrecruited traitor make no sense. I think Walrus has to be a virtual IC. Also, Walrus was one of ash's (many) big pushes D1. Oh, and then the D2 stuff. I don't see it at all.

Robz - called scum by ash at a safe point where Robz wouldn't be lynched. Not much interaction here.

Jimmmmm - Several arguments with ash throughout the game. Could be a scum/scum staged fight (anything involving ash is possible) but it would need to be ongoing throughout the entire game and involve daychat. That's possible. Hmmm. But with Jimmmmm being the one to live , that seems to make it less likely. I also don't remember liking Jimmmmm as a crazy plans guy. Also, a town narrative for him yesterday does make sense. If one of our PRs is scum it's Jimmmmm but I think that's unlikely.

manda - Entirely possible. ash's comments about not hedging could be cleverly-hidden advice to his scum partner in plan sight (but that's likely unnecessary if they have daychat).

Teproc - there's almost nothing here. All I saw was ash calling an interaction between me and Teproc town v town. Can definitely see a pairing here.

2.7 - virtually impossible, see elsewhere. Also, e was one of the wagons ash hopped onto. He really, really pushed an e case.

mcmc - ash called him scum at a time when he wasn't the focus of conversation and there was no threat of a wagon. Could entirely see a partnership here. This also doesn't look good:

I think you've been swooping in at times, (which I admit can just be IRL) to ensure you add content when needed.  That's what I think of as acti-lurking.  It isn't necessarily scummy.  I did want to see how folks reacted to those labels.

and the "mcmc is trying" from D1 was something I also noticed.

based on a re-read of ash, vote: mcmc. My other candidates for today right now are Robz, manda, and Teproc. I'll want to look at them (and the wagons/final votes) of the days more as well.

PPE - I had to go to lunch.  :P
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 03:36:42 pm
based on a re-read of ash, vote: mcmc. My other candidates for today right now are Robz, manda, and Teproc. I'll want to look at them (and the wagons/final votes) of the days more as well.
I find that kind of humorous.  You just said you believe all the claims, then list everyone (excluding yourself) who has not claimed.  :P
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 03:37:51 pm
I don't think that's an accurate description of what happened. Jimmmm wasn't getting lynched when his claim was so clearly better than ash's claim. He got a few votes, sure, but I believe ash would have been lynched regardless of Walrus' roleclaim.

In fact, if Walrus was the roleblocker, wouldn't he have waited until Jimmmmm was at L-1 to counterclaim ash ? That certainly seems like the best play to me, Walrus was a little overeager in his counterclaim here. Maybe because he was so happy to have caught scum when ash claimed Rolebocker, or because it was a plan.

I stand by my reasoning that in just ash/Jimmmmm, you lynch Jimmmmm first. See here:

Regardless of if any of them are telling the truth, at least one is scum. So let's work through the scenarios:

  • Lynch ash today
    • ash flips town - lynch Jimmmmm. We've traded 1 PR for 1 scum. Seems fine.
    • ash flips scum - decide on Jimmmmm. We've traded maybe nothing for 1 scum. If Jimmmmm is a PR he's outed. So scum might kill him overnight? Or would they leave him alive hoping we mislynch him?
  • Lynch Jimmmmm today
    • Jimmmmm flips town - lynch ash. We've traded 1 PR for 1 scum. Seems fine.
    • Jimmmmm flips scum - decide on ash. We've traded maybe nothing for 1 scum. Same scenario as above I think?

I actually think we should lynch Jimmmmm since the scenarios look identical - RB is more valuable to have around, right? So if we're wrong, we want to lose the least hurtful PR. Am I missing something?

As far as Walrus waiting to claim...why would he need to wait until Jimmmmm was at L-1? He was at L-2 (I think) and the movement did seem to be going towards ash. It makes no difference.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 03:38:15 pm
based on a re-read of ash, vote: mcmc. My other candidates for today right now are Robz, manda, and Teproc. I'll want to look at them (and the wagons/final votes) of the days more as well.
I find that kind of humorous.  You just said you believe all the claims, then list everyone (excluding yourself) who has not claimed.  :P

What's funny about that?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 16, 2013, 03:40:42 pm
Summary:
Big against robz.  I don't see both of them being scum.  But I could see either of them being scum.  He was basically right about Jimmmmm/Ashersky, and his vote on Ash before the walrus claim is big town points in my mind.  I am leaning town on Teproc right now.

PPE: 2

Being right doesn't make someone less likely to be scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 03:41:00 pm
based on a re-read of ash, vote: mcmc. My other candidates for today right now are Robz, manda, and Teproc. I'll want to look at them (and the wagons/final votes) of the days more as well.
I find that kind of humorous.  You just said you believe all the claims, then list everyone (excluding yourself) who has not claimed.  :P

What's funny about that?
The thing that I find funny is that at the beginning of your post you basically take claimed PRs off the table.  You take yourself off the table.  there are only 4 people left.  You vote one and say the three others are candidates for today.  I find that funny because you said it in a POE sort of way, but you had already POEed everyone else except for them. 
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 03:47:08 pm
based on a re-read of ash, vote: mcmc. My other candidates for today right now are Robz, manda, and Teproc. I'll want to look at them (and the wagons/final votes) of the days more as well.
I find that kind of humorous.  You just said you believe all the claims, then list everyone (excluding yourself) who has not claimed.  :P

What's funny about that?
The thing that I find funny is that at the beginning of your post you basically take claimed PRs off the table.  You take yourself off the table.  there are only 4 people left.  You vote one and say the three others are candidates for today.  I find that funny because you said it in a POE sort of way, but you had already POEed everyone else except for them.

It's a matter of working at it from different angles. Based on the angle of, we have a ton of claims, the flipped scum said he'd take 3 PRs, we probably have 5 total PRs, there are 5 claims angle. So take off all the PRs.

Then there is the interaction with ash angle. Take off Walrus and e, almost certainly Jimmmmm.

Then there will be the re-reading everyone angle (haven't done that yet).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 03:51:20 pm
As far as Walrus waiting to claim...why would he need to wait until Jimmmmm was at L-1? He was at L-2 (I think) and the movement did seem to be going towards ash. It makes no difference.

What's the upside in not waiting for L-1 ? If I had been in Walrus' shoes, I would have waited for the last possible moment (ie when Jimmmmm was at L-1 and could have been hammered) to counterclaim because I wouldn't want to be outed. I don't see why you would claim at L-2 in Walrus' case. We weren't that close to deadline so he could have waited to see if the wagon on Jimmmm held up, which I don't think it would have. mcmc was techincally on that wagon but his vote had been there pre-claim and he hadn't showed up at that point which made the Jimmmmm wagon seem bigger than it was. I don't see why Roleblocker Walrus would claim at that point, except if he didin the heat of the moment because he was happy to catch ash, which is of course possible, but not optimal.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 03:53:38 pm
As far as Walrus waiting to claim...why would he need to wait until Jimmmmm was at L-1? He was at L-2 (I think) and the movement did seem to be going towards ash. It makes no difference.

What's the upside in not waiting for L-1 ? If I had been in Walrus' shoes, I would have waited for the last possible moment (ie when Jimmmmm was at L-1 and could have been hammered) to counterclaim because I wouldn't want to be outed. I don't see why you would claim at L-2 in Walrus' case. We weren't that close to deadline so he could have waited to see if the wagon on Jimmmm held up, which I don't think it would have. mcmc was techincally on that wagon but his vote had been there pre-claim and he hadn't showed up at that point which made the Jimmmmm wagon seem bigger than it was. I don't see why Roleblocker Walrus would claim at that point, except if he didin the heat of the moment because he was happy to catch ash, which is of course possible, but not optimal.

But why does that make Walrus more likely to be scum? Just because someone doesn't play a PR optimally (even if that is the case) doesn't make them scum/fakeclaiming.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 04:03:40 pm
As far as Walrus waiting to claim...why would he need to wait until Jimmmmm was at L-1? He was at L-2 (I think) and the movement did seem to be going towards ash. It makes no difference.

What's the upside in not waiting for L-1 ? If I had been in Walrus' shoes, I would have waited for the last possible moment (ie when Jimmmmm was at L-1 and could have been hammered) to counterclaim because I wouldn't want to be outed. I don't see why you would claim at L-2 in Walrus' case. We weren't that close to deadline so he could have waited to see if the wagon on Jimmmm held up, which I don't think it would have. mcmc was techincally on that wagon but his vote had been there pre-claim and he hadn't showed up at that point which made the Jimmmmm wagon seem bigger than it was. I don't see why Roleblocker Walrus would claim at that point, except if he didin the heat of the moment because he was happy to catch ash, which is of course possible, but not optimal.

But why does that make Walrus more likely to be scum? Just because someone doesn't play a PR optimally (even if that is the case) doesn't make them scum/fakeclaiming.

Because I expect people to play well, don't you ? I mean, wasn't the whole reason you voted for Jimmmmm after his claim that his timing was off ? As I said, it's entirely possible that Walrus got excited about catching ash and claimed too early because of that.

His timing makes perfect sense to me as part of a scum plan though. In order to get town cred, he needs to do it before the wagon on ash gets too big.

Off to reread Walrus with ash's flip in mind this time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 16, 2013, 04:05:50 pm
Yeah man, if you don't believe my claim now idk what to tell you...it directly led to scum being lynched for Pete's sake. What more do you want out of me??

Why did I claim at the time I did? Well to be honest I didn't think about it too much. I woke up, saw people talking about roleblocking, Phoenix Wright said "Hold it!", and then I claimed. I was very excited and pleased to catch someone in a counterclaim, it's the first time for me. I bet if I had waited until L-1, you guys would be like, "oh why did Walrus wait until L-1? FAAAKE!"

Jimmmmm's claim I find similarly believable. He wasn't lying about the result and it would have been a hell of a gambit to bus to that extent.

e's claim...well I can see where you're coming from Robz. First of all, you know I found e scummy all throughout D1. And then as a town PR, I was growing more and more skeptical as all these claims are coming out, and the bodyguard could be an easy one to fake. I could see ash telling e to make the claim or something like that. And then the fact that he's first out of the gates today to explain why I'm scummy and/or Mafia is acting strange...it didn't sit right with me. I can also see the town angle though, so maybe there are better lynches today.

My top scumread defaults back to mcmc now that ash is dead...of course he won't be around for awhile apparently, so that's kind of annoying. I need to do a reread of ash interactions through the lens of him being def!scum.

Teproc seems very insistent to paint me as scum. I'm not sure why to be honest; I'll have to take a look at his D2 case against me. I'm inclined to find this scummy, but of course we have a double result on him from last night, which should mitigate that. However those results are imperfect, so he shouldn't be discounted. In general I have found Teproc on the townier side since the beginning of the game (e.g. in his frustration towards Morgrim), although not as active and analytical as he was in GoT.

manda needs to post more. Like even more than me, and I definitely need to post more. It's really hard to form judgments on her so far from what little we've seen. Of course LALL, but we've had some pretty lurky mislynches in recent games too.

Voltaire I've had a town read on all game, and he hasn't really given me any reason so far to change that. Robz I think has been acting townier as well, especially since the beginning of the day.

So that leaves me with vote: mcmc for now, with Teproc, manda, and e being other suspicions. All of this contingent on rereads that may or may not happen in the near or distant future. I ought to have some more time tomorrow for some proper digging.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 04:18:35 pm
D1:
Early back-and-forth with Robz (example (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318421#msg318421)), but lands on town!Robz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318758#msg318758).  Super wary of scum fake-claiming (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318877#msg318877).  Votes Ashersky (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319184#msg319184) pretty early on.  Goes V/LA most of D1 and comes back in time for the Morgrim claim.  Ends up hammering Morgrim.

D2:
Comes out against Jimmmmm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322329#msg322329) to start D2.  Then after some discussion with Jimmmm unvotes (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322393#msg322393).  Then a ridiculous POE (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322399#msg322399) list that has Ashersky crossed off.  Jumps to Walrus after mcmc lays out a case against walrus (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322430#msg322430). A bunch of stuff that didn't draw my attention.  Then Voltaire comes and lays out a very rational case  (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325171#msg325171)as to why we should lynch Jimmmmmm.  He then votes Jimmmmmm.  After the Walrus claim goes to Ashersky easily enough.

D3:
Has a nice little summary post.  Been active and useful.

Summary:  Ever so slight scum read.  Not by much, but his D2 seems a little scummy after the NK.  Not a confident scum read at all.  I find it hard to get a good read on him here.

PPE: 4
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 04:21:38 pm
I was going to quote all of Walrus' interactions with ash, but there are just too many of them. I didn't remember how much they fought in this game. ash was very convinced that Walrus was scum in day 1, even during the Morgrim wagon, and they seemed pretty furstrated with each other with their exchanges over Walrus' posting style. Then there was the whole thing with the joke ash made that Walrus misunderstood... yeah, ok, if they're a scumteam they are just brilliant.

Hmmm, this isn't what I wanted to find. So we do have 5 PRs ? It's true that ash mentioned picking 0 or 3 powers, and he has a history of being transparent about these things (the Grimm RMM). I'll reread ash to see if there's something obvious in his interactions.

PPE : 2 unread.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 04:22:33 pm
Ever so slight scum read.  Not by much, but his D2 seems a little scummy after the NK. 

My D2 seems scummy after Jorbles died? I do not follow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 04:23:03 pm
Sorry.  That was Voltaire.  Forgot to mention it

D1:
Early back-and-forth with Robz (example (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318421#msg318421)), but lands on town!Robz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318758#msg318758).  Super wary of scum fake-claiming (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318877#msg318877).  Votes Ashersky (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319184#msg319184) pretty early on.  Goes V/LA most of D1 and comes back in time for the Morgrim claim.  Ends up hammering Morgrim.

D2:
Comes out against Jimmmmm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322329#msg322329) to start D2.  Then after some discussion with Jimmmm unvotes (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322393#msg322393).  Then a ridiculous POE (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322399#msg322399) list that has Ashersky crossed off.  Jumps to Walrus after mcmc lays out a case against walrus (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322430#msg322430). A bunch of stuff that didn't draw my attention.  Then Voltaire comes and lays out a very rational case  (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325171#msg325171)as to why we should lynch Jimmmmmm.  He then votes Jimmmmmm.  After the Walrus claim goes to Ashersky easily enough.

D3:
Has a nice little summary post.  Been active and useful.

Summary:  Ever so slight scum read.  Not by much, but his D2 seems a little scummy after the NK.  Not a confident scum read at all.  I find it hard to get a good read on him here.

PPE: 4
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 04:25:33 pm
Ever so slight scum read.  Not by much, but his D2 seems a little scummy after the NK. 

My D2 seems scummy after Jorbles died? I do not follow.
Why does the Jorbles death have anything to do with your D2?  Am I missing something you said about Jorbles?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 16, 2013, 04:27:47 pm
Ever so slight scum read.  Not by much, but his D2 seems a little scummy after the NK. 

My D2 seems scummy after Jorbles died? I do not follow.
Why does the Jorbles death have anything to do with your D2?  Am I missing something you said about Jorbles?

You say that my D2 seems a little scummy after the NK. I assume you're referring to the N1 kill of Jorbles if you think my D2 is scummy? Or are you talking about faust dying last night? Either way, I don't get what you're saying.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 04:31:14 pm
Ever so slight scum read.  Not by much, but his D2 seems a little scummy after the NK. 

My D2 seems scummy after Jorbles died? I do not follow.
Why does the Jorbles death have anything to do with your D2?  Am I missing something you said about Jorbles?

You say that my D2 seems a little scummy after the NK. I assume you're referring to the N1 kill of Jorbles if you think my D2 is scummy? Or are you talking about faust dying last night? Either way, I don't get what you're saying.
I am not sure what I meant there either.  I don't think I meant to add "after the NK" at all.  It has nothing to do with you being scummy.  A mistake on my part for typing it.  I really don't even remember typing it to begin with
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 16, 2013, 04:33:25 pm
I don't have time to do my other rereads right now.  I will get to them later tonight or tomorrow.

2 down, 3 to go.

1 slight scum read in the first two, if I get one slight scum read in the next two the puzzle is solved and we have caught our scum!   (not really)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: Teproc on December 16, 2013, 05:35:37 pm
ash reread for interactions with people still in the game (ie I'll ignore stuff like the Morgrim wagon and edit the dead people out when giving his reads).

Day 1

#187 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318249#msg318249) : "Misunderstands" the setup. Not super relevant right now but I might bookmark this post if anyone ever wants to give a stupid day 1 pass to someone for that kind of thing.
#189 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318252#msg318252)): Votes Jimmmm for "hiding in plain sight". This goes on for a few more posts between ash and Jimmmmm.
#193 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318256#msg318256) : Town read on Robz for not reading the setup.
#267 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318656#msg318656) : Says he'd go Daychat/Recruit/JOAT is he went for three powers.
#269 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318659#msg318659) : Finds a manda post scummy.
#270 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318661#msg318661): Calls Robz's rage vote on Voltaire fake.
#351 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?action=profile;u=906) : Says I'm sheepy and call mcmc scum for activity.
#427 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319687#msg319687) : Finds 2.7 scummy for joking about the scumminess of his day 1 passes after being called out on it. Votes for him in #485 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320313#msg320313) and there's a few other posts pushing for a 2.7 lynch.
#534 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?action=profile;u=906) Finds Robz scummy for "town cred grabbing" when he unvotes Jorbles after the Bodyguard claim
#547 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?action=profile;u=906) Starts going after Walrus. Fights with him for a few pages, not going to link to all that. He goes after him pretty hard and is very certain that Walrus is scum
#658 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320688#msg320688) : Post count analysis. Manda in "Lurkers", Walrus, mcmc and myself in "Acti-Lurkers", the rest in "Contributers"
#730 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320852#msg320852) Popsquiz :
Lynch ! Walrus
Would lynch : mcmc, manda
Won't lynch : Robz, Voltaire, Teproc, Jimmmmm, 2.7
#807 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?action=profile;u=906) Finds Robz scummy for not immediately asking for vigs not to shoot d1. Possibly joking ?

Day 2

#820 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg321079#msg321079) : Points out Jimmmm's ambivalent attitude toward the Morgrim lynch.
#840 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322088#msg322088): The Walrus joke post.
#861 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322124#msg322124): Wagon analysis. Thinks 2 are on, 1 is off. This lead to Jimmmmm suspecting him because he once suggested going all on/off in a scum QT, and ash saying that would be too obvious (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322151#msg322151)
#866 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322131#msg322131): Post count analysis. Walrus is too low and manda "needs to step it up".
#876 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322152#msg322152): Appears to think scum didn't recruit
#885 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322172#msg322172) : Calls a Jimmmmm/manda/Walrus scum team "very possible"
#886 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322173#msg322173) : In response to Jimmmmm asking madna to post more : "prodding your partner to post ?"
#888 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322177#msg322177) : Says Jimmmmm is more likely to be town
#889 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322178#msg322178) : But finds his vote on manda scummy for being too "safe".
#894 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322183#msg322183) : Reiterates that he thinks Jimmmmm is town, clearly frustrated. This goes on for a while and eventually ash steps away from the game for a bit.
#1003 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323461#msg323461): Finds my "fight" with Voltaire about POE to be town v town
#1005 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323464#msg323464) : Points out that mcmc forgot "scum v scum" in his analysis of the Jimmmm v ash fight.
#1006 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323469#msg323469): Says e's claim only holds up as long as he protects faust.
#1011 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323479#msg323479): Inclined to believe e's claim because the timing does't make sense for scum.
#1092 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg324659#msg324659): Says his fight with Jimmmmm is most likely to be town v town, which is basically just reiterating his town read on Jimmmm.
#1113 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325030#msg325030): Post count analysis.
"Abnormally high for Jimmmm.
Walrus and Manda severely need to post more.
mcmc and Tep seem to be in the actilurker zone."
#1156 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325111#msg325111): Post Jimmmmm claim, looking for Jimmmmm's partners, mentions Walrus, manda and the possibility of an epic bus by Robz.

And that's it. I'll say that ash did a pretty good job at not having obvious interactions with his partners. A Walrus/ash pairing does indeed seem very unlikely. Very little interaction with mcmc, Voltaire, and myself. His interactions with Robz and especially manda are interesting. He accuses them both of being scummy multiple times but never votes for them or really pressures them.

Not sure what to make of the wagon analysis. WIFOM, WIFOM everywhere.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: yuma on December 16, 2013, 05:44:03 pm
Vote Count 3.3

Teproc (1): Robz
mcmc (2): Voltaire, Walrus

Not Voting (5): Jimmmmm, Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: manda2014 on December 17, 2013, 12:32:52 am
Catching up on today now, but before I get any further: Not the vig.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: manda2014 on December 17, 2013, 02:14:25 am
Alright so reads:

Robz & Voltaire: despite somewhat of a disagreement-that-wasn't-actually-a-disagreement, both are helpful & useful. Town, I think

Walrus & Jimmm: I'm inclined to believe both claims. A double-fakeclaim gambit feels like too much. Town.

Teproc: long, useful post referencing all of ash's interactions, but I can easily see that as an attempt to gain town cred, especially because that review didn't reveal anything solid. Slight scum read

2.7: I have to agree with Voltaire that fakeclaiming BG would be way too risky for scum at that point, so the claim is likely true. Pretty much town.

mcmc: really unsure. Seems to have been posting about like I have which, I admit, is pretty useless to town but aaaalso makes it difficult to see him as scum. Neutral read, unfortunately.


An exploratory question that just occurred to me: If you were someone else looking at your behavior in this game, what about it would make you-as-someone-else vote for actual-you? For example, I have been mostly absent, which could easily be scum trying to fly under the radar.

Not hypothesizing any serious results from this but I am quite curious to see what people have to say, and I think it has the potential to provide some interesting insight.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 02:33:56 am
Alright so reads:

Robz & Voltaire: despite somewhat of a disagreement-that-wasn't-actually-a-disagreement, both are helpful & useful. Town, I think

Okay, yeah, I think we are both being helpful and useful. This shouldn't really make either of us remotely town in anyone's eyes. Can you give me a single good basis on which to acquit Voltaire? I can't think of one.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 02:34:28 am
At this point, I think the remaining scum are likely Teproc and Voltaire, possibly mcmc, distantly possibly manda.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 17, 2013, 04:12:32 am
I made it home! Pretty exhausted, so not looking to put in a whole heap of work, but I'll say a few things.

My reasons for investigating Teproc were similar to those Walrus gave for Roleblocking him. I had expressed the most suspicion of mcmc, so I figured that if mcmc was a Goon I would likely be killed and couldn't rely on e to protect me. I'm also pretty sure that Robz isn't a Goon - I don't see him coming that hard out in support of ash against me and risking me investigating him.

Choosing Teproc was based on a hunch. I thought about what ash was doing late in the Day when it was obvious he was going to be lynched, and realised he was probably trying (successfully) to draw me into a fight and spark theories about it being staged. Based on #1283 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325579#msg325579), and especially with the possibility of Daychat, I thought Teproc may have been trying to help him with that.

My two biggest scumreads remain mcmc and Robz. mcmc feels off, and perhaps there's bias here because they were voting for me both times, but I don't like his sheeping of Robz, regardless of Robz' alignment. Hmm, if the scumteam is ash/Robz/mcmc then they have deliberately planned to be seen to be working together, something we probably wouldn't expect scum to do.

Robz makes me uncomfortable, and has all game. From his jumping all over me for the IC thing, to quickly agreeing with me on the Jorbles wagon, to pushing the Morgrim lynch and calling me scummy for arguing against it, to staunchly agreeing with ash prior to Walrus' claim, and now declaring Teproc as scum for little more than PoE. As if we can PoE at this stage.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 17, 2013, 04:16:50 am
Hmm, if the scumteam is ash/Robz/mcmc then they have deliberately planned to be seen to be working together, something we probably wouldn't expect scum to do.

That would be a pretty epic team.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 17, 2013, 09:28:19 am
Manda
D1
V/LA alot.  So not very many posts.  But when she did post, it actually had some content and was pretty well thought out. (see here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg317791#msg317791), here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318399#msg318399), here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318684#msg318684), and here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320147#msg320147)) Then we get to her Jorbles vote (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320425#msg320425).  Seemed very scummy to me to such an extent that I left Jorbles to vote her.  What I found scummy was the fact that she was content to vote Jorbles without further discussion just to get a lynch in.
D2
Again, V/LA for most of the day due to finals.  Just because I never studied in school doesn't mean studying is a bad thing.  Perfectly understandable.  The interesting thing that I find here is that she did not put a vote down D2.  She got some reads, did some digging, but did not vote.  I think, as scum, she would have been in an easy spot to vote either walrus or Jimmmmm.  It was relatively early in the day, she seemed like she had slightly scummy reads on both of them (correct me if I am wrong) but was much more hesitant than she was with her D1 Jorbles vote.  Comes back barely in time to post before the lynch, but left to watch the Hobbit (another admirable cause) and ended up not voting.
D3
Comes out, apologizes for missing so much, then comes out with a reads list (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326848#msg326848).

Summary:  Lean town.  She had limited access D1, and put down a scummy (at least scummy to me) vote.  She had limited access D2 and did not vote when she had the opportunity early in the day.  While that is not much to go on, and I expect some more good reads like the post she recently gave, I do lean town here
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 17, 2013, 10:23:27 am
mcmc
D1
Doesnt say too much about PRs except that it all depends on who he drew as a teammate (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318301#msg318301).  But in general he leaned toward fewer PRs.  He has a lot of votes early, and I grow suspicious of him, he calls me out (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319620#msg319620) for being suspicious of him, and votes me.  Then there is a lot of back and forth, etc, etc.  mcmc is one of the most vocal people calling for my lynch.  After my claim he says this:
2.7 makes a reasonably timed claim because of his role, he expecting to die instead of Faust anyway. So claiming with time left to get a lynch in is smart.
However I am expecting scum to now not target Faust leaving 2.7 and Faust alive.
This means Faust 2.7 [FTFY] could be lying scum or scum is wifoming us. So when thought out the claim is extremely safe for scum to make.
He predicts the VT kill that night.  How honest is scum about what they will do that night?  I find this really interesting.  No one has commented on this particular point (that I could find).  We get distracted with walrus/ashersky then jimmmm/ashersky and we never really look at mcmc all of D2.  He later continues (D1) to defend reasons as to why my claim would be good for scum (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320512#msg320512) to make.  And he also has a D1 popsquiz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320966#msg320966) that could very well turn out to be 100% wrong.
D2
Comes out against Walrus (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322427#msg322427) a bit.  Affirms his scum read on walrus by voting him (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322662#msg322662).  Ashersky calls him out on that post because he didn't include a scum/scum narrative for jimmmm/ash, to which walrus responds basically saying (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323691#msg323691) he felt that was not really going to be the case given the way the argument went.  Goes away from Walrus to Jimmmmm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323957#msg323957) sheeping robz a just a little.  Then immediately (no one posts in between) as if anticipating some pushback for leaving Walrus, he maintains that he thinks Walrus is scum (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323975#msg323975), but is leaving to place his vote on another scum read that is more likely to result in a lynch.  I personally don't think throwing his vote around like that tells anything either way.  He threw his vote around plenty D1.  He then gives a short response to a Walrus vote on him, gives his ordering of how he thinks Jimmmm/Ash align, then has not posted since.

I believe he is v/la? He didn't post in the v/la thread though but I saw somewhere someone said he was on a cruise? Do we know when he gets back? I think not for a few more days at least.

summary: I think he is scum.  His vote-jumping is a null-tell.  Now, the two things that make me lean town are his prediction of the NK (not specifically but you know what I mean) and Ash calling him out for not having the scum/scum narrative.  Still, him calling the NK could just be good foresight from town, or scum saying what he will probably do.  In the QT Ash and him could have planned on Ash jumping all over something early to avoid getting a serious look at that prediction, but that is a stretch.  Ash calling him out for not including scum/scum could just be something to try and give Ash easy town points.  So there are scum narratives for both of those things, but right now I lean town
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 17, 2013, 10:24:02 am
mcmc
D1
Doesnt say too much about PRs except that it all depends on who he drew as a teammate (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318301#msg318301).  But in general he leaned toward fewer PRs.  He has a lot of votes early, and I grow suspicious of him, he calls me out (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319620#msg319620) for being suspicious of him, and votes me.  Then there is a lot of back and forth, etc, etc.  mcmc is one of the most vocal people calling for my lynch.  After my claim he says this:
2.7 makes a reasonably timed claim because of his role, he expecting to die instead of Faust anyway. So claiming with time left to get a lynch in is smart.
However I am expecting scum to now not target Faust leaving 2.7 and Faust alive.
This means Faust 2.7 [FTFY] could be lying scum or scum is wifoming us. So when thought out the claim is extremely safe for scum to make.
He predicts the VT kill that night.  How honest is scum about what they will do that night?  I find this really interesting.  No one has commented on this particular point (that I could find).  We get distracted with walrus/ashersky then jimmmm/ashersky and we never really look at mcmc all of D2.  He later continues (D1) to defend reasons as to why my claim would be good for scum (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320512#msg320512) to make.  And he also has a D1 popsquiz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320966#msg320966) that could very well turn out to be 100% wrong.
D2
Comes out against Walrus (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322427#msg322427) a bit.  Affirms his scum read on walrus by voting him (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322662#msg322662).  Ashersky calls him out on that post because he didn't include a scum/scum narrative for jimmmm/ash, to which walrus responds basically saying (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323691#msg323691) he felt that was not really going to be the case given the way the argument went.  Goes away from Walrus to Jimmmmm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323957#msg323957) sheeping robz a just a little.  Then immediately (no one posts in between) as if anticipating some pushback for leaving Walrus, he maintains that he thinks Walrus is scum (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323975#msg323975), but is leaving to place his vote on another scum read that is more likely to result in a lynch.  I personally don't think throwing his vote around like that tells anything either way.  He threw his vote around plenty D1.  He then gives a short response to a Walrus vote on him, gives his ordering of how he thinks Jimmmm/Ash align, then has not posted since.

I believe he is v/la? He didn't post in the v/la thread though but I saw somewhere someone said he was on a cruise? Do we know when he gets back? I think not for a few more days at least.

summary: I think he is scumTOWN.  His vote-jumping is a null-tell.  Now, the two things that make me lean town are his prediction of the NK (not specifically but you know what I mean) and Ash calling him out for not having the scum/scum narrative.  Still, him calling the NK could just be good foresight from town, or scum saying what he will probably do.  In the QT Ash and him could have planned on Ash jumping all over something early to avoid getting a serious look at that prediction, but that is a stretch.  Ash calling him out for not including scum/scum could just be something to try and give Ash easy town points.  So there are scum narratives for both of those things, but right now I lean town
sorry I was thinking town and typed scum
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 17, 2013, 11:41:59 am
nevermind.  I don't know how I missed it.  mcmc did post v/la through the 23rd (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=3621.msg322649#msg322649).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 17, 2013, 03:20:13 pm
Robz makes me uncomfortable, and has all game. From his jumping all over me for the IC thing, to quickly agreeing with me on the Jorbles wagon, to pushing the Morgrim lynch and calling me scummy for arguing against it, to staunchly agreeing with ash prior to Walrus' claim, and now declaring Teproc as scum for little more than PoE. As if we can PoE at this stage.

Well, we can POE at this stage. Pretty well, really. Scum is among the non-claimants (unless it's you but that's not likely enough for me to worry about it today). So myself (not lynching myself), Robz, Teproc, manda, mcmc.

I think mcmc is the scummiest, followed by Robz, Teproc, manda. Robz has jumped all over the place today but I do still put weight in the D1 stuff. Teproc has kept the lynch pool open somewhat but he has two clearing-ish results on him, so I don't think he's a good lynch today. manda also has D1 stuff and doesn't look like I'd expect new scum to look.

I feel pretty good about two of mcmc/Robz/Teproc being scum, and we have the time/PRs to sort it out.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 04:07:54 pm
Vote: Voltaire This is scum Voltaire. Teproc is also scum...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 17, 2013, 04:26:46 pm
Vote: Voltaire This is scum Voltaire. Teproc is also scum...

Do you have, like, reasons?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 04:28:52 pm
Vote: Voltaire This is scum Voltaire. Teproc is also scum...

Do you have, like, reasons?

Yep. Well, POE, and I don't find manda and mcmc all that scummy, and you are more muted and less of a leader as scum, as you have been all this game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 17, 2013, 04:31:55 pm
I played dominion instead of doing reads most of today. I don't feel all that rushed right now in this game since mcmc won't be back for a while. I still have my robz reread to do, and will be getting to that next.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 17, 2013, 04:32:06 pm
Vote: Voltaire This is scum Voltaire. Teproc is also scum...

Do you have, like, reasons?

Yep. Well, POE, and I don't find manda and mcmc all that scummy, and you are more muted and less of a leader as scum, as you have been all this game.

That's Eevee's "Voltaire isn't awesome" mislynch case against me from GoT. Which was/is quite flattering. And wrong.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 17, 2013, 05:00:38 pm
Vote: Robz. Will also vote mcmc.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 05:07:53 pm
Vote: Robz. Will also vote mcmc.

Ah, you are so wrong! It's Teproc and Voltaire, hands down.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 17, 2013, 05:21:36 pm
I just reread robz
Highlights (sorry on my kindle so I won't do all the referencing quite like I did with the others yet.)

D1
Super jokey to start. Claiming IC and #discredittheic are two examples of that. One interesting thing I found was in 539 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320432#msg320432). Robz has a little back and forth with ashersky. It is so easy, and so quick, it could be easily something scum does to gain a little town credit after a flip. (Assuming daychat) then in 558 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320453#msg320453) robz does not include ashersky as a part of the people who seem scummy in the jorbles vote. Not to much else before the morgrim thing. He was for the morgrim lynch, but town and scum both voted morgrim.

D2
Maintains jimmm being scummy over ashersky. The whole day. Never wavers. Until the counter claim. He is then quick enough to vote ashersky. Doesn't comment on a whole lot else.

D3
Starts against me, but after being reminded about a couple things goes off me pretty quickly.

Summary: slightly scummy. Robz has been very useful and active, but I found him to be that way in toy story as well where he was scum. I tend to think he is just a good player who knows what it means to be useful. Which makes the jorbles kill still confuse me. Why not target a a robz or Voltaire if they are town? Why target jorbles? I still don't get it. Linking forward to reading the scum qt when this is over to see their thought process. An interesting point though: if robz is scum, I think either he or ash was the traitor. I just really don't see robz/ash drawing scum and picking any PRs.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 17, 2013, 05:23:58 pm
One more point: I am not ready to vote for anyone. There is really no need to build up wagons for analysis at this point. I will probably withhold my vote until after mcmc gets back.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 05:25:46 pm
No vote NOW for Voltaire please.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 17, 2013, 05:33:15 pm
Vote: Robz. Will also vote mcmc.

Same.

vote: Robz. I've thought about what he said more, and it makes even less sense. I've only been scum once! And Robz tunnels me when he's scum, M31 being the classic example.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 17, 2013, 05:37:50 pm
I really do want to go back and look at that jorbles NK now that we have more information.  I think it would be useful for everyone to look at ash and think why he would go for a jorbles NK.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 17, 2013, 05:42:06 pm
I really do want to go back and look at that jorbles NK now that we have more information.  I think it would be useful for everyone to look at ash and think why he would go for a jorbles NK.

Jorbles suspected ash. That and/or PR hunting, I'd assume. (Oh, and Robz too! I'd forgotten that)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 05:43:55 pm
Yeah I don't think Jorbles nightkill analysis is going to be super helpful.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 05:45:24 pm
Vote: Robz. Will also vote mcmc.

Same.

vote: Robz. I've thought about what he said more, and it makes even less sense. I've only been scum once! And Robz tunnels me when he's scum, M31 being the classic example.

Well, you are my nemesis. But this time, you are the scum.

Actually, I'm reasonably enough convinced that its Teproc and Voltaire that I wouldn't mind being lynched today, PROVIDED ALL OUR PR PEOPLE LISTEN TO ME ONCE I'M DEAD. I will be very cross if you follow up my mislynch with manda's and mcmc's.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 17, 2013, 05:46:54 pm
Vote: Robz. Will also vote mcmc.

Same.

vote: Robz. I've thought about what he said more, and it makes even less sense. I've only been scum once! And Robz tunnels me when he's scum, M31 being the classic example.

Well, you are my nemesis. But this time, you are the scum.

Actually, I'm reasonably enough convinced that its Teproc and Voltaire that I wouldn't mind being lynched today, PROVIDED ALL OUR PR PEOPLE LISTEN TO ME ONCE I'M DEAD. I will be very cross if you follow up my mislynch with manda's and mcmc's.

Why do you believe mcmc is Town?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 17, 2013, 05:48:07 pm
Actually, I'm reasonably enough convinced that its Teproc and Voltaire that I wouldn't mind being lynched today, PROVIDED ALL OUR PR PEOPLE LISTEN TO ME ONCE I'M DEAD. I will be very cross if you follow up my mislynch with manda's and mcmc's.

That would just be terrible if you're town...two mislynches and one unknown. You're tunneling.

I cannot see this statement making any sense from a town point of view.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 05:49:26 pm
I'm not super confident on that. I'm more confident that Teproc and Voltaire ARE scum, and I really don't think manda is.

Mcmc was really into this game to start with, and then like started lurking... uh, which actually might fit what scum mcmc might do, perhaps he was warned to be more lurky after all the initial suspicion.

But we can't do much with mcmc right now with him gone.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 05:49:58 pm
Voltaire, you are resorting to my scum tactic, you are trying to discredit me! See, he knows I will flip town and that will be bad for him. I have him so, so caught.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 05:50:58 pm
Actually, I'm reasonably enough convinced that its Teproc and Voltaire that I wouldn't mind being lynched today, PROVIDED ALL OUR PR PEOPLE LISTEN TO ME ONCE I'M DEAD. I will be very cross if you follow up my mislynch with manda's and mcmc's.

That would just be terrible if you're town...two mislynches and one unknown. You're tunneling.

I cannot see this statement making any sense from a town point of view.

It makes perfect sense, I don't NEED to live, I need to be listened to. Obviously I'd prefer not to be lynched, but I'm most concerned about how you will control the game when I'm dead. So I'm posting that warning.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 17, 2013, 05:51:51 pm
Voltaire, you are resorting to my scum tactic, you are trying to discredit me! See, he knows I will flip town and that will be bad for him. I have him so, so caught.

Today I have three candidates. I think two of them are scum. One of them pushes a case against a nearly-IC (e) and then one on me. I'm voting you because I now think you're the most likely to flip scum, and the more you post the better I feel about it.

What was up with you thinking I'd agree with you on e?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 17, 2013, 05:54:31 pm
Hmm yes, so Robz you would bet the game on Volt and Teproc both being scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 17, 2013, 05:55:08 pm
Mcmc was really into this game to start with, and then like started lurking... uh, which actually might fit what scum mcmc might do, perhaps he was warned to be more lurky after all the initial suspicion.

This also makes me ok with an mcmc lynch instead of Robz, because mcmc is himself scummy and this could also easily be Robz noting how a partner is scummy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 05:56:16 pm
Hmm yes, so Robz you would bet the game on Volt and Teproc both being scum?

Well, I have to bet the game on 2 of Voltaire, Teproc, mcmc, and manda being scum. That's just, that's overwhelmingly likely to be where all the scum are.

I would most readily eliminate manda from that pool, and most enthusiastically suggest Voltaire.

I could be wrong, sure.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 17, 2013, 06:40:01 pm
Well, I have to bet the game on 2 of Voltaire, Teproc, mcmc, and manda being scum. That's just, that's overwhelmingly likely to be where all the scum are.

Didn't you vote for e earlier Today?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 07:08:39 pm
Well, I have to bet the game on 2 of Voltaire, Teproc, mcmc, and manda being scum. That's just, that's overwhelmingly likely to be where all the scum are.

Didn't you vote for e earlier Today?

Yes, I was working through things, that's what we should all do. It was thinking in action, and everything clicks much better now than it did even at the start of this day.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 17, 2013, 07:26:23 pm
Sorry Robz, but I have to say I also find your behavior over the past couple pages to be unsettling. Voltaire is a possibility, sure. Both you and he are definitively within the POE crosshairs so far as I'm concerned. But if I had to choose between you and him right now, I would lynch you. Teproc has got the two night results working for him, so that's a reason not to lynch him today. Of course Robz has a failed roleblock from N1, which must be considered, but that was a long time ago and there were more scum alive then...

I like the mcmc lynch better right now though. Especially considering that I get the feeling Robz is trying to steer away from that, to defend mcmc and find some other lynch prospect...it could be an informative lynch in that regard. I could imagine a Robz/mcmc team rounding out the scum.

But then I still think it's possible Robz is town--for example, he pushed pretty hard D2 to lynch ash after my counterclaim. I'm not sure about the "tunneling" thing--it seems to me like he's sort of been hopping his vote around a lot? That seems kind of like the opposite of tunneling. But maybe my perception is off on that. He seems a little more...exuberant?...than I was expecting this game.

So I'm OK with a Robz wagon but it's not my favorite.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: yuma on December 17, 2013, 07:29:54 pm
Vote Count 3.4

mcmc (1): Walrus
Voltaire (1): Robz
Robz (2): Jimmmmm, Voltaire

Not Voting (4): Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 07:38:18 pm
Sorry Robz, but I have to say I also find your behavior over the past couple pages to be unsettling. Voltaire is a possibility, sure. Both you and he are definitively within the POE crosshairs so far as I'm concerned. But if I had to choose between you and him right now, I would lynch you. Teproc has got the two night results working for him, so that's a reason not to lynch him today. Of course Robz has a failed roleblock from N1, which must be considered, but that was a long time ago and there were more scum alive then...

I like the mcmc lynch better right now though. Especially considering that I get the feeling Robz is trying to steer away from that, to defend mcmc and find some other lynch prospect...it could be an informative lynch in that regard. I could imagine a Robz/mcmc team rounding out the scum.

But then I still think it's possible Robz is town--for example, he pushed pretty hard D2 to lynch ash after my counterclaim. I'm not sure about the "tunneling" thing--it seems to me like he's sort of been hopping his vote around a lot? That seems kind of like the opposite of tunneling. But maybe my perception is off on that. He seems a little more...exuberant?...than I was expecting this game.

So I'm OK with a Robz wagon but it's not my favorite.

Walrus: Everything you just said about me correct, and if you had played more games with me, you would know this makes me town. I'm definitely all over the place, and I'm definitely exuberant. It's because I'm town and I think we're going to win and this is the fun part of the game for me (when I'm scum, the whole game is the fun part of the game).

I would point you to Day 3 (I think it's 3) of Wibbly Wobbly Mafia, which was Mafia XXIX. I certainly went a tad crazy and actually zeroed in on the town Vig to begin with, outing him. But after that I had all the puzzle pieces put together, we lynched based on my recommendations, and won (and I got my first town MVP!). This game is that game. And Voltaire was scum then and I caught him.

I'm not as sure this time, mostly because I have a lot of new meta info on Voltaire since that game, that was actually made it harder for me to read him. But intuitively, this game feels to me like that game. I mean, it shoudl and would persuade you that I'm town, if you had been in that game. Unfortunately, no one here was, except Voltaire.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 07:39:19 pm
I might support the mcmc lynch more after we hear from him, I just hate the idea of letting Teproc and Voltaire--who are very scummy--get away with this because mcmc is on vacation.

That said, there is a scum narrative for mcmc and I know I have a blind spot about him and it's better to lynch him than me. But it's best to lynch Voltaire!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 17, 2013, 07:47:20 pm
Robz makes me uncomfortable, and has all game. From his jumping all over me for the IC thing, to quickly agreeing with me on the Jorbles wagon, to pushing the Morgrim lynch and calling me scummy for arguing against it, to staunchly agreeing with ash prior to Walrus' claim, and now declaring Teproc as scum for little more than PoE. As if we can PoE at this stage.

Well, we can POE at this stage. Pretty well, really. Scum is among the non-claimants (unless it's you but that's not likely enough for me to worry about it today). So myself (not lynching myself), Robz, Teproc, manda, mcmc.

Obviously we can PoE to some extent (making a couple of assumptions). e is extremely close to an IC for me. Walrus is very probably Town. I think I'm objectively in the same boat as Walrus, leaving us with 5 potential lynches.

What I'm saying is you can't catch scum by PoE out of those five. Tell me why someone is scum, don't tell me why three people are VTs.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 17, 2013, 08:06:13 pm
Robz, I still haven't seen you give a good reason why either Teproc or Voltaire are scum. PoE won't work for me - I think manda is more likely Town, but I certainly won't eliminate you or mcmc. I disagree with Teproc's saying Walrus is likely scum, but you calling him scummy for that is a bit rich, as he pointed out. The only non-PoE reason you've given on Volt is meta-related and I don't find it all that compelling. Basically if we're treating me, e and Walrus as semi-ICs and you're Town, then you have more information than I do, and you need to give me more to work with.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 17, 2013, 08:48:41 pm
Robz, I still haven't seen you give a good reason why either Teproc or Voltaire are scum. PoE won't work for me - I think manda is more likely Town, but I certainly won't eliminate you or mcmc. I disagree with Teproc's saying Walrus is likely scum, but you calling him scummy for that is a bit rich, as he pointed out. The only non-PoE reason you've given on Volt is meta-related and I don't find it all that compelling. Basically if we're treating me, e and Walrus as semi-ICs and you're Town, then you have more information than I do, and you need to give me more to work with.

Do you think I'm wrong, or do you think I'm scum? I can understand the former more than the latter.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 17, 2013, 11:56:55 pm
Do you think I'm wrong, or do you think I'm scum? I can understand the former more than the latter.

I think there's a very good chance that you're scum, but if you're Town I want to give you a chance to convince me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 18, 2013, 12:31:18 am
Okay, yes, well I should be more able to convince you than I am town than convince you that Voltaire is scum, because I am more certain I am town (100%) than I am that Voltaire is scum. And I have been making the case that I am town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 18, 2013, 12:34:27 am
Okay, yes, well I should be more able to convince you than I am town than convince you that Voltaire is scum, because I am more certain I am town (100%) than I am that Voltaire is scum. And I have been making the case that I am town.

Sorry, I meant if you're Town I want to give you a chance to convince me that Volt and Teproc are likely scum. Especially if they are. If you can find a way to convince me you're Town then good for you, but I'm more interesting in finding scum than Town.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 18, 2013, 12:36:34 am
Here's everything I've said on the subject of me being town and Voltaire being scum, in order:

Vote: Voltaire This is scum Voltaire. Teproc is also scum...

Do you have, like, reasons?

Yep. Well, POE, and I don't find manda and mcmc all that scummy, and you are more muted and less of a leader as scum, as you have been all this game.

I'm not super confident on that. I'm more confident that Teproc and Voltaire ARE scum, and I really don't think manda is.

Mcmc was really into this game to start with, and then like started lurking... uh, which actually might fit what scum mcmc might do, perhaps he was warned to be more lurky after all the initial suspicion.

But we can't do much with mcmc right now with him gone.

Voltaire, you are resorting to my scum tactic, you are trying to discredit me! See, he knows I will flip town and that will be bad for him. I have him so, so caught.

Sorry Robz, but I have to say I also find your behavior over the past couple pages to be unsettling. Voltaire is a possibility, sure. Both you and he are definitively within the POE crosshairs so far as I'm concerned. But if I had to choose between you and him right now, I would lynch you. Teproc has got the two night results working for him, so that's a reason not to lynch him today. Of course Robz has a failed roleblock from N1, which must be considered, but that was a long time ago and there were more scum alive then...

I like the mcmc lynch better right now though. Especially considering that I get the feeling Robz is trying to steer away from that, to defend mcmc and find some other lynch prospect...it could be an informative lynch in that regard. I could imagine a Robz/mcmc team rounding out the scum.

But then I still think it's possible Robz is town--for example, he pushed pretty hard D2 to lynch ash after my counterclaim. I'm not sure about the "tunneling" thing--it seems to me like he's sort of been hopping his vote around a lot? That seems kind of like the opposite of tunneling. But maybe my perception is off on that. He seems a little more...exuberant?...than I was expecting this game.

So I'm OK with a Robz wagon but it's not my favorite.

Walrus: Everything you just said about me correct, and if you had played more games with me, you would know this makes me town. I'm definitely all over the place, and I'm definitely exuberant. It's because I'm town and I think we're going to win and this is the fun part of the game for me (when I'm scum, the whole game is the fun part of the game).

I would point you to Day 3 (I think it's 3) of Wibbly Wobbly Mafia, which was Mafia XXIX. I certainly went a tad crazy and actually zeroed in on the town Vig to begin with, outing him. But after that I had all the puzzle pieces put together, we lynched based on my recommendations, and won (and I got my first town MVP!). This game is that game. And Voltaire was scum then and I caught him.

I'm not as sure this time, mostly because I have a lot of new meta info on Voltaire since that game, that was actually made it harder for me to read him. But intuitively, this game feels to me like that game. I mean, it shoudl and would persuade you that I'm town, if you had been in that game. Unfortunately, no one here was, except Voltaire.

I might support the mcmc lynch more after we hear from him, I just hate the idea of letting Teproc and Voltaire--who are very scummy--get away with this because mcmc is on vacation.

That said, there is a scum narrative for mcmc and I know I have a blind spot about him and it's better to lynch him than me. But it's best to lynch Voltaire!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 18, 2013, 12:37:18 am
Okay, yes, well I should be more able to convince you than I am town than convince you that Voltaire is scum, because I am more certain I am town (100%) than I am that Voltaire is scum. And I have been making the case that I am town.

Sorry, I meant if you're Town I want to give you a chance to convince me that Volt and Teproc are likely scum. Especially if they are. If you can find a way to convince me you're Town then good for you, but I'm more interesting in finding scum than Town.

Well, but it's more important to convince you that I am town, because then you'll be more likely to defer to my case. I can make a case on anybody, you have to be able to believe me...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 18, 2013, 12:39:48 am
I would point you to Day 3 (I think it's 3) of Wibbly Wobbly Mafia, which was Mafia XXIX. I certainly went a tad crazy and actually zeroed in on the town Vig to begin with, outing him. But after that I had all the puzzle pieces put together, we lynched based on my recommendations, and won (and I got my first town MVP!). This game is that game. And Voltaire was scum then and I caught him.

It's worth pointing out that that was the only time I have ever been scum, post-return. My scum meta is a sample size of one. It was a decent performance, up until the point where you caught me as you describe. If you're town, I need you to see how relying on this mini-meta argument is terrible.

I'm certainly not as confident as Robz claims to be about the entire scum team. Robz/mcmc works. As does mcmc/Teproc or Teproc/Robz or even something like manda/mcmc. Lots of options. But lynching Robz or mcmc today has me feeling the most good.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 18, 2013, 12:43:22 am
I'm not that confident. I got a little excited and wanted to see how you reacted--cool as a cucumber, don't know what I expected.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 18, 2013, 12:44:28 am
But as long as our friends with PRs recognize that I am not scum, we're in pretty good shape.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 18, 2013, 12:45:50 am
But as long as our friends with PRs recognize that I am not scum, we're in pretty good shape.

You realise that unless Walrus successfully Roleblocks the right scum we're only 1 mislynch away from mylo right?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 18, 2013, 12:49:11 am
But as long as our friends with PRs recognize that I am not scum, we're in pretty good shape.

You realise that unless Walrus successfully Roleblocks the right scum we're only 1 mislynch away from mylo right?

I realize exactly what the situation is, obviously. It's not that grim.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 18, 2013, 04:29:58 am
So this is interesting. I have two problems with your "case" on Voltaire Robz :
1) It seems to me that it's mostly based on gut feeling. Your meta argument is based on one game, which is not much. Not that there's anything bad with gut feeling actually, it's just that it doesn't do much to convince me of anything other than "Robz is convinced Voltaire is scum".
2) Well, you're including me in it, and that's wrong.

I don't have time now, but I'll reread Voltaire later today.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 18, 2013, 07:16:51 pm
Well actually I won't do it today, I'll do it when Dynasty Warriors goes into night 1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 18, 2013, 07:44:12 pm
It IS sort of based on feeling, which is why knowing you can trust me (if you are town) is so important.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 18, 2013, 10:32:35 pm
It is slow right now, but I am fine with that. I put my reads out, and people can look them over. I feel like there is not much to do until mcmc gets back.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 18, 2013, 10:38:06 pm

Okay, I'm going to cut this post down to things I see as important and comment on them.

Well, POE, and I don't find manda and mcmc all that scummy, and you are more muted and less of a leader as scum, as you have been all this game.

So two reasons: PoE based on manda and mcmc not being scummy, and Voltaire's meta.

I'm not super confident on that. I'm more confident that Teproc and Voltaire ARE scum, and I really don't think manda is.

Uh... what? You're not confident that mcmc is Town, you're confident that Teproc and Voltaire are scum. Based on mcmc being Town. This is circular logic.

Voltaire, you are resorting to my scum tactic, you are trying to discredit me! See, he knows I will flip town and that will be bad for him. I have him so, so caught.

No you don't.

Walrus: Everything you just said about me correct, and if you had played more games with me, you would know this makes me town. I'm definitely all over the place, and I'm definitely exuberant.

Are we supposed to believe that scum Robz doesn't know what makes Town Robz Town, or that he's unable to replicate it?

Quote
I would point you to Day 3 (I think it's 3) of Wibbly Wobbly Mafia, which was Mafia XXIX. I certainly went a tad crazy and actually zeroed in on the town Vig to begin with, outing him. But after that I had all the puzzle pieces put together, we lynched based on my recommendations, and won (and I got my first town MVP!). This game is that game. And Voltaire was scum then and I caught him.

I'm not as sure this time, mostly because I have a lot of new meta info on Voltaire since that game, that was actually made it harder for me to read him. But intuitively, this game feels to me like that game. I mean, it shoudl and would persuade you that I'm town, if you had been in that game. Unfortunately, no one here was, except Voltaire.

We're supposed to believe you're Town based on a single Town MVP performance? You're a long way from MVP at the moment if you're Town - you vehemently supported the Morgrim lynch and vehemently opposed the ash lynch. And you're not actually sure about Voltaire, you just expect us to believe you're Town based on a game that conveniently no one else other than Volt was in?

I might support the mcmc lynch more after we hear from him, I just hate the idea of letting Teproc and Voltaire--who are very scummy--get away with this because mcmc is on vacation.

That said, there is a scum narrative for mcmc and I know I have a blind spot about him and it's better to lynch him than me. But it's best to lynch Voltaire!

You still haven't given any good reasons why Teproc and Voltaire are scummy or why it's best to lynch Voltaire. Circular, inconsistent PoE and a couple of vague meta reasons. What are we supposed to think, that scum Robz is better than this?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 18, 2013, 11:38:04 pm
Okay, okay, I got ahead of myself, I'm sorry. I pounced, and wanted to see how my suspects would react to the pounce if I can glean anything.

It really IS kind of based on a feeling, and I can't explain it beyond what I've said.

Also, this is hard because mcmc IS a big suspect and he's not around.

Also... jeez, what else do you want from me man?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 18, 2013, 11:38:52 pm
And bringing up Morgrim and ash stuff is so inconsequential at this point. It got us here, and here is fine. Honestly you sound like you're scum but I know that's very likely not the case.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: manda2014 on December 19, 2013, 12:31:31 am
I know I said earlier that I was pretty convinced Robz was town, but that read is getting less solid. A conviction based on a gut feeling is fine, but just begging people to trust you based on your insistence that you're town is a bit weak, especially when your support for that claim is reference to your own meta.... as I've said before, a smart player knows their own meta and can play to it. Sure, meta-analysis is helpful for subtle analysis but referencing your OWN meta is not a strong argument. I'm not convinced Robz is scum, but I'm also really starting to question my town read.

The catch here, of course, is that this argument may be TOO weak for a scum player on top of his game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 19, 2013, 10:26:51 am
The catch here, of course, is that this argument may be TOO weak for a scum player on top of his game.

That's the classic catch.

So what do we do now? This game has really slowed down. mcmc doesn't get back until 12/23, right? That's not for four days. I'll be holiday semi-V/LA, as I assume most of us will be. And somehow there's over a week until deadline!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 19, 2013, 10:40:42 am
I mean, if we want to get a lynch in before mcmc gets back we can push one through.  I just don't really want to do that right now.

I mean, I am leaning toward a robz or voltaire vote, but I really want to hear what mcmc has to say.  I think the biggest thing that everyone can do is put all their reads out on the table for everyone to read.  We will have to piecemeal everything together because everyone will be a little v/la the rest of the day probably due to Christmas, but we will just have to do what we can.

for reference:
I think Jimmmmm and Walrus (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326619#msg326619) are what they claim.  I did not expand on that but I can do so once dynasty warriors goes into night if people want me to.
Teproc (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326639#msg326639)
Voltaire (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326672#msg326672)
manda (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326901#msg326901)
mcmc (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326919#msg326919)
Robz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg327067#msg327067)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: yuma on December 19, 2013, 08:03:53 pm
Vote Count 3.5

mcmc (1): Walrus
Voltaire (1): Robz
Robz (2): Jimmmmm, Voltaire

Not Voting (4): Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 19, 2013, 08:09:05 pm
Oh ya this game
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 20, 2013, 01:33:36 am
How about a FLAVOR CLAIM!?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 20, 2013, 10:20:52 am
How about a FLAVOR CLAIM!?

WILDCARD!

I'm Grandmama from the Witches.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 20, 2013, 10:27:30 am
Haha is that an It's Always Sunny reference?

I'm Henry Sugar btw. Never heard of him until this game but he sounds like a cool dude.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 20, 2013, 10:28:50 am
Haha is that an It's Always Sunny reference?

I'm Henry Sugar btw. Never heard of him until this game but he sounds like a cool dude.

It's a second-generation reference. I've never watched the show but my friends shout it all the time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 20, 2013, 10:42:41 am
ooooh


things are spicing up now
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 20, 2013, 10:44:20 am
ooooh


things are spicing up now

Your flavor, please.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 20, 2013, 12:07:48 pm
I am Oompa Loompa, a Vanilla Townie.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 20, 2013, 12:08:22 pm
Actually I am an Oompa Loompa. Are all VTs Oompa Loompas? Probably not.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 20, 2013, 12:38:27 pm
I'm Danny, Champion of the World.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 20, 2013, 03:50:44 pm
Well, I'm going pretty LA for the next week soon. Interested to see where this partially-complete flavor claim goes, but my vote is where I want it right now. I'll definitely be checking in/following/posting as I can, but I won't be able to do super-involved re-reads or anything like that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 20, 2013, 03:54:20 pm
I am James.

Like James and the Giant Peach James.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory
Post by: Robz888 on December 20, 2013, 03:56:04 pm
Let's remember this:

Game Setup

Flavor and flavor names will be taken from the books of Roald Dahl. One and only one flavor name will have intentional significance in regard to roles and/or alignment. This is all I will say on the subject.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory
Post by: Voltaire on December 20, 2013, 03:59:31 pm
Let's remember this:

Game Setup

Flavor and flavor names will be taken from the books of Roald Dahl. One and only one flavor name will have intentional significance in regard to roles and/or alignment. This is all I will say on the subject.

And last yuma game like this, the flavor that was the one that was significant was that a town PR (which was me for you trivia fans).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 20, 2013, 04:03:43 pm
I don't think my flavor name is that significant.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 20, 2013, 04:05:49 pm
Let's remember this:

Game Setup

Flavor and flavor names will be taken from the books of Roald Dahl. One and only one flavor name will have intentional significance in regard to roles and/or alignment. This is all I will say on the subject.

Yeah, that's what prompted me to suggest the flavor claim to begin with. I was thinking the significant role might be Matilda as the IC (which sort of makes sense), but who knows. Hey, it's something to talk about at least.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 20, 2013, 04:07:43 pm
I think I'm Grandpa Joe.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 20, 2013, 04:09:43 pm
I think I'm Grandpa Joe.
you think? PMs are pretty clear usually
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 20, 2013, 04:09:47 pm
I think I'm Grandpa Joe.

Yep, Grandpa Joe.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 20, 2013, 04:10:20 pm
I think I'm Grandpa Joe.
you think? PMs are pretty clear usually

Yeah that was from memory, then I went back and checked.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 20, 2013, 04:35:03 pm
I think I'm Grandpa Joe.
you think? PMs are pretty clear usually

I absolutely did not remember mine. Had to check PM.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 20, 2013, 08:57:02 pm
Here is a list of what we have so far.  At this point, I think we need manda and mcmc to claim after they get back.

Voltaire - Grandmama (from the Witches (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Witches_(book)))
Walrus - Henry Sugar (from The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar and Six More (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wonderful_Story_of_Henry_Sugar_and_Six_More))
Robz - Oompa Loompa (from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Charlie_and_the_Chocolate_Factory_characters))
Jimmmm - Grandpa Joe (from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Charlie_and_the_Chocolate_Factory_characters))
ashersky - The Green Grasshopper (from James and the Giant Peach (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_and_the_Giant_Peach)), The Mafia Goon
faust - Matilda (from Matilda (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matilda_(novel))) the Innocent Child
Jorbles The Big Friendly Giant (from the BFG) (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_BFG), the Vanilla Townie
manda
Teproc - Danny, Champion of the World (from Danny, The Champion of the World (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danny,_the_Champion_of_the_World))
morgrim Sophie (from the BFG (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_BFG)) the Town Tracker
2.7 - James (from James and the Giant Peach (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_and_the_Giant_Peach))
mcmcsalot
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 20, 2013, 10:32:47 pm
Still need manda and mcmc, but here is the same list given in a different format.

Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Charlie_and_the_Chocolate_Factory_characters) characters:
Robz (an Oompa Loompa)
Jimmmmm (Grandpa Joe)

James and the Giant Peach (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_and_the_Giant_Peach) characters:
Ashersky (Green Grasshopper)
2.7 (James)

BFG (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_BFG) characters:
Jorbles (BFG)
Morgrim (Sophie)

Other characters:
Voltaire (grandmama)
Walrus (Henry Sugar)
Faust (Matilda)
Teproc (Danny)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: manda2014 on December 21, 2013, 01:03:43 am
I'm Fantastic Mr. Fox (VT), from... Fantastic Mr. Fox , which I had never heard of before this game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 22, 2013, 12:15:30 pm
Well this doesn't seem to helping very much. What are we going to do here? You PRs gotta lead stuff.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 22, 2013, 04:31:38 pm
So far behind, I am Charlie bucket.

Anything esle I need to say? Let me know quick.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 22, 2013, 04:32:50 pm
So far behind, I am Charlie bucket.

Anything esle I need to say? Let me know quick.

No. We are not close to a lynch (unfortunately).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 22, 2013, 04:36:53 pm
So far behind, I am Charlie bucket.

Anything esle I need to say? Let me know quick.

No. We are not close to a lynch (unfortunately).

Oh :( are we winning?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 22, 2013, 04:55:01 pm
So far behind, I am Charlie bucket.

Anything esle I need to say? Let me know quick.

No. We are not close to a lynch (unfortunately).

Oh :( are we winning?

Depends on which "we" you belong to. You are a prime suspect. Basically, we think all the PR claims are true, meaning there are 2 scum left between me, you, Voltaire, Teproc, and manda.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 22, 2013, 06:14:23 pm
To have a complete list of who has claimed what:

Voltaire - Grandmama (from the Witches (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Witches_(book)))
Walrus - Henry Sugar (from The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar and Six More (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wonderful_Story_of_Henry_Sugar_and_Six_More)) the Town Roleblocker*
Robz - Oompa Loompa (from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Charlie_and_the_Chocolate_Factory_characters))
Jimmmm - Grandpa Joe (from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Charlie_and_the_Chocolate_Factory_characters)) the town Goon Cop*
ashersky - The Green Grasshopper (from James and the Giant Peach (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_and_the_Giant_Peach)), The Mafia Goon
faust - Matilda (from Matilda (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matilda_(novel))) the Innocent Child
Jorbles - The Big Friendly Giant (from the BFG) (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_BFG), the Vanilla Townie
manda - Mr. Fox (from Fantastic Mr. Fox (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fantastic_Mr._Fox_(film)))
Teproc - Danny, Champion of the World (from Danny, The Champion of the World (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danny,_the_Champion_of_the_World))
morgrim - Sophie (from the BFG (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_BFG)) the Town Tracker
2.7 - James (from James and the Giant Peach (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_and_the_Giant_Peach)) The town bodyguard*
mcmcsalot - Charlie Bucket (from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Charlie_and_the_Chocolate_Factory_characters#Charlie_Bucket))

*not mod confirmed, but seem very likely according to most everyone.

Which puts our lynch pool at:
Voltaire
Robz
Manda
Teproc
mcmc

mcmc, can you give specific reads on the four people on the list who are not you.  While a full reread would be great, we need to capitalize on your time because you have been gone so long.  And welcome back.  hope you had a great trip
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 22, 2013, 06:18:17 pm
So far behind, I am Charlie bucket.

Anything esle I need to say? Let me know quick.

Hey it's mcmcsalot! Tell us who the scum are.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 22, 2013, 07:44:09 pm
specific reads?

What I remember/think right now

Town
Voltaire: helpful, though always
Teproc: seems buddy with volt though trying to be helpful
Manda: didn't seem to do much
Robz: Oompa Loompa is what robz would pick as his flavor, his most recent tone read scummy.
Scum
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 22, 2013, 08:03:33 pm
by specific I meant "while rereading the thread look at them in particular"
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 22, 2013, 08:08:37 pm
No-lynch is also a possibility, and should probably be done at some point.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 22, 2013, 09:00:52 pm
No-lynch is also a possibility, and should probably be done at some point.
I don't want to no-lynch today.  I mean, it can be used as a tactic later, but right now robz, voltaire, Teproc, mcmc, and manda have a lynch pool of 4 people to find 2 scum.  pretty good odds if you ask me.  The rest of us are at 2/5.  Still pretty good.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 22, 2013, 09:03:23 pm
I'm not really deterred from thinking its Voltaire and Teproc. Also, they really aren't trying very hard. Voltaire especially works really hard in his town games. Makes me more confident he is scum here.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 22, 2013, 09:03:56 pm
No-lynch is also a possibility, and should probably be done at some point.
I don't want to no-lynch today.  I mean, it can be used as a tactic later, but right now robz, voltaire, Teproc, mcmc, and manda have a lynch pool of 4 people to find 2 scum.  pretty good odds if you ask me.  The rest of us are at 2/5.  Still pretty good.

True. But if we can't come up with a good lynch by deadline, no-lynch is a decent alternative. If we mislynch Today, we definitely want to no-lynch Tomorrow. Possibly even if we lynch correctly. Of course, no-lynch is also a great thing to do if we don't fully trust that someone hasn't fake-claimed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 22, 2013, 09:04:19 pm
I'm not really deterred from thinking its Voltaire and Teproc. Also, they really aren't trying very hard. Voltaire especially works really hard in his town games. Makes me more confident he is scum here.

I may lynch Volt Today, but I don't want to lynch Teproc.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 22, 2013, 09:06:52 pm
When is deadline by the way.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: yuma on December 22, 2013, 09:09:35 pm
Vote Count 3.6

mcmc (1): Walrus
Voltaire (1): Robz
Robz (2): Jimmmmm, Voltaire

Not Voting (4): Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 22, 2013, 09:17:30 pm
I'm not really deterred from thinking its Voltaire and Teproc. Also, they really aren't trying very hard. Voltaire especially works really hard in his town games. Makes me more confident he is scum here.

I'm LA, as posted in the thread, as has been said we have a small pool, I feel very good at there being scum among you and mcmc, and I have a stronger read on you after your behavior today. Teproc could very well be scum but he was RB/copped last night, so I maintain that it is very much the right call not to deal with him today. And manda is a town read among the candidates.

I am completely ok with the day ending at any point right now. No point in letting this drag on any more.

Unfortunately all the flavor claim seems to have taught us is that it was probably Matilda = IC. Though if it's not that I think it's Robz claiming a generic character because he couldn't claim his real scum one, though I'm trying not to have confirmation bias.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 22, 2013, 09:25:52 pm
I would like to take both Teproc and manda out of the lynch pool for Today.

Teproc because we "know" (to the extent that we trust Walrus and me) that he isn't a Goon and didn't make the kill last Night. manda simply because I think we have better options.

Obviously if the other semi-ICs disagree or if someone has something super compelling about either of these two then that should be said. But otherwise I think our lynch pool for Today should be:

Robz
mcmcsalot
Voltaire

Hopefully this should at least help direct the rest of the Day and help us come to a great lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 22, 2013, 09:50:22 pm
I would like to take both Teproc and manda out of the lynch pool for Today.

Teproc because we "know" (to the extent that we trust Walrus and me) that he isn't a Goon and didn't make the kill last Night. manda simply because I think we have better options.

Obviously if the other semi-ICs disagree or if someone has something super compelling about either of these two then that should be said. But otherwise I think our lynch pool for Today should be:

Robz
mcmcsalot
Voltaire

Hopefully this should at least help direct the rest of the Day and help us come to a great lynch.
I have already stated how my top two scum reads right now are Robz and Voltaire, so this somewhat fits with the way I am thinking.  I just don't think we should "officially" limit the lynch pool any more than it is right now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 22, 2013, 11:43:28 pm
I would like to take both Teproc and manda out of the lynch pool for Today.

Teproc because we "know" (to the extent that we trust Walrus and me) that he isn't a Goon and didn't make the kill last Night. manda simply because I think we have better options.

Obviously if the other semi-ICs disagree or if someone has something super compelling about either of these two then that should be said. But otherwise I think our lynch pool for Today should be:

Robz
mcmcsalot
Voltaire

Hopefully this should at least help direct the rest of the Day and help us come to a great lynch.

My name is Voltaire and I approve this message.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 22, 2013, 11:58:08 pm
Sure, that's fine. But how are you going to pick between me and Voltaire?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 23, 2013, 12:07:21 am
Sure, that's fine. But how are you going to pick between me and Voltaire?
coin flip.  see this video (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MTLp14MKDDU) (the relevant part starts at 3:00) for reference.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 23, 2013, 06:52:40 am
I mean, I'm fine with putting myself out of the lynch pool for obvious reasons, but I don't think we should take manda out. If anything, that's just encouraging her not to post. I also don't really know where the town read everyone seems to have on her is coming from.

Voltaire reread.

#230 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318334#msg318334) Questions ash's justification for his lack of a plan.
#250 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318420#msg318420) Post about the Jimmmm/Robz thing early on, but what's interesting to me is that he changes his mind in the middle of the post, which I think is something that town does a lot more than scum.
#315 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318865#msg318865) Joins Jorbles in defending me after mcmc voted for me.
#334 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319184#msg319184) Votes for ash for being too much in the background / not having a plan. Ash had no votes at that point.
#356 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319304#msg319304) Starts PoE, crosses manda and Morgrm off his lynch pool.
#576 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320507#msg320507) Catch_up post. Buddies me in a similar way he did in GoT, still finds ash scummy (but mentions that super scummy ash always turns out to be town), likes the "random lurker" Jorbles lynch.
#592 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320570#msg320570) PoE. Crossed me in a previous post for being easier to read later, and 2.7 for his claim.
#624 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320646#msg320646) Doesn't see the Walrus case (made by ash)
#648 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320675#msg320675) Discourages a Tracker to counterclaim Morgrim.
#688 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320729#msg320729) Comes out strongly against a Morgrim lynch, saying it "almost never makes sense to lynch a claimed PR"
#755 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320965#msg320965) Changes his mind, sees the usefulness in Morgrim's flip, and says he's more likely to flip scum than not. Lynch pool is otherwise the same as before.
#766 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?action=post;quote=320981;topic=9687.0;last_msg=328954) Clarifies why he thinks a Mogrim lynch makes life easier for PRs : they don't have to target Morgrim anymore.
#799 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg321043#msg321043) Hammers Morgrim.

Day 2
#926 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322329#msg322329) Catch up post. Finds ash scummy but says he could also be town tunneling. Votes Jimmmm for his attitude at the end of day 1, following Robz's reasoning.
#946 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322393#msg322393) Unvotes Jimmmmm after finding out that he had misremembered one of his posts day 1.
#947 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322399#msg322399) Crazy PoE. Crosses off Robz and manda for misreading the setup, 2.7 presumably for the claim, and ash for unclear reasons.
#958 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322430#msg322430) Votes Walrus, sheeping mcmc.
#1110 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg324720#msg324720) Defends his Morgrim hammer by saying even if Morgrim was a PR there was no way of knowing he would use it in a way beneficial to town, and saying he was faking his own meta.
#1163 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325171#msg325171) After Jimmmmm claimed, says we should lynch Jimmmm first because RB is more valuable than Goon Cop. Later votes for Jimmmmm, then unvotes when Walrus counterclaims ash.
#1205 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325237#msg325237) Orders the non-claiming people from least to most scummy :
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmc

Day 3 : not much actually, mostly defending himself against Robz and referring to Eevee's case against him in GoT again.

Ok, so the interactions with ash are puzzling here. He was voting for ash for most of D1 and constantly talks about how scummy ash is. There's a turn in day 2 (the Jimmmmm/ash fight) where he starts believing ash is town, enough to take him out of his lynch pool (!), and enough to make him want to lynch Jimmmmm before ash after Jimmmmm's claim. Rereading, I think I understand his case here better. It's just that he had a scum read on Jimmmmmm before the claim (because of the end of day 1), but believed ash to be town, so he wanted to lynch his scumread first. By the way, the Roleblocker being more valuable is true, but less important than scumreads at this point, which is why I disagreed and went for ash (I had a town read on Jimmmmm).

All of this to say: his attitude day 2 makes sense as town. It also makes sense as ash's scumpartner of course, since he would want to lynch Jimmmmm first then as well.

Basically these interactions are giving me nothing me more than a null read. The rest is comforting me in my town read. The way his opinion fluctuates within a post seems natural to me, and more likely to be done by town, he discourages any Tracker to counterclaim Morgrim, which scum would have loved to see (assuming they did recruit). The Morgrim hammer after coming out strongly against his lynch also seems a little too dangerous for scum to make in my eyes. I don't buy the "he's not incredibly useful and active so he's scum" argument. It was indeed made in GoT and just seems like a generally flimsy meta-argument.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 08:24:38 am
I would prefer the day keep going till I can reread. Even if I am going to be lynched(I have had so little reliance) I want to be able to give informed thoughts on everyone. That should come later tonight after my 6 hour car ride.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 08:31:26 pm
Drunk reread in progress, what's a vacation without a welcome home party.

(Really this is going to be interesting/difficult)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 10:46:16 pm
- his claim can not be confirmed unless we have a night without NK.

Though if he is scum that could be his team no-killing to try to make his claim more believable.

I could actually see this being a scum/scum gambit since it involves ashersky...and Jimmmmm was the scummier of the two in my book.

^^Yes, wasn't I saying that this was more likely scum/scum than town/town, to me?

Definitely lynch Jimm, I think. If it's town!Jimm and scum!ash and ash gets away with this crap again, that will really really suck... but what else can we do? Jimm is just so so different to me this game. If he were truly the cop he should be playing his typical reserved self, to maximize his chances of living long. And Jimm usually lives a long time for precisely this reason. If you're a town PR, you picked the really wrong time to switch up your meta!

Yeah, so lynch Jimm.

Wierd, jimm looked the townier of the two post claim though could be biased
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 10:46:46 pm
The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmc

The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.

Robz
manda
mcmcsalot
Voltaire
Teproc

Scum team?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 10:48:58 pm
So I've been thinking a little bit more about the setup, and we need to consider a couple things.

We know we have an IC (faust) and a Tracker (Morgrim). We know we very likely have a Goon Cop (Jimm). I very much believe we have a Roleblocker (Walrus), or else Walrus counterclaimed only to get his scum buddy immediately killed. If 2.7's claim is true and he is indeed a Bodyguard, we actually have the maximum amount of PRs. We start with 2 automatically, and and we can get a maximum 3 more if scum picked their maximum number of PRs. This means that if any living person is a Vigilante, he or she should immediately claim. This would effectively be a counter claim. It would be impossible for this claim, and Walrus, and Jimm, and 2.7 to all be true.

I assume there is no Vigilante, because you should have already known this, and you should have probably shot 2.7 based on this information (thus confirming your own identity since there would be two kills). I am not the Vigilante--if you are (whoever you are) you screwed up, but tell us!

I should do this, I am not a vigilante
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day1)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 10:53:19 pm
Want to lynch: Morg
Would lynch: jorbles, manda, walrus, jimmm
Won't lynch: Faust, Robz, Ash, teproc, Volt, 2.7

Saw this in 2.7's post, I agree I think I was 100% wrong here
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 10:55:14 pm
Vote: Voltaire This is scum Voltaire. Teproc is also scum...

Robz is confident enough to lynch his partner(volt) and tproc pushing thorugh more mislynches(probably me)

need to read how many lynches we have to work with
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 10:56:32 pm
ew robz started defending me from jimm, i'm a sucker for when people do that :(
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 11:00:57 pm
okay, rered complete, manda provided absolutely nothing of relevance, I tunneled into a read of robz/voltaire being a scum team, and tproc came of townie. robz game o good reason for pushing teproc. I am more certain volt is scum than robz is scum or teproc is town. so

SCUM:Volt>>>>Robz>>Manda>>>Teproc:TOWN
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 11:02:25 pm
Yup I think volt is our best shot at scum, robz or manda or teproc could be his partner
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: manda2014 on December 23, 2013, 11:03:12 pm
The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmc

The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.

Robz
manda
mcmcsalot
Voltaire
Teproc

Scum team?

mcmc, are you saying there's something in these two posts that makes you think they are the scum team?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 23, 2013, 11:09:13 pm
@MANDA

yea;

volt sets me up for lynch as well as teproc and leaves robz off the table.

Robz sets up teprocand voltaire for a lynch and puts me middle of the pack.

Then robz coms out against teproc and volt, allowing a teproc mislynch or a partner lead lynch proteting himself and bringing endgame. It just sets them up well. If volt came out swinging against me and robz laid back it would have been much different, the way they did it looks like daychat scum team working the masses.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 23, 2013, 11:40:55 pm
This is nonsense - Robz is not my scum partner, Robz is scum! mcmc, what other than the fact that I am one of the two most likely "candidates" makes you think that I am scum? And that Robz is my partner? Nothing. I think you see two lynches you like, and you don't care which one goes through.

vote: mcmc

I don't actually think it's mcmc/Robz though. Hregh.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 23, 2013, 11:47:07 pm
Robz is scum!

Quote
vote: mcmc

Quote
I don't actually think it's mcmc/Robz though.

This seems incongruent.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: manda2014 on December 24, 2013, 12:15:18 am
Robz is scum!

Quote
vote: mcmc

Quote
I don't actually think it's mcmc/Robz though.

This seems incongruent.

Seems like more of an OMGUS vote..
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 24, 2013, 01:36:04 am
Hello everyone!

I agree Jimmmmm, I'm not going to vote Teproc for sure. Manda is pretty eh, but honestly I'm probably not voting for her either. So I think a lynch pool of mcmc, Robz, and Voltaire is quite reasonable. I am opposed to a no-lynch today.

Glad to see mcmc is back. And honestly, I kind of like what I see. Looks like an honest town effort more than a scrambling scum effort to me.

I have to say, I am warming up to the idea of a Robz lynch. A couple of things he said haven't sit well with me, e.g. "Lead us PRs! We are helpless town who need guidance!" Sheeping pseudo-ICs, really Robz? The Oompa-Loompa claim is very generic, but probably there's nothing to be learned there, except for how he slipped a "Are all ICs Oompa Loompas? Guys, I'm an IC" in there.

Compound that with a scum read basically all game and it adds up to a vote: Robz. I'll do a reread of Voltaire tomorrow if I have the time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 24, 2013, 01:36:41 am
I meant VTs, not ICs, in my flippant Robz quotation obviously
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 24, 2013, 08:58:32 am
Robz is scum!

Quote
vote: mcmc

Quote
I don't actually think it's mcmc/Robz though.

This seems incongruent.

vote: Robz

I got frustrated last night. I really do think we're extremely close to getting another scum today and mcmc's intent to vote me got me steamed up. I've re-read what mcmc posted again and I think it's more likely he's wrong, not scum. At this point I really just want the day to end, I need a flip to figure anything else out from this game.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 24, 2013, 09:01:05 am
Volt, if Robz is scum, who is the most likely third?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 24, 2013, 09:02:19 am
Also, if Robz isn't scum, who are the most likely remaining scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 24, 2013, 09:10:08 am
Volt, if Robz is scum, who is the most likely third?

Most likely? Teproc.

Also, if Robz isn't scum, who are the most likely remaining scum?

Most likely? mcmc and then it's a real grab bag for the third.

I also feel good about Robz based on ash's comments about him D1. I encourage everyone to go back and read them.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: yuma on December 24, 2013, 09:42:03 am
Vote Count 3.7

Voltaire (1): Robz
Robz (3): Jimmmmm, Voltaire, Walrus (L-2)

Not Voting (4): Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 24, 2013, 11:09:55 am
Ack! No, you fools, no. I am NEVER lynched as scum. The mirror fact that you are about to lynch me should demonstrate to you my towniness. I can always wriggle out of the lynch as scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 24, 2013, 11:10:44 am
Also, I despise the case against me. "He's acting weird, it doesn't sit right with me, he's too whatever." Oh no, you caught me!

Also, we all forgot that I am an IC?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 24, 2013, 11:12:25 am
The problem with lynching me is, okay, you'll get Voltaire tomorrow, but then what will you do? You better lynch Teproc. It's Voltaire/Teproc. Voltaire's recent comment sealed the deal. He said if I'm scum it probably means Teproc is. He said this because knows I will flip town, and then you will lynch him (Voltaire), and so he wants to do a light bus on his partner, to disassociate.

It's them. It's them. It's them.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 24, 2013, 11:16:50 am
And what is your case against Voltaire/Teproc again besides a bad feeling? Especially Teproc...what evidence do you have that is enough to override Jimmmmm's and my double result last night?

Looks like you're doing a fair bit of wriggling right now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 24, 2013, 12:06:05 pm
And what is your case against Voltaire/Teproc again besides a bad feeling? Especially Teproc...what evidence do you have that is enough to override Jimmmmm's and my double result last night?

Looks like you're doing a fair bit of wriggling right now.

Sorry, didn't notice your "click back to previous pages" button was broken. Let me help you out!

Teproc is scum.

He claimed at L-2 on day 1, before Morgrim did, IIRC.

I see why you believe Walrus' claim Robz, but I simply don't agree with your premise, which is that Jimmmmm would have been lynched if Walrus hadn't stepped in. Probably because I still don't understand why you (and Voltaire and faust) wanted to lynch him first, that still makes no sense to me. I believe he had 3 votes on him when Walrus stepped in ?

I'm having a hard time believing scum took 3 powers. I mean, maybe they did, but that seems very risky because it makes them super weak to the Goon Cop, who'd have a very high likelihood to exist if they did that. And I'm much more inclined to believe 2.7's and Jimmmm's claims because I have a town reads on them regardless, whereas I think Walrus has legitimately been scummy this game. Maybe I'm just being paranoid.

Teproc is scum who has to argue that all the PR claims are actually not true, because he knows he gets POEd here.

At LAX. Little time. Teproc is not a Goon.
Ok.  So if we believe Jimmmmm's claim, which I think is a pretty solid claim, then Teproc is either a VT, JOAT, role cop, or traitor.  Since Ash flipped regular goon, it really hurts the goon cop's ability because scum picked so many PRs.  It is entirely conceivable that scum did not choose to NK Jimmmmm because they knew that it was impossible for him to give a result.  (say they picked daytalk, JOAT, and (bulletproof or role cop)).  Picking Bulletproof or role cop is more likely given the fact that it is very possible that they chose 3 PRs.  I think Jimmmmm's result does lower any suspicion on Teproc, but is nothing that I would give a day pass for.

Yeah, well, he's just a JOAT or Rolecop.

Summary:
Big against robz.  I don't see both of them being scum.  But I could see either of them being scum.  He was basically right about Jimmmmm/Ashersky, and his vote on Ash before the walrus claim is big town points in my mind.  I am leaning town on Teproc right now.

PPE: 2

Being right doesn't make someone less likely to be scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 24, 2013, 12:10:31 pm
Also, I despise the case against me. "He's acting weird, it doesn't sit right with me, he's too whatever." Oh no, you caught me!

Also, we all forgot that I am an IC?

That was an early pass (and a good one, I maintain) pending later behavior. Prior behavior has voided the heck out of it. Especially stuff like this, which is, like, the worst defense I've ever seen.

He said if I'm scum it probably means Teproc is. He said this because knows I will flip town, and then you will lynch him (Voltaire), and so he wants to do a light bus on his partner, to disassociate.

That's only because of the feeling I have about you/mcmc being unlikely. Your partner not being Teproc means I'm either wrong about that, wrong about manda (more unlikely), or wrong about Jimmmmm (yikes).

The more Robz posts the better I feel, that's for sure.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 24, 2013, 12:12:53 pm
Okay, well kill me, this day can be over whenever you all wish.

Tomorrow, LYNCH VOLTAIRE. Next day, LYNCH TEPROC.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 24, 2013, 12:15:48 pm
^^But to repeat, I'm not as sure about Teproc, I don't have as good a feel for him. Think about that one, although I bet it's Teproc.

Voltaire should be auto-lynched tomorrow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 24, 2013, 12:50:13 pm
^^But to repeat, I'm not as sure about Teproc, I don't have as good a feel for him. Think about that one, although I bet it's Teproc.

Voltaire should be auto-lynched tomorrow.

Okay so do we think scum!robz is brave enough to be dead set on throwing his scum partner under the bus? This makes it hard to believe robz/volt is the scum team.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 24, 2013, 12:53:39 pm
I am not sure rob is the best lynch today, he way volt reacted was scummy simply because I have not seen him do that.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 24, 2013, 01:18:41 pm
I am not sure rob is the best lynch today, he way volt reacted was scummy simply because I have not seen him do that.

Have not seen me do what?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 24, 2013, 04:10:50 pm
I am not sure rob is the best lynch today, he way volt reacted was scummy simply because I have not seen him do that.

Have not seen me do what?

Omgus and get semi riled up.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 24, 2013, 04:12:02 pm
Also, I despise the case against me. "He's acting weird, it doesn't sit right with me, he's too whatever." Oh no, you caught me!

I fully believe the case against you is significantly better than any you've presented against Volt and/or Teproc.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 24, 2013, 05:32:37 pm
Okay.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 24, 2013, 06:26:57 pm
I am not sure rob is the best lynch today, he way volt reacted was scummy simply because I have not seen him do that.

Have not seen me do what?

Omgus and get semi riled up.

Really? Take a look at Toy Story D2, or D1 of Clue. It's not common, but it happens.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 24, 2013, 07:04:48 pm
Also, I despise the case against me. "He's acting weird, it doesn't sit right with me, he's too whatever." Oh no, you caught me!

I fully believe the case against you is significantly better than any you've presented against Volt and/or Teproc.

Which of course doesn't mean you're scum, it means that if you're Town there's a lot more that you could be saying than to auto-lynch Volt Tomorrow and quoting what you've already said.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 24, 2013, 07:26:10 pm
Also, I despise the case against me. "He's acting weird, it doesn't sit right with me, he's too whatever." Oh no, you caught me!

I fully believe the case against you is significantly better than any you've presented against Volt and/or Teproc.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 26, 2013, 06:56:29 pm
Vote Count 3.8

Voltaire (1): Robz
Robz (3): Jimmmmm, Voltaire, Walrus (L-2)

Not Voting (4): Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot, 2.7

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
That's in 25 hours!

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 26, 2013, 07:04:26 pm
thanks for the bump, TA. 

We need to get this rolling again.  under 24 hours.

vote: teproc

The biggest reason I had a town read on him was because he voted Ashersky before Walrus came through and made his claim.  Upon rereading, I no longer think that is enough to push him town in my mind.  The stuff Robz has mentioned against him make me comfortable with my vote right now
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 26, 2013, 07:14:27 pm
thanks for the bump, TA. 

We need to get this rolling again.  under 24 hours.

vote: teproc

The biggest reason I had a town read on him was because he voted Ashersky before Walrus came through and made his claim.  Upon rereading, I no longer think that is enough to push him town in my mind.  The stuff Robz has mentioned against him make me comfortable with my vote right now

What do you think about robz volt being the scum team?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 26, 2013, 07:58:53 pm
vote: teproc

The biggest reason I had a town read on him was because he voted Ashersky before Walrus came through and made his claim.  Upon rereading, I no longer think that is enough to push him town in my mind.  The stuff Robz has mentioned against him make me comfortable with my vote right now

So, Robz's arguments against me are essentially that I've kept the lynch pool as open as possible (which includes scummying up PRs), right ?

Keeping the lynch pool open is true, and I understand how it seems scummy, but I just tend to be a bit paranoid. In GoT I excluded a scum team from my reasoning on day 3 through PoE, and guess what, that was the scum team, so I'm wary of PoE. That's also why I've tried not to accept claims as gospel, but that's a bogus accusation on Robz's part anyway, since he's done it at least as much as I have. I guess scum would try to scummy up PRs, but I also think town should take a careful stance regarding "IC" claimants, so I don't think it's indicative of alignment in and of itself.

I'll reread Robz soon (tomorrow morning for me) since I'm still not convinced by his "case" on Voltaire, and it seems like he's the main lynch candidate right now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 26, 2013, 08:07:08 pm
thanks for the bump, TA. 

We need to get this rolling again.  under 24 hours.

vote: teproc

The biggest reason I had a town read on him was because he voted Ashersky before Walrus came through and made his claim.  Upon rereading, I no longer think that is enough to push him town in my mind.  The stuff Robz has mentioned against him make me comfortable with my vote right now

What do you think about robz volt being the scum team?
It is intriguing, but I doubt it.  That would mean Ash/Robz or Ash/Volt were drawn as a scum team and you are telling me that they would recruit?  Now, it is not a guarantee that scum recruited, but if all claims are true I find it very likely that they did.  Now, do you see Robz/Volt recruiting someone who turns out to be Ash?  Maybe, but again, I do not think they would have recruited.  Now, it makes more sense to me saying that teproc/robz or teproc/voltaire recruited.  The common factor there is Teproc. 

I know this depends a lot on how scum would choose their PRs.  So this is speculative reasoning, but I think it is good speculation.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 26, 2013, 08:20:18 pm
Also maybe this will help

Would lynch: robz, volt, teproc
Want to lynch: volt

This is also my thinking, I doubt robz teproc is the scum team, if volt is town my guess is robz/2.7 are scum, if volt is scum robz or teproc are probably the other one.

Ppe: I see what our saying and understand. This makes me more okay with lynching teproc but I'm just not sure.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 26, 2013, 08:52:03 pm
I just think it would be weird to lynch Teproc given the results me and Jimmmmm obtained. That's harder evidence than anything else we've got right now.

Maybe later, and I appreciate the analysis. But he's not in my lynch pool today.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 26, 2013, 09:05:45 pm
I just think it would be weird to lynch Teproc given the results me and Jimmmmm obtained. That's harder evidence than anything else we've got right now.

Maybe later, and I appreciate the analysis. But he's not in my lynch pool today.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 26, 2013, 09:48:20 pm
I just think it would be weird to lynch Teproc given the results me and Jimmmmm obtained. That's harder evidence than anything else we've got right now.

Maybe later, and I appreciate the analysis. But he's not in my lynch pool today.

This. And on a gut level, this:

Keeping the lynch pool open is true, and I understand how it seems scummy, but I just tend to be a bit paranoid. In GoT I excluded a scum team from my reasoning on day 3 through PoE, and guess what, that was the scum team, so I'm wary of PoE. That's also why I've tried not to accept claims as gospel, but that's a bogus accusation on Robz's part anyway, since he's done it at least as much as I have. I guess scum would try to scummy up PRs, but I also think town should take a careful stance regarding "IC" claimants, so I don't think it's indicative of alignment in and of itself.

reads very towny to me.

Would lynch: Robz, mcmc, Teproc, manda
Want to lynch: Robz

So does anyone need me to convince them on Robz? The deadline's tomorrow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 27, 2013, 12:59:57 am
I will be gone all tomorrow morning and will probably not be as focused here until after Time War goes into night (5:30 deadline as opposed to the 8:00 deadline).  I like my vote where it is right now.  Might consider moving it as we near deadline in order to get a lynch.

The #1 priority here is that we get a lynch.  We need a lynch.  I will absolutely not let us deadline out without a lynch if I can in any way prevent that from happening.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 27, 2013, 01:01:43 am
I will be gone all tomorrow morning and will probably not be as focused here until after Time War goes into night (5:30 deadline as opposed to the 8:00 deadline).  I like my vote where it is right now.  Might consider moving it as we near deadline in order to get a lynch.

The #1 priority here is that we get a lynch.  We need a lynch.  I will absolutely not let us deadline out without a lynch if I can in any way prevent that from happening.

I agree. No-lynch should happen, but not Today.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: manda2014 on December 27, 2013, 01:42:59 am
Here's the thing about Robz currently.... his defense of himself is SO BAD. I mean honestly, reference to personal meta, sarcasm, and then throwing your hands up in defeat? That is not a defense at all. I like to think scum would try a little harder to stay alive, so either: he's town, playing like town OR he's scum framing himself as town. The reference to his own meta makes the second option seem much more likely.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 27, 2013, 03:18:35 am
You should absolutely lynch. I will vote for myself if that's what it takes. Better for me to be lynched and have you figure out that you can trust me and should listen to me, than No Lynch. Better still just to lynch Voltaire.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 27, 2013, 03:19:05 am
Here's the thing about Robz currently.... his defense of himself is SO BAD. I mean honestly, reference to personal meta, sarcasm, and then throwing your hands up in defeat? That is not a defense at all. I like to think scum would try a little harder to stay alive, so either: he's town, playing like town OR he's scum framing himself as town. The reference to his own meta makes the second option seem much more likely.

Does it really, though?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 27, 2013, 03:59:54 am
You

?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 27, 2013, 04:03:59 am
You

?

You is Jimm, Walrus, 2.7. The non-suspects. The claimed PRs who are all but ICs at this point. It's your decision.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Jimmmmm on December 27, 2013, 04:10:35 am
A thought I just had: e, it's probably too late since you've already flavour-claimed, but is there any way you can think of to use your flavour to communicate to us who you will guard Tonight in the event that you're dead Tomorrow, without giving it away to scum?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 27, 2013, 10:01:32 am
Vote Count 3.9

Voltaire (1): Robz
Robz (3): Jimmmmm, Voltaire, Walrus (L-2)
Teproc (1): 2.7

Not Voting (3): Teproc, manda, mcmcsalot

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
That's in 10 hours!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Voltaire on December 27, 2013, 11:01:04 am
I am LA until deadline, so I won't be able to move my vote FYI.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: manda2014 on December 27, 2013, 01:21:07 pm
I slept on my read last night and nothing has changed, so I'm going to go ahead and vote: Robz.
I'll be at work until the deadline, with a poooooossible chance to check in at some point between 3 and 6 forum time, so I likely won't be able to move my vote.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 27, 2013, 01:23:06 pm
We'll with little activity I doubt anything else will go theough, here's hoping robz is scum

vote:

L-1 I believe

Ppe: well then I guess intent to hammer?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 27, 2013, 01:28:05 pm
Vote Count 3.10

Voltaire (1): Robz
Robz (4): Jimmmmm, Voltaire, Walrus, Manda (L-2)
Teproc (1): 2.7

Not Voting (2): Teproc, mcmcsalot

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Day3 will end December 27 at 8:00 pm forum time. (10 days + 2 for Christmas)
That's in 8.5 hours!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 27, 2013, 01:28:30 pm
Robz is at L-1, not L-2 as the previous post count suggests.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 27, 2013, 01:29:59 pm
vote: robz888

Let's see!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 27, 2013, 01:32:47 pm
Vote Count 3.Final

Voltaire (1): Robz
Robz (5): Jimmmmm, Voltaire, Walrus, Manda, Mcmcsalot
Teproc (1): 2.7

Not Voting (1): Teproc

With 8 alive it took 5 to lynch.

Twilight for a bit!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Teproc on December 27, 2013, 01:42:21 pm
Was coming in here to do a Robz reread... I guess that will have to wait a little !
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Robz888 on December 27, 2013, 02:55:14 pm
Okay that's fine. As you will learn soon, I am town.

I really am quite reasonably convinced that Voltaire is town. Please, please lynch him tomorrow. I could be wrong of course, but my scum read on him is strong. He's been much more muted here, less of a leader--a trait I've noticed in him as scum. Also he's so good at reading me, and he got me wrong here--I don't think I did, he's just scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: Twistedarcher on December 27, 2013, 02:56:13 pm
<insert flavor>

Robz888 has been lynched. He was Oompa Loompa from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, a Vanilla Townie

Night 3 begins, and will end December 29 at 4:00 PM. Please send night actions to both myself and Yuma. Each player is required to check-in via PM to the mods, as well.

THREAD LOCKED!!!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: yuma on December 29, 2013, 05:52:40 pm
Day4 Start

<insert flavor at some point when I have more time> #worstflavorever

Jimmmmm, Grandpa Joe (from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory), the Town Goon Cop died during the night.

Day4 Starts Now!

Thread Unlocked!






Vote Count 4.1

Not Voting (6): Teproc, mcmcsalot, manda, Voltaire, 2.7, Walrus,

With 6 alive it takes 4 to lynch.

Deadline for Day4 is January 8 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 29, 2013, 06:06:05 pm
Not happy the Robz lynch went through before I got back.  It seemed like his lynch was inevitable, but since we had taken the entire day to get to that point, I wish we could have at least waited a few more hours at least.  I would have hammered for a lynch even if he wasn't my #1 candidate because we did need a lynch
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day3)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 29, 2013, 06:08:20 pm
Also, I protected Walrus last night.  I basically had to choose between Walrus and Jimmmmm.  I chose Walrus because I did not think that scum had any more regular goons.  Looks like I was wrong.  I think the Jimmmmm lynch tells us that they DO have at least one goon, otherwise I doubt they would have targeted Jimmmmm
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on December 29, 2013, 08:36:24 pm
I think no-lynch today is the right call, but I don't want us to deadline out to it (I learned how horrid that was in Toy Story). I say we set a soft deadline at which point we'll all vote for no-lynch, but get our discussion in beforehand. Alternately, we can decide how much we want to trust Walrus to stop a kill if we risk mislynching today and go for scum right now (but I think that's a bad idea).

Robz flipping town made me suspect Teproc more but Jimmmmm as the NK has reversed all of that. mcmc is now my top suspect.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 29, 2013, 08:59:43 pm
I roleblocker Volt last night. Probably won't have time to post more until tomorrow.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 29, 2013, 10:00:14 pm
Assuming Walrus is not trying to pull off an amazing scum performance by throwing his partner under the bus by counterfakeclaiming his partners fakeclaim, there is a lynch pool of 4 players with 2 scum.  Which means that the 2 town members have a 2/3 shot of hitting scum. 

I do not want to no-lynch

In fact, vote: voltaire because of his "reasonable" argument for the no-lynch

Scum will NK myself or Walrus.  you don't learn anything from that.  at all.  Actually, you will probably learn that I am the bodyguard because I will bodyguard Walrus and die doing it.  Or scum will strongman Walrus. 

I think there is a much better chance that we lynch scum today than if we no-lynch.  tomorrow, scum needs to get one town member to vote the wrong person, they jump on it and game over.  We need a lynch today.  We need to be confident.  It is scum!volt telling us we don't need to lynch today
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 29, 2013, 10:01:16 pm
looking back, he didn't really argue for a no-lynch, but he made it clear that he wanted one.  Still, I think scum want a no-lynch.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on December 29, 2013, 10:48:43 pm
Assuming Walrus is not trying to pull off an amazing scum performance by throwing his partner under the bus by counterfakeclaiming his partners fakeclaim, there is a lynch pool of 4 players with 2 scum.  Which means that the 2 town members have a 2/3 shot of hitting scum. 

I do not want to no-lynch

In fact, vote: voltaire because of his "reasonable" argument for the no-lynch

Scum will NK myself or Walrus.  you don't learn anything from that.  at all.  Actually, you will probably learn that I am the bodyguard because I will bodyguard Walrus and die doing it.  Or scum will strongman Walrus. 

I think there is a much better chance that we lynch scum today than if we no-lynch.  tomorrow, scum needs to get one town member to vote the wrong person, they jump on it and game over.  We need a lynch today.  We need to be confident.  It is scum!volt telling us we don't need to lynch today

What do we gain by taking a bigger risk today? Seriously, I don't see why this is wrong.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 29, 2013, 11:01:18 pm
Assuming Walrus is not trying to pull off an amazing scum performance by throwing his partner under the bus by counterfakeclaiming his partners fakeclaim, there is a lynch pool of 4 players with 2 scum.  Which means that the 2 town members have a 2/3 shot of hitting scum. 

I do not want to no-lynch

In fact, vote: voltaire because of his "reasonable" argument for the no-lynch

Scum will NK myself or Walrus.  you don't learn anything from that.  at all.  Actually, you will probably learn that I am the bodyguard because I will bodyguard Walrus and die doing it.  Or scum will strongman Walrus. 

I think there is a much better chance that we lynch scum today than if we no-lynch.  tomorrow, scum needs to get one town member to vote the wrong person, they jump on it and game over.  We need a lynch today.  We need to be confident.  It is scum!volt telling us we don't need to lynch today

What do we gain by taking a bigger risk today? Seriously, I don't see why this is wrong.
It is not a "bigger risk" lynching today.  It is a "bigger risk" lynching tomorrow and no-lynching today.  The reason for this is because we have 2 quasi-ICs, myself and walrus.  We will be the ones to die overnight.  What are you playing for, that scum will kill one of 4 of you in the lynch pool?  We learn nothing at all other than that we (walrus and I) are in fact the roles that we claimed (which I already believe). 

So right now it takes 4 people to lynch.  so it takes 2 town+2 scum to mislynch.  Tomorrow it would take 1 town+ 2 scum to mislynch.  I like our chances to avoid a mislynch today.  So it is actually a bigger risk waiting for tomorrow to lynch
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on December 30, 2013, 05:45:20 pm
OK, so assuming scum is between Voltaire, manda and mcmc, because otherwise I guess I'll just applaud Walrus/Jimmmm for an insane scum game, if we no lynch, what happens ?

Walrus roleblocks one of those three, and I'm going to assume he has a 33% chance to hit the one performing the kill. If he does, it's great because we found scum and can lynch scum immediately. If he doesn't, scum gets to kill someone and we're at lylo. Basically we risk to get to lylo for a chance to just lynch scum automatically. That looks okay I guess, but the problem is the possibility of the strongman kill. If I were scum, I would try to keep it as long as possible, so there's a decent chance they still have that. Because of strongman, I don't think no lynch is a great idea.

Now would Voltaire propose it as scum ? I guess it depends if he still has strongman or not. If he does he would, if he doesn't I don't think he would.

After the Robz flip, I thought Voltaire was definitely scum that had manipulated me all along. The thing is, that's exactly what I thought after the Walrus lynch in GoT : angry that we lynched town and paranoid that Voltaire, the other lynch candidate that I had a town read on, had been playing me. I then proceeded to exclude the two lurkers from ym possible scum teams : mail-mi and Eeevee, and suspect the active players : yuma and Voltaire. As it turns out, it was mail-mi and Eevee. Is it possible that we're facing a similar situation here with a mcmc/manda scum team ? I need to look at their interactions with ash, and I'll try to do that in the next few days (not sure I will be able to before Dynasty Warriors goes into night).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on December 30, 2013, 05:46:22 pm
Actually Walrus could alos roleblock me of course since I'm in his lynch pool, so make that 25%.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on December 30, 2013, 07:04:07 pm
I will certainly vote: Voltaire I thought he was scum with robz, robz was town but it doesn't decrease my feeling of volt being scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: yuma on December 30, 2013, 07:23:23 pm
Vote Count 4.2

Voltaire (2): 2.7, mcmc

Not Voting (4): Teproc, manda, Voltaire, Walrus

With 6 alive it takes 4 to lynch.

Deadline for Day4 is January 8 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 30, 2013, 11:26:47 pm
So sorry, Robz, both for mislynching you, and also that I'm not super keen on a Voltaire lynch today. First of all, my result--that's a ~50% chance that Volt is not scum. I gotta listen to the evidence.

I am also against a no lynch today. I just don't see the rationale for it.

I agree that we should start getting very worried about lurkers. In particular, vote: mcmc. This is partially by default from previous scumreads, but also because he is continuing to insist on a Voltaire lynch based on outdated info--a Robz/Volt scum team is impossible, given Robz' flip.

e, I think you should keep targeting me. Not to be controlling or anything, but whom else would you target, really? If I die and e doesn't, I would consider that to be quite a scummy thing.

As you may have seen I am stuck in the Atlanta airport--I will have time to contribute more when (if) I get home tomorrow (eventually).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on December 31, 2013, 10:36:58 am
Assuming Walrus is not trying to pull off an amazing scum performance by throwing his partner under the bus by counterfakeclaiming his partners fakeclaim, there is a lynch pool of 4 players with 2 scum.  Which means that the 2 town members have a 2/3 shot of hitting scum. 

I do not want to no-lynch

In fact, vote: voltaire because of his "reasonable" argument for the no-lynch

Scum will NK myself or Walrus.  you don't learn anything from that.  at all.  Actually, you will probably learn that I am the bodyguard because I will bodyguard Walrus and die doing it.  Or scum will strongman Walrus. 

I think there is a much better chance that we lynch scum today than if we no-lynch.  tomorrow, scum needs to get one town member to vote the wrong person, they jump on it and game over.  We need a lynch today.  We need to be confident.  It is scum!volt telling us we don't need to lynch today

What do we gain by taking a bigger risk today? Seriously, I don't see why this is wrong.
It is not a "bigger risk" lynching today.  It is a "bigger risk" lynching tomorrow and no-lynching today.  The reason for this is because we have 2 quasi-ICs, myself and walrus.  We will be the ones to die overnight.  What are you playing for, that scum will kill one of 4 of you in the lynch pool?  We learn nothing at all other than that we (walrus and I) are in fact the roles that we claimed (which I already believe). 

So right now it takes 4 people to lynch.  so it takes 2 town+2 scum to mislynch.  Tomorrow it would take 1 town+ 2 scum to mislynch.  I like our chances to avoid a mislynch today.  So it is actually a bigger risk waiting for tomorrow to lynch

You solve that problem by being careful with your vote tomorrow. What we gain today is confirmation that you and Walrus haven't pulled the wool over all our eyes. I don't think you have, but the (presumable) death of one of you tonight would help confirm that. Today is mylo, tomorrow is lylo if we no-lynch. Are you really comfortable betting the game today? (hint, you shouldn't be, you're voting for a loss right now)

If we're dead-set on risking it today and counting on Walrus as a backup if we're wrong, then I'll probably vote for mcmc. But right now, I do think vote: no lynch is the right call. I honestly see no downside to this and (slight) upside, which makes it a clear choice.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on December 31, 2013, 12:10:34 pm
Voltaire's reasoning MIGHT make sense. The only thing I was thinking is that a smaller player pool makes my role more powerful. My/lylo situations are complicated by the fact that I might actually block a kill at some point.

I'll sleep on it and get back to you. I'm still trying to get back to the west coast.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on December 31, 2013, 01:22:09 pm
Alright, re-read time. Looking at ash's interactions with everyone first. There's, like, nothing with anyone still alive compared to all the dead players.

mcmc - says he confuses with manda. Then calls mcmc scum, with no explanation up until this point. mcmc did not have a single vote at the time. I can eaaaaaaaasily see this as a free bus with little risk. Called an acti-lurker. Ash then claimed acti-lurking isn't scummy.
manda - says he confuses with mcmc. Calls scummy D1 and asks if newbie pass is happening. I could see this both as a chance to call a scum partner scummy and fishing for a mislynch. Null. Then he gives advice to manda. It's...strange, because I assume scum have daychat (due to ash). Called scummy for Jorbles vote. Called a lurker.
Walrus - called scum late D1. And then ash went nuts here. This one's possible with crazy counter-claiming insanity/risk madness everywhere, but like 1% odds (and that's why I want no-lynch to test it). Called acti-lurker.
Teproc - called sheepy. Called an acti-lurker. Calls me/Teproc town v town D2.
e - calls his daypasses scum covering. And then of course there's all the votes and stuff, and yeah, there's just no way e is scum.

Near the end of D1, ash said he wouldn't lynch e, myself, or Teproc. On D2, he wanted us to look off-wagon (still alive, that's just manda).

So...just looking at ash's interactions with others, I'd say mcmc > Teproc > manda > Walrus > e.

Then add in the fact that Teproc is conf. not goon, was roleblocked, and I'm comfortable bumping him below manda. The GoT lurker!scum wins argument does seem to fit here very well.

If we're going to lynch today, I'm voting mcmc. I feel very good about it, actually. Especially with his vote currently on me.

I know it's not sexy, but no-lynch is the right call.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on December 31, 2013, 01:26:25 pm
Can we get a prod on manda? It's been almost 2 days since D4 started.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: manda2014 on December 31, 2013, 02:50:50 pm
I'm here. I need to do a reread but based on my initial read-through I think no-lynch is probably the right call.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: manda2014 on December 31, 2013, 03:02:38 pm
Okay so I think the argument for no-lynch is just slightly stronger than the argument for a lynch. Having some confirmation on the PRs is especially enticing.

If we are going to lynch, however, mcmc seems scummy. He is jumping on things really quickly and that just does not sit right with me. He was really quick to hammer robz without giving people a chance for final comments (I would have left my vote until much closer to the deadline, but I wasn't going to be around). And then he jumped in really quickly with a vote on Volt.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: yuma on December 31, 2013, 06:42:19 pm
Vote Count 4.3

Voltaire (2): 2.7, mcmc
mcmc (1): Walrus
No Lynch (1): Voltaire

Not Voting (2): Teproc, manda

With 6 alive it takes 4 to lynch.

Deadline for Day4 is January 8 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on December 31, 2013, 06:53:57 pm
Vote: No Lynch? Can we not do that? Why doesn't my vote count?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: yuma on December 31, 2013, 07:00:27 pm
Vote Count 4.3Fixed

Voltaire (2): 2.7, mcmc
mcmc (1): Walrus
No Lynch (1): Voltaire

Not Voting (2): Teproc, manda

With 6 alive it takes 4 to lynch.

Deadline for Day4 is January 8 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 02, 2014, 10:21:55 am
We've stalled out again.

Walrus, what are you thinking? If you join me and manda in no-lynch we can force it through by timing out (though that's not great).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 02, 2014, 11:06:00 am
We've stalled out again.

Walrus, what are you thinking? If you join me and manda in no-lynch we can force it through by timing out (though that's not great).

I will work towards no lynch rather than letting deadline hit, though really I would rather a volt lynch who is most likely scum. A I thought he wasscum yesterday, B rob who I thought was scum turned out to be town and probably right about volt being scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 02, 2014, 11:07:51 am
We've stalled out again.

Walrus, what are you thinking? If you join me and manda in no-lynch we can force it through by timing out (though that's not great).

I will work towards no lynch rather than letting deadline hit, though really I would rather a volt lynch who is most likely scum. A I thought he wasscum yesterday, B rob who I thought was scum turned out to be town and probably right about volt being scum.

If you are town, please understand that this is a terrible line of thinking. Being dead town doesn't make you magically right. Robz and I were wrong about each other, like yuma and I were in GoT. I don't want it to cost us the game again!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 02, 2014, 11:08:37 am
So sorry, Robz, both for mislynching you, and also that I'm not super keen on a Voltaire lynch today. First of all, my result--that's a ~50% chance that Volt is not scum. I gotta listen to the evidence.

I am also against a no lynch today. I just don't see the rationale for it.

I agree that we should start getting very worried about lurkers. In particular, vote: mcmc. This is partially by default from previous scumreads, but also because he is continuing to insist on a Voltaire lynch based on outdated info--a Robz/Volt scum team is impossible, given Robz' flip.

e, I think you should keep targeting me. Not to be controlling or anything, but whom else would you target, really? If I die and e doesn't, I would consider that to be quite a scummy thing.

As you may have seen I am stuck in the Atlanta airport--I will have time to contribute more when (if) I get home tomorrow (eventually).

Robz/volt scum team was not my only reasoning, I was pretty sure volt was scum and fit as a scum partner with robz well so I eventually was okay with lynchig robz as well, though even yesterday I wanted volt first. I think volt/teprocas robz said is scum. though there is still the slight chance 2.7 isscum, I need to reread all the stuff to see which of our "ic's" are potentially fake claimers, I mean 2.7 has done some questionable things.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 02, 2014, 11:09:53 am
We've stalled out again.

Walrus, what are you thinking? If you join me and manda in no-lynch we can force it through by timing out (though that's not great).

I will work towards no lynch rather than letting deadline hit, though really I would rather a volt lynch who is most likely scum. A I thought he wasscum yesterday, B rob who I thought was scum turned out to be town and probably right about volt being scum.

If you are town, please understand that this is a terrible line of thinking. Being dead town doesn't make you magically right. Robz and I were wrong about each other, like yuma and I were in GoT. I don't want it to cost us the game again!

I get that, its not like I had a town read on you though. I think your scum, robz came out crazy against you and it made me think he was a good scum partner, he flipped town but that doesn't make you less likely scum
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 02, 2014, 11:13:20 am
Robz/volt scum team was not my only reasoning, I was pretty sure volt was scum and fit as a scum partner with robz well so I eventually was okay with lynchig robz as well, though even yesterday I wanted volt first. I think volt/teprocas robz said is scum. though there is still the slight chance 2.7 isscum, I need to reread all the stuff to see which of our "ic's" are potentially fake claimers, I mean 2.7 has done some questionable things.

Look at my most recent summary post (I had one a prior day as well), there is just no way in hell e isn't town. Just no way.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 02, 2014, 11:41:26 am
Long term look at volt from here:

The Unclaimed:

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmcsalot

Everyone, please order these players from least scummy to most scummy.

Voltaire
Robz
manda
Teproc
mcmc

This started my volt suspicion, he says robz is least scummy and me and teproc are scum.

Then he posts this and baisically says he leans town on teproc, leaving me his main and only held up scum read.
Teproc D1:

Chooses JOAT+Role Cop (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318278#msg318278) as his scum PR choices, with the option of daytalk.  If he is scum, we know he was lying since Ash was a regular goon.  But scum would be lying there anyway most likely.  (unless they weren't- Ash said all or none)

Is big on Robz being scum (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319232#msg319232).  Maintains this all day (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320482#msg320482).  Don't know what to read into this yet without one of them flipping.  He is also against the Jorbles lynch (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320489#msg320489).  He then eventually goes over to voting Morgrim after the Morgrim claim, which is something both town and scum did I am sure.  (how many scum did is a question worth reevaluating though.  Working under the assumption they chose 3 PRs means they probably have daytalk, and they must have discussed this.  But that is a different post)

D2:
A good post (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322299#msg322299) discussing the Jorbles NK.  Finds walrus scummy (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323655#msg323655).  Maintains his scum!robz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg324289#msg324289) read.  Finds Jimmmmm/Ash to be town/town (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg324670#msg324670). Eventually lands on an Ashersky vote (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325192#msg325192) (pre-walrus claim).  Says a bit more but not much else to note

D3:
Sheeps my hypothetical about a Walrus fake-claim (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326262#msg326262).  Mentions how there might not be any goons (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326275#msg326275) left.

Summary:
Big against robz.  I don't see both of them being scum.  But I could see either of them being scum.  He was basically right about Jimmmmm/Ashersky, and his vote on Ash before the walrus claim is big town points in my mind.  I am leaning town on Teproc right now.

PPE: 2

next
Robz makes me uncomfortable, and has all game. From his jumping all over me for the IC thing, to quickly agreeing with me on the Jorbles wagon, to pushing the Morgrim lynch and calling me scummy for arguing against it, to staunchly agreeing with ash prior to Walrus' claim, and now declaring Teproc as scum for little more than PoE. As if we can PoE at this stage.

Well, we can POE at this stage. Pretty well, really. Scum is among the non-claimants (unless it's you but that's not likely enough for me to worry about it today). So myself (not lynching myself), Robz, Teproc, manda, mcmc.

I think mcmc is the scummiest, followed by Robz, Teproc, manda. Robz has jumped all over the place today but I do still put weight in the D1 stuff. Teproc has kept the lynch pool open somewhat but he has two clearing-ish results on him, so I don't think he's a good lynch today. manda also has D1 stuff and doesn't look like I'd expect new scum to look.

I feel pretty good about two of mcmc/Robz/Teproc being scum, and we have the time/PRs to sort it out.

He holds on to the scum read of me and now says robz is scummy as well

This is nonsense - Robz is not my scum partner, Robz is scum! mcmc, what other than the fact that I am one of the two most likely "candidates" makes you think that I am scum? And that Robz is my partner? Nothing. I think you see two lynches you like, and you don't care which one goes through.

vote: mcmc

I don't actually think it's mcmc/Robz though. Hregh.
Then this which is the big thing, scum!volt has been trying to maintain a scum read on me and robz and a town read on teproc this whole time but doesn't want it to be obvious. he now says me and robz are an unlikely scum team, but we eventually lynch robz, who was his top townread that slipped and I live, the only one he continued to think was scum.

I think no-lynch today is the right call, but I don't want us to deadline out to it (I learned how horrid that was in Toy Story). I say we set a soft deadline at which point we'll all vote for no-lynch, but get our discussion in beforehand. Alternately, we can decide how much we want to trust Walrus to stop a kill if we risk mislynching today and go for scum right now (but I think that's a bad idea).

Robz flipping town made me suspect Teproc more but Jimmmmm as the NK has reversed all of that. mcmc is now my top suspect.

Then that, why does robz town flip make him suspect teproc? he just said me and robz probably weren't scum together, so robz flipping town should make him think I am scummy. However again the conclusion he comes to is what he wants its just wierd how he gets to it, the jimm night kill is what makes him think its me not teproc.

I think robz was definitely right, volt/teproc is scum, volt has maintained scum read on me and town read on teproc, he has since then tried to narrow it down to me and teproc and be able to easily push my mislynch, the no-lynch today helps him acomplish that as 2.7 said.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 02, 2014, 12:58:47 pm

Check your quotes here.  You throw my summary of Teproc in as if it was Voltaire's summary.  Did you mean to do that?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 02, 2014, 01:08:33 pm

Check your quotes here.  You throw my summary of Teproc in as if it was Voltaire's summary.  Did you mean to do that?

I did not mean to do that I didn't notice, I thin the case still holds up
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day2)
Post by: Voltaire on January 02, 2014, 01:14:58 pm
My comments in bold.

This started my volt suspicion, he says robz is least scummy and me and teproc are scum.

This is from D2. My reads changed over time.

Then he posts this and baisically says he leans town on teproc, leaving me his main and only held up scum read.

As has already been noted, this was e referring to Teproc.

next
Robz makes me uncomfortable, and has all game. From his jumping all over me for the IC thing, to quickly agreeing with me on the Jorbles wagon, to pushing the Morgrim lynch and calling me scummy for arguing against it, to staunchly agreeing with ash prior to Walrus' claim, and now declaring Teproc as scum for little more than PoE. As if we can PoE at this stage.

Well, we can POE at this stage. Pretty well, really. Scum is among the non-claimants (unless it's you but that's not likely enough for me to worry about it today). So myself (not lynching myself), Robz, Teproc, manda, mcmc.

I think mcmc is the scummiest, followed by Robz, Teproc, manda. Robz has jumped all over the place today but I do still put weight in the D1 stuff. Teproc has kept the lynch pool open somewhat but he has two clearing-ish results on him, so I don't think he's a good lynch today. manda also has D1 stuff and doesn't look like I'd expect new scum to look.

I feel pretty good about two of mcmc/Robz/Teproc being scum, and we have the time/PRs to sort it out.

He holds on to the scum read of me and now says robz is scummy as well

Yes, this is a thing I did.

This is nonsense - Robz is not my scum partner, Robz is scum! mcmc, what other than the fact that I am one of the two most likely "candidates" makes you think that I am scum? And that Robz is my partner? Nothing. I think you see two lynches you like, and you don't care which one goes through.

vote: mcmc

I don't actually think it's mcmc/Robz though. Hregh.
Then this which is the big thing, scum!volt has been trying to maintain a scum read on me and robz and a town read on teproc this whole time but doesn't want it to be obvious. he now says me and robz are an unlikely scum team, but we eventually lynch robz, who was his top townread that slipped and I live, the only one he continued to think was scum.

I think no-lynch today is the right call, but I don't want us to deadline out to it (I learned how horrid that was in Toy Story). I say we set a soft deadline at which point we'll all vote for no-lynch, but get our discussion in beforehand. Alternately, we can decide how much we want to trust Walrus to stop a kill if we risk mislynching today and go for scum right now (but I think that's a bad idea).

Robz flipping town made me suspect Teproc more but Jimmmmm as the NK has reversed all of that. mcmc is now my top suspect.

Then that, why does robz town flip make him suspect teproc? The same reason you claimed was part of your case against me, Robz. Robz has flipped town and was so so so so so so so sure about the team being me/Teproc. Obviously wrong about me, but what about Teproc? Then I thought it through. he just said me and robz probably weren't scum together, so robz flipping town should make him think I am scummy. Yup, I do. However again the conclusion he comes to is what he wants its just wierd how he gets to it, the jimm night kill is what makes him think its me not teproc. Correct.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 02, 2014, 03:53:02 pm
Voltaire, if you're so sure that e is town, what would you really gain by determining that he and I aren't pulling the wool over your eyes? Those statements seem kind of incongruous to me.

If we no lynch today, I have a 1/5 chance of blocking the kill, assuming they don't still have a strongman. We enter into the next game phase with a guaranteed lynch, assuming you believe me. Is scum allowed to not shoot I wonder? Just thought of that, they could do that to falsely increase my confidence of success I guess. But that seems like a longshot. Anyway, then plus I would be able to attempt to block again from an even smaller pool.

If I don't block it, we end up in a very dangerous situation. Probably 2 scum among 5, 1 townie misvotes and game over.

If we do lynch today, then first of all we (probably) have a 2/6 chance of hitting scum today. Either way, I have a 1/4 chance of blocking the kill. Then we would get a near-guaranteed lynch for the next day, I guess, as with above. If we do miss on the lynch, I have to block the kill, or we lose. So I guess that's a 50-50 on the game right now. Yikes. But is that much better than our odds going into the future if we no lynch? I think it might be worth it.

Here's another thing: what we ostensibly gain from a no lynch is that me and e aren't being wool-pullers right now. But do we really gain that? I could see scum pulling the following cute ploy: kill someone other than e or me tonight, which implicates one of us for a lynch...we get mislynched and lose. So maybe we don't gain anything but a barrel of WIFOM. Now I can only speak for myself of course, and I hope my corroboration with Jimmmmm for example is good evidence that I am telling the truth. And you seem quite confident about e. So that might be a risk we need to take.

I apologize for this scattered and possibly spurious reasoning, I just woke up and I'm on my phone. This post was supposed to be more meticulous and go through all the possibilities, but there are quite a few to consider. Maybe I just don't like no lynches because they seem boring. Out with a bang rather than a whimper at least!

I am also starting to think that maybe mcmc is feeling too easy of a lynch to be scum at this point. I will vote: manda. If anyone has been trying to innocuously lurk along in the background, it's her, and it seems like she'll just sort of go along with an mcmc lynch or whatever, which worries me. And she's basically been avoiding hard scrutiny this whole time. I'll have to do a reread later.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 02, 2014, 03:57:32 pm
Voltaire, if you're so sure that e is town, what would you really gain by determining that he and I aren't pulling the wool over your eyes? Those statements seem kind of incongruous to me.

Mmmm yes. There's like no chance e isn't town. There's a 0.5% chance you're fulfilling ash's greatest gambit ever. So it'd more be a "do you live" kind of thing. And I wasn't saying "maybe they'll kill someone else" in thread but that's dumb and I should stop thinking that's going to work, so that's out there.

I take it you're against no-lynch then. What about mcmc makes you think he's "too easy" of a lynch? If we're going to lynch today, I think it really should be mcmc.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 02, 2014, 04:06:21 pm
Ok, so is the ~0+0.5% chance that he or I is scum enough to outweigh the ~5% or so difference in roleblocking chances for me? That's simplified for sure. But this is a game of probabilities as you know.

Mostly a gut feeling about mcmc, brought on by manda's general attitude towards lynching him or not or whatever...at this point I don't think scum really cares if there's a no lynch, and it doesn't take a whole lot to drive a mislynch home.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 02, 2014, 04:38:25 pm
Ok, so is the ~0+0.5% chance that he or I is scum enough to outweigh the ~5% or so difference in roleblocking chances for me? That's simplified for sure. But this is a game of probabilities as you know.

Mostly a gut feeling about mcmc, brought on by manda's general attitude towards lynching him or not or whatever...at this point I don't think scum really cares if there's a no lynch, and it doesn't take a whole lot to drive a mislynch home.

volt and manda could be scum I know nothing of her involvment so far, in that case I would still rather lynch volt.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 02, 2014, 05:01:34 pm
We've stalled out again.

We have had some action past this post, but I agree with the sentiment.  I am a strong advocate for a soft deadline.  drawing things out to the last second is never good.  I understand that has had to happen due to various V/LA stuff, but I think we are all here and can get something done.

Soft deadline at 11:59PM Sunday, Jan 5?  That gives us Friday and the weekend to figure something out.  I am confident that we can, and if we just look at the deadline as the 8th we will continue to have spurts of small activity but nothing real actually happening.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 02, 2014, 05:02:09 pm
We've stalled out again.

We have had some action past this post, but I agree with the sentiment.  I am a strong advocate for a soft deadline.  drawing things out to the last second is never good.  I understand that has had to happen due to various V/LA stuff, but I think we are all here and can get something done.

Soft deadline at 11:59PM Sunday, Jan 5?  That gives us Friday and the weekend to figure something out.  I am confident that we can, and if we just look at the deadline as the 8th we will continue to have spurts of small activity but nothing real actually happening.
^^forum time.  (Eastern US)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on January 02, 2014, 05:08:00 pm
Why is everyone discounting the possibility of strongman ? If scum does have a JOAT, that's the kind of thing they would try to keep for the endgame against a Roleblocker (which they would know exists since day 2, since they wouldn't have any reason to disbelieve Walrus' claim). Or they would have killed Walrus with it to get around e's Bodyguarding instead of killing, say, faust (although I guess Walrus wasn't quite an IC at that point).

Because to me, the possibility of strongman still being there is what's making me wary of a no lynch plan.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 02, 2014, 05:17:13 pm
believe me, I have not forgotten about strongman.  My guess is that they use that power (if they have it) tonight.  Because they want a roleblocker dead.  I will bodyguard Walrus (unless something crazy happens) so to kill Walrus they MUST strongman kill him.  Which makes me think I will die tonight, which is another reason I want to vote today.  Because then I get a voice in the matter
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 02, 2014, 05:18:22 pm
believe me, I have not forgotten about strongman.  My guess is that they use that power (if they have it) tonight.  Because they want a roleblocker dead.  I will bodyguard Walrus (unless something crazy happens) so to kill Walrus they MUST strongman kill him.  Which makes me think I will die tonight, which is another reason I want to vote today.  Because then I get a voice in the matter
Well, I guess I wouldn't die if they do strongman.  The above post didn't make sense to me right after I posted it.  Because basically I implied I think they do not have JOAT, but I actually think they do, so Walrus probably will die tonight
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: yuma on January 02, 2014, 06:53:17 pm
Vote Count 4.4

Voltaire (2): 2.7, mcmc
manda (1): Walrus
No Lynch (1): Voltaire

Not Voting (2): Teproc, manda

With 6 alive it takes 4 to lynch.

Deadline for Day4 is January 8 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: manda2014 on January 02, 2014, 07:19:41 pm
We've stalled out again.

We have had some action past this post, but I agree with the sentiment.  I am a strong advocate for a soft deadline.  drawing things out to the last second is never good.  I understand that has had to happen due to various V/LA stuff, but I think we are all here and can get something done.

Soft deadline at 11:59PM Sunday, Jan 5?  That gives us Friday and the weekend to figure something out.  I am confident that we can, and if we just look at the deadline as the 8th we will continue to have spurts of small activity but nothing real actually happening.
^^forum time.  (Eastern US)

I will be mostly V/LA Saturday and Sunday (5th and 6th) because of packing/moving back to school/completing graduate school applications. Depending on traffic I may be able to get a post in right before that soft deadline.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 03, 2014, 10:08:56 pm
Want to lynch to Don't want to lynch.  I can probably be convinced to switch up my stance on mcmc and manda but this is where I stand now.

Voltaire
mcmc
manda
teproc
walrus
2.7

I maintain that we should do a lynch today.  Voltaire himself has said that there is almost 0% chance that walrus or I am scum.  So why let one of us die off during the night to confirm something you already believe?  I think it is better to have our input in a lynch
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 04, 2014, 08:07:58 am
I will reread mcmc since Voltaire thinks he is the guy for a lynch.  If anyone else wants to do anything in this game that would be great too.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 04, 2014, 09:12:17 am
mcmc reread

Answers the "what PRs do scum take" question twice.  Answers here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318301#msg318301) then goes back and changes his answer here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318308#msg318308).  Possibly scum saying "I haven't thought too much about the PRs" in a low key sort of way?

Votes Teproc (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318840#msg318840) claiming a scummy feeling.  Then next post votes Ashersky (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319228#msg319228) (second vote on Ashersky).  Then unvotes Ash (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319593#msg319593) after saying Ash "responded towny to the arguments against him" which is interesting.  Ash only had two votes at the time. 

Votes 2.7 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319620#msg319620) (pre-claim) for finding him slightly suspicious.

Makes an interesting point (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320503#msg320503) about expecting scum NOT to target Faust N1.  Either good town prediction or bold scum claiming what he will do

Found this interesting tidbit about two of our scum candidates (thought actually quoting would be good here)
Caught up but need to reread, voltaire seems to be buddying teproc like A LOT. Not sure what it means though.

Is the second vote on Morgrim (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320634#msg320634) (pre-claim)  Then affirms (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320715#msg320715) that he wants to lynch Morgrim (post-claim).  Pushes reasons (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320998#msg320998) for the Morgrim lynch.

D2
Opens with (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322427#msg322427) a developing scum!walrus feeling but backing down on Jimmmmm and myself.  Still gives Ashersky a null read.

comes null (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322431#msg322431) on the Ash/Jimmmm argument.

votes Walrus (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322662#msg322662) and affirms that the jimmm/ash thing is a null on both because he says it could come from town!ash or scum!ash as well as town!jimmmm or scum!jimmmmm.  So keeping the door wide open there.  He also says that if one of walrus/2.7 is scum, then one of Ash/Jimmm is scum.  setting up a mislynch?

Is the second vote on Jimmmmm (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg323957#msg323957) after a Robz vote.

Lists Ash being scum as the least likely situation (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg324708#msg324708) in the Jimmmm/Ash debate.

Disappears on a cruise for a while.  (makes the reread easier)  [joke]Definitely scummy.[/joke]

D3
Comes out of the gate calling Robz scummy (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg328876#msg328876).

Says Jimmmmm looked townier (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg329201#msg329201) than Ash after the claim.  Interesting thing to say since we don't have live reactions because mcmc was gone at the point of the claim

Throws out the idea of a Volt/Robz scum team (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg329203#msg329203).  He then finishes up his reread with this post:
okay, rered complete, manda provided absolutely nothing of relevance, I tunneled into a read of robz/voltaire being a scum team, and tproc came of townie. robz game o good reason for pushing teproc. I am more certain volt is scum than robz is scum or teproc is town. so

SCUM:Volt>>>>Robz>>Manda>>>Teproc:TOWN

Asserts that he does not think (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg329304#msg329304) Robz is the best lynch D3.

Then hammers Robz  (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg329304#msg329304)with 8 hours of day still remaining and people like myself and Teproc coming back to post more.

Out the gate D4 voting Voltaire (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg330686#msg330686). 

Continues today to outline reasons (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg331163#msg331163) to vote Voltaire, even if he accidentally put something I said down for Voltaire.

mcmc, is it possible for you to do a full reread of Voltaire?

This reread has me concluding that I do not want to vote Voltaire today.  Both scum were on the Robz wagon from yesterday, and I think the scum team could very well be the two other people who received votes, namely Teproc and Voltaire.  Of those I maintain my vote: voltaire
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on January 04, 2014, 09:24:08 am
I'm assuming you meant to say this reread has convinced you not to vote mcm (instead of Voltaire, which is what you wrote). I'm not sure why though, since everything you've said in this post points towards his scumminess (almost). Is it just a matter of mcmx being scummy but Voltaire scummier ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 04, 2014, 09:27:52 am
This reread has me concluding that I do not want to vote Voltaire today.
That was supposed to say mcmc, not Voltaire. 

I think I have not made up my mind completely between mcmc and teproc, but I think Voltaire is scum
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 04, 2014, 09:28:06 am
This reread has me concluding that I do not want to vote Voltaire today.
That was supposed to say mcmc, not Voltaire. 

I think I have not made up my mind completely between mcmc and teproc, but I think Voltaire is scum

and then there is manda as well
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 04, 2014, 12:32:29 pm
I will try a full reread of volt before deadline
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 04, 2014, 01:50:56 pm
SOMEONE UNVOTE

I think I'm at L-1 and scum can quickhammer.

I don't have time to deal with this game today, don't please let us lose while I'm not around.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 04, 2014, 01:54:24 pm
you are L-2
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 04, 2014, 01:54:45 pm
Fine, if we're doing this vote: mcmc so there's something down while I'm gone.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 04, 2014, 01:55:30 pm
you are L-2

This is why you don't bold an old vote.  :P
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 04, 2014, 01:56:35 pm
you are L-2

This is why you don't bold an old vote.  :P

sorry
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 04, 2014, 03:20:13 pm
Manda reread:  Figured it would be quick.  And it was.  Looking back, I found 12 posts with any content.

Here they are

D1
1.  #248 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318399#msg318399) Kind of goes for fewer PRs (in response to the "rank the PR" question.  Doesn't really answer it though.

2.  #273 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg318684#msg318684)  Says D1 passes are silly.  Not really much else.  Ash accuses her of sounding scummy so town points for Manda.

3.  #469 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320147#msg320147)  Kind of says mcmc is towny a bit?  Emphasizes that she doesn't like passes of any sort.

4.  #532 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320425#msg320425)  Votes Jorbles as a "good mislynch"  (she doesn't actually say that but that is what it seems to imply.

D2
5.  883 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322169#msg322169)  Apologizes for disappearing.  She then talks about the Jorbles NK a bit, even mentioning that he may have been killed because he got too close to scum with his votes from D1 (meaning myself and Ashersky (Ash was listed as "preferred lynch" along with Morgrim in Jorbles final popsquiz (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg320861#msg320861)))

6.  #971 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322465#msg322465)  Defends Walrus against mcmc

7.  #1247 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg325462#msg325462)  Says her gut reaction to Ash's claim was that it was fake. 

D3
8.  #1386 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg326848#msg326848)  A reads post!  Says Walrus and Jimmmm are towny and believes the claims.  Says Robz and Voltaire are helpful and useful and town.  Says I am pretty much town.  Teproc is slight scum.  mcmc is null.

9.  #1446 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg327627#msg327627)  Comes out saying she is leaning scummier on Robz than what her reads post indicated.  Basically does not like his defense saying it seems like "just begging people to trust you based on your insistence that you're town"

10.  #1547 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg329716#msg329716)  Gaining more conviction that Robz is scum here.  Does not like his meta references and just sees the whole defence as really weak.

11.  #1555 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg329815#msg329815)  Votes Robz to L-1.

D4
12.  #1583 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg330927#msg330927)  Says she likes the no lynch argument better than the lynch argument.  Says mcmc looks scummy for the hammer+jumping onto the Volt wagon.

And that is Manda in a nutshell.  Basically, I think she is town.  Posts #5,6,7 and 8 are my primary reasons for this.  If I were to build a case against her I would use posts 1,4, and 11.  Posts 2,3,9, and 10 are all kind of null, but I totally see how Manda did not like the defense Robz gave especially considering her newness (which she doesn't like to bring up) and posts 2 and 3.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 04, 2014, 03:39:58 pm
Interesting that Voltaire got so jazzed about the L-1. I want to say that's towny, although it could easily be forced. It would have been more genuine if it were actually an L-1 haha

At this point I would like to lynch, and I would like to lynch between our two lurkiest candidates, mcmc and manda. I think it is likely that there is scum among these two, and I feel that LALL'ing is our best move at this point. If we end up losing to lurker scum, we'll be all like "Awww man! I can't believe we lost to lurkers! What a bummer, shoulda LALL'ed." If we lose to crafty scum, at least we'll be like, "Oh ho ho! Well played you devious bastard." So let's avoid that feeling of hollow disappointment.

Now I actually did my homework and did a complete reread of mcmc, manda, and ash. After all that, I am still happy with my manda vote, although who knows, it could be both of them.

mcmc is actually less lurky than I thought this game. A quick ctrl-F will demonstrate that...of course there were also times of V/LA, but he can't hardly be blamed for that. So that's almost reason enough--I want to lynch a lurker here, not a pseudo-lurker. It's possible to construct scum narratives for his posts and reads and such, but there's definitely a town angle there too. And it just sort of feels like he's been a default scumread for the past couple days, and that kind of scares me...it's been very easy to get votes on him today for example.

manda has received so little attention and suspicion this game. Few votes, little suspicion, and a minimum of content. Practically every post is "Sorry I haven't been around, I'll post more later I promise!" If she were lynched, there would be so little to go by to find her partner(s), which is exactly what scum wants. The fact that she's skated by this long without much real scrutiny or pressure really raises an eyebrow for me. And if scum did in fact go for daychat, I could easily see them spurring her along--"Keep doing what you're doing, it's working great!" In GoT we had scum among the lurkiest of us and we completely succumbed to that. So maybe it's time to literally lynch the largest lurker.

Also, she and e are the only people whom I haven't roleblocked yet. So I'd want to roleblock her, but that would be WIFOMy.

Looking at the interactions with ash is tricky of course. Certainly he had much more salient interactions with Jimmmmm in particular, as well as Robz. But rereading him through the lens of mcmc vs. manda, I still think manda comes out behind.

mcmc is only mentioned a couple of times. The most notable thing ash said is "mcmc is scum. Write it down." He placed mcmc in his actilurker category, and comments on one of his ideas. That's about all I can remember.

manda on the other hand gets mentioned a LOT. Seriously, for a game where manda has been sort of in the background, ash makes an unnatural number of references to her. Early on he found that one post of hers scummy-sounding on semi-flimsy pretext, questions a D1 pass, then explained directly to her about why it felt hedgy. Calls her out twice directly for needing to post more. Defends her against Jimmmmm. Mentions her avatar (and its similarity to mcmc's, interestingly). Singles her out as a "scummy voter on Jorbles". Comments that her lurkiness is perhaps "part of her nefarious plan."

And so on! Go ahead, read for yourself if you want. There's just a higher than average manda reference density in ash's posts than I would have expected. Now you might think, wouldn't ash want to *not* talk about his scumpartners? Well that's a bag of WIFOM again...ash was all about purloined letters this game lol. But something definitely seems odd about it.

So I want to keep voting manda.

PPE: Apparently e disagrees.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 04, 2014, 03:54:16 pm
You have an interesting point there about Ash/manda interactions.  I was reading just for Manda, and didn't really notice all of the attention Ash gave her.

I just reread mcmc in KC-Goons-Masquerade, and he was on the bottom of the post count there as scum.  mcmc is moving up my scum ladder in terms of scumminess, but I still think that Voltaire is scum. 

Right now I am leaning voltaire/mcmc partners.  I think teproc has done a few things that make me think he is towny plus the negative results from walrus/jimmmm.  I think we actually have a great shot at getting a correct lynch, getting a good roleblock, and then winning with 4 members of town left.

I do not think voting manda will do that for us.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 04, 2014, 04:25:54 pm
Ok though, after all that though, here's another interesting point:

Volt has had two votes on him, e's and mcmc's, since Dec 30. That is more than enough time for scum to arrange a double quickhammer forced win, especially if they have daychat, which seems to be the prevailing hypothesis.

So assuming there are still two scum, that would mean that there is not two scum among Teproc, manda, and myself. Therefore there is at least one scum among e, Voltaire, and mcmc.

This involves some assumptions but I don't think they're terrible. I guess I would prefer the mcmc lynch of the three. For one, he was much more reckless about voting for Volt today, while Volt has been more aware of the endgame implications...of course, scum might be more mindful of that as well. Unvote for now.

Bah. Although now that I think about it, quickhammering in such a way would practically be an admission of scumminess, which means I would basically have a 50/50 chance of blocking them at night and determining the game. Unless they have a Strongman, or whatever. So maybe this point is not as valid as I thought.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 04, 2014, 04:38:54 pm
Volt has had two votes on him, e's and mcmc's, since Dec 30. That is more than enough time for scum to arrange a double quickhammer forced win, especially if they have daychat, which seems to be the prevailing hypothesis.

This is an interesting point.  However, that does assume daychat (a reasonable assumption, though not necessarily true)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: yuma on January 04, 2014, 09:56:54 pm
Vote Count 4.5

Voltaire (2): 2.7, mcmc
mcmc (1): Voltaire

Not Voting (3): Teproc, manda, Walrus

With 6 alive it takes 4 to lynch.

Deadline for Day4 is January 8 at 6:00 pm forum time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on January 04, 2014, 10:40:19 pm
Yeah, the quickhammer that didn't happen / isn't happening on Voltaire is interesting. It basically means that either he is scum or one of his voters is scum right ?

That would shape it up as a Voltaire vs mcmc but, much like Walrus, I'm weirded out by the lack of attention manda got in this game. ash did have somewhat of a weak case on her on day 1, which I think is a pretty safe thing to do as scum (especially since she wasn't getting lynched thanks to people giving day 1 passes), although I think he did that with mcmc as well ? I'll have more time now (back home from vacation) so I'll have to reread ash looking for interactions with Voltaire/mcmc/manda (aka my lynch pool).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 05, 2014, 10:57:09 am
teproc is right and this solidifies my read on volt, he has to be scum or scum would have already hammered.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 05, 2014, 03:23:25 pm
I'm still completely torn about this. Anybody have any other comments about either the lack of a quickhammer or the weird ash-manda connection?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 05, 2014, 04:05:01 pm
teproc is right and this solidifies my read on volt, he has to be scum or scum would have already hammered.

No, it means you're scum. I noticed this quite awhile ago, and it's why I freaked out when I was at L-1 (or so I thought). I agree, today should be me vs. mcmc, and you really really really should lynch mcmc.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 05, 2014, 05:58:11 pm
teproc is right and this solidifies my read on volt, he has to be scum or scum would have already hammered.

No, it means you're scum. I noticed this quite awhile ago, and it's why I freaked out when I was at L-1 (or so I thought). I agree, today should be me vs. mcmc, and you really really really should lynch mcmc.

Volt or me is who we need to lynch the case against me is I an lurky and ash made a small case on me early, volt has the whole case robz the now confirmed town made against him. This is an easy lynch, volts partner is going to be the hard one to find.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 05, 2014, 08:04:57 pm
teproc is right and this solidifies my read on volt, he has to be scum or scum would have already hammered.

No, it means you're scum. I noticed this quite awhile ago, and it's why I freaked out when I was at L-1 (or so I thought). I agree, today should be me vs. mcmc, and you really really really should lynch mcmc.

you vs. mcmc, the winner is town, the loser is scum?  What about the situation where both of you are scum?  Making this a focused me vs you (town vs scum) is interesting.

teproc is right and this solidifies my read on volt, he has to be scum or scum would have already hammered.

No, it means you're scum. I noticed this quite awhile ago, and it's why I freaked out when I was at L-1 (or so I thought). I agree, today should be me vs. mcmc, and you really really really should lynch mcmc.

Volt or me is who we need to lynch the case against me is I an lurky and ash made a small case on me early, volt has the whole case robz the now confirmed town made against him. This is an easy lynch, volts partner is going to be the hard one to find.

Then mcmc comes and sheeps the idea of a me vs. you case and that the second scum is hidden out there.

Voltaire and mcmc are my top two scum reads right now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 06, 2014, 11:45:11 am
teproc is right and this solidifies my read on volt, he has to be scum or scum would have already hammered.

No, it means you're scum. I noticed this quite awhile ago, and it's why I freaked out when I was at L-1 (or so I thought). I agree, today should be me vs. mcmc, and you really really really should lynch mcmc.

you vs. mcmc, the winner is town, the loser is scum?  What about the situation where both of you are scum?  Making this a focused me vs you (town vs scum) is interesting.

There is no situation where both of us are scum. I know you can't know that, but I can know that. It's why I am now certain mcmc is scum - I should have been quickhammered, I agree with whoever pointed it out.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on January 06, 2014, 11:49:08 am
Hmm. A scum v scum scenario for Voltaire vs mcmc is interesting. Maybe they figured Voltaire would be an automatic lynch after Robz flipped town and decided to distance themselves as much as they can, which is why they're both saying it can't be scum v scum ?

Although they would say that as town anyway because, well, they would know they're town. In any case, scum v scum is certainlya possibility here, and one that we shouldn't forget on the next day.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 06, 2014, 11:51:02 am
I think our lynch is basically between Voltaire and mcmc today.  It is critical that we lynch correctly. 

manda, I do not want you to place your vote before we see some sort of overview of both mcmc and voltaire from you.  Please get that done NLT Tuesday, Jan 7 at 6PM forum time (24 hours before the deadline)

Teproc, it would be nice for you to do the same thing, but I won't be demanding of you since you have been involved in the game
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 06, 2014, 11:51:45 am
Hmm. A scum v scum scenario for Voltaire vs mcmc is interesting. Maybe they figured Voltaire would be an automatic lynch after Robz flipped town and decided to distance themselves as much as they can, which is why they're both saying it can't be scum v scum ?

Why in the world is everyone expecting me or mcmc to go "oh gee, I guess this could be scum v. scum!" This makes none of the sense.

It looks like no-one wants to no-lynch today, fine. Then we need to lynch mcmc so we don't lose. I think mcmc is conf. scum now due to the vote count situation. That's what I've got.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on January 06, 2014, 11:55:17 am
I can do that. I wanted to do an ash reread for interactions today but the forum was down so I couldn't before just now.

PPE (Voltaire) : Yeah, I acknowledged that in this post. I understand that no matter what, you gys aren't going to see it as a possibility, but you'll understand that we can't discount it either. Not that it matters all that much today anyway.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on January 06, 2014, 12:59:15 pm
ash interactions

With Voltaire :
#143 : Joke about a plan involving lynching Voltaire.
#270 : Robz « rage votes » Voltaire, ash calls it fake. Chainsaw defense ?
#373 : Says Voltaire's POE post feels « different ».
#658 : Calls Voltaire a contributor after a post count
#669 : Chooses Voltaire as a random example in a post about Morgrim.
#730 : Puts Voltaire in « won't lynch » in a popsquiz.
#808 : Agrees with Voltaire on the Morgrim lynch.
#861 : Wants to look off-wagon (Voltaire was on).

With mcmc :
#268 : Saying that he's confused being manda and mcmc
#351 : Says mcmc is scum because of his activity
#658 : Calls mcmc an acti-lurker
#685 : Clarifies that acti-lurking isn't necessarily scummy.
#709 : Agrees with mcmc about Morgrim's claim
#730 : Puts mcmc in « would lynch »
#808 : Agrees with mcmc on what to do with 2.7's night action (no one should try to convince him of anything).
#861 : Wants to look off-wagon (mcmc was on)
#1113 : Post count, says mcmc is in the actilurker zone.

With manda :
#268 : Saying that he's confused being manda and mcmc
#269 : Finds manda scummy, asks if she has a day 1 pass
#278 : Explains why manda is scummy : hedging
#658 : calls manda a lurker
#730 : Puts manda in « would lynch »
#740 : 2.7 says everyone's forgetting manda, ash responds it might be her nefarious plan.
#861 : Wants to look off-wagon, which includes manda.
#866 : After post count, says manda needs to step up.
#886 : Comments on a similar post made by Jimmmm asking manda to post, calling it coaching (in other words, but that's the idea).
#889 : Finds Jimmmm's vote on manda scummy because it's a safe vote. Sees it (as well as the above) as a potential indicator that they are partners.
#1113 : Post count, says manda needs to post more

I included manda in this because I actually think manda comes out looking the scummiest in this. The coaching doesn't really matter if scum has daychat (which seems very likely). He calls her scummy for hedging on day 1, but makes sure she has a day 1 pass at the same time. Safest case on your partner ever. The fact that he comes after Jimmmm on day 2 for doing the exact same thing (pretty much) makes me think that ash got all giddy when he saw town do the exact same thing he did as scum.

Can we just lynch manda ? The whole Voltaire vs mcmc reminds me of the yuma vs Voltaire in GoT, with scum lurking in the background.

His interactions with Voltaire are very scarce, which I think looks good for Voltaire. I would think ash, knowing that he's on a streak of being lynched early as scum, would be very careful about his interactions, so he would make sure to have content about them.

He barely has more about mcmc though, the only thing particularly notable is that he was the first to find him scummy for increased activity on day 1.

I'll look at interactions the other way around, but from this, I get manda >> mcmc=Voltaire
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on January 06, 2014, 02:26:58 pm
Interactions with ash :

manda :
#897 (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg322186#msg322186) : During the Jimmmm/ash fight early day 2. I linked it because I don't even get what she was saying there, but it might be relevant.
#1049 : When ash notices that mcmc forgot the "scum/scum" option, she calls it a "really good and interesting point", but says it's not enough for a vote (on mcmc).
#1247 : Late day 2, after everyone claimed, says she was convinced ash fakeclaimed while at first but isn't sure anymore.

That's it. #1247 is the most relevant : she still wasn't sure after ash got counterclaimed by Walrus ? Seems crazy, but maybe she thought she might actually get Jimmmmm lynched first ?

mcmc :
#335: Votes for ash (2), sheeping Voltaire's vote about ash being in the background. Finds the idea that ash's plan was just asking everyone about what PRs they would have taken unlikely.
#380 : Unvotes (1), saying he responded townie and believes ash is "less domineering" on purpose, but that doesn't indicate his alignment.
#578 : Disagrees with ash that 2.7's claim is a bad one to make as scum.
#681: After ash calls him an actilurker, says actilurking isn't the same thing as being in the middle of the post count, and implies that he (and myself, who was also included in the actilurkers) has been contributing.
#693: Ash responds to #681 by saying actilurking isn't necessarily scummy, mcmc finds that "reasonable".
#756 : popsquiz : ash is in the "won't lynch" category.
#957 : About the whole ash/Walrus thing early day 2 : finds Walrus scummy and ash null.
#959 : Scum read on ash for wagon analysis which is pointless because of WIFOM.
#978 : Says it's equally possible that the Jimmm/ash fight is town/town, scum/town or town/scum. This is the post where he omits the scum/scum possibility.
#1036 : Says scum/scum would not make sense, but is possible, just doubtful.

The early vote on ash is very safe, as it is justified by meta reasons (which is why I hate those). He also unvotes very quickly after ash responds. That's pretty scummy to me : it makes sure that the meta argument (ash is less active/doesn't have a plan) is being adressed and artificially makes ash look townie when mcmc says his response was townie. It also allows mcmc to safely have ash in the "won't lynch" category at the end of day 1.

The scum/scum omission is interesting here. That seems like a mistake a scumpartner could very easily do : they know for a fact that the argument is scum vs town, but obviously don't want to forget the town/town possibility, because going after Jimmmm would look like a chainsaw defense. The scum/scum possibility however, is completely forgotten because it doesn't really give ash's partner anything. It is a possibility that only paranoid town (ie any town) thinks about. His response to that is pretty much a simple hand-wave, admitting that it's possible but unlikely.

Voltaire :
#284 : Disagrees with ash finding manda scummy, saying that hedging isn't really scummy.
#334 : Votes ashersky (1) : in the background, hasn't responded to faust's plan.
#348/350 : Says ash is purposefully less active here, but it isn't indicative of his alignment.
#354 : Seems to respond well to ash's response, but doesn't remove his vote.
#576 : Says ash is "behaving like his scuper-scummy self that always turns out to be town", but still likes hiv vote on him.
#592 : reiterates that ash is scummy.
#624 : Doesn't see ash's case on Walrus at all.
#755 : popsquiz: ash in his "would lynch"
#811/815 : Wonders if ash is rolefishing with the discussion about Robz not screaming that vigs shouldn't shoot night 1.
#926 : Early day 2, says ash is hardcore tunneling on Jimmmm
#947 : Insane POE where ash (along with four others) is crossed off his lynch pool.
#949 : Says ash is behaving like town!ash
#1163 : After Jimmmm claimed, but before Walrus did, wants to lynch Jimmmm first because Roleblocker is more valuable than Goon Cop
#1166 : Says the Jimmm/ash situation could be a scum/scum gambit because ash is ash.
#1182 : After Walrus counterclaims, unsure if it means ash is scum.
#1185 : Votes ashersky, realizing that a Jimmmm/Walrus scumteam would be outed immediately by ash's flip.

His vote on ash day 1 is very safe (see above), but he doesn't unvote when he has the opporutnity to unlike mcmc. #354 is where I would expect scum!Voltaire to unvote his partner for reasons explained above.
What looks bad here is his attitude after the Jimmmmm claimed, first wanting to lynch Jimmmmm then unsure if Walrus's counterclaim means we should lynch ash. Apparently, everyone thought his argument for lynching Jimmmm was awesome though ?

So I guess it looks bad for all of them, but mostly for mcmc I think. I'll reread mcmc next (probably not tonight) but if I had to choose between him and Voltaire right now, I'd vote for him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 07, 2014, 08:52:25 am
can we get a prod on manda
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 07, 2014, 09:01:42 am
I think that we are dealing with an mcmc/voltaire scum team, and am comfortable with lynching either one of them.

My preference is Voltaire, but I will also lynch mcmc
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 07, 2014, 09:51:48 am
I think that we are dealing with an mcmc/voltaire scum team, and am comfortable with lynching either one of them.

My preference is Voltaire, but I will also lynch mcmc

Interestingly wrong theory. I mean why do you think I am scum running a gambit rather than town pushing my top scum read.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: yuma on January 07, 2014, 10:39:37 am
can we get a prod on manda

Manda has been prodded
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 07, 2014, 05:30:05 pm
just over 24 hours remaining.

Voltaire and mcmc, you have talked a lot about each other being scum, but who do you think the second scum is?  Manda or Teproc?

In fact, could everyone state who they think the scum team is?

I think it is mcmc and voltaire
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 07, 2014, 05:40:30 pm
I think the scum team is mcmc and manda.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 07, 2014, 05:41:00 pm
Most likely, of course.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 07, 2014, 06:09:41 pm
I am tending to agree with you right now Volt. I just did a full reread of you, and while of course there are potential suspicions, I think you appear relatively towny.

I still have this nagging bad feeling about manda. But the no-hammer situation is also too interesting to ignore.

I think at this point I would vote for mcmc or manda. I would love to hear from manda before I put down a vote.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on January 07, 2014, 06:15:04 pm
After rereading mcmc, I think he's more likely to be scum than Voltaire. I would still rather lynch manda but if it's between those two I think mcmc is the right choice. His vote/unvote on ash day 1 is scummy (see above), as well as the scum/scum ommission in the Jimmmmm/ash fight. There's also this post (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9687.msg319648#msg319648) where it seems like he's asking town how to behave, which seems a lot more beneficial as scum than as town.

His attitude day 3 and 4 is also strange to me : he's pushing a Robz/Voltaire scumteam really hard and eventualy hammers Robz, and then immediately switches to Voltaire with the same certainty, now saying he agrees with Robz's reads ? That's... not how town approaches things in mylo. As the game progresses, town gets more and more paranoid and starts doubting everything it believes. Instead, mcmc seems to get more and more certain as things get towards the end game.

manda's absence is annoying (especially because I saw her reading the topic earlier today... you've got to post manda !), but if the choice is Voltaire or mcmc (and one of them is definitely scum through PoE alone), I believe mcmc is the right choice.

vote: mcmcsalot

PPE : Didn't read Walrus's post.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 07, 2014, 06:19:11 pm
Right now I have a good feeling about Teproc being town

1) Negative result from Jimmmm
2) Negative result from Walrus
3) Towny posts today

so it is between mcmc, voltaire, and manda for me.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 07, 2014, 06:40:44 pm
Manda could very well be scum, but I am just oh so much more certain about mcmc that I strongly encourage everyone to vote there. I mean, there's lots, but just consider the vote count. Just consider it!

I'll be around tomorrow to switch to manda if that's the way we end up going, but I honestly give it very low odds manda even shows up.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: manda2014 on January 07, 2014, 07:14:02 pm
I'm here. Sorry, today has been pretty hectic. I'll post a review of volt and mcmc soon, as requested.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 07, 2014, 08:05:33 pm
just over 24 hours remaining.

Voltaire and mcmc, you have talked a lot about each other being scum, but who do you think the second scum is?  Manda or Teproc?

In fact, could everyone state who they think the scum team is?

I think it is mcmc and voltaire

I don't know between the two, I would lean teproc because robz believed so and I know he was right about voltaire
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: manda2014 on January 07, 2014, 08:45:19 pm
Okay my read on mcmc hasn't really changed since I last posted, and for all the reasons I stated previously (jumping in very quickly with his votes, etc).

As far as Voltaire is concerned I am becoming more convinced that he is town. I'm certainly not positive, but operating under the assumption (as I am) that mcmc is scum, the quickhammer situation makes sense. The problem, though, is that I haven't reaaaally seen any reason to say Teproc is scum, so I'm really torn between the two of them.

I will vote for mcmc, but I don't want to put him at an L-1 situation unless everyone feels comfortable with it being lynch time.

Also I'll be around the rest of tonight and most of tomorrow.

PPE: mcmc basing so much of his decision-making on "knowing Robz was right" makes me even more comfortable in my suspicion.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 07, 2014, 09:26:10 pm
Okay my read on mcmc hasn't really changed since I last posted, and for all the reasons I stated previously (jumping in very quickly with his votes, etc).

As far as Voltaire is concerned I am becoming more convinced that he is town. I'm certainly not positive, but operating under the assumption (as I am) that mcmc is scum, the quickhammer situation makes sense. The problem, though, is that I haven't reaaaally seen any reason to say Teproc is scum, so I'm really torn between the two of them.

I will vote for mcmc, but I don't want to put him at an L-1 situation unless everyone feels comfortable with it being lynch time.

Also I'll be around the rest of tonight and most of tomorrow.

PPE: mcmc basing so much of his decision-making on "knowing Robz was right" makes me even more comfortable in my suspicion.

I have been following lightly, its what I do, I have given my reads which are basic, but the whole case on me is pretty nonexistant in my opinion. I mean I just don't see mch that points to scumminess, more that points toward unhelpful town getting mislynched by scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 07, 2014, 09:44:40 pm
Note that mcmc has two votes on him now as well...I think I've lost some faith in that argument though, considering that it could leave scum open to a potential roleblock if they didn't do it subtly enough, and also now that they're aware of it they can try to use it to manipulate the discussion.

At this point I think I prefer the manda lynch. Her post now was just as non-committal as she has been all game, "sure, I'll lynch mcmc, whatever...". Also, the PPE...did it really take you 40+ minutes to write that out manda? Maybe that's a minor point, but it jumped out at me. I think a manda/mcmc scumteam is a real possibility.

mcmc is still my second choice I guess, but I'm getting spooked that maybe the mcmc lynch is feeling too easy. Have we really heard anyone object strongly to it? It seems like "sure, I'll lynch mcmc, whatever..." is the prevailing attitude at this point. I don't know if that's how scum would react in this situation, maybe they're confident enough to bus by this point...I don't know. I'm just feeling as if the mcmc lynch has too little resistance to be real scum. Grrr, I'm triple-guessing myself here...

Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 08, 2014, 12:04:57 am
Note that mcmc has two votes on him now as well...I think I've lost some faith in that argument though, considering that it could leave scum open to a potential roleblock if they didn't do it subtly enough, and also now that they're aware of it they can try to use it to manipulate the discussion.

And this is why I didn't point it out immediately. I mean, those arguments are tempting (and I think in this case RIGHT!) but anything can be manipulated.

We have, like, less than 24 hours to deadline. If we no-lynch it's not the worst..but I'm not convinced by any argument about a lynch being "too easy". Scum has to casually bus at worst, I think, in this situation. Whether or not they're sitting on a Strongman right now will affect this too. We just have to lynch who we think is scum, I truly think that's mcmc, I'm willing to bet the game on it...let's do this.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: manda2014 on January 08, 2014, 01:08:31 am
Note that mcmc has two votes on him now as well...I think I've lost some faith in that argument though, considering that it could leave scum open to a potential roleblock if they didn't do it subtly enough, and also now that they're aware of it they can try to use it to manipulate the discussion.

At this point I think I prefer the manda lynch. Her post now was just as non-committal as she has been all game, "sure, I'll lynch mcmc, whatever...". Also, the PPE...did it really take you 40+ minutes to write that out manda? Maybe that's a minor point, but it jumped out at me. I think a manda/mcmc scumteam is a real possibility.

mcmc is still my second choice I guess, but I'm getting spooked that maybe the mcmc lynch is feeling too easy. Have we really heard anyone object strongly to it? It seems like "sure, I'll lynch mcmc, whatever..." is the prevailing attitude at this point. I don't know if that's how scum would react in this situation, maybe they're confident enough to bus by this point...I don't know. I'm just feeling as if the mcmc lynch has too little resistance to be real scum. Grrr, I'm triple-guessing myself here...

No, of course it didn't take that long to write. I was just doing a lot of things at the same time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Teproc on January 08, 2014, 05:32:43 am
The fact that mcmc didn't get quickhammered doesn't mean anything new, does it ? It's still a case of him or one of his voters being scum, which is the same thing as with Voltaire. And you have to factor in that we've been talking about it, so if scum wasn't aware of the implications when Voltaire didn't get quickhammered, they certainly are now.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 08, 2014, 07:34:25 am
One thing that needs to be discussed before we lynch anyone is night actions.

I am assuming that we correctly lynch scum.  That leaves one scum remaining.  Should Walrus tell us who he targets before the lynch?  I will bodyguard Walrus, but in case we lynch the goon and not the JOAT, I think we need to take precautions against the possibility that Walrus does not survive the night.

I have been trying to think of ways that scum could manipulate this information if Walrus does give it to us, and I don't think they can.
1) We lynch scum (JOAT, rolecop, bulletproof, or goon)
2) Walrus has 3 people to choose between to roleblock
3) If a kill still goes through we know to choose between two remaining players, and if it doesn't we lynch our last scum.

Could everyone put down their thoughts on this matter today before the lynch?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 08, 2014, 08:09:20 am
Further, I don't want anyone to vote mcmc until we decide if this is the correct plan of action or not.

A self-hammer by scum would actually be valuable in this situation if it meant that the could kill Walrus overnight and not have to worry about the result of his roleblocking (other than if Walrus actually roleblocks scum)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 08, 2014, 08:10:33 am
Further, I don't want anyone to vote mcmc until we decide if this is the correct plan of action or not.

A self-hammer by scum would actually be valuable in this situation if it meant that the could kill Walrus overnight and not have to worry about the result of his roleblocking (other than if Walrus actually roleblocks scum)

or Voltaire for that matter, but I am pretty sure mcmc is getting lynched today.  There is very little support for a Voltaire lynch right now and I don't think that will change in 10 hours
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Voltaire on January 08, 2014, 10:38:29 am
Could everyone put down their thoughts on this matter today before the lynch?

Pretty sure this is a bad idea. I'd rather Walrus make the call.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 08, 2014, 11:17:48 am
@manda, yes the mcmc lynch is to easy and it's wrong but not lynching one of me or volt is silly, we know one of me or volt is scum so we should certainly vote one of us.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 08, 2014, 11:37:29 am
Well I'm about to start work and I may not be around at deadline. I've done all the reading and discussion that I'm going to do. So this is the part when I vote: mcmc and hope.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 08, 2014, 11:38:26 am
Well I'm about to start work and I may not be around at deadline. I've done all the reading and discussion that I'm going to do. So this is the part when I vote: mcmc and hope.

what do you think about the possibility of you stating who you will target?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Twistedarcher on January 08, 2014, 11:42:18 am
Vote Count 4.6

Voltaire (2): 2.7, mcmc
mcmc (3): Voltaire, Teproc, Walrus

Not Voting (1): manda

With 6 alive it takes 4 to lynch.

Deadline for Day4 is Today at 6:00 pm forum time. That's in just over 6 hours!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 08, 2014, 11:43:56 am
Nah. With one scum left, maybe. But not with potentially two. And we won't know that until a flip.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 08, 2014, 11:45:06 am
ok

vote: mcmc
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Twistedarcher on January 08, 2014, 11:47:24 am
Vote Count 4.Final

Voltaire (1): mcmc
mcmc (4): Voltaire, Teproc, Walrus, 2.7

Not Voting (1): manda

With 6 alive it took 4 to lynch

Twilight!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Day4)
Post by: Twistedarcher on January 08, 2014, 12:16:37 pm
<insert flavor> #worstflavorever

Mcmcsalot has been lynched. He was Charlie Bucket from Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, a Vanilla Townie

Night 4 begins, and will end January 10 at 2:00 PM. Please send night actions to both myself and Yuma. Each player is required to check-in via PM to the mods, as well.

THREAD LOCKED!!!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game over - Mafia Wins!)
Post by: yuma on January 10, 2014, 10:08:06 am
I have received all night actions and since I am watching the baby this morning I am going to end the night a few hours early as it looks like all night actions are final.

#worst flavor ever.

In the night, 2.7, James (from James and the Giant Peach), the Town Bodyguard was killed.


Mafia (Voltaire, Teproc and ashersky) Wins!

Manda and Walrus have been end-gamed.


speccy = http://www.quicktopic.com/50/H/CwjbpHNfDyG
mod qt = http://www.quicktopic.com/50/H/Nktmm3Dp2wsW
mafia qt = http://www.quicktopic.com/50/H/Ytmu9saymai
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 10:09:06 am
YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS.

I was so scared Walrus would roleblock me but he didn't ! YES !
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: yuma on January 10, 2014, 10:09:43 am
I'll have thoughts about the game later. Thanks to all for playing!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 10:10:26 am
Also, I said as much in the scum QT, but I will definitely pay attention to late game reads by Robz. That was scary.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 10, 2014, 10:17:20 am
Also, I said as much in the scum QT, but I will definitely pay attention to late game reads by Robz. That was scary.

I wanted to lynch Voltaire, but it just wasnt getting the support.  Voltaire was choice #1, I just thought mcmc was the other scum so I went ahead and hammered there
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 10, 2014, 10:20:46 am
I was wrong about you though, Teproc.  I think it would have been a tough find the next day.  I could very well see us lynching Ichi that day.

Teproc being JOAT especially would have been bad for us because Walrus wasn't going to share who he targeted.  I should have pressed that option harder because we would have had no new info for the next day and probably would not have lynched Teproc.

Of course, I didn't do a great job pushing the Voltaire lynch either. 
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 10:22:21 am
Ichi is... not in this game. Do you mean manda ?

Why wouldn't have Walrus shared who he targeted ? If he targeted me, it was game over for us I think.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 10, 2014, 10:23:39 am
Ichi is... not in this game. Do you mean manda ?

Why wouldn't have Walrus shared who he targeted ? If he targeted me, it was game over for us I think.

crap.  yes
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 10, 2014, 10:24:08 am
Ichi is... not in this game. Do you mean manda ?

Why wouldn't have Walrus shared who he targeted ? If he targeted me, it was game over for us I think.

crap.  yes

I was thinking [insert new player here] and just totally said the wrong name
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 10:24:24 am
FWIW, I think we got it wrong in our choice of PRs (which was Recruit, Daytalk, JOAT). It made us incredibly vulnerable to Goon Cop (and it showed, with Jimmmmm targeting 3 scum in 3 tries - great job by the way) and prevented us from fakeclaiming. I still like recruiting and JOAT, but I think JOAT is not that great. We used it a lot, especially me because it was my first game, but I think we would have been fine without.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Voltaire on January 10, 2014, 10:25:26 am
YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS.

I was so scared Walrus would roleblock me but he didn't ! YES !

ohmygod

*finally breathes*

This is my first-ever mafia win. Robz, you had us. I can't believe we pulled it off even after you had us pegged. Thanks to Teproc and ash for being great scumbuddies. I still can always read Teproc.  ;)

wow.

Great game, everyone.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 10:27:07 am
By the way, thanks yuma for modding, making me scum and giving me the best scumteam I could have dreamed of for a first game (Voltaire being the Recruit was a particularly nice touch).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 10, 2014, 10:30:19 am
I also did not do a great job with my bodyguarding.  Live and learn.  I have a lot I can learn from this game.  It was a ton of fun and thanks to Yuma for modding
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Voltaire on January 10, 2014, 10:32:42 am
Yes, big thanks to yuma. Off to read the speccy!

Oh, and like Teproc said, yes, Jimmmmm, my god. As I said in the mafia QT, I thought we had to kill him as much for his deductions during the day as for his being the cop.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 10:33:23 am
I mean, the only Bodyguarding mistake you made was Walrus > Jimmmm night 3 but you couldn't know how huge a threat Jimmmm was to us (since I'm pretty sure he targeted Voltaire that night, at least that's what we assumed).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 10:35:46 am
Reading the mod speccy right now, and yuma is right, PR hunting on night 1 was a mistake. I'm still astounded we managed to survive the PoE. Killing 2.7/faust was the safest play.

Our PR reads were awful by the way. We thought Walrus was VT for sure.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Voltaire on January 10, 2014, 10:41:36 am
I am never PR hunting again as mafia. Just kill who you want to kill and if they're a PR it's gravy.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 10:54:21 am
I see Jimmmmm investigated manda. I guess killing Walrus would have been better then.

And Walrus did roleblock Voltaire. Glad I didn't let the late second-guessing get to me then.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 10, 2014, 10:57:50 am
Also, I said as much in the scum QT, but I will definitely pay attention to late game reads by Robz. That was scary.

I wanted to lynch Voltaire, but it just wasnt getting the support.  Voltaire was choice #1, I just thought mcmc was the other scum so I went ahead and hammered there

I guess it was a bad argument to make but yea, robz is great late game, town or scum, town robz just doesn't usually make it that long, so once he flipped town I knew he was right about teproc and volt, not to mention I though they were scum after robz anyway, sad people didn't listen. Amazing job to the scum team and Yuma for moderating, I had fun.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: yuma on January 10, 2014, 11:01:58 am
My thoughts:

1. MVP goes to Voltaire, but honorable mention to Jimmmm (he correctly investigated two mafia in a row and would have investigated Voltaire, but logically figured that if voltaire was mafia that mafia would kill the Goon Cop during the night, so instead investigated manda, so basically three for three!) He would have been MVP had town won, Robz for awesome reads and Teproc who should get a newbie of the year nomination for this performance.

2. I think I am in the minority of thinking that recruiting is not the best option. The mod QT has my opinions on what I would have done as mafia. Along those lines, if this setup is done again, 1-shot Bulletproof needs to be removed and replaced with something better (1-shot Bus Driver perhaps)?

3. PR hunting has utility, but PoE is even more important I think. Killing Jorbles wasn't necessarily a bad move, but it was the riskier one for sure.

4. I am pretty sure that had voltaire been lynched day4, then town would have absolutely won. Maybe if people didn't figure out that no-lynch was the best option, but if they did, mafia was toast.

Other thoughts coming, but baby is now awake.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 11:07:50 am
My thoughts:

1. MVP goes to Voltaire, but honorable mention to Jimmmm (he correctly investigated two mafia in a row and would have investigated Voltaire, but logically figured that if voltaire was mafia that mafia would kill the Goon Cop during the night, so instead investigated manda, so basically three for three!) He would have been MVP had town won, Robz for awesome reads and Teproc who should get a newbie of the year nomination for this performance.

2. I think I am in the minority of thinking that recruiting is not the best option. The mod QT has my opinions on what I would have done as mafia. Along those lines, if this setup is done again, 1-shot Bulletproof needs to be removed and replaced with something better (1-shot Bus Driver perhaps)?

3. PR hunting has utility, but PoE is even more important I think. Killing Jorbles wasn't necessarily a bad move, but it was the riskier one for sure.

4. I am pretty sure that had voltaire been lynched day4, then town would have absolutely won. Maybe if people didn't figure out that no-lynch was the best option, but if they did, mafia was toast.

Other thoughts coming, but baby is now awake.

1. How Voltaire didn't get lynched the last two days is beyond me, so I guess I agree. Jimmmm would be worthy too though, his reasoning for investigating manda is pretty brilliant here. And thanks !

2. Yeah, Bulletproof seems way too weak, because if you want Goon Cop protection, you're better off taking JOAT/Rolecop. I would recruit every time if I played this again though.

3. Yep.

4. As you and I both mentioned in the respective QTs, Voltaire lynch would have prompted me to no kill, and then it was up to town to figure it out. I think they would have likely lynched whoever Walrus roleblocked, but probably realized that no-kill was the most likely to have happened the day after that, so I was probably toast.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 10, 2014, 11:16:48 am
Ahhhh and I roleblocked Voltaire last night too! Probably would have still lost anyway, I was blinded by the previous double result on Teproc.

Good game, well done Volt and Rocky (;)), and thanks to the mods for hosting!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 11:23:52 am
Robz in the speccy is hilarious. Yes, it was ! The whole time !

And hey Robz, you would even have won the game if you were Walrus ! A shame you were mislynched then :P.

What was your reasoning for roleblocking Voltaire, Walrus ? Was it a WIFOM inversion (as in, we wouldn't choose Voltaire for the kill because he's obvscum, except we know that so of course we chose him) or a case of going for who you knew was scum (pretty much) rather than taking a gamble and targeting me or manda ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 10, 2014, 11:30:42 am
Basically. And also, he was the person who I would be most annoyed if he was actually scum, and I didn't try to stop him haha. I was thinking Volt/manda scum team and I had made my feelings about both of them well known, and I didn't think Volt would expect the consecutive roleblocks.

However I was very unsure, so well done Mafia. I didn't push for Volt's lynch for the past few days because he reminded me of GoT Volt. Guess what Volt? You are now again obligated to be an insightful leader and Mafia superhero or I will use that argument against you :)

Oh and also, Volt and Teproc can't buddy anymore. It was cute at first. But now it's over.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Voltaire on January 10, 2014, 11:31:37 am
Guess what Volt? You are now again obligated to be an insightful leader and Mafia superhero or I will use that argument against you :)

Oh and also, Volt and Teproc can't buddy anymore. It was cute at first. But now it's over.

 ;D
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Jorbles on January 10, 2014, 12:09:13 pm
Robz was right all along. I'll still probably not trust him next time he has confident reads though.  :P

Now to find out why I was killed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: yuma on January 10, 2014, 12:18:42 pm
Other notes:

town came back awesomely from the Morgrim-Tracker lynch of day1.

Jimmmmm slowly coming out with the result on ashersky was pretty fun to watch. I know it was very frustrating for ashersky, but from a mod point of view it was fascinating. Cops are tough and probably my least favorite role in the game. But I do like the idea of a Goon Cop. My thought for picking powers was to pick the ones that would mitigate the Goon Cop the most and basically give all players a Godfather status, so not recruiting, role cop and JOAT.

And lastly, thanks to TA for helping modding. This game would have fallen apart without him. Much appreciation toward him.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Jorbles on January 10, 2014, 12:31:42 pm
Well at least I'm getting NKed as a VT for the right reasons. Too towny probably a PR is basically what I want to happen in a game where I'm VT.  :)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 12:55:01 pm
(http://i2.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/004/006/y-u-no-guy.jpg)
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 12:55:42 pm
Well this is my most frustrating town loss yet, including the game where we lost with three people left because Jim forgot to vote before the deadline.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 01:06:39 pm
Like, what the fuck guys?

Actually, I'm reasonably enough convinced that its Teproc and Voltaire that I wouldn't mind being lynched today, PROVIDED ALL OUR PR PEOPLE LISTEN TO ME ONCE I'M DEAD. I will be very cross if you follow up my mislynch with manda's and mcmc's.

It makes perfect sense, I don't NEED to live, I need to be listened to. Obviously I'd prefer not to be lynched, but I'm most concerned about how you will control the game when I'm dead. So I'm posting that warning.

Well, but it's more important to convince you that I am town, because then you'll be more likely to defer to my case. I can make a case on anybody, you have to be able to believe me...

It IS sort of based on feeling, which is why knowing you can trust me (if you are town) is so important.

The problem with lynching me is, okay, you'll get Voltaire tomorrow, but then what will you do? You better lynch Teproc. It's Voltaire/Teproc. Voltaire's recent comment sealed the deal. He said if I'm scum it probably means Teproc is. He said this because knows I will flip town, and then you will lynch him (Voltaire), and so he wants to do a light bus on his partner, to disassociate.

It's them. It's them. It's them.

Okay, well kill me, this day can be over whenever you all wish.

Tomorrow, LYNCH VOLTAIRE. Next day, LYNCH TEPROC.

You should absolutely lynch. I will vote for myself if that's what it takes. Better for me to be lynched and have you figure out that you can trust me and should listen to me, than No Lynch. Better still just to lynch Voltaire.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Voltaire on January 10, 2014, 01:07:33 pm
Saying it's true isn't enough to convince people. I've learned that lesson the hard way as town (M31).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 01:10:44 pm
Saying it's true isn't enough to convince people. I've learned that lesson the hard way as town (M31).

It's not enough because you can't trust me, you don't know whether I'm town, right I get that. That's why I totally get lynching me.

I'm pissed that my case was given zero consideration AFTER I was dead and confirmed town, THE VERY THING I STATED OVER AND OVER SHOULD NOT HAPPEN.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 10, 2014, 01:11:26 pm
Sadly I still have no idea why people found me scummy this game.

I tried robz..
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 01:33:15 pm
Well good job to the scum team, very fascinating QT. Scum teams that talk a lot: they win.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 01:33:52 pm
And it's a great setup, I would play it again. Nice one, yuma! Do agree about switching out the BP, though.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 10, 2014, 01:38:45 pm
Sorry Robz. I just didn't find your case especially convincing, when you were alive or dead. Being town doesn't mean you're right, and it really seemed like you were just beating a drum over and over. I get that you're frustrated...Should I be upset that we lynched our Tracker D1, when I tried to convince you he was town?

Apparently we should have listened in retrospect, but we have to follow our own reads and results too. And I personally think Volt and Teproc did a great job of disguising their scumminess.

Oh and sorry mcmc.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 01:49:52 pm
Sorry Robz. I just didn't find your case especially convincing, when you were alive or dead. Being town doesn't mean you're right, and it really seemed like you were just beating a drum over and over. I get that you're frustrated...Should I be upset that we lynched our Tracker D1, when I tried to convince you he was town?

Apparently we should have listened in retrospect, but we have to follow our own reads and results too. And I personally think Volt and Teproc did a great job of disguising their scumminess.

Oh and sorry mcmc.

Yeah, this fails to satisfy me, I think these are different things. Late reads are much, much, much more accurate than early reads, early reads are just guesses that can sometimes be lucky. Basically, you decided to take the bet that my prediction--a 2 in 4 prediction--was wrong, even when I told you it was a guarantee. The second you know you can trust me, when I flip town, I just think it's really bad play not to pay attention to that. It was more than just a "oh, what were the dead guy's reads?" Because I ANTICIPATED getting lynched, and really thought I and engineered a scenario where that was fine.

If I were you, Walrus, and Robz had been, say, Yuma, I would have absolutely done what Yuma said, or at least very very very very strongly considered it. You just like rejected it out of hand.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 10, 2014, 01:55:16 pm
Fine. Your tone is just coming across as kind of sore loser-y right now. I'm sorry if I catalyzed an unsatisfying game of Mafia for you. Next time I'll just do what you say.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 02:01:24 pm
Fine. Your tone is just coming across as kind of sore loser-y right now. I'm sorry if I catalyzed an unsatisfying game of Mafia for you. Next time I'll just do what you say.

Yeah, I'm totally a sore loser right now. We should have won!

You shouldn't always just do what I say, of course, I just really thought you would have this time because I told you repeatedly that after I flipped and was confirmed town, I was certain (and it was not like long shot case, I had a 50% chance of being right about Voltaire and a pretty good chance of being right about both).
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 02:02:17 pm
^I don't mean that facetiously, I am aware I am acting like a sore loser right now, sorry. I just really had it...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: WalrusMcFishSr on January 10, 2014, 02:06:37 pm
You totally did man. Well my instincts will be slightly more sharpened for next time.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 02:14:59 pm
Just to be clear, I think "Just listen to Robz," would be a terrible strategy for the town most of the time, even if I was an IC in every game. I just thought I was going to get listened to this time, and it was the right time for that to happen.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 10, 2014, 02:17:26 pm
Yea I think that the issue isn't necessarily that is was robz or anything, it's just like what the hell was the case on me, and the case on volt and teproc were there as believed by many people. I mean when 2.7 robz and I pushed volt I don't see how volt didn't get lynched.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 02:20:29 pm
I do think you were at least a little scummy from like early stuff. I don't think lynching you was so insane, except for the fact that Voltaire was 10 times scummier.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: mcmcsalot on January 10, 2014, 02:44:47 pm
I do think you were at least a little scummy from like early stuff. I don't think lynching you was so insane, except for the fact that Voltaire was 10 times scummier.

I guess that's the thing, I was "scummy" day 1 which means people felt I was playing like scum mcmc and that held through to be the final lynch as opposed to someone with a case and two confirmed townies suspecting him of being scum that blew me away.

Also walrus don't feel like this was all on you(nor feel bad at all it's not a big deal) super bummed 2.7 didn't defend me more or push volt, especially when we didn't have lynches to spare, always push your top read until you have to pick otherwise.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 10, 2014, 02:50:16 pm
The fact that it was easy to lynch me and fairly easy to lynch mcmc, but dfficult to lynch Voltaire and impossible to lynch Teproc is another sign, actually.

Of course, I've been in the group that calls it wrong numerous times.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 02:52:49 pm
Yeah, the Voltaire wagon stalling was a sign, which we spun into "It means one of {Voltaire,mcmc} are scum !". You'll notice that people did get suspicious when the mcmc lynch seemed too easy, but it was too late I think.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: 2.71828..... on January 10, 2014, 03:18:33 pm
Yeah, the Voltaire wagon stalling was a sign, which we spun into "It means one of {Voltaire,mcmc} are scum !". You'll notice that people did get suspicious when the mcmc lynch seemed too easy, but it was too late I think.

Yeah, part of that was on me.  I really did think Voltaire was scum, and I let the wagon stall out.  I was convinced manda was town, and for me it was a decision between Teproc and mcmc.  I really thought that mcmc was the scummier of the two, and I gave up on the Voltaire lynch because I did not see manda ever voting voltaire because of her stance towrads robz on previous days and current absence.  In hindsight that second vote on mcmc by Teproc was scummy, as the next vote on that wagon should have come from an "IC" (walrus or myself).  Basically, I was not forceful enough about the Voltaire lynch and let it slip by. 
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Voltaire on January 10, 2014, 03:54:26 pm
^I don't mean that facetiously, I am aware I am acting like a sore loser right now, sorry. I just really had it...

To be fair, you did moderate your certainty both in-thread and in the speccy (initially). It's easy to be certain when you're no longer in games.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Voltaire on January 10, 2014, 03:55:04 pm
Yea I think that the issue isn't necessarily that is was robz or anything, it's just like what the hell was the case on me, and the case on volt and teproc were there as believed by many people. I mean when 2.7 robz and I pushed volt I don't see how volt didn't get lynched.

There was no case on you. I was terrified that I would be asked to state the case on you, and it would catch me out. Because there wasn't one.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 03:57:14 pm
But there was : one of {Voltaire, mcmc} had to be scum. That was the case, basically. I tried really hard in my reread for interactions but even there I was just like "Well, both have kinda bad interactions with ash, but... mcmc is scummier ! Because reasons !"
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: ashersky on January 10, 2014, 04:37:54 pm
Yay!  Great job team.  I feel a little left out, dying so early and all.   :-[

I think I did about as well as could be expected for getting copped on N1.  I'll take the win!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 10, 2014, 04:41:49 pm
If anything ash, you did a great job with interactions : I know because I spent a lot of time rereading looking to frame people with them, and Voltaire and I never looked too bad in that (me especially). Besides, outing all the PRs, even if it made fighting PoE a nightmare, probably helped us navigate nights more easily.

You mention in the speccy that you disagree with our Jimmm nightkill (or was it the faust one ?). Do you remember what that was about ?
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: ashersky on January 10, 2014, 04:47:36 pm
If anything ash, you did a great job with interactions : I know because I spent a lot of time rereading looking to frame people with them, and Voltaire and I never looked too bad in that (me especially). Besides, outing all the PRs, even if it made fighting PoE a nightmare, probably helped us navigate nights more easily.

You mention in the speccy that you disagree with our Jimmm nightkill (or was it the faust one ?). Do you remember what that was about ?

My scum reason for living is outing PRs via fake claim, as far as I can tell.

I definitely agreed 100000% with killing Jimmmmm.

My speccy comment was something to do with an in-game interaction.  I don't recall specifically, but I think you two got it anyway.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on January 10, 2014, 04:57:55 pm
FWIW, I think we got it wrong in our choice of PRs (which was Recruit, Daytalk, JOAT). It made us incredibly vulnerable to Goon Cop (and it showed, with Jimmmmm targeting 3 scum in 3 tries - great job by the way) and prevented us from fakeclaiming. I still like recruiting and JOAT, but I think JOAT is not that great. We used it a lot, especially me because it was my first game, but I think we would have been fine without.

I targeted manda on my last Night, but only because I figured I would be dead by morning if Volt was a Goon.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on January 10, 2014, 05:00:24 pm
Also, for the record, I investigated Teproc for similar reasons - I strongly believed that if Robz was scum he was not a Goon, and if mcmc was a Goon I would die that Night. So I can only claim credit for 1-2 of the investigations.

Well done scum.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: ashersky on January 10, 2014, 07:25:03 pm
Oh, and Voltaire?  Told you we'd win if we were ever scum together!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on January 11, 2014, 03:35:04 am
A few thoughts:

-The Morgrim lynch should not have happened. His craziness MAY have been scummy for someone else, but it certainly wasn't scummy for him.
-The ashersky lynch should have been easier, and probably should not have required Walrus to counterclaim. I'm probably biased, but I really think I was making a lot more sense than he was.
-Robz said adamantly that Voltaire and Teproc were scum, but he also adamantly supported the Morgrim lynch and adamantly believed ash over me. I'm not saying that people should tone down their convictions, but possibly when you've been really sure about something and been wrong it makes it harder for others to trust your reads, whether or not they trust you.
-e was super scummy and would probably have been lynched if not for an even more believable claim.
-I was tossing up between investigating Teproc and Voltaire Night 2. The game would have been super different if I'd gone the other way. Something Teproc said about ash tipped me towards investigating him. Teproc, were you trying to get me to investigate you? If so, I did the exact same thing armed with a 1-shot Godfather in LotR 1.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Teproc on January 11, 2014, 05:57:02 am
I didn't do anything special to get you to target me, no. I wish I had, that would have been well played !

Here's what I thought about your targets night 2 : "I think the first question we have to ask ourselves is : who will Jimmmm target tonight ?

My guess would be mcmc. He is low on everyone's reads, Jimmmmm included. He did say he "didn't remember anything you said", but I don't think he will Cop you yet. So he can probably live on that front."

In fact, we were pretty surprised to learn that you targeted me : "And both Walrus and Jimmmmm targeted me ! I expected it from Walrus, but not from Jimmmmm. That's a little scary."
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: faust on January 11, 2014, 06:08:24 am
That didn't go so well. I was mostly frustrated in this game while I was alive, because noone would listen to me, even if I was the IC. Lynching Morgrim D1 - bad! Lynching ashersky D2 - bad! (I still maintain that view; lynching ashersky did not bring town closer to the victory) I guess it's hard work to convince people even if you are the IC...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on January 11, 2014, 06:28:19 am
Lynching ashersky D2 - bad! (I still maintain that view; lynching ashersky did not bring town closer to the victory)

Really? That was my other thought that I forgot to mention - I really think keeping us both alive would have been good, and I hope we do something like that some day. Of course, I understand that it's pretty risky from an outsider's point of view.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on January 11, 2014, 10:16:43 am
Holy crap.

I remember a scumteam - in fact I think it was RMM9, with you on it - deliberately planning to all either be on-wagon or off-wagon together, because people wouldn't expect that. Have you forgotten this, or are you choosing not to remember it?

Of course I remember that QT, and that planning.  Didn't work out, though.  Brilliant idea at the time, but was there for everyone who ever read the QT to see, and so I'd say pretty stupid to emulate now.

I'm annoyed that you think I would repeat something so blatantly, and from such a recent scum game.  You really do think I'm an idiot.

Also, what ridiculousness?

The "oh oh ash said something once in a previous mafia QT and that must mean he's stupid enough to immediately repeat it this game" thing.




Quote from: ashersky in the Mafia QT
--we should all attempt to be ON or OFF wagon at the end of the day. All three of us in one category runs counter to all wagon analysis theory. We can all safely push the "I think 2 scum on/1 off" or "1 on/2 off" theories safely.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Voltaire on January 11, 2014, 10:27:18 am
I liked the goal, I didn't like ashersky talking about it the next day!
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Robz888 on January 11, 2014, 01:47:31 pm
-Robz said adamantly that Voltaire and Teproc were scum, but he also adamantly supported the Morgrim lynch and adamantly believed ash over me. I'm not saying that people should tone down their convictions, but possibly when you've been really sure about something and been wrong it makes it harder for others to trust your reads, whether or not they trust you.

I don't think I was so adamant on Morgrim and ashersky. I maintained that mirgrim was the right lynch, but I certainly expressed doubts about him being scum. Ash, well, I was wrong but I don't know how certain I was on him. I switched and voted for him as soon as walrus claimed.

And I have never asked you to promise to lynch my candidate after I'm dead before, so I thought it was obvious that this was much more serious than some silly early game read...
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Jorbles on January 11, 2014, 04:27:26 pm
-e was super scummy and would probably have been lynched if not for an even more believable claim.

This. e, I would have lynched you at basically any point in the game. I was convinced you had just gotten lucky when you claimed.
Title: Re: Mafia XXXV: Mafia and the Chocolate Factory (Game Over, Mafia Wins!)
Post by: Morgrim7 on July 16, 2014, 11:12:40 am
I messed this up. Sorry guys.