Dominion Strategy Forum

Miscellaneous => Forum Games => Mafia Game Threads => Topic started by: EFHW on November 09, 2015, 09:24:08 pm

Title: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: EFHW on November 09, 2015, 09:24:08 pm
M71 -  Harry Potter Mafia II:  JK++

The Order of the Phoenix has rushed to the Department of Mysteries to rescue Harry and his friends from the Death Eaters.  Everyone reaches the amphitheater at the same time.  The Death Arch stands in the middle, a glittering glass vial hanging above it.  Dumbledore and Voldemort have each cast a spell intended to bring the prophecy to their side.  Now they are dueling for their lives in the entrance hall, while their supporters fight for the prophecy, which hangs, magically suspended, over the top of the arch.  But where are the Death Eaters?  They have taken polyjuice potion and are imitating members of the Order of the Phoenix whom they waylaid before they could get to the Ministry!  Or are they imitating the kids, having subdued them in the brain room or something? The adults stalk warily around the amphitheater, while the kids stand in just inside their circle, wands trained on each other, friends and comrades no longer able to trust each other. 

(From here on, “Order of the Phoenix” includes both the adult members and the kids that haven’t been replaced by Death Eaters).

The Death Eaters think they have the upper hand because their Dark Lord has drawn an invisible line around the prophecy that delivers to the Dementers anyone who crosses it whose true self does not have a dark mark.  They have to mask their dismay, though, when
Specialis Revelio informs them that the Order of the Phoenix knows all about the trap (thank you, Snape) and Dumbledore has placed a protective spell on the prophecy so that anyone whose true self does have a dark mark cannot approach it without being sucked into the Arch.  Once all the Death Eaters are eliminated, Dumbledore’s spell will demolish Voldemort’s line.  Or, once the Order is reduced to few enough people, the Death Eaters can throw off their pretend identities and kill the Order, neutralizing the spell on the prophecy. But how to make the enemy cross the line?  The Order of the Phoenix know they may die, but they are brave and willing to sacrifice themselves to defeat Voldemort.  The Death Eaters are smug and arrogant, laughing inside at how easy it is to trick good people.

So a bizarre negotiation begins.  Everyone claims to be either a Hogwarts student or a member of the Order of the Phoenix.  The group will have to vote on who to force towards the prophecy.


Sample Role PM's

Member of the Order of the Phoenix (aka Vanilla Townie)
Welcome, [Player Name], you are a Member of the Order of the Phoenix
Abilities: Your weapon is your vote, you have no night actions.
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

Invisibility cloak
Welcome, [Player Name], you have possession of the Order’s Invisibility cloak (aka Town Tracker).
Abilities: Each night, you may put on your invisibility cloak and spy on one player in the game and learn if they targeted anyone (if at all).  You will learn their target(s) name(s).
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

1-Shot Invisibility cloak
Welcome, [Player Name], you are the Order’s 1-Shot Tracker.
Abilities: Once, at night, you borrow an invisibility cloak and spy on player in the game and learn if they targeted anyone (if at all).  You will learn their target(s) name(s).
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

Healer
Welcome, [Player Name], you are the Order’s Healer.
Abilities: Each night, you may protect a player in the game from one nightkill.
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

Caretaker (aka Jailkeeper)
Welcome, [Player Name], you are the Caretaker, along the lines of Argus Filch.
Abilities: Each night, you may "jailkeep" a player in the game, which will simultaneously protect them from one nightkill and also disarm (aka roleblock) them.
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

House Elf (aka Hider)
Welcome, [Player Name], you are the Order’s House Elf.
Abilities: Each night, you can choose to Hide behind a player in the game, which will protect you in the event you'd ordinarily be targeted for a nightkill.
If you Hide behind a player who is to be nightkilled, you'll die along with them.
If you Hide behind a Death Eater or a Serial Killer, you'll also die.
Win condition: You win when all threats to the town have been eliminated and there is at least one town player alive.

1-Shot Apparater (aka Commuter)
Welcome, [Player Name], you are the Order’s 1-Shot Apparater.
Abilities: Once at night, you may Apparate away, which will make you immune from nightkills as well as investigations.
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

Vengeful
Welcome, [Player Name], you are the Order’s Vengeful.
Abilities: If you are lynched, you may vengekill any player in the game during twilight. You do not have to kill.
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

Auror (aka Vigilante)
Welcome, [Player Name], you are the Order’s Vigilante.
Abilities: Each night, you may target a player in the game to nightkill.
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

Role Cop
Welcome, [Player Name], you are the Order’s Role Cop.
Abilities: Each night, you may investigate a player in the game and learn their role.
Vanilla Members of the order of the Phoenix and Death Eaters without PR’s will both investigate as "Vanilla".
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

Seer (aka Gunsmith)
Welcome, [Player Name], you are a Seer, possessed of a powerful Crystal Ball.
Abilities: Each night, you may target a player in the game to investigate. You will be told if they have ever practiced the Avada Kedavra spell (not necessarily on humans).  Only Role Cops, Seers, Death Eaters, Aurors (aka Vigilantes), Vengefuls and the Serial Killer practice Avada Kedavra as part of their training.
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

Death Eater
Welcome, [Player Name]. You are a Death Eater, along with your partner(s), [Player Name] (and [Player Name]).
Abilities: Factional communication: During the night phase you may talk with your partner(s) here [QuickTopic link]. Factional kill: Each night phase, one of you or your partner(s) may perform the factional kill.
Win condition: You win when the Death Eaters obtain a majority or nothing can prevent this from occurring.

Death Eater 1-Shot Knight Bus Driver
Welcome, [Player Name]. You are a Death Eater1-Shot Knight Bus Driver, along with your partner(s), [Player Name] (and [Player Name]).
Abilities: Factional communication: During the night phase you may talk with your partner(s) here [QuickTopic link]. Factional kill: Each night phase, one of you or your partner(s) may perform the factional kill. Bus Drive: Once at night, you may switch two players. Any actions that was meant to affect one player, will now affect the other, and vice versa.
Win condition: You win when the Death Eaters obtain a majority or nothing can prevent this from occurring.

Death Eater Dueler (aka JOAT)
Welcome, [Player Name]. You are a Death Eater Dueler, along with your Death Eater partners, [Player Name] and [Player Name].
Abilities: Factional communication: During the night phase you may talk with your partners here [QuickTopic link]. Factional kill: Each night phase, one of you or your partners may perform the factional kill. Dueler Powers: Expelliarmus (aka Roleblock), Stupefy (aka Strongman), Disillusionment Charm (aka Ninja)
Expelliarmus: Once at night, you can roleblock a player.
Stupefy: Once at night, if you perform the factional kill, it will be converted into a Strongman kill which will bypass Healers/Caretakers.
Disillusionment Charm: Once at night, if you perform the factional kill, you can choose to convert it into a Ninja kill, which will bypass spies in Invisibility Cloaks.
Win condition: You win when the Death Eaters obtain a majority or nothing can prevent this from occurring.

Serial Killer
Welcome, [Player Name]. You are a Serial Killer.
Abilities: Pregame you must choose to be either 1-Shot Spellproof (aka Bulletproof) OR have Ninja/Strongman kills.
Each night phase, you may select a player in the game to nightkill.
Win condition: You win when you are the last player alive or nothing can prevent this from occurring.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 09, 2015, 09:29:18 pm
Rules of Mafia (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9211.0) can be found here.

Elements specific to this game:

8 day Days

2 day Nights

Failure to reach a majority by deadline results in a no lynch

JK++ (http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=JK9%2B%2B) setup has been strictly followed. Read it carefully if you are unfamiliar with the mechanics or roles involved.

Roles and flavornames will be randomly assigned. Role names have been “flavored” (see the sample PMs), but the roles are essentially the same as in non-themed JK++.

Death Eaters will have safe fake flavornames. 

Because there are 13 people in the game, there will be characters in the game who were not actually in this battle in the book.  Also, in the book, Ron actually was tied up in the brain room, Herminone was knocked out, and Ginny broke her ankle.  None of these are necessarily the case here.

Knowledge of flavor isn’t technically necessary, but will make the game more fun.

Anyone who wants one can have a personal QT.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 09, 2015, 09:29:29 pm
Player List:

1. yuma -- Caretaker --  killed N2
2. gkrieg13 -- Death Eater Dueler -- lynched Day 3
3. iguanaiguana -- VT-- lynched Day 1
4. e -- VT -- killed Night 1
5. Roadrunner7671 -- Death Eater -- lynched Day 2
6. faust
7. Hydrad
8. silverspawn
9. Witherweaver -- Healer -- killed N2
11. Awaclus -- Death Eater -- killed N2
12. Joseph
13. ashersky -- VT -- killed N3

tag: scott_pilgrim, TA

Day 1 start (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=14209.msg541766#msg541766)
Day 2 start (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=14209.msg542518#msg542518)
Day 3 start (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=14209.msg545114#msg545114)
Day 4 start (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=14209.msg546558#msg546558)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: yuma on November 09, 2015, 09:30:14 pm
Re /in... Was in so fast I took up a reserved spot...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 09, 2015, 09:31:19 pm
Re /in... Was in so fast I took up a reserved spot...

I know!  Glad to have you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 09, 2015, 09:49:03 pm
/in
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 09, 2015, 09:53:36 pm
/in

hi gkrieg!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 09, 2015, 10:13:38 pm
/in

I'm harry potter lol
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 09, 2015, 10:24:08 pm
/in
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: scott_pilgrim on November 09, 2015, 11:39:30 pm
/tag
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 09, 2015, 11:48:46 pm
I'm gonna /in, mine as well let Forum Mafia completely consume my life.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 09, 2015, 11:51:03 pm
I'm gonna /in, mine as well let Forum Mafia completely consume my life.

Oh, for the good old days of letting Mafia completely consume my life.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: ashersky on November 10, 2015, 02:47:12 am
tag
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: Haddock on November 10, 2015, 05:27:37 am
This is crazy tempting.  I'll think about it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: faust on November 10, 2015, 05:34:00 am
/in

Are flavor names assigned independently of roles? This should be the case... Though it will certainly be weird to read "Welcome, you are Sirius Black, the Order's House Elf"...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: Hydrad on November 10, 2015, 06:03:36 am
/in
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: silverspawn on November 10, 2015, 07:11:34 am
ni\ce flavor!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 10, 2015, 09:05:37 am
/in

hi gkrieg!

Hi EFHW!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 10, 2015, 11:19:41 am
/in

I'm harry potter lol

you could be harry potter ... AND a Death Eater. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 10, 2015, 11:19:59 am
ni\ce flavor!

Thank you  :)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: Witherweaver on November 10, 2015, 11:20:57 am
/in
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 10, 2015, 11:21:12 am
/in

Are flavor names assigned independently of roles? This should be the case... Though it will certainly be weird to read "Welcome, you are Sirius Black, the Order's House Elf"...

yes, flavor names are independent of roles.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 10, 2015, 11:21:39 am
/in

I'm harry potter lol

you could be harry potter ... AND a Death Eater.

It's... My Immortal mafia!!!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 10, 2015, 11:24:44 am
tag

in anticipation of hammering, right?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 10, 2015, 11:25:04 am
This is crazy tempting.  I'll think about it.

You know you want to ...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: Twistedarcher on November 10, 2015, 01:13:41 pm
/tag, hoping that the flavor will be as good as HP1
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: Haddock on November 10, 2015, 01:55:37 pm
Switch Mafia got me hooked.  I'll /in.  Though this does look quite a bit more complex than Switch.  Ah well.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: silverspawn on November 10, 2015, 02:04:21 pm
Switch Mafia got me hooked.  I'll /in.  Though this does look quite a bit more complex than Switch.  Ah well.

You can let others do the setup analysis. All you have to do is randomize SK and kill them all.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 10, 2015, 02:56:00 pm
/tag, hoping that the flavor will be as good as HP1

In fact, I think I will reveal flavor names at the start of Day 1.  They don't give any information about role or alignment, and then people can get into character if they want to.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: ashersky on November 10, 2015, 03:13:13 pm
/tag, hoping that the flavor will be as good as HP1

In fact, I think I will reveal flavor names at the start of Day 1.  They don't give any information about role or alignment, and then people can get into character if they want to.

Hider.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: yuma on November 10, 2015, 03:14:40 pm
/tag, hoping that the flavor will be as good as HP1

In fact, I think I will reveal flavor names at the start of Day 1.  They don't give any information about role or alignment, and then people can get into character if they want to.

Hider.

Oh hider, the bane of all flavor names...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: Awaclus on November 10, 2015, 03:16:38 pm
/in
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: silverspawn on November 10, 2015, 03:22:20 pm
/tag, hoping that the flavor will be as good as HP1

In fact, I think I will reveal flavor names at the start of Day 1.  They don't give any information about role or alignment, and then people can get into character if they want to.

Hider.

I agree that hider matters, but I think it's a big reason to reveal flavor names.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 10, 2015, 04:08:36 pm
/tag, hoping that the flavor will be as good as HP1

In fact, I think I will reveal flavor names at the start of Day 1.  They don't give any information about role or alignment, and then people can get into character if they want to.

Hider.

I agree that hider matters, but I think it's a big reason to reveal flavor names.
How does hider make a difference?  Or do you mean town would want to use the list as a way to utilize Hider?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 10, 2015, 04:14:21 pm
Having a list isn't built into the Hider role - lots of games don't have flavor names.  So that doesn't change anything for me, though it presents a challenge to town if there ends up being a Hider in the game.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: scott_pilgrim on November 10, 2015, 04:16:14 pm
/tag, hoping that the flavor will be as good as HP1

In fact, I think I will reveal flavor names at the start of Day 1.  They don't give any information about role or alignment, and then people can get into character if they want to.

Hider.

I agree that hider matters, but I think it's a big reason to reveal flavor names.
How does hider make a difference?  Or do you mean town would want to use the list as a way to utilize Hider?

The hider can list off all of his possible targets by his flip, so that if he dies, town can verify who he targeted that night.  Like:

If my flavor name starts with A, I am targeting EFHW.
If my flavor name starts with B, I am targeting scott_pilgrim.
etc.

Then if he dies and flips, everyone knows who he targeted, but scum won't know who he will target during that night.

So I agree with silverspawn, the possibility of hiders is a reason to reveal flavor names ahead of time so they can't use this trick.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 10, 2015, 11:46:28 pm
/tag, hoping that the flavor will be as good as HP1

In fact, I think I will reveal flavor names at the start of Day 1.  They don't give any information about role or alignment, and then people can get into character if they want to.

I like it. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: EFHW on November 11, 2015, 04:07:36 pm
/tag, hoping that the flavor will be as good as HP1
You can contribute again if you want!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (3 spots left!)
Post by: Haddock on November 12, 2015, 10:36:46 am
3 more! Switch only finished like 2 days ago and I already need Mafia back in my life!  Join in people! :)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (3 spots left!)
Post by: EFHW on November 12, 2015, 01:27:02 pm
I went back to look at the first HP flavor - can you believe that was over two years ago?  I posted the flavor as a complete story in the old thread. (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=8981.msg541253#msg541253)  Take a look. It's actually pretty entertaining!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (3 spots left!)
Post by: Awaclus on November 12, 2015, 01:37:13 pm
3 more! Switch only finished like 2 days ago and I already need Mafia back in my life!  Join in people! :)

I joined already, but I got ignored  ;__;
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (3 spots left!)
Post by: EFHW on November 12, 2015, 01:53:58 pm
Sorry Awaclus - I missed your post.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (2 spots left!)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 12, 2015, 04:37:55 pm
/in and Vote:Yuma
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (2 spots left!)
Post by: ashersky on November 12, 2015, 04:49:53 pm
I'll hammer.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (2 spots left!)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 12, 2015, 04:50:50 pm
hamma hamma hamma
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (2 spots left!)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 12, 2015, 04:51:10 pm
I'll hammer.

please post intent first to give the game some time to claim
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (2 spots left!)
Post by: EFHW on November 12, 2015, 10:54:01 pm
Great, I'll send out PMs tomorrow
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (2 spots left!)
Post by: ashersky on November 13, 2015, 02:49:17 am
Great, I'll send out PMs tomorrow

It's tomorrow.  Obligatory sendmemypmcat.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Full!)
Post by: EFHW on November 13, 2015, 12:26:22 pm
PMs have been sent!  Confirm in your qt or by pm.

I gave everyone their own qt.  If you write some flavor in character, I will include it in a final summary narrative compiling all the flavor.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: EFHW on November 13, 2015, 12:26:55 pm
THREAD LOCKED
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: EFHW on November 13, 2015, 07:39:41 pm
Just waiting for a couple more confirmations. If I get them before 11 pm EST, I'll start the game then, otherwise hopefully we can start in the morning.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: EFHW on November 13, 2015, 07:48:22 pm
Ask and you shall receive - Two owls stopped by, and I now have all the confirmations. 

Check out Galzria's entries in the last HP story (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=8981.msg541253#msg541253) for an example of adding flavor. You can use 1st or 3rd person. Participation is totally voluntary of course. 

You can expect Day 1 to start in less than an hour.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: EFHW on November 13, 2015, 08:08:44 pm
Day 1

    Mad-Eye Moody laughed gruffly, his normal eye and his magical eye separately examining each person in turn as the adults walked in a circle around the Arch and the kids.  When he came behind Neville, he suddenly feinted an attack.  Neville jumped in confused alarm, crying out and waving his wand incoherently.  “This should be interesting,” Mad-Eye growled.  Neville gathered himself together and stared at Mad-Eye defiantly, wand now at the ready.  Harry was looking to Sirius as though craving reassurance, recognition.  But Sirius was cold to him, suspicious and sad.  Tonks and Lupin could not meet each others’ eyes.  Mrs. Weasley kept pointing her wand at different people, wanting someone to attack, but avoiding looking at her two children.  Luna stood idly, her wand at her side, contemplating Kingsley, whose upright bearing seemed to indicate his wish to create order, protect, and lead.  Herminone seemed to be calculating furiously, while Ron stood between her and Harry looking bewildered, unsure what he should be doing.  Prof. McGonagall’s lips were pressed in the thinnest of lines, as if containing great emotion and great power as well.  Ginny was alert but calm, with her wand raised and determination, not fear, on her face.

    “So,” said Kingsley, “here we are.  Let us proceed.”


Vote Count 1.0

not voting (13): 2.71828..., ashersky, Awaclus, faust, gkrieg13, haddock, Hydrad, iguanaiguana, Joseph2902, Roadrunner7671, silverspawn, Witherweaver, yuma

With 13 players alive, it takes 7 to lynch.

Day ends Saturday, November 21 at 8 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: EFHW on November 13, 2015, 08:09:16 pm
Flavor Names:

Ginny Weasley - silverspawn
Harry Potter - Roadrunner
Hermione Granger - yuma
Kingsley Shackelford - gkrieg
Luna Lovegood - ashersky
Remus Lupin - Haddock
Mad Eye Moody - faust
Mrs. Weasely - iguana
Neville Longbottom - Witherweaver
Prof. McGonagall - Hydrad
Ron Weasley - e
Sirius Black - Awaclus
Nymphadora Tonks - Joseph

THREAD UNLOCKED
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 13, 2015, 08:17:18 pm
First! And I win already, right?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 13, 2015, 08:25:04 pm
What's the plan ash? This setup has been played before here yes? I can't remember which game that was though...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 13, 2015, 10:07:15 pm
silverspawn gets a D1 pass because I feel like being the protective older brother type
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 13, 2015, 10:08:52 pm
What's the plan ash? This setup has been played before here yes? I can't remember which game that was though...

yeah, and I am pretty sure that we decided that this setup is unsolvable.  At least on D1
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 13, 2015, 10:10:16 pm
I mean, it would be a pretty bad setup if we could solve it.  I mean, even going into D3/D4 we will most likely know that the setup is only one of two or so options
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Hydrad on November 13, 2015, 10:12:02 pm
Welcome everyone!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 13, 2015, 10:12:15 pm
silverspawn gets a D1 pass because I feel like being the protective older brother type
What do you mean?
Ppe
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 13, 2015, 10:12:45 pm
Welcome everyone!
Welcome yourself! Any plans to get lynched day one?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Hydrad on November 13, 2015, 10:16:45 pm
Welcome everyone!
Welcome yourself! Any plans to get lynched day one?

I'd prefer not to... So no I don't seem to have a plan to get lynched
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Hydrad on November 13, 2015, 10:17:58 pm
Also uhhhh.

vote: WW

You have been chosen to be scum in my mind. Congrats.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 13, 2015, 10:32:29 pm
Flavor Names:

Ginny Weasley - silverspawn

Sirius Black - Awaclus

THREAD UNLOCKED

Lol

<b> Vote: Awaclus </b>
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 13, 2015, 10:33:55 pm
Complete fail. I'm gunna try again.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 13, 2015, 10:35:36 pm
Flavor Names:

Sirius Black - Awaclus


Lol

(It's funny because he's kinda serious)

Vote: Awaclus

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 13, 2015, 10:46:37 pm
I claim Neville!

Also don't know who's in the game!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 13, 2015, 10:47:23 pm
Oooh Iguana scum slip! 

Vote: Iguana

Ash would be so proud
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 13, 2015, 10:47:56 pm
Also uhhhh.

vote: WW

You have been chosen to be scum in my mind. Congrats.

Wrong as usual
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 13, 2015, 10:48:52 pm
I mean, it would be a pretty bad setup if we could solve it.  I mean, even going into D3/D4 we will most likely know that the setup is only one of two or so options

Talking about setup is scummy, don't you know?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Hydrad on November 13, 2015, 10:55:32 pm
Also uhhhh.

vote: WW

You have been chosen to be scum in my mind. Congrats.

Wrong as usual

Hmm ok let's try vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 13, 2015, 10:56:44 pm
Scum slip!  vote: iguana
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 13, 2015, 11:14:05 pm
Also uhhhh.

vote: WW

You have been chosen to be scum in my mind. Congrats.

Wrong as usual

Hmm ok let's try vote: RR
You'd kill Harry Potter???

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Hydrad on November 13, 2015, 11:16:35 pm
Also uhhhh.

vote: WW

You have been chosen to be scum in my mind. Congrats.

Wrong as usual

Hmm ok let's try vote: RR
You'd kill Harry Potter???

Yup. No mercy. Now I don't know enough lore to think or a reason I would do this...  But I'm sure there should be some scenario
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 13, 2015, 11:29:08 pm
Oh no! I have one vote on me! Let's do the RR thing and curl up in a ball while begging for my life.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 13, 2015, 11:59:06 pm
Oh no! I have one vote on me! Let's do the RR thing and curl up in a ball while begging for my life.

This is very self-aware.  But RR is a very self-aware player.  It will be interesting to finally see him as scum.  It might even be this game!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 12:06:06 am
Oh no! I have one vote on me! Let's do the RR thing and curl up in a ball while begging for my life.

This is very self-aware.  But RR is a very self-aware player.  It will be interesting to finally see him as scum.  It might even be this game!
Oh, spooky.
Two votes on me would be desperate times, wouldn't it?
Disclaimer: Doesn't 2.7 always think I'm scum?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 12:53:51 am
Oh no! I have one vote on me! Let's do the RR thing and curl up in a ball while begging for my life.

This is very self-aware.  But RR is a very self-aware player.  It will be interesting to finally see him as scum.  It might even be this game!
Oh, spooky.
Two votes on me would be desperate times, wouldn't it?
Disclaimer: Doesn't 2.7 always think I'm scum?

Quell...

Vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 02:37:42 am
vote: silverspawn

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Hydrad on November 14, 2015, 03:40:28 am
vote: silverspawn

Hmm a vote for silverspawn. How am I supposed to know the reason for it! This isn't awaclus!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 03:54:31 am
vote: silverspawn

Hmm a vote for silverspawn. How am I supposed to know the reason for it! This isn't awaclus!

I don't always explain my votes, but when I do, it's because silverspawn was scum in Futuramafia.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: ashersky on November 14, 2015, 04:00:18 am
vote: iguana

I think hider should claim.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 14, 2015, 04:20:07 am
Vote: yuma, coz I'm still annoyed about losing M69 to you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 04:44:32 am
Oh no! I have one vote on me! Let's do the RR thing and curl up in a ball while begging for my life.

You're Harry Potter now. You should stand up to your enemies and fight.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 04:45:47 am
vote: iguana seems like a good starting point.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 04:47:23 am
I think we should not exploit mod mistakes... even though it is tempting...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 05:32:26 am
silverspawn gets a D1 pass because I feel like being the protective older brother type

bah. I don't need your protection. You're just jealous, anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 05:33:24 am
vote: iguana
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 05:41:39 am
Quote
Ginny was alert but calm, with her wand raised and determination, not fear, on her face.

Ginny is so awesome!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: ashersky on November 14, 2015, 05:55:47 am
I think hider should claim.

Wait, what?  No.

I think something, but can't figure it out. 

I hate Hider with a passion.  There's a way to exploit it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 14, 2015, 06:18:42 am
I think hider should claim.
I don't, Vote: ash.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Haddock on November 14, 2015, 08:01:24 am
Growl, snuffle, scratch, bark.
vote: yuma
Yummy yummy Yuma.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:13:41 am
vote: silverspawn

NOT MY DAUGHTER, YOU B!%$#!!!!

<b> Vote: Awaclus </b> lolol

Oh wait, I MEAN

Vote: Awaclus

Oh wait,

I'm already voting for him

 ??? :-[ :-X :P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:14:57 am
Iguana scum slip! 


(a million people proceed to vote me)

It's because I'm playing forum survivor guys, calm down.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 08:16:35 am
Iguana scum slip! 


(a million people proceed to vote me)

It's because I'm playing forum survivor guys, calm down.

That is a good excuse.

Yet I do not like the jokiness exposed in the above post. It seems unlike you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 08:17:14 am
I think hider should claim.
I don't, Vote: ash.

"I disagree with you on a theory level" is not a valid base for a vote.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:17:30 am
Iguana scum slip! 


(a million people proceed to vote me)

It's because I'm playing forum survivor guys, calm down.

That is a good excuse.

Yet I do not like the jokiness exposed in the above post. It seems unlike you.

lolol reinventing my personality for every game would be HILARIOUS
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 08:19:51 am
I like how my flavo matches the way I want to play this game. Teaching all those youngsters how to properly hunt for Death Eaters.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 08:22:22 am
Iguana scum slip! 


(a million people proceed to vote me)

It's because I'm playing forum survivor guys, calm down.

That is a good excuse.

Yet I do not like the jokiness exposed in the above post. It seems unlike you.

lolol reinventing my personality for every game would be HILARIOUS

Vote: iguana
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:24:40 am
Iguana scum slip! 


(a million people proceed to vote me)

It's because I'm playing forum survivor guys, calm down.

That is a good excuse.

Yet I do not like the jokiness exposed in the above post. It seems unlike you.

lolol reinventing my personality for every game would be HILARIOUS

Vote: iguana

Oh crap! L-1! What do I say now?

Oh, I know!

I'm town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 08:25:20 am
vote: silverspawn

NOT MY DAUGHTER, YOU B!%$#!!!!

<b> Vote: Awaclus </b> lolol

Oh wait, I MEAN

Vote: Awaclus

Oh wait,

I'm already voting for him

 ??? :-[ :-X :P

It's not my fault your daughter was scum in Futuramafia.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:25:41 am
What's a good excuse here?

Hmmmmmmmm

"There must be scum on my wagon"

 8)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:27:46 am
vote: silverspawn

NOT MY DAUGHTER, YOU B!%$#!!!!

<b> Vote: Awaclus </b> lolol

Oh wait, I MEAN

Vote: Awaclus

Oh wait,

I'm already voting for him

 ??? :-[ :-X :P

It's not my fault your daughter was scum in Futuramafia.

Awaclus seems like town with this post, guys!

Sorry that is possibly the only help I could give you this entire game...

[will start scum hunting when some something scummy occurs I can hunt]

Unfortunately I will be off apartment hunting for the rest of the day.... so maybe when I come back... I will be dead?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:28:06 am
Unvote
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 08:29:44 am
"There must be scum on my wagon"

Which players on your wagon in particular do you think are likely to be scum?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:32:08 am
"There must be scum on my wagon"

Which players on your wagon in particular do you think are likely to be scum?

No clue! All they did was vote for me!

I'd love to say they are all scum, but Its probably safer to guess that only two of them are  8)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 08:33:17 am
I'd love to say they are all scum, but Its probably safer to guess that only two of them are  8)

Because you know you're the third one?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:34:32 am
I'd love to say they are all scum, but Its probably safer to guess that only two of them are  8)

Because you know you're the third one?

It just seems pretty stupid for all three scum to hop straight on a mislynch wagon at game start.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: ashersky on November 14, 2015, 08:35:45 am
I'm good with a hammer.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:37:34 am
And I have a viewing at 10AM, which means I'm not likely to do much defending of myself throughout the day.

You guys love your short days around here : )

You'll be sad when I flip town, but at least you will know me better  ::)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 08:42:58 am
You'll be sad when I flip town, but at least you will know me better  ::)

No, I think you're going to get lynched every game if you keep playing like that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 08:50:51 am
Wait, I'm not voting for him yet?

I'm good with a hammer.

Sounds good to me. Vote: iguana
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 08:51:25 am
I'm good with a hammer.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 08:51:48 am
Oh wow. That went quickly.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 08:53:34 am
I'm good with a hammer.

Ninjasheeping faust confirmed as best strategy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 08:55:21 am
Vanilla townie!

So, seriously, I turned out to be super busy today (starting in 2 hours) and tomorrow, so I thought I would play a little more casually this game and maybe would be able to get away with a few contributions by mobile.

Turns out you guys didn't like that!

Its hard to argue against that kind of bias, and saw no point in changing up what I had come into the game deciding to do.

On my tombstone, I want it to read:

Mrs. Weasley: killed here for not knowing how to bold properly

Good luck catching the scum!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 08:58:01 am
Vanilla townie!

So, seriously, I turned out to be super busy today (starting in 2 hours) and tomorrow, so I thought I would play a little more casually this game and maybe would be able to get away with a few contributions by mobile.

Turns out you guys didn't like that!

Its hard to argue against that kind of bias, and saw no point in changing up what I had come into the game deciding to do.

On my tombstone, I want it to read:

Mrs. Weasley: killed here for not knowing how to bold properly

Good luck catching the scum!

You could have said that a little bit earlier, you know.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 08:58:32 am
Vanilla townie!

So, seriously, I turned out to be super busy today (starting in 2 hours) and tomorrow, so I thought I would play a little more casually this game and maybe would be able to get away with a few contributions by mobile.

Turns out you guys didn't like that!

Its hard to argue against that kind of bias, and saw no point in changing up what I had come into the game deciding to do.

On my tombstone, I want it to read:

Mrs. Weasley: killed here for not knowing how to bold properly

Good luck catching the scum!

You were not lynched for the bolding thing, but for not being yourself... changing your meta while at L-2 is a dangerous thing to do.

Do you have any thoughts on the people on your wagon?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 09:00:13 am
And I have a viewing at 10AM

Who would have guessed it would be your own viewing?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 09:02:37 am
I know everything that a vanilla townie knows coming into a new game  :o :'( :'( :'( 8)

I personally feel like meta-tells are a little dangerous to go off of, but that might be because I am a borderline-sociopath who has trouble sticking to a consistent personality  ??? 8) 8) 8)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 09:03:22 am
I think Awaclus is a bit scummy for this. I the others...I really don't know. Nothing really happened. Welp.

PPE: I am not yet sure we can trust the VT claim.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 09:03:45 am
But really! I'm sorry. I obviously overdid it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 09:07:16 am
I'm good with a hammer.

hammer, hammer, hammer, hammer

he should claim first though...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 09:08:37 am
or not...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 09:13:03 am
unoffical vote count:

rr: hydrad
iguana: ww, gkrieg, ash, faust, ss, yuma, awaclus (7)
ss: awal
ash: joseph
yuma: haddock
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Haddock on November 14, 2015, 09:21:36 am
Ok, so the sheer surprise of this has changed me back from werewolf form (even though its twilight, that makes sense). Seriously, I had time for one random joke vote today, and there's already a lynch? Weird.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 09:22:01 am
I think Awaclus is a bit scummy for this.

I think iguana is scummy for this.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 14, 2015, 09:22:42 am
Iguana scum slip! 


(a million people proceed to vote me)

It's because I'm playing forum survivor guys, calm down.

That is a good excuse.

Yet I do not like the jokiness exposed in the above post. It seems unlike you.

No, a good excuse would be that we all have personal QTs for this game.

Double scumslip!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 09:37:18 am
Iguana scum slip! 


(a million people proceed to vote me)

It's because I'm playing forum survivor guys, calm down.

That is a good excuse.

Yet I do not like the jokiness exposed in the above post. It seems unlike you.

No, a good excuse would be that we all have personal QTs for this game.

Double scumslip!

Thanks for letting me know!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 14, 2015, 09:47:00 am
Oh, I missed last page.  He was really hammered?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 14, 2015, 09:47:18 am
I'm confused.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 09:48:17 am
I'm confused.

we are playing blitz?!?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 10:01:24 am
I maintain that there was scum on my wagon, lol.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 10:11:30 am
I maintain that there was scum on my wagon, lol.

A partner?

If not who is scummier?

Saying there is scum on your wagon without giving specifics is kinda useless.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 10:21:11 am
I maintain that there was scum on my wagon, lol.

A partner?

If not who is scummier?

Saying there is scum on your wagon without giving specifics is kinda useless.

Dude,

I am a vanilla townie! I am telling you everything I know!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 10:22:29 am
I am a vanilla townie! I am telling you everything I know!

Try telling us what you think then.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Haddock on November 14, 2015, 10:34:33 am
we are playing blitz?!?
Certainly feels that way.  I really don't understand why we pushed iguana so hard, but oh well.  Correct lynches D1 are rare, I guess.  Long twilight today, possible role nonsense do we think?
And yeah iguana while you've got the chance, anyone in particular on your wagon you think are scummy?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 10:43:30 am
People who say "dude!" are about 1.5 times as likely to be scum in my experience...

People who say, "buddy" in a passive aggressive tone are 2 times as likely...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 10:58:03 am
People who say "dude!" are about 1.5 times as likely to be scum in my experience...

People who say, "buddy" in a passive aggressive tone are 2 times as likely...

Dude, can you back that up?

I mean, buddy, you're just throwing around statements without backing them up. That's not a nice thing to do.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 11:00:29 am
People who say "dude!" are about 1.5 times as likely to be scum in my experience...

People who say, "buddy" in a passive aggressive tone are 2 times as likely...

Dude, can you back that up?

I mean, buddy, you're just throwing around statements without backing them up. That's not a nice thing to do.

Nope can't back it up. Ash hold add it to his stats tracking...

And you buddy wasn't passive aggressive enough to count...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 11:01:35 am
Ash seems the scummiest, because he is the one who looks like he knew the most what he was doing. A lot of other people didn't even realize it was a lynch until it happened (Yuma, WW).

That said, they could be faking that they didn't know what was up in order to look less scummy.

Asking me to analyze this is ridiculous, though. I seriously know nothing any more than any other town person knows right now. You all should be analyzing it!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 11:01:56 am
Faust would look scummy except that he always looks so dang towny no matter what he does.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 11:03:00 am
The more I think about it, the scummiest people are the people who just sat back, said very little and let this happen quietly.

Scum doesn't like to be on mislynch wagons. They'd rather let town turn on each other and destroy themselves.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 11:06:22 am
Ash seems the scummiest, because he is the one who looks like he knew the most what he was doing. A lot of other people didn't even realize it was a lynch until it happened (Yuma, WW).

That said, they could be faking that they didn't know what was up in order to look less scummy.

Asking me to analyze this is ridiculous, though. I seriously know nothing any more than any other town person knows right now. You all should be analyzing it!

We have tomorrow to analyze it, with the added info of your flip, assuming we as individuals live through the night...

You have until efhw is online...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 11:06:45 am
The more I think about it, the scummiest people are the people who just sat back, said very little and let this happen quietly.

Scum doesn't like to be on mislynch wagons. They'd rather let town turn on each other and destroy themselves.

Depends on the scum...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 11:11:06 am
Asking me to analyze this is ridiculous, though. I seriously know nothing any more than any other town person knows right now. You all should be analyzing it!

It is beneficial as it is good to get the input from someone who is confirmed town (or, well, will be). It is also good if you are scum because the interaction might help us figure out your partners.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 11:11:46 am
Ash seems the scummiest, because he is the one who looks like he knew the most what he was doing. A lot of other people didn't even realize it was a lynch until it happened (Yuma, WW).

That said, they could be faking that they didn't know what was up in order to look less scummy.

Asking me to analyze this is ridiculous, though. I seriously know nothing any more than any other town person knows right now. You all should be analyzing it!

We have tomorrow to analyze it, with the added info of your flip, assuming we as individuals live through the night...

You have until efhw is online...

How do you know you have until tomorrow?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 11:12:15 am
Next time I comment something, I will make sure to read to whole post first. Promise!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 11:27:44 am
Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: iguanaiguana on November 14, 2015, 11:53:17 am
Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.

Sounds like you are in too many mafia games. 8)

Guess what RR, now I have an even scummier town meta than you 8)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 11:53:46 am
Ash seems the scummiest, because he is the one who looks like he knew the most what he was doing. A lot of other people didn't even realize it was a lynch until it happened (Yuma, WW).

That said, they could be faking that they didn't know what was up in order to look less scummy.

Asking me to analyze this is ridiculous, though. I seriously know nothing any more than any other town person knows right now. You all should be analyzing it!

We have tomorrow to analyze it, with the added info of your flip, assuming we as individuals live through the night...

You have until efhw is online...

How do you know you have until tomorrow?

Is that a threat?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 11:54:42 am
Next time I comment something, I will make sure to read to whole post first. Promise!

Next time I comment something, I won't make sure to read the next post first. Promise!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Haddock on November 14, 2015, 12:18:25 pm
Ash seems the scummiest, because he is the one who looks like he knew the most what he was doing. A lot of other people didn't even realize it was a lynch until it happened (Yuma, WW).

That said, they could be faking that they didn't know what was up in order to look less scummy.

Asking me to analyze this is ridiculous, though. I seriously know nothing any more than any other town person knows right now. You all should be analyzing it!

We have tomorrow to analyze it, with the added info of your flip, assuming we as individuals live through the night...

You have until efhw is online...

How do you know you have until tomorrow?

Is that a threat?
This whole thing is clearly just a weird misunderstanding.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 12:19:58 pm
Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.

Sounds like you are in too many mafia games. 8)

Guess what RR, now I have an even scummier town meta than you 8)
This happened when I was in one Mafia game, and it happens when I'm in two. It's easy for me to say this now, but I wouldn't have hammered you until much later in the day.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 12:23:13 pm
Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.

Sounds like you are in too many mafia games. 8)

Guess what RR, now I have an even scummier town meta than you 8)
This happened when I was in one Mafia game, and it happens when I'm in two. It's easy for me to say this now, but I wouldn't have hammered you until much later in the day.

That's assuming that he would have still had the wagon on him later in the day.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 12:29:46 pm
Yes, I would make that assumption or just not lynch Iguana.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 12:38:42 pm
Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.

You should sleep less.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 12:53:59 pm
Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.

You should sleep less.
I only sleep for six hours as it is!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 12:59:22 pm
Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.

You should sleep less.
I only sleep for six hours as it is!

If you would instead sleep 12 hours every other night, only half as many peoplewould be lynched.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 14, 2015, 01:11:15 pm
That was unexpected.  As much as I hate D1 and all the craziness, a super blitz lynch is not something I expected.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Haddock on November 14, 2015, 01:16:56 pm
That was unexpected.  As much as I hate D1 and all the craziness, a super blitz lynch is not something I expected.
Trouble is the craziness will probably still happen, just on D2 instead.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 01:18:01 pm
That was unexpected.  As much as I hate D1 and all the craziness, a super blitz lynch is not something I expected.
Trouble is the craziness will probably still happen, just on D2 instead.

We will have way more information by then though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 14, 2015, 01:19:27 pm
It would have been so much cooler if he was scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 01:20:04 pm
That was unexpected.  As much as I hate D1 and all the craziness, a super blitz lynch is not something I expected.

Have any reads?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 01:20:26 pm
It would have been so much cooler if he was scum.

So you already know he's not? Interesting.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 14, 2015, 01:21:04 pm
It would have been so much cooler if he was scum.

So you already know he's not? Interesting.

He said VT.  Why lie?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 14, 2015, 01:22:58 pm
It would have been so much cooler if he was scum.

So you already know he's not? Interesting.

He said VT.  Why lie?

Lying can be beneficial for scum, especially since longtwilight is long. If he's town, then obviously he wouldn't lie.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 01:30:36 pm
What Awaclus said.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: ashersky on November 14, 2015, 01:40:18 pm
I would definitely lie a scum if I was lynched that fast on D1.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 14, 2015, 01:41:03 pm
Okay
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 01:45:46 pm
How long is twilight?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 01:53:49 pm
How long is twilight?

Until EFHW gets here to end it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 14, 2015, 06:45:27 pm
Ok, so the sheer surprise of this has changed me back from werewolf form (even though its twilight, that makes sense). Seriously, I had time for one random joke vote today, and there's already a lynch? Weird.
I agree, just got back in and can't believe the hammer has already happened, and about 10 hours ago! Crazy!

It would have been so much cooler if he was scum.

So you already know he's not? Interesting.

He said VT.  Why lie?

Lying can be beneficial for scum, especially since longtwilight is long. If he's town, then obviously he wouldn't lie.
I agree, scum has no actual benefit in telling the truth. Hope he is lying.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 07:00:28 pm
mh :(
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 07:01:44 pm
Wait, I'm not voting for him yet?

I'm good with a hammer.

Sounds good to me. Vote: iguana
anti town, both of you.

that said, igu may very well be scum
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 07:07:17 pm
I'm good with a hammer.

seriously?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 07:21:31 pm
Still no flip? Obviously  EFHW didn't anticipate the day ending so quickly.

SS is scummy
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 07:28:48 pm
SS is scummy

saying this is scummy
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 07:38:33 pm
SS is scummy

saying this is scummy
Being scum is scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 07:39:59 pm
SS is scummy

saying this is scummy

Indirectly disputing the above statement by instead diverting the attention to me (just like I am doing here, except I am doing it to make a point) is scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 07:43:20 pm
SS is scummy

saying this is scummy
Being scum is scummy.

Only if you're doing it wrong.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 07:43:31 pm
SS is scummy

saying this is scummy
Being scum is scummy.

saying this is scummy too.

frustration upon a lynch that's as awful as this one is more likely than not to be sincere. Sure, scum can fabricate it, but only in the same way that scum can fabricate anything.

consequently, lack of frustration can be scummy.

Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.
Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.
Sounds like you are in too many mafia games. 8)
Guess what RR, now I have an even scummier town meta than you 8)
This happened when I was in one Mafia game, and it happens when I'm in two. It's easy for me to say this now, but I wouldn't have hammered you until much later in the day.
Yes, I would make that assumption or just not lynch Iguana.
Every time I go to sleep someone gets lynched! There have been no exceptions.
You should sleep less.
I only sleep for six hours as it is!
How long is twilight?

you seem fairly content with this lynch. okay, that only makes you scummy if igu does flip town. if not, it makes you towny.

and it'd be less scummy than yuma in either case
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 07:46:17 pm
SS is scummy

saying this is scummy

Indirectly disputing the above statement by instead diverting the attention to me (just like I am doing here, except I am doing it to make a point) is scummy.

I don't know what indirectly means to you, but I thought I was ratehr blunt

What you said is scummy because

- I don't buy that you get a scum read on me based on my recent posts. at all.
- consequently, your statement is arbitrary and opportunistic, and it allows you chase my lynch tomorrow without causing suspicion
- like RR, you don't show any frustration upon the lynch. unlike RR, you also don't seem particularly happy, so in your case it's scummy no matter igu's flip.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 07:46:44 pm
silver, you have to agree that iguana was very lynchable there.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 07:47:36 pm
silver, you have to agree that iguana was very lynchable there.

doesn't justify cutting the day this short.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 07:48:07 pm
Though if I had to pick one of silver/yuma as scum, it would be yuma.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 07:48:44 pm
I am not content with this lynch. Not because it was iguanaiguana, he seemed a tad scummy (I guess, but not really). I just hate short days. And if I was scum, as SS so bluntly puts it, why wouldn't I hop on iguana's wagon?
PPE: 3
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 07:50:58 pm
silver, you have to agree that iguana was very lynchable there.

doesn't justify cutting the day this short.
Maybe not. Though if iguana is scum, he might have survived without a quicklynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 14, 2015, 07:51:15 pm
I am not content with this lynch. Not because it was iguanaiguana, he seemed a tad scummy (I guess, but not really). I just hate short days. And if I was scum, as SS so bluntly puts it, why wouldn't I hop on iguana's wagon?
PPE: 3

Because it does not fit your meta one bit.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 07:52:10 pm
I am not content with this lynch. Not because it was iguanaiguana, he seemed a tad scummy (I guess, but not really). I just hate short days. And if I was scum, as SS so bluntly puts it, why wouldn't I hop on iguana's wagon?
PPE: 3

I don't think a first time (?) scum player is particularly likely to hop onto a mislynch such as this one. even though it would probably be good play.

But unrelated, what happened to 'weird play is town play'? Or 'scum likes to fly under the radar?' Wasn't that commonly accepted wisdom? the lynch itself is kind of weird.

Although I did have a scum read on igu before he turned crazy. I remember posting something in my QT.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 07:52:23 pm
I am not content with this lynch. Not because it was iguanaiguana, he seemed a tad scummy (I guess, but not really). I just hate short days. And if I was scum, as SS so bluntly puts it, why wouldn't I hop on iguana's wagon?
PPE: 3

Because it does not fit your meta one bit.
I have a meta? Care to share? I thought my meta was just being super weird.
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 08:01:04 pm
oh, it was just because of his scum slip.

anyway, let's see how the wagon came to be

Oooh Iguana scum slip! 

Vote: Iguana

Ash would be so proud

Scum slip!  vote: iguana

vote: iguana

I think hider should claim.

vote: iguana seems like a good starting point.
vote: iguana

Iguana scum slip! 


(a million people proceed to vote me)

It's because I'm playing forum survivor guys, calm down.

That is a good excuse.

Yet I do not like the jokiness exposed in the above post. It seems unlike you.

lolol reinventing my personality for every game would be HILARIOUS

Vote: iguana

I'm good with a hammer.

Wait, I'm not voting for him yet?

I'm good with a hammer.

Sounds good to me. Vote: iguana
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 08:03:14 pm
I had completely forgotten that I was on the wagon too

... well, actually analyzing this is more useful tomorrow, when we see the flip.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 08:38:50 pm
I didn't vote because of a scum slip. That should be obvious.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 08:43:15 pm
What even was the 'scum slip?'
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 08:44:56 pm
SS is scummy

saying this is scummy

Indirectly disputing the above statement by instead diverting the attention to me (just like I am doing here, except I am doing it to make a point) is scummy.

I don't know what indirectly means to you, but I thought I was ratehr blunt

What you said is scummy because

- I don't buy that you get a scum read on me based on my recent posts. at all.
- consequently, your statement is arbitrary and opportunistic, and it allows you chase my lynch tomorrow without causing suspicion
- like RR, you don't show any frustration upon the lynch. unlike RR, you also don't seem particularly happy, so in your case it's scummy no matter igu's flip.

I mean rather than stating your post wasn't scummy and illustrating why, not that you needed to as I didnt explain why it was scummy either, you instead flipped the table and made me out to be scummy instead. That is what I meant by indirectly moving suspicion away from you. Maybe indirect isn't the best choice of words...

As for your points. I get to decide whether you are scummy or not, not you.

We will see whether I push for your lynch or not. Much depends on how the flip occurs.

I am not super frustrated with the lynch. Not ideal but indignation is easy for scum to fake or easy for scum to honestly show depending on how iguana flips... If the hammer been cast by anyone else I might have some choice words , but I have lost any hope of coomunicating in any manner with said hammerer, so what is the point?

Plus iguana was scummy and I probably wouldn't have voted elsewhere today.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 14, 2015, 08:46:04 pm
I had completely forgotten that I was on the wagon too

... well, actually analyzing this is more useful tomorrow, when we see the flip.

This is less scummy. Not "townie" cause ideal townie play should remember where votes are, but I don't think it is scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 14, 2015, 09:03:03 pm
SS is scummy

saying this is scummy

Indirectly disputing the above statement by instead diverting the attention to me (just like I am doing here, except I am doing it to make a point) is scummy.

I don't know what indirectly means to you, but I thought I was ratehr blunt

What you said is scummy because

- I don't buy that you get a scum read on me based on my recent posts. at all.
- consequently, your statement is arbitrary and opportunistic, and it allows you chase my lynch tomorrow without causing suspicion
- like RR, you don't show any frustration upon the lynch. unlike RR, you also don't seem particularly happy, so in your case it's scummy no matter igu's flip.

I mean rather than stating your post wasn't scummy and illustrating why, not that you needed to as I didnt explain why it was scummy either, you instead flipped the table and made me out to be scummy instead. That is what I meant by indirectly moving suspicion away from you. Maybe indirect isn't the best choice of words...

As for your points. I get to decide whether you are scummy or not, not you.

We will see whether I push for your lynch or not. Much depends on how the flip occurs.

I am not super frustrated with the lynch. Not ideal but indignation is easy for scum to fake or easy for scum to honestly show depending on how iguana flips... If the hammer been cast by anyone else I might have some choice words , but I have lost any hope of coomunicating in any manner with said hammerer, so what is the point?

Plus iguana was scummy and I probably wouldn't have voted elsewhere today.

fine.

although I will say that you make it hard to take your initial scum read seriously since you still haven't given a reason.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 14, 2015, 09:09:02 pm
Was busy all day.  Will get to this tomorrow.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 14, 2015, 09:11:00 pm
Iguana is really hammered?  Or was it a fake hammer?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 14, 2015, 09:20:57 pm
Seems it was a real hammer.  That happened much faster than I would have liked.  Looks like lots of good conversation went on during twilight.  Faust seems towny to me and so does ss.  Don't really see anything past that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 14, 2015, 09:37:23 pm
I think this is town SS
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 14, 2015, 09:56:54 pm
Iguana is really hammered?  Or was it a fake hammer?
What does this mean? Is it a fake hammer if Iguana votes for himself? Or are we just pretending it's twilight and seeing who counts up votes?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: EFHW on November 14, 2015, 10:42:00 pm
Sorry everyone - really busy day.  Flip on its way.

THREAD LOCKED
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N1)
Post by: EFHW on November 14, 2015, 10:57:24 pm
Mrs. Weasley was really getting on everyone’s nerves.  Hovering over her kids, acting moody and erratic.  The Order didn’t think it was really her, and the Death Eaters knew she was a scary good dueler, so a bunch of the group got impulsive and forced her to approach the prophecy, while the others stood by and said nothing.  The room went dark and cold, everyone suddenly felt like crying, and then she was gone, taken by the Dementers.  The room returned to normal and the group stood in shock.  What had they just done? 

Mrs. Weasley (aka iguanaiguana) has been lynched.  She was a Member of the Order of the Phoenix.

Vote Count 1.final

iguanaiguana (7):  Witherweaver, gkrieg, ashersky, faust, silverspawn, yuma, Awaclus
Roadrunner (1): Hydrad
yuma (1): Haddock
ashersky (1): Joseph

not voting (3): e, iguanaiguana, Roadrunner

With 13 alive it took 7 to lynch.
Day 2 will start Monday, November 16th at 10 p.m., forum time.
Orders due by 8 p.m. that day, forum time.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: EFHW on November 16, 2015, 12:01:49 pm
Orders due in 8 hours.  Think about what your character would want to say upon dying.  If you send it to me ahead of time, then should your character meet death I will put it in the thread.  No information, though, just thoughts and feelings!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: EFHW on November 16, 2015, 10:03:48 pm
Day 2

“Molly, No!” cried Lupin.  “What have we done?”  He sank down with his head in his hands.  It seemed like there was a long time where nothing happened.  Everyone else stood around looking at each other, as if they couldn’t take in the new information.  Then out of nowhere there was a sudden intense flash of white followed by a criss-crossing of beams of colored light that were gone an instant later.  Everyone had spots before their eyes and couldn’t see anything for a few moments.  When their eyes had recovered they were shocked to see someone lying on the floor.  Ron (aka e). There was no mark on him to show how he had died.  “The Avada Kedavra curse,” whispered Sirius.  Ron didn’t change appearance, so he must have been himself, not an imposter.  He was a Member of the Order of the Phoenix.  Hermione  and Ginny were crying as Prof. McGonagall pointed her wand at the body.  It rose about a foot in the air and floated under her direction to a spot against the far wall.  Kingsley covered it with his cloak.  Hermione became overwhelmed with grief. “You can’t die, you never kissed me! I mean, how long does it take you boys to make a move? I waited for three years you pimple-headed dunce! What were you waiting for? You should really have read a book about girls or love. In fact there should be a class just for boys, called 'How to Interact with Girls.' You know who could teach that class? Snape or Flich. You know why? Because both of them have 100 times more game than you have when it comes to the ladies!”  She sobbed and Harry put his arm around her shoulders and talked to her softly.  “We need you Hermione, you’re the smartest one here.  Help us!”  She nodded tearfully and stood up straighter, though pale.   Luna came over and handed her a piece of chocolate.  “This fell out of Ron’s pocket, I hope it helps.” (text not in purple was written by the character/player)

Vote Count 2.0

not voting (11): ashersky, Awaclus, faust, gkrieg13, Haddock, Hydrad, Joseph2902, Roadrunner7671, silverspawn, Witherweaver, yuma

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.
(I’ll be travelling Tuesday)

THREAD UNLOCKED
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 16, 2015, 10:05:58 pm
First. Hi everyone!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 16, 2015, 11:31:45 pm
First. Hi everyone!

Well back to vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 16, 2015, 11:49:39 pm
Vote: Faust
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Hydrad on November 17, 2015, 01:17:46 am
hurrah. lets go for like 8 hours this time.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 04:13:35 am
Welp. vote: Awaclus
No particular reason.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 04:34:00 am
vote: Haddock

Voting without giving reasons is one thing.  Voting without a reason is worse.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 04:49:34 am
vote: Ash  OMGUS.  Happy?

In all seriousness, as I see it we're still essentially in RVS here, we got nothing yesterday.  I intend to vote for people on the wagon, it seems unlikely that a mislynch happened that quickly without at least some scum being involved.  Other than that there's very little info going around.  I will have a look tonight to see if I can actually get anything out of a reread, but I doubt it somehow.

Meh.  unvote
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 05:21:34 am
Vote: Haddock
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 06:41:01 am
First. Hi everyone!

Well back to vote: RR
This hurts. And I have no idea why we're voting.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 07:16:33 am
vote: Ash  OMGUS.  Happy?

In all seriousness, as I see it we're still essentially in RVS here, we got nothing yesterday.  I intend to vote for people on the wagon, it seems unlikely that a mislynch happened that quickly without at least some scum being involved.  Other than that there's very little info going around.  I will have a look tonight to see if I can actually get anything out of a reread, but I doubt it somehow.

Meh.  unvote

This is scummy.

Vote: Haddock
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:23:52 am
vote: Awaclus

also vote: RR

There are plenty of reasons to vote for people
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 07:28:25 am
vote: Ash  OMGUS.  Happy?

In all seriousness, as I see it we're still essentially in RVS here, we got nothing yesterday.  I intend to vote for people on the wagon, it seems unlikely that a mislynch happened that quickly without at least some scum being involved.  Other than that there's very little info going around.  I will have a look tonight to see if I can actually get anything out of a reread, but I doubt it somehow.

Meh.  unvote

This is scummy.

Vote: Haddock
Well.  I really don't see how it's scummy, but whatever.

Looking through D1, I actually quite like vote: Faust.


Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:28:29 am
no NK though, that's nice. although it's probably not that useful to speculate why.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 07:29:10 am
no NK though, that's nice. although it's probably not that useful to speculate why.
Huh?  What was e if not a NK?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:35:55 am
no NK though, that's nice. although it's probably not that useful to speculate why.
Huh?  What was e if not a NK?

... ... oh ;_; I'm used to the NK being written explicitly

I was going to read the flavor later ...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 07:39:12 am
vote: silverspawn

Reserving my vote on Haddock, though.

Anyone else think it is EXTREMELY UNLIKELY that SILVERSPAWN
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 07:40:40 am
Accidental post...finishing here...

Anyone else think it is EXTREMELY UNLIKELY that SILVERSPAWN of all players on this forum would skip the flavor?  He's the most flavor-caring guy in the game.  He cares so much about stuff he doesn't like people posting in the thread after the game is over because he finds it rude.  He finds the flavor of games to be incredibly important to the games themselves.

And he says he didn't read it? 

That was a fake "huh no kill" towncred grab if I've ever seen one.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:42:36 am
uhm  :(
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 07:45:08 am
Accidental post...finishing here...

Anyone else think it is EXTREMELY UNLIKELY that SILVERSPAWN of all players on this forum would skip the flavor?  He's the most flavor-caring guy in the game.  He cares so much about stuff he doesn't like people posting in the thread after the game is over because he finds it rude.  He finds the flavor of games to be incredibly important to the games themselves.

And he says he didn't read it? 

That was a fake "huh no kill" towncred grab if I've ever seen one.
You have a point, but I try not to vote this early in the day.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:45:54 am
I can see why you would think that

does it help if I tell you that I'm at university between lectures and was going to read it when I'm back home to, well, have a better experience? going online between lectures is more like the obligatory "I'm at a computer so obviously I'm going to check into the forum" but I don't like to get too much into games.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 07:47:35 am
I can see why you would think that

does it help if I tell you that I'm at university between lectures and was going to read it when I'm back home to, well, have a better experience? going online between lectures is more like the obligatory "I'm at a computer so obviously I'm going to check into the forum" but I don't like to get too much into games.
I post in between classes, during lunch, during 'free class' and whenever I can. I am very very active in Mafia games. I'm at school all day. I'm at school right now. Forum Mafia > Education.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 09:05:24 am
Accidental post...finishing here...

Anyone else think it is EXTREMELY UNLIKELY that SILVERSPAWN of all players on this forum would skip the flavor?  He's the most flavor-caring guy in the game.  He cares so much about stuff he doesn't like people posting in the thread after the game is over because he finds it rude.  He finds the flavor of games to be incredibly important to the games themselves.

And he says he didn't read it? 

That was a fake "huh no kill" towncred grab if I've ever seen one.

It's EXTREMELY UNLIKELY that he would lie about skipping the flavor.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 09:05:48 am
I can see why you would think that

does it help if I tell you that I'm at university between lectures and was going to read it when I'm back home to, well, have a better experience? going online between lectures is more like the obligatory "I'm at a computer so obviously I'm going to check into the forum" but I don't like to get too much into games.
I post in between classes, during lunch, during 'free class' and whenever I can. I am very very active in Mafia games. I'm at school all day. I'm at school right now. Forum Mafia > Education.

You can learn more from us than your school.  Feel free to post your lecture questions here. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 10:24:04 am
Accidental post...finishing here...

Anyone else think it is EXTREMELY UNLIKELY that SILVERSPAWN of all players on this forum would skip the flavor?  He's the most flavor-caring guy in the game.  He cares so much about stuff he doesn't like people posting in the thread after the game is over because he finds it rude.  He finds the flavor of games to be incredibly important to the games themselves.

And he says he didn't read it? 

That was a fake "huh no kill" towncred grab if I've ever seen one.

disagree...

Caring about flavor and immediately reading said flavor are two very different things.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 10:24:54 am
First. Hi everyone!

Well back to vote: RR
This hurts. And I have no idea why we're voting.

other people should vote for you too... do you know why?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 10:38:11 am
I do not agree with ash, but I think ash is town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 10:48:23 am
vote: Ash  OMGUS.  Happy?

In all seriousness, as I see it we're still essentially in RVS here, we got nothing yesterday.  I intend to vote for people on the wagon, it seems unlikely that a mislynch happened that quickly without at least some scum being involved.  Other than that there's very little info going around.  I will have a look tonight to see if I can actually get anything out of a reread, but I doubt it somehow.

Meh.  unvote

We got a bunch of stuff yesterday. A townie got lynched, so you can look at the votes and see which ones look like they're scummy. If none of them do (which I think is pretty much the case; gkrieg looks the worst from those votes, and that was so early it's really hard to say that he was intentionally trying to take the opportunity to get a mislynch wagon going), then it might not be all that unlikely that it happened without scum being involved — it was a crazy fast wagon and iguana was legitimately scummy, so scum might have seen that it's possible to get a mislynch through without even being involved.

Partially for that reason, RR is a good lynch. Another reason why RR is a good lynch is that it prevents him from having to choose between me and someone scummier than me at LyLo again. I'm not sure if there's a reason to think that RR in particular is scum though, he seems as scummy as he has always been as town so far.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 10:49:02 am
Another reason why RR is a good lynch is that it prevents him from having to choose between me and someone scummier than me at LyLo again.

I forgot this:  :P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 11:07:20 am
vote: Ash  OMGUS.  Happy?

In all seriousness, as I see it we're still essentially in RVS here, we got nothing yesterday.  I intend to vote for people on the wagon, it seems unlikely that a mislynch happened that quickly without at least some scum being involved.  Other than that there's very little info going around.  I will have a look tonight to see if I can actually get anything out of a reread, but I doubt it somehow.

Meh.  unvote

This is scummy.

Vote: Haddock

this is scummy.

vote: Ash  OMGUS.  Happy?

In all seriousness, as I see it we're still essentially in RVS here, we got nothing yesterday.  I intend to vote for people on the wagon, it seems unlikely that a mislynch happened that quickly without at least some scum being involved.  Other than that there's very little info going around.  I will have a look tonight to see if I can actually get anything out of a reread, but I doubt it somehow.

Meh.  unvote

This is scummy.

Vote: Haddock
Well.  I really don't see how it's scummy, but whatever.

Looking through D1, I actually quite like vote: Faust.

This is scummier
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 11:18:38 am
this is scummy.
why?

This is scummier
why?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 11:25:28 am
So, wagon analysis.

I did a collection posts here. (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=14209.msg541995#msg541995)

No idea why gkrieg supposedly looks bad. I think the first 2 votes are just RVS

My vote was a pressure vote. faust's arguably too, and he couldn't really expect that igu was going to get lynched at that point. Saying that he approves of the lynch after it happened is weird and I don't get it but it actually is towny.

Awaclus and yuma are looking the worst. Hammering town this early into the day is bad, and there isn't really any excuse for it.

though I honestly think that RR is even more likely scum based on behavior. Either of them is good for me

I think I'm on RR right now? vote: RR to be sure.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 11:28:20 am
Awaclus and yuma are looking the worst. Hammering town this early into the day is bad, and there isn't really any excuse for it.

I didn't hammer iguana. HTSNBN hammered iguana. I don't control him, no one controls him. So don't associate me with him.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 11:30:05 am
this is scummy.
why?

This is scummier
why?

1. because he wants to take us back to RVS. If he is scum then there is something that happened day1 that he wants us to ignore. That he wants us to not pay attention to it makes me think that is more likely.

2. Once he was called out on it, he went back to that area that was supposed to be useless and pulled something "useful" out of it. But isn't really that useful at all.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 11:31:30 am
Awaclus and yuma are looking the worst. Hammering town this early into the day is bad, and there isn't really any excuse for it.

I didn't hammer iguana. HTSNBN hammered iguana. I don't control him, no one controls him. So don't associate me with him.

I know. Didn't mean to say that you hammered. I think your vote is scummy because you voted for him under the quoted post where he said that changing his meta every game would be hilarious, which I dislike as a reason, because weird =/= scummy.

But your vote was only about half as scummy as Awaclus' hammer in my book.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 11:33:18 am
1. because he wants to take us back to RVS. If he is scum then there is something that happened day1 that he wants us to ignore. That he wants us to not pay attention to it makes me think that is more likely.

2. Once he was called out on it, he went back to that area that was supposed to be useless and pulled something "useful" out of it. But isn't really that useful at all.

okay, these actually sound like solid reasons.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 11:38:09 am
Awaclus and yuma are looking the worst. Hammering town this early into the day is bad, and there isn't really any excuse for it.

I didn't hammer iguana. HTSNBN hammered iguana. I don't control him, no one controls him. So don't associate me with him.

I know. Didn't mean to say that you hammered. I think your vote is scummy because you voted for him under the quoted post where he said that changing his meta every game would be hilarious, which I dislike as a reason, because weird =/= scummy.

But your vote was only about half as scummy as Awaclus' hammer in my book.

Ok. Fair enough. And I agree with you on the weird doesn't equal scummy part. I mean, in this situation obviously weird wasn't scummy. But my mind in this case I saw that iguana was a newish player without a solid meta at all. So it wasn't necessarily possible to know whether he was being weird or whether or not he was just being himself or whether he was being scummy. I voted because 1. it was weird 2. it had the possibility of being scummy 3. I wanted to see if it would continue as more people started to vote. The fact that he was hammered is on HTSHNBN. I didn't like the hammer, but I didn't necessarily hate it either. I disliked that it wasn't announced and wasn't given a chance to claim or have other people say "hey! I am not ready for the day to end" but dumb hammers like that have hit scum before and I am sure they will hit scum again.

I am always willing to vote for HTSNBN though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 11:39:17 am
1. because he wants to take us back to RVS. If he is scum then there is something that happened day1 that he wants us to ignore. That he wants us to not pay attention to it makes me think that is more likely.

2. Once he was called out on it, he went back to that area that was supposed to be useless and pulled something "useful" out of it. But isn't really that useful at all.

okay, these actually sound like solid reasons.

You make it sound like I typically don't have solid reasons...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 11:41:21 am
vote: Ash  OMGUS.  Happy?

In all seriousness, as I see it we're still essentially in RVS here, we got nothing yesterday.  I intend to vote for people on the wagon, it seems unlikely that a mislynch happened that quickly without at least some scum being involved.  Other than that there's very little info going around.  I will have a look tonight to see if I can actually get anything out of a reread, but I doubt it somehow.

Meh.  unvote

This is scummy.

Vote: Haddock

this is scummy.


This is wrongy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 11:42:56 am
this is scummy.
why?

This is scummier
why?

1. because he wants to take us back to RVS. If he is scum then there is something that happened day1 that he wants us to ignore. That he wants us to not pay attention to it makes me think that is more likely.

2. Once he was called out on it, he went back to that area that was supposed to be useless and pulled something "useful" out of it. But isn't really that useful at all.

I don't agree with the first.  Scum isn't overt about telling us to ignore things they want to ignore.  That's like, counterproductive. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 11:45:09 am
vote: Ash  OMGUS.  Happy?

In all seriousness, as I see it we're still essentially in RVS here, we got nothing yesterday.  I intend to vote for people on the wagon, it seems unlikely that a mislynch happened that quickly without at least some scum being involved.  Other than that there's very little info going around.  I will have a look tonight to see if I can actually get anything out of a reread, but I doubt it somehow.

Meh.  unvote

This is scummy.

Vote: Haddock

this is scummy.


This is wrongy.

I think you misunderstand. I am agreeing with you about Haddock, not calling you scummy. But that is a miscommunication on my part.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 11:45:46 am
this is scummy.
why?

This is scummier
why?

1. because he wants to take us back to RVS. If he is scum then there is something that happened day1 that he wants us to ignore. That he wants us to not pay attention to it makes me think that is more likely.

2. Once he was called out on it, he went back to that area that was supposed to be useless and pulled something "useful" out of it. But isn't really that useful at all.

I don't agree with the first.  Scum isn't overt about telling us to ignore things they want to ignore.  That's like, counterproductive.

But he isn't being overt. He is being subtle. And the "he" here is haddock.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 11:46:11 am
Ah, okay.  I was confused on why you disagreed with me. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 11:47:01 am
this is scummy.
why?

This is scummier
why?

1. because he wants to take us back to RVS. If he is scum then there is something that happened day1 that he wants us to ignore. That he wants us to not pay attention to it makes me think that is more likely.

2. Once he was called out on it, he went back to that area that was supposed to be useless and pulled something "useful" out of it. But isn't really that useful at all.

I don't agree with the first.  Scum isn't overt about telling us to ignore things they want to ignore.  That's like, counterproductive.

But he isn't being overt. He is being subtle. And the "he" here is haddock.

But he did explicitly say we're still in RVS. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 11:47:54 am
1. because he wants to take us back to RVS. If he is scum then there is something that happened day1 that he wants us to ignore. That he wants us to not pay attention to it makes me think that is more likely.

2. Once he was called out on it, he went back to that area that was supposed to be useless and pulled something "useful" out of it. But isn't really that useful at all.
I hadn't read D1 when I made that RVS vote.  Remember how fast it went.  I assumed there would be nothing coming out of D1 because it was so quick, and made an RVS vote.  Not completely random, mind, I still think we want to lynch on-wagon.

Then people started calling me scummy, so I had a quick read of D1 to try to allay this.  Sue me for not wanting to be mislynched on D2. 

And it turned out you guys were right, there was some information to be gleaned from D1. 

Calling my faust vote not-useful is kinda ridiculous.

PPE: several.  The "subtle" comment is pretty funny.  I was making a wrong assumption, is all.  Not trying to misdirect anyone, like I'm capable of that anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 11:51:15 am
1. because he wants to take us back to RVS. If he is scum then there is something that happened day1 that he wants us to ignore. That he wants us to not pay attention to it makes me think that is more likely.

2. Once he was called out on it, he went back to that area that was supposed to be useless and pulled something "useful" out of it. But isn't really that useful at all.
I hadn't read D1 when I made that RVS vote.  Remember how fast it went.  I assumed there would be nothing coming out of D1 because it was so quick, and made an RVS vote.  Not completely random, mind, I still think we want to lynch on-wagon.

Then people started calling me scummy, so I had a quick read of D1 to try to allay this.  Sue me for not wanting to be mislynched on D2. 

And it turned out you guys were right, there was some information to be gleaned from D1. 

Calling my faust vote not-useful is kinda ridiculous.

PPE: several.  The "subtle" comment is pretty funny.  I was making a wrong assumption, is all.  Not trying to misdirect anyone, like I'm capable of that anyway.

Dude, I find it hard to believe you hadn't read D1 up to that point.  You even posted in D1.  You could not have been oblivious to things happening.

vote: haddock for bring scum backed into a corner.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 11:51:33 am
I hadn't read D1 when I made that RVS vote.  Remember how fast it went.  I assumed there would be nothing coming out of D1 because it was so quick, and made an RVS vote.  Not completely random, mind, I still think we want to lynch on-wagon.

Then people started calling me scummy, so I had a quick read of D1 to try to allay this.  Sue me for not wanting to be mislynched on D2. 

And it turned out you guys were right, there was some information to be gleaned from D1. 

Calling my faust vote not-useful is kinda ridiculous.

PPE: several.  The "subtle" comment is pretty funny.  I was making a wrong assumption, is all.  Not trying to misdirect anyone, like I'm capable of that anyway.

Sue me, sue me. What can you do me? ...

It wasn't useful because I don't know what you saw from faust that made you want to vote for him.

And don't act like you aren't good at manipulation. I watched you in Switch after ash and I died and knew you were scum the whole time and still had me sometimes forgetting you were scum. MVP worthy performance of manipulation if I ever saw one.

But sure, it could be a wrong assumption. But it felt scummy to me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 11:55:11 am
1. because he wants to take us back to RVS. If he is scum then there is something that happened day1 that he wants us to ignore. That he wants us to not pay attention to it makes me think that is more likely.

2. Once he was called out on it, he went back to that area that was supposed to be useless and pulled something "useful" out of it. But isn't really that useful at all.

okay, these actually sound like solid reasons.

You make it sound like I typically don't have solid reasons...

I think you usually do (as town (?)), but not so much thus far in this game
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 11:57:59 am
Dude, I find it hard to believe you hadn't read D1 up to that point.  You even posted in D1.  You could not have been oblivious to things happening.

vote: haddock for bring scum backed into a corner.
There's reading and there's READING.  I had read enough to understand what was going on, but not really paid attention to the detail that much.

It wasn't useful because I don't know what you saw from faust that made you want to vote for him.
I will explain my reasons if you want them, when I have more time.

I really don't see my comment about RVS as subtle at all, which is why I find it funny that you think it's manipulation.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 11:58:08 am
Calling my faust vote not-useful is kinda ridiculous.

why is that ridiculous?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 12:01:21 pm
Calling my faust vote not-useful is kinda ridiculous.

why is that ridiculous?
Because people vote without giving reasons all the time. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:02:34 pm
I will explain my reasons if you want them, when I have more time.

I really don't see my comment about RVS as subtle at all, which is why I find it funny that you think it's manipulati

If you want to explain reasons, go ahead. I am not voting for you, so am not demanding anything from you. But until you do they are pretty "useless"

And again, I am not saying that you said we were in RVS is subtle. I mean, obviously you said it. I am saying that to me it felt like you wanted to focus more on today and get today started with voting and getting today going, rather than going back and rereading. Obviously you didnt' actually say that, but it was suggested and implied and to me that felt subtle.

And then that you did the complete opposite of that once you were called out felt to me that you back tracked from that idea. So maybe you weren't subtle enough? I don't know. Maybe you aren't even scum. But I see it as potentially scummy behavior and calling it out and having discussion about it is what this game is all about, at least I think so. Others disagree.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 12:02:47 pm
Awaclus and yuma are looking the worst. Hammering town this early into the day is bad, and there isn't really any excuse for it.

Would it have been scummy if iguana turned out to be scum?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:03:18 pm
Awaclus and yuma are looking the worst. Hammering town this early into the day is bad, and there isn't really any excuse for it.

Would it have been scummy if iguana turned out to be scum?

no
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:03:31 pm
fail quote... obviously haddock didn't say most of that. I did...

Try again:

I will explain my reasons if you want them, when I have more time.

I really don't see my comment about RVS as subtle at all, which is why I find it funny that you think it's manipulati

If you want to explain reasons, go ahead. I am not voting for you, so am not demanding anything from you. But until you do they are pretty "useless"

And again, I am not saying that you said we were in RVS is subtle. I mean, obviously you said it. I am saying that to me it felt like you wanted to focus more on today and get today started with voting and getting today going, rather than going back and rereading. Obviously you didnt' actually say that, but it was suggested and implied and to me that felt subtle.

And then that you did the complete opposite of that once you were called out felt to me that you back tracked from that idea. So maybe you weren't subtle enough? I don't know. Maybe you aren't even scum. But I see it as potentially scummy behavior and calling it out and having discussion about it is what this game is all about, at least I think so. Others disagree.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:03:57 pm
I have a correct read and I am going to get lynched for it? This is fantabulous.
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:04:32 pm
Calling my faust vote not-useful is kinda ridiculous.

why is that ridiculous?
Because people vote without giving reasons all the time.

and that makes it helpful?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:06:02 pm
I have a correct read and I am going to get lynched for it? This is fantabulous.
PPE 2

perhaps the best new!scum tell in the game is overreacting to pressure. you currently have... what, 2 votes?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 12:07:30 pm
I have a correct read and I am going to get lynched for it? This is fantabulous.
PPE 2

perhaps the best new!scum tell in the game is overreacting to pressure. you currently have... what, 2 votes?

RR always overreacts to pressure.

Which doesn't mean that I thik he's town. He could very well be scum. But this is a bad argument.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 12:07:54 pm
Overreacting to pressure is basically all RR does.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:08:08 pm
I have a correct read and I am going to get lynched for it? This is fantabulous.
PPE 2

perhaps the best new!scum tell in the game is overreacting to pressure. you currently have... what, 2 votes?

RR always overreacts to pressure.

Which doesn't mean that I thik he's town. He could very well be scum. But this is a bad argument.

How else are we going to find out unless more people vote for him! You should vote for him.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: EFHW on November 17, 2015, 12:08:28 pm
Vote Count 2.1

Roadrunner (2): yuma, silver
faust (1): Haddock
Haddock (3): faust, Witherweaver, ashersky

not voting (5): Awaclus, gkrieg13, Hydrad, Joseph2902, Roadrunner7671

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 12:08:46 pm
Awaclus and yuma are looking the worst. Hammering town this early into the day is bad, and there isn't really any excuse for it.

Would it have been scummy if iguana turned out to be scum?

no

Then it isn't scummy now, either. I didn't know he was going to flip town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 12:09:24 pm
Calling my faust vote not-useful is kinda ridiculous.

why is that ridiculous?
Because people vote without giving reasons all the time.

and that makes it helpful?
No, but using its unhelpfulness as reason to find me scummy is kinda ridiculous.

Overreacting to pressure is basically all RR does.
I would upvote this if I could.  Made me giggle. :)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:09:40 pm
it is? okay let me review that.

I was in 'we caught scum!!' mode because I remember doing exactly this in my first scum game, and later I thought that I should have been lynched for it right there. well, I did get lynched fairly quickly.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:10:14 pm
Overreacting to pressure is basically all RR does.
I do a lot more! I lose games in Lynch or Lose situations!

I claim D1!
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:10:50 pm
No, but using its unhelpfulness as reason to find me scummy is kinda ridiculous.

I disagree... I think that was actually a really good reason

you are removing context. what yuma was accusing you off wasn't just that vote, it was that WW called you out for doing RVS, and then you went back to do something supposedly useful that wasn't really useful.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 12:10:56 pm
Then it isn't scummy now, either. I didn't know he was going to flip town.

Well, if we already start assuming that you didn't know he was going to flip town, then the exercise is pretty useless, no?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:11:40 pm
I have a correct read and I am going to get lynched for it? This is fantabulous.
PPE 2

perhaps the best new!scum tell in the game is overreacting to pressure. you currently have... what, 2 votes?
But Awaclus, Faust and probably others are okay with my death, and more people would wagon on (like scum)!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:12:27 pm
No, but using its unhelpfulness as reason to find me scummy is kinda ridiculous.

I disagree... I think that was actually a really good reason

you are removing context. what yuma was accusing you off wasn't just that vote, it was that WW called you out for doing RVS, and then you went back to do something supposedly useful that wasn't really useful.

Yay! I like people who care about context!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:12:43 pm
Then it isn't scummy now, either. I didn't know he was going to flip town.

Well, if we already start assuming that you didn't know he was going to flip town, then the exercise is pretty useless, no?

That's the point.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 12:12:53 pm
But does context care about you?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:13:26 pm
Then it isn't scummy now, either. I didn't know he was going to flip town.

 ???...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 12:13:34 pm
who care about context!

Yes, who cares?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 12:13:42 pm
No, but using its unhelpfulness as reason to find me scummy is kinda ridiculous.

I disagree... I think that was actually a really good reason

you are removing context. what yuma was accusing you off wasn't just that vote, it was that WW called you out for doing RVS, and then you went back to do something supposedly useful that wasn't really useful.
Hum.  OK that's probably true.  I'm still town though. :) 
I'd like to add a "yet", though, as in "not useful yet".  I will get round to it.  Right now I really need to go mark papers.  This game is so distracting.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:14:37 pm
But does context care about you?

No.... Now you made me sad.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 12:15:04 pm
No, but using its unhelpfulness as reason to find me scummy is kinda ridiculous.

I disagree... I think that was actually a really good reason

you are removing context. what yuma was accusing you off wasn't just that vote, it was that WW called you out for doing RVS, and then you went back to do something supposedly useful that wasn't really useful.

I didn't call him out for doing RVS.  I voted him for his reaction to getting called out for RVS.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 17, 2015, 12:15:13 pm
Wow a flurry of votes to start the day.  These are the two that catch me as scummy:

First. Hi everyone!

Well back to vote: RR

Welp. vote: Awaclus
No particular reason.

Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

Haddock's vote and reaction are scummy.  Forcing back us into RVS is scummy.  Even though D1 was short, it gave us a lot of information.  Just looking at the wagon gives information.  Mafia loves fast mislynches, so there is bound to be at least one scum on the wagon. 

Reading further...  I don't think ss is scummy for not reading all of the flavor.  I thought that no one had died as well, but when I didn't see "no one died", I looked again and saw that e died.  I agree that ss is more attentive than all of us, but his reaction also strikes me as genuine. 

ash seems ashy.  Hard to tell if he is scum looking for something to bite on or genuinely scum hunting.  I'm gonna lean towards genuine scum hunting on this one. 

WW is still so hard for me to read. 

I thought I was good at reading yuma until the recent games where he was scum.  I no longer think I'm good at reading yuma.  Still going after RR is always scummy.  Unless there is a good reason of course. 

Awaclus had the hammer yesterday.  Not sure if that is scummy or not, given that so many people were pushing for the lynch.  I'm gonna lean slight scum on him.  Also how do I look bad from the votes yesterday?  My vote was RVS and before I could get online to change it, he was hammered by you!  How is the second vote trying to get a mislynch going?  Wouldn't that be more like ash, faust or ss?

vote: Haddock

PPE: lots of them

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:16:20 pm
Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

It has no backing. He hasn't done anything scummy yet. And who ever said I wanted to lynch him?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 12:16:37 pm
WW is still so hard for me to read. 

<3
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:16:49 pm
also gkrieg is scummy too
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 12:17:34 pm
also gkrieg is scummy too

Really? I thought his post was rather townish.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:17:47 pm
Gkreig makes a point I would likw to echo:

People who vote for RR are scum trying to pick off weak links.
I am the wounded gazelle. The other gazelles aren't going to help me, that could cause their demise. But, if the wounded gazelle dies, the lions will keep going for others, until there are none left!M
PPE 4
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:18:20 pm
also gkrieg is scummy too

Really? I thought his post was rather townish.

His post was townish, but he is scummy
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:18:44 pm
Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

It has no backing. He hasn't done anything scummy yet. And who ever said I wanted to lynch him?
You got SS to wagon me. Why don't you call off your attack pony if you don't want me to get killed?
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 12:19:26 pm
We can also lynch Faust.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:20:20 pm
We can also lynch Faust.
Ha ha, please.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:21:07 pm
Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

It has no backing. He hasn't done anything scummy yet. And who ever said I wanted to lynch him?
You got SS to wagon me. Why don't you call off your attack pony if you don't want me to get killed?
PPE

I never said I don't, don't want to lynch you either. And I am pretty sure SS made his decision independent of me, but I am glad he did vote for you. Others should as well.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 17, 2015, 12:21:33 pm
Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

It has no backing. He hasn't done anything scummy yet. And who ever said I wanted to lynch him?

Well voting for someone should mean at least a little teensy tiny smidge that you want to lynch someone
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 17, 2015, 12:21:53 pm
also gkrieg is scummy too

Really? I thought his post was rather townish.

His post was townish, but he is scummy

Please elaborate
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:22:03 pm
Okay, RR does overreact to pressure more commonly.

I'm not sure if that invalidates the argument though, or if it just weakens it. I see it as: your reaction to votes shows the degree to which you're afraid about being lynched. RR is generally more afraid than most, which makes a lot of sense. But he would probably be even more afraid as scum.

so meh. probably mildly scummy for him, then

and of course, this argument only works for newer players, otherwise it's weak and overused.

PPE a lot
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:22:27 pm
Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

It has no backing. He hasn't done anything scummy yet. And who ever said I wanted to lynch him?

Well voting for someone should mean at least a little teensy tiny smidge that you want to lynch someone

I agree that it could be interpreted that way, hence why I clarified it for you when you made that assumption.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 12:23:16 pm
Haddock's vote and reaction are scummy.  Forcing back us into RVS is scummy.  Even though D1 was short, it gave us a lot of information.  Just looking at the wagon gives information.  Mafia loves fast mislynches, so there is bound to be at least one scum on the wagon. 

vote: Haddock

PPE: lots of them
I'm not forcing anyone into RVS.  My first vote was based on my mistaken idea that RVS was all we had.

Look, I publicly retract my original random vote, OK. It was a mistake.  I agree, there's enough info from D1 and from this discussion. 

That's L-2 on me, I think.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:24:15 pm
His post was townish, but he is scummy

Please elaborate

looked like a post that was trying to look townie
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 12:24:54 pm
His post was townish, but he is scummy

Please elaborate

looked like a post that was trying to look townie

Looks like something that someone that is trying to look townie would say.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:25:17 pm
Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

It has no backing. He hasn't done anything scummy yet. And who ever said I wanted to lynch him?
You got SS to wagon me. Why don't you call off your attack pony if you don't want me to get killed?
PPE

I never said I don't, don't want to lynch you either. And I am pretty sure SS made his decision independent of me, but I am glad he did vote for you. Others should as well.
Trying to put me under fire? Do you want me dead because I know something? Or is it just personal?
PPE 5
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:25:27 pm
His post was townish, but he is scummy

Please elaborate

looked like a post that was trying to look townie

Looks like something that someone that is trying to look townie would say.

looks like something that someone that is trying to look witty would say.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:26:24 pm
I didn't call him out for doing RVS.  I voted him for his reaction to getting called out for RVS.

that's right. my apologies
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:26:39 pm
I never said I don't, don't want to lynch you either. And I am pretty sure SS made his decision independent of me, but I am glad he did vote for you. Others should as well.
Trying to put me under fire? Do you want me dead because I know something? Or is it just personal?

It isn't personal. But you asking "is it personal" makes it start to become personal, so I guess it has now started to become personal, but that is on you, not me.

And yes. Fire is dangerous, but it also helps you see. For the night is dark and full of terrors.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 12:26:52 pm
I don't feel that great about Haddock anymore.

Vote: WW
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 12:28:41 pm
And yes. Fire is dangerous, but it also helps you see. For the night is dark and full of terrors.

Soon yuma will start burning innocent townies in order to get his god to save the town. Then we all die.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 12:28:54 pm
I don't feel that great about Haddock anymore.

Vote: WW

Interesting...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:29:06 pm
Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

It has no backing. He hasn't done anything scummy yet. And who ever said I wanted to lynch him?
You got SS to wagon me. Why don't you call off your attack pony if you don't want me to get killed?
PPE

uhm

1. I have defended you heavily in the past
2. I was saying that you were scummy since the end of day 1, not after yuma pushed your case
3. attack... irks
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:30:42 pm
Trying to put me under fire? Do you want me dead because I know something? Or is it just personal?

why do you always assume that it's personal? you are, like, one of the persons least likely to offend anyone personally in the f.ds mafia community
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:34:02 pm
Yay SS is on my side...but his vote says otherwise.

And I am trying extra hard not to make things personal.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:34:32 pm
Yay SS is on my side...but his vote says otherwise.

I... what? I am not on your side. I think you're scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 12:36:32 pm
And I am trying extra hard not to make things personal.

well you're doing really well. in order to reach perfection in this discipline all you have to do is to stop asking whether something is personal.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:39:04 pm
Yay SS is on my side...but his vote says otherwise.

I... what? I am not on your side. I think you're scum.
What about defending me? And liking me Day One?

And what's my meta?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:44:30 pm
And what's my meta?

Your meta is caring too much about your meta. Case closed. The end.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:46:21 pm
And what's my meta?

Your meta is caring too much about your meta. Case closed. The end.
Is that a paradox?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Hydrad on November 17, 2015, 12:49:46 pm
Haddock's vote and reaction are scummy.  Forcing back us into RVS is scummy.  Even though D1 was short, it gave us a lot of information.  Just looking at the wagon gives information.  Mafia loves fast mislynches, so there is bound to be at least one scum on the wagon. 

vote: Haddock

PPE: lots of them
I'm not forcing anyone into RVS.  My first vote was based on my mistaken idea that RVS was all we had.

Look, I publicly retract my original random vote, OK. It was a mistake.  I agree, there's enough info from D1 and from this discussion. 

That's L-2 on me, I think.

I can believe this as I was kinda in the same spot. I was about to do a RVS vote also at the beginning of the day.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 17, 2015, 12:50:46 pm
I still feel like this is town RR. it feels like his playing the same as his other town games to me and for some reason I feel like I'm going to notice his first scum game? (watch as hes scum this game and I'm so far off)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:54:06 pm
I can believe this as I was kinda in the same spot. I was about to do a RVS vote also at the beginning of the day.

But if you had been called out for it would you have backpeddled and fallen over yourself in trying to go back and find something "useful" from day1 that you don't share with the rest of the class?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 12:54:22 pm
I still feel like this is town RR. it feels like his playing the same as his other town games to me and for some reason I feel like I'm going to notice his first scum game? (watch as hes scum this game and I'm so far off)

You should still vote for him.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Hydrad on November 17, 2015, 12:54:55 pm
I can believe this as I was kinda in the same spot. I was about to do a RVS vote also at the beginning of the day.

But if you had been called out for it would you have backpeddled and fallen over yourself in trying to go back and find something "useful" from day1 that you don't share with the rest of the class?

Hmm I guess I wouldn't have done that...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 12:55:14 pm
If I was scum I'd be slaughtered faster than I can say 'What's my meta?'
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 01:01:43 pm
Then it isn't scummy now, either. I didn't know he was going to flip town.

Well, if we already start assuming that you didn't know he was going to flip town, then the exercise is pretty useless, no?

We should start assuming that I didn't know he was going to flip town. I know for sure that was the case, and for the rest of you, it's still statistically a lot more likely. Only if you think that reallybelievediguanawasscum!Awaclus wouldn't hammer there, you should find me scummy, and in that case, you should also find me scummy even if iguana had actually flipped scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 01:04:31 pm
that makes no sense. ´´
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 01:07:22 pm
that makes no sense. ´´
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 01:08:51 pm
I can believe this as I was kinda in the same spot. I was about to do a RVS vote also at the beginning of the day.

But if you had been called out for it would you have backpeddled and fallen over yourself in trying to go back..
When people starting voting me for not looking properly at D1, I had a look at D1.  I was going to anyway, but I did it earlier than planned in order to (yes I'll say it) get people to see me as not scummy.  Town players try to look towny as well, you know, that's not unique to scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 01:09:02 pm
that makes no sense. ´´
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 01:23:27 pm
that makes no sense. ´´

It makes more sense than arbitrarily reaching the conclusion that I'm scummy by using the premise that I'm scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 01:30:26 pm
Accidental post...finishing here...

Anyone else think it is EXTREMELY UNLIKELY that SILVERSPAWN of all players on this forum would skip the flavor?  He's the most flavor-caring guy in the game.  He cares so much about stuff he doesn't like people posting in the thread after the game is over because he finds it rude.  He finds the flavor of games to be incredibly important to the games themselves.

And he says he didn't read it? 

That was a fake "huh no kill" towncred grab if I've ever seen one.
I kind of agree, ss is one of the players who most likes flavour, so seems surprising that he "didn't read it".
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 01:31:42 pm
I can see why you would think that

does it help if I tell you that I'm at university between lectures and was going to read it when I'm back home to, well, have a better experience? going online between lectures is more like the obligatory "I'm at a computer so obviously I'm going to check into the forum" but I don't like to get too much into games.
I post in between classes, during lunch, during 'free class' and whenever I can. I am very very active in Mafia games. I'm at school all day. I'm at school right now. Forum Mafia > Education.
I disagree, Education/Work > Forum Mafia (just about).
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 01:46:26 pm
Dude, I find it hard to believe you hadn't read D1 up to that point.  You even posted in D1.  You could not have been oblivious to things happening.

vote: haddock for bring scum backed into a corner.
There's reading and there's READING.  I had read enough to understand what was going on, but not really paid attention to the detail that much.

It wasn't useful because I don't know what you saw from faust that made you want to vote for him.
I will explain my reasons if you want them, when I have more time.

I really don't see my comment about RVS as subtle at all, which is why I find it funny that you think it's manipulation.
Well some point we need to stop with RVS, especially when a probably-not-so-random quicklynch occurred.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 01:48:02 pm
Dude, I find it hard to believe you hadn't read D1 up to that point.  You even posted in D1.  You could not have been oblivious to things happening.

vote: haddock for bring scum backed into a corner.
There's reading and there's READING.  I had read enough to understand what was going on, but not really paid attention to the detail that much.

It wasn't useful because I don't know what you saw from faust that made you want to vote for him.
I will explain my reasons if you want them, when I have more time.

I really don't see my comment about RVS as subtle at all, which is why I find it funny that you think it's manipulation.
Well some point we need to stop with RVS, especially when a probably-not-so-random quicklynch occurred.
I mean, yeah.  Obviously.  We're definitely well outside of RVS now, for instance.  What on earth is your point? Have you actually read the discussion between me and faust/WW/yuma/etc.? 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 01:50:09 pm
Dude, I find it hard to believe you hadn't read D1 up to that point.  You even posted in D1.  You could not have been oblivious to things happening.

vote: haddock for bring scum backed into a corner.
There's reading and there's READING.  I had read enough to understand what was going on, but not really paid attention to the detail that much.

It wasn't useful because I don't know what you saw from faust that made you want to vote for him.
I will explain my reasons if you want them, when I have more time.

I really don't see my comment about RVS as subtle at all, which is why I find it funny that you think it's manipulation.
Well some point we need to stop with RVS, especially when a probably-not-so-random quicklynch occurred.
I mean, yeah.  Obviously.  We're definitely well outside of RVS now, for instance.  What on earth is your point? Have you actually read the discussion between me and faust/WW/yuma/etc.?
I was reading through and commenting at the same time, so yes now I have read that discussion.

I agree we're now well out of RVS, and in fact Haddock's RV probably helped us get lots more discussion, which is pro-town I think. So not seeing the Haddock lynch as a good idea right now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 02:03:16 pm
And yes. Fire is dangerous, but it also helps you see. For the night is dark and full of terrors.

Soon yuma will start burning innocent townies in order to get his god to save the town. Then we all die.
yuma killing everyone just sounds like M69 to me :(
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 02:04:33 pm
But having not played with RR before, I don't see how what anyone said was personal, and thus I find it a bit scummy. So, I think I want to Vote: rr.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 02:05:41 pm
that makes no sense. ´´

It makes more sense than arbitrarily reaching the conclusion that I'm scummy by using the premise that I'm scum.

you're scummy because you hammered a town. that was the argument. You tried to deflect that by arguing something under the assumption that you're town. An assumption of either alignment makes any further arguments nonsensical, because arguing means saying why you think it's likely or unlikely that someone is scum, which you can't do if you're already assuming that he is or isn't.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 02:14:30 pm
you're scummy because you hammered a town. that was the argument. You tried to deflect that by arguing something under the assumption that you're town. An assumption of either alignment makes any further arguments nonsensical, because arguing means saying why you think it's likely or unlikely that someone is scum, which you can't do if you're already assuming that he is or isn't.

Hammering town isn't scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 02:16:33 pm
you're scummy because you hammered a town. that was the argument. You tried to deflect that by arguing something under the assumption that you're town. An assumption of either alignment makes any further arguments nonsensical, because arguing means saying why you think it's likely or unlikely that someone is scum, which you can't do if you're already assuming that he is or isn't.

Hammering town isn't scummy.
Hammering town so early in the day seems a bit scummy to me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 02:20:35 pm
(Obligatory response.)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 02:21:05 pm
(Obligatory response.)

Oooo, oooo, let me go find that quote...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 02:24:07 pm
Hammering town so early in the day seems a bit scummy to me.

Why? Would hammering scum so early in the day been scummy?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 02:25:50 pm
vote: Awaclus

his style of argumentation is the same as both alignments, but I think town!Awaclus is less likely to say completely ridiculous and nonsensical stuff as he does now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 02:27:08 pm
obviously, since scum prefers hammering town to hammering scum, hammering town makes a random player more likely to be scum than he was before. it's basic maths.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 02:38:52 pm
obviously, since scum prefers hammering town to hammering scum, hammering town makes a random player more likely to be scum than he was before. it's basic maths.

No, that's not how it works. If I'm scum, I hammered iguana because I wanted to lynch a townie and end the day early. If I'm town, I hammered iguana because I thought iguana was scum and I wanted to lynch someone who was likely to be scum. The fact that iguana turned out to be town does not imply that it's now less likely that I thought that he was scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 02:42:19 pm
Don't worry. I found it:

So, you are verifying once and for all what an incredible waste of time it is for anyone to try to argue about this with you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 02:59:03 pm
vote: Awaclus

his style of argumentation is the same as both alignments, but I think town!Awaclus is less likely to say completely ridiculous and nonsensical stuff as he does now.

I think you are right, and might even join you at some point here, but I think you should still vote RR...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 03:03:11 pm
obviously, since scum prefers hammering town to hammering scum, hammering town makes a random player more likely to be scum than he was before. it's basic maths.

No, that's not how it works. If I'm scum, I hammered iguana because I wanted to lynch a townie and end the day early. If I'm town, I hammered iguana because I thought iguana was scum and I wanted to lynch someone who was likely to be scum. The fact that iguana turned out to be town does not imply that it's now less likely that I thought that he was scum.

imagine a simplified model wherein each town player is 50% likely to jump on any lynch, and each scum player is 100% likely to jump on a town lynch, and 0% likely to jump on a scum lynch

now imagine that one player is on 10 consequent town lynches. The chances for him to do this as

- scum is 100%
- town is 50%^10 = 0,1%

We can follow with very high certainty that this player was scum, since otherwise a 0,1% chance happened.

Someone who hammers town once is more likely to be scum for the same reason, only the values are different.

The fact that faction A is more likely to do X than faction B makes a person who does X more likely to come from A, because the B narrative requires a < 100% event to have happened, whereas A doesn't require anything. B does not need to be unlikely to do X for this to be true.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 03:05:51 pm
imagine a simplified model wherein each town player is 50% likely to jump on any lynch, and each scum player is 100% likely to jump on a town lynch, and 0% likely to jump on a scum lynch

Well, if we imagine a simplified model wherein each town!silverspawn is 0% likely to be on a town lynch, you're confirmed scum too. Coming up with imaginary models and pulling numbers out of thin air is not a good argument when, in actuality, I was 100% likely to jump on the iguana lynch regardless of my alignment.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 03:10:17 pm
there is a phrase that we use for situations like this.

police lunch?

polite blanch?

politic link?

I remember!

Policy Lynch! That's it. Policy lynch! But first people should vote RR.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 03:11:10 pm
imagine a simplified model wherein each town player is 50% likely to jump on any lynch, and each scum player is 100% likely to jump on a town lynch, and 0% likely to jump on a scum lynch

Well, if we imagine a simplified model wherein each town!silverspawn is 0% likely to be on a town lynch, you're confirmed scum too. Coming up with imaginary models and pulling numbers out of thin air is not a good argument when, in actuality, I was 100% likely to jump on the iguana lynch regardless of my alignment.

explaining a principle by using a model that is simplified in a way that doesn't affect the principle is more or less the most basic strategy of explaining something. This is what I did. If you understand why hammering town makes someone more likely to be scum in that model, you also understand why it makes him more likely in any game, because the reason is the same. You previously argued for why this is false, now you're backpedaling and try to argue why it is false in this particular game without acknowledging what you're doing. this is typical scum play

and that's the last post of you that I'll write an answer for (for now) because further argumentation hurts town as we've seen in fanfiction mafia.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 03:12:57 pm

we don't need to policy lynch. discussions with Awaclus only produce clutter if people keep responding. the better way to avoid clutter is to stop responding.

I still might prefer RR over Awaclus. I'll think about it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 03:24:27 pm
Imagine a model where this conversation doesn't suck.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 04:00:19 pm
I thought about it. vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:01:37 pm
How about don't vote RR?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 04:02:32 pm
explaining a principle by using a model that is simplified in a way that doesn't affect the principle is more or less the most basic strategy of explaining something. This is what I did. If you understand why hammering town makes someone more likely to be scum in that model, you also understand why it makes him more likely in any game, because the reason is the same. You previously argued for why this is false, now you're backpedaling and try to argue why it is false in this particular game without acknowledging what you're doing. this is typical scum play

It's not simplified in a way that doesn't affect the principle. It's a model that's simply wrong. I understand why hammering town makes someone more likely to be scum in that model, but that model is completely irrelevant to any real Mafia game, because it will never apply. The model is false in this particular game, and by extension, in every game for the same reason.

and that's the last post of you that I'll write an answer for (for now) because further argumentation hurts town as we've seen in fanfiction mafia.

What hurts town is using logic that's blatantly false.

How about don't vote RR?

Why?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 04:03:57 pm
imagine a simplified model wherein each town player is 50% likely to jump on any lynch, and each scum player is 100% likely to jump on a town lynch, and 0% likely to jump on a scum lynch

Well, if we imagine a simplified model wherein each town!silverspawn is 0% likely to be on a town lynch, you're confirmed scum too. Coming up with imaginary models and pulling numbers out of thin air is not a good argument when, in actuality, I was 100% likely to jump on the iguana lynch regardless of my alignment.

I'm generally anti arguing with Awaclus too, but this response made me chuckle.

I think the "let me create an arbitrary made up model biased to prove my point so it looks like science and not opinion" tactic is scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 04:05:14 pm
And for the record, I'm not agreeing with Awaclus.  I think the model is fundamentally flawed because I disagree with the assumption that scum is more likely to hammer a mislynch than town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 04:08:45 pm
I think the "let me create an arbitrary made up model biased to prove my point so it looks like science and not opinion" tactic is scummy.

Silverspawn created an arbitrary made up model and presented it as science and not an opinion, so I created an arbitrary made up model to prove that arbitrary made up models don't mean anything. I wasn't trying to actually use the model to prove that silver was scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 04:09:21 pm
Well, maybe demonstrate would have been a better choice of words than prove. It doesn't really need much proving.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:11:09 pm
I'm not scum and I don't know why people think I'm scum!!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 04:13:48 pm
I think the "let me create an arbitrary made up model biased to prove my point so it looks like science and not opinion" tactic is scummy.

Silverspawn created an arbitrary made up model and presented it as science and not an opinion, so I created an arbitrary made up model to prove that arbitrary made up models don't mean anything. I wasn't trying to actually use the model to prove that silver was scum.

You are saying what I am saying.  Why are you repeating me?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 04:15:00 pm
Someone wake me when it's over.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:17:53 pm
Someone wake me when it's over.
You're just going to sleep?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:20:35 pm
Iguana would agree with me if you guys didn't brutally murder him on Day One.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 04:22:10 pm
Someone wake me when it's over.

it is over when you decide to talk about other things.

like,, what do you think about RR?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 04:23:14 pm
Someone wake me when it's over.

it is over when you decide to talk about other things.

like,, what do you think about RR?

It's never too early to recklessly lynch RR.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:24:16 pm
I'd like to thank WW for his vote of confidence. You can go to sleep now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 04:25:44 pm
It's never too early to recklessly ynch RR.

now you're being anti town. what do you really think about RR? Or does what you're saying mean  you think he's towny?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 04:29:40 pm
I think the "let me create an arbitrary made up model biased to prove my point so it looks like science and not opinion" tactic is scummy.

Silverspawn created an arbitrary made up model and presented it as science and not an opinion, so I created an arbitrary made up model to prove that arbitrary made up models don't mean anything. I wasn't trying to actually use the model to prove that silver was scum.

You are saying what I am saying.  Why are you repeating me?

I thought you were something else.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 04:30:44 pm
I'm not scum and I don't know why people think I'm scum!!

You don't have to know why people think you're scum. Why are you town?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 04:30:49 pm
It's never too early to recklessly ynch RR.

now you're being anti town. what do you really think about RR? Or does what you're saying mean  you think he's towny?

I don't know.  I don't think anything he's done has been particularly scummy.  I also wouldn't cry too long if he got lynched.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 17, 2015, 04:31:14 pm
Also,

Vote: Faust
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:32:38 pm
I'm not scum and I don't know why people think I'm scum!!

You don't have to know why people think you're scum. Why are you town?
Because I got a PM saying so.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 04:34:23 pm
I'm not scum and I don't know why people think I'm scum!!

You don't have to know why people think you're scum. Why are you town?
Because I got a PM saying so.

Why should we believe you?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 04:37:13 pm
I'm not scum and I don't know why people think I'm scum!!

You don't have to know why people think you're scum. Why are you town?
Because I got a PM saying so.
My PM said I'm a member of the order of the pheonix, not that I'm town.

Also,

Vote: Faust

this doesn't seem to make a lot of sense. what scummy thing has faust done?

The biggest thing I can think of is that he hasn't died. That's quite scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 04:38:08 pm
I'm not scum and I don't know why people think I'm scum!!

You don't have to know why people think you're scum. Why are you town?
Because I got a PM saying so.
My PM said I'm a member of the order of the pheonix, not that I'm town.


So that flavor you read but not the awesome day start stuff.  Scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:39:44 pm
Awaclus, what do you want me to do to prove my towniness? Or as SS puts it, My Order of Phoenixness? A read list? A claim?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 04:40:48 pm
Vote: Awaclus
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:41:17 pm
Vote: Awaclus
Yay Faust is out for someone besides me!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 04:41:52 pm
Vote: Awaclus
Yay Faust is out for someone besides me!

 ::) I never even voted for you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 04:42:06 pm
Awaclus, what do you want me to do to prove my towniness? Or as SS puts it, My Order of Phoenixness? A read list? A claim?

It doesn't really work like that. You're supposed to explain why we should think that you're town.

saying 'town' is fine. You can refer to any majority alignment in mafia as 'town'. It's just that you said your PM stated you're town.

I don't think that is a scum slip, but I think there  is a slim chance that it might be.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 04:42:58 pm
Vote: Awaclus

is that policy or alignment-cy?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 04:43:56 pm
Vote: Awaclus

is that policy or alignment-cy?
It's because he's scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 04:44:06 pm
RR, whatever you alignment, you need to get over this.

This is a game.  If you let the pressure of maybe being lynched, of a vote or two, whatever, get to your head and freak out, it'll eventually destroy you and me you an asshole, like me.

Just be cool with it.  Don't freak about every vote or scumread or whatever.  I honestly feel like lynching you is the best thing we can do for you here.  Maybe one you get lynched once, you'll realize it's just make believe and you won't actually die.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 04:45:01 pm
Awaclus, what do you want me to do to prove my towniness? Or as SS puts it, My Order of Phoenixness? A read list? A claim?

No, you should point out some of the things that you have already done that should lead us to believe that you are more likely to be town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 04:46:51 pm
Vote: Awaclus

is that policy or alignment-cy?
It's because he's scum.

that made me laugh, but it doesn't really answer the question.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 04:47:35 pm
I think SS and faust are the same alignment.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 04:48:00 pm
imagine a simplified model wherein each town player is 50% likely to jump on any lynch, and each scum player is 100% likely to jump on a town lynch, and 0% likely to jump on a scum lynch

Well, if we imagine a simplified model wherein each town!silverspawn is 0% likely to be on a town lynch, you're confirmed scum too. Coming up with imaginary models and pulling numbers out of thin air is not a good argument when, in actuality, I was 100% likely to jump on the iguana lynch regardless of my alignment.
Surely if you'd lynch iguana regardless of your alignment, then it's a bad thing to do? Since it's a good scum option.

PPE:2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 04:48:08 pm
Imagine a model where this conversation doesn't suck.
+1
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:48:21 pm
RR, whatever you alignment, you need to get over this.

This is a game.  If you let the pressure of maybe being lynched, of a vote or two, whatever, get to your head and freak out, it'll eventually destroy you and me you an asshole, like me.

Just be cool with it.  Don't freak about every vote or scumread or whatever.  I honestly feel like lynching you is the best thing we can do for you here.  Maybe one you get lynched once, you'll realize it's just make believe and you won't actually die.
What? This is just me being competitive. I will not let any of this get in my head. Don't lynch me for that.
PPE 3
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:49:17 pm
Awaclus, what do you want me to do to prove my towniness? Or as SS puts it, My Order of Phoenixness? A read list? A claim?

No, you should point out some of the things that you have already done that should lead us to believe that you are more likely to be town.
I didn't lynch a town, and I feel like I have acted normal.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 04:50:15 pm
I'm not scum and I don't know why people think I'm scum!!

You don't have to know why people think you're scum. Why are you town?
Because I got a PM saying so.
This sounds like the sort of response I'd give, after having been lynched every previous game...

Curious, is RR often scum or not?

PPE:2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 17, 2015, 04:51:16 pm
I'm not scum and I don't know why people think I'm scum!!

You don't have to know why people think you're scum. Why are you town?
Because I got a PM saying so.
This sounds like the sort of response I'd give, after having been lynched every previous game...

Curious, is RR often scum or not?

PPE:2

we have never seen scum RR yet.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 04:51:27 pm
Vote: Awaclus

is that policy or alignment-cy?
It's because he's scum.

that made me laugh, but it doesn't really answer the question.

I policy-lynch all people who are bad at math. Also, I think Awaclus looks bad from that discussion. Holding on to an opinion even when it's proven to be wrong seems like something that scum!Awaclus would do to appear like himself.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 04:51:43 pm
I've never been scum Joseph. I've only flipped twice though.
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 04:56:47 pm
Surely if you'd lynch iguana regardless of your alignment, then it's a bad thing to do? Since it's a good scum option.

As town, I didn't know that it was a bad thing to do.

I didn't lynch a town, and I feel like I have acted normal.

I have already explained why it is not necessarily towny to be off-wagon, and feeling like you have acted normal sounds like you don't know that you have acted normal.

I policy-lynch all people who are bad at math. Also, I think Awaclus looks bad from that discussion. Holding on to an opinion even when it's proven to be wrong seems like something that scum!Awaclus would do to appear like himself.

I'm not bad at math. The only way math enters this discussion is if you come up with arbitrary numbers, which is what silverspawn did, but then you need to show that those arbitrary numbers actually apply in this particular situation, which silverspawn basically admitted that he couldn't do.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 04:57:45 pm
RR, whatever you alignment, you need to get over this.

This is a game.  If you let the pressure of maybe being lynched, of a vote or two, whatever, get to your head and freak out, it'll eventually destroy you and me you an asshole, like me.

Just be cool with it.  Don't freak about every vote or scumread or whatever.  I honestly feel like lynching you is the best thing we can do for you here.  Maybe one you get lynched once, you'll realize it's just make believe and you won't actually die.
What? This is just me being competitive. I will not let any of this get in my head. Don't lynch me for that.
PPE 3

Stop saying "don't lynch me" and any variations of that phrase.  That's my point.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 04:58:26 pm
I policy-lynch all people who are bad at math. Also, I think Awaclus looks bad from that discussion. Holding on to an opinion even when it's proven to be wrong seems like something that scum!Awaclus would do to appear like himself.

I'm not bad at math. The only way math enters this discussion is if you come up with arbitrary numbers, which is what silverspawn did, but then you need to show that those arbitrary numbers actually apply in this particular situation, which silverspawn basically admitted that he couldn't do.

See? You think number are necessary in order to do math. That alone proves that you are bad at math.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 05:00:50 pm
I feel like I have nothing to add anymore.
Unless someone wants something from me, I will go offline for an hour or two.

And Faust, I am downright awful at anything but simple maths.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 05:04:44 pm
I feel like I have nothing to add anymore.
Unless someone wants something from me, I will go offline for an hour or two.

And Faust, I am downright awful at anything but simple maths.

But you're only 13; there's still hope for you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 05:07:10 pm
Awaclus is still in his early twenties.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 05:07:27 pm
See? You think number are necessary in order to do math. That alone proves that you are bad at math.

That's not what I think, that's what I assumed you meant, since while a lot of logic is technically math, it's not what people usually mean, and there is absolutely no reason to think that I'm bad at logic when it's other people who are reaching conclusions that don't follow from the premises we have.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 05:10:57 pm
As much as I love watching Faust and Awaclus fight over something irrelevant...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 05:12:43 pm
As much as I love watching Faust and Awaclus fight over something irrelevant...

Whether I'm bad at math or not is pretty relevant.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 05:13:34 pm
As much as I love watching Faust and Awaclus fight over something irrelevant...

Whether I'm bad at math or not is pretty relevant.
To this game of Mafia?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 05:19:08 pm
As much as I love watching Faust and Awaclus fight over something irrelevant...

Whether I'm bad at math or not is pretty relevant.
To this game of Mafia?

Yes, and a lot of other things that are quite a bit more important than this game of Mafia.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 17, 2015, 05:22:34 pm
RR, whatever you alignment, you need to get over this.

This is a game.  If you let the pressure of maybe being lynched, of a vote or two, whatever, get to your head and freak out, it'll eventually destroy you and me you an asshole, like me.

Just be cool with it.  Don't freak about every vote or scumread or whatever.  I honestly feel like lynching you is the best thing we can do for you here.  Maybe one you get lynched once, you'll realize it's just make believe and you won't actually die.
What? This is just me being competitive. I will not let any of this get in my head. Don't lynch me for that.
PPE 3

Stop saying "don't lynch me" and any variations of that phrase.  That's my point.
I agree, from experience it tends to get you nowhere, and just frustrate other people towards lynching you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 05:23:08 pm
Okay Joseph, what else should I say?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 17, 2015, 05:36:43 pm
I am not a math wizard, by any means.  I would profess very little ability in the matter.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 05:47:36 pm
three people are voting for RR (yuma, joseph, SS)

He hasn't OMGUSed any of them. In every game that has finished that I have seen RR as town he has aggressively pushed for a lynch of someone that was voting for him.

He hasn't done that here.

I think that this is because he is scum.

In fact he hasn't voted at all. I believe that this is consistent with him being scum as per his logic, if he votes for someone that will make them want to vote for him as well, so he is being extremely cautious with his votes so as to not incur the wrath of other players that may vote for him.

I am now very serious with my vote. Before it was an experiment. I encourage others to vote for RR as well.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 05:55:15 pm
I don't see the RR thing. He doesn't vote; there have been other games where he didn't vote also. He was town in these games. It's true that he feels less obv!town than in previous games, but that might be because he has some experience and I have some experience with him and I am cautious because I don't know what scum!RR looks like.

I don't think anything he has done really indicates that he's scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 05:57:04 pm
Awaclus is still in his early twenties.

(https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/too_old_for_this_shit.png)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 05:57:34 pm
I don't see the RR thing. He doesn't vote; there have been other games where he didn't vote also.

link or it didn't happen
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 05:58:11 pm
I've started playing Forum Mafia. I recently google searched roles, and that lead me to read a lot about Forum Mafia. I learned why OMGUSing is bad. I also decided to be more decisive with my vote so I will be taken seriously. This is the new RR. Read it or weep.
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 05:58:43 pm
Faust, did you make that or find it?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 06:00:18 pm
I don't see the RR thing. He doesn't vote; there have been other games where he didn't vote also. He was town in these games. It's true that he feels less obv!town than in previous games, but that might be because he has some experience and I have some experience with him and I am cautious because I don't know what scum!RR looks like.

I don't think anything he has done really indicates that he's scum.

The things that I think indicate RR being scum are

- his treatment of the day 1 wagon. he wasn't on it, and wasn't upset about it
- no town vibes. you said that yourself. considering the massive town vibes from previous games, that's a pretty big one
- what yuma just said. no votes.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 06:03:56 pm
Faust, did you make that or find it?

This link is relevant:

https://xkcd.com/1053/
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 06:09:28 pm
Good points by yuma and silverspawn. Vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 06:24:24 pm
I don't see the RR thing. He doesn't vote; there have been other games where he didn't vote also. He was town in these games. It's true that he feels less obv!town than in previous games, but that might be because he has some experience and I have some experience with him and I am cautious because I don't know what scum!RR looks like.

I don't think anything he has done really indicates that he's scum.

The things that I think indicate RR being scum are

- his treatment of the day 1 wagon. he wasn't on it, and wasn't upset about it
- no town vibes. you said that yourself. considering the massive town vibes from previous games, that's a pretty big one
- what yuma just said. no votes.
Again, I have nothing else to say. I am not good enough at Mafia to sway you or Yuma. I'm not saying I've accepted my fate, but I don't see what I can do about it. I guess we can afford this lynch without being in too terrible of a position, so I don't feel so strong about this. If you guys need to see me flip to believe me, all I can do is flip.

But I hope you remember who voted for me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 06:29:23 pm
But I hope you remember who voted for me.

I almost want to unvote you because of it.

But Awaclus might always bus.

How much does scum!Awaclus like to bus?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 06:37:03 pm
But I hope you remember who voted for me.

I almost want to unvote you because of it.

But Awaclus might always bus.

How much does scum!Awaclus like to bus?
Don't bother unvoting. I've lost the trust of the town. All I can do now to help is flip. So let's be selfless for once. Vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 06:42:20 pm
And as a 13 year old, saying 'I told you so' to a bunch of well-educated adults is the dream.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 06:43:16 pm
unvote

vote: Awaclus
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 06:43:44 pm
And as a 13 year old, saying 'I told you so' to a bunch of well-educated adults is the dream.
that's flattering. I mean, it really is.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 06:45:22 pm
however

- you should always play towards your wincon. The only exception is if you are a survivor and made a promise towards town; then you should play towards your promise.
- generally, the person with the greatest responsibility for being mislynched is the person being mislynched. not always, but generally.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 06:46:27 pm
And as a 13 year old, saying 'I told you so' to a bunch of well-educated adults is the dream.
that's flattering. I mean, it really is.
I'm just hoping for a looooong twilight. I can't see myself living until the end of this day, but I want a lot of time for it to sink in: The Boy who Lived has fallen.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 06:47:15 pm
I just unvoted you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 06:48:57 pm
however

- you should always play towards your wincon. The only exception is if you are a survivor and made a promise towards town; then you should play towards your promise.
- generally, the person with the greatest responsibility for being mislynched is the person being mislynched. not always, but generally.
I am playing to win. When I flip, hopefully it will be obvious who the scum is (like, maybe the people who started the wagon and KEPT SAYING 'vote RR').

And I actually don't want to get lynched, but I lost that battle.
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 06:49:26 pm
I just unvoted you.
I applaude that, but I expect no one to follow suit.

I'm not unvoting.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 06:53:04 pm
There is a lot of day left, Roadrunner. No reason to give up.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 06:55:58 pm
There is a lot of day left, Roadrunner. No reason to give up.
Faust, you're it. I know you know this, but later in the day when you reveal your true colors and vote for me, all your sheep will follow you. You're my lifeline, and you're just waiting for the right moment. I'm done, man.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 07:10:31 pm
But I hope you remember who voted for me.

I almost want to unvote you because of it.

But Awaclus might always bus.

How much does scum!Awaclus like to bus?

That's irrelevant because I'm not scum!Awaclus, but I think the only time I've been on a partner lynch as scum was in Blarnia Mafia.

The only exception is if you are a survivor and made a promise towards town; then you should play towards your promise.

That's not true. If you're a claimed survivor and you're caught playing against a survivor win con, you will just get lynched every time.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 07:13:40 pm
Also, I'm certainly not going to unvote as long as RR is still voting for himself.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 07:18:20 pm
There is a lot of day left, Roadrunner. No reason to give up.
Faust, you're it. I know you know this, but later in the day when you reveal your true colors and vote for me, all your sheep will follow you. You're my lifeline, and you're just waiting for the right moment. I'm done, man.
That's harsh, man. Just because you had a bad experience with someone posing as me the last time around doesn't mean it's not me now. I am not seeing myself vote for you today.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 07:19:00 pm
Also, I'm certainly not going to unvote as long as RR is still voting for himself.

I do wonder: How exactly does whether or not RR unvotes influence if he's scum or not?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 07:21:12 pm
Also, I'm certainly not going to unvote as long as RR is still voting for himself.

I think we agreed on something for the first time ever...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 07:22:50 pm
There is a lot of day left, Roadrunner. No reason to give up.
Faust, you're it. I know you know this, but later in the day when you reveal your true colors and vote for me, all your sheep will follow you. You're my lifeline, and you're just waiting for the right moment. I'm done, man.
That's harsh, man. Just because you had a bad experience with someone posing as me the last time around doesn't mean it's not me now. I am not seeing myself vote for you today.
Someone posing as you? And Mafia is a harsh game. You have the power Faust, and if this wagon doesn't get broken up soon, I can't see town Faust not jumping on it. I hope you won't go for it though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 07:23:33 pm
Also, I'm certainly not going to unvote as long as RR is still voting for himself.

I think we agreed on something for the first time ever...
And ironically, you're both wrong. Or scum. Actually that's an interesting thought. I wonder how an Awaclus/yuma scumteam would work. Would definitely love to see the QT.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 07:23:47 pm
Also, I'm certainly not going to unvote as long as RR is still voting for himself.

I think we agreed on something for the first time ever...
You wouldn't unvote me even if I unvoted myself. You have your heart set on scum RR.
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 07:24:21 pm
Someone posing as you?

I made a flavor reference. You know, with me being Mad Eye Moody and you Harry.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 07:25:34 pm
Someone posing as you?

I made a flavor reference. You know, with me being Mad Eye Moody and you Harry.
Maybe I should get into the flavor. I doubt I'll get NKed since scum probably thinks my time to get lynched is near, but this is Harry Potter Mafia.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 07:28:07 pm
Faust, did you make that or find it?

This link is relevant:

https://xkcd.com/1053/

It is also the source of my avatar...

SS why did you unvote?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 07:29:31 pm
Also, I'm certainly not going to unvote as long as RR is still voting for himself.

I think we agreed on something for the first time ever...
And ironically, you're both wrong. Or scum. Actually that's an interesting thought. I wonder how an Awaclus/yuma scumteam would work. Would definitely love to see the QT.

How can you know we are wrong?

And I would try and use the nk on him probably...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 07:33:20 pm
Also, I'm certainly not going to unvote as long as RR is still voting for himself.

I think we agreed on something for the first time ever...
And ironically, you're both wrong. Or scum. Actually that's an interesting thought. I wonder how an Awaclus/yuma scumteam would work. Would definitely love to see the QT.

How can you know we are wrong?

And I would try and use the nk on him probably...

I am the scumhunting god of f.ds and so I know.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:33:31 pm
Faust, did you make that or find it?

This link is relevant:

https://xkcd.com/1053/

It is also the source of my avatar...

SS why did you unvote?

RR essentially giving up struck me as town!RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 07:33:57 pm
I don't see the RR thing. He doesn't vote; there have been other games where he didn't vote also.

link or it didn't happen

Did this get a response. Faust is making a defense but not providing evidence to back it up. I'll provide evidence of my case showing RR Omgus in all finished games up to this point when I am back on a computer. Phone posting sucks.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:34:37 pm
and here comes a super useful thing: I am really scared to make a wrong decision now
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 07:34:52 pm
Also, I'm certainly not going to unvote as long as RR is still voting for himself.

I think we agreed on something for the first time ever...
And ironically, you're both wrong. Or scum. Actually that's an interesting thought. I wonder how an Awaclus/yuma scumteam would work. Would definitely love to see the QT.

How can you know we are wrong?

And I would try and use the nk on him probably...

I am the scumhunting god of f.ds and so I know.

Dayvig: faust
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:35:17 pm
yeah faust defending RR like this is getting suspicious. Usually, when faust is defending something, I instinctively know why he is doing it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 07:35:33 pm
I don't see the RR thing. He doesn't vote; there have been other games where he didn't vote also.

link or it didn't happen

Did this get a response. Faust is making a defense but not providing evidence to back it up. I'll provide evidence of my case showing RR Omgus in all finished games up to this point when I am back on a computer. Phone posting sucks.

Nah... you're right, he does a lot of OMGUS. I specifically remember getting in a fight with him because he refused to vote though, but I can't remember in which game that was.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 17, 2015, 07:36:31 pm
Dayvig: faust

Of course if you actually were a Dayvig, you would use your power on Awaclus!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:36:42 pm
I don't see the RR thing. He doesn't vote; there have been other games where he didn't vote also.

link or it didn't happen

Did this get a response. Faust is making a defense but not providing evidence to back it up. I'll provide evidence of my case showing RR Omgus in all finished games up to this point when I am back on a computer. Phone posting sucks.

Nah... you're right, he does a lot of OMGUS. I specifically remember getting in a fight with him because he refused to vote though, but I can't remember in which game that was.

I remember that, but that was because he suddenly thought town should no-lynch, so I think it's different.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:37:23 pm
yuma, how confident are you in the RR lynch? 40%? 50%? 60%?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 17, 2015, 07:37:54 pm
My reasons for the faust vote, as promised. 

Firstly, his vote on iguana is really quite suspiciously timed.  Feels like scum getting on a mislynch.  He says that the iguana vote "seems like a good starting point", without reference to the reason for the vote. We can assume that the reason is the apparent scumslip, but then why does he feel the need to add that decoration to his vote?  Seems unfausty.

More to the point, I'm not sure town!faust votes iguana on the basis of a tenuous "scumslip" like that anyway.

He then makes two posts misunderstanding other people:
Ash seems the scummiest, because he is the one who looks like he knew the most what he was doing. A lot of other people didn't even realize it was a lynch until it happened (Yuma, WW).

That said, they could be faking that they didn't know what was up in order to look less scummy.

Asking me to analyze this is ridiculous, though. I seriously know nothing any more than any other town person knows right now. You all should be analyzing it!

We have tomorrow to analyze it, with the added info of your flip, assuming we as individuals live through the night...

You have until efhw is online...

How do you know you have until tomorrow?

and

It would have been so much cooler if he was scum.

So you already know he's not? Interesting.

This second one in particular reads as an intentional misunderstanding, perhaps an attempt to cast suspicion.

That's it, really.  It's not the strongest thing ever, but enough to justify the vote, I think.  I've been paying only a little attention today, so again I'll have to catch up tomorrow; it's not unlikely that at that point I might find someone I'd rather vote for than faust.

Not really convinced by the RR thing, but I'll read the arguments for/against tomorrow. 

Sleeping now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 07:38:38 pm
That was in blitz Mafia I think. And Awaclus and Yuma seem a teensy bit scummy, but not enough for me to defend that claim.
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 07:40:14 pm
That was in blitz Mafia I think. And Awaclus and Yuma seem a teensy bit scummy, but not enough for me to defend that claim.
PPE 2

No, I don't think it was in blitz. I don't like blitz and don't follow blitz but I remember it, therefore it has to have been somewhere else.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 07:55:32 pm
yuma, how confident are you in the RR lynch? 40%? 50%? 60%?

Let's see, 11 alive, take me away 3.33 scum. That is a guesstimate given possibilities for 2 or 3 mafia and a SK. So that is 33%. I would add an extra 10%. So 43%?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 07:57:25 pm
yuma, how confident are you in the RR lynch? 40%? 50%? 60%?

Let's see, 11 alive, take me away 3.33 scum. That is a guesstimate given possibilities for 2 or 3 mafia and a SK. So that is 33%. I would add an extra 10%. So 43%?
The fact that you think everyone has a 33% chance sends up a red flag.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 07:59:06 pm
Dayvig: faust

Of course if you actually were a Dayvig, you would use your power on Awaclus!

Naturally. But I am assuming I am a 2-shot.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 08:00:01 pm
yuma, how confident are you in the RR lynch? 40%? 50%? 60%?

Let's see, 11 alive, take me away 3.33 scum. That is a guesstimate given possibilities for 2 or 3 mafia and a SK. So that is 33%. I would add an extra 10%. So 43%?
The fact that you think everyone has a 33% chance sends up a red flag.

Did I do the math wrong? Math is hard.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 08:01:45 pm
No, I think you did it right. But some people are townier, and math with numbers can't figure that out.

And was the DayVig thing a joke? Or did you just kill Faust?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 08:13:19 pm
No, I think you did it right. But some people are townier, and math with numbers can't figure that out.

And was the DayVig thing a joke? Or did you just kill Faust?

Right but as a base taking reads completely out of it that is the odds people have. I think you are 10%, whatever that means, scummier than a person who is completely null... Which I agree doesn't truly exist cause that is a vacuum situation. But ss asked me to give a percentage, so there you go.

And Faust has died. Spiritually, figuratively, metaphysically, subjectively, abstractly... You take your pick.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 08:14:52 pm
You killed Faust? So does that make you an IC?

And why wouldn't you kill me?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 08:55:57 pm
only 10%? mh...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 08:58:27 pm
You killed Faust? So does that make you an IC?

Does it look like there's a dayvig in the setup?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 09:04:53 pm
You killed Faust? So does that make you an IC?

Does it look like there's a dayvig in the setup?
Not that I read the setup, but I don't think there is.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 09:09:25 pm
Not that I read the setup, but I don't think there is.

Okay, now I'm not going to unvote you until you've stopped unvoting yourself and read the setup.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 09:09:43 pm
Not that I read the setup, but I don't think there is.

Okay, now I'm not going to unvote you until you've stopped unvoting yourself and read the setup.

*stopped voting yourself
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 09:15:46 pm
only 10%? mh...

Do you have an expected number or something? What is enough to be willing to lynch someone?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 17, 2015, 09:26:41 pm
only 10%? mh...

Do you have an expected number or something? What is enough to be willing to lynch someone?

no, no, 10% is fine to lynch someone. it's just not enough to make me vote for RR right now. His self-voting screams town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 17, 2015, 09:39:09 pm
only 10%? mh...

Do you have an expected number or something? What is enough to be willing to lynch someone?

no, no, 10% is fine to lynch someone. it's just not enough to make me vote for RR right now. His self-voting screams town.

Someday I am actually going to go through with my project and compile all the lists of times people self vote and see their alignment. I want to say that they are more often scum (well within proportions of town to mafia ratio wise) but that might just be selective memory bias coming into play.

Regardless I certainly not unvoting until he moves his vote. Precedent and anti town and all that crap. Plus I just think it is scummy...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 09:49:58 pm
I don't want to move my vote until we hear from Joseph. Why is it such a big deal that I'm self voting?

And Awaclus, I read the setup. Yuma is a liar.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 09:58:16 pm
Someday I am actually going to go through with my project and compile all the lists of times people self vote and see their alignment. I want to say that they are more often scum (well within proportions of town to mafia ratio wise) but that might just be selective memory bias coming into play.

Regardless I certainly not unvoting until he moves his vote. Precedent and anti town and all that crap. Plus I just think it is scummy...

Huh, this actually reminds me of something.

Vote: Haddock I guess.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 10:00:20 pm
So now I have three votes?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 10:01:30 pm
And let's hear from gkreig sometime soon.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 10:02:54 pm
In case it's not obvious, yuma's post was why I wanted to unvote RR, and voting Haddock was because I don't like just unvoting without voting for someone else if there's time to think about who I want to vote for next.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 10:04:45 pm
What exactly did Yuma say to sway you?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 10:05:51 pm
What exactly did Yuma say to sway you?

He said:

Someday I am actually going to go through with my project and compile all the lists of times people self vote and see their alignment. I want to say that they are more often scum (well within proportions of town to mafia ratio wise) but that might just be selective memory bias coming into play.

Regardless I certainly not unvoting until he moves his vote. Precedent and anti town and all that crap. Plus I just think it is scummy...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 17, 2015, 10:09:43 pm
Yes, I know what he said, Captain. But why did that sway you?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 17, 2015, 10:15:48 pm
Yes, I know what he said, Captain. But why did that sway you?

I believe it's in the best interests of town to keep my thought process hidden. It's not immediately obvious (except it might be to some people, but I hope those people aren't scum), but if I ever have to actually explain it, it should be very easy to believe the explanation and see why I removed myself from your wagon.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 17, 2015, 10:18:33 pm
And let's hear from gkreig sometime soon.

Sorry been out. I'll talk more tomorrow. Today was busy and I was sick so my normal forum time was spent napping.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 17, 2015, 11:35:44 pm
Hey, I don't have my computer,  can you please do a vote count for me?

Vote Count 2.2

Roadrunner (3): yuma, Joseph2902, Roadrunner7671
faust (2): Haddock, Witherweaver
Haddock (3): ashersky, gkrieg13, Awaclus
Awaclus (2): faust, silverspawn

not voting (1): Hydrad

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 02:08:58 am
vote: roadrunner
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 04:43:02 am
vote: roadrunner

Seriously?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 05:55:11 am
only 10%? mh...

Do you have an expected number or something? What is enough to be willing to lynch someone?

no, no, 10% is fine to lynch someone. it's just not enough to make me vote for RR right now. His self-voting screams town.

Someday I am actually going to go through with my project and compile all the lists of times people self vote and see their alignment. I want to say that they are more often scum (well within proportions of town to mafia ratio wise) but that might just be selective memory bias coming into play.

sure, but...

RR isn't just any player and he didn't just self-vote.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 05:55:38 am
I also don't even think self-voting is the msot evil thing ever and everyone who does it deserves to be policy lynched.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 07:40:59 am
I'm not just any player <3
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 07:52:39 am
I also don't even think self-voting is the msot evil thing ever and everyone who does it deserves to be policy lynched.

disagree. it serves no purpose but to the individual player both over the long run and in the short term. Either the player is scum and deserves to be lynched or the player is town and putting themselves one vote closer to a mislynch and depriving the town of one of the most useful tools in the game (their vote) in finding the real scum. Self voting serves no purpose except to make people say "Huh!? Maybe he isn't scum because scum would never self vote" which if you are mafia, is exactly what you would want to happen. But if you are town, find a different way of showing the town that you aren't mafia.

But I am not voting RR for policy, I mean I would be if it came to that. I am voting him because as I said above....

He hasn't not reacted to heavy and persistent pressure as he has in the past with an OMGUS vote. Not only that, but RR has perceived in the past that himself staying alive as the most important thing that he can accomplish to help town. To the point that in the past he has stated that anyone that suspects him must be mafia. This has been his logic in the past and he isn't using it here. I think it is because he is mafia and knows that he is mafia, so someone suspecting him no longer means they must be mafia... instead they must be town who is on to him...

RR has stated once I pointed this out that he is trying to change his meta. Except he has spent this whole game asking anyone "what's my meta?" "What's my meta?" Why is he asking if he already knows that he had one and changed it? Why haven't other parts of his meta changed?

Further more he hasn't voted for anyone (aside from himself now). This coincides with this idea that if when he was town someone voted for him they must be mafia, he is now showing extremely reluctance in voting for others because I believe he thinks that if he does it will show that he is mafia to them and make them want to vote for him.

I think the self voting thing is something he has seen others do to varying levels of success. He knows people expect him to act strangely and different. So he is trying to emulate just that.

We have wanted to see what scum!RR looked like. I think we finally found it. Cause this isn't the town!RR that we are used to seeing.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 08:01:10 am
I appreciate the essay dedicated to me. Do I find it scummy? Maybe a tad. I've already explained why I'm acting different. Ash and Joesph (and others, I'm sure) were tired of hearing 'Just don't lynch me, guys.' I decidee desperate times call for desperate measures, so I voted for myself. Did I expect it to get a reaction as big as this? Not really. Everyone knows I squirm under pressure. No one has told me what they want me to do. OMGUS someone? You're bad at Mafia. Don't OMGUS someone? You're scum. Don't vote for yourself? That's okay, we will! Vote for yourself? No, you're scum. This is mob mentality coming out in you guys. I've been told I'm scum so much I've almost started to believe it. If this is the way you guys need it to go, then I hope you can clean up the mess you will make.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 08:06:45 am
Quick skim for examples of RR voting for those who were voting for him:

I'm in a game again! Weee!

Unfortunately, like Haddock, I will have to go to bed.

Vote: Roadrunner
What? What are you basing that upon?

Vote: faust

Unvote: Faust

vote: Roadrunner7671


followed shortly by:

Vote: ashersky



Why are we voting already?

Vote: Roadrunner
Okay, I see how it is.
Vote: Awalcus

I thought he had been in more games than this. Obviously one is still on-going so won't go there.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 08:24:29 am
I appreciate the essay dedicated to me. Do I find it scummy? Maybe a tad. I've already explained why I'm acting different. Ash and Joesph (and others, I'm sure) were tired of hearing 'Just don't lynch me, guys.' I decidee desperate times call for desperate measures, so I voted for myself. Did I expect it to get a reaction as big as this? Not really. Everyone knows I squirm under pressure. No one has told me what they want me to do. OMGUS someone? You're bad at Mafia. Don't OMGUS someone? You're scum. Don't vote for yourself? That's okay, we will! Vote for yourself? No, you're scum. This is mob mentality coming out in you guys. I've been told I'm scum so much I've almost started to believe it. If this is the way you guys need it to go, then I hope you can clean up the mess you will make.

I mean, if you aren't scum. I am sorry. No one likes to be mislynched or correctly lynched for that matter. But I am not one who is going to ever be guilt-tripped into not pushing for a lynch on someone that I think is mafia. Lynching is part of the game of mafia and risking that it might happen to you is a hazard that you have to face when signing up for it.

And again. I am not voting for you because you are self voting. I am voting for you because you aren't acting the way that you have as previous times as town AND you aren't acting townie in different way. I mean if you had decidedly changed your meta and as a result were acting more townie that would be a different story. But that isn't what happened. You appeared to have changed your meta (because I think you are now playing as mafia and that dictated to you either subconsciously or consciously to change how you play) but you still aren't playing in a way that is helping or is pro-town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 08:25:07 am
So about RR. Let us assume for a moment that RR is scum, for the sake of the argument.

He seems to be playing decently well. I mean, the whole self-voting thing is already pretty good emotional manipulation. He also knows his meta and emulates it - this constant asking of "what's my meta?" is an indicator for this, as that's something he has done before.

So we have to agree that RR is a decent scum player and that he is aware of his meta. Then he should also know about his tendency to OMGUS. So that's the easiest part of the meta, why does he not emulate that?

This is why I think RR is town. Also because I believe newbie!scum!RR would not play that well.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 08:26:31 am
No one has told me what they want me to do.

I want you to vote for the player you think is most likely to be scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 08:27:36 am
No one has told me what they want me to do.

I want you to vote for the player you think is most likely to be scum.
Okay, that's very easy.
Vote: Yuma
Now let's see the fire I get put under.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 08:28:23 am
No one has told me what they want me to do.

I want you to vote for the player you think is most likely to be scum.
Okay, that's very easy.
Vote: Yuma
Now let's see the fire I get put under.

and there is the OMGUS.... once called out on it, the gambit is up and out it came. Well now RR is town. He has OMGUSed! Everyone unvote!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 08:30:16 am
What? This isn't even because you're going for me. It's because you refuse to consider a different possibility and you'll stay at my throat the entire game. Therefore, you aren't helping the town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 08:32:20 am
So about RR. Let us assume for a moment that RR is scum, for the sake of the argument.

He seems to be playing decently well. I mean, the whole self-voting thing is already pretty good emotional manipulation. He also knows his meta and emulates it - this constant asking of "what's my meta?" is an indicator for this, as that's something he has done before.

So we have to agree that RR is a decent scum player and that he is aware of his meta. Then he should also know about his tendency to OMGUS. So that's the easiest part of the meta, why does he not emulate that?

This is why I think RR is town. Also because I believe newbie!scum!RR would not play that well.

I have already addressed this point. It all goes back to his mindset of how he approaches the game. This is how I think RR feels about the game.

When he is town his priority over everything else is that he stay alive. That is the most important thing. Because he knows he is town and if he stays alive, he will win.

Thus anyone that is voting for him must be against him, as town, and thus must be on the other side of him, mafia. Hence the OMGUSing.

But flip that. He is now mafia and he still has that mindset and furthermore it seems to him that others should think that way as well. If, when he is town, suspects people for voting for him, why shouldn't others do the same when he, as mafia, votes for them.

To me it fits in perfectly. Faust's defense here seems to be forced. I am generally not one to suspect partners, but I am starting to lean that way.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 08:34:02 am
What? This isn't even because you're going for me. It's because you refuse to consider a different possibility and you'll stay at my throat the entire game. Therefore, you aren't helping the town.

Read what you just wrote.

And no I won't consider a different possibility. I feel about this like I did about the Awaclus lynch back in Fanfiction. And I got swayed from that over and over again by ash... who is acted a lot like faust did there...

So no, I am not backing down. I am going to get you lynched or die in the process...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 08:44:52 am
especially given the complete absence of any other compelling case at this junction.

If there actually is something better that someone else (probably other than faust, I don't trust him this game at all) comes up with, I'll consider it. But right now. I think what I have presented is the best we currently have and I will push for it until I stop believing that. But I am not going to just roll over and play dead cause faust is apparently dead set against it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 08:56:53 am
especially given the complete absence of any other compelling case at this junction.

If there actually is something better that someone else (probably other than faust, I don't trust him this game at all) comes up with, I'll consider it. But right now. I think what I have presented is the best we currently have and I will push for it until I stop believing that. But I am not going to just roll over and play dead cause faust is apparently dead set against it.

If you don't trust me at all, you should vote for me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 09:10:31 am
Don't feel Faust any more.

Vote: Yuma
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 18, 2015, 09:13:05 am
vote: Yuma.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 09:14:24 am
especially given the complete absence of any other compelling case at this junction.

If there actually is something better that someone else (probably other than faust, I don't trust him this game at all) comes up with, I'll consider it. But right now. I think what I have presented is the best we currently have and I will push for it until I stop believing that. But I am not going to just roll over and play dead cause faust is apparently dead set against it.

If you don't trust me at all, you should vote for me.

i only have one vote
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 09:14:32 am
phewey
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 09:18:03 am
You know what is going to be a huge deterrent to lynching scum!RR when he is scum?

This ridiculous idea that anyone that pushes for a RR lynch is scum. Cause you can bet that whomever his partners are when that day comes (and it very well could be today) will use that a reason to try and dissuade people from voting for him. Luckily (or unluckily depending on this ultimate outcome), I am not so easily dissuaded...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 09:51:19 am
Well, I think yuma is scummy, but I always think that, so... I still prefer an Awaclus lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 09:52:55 am
Well, I think yuma is scummy, but I always think that, so... I still prefer an Awaclus lynch.

And why do you always think I am scummy? Do you think it has more to do with you than it does with me? Or vice versa?

Well... I am always down for a HTSNBN lynch, even if you are on it...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 09:57:13 am
Well, I think yuma is scummy, but I always think that, so... I still prefer an Awaclus lynch.

And why do you always think I am scummy? Do you think it has more to do with you than it does with me? Or vice versa?

Well... I am always down for a HTSNBN lynch, even if you are on it...

I don't know why, it's just a bias I have. Maybe because we disagree so much? Maybe because you use "..." a lot, and that always invokes a picture of a villain sitting in his chair and petting a cat?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 10:04:39 am
Well, I think yuma is scummy, but I always think that, so... I still prefer an Awaclus lynch.

And why do you always think I am scummy? Do you think it has more to do with you than it does with me? Or vice versa?

Well... I am always down for a HTSNBN lynch, even if you are on it...

I don't know why, it's just a bias I have. Maybe because we disagree so much? Maybe because you use "..." a lot, and that always invokes a picture of a villain sitting in his chair and petting a cat?

Yeah... I get that a lot...

Really the problem was the leader-status we granted to yuma. He must have been saying "dance muppets dance!" while petting his white cat a lot these past few weeks.

PS: I hate cats. Evil, horrible creatures that poop in my garden. I throw rocks at them.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 18, 2015, 10:22:36 am
The arguments were abruptly interrupted when a flock of owls swooped in with that day’s mail.  But the owls swooped out again when they felt the magic around the Arch, leaving only Hermione’s Daily Prophet with this news:

Vote Count 2.3

Roadrunner (3): yuma, Joseph2902, ashersky
faust (1): Haddock
Haddock (1): Awaclus
Awaclus (2): faust, silverspawn
yuma (3): Roadrunner7671, Witherweaver, gkrieg13

not voting (1): Hydrad

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 18, 2015, 10:37:37 am
I hate cats.

Is this a scum claim?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 11:23:11 am
ehh... yuma isn't a good lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 18, 2015, 11:24:20 am
ehh... yuma isn't a good lynch.

Why not?  And why is RR a good lynch?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 11:29:05 am
ehh... yuma isn't a good lynch.

Why not?  And why is RR a good lynch?

I just jumped off of RR, as you may have noticed. but I stated reasons for why he is scummy several times

yuma isn't a good lynch because he's making sense and I don't see anything scummy about him

Awaclus is a good lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 11:32:05 am
Okay!

Vote: Awaclus
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 18, 2015, 11:37:27 am
Awaclus is a bad lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 12:16:57 pm
Yuma and I are in the same boat.

Hi guya!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:31:28 pm
I put my full support behind yuma here.  So much so that if you refuse to vote for RR, then vote for me.

I declare myself the only player allowed to be voted for that is not named Roadrunner.

It seems that all games recently have come down to me versus faust as far as who is the superior mafia player.  Regardless of past records, votes, and awards, the current crop of players has made very clear its general negative view of me as a player and person as compared to the generally god-like way faust is treated.

If you won't vote for RR because you believe faust is the best player here, vote for me.  Because really, the only reason anyone isn't voting for RR is because you trust faust here.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 18, 2015, 12:33:05 pm
If you won't vote for RR because you believe faust is the best player here, vote for me.  Because really, the only reason anyone isn't voting for RR is because you trust faust here.

I'm not voting for RR for different reasons.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 18, 2015, 12:33:33 pm
Currently it feels much more like faust v. yuma than faust v. you, to me.  But however you see it, I guess.  I've only been able to drop in here and there today.  Will come up with something coherent to say tonight.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 12:33:51 pm
What if we don't think Ashersky is scum?

PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 12:34:22 pm
I agre with Haddock. I think it's Faust vs. Yuma.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 12:35:15 pm
And I was going to say this yesterday, but then I went to sleep. Yuma's behavior reminds me a lot like Ashersky's in Switch Mafia.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:37:07 pm
And I was going to say this yesterday, but then I went to sleep. Yuma's behavior reminds me a lot like Ashersky's in Switch Mafia.

yuma was my partner in switch.  So what does this mean?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:37:25 pm
What if we don't think Ashersky is scum?

PPE 2

Vote for me anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:38:08 pm
If you won't vote for RR because you believe faust is the best player here, vote for me.  Because really, the only reason anyone isn't voting for RR is because you trust faust here.

I'm not voting for RR for different reasons.

Well, disregard those reasons and vote for him.  Or not, if you choose faust.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 12:38:38 pm
Wake me up when this is over.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 12:38:59 pm
And I was going to say this yesterday, but then I went to sleep. Yuma's behavior reminds me a lot like Ashersky's in Switch Mafia.

yuma was my partner in switch.  So what does this mean?
I'm talking about how you went after me until you died. You were scum. And I don't want to vote for you, I'd rather see how Yuma reacts to pressure. Maybe I will vote for you if he goes to L-1.
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:39:17 pm
Currently it feels much more like faust v. yuma than faust v. you, to me.  But however you see it, I guess.  I've only been able to drop in here and there today.  Will come up with something coherent to say tonight.

It was faust vs. yuma.  I'm making it faust vs. me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 12:40:20 pm
If you won't vote for RR because you believe faust is the best player here, vote for me.  Because really, the only reason anyone isn't voting for RR is because you trust faust here.

I'm not voting for RR for different reasons.

Well, disregard those reasons and vote for him.  Or not, if you choose faust.
Wait, we're 'choosing' between you and Faust? Both of you are fantastic Mafia players!PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:44:02 pm
And I was going to say this yesterday, but then I went to sleep. Yuma's behavior reminds me a lot like Ashersky's in Switch Mafia.

yuma was my partner in switch.  So what does this mean?
I'm talking about how you went after me until you died. You were scum. And I don't want to vote for you, I'd rather see how Yuma reacts to pressure. Maybe I will vote for you if he goes to L-1.
PPE 2

I did go after you until I died.  I continued to go after you in the speccy.  I thought you were scummy, regardless of your actual alignment.  That wasn't a scum tactic, that was me thinking you were scummy.

If yuma is doing that, it doesn't make him scummy.  It means he thinks you are scum.

And someday, perhaps you will realize that someone thinking you are scum, scummy, scumtastic, etc. does not automatically make them scum.  Town is wrong, sometimes.  You yourself have mislynched town as town.  You should realize that the same thing happens.

But you don't.  Or you know you shouldn't, because that's become your town meta and you need to emulate it.

I state again, you just need to be lynched so you know how it feels and you won't care so much in future games.  Because I want you to stick around and play more mafia with us because you are a good guy to have in games.  But man you need to get over this.

I think you have a good chance of being scum.  There's also a chance you are town.  It is a risk that's worth it because I see a lot of great things coming out of a RR lynch, regardless of alignment.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 12:45:41 pm

uhm.

no.

I have on interest in turning this into a you vs faust thing.
I don't think faust has any interest in turning this into a you vs him thing.

Making voting decisions based on policy or personal competition will by definition lead to worse results, since now you're considering things which are alignment independent.

If people think sheeping you is good, then they can sheep you.
If people think sheeping faust is good, then they can sheep faust.

End of story. Vote for who you think is scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:47:45 pm
What is your one interest in turning this into me vs. faust, and why didn't you expand on that?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 12:49:02 pm
sorry. I mean to to say 'no' not 'on'. rather misleading typo that I didn't notice.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:49:12 pm
Also, I can provide another reason you want to make this me vs. faust: you are well aware that I can dominate a thread to the point that nothing else of substance will get done until you either agree with me or kill me.

This has led to me being killed often, of course. But that's part of the deal anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 12:49:15 pm
Wake me up when this is over.

I agree.

It was never me vs faust. It was me trying to get Roadrunner lynched.

I certainly didn't ask ash to come in like this and honestly I don't think it helps it getting to the ultimate goal of getting RR lynched (which I think we want because I think he is mafia).

Honestly, this feels like something I could see ash doing as scum, distracting the town into a counterproductive argument and dovetailing it so that everyone gets frustrated with the whole thing (see WW above) and none of himself, RR, myself or faust get lynched, which if he is scum with RR is a perfectly acceptable compromise.

Or this could just be ash being legitimately frustrated with f.ds being turned into a big sheep!faust fest, which I too find a bit frustrating...

Ultimately, vote RR if you think he is scummy, I do. Don't base his scumminess or towniness on me or on faust or on ash.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:49:33 pm
sorry. I mean to to say 'no' not 'on'. rather misleading typo that I didn't notice.

Understood.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 12:49:44 pm
And I was going to say this yesterday, but then I went to sleep. Yuma's behavior reminds me a lot like Ashersky's in Switch Mafia.

bull crap
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 12:50:27 pm
Also, I can provide another reason you want to make this me vs. faust: you are well aware that I can dominate a thread to the point that nothing else of substance will get done until you either agree with me or kill me.

This has led to me being killed often, of course. But that's part of the deal anyway.

why don't you just... not do that and vote for who you think is scum?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:52:55 pm
Also, I can provide another reason you want to make this me vs. faust: you are well aware that I can dominate a thread to the point that nothing else of substance will get done until you either agree with me or kill me.

This has led to me being killed often, of course. But that's part of the deal anyway.

why don't you just... not do that and vote for who you think is scum?

I am in fact voting for who I think is most likely to be scum.

I'm torn on faust, honestly.  He could be RR's partner trying to save him, or he could just be arguing against yuma because he likes to be contrarian and watch everyone bow to his posts and follow his orders.  I don't know if that's accurate or not, but it seems possible given recent games.

I honestly don't know why faust doesn't like yuma (in the mafia game sense) -- he's admitted it in thread, here, so why would anyone take his points countering yuma as anything but biased?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 12:53:54 pm
I don't even see who is sheeping faust this game. I've been saying that Awaclus is scummy since the end of day 1, so I certainly didn't. Who else is even voting for him?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 12:54:03 pm
Ashersky, we've been over this. Killing me because I'm hotheaded is not the way to go.
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:54:07 pm
Or this could just be ash being legitimately frustrated with f.ds being turned into a big sheep!faust fest, which I too find a bit frustrating...

Bingo.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 12:55:11 pm
Hey I tried to lynch Faust but no one was up for it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 12:55:36 pm
Man, this is getting old.

I am not Mafia. I don't have the ability to break up a wagon, I'm not that good at the game. No one has to do this.
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:56:28 pm
I don't even see who is sheeping faust this game. I've been saying that Awaclus is scummy since the end of day 1, so I certainly didn't. Who else is even voting for him?

Everyone should be voting for him.  Anyone not voting RR is giving tacit consent to faust's defense of RR.  If you disagree with faust's defense, you have two ways to show it:

1.  Vote RR (ideally providing reasons, but whatever)
2.  Provide a defense of RR that is not faust's.

Otherwise, by not voting RR, you are putting yourself firmly on the anti-yuma side of the line.

Your case on Awaclus, others' cases on other players, all good and useful and nice.  They are not relevant to the discussion at hand.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:56:55 pm
Ashersky, we've been over this. Killing me because I'm hotheaded is not the way to go.
PPE 2

I haven't called you hotheaded.  Who called you hotheaded?  This is made up.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 12:57:43 pm
I... don't really see scum!faust defending partner!RR. RR'd probably be the least valuable member of the team, since he's fairly likely to be lynched ( no offense, but you said it yourself ). That makes defending him less profitable.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:57:57 pm
Hey I tried to lynch Faust but no one was up for it.

Don't you see that lynching RR is lynching faust?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 12:58:04 pm
Okay, so people are sheeping faust by not voting RR. Yeah, that's legit, and kinda true.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 12:59:22 pm
I don't even see who is sheeping faust this game. I've been saying that Awaclus is scummy since the end of day 1, so I certainly didn't. Who else is even voting for him?

I personally feel like everyone who voted for me is in a way sheeping faust. No he isn't voting for me but just look at what happened:

I come out with a case on RR:

Faust defends it, ultimately says this:
No one has told me what they want me to do.

I want you to vote for the player you think is most likely to be scum.

which gives RR the opportunity to vote for me.

Then this:
especially given the complete absence of any other compelling case at this junction.

If there actually is something better that someone else (probably other than faust, I don't trust him this game at all) comes up with, I'll consider it. But right now. I think what I have presented is the best we currently have and I will push for it until I stop believing that. But I am not going to just roll over and play dead cause faust is apparently dead set against it.

If you don't trust me at all, you should vote for me.

Followed by WW and gkrieg voting with no explanations

I don't think those two are sheeping RR. They are sheeping faust's defense of RR and the allusion that I am scummy because of my case.

collaborated by this:

Well, I think yuma is scummy, but I always think that, so... I still prefer an Awaclus lynch.

PPE: what ash said, kinda... and SS...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 12:59:40 pm
I... don't really see scum!faust defending partner!RR. RR'd probably be the least valuable member of the team, since he's fairly likely to be lynched ( no offense, but you said it yourself ). That makes defending him less profitable.

Thing is, he's never been lynched and he is yet again NOT BEING LYNCHED.  Like, he built this incredibly nolynchwall around him that seems impossible to scale.

Anyone tries to lynch him is exiled to the nether, or at least that dark corner of the playground that never gets weeded, is covered in old snickers wrappers, and where they throw half-eaten tuna sandwiches at you because no one care about you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:00:59 pm
1.  Provide a defense of RR that is not faust's.

Well, my reason to stop pushing his lynch wasn't anything faust did, it was RR's self-vote. It sounded to me like he really expected to be lynched and wanted to say "'I told you so" after it happened

which, well, isn't smart, but it makes him town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 01:01:12 pm
Anyone tries to lynch him is exiled to the nether, or at least that dark corner of the playground that never gets weeded, is covered in old snickers wrappers, and where they throw half-eaten tuna sandwiches at you because no one care about you.

Why can't they throw half-eaten snickers at you and leave you in tun sandwich wrappers? That would be much better...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 01:01:22 pm
1.  Provide a defense of RR that is not faust's.

Well, my reason to stop pushing his lynch wasn't anything faust did, it was RR's self-vote. It sounded to me like he really expected to be lynched and wanted to say "'I told you so" after it happened

which, well, isn't smart, but it makes him town.

no it doesn't.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 01:01:50 pm
Man he's played like three games.  I didn't get lynched until something like my eighth game. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 01:02:19 pm
Man he's played like three games.  I didn't get lynched until something like my eighth game.

cause i kept vigging you!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 01:04:07 pm
1.  Provide a defense of RR that is not faust's.

Well, my reason to stop pushing his lynch wasn't anything faust did, it was RR's self-vote. It sounded to me like he really expected to be lynched and wanted to say "'I told you so" after it happened

which, well, isn't smart, but it makes him town.

How many times have you seen scum selfvote when they really expected to be lynched?  It's very, very often.  Even in the most recent games you can find examples.

It's a tried and true tactic, it throws off wagon analysis, it ends days early, etc.  There are many scum reasons to do this.

And before faust can swoop in to defend RR as not good enough to do this, it's super easy to do, to be coached to do, etc.  He's read some games, seen scum selfvote for sure.

So that's my rebuttal to your defense of RR.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 01:04:20 pm
Man he's played like three games.  I didn't get lynched until something like my eighth game.

And you were scum in all 8.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:05:11 pm
I... don't really see scum!faust defending partner!RR. RR'd probably be the least valuable member of the team, since he's fairly likely to be lynched ( no offense, but you said it yourself ). That makes defending him less profitable.

Thing is, he's never been lynched and he is yet again NOT BEING LYNCHED.  Like, he built this incredibly nolynchwall around him that seems impossible to scale.

Anyone tries to lynch him is exiled to the nether, or at least that dark corner of the playground that never gets weeded, is covered in old snickers wrappers, and where they throw half-eaten tuna sandwiches at you because no one care about you.

I mean, RR was town in previous games that are now over, so the fact that we didn'T lynch him was a result of accurately determining is alignment.

The idea is that, once he is scum, he will be easily found out.

This might be the game. He's certainly much less towny than he used to be. But it might also not be.

And I don't really agree that people are made to feel bad for voting him... he was pretty close to being lynched and no-one tried to bully me out of doing it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 01:06:28 pm
Don't lynch me guys.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:08:27 pm

I only remember scum self-voting when they are on L-1 (-> self-hammering) or when the lynch is inevitable, because they have a guilty result on them. I can't remember a single time where scum has self-voted in order to survive.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:10:24 pm
oh wait, I do remember one time; PPS self-voted in ASoIaF mafia (my first scum game, we were partners).

but he also did it as town since hten.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 01:11:35 pm
I mean, RR was town in previous games that are now over, so the fact that we didn'T lynch him was a result of accurately determining is alignment.

The idea is that, once he is scum, he will be easily found out.

This might be the game. He's certainly much less towny than he used to be. But it might also not be.

And I don't really agree that people are made to feel bad for voting him... he was pretty close to being lynched and no-one tried to bully me out of doing it.

This probably is the game.

Look, if I could have gotten you into a mason chat pre-game (we would know I was town) and came up to you and said, "Hey I am going to persistently badger RR all game long, voting him, encouraging others to vote for him and on and on until he breaks and OMGUS votes for me. If he does, that is his usual self and he is probably town and I'll unvote and announce it. If he doesn't and the wagon gets big enough and he still doesn't OMGUS vote me it probably means he is scum and we should lynch him."

Would you agree that would be a good plan. I don't know. I think it would be. I think that would be a perfectly acceptable way to scum hunt on someone who has never been scum before to try and find an obvious key indicator that he is mafia. And I think I found one.

I don't care what he did after the fact of being found out, that is irrelevant. Because for me, he has already done something that seems pretty obvious to be a break from his standard, normal town play. And per the rules that I setup when establishing that I would do this, should be lynched.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 01:13:47 pm
that last post was poorly written by me:

What I mean to say is: in previous games people have stated that when RR is scum it will become immediately apparent. That is fair.

But I think it has become immediately apparent by the method that I used to find him out and everything I have detailed about it. This is the moment of being apparent. What else do you want? Him to jump around like Belatrix Lestrange singing "I Killed Sirius Black?" Cause that isn't going to happen...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 01:16:57 pm

I only remember scum self-voting when they are on L-1 (-> self-hammering) or when the lynch is inevitable, because they have a guilty result on them. I can't remember a single time where scum has self-voted in order to survive.

So you provided two situations you have seen: 1) selfhammer and 2) when they think the lynch is inevitable.

You said this, right?

Well, my reason to stop pushing his lynch wasn't anything faust did, it was RR's self-vote. It sounded to me like he really expected to be lynched and wanted to say "'I told you so" after it happened

which, well, isn't smart, but it makes him town.

Is it fair for me to think that when you say "he really expected to be lynched" it matches up to your statement above where scum thinks the "lynch is inevitable"?

(PS - note the gift to WW there.)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:28:25 pm
Is it fair for me to think that when you say "he really expected to be lynched" it matches up to your statement above where scum thinks the "lynch is inevitable"?

well, no. I think the two cases are really different.

So, i actually only remember one case where scum self-voted when their "lynch was invevitable." That was Egork, also in ASoIaFM, someone copped him guilty, he said ' no reason to delay the inevitable ' and self-voted. that was literally just to save everyone some time. He was copped, his team mates had been found out day 1 and 2, and there was literally no way out.

Self-hammering can be strategic. Like, when you are scum, have lost hopes for survival, and want to prevent town from using the remaining day. You self-hammer. It's good play.

Here, RR self-voted, but he didn't hammer himself with it, and his lynch wasn't set in stone. I think that's a totally different case than the above two - do you disagree with that?

And of that I can only remember... actually it's 3 cases. One from scum!PPS, one from town!PPS, and one from Witherweaver. I think he was town there, too. Though that might have been in Death Note mafia, where votes don't technically count for anything.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:31:10 pm

you're saying this now, but when I asked you about how confident you are, you only said like 10% more than an average player, which is not that much. I think people expected first!time!scum!RR to be more obvious than that.

Okay, now I am sort of echoing faust again.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 18, 2015, 01:32:04 pm
I don't want to move my vote until we hear from Joseph.
Rereading now
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 01:35:09 pm
Is it fair for me to think that when you say "he really expected to be lynched" it matches up to your statement above where scum thinks the "lynch is inevitable"?

well, no. I think the two cases are really different.

So, i actually only remember one case where scum self-voted when their "lynch was invevitable." That was Egork, also in ASoIaFM, someone copped him guilty, he said ' no reason to delay the inevitable ' and self-voted. that was literally just to save everyone some time. He was copped, his team mates had been found out day 1 and 2, and there was literally no way out.

Self-hammering can be strategic. Like, when you are scum, have lost hopes for survival, and want to prevent town from using the remaining day. You self-hammer. It's good play.

Here, RR self-voted, but he didn't hammer himself with it, and his lynch wasn't set in stone. I think that's a totally different case than the above two - do you disagree with that?

And of that I can only remember... actually it's 3 cases. One from scum!PPS, one from town!PPS, and one from Witherweaver. I think he was town there, too. Though that might have been in Death Note mafia, where votes don't technically count for anything.

I think it is possible he pulled the selfvote trigger too early.  That's bad scum play, as would be expected from RR his first time as scum.

That's obviously describing what happened to fit the scum narrative, which I think is what you are asking me to do.  The selfvote isn't a major factor in my scumread, but it is a major factor in your sheep read, so I am addressing it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 01:35:27 pm

you're saying this now, but when I asked you about how confident you are, you only said like 10% more than an average player, which is not that much. I think people expected first!time!scum!RR to be more obvious than that.

Okay, now I am sort of echoing faust again.

well you didn't ask for any sort of metric on how sure I am...

If everyone is at 33% and RR is at 43% then most other people are in the 28-35% range. So comparatively I am much more sure about RR than I am any other player. And I do tend to downplay how sure I am. Like with Awaclus in Fanfiction. You were mod there, you knew I was right, and while I was continually pressing for his lynch I continually expressed that I wasn't sure. But felt really, really good. I have felt really, really good about lynches before and been wrong, so I am never very sure unless there is some sort of result attached.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 01:37:00 pm
and I don't feel comfortable with the whole assumption that he will be much more noticeable as scum. I'll point everyone back in Morgrim's direction. If I remember correctly he had a couple of really good scum appearances because he wasn't much, much more noticeable as scum. In fact it was kinda hard to tell him apart. There were signs, but they weren't as obvious as everyone made them out to be.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 18, 2015, 01:42:32 pm
Is it fair for me to think that when you say "he really expected to be lynched" it matches up to your statement above where scum thinks the "lynch is inevitable"?

well, no. I think the two cases are really different.

So, i actually only remember one case where scum self-voted when their "lynch was invevitable." That was Egork, also in ASoIaFM, someone copped him guilty, he said ' no reason to delay the inevitable ' and self-voted. that was literally just to save everyone some time. He was copped, his team mates had been found out day 1 and 2, and there was literally no way out.

Self-hammering can be strategic. Like, when you are scum, have lost hopes for survival, and want to prevent town from using the remaining day. You self-hammer. It's good play.

Here, RR self-voted, but he didn't hammer himself with it, and his lynch wasn't set in stone. I think that's a totally different case than the above two - do you disagree with that?

And of that I can only remember... actually it's 3 cases. One from scum!PPS, one from town!PPS, and one from Witherweaver. I think he was town there, too. Though that might have been in Death Note mafia, where votes don't technically count for anything.

I think it is possible he pulled the selfvote trigger too early.  That's bad scum play, as would be expected from RR his first time as scum.
I guess it is possible.

Right now, I see this more as faust vs yuma than ash vs faust or ash vs RR.

I think faust is scummier, and RR I'm definitely in 2 minds about. So, Vote: faust.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 01:46:42 pm
oy vey!

Hey Public Announcement for All Future Scummies!

If you ever get two or three votes on you, just go ahead and self vote. No worries. We won't lynch you after you do that. It's cool. We get it. We will just go on ahead and mislynch somewhere else. Thanks for playing! Enjoy the win!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:49:07 pm
I think it is possible he pulled the selfvote trigger too early.  That's bad scum play, as would be expected from RR his first time as scum.

yeah... maybe.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:50:28 pm
and I don't feel comfortable with the whole assumption that he will be much more noticeable as scum. I'll point everyone back in Morgrim's direction. If I remember correctly he had a couple of really good scum appearances because he wasn't much, much more noticeable as scum. In fact it was kinda hard to tell him apart. There were signs, but they weren't as obvious as everyone made them out to be.

but RR is 13!

I really think that a younger age makes it harder to consistently lie about something
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:51:22 pm
We don't really disagree that much about RR. I still think he's the second scummiest player, and the recent posts from you and yuma have moved him really close to Awaclus

@ash: what do you think about Awaclus?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 01:52:14 pm
and I don't feel comfortable with the whole assumption that he will be much more noticeable as scum. I'll point everyone back in Morgrim's direction. If I remember correctly he had a couple of really good scum appearances because he wasn't much, much more noticeable as scum. In fact it was kinda hard to tell him apart. There were signs, but they weren't as obvious as everyone made them out to be.

but RR is 13!

I really think that a younger age makes it harder to consistently lie about something

What kind of 13-year old were you that you didn't lie about stuff?

Also, see liopoil or mail-mi or sudgy for successful "young" players here.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 01:53:40 pm
We don't really disagree that much about RR. I still think he's the second scummiest player, and the recent posts from you and yuma have moved him really close to Awaclus

@ash: what do you think about Awaclus?

I think I had him in the scummy column earlier.  To be honest he's been a bit under the radar, which seems unlike him.  I'm not great at reading him, to be honest, as I think he's always sort of scummy.

I think he's a valid lynch target.  He's definitely not towny.  What's he done, really?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:54:33 pm
and I don't feel comfortable with the whole assumption that he will be much more noticeable as scum. I'll point everyone back in Morgrim's direction. If I remember correctly he had a couple of really good scum appearances because he wasn't much, much more noticeable as scum. In fact it was kinda hard to tell him apart. There were signs, but they weren't as obvious as everyone made them out to be.

but RR is 13!

I really think that a younger age makes it harder to consistently lie about something

What kind of 13-year old were you that you didn't lie about stuff?

I totally didn't lie when I was 13. I started lying more when I went through puberty.

But I don't mean that he is less likely to lie. I mean that he's less good at it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 01:55:42 pm
Also, see liopoil or mail-mi or sudgy for successful "young" players here.

yeah but they're different. RR is thirteen-thirteen.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 01:56:26 pm
Also, see liopoil or mail-mi or sudgy for successful "young" players here.

yeah but they're different. RR is thirteen-thirteen.

I guess liopoil is more Jennifer Garner than RR, but mail-mi was fairly green when he started.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 02:00:20 pm
Also, see liopoil or mail-mi or sudgy for successful "young" players here.

yeah but they're different. RR is thirteen-thirteen.

I guess liopoil is more Jennifer Garner than RR, but mail-mi was fairly green when he started.

okay I wasn't there back then. was mail-me hard to find out in his first scum game?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 02:02:45 pm
Also, see liopoil or mail-mi or sudgy for successful "young" players here.

yeah but they're different. RR is thirteen-thirteen.

I guess liopoil is more Jennifer Garner than RR, but mail-mi was fairly green when he started.

okay I wasn't there back then. was mail-me hard to find out in his first scum game?

first time he was mafia he was lynched pretty easily, but that had more to do with his scumteam losing a partner day1.

He was lynched pretty consistently when he was scum. But I don't think he was ever super obvious and almost always as the second or third team member. He was lynched pretty consistently as town as well.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 02:04:53 pm
It was Samurai and Ninjas (my game) and he was lynched D2 as godfather.  Three scum were lynched D1, D2, D3.

He also won a scum game at the same time with Galzria as his partner -- M23.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 02:05:32 pm
It was Samurai and Ninjas (my game) and he was lynched D2 as godfather.  Three scum were lynched D1, D2, D3.

He also won a scum game at the same time with Galzria as his partner -- M23.

Speaking of which, was Samurai and Ninjas the infamous "you should investigate me" godfather slip?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 02:06:44 pm
He also won a scum game at the same time with Galzria as his partner -- M23.

Which was kinda similar to this game! That was pirates II right?

I totally knew that mail-mi was scum. I kept saying when mail-mi is scum there will be a red flag and there was one and then got talked down out of it and we lost the game...

And yes... that was the game... but if I remember right he was lynched for other reasons aside from that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 02:08:10 pm
Yeah, Pirates 2.  So faust is playing the part of Galzria, the scum MVP, and RR is mail-mi, the newbie scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 02:08:55 pm
alright

vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 18, 2015, 02:12:29 pm
I think he's a valid lynch target.  He's definitely not towny.  What's he done, really?

Hammered iguana and concluded that RR is more likely to be town than scum (for which I have reasons that I can definitely explain later).
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 02:16:12 pm
I think he's a valid lynch target.  He's definitely not towny.  What's he done, really?

Hammered iguana and concluded that RR is more likely to be town than scum (for which I have reasons that I can definitely explain later).

I'm okay with the hammer, given I asked for a hammer.  Not more likely from scum than town there, I don't think.  Equally likely.

I don't like your conclusion on RR, obviously.  But let me ask it differently: why are you not okay with his lynch regardless of your read?  You have espoused a belief in past games that a mislynch is not necessarily as a bad lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 02:23:18 pm
Wow, SS. I am speechless.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 02:23:43 pm
Wow, SS. I am speechless.

prove it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 02:25:13 pm
Wow, SS. I am speechless.

why? it's not like I ever didn't think you're scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 02:31:57 pm
Wow, SS. I am speechless.

prove it.
I'd much as I'd love to, I no longer count on Faust to be my knight in shining armor.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 02:32:25 pm
Wow, SS. I am speechless.

why? it's not like I ever didn't think you're scummy.
Then you'd better hope twilight is very, very short.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 18, 2015, 02:34:38 pm
I think he's a valid lynch target.  He's definitely not towny.  What's he done, really?

Hammered iguana and concluded that RR is more likely to be town than scum (for which I have reasons that I can definitely explain later).

I'm okay with the hammer, given I asked for a hammer.  Not more likely from scum than town there, I don't think.  Equally likely.

I don't like your conclusion on RR, obviously.  But let me ask it differently: why are you not okay with his lynch regardless of your read?  You have espoused a belief in past games that a mislynch is not necessarily as a bad lynch.

It's not an awful lynch, better than many other options for sure. I just think we can do better.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 02:35:36 pm
well for all of that conversation, RR is still just at 3 votes...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 18, 2015, 02:36:03 pm
And by that, I mean that there are worse mislynches than RR, but I'd still rather try to hit scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 02:36:16 pm
well for all of that conversation, RR is still just at 3 votes...
Wait what?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 02:36:55 pm
well for all of that conversation, RR is still just at 3 votes...
Wait what?

me, ash, ss are the only players voting for RR at the moment
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 02:37:20 pm
Joseph? Awaclus?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 02:38:19 pm
well for all of that conversation, RR is still just at 3 votes...

Are you even voting RR.  I thought you switched to Awaclus.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 02:38:51 pm
Joseph? Awaclus?

Are not voting for you.

Can you list all the players in the game from scummiest to towniest for us?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 02:39:22 pm
Joseph? Awaclus?

joseph is voting for faust. Awaclus is voting for..... haddock. you are voting for me. I don't think anyone else has voted for you today.

So if you, joseph and awaclus come back we could get a lynch through...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 02:39:45 pm
well for all of that conversation, RR is still just at 3 votes...

Are you even voting RR.  I thought you switched to Awaclus.

I haven't switched... but to make sure!

vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 18, 2015, 02:41:47 pm
Joseph? Awaclus?

joseph is voting for faust. Awaclus is voting for..... haddock. you are voting for me. I don't think anyone else has voted for you today.

So if you, joseph and awaclus come back we could get a lynch through...

Don't we still have a lot of time in the day.  I don't think we want another quick lynch. 

I'm not voting for RR because of gut reasons.  He seems similar to me here as his other games, and I have a gut townread on him.  If we are looking for information with faust, why don't we just lynch faust?  I don't think there is a good reason to go for RR to "lynch faust".  That being said I still need to reread a lot. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 02:47:11 pm
Don't we still have a lot of time in the day.  I don't think we want another quick lynch. 

I'm not voting for RR because of gut reasons.  He seems similar to me here as his other games, and I have a gut townread on him.  If we are looking for information with faust, why don't we just lynch faust?  I don't think there is a good reason to go for RR to "lynch faust".  That being said I still need to reread a lot.

No we aren't in a rush, but I feel like most of the town has took a firm stance on the RR situation (either way), aside from a few players, and I fear he isn't going to be lynched at all today for lack of support. People don't need to necessarily vote right now, but I feel like the wagon has stalled and that concerns me.

As for the lynching faust idea... Worst idea ever. I am not looking to get information about faust. I am looking to lynch scum. Who I think is scum. Every lynch provides information. If we lynch anyone for information I suggest you... And honestly I think lynching RR will provide more info on faust than the inverse will on RR.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 18, 2015, 02:48:05 pm
I like lynching RR more than lynching faust for sure.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 18, 2015, 02:55:59 pm
Don't we still have a lot of time in the day.  I don't think we want another quick lynch. 

I'm not voting for RR because of gut reasons.  He seems similar to me here as his other games, and I have a gut townread on him.  If we are looking for information with faust, why don't we just lynch faust?  I don't think there is a good reason to go for RR to "lynch faust".  That being said I still need to reread a lot.

No we aren't in a rush, but I feel like most of the town has took a firm stance on the RR situation (either way), aside from a few players, and I fear he isn't going to be lynched at all today for lack of support. People don't need to necessarily vote right now, but I feel like the wagon has stalled and that concerns me.

As for the lynching faust idea... Worst idea ever. I am not looking to get information about faust. I am looking to lynch scum. Who I think is scum. Every lynch provides information. If we lynch anyone for information I suggest you... And honestly I think lynching RR will provide more info on faust than the inverse will on RR.

Why would lynching me provide information?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 02:58:27 pm
Why would lynching me provide information?

Because a lynch on anyone provides information; flip, interactions, off/on wagon, nk analysis based off such, etc... And if information is the sole reason for you to lynch someone it might as well be you as that would remove said person from having a future vote in future lynches. But thankfully, most of us don't lynch just for information, so the point was mostly made in jest.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 03:12:28 pm
I don't actually want to lynch Faust. I'm not going to start killing non-scummy people just to save my skin for another day.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 03:14:27 pm
I don't actually want to lynch Faust. I'm not going to start killing non-scummy people just to save my skin for another day.

How nice of you!

You should unvote me then...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 03:16:28 pm
I think you're scummy, bro.

Sorry.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 03:22:53 pm
I put my full support behind yuma here.  So much so that if you refuse to vote for RR, then vote for me.

I declare myself the only player allowed to be voted for that is not named Roadrunner.

It seems that all games recently have come down to me versus faust as far as who is the superior mafia player.  Regardless of past records, votes, and awards, the current crop of players has made very clear its general negative view of me as a player and person as compared to the generally god-like way faust is treated.

If you won't vote for RR because you believe faust is the best player here, vote for me.  Because really, the only reason anyone isn't voting for RR is because you trust faust here.

This is rubbish. You're like the last person I would consider voting for.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 03:25:12 pm
Or this could just be ash being legitimately frustrated with f.ds being turned into a big sheep!faust fest, which I too find a bit frustrating...

Bingo.

Well, hey, I'm probably the guy who is most frustrated by this attitude.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 03:25:50 pm
1.  Vote RR (ideally providing reasons, but whatever)
2.  Provide a defense of RR that is not faust's.

But... but...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 03:27:44 pm
Faust, don't listen to him. People want to hear from you more. That's everyone but ashersky.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 03:28:08 pm
And before faust can swoop in to defend RR as not good enough to do this, it's super easy to do, to be coached to do, etc.  He's read some games, seen scum selfvote for sure.

Yeah... it's also super easy to OMGUS.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 03:31:42 pm
oy vey!

Hey Public Announcement for All Future Scummies!

If you ever get two or three votes on you, just go ahead and self vote. No worries. We won't lynch you after you do that. It's cool. We get it. We will just go on ahead and mislynch somewhere else. Thanks for playing! Enjoy the win!

This is just misdirecting crap and I urge you to stop this.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 03:32:42 pm
He's frustrated that I'm still alive.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 03:33:21 pm
alright

vote: RR

This is very weird.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 03:38:21 pm
And I'm caught up. You guys sure were busy. I would like to hear back from silver regarding his sudden change. I would like for yuma and ashersky to return to a less confirmation-bias driven approach to the game. I would like for the rest of the players to give more opinions on stuff. Like, what do you think about yuma? About me? About random other people who don't post a lot?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 03:39:38 pm
Let's hear from Hydrad!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 03:44:10 pm
Let's hear from Hydrad!

I had no idea Hydrad was even in this game...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 03:45:08 pm
Let's hear from Hydrad!

I had no idea Hydrad was even in this game...
Requesting a prod won't do anything, the lighthouse guy is pretty inactive.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 03:48:27 pm
Let's hear from Hydrad!

I had no idea Hydrad was even in this game...
Requesting a prod won't do anything, the lighthouse guy is pretty inactive.

EFHW is not a guy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 03:53:08 pm
Let's hear from Hydrad!

I had no idea Hydrad was even in this game...
Requesting a prod won't do anything, the lighthouse guy is pretty inactive.

EFHW is not a guy.
Is EFHW a lighthouse?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 03:55:45 pm
Let's hear from Hydrad!

I had no idea Hydrad was even in this game...
Requesting a prod won't do anything, the lighthouse guy is pretty inactive.

EFHW is not a guy.
Is EFHW a lighthouse?

She's a brick.... house...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 03:56:10 pm
Great.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 04:06:11 pm
And I'm caught up. You guys sure were busy. I would like to hear back from silver regarding his sudden change.

There is no sudden change. I thought RR and Awaclus were the 2 scummiest people for a pretty long while now; first I was on RR > Awaclus, then on Awaclus > RR , and ash + yuma convinced me that RR  is close to Awaclus

and his lynch is more profitable if he is scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 04:09:04 pm
I'm not scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 04:09:58 pm
I'm not scummy.

Classic scumtell. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 04:11:20 pm
I'm not scummy.

Classic scumtell.
Is anything out of your mouth serious?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 04:13:35 pm
I'm not scummy.

Classic scumtell.
Is anything out of your mouth serious?

Oh you're trying to be serious?  I could not tell.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 04:14:54 pm
Anyway, it's true, "I'm not scummy" is a scummy thing to say.  As scum, you're acutely aware of not acting scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 04:20:02 pm
I'm trying not to act scummy because Yuma will twist my words to make me sound scummy.

For example, in my most recent post, he'd take out the word 'not.'
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 04:23:51 pm
I'm trying not to act scummy because Yuma will twist my words to make me sound scummy.

For example, in my most recent post, he'd take out the word 'not.'

Why would you "try" not to "act scummy" if you were town.  Why wouldn't you just...be?

That's the thing with self-awareness.  It's bad.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 04:24:27 pm
Faust, don't listen to him. People want to hear from you more. That's everyone but ashersky.

What is this, anyway? 

Faust, isn't this a scummy post?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 04:24:48 pm
I'm not scummy.

Classic scumtell.
Is anything out of your mouth serious?

Oh you're trying to be serious?  I could not tell.

He forgot his [serious] tag.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 04:26:19 pm
Player List:

1. yuma
2. gkrieg13
3. iguanaiguana -- lynched Day 1
4. e
5. Roadrunner7671
6. faust
7. Hydrad
8. silverspawn
9. Witherweaver
10. Haddock
11. Awaclus
12. Joseph
13. ashersky

tag: scott_pilgrim, TA

2.7 is on this list, but is actually dead.  That leaves...

ACTIVE: yuma, RR, faust, SS, ash
active: WW, Awaclus
could post more but isn't lurking: gkrieg13, Haddock, joseph
DUDE WTF: hydrad
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 04:26:56 pm
Anyway, it's true, "I'm not scummy" is a scummy thing to say.  As scum, you're acutely aware of not acting scummy.

Also, "I'm scummy" is not a scummy thing to say.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 04:27:11 pm
oy vey!

Hey Public Announcement for All Future Scummies!

If you ever get two or three votes on you, just go ahead and self vote. No worries. We won't lynch you after you do that. It's cool. We get it. We will just go on ahead and mislynch somewhere else. Thanks for playing! Enjoy the win!

This is just misdirecting crap and I urge you to stop this.

No!
Obviously I am being facitious... sp? Being a bit silly is a fun part of the game. But there is a nugget of truth to what I said don't you think?

And why do you feel compelled to so very much control what is said or not said in this game? And why me in particular do you always want to get in line?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 04:27:54 pm
And I'm caught up. You guys sure were busy. I would like to hear back from silver regarding his sudden change. I would like for yuma and ashersky to return to a less confirmation-bias driven approach to the game. I would like for the rest of the players to give more opinions on stuff. Like, what do you think about yuma? About me? About random other people who don't post a lot?

No!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 18, 2015, 04:46:09 pm
Why would you "try" not to "act scummy" if you were town.  Why wouldn't you just...be?

Because it's beneficial for town if other townies have a town read on you. That's why I always try to not act scummy when I'm town, and that's also why instead of just using a recording of my voice, I sound designed a more sincere and trustworthy sounding voice in Switch Mafia when RR asked me to state that I'm not the SK (although it turned out to be for nothing in the end).
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 18, 2015, 04:50:22 pm
The point is it is more of a state of mind thing, which influences how you play.  When you're scum, you know you're scum but you don't want to appear so.  You think about avoiding doing things that look scummy and trying to do things that look townie as your defacto way to behave.  (You tend to imagine "What would I be doing here as town?" or "Would it look scummy if I did this?")  When you're town, those kinds of thoughts are present but not primary, because you're focused on actually finding scum, or just behaving more naturally.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 04:56:21 pm
I'm trying not to act scummy because Yuma will twist my words to make me sound scummy.

For example, in my most recent post, he'd take out the word 'not.'

Why would you "try" not to "act scummy" if you were town.  Why wouldn't you just...be?

That's the thing with self-awareness.  It's bad.
I'm a self aware player. Sorry.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 18, 2015, 05:03:46 pm
Quick post for now. I haven't read everything but I still am thinking RR is town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 05:15:23 pm
Faust, don't listen to him. People want to hear from you more. That's everyone but ashersky.

What is this, anyway? 

Faust, isn't this a scummy post?

Why?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 05:18:33 pm
oy vey!

Hey Public Announcement for All Future Scummies!

If you ever get two or three votes on you, just go ahead and self vote. No worries. We won't lynch you after you do that. It's cool. We get it. We will just go on ahead and mislynch somewhere else. Thanks for playing! Enjoy the win!

This is just misdirecting crap and I urge you to stop this.

No!
Obviously I am being facitious... sp? Being a bit silly is a fun part of the game. But there is a nugget of truth to what I said don't you think?

And why do you feel compelled to so very much control what is said or not said in this game? And why me in particular do you always want to get in line?

I don't think there's a nugget of truth. Obviously it is bad play to policy not lynch self-voters, but nobody has been suggesting that.

I don't want to control, but it gets annoying when people stop reasoning and just twist the words of other players to make them sound ridiculous.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 05:19:26 pm
Faust, don't listen to him. People want to hear from you more. That's everyone but ashersky.

What is this, anyway? 

Faust, isn't this a scummy post?

Why?

Is that a no?  I am asking you if it is a scummy post, to you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 05:22:52 pm
Then focus on my serious posts and address those issues instead of skirting around the issues. You have still yet to show me a game when RR didn't Omgus vote back
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 05:31:24 pm
Then focus on my serious posts and address those issues instead of skirting around the issues. You have still yet to show me a game when RR didn't Omgus vote back

There is no example to be found, as far as I recollect.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 05:34:10 pm
Exactly. But why talk about that when you can talk about the silly off kilter posts that I make instead?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 05:37:07 pm
Then focus on my serious posts and address those issues instead of skirting around the issues. You have still yet to show me a game when RR didn't Omgus vote back
We have been over this. I no longer OMGUS. I learned that it sucked. If that makes me scum, whatever bro. That's not enough evidence.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 18, 2015, 05:41:25 pm
Saying "whatever, bro" is scummy, bro.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 18, 2015, 05:46:28 pm
Let's hear from Hydrad!

I had no idea Hydrad was even in this game...
Requesting a prod won't do anything, the lighthouse guy is pretty inactive.
If you want a prod, put your request in bold
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 18, 2015, 05:49:10 pm
Let's hear from Hydrad!

I had no idea Hydrad was even in this game...
Requesting a prod won't do anything, the lighthouse guy is pretty inactive.
If you want a prod, put your request in bold
Hydrad posted under an hour ago, so surely he isn't eligible for a prod?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 18, 2015, 05:49:41 pm
Vote Count 2.4

Roadrunner (3): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn
faust (2): Haddock, Joseph2902
Haddock (1): Awaclus
Awaclus (2): faust, Witherweaver
yuma (2): Roadrunner7671, gkrieg13

not voting (1): Hydrad

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 18, 2015, 05:50:32 pm
Let's hear from Hydrad!

I had no idea Hydrad was even in this game...
Requesting a prod won't do anything, the lighthouse guy is pretty inactive.
If you want a prod, put your request in bold
Hydrad posted under an hour ago, so surely he isn't eligible for a prod?
Not any more
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 18, 2015, 05:58:50 pm
i'm still trying to catch up!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 18, 2015, 06:02:47 pm
So about RR. Let us assume for a moment that RR is scum, for the sake of the argument.

He seems to be playing decently well. I mean, the whole self-voting thing is already pretty good emotional manipulation. He also knows his meta and emulates it - this constant asking of "what's my meta?" is an indicator for this, as that's something he has done before.

So we have to agree that RR is a decent scum player and that he is aware of his meta. Then he should also know about his tendency to OMGUS. So that's the easiest part of the meta, why does he not emulate that?

This is why I think RR is town. Also because I believe newbie!scum!RR would not play that well.

I have already addressed this point. It all goes back to his mindset of how he approaches the game. This is how I think RR feels about the game.

When he is town his priority over everything else is that he stay alive. That is the most important thing. Because he knows he is town and if he stays alive, he will win.

Thus anyone that is voting for him must be against him, as town, and thus must be on the other side of him, mafia. Hence the OMGUSing.

But flip that. He is now mafia and he still has that mindset and furthermore it seems to him that others should think that way as well. If, when he is town, suspects people for voting for him, why shouldn't others do the same when he, as mafia, votes for them.

To me it fits in perfectly. Faust's defense here seems to be forced. I am generally not one to suspect partners, but I am starting to lean that way.

oh this post. is interesting. Thats a good point.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 06:05:21 pm
Then focus on my serious posts and address those issues instead of skirting around the issues. You have still yet to show me a game when RR didn't Omgus vote back
We have been over this. I no longer OMGUS. I learned that it sucked. If that makes me scum, whatever bro. That's not enough evidence.

Dude. Dude. Dude. It totally is...

Why are you only telling us this after getting called out on it? You had the whole first day. Short but enough. And all of day2 prior to me calling you out. But you didn't. You waited until I had called you out to share this moment of seeing the light. Too convenient. I don't buy it. Dude.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 18, 2015, 06:25:38 pm
I'm here, sorry.  I don't think I've actually been that epically inactive, but nonetheless sorry to have missed so much.  Busy few days.  I think I'm basically caught up now.

My reads are all over the place.

There's a couple of WIFOM things going on for me at the moment.
Several people pushing RR.  I can see the scum!RR argument I think, there are some good points.  But I really think we should try to catch other scum right now, RR is less likely to use his night actions effectively if he is scum, better to kill the probably-stronger scum players.

The people pushing RR the most seem to me to be yuma and ash.  Both are pushing pretty damn hard.  Hence the WIFOM; I want to say "scum wouldn't push a mislynch so blatantly" (this is on the admittedly possibly slightly tenuous assumption that RR is town), so yuma and ash are probably town.  But maybe that's what they want me to think.  I dunno. 

Overall I think yuma pushes it far enough to be too-blatant-for-scum, while ash pushes it even further, to "scum-trying-to-set-up-a-'I wouldn't be that obvious'-defence".  I can't exactly pin down why I think that, it's just my gut feeling about how the WIFOM situation falls out.  So vote: ash I think.  Another thing is that he keeps finding various quotes from people scummy, when I don't see them as such at all.  Maybe that's just my inexperience.

I still find faust moderately scummy...

Oh and SS too.  I find him a bit scummy.  My reasoning is based entirely on my experience playing scum in Switch; I found it useful to pretend to be on the fence about a lynch, and get "reluctantly dragged in".  SS's vote on RR feels a bit like that.  I mean obviously town can be hesitant about lynches too, but again my gut says this might maybe be faked.

I feel like I'm finding EVERYONE who's been contributing scummy.  Bleh.  I dunno.  By PoE the people I have "townreads" on are the people who've barely posted, which doesn't make sense.  I don't like that I'm forced to find lurkers towny.  So speak up, people! (Says the guy who's hardly posted for like 6+ hours...)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 06:27:58 pm
^the whole post/vote seems to work under the impression that RR is town, which you admit you have doubts about.

I don't like it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 18, 2015, 06:32:56 pm
^the whole post/vote seems to work under the impression that RR is town, which you admit you have doubts about.

I don't like it.
I know, I know.  Obviously if RR is scum then it's more likely that you/ash are both town.  So I don't know why I'm analysing based on the RR being town. I guess it's because even if we think he's 45% scum (approx. your best estimate, or it was a while back), it's still more likely that he's town overall so I want to think about that possibility.  (Especially given that I'd rather vote other!scum that scum!RR today.)

The strongest argument for RR being town is that he has so many people pushing for him.  But then there's actually not that many I guess, the ones that are are just pretty vocal.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 18, 2015, 06:36:13 pm
@Haddock: Do you have town reads on anybody?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 18, 2015, 06:43:57 pm
@Haddock: Do you have town reads on anybody?
I make this point in my post.  I don't really have strong townreads on anyone at all.

I guess WW, because he's active but hasn't done anything I find explicitly scummy.
You to some extent (same reason, though you're less talkative). 

And MMAAAAYYYYBBBBEEEEE Awa (the tendency to be scared of Awa townreads has already infected me and this is only my second game).  Again, he's at least somewhat active but hasn't done anything I see as lying firmly within scum!Awa meta.

Everyone else I have either mentioned above as moderate scumreads or is basically lurking so is null-for-now.  Oh and yuma who probably ends up roughly null overall.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 07:11:26 pm
The people pushing RR the most seem to me to be yuma and ash.  Both are pushing pretty damn hard.  Hence the WIFOM; I want to say "scum wouldn't push a mislynch so blatantly" (this is on the admittedly possibly slightly tenuous assumption that RR is town), so yuma and ash are probably town.  But maybe that's what they want me to think.  I dunno. 

Overall I think yuma pushes it far enough to be too-blatant-for-scum, while ash pushes it even further, to "scum-trying-to-set-up-a-'I wouldn't be that obvious'-defence".  I can't exactly pin down why I think that, it's just my gut feeling about how the WIFOM situation falls out.  So vote: ash I think.  Another thing is that he keeps finding various quotes from people scummy, when I don't see them as such at all.  Maybe that's just my inexperience.

Well let me tell you that both scum!ash and scum!yuma have pushed mislynches before, and "blatantly" as well. In fact, if ash did push any lynch and didn't do it blatantly, that would be very much out of the ordinary. With yuma less so, but he's still perfectly capable of doing that, and from my experience with him scum!yuma does a lot to keep his scumbuddies safe. This push accomplishes that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 18, 2015, 07:17:00 pm
Well let me tell you that both scum!ash and scum!yuma have pushed mislynches before, and "blatantly" as well. In fact, if ash did push any lynch and didn't do it blatantly, that would be very much out of the ordinary. With yuma less so, but he's still perfectly capable of doing that, and from my experience with him scum!yuma does a lot to keep his scumbuddies safe. This push accomplishes that.
Hmm. Assuming this is true, which I think it is because its too easy to catch if its a lie, then Im grateful for the info. Am I to conclude that you agree that Ash is scummy, or are you more saying that yuma probably is too?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 07:20:51 pm
I want some PoE done to see who are viable lynch targets.

yuma - the guy feels scummy. I don't buy his RR case. It feels constructed. But I know I am biased.
gkrieg13 - generally a bit more on the towny side. I think he gets a pass.
Roadrunner7671 - probably town, enough to make me not want to lynch him today.
faust
Hydrad - completely lurky null. Would be fine with a lynch.
silverspawn - seems like his usual town self.
Witherweaver - I feel reasonably good about him... just not enough to give him a pass.
Haddock - I don't know, I need to hear more. Early he was a bit scummy, lately he's a bit more towny.
Awaclus - he seems more talkative than usual, and that usually means scum!Awa.
Joseph - not very memorable. Could lynch.
ashersky - typical town!ash

I don't know, yuma and Awaclus bot seem like decent options. I can't decide.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 18, 2015, 07:22:05 pm
Well let me tell you that both scum!ash and scum!yuma have pushed mislynches before, and "blatantly" as well. In fact, if ash did push any lynch and didn't do it blatantly, that would be very much out of the ordinary. With yuma less so, but he's still perfectly capable of doing that, and from my experience with him scum!yuma does a lot to keep his scumbuddies safe. This push accomplishes that.
Hmm. Assuming this is true, which I think it is because its too easy to catch if its a lie, then Im grateful for the info. Am I to conclude that you agree that Ash is scummy, or are you more saying that yuma probably is too?

I don't think ash is scummy as you see from my recent post; I just wanted to point out that your reasoning there was faulty. yuma I do think is scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 07:22:37 pm
yeah, Hydrad is also a good lynch. When he has zero presence, that's a scum tell I think.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 18, 2015, 07:32:21 pm
yeah, Hydrad is also a good lynch. When he has zero presence, that's a scum tell I think.
I need to take another look at switch. Why did we find hydrad scummy there? I mean obviously I didnt, I just went with it, helped me as scum.
But was that at first because he was lurky? Cant remember. It was a mislynch, anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 18, 2015, 07:40:16 pm
Ok no there were different reasons, it wasnt his lurkiness.
So forget my last.

Haddock - I don't know, I need to hear more. Early he was a bit scummy, lately he's a bit more towny.
This is only my second game, but both my games so far have started with me doing something a bit weird/stupid early on and being initially considered scummy for it. Maybe this will be my meta. :-P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 07:49:15 pm
The people pushing RR the most seem to me to be yuma and ash.  Both are pushing pretty damn hard.  Hence the WIFOM; I want to say "scum wouldn't push a mislynch so blatantly" (this is on the admittedly possibly slightly tenuous assumption that RR is town), so yuma and ash are probably town.  But maybe that's what they want me to think.  I dunno. 

pushing a mislynch hard is something new scum is afraid of which makes it a town tell for new scum which makes it good play which can make it a scum tell or null at best for experienced scum

given that you're talking about yuma or ash, I think giving town cred for it is accurate.

... although RR is proabably scum, so...

Overall I think yuma pushes it far enough to be too-blatant-for-scum, while ash pushes it even further, to "scum-trying-to-set-up-a-'I wouldn't be that obvious'-defence".  I can't exactly pin down why I think that, it's just my gut feeling about how the WIFOM situation falls out.  So vote: ash I think.  Another thing is that he keeps finding various quotes from people scummy, when I don't see them as such at all.  Maybe that's just my inexperience.

I still find faust moderately scummy...

Oh and SS too.  I find him a bit scummy.  My reasoning is based entirely on my experience playing scum in Switch; I found it useful to pretend to be on the fence about a lynch, and get "reluctantly dragged in".  SS's vote on RR feels a bit like that.  I mean obviously town can be hesitant about lynches too, but again my gut says this might maybe be faked.

I feel like I'm finding EVERYONE who's been contributing scummy.  Bleh.  I dunno.  By PoE the people I have "townreads" on are the people who've barely posted, which doesn't make sense.  I don't like that I'm forced to find lurkers towny.  So speak up, people! (Says the guy who's hardly posted for like 6+ hours...)
[/quote]
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 07:50:07 pm
ehh sorry, I didn't mean to have the whole rest of your quote there.

for what it's worth, i get town vibes from that post. Not agreement vibes, but town vibes.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 07:52:21 pm
I also hadn't seen that faust already responded to that. I was catching up in a weird order, and emotions and stuff
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 18, 2015, 08:05:52 pm
oh for a second I thought that was your own post and was interested that you found yourself scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 18, 2015, 08:06:44 pm
also I'm going to say I find Haddock slightly scummy as he was scum in his first game and he feels kinda the same to me here. But thats slightly unfair as I'm not sure what his town meta is but still. its a slight scum read.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 08:07:00 pm
ehh sorry, I didn't mean to have the whole rest of your quote there.

for what it's worth, i get town vibes from that post. Not agreement vibes, but town vibes.

Well you ended up voting ash BTW
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 08:09:24 pm
Well you ended up voting ash BTW

-.- vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: yuma on November 18, 2015, 08:10:09 pm
I want some PoE done to see who are viable lynch targets.

yuma - the guy feels scummy. I don't buy his RR case. It feels constructed. But I know I am biased

It is constructed. But that doesn't mean I am scum. I created a scenario where I said, if RR does X he is likely town, if he doesn't he is likely scum. He didn't so I think he is scum. So yeah constructed. But that doesn't make me wrong or scum. And a decent chance that I am right and your bias of me is getting in the way of seeing that I might be.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 18, 2015, 08:13:15 pm
I feel the opposite about the case; regardless of whether or not RR is actually scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 09:52:19 pm
Well you ended up voting ash BTW

-.- vote: RR
💔
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 18, 2015, 11:55:53 pm
Looks like everyone is sleeping or fed up with me.

Let's follow suit. Good night!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 19, 2015, 06:04:12 am
also I'm going to say I find Haddock slightly scummy as he was scum in his first game and he feels kinda the same to me here. But thats slightly unfair as I'm not sure what his town meta is but still. its a slight scum read.
I mean, I guess that's kinda fair enough.  Your second sentence is correct, of course, so be careful there. 

It sounds like your read here is mostly a gut feeling of "he's being the same as he was in switch".  It's difficult to respond to a gut feeling, except this:

The consensus seems to be (trying to not to boast here, this is just what people have said) that I played a very good scum game in switch. 

I guess that basically says that I was convincingly town, and behaved like town.  If I'm behaving the same way now, then I guess I'm behaving like town.  In which case it might be (and is, in fact) just because I am actually town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 19, 2015, 09:43:02 am
Moar lynches.

Vote: Roadrunner
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 19, 2015, 09:43:51 am
Moar lynches.

Vote: Roadrunner

yay!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 19, 2015, 09:46:39 am
Moar lynches.

Vote: Roadrunner

yay!

Don't be so happy, if your lynch was taking off I'd jump on you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 19, 2015, 11:35:28 am
conspiracy theory time:

faust and ash are scum partners
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 19, 2015, 11:55:23 am
Why do you do this WW?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 19, 2015, 12:03:28 pm
Because I want more productive stuff to happen, and votes are productive.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 19, 2015, 12:08:46 pm
Because I want more productive stuff to happen, and votes are productive.
But do you want me to die? Or are you just adding pressure?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 19, 2015, 12:13:01 pm
Because I want more productive stuff to happen, and votes are productive.
But do you want me to die? Or are you just adding pressure?

Is that going to change how you react?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 19, 2015, 12:15:14 pm
Because I want more productive stuff to happen, and votes are productive.
But do you want me to die? Or are you just adding pressure?

Is that going to change how you react?
Probably not.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 19, 2015, 12:37:12 pm
conspiracy theory time:

faust and ash are scum partners

RR is our third.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 19, 2015, 12:50:23 pm
conspiracy theory time:

faust and ash are scum partners

RR is our third.

EXACTLY!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 19, 2015, 01:10:17 pm
Then focus on my serious posts and address those issues instead of skirting around the issues. You have still yet to show me a game when RR didn't Omgus vote back
We have been over this. I no longer OMGUS. I learned that it sucked. If that makes me scum, whatever bro. That's not enough evidence.

Dude. Dude. Dude. It totally is...

Why are you only telling us this after getting called out on it? You had the whole first day. Short but enough. And all of day2 prior to me calling you out. But you didn't. You waited until I had called you out to share this moment of seeing the light. Too convenient. I don't buy it. Dude.
I agree, it does seem pretty convenient to do it after being called out, rather than beforehand.

yeah, Hydrad is also a good lynch. When he has zero presence, that's a scum tell I think.
Hydrad often has not much presence, regardless of alignment.

Moar lynches.

Vote: Roadrunner
Wagoning again, but wagoning seems okay to me. Slightly town on WW.

conspiracy theory time:

faust and ash are scum partners

RR is our third.

EXACTLY!
Sounds crazy to me, although ash and faust are 2 of the people probably crazy enough to at like this.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 19, 2015, 01:11:01 pm
I'm edging a bit more towards RR being scum, but I think faust is scummier right now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 19, 2015, 01:59:23 pm
conspiracy theory time:

faust and ash are scum partners

RR is our third.
We're so good at scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 19, 2015, 02:00:47 pm
I have an idea.

Vote: Joseph
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 19, 2015, 02:07:53 pm
I have an idea.

Vote: Joseph

Trying to see how big of a following you actually have?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 19, 2015, 02:18:52 pm
I am not following Faust this time around.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 19, 2015, 02:24:16 pm
I have an idea.

Vote: Joseph

Trying to see how big of a following you actually have?

Now you jinxed it!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 19, 2015, 05:26:56 pm
I have an idea.

Vote: Joseph

Trying to see how big of a following you actually have?

Now you jinxed it!
Doesn't seem to be working so well....
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: yuma on November 19, 2015, 05:32:20 pm
Day 2
Ron (aka e). There was no mark on him to show how he had died.  “The Avada Kedavra curse,” whispered Sirius.  Ron didn’t change appearance, so he must have been himself, not an imposter.  He was a Member of the Order of the Phoenix

So I don't think we have gone back at all to see why 2.7 died. Because honestly he was kinda an odd kill. So going to go and look back. It might not show anything, but never hurts to look:

- only had 4 "in-game" posts. So even though it was a short day, was certainly on the lower end of contributing side

- Didn't give any reads.

So, yeah, I don't know why he would be a NK. I mean, 2.7 is a good player. Heavy posters tend to be NKed earlier and in the heavy poster group there are some strong players... (faust for example) out there to take your pick at that might be a little bit more of a targetable choice if they had stated reads or gave a better indicator even if said player had been on the mislynch wagon.

The other thing to keep in mind looking at this is that it is very possible that it was a SK kill instead of a mafia kill (or even a vig kill....) and that the mafia kill was blocked somehow, which I think would make more sense as looking at it more it just seems like an odd choice for a mafia kill to make.

I don't really know what to take from that though aside from what I said above...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 19, 2015, 06:30:33 pm
I mean if he wasn't particularly vocal I might think it might be a vig kill since he was bit lurky? I dunno.

Is e just known as a strong player?  Scum NKs want to target strong players first regardless, probably, given how short D1 was.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 19, 2015, 06:48:53 pm
I mean if he wasn't particularly vocal I might think it might be a vig kill since he was bit lurky? I dunno.

Is e just known as a strong player?  Scum NKs want to target strong players first regardless, probably, given how short D1 was.

I would say he is strong but generally not a high volume poster. High content to post ratio.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 19, 2015, 07:45:41 pm
yeah, Hydrad is also a good lynch. When he has zero presence, that's a scum tell I think.
Hydrad often has not much presence, regardless of alignment.

Hydrad has basically always 'not much' presence. But I said 'zero' as in 'zero instead of a little'.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 19, 2015, 08:34:55 pm
Vote Count 2.5

Roadrunner (4): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Witherweaver
faust (2): Haddock, Joseph2902
Haddock (1): Awaclus
yuma (2): Roadrunner7671, gkrieg13
Joseph2902 (1): faust

not voting (1): Hydrad

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 19, 2015, 10:47:25 pm
vote: Hydrad
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 19, 2015, 11:04:13 pm
So I guess conversation has pretty much dried up. However, as sad as this is, I feel gkreig actually makes a point. Hydrad, town or scum, is an okay lynch unless he starts doing more stuff. Sorta like a default, you know?

That's my two cents.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 19, 2015, 11:24:31 pm
that's understandable reasons. I'll try to make a bit more contributions.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 19, 2015, 11:39:49 pm
Okay. I'm super bored and it's super late. I'm at L-2. So I'm going to make a rant post as to why I am not scum. Don't worry, it will be well worth the read!

Alright. Let's start out with the fact that I wanted a longer day on D-1. Scum doesn't want that. Town points for old RR, right? And then I didn't kill Iguana because of my awesome read skills. If I was scum, I would've wagoned him.

Then we have a long, boring twilight. I took nothing seriously there and didn't make mental notes, I had no idea why anyone would vote for me on D-2.

Yuma comes up with the argument that I didn't OMGUS people and that I 'played differently.' I said I learned that OMGUSing is terrible. He didn't counter that. Faust pointed out OMGUSing other people would be the easiest thing for me to recreate. Yuma didn't reply to that.

And yet for some reason, Yuma's sheep come out if hiding and start ripping me apart. They are so desperate to lynch me that they'll take posts that say 'I'm not scummy' and write essays on why that's a scummy post. Why do they do this? Because they can't find more evidence.

And pardon my language, but has this just turned into a pissing match? I'm not going to be able to dislodge a wagon, I don't even know why I bother. We as a town can afford this lynch.

And I don't usually play the age card, but look at it from my point of view. Being a 13 year old Mafia with fingers flying at me would suck big time. Personally, as a bad Mafia player, I'd just curl up and die under the pressure.

Now I'm just ranting to make my post longer and see who actually reads it. I don't feel inclined to claim today, even at L-1. Ashersky is out for my blood though, and people are just going to vote for me because they want a lynch.

Actually, let's bold that. It sounds smart and important. People are just going to vote for me because they want a lynch. Am I suggesting a no lynch by this? No, of course not!

Do I have anything else to say? Not really. Maybe someone will unvote if I mention how active and willing to help I am (and always will be)? I'm a bad target because I am very active and face it: this game would be a lot quieter without me running my mouth whenever someone mentions my name.

Faust is on my side. Y'all like Faust, you think he's good at Mafia. Yet you are following Yuma and Ashersky, two 'powerhouses' who are living in the present. My death is a blow to morale in my arrogant opinion. Ashersky likes to see my flip (maybe he doesn't like my high post count) and I have no idea about Yuma. His wagon on me seems unjust. I don't like it (obviously).

Now we watch Yuma and Ashersky (with a dash of Awaclus) pick my post apart not cause they think it's scummy, but simply because they can and they want a lynch. And with no Iguana to blindly go after, they hit up the next animal.

Kutos (is that a word? I think that's a word.) to you if you read the whole thing.
Good night.
-This was a phone post.
PPE: Only One
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 19, 2015, 11:40:21 pm
That's my longest post I've ever made.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 20, 2015, 12:02:47 am
Kutos (is that a word? I think that's a word.) to you if you read the whole thing.

I believe the word you're looking for is kudos.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:16:18 am
Hello?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:16:49 am

Side note: I actually like this post and it's probably the best one you have ever posted.

unvote
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:17:01 am
Just kidding.

vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:17:25 am
(Just kidding about the unvote -- I meant it when I said I liked the post.)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:24:59 am
hum, hum...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:27:56 am
I forgot about the possibility to claim

you need to claim.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:29:42 am
I forgot about the possibility to claim

you need to claim.

What? No. That's in no way necessary. RR is at what, L-3 now? And he just made a towny post and hopefully people are going to realize that and put their votes elsewhere.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:29:55 am
And pardon my language, but has this just turned into a pissing match? I'm not going to be able to dislodge a wagon, I don't even know why I bother. We as a town can afford this lynch.

This is a weird statement. If you are town, we can't really afford this lynch at all.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:30:18 am
I forgot about the possibility to claim

you need to claim.

What? No. That's in no way necessary. RR is at what, L-3 now? And he just made a towny post and hopefully people are going to realize that and put their votes elsewhere.

is he really only at L-3? his post sounds like L-1 to mme
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:31:05 am
I forgot about the possibility to claim

you need to claim.

What? No. That's in no way necessary. RR is at what, L-3 now? And he just made a towny post and hopefully people are going to realize that and put their votes elsewhere.

is he really only at L-3? his post sounds like L-1 to mme

L-2 actually.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:31:49 am
Is the post really towny though? Like, is it really?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:32:32 am
Also this:

I don't feel inclined to claim today, even at L-1.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:32:48 am
Is the post really towny though? Like, is it really?

Yes.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:33:53 am
Is the post really towny though? Like, is it really?

No.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:35:18 am
Is the post really towny though? Like, is it really?

No.
Well, I know that once your mind is set, noone can do anything to change it, so this doesn't surprise me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:36:23 am
Also this:

I don't feel inclined to claim today, even at L-1.

well yes, that's what brought me to request a claim right away. Refusing to claim at L-1 is pretty anti town
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:37:06 am
Is the post really towny though? Like, is it really?

No.
Well, I know that once your mind is set, noone can do anything to change it, so this doesn't surprise me.

My mind was not set one way or the other on that particular post.  Scummy players have towny posts all the time.  Scum have towny posts all the time.

Me thinking RR is scum doesn't affect what I think of that Post in a vacuum.  It's not a towny post.  I already said I think it is a great post, though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:37:14 am
Also this:

I don't feel inclined to claim today, even at L-1.

well yes, that's what brought me to request a claim right away. Refusing to claim at L-1 is pretty anti town
No. The common belief that one should always claim is what's anti-town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:37:49 am
Also this:

I don't feel inclined to claim today, even at L-1.

well yes, that's what brought me to request a claim right away. Refusing to claim at L-1 is pretty anti town

It's also a superscumtactic to refuse to claim, even at L-1, early.  Possible he was taught that tactic by his Galzria?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:38:30 am
Also this:

I don't feel inclined to claim today, even at L-1.

well yes, that's what brought me to request a claim right away. Refusing to claim at L-1 is pretty anti town
No. The common belief that one should always claim is what's anti-town.

I'm pretty sure it is irrefutably towny to always claim when claiming is in the best interest of town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:39:15 am
Is the post really towny though? Like, is it really?

No.
Well, I know that once your mind is set, noone can do anything to change it, so this doesn't surprise me.
Mx mind can be changed though!

But I don't see that much in that post which scum!RR wouldn't post. In fact, wouldn't scum!RR do... pretty much exactly what RR just did?

The only thing weird is the 'we can afford the lynch' thing.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:39:33 am
Also this:

I don't feel inclined to claim today, even at L-1.

well yes, that's what brought me to request a claim right away. Refusing to claim at L-1 is pretty anti town
No. The common belief that one should always claim is what's anti-town.

I'm pretty sure it is irrefutably towny to always claim when claiming is in the best interest of town.

The first rule of the Tautology Club is the first rule of the Tautology Club.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:41:06 am
Also this:

I don't feel inclined to claim today, even at L-1.

well yes, that's what brought me to request a claim right away. Refusing to claim at L-1 is pretty anti town
No. The common belief that one should always claim is what's anti-town.

I'm pretty sure it is irrefutably towny to always claim when claiming is in the best interest of town.

The first rule of the Tautology Club is the first rule of the Tautology Club.

You would know, as you founded the Club.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:44:19 am
Is the post really towny though? Like, is it really?

No.
Well, I know that once your mind is set, noone can do anything to change it, so this doesn't surprise me.
Mx mind can be changed though!

But I don't see that much in that post which scum!RR wouldn't post. In fact, wouldn't scum!RR do... pretty much exactly what RR just did?

The only thing weird is the 'we can afford the lynch' thing.

Basically RR himself said why scum!him wouldn't make that post, and man he's right. It's a great post; almost every point he brings up is actually valid. So there are already good reasons not to lynch him. And as scum, it is hard to find good reasons why you should not be lynched.

I can see that post coming from experienced scum, but newbie!scum like RR? No way. And his frustration reads genuine; I don't think he would be frustrated like this as scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:45:21 am
Back to vote: yuma
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:46:21 am
I don't think he would be frustrated like this as scum.

You don't think he would make a long emotion-targetting post as !wagon!firstTime!Scum!RR? Or just no frustration?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:48:00 am
I don't think he would be frustrated like this as scum.

You don't think he would make a long emotion-targetting post as !wagon!firstTime!Scum!RR? Or just no frustration?

I think no frustration... first time scum  is more likely to accept that they're going to get lynched because they know they're not yet very good at being scum. And it is even possible that their scumpartners told them up front that they would bus.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:48:48 am
I don't see how the post is very emotion-targetting, by the way. A bit sure, but that is clearly not the main intention.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:54:02 am
Alright. Let's start out with the fact that I wanted a longer day on D-1. Scum doesn't want that. Town points for old RR, right? And then I didn't kill Iguana because of my awesome read skills. If I was scum, I would've wagoned him.
This is not such a good point, because new!scum likes to do ostensibly towny things, which those are.


Then we have a long, boring twilight. I took nothing seriously there and didn't make mental notes, I had no idea why anyone would vote for me on D-2.
That's the problem.

And I was saying this at day 1, so...


Yuma comes up with the argument that I didn't OMGUS people and that I 'played differently.' I said I learned that OMGUSing is terrible. He didn't counter that. Faust pointed out OMGUSing other people would be the easiest thing for me to recreate. Yuma didn't reply to that.
yuma did reply, if I recall correctly, principally that you only said this after being called out on it.


And yet for some reason, Yuma's sheep come out if hiding and start ripping me apart.
That's not how it feels to me at all. The wagon has a ton of resistance despite strong points


They are so desperate to lynch me that they'll take posts that say 'I'm not scummy' and write essays on why that's a scummy post. Why do they do this? Because they can't find more evidence.
eh


And pardon my language, but has this just turned into a pissing match? I'm not going to be able to dislodge a wagon, I don't even know why I bother. We as a town can afford this lynch.
like I said, this is weird


And I don't usually play the age card, but look at it from my point of view. Being a 13 year old Mafia with fingers flying at me would suck big time. Personally, as a bad Mafia player, I'd just curl up and die under the pressure.
It would suck, and I can see you reacting strongly. Like, Making a huge post about it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 05:54:50 am
A small wound on 1 of the 10 fingers apparently makes typing take twice as long
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:56:15 am
I would note, in SS's final quote from the RR Magnum Opus (RRMO from here on out), RR uses the "as scum I would do..." tactic.

That's a huge scumtell for newbies, in my experience/opinion.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 05:57:58 am
I would note, in SS's final quote from the RR Magnum Opus (RRMO from here on out), RR uses the "as scum I would do..." tactic.

That's a huge scumtell for newbies, in my experience/opinion.

Do you have links to support this opinion?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 05:58:36 am
I would note, in SS's final quote from the RR Magnum Opus (RRMO from here on out), RR uses the "as scum I would do..." tactic.

That's a huge scumtell for newbies, in my experience/opinion.

Do you have links to support this opinion?

Neural connections in my brain, yes.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 06:28:22 am
And I've been seen as scum! That wasn't unexpected. I will reread at 12:02 EST (approx. six hours from now) and make another long post. I'm going to step it up.

But it's too early to think.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 07:07:07 am
And I've been seen as scum!
?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:08:56 am
Only four people have come online since I took my final stand: RR, Faust, Ashersky and SS.
How did they react?

SS: Claimed to be open minded, then tried to pick my argument apart. He's confused, I'm not sure why. He thinks I'm scum but his mind will be changed...by a flip.

Faust: As usual, Faust comes through. He usually sees right through me, this time is no exception. He's a bro.

Ashersky: Ashersky is like, evil. He wants my head and at any price. He's Yuma general to command the sheep, and is trying to get in the spotlight, I don't know why. Maybe he feeds on attention (like me, sort of)?

I will dig down and prepare to be battered by Yuma's arrival. I'm preparing for something as outrageous as him saying, 'I'm the cop, and I know RR is scum.'
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:09:35 am
And I've been seen as scum!
?
I didn't sway anyone who has come online yet. Who am I appealing to now, Joseph?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 20, 2015, 07:11:33 am
I've been online and paying attention.  Don't really know what to say though.

Your epic speech doesn't really convince me either way, I still think you're pretty scummy.  And I still don't want to lynch you today if we can lynch someone else scummy, no offence but scum!you doesn't exactly fill me with fear.

I've forgotten who I'm voting for, so unvote I guess.  Was it ash, though?  Bet it was ash.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:11:59 am
Okay, by no means do I mean to throw Faust under the bus here.

But if I'm scum, he's defending me to the point where he looks a lot like my partner (assuming I'm scum). Wouldn't you rather lynch scum Faust than scum RR? And besides, then Faust will be out of your way to guarantee my demise tomorrow.
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:13:32 am
if we can lynch someone else scummy, no offence but scum!you doesn't exactly fill me with fear.
I believe you're looking for my most recent post.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 20, 2015, 07:19:14 am
I think I was voting for ash, though the last vote count still has me on faust. 
Either I'm misreading or EFHW is, doesn't matter now anyway.

Actually, yeah, no, vote: ash

PPE. I'm no longer convinced by scum!faust.  Also, I don't think scum!you would bus scum!faust like that, nor does scum!faust defend scum!you like that.  I don't think you can both be scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:22:23 am
What!are!all!these!for!they!are!really!awful!for!reading!
S!e!r!i!o!u!s!l!y!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:23:28 am
Unless someone wants to talk, I think I'll lurk until Yuma comes.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 20, 2015, 07:44:32 am
What!are!all!these!for!they!are!really!awful!for!reading!
S!e!r!i!o!u!s!l!y!
I!agree!but!it!seems!to!be!the!done!thing!
J!e!e!z! Calm! y!o!u!r!s!e!l!f!!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 07:44:57 am
Alright. Let's start out with the fact that I wanted a longer day on D-1. Scum doesn't want that. Town points for old RR, right?

no town points for you here, sorry.
And then I didn't kill Iguana because of my awesome read skills. If I was scum, I would've wagoned him.

I don't care about what you say you would have done as scum. Nor is it correct to assume that scum is always on mislynch wagons
Yuma comes up with the argument that I didn't OMGUS people and that I 'played differently.' I said I learned that OMGUSing is terrible. He didn't counter that. Faust pointed out OMGUSing other people would be the easiest thing for me to recreate. Yuma didn't reply to that.

I have countered that multiple times. You haven't responded to those posts. Pay attention.

And yet for some reason, Yuma's sheep come out if hiding and start ripping me apart. They are so desperate to lynch me that they'll take posts that say 'I'm not scummy' and write essays on why that's a scummy post. Why do they do this? Because they can't find more evidence.

The evidence is already there. Now it is just convincing peopel that the evidence is real and that it is presented by someone that is townie.
And pardon my language, but has this just turned into a pissing match? I'm not going to be able to dislodge a wagon, I don't even know why I bother. We as a town can afford this lynch.
Your language is not excused
And I don't usually play the age card, but look at it from my point of view. Being a 13 year old Mafia with fingers flying at me would suck big time. Personally, as a bad Mafia player, I'd just curl up and die under the pressure.

your age has no factor in this case. So don't use it as a defense.

Now I'm just ranting to make my post longer and see who actually reads it. I don't feel inclined to claim today, even at L-1. Ashersky is out for my blood though, and people are just going to vote for me because they want a lynch.

Actually, let's bold that. It sounds smart and important. People are just going to vote for me because they want a lynch. Am I suggesting a no lynch by this? No, of course not!

of course people want a lynch. that is the name of the game. But they want a lynch that will likely flip mafia. You fit that bill. sorry guy. it happens.

Do I have anything else to say? Not really. Maybe someone will unvote if I mention how active and willing to help I am (and always will be)? I'm a bad target because I am very active and face it: this game would be a lot quieter without me running my mouth whenever someone mentions my name.

Faust is on my side. Y'all like Faust, you think he's good at Mafia. Yet you are following Yuma and Ashersky, two 'powerhouses' who are living in the present. My death is a blow to morale in my arrogant opinion. Ashersky likes to see my flip (maybe he doesn't like my high post count) and I have no idea about Yuma. His wagon on me seems unjust. I don't like it (obviously).

Now we watch Yuma and Ashersky (with a dash of Awaclus) pick my post apart not cause they think it's scummy, but simply because they can and they want a lynch. And with no Iguana to blindly go after, they hit up the next animal.

Kutos (is that a word? I think that's a word.) to you if you read the whole thing.
Good night.
-This was a phone post.
PPE: Only One

for not having a lot else to say, this sure is a lot. We think you are scummy. Stop making it personal. If you can't handle being lynched without assuming that people hate you, then well... maybe this game isn't for you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 07:46:39 am
Is the post really towny though? Like, is it really?

No.

I don't see it. I see using emotion and pity defenses and the absence of actually addressing the case and the questions that I have put to him by instead ignoring them and pointing the finger.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 07:48:08 am
Back to vote: yuma

well poop. there I thought i had a chance of convincing you...

(yeah... right... like I could ever convince you of anything)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 08:47:40 am
I think I was voting for ash, though the last vote count still has me on faust. 
Either I'm misreading or EFHW is, doesn't matter now anyway.

Actually, yeah, no, vote: ash

PPE. I'm no longer convinced by scum!faust.  Also, I don't think scum!you would bus scum!faust like that, nor does scum!faust defend scum!you like that.  I don't think you can both be scum.

That's delayed OMGUS, btw.  I went after you at the beginning of the day.

You also voted me by saying you think faust is town now.  So at least I was right that these games basically come down to which of the two of us players like better.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 08:48:02 am
Back to vote: yuma

well poop. there I thought i had a chance of convincing you...

(yeah... right... like I could ever convince you of anything)

On the bright side, if he ever town reads you, no one will vote for you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 08:48:35 am
Unless someone wants to talk, I think I'll lurk until Yuma comes.

Yuma is here, you are still lurking.

LAL
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 08:54:04 am
I think I was voting for ash, though the last vote count still has me on faust. 
Either I'm misreading or EFHW is, doesn't matter now anyway.

Actually, yeah, no, vote: ash

PPE. I'm no longer convinced by scum!faust.  Also, I don't think scum!you would bus scum!faust like that, nor does scum!faust defend scum!you like that.  I don't think you can both be scum.

That's delayed OMGUS, btw.  I went after you at the beginning of the day.

You also voted me by saying you think faust is town now.  So at least I was right that these games basically come down to which of the two of us players like better.

I like it.  If I've ever voted for someone, and they vote against me during the game, it's delayed OMGUS.  Let's prepare:

Vote: yuma
Vote:  gkrieg13
Vote:  Roadrunner7671
Vote: faust
Vote: Hydrad
Vote: silverspawn
Vote: Witherweaver
Vote: Haddock
Vote:  Awaclus
Vote: Joseph
Vote:  ashersky

Just in case I vote myself again this game, I now know the reason.

Also,

Vote: Hydrad
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 08:54:51 am
I think I was voting for ash, though the last vote count still has me on faust. 
Either I'm misreading or EFHW is, doesn't matter now anyway.

Actually, yeah, no, vote: ash

PPE. I'm no longer convinced by scum!faust.  Also, I don't think scum!you would bus scum!faust like that, nor does scum!faust defend scum!you like that.  I don't think you can both be scum.

Jokes aside, this isn't the towniest post ever.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 08:56:42 am
Vote: Hydrad

 ???
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 08:57:46 am
stupid emoticons...

can't a guy just type in ??? and have it be ??? without it turning into a stupid emoticon?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 08:59:13 am
Lynching Hydrad is good for the soul.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 09:03:46 am
Lynching Hydrad is good for the soul.

there are quite a few other players whose lynch would be good for the soul.

I don't think lynching hydrad would necessarily be good for this game. I tend to avoid wanting to lynch null, non-scummy random lurkers.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 09:07:08 am
Lynching Hydrad is good for the soul.

there are quite a few other players whose lynch would be good for the soul.

I don't think lynching hydrad would necessarily be good for this game. I tend to avoid wanting to lynch null, non-scummy random lurkers.

Do it...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXsQAXx_ao0
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 09:09:25 am
No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No.

https://youtu.be/8IXCK1EyP4s
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 10:56:12 am
your age has no factor in this case. So don't use it as a defense.

This is a quote from yuma in the M70 spectator QT:

Quote
And my read on RR was tempered by the fact that he is a 13 year old kid. Having played RL mafia with a 13 year old that was pretty much exactly what I expected regardless of alignment. That mitigated a lot of his scumminess.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 10:57:46 am
I'll shut Yuma down in about an hour.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 11:01:31 am
your age has no factor in this case. So don't use it as a defense.

This is a quote from yuma in the M70 spectator QT:

Quote
And my read on RR was tempered by the fact that he is a 13 year old kid. Having played RL mafia with a 13 year old that was pretty much exactly what I expected regardless of alignment. That mitigated a lot of his scumminess.

What's your point?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 11:01:38 am
I'll shut Yuma down in about an hour.

No you won't.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 11:02:36 am
your age has no factor in this case. So don't use it as a defense.

This is a quote from yuma in the M70 spectator QT:

Quote
And my read on RR was tempered by the fact that he is a 13 year old kid. Having played RL mafia with a 13 year old that was pretty much exactly what I expected regardless of alignment. That mitigated a lot of his scumminess.

What's your point?

You are inconsistent.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 11:06:23 am
your age has no factor in this case. So don't use it as a defense.

This is a quote from yuma in the M70 spectator QT:

Quote
And my read on RR was tempered by the fact that he is a 13 year old kid. Having played RL mafia with a 13 year old that was pretty much exactly what I expected regardless of alignment. That mitigated a lot of his scumminess.

What's your point?

You are inconsistent.

No I am not.

Because now we know what to expect from 13 year old RR given his prior game play. He now has a set equilibrium. We know what he is like, whereas before he was a wildcard.

A lot of the things RR is saying right now in this game I put down to him being 13. That is just the way it is. Not scummy, not townie. Just 13.

But the change in approach, the difference in style and the way he has responded HAS CHANGED from this game to the next. So that has nothing to do with him being 13. It has to do with an observed change of behavior, regardless of his age.

That isn't inconsistent. This is a stretch, even for you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 11:06:44 am
^should be "especially for you", not "even for you"
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 11:10:28 am
Several people pushing RR.  I can see the scum!RR argument I think, there are some good points.  But I really think we should try to catch other scum right now, RR is less likely to use his night actions effectively if he is scum, better to kill the probably-stronger scum players.

I just remembered I never responded to this post specifically...

I think this is a horrible reason to not lynch someone. Either you think he is scum, or you don't. If you think he is scum then he should be lynched. We dont' know what sort of mafia he might be. Could be goon, could be one of the mafia PRs. Eliminating him could eliminate a PR that, sure he might use unwisely? But if he is mafia, he isn't mafia alone. He has partner(s) who will help make decisions for him. And even then, I don't think he is incapable of making good night action choices alone.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 20, 2015, 11:16:32 am
Harry got fed up with Hermione’s campaign against him and tried to shut her down with Silencio.  She dodged it easily, however, and gave him a look like “that’s the best you’ve got?”

Vote Count 2.6

Roadrunner (3): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn
faust (1): Joseph2902
Haddock (1): Awaclus
yuma (3): Roadrunner7671, gkrieg13, faust
ashersky (1): Haddock
Hydrad (1): Witherweaver

not voting (1): Hydrad

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 20, 2015, 11:18:10 am
vote Hydrad
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 20, 2015, 11:18:31 am
vote: Hydrad
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 11:27:02 am
Cool. Let's go back and check out the case on hydrad:

vote: Hydrad

Lynching Hydrad is good for the soul.

vote: Hydrad

Hydrad - completely lurky null. Would be fine with a lynch.

yeah, Hydrad is also a good lynch. When he has zero presence, that's a scum tell I think.

yeah, Hydrad is also a good lynch. When he has zero presence, that's a scum tell I think.
Hydrad often has not much presence, regardless of alignment.

Hydrad has basically always 'not much' presence. But I said 'zero' as in 'zero instead of a little'.

So I guess conversation has pretty much dried up. However, as sad as this is, I feel gkreig actually makes a point. Hydrad, town or scum, is an okay lynch unless he starts doing more stuff. Sorta like a default, you know?

That's my two cents.

so we have... good for the soul... lurking.... and default lynch...

Good stuff here... really good stuff.

PS: did anyone read M69? Where Hydrad was scum. I did! I was partners with him. He wasn't super mister active, but he was around more than here.

I don't like this lynch. Too easy, too convenient. Has the full markings of a mislynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 20, 2015, 11:31:12 am
I think I was voting for ash, though the last vote count still has me on faust. 
Either I'm misreading or EFHW is, doesn't matter now anyway.

Actually, yeah, no, vote: ash

PPE. I'm no longer convinced by scum!faust.  Also, I don't think scum!you would bus scum!faust like that, nor does scum!faust defend scum!you like that.  I don't think you can both be scum.

That's delayed OMGUS, btw.  I went after you at the beginning of the day.

You also voted me by saying you think faust is town now.  So at least I was right that these games basically come down to which of the two of us players like better.
That's, just, so very very false.  Witherweaver's first response pretty much sums it up.  I mean, what, is faust never allowed to vote me from now til eternity because one of my first votes was on him?  Or yuma, for the same reason?

I gave my reasons for voting you when I originally voted for you, and OMGUS was not one of them.  I don't even remember that you were one of the (couple of) people who went after me (if you can call it that). 

The "who you like better" thing is also crap.  There's some gut feeling going in there, but it's not to do with any personal animosity.  Remember I really haven't been around long enough to like some people more than others.

I think I was voting for ash, though the last vote count still has me on faust. 
Either I'm misreading or EFHW is, doesn't matter now anyway.

Actually, yeah, no, vote: ash

PPE. I'm no longer convinced by scum!faust.  Also, I don't think scum!you would bus scum!faust like that, nor does scum!faust defend scum!you like that.  I don't think you can both be scum.

Jokes aside, this isn't the towniest post ever.
Because why?  I mean, I make a comment about what I think is a mod error, then put my vote back where it should have been all along.  Yes I unvoted ash a few posts earlier, but that was just a reflex, if you can't remember who you're voting for you need to read through some stuff and have another think.  The fact that I've come to the same conclusion again is not antitown...

I stand by the RR comment as well.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 11:32:03 am
So Hydrad is another "he never lurks this much as scum" guy now?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 11:32:18 am
He also never used to lurk this much as town.  I don't think it's a tell either way. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 11:34:22 am
So Hydrad is another "he never lurks this much as scum" guy now?

I don't think so.

He also never used to lurk this much as town.  I don't think it's a tell either way. 

More this. He is posting less than he usually does in any type of game. So it probably has more to do with availability than it does alignment.

Plus there are superior lynches to be had out there than a random lynch, cause that is basically what the hydrad lynch is. If we were stuck and didn't have anything to go on... sure he could be good. But we have some good stuff to lynch off. defaulting to this just ignores the good stuff that we have.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 11:35:38 am
Because why?  I mean, I make a comment about what I think is a mod error, then put my vote back where it should have been all along.  Yes I unvoted ash a few posts earlier, but that was just a reflex, if you can't remember who you're voting for you need to read through some stuff and have another think.  The fact that I've come to the same conclusion again is not antitown...

I stand by the RR comment as well.

Because if you wanted to vote Ash, why do the unvote, who am I voting for?, vote Ash thing.  Why not just vote Ash?

And I had actually thought you were using your Faust read to justify your Ash vote.  Though maybe it just looks that way because of the way the posts went.  I see the "you" in the PPE is actually RR, not Ash.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 11:36:48 am
So Hydrad is another "he never lurks this much as scum" guy now?

I don't think so.

He also never used to lurk this much as town.  I don't think it's a tell either way. 

More this. He is posting less than he usually does in any type of game. So it probably has more to do with availability than it does alignment.

Well,  you're the one that seems to be using his lack of activity to defend him.

Quote
Plus there are superior lynches to be had out there than a random lynch, cause that is basically what the hydrad lynch is. If we were stuck and didn't have anything to go on... sure he could be good. But we have some good stuff to lynch off. defaulting to this just ignores the good stuff that we have.

I don't see the goodness.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 12:04:40 pm
I have a few questions for Yuma, I'd like Faust to answer them to (you obviously don't have to).
1. Who are you most frustrated with this game?
2. Who do you think will get lynched today?
3. What day do you think you'll die on?
4. Do you think anything personal is going on with anyone?
Thanks guys for a speedy response!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 12:07:34 pm
Dude, what is with you and "personal"ness in Mafia games?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 12:11:22 pm
I have a few questions for Yuma, I'd like Faust to answer them to (you obviously don't have to).
1. Who are you most frustrated with this game?
2. Who do you think will get lynched today?
3. What day do you think you'll die on?
4. Do you think anything personal is going on with anyone?
Thanks guys for a speedy response!

1. I'm not really frustrated with anyone. If I had to pick someone I'm frustrated with, it would probably be Hydrad/Joseph.
2. Too early to tell. I believe we might be headed into a last-minute RR lynch, "for lack of better options". I'm not sure there's enough support for yuma. Hydrad maybe. But It's early enough in the day that new wagons can still emerge.
3. I hope to die at night, sleeping away peacefully or potentially being violently killed by the mafia. I do not wish to discuss this any further.
4. No.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 12:12:00 pm
Dude, what is with you and "personal"ness in Mafia games?
I try not to make things personal. I also don't want anyone to get upset. Why don't you answer the questions too, WW?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 12:12:34 pm
Dude, what is with you and "personal"ness in Mafia games?
I try not to make things personal. I also don't want anyone to get upset. Why don't you answer the questions too, WW?

They're too personal.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 12:13:57 pm
Jokes aside?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 12:14:09 pm
I don't like this lynch. Too easy, too convenient. Has the full markings of a mislynch.

Yeah, I agree... wait, we weren't talking about RR?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 12:14:38 pm
Jokes aside?

Not sure if joking. Asking "who are you frustrated with" is pretty personal.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 12:15:44 pm
Jokes aside?

Not sure if joking. Asking "who are you frustrated with" is pretty personal.
Is it? Like, I'm frustrated with Yuma for being so closed minded toward anything other than Scum
RR. I suppose I am a tad frustrated with Joseph and Hydrad as well.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 12:16:40 pm
I don't like this lynch. Too easy, too convenient. Has the full markings of a mislynch.

Yeah, I agree... wait, we weren't talking about RR?
Even though this is defending me, I am next-to-positive he was talking about Hydrad.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 12:18:41 pm
I don't like this lynch. Too easy, too convenient. Has the full markings of a mislynch.

Yeah, I agree... wait, we weren't talking about RR?
Even though this is defending me, I am next-to-positive he was talking about Hydrad.
There is this thing called sarcasm. You should check it out some time.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 12:19:43 pm
Sarcasm is hard.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 12:22:49 pm
SS: Claimed to be open minded, then tried to pick my argument apart. He's confused, I'm not sure why. He thinks I'm scum but his mind will be changed...by a flip.

I am responding to what you said.

I have no idea what 'picking your argument apart' means exactly, but if it means 'responding to what you said' then sure, otherwise that's probably not true.

Open-mindedness doesn't mean being convinced. Open mindedness means being possibly convinced. Responding to your points does in no way indicate that I'm not open minded and the fact that you're suggesting it anyway is the first thing you've done this game that actually bothered me. It's scummy, too.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 12:23:52 pm
And I've been seen as scum!
?
I didn't sway anyone who has come online yet. Who am I appealing to now, Joseph?
I'm confused. Didn't you just confess that you're scum this game?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 20, 2015, 12:24:36 pm
Cool. Let's go back and check out the case on hydrad:

vote: Hydrad

Lynching Hydrad is good for the soul.

vote: Hydrad

Hydrad - completely lurky null. Would be fine with a lynch.

yeah, Hydrad is also a good lynch. When he has zero presence, that's a scum tell I think.

yeah, Hydrad is also a good lynch. When he has zero presence, that's a scum tell I think.
Hydrad often has not much presence, regardless of alignment.

Hydrad has basically always 'not much' presence. But I said 'zero' as in 'zero instead of a little'.

So I guess conversation has pretty much dried up. However, as sad as this is, I feel gkreig actually makes a point. Hydrad, town or scum, is an okay lynch unless he starts doing more stuff. Sorta like a default, you know?

That's my two cents.

so we have... good for the soul... lurking.... and default lynch...

Good stuff here... really good stuff.

PS: did anyone read M69? Where Hydrad was scum. I did! I was partners with him. He wasn't super mister active, but he was around more than here.

I don't like this lynch. Too easy, too convenient. Has the full markings of a mislynch.

I was just voting to fix the vote count.  I was already on Hydrad, but the count showed I was voting for you.  I'm voting for him not just for the lurkiness but for the general unhelpfulness.  He hasn't voted except for 2 RVS votes.  Extremely anti-town

PPE:2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 12:26:06 pm
Town read on gkrieg13.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 12:29:29 pm
And I've been seen as scum!
?
I didn't sway anyone who has come online yet. Who am I appealing to now, Joseph?
I'm confused. Didn't you just confess that you're scum this game?
How do you get that from what I said?
Everyone is voting for me. I'm trying to sway them away for voting for me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 12:33:33 pm
And I've been seen as scum!
?
I didn't sway anyone who has come online yet. Who am I appealing to now, Joseph?
I'm confused. Didn't you just confess that you're scum this game?
How do you get that from what I said?
Everyone is voting for me. I'm trying to sway them away for voting for me.

You said 'I've been seen as scum'. I thought that meant that people have seen you being scum before.

I said '?' because I don't remember you being scum in the past.

Then you said "I didn't sway anyone who has come online yet. Who am I appealing to now, Joseph?" which I read as "You have, I am scum this game."
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 12:34:12 pm
stupid emoticons...

can't a guy just type in ??? and have it be ??? without it turning into a stupid emoticon?

the emoticon is pretty good, though. it could be so much worse. I do my best to never use spoilers in skype and twitch and it's pretty hard.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 12:40:04 pm
I meant 'I've been seen as scum' as in this game.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 12:43:44 pm
Town read on gkrieg13.

Y'all got any more of them... town reads?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 12:45:53 pm
Town read on gkrieg13.

Y'all got any more of them... town reads?
I'm over here when you need me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 12:56:43 pm
I meant 'I've been seen as scum' as in this game.

oh.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 01:56:41 pm
I meant 'I've been seen as scum' as in this game.

oh.
Sorry that I talk badly.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 02:47:22 pm
no problem

I have more of an issue with the fact that you're probably scum
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 02:53:52 pm
 I mean, like, you kill people at night for no reason. what the fuck?

why don't you just confess and tell me who your partners are? I'd lynch you last.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 02:54:04 pm
no problem

I have more of an issue with the fact that you're probably scum

What would make you think that RR is town?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 02:55:19 pm
no problem

I have more of an issue with the fact that you're probably scum

What would make you think that RR is town?

towny... things? things that I see him doing more as town than as scum?

It's a pretty general question. But I barely get town vibes from him this game, and he has done a bunch of scummy things instead.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 02:56:34 pm
I mean, like, you kill people at night for no reason. what the fuck?

why don't you just confess and tell me who your partners are? I'd lynch you last.
Wow. I apologize for saying 'piss' and we get this without so much as batting an eye.


And my partner is Yuma.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 02:56:40 pm
no problem

I have more of an issue with the fact that you're probably scum

What would make you think that RR is town?

towny... things? things that I see him doing more as town than as scum?

It's a pretty general question. But I barely get town vibes from him this game, and he has done a bunch of scummy things instead.
That's a non-answer, and I think it shows may be suffering from confirmation bias.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 20, 2015, 03:05:01 pm
no problem

I have more of an issue with the fact that you're probably scum

What would make you think that RR is town?

towny... things? things that I see him doing more as town than as scum?

It's a pretty general question. But I barely get town vibes from him this game, and he has done a bunch of scummy things instead.
That's a non-answer, and I think it shows may be suffering from confirmation bias.

What would make you think that RR is scum?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 03:12:23 pm
Yeah, what would make you think RR is scum?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 03:12:40 pm
no problem

I have more of an issue with the fact that you're probably scum

What would make you think that RR is town?

towny... things? things that I see him doing more as town than as scum?

It's a pretty general question. But I barely get town vibes from him this game, and he has done a bunch of scummy things instead.
That's a non-answer, and I think it shows may be suffering from confirmation bias.

eh... I don't get it. I agree that it is a non-answer, but that was inherent to the question. How could you answer it meaningfully?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 20, 2015, 03:18:31 pm
Because why?  I mean, I make a comment about what I think is a mod error, then put my vote back where it should have been all along.  Yes I unvoted ash a few posts earlier, but that was just a reflex, if you can't remember who you're voting for you need to read through some stuff and have another think.  The fact that I've come to the same conclusion again is not antitown...

I stand by the RR comment as well.

Because if you wanted to vote Ash, why do the unvote, who am I voting for?, vote Ash thing.  Why not just vote Ash?
I thought I made this clear.  I unvoted because it seems to me that if you forget who you're voting for you should probably unvote, otherwise clearly you're not thinking enough about your vote.

Then when I relooked I remembered my thoughts about Ash and revoted.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:24:20 pm
So Hydrad is another "he never lurks this much as scum" guy now?

I don't think so.

He also never used to lurk this much as town.  I don't think it's a tell either way. 

More this. He is posting less than he usually does in any type of game. So it probably has more to do with availability than it does alignment.

Plus there are superior lynches to be had out there than a random lynch, cause that is basically what the hydrad lynch is. If we were stuck and didn't have anything to go on... sure he could be good. But we have some good stuff to lynch off. defaulting to this just ignores the good stuff that we have.

Ya sorry I got a job recently and its eating up more time then I thought.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:25:52 pm
as for who to vote for I don't know if I like RR or yuma right now. hmm who would I want to lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:28:17 pm
gkrieg/RR seem towny so far to me.

faust/ss/asher/yuma/ww are basically all null to me and I like having them around later.

Joeseph/awaclus is also kinda null...

Haddock is my only scum read but thats for reasons I already stated and isn't really good enough.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:28:43 pm
so I don't like that list. I'm going to reread a bit to actually try to find who I want to vote.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 03:29:27 pm
Don't be sorry for getting a job.

Now, don't think of this as RR vs Yuma. Vote for the scummiest person, even if they have no votes.
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 03:30:29 pm
Don't be sorry for getting a job.

Now, don't think of this as RR vs Yuma. Vote for the scummiest person, even if they have no votes.
PPE 2

Who's the scummiest person?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 20, 2015, 03:32:21 pm
Don't be sorry for getting a job.

Now, don't think of this as RR vs Yuma. Vote for the scummiest person, even if they have no votes.
PPE 2

Who's the scummiest person?

Haddock.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:33:34 pm
Don't be sorry for getting a job.

Now, don't think of this as RR vs Yuma. Vote for the scummiest person, even if they have no votes.
PPE 2

Who's the scummiest person?

Haddock.

what were your reasons on haddock again? same kinda idea as mine since hes similar to his last game?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:33:49 pm
or wait you probably didn't post reasons did you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 03:35:19 pm
In my opinion, it's Yuma.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:38:52 pm
In my opinion, it's Yuma.

Hmm I've been thinking about yuma. For yuma I really have no way to tell if hes scum or town. I think he plays both very similarly. Well I'm guessing someone can tell but not me. But hes also a good player and I like keeping them alive if I can because since odds are that hes town then If hes alive till the end I hopefully have a bit higher chance of winning!

but overall for players like yuma I tend to not go hard on them for a bit until I can see voting patterns for them and what wagons they have joined.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:42:51 pm
Yuma also made some nice points against you RR.

I'm really debating if you are scum. You seem to have been catching onto the style of the game kinda fast and knowing about OMGUS and part of your own meta. So there is a chance that you could be scum and emulating it much better then I expected.

I guess I still feel like there will be a bigger difference then what there is now once your scum.

There is the chance that yuma is scum and knows that RR tends to become almost ICish and is using this method to try to get rid of you early so its harder near the end of the game.

Thats really the biggest chance for yuma to be scum in my mind so far. But I can't even know if hes being scummy until one of you flip. and even if you flip town its not like yuma is auto scum either.

I dunno I feel like i'm sllowly talking myself into a RR lynch even though my gut just feels like its wrong.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 03:44:34 pm
Well then snap out of it! Did you see my 'speech?'
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:48:08 pm
Well then snap out of it! Did you see my 'speech?'

I did and it does give me towny vibes!

But I guess I'm getting into a situation where for some reason my gut and my logic are telling me two different things. This hasn't really happened since my first few games of mafia.

Basically gut believes you but for some reason my logic is thinking that you might be scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:48:33 pm
usually I try to trust my gut though as it is right more often I believe.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 03:49:33 pm
usually I try to trust my gut though as it is right more often I believe.
I'm glad to hear that, but unlike some other players, I'm not going to try to tell you what to do.

Just make the right choice.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 03:57:42 pm
I may as well leave this here for now

Vote: Haddock

Still want to find a better one then this though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 20, 2015, 04:40:08 pm
Jokes aside?

Not sure if joking. Asking "who are you frustrated with" is pretty personal.
Is it? Like, I'm frustrated with Yuma for being so closed minded toward anything other than Scum
RR. I suppose I am a tad frustrated with Joseph and Hydrad as well.
Why are you frustrated at me? Because I find you scummy?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 04:42:45 pm
That's a small part, but it's mostly because you're lurking
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 04:45:30 pm
I'd assume that also.

But i've learned that answering for others is usually wrong. But yet I did it anyways. I've learned nothing.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 20, 2015, 05:16:40 pm
I may as well leave this here for now

Vote: Haddock

Still want to find a better one then this though.
Hurm.

Did you read my response to your original points?  It's find if you did and you still want to vote me, I just want to make sure.

Awa's finding me scummy is nothing new.  His not giving reasons is also nothing new.  But it is annoying.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 05:29:22 pm
I may as well leave this here for now

Vote: Haddock

Still want to find a better one then this though.
Hurm.

Did you read my response to your original points?  It's find if you did and you still want to vote me, I just want to make sure.

Awa's finding me scummy is nothing new.  His not giving reasons is also nothing new.  But it is annoying.

Ya I've read them. And I realize my vote is unfair. I just kinda wanted my vote somewhere. Although in a way its still like I'm unvoted as I highly doubt you are actually going to be lynched yet.

How it seems to be going is its going to be RR vs yuma unless something else happens. so really unless I put a vote on one of those 2 It might not be doing anything.

Now that also means I'm going to have to make a decision between them potentially. And I'm not ready yet to make that decision so I'm just voting you while I think about it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 20, 2015, 05:36:54 pm
That's a small part, but it's mostly because you're lurking
Not lurking, rather I'm busy IRL with work.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 05:38:37 pm
That's a small part, but it's mostly because you're lurking
Not lurking, rather I'm busy IRL with work.

same with me!

but I can see how it can sometimes be annoying for the others.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 05:47:03 pm
Take all the time you need, but we for sure want a lynch today.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 20, 2015, 05:53:45 pm
Take all the time you need, but we for sure want a lynch today.
That goes without saying.  I also agree with Hydrad in that at the moment it seems like it will only be yuma or you.

We've got 3 days and I'd like to see if anything different arises.  But if it comes down to it I think right now I would vote RR over yuma.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 05:57:13 pm
Haddock, that's actually okay. Tonight, at about 3:00 AM, I'll make a speech that will blow my old one out of the water.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 05:58:43 pm
Haddock, that's actually okay. Tonight, at about 3:00 AM, I'll make a speech that will blow my old one out of the water.

I'm looking forward to it
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 20, 2015, 06:00:55 pm
Haddock, that's actually okay. Tonight, at about 3:00 AM, I'll make a speech that will blow my old one out of the water.

I'm looking forward to it
Assuming you mean 3am Eastern, I'll be asleep.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 06:01:34 pm
Glad to hear it.

Even though I have a spring in my step, I know that I'm already dead. Everyone but me and maybe Faust will lynch RR before Yuma. I can try as hard as I want, but I think this is game over for me.
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 06:01:53 pm
Haddock, that's actually okay. Tonight, at about 3:00 AM, I'll make a speech that will blow my old one out of the water.

I'm looking forward to it
Assuming you mean 3am Eastern, I'll be asleep.
That's my intent
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 20, 2015, 06:12:19 pm
Haddock, that's actually okay. Tonight, at about 3:00 AM, I'll make a speech that will blow my old one out of the water.

I'm looking forward to it
Assuming you mean 3am Eastern, I'll be asleep.
That's my intent
Um okay?

FWIW, current scum reads are:
RR- for all the previous things I've said
Hydrad- gut instinct + similar to M69, where Hydrad was scum
Haddock- gut instinct (not played together before)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 06:24:20 pm
I straight-up don't know how to read RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 06:25:29 pm
I straight-up don't know how to read RR
Yay?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 06:26:53 pm
Well I'm not going to oppose lynching you, so it's not the best thing ever.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 06:27:34 pm
Well I'm not going to oppose lynching you, so it's not the best thing ever.
Hence the question mark. Would you read another speech or have you lost interest in me?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 06:41:55 pm
I would like you to find scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 20, 2015, 06:46:11 pm
Well I'm not going to oppose lynching you, so it's not the best thing ever.
Hence the question mark. Would you read another speech or have you lost interest in me?
Honestly, rr just sounds shop uptight and defensive - rewinds me of scum! me when I hadn't played scum at all.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 06:51:49 pm
We've been over this. I'm a very defensive player.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 20, 2015, 06:55:40 pm
We've been over this. I'm a very defensive player.
So was/am I as scum. I'm sorry, it's just the thing I'm seeing more and more is that this defensiveness seems very like scum!me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 20, 2015, 06:59:18 pm
Hydrad finally voted.  Nothing he has said has been too towny though.  Might be because catching up is hard.  I'm keeping my vote there for now. 

I could be swayed to vote for Haddock.  I have a gut scum read on him.  Coupled with what happened at the beginning of the day and his reaction to it. 

PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 07:07:24 pm
We've been over this. I'm a very defensive player.

The biggest issue here is no one has actually seen you as scum yet. So while this could be your town meta changing a bit. theres also a chance that this is just you as scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 07:09:57 pm
What would make you think that RR is scum?

Well, the usual I suppose... convenient wagon-hopping, hedging, being less active than usual. Maybe if someone supported my view on the RR issue (because that might be a scum partner). Also my read may change depending on flips. Or claims.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 07:11:08 pm
eh... I don't get it. I agree that it is a non-answer, but that was inherent to the question. How could you answer it meaningfully?

There are clear town traits that you can name. Some things make specific players more likely town. You can state what they are.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 07:14:43 pm
Hey RR, I just wanted to say that independently of your alignment, I think the way you play this game has improved a lot since your first game here.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 07:16:02 pm
Hydrad finally voted.  Nothing he has said has been too towny though.  Might be because catching up is hard.  I'm keeping my vote there for now. 

I could be swayed to vote for Haddock.  I have a gut scum read on him.  Coupled with what happened at the beginning of the day and his reaction to it. 

PPE

Well, his vote is somewhat towny... not going for the RR/yuma wagons, but trying something different.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 07:16:42 pm
I would like you to find scum.

I would like you to find scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:23:55 pm
Hey RR, I just wanted to say that independently of your alignment, I think the way you play this game has improved a lot since your first game here.
Thanks Faust. Sadly it seems me playing better just means me dying quicker.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:24:27 pm
We've been over this. I'm a very defensive player.
So was/am I as scum. I'm sorry, it's just the thing I'm seeing more and more is that this defensiveness seems very like scum!me.
Switch Mafia-I was very defensive. Blitz Mafia-I was very defensive. I flipped town in both of those.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:25:41 pm
What would make you think that RR is scum?

Well, the usual I suppose... convenient wagon-hopping, hedging, being less active than usual. Maybe if someone supported my view on the RR issue (because that might be a scum partner). Also my read may change depending on flips. Or claims.
I haven't wagon hopped, and that made people see me as scum. I don't know what hedging is? Is that not being sure between two things? I haven't done that. And with no job and little school, I would like to consider myself very active.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 20, 2015, 07:33:15 pm
What would make you think that RR is scum?

Well, the usual I suppose... convenient wagon-hopping, hedging, being less active than usual. Maybe if someone supported my view on the RR issue (because that might be a scum partner). Also my read may change depending on flips. Or claims.
I haven't wagon hopped, and that made people see me as scum. I don't know what hedging is? Is that not being sure between two things? I haven't done that. And with no job and little school, I would like to consider myself very active.
Yes... I didn't mean to say you did that. I meant that if you would do that, it would be scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:34:54 pm
I see. So, Faust, as an excellent Mafia player, what do you think the best argument for scum RR is? Is it the fact that I haven't OMGUSed? Is it the fact that I am not a robot and I don't do the exact same thing every time? Or is it something else?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 07:37:03 pm
RR i'm curious. Do you have any thoughts that faust might be scum? or do you consider him an IC almost.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 07:39:13 pm
RR i'm curious. Do you have any thoughts that faust might be scum? or do you consider him an IC almost.
That's an interesting question. I will probably go into it more in my next rant.
Of course it's possible. He could be trying to earn massive town points so that he'll never get lynched. But it would be so flippin' easy for him to not defend me. I don't consider him an IC, but he is very, very town to me .
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 20, 2015, 08:24:25 pm
eh... I don't get it. I agree that it is a non-answer, but that was inherent to the question. How could you answer it meaningfully?

There are clear town traits that you can name. Some things make specific players more likely town. You can state what they are.

Isn't that just a theoretical question that is in no way linked to this game specifically?

I don't have a catalog of scum and town traits. I look at something and then apply reason and intuition. I tend not to give too much credit to arguments that don't take a player's personality into perspective.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 20, 2015, 08:28:39 pm
I would like you to find scum.

I would like you to find scum.

How does a Joseph strike your fancy?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 08:32:10 pm
eh... I don't get it. I agree that it is a non-answer, but that was inherent to the question. How could you answer it meaningfully?

There are clear town traits that you can name. Some things make specific players more likely town. You can state what they are.

Isn't that just a theoretical question that is in no way linked to this game specifically?

I don't have a catalog of scum and town traits. I look at something and then apply reason and intuition. I tend not to give too much credit to arguments that don't take a player's personality into perspective.
What. What. What.
I just learned my meta about 12 hours ago. And now you're telling me I have a personality?

This is just great.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 08:40:01 pm
I have a few questions for Yuma, I'd like Faust to answer them to (you obviously don't have to).
1. Who are you most frustrated with this game?
2. Who do you think will get lynched today?
3. What day do you think you'll die on?
4. Do you think anything personal is going on with anyone?
Thanks guys for a speedy response!

Sorry. Been away from Internet and now on stupid phone for weekend.

I am not answering 1 and 4. Two is obvious. I think you should will be. And 3 I have no idea. I hope earlier simply because if you do get lynched and are mafia I imagine I will be nked earlier. Plus I rarely win games as town when left alive until the end of the game as town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 08:44:29 pm
no problem

I have more of an issue with the fact that you're probably scum

What would make you think that RR is town?

If he had acted like he typically acted when faced with persistent and aggressive pressure. But he didn't. Well at least not until I pointed out that he hadn't. That he is doing it now is too little too late.

Also RR has still failed to respond to the posts that he incorrectly stated I didn't respond to....
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 08:48:38 pm
What page could I find that post on, Yuma?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 08:49:04 pm
We've been over this. I'm a very defensive player.
So was/am I as scum. I'm sorry, it's just the thing I'm seeing more and more is that this defensiveness seems very like scum!me.
Switch Mafia-I was very defensive. Blitz Mafia-I was very defensive. I flipped town in both of those.

Except you weren't until I called you out. Since then you reverted to your old meta. Prior to that you were a different beast.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 08:49:44 pm
What page could I find that post on, Yuma?

I don't know. If i were on laptop I could find it easy. On phone that is harder... Sorry.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 08:50:18 pm
I wasn't what, defensive? On D1 I did nothing. Then on D2 I am pretty sure I was defensive before you 'calls me out.'

But don't take my word for it!
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 08:50:38 pm
What page could I find that post on, Yuma?

I don't know. If i were on laptop I could find it easy. On phone that is harder... Sorry.
Yep, I know how that feels. Can you just tell me what the post said?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 09:02:31 pm
What page could I find that post on, Yuma?

I don't know. If i were on laptop I could find it easy. On phone that is harder... Sorry.
Yep, I know how that feels. Can you just tell me what the post said?

Post where you said you had changed meta to no longer Omgus. I stated that you only brought it up after being called out on it, not before.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 09:17:08 pm
So Hydrad is another "he never lurks this much as scum" guy now?

I don't think so.

He also never used to lurk this much as town.  I don't think it's a tell either way. 

More this. He is posting less than he usually does in any type of game. So it probably has more to do with availability than it does alignment.

Plus there are superior lynches to be had out there than a random lynch, cause that is basically what the hydrad lynch is. If we were stuck and didn't have anything to go on... sure he could be good. But we have some good stuff to lynch off. defaulting to this just ignores the good stuff that we have.

Ya sorry I got a job recently and its eating up more time then I thought.

Well what do you know... Activity is related to something outside of alignment. Go figure...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 09:20:52 pm
eh... I don't get it. I agree that it is a non-answer, but that was inherent to the question. How could you answer it meaningfully?

There are clear town traits that you can name. Some things make specific players more likely town. You can state what they are.

Isn't that just a theoretical question that is in no way linked to this game specifically?

I don't have a catalog of scum and town traits. I look at something and then apply reason and intuition. I tend not to give too much credit to arguments that don't take a player's personality into perspective.
What. What. What.
I just learned my meta about 12 hours ago. And now you're telling me I have a personality?

This is just great.

Don't worry. I think its pretty hard to completly understand your own meta and personality. If you did then it would really be almost impossible to tell the difference between town and scum. So some people can do it but I would say most won't be able to replicate everything perfectly.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 09:25:46 pm
What page could I find that post on, Yuma?

I don't know. If i were on laptop I could find it easy. On phone that is harder... Sorry.
Yep, I know how that feels. Can you just tell me what the post said?

Post where you said you had changed meta to no longer Omgus. I stated that you only brought it up after being called out on it, not before.
Let's paraphrase Faust here. OMGUSing someone would be the easiest thing for me to replicate. If I thought it would be a huge deal and get me lynched, I would've done so.
And we all know OMGUSing is bad, I was going to stop doing it at some point. Why would I choose a game in which I was scum (I'm not scum, I'm just saying if I was). Wouldn't it be more reasonable to replicate my Switch Mafia tactic and not draw attention to myself?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 09:27:54 pm
Jokes aside?

Not sure if joking. Asking "who are you frustrated with" is pretty personal.
Is it? Like, I'm frustrated with Yuma for being so closed minded toward anything other than Scum
RR. I suppose I am a tad frustrated with Joseph and Hydrad as well.

Sorry you are frustrated. Unfortunately frustration isn't an alignment tell. I am perfectly willing to concede that you may be, and probably are actually are very frustrated. Town gets frustrated when mislynched. Scum gets frustrated when accurately lynched.

But you know what is most frustrating? When you feel like you have a really good read on a player, let yourself get talked out of it by other players and then lose the game because, or partially because of it. That I am holding my ground had nothing to do with you personally, but from bitter experience of being right before and not standing my ground. I think I am onto something good here. You will disagree no matter what, that is a given. If something better comes up I'll consider that as well, but I am not going to change my read on you just because you say I should.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 09:28:18 pm
Oh, I would like to point something out.
If I don't get lynched today, Yuma could be night killed.
This does mean I am scum, this means people are trying to frame me as scum by killing the person who is after me.
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 09:30:39 pm
What page could I find that post on, Yuma?

I don't know. If i were on laptop I could find it easy. On phone that is harder... Sorry.
Yep, I know how that feels. Can you just tell me what the post said?

Post where you said you had changed meta to no longer Omgus. I stated that you only brought it up after being called out on it, not before.
Let's paraphrase Faust here. OMGUSing someone would be the easiest thing for me to replicate. If I thought it would be a huge deal and get me lynched, I would've done so.
And we all know OMGUSing is bad, I was going to stop doing it at some point. Why would I choose a game in which I was scum (I'm not scum, I'm just saying if I was). Wouldn't it be more reasonable to replicate my Switch Mafia tactic and not draw attention to myself?

No. I have already addressed this. Thanks to Faust for providing an explanation for you after.

And again my point in rebuttal to what you originally said is: if you intended from the start to eliminate omgus from your play why did you not tell everyone of this new found revelation at the start of the game? Why wait until you are called out in it to bring it up. Too convenient
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 09:31:46 pm
Oh, I would like to point something out.
If I don't get lynched today, Yuma could be night killed.
This does mean I am scum, this means people are trying to frame me as scum by killing the person who is after me.
PPE

Scummy post On the level of the "cop me" cause I am a godfather post by mail Mi that ash and I talked about earlier today.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 09:32:31 pm
Jokes aside?

Not sure if joking. Asking "who are you frustrated with" is pretty personal.
Is it? Like, I'm frustrated with Yuma for being so closed minded toward anything other than Scum
RR. I suppose I am a tad frustrated with Joseph and Hydrad as well.

Sorry you are frustrated. Unfortunately frustration isn't an alignment tell. I am perfectly willing to concede that you may be, and probably are actually are very frustrated. Town gets frustrated when mislynched. Scum gets frustrated when accurately lynched.

But you know what is most frustrating? When you feel like you have a really good read on a player, let yourself get talked out of it by other players and then lose the game because, or partially because of it. That I am holding my ground had nothing to do with you personally, but from bitter experience of being right before and not standing my ground. I think I am onto something good here. You will disagree no matter what, that is a given. If something better comes up I'll consider that as well, but I am not going to change my read on you just because you say I should.
Well no, if you would change your read just based on that I would have no votes on me. And I should probably step back and realize that you're still a human being. You came up with an idea that looks good to you, and it sucks (in your case) to have people tear it apart. It's like having an essay edited, then someone ruins it by taking entire paragraphs out and changing stuff.

The thing is though, I haven't seen you consider anything. Maybe this is because I have been known to skim read, but you barely make a case on Awaclus, you are letting Faust be and you haven't even mentioned poor Hydrad.

And I'm sorry about past experiences where people screwed you over. But I'm not one of those people! I'm new to Mafia! Maybe I'm not like them. Maybe Iguana isn't like them (but he's dead). Maybe Haddock isn't like them. There are a few new players in this game, maybe the Mafia culture of F.ds can be remodeled.
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 09:33:35 pm
Oh, I would like to point something out.
If I don't get lynched today, Yuma could be night killed.
This does mean I am scum, this means people are trying to frame me as scum by killing the person who is after me.
PPE

Scummy post On the level of the "cop me" cause I am a godfather post by mail Mi that ash and I talked about earlier today.

i'm curious how did that even ended up? did you guys realize he was godfather right away?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 09:33:44 pm
Oh, I would like to point something out.
If I don't get lynched today, Yuma could be night killed.
This does mean I am scum, this means people are trying to frame me as scum by killing the person who is after me.
PPE

Scummy post On the level of the "cop me" cause I am a godfather post by mail Mi that ash and I talked about earlier today.
I'm sorry. Maybe I missed a comma or something. But I completely did not understand this post. It looks like gibberish to me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 09:35:40 pm
I waited because I didn't think it was a big deal at all.
I didn't know I was associated with OMGUSing.
It probably does look suspicious, and I'm sorry for all of us if that is the case.
And as you learn a thing or two about Mafia, you get better. You start to phase out the crap strategies.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 09:37:20 pm
To be clear I don't hold it against people for trying to convince me away from a case or read I have. That is their perogative as scum. It means they are playing well.

I don't have anything to say about HTSNBN. Haddock I found scummy earlier. Just not as scummy. Hydrad I have stated is a poor lynch. Gkreig I kinda find scummy. Ash and Faust are both suspicious in my eyes when in conjunction. All of these things I have stated already. Not all my posts are about you..,
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 09:38:43 pm
Oh, I would like to point something out.
If I don't get lynched today, Yuma could be night killed.
This does mean I am scum, this means people are trying to frame me as scum by killing the person who is after me.
PPE

Scummy post On the level of the "cop me" cause I am a godfather post by mail Mi that ash and I talked about earlier today.
I'm sorry. Maybe I missed a comma or something. But I completely did not understand this post. It looks like gibberish to me.

i'll try to explain.

so godfather is a scum role that when a cop looks at them they show up as town instead of scum.

what mail-mi did in a game a while ago was say something along the lines of "cop me and you will see I'm town" Although I don't know exactly what happened I'm kinda guessing as how this is how it went along. People probably realized that its such a weird thing and scummy thing to say as town almost never says something like that so they realized mail-mi was the godfather from it.

I think thats how it went down? But don't trust me 100% here as I haven't actually read the game for that and am just assuming how it happened.

PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 20, 2015, 09:39:51 pm
Oh, I would like to point something out.
If I don't get lynched today, Yuma could be night killed.
This does mean I am scum, this means people are trying to frame me as scum by killing the person who is after me.
PPE

Scummy post On the level of the "cop me" cause I am a godfather post by mail Mi that ash and I talked about earlier today.

i'm curious how did that even ended up? did you guys realize he was godfather right away?

He was already under pressure. Like at l-2. And he said, let's lynch x today and then have the cop investigate me during the night. He will see that I am town.

So it became apparent that he likely was scum already and that just pushed him over the ledge really quick. I think his scum partner actually is the one who first made a comment about it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 20, 2015, 09:41:05 pm
This does mean I am scum

It does? That's surprising.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 20, 2015, 09:43:08 pm
I don't have anything to say about HTSNBN.

Why do you keep calling me that, though?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 09:43:16 pm
Oh, I would like to point something out.
If I don't get lynched today, Yuma could be night killed.
This does mean I am scum, this means people are trying to frame me as scum by killing the person who is after me.
PPE

Scummy post On the level of the "cop me" cause I am a godfather post by mail Mi that ash and I talked about earlier today.

i'm curious how did that even ended up? did you guys realize he was godfather right away?

He was already under pressure. Like at l-2. And he said, let's lynch x today and then have the cop investigate me during the night. He will see that I am town.

So it became apparent that he likely was scum already and that just pushed him over the ledge really quick. I think his scum partner actually is the one who first made a comment about it.

ah got it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 20, 2015, 09:43:52 pm
I don't have anything to say about HTSNBN.

Why do you keep calling me that, though?

ohh thats what yuma ment. i didn't get it at first
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 09:55:29 pm
This does mean I am scum

It does? That's surprising.
You know what I meant.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 20, 2015, 11:30:54 pm
Sorry guys, I gotta pistpone my epic speech. I have to wake up early tomorrow, so I will write it hopefully by 2:00 PM tomorrow.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 04:33:51 am
To be clear I don't hold it against people for trying to convince me away from a case or read I have. That is their perogative as scum. It means they are playing well.

This is misleading... again. It is also our perogative as town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 04:42:27 am
I see. So, Faust, as an excellent Mafia player, what do you think the best argument for scum RR is? Is it the fact that I haven't OMGUSed? Is it the fact that I am not a robot and I don't do the exact same thing every time? Or is it something else?

So you are asking what's the thing you did that is most scummy in my eyes? That's not easy... I agree that the post about how scum might to frame you by killing yuma is a tad scummy.That would probably be it. Though it is on no level the same as saying "cop me!"
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 04:43:49 am
eh... I don't get it. I agree that it is a non-answer, but that was inherent to the question. How could you answer it meaningfully?

There are clear town traits that you can name. Some things make specific players more likely town. You can state what they are.

Isn't that just a theoretical question that is in no way linked to this game specifically?

I don't have a catalog of scum and town traits. I look at something and then apply reason and intuition. I tend not to give too much credit to arguments that don't take a player's personality into perspective.
Huh? It is linked to this game. The question is, at this point in the game, is there anything RR could do to make you think he is town?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 04:45:47 am
I would like you to find scum.

I would like you to find scum.

How does a Joseph strike your fancy?

Not bad. I would join in there if more people voted Joseph I think... I prefer yuma a bit though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 04:46:45 am
no problem

I have more of an issue with the fact that you're probably scum

What would make you think that RR is town?

If he had acted like he typically acted when faced with persistent and aggressive pressure. But he didn't. Well at least not until I pointed out that he hadn't. That he is doing it now is too little too late.

Also RR has still failed to respond to the posts that he incorrectly stated I didn't respond to....
So your mind is set, RR can do nothing anymore to change it? That's anti-town play.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 04:47:36 am
We've been over this. I'm a very defensive player.
So was/am I as scum. I'm sorry, it's just the thing I'm seeing more and more is that this defensiveness seems very like scum!me.
Switch Mafia-I was very defensive. Blitz Mafia-I was very defensive. I flipped town in both of those.

Except you weren't until I called you out. Since then you reverted to your old meta. Prior to that you were a different beast.
I honestly don't see how you could think that RR acts the same as his old meta here.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 04:50:02 am
But you know what is most frustrating? When you feel like you have a really good read on a player, let yourself get talked out of it by other players and then lose the game because, or partially because of it. That I am holding my ground had nothing to do with you personally, but from bitter experience of being right before and not standing my ground. I think I am onto something good here. You will disagree no matter what, that is a given. If something better comes up I'll consider that as well, but I am not going to change my read on you just because you say I should.
This is something I completely expect scum!yuma to do because it fits with the narrative of a prior game. I would hope that town!yuma tries to live in the present a bit more.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 04:50:51 am
And again my point in rebuttal to what you originally said is: if you intended from the start to eliminate omgus from your play why did you not tell everyone of this new found revelation at the start of the game? Why wait until you are called out in it to bring it up. Too convenient

Why would he though?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 21, 2015, 04:57:02 am
We've been over this. I'm a very defensive player.
So was/am I as scum. I'm sorry, it's just the thing I'm seeing more and more is that this defensiveness seems very like scum!me.
Switch Mafia-I was very defensive. Blitz Mafia-I was very defensive. I flipped town in both of those.

Except you weren't until I called you out. Since then you reverted to your old meta. Prior to that you were a different beast.
I honestly don't see how you could think that RR acts the same as his old meta here.

You agree he doesn't match his old meta and yet you defend him? Yuma is arguing he wasn't matching his old meta...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 05:01:41 am
You agree he doesn't match his old meta and yet you defend him? Yuma is arguing he wasn't matching his old meta...

Well, I agree. But I don't think it is scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 21, 2015, 05:04:04 am
You agree he doesn't match his old meta and yet you defend him? Yuma is arguing he wasn't matching his old meta...

Well, I agree. But I don't think it is scummy.

Man, how often do we all say "he's not acting like his town self" or "he doesn't remind me of that town game" when we make cases?  Why does that not apply here?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 05:41:40 am
You agree he doesn't match his old meta and yet you defend him? Yuma is arguing he wasn't matching his old meta...

Well, I agree. But I don't think it is scummy.

Man, how often do we all say "he's not acting like his town self" or "he doesn't remind me of that town game" when we make cases?  Why does that not apply here?

Because RR is new and it is only natural that his meta would change in between games. Also, in general an argument as above can is much stronger if you already know the scum meta of the player. I don't think the arguments usually o as you described above, because that's a weak argument. They're more like "he does seem more like this game where he was scum than that game where he was town".
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 05:44:58 am
I would like to point out that people are different, because a lot of us seem to forget that. Statements like "changing your meta is scummy" or "self-voting is scummy" are useless and wrong because whether or not something is scummy always depends on the player doing it. People try to work with such universal scumtells because it's easier, but such a thing does not actually exist.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 21, 2015, 05:59:30 am
So until someone wins as scum, we just ignore it all?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 06:09:29 am
So until someone wins as scum, we just ignore it all?

No.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 07:42:08 am
eh... I don't get it. I agree that it is a non-answer, but that was inherent to the question. How could you answer it meaningfully?

There are clear town traits that you can name. Some things make specific players more likely town. You can state what they are.

Isn't that just a theoretical question that is in no way linked to this game specifically?

I don't have a catalog of scum and town traits. I look at something and then apply reason and intuition. I tend not to give too much credit to arguments that don't take a player's personality into perspective.
Huh? It is linked to this game. The question is, at this point in the game, is there anything RR could do to make you think he is town?
Of course there is. But it's not a useful thing to try to come up with things he could do beforehand, also because there are a huge number of them.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 07:44:36 am
So, personally, one reason why I liked to sheep faust in prior games is not just because it's faust; it's that I find his arguments convincing. It's often like '... or course, I should have said that!'

That's not the case at all here. The points he makes aren't necessarily awful, but they are definitely weak in comparison.

This makes me feel better about the RR lynch.

Also RR comes out pretty weak in the RR <-> yuma argument
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 07:45:55 am
lynch: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 21, 2015, 08:17:05 am
lynch: RR

Wrong verb.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 21, 2015, 08:19:24 am
I would like to point out that people are different, because a lot of us seem to forget that. Statements like "changing your meta is scummy" or "self-voting is scummy" are useless and wrong because whether or not something is scummy always depends on the player doing it. People try to work with such universal scumtells because it's easier, but such a thing does not actually exist.

To expand on my last question/point...

The statements you make here are not untrue.  But, with a newer player, where we lack the points of reference you mention, we have to work differently.

No, we have yet to see RR flip scum.  But we have a clear definition of town!RR and his behavior.  That behavior has not been replicated here (until it was pointed out, and then he turned it on overdrive).  Both the lack of normal town play and the overcompensation when called out for it are scummy behaviors.

It's a good case, faust.  You don't have any reason to believe RR is town other than pride and contrarianism.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 21, 2015, 08:31:24 am
lynch: RR
That's dark.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 09:33:35 am
To be clear I don't hold it against people for trying to convince me away from a case or read I have. That is their perogative as scum. It means they are playing well.

This is misleading... again. It is also our perogative as town.

Context!!!!!!  In this case I was referring to the people who , in previous games convinced me to change or stop having a really strong read in someone who was later confirmed to be scum. I think that is what is going on here, but I don't know it.

If you want to be so obsessed with finding every post of mine misleading at least spend the time to determine the context and substance of the posts.

What is with you this game? You aren't normally such a pain.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 09:34:42 am
no problem

I have more of an issue with the fact that you're probably scum

What would make you think that RR is town?

If he had acted like he typically acted when faced with persistent and aggressive pressure. But he didn't. Well at least not until I pointed out that he hadn't. That he is doing it now is too little too late.

Also RR has still failed to respond to the posts that he incorrectly stated I didn't respond to....
So your mind is set, RR can do nothing anymore to change it? That's anti-town play.

That is a nice opinion stated as a fact.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 09:38:02 am
And again my point in rebuttal to what you originally said is: if you intended from the start to eliminate omgus from your play why did you not tell everyone of this new found revelation at the start of the game? Why wait until you are called out in it to bring it up. Too convenient

Why would he though?

I don't know? He is the one that brought up the idea as a defense as if we should have known that he was changing his approach due to an epiphany rather than because of alignment. But we can't know things about a players' motivation just observe their behavior. So we are back to square one. I think what I observed RR do is scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 09:40:30 am
I would like to point out that people are different, because a lot of us seem to forget that. Statements like "changing your meta is scummy" or "self-voting is scummy" are useless and wrong because whether or not something is scummy always depends on the player doing it. People try to work with such universal scumtells because it's easier, but such a thing does not actually exist.

To expand on my last question/point...

The statements you make here are not untrue.  But, with a newer player, where we lack the points of reference you mention, we have to work differently.

No, we have yet to see RR flip scum.  But we have a clear definition of town!RR and his behavior.  That behavior has not been replicated here (until it was pointed out, and then he turned it on overdrive).  Both the lack of normal town play and the overcompensation when called out for it are scummy behaviors.

It's a good case, faust.  You don't have any reason to believe RR is town other than pride and contrarianism.

Ding ding ding!!! Everyone should read this post again. It is one of ash's better.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 21, 2015, 09:42:54 am
So Yuma, you're saying that there is something I can do to make you think I'm not scum?

Personally, I don't believe that. So can you tell me what it is?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 09:49:58 am
So Yuma, you're saying that there is something I can do to make you think I'm not scum?

Personally, I don't believe that. So can you tell me what it is?

Build a really good case in a player that is not me that illustrates that said person is more likely to be scum than you are. It get someone else to build said case.

You already did the scummy thing. That can't be changer. Nor can be interpretation of said thing... As the defenses offered have been... Lacking. So I'll only stop voting you if there is someone else who I think is more likely to be scum, which might be a tall order, but it's my answer
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 21, 2015, 09:54:45 am
This probably goes for Ashersky and Joseph too.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 09:56:53 am
RR... everything that you could do to convince me that you're town would stop being something you can do to convince me that you're town if I tell you to do it first, and it should be the same with everyone else. Mafia doesn't work like that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 21, 2015, 10:10:52 am
I would like you to find scum.

I would like you to find scum.

How does a Joseph strike your fancy?

Not bad. I would join in there if more people voted Joseph I think... I prefer yuma a bit though.

I would do Yuma, too.  But honestly I'm tired of always ending up voting who you're voting~
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 21, 2015, 10:18:23 am
Not that there's much on Joseph.. he seems to not be doing a lot but posting a little bit here and there, his comments feel like he feels he ought to be commenting.  The thing that stood out to me was his "when I was scum, I did this..." argument, but I'm not so sure why I found it scummy at the time.  I've said the same thing as both town and scum.

Hydrad I don't want to lynch; he's been townier since we summoned him.

Vote: Yuma
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 10:37:13 am
Neener, neener, neener. You cant lynch me!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 10:49:58 am
Well I am at L-2. Given the idiotic tendency to derp/quick happen on f.ds I am going to do the following. Claim...

I have a pr. It is one of the following: hider,  rolecop, jailkeeper. Obviously I can't be all three so if you as a person are one of these roles don't over react and "out" yourself...

I think I should claim because 1 good chance of getting lynched if I don't. 2. If RR is scum and we lynch him I am likely going to be the nk target anyways. 3. If RR is town and not lynched u think I will likely be the nk to set him up.

So yeah. I claim to be a pr one of the three listed above. I might claim specifically what I am if people still want me lynched, but I will have to think about it.

I think this is the right move. If it isn't sorry.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 21, 2015, 10:56:57 am
Claiming early isn't like you. The only times I've seen you claim early was GOP mafia. I just woke up so I'll think about it in the shower.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 11:07:14 am
Unofficial vote count:

RR: Yuma, Ash, SS  (3)
Faust: Joseph (1)
Haddock: Awa, Hydrad (2)
Yuma: RR, Faust, WW (3)
Ash: Haddock (1)
Hydrad: Gkrieg (1)

It's clear that noone wants to vote anyone except Yuma and RR (and maybe me, I guess).  So my vote on ash may as well be nowhere.  Out of yuma and RR I would definitely rather vote: RR at the point.  He just seems to get scummier as he and yuma argue.

In other news, having a look through I found these two:
In case it's not obvious, yuma's post was why I wanted to unvote RR, and voting Haddock was because I don't like just unvoting without voting for someone else if there's time to think about who I want to vote for next.
and
Who's the scummiest person?

Haddock.

Is it me or are these two statements pretty contradictory?  He says I'm just a placeholder vote and then claims that I'm the scummiest person here.  (Which, btw, seriously?  There are some gut reads on me at the moment, but can Awa honestly find me scummier than everyone else? I don't get it.)  There's some time difference there, but it's not like Awa says anything about me in the meantime.  This being Awa I guess it's not really an alignment tell, but it is pretty weird.  I mean one of these statements has to be false.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 11:08:54 am
Whoa OK I didn't get a PPE notice.  PPE lots.  And obviously the vote count changes. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 11:11:52 am
2. If RR is scum and we lynch him I am likely going to be the nk target anyways. 3. If RR is town and not lynched u think I will likely be the nk to set him up.
I'm thinking about your claim.  In the meantime, I don't like these two things.  Someone (was it you?) used comments that RR made along these exact lines as a reason to find RR scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 21, 2015, 11:32:09 am
vote: yuma

L-1 I believe
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 11:36:36 am
vote: yuma

L-1 I believe
I think someone should unvote.  We need to actually take some time to think about this claim, you don't just autolynch someone who has claimed. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 11:37:18 am
That said, I think it's a pretty bad claim.  If you're going to claim a PR, claim all the way, so we can make use of it.  Otherwise you're just going to get NKd anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 12:10:16 pm
I see I am at L-1, haven't read anything other than that. can't respond now. But will when a bit more free. At least unvote guys. Seriously.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 12:27:27 pm
vote: yuma

L-1 I believe

Quick catch up in parking lot of hardware store. I hate phone posting. Might just stop until I have Internet on Monday. Ugh. I don't know how people do it.

I think you were already voting for me. I counted Faust, rr gkreig and ww.

I have reasons for claiming like I did. I think ash and SS will both recognize why. I don't want to explain more obviously. But might if I really need to. But at least wait til ash and SS come in. Have to say gkreig is coming off super scummy from this.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 12:28:26 pm
Prob last post in a while. Really busy with projects today. But again fds stupid derp hammers so let's at least talk before doing something super stupid.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 12:40:34 pm
Yeah I think this is only L-2, yuma's earlier post confused me.  But it's my vote count plus 1, which is 4 votes, only L-2.  Ignore my request for an unvote.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 12:49:10 pm
if gkrieg was already voting for you, then his move was fine. otherwise, wtf.

not sure what I'm supposed to say... I don't think you should full claim.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 21, 2015, 12:50:22 pm
Yuma's claim is scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 01:02:53 pm
if gkrieg was already voting for you, then his move was fine. otherwise, wtf.
He had been on Hydrad, his vote on yuma is only L-2 though.  Confusion about vote numbers can be forgiven, the last official count was a while back.

RR and yuma both now at L-2.

I can't claim to understand why this partial claim is better than a full claim, but I could believe there are reasons.  I'll try to figure it out.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 21, 2015, 01:36:35 pm
Yuma's claim is scummy.

Why?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 21, 2015, 01:49:20 pm
Yuma's claim is scummy.

Why?
He's covering all his bases so the real people don't step up and say something. I would post more but I'm busy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 21, 2015, 01:54:47 pm
In other news, having a look through I found these two:
In case it's not obvious, yuma's post was why I wanted to unvote RR, and voting Haddock was because I don't like just unvoting without voting for someone else if there's time to think about who I want to vote for next.
and
Who's the scummiest person?

Haddock.

Is it me or are these two statements pretty contradictory?  He says I'm just a placeholder vote and then claims that I'm the scummiest person here.  (Which, btw, seriously?  There are some gut reads on me at the moment, but can Awa honestly find me scummier than everyone else? I don't get it.)  There's some time difference there, but it's not like Awa says anything about me in the meantime.  This being Awa I guess it's not really an alignment tell, but it is pretty weird.  I mean one of these statements has to be false.

You were the placeholder because you were the scummiest person at the time, and you still are.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 21, 2015, 01:58:55 pm
I'm inclined to believe yuma's claim. There's a reason to not claim which one of those three he is, and I think he's towny anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 01:59:50 pm
You were the placeholder because you were the scummiest person at the time, and you still are.
Whatever.  Whatever your reasons, they're not good enough; but I don't expect an explanation from you of all people.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 21, 2015, 02:18:20 pm
You were the placeholder because you were the scummiest person at the time, and you still are.
Whatever.  Whatever your reasons, they're not good enough; but I don't expect an explanation from you of all people.

It's not up to you to decide if my reasons are good enough. What is up to you is to give me good enough reasons to stop voting you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 21, 2015, 02:18:52 pm
I'm at Ucon, vote count at a break.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 02:23:48 pm
It's not up to you to decide if my reasons are good enough. What is up to you is to give me good enough reasons to stop voting you.
I'm town, therefore your reasons are not good enough.  Obviously, you can vote me, and if I could be bothered I would try to convince you not to.  But that is destined to be completely futile, knowing you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 21, 2015, 02:39:15 pm
I'm town, therefore your reasons are not good enough.  Obviously, you can vote me, and if I could be bothered I would try to convince you not to.  But that is destined to be completely futile, knowing you.

The only way it's completely futile is that you're scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 02:40:20 pm
The only way it's completely futile is that you're scum.
It's futile because you're you.  You decide something, nothing will change your mind.  Fortunately you're not the only one who gets to decide.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 21, 2015, 03:01:33 pm
vote: Haddock

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 21, 2015, 03:11:04 pm
The only way it's completely futile is that you're scum.
It's futile because you're you.  You decide something, nothing will change your mind.  Fortunately you're not the only one who gets to decide.

That's demonstrably false. For example, earlier this day, yuma did an excellent job of convincing me that RR is town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 03:11:14 pm
vote: Haddock
gkrieg, I expect votes without explanations from Awa, but this is your third unexplained vote, can you give reasons for any of them?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 03:13:29 pm
That's demonstrably false. For example, earlier this day, yuma did an excellent job of convincing me that RR is town.
So I could convince you that I'm town by having someone spend an entire day arguing that I'm scum?  Sounds legit.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 03:31:19 pm
if gkrieg was already voting for you, then his move was fine. otherwise, wtf.

not sure what I'm supposed to say... I don't think you should full claim.

You don't need to say anything necessarily. I simply think that you and ash might be more inclined, as you both tend to focus more on theory and setup talk than some others, to see why I might claim as a PR this way. And if you could see that at state there is a viable reason that would lend more credence to it than me simply stating it on my own.

Awaclus already I think understands the idea.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 03:37:57 pm
Yuma's claim is scummy.

Why?
He's covering all his bases so the real people don't step up and say something. I would post more but I'm busy.

This is making the assumption I am scum from the start rather than starting with my claim as a neutral player and analyzing it from both perspectives and seeing which is likely. If you just assume I am scum then everything I do will have a scummy interpretation of you look hard enough.

I will also have you realize that each of the PRs of which I certainly am one, can only exist in singlet form. And I do plan on full claiming at some point in the game, where if there was another person with my role would be able to counter claim me. But since I am that role I am certain that won't happen... Well I could be fake counter claimed, but that is a whole different matter.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 21, 2015, 04:05:07 pm
Vote Count 2.7

Roadrunner (3): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn
faust (1): Joseph2902
Haddock (3): Awaclus, Hydrad,  gkrieg13
yuma (3): Roadrunner7671, faust. Witherweaver
ashersky (1): Haddock

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 04:06:41 pm
if gkrieg was already voting for you, then his move was fine. otherwise, wtf.

not sure what I'm supposed to say... I don't think you should full claim.

You don't need to say anything necessarily. I simply think that you and ash might be more inclined, as you both tend to focus more on theory and setup talk than some others, to see why I might claim as a PR this way. And if you could see that at state there is a viable reason that would lend more credence to it than me simply stating it on my own.

Awaclus already I think understands the idea.

Well yes, I mean, there are very obvious reasons to claim the way you did. You don't need to understand the setup to know that; you just need to understand a few basics about mafia and what those 3 roles do.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 21, 2015, 04:31:03 pm
Oh cool a claim. I believe it for now. Also a haddock wagon potentially. This is going good. But ya I'd now lynch RR over Yuma even though I still have suspicions that RR is town
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 04:35:59 pm
haddock wagon is meh

I could probably do a gkrieg lynch though, if we aren't doing RR. he has been thoroughly unhelpful and opportunistic this game
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 21, 2015, 04:41:15 pm
haddock wagon is meh

I could probably do a gkrieg lynch though, if we aren't doing RR. he has been thoroughly unhelpful and opportunistic this game

I'd agree to gkrieg also
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 05:18:30 pm
if gkrieg was already voting for you, then his move was fine. otherwise, wtf.

not sure what I'm supposed to say... I don't think you should full claim.

You don't need to say anything necessarily. I simply think that you and ash might be more inclined, as you both tend to focus more on theory and setup talk than some others, to see why I might claim as a PR this way. And if you could see that at state there is a viable reason that would lend more credence to it than me simply stating it on my own.

Awaclus already I think understands the idea.

Well yes, I mean, there are very obvious reasons to claim the way you did. You don't need to understand the setup to know that; you just need to understand a few basics about mafia and what those 3 roles do.

I thought so as well, but when the first people jumped in and said it was awful I wondered if it wasn't as clear as I thought... Or they just didn't think it all the way through, but hopefully they will now that others have stated that the way I claimed has a protown scenario attached to it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 05:42:47 pm
I thought so as well, but when the first people jumped in and said it was awful I wondered if it wasn't as clear as I thought... Or they just didn't think it all the way through, but hopefully they will now that others have stated that the way I claimed has a protown scenario attached to it.
This was mostly just me.  I'm with you now, sorry, I just wasn't 100% familiar with the roles.  I think I've got it now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 21, 2015, 05:56:11 pm
haddock wagon is meh

I could probably do a gkrieg lynch though, if we aren't doing RR. he has been thoroughly unhelpful and opportunistic this game

How have I been unhelpful?  I voted Hydrad to get him participating again, I voted yuma because I think he is scummier between yuma/RR, and Haddock had a scummy moment to start the day, took some pressure and disappeared, then reappeared.  I've also been sick this week so I've been doing a lot of sleeping during my usual forum time.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 05:59:57 pm
haddock wagon is meh

I could probably do a gkrieg lynch though, if we aren't doing RR. he has been thoroughly unhelpful and opportunistic this game

How have I been unhelpful?  I voted Hydrad to get him participating again, I voted yuma because I think he is scummier between yuma/RR, and Haddock had a scummy moment to start the day, took some pressure and disappeared, then reappeared.  I've also been sick this week so I've been doing a lot of sleeping during my usual forum time.

you're unhelpful because you turned into awaclus #2 and you're opportunistic for doing what you described above

being sick is a good reason though
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 06:00:30 pm
that actually removes my scum read on you and replaces it with the nulliest of nulls
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 21, 2015, 06:07:41 pm
you're unhelpful because you turned into awaclus #2

I'm not unhelpful.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 06:08:41 pm
[Haddock]...took some pressure and disappeared, then reappeared. 
!!! This is just so wrong.  I've posted several times in every IRL day.
I'm posting more now, because it's a weekend.

I'm not unhelpful.
Ha!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 21, 2015, 06:09:04 pm
Haddock is legitimately scummy.  Look at his reaction to putting yuma at "L-1".  His response to Awaclus saying he is scummy is also scummy.

PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 06:16:12 pm
Haddock is legitimately scummy.  Look at his reaction to putting yuma at "L-1".
My reaction was to suggest someone unvote so we're not risking a derphammer.  I mean maybe it's not super likely, but suggesting caution is not scummy.

His response to Awaclus saying he is scummy is also scummy.
I don't see how.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 06:20:15 pm
I'm not liking gkrieg here.  I mean he makes a bunch of completely unexplained votes, then gets called out on it, and then comes up with some random explanations that he completely failed to make at the time?  What's this about?  If you're going to make unexplained votes, then do it properly, like Awa, don't halfass it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 06:53:56 pm
haddock wagon is meh

I could probably do a gkrieg lynch though, if we aren't doing RR. he has been thoroughly unhelpful and opportunistic this game

How have I been unhelpful?  I voted Hydrad to get him participating again, I voted yuma because I think he is scummier between yuma/RR, and Haddock had a scummy moment to start the day, took some pressure and disappeared, then reappeared.  I've also been sick this week so I've been doing a lot of sleeping during my usual forum time.

being sick sucks. but you have been pulling an awaclus in not explaining votes. i am with SS you have been scummy and your reaction to my claim I think was scummy as well.

Did you think that you were really putting me at L-1? Cause it looked like it... fake L-1ing hasn't been a thing yet and I don't see the point of it being a thing...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 06:55:21 pm
Did you think that you were really putting me at L-1? Cause it looked like it... fake L-1ing hasn't been a thing yet and I don't see the point of it being a thing...
I can't see it being intentional.  Caught me out, though, even in spite of my count just a few posts earlier.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 06:57:42 pm
right. why put a claimed PR at L-1 when 5/6 of the town hasnt' even seen the claim yet. What makes that a good move?

And does gkrieg still think my claim is fake? He voted for me, so I think he must have, but now that others have shown there would be a good reason for claiming the way I did, does he change the way he feels?

I still want to lynch RR but if I had a dayvig I would consider using it use it on gkrieg or faust (assuming I hadn't already used it on you know who)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 07:00:22 pm
To clarify: I meant that I don't think he realised it wasn't L-1.  I think you got that, yuma, but just making sure.

I agree that if it had actually been L-1 it would be a bad move.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 21, 2015, 07:01:19 pm
Deadline is coming close.

I'd like everyone to make a stance about the RR lynch. One of

- like/be fine to lynch
- don't like but would lynch over a no-lynch
- will oppose lynching no matter what

You can do the same about Haddock/gkrieg/yuma if you wish

I like to lynch RR, would lynch yuma and gkrieg over no-lynch. Haddock I may oppose, but would have to reread.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 21, 2015, 07:03:33 pm
For me:
Fine to lynch RR, though he's not my absolute favourite.
Would lynch gkrieg over a no lynch.
Pretty opposed to a yuma lynch right now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 21, 2015, 07:07:30 pm
- like/be fine to lynch
- don't like but would lynch over a no-lynch
- will oppose lynching no matter what

I don't think any of those is an accurate description. I'm almost certain RR is town, so I would rather lynch someone else, but I also think that RR is a decent lynch regardless and better than no lynch for sure.

I want to lynch Haddock.

I'm fine with lynching gkrieg.

I don't like lynching yuma, but would lynch over a no-lynch I guess.

I'm also fine with Joseph.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 21, 2015, 07:14:00 pm
don't really want to lynch RR but would over a no lynch.
Don't want to do yuma even more... If he really was the 100% only chance I guess I would still lynch him. But I wouldn't be happy.
gkreig and Haddock I'm ok with a lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 07:26:53 pm
Not really interested in doing a pops style list. Peeps should know where I stand.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 21, 2015, 09:30:20 pm
To be clear I don't hold it against people for trying to convince me away from a case or read I have. That is their perogative as scum. It means they are playing well.

This is misleading... again. It is also our perogative as town.

Context!!!!!!  In this case I was referring to the people who , in previous games convinced me to change or stop having a really strong read in someone who was later confirmed to be scum. I think that is what is going on here, but I don't know it.

If you want to be so obsessed with finding every post of mine misleading at least spend the time to determine the context and substance of the posts.

What is with you this game? You aren't normally such a pain.

That context is not clear from the post. And I would appreciate it if you would not call me "a pain".

I'll weigh in on other stuff tomorrow. I'm not sure I find yuma scummy enough to want to lynch him after a PR claim.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 21, 2015, 09:36:26 pm
To be clear I don't hold it against people for trying to convince me away from a case or read I have. That is their perogative as scum. It means they are playing well.

This is misleading... again. It is also our perogative as town.

Context!!!!!!  In this case I was referring to the people who , in previous games convinced me to change or stop having a really strong read in someone who was later confirmed to be scum. I think that is what is going on here, but I don't know it.

If you want to be so obsessed with finding every post of mine misleading at least spend the time to determine the context and substance of the posts.

What is with you this game? You aren't normally such a pain.

That context is not clear from the post. And I would appreciate it if you would not call me "a pain".

I'll weigh in on other stuff tomorrow. I'm not sure I find yuma scummy enough to want to lynch him after a PR claim.

The context was clear from the post above it. And a pain was a poor choice of words made in a moment of frustration and quick posting. I am sure there is a better descriptor that would accurately convey my feelings without being demeaning, but I I don't really see the point of trying to find it and will instead just state my apology.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 22, 2015, 05:46:05 am
Post to avoid being prodded. Catching up as soon as I can.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 05:50:23 am
Post to avoid being prodded. Catching up as soon as I can.

Would be kinda nice if this were to happen before the deadline comes tomorrow.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 22, 2015, 07:03:29 am
Vote Count 2.7

Roadrunner (3): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn
faust (1): Joseph2902
Haddock (3): Awaclus, Hydrad,  gkrieg13
yuma (3): Roadrunner7671, faust. Witherweaver
ashersky (1): Haddock

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.


At the very least, Joseph and Haddock should move their votes to one of the three wagons.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 22, 2015, 07:03:53 am
FWIW, Haddock is tied for #2 on my scumlist.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 07:07:52 am
Okay, I will try Vote: Joseph. I don't really want to lynch yuma today and RR is town I think. Haddock I just don't know, I feel like I'm not good at reading him. It's probably where my vote will end up being if there is not enough support for Joseph.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:09:08 am
? I'm already voting RR.
From this post:
Unofficial vote count:

RR: Yuma, Ash, SS  (3)
Faust: Joseph (1)
Haddock: Awa, Hydrad (2)
Yuma: RR, Faust, WW (3)
Ash: Haddock (1)
Hydrad: Gkrieg (1)

It's clear that noone wants to vote anyone except Yuma and RR (and maybe me, I guess).  So my vote on ash may as well be nowhere.  Out of yuma and RR I would definitely rather vote: RR at the point.  He just seems to get scummier as he and yuma argue.

In other news, having a look through I found these two:
In case it's not obvious, yuma's post was why I wanted to unvote RR, and voting Haddock was because I don't like just unvoting without voting for someone else if there's time to think about who I want to vote for next.
and
Who's the scummiest person?

Haddock.

Is it me or are these two statements pretty contradictory?  He says I'm just a placeholder vote and then claims that I'm the scummiest person here.  (Which, btw, seriously?  There are some gut reads on me at the moment, but can Awa honestly find me scummier than everyone else? I don't get it.)  There's some time difference there, but it's not like Awa says anything about me in the meantime.  This being Awa I guess it's not really an alignment tell, but it is pretty weird.  I mean one of these statements has to be false.
I hadn't processed that EFHW hadn't taken that into account.

So I'll vote again.

vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 07:15:03 am
I changed my mind. Vote: yuma

The fact that he did not state his target does not fit with his claim. Because each of the roles he claimed would provide information:

Hider - the person he targetted last night is town.
Rolecop - the person he targetted last night is town or the Mafia Goon (if he had a guilty result, I think he would have played differently)
Jailkeeper - the person he targetted last night did not take an action

So yuma knows that; why would he not claim his target? Because he's lying.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 22, 2015, 07:18:58 am
I changed my mind. Vote: yuma

The fact that he did not state his target does not fit with his claim. Because each of the roles he claimed would provide information:

Hider - the person he targetted last night is town.
Rolecop - the person he targetted last night is town or the Mafia Goon (if he had a guilty result, I think he would have played differently)
Jailkeeper - the person he targetted last night did not take an action

So yuma knows that; why would he not claim his target? Because he's lying.

Hmm this is interesting... I didn't consider this. This makes me want to lynch yuma about the same as RR now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:20:40 am
I'm not sure I see it.  I mean why lie about the target?  How does that benefit him?
Maybe he just forgot.  Or maybe I'm naive.
Yuma, care to claim your target now?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:45:49 am
yeah, I don't think this makes yuma scummier. Town does suboptimal plays all the time
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 22, 2015, 09:01:00 am
I changed my mind. Vote: yuma

The fact that he did not state his target does not fit with his claim. Because each of the roles he claimed would provide information:

Hider - the person he targetted last night is town.
Rolecop - the person he targetted last night is town or the Mafia Goon (if he had a guilty result, I think he would have played differently)
Jailkeeper - the person he targetted last night did not take an action

So yuma knows that; why would he not claim his target? Because he's lying.
Definitely agree that's odd, if claiming a PR then why not tell people who he targetted.

So the 3 on the wagons:

1. yuma- thought yuma was probably town, but the claim seems weird, as faust pointed out in #1008
2. Roadrunner7671- still think he's scummy, for all the reasons mentioned before
3. Haddock- really not sure, not played with before. As I find the other 2 more scummy, I'd prefer voting for them/

For now, Vote: yuma as the claim doesn't make sense. Would be fine with RR lynch too.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 09:33:13 am
I changed my mind. Vote: yuma

The fact that he did not state his target does not fit with his claim. Because each of the roles he claimed would provide information:

Hider - the person he targetted last night is town.
Rolecop - the person he targetted last night is town or the Mafia Goon (if he had a guilty result, I think he would have played differently)
Jailkeeper - the person he targetted last night did not take an action

So yuma knows that; why would he not claim his target? Because he's lying.

Good point. This makes me feel less bad about a yuma lynch. I'd still prefer Haddock, though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 09:33:33 am
Is he at L-1?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:16:48 am
I changed my mind. Vote: yuma

The fact that he did not state his target does not fit with his claim. Because each of the roles he claimed would provide information:

Hider - the person he targetted last night is town.
Rolecop - the person he targetted last night is town or the Mafia Goon (if he had a guilty result, I think he would have played differently)
Jailkeeper - the person he targetted last night did not take an action

So yuma knows that; why would he not claim his target? Because he's lying.

I didn't claim targets because there was the potential to let mafia know which role I was by doing so.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 10:18:52 am
I didn't claim targets because there was the potential to let mafia know which role I was by doing so.

that didn't even occur to me, but - see, there's a totally legit reason
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 10:19:22 am
not having considered it would have likewise been a totally logical reason albeit a misplay.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:20:25 am
Oh for crying out loud....

You people.

I am a jailkeeper. I jkedfaust last night. I bread crumbed this earlier in the post where I talked about 2.7 being nked

I think the 2.7 kill was likely done by a SK or vig doesn't mKe sense as a mafia kill.

So if this is true then Faust either was targeted for kill or performed the kill... Or hider shinanigans or there is a doctor as well..,

But I don't know which. I wod still want to lynch RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:22:45 am
I honestly can't believe you guys. Like do you all have your heads stuck some where?

My goodness. We have a perfectly good case on RR and instead everyone wants to lynch a town PR. Not to mention the stupid derp hammer  What I would give to be mafia in this game. Here is a free win!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:24:46 am
Also there is s good chance Faust did perform the kill and knows it got blocked and just pieced this all together to get the town jk lynched... But again, I am not sure about that as I think town Faust could just think this through wrongly in an attempt to be too clever.

RR is still the better lynch
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 22, 2015, 10:36:45 am
I changed my mind. Vote: yuma

The fact that he did not state his target does not fit with his claim. Because each of the roles he claimed would provide information:

Hider - the person he targetted last night is town.
Rolecop - the person he targetted last night is town or the Mafia Goon (if he had a guilty result, I think he would have played differently)
Jailkeeper - the person he targetted last night did not take an action

So yuma knows that; why would he not claim his target? Because he's lying.

Why make a fakeclaim look worse?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 22, 2015, 10:37:31 am
Vote: Haddock

I'm believing Yuma.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:38:40 am
And I still state that aiming the wY I did was the optimal strategy in this situation as I would have been nked if left alive today. Only way to stop that would be if doc existed. Long shot for that...

So I needed to claim but not state I was a jk. So I looked and found other roles that could disguise it. Hider was obvious as it is a role that might make mafia hesitate to kill. And I added rolecop so that there would be another option for wifom. All three are only singlet options, I wanted that so there would be the possibility for town to be assured I was willing to claim actual role later in the game. Since they exist in singlet form they are harder to fake claim and thus I thought town would believe me.

As for not claiming targets I stand by that as well.

If I had claimed jk and stated I targeted Faust, and if he were scum would have known he were blocked, and that would have provided the reason but give very little for town to get out of it until after my flip. So mafia gets info earlier. Not useful. Hider and rolecop have similar concerns.

And I do think this way of claiming is optimal if I were hider as well or as doctor and would encourage such in the future as long as people realize that it is optimal, but I guess that is expecting too much from people.

Of course I could be completely wrong about this and this is bad play. I am sure I didn't consider everything. If so sorry, I tried to do what I thought was best
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:39:11 am
Vote: Haddock

I'm believing Yuma.
Then vote RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 22, 2015, 10:41:49 am
Vote: Haddock

I'm believing Yuma.
Then vote RR

RR is the mehest if "meh" lynches. 

Also I'm leaning slightly town.  He doesn't sound much like scum, especially new player, first-time scum, to me. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:42:26 am
Vote: Haddock

I'm believing Yuma.
Then vote RR

RR is the mehest if "meh" lynches. 

Also I'm leaning slightly town.  He doesn't sound much like scum, especially new player, first-time scum, to me.

Poop.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:43:12 am
What is the point of having people have town reads on you when they don't believe your reads are good?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 10:46:22 am
What is the point of having people have town reads on you when they don't believe your reads are good?

Have better reads then.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 11:51:38 am
I'm still catching up. I think I'm at L-2 and Yuma is at L-1.

If Yuma is town, I assume I just get instakilled on D3?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 12:06:44 pm
What is the point of having people have town reads on you when they don't believe your reads are good?

Have better reads then.
This is wonderfully ironic given that your read on me is so spectacularly wrong. Im actually pretty severely pissed off at you right now, youve contributed almost nothing to this game and just sit on your throne, confident in your mistakrn belief and telling everyone that you are completely right and they are completely wrong, without offering any evidence! I should be used to this from you, but its really getting on my nerves.

I'm at L-2 now I think. So defending myself properly is in order, though I thought I wouldnt have to today. 
I started today with a stupid RVS vote. This was a mistake which I've owned up to. I believe it was on Awa, which might explain why hes holding such a grudge. Anyway,  it was an error, they happen, im sorry. I can see why people might think it was a scum play that I'm passing off as an error, so it you want to take it that way, fine. My only defense regarding that is that this is my first town game!  It turns out, as I expected would be the case before switch started, that im a better scum player than a town player, and I slipped up.

Since then I've been nothing but towny. I have been offering my genuine best reads, and actually giving reasons, which I see as pretty protown. Maybe that's wrong. I have been scumhunting to the best of my abilities.  I think RR is a meh lynch, but deadline approaches, and I seem to be one of the few who's willing to actually change to my not-first-choice vote in order to get a lynch through.

I will claim if forced, but would prefer not to. Two forced claims in one day? Scum would be laughing all the way to the bank.

Speaking of claims, im inclined to believe yumas unless someone speaks up with a good reason not to. I dont know why he felt pushed into full claiming, but feel a bit responsible for it sInce I suggested first that he claim a target. I would have been happy with the reason he gave, but for whatever reason it got to the point where he felt pushed into claiming the rest. Too late now, what's done is done, but my apologies to yuma if I was seen as pressuring him into a full claim. Not my intent.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 12:07:35 pm
I think yuma is l-2, RR, not l-1. WW moved.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 22, 2015, 12:13:44 pm
Vote Count 2.8

Roadrunner (4): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Haddock
Haddock (4): Awaclus, Hydrad,  gkrieg13, Witherweaver 
yuma (3): Roadrunner7671, faust, Joseph

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.n
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 12:31:01 pm

see - this is what a frustrated town sounds like. this is why I don't think RR is town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 12:32:37 pm
faust (or anyone) if you're town, you have to see this.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 12:38:28 pm

see - this is what a frustrated town sounds like. this is why I don't think RR is town.
Am I not frustrated enough? Do I have to start swearing? I'm sorry for trying to remain collected.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 12:40:26 pm

see - this is what a frustrated town sounds like. this is why I don't think RR is town.
Am I not frustrated enough? Do I have to start swearing? I'm sorry for trying to remain collected.
I think I'm pretty collected, possibly excluding my annoyance at Awa. "piss" is hardly a swear word, though I do apologise, I genuinely feel a bit bad using any kind of language in earshot of a 13 year old. No offence.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 12:45:43 pm
None taken.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 22, 2015, 01:23:43 pm
Shame on the rest of town for outing our JK.

Vote RR now, please.  We can lynch Haddock and Faust later.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 01:30:41 pm
How about you guys ignore Ashersky's commanding voice and think for yourselves?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 01:31:48 pm

see - this is what a frustrated town sounds like. this is why I don't think RR is town.
Am I not frustrated enough? Do I have to start swearing? I'm sorry for trying to remain collected.
What you have to do is to stop asking what you have to do.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 01:32:19 pm
you're pretending like, if only we told you how to be towny, you'd do it and then we'd stop voting for you

that's so wrong.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 01:33:09 pm
I've been thinking that faust doesn't invest so much in the defense of RR, but maybe he just did and the scum team is faust/RR/?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 02:29:21 pm
I full claimed cause I was at L-1. If f.ds still had a meta of not derp hammering without waiting for a claim then I might have waited for intent to hammer but since no one gives intent anymore I felt it necessary to claim. But really I never should have been at L-1 in the first place so FOS to those who put me there especially Faust and gkreig. I think it very likely at least one is scum
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 02:41:34 pm
As for the haddock wagon... I don't know. I do think he has been scummy, but really I haven't sat down and actually looked at him as a potential lynch. I will tomorrow when I am at a computer.

But just based off what I remember reading I don't like it given those who are pushing it aren't exactly showing why he is scummy, especially a couple of players in particular. I can't be convinced of someone's scumminess if reasons aren't given. I mean, I can look for myself, but I doubt it will surpass what I see in RR.

And I like accountability. If someone can't give reasons for why a person should be lynched that lessens the accountability later and that makes me uncomfortable for later.

So right now I am against the haddock lynch. If in my retread analysis tomorrow something huge stands out that might change, but my bias indicates that to be unlikely.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 02:46:47 pm
Great. Now I don't like any of the wagons anymore.

Uhh... vote: Joseph? Let's try something else!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 02:51:10 pm
Great. Now I don't like any of the wagons anymore.

Uhh... vote: Joseph? Let's try something else!

Why?

Look. I am not going to join a wagon without reasons on some random player just cause you say so. In another game where I don't have a strong read on someone I might be inclined to do so cause there isn't anything better. But this game, where I do have a strong read I, and others, should demand good solid reasons for voting someone. And that uber mafia God Faust said to isn't enough of a reason.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 22, 2015, 02:58:18 pm
Great. Now I don't like any of the wagons anymore.

Uhh... vote: Joseph? Let's try something else!

Why are you so desperate to ensure RR doesn't get lynched?  Scum partners is the only thing that makes sense at this point.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 03:07:25 pm
Great. Now I don't like any of the wagons anymore.

Uhh... vote: Joseph? Let's try something else!

Why are you so desperate to ensure RR doesn't get lynched?  Scum partners is the only thing that makes sense at this point.

Why does it not make sense that I think he is town?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 03:08:01 pm
Great. Now I don't like any of the wagons anymore.

Uhh... vote: Joseph? Let's try something else!

Why?

Look. I am not going to join a wagon without reasons on some random player just cause you say so. In another game where I don't have a strong read on someone I might be inclined to do so cause there isn't anything better. But this game, where I do have a strong read I, and others, should demand good solid reasons for voting someone. And that uber mafia God Faust said to isn't enough of a reason.

It not an awesome case. He is lurky, he is hedgy, he is mildly scummy. Plus PoE.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 03:18:51 pm
Great. Now I don't like any of the wagons anymore.

Uhh... vote: Joseph? Let's try something else!

Why?

Look. I am not going to join a wagon without reasons on some random player just cause you say so. In another game where I don't have a strong read on someone I might be inclined to do so cause there isn't anything better. But this game, where I do have a strong read I, and others, should demand good solid reasons for voting someone. And that uber mafia God Faust said to isn't enough of a reason.

It not an awesome case. He is lurky, he is hedgy, he is mildly scummy. Plus PoE.

Blah
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 03:30:52 pm
yeah, the way faust is so determined to prevent the RR lynch is getting increasingly strange.

The RR lynch needs to happen. It has super high resistance despite having a strong case.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 03:32:26 pm
there's also this

I have a correct read and I am going to get lynched for it? This is fantabulous.
PPE 2

perhaps the best new!scum tell in the game is overreacting to pressure. you currently have... what, 2 votes?

RR always overreacts to pressure.

Which doesn't mean that I thik he's town. He could very well be scum. But this is a bad argument.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 03:35:47 pm
I am the point where I could do a Faust lynch...

Do others agree with me that 2.7 is unlikely as a mafia kill? Of course I jked Faust partially out of a desire to maybe stop a nk on him, so he could have been the one targeted...  But the way he has been today has been odd. But I am only going that wY if the RR lynch completely falls apart.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 04:01:35 pm
I am the point where I could do a Faust lynch...

Do others agree with me that 2.7 is unlikely as a mafia kill? Of course I jked Faust partially out of a desire to maybe stop a nk on him, so he could have been the one targeted...  But the way he has been today has been odd. But I am only going that wY if the RR lynch completely falls apart.

I mean, there is only 50% for a SK, right? so you don't need a fancy explanation for a single NK.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 22, 2015, 04:21:27 pm
Great. Now I don't like any of the wagons anymore.

Uhh... vote: Joseph? Let's try something else!

Why are you so desperate to ensure RR doesn't get lynched?  Scum partners is the only thing that makes sense at this point.

Why doees it not make sense that I think he is town?

Not what I asked.  You may very well think he's town.  Doesn't explain why you are defending him so much.  Mislynches happen.  You know this. 

I think he's scum.  Being so incredibly hard to lynch is further evidence of that.

You seem to be trapped into never reversing course on him now that you've committed.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 04:24:28 pm
You guys probably shouldn't lynch me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 04:31:45 pm
I am the point where I could do a Faust lynch...

Do others agree with me that 2.7 is unlikely as a mafia kill? Of course I jked Faust partially out of a desire to maybe stop a nk on him, so he could have been the one targeted...  But the way he has been today has been odd. But I am only going that wY if the RR lynch completely falls apart.

I mean, there is only 50% for a SK, right? so you don't need a fancy explanation for a single NK.

Sure. Which is why alone in isolation isn't a good reason to lynch and was why I didn't immediately bring it up. But in conjunction with fausts play I think it may be more likely.

And the point isn't really that there was a single NK, but more that the single NK I thought was an odd one and could indicate that there was one missing
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 04:32:32 pm
You guys probably shouldn't lynch me.

Says the guy still voting for the town JK.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 04:34:43 pm
You guys probably shouldn't lynch me.

Says the guy still voting for the town JK.
I didn't see your claim, I will now reread.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 04:35:51 pm
yeah, the way faust is so determined to prevent the RR lynch is getting increasingly strange.

The RR lynch needs to happen. It has super high resistance despite having a strong case.

Except that saying over and over again that the case is strong does not make it so.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 04:38:08 pm
Great. Now I don't like any of the wagons anymore.

Uhh... vote: Joseph? Let's try something else!

Why are you so desperate to ensure RR doesn't get lynched?  Scum partners is the only thing that makes sense at this point.

Why doees it not make sense that I think he is town?

Not what I asked.  You may very well think he's town.  Doesn't explain why you are defending him so much.  Mislynches happen.  You know this. 

I think he's scum.  Being so incredibly hard to lynch is further evidence of that.

You seem to be trapped into never reversing course on him now that you've committed.

Uh. He is hard to lynch mainly because of me. I'm town. So you saying that RR being hard to lynch is evidence he is scum is unlikely to convince me.

Why should I not defend someone I have a townread on? I don't get that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 04:38:31 pm
I guess I believe Yuma's claim.

Unvote
Now I don't know what to do.
PPE
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 04:38:53 pm
I guess I believe Yuma's claim.

Unvote
Now I don't know what to do.
PPE

Vote Joseph!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 04:44:33 pm
Joesph is sorta meh for me. I wouldn't entirely appose his lynch.

I'll just do some rereading
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 22, 2015, 04:50:03 pm
Vote Count 2.9

Roadrunner (4): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Haddock
Haddock (4): Awaclus, Hydrad,  gkrieg13, Witherweaver 
yuma (1): Joseph
Joseph (1): faust

not voting (1): Roadrunner7671

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 04:57:02 pm
Bleh. I would vote Joseph if it were really the only way to get a lynch through.
But there are better lynches, RR being one.
Failing that, gkrieg, anyone?

 I still find Ash scummy but I dont see that wagon forming, somehow, noone agreed last time.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 04:58:13 pm
I think he's scum.  Being so incredibly hard to lynch is further evidence of that.

You seem to be trapped into never reversing course on him now that you've committed.

... oddly enough, I totally agree!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 05:00:06 pm
You seem to be trapped into never reversing course on him now that you've committed.

You are of course aware that I could say the same thing about you?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 05:03:19 pm
Vote: faust
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 05:04:18 pm
Ugh... Emotions...Vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 05:04:36 pm
Vote: faust
This is for pressure, right?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 05:04:47 pm
Ugh... Emotions...Vote: RR
-_-
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 05:06:04 pm
Vote: faust
This is for pressure, right?
Hardly. I think yumas just venting.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 05:08:07 pm
Vote: faust
This is for pressure, right?
Hardly. I think yumas just venting.

It's because I am increasingly thinking he is scum. But this is what I do... Let myself get convinced or convince myself to move off s lynch. I have looked back at my game play and learned that is something I need to do better at so this is me doing better.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 05:19:27 pm
Well my first and early scumread was on faust, so I guess I could do that.
But I dont particularly want to lynch him this early,  besides which I just don't see us getting it through, not when we're struggling so much to get through what should be a much easier lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 05:20:20 pm
If I was scum then it would be an easy lynch!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 05:27:25 pm
If I was scum then it would be an easy lynch!
This is false as far as I can tell. Its much easier to lynch town because some scum will often push for it, whereas bussing is not entirely the norm.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Witherweaver on November 22, 2015, 05:35:28 pm
Bleh. I would vote Joseph if it were really the only way to get a lynch through.
But there are better lynches, RR being one.
Failing that, gkrieg, anyone?

 I still find Ash scummy but I dont see that wagon forming, somehow, noone agreed last time.

What do you find scummy about Ash?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 22, 2015, 05:39:36 pm
at this point I'm almost willing to lynch RR so that whether hes town or scum we can just move on. Plus hes the most informative lynch.

Also I really wasn't expecting the haddock thing to gain momentum so that feels weird.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 05:44:43 pm
I don't think faust is scummy for having the only reasonable read regarding RR's alignment. He might be slightly scummy for being yuma's target if we assume the NK wasn't a mafia NK, but then again he would also be a very reasonable mafia target as town, so that's an incredibly small indicator.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 05:46:22 pm
@RR: you should vote for someone.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 05:47:55 pm
Vote: faust
This is for pressure, right?

A vote for pressure would stop placing any pressure on the one being voted if it was explained.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 22, 2015, 05:48:19 pm
Vote Count 2.9

Roadrunner (4): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Haddock
Haddock (4): Awaclus, Hydrad,  gkrieg13, Witherweaver 
yuma (1): Joseph
Joseph (1): faust

not voting (1): Roadrunner7671

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.

So I'm voting for a claimed JK, that seems bad so Unvote. If he's lying, we can just kill him another day.
Realistically, the only 2 people getting lynched here are RR and Haddock, and I strongly prefer the RR lynch. So, Vote: RR. This is L-1.
PPE:3
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 05:48:57 pm
Bleh. I would vote Joseph if it were really the only way to get a lynch through.
But there are better lynches, RR being one.
Failing that, gkrieg, anyone?

 I still find Ash scummy but I dont see that wagon forming, somehow, noone agreed last time.

What do you find scummy about Ash?
Couple of things. He seemed to make several accusations of scumminess early on, accusing various posts of various people of being scummy when I really didnt see them as such. Maybe just disagreement, maybe not.
His behaviour Re RR has been weird, like I said I came down thinking it could be a super bold bus, with a built in "too obvious" defence.
I do struggle to read ash because his demeanour is what it is. A lot of this is gut, I'm aware that its weak, so I'm not going to push for it.


at this point I'm almost willing to lynch RR so that whether hes town or scum we can just move on. Plus hes the most informative lynch.
I think you need to make a choice here then. Time is not limitless at this point.

PPE.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 22, 2015, 05:49:23 pm
On a different note, I should be around some of 1-5pm (forum time) tomorrow, apart from that I'm busy.

PPE:1
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 05:51:36 pm
I think you need to make a choice here then. Time is not limitless at this point.

It is relatively limitless at this point. RR is at L-1 and a lot of people are fine with lynching him.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 05:54:50 pm
On a different note, I should be around some of 1-5pm (forum time) tomorrow, apart from that I'm busy.

PPE:1
Me from about 2.30 onwards.

I think you need to make a choice here then. Time is not limitless at this point.

It is relatively limitless at this point. RR is at L-1 and a lot of people are fine with lynching him.
He wasnt L-1 when I wrote that, but yeah ok.  I didn't mean to pressure you, Hydrad, sorry.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 05:56:53 pm
I think you need to make a choice here then. Time is not limitless at this point.

It is relatively limitless at this point. RR is at L-1 and a lot of people are fine with lynching him.
He wasnt L-1 when I wrote that, but yeah ok.  I didn't mean to pressure you, Hydrad, sorry.
[/quote]
In point of fact I guess I did mean to pressure you a bit, but that pressure is now less.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 05:59:30 pm
Hmm, something interesting just caught my eye.

Rolecop - the person he targetted last night is town or the Mafia Goon (if he had a guilty result, I think he would have played differently)

Isn't this a scum slip? How does faust know there's only one Mafia Goon?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 06:01:47 pm
Vote: faust too.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 06:03:30 pm
On a different note, I should be around some of 1-5pm (forum time) tomorrow, apart from that I'm busy.

PPE:1
Me from about 2.30 onwards.
I mean I'm here and properly free from then. Will be here from time to time earlier on.

That post was just a fiesta of unclearness, wasnt it!  :-/

PPE. You think? Maybe. Its only the difference between an "a" and a "the", but maybe. What are the chances of there being two goons according to the setup? If that's fairly likely thenthis might be a scumslip, if its super unlikely then maybe this is just the statistically likely phrasing.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 06:03:46 pm
Hmm, something interesting just caught my eye.

Rolecop - the person he targetted last night is town or the Mafia Goon (if he had a guilty result, I think he would have played differently)

Isn't this a scum slip? How does faust know there's only one Mafia Goon?

I read the setup. Of course I know that's a scum tell for some people.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 06:05:03 pm
What are the chances of there being two goons according to the setup?

0%
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 06:06:21 pm
AH, now, I see there's two Goons for TTTT and TTT. Turns out that if you read the setup, you should read the whole setup.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 06:07:09 pm
L-1 is pretty bad.
Vote: Ashersky
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 06:12:07 pm
What are the chances of there being two goons according to the setup?

0%
It works out at 54.7%, just so people know. That's assuming I got the maths right.

Well I found faust scummy earlier, I could maybe go for this. Im not sure scum!faust screws up like this though. I'm going to wait for input from others, not superconfident about this.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 22, 2015, 06:14:23 pm
Just do me a favor and don't lynch me in my sleep. I'm going to bed now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 22, 2015, 06:14:42 pm
Vote Count 2.10

Roadrunner (5): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Haddock, Joseph {L-1}
Haddock (3): Hydrad, gkrieg13, Witherweaver 
Joseph (1): faust
ashersky (1): Roadrunner
faust (1): Awaclus

not voting (0):

With 11 players alive, it takes 6 to lynch.
Day ends Monday, November 23 at 8 p.m.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 06:16:15 pm
I think we have pretty much decided that we can afford today's mislynch, so I have no hope left. At least Twilight will be funish.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 06:17:49 pm
L-1 is pretty bad.
Vote: Ashersky

It's not as bad as openly admitting you know how many goons the mafia has.

It works out at 54.7%, just so people know. That's assuming I got the maths right.

Well I found faust scummy earlier, I could maybe go for this. Im not sure scum!faust screws up like this though. I'm going to wait for input from others, not superconfident about this.

Scum!everyone screws up like this. Obviously faust would know or at least check the setup before posting in a normal situation, but when you're excited to build a case against a town PR to force him to full claim and posting things fast, sometimes you end up accidentally unveiling your scum narrative. I know I do this multiple times every game when I'm scum, but usually people get away with things like these because nobody points them out.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 06:25:22 pm
Okay, faust might be happening. Let me think.

The question is: which scenario is more likely?


#1 requires town!faust to strongly defend someone whilst being wrong
#2 requires scum!faust to whiteknight someone.

Whiteknighting is the worst thing ever to do as a newby scum, but for faust specifically it could be okay. Like, people have high expectations for his town play. That's the problem he has in every game as scum. So, if he defends someone who turns out to be town and that player gets lynched anyway, that's great for him.

town!faust being wrong happens, but #1 means he defended someone uncharacteristically strongly for reasons which don't make sense to me and is wrong on top of it.

So... yeah, I think #2 makes more sense than #1.

vote: faust, let's see if this picks up

I'll gladly switch back to RR if it doesn't.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 06:25:35 pm
plus the scum slip. it could be real.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 06:26:48 pm
and the Night actions, too. If there is a SK, then faust is suspicious. If there is no SK, faust is still mildly suspicious for not getting targeted.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 06:27:17 pm
I completely forgot who we lynched day 1
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 06:28:06 pm
oh right, that was that. the non-existent day.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 06:30:13 pm
I was in the middle of writing a post also switching, since having RR at L-1 while we talk about this is bad, I can maybe see a derphammer happening to save faust.
I could definitely vote faust if this picks up. Still want to hear from more people though, I dont have much experience with whether scumslip arguments are often right or not. After all, iguanas lynch stemmed from an apparent scumslip.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 06:39:31 pm
hm, then again... I guess I should also compare what happens after the lynch, not just the probability.

if we correctly lynch...

- faust, it's really good. Doesn't necessarily mean RR is scum, but probably does.
- Roadrunner, it's even better. probably makes faust scum

if we mislynch

- faust, horrible. lost a strong player and we'll have no idea if RR is scum or town.
- RR, not as bad. faust is now probably town, although not quite.

So this is the biggest reason to vote for RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 06:41:54 pm
no, you know what, let's not

vote: RR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 06:42:04 pm
RR is a great lynch. Let's just do that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 06:42:16 pm
Okay, SS. If you flippin' want to lynch me, go ahead and kill me. Don't pretend to have an open mind. This day is over. See y'all around the forum.
PPE 2
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 22, 2015, 06:42:41 pm
You are assuming they have the same alignment.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 06:47:24 pm
Well, that's fine too.

Vote: RR

RR: If I'm reading you correctly, you absolutely need to vengekill faust.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 06:48:47 pm
So I'm dead, right?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 22, 2015, 06:49:31 pm
Awaclus the hammerer
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 06:50:13 pm
So I'm dead, right?

Unless I'm mistaken, yeah. Are you scum?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 06:51:07 pm
Nope, I was a Vanilla Townie.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 06:51:15 pm
You are assuming they have the same alignment.
He really isn't, you know. He's offered several different possible situations. We need more from you than this, gkrieg. Your post here doesnt give us any insight into your thoughts on the possible lynches, Including faust.

I will vote: faust, for the reason stated above. Happy to go back to RR tomorrow though.
...and there's the hammer. My two cents: This doesnt look fantastic for Awa whatever RR flips, especially If he's wrong about the RR vengekill. But maybe its too blatant for scum!awa...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 06:51:25 pm
Let's remember that Faust is always right.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 06:52:16 pm
Nope, I was a Vanilla Townie.

Why breadcrumb being a venge then?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 06:53:54 pm
I wasn't doing that, I was giving up.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 06:56:41 pm
My two cents: This doesnt look fantastic for Awa whatever RR flips, especially If he's wrong about the RR vengekill.

Why not? Certainly you can tell from reading me today that I genuinely believed he was a venge ever since yuma mentioned people voting for themselves in past games and reminded me of the game where I was on my own lynch as a venge, and from reading RR, it shouldn't really seem like too big of a stretch either.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 06:57:40 pm
Typing on tablet is so slow, I might have got that vote change through in time otherwise. But I guess the RR lynch was always happening. Lets see what he flips, he could be lying here having seen the number of " lying preflip is good scum play" stuff from yesterday.

Nope, I was a Vanilla Townie.

Why breadcrumb being a venge then?
Please point out this breadcrumbing. I dont see it and I think you might be blowing wind to cover yourself.
PPE. Umm really? OK I'll reread you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 07:01:55 pm
I want to hear from SS Ashersky and Yuma. I imagine they're happy that I can't talk, even when I flip town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:02:05 pm
My two cents: This doesnt look fantastic for Awa whatever RR flips, especially If he's wrong about the RR vengekill.

Why not?
My reasons for finding that hammer scummy should be pretty clear. I'm usually happy to explain such reasons, but not to you, I think. This is petty of me, but I will quite enjoy finding you scummy without telling you why.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:02:24 pm
For a little while, at least.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 07:06:23 pm
Please point out this breadcrumbing. I dont see it and I think you might be blowing wind to cover yourself.

All the self-voting, "we can afford this mislynch" etc. I didn't think he was doing it intentionally, and turns out he wasn't doing it even accidentally, but I thought that only made sense if he was a venge.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:08:25 pm
I want to hear from SS Ashersky and Yuma. I imagine they're happy that I can't talk, even when I flip town.

well I don't know your alignment yet. Plenty of scum pretends to be town during twilight
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 07:09:11 pm
But are you happy now SS?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:10:18 pm
Please point out this breadcrumbing. I dont see it and I think you might be blowing wind to cover yourself.

All the self-voting, "we can afford this mislynch" etc. I didn't think he was doing it intentionally, and turns out he wasn't doing it even accidentally, but I thought that only made sense if he was a venge.
Hmmmmmm. OK. I was seeing that more in the light of RR doing stuff that doesnt make sense, which is not uncomon for him. But I guess it could be seen as venge breadcrumbs...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:10:46 pm
But are you happy now SS?

I'm happy if you flip scum

actually that's not true. I won't be happy if you flip scum. But I'll be much happier than if you flip town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:11:35 pm
But are you happy now SS?
Hes never going to answer yes to this question. Obviously if you're town then only scum is happy about this. Stop trying to make it personal.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 07:13:52 pm
But are you happy now SS?

I'm happy if you flip scum

actually that's not true. I won't be happy if you flip scum. But I'll be much happier than if you flip town.
You won't be happy?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:15:10 pm
Also I'm sorry but the flavour here is hilarious.  Who thought it was a good idea to risk killing the chosen one!?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:17:42 pm
But are you happy now SS?

I'm happy if you flip scum

actually that's not true. I won't be happy if you flip scum. But I'll be much happier than if you flip town.
You won't be happy?
no, i had a chance to win master and the top 4 played out today and I placed fourth, that weighs heavier than a successful lynch in mafia

but It'd still be good if you flip scum
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:17:59 pm
*master league

in prismata
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 07:19:53 pm
Man, I'm happy when I get Tier X level performance arena runs.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:20:53 pm
no, i had a chance to win master and the top 4 played out today and I placed fourth, that weighs heavier than a successful lynch in mafia
Are you talking about a game other than mafia? I didnt know there were such things. :-P
Seriously though, master?
PPE. Right, prismata, cool. Sad face. Grats on getting so far, though, nice work.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:22:08 pm
To clarify,  I have no idea of the prismata tournament setup. But it sounds damned impressive.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:23:00 pm
well thanks

Man, I'm happy when I get Tier X level performance arena runs.

it's all relative. timex was disappointed after he won over a million dollars in poker.

so... if RR is in fact town, I'm not sure what that says about faust. Maybe he has just been right all along
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:24:15 pm
I kind of feel like RR isn't particularly likely to lie in twilight, unfortunately
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 07:24:56 pm
I don't get it SS-after my speech you thought I was town. What changed your mind?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:25:41 pm
I don't get it SS-after my speech you thought I was town. What changed your mind?

I didn't?

if you're scum, you could admit it. then we can talk more freely.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:25:53 pm
well thanks

Man, I'm happy when I get Tier X level performance arena runs.

it's all relative. timex was disappointed after he won over a million dollars in poker.

so... if RR is in fact town, I'm not sure what that says about faust. Maybe he has just been right all along
The possible scumslip remains. Seems a good topic to talk about during twilight. I might have to sleep soon though,  though I'd like to see the flip first.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 07:27:28 pm
I don't get it SS-after my speech you thought I was town. What changed your mind?

I didn't?

if you're scum, you could admit it. then we can talk more freely.
Sure, who cares.

I was scum, everyone. GG
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:29:20 pm
.... !! WOHOOO!!!

you were right. I am happy!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:30:03 pm
for what it's worth, you did better than I did in my first scum game.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 07:30:31 pm
for what it's worth, you did better than I did in my first scum game.
Gee, thanks.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:30:46 pm
Now I have no idea. That could just be annoyed!RR getting our hopes up to spite us for mislynching him. Seems a bit unlikely.
RR also talks about claiming earlier in the day, as in " I won't claim even at L-1". Why say that as a Vt?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:31:28 pm
so. faust is the one to look at tomorrow, then. Although he's not conf!scum or anything.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:32:05 pm
If you were scum, RR, that was tough, I do feel for you a bit even as im happy happy about the correct lynch. Your town meta is so off-the-wall it must be seriously hard to emulate.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:32:45 pm
Now I have no idea. That could just be annoyed!RR getting our hopes up to spite us for mislynching him. Seems a bit unlikely.
RR also talks about claiming earlier in the day, as in " I won't claim even at L-1". Why say that as a Vt?

no man. scum claiming town during twilight is legit. town claiming scum actively hurts their faction. if someone says he's scum, then he's scum.

town points for doubting him though. Not that you need them, you were my top townread anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 07:32:59 pm
If you were scum, RR, that was tough, I do feel for you a bit even as im happy happy about the correct lynch. Your town meta is so off-the-wall it must be seriously hard to emulate.
Care to share about a town meta?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 22, 2015, 07:33:19 pm
wait so is RR town or scum.

I still feel like hes town there and is just saying hes scum to try to make you happy?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:34:50 pm
wait so is RR town or scum.

I still feel like hes town there and is just saying hes scum to try to make you happy?

are you trying to get townpoints too? that doesn't work if haddock already did it. also you're way too experienced.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 07:36:00 pm
This is why I refused to claim Haddock. Even when I claim, people don't believe me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:37:05 pm
so. faust is the one to look at tomorrow, then. Although he's not conf!scum or anything.
Hurmanurm. The defence of RR is too blatant, maybe? But then thats a premade defence, isnt it? The scumslip is worth talking about,  im willing to believe it might be just that. RRs flip will help, of course. Maybe talking about it now is not the best actually, only helps scum target more accurately.

Now I have no idea. That could just be annoyed!RR getting our hopes up to spite us for mislynching him. Seems a bit unlikely.
RR also talks about claiming earlier in the day, as in " I won't claim even at L-1". Why say that as a Vt?

no man. scum claiming town during twilight is legit. town claiming scum actively hurts their faction. if someone says he's scum, then he's scum.

town points for doubting him though. Not that you need them, you were my top townread anyway.
I did say I thought it was unlikely that he would lie like that. But its RR, who knows?

If you were scum, RR, that was tough, I do feel for you a bit even as im happy happy about the correct lynch. Your town meta is so off-the-wall it must be seriously hard to emulate.
Care to share about a town meta?
You're just weird! We've been there. Sorry I cant offer much more than that, this could be an interesting postgame chat though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 22, 2015, 07:37:32 pm
wait so is RR town or scum.

I still feel like hes town there and is just saying hes scum to try to make you happy?

are you trying to get townpoints too? that doesn't work if haddock already did it. also you're way too experienced.

I missed a PPE in that post.

but I will say it still sounds like RR kinda just said hes scum to please people...

But ya I guess it doesn't make as much sense as I thought for town!RR to do that.

He would probably be more telling us we made a mistake I'm guessing
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:38:17 pm
I think I have ideas about your meta, but I... don't want to tell you? sorry but that would just hurt town in future games.

figure it out yourself :P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on November 22, 2015, 07:39:11 pm
Ha! Jokes on you, someone already told me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:40:14 pm
so. faust is the one to look at tomorrow, then. Although he's not conf!scum or anything.
Hurmanurm. The defence of RR is too blatant, maybe? But then thats a premade defence, isnt it? The scumslip is worth talking about,  im willing to believe it might be just that. RRs flip will help, of course. Maybe talking about it now is not the best actually, only helps scum target more accurately.

There is a recent game were faust was scum and basically declared XP an IC for being super towny, and everyone was buying it. In the end it was a faust-XP scum team. Town got outplayed like crazy that game.

so, he's capable of doing that.

The big difference is that, in this case, defending RR has been met with much more resistance since early on
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 22, 2015, 07:41:17 pm
ok well now it sounds like RR is scum. in which case. I agree with SS you did much better as scum then my first game. Mine I think WW knew I was scum in like my first 6 posts and didn't vote anyone else.

Although I guess you and yuma have the same kinda idea here.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:44:16 pm
yuma I could see being scum... but probably not after he claimed JK. otherwise,  a yuma/RR team does make some sense
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:44:26 pm
Another five minutes then I go to bed. Probably Efhw wont get here in time, I mean fair enough really, im just super impatient!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:45:21 pm
Another five minutes then I go to bed. Probably Efhw wont get here in time, I mean fair enough really, im just super impatient!

twilight can last for hours and hours. don't try to stay awake for it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:47:20 pm
really interested to hear faust chime in if he comes back
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:47:53 pm
Another five minutes then I go to bed. Probably Efhw wont get here in time, I mean fair enough really, im just super impatient!

twilight can last for hours and hours. don't try to stay awake for it.
I know. Like I said, five minutes. I realise how stupid this is. :-P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 22, 2015, 07:51:20 pm
Off. Night, all. Both senses of the word.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 07:55:14 pm
twilight can last for hours and hours. don't try to stay awake for it.

Applies to the movies as well.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 07:56:44 pm
twilight can last for hours and hours. don't try to stay awake for it.

Applies to the movies as well.

very true!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 22, 2015, 08:06:51 pm
alright, I'm asleep too.

and hopefully alive tomorrow
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:29:20 pm
Town read on SS for the flip flop to Faust and back, regardless of how RR flips. There is a scummy way to be indecisive but it is not the way ss just did it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:32:24 pm
And I am still somewhat unsure about ash. He has been by my side all game long and that is unusual. Also he rarely initiates busses but isn't afraid of jumping in if it looks like a partner is going down. Plus the way he came on soooo strong to the wagon I think actually pushed people away from it rather than bring them in, at least in the short term. And he doesn't exactly look any better if RR flips town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: yuma on November 22, 2015, 10:35:56 pm
And while I am certainly more than ok with RR being our wagon of choice I need to ask, is there some sort of prize or badge for having theist out of nowhere hammers? I would ask said person what the point is but I know better than that. So all I can say is... What goes around comes around... Make sure you don't get to L-1 anytime soon.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Awaclus on November 22, 2015, 10:57:47 pm
Both RR and iguana had had the chance to claim and chose not to do so. What's the point in waiting?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 22, 2015, 11:07:51 pm
Vote Count 2.10

Roadrunner (6): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Haddock, Joseph, Awaclus
Haddock (3): Hydrad, gkrieg13, Witherweaver 
Joseph (1): faust
ashersky (1): Roadrunner

not voting (0):

With 11 players alive, it took 6 to lynch.

THREAD LOCKED

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 22, 2015, 11:18:46 pm
Harry couldn’t believe his ears when the hammer fell.  He was the Chosen One, the only one who could hear the prophecy.  They were all here fighting over the prophecy, and now they kill him?  What about all those times he faced Voldemort and won? What about The Boy Who Lived?  All those adventures with Hermione, and now she leads the charge against him?  He struggled mightily against the ropes conjured around him by Sirius, but it was in vain.  He was pushed across the line and ...  sucked into the Death Arch!  Just before he fell out of view, his true form revealed itself.  That wasn’t Harry, it was Bellatrix Lestrange, Death Eater Goon (aka Roadrunner7671)!! 

“See, I knew that couldn’t be Harry,” said Hermione.  “He wasn’t acting like himself.  And you know what, Luna and Sirius are starting to seem suspicious too....”

"Someone wake up Lupin and tell him what happened," said Professor McGonagall.

“This means we don’t know what happened to the real Harry!” exclaimed Ginny.  “Maybe he isn’t actually dead!”  The adults in the group didn’t look optimistic about this, but Ginny was determined to hold onto that thread of hope. 


In utter disbelief, Mad Eye stared at the body in front of him. How could he not have seen through this facade? Was he getting sentimental in his old age? He had sworn to protect Harry, the Boy Who Lived, but should he not have known him well enough to be able to tell him and Bellatrix Lestrange apart? Lestrange of all people...

This was a wake up call. He had become too trusting. Anyone here could still be the enemy. Everyone needs to be on their watch.


Night actions due Monday November 23rd at 9 p.m., day 3 will start Monday 10 p.m. (a day early because I am travelling on Tuesday)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 23, 2015, 10:12:50 pm
Day 3

This time the flash of light was accompanied by a loud bang, and all ten fell to the ground momentarily unconscious.  When they awoke, there was a muffled yell about a library, several streaks of colored light, and then all was still.  Only seven people got up again.  Hermione, Sirius and Neville were all sprawled on the floor, not moving.  Then Sirius (aka Awaclus) began to transform - into Lucius Malfoy the Death Eater Goon! Everyone else was stunned (or pretending to be). Hermione (aka yuma) was holding keys in her hand, symbolizing her role as the Order’s CaretakerNeville (aka Witherweaver) had a large bar of chocolate lying next to him on the floor.  He was the Order’s Healer.  He also had a note folded in his hand: "My only regret is... that I have... boneitis." A couple people chuckled fondly, everyone else looked really confused.  They tossed Malfoy's body into the Arch and laid Hermione and Neville next to Ron.

Vote Count 3.0

not voting (7): ashersky, faust, gkrieg, Haddock, Hydrad, Joseph, silverspawn

With 7 alive it takes 4 to lynch.
Day ends Tuesday, December 1st at 10 p.m.

THREAD UNLOCKED
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 23, 2015, 10:15:47 pm
yuma :( good job in getting RR at least.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 23, 2015, 10:17:22 pm
so an SK and death eater is all thats left right?

I believe in us!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 23, 2015, 10:18:10 pm
Vote: faust

for now though. I don't tend to vote you very often so heres my chance!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 23, 2015, 10:20:10 pm
first instinct is that scum used a bus driver shot i think...

i feel like WW would of protected yuma otherwise.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 23, 2015, 10:54:56 pm
vote: Faust

Wow what a night!  So we have an SK, scum, and a vig?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 01:17:36 am
vote: Faust

That's L-1.

There's really no one else I'd vote for here.

Three deaths means vig, right?

Also, remember, as town we have a 1/3 chance of choosing right here.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 24, 2015, 02:28:24 am
so while i like the faust lynch. lets try to not have another 8 hour day.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 02:33:05 am
so while i like the faust lynch. lets try to not have another 8 hour day.

Easy -- anyone who hammers without intent and discussion is scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 02:33:31 am
Awaclus being faust's other partner makes tons of sense, too.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 02:33:59 am
Who shot WW, anyway?  I hope it was scum, because he was obv!town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 02:57:23 am
I am the Vigilante and I shot Awaclus.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 02:57:55 am
Unvote!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 03:01:52 am
2 Goons means we have a TTT situation. Doctor, Jailkeeper = PP, Vig = K. There should be no other PR, so I am the only one who can account for the nightkill.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 03:04:09 am
There's really no one else I'd vote for here.

Well, you should start looking for alternatives.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 03:30:20 am
why does there have to be a SK. Why can't there be no SK instead?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 03:39:12 am
yay, setup analysis.

Setup: As faust said, there's without a doubt 3 T's in this setup, because:

- 2 goons flipped
- there is a SK

TTT is the only setup that fulfills both conditions.

This means that four other numbers were rolled

Fortunately, this setup seems to have a strict 1 letter -> 1 power policy, with the lone exception of RR -> Gunsmith, which we most likely don't have

Healer and Caretaker flipped, that's PP. Hey, this is really easy.

So we're playing the setup PP??TTT
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 03:40:43 am
In other words, faust is conf!town unless someone counter-claims. The only reason to lynch him is if you think that making sure we lynch scum is not worth outing our PR, which would be insane.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 03:42:01 am
2 Goons means we have a TTT situation. Doctor, Jailkeeper = PP, Vig = K. There should be no other PR, so I am the only one who can account for the nightkill.

Ah, you are wrong

Quote from: JKK+ Setup
The moderator randomly chooses 7 numbers from 1-100, repeating permitted.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 03:43:01 am
@faust: who did you target N1?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 04:22:53 am
2 Goons means we have a TTT situation. Doctor, Jailkeeper = PP, Vig = K. There should be no other PR, so I am the only one who can account for the nightkill.

Ah, you are wrong

Quote from: JKK+ Setup
The moderator randomly chooses 7 numbers from 1-100, repeating permitted.
I don't think there are can be other NK PRs though, right?  The only town NK role is Vig, and 2 Vigs means 3 Ks, which is too many.

So yeah vig should counterclaim if it's not faust.  But I'm going to proceed on the assumption that faust's claim is true for now - it's way too easy to counterclaim, would be the worst scum claim ever I think.

Will need a reread probably.  This is just my morning post before I head officewards; will be checking occasionally today but realistically not back properly til early afternoon forum time.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 04:25:25 am
unvote for now.

Vig should counterclaim.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 04:25:56 am
faust, explain your ridiculous anti-town play yesterday.

"I was trying not to get nightkilled" is not an acceptable answer.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 04:31:04 am
first instinct is that scum used a bus driver shot i think...

i feel like WW would of protected yuma otherwise.
Bus Driver is impossible, I think? Given the other stuff.  So I don't know why WW wouldn't protect yuma...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 04:43:15 am
We know we have 3 kills.

Awaclus was killed by the VIG or the SK.

The other two we don't know.

The real VIG needs to claim, if it isn't faust.

Could scum have strongman killed yuma?  I'm going to guess yuma was scum's kill given his claim.  I would assume he jailed his top town read, as he would have jailed faust otherwise.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 04:59:17 am
@faust: who did you target N1?

I targetted ashersky. Should be obvious. I thought from D1 that he breadcrumbed Hider, so I thought shooting him might confirm him as town. He didn't die, so I had an inexplicable townread on him D2. Of course then it became clear that yuma jailkept me, so poop.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 04:59:54 am
faust, explain your ridiculous anti-town play yesterday.

"I was trying not to get nightkilled" is not an acceptable answer.

Err.. I thought RR was town?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:05:56 am
Disagreeing with you is not "being ridiculously anti-town", even if I am wrong.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:07:29 am
2 Goons means we have a TTT situation. Doctor, Jailkeeper = PP, Vig = K. There should be no other PR, so I am the only one who can account for the nightkill.

Ah, you are wrong

Quote from: JKK+ Setup
The moderator randomly chooses 7 numbers from 1-100, repeating permitted.

Huh, why did I think it would be 6? Is it 6 in asher++?

Then we could theoretically have 2 vigs I guess, though WW does not make a lot of sense as a vig kill.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:08:17 am
Ah, no, 2 vigs is impossible because it would require 3 Ks.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 05:09:25 am
Huh, why did I think it would be 6? Is it 6 in asher++?

Then we could theoretically have 2 vigs I guess, though WW does not make a lot of sense as a vig kill.
No we couldn't.  The only 2-vig possibility has 3Ks.
3Ks+2Ps means at most 2Ts, but there were two goons.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 05:09:41 am
Huh, why did I think it would be 6? Is it 6 in asher++?

Then we could theoretically have 2 vigs I guess, though WW does not make a lot of sense as a vig kill.
No we couldn't.  The only 2-vig possibility has 3Ks.
3Ks+2Ps means at most 2Ts, but there were two goons.
I should say "3 or more Ks"
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 05:12:53 am
faust, explain your ridiculous anti-town play yesterday.

"I was trying not to get nightkilled" is not an acceptable answer.

Err.. I thought RR was town?

Also not an acceptable answer.  He was clearly caught, as both yuma and I made very clear.  Even silverspawn, who is loathe to agree with me, came around.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 05:13:18 am
@faust: who did you target N1?

I targetted ashersky. Should be obvious. I thought from D1 that he breadcrumbed Hider, so I thought shooting him might confirm him as town. He didn't die, so I had an inexplicable townread on him D2. Of course then it became clear that yuma jailkept me, so poop.

Why didn't you shoot me again?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 24, 2015, 05:13:42 am
unvote

well i'm going to bed.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:14:13 am
@faust: who did you target N1?

I targetted ashersky. Should be obvious. I thought from D1 that he breadcrumbed Hider, so I thought shooting him might confirm him as town. He didn't die, so I had an inexplicable townread on him D2. Of course then it became clear that yuma jailkept me, so poop.

Why didn't you shoot me again?

Why would I? Awaclus was scummier.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:14:48 am
faust, explain your ridiculous anti-town play yesterday.

"I was trying not to get nightkilled" is not an acceptable answer.

Err.. I thought RR was town?

Also not an acceptable answer.  He was clearly caught, as both yuma and I made very clear.  Even silverspawn, who is loathe to agree with me, came around.

And clearly every player who did not vote RR is scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 05:15:00 am
Disagreeing with you is not "being ridiculously anti-town", even if I am wrong.

Disagreeing with me was not the issue.  Doing everything in your overwhelming power to try and keep a mafioso from being lynched is anti-town.

And it isn't "even if you were wrong" because you were in fact wrong.  Or right in trying to save your partner.

I'm not believing your VIG claim until everyone else has posted.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:16:29 am
What's with the capitalization?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 05:46:25 am
I'm not believing your VIG claim until everyone else has posted.
faust, ss, Ash, Hydrad, haddock,
Joseph? Gkrieg?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 05:48:46 am
Vote Count 2.10

Roadrunner (6): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Haddock, Joseph, Awaclus
Haddock (3): Hydrad, gkrieg13, Witherweaver 
Joseph (1): faust
ashersky (1): Roadrunner

not voting (0):

With 11 players alive, it took 6 to lynch.

THREAD LOCKED


Let's see...of the three deaths, two were on wagon.  The vig or SK shot Awaclus, leaving mafia killing yuma or WW.

Of the off-wagon players, we have scum!RR, "vig" faust, Hydrad, gkrieg, and doctor!WW.

So yeah, I think it's likely scum was not voting RR.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 06:10:20 am
So yeah, I think it's likely scum was not voting RR.
Are you saying you think both remaining scum were offwagon?  I dunno.

Warning: The rest of this post is based on the assumption that faust is the vig, and just screwed up yesterday.  If that angers you, ash, then tough I'm afraid.

I don't see BOTH other Mafia being on RR's wagon, so with Awa on there I think there must be a mafia offwagon.  That makes it (up to the disclaimer above) gkrieg or Hydrad.
I find gkrieg fairly scummy, could maybe see him being the last partner, but definitely need to reread before I commit to anything. 
But I don't see Hydrad as being scum, really, and there's no reason to believe that the SK wouldn't have been on RR's wagon. 

That's me, ash, SS, Joseph.  I'm town.  I could see SK from any of the remaining 3, ultimately, but my gut says town!SS.  Joseph has been quiet enough to be SK, and if I'm totally honest with myself, I just can't read ash at all.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 06:19:28 am
So yeah, I think it's likely scum was not voting RR.
Are you saying you think both remaining scum were offwagon?  I dunno.

Warning: The rest of this post is based on the assumption that faust is the vig, and just screwed up yesterday.  If that angers you, ash, then tough I'm afraid.

I don't see BOTH other Mafia being on RR's wagon, so with Awa on there I think there must be a mafia offwagon.  That makes it (up to the disclaimer above) gkrieg or Hydrad.
I find gkrieg fairly scummy, could maybe see him being the last partner, but definitely need to reread before I commit to anything. 
But I don't see Hydrad as being scum, really, and there's no reason to believe that the SK wouldn't have been on RR's wagon. 

That's me, ash, SS, Joseph.  I'm town.  I could see SK from any of the remaining 3, ultimately, but my gut says town!SS.  Joseph has been quiet enough to be SK, and if I'm totally honest with myself, I just can't read ash at all.

I'm saying the remaining mafia was off-wagon.

The SK is best treated as town for scumhunting purposes, because they scumhunt just like us.  Also, SK hunting is scummy.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 06:26:48 am
I'm saying the remaining mafia was off-wagon.
OK, we agree.  Just checking. 

The SK is best treated as town for scumhunting purposes, because they scumhunt just like us.  Also, SK hunting is scummy.
Is this an accusation? 
I'm not properly hunting anyone right at this moment, rather just trying to get a feel for the shape of things.  I completely agree we should get the last mafia before the SK.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 06:30:36 am
It does not make a lot of sense to just consider off-wagon vs on-wagon. Awaclus opposed the RR lynch for almost all of D2. One would assume that the third partner did not do the same.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 06:38:32 am
It does not make a lot of sense to just consider off-wagon vs on-wagon. Awaclus opposed the RR lynch for almost all of D2. One would assume that the third partner did not do the same.
Good point.  This is why I need a reread.  I'd already forgotten Awa's scummy lastditch hammer.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 07:25:43 am
Huh, why did I think it would be 6? Is it 6 in asher++?

yes

that's a totally believable mistake, but unfortunately not indicative of alignment
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 07:28:22 am
so, I was thinking that we need 2 PR's to counterclaim now that there are two ? left, but it's actually much simpler. if no-one counterclaims, faust is an IC. I can't counterclaim
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 07:28:41 am
*if no vig counter claims
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 07:35:47 am
(all assuming no-one will counterclaim)

Player list:

yuma
gkrieg13
iguanaiguana
2.71...
Roadrunner7671
faust
Hydrad
silverspawn
Witherweaver
Haddock
Awaclus
Joseph
ashersky

Haddock green because I have a strong townread on him. Although that is mostly a non!mafia read, because like ash said, SKs are towny. But let's just search for the third mafia today.

Joseph and gkrieg are both null, which is scary at this point.
ash I might give a pass for not counterclaiming faust. I think scum should have done that for sure.

That might indicate an unexperienced player for the final scum. I'm primarily looking at Joseph or gkrieg for now

vote: Joseph
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 07:38:15 am
Could scum have strongman killed yuma?  I'm going to guess yuma was scum's kill given his claim.  I would assume he jailed his top town read, as he would have jailed faust otherwise.

he probably JK'd me. I don't think JK'ing faust makes a lot of sense, because he would not perform the kill as mafia.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 07:41:31 am
( don't really want to get into NK analysis before Joseph, gkrieg and WW have a chance to counterclaim )
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 07:45:57 am
ash I might give a pass for not counterclaiming faust. I think scum should have done that for sure.

Wait, what? Scum loses for sure if they counterclaim me here.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 07:47:37 am
ash I might give a pass for not counterclaiming faust. I think scum should have done that for sure.

Wait, what? Scum loses for sure if they counterclaim me here.

... right. I was forgetting that scum and SK are in separate teams. I thought a 1-1 trade would be good for scum.

in that case I'll just treat you as an IC now. Which is pretty great.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 07:49:06 am
ash I might give a pass for not counterclaiming faust. I think scum should have done that for sure.

Wait, what? Scum loses for sure if they counterclaim me here.

... right. I was forgetting that scum and SK are in separate teams. I thought a 1-1 trade would be good for scum.

in that case I'll just treat you as an IC now. Which is pretty great.

Yeah, especially considering my problematic situation here. Would have been pretty hard to not be lynched if I didn't have a confirmable PR.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 07:57:05 am
ash I might give a pass for not counterclaiming faust. I think scum should have done that for sure.

Wait, what? Scum loses for sure if they counterclaim me here.
I dont think that's quite 100% true, though its darn close.

The following is technically possible, though unlikely.
Scum counterclaims. We believe them for some reason and lynch you.
Both scum hit town. Then its 1v1v2. If town are stupid enought to lynch, they essentially kingmake one of the scum. Only town hope is to no lynch and hope that scum hit each other. Then its down to luck, but certainly either scum can potentially win from there.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 08:00:27 am
A few relevant quotes (in timely order, first one is early day 2)

Wow a flurry of votes to start the day.  These are the two that catch me as scummy:

First. Hi everyone!

Well back to vote: RR

Welp. vote: Awaclus
No particular reason.

Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

Haddock's vote and reaction are scummy.  Forcing back us into RVS is scummy.  Even though D1 was short, it gave us a lot of information.  Just looking at the wagon gives information.  Mafia loves fast mislynches, so there is bound to be at least one scum on the wagon. 

But having not played with RR before, I don't see how what anyone said was personal, and thus I find it a bit scummy. So, I think I want to Vote: rr.


Is it fair for me to think that when you say "he really expected to be lynched" it matches up to your statement above where scum thinks the "lynch is inevitable"?

well, no. I think the two cases are really different.

So, i actually only remember one case where scum self-voted when their "lynch was invevitable." That was Egork, also in ASoIaFM, someone copped him guilty, he said ' no reason to delay the inevitable ' and self-voted. that was literally just to save everyone some time. He was copped, his team mates had been found out day 1 and 2, and there was literally no way out.

Self-hammering can be strategic. Like, when you are scum, have lost hopes for survival, and want to prevent town from using the remaining day. You self-hammer. It's good play.

Here, RR self-voted, but he didn't hammer himself with it, and his lynch wasn't set in stone. I think that's a totally different case than the above two - do you disagree with that?

And of that I can only remember... actually it's 3 cases. One from scum!PPS, one from town!PPS, and one from Witherweaver. I think he was town there, too. Though that might have been in Death Note mafia, where votes don't technically count for anything.

I think it is possible he pulled the selfvote trigger too early.  That's bad scum play, as would be expected from RR his first time as scum.
I guess it is possible.

Right now, I see this more as faust vs yuma than ash vs faust or ash vs RR.

I think faust is scummier, and RR I'm definitely in 2 minds about. So, Vote: faust.


I'm edging a bit more towards RR being scum, but I think faust is scummier right now.

Haddock, that's actually okay. Tonight, at about 3:00 AM, I'll make a speech that will blow my old one out of the water.

I'm looking forward to it
Assuming you mean 3am Eastern, I'll be asleep.
That's my intent
Um okay?

FWIW, current scum reads are:
RR- for all the previous things I've said
Hydrad- gut instinct + similar to M69, where Hydrad was scum
Haddock- gut instinct (not played together before)

Well I'm not going to oppose lynching you, so it's not the best thing ever.
Hence the question mark. Would you read another speech or have you lost interest in me?
Honestly, rr just sounds shop uptight and defensive - rewinds me of scum! me when I hadn't played scum at all.

Not that there's much on Joseph.. he seems to not be doing a lot but posting a little bit here and there, his comments feel like he feels he ought to be commenting.  The thing that stood out to me was his "when I was scum, I did this..." argument, but I'm not so sure why I found it scummy at the time.  I've said the same thing as both town and scum.

Hydrad I don't want to lynch; he's been townier since we summoned him.

Vote: Yuma

vote: yuma

L-1 I believe

there is more, but I have a lecture comign up

gkrieg is looking horrible here, vote: gkrieg

Joseph I don't get huge town vibes from, but he's better for sure

WW not sure yet, I think he's looking bad too
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 08:17:22 am
Ummmm, Ss? Just so you know.

WW is dead. He was the doctor...

Seriously,  read the flavour. :-P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 09:15:19 am
It does not make a lot of sense to just consider off-wagon vs on-wagon.

You mean because it makes you look terrible?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 09:18:18 am
ash I might give a pass for not counterclaiming faust. I think scum should have done that for sure.

Wait, what? Scum loses for sure if they counterclaim me here.
I dont think that's quite 100% true, though its darn close.

The following is technically possible, though unlikely.
Scum counterclaims. We believe them for some reason and lynch you.
Both scum hit town. Then its 1v1v2. If town are stupid enought to lynch, they essentially kingmake one of the scum. Only town hope is to no lynch and hope that scum hit each other. Then its down to luck, but certainly either scum can potentially win from there.

Doesn't work.

Assume faust is scum and the real vig claims.  We lynch the real vig for some reason.  We are at 6 alive.

faust will try to shoot the other scum, I assume.  Other scum will shoot faust.  That leaves 4 alive:

1 scum vs. 3 townies or 4 townies and we win.


Assume faust is scum and the real vig claims.  We lynch faust.  We are at 6 alive with 1 scum.  We play the rest of the game.


Basically, a fakeclaiming scum is great for town and terrible for the fakeclaimer.  That means that faust's most likely explanation for claiming is that he is the vig.  We've still got two more players to wait for, though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 24, 2015, 09:21:27 am
Not the vig and unvote
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 09:31:09 am
So instead, assume faust is the VIG and isn't counterclaimed.  That leaves 7 alive with one IC.

All of town has a 2/5 chance of lynching scum, except faust, who has a 2/6 chance.  Two outcomes:

We lynch scum today.  We go into night with 6 alive.  Assume faust dies for being a PR and an IC.  Should faust shoot?

Yes: 1/5 chance of hitting scum.  Hits and we win.  Miss and we are at 1 vs 3 tomorrow.  No lynch, 1 vs 2 LYLO.
No: 1 vs. 4 tomorrow.  Gives us a second chance at a win.

So, the argument there is whether we want faust to get the extra shot at scum, or the town as a whole.  (I vote town.)



Say we mislynch today.  We go into night with 6 alive, 1 vs 1 vs 4.  Each scum has a 1/5 chance of killing the other scum, plus there's faust out there.  That gets more complicated.

Let's just lynch scum today.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 09:35:48 am
ash I might give a pass for not counterclaiming faust. I think scum should have done that for sure.

Wait, what? Scum loses for sure if they counterclaim me here.
I dont think that's quite 100% true, though its darn close.

The following is technically possible, though unlikely.
Scum counterclaims. We believe them for some reason and lynch you.
Both scum hit town. Then its 1v1v2. If town are stupid enought to lynch, they essentially kingmake one of the scum. Only town hope is to no lynch and hope that scum hit each other. Then its down to luck, but certainly either scum can potentially win from there.

Doesn't work.

Assume faust is scum and the real vig claims.  We lynch the real vig for some reason.  We are at 6 alive.

faust will try to shoot the other scum, I assume.  Other scum will shoot faust.  That leaves 4 alive:

1 scum vs. 3 townies or 4 townies and we win.


Assume faust is scum and the real vig claims.  We lynch faust.  We are at 6 alive with 1 scum.  We play the rest of the game.


Basically, a fakeclaiming scum is great for town and terrible for the fakeclaimer.  That means that faust's most likely explanation for claiming is that he is the vig.  We've still got two more players to wait for, though.
Sorry yeah. I forgot the obvious element of scum-would-shoot-lying-claimer.

Still, its not quite an instawin, as faust was saying. May as well be though.
Only Joseph left to speak before faust is confirmed IC.

OK. I dont know whether faust should shoot, but maybe. If he does I think he needs to announce it beforehand.  That way hitting the potentially bulletproof SK is less bad.  There's no way for scum to prevent the shot, I think, so giving that information should be safe.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 24, 2015, 09:39:04 am
So instead, assume faust is the VIG and isn't counterclaimed.  That leaves 7 alive with one IC.

All of town has a 2/5 chance of lynching scum, except faust, who has a 2/6 chance.  Two outcomes:

We lynch scum today.  We go into night with 6 alive.  Assume faust dies for being a PR and an IC.  Should faust shoot?

Yes: 1/5 chance of hitting scum.  Hits and we win.  Miss and we are at 1 vs 3 tomorrow.  No lynch, 1 vs 2 LYLO.
No: 1 vs. 4 tomorrow.  Gives us a second chance at a win.

So, the argument there is whether we want faust to get the extra shot at scum, or the town as a whole.  (I vote town.)



Say we mislynch today.  We go into night with 6 alive, 1 vs 1 vs 4.  Each scum has a 1/5 chance of killing the other scum, plus there's faust out there.  That gets more complicated.

Let's just lynch scum today.

You left out stuff for SK?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 24, 2015, 09:39:54 am
Never mind
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 09:42:06 am
It does not make a lot of sense to just consider off-wagon vs on-wagon.

You mean because it makes you look terrible?

I will be conf!town soon, so knock it off.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 09:43:14 am
Let's just lynch scum today.

I don't know, man. That seems like an awful plan.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 09:43:34 am
gkrieg, care to respond to the case on you?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 24, 2015, 10:42:12 am
Vote Count 3.1

gkrieg (1): silverspawn

not voting (6): ashersky, faust, gkrieg, Haddock, Hydrad, Joseph

With 7 alive it takes 4 to lynch.
Day ends Tuesday, December 1st at 10 p.m.

From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon, 2.7 will be back-up modding.  I will be travelling with uncertain Internet access.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 11:10:23 am
Ummmm, Ss? Just so you know.

WW is dead. He was the doctor...

Seriously,  read the flavour. :-P

ah, I did read it, I swear. Just, uh, missed it somehow when I made the player list, and later I looked there for reference.

Not sure why any scum would kill WW, but that's great for PoE.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 11:27:33 am
Let's just lynch scum today.

I don't know, man. That seems like an awful plan.

Care to enlighten us on how lynching town is better?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 11:27:58 am
It does not make a lot of sense to just consider off-wagon vs on-wagon.

You mean because it makes you look terrible?

I will be conf!town soon, so knock it off.

Could still be a traitor.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 11:28:43 am
I'm assuming Hydrad or gkrieg is the other mafia, if faust is cleared.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 11:39:11 am
yeah, Hydrad or gkrieg sounds right.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 11:53:43 am
yeah, Hydrad or gkrieg sounds right.
Sorry I'm being slow, but there's plenty of time.  I still haven't been able to reread so will be able to comment more intelligently later.

But my gut at the moment thinks gkrieg rather than Hydrad.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 12:15:30 pm
Once we get the final confirmation on faust, I plan on some targeted re-reads.  I think it would behoove any other townies to do the same.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 24, 2015, 01:00:01 pm
A few relevant quotes (in timely order, first one is early day 2)

Wow a flurry of votes to start the day.  These are the two that catch me as scummy:

First. Hi everyone!

Well back to vote: RR

Welp. vote: Awaclus
No particular reason.

Yuma's vote doesn't really have much backing.  I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 

Haddock's vote and reaction are scummy.  Forcing back us into RVS is scummy.  Even though D1 was short, it gave us a lot of information.  Just looking at the wagon gives information.  Mafia loves fast mislynches, so there is bound to be at least one scum on the wagon. 

vote: yuma

L-1 I believe

there is more, but I have a lecture comign up

gkrieg is looking horrible here, vote: gkrieg

Joseph I don't get huge town vibes from, but he's better for sure

WW not sure yet, I think he's looking bad too

If the case on me is that I thought votes on my partners looked bad then I'll respond.  RR never seemed scummy to me.  He seemed like himself the whole game, which gave me a town read on him. 

The vote on Awaclus from Haddock was superscummy.  He tried to force us back into RVS and a vote for no particular reason is always scummy.  Especially when it is on a player that generally has a wagon on himself. 

Class is starting right now but I'll reread some people later. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 24, 2015, 01:28:47 pm
I'm not believing your VIG claim until everyone else has posted.
faust, ss, Ash, Hydrad, haddock,
Joseph? Gkrieg?
I'm not vig.

unvote for now.

Vig should counterclaim.
I agree. Since no-one has counterclaimed, I am therefore assuming faust is vig, and thus town.

Vote Count 2.10

Roadrunner (6): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Haddock, Joseph, Awaclus
Haddock (3): Hydrad, gkrieg13, Witherweaver 
Joseph (1): faust
ashersky (1): Roadrunner

not voting (0):

With 11 players alive, it took 6 to lynch.

THREAD LOCKED


Let's see...of the three deaths, two were on wagon.  The vig or SK shot Awaclus, leaving mafia killing yuma or WW.

Of the off-wagon players, we have scum!RR, "vig" faust, Hydrad, gkrieg, and doctor!WW.

So yeah, I think it's likely scum was not voting RR.
So therefore the last scum would have to be Hydrad or gkrieg. I guess I can see the logic behind that, and I agree.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 24, 2015, 01:30:04 pm
Okay, so no counterclaims for now.  Faust is IC for now.

Hydrad/gkrieg/Joseph/haddock/ss/ash are alive and not IC.  Two of these are scum, not together.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 24, 2015, 02:57:11 pm
I'm not the vig!

And not scum!

who is scum?

uh gkrieg seems alright. it would surprise me if every scum member in the game was on RR when he was that hard to lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 24, 2015, 04:08:56 pm
I'm not the vig!

And not scum!

who is scum?

uh gkrieg seems alright. it would surprise me if every scum member in the game was on RR when he was that hard to lynch.
My opinion is that RR lynch was so difficult that it seems very unlikely that the last scum player was on-wagon. After all, off-wagon would have been pretty safe, if there had been 5 people equally likely to be scum. Just so happens that there's now only 2 good choices- either Hydrad or gkrieg.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 04:55:23 pm
OK, targetted rereads.

Full disclosure: I went into this finding gkrieg and ash scummiest of the people, it's hard to get past that bias.
I have reread everyone except ash (and obv faust), so far, that it a task I saved til last since it promised to be mammoth.

So.

Silverspawn: ~180 posts
Some convincing scumhunting going on the from the start.  On the igu wagon, but so were loads of people.  Has some genuine-sounding disputes with yuma, which actually seems towny to me. 
Forgetful.  About the flavour and about who he's voting for.  This seems like a towntell to me.  Could be faked, but I reckon scum would stop at one or two such occurrences, there have been at least 3 by my count.
I found him scummy at some point for acting on-the-fence re RR.  With RR confirmed scum I don't see that as scummy any more, quite the opposite.
Lots of mind changing, but his initial reads tend to be scary good!

His interaction with the two mafia so far is very unpartnery.

Overall I get a fairly strong town vibe from SS.  Would probably lynch anyone else over him.


Gkrieg:  ~35 posts
I actually reread gkrieg first, and had the energy to put most of his posts into categories of some kind or another.
Of the 35 or so posts, I had
9 in "Meaningless",
2 in "Odd/Misleading questions",
3 in "Fighting the RR lynch",
5 in "Completely unexplained votes".

In terms of broader subcategories, that puts fully 2/3 of his posts in one I'd call "Generally unhelpful".  When called out for this he came up with just one or two fairly weak reasons for his behaviour, none of which he'd mentioned before.

He makes several jokes about things (things that definitely are not scummy) being scummy.  Strongly antitown behaviour.  Then accuses Hydrad of being antitown for no reason.  The irony.

Has been pretty consistent in his vote the entire game.  He's only voted for me, yuma and faust.  At any point.  This consistency of behaviour, combined with the rest, amounts to my having a pretty darn strong scumread on gkrieg.

Oh and his wagon positioning is fairly bad as well.


Hydrad: ~50 posts
From Hydrad's 50 I actually got much less then from gkrieg's 35.  He actually does contribute a lot more, but his contributions are mostly not really alignment tells one way or the other.
Oddly defensive of me and RR early, then changes his mind, which is maybe towny. 
He makes that weird townpoint grab, if that's what it is, during yesterday's twilight.
He overposted really early today.  Maybe like scum desperate to get a faust mislynch through?  Dunno.

That's not much, but overall I actually end up coming down JUST on the scummy side of null with Hydrad.  He looks like the least thorough reread of these I know, and I was running out of energy.  But that's what I got.


Joseph: ~30 posts
Says "I agree" in a not insignificant proportion of his posts.  It's probably nothing, just like I say "I mean" a lot.  But it seems slightly weird to me, if I were being hyper picky I might see this as him trying to seem friendly and amiable.  That's super weak I know.

His interaction with RR and Awa makes it basically inconceivable that he's a scumpartner, but there's really not much to say about him. 

Scumreadwise: Null overall.  But he's not the last mafia I think


Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 04:57:02 pm
I'll do ash before I decide but I'm leaning strongly towards voting gkrieg right now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:01:04 pm
It does not make a lot of sense to just consider off-wagon vs on-wagon.

You mean because it makes you look terrible?

I will be conf!town soon, so knock it off.

Could still be a traitor.

+1
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:03:29 pm
uh gkrieg seems alright. it would surprise me if every scum member in the game was on RR when he was that hard to lynch.

Again this is bad reasoning.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 24, 2015, 05:04:55 pm
Joseph: ~30 posts
Says "I agree" in a not insignificant proportion of his posts.  It's probably nothing, just like I say "I mean" a lot.  But it seems slightly weird to me, if I were being hyper picky I might see this as him trying to seem friendly and amiable.  That's super weak I know.

His interaction with RR and Awa makes it basically inconceivable that he's a scumpartner, but there's really not much to say about him. 

Scumreadwise: Null overall.  But he's not the last mafia I think
I've agreed with a lot, since most of the time there's been like 100 posts since the last time I was online, and so I'm just showing which side of the argument I'm on.

But I kind of think it's gkrieg.

PPE:1
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:05:29 pm
Would like to get some opinions on ashersky.

I am playing this game as IC now by the way, so I won't post reads for most of the time. Please answer my question if I have them. Not sharing my reads will also help because scum won't know what I'll do tonight.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:05:49 pm
gkrieg, I want you to claim now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 24, 2015, 05:08:53 pm
I'm a VT
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 05:12:36 pm
Would like to get some opinions on ashersky

The way he pushed RR... - okay, if scum!ash decides to bus for once, I can see him going all out with it, like he did this game. But that's a stretch. I think for the last mafia, we probably should look elsewhere.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 24, 2015, 05:15:05 pm
His interaction with RR and Awa makes it basically inconceivable that he's a scumpartner, but there's really not much to say about him. 

Could you expand on this?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 24, 2015, 05:15:42 pm
I'm a VT

that's exactly what scum would claim!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 05:48:44 pm
His interaction with RR and Awa makes it basically inconceivable that he's a scumpartner, but there's really not much to say about him. 

Could you expand on this?
I don't think I can.  I may have to retract it. 

I wrote that on a piece of paper as I reread Joseph but now reading him once more I don't see why.
His interaction with RR, going back and forth a bit before settling on the vote, does actually read pretty much like genuine town rather than scum bussing.  So I guess that must have been most of why I wrote it.

He also gets into a few arguments with Awa about trivialities, it seems unlikely that scum partners would draw attention to themselves like that, but that's pretty weak.

OK no, call it an outright null on Joseph.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 05:58:29 pm
Ash-wise, I still can't read him.

He's just ash being standard aggressive ash, all game. 
The only thing I really got that seemed genuinely weird and scummy was when he says that hammering without discussion is scummy, despite having encouraged exactly that D1.  That's weakish I guess, but there you go.  I'm floundering (geddit) when it comes to ash.

Before I can really decide anything about ash I want him to give me his current assessment of me, please.  His behaviour towards me this game makes it very distracting for me to reread him, so I want to know whether he's standing firm on his position.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 24, 2015, 06:09:36 pm
Oh and vote: gkrieg.
I don't see anything in ash bad enough to make me want to vote him over gkrieg.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 25, 2015, 01:09:01 am
Vote Count 3.2

gkrieg (2): silverspawn, Haddock

not voting (5): ashersky, faust, gkrieg, Hydrad, Joseph

With 7 alive it takes 4 to lynch.
Day ends Tuesday, December 1st at 10 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2015, 04:04:48 am
Question: If gkrieg was scum here, would he make the following post in another thread?

too many games where scum gets lynched day 1 and wins...
Faust, gkrieg, and I make a power team. (although I think WW was close to being MVP - managing to survive with a guilty result on you takes some skill, no matter the circumstances)

We make a power team in the fact that I get bussed D1 and then win!

Should have claimed masons.

That is the only time I haven't died D1 as scum...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 25, 2015, 04:40:46 am
Question: If gkrieg was scum here, would he make the following post in another thread?


I think so, yes.

I'm less sure if he would just stop saying anything entirely in this thread, though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 07:25:19 am
Question: If gkrieg was scum here, would he make the following post in another thread?


I think so, yes.

I'm less sure if he would just stop saying anything entirely in this thread, though.
If it weren't such a dangerous spot we're in I'd be pushing to policy lynch him.  If silence is enough to evade a lynch all scum will do it.

But I agree scum!gkrieg might possibly be more talkative than this, getting a bit paranoid about my vote.  I still don't think I see a better candidate, that's the thing. 

Want to hear from ash re. me still.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 07:48:52 am
Reread of RR:

Day 1:
A lot of nothing.  It was a short day, but he didn't interact with anyone in a noticeable manner and was mostly self-focused.  Good day by scum!RR.

I'll note he was off-wagon and actually didn't vote for anyone the entire day.

Day 2:
At one point, called out for being overly afraid of being lynched at 2 votes.  Mentions that "Awaclus, faust, and probably others" are okay with his lynch.  So that's a partner mention and a Traitor mention.
Agrees with gkreig13 about gazelles.
Has some interaction with SS, mostly thinking SS is on his side when he wasn't.
Tells Joseph in thread that he's never been scum.
Mentions Awaclus's age.
Asks Joseph what else he should say.
At one point, when pointed out again that only three players are voting for him, says "Joseph? Awaclus?"
Wants to hear from Hydrad.
Agrees with gkrieg again, on Hydrad being a good lynch.
Interestingly, in his super long essay post, he never mentions anyone that isn't dead or an IC now.
Some interaction on scumminess of being defensive -- Joseph calls him out on it.
Hydrad asks RR if he thinks faust might be scum.
Calls Joseph sort of "meh" and would support the lynch.



Those are the interesting posts, to me, out of the 190 or so RR posted.  He did a good job of cluttering the thread as well.  Overall, not the worst scum performance ever.

His interactions with gkrieg feel partnerish, or white knightish.

Haddock is literally the only player he never names, votes, or mentions.  Best choice for a partner based on this re-read.

I'd go Haddock > Hydrad > gkrieg13 > Joseph from RR's posts.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2015, 08:03:54 am
Is anyone willing to do an Awaclus reread in a similar style?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 08:04:38 am
His interactions with gkrieg feel partnerish, or white knightish.

Haddock is literally the only player he never names, votes, or mentions.  Best choice for a partner based on this re-read.

I'd go Haddock > Hydrad > gkrieg13 > Joseph from RR's posts.
Not really an answer to my question, but close enough, in that you still find me scummy and I still don't really know why. The "RR never mentions me" thing is spectacularly weak, as you must know. 
But if we're going based on partner interaction, reread Awa next. His attitude to me is not partnery at all.

Ash is creeping up my scumregister. This kind of consistency is a scumtell.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2015, 08:06:47 am
Haddock is literally the only player he never names, votes, or mentions.  Best choice for a partner based on this re-read.

I also don't see a mention of you in the reread. Did you just leave that out?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 08:20:06 am
And Awaclus:

Day 1:
RVS votes SS
Hammers iguanaiguana

Nothing else of note.

Day 2:
In response to Haddock OMGUS voting me at the beginning of the day, write a fairly towny post (which is a confirmed scumtell for Awaclus).  He tells Haddock how to scumhunt based on D1, mentions gkrieg looking scummy.  Mentions RR is a good lynch.
Pretty normal argument between him and SS -- I don't think that's faked, so I am getting "not partner" vibes there.
Oh, and the simplified model argument, also saying "not partners" to me about SS.
Coaches RR for awhile.
A few interactions with Joseph, sort of like with SS, but way less.
Votes for RR for good points by yuma and SS.
Moves his vote to Haddock based on "something."  This should be classified as supporting the alternate wagon to his partner.  Makes Haddock less likely to be his partner, I think.
Says Haddock is the scummiest person alive.
Later says he wants to lynch Haddock, fine with lynching gkrieg13, also fine with Joseph.
Last post before hammering RR is to Haddock about faust scumslipping.
Some twilight interaction with Haddock on the "venge" thing.


I think Awaclus gives away a bit more info than RR, although it could be misinformation.  His lack of meaningful interaction with Joseph is most noticeable to me -- it started off the same as with SS on D2, but petered off much more quickly.

I was inclined to think Haddock was town up until the very end of D2 based on the re-read, mostly because he was the alternate wagon and Awaclus moved to it, but interestingly, Awaclus jumped off late and moved to faust, and pushed a faust scumslip argument that sucked, and had odd interactions with Haddock at the end.  That and how Haddock was basically just as hard to lynch as RR on D2 makes it seems possible we actually wagoned two scum.

As mentioned, I don't see SS as a possible partner at all.  He never mentions Hydrad ever.

So...man...Haddock > Joseph > Hydrad > gkrieg here.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 08:21:08 am
Haddock is literally the only player he never names, votes, or mentions.  Best choice for a partner based on this re-read.

I also don't see a mention of you in the reread. Did you just leave that out?

I left it out of the Awaclus re-read I just did, too -- just like I left out you and dead players, I'm not expending energy on players I know aren't scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 08:21:58 am
His interactions with gkrieg feel partnerish, or white knightish.

Haddock is literally the only player he never names, votes, or mentions.  Best choice for a partner based on this re-read.

I'd go Haddock > Hydrad > gkrieg13 > Joseph from RR's posts.
Not really an answer to my question, but close enough, in that you still find me scummy and I still don't really know why. The "RR never mentions me" thing is spectacularly weak, as you must know. 
But if we're going based on partner interaction, reread Awa next. His attitude to me is not partnery at all.

Ash is creeping up my scumregister. This kind of consistency is a scumtell.

That's a "cop me I'm a godfather" line if I've ever seen one.  Plus maintaining the OMGUS?

vote: Haddock
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 08:33:56 am
Votes of note for Awaclus:

Haddock on D1 "for no particular reason."  (Note gkrieg felt this was scummy.)
SS votes on D2 for his style of argumentation.
faust naked votes on D2.
SS naked revotes on D2.
WW naked votes on D2.

And that's it.  Interesting...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 08:39:24 am
Votes of note on RR:

Hydrad RVS votes on D1.
SS naked votes on D2.
SS votes with better reasoning later to make sure.
Joseph tentatively votes.
SS again.
Awaclus's vote based on yuma/SS arguments.
RR self-votes.
SS YET again.
SS revotes again.
Haddock votes, preferring him to yuma and saying he just seems to get scummier as time passes.
Haddock revotes for a missed vote in the vote count.
Joseph strongly prefers RR to Haddock, puts RR to L-1.
SS revotes ANOTHER TIME.
Awaclus hammers.


Man, SS voted for RR a lot.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 08:40:34 am
Voting patterns on scum point toward Haddock > gkrieg = Hydrad = Joseph.

Basically all four are scummy, with Haddock only slightly more so.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2015, 09:17:19 am
Okay. Haddock, would you maybe like to reread ash/RR and ash/Awaclus for potential partner interactions? Others could do that too.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 25, 2015, 10:13:44 am
Sorry guys. I got a little behind in this game and am trying to catch up when I can. Is ss likely to bus his partners?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 25, 2015, 11:06:56 am
@ash: I think haddock believably non-mafia slipped at the end of day 2

Now I have no idea. That could just be annoyed!RR getting our hopes up to spite us for mislynching him. Seems a bit unlikely.
RR also talks about claiming earlier in the day, as in " I won't claim even at L-1". Why say that as a Vt?

how much weight do you give this post?

I also get town vibes all over his posts. I can't see myself supporting a haddock lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 11:18:55 am
His interactions with gkrieg feel partnerish, or white knightish.

Haddock is literally the only player he never names, votes, or mentions.  Best choice for a partner based on this re-read.

I'd go Haddock > Hydrad > gkrieg13 > Joseph from RR's posts.
Not really an answer to my question, but close enough, in that you still find me scummy and I still don't really know why. The "RR never mentions me" thing is spectacularly weak, as you must know. 
But if we're going based on partner interaction, reread Awa next. His attitude to me is not partnery at all.

Ash is creeping up my scumregister. This kind of consistency is a scumtell.

That's a "cop me I'm a godfather" line if I've ever seen one.  Plus maintaining the OMGUS?

vote: Haddock

It's nothing like that.  I'm saying you can't cherrypick your data, which is what you're doing by finding me scummy based entirely on reading RR.  I mean come on, you don't expect to get anything useful out of rereading someone as all over the place as RR.

Also, saying that I'm OMGUSing is severely misleading.  I'm not voting you, I'm voting RR.  But yes, I find your determination to find me scummy based on no good case whatsoever a bit scummy.  Just not scummy enough to vote you right now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 11:19:29 am
His interactions with gkrieg feel partnerish, or white knightish.

Haddock is literally the only player he never names, votes, or mentions.  Best choice for a partner based on this re-read.

I'd go Haddock > Hydrad > gkrieg13 > Joseph from RR's posts.
Not really an answer to my question, but close enough, in that you still find me scummy and I still don't really know why. The "RR never mentions me" thing is spectacularly weak, as you must know. 
But if we're going based on partner interaction, reread Awa next. His attitude to me is not partnery at all.

Ash is creeping up my scumregister. This kind of consistency is a scumtell.

That's a "cop me I'm a godfather" line if I've ever seen one.  Plus maintaining the OMGUS?

vote: Haddock

It's nothing like that.  I'm saying you can't cherrypick your data, which is what you're doing by finding me scummy based entirely on reading RR.  I mean come on, you don't expect to get anything useful out of rereading someone as all over the place as RR.

Also, saying that I'm OMGUSing is severely misleading.  I'm not voting you, I'm voting RR.  But yes, I find your determination to find me scummy based on no good case whatsoever a bit scummy.  Just not scummy enough to vote you right now.
EBWOP.  I don't mean RR, of course.  I mean gkrieg.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 11:20:01 am
Okay. Haddock, would you maybe like to reread ash/RR and ash/Awaclus for potential partner interactions? Others could do that too.
This is a good idea.  I'll get to this later on tonight/today depending on your time zone.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 11:24:01 am
Voting patterns on scum point toward Haddock > gkrieg = Hydrad = Joseph.
I'm calling this completely invented until you give me a scum narrative for my vote on Awa. 

I can kinda see it with regards to my RR vote, but my random vote on Awa is towny in light of him being scum (Bad play from me, but towny bad play).  I don't see scum drawing attention to themselves like that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 11:33:06 am
Voting patterns on scum point toward Haddock > gkrieg = Hydrad = Joseph.
I'm calling this completely invented until you give me a scum narrative for my vote on Awa. 

I can kinda see it with regards to my RR vote, but my random vote on Awa is towny in light of him being scum (Bad play from me, but towny bad play).  I don't see scum drawing attention to themselves like that.

Your vote on Awaclus was the only notable one at all.  Basically, all analysis done on votes for the dead scum comes from votes for RR.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 11:53:51 am
Some twilight interaction with Haddock on the "venge" thing.

... and had odd interactions with Haddock at the end. 
That and how Haddock was basically just as hard to lynch as RR on D2 makes it seems possible we actually wagoned two scum.
The twilight interaction.  I'm sorry, but I don't see how you can possibly believe that that was faked.  I thought he was scummy as hell and he was.  I was pretty vocal about it.  Why would scum want to do that IN THE TWILIGHT?  There's just no need for it.  Scum might point out the scumminess, but the next day, surely.

Also, I was hard to lynch for the same reason as RR; I had an experienced player (faust for RR, SS for me) with a strong townread on me.  The only difference is that faust was wrong, SS is right.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 12:11:41 pm
Some twilight interaction with Haddock on the "venge" thing.

... and had odd interactions with Haddock at the end. 
That and how Haddock was basically just as hard to lynch as RR on D2 makes it seems possible we actually wagoned two scum.
The twilight interaction.  I'm sorry, but I don't see how you can possibly believe that that was faked.  I thought he was scummy as hell and he was.  I was pretty vocal about it.  Why would scum want to do that IN THE TWILIGHT?  There's just no need for it.  Scum might point out the scumminess, but the next day, surely.

Also, I was hard to lynch for the same reason as RR; I had an experienced player (faust for RR, SS for me) with a strong townread on me.  The only difference is that faust was wrong, SS is right.

It's fair to say that this is a tougher case to make than the one on Joseph, for example.  Partly I am concerned because I had a scum read on you earlier in D2, but had a better case on RR so went with that, and I don't want to ignore that.

You may think I did my rereads to find you scummy, instead of finding you scummy due to rereads.  I promise I did not, although you have no reason to believe me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 12:15:53 pm
It's fair to say that this is a tougher case to make than the one on Joseph, for example.  Partly I am concerned because I had a scum read on you earlier in D2, but had a better case on RR so went with that, and I don't want to ignore that.

You may think I did my rereads to find you scummy, instead of finding you scummy due to rereads.  I promise I did not, although you have no reason to believe me.
Well, fair enough. 

I still think there's a small possibility that the first is true, and that therefore this is coming from a scummy place.  But it's only a small possibility.
Right now I still think gkrieg is the best lynch, but obviously there's no hurry.  If we mislynch today and get unlucky with night kills we can potentially get to an unwinnable spot.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 25, 2015, 01:25:17 pm
It's fair to say that this is a tougher case to make than the one on Joseph, for example.  Partly I am concerned because I had a scum read on you earlier in D2, but had a better case on RR so went with that, and I don't want to ignore that.

You may think I did my rereads to find you scummy, instead of finding you scummy due to rereads.  I promise I did not, although you have no reason to believe me.
Well, fair enough. 

I still think there's a small possibility that the first is true, and that therefore this is coming from a scummy place.  But it's only a small possibility.
Right now I still think gkrieg is the best lynch, but obviously there's no hurry.  If we mislynch today and get unlucky with night kills we can potentially get to an unwinnable spot.
I agree that there's no need to rush today.

For me, the scum player is most likely gkrieg or Hydrad, for being off-wagon on such a difficult lynch. I'm leaning towards gkrieg as scum.

I'm also getting a feeling that Haddock isn't just VT- there's just something about his posts that makes me think he has extra information. That would lean me towards him maybe being SK (there's not a 2nd vig, right?)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 25, 2015, 01:28:38 pm
right, Hydrad. Hydrad is there too

so it's RR - Awaclus - gkrieg/Hydrad/Joseph

I would guess not so much communication then
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 25, 2015, 01:29:29 pm
uh gkrieg seems alright. it would surprise me if every scum member in the game was on RR when he was that hard to lynch.

that's actually a good point
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 25, 2015, 01:30:59 pm
vote: yuma

L-1 I believe

there's also this

kind of has to be gkrieg, really
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 25, 2015, 01:39:15 pm
hydrad reread gives me town vibes, too
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 25, 2015, 01:40:01 pm
most notably the 'let's just lynch RR so we can go on' which I think is not a smart or pro town thing to say, but a towny thing.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 25, 2015, 01:51:48 pm
vote: yuma

L-1 I believe

there's also this

kind of has to be gkrieg, really

I was already voting for yuma at that point.  It was a fake L-1 to attract a hammer.  I wanted to see if anyone would go for the hammer.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 25, 2015, 01:53:18 pm
To people who know ss better than me: Would ss bus his partners?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 01:58:44 pm
To people who know ss better than me: Would ss bus his partners?

Eh.  He's generally in favor of my stance of not bussing.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 25, 2015, 02:03:17 pm
Ok I'll take him off the list. So we have Haddock/ash/Hydrad/Joseph

Right now Haddock looks scummiest to me.  I'll vote: Haddock.

I'll look at Hydrad Joseph and ash later if I have time.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 25, 2015, 02:03:58 pm
I don't think it's ash so that leaves me Haddock/Hydrad/Joseph
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 25, 2015, 02:19:23 pm
switching to vote: Hydrad.  He was offwagon for the RR lynch but also Awaclus mentions everyone still relevant except for Hydrad.  Awaclus doesn't seem like the person to go for both of his partners hard, like he did for Haddock and RR.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 25, 2015, 02:20:28 pm
- like/be fine to lynch
- don't like but would lynch over a no-lynch
- will oppose lynching no matter what

I don't think any of those is an accurate description. I'm almost certain RR is town, so I would rather lynch someone else, but I also think that RR is a decent lynch regardless and better than no lynch for sure.

I want to lynch Haddock.

I'm fine with lynching gkrieg.

I don't like lynching yuma, but would lynch over a no-lynch I guess.

I'm also fine with Joseph.

Forgot to post the quote
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 25, 2015, 02:23:49 pm
vote: yuma

L-1 I believe

there's also this

kind of has to be gkrieg, really

I was already voting for yuma at that point.  It was a fake L-1 to attract a hammer.  I wanted to see if anyone would go for the hammer.

oh, right
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 25, 2015, 02:26:29 pm
Hydrad is the "too obvious to be scum" scum candidate right now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2015, 02:44:30 pm
I don't think it's ash so that leaves me Haddock/Hydrad/Joseph

Why do you think that?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 25, 2015, 03:04:38 pm
I don't think it's ash so that leaves me Haddock/Hydrad/Joseph

Why do you think that?

It can't be you. I feel ash has been towny the whole game. If ss doesn't bus then it can't be him.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 06:14:35 pm
Unofficial vote count (Just to help me keep track of things)

gkrieg: ss, Haddock (2)
Haddock: ash (1)
Hydrad: gkrieg (1)

Not voting: Joseph, Hydrad, faust.

Hydrad, we definitely need more from you I think. 
(I don't think he's posted since this:
I'm not the vig!

And not scum!

who is scum?

uh gkrieg seems alright. it would surprise me if every scum member in the game was on RR when he was that hard to lynch.
)

Ash/rr and Ash/Awa rereads happening now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 25, 2015, 07:13:47 pm
Compilation of RR's posts involving Ash:

Ashersky, we've been over this. Killing me because I'm hotheaded is not the way to go.
PPE 2
I think he votes Ash somewhere in here.
Ashersky is out for my blood though, and people are just going to vote for me because they want a lynch.
...
Now we watch Yuma and Ashersky (with a dash of Awaclus) pick my post apart not cause they think it's scummy, but simply because they can and they want a lynch. And with no Iguana to blindly go after, they hit up the next animal.

Ashersky: Ashersky is like, evil. He wants my head and at any price. He's Yuma general to command the sheep, and is trying to get in the spotlight, I don't know why. Maybe he feeds on attention (like me, sort of)?

I want to hear from SS Ashersky and Yuma. I imagine they're happy that I can't talk, even when I flip town.

How about you guys ignore Ashersky's commanding voice and think for yourselves?

OK, I can't see Ash-RR as partners, based on this.
Ash's approach to RR is hyperaggressive, as I would probably expect.  His thing where he insists that everyone not voting for RR must vote for him, etc. etc.  I can kinda believe that kind of superbold bussing from Ash, but it would be planned, and so RR would probably not be quite so annoyed about Ash's votes etc. on him.  The annoyance reads genuine to me.

I will go to bed now, no time to do Awa/Ash;  for now I still think scumpartner is gkrieg or Hydrad as the offwagoners.


Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: 2.71828..... on November 25, 2015, 08:08:48 pm
Vote Count 3.3

gkrieg (2): silverspawn, Haddock
Haddock (1): ashersky
Hydrad (1): gkrieg

not voting (3): faust, Hydrad, Joseph

With 7 alive it takes 4 to lynch.
Day ends Tuesday, December 1st at 10 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 25, 2015, 08:50:06 pm
Hydrad, Joseph, I want you to place your votes (you shouldn't hammer though).
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 25, 2015, 09:20:27 pm
I'm here now!

Vote: gkrieg Thats L-1
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 25, 2015, 09:21:47 pm
also I was going to say it feels weird how everyone seems ok with gkrieg and that not much resistance is there. But then I realized theres no other scum to resist if we ever do find scum. I'm not used to having only 1 scum left with this many people leftover.

And yes I realize SK is still here i just mean no scum team anymore.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 26, 2015, 04:26:44 am
No hammering right now, please. First I want to know what people think: should we discuss who Faust shoots? Even if its just as simple as Faust picking a target and announcing. As far as I can tell there's nothing scum can do it stop it, it just means we get the info if he hits the SK and if the SK is bulletproof.  So we may as well have the info in case its relevant.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2015, 05:08:34 am
No hammering right now, please. First I want to know what people think: should we discuss who Faust shoots? Even if its just as simple as Faust picking a target and announcing. As far as I can tell there's nothing scum can do it stop it, it just means we get the info if he hits the SK and if the SK is bulletproof.  So we may as well have the info in case its relevant.

Scum has a roleblocker.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 26, 2015, 05:21:49 am
Crap, so they do.

So we'll never know whether your target was SK or not because of the roleblock.  Dang.

OK it doesn't really matter then I guess. 

What are your thoughts re. gkrieg though, faust?  If you have doubts I can unvote, I guess we're kinda risking a derphammer here.  (I don't think its massively likely but it's possible.)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2015, 05:26:50 am
I am fine with the game state as it is. I do not wish to share my reads.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 26, 2015, 06:15:19 am
I feel like it's more important to figure out whether scum!gkieg would lurk like this than it is to do rereads

unfortunately, gkrieg seems to be both VLA and sick, so how much of an alignment tell is it really?

he could have legitimately given up. even if he doesn't get lynched today, he'd probably not win the game

there's this weird thing where town!gkrieg has almost more responsibility towards his alignment than mafia!gkrieg, because for town this lynch is essential. Basically the opposite from what we have normally.

I'll try to go back and find a game where scum!gkrieg was about to be lynched
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 26, 2015, 06:35:36 am
hm, the only game I found was sss mafia. he got lynched day1 there - he barely defended himself, instead pushed me for what I felt were weak points.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 26, 2015, 06:42:24 am
Vote Count 3.4

gkrieg (3): silverspawn, Haddock, Hydrad {L-1}
Haddock (1): ashersky
Hydrad (1): gkrieg

not voting (2): faust, Joseph

With 7 alive it takes 4 to lynch.
Day ends Tuesday, December 1st at 10 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 26, 2015, 06:56:17 am
I'm worried this is too easy.

Joseph needs more scrutiny, maybe.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 26, 2015, 07:40:16 am
he barely defended himself, instead pushed me for what I felt were weak points.
This is a bit like what he's doing this game.

Nevertheless, I agree with ash, this might be a bit too easy.

I think Hydrad needs extra scrutiny more than Joseph does right now, I'm really not sold on the idea of the last partner being on the wagon.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 26, 2015, 08:48:29 am
my gut agrees with it feeling too easy, but my logic does not. why would a mislynch feel easier than a real lynch? the only difference is that gkrieg would probably be on the mislynch wagon, whereas whoever the mislynch guy is might not necessarily be on the gkrieg wagon

that's not much, really.

but taking a closer look at Joseph is advisable anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 26, 2015, 08:51:07 am
my gut agrees with it feeling too easy, but my logic does not. why would a mislynch feel easier than a real lynch? the only difference is that gkrieg would probably be on the mislynch wagon, whereas whoever the mislynch guy is might not necessarily be on the gkrieg wagon

that's not much, really.

but taking a closer look at Joseph is advisable anyway.

Your logic is right, too.

Any lynch, correct or not, can only have one scum on it anyway, and it won't be a bus.  So all lynches should be the same difficulty to get through, all other things considered.

The "too hard to get the lynch through" argument is built on partners not bussing.  That's not a factor here.

So I retract that statement.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 26, 2015, 11:56:35 am
The easy lynch isn't always a bad one, see Edmund's lynch in M69, which was easy, because everyone thought he was scum. On the other hand, think we should evaluate all options before lynching. We've got time, might as well use it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2015, 12:43:00 pm
The easy lynch isn't always a bad one, see Edmund's lynch in M69, which was easy, because everyone thought he was scum. On the other hand, think we should evaluate all options before lynching. We've got time, might as well use it.

Start evaluating then!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 26, 2015, 01:20:01 pm
The easy lynch isn't always a bad one, see Edmund's lynch in M69, which was easy, because everyone thought he was scum. On the other hand, think we should evaluate all options before lynching. We've got time, might as well use it.

Start evaluating then!
I will if people wait until tomorrow or Saturday.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 26, 2015, 06:43:47 pm
gkrieg, you have 12 hours to post somethng meaningful. Otherwise I will hammer.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Hydrad on November 26, 2015, 06:44:38 pm
woo. sounds like fun!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: gkrieg13 on November 26, 2015, 10:43:21 pm
I'm town.  The scummy things I have done are not voting for scum!RR, who I thought was town!RR.  I think he played a great game and he had me fooled. 

Other things people are giving me scum points for:

yuma says I'm scummy D-2 but doesn't give any backing for it.  Ok he does later but it's because I made a post trying to look townie.  The post that he is referring to is the one where I share my reactions/reads to the flurry of votes that happened at the beginning of D-2.  If you go back and look at that post, it doesn't look like it is just trying to look townie. 

I have a lot of unexplained votes D-2.  I have been sick since last Tuesday and had tons of schoolwork coming up to the Thanksgiving break.  I spent a ton of time sleeping when I would usually be posting on the forum.

My vote on Hydrad.  Hydrad was super lurking at this point.  It is never scummy to put a pressure vote on someone who is super lurking so they come out of their cave and help town win the game.  You can't have reads on super-lurkers until they post.  I'll also point out that my repeated voting for Hydrad is because my first vote didn't get counted and then I forgot the colon.  I did like the emphasis it put on it though.

I put a fake L-1 on yuma.  This can hardly be looked at as scummy.  I wanted to look for reactions and maybe even a fake hammer.  I think my fake vote definitely created a lot of discussion and was towny.  Haddock's reaction to that looked similar to his reaction to faust getting a wagon on him in GOP mafia. 

Haddock and I have an argument over whether I have been helpful or not.  I agree that unexplained votes are unhelpful, but they are more helpful than not voting at all.  That is just what I had time for this past week.

SS does a reread of me and says that I look bad, but doesn't explain the reasons. I'm then asked to respond to the case by faust.  I'm not sure how you respond to the case that you look bad...  If ss wants to explain further I will respond. 

Quote from: Haddock
Gkrieg:  ~35 posts
I actually reread gkrieg first, and had the energy to put most of his posts into categories of some kind or another.
Of the 35 or so posts, I had
9 in "Meaningless",
2 in "Odd/Misleading questions",
3 in "Fighting the RR lynch",
5 in "Completely unexplained votes".

In terms of broader subcategories, that puts fully 2/3 of his posts in one I'd call "Generally unhelpful".  When called out for this he came up with just one or two fairly weak reasons for his behaviour, none of which he'd mentioned before.

He makes several jokes about things (things that definitely are not scummy) being scummy.  Strongly antitown behaviour.  Then accuses Hydrad of being antitown for no reason.  The irony.

Has been pretty consistent in his vote the entire game.  He's only voted for me, yuma and faust.  At any point.  This consistency of behaviour, combined with the rest, amounts to my having a pretty darn strong scumread on gkrieg.

Oh and his wagon positioning is fairly bad as well.

I don't understand what the bolded part means. 
Can you point me to the jokes that I make?  I didn't see them when reading through.  I don't see how making jokes is "Strongly antitown behaviour.  You would have to lynch several people every game if it were. 
Consistency of votes can be scummy.  I honestly just haven't followed the game close enough to have better reads.  Haddock lies in saying that I have only voted for him, yuma, and faust.  At that point I had voted for him, yuma, faust, II, and Hydrad.  I had specifically been found scummy for the Hydrad votes so I'm surprised he left those out of his reread. 

I don't think my wagon positioning is bad D1.  I already explained my voting D2 in this post. 

The last thing people are finding me scummy for is "trying to put the attention on other people".  This is the worst argument.  I know I'm town.  I know that at least one person pushing my lynch is not town.  My job as town is not only to convince other people that I'm town, but to find the last scum and the SK.  Just by peoples' reactions to me, I'm trying to figure that out.  I'm not trying to shift the focus, I'm scumhunting. 

I'm pretty sure I got everything, but there are obviously some things I might have missed.  Hopefully you see that I'm town and I don't need to have my first mislynch (I think) this game.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 04:04:30 am
I put a fake L-1 on yuma.  This can hardly be looked at as scummy.  I wanted to look for reactions and maybe even a fake hammer.  I think my fake vote definitely created a lot of discussion and was towny.  Haddock's reaction to that looked similar to his reaction to faust getting a wagon on him in GOP mafia. 
I'm not sure I buy the attracting-a-false-hammer thing.  But in reality that L-1 thing might be one of the towniest things you have going for you; L-1 is probably the most conspicuous vote you can make, why would scum draw attention like that? 
I wasn't in GOP mafia.  You might be talking about Switch except that faust died D1, and I have no memory of anything like that happening...


Quote from: Haddock
Gkrieg:  ~35 posts
I actually reread gkrieg first, and had the energy to put most of his posts into categories of some kind or another.
Of the 35 or so posts, I had
9 in "Meaningless",
2 in "Odd/Misleading questions",
3 in "Fighting the RR lynch",
5 in "Completely unexplained votes".

In terms of broader subcategories, that puts fully 2/3 of his posts in one I'd call "Generally unhelpful".  When called out for this he came up with just one or two fairly weak reasons for his behaviour, none of which he'd mentioned before.

He makes several jokes about things (things that definitely are not scummy) being scummy.  Strongly antitown behaviour.  Then accuses Hydrad of being antitown for no reason.  The irony.

Has been pretty consistent in his vote the entire game.  He's only voted for me, yuma and faust.  At any point.  This consistency of behaviour, combined with the rest, amounts to my having a pretty darn strong scumread on gkrieg.

Oh and his wagon positioning is fairly bad as well.

I don't understand what the bolded part means. 
The bolded part refers to this post of yours:
How have I been unhelpful?  I voted Hydrad to get him participating again, I voted yuma because I think he is scummier between yuma/RR, and Haddock had a scummy moment to start the day, took some pressure and disappeared, then reappeared.  I've also been sick this week so I've been doing a lot of sleeping during my usual forum time.
You only make this explanation when called out. 
Your vote on Hydrad had been unexplained up until this point, and "to get him participating again" is the easiest reason you can give for voting someone as scum. 
You also accuse me of disappearing, which is at the very least extremely misleading; I'd actually posted about 3 posts earlier, and even if that was PPE I had been posting pretty actively all the way up until that point.  Maybe less actively than some, but more than most.  Your reasons for pushing me there look extremely opportunistic.

Can you point me to the jokes that I make?  I didn't see them when reading through.  I don't see how making jokes is "Strongly antitown behaviour.  You would have to lynch several people every game if it were. 
Joke may be the wrong word.  They are just little side comments that push suspicion onto people for no good reason.  Like this:
@Haddock: Do you have town reads on anybody?
and this:
Well voting for someone should mean at least a little teensy tiny smidge that you want to lynch someone

Consistency of votes can be scummy.  I honestly just haven't followed the game close enough to have better reads.  Haddock lies in saying that I have only voted for him, yuma, and faust.  At that point I had voted for him, yuma, faust, II, and Hydrad.  I had specifically been found scummy for the Hydrad votes so I'm surprised he left those out of his reread. 

I don't think my wagon positioning is bad D1.  I already explained my voting D2 in this post. 
Hydrad I legitimately missed, and I have no idea why.  That's on me, and I apologise.

But I was intentionally not counting your Igu vote because you later claimed it was RVS, so I figured you'd want it struck from the record, particularly since that wagon ended up mislynching. 
On which note, yes your wagon positioning is bad D1.  Sure, so was a lot of people's, but that doesn't absolve it.

Still, this post of yours looks fairly good.  I'll keep thinking, but you need to present some reads on some people other than me, otherwise you really can't claim to be scumhunting.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 04:29:03 am
Full reread of Hydrad:

#1 - /in (pre-game)

Day 1:
#2 - fluff
#3 - joke
#4 - RVS votes WW
#5 - RVS votes RR
#6 - flavor joke
#7 - Awaclus joke

Day 2:
#8 - joke
#9 - supportive of a Haddock post
#10 - says RR feels town, includes self-aware joke about him turning out to be scum
#11 - response to yuma about RR backpedaling, says he wouldn't have done that
#12 - tells Joseph we have never seen scum RR
#13 - quick post to say RR is still town
#14 - fluff
#15 - calls a post by yuma interesting/good point on RR
#16 - fluff about SS
#17 - finds Haddock slightly scummy, based on Haddock being scum in his first game
#18 - agrees he himself is an okay lynch based on inactivity (as stated by RR)
#19 - reason for lurking (job)
#20 - says he is unsure between yuma and RR
#21 - reads post; says gkrieg and RR are towny, faust/ss/yuma/ash/ww are null, joseph/awaclus also kinda null, haddock as only scum read
#22 - says he doesn't like the list, will re-read
#23 - asks Awaclus what his reasons were for voting Haddock
#24 - joke
#25 - gives his thoughts on yuma (in response to RR), basically hedges hardcore
#26 - talks about RR, says yuma's made a good case, still leans townish but might be talking himself into a lynch
#27 - response to RR, says the speech gave him towny vibes, something about gut vs. logic, keeping himself open to the option to vote
#28 - says he wants to trust his gut more
#29 - votes for Haddock
#30 - odd post about answering for others, something about faust's frustrations
#31 - responds to Haddock's response to his vote, calls his vote unfair but wants it somewhere, still hedging on yuma vs. RR
#32 - says working is why he's lurking
#33 - says he's looking forward to RR's next speech
#34 - points out that RR hasn't been seen as scum, so the defensiveness isn't a sure meta tell
#35 - asks RR if he considers faust an IC
#36 - comforts RR about not knowing his own meta well
#37 - asks about the godfather scumslip thing
#38 - explains the the godfather scumslip thing (oddly, as he had asked about it in his last post) to RR
#39 - fluff
#40 - fluff
#41 - believes yuma's claim, happy there's a Haddock wagon, would lynch RR over yuma
#42 - would also lynch gkrieg
#43 - says he doesn't want to lynch RR, but would to avoid no lynch; doesn't want to lynch yuma, wants to lynch gkrieg and Haddock
#44 - in response to faust's vote on yuma about targets, says he moves yuma into equal footing with RR
#45 - says he's willing to lynch RR anyway now for info, surprised haddock wagon got momentum
#46 - twilight post, confused about RR
#47 - twilight post, think RR said he's scum to make people happy, is still town
#48 - twilight post, finally sees RR is scum, tells him he did well

Day 3:
#49 - fluff, says good job yuma
#50 - says "so an SK and death eater" are all that's left
#51 - votes for faust, no reason given
#52 - says first instinct is bus driver being why yuma is dead
#53 - says he likes the faust lynch but doesn't want a short day
#54 - unvote
#55 - claims not-vig, says gkrieg could be the scum, expect scum off-wagon
#56 - puts gkrieg at L-1
#57 - points out that it felt weird that the gkrieg lynch is easy, but realized there are no partners to resist
#58 - fluff
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 04:31:01 am
So...he was fairly consistent throughout about how he felt about RR...thing is, man, it doesn't really feel like a scum partner talking.  If anything, it's more like they're dating or something.

His flip flop on Haddock is odd to me -- he was supportive of Haddock in #9, then pushed him all day as the alternative to RR.  Little to no interaction with Awaclus at all.  His willingness to vote gkrieg on D2 and D3 aren't based on anything he's said.

I felt like there were some usual town!Hydrad posts, but overall he's not looking great.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 04:31:54 am
I put a fake L-1 on yuma.  This can hardly be looked at as scummy.  I wanted to look for reactions and maybe even a fake hammer.  I think my fake vote definitely created a lot of discussion and was towny.  Haddock's reaction to that looked similar to his reaction to faust getting a wagon on him in GOP mafia. 
...
I wasn't in GOP mafia.  You might be talking about Switch except that faust died D1, and I have no memory of anything like that happening...
Right, sorry I follow.  You're talking about my supposed whiteknighting of faust in switch, right?  Whelp, that wasn't whiteknighting, it was just a weird thing, my first game.  I even talked about it after the game, and I think I would have done the same weird thing as town.

In any case, that was completely different to this.  This was well into D2, and you'd put somebody at what I thought was L-1, very soon after they'd claimed.  Trying to avoid derphammers is protown, particularly when there's still discussion to be done, particularly particularly when the person being voted for ends up being a town PR.  I mean seriously, why would scum react the way I did there?  Either they'd "hammer", which is what you claim you were pulling for, or they'd just wait, shut up and hope a lynch went through on yuma.

PPE.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 04:52:36 am
Hmm.  While I'm still not sold on town!gkrieg, I'm no longer sure enough that he's scum to be comfortable with him at L-1.
unvote.

Ash, that's a great reread, thankyou.   :)  Looking at that I probably agree Hydrad's not looking great, but I think the interaction with RR is unlikely partner interaction when I see it.  I mean, congratulating a good scum game and consolation?  If you're scum, don't you just put that in the QT for RR to read later?  It's not something I can see scum faking for town points either; I don't think that would even occur to me as scum.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 27, 2015, 05:17:59 am
Hydrad is towny I think

maybe it's Joseph. I'll try to look more into him soon-ish

gkrieg's speach is sort of towny, but he did have a lot of time to do it and it's fairly long and prepared and so... we gotta give scum!him some credit. not sure

but it does make me feel a bit worse about the lynch
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 06:19:22 am
Joseph has 37 posts:

#1 - /in

Day 1:
#2 - RVS votes yuma
#3 - votes me for saying hider should claim
#4 - Twilight post, fluff

Day 2:
#5 - Agrees with my point about SS not reading the flavor being scummy.
#6 - Joke
#7 - Fluff
#8 - Doesn't think Haddock lynch is a good idea.
#9 - yuma joke
#10 - votes RR for saying things are personal even though they aren't
#11 - says hammering town early on D1 was scummy
#12 - arguing a bit with Awaclus about hammering town as any alignment
#13 - joke
#14 - asks if RR has been scum a lot after a post of his reminded him of how he would be as scum
#15 - agrees with me that RR should stay saying "don't lynch me"
#16 - says he's rereading
#17 - sort of agrees with me that RR might have pulled the self-vote trigger early, votes faust as scummier of those involved
#18 - points out Hydrad had posted so prod is useless
#19 - responds to a few posts, including liking a yuma argument against RR, slight town read on WW, and thinking faust and I are crazy enough to pull a gambit
#20 - moving closer to okay with RR lynch, still thinks faust is scummier
#21 - joke regarding faust voting him
#22 - asks faust why he's frustrated with him
#23 - says he's busy IRL with work
#24 - time zone sleep talk
#25 - gives scum reads as RR, Hydrad, Haddock
#26 - says RR sounds like scum!him when he was new
#27 - sees the RR defensiveness as scummy
#28 - posts to avoid prod
#29 - votes yuma for "odd" claim, lists yuma and RR as scummier than Haddock now, still thinks RR is scummy
#30 - unvotes after yuma's full claim, prefers RR to Haddock and puts RR to L-1
#31 - time fluff

Day 3:
#32 - Not a vig, assumes faust is town, sort of sees last mafia as hydrad or gkrieg based on wagon analysis done by ash
#33 - Assumes last mafia was off-wagon due to difficulty of lynching RR
#34 - Responds to a Haddock reread, doesn't really disagree, reiterates that he thinks gkrieg is the scum
#35 - Agrees that there is no need to rush, says he thinks final mafia is in gkrieg or Hydrad, thinks Haddock is more than VT
#36 - Says easy lynch isn't always a bad one
#37 - Says will do more this weekend
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 06:19:34 am
I'm pretty sure #30 means he's not RR's partner.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 27, 2015, 06:27:24 am
hm
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 06:46:01 am
SS, you may have answered this question before, but I need help here; what do you think of ash?
I really am lost when it comes to reading him, and you've been around a while.  Loving his rereads, but I could see scum!ash going to that sort of trouble to appear towny.
I honestly don't know at this point.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 27, 2015, 06:57:51 am
SS, you may have answered this question before, but I need help here; what do you think of ash?
I really am lost when it comes to reading him, and you've been around a while.  Loving his rereads, but I could see scum!ash going to that sort of trouble to appear towny.
I honestly don't know at this point.
well - honestly, he's probably the SK. This game reminds me a lot of best!game!ever!silo!mafia where ash was the SK and also put a ton of effort into catching the last scum

But his analysis that game was completely genuine and accurate and we caught the final scum with it, so I don't have doubts that the above rereads are similarly genuine, and hopefully accurate. both town!ash and SK!ash would be genuine here.

seeing him as the final mafia, I have a lot more problems with. Sure, this could be the one game where he decides to bus for once, but... more likely it's not. Also, I sorta feel like if ash was in the team, the mafia team would have worked out... well, better. It feels like mafia is just crashing and burning here.

all of that said, I'm not good at reading him either. I think faust might be.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 27, 2015, 07:57:43 am
Vote Count 3.5

gkrieg (2): silverspawn, Hydrad
Haddock (1): ashersky
Hydrad (1): gkrieg

not voting (3): faust, Joseph, Haddock

With 7 alive it takes 4 to lynch.
Day ends Tuesday, December 1st at 10 p.m.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: EFHW on November 27, 2015, 08:19:53 am
The owls came again trying to deliver the mail, but were once again scared away by the magic of the Arch.  One owl dropped a cylindrical package that landed on Lupin’s head and fell to the floor.  He picked it up and unrolled it.  It was the latest issue of The Quibbler and these were the headlines:

“Singer Stubby Boardman missing and presumed dead”
"Scandal afield! Rumors flying that golden snitch actually pyrite!"
"New Muggle-Wizard Business Partnership Launches First
Spell-powered Car Prototype for Mass Production" 

Lupin exclaimed, "What in the name of Godric Gryffindor? Of course the Snitch isn't made of pyrite, it's made of a high-quality spell-iminium, it's the only substance that can contain the power of the charms it has to have on it! Everybody knows that, seriously." He tossed the paper aside disdainfully.  "This is NOT the time."  Luna came over and picked up the magazine, tenderly smoothing it out and checking for bent pages.  "Never mind Professor, I'll take it. Daddy said this issue would have some astounding news.  Wait until he hears about the Death Eater impersonating Stubby Boardman!"
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 12:20:32 pm
SS, you may have answered this question before, but I need help here; what do you think of ash?
I really am lost when it comes to reading him, and you've been around a while.  Loving his rereads, but I could see scum!ash going to that sort of trouble to appear towny.
I honestly don't know at this point.
well - honestly, he's probably the SK. This game reminds me a lot of best!game!ever!silo!mafia where ash was the SK and also put a ton of effort into catching the last scum

But his analysis that game was completely genuine and accurate and we caught the final scum with it, so I don't have doubts that the above rereads are similarly genuine, and hopefully accurate. both town!ash and SK!ash would be genuine here.

seeing him as the final mafia, I have a lot more problems with. Sure, this could be the one game where he decides to bus for once, but... more likely it's not. Also, I sorta feel like if ash was in the team, the mafia team would have worked out... well, better. It feels like mafia is just crashing and burning here.

all of that said, I'm not good at reading him either. I think faust might be.
Faust doesn't want to share his reads, so I'm happy to go with you.  He might be the SK, but we don't care about that right now.

Look, I think you're town, we think that ash isn't the partner, I don't think Hydrad or Joseph can be, really, there's too much unlikely interaction in their posts (thanks again ash).
It must be gkrieg, there's noone else left.
vote: gkrieg again.  Has to be right.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 12:21:07 pm
By "he" in my second sentence there I'm obviously referring to ash, though the first sentence might make you think I'm accusing faust of being SK (!!) :P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 27, 2015, 12:27:17 pm
The easy lynch isn't always a bad one, see Edmund's lynch in M69, which was easy, because everyone thought he was scum. On the other hand, think we should evaluate all options before lynching. We've got time, might as well use it.

Start evaluating then!
I will if people wait until tomorrow or Saturday.

It is tomorrow; you are not VLA and we have waited long enough.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 27, 2015, 03:27:54 pm
The easy lynch isn't always a bad one, see Edmund's lynch in M69, which was easy, because everyone thought he was scum. On the other hand, think we should evaluate all options before lynching. We've got time, might as well use it.

Start evaluating then!
I will if people wait until tomorrow or Saturday.

It is tomorrow; you are not VLA and we have waited long enough.
Finally actually free, so doing this now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 27, 2015, 03:34:19 pm
Vote Count 2.10

Roadrunner (6): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Haddock, Joseph, Awaclus
Haddock (3): Hydrad, gkrieg13, Witherweaver 
Joseph (1): faust
ashersky (1): Roadrunner

not voting (0):

With 11 players alive, it took 6 to lynch.

THREAD LOCKED


Let's see...of the three deaths, two were on wagon.  The vig or SK shot Awaclus, leaving mafia killing yuma or WW.

Of the off-wagon players, we have scum!RR, "vig" faust, Hydrad, gkrieg, and doctor!WW.

So yeah, I think it's likely scum was not voting RR.

Given that Awaclus hammered scum partner RR and that the lynch was so hard to get, I find it highly unlikely that the 3rd scum player was on-wagon as well. This leans me towards gkrieg/Hydrad as scum.

I'm saying the remaining mafia was off-wagon.
OK, we agree.  Just checking. 

The SK is best treated as town for scumhunting purposes, because they scumhunt just like us.  Also, SK hunting is scummy.
Is this an accusation? 
I'm not properly hunting anyone right at this moment, rather just trying to get a feel for the shape of things.  I completely agree we should get the last mafia before the SK.
I agree, so finding last mafia is 1st priority, then SK after that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 27, 2015, 03:47:59 pm
Reads:

faust: Claimed vig, not been counterclaimed, therefore is vig. So, don't lynch.
gkreig: Claimed VT. Off-wagon on RR lynch, getting scummy vibes. Seems like the easy lynch.
Hydrad: Off-wagon on RR lynch. Been lurky, but does that regardless of alignment, and more as town.
ss: Some slips (flavour & who voting for) that don't seem faked, so slight town read.
ash: Argued a lot with faust, although I thought ash made a lot of sense in it (RR did seem scummy to me after all). Also, if scum I think he probably would have counterclaimed faust. And I don't see him as a partner of RR. So, towny.
Haddock: Nice rereads #1228, but weird post (below) makes me think he's not town:
His interactions with gkrieg feel partnerish, or white knightish.

Haddock is literally the only player he never names, votes, or mentions.  Best choice for a partner based on this re-read.

I'd go Haddock > Hydrad > gkrieg13 > Joseph from RR's posts.
Not really an answer to my question, but close enough, in that you still find me scummy and I still don't really know why. The "RR never mentions me" thing is spectacularly weak, as you must know. 
But if we're going based on partner interaction, reread Awa next. His attitude to me is not partnery at all.

Ash is creeping up my scumregister. This kind of consistency is a scumtell.

That's a "cop me I'm a godfather" line if I've ever seen one.  Plus maintaining the OMGUS?

vote: Haddock

My reads now are gkreig > Haddock >> ss > ash >> faust- basically I'd only really support a gkreig or Haddock lynch.

I think gkrieg is almost certainly scum, and I don't agree that it's just too easy to lynch him. After all, if 4 people think he's scummy, then at least 2 town players do, and it doesn't seem that 2 town players think anyone else is scum. Lynching gkrieg seems like the best option IMO.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 27, 2015, 03:51:13 pm
Unofficial vote count
I think the vote count is currently:
Vote Count 3.5

gkrieg (2): silverspawn, Hydrad, Haddock
Haddock (1): ashersky
Hydrad (1): gkrieg

not voting (3): faust, Joseph

With 7 alive it takes 4 to lynch.
Day ends Tuesday, December 1st at 10 p.m.


I feel like I want to hammer, but not anytime soon, since I'd like people to comment on my posts/reads first.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 27, 2015, 03:53:33 pm
Joseph: Why do you think gkrieg is scum other than the fact that he was off the RR wagon?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 27, 2015, 04:08:18 pm
Joseph: Why do you think gkrieg is scum other than the fact that he was off the RR wagon?
RR wagon + Hydrad seems townier = scum!gkrieg

D1: He wasn't around for that quickhammer, not much to see there
D2:
I don't think RR has done anything scummy yet.  And people who try to lynch RR are always scum. 
Seems weird that he has to mention RR being not scum already.
#502: voted yuma (who was town)
#513: asks why RR is a good lynch
#607: Gut townread on RR
#712: votes Hydrad (and again #786)
#868: wants either Hydrad or Haddock lynch
#950: puts yuma at L-1
#970: votes Haddock

D3: #1182: votes faust (an okay move at the time, although he's now confirmed vig)
#1237: unvotes vig!faust
#1265: claims VT
#1287: asks about ss bussing
#1306: votes Haddock
#1307: lynchpool is Haddock/Hydrad/me
#1308: votes Hydrad
#1336: big post defending himself


In summary, he spent most of D2 defending RR and switching between other people, with inconsistencies as well (e.g. wanting Hydrad or Haddock lynched, but then deciding to put yuma at L-1)

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 27, 2015, 04:12:41 pm
Vote: gkrieg
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 27, 2015, 04:14:07 pm
Vote: gkrieg
That was hammer, right?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 27, 2015, 04:15:44 pm
Yep. Night falls on a weekend, which is best, and I thought the lynch was decided anyway. I'm fine with it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 27, 2015, 04:17:52 pm
I think this is good

if it is, we gotta hunt the SK next. ugh.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 04:21:42 pm
Yeah I'm fairly happy, if it wasn't gkrieg then someone has played a spectacular game.  Let's see what happens! 

Flipflipflip. :)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 27, 2015, 04:22:10 pm
flippityflippityflippityflippity  :D
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 04:49:21 pm
Hoping for the best, obviously.

Any thoughts on Vig shooting?  I think I laid this out, but...

6 alive heading into night...if we lynched town just now, 4 v 2 with the scum shooting at each other.  I'd say vig shouldn't shoot.  Scum could go for the vig, but seems risky.

If we lynched scum, we can afford a mislynch OR misvig.  I prefer a mislynch as a group.  I assume faust prefers a misvig.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 04:50:12 pm
So what's the chance faust is actually SK here?  I haven't run the possibilities fully with JK++.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 04:54:30 pm
3T or 4T only.  50% chance of SK.

PP guaranteed.  Assuming no other PRs are hiding...

PPKTTT means SK.

Plus, 3 kills means SK.  Duh.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 04:55:37 pm
Yeah, faust is 100% vig at this point.  If he's not, it's town's fault he's not caught.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 04:57:48 pm
Have to assume JOAT can kill and JOAT at the same time?  My read of the role is all 1-shots though, so it is possible the RB is gone.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 04:58:48 pm
If gkrieg is mafia, SK is probably BP, which means...probably not worth vigging.

One kill on N1 means WW saved someone, SK was RBed, or SK was shot.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 04:59:03 pm
3T or 4T only.  50% chance of SK.

PP guaranteed.  Assuming no other PRs are hiding...

PPKTTT means SK.

Plus, 3 kills means SK.  Duh.
I have no idea what you're calculating here.  But this is what we know.
3 kills means there is a vig and an SK, so we are:
TTTKPP, plus one other unknown letter.

And faust is unquestionably the vig, if someone has failed to counterclaim as the vig then they've just lost us the game, so I'm working on the assumption that that hasn't happened.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 05:00:03 pm
... so it is possible the RB is gone.
This point alone might make it worth it for faust to claim a target-if-he-shoots.  That way we know if it was the SK.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 05:00:49 pm
... so it is possible the RB is gone.
This point alone might make it worth it for faust to claim a target-if-he-shoots.  That way we know if it was the SK.
Some kind of system would be necessary, like faust will only shoot if gkrieg is scum, or something.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 05:04:17 pm
The mafiascum site sucks.

It says PPTTTTT would be Goon, Bus Driver, SK.  Are we assuming 2-Man mafia team then?  Or is the second goon just not listed?

If we have a Rolecop, given all the goons are dead, he's a full cop, btw.  So results would be useful.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 05:05:05 pm
Man, there's no way to account for 3 kills without a vig.  So yes, faust is definitely cleared.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 05:05:58 pm
Even with the final hidden town PR, that doesn't affect the 3 kills theorum, so we are safe.

I think Rolecop claims targets if they are alive.
I think no one else claims.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 27, 2015, 05:11:57 pm
The mafiascum site sucks.

It says PPTTTTT would be Goon, Bus Driver, SK.  Are we assuming 2-Man mafia team then?  Or is the second goon just not listed?

If we have a Rolecop, given all the goons are dead, he's a full cop, btw.  So results would be useful.

yeah, c9++ and this too have 2-scum teams if enough T's are rolled. Which is one reason why I very much prefer asher9++ over it.

I don't think the description is unclear though. I just don't agree with it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 27, 2015, 05:12:35 pm
Okay, yeah, I guess everyone can consider claiming investigative results.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 05:15:21 pm
I would sort of assume that anyone who had caught scum would have said something by now.  I only point out that Role Cop vanilla results would be useful if they are on someone alive in case someone who hasn't been paying attention needed reminding.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 05:16:30 pm
If there's a tracker -- track whomever you think is most likely to live, not who you think is most likely scum.  You can easily figure out why this is the best plan.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 05:26:12 pm
I want the flip, but I really want faust to come back first and tell us who (if anyone) he's going to shoot in the two possible situations, ie. gkrieg town or gkrieg scum.

I see no reason not to do it and it's potentially gamewinning...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 27, 2015, 05:29:32 pm
I want the flip, but I really want faust to come back first and tell us who (if anyone) he's going to shoot in the two possible situations, ie. gkrieg town or gkrieg scum.

I see no reason not to do it and it's potentially gamewinning...

I see a reason not to do it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 27, 2015, 05:31:46 pm
OK.
If there's a reason I'm missing to not do it that's fine.
I just hadn't had a response on it so far, wanted to make sure people were seeing the suggestion.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 27, 2015, 05:33:41 pm
well I don't see any reason for doing it, except for the one that discussing it further could prevent faust from making a mistake, which I don't think is a very good reason.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 05:34:18 pm
If the RB is still in play, announcing his target would tell mafia whether or not to block.  Now, he could WIFOM it, but why risk it?

(Hint: he's shooting me if he shoots.)

I think if we got scum here, it doesn't really matter, make sure to no lynch with 1 v 3 to get LYLO.  Scum shoots faust, faust shoot scum and we win or town and we no lynch to get to 1 v 2.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: ashersky on November 27, 2015, 05:35:34 pm
A mislynch here makes scum think -- go for the IC or the other scum?  SK probably has BP, so mafia probably kills faust.  Unless they both shoot the Sk...

So many possibilities!  EFHW must be excited.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 27, 2015, 05:37:37 pm
If the RB is still in play, announcing his target would tell mafia whether or not to block.  Now, he could WIFOM it, but why risk it?

(Hint: he's shooting me if he shoots.)

Why would I need to WIFOM anything if you do all the WIFOMing for me?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 3)
Post by: EFHW on November 27, 2015, 05:47:12 pm
Vote Count 3.final

gkrieg (4): silverspawn, Hydrad, Haddock, faust
Haddock (1): ashersky
Hydrad (1): gkrieg

not voting (1): Joseph

With 7 alive it took 4 to lynch.

Initially several people were very keen to make Mad Eye Moody cross the line, but once it became clear that it was he who had successfully identified Sirius as an imposter, Mad Eye became trusted among the group.  He took command, as he had been itching to do all along, being a former Head of the Auror Office.  People were saddened by the deaths of Hermione and Neville, but took heart at the death of Malfoy.  Some people thought Lupin could be the third Death Eater, but in the end they settled on Kingsley.  Kingsley, being universally liked and trusted in the wizarding community, was not an obvious choice at first, but his protection of the fake Harry and his uncharacteristic seeming lack of attention in general made people suspicious.  And they were right! It was Antonin Dolohov (aka gkrieg13), Death Eater Dueler who was sucked into the Death Arch.  Kingsley Shackelford had never been there at all.

Orders due Sat. 4 pm (I'm on planes most of Sunday, 5 hours ahead here) Day 4 to start at 5 p.m.


THREAD LOCKED
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: EFHW on November 28, 2015, 04:24:13 pm
After Dolohov had disappeared behind the curtain, there was a bright flash of white light, a really loud bang, and thick smoke came out of the Arch and took several moments to dissipate.  When their vision had cleared, the group saw Luna -- on the other side of the line.  Luna seemed ridiculously unconcerned about her impending death.  “Daddy says you can always tell a serial killer because wrackspurts won't go in their ears.  I think the Department of Mysteries has a room dedicated to studying wrackspurts - you just have to find it.  Don’t worry about me, I’ll be fine.” Tonks and Lupin exchanged incredulous looks.  At that very moment a dirigible plum appeared over her head.  She grabbed on just as everyone felt the familiar depression that always announced the arrival of the Dementers.  The Dementers were angry.  They wanted a victim.  So as she was spirited away Luna (aka ashersky) cried out “Expecto Patronum!” and her hare Patronus shot from her wand and chased away the Dementers.  A quickly fading “I’m a Member of the Order of the Phoenix” was the last they heard from her. 

“Since the Dementers came, I guess we know she really was in the Order,” said Professor McGonagall.   

“And Luna’s Patronus
is a hare,” added Ginny. (It remains inexplicable why none of them thought then or earlier to force everyone to produce their Patronuses to prove who they were.)

Vote Count 4.0

not voting (5): faust, Haddock, Hydrad, Joseph, silverspawn

With 5 alive, it takes 3 to lynch.
Day 4 ends Sunday, Dec. 6th at 4 p.m.

THREAD UNLOCKED
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 28, 2015, 04:58:09 pm
Interesting(TM). I am not dead for some reason.

I did not shoot ashersky, so that was the SK kill. We might want our last remaining PR to claim now. Thoughts?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 28, 2015, 05:45:18 pm
I have no idea how you're still alive, faust, but it's great news.

As for last PR claiming, yeah I think that's the best idea here, having two ICs sounds really good.  That way if we mislynch we still definitely have an IC tomorrow.

Sadly it is only an extra IC, my PR isn't amazingly useful in this situation.

I am the Vengeful.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:19:16 pm
wat. why would the SK shoot ash

he's crazy. I'd have gone after ash for the lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:21:47 pm
I have no idea how you're still alive, faust, but it's great news.

As for last PR claiming, yeah I think that's the best idea here, having two ICs sounds really good.  That way if we mislynch we still definitely have an IC tomorrow.

Sadly it is only an extra IC, my PR isn't amazingly useful in this situation.

I am the Vengeful.

that's the only bad news, because now my strongest town read is worthelss
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:22:12 pm
so it's Hydrad or Joseph.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:24:10 pm
Interesting(TM). I am not dead for some reason.

I did not shoot ashersky, so that was the SK kill. We might want our last remaining PR to claim now. Thoughts?

I did a bit of PR theorizing during the night. I think the chance for a protective role was only 20%, so it is weird.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:29:44 pm
So, there is one setup question left that I see

Assuming...

we lynch town today (-> 4)
faust shoots town in the night (-> 3)
SK kills faust in the night (-> 2)
SK and Haddock no-lynch (-> 2)

Night 5 starts with Haddock and the SK alive. What happens?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:37:34 pm
In this setup our wincon is worded as

Quote
Win condition: You win when all threats to the Order have been eliminated and there is at least one member of the Order of the Phoenix alive.

So the way I see it, either SK wins because he is the only player alive at the moment between vengeful's death and the return kill, or no-one wins.

EFHW, can you clarify this?

Anyway, doesn't look like town wins, so we just have to lynch/kill the SK.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 28, 2015, 06:44:25 pm
wat. why would the SK shoot ash

he's crazy. I'd have gone after ash for the lynch.
I can only think he assumed that the last PR was a doctor and would protect faust.  But in light of this:
I did a bit of PR theorizing during the night. I think the chance for a protective role was only 20%, so it is weird.
That might implicate a newish player, outthinking themselves?  (I make it only 10%, by the way, it's just the same as the chance of rolling a single P, which is (75-65)/100=10%...)


So, there is one setup question left that I see

Assuming...

we lynch town today (-> 4)
faust shoots town in the night (-> 3)
SK kills faust in the night (-> 2)
SK and Haddock no-lynch (-> 2)

Night 5 starts with Haddock and the SK alive. What happens?
Huh?  I just die.  I can only vengekill if I'm lynched...  I'll double check my PM, but pretty sure.

I'm kicking myself here for not claiming some other PR to try to draw out a counterclaim.  Then just lynching me would win the game.  But no scum will counterclaim knowing I'm vengeful.

that's the only bad news, because now my strongest town read is worthelss
Sadly my townread on you now disappears and must be replaced by something pretty close to null (except up to the point above about experienced players).  You've been towny and scumhunting well so far, but SKs can do that too.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:45:56 pm
Huh?  I just die.  I can only vengekill if I'm lynched...  I'll double check my PM, but pretty sure.

oh. okay. well it looked like it doesn't work anyway.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:47:36 pm
That might implicate a newish player, outthinking themselves?  (I make it only 10%, by the way, it's just the same as the chance of rolling a single P, which is (75-65)/100=10%...)

no, that would be the absolute probability. But we already know that a letter has been rolled, so you need to compute the probability of one letter by dividing it through the sum of them all. Which in this case just means you have to double it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:48:38 pm
Sadly my townread on you now disappears and must be replaced by something pretty close to null (except up to the point above about experienced players).  You've been towny and scumhunting well so far, but SKs can do that too.

did I mention that SK's are stuuuuuuupid? their design is fundamentally broken for this reason.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 28, 2015, 06:49:24 pm
So, there is one setup question left that I see

Assuming...

we lynch town today (-> 4)
faust shoots town in the night (-> 3)
SK kills faust in the night (-> 2)
SK and Haddock no-lynch (-> 2)

Night 5 starts with Haddock and the SK alive. What happens?
Huh?  I just die.  I can only vengekill if I'm lynched...  I'll double check my PM, but pretty sure.
Confirmed. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:52:20 pm
Curious, is RR often scum or not?

ah. problem solved. Joseph clearly doesn't understand probability. he must be the SK
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:56:31 pm
So. What tells can we use?

Wagon positioning is not useful because SK doesn't know who scum are.

Scumhunting is not useful because SK likes to scum hunt. You'd have to have a ton of confidence in your reads for scumhunting to value helping town as worse than appearing towny.

Nightkill choices might be useful. Okay, let's look at that.

General attitude might be useful. Feeling pressured, or even just taking the game more seriously than normal could be tells. The motivation to win as a SK is probably higher than to win as a town for most people, since winning as the SK is, well, kind of awesome.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 06:59:05 pm
no, that would be the absolute probability. But we already know that a letter has been rolled, so you need to compute the probability of one letter by dividing it through the sum of them all. Which in this case just means you have to double it.

this might be unclear. what I mean by 'a letter' is 'a letter other than T' and what I mean by 'them all' is 'the sum of the probabilities of all letters that are not T'. Which is 50%, so you double it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:01:52 pm
Night-Kills

Night 1: Ron (aka e)
Night 2: Sirius (aka Awaclus) [by faust] & Neville (aka Witherweaver)
Night 3: Luna (aka ashersky)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:05:26 pm
EBWOF

Night-Kills

Night 1: Ron (aka e)
Night 2: Sirius (aka Awaclus) [by faust] & Neville (aka Witherweaver) & Hermione (aka yuma)
Night 3: Luna (aka ashersky)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:08:50 pm
Night 1, we know faust was Jailkept. This most likely means that either SK or mafia shot him, and the other one shot e. I think SK is a tad bit likelier to shoot faust than mafia is (if you are several people, you tend to talk each other out of unnecessary risks), but no idea if Hydrad or Joseph is more likely to shoot faust.

Night 2, I assume that the SK targeted WW. Mafia not killing yuma is a stretch. This might be useful.

Night 3, SK killed ash. This is probably the most valuable hint.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:10:22 pm
I think I see Joseph as more likely to do strange plays, but not by much.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:20:03 pm
Potentially relevant quotes from Joseph

I have an idea.

Vote: Joseph

Trying to see how big of a following you actually have?

Now you jinxed it!
Doesn't seem to be working so well....

Receives pressure, comments that pushing him is 'not working'
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:21:32 pm
FWIW, current scum reads are:
RR- for all the previous things I've said
Hydrad- gut instinct + similar to M69, where Hydrad was scum
Haddock- gut instinct (not played together before)

you're scummy because you hammered a town. that was the argument. You tried to deflect that by arguing something under the assumption that you're town. An assumption of either alignment makes any further arguments nonsensical, because arguing means saying why you think it's likely or unlikely that someone is scum, which you can't do if you're already assuming that he is or isn't.

Hammering town isn't scummy.
Hammering town so early in the day seems a bit scummy to me.

not sure if this is particularly relevant, but hammering early in the day is much more than just a bit scummy. so, meh, 0,218 scum points for caution... I guess.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 28, 2015, 07:21:57 pm
Regarding SK kills: I think you should generally look for background play, i.e. no hammers or high attention, nothing that would make people investigate you or shoot you. Don't be too townie, don't be too scummy.

I'm going to bed and will share thoughts tomorrow.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 28, 2015, 07:22:25 pm
no, that would be the absolute probability. But we already know that a letter has been rolled, so you need to compute the probability of one letter by dividing it through the sum of them all. Which in this case just means you have to double it.

this might be unclear. what I mean by 'a letter' is 'a letter other than T' and what I mean by 'them all' is 'the sum of the probabilities of all letters that are not T'. Which is 50%, so you double it.
Right, that confuses things even more.  In fact it's not even as simple as just 20% as far as I can figure.
To simplify it, imagine that you roll two 5-sided die.  Given that you know you have rolled at least one 5, the chances of having rolled 2 5s are in fact 1/9 rather than 1/5.
(The probability of at least 1 5 is 1/5+(4/5*1/5) = 9/25, and there is a 1/25 chance of 2 5s, so the probability of 2 given at least 1 is (1/25)/(9.25)=1/9).

I think the chance of a third P given that we had 2 is by similar reasoning about 1/13=7.7%.  This might still be wrong though, I'm not sure if the fact that there are in fact 7 letters affects anything.  I think it doesn't, but it's actually not a an easy exercise of probability.  I'm working on it, my probability is rusty.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:23:01 pm
Ok, so the sheer surprise of this has changed me back from werewolf form (even though its twilight, that makes sense). Seriously, I had time for one random joke vote today, and there's already a lynch? Weird.
I agree, just got back in and can't believe the hammer has already happened, and about 10 hours ago! Crazy!

It would have been so much cooler if he was scum.

So you already know he's not? Interesting.

He said VT.  Why lie?

Lying can be beneficial for scum, especially since longtwilight is long. If he's town, then obviously he wouldn't lie.
I agree, scum has no actual benefit in telling the truth. Hope he is lying.

This was a post-Twilight post. Of course, SK!Joseph wouldn't actually know whether RR was lying or not, so it's again meh.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:25:41 pm
no, that would be the absolute probability. But we already know that a letter has been rolled, so you need to compute the probability of one letter by dividing it through the sum of them all. Which in this case just means you have to double it.

this might be unclear. what I mean by 'a letter' is 'a letter other than T' and what I mean by 'them all' is 'the sum of the probabilities of all letters that are not T'. Which is 50%, so you double it.
Right, that confuses things even more.  In fact it's not even as simple as just 20% as far as I can figure.
To simplify it, imagine that you roll two 5-sided die.  Given that you know you have rolled at least one 5, the chances of having rolled 2 5s are in fact 1/9 rather than 1/5.
(The probability of at least 1 5 is 1/5+(4/5*1/5) = 9/25, and there is a 1/25 chance of 2 5s, so the probability of 2 given at least 1 is (1/25)/(9.25)=1/9).

I think the chance of a third P given that we had 2 is by similar reasoning about 1/13=7.7%.  This might still be wrong though, I'm not sure if the fact that there are in fact 7 letters affects anything.  I think it doesn't, but it's actually not a an easy exercise of probability.  I'm working on it, my probability is rusty.

No, it's really simple.

We know that there is a power role. That is a number between 51 and 100.

The chance that this number is between 66-75 is 10 / 50 = 20%.

That's it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:26:56 pm
Don't be too townie, don't be too scummy.

Okay, I wasn't thinking about SK not wanting to be too towny. that makes sense. So maybe wagon position is relevant after all.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N0)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:28:55 pm
We've been over this. I'm a very defensive player.
So was/am I as scum. I'm sorry, it's just the thing I'm seeing more and more is that this defensiveness seems very like scum!me.

hum...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:31:07 pm
Accidental post...finishing here...

Anyone else think it is EXTREMELY UNLIKELY that SILVERSPAWN of all players on this forum would skip the flavor?  He's the most flavor-caring guy in the game.  He cares so much about stuff he doesn't like people posting in the thread after the game is over because he finds it rude.  He finds the flavor of games to be incredibly important to the games themselves.

And he says he didn't read it? 

That was a fake "huh no kill" towncred grab if I've ever seen one.
I kind of agree, ss is one of the players who most likes flavour, so seems surprising that he "didn't read it".

this is stupid. not sure if SK!Joseph would opportunistically be dishonest here though. Probably not.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on November 28, 2015, 07:31:49 pm
At work but just wanted to say hi!  Let's lynch joeseph/silver and Faust shoots the other! I've solved the game. Your welcome
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on November 28, 2015, 07:33:07 pm
Also silver I don't know if it's just me but sometimes when I read your posts I think like oh ya if we follow this we have an easy win. And then I remember that I don't know if you yourself are town or not
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 28, 2015, 07:34:16 pm
No, it's really simple.

We know that there is a power role. That is a number between 51 and 100.

The chance that this number is between 66-75 is 10 / 50 = 20%.

That's it.
My instinct says the same, but the maths says that the ordering of stuff matters.  My probability tree that I do above is pretty hard to argue with.  Maybe I'm going crazy, it's late, I'm going to bed.  This isn't the important discussion anyway. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:37:54 pm
this is interesting:

I'm also getting a feeling that Haddock isn't just VT- there's just something about his posts that makes me think he has extra information. That would lean me towards him maybe being SK (there's not a 2nd vig, right?)

Not that Joseph was right - you are vengeful, so you don't have any additional information.

But it is the first thing that speaks against the Joseph narrative, because it's a reason for Joseph to shoot you over ash.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:40:34 pm
At work but just wanted to say hi!  Let's lynch joeseph/silver and Faust shoots the other! I've solved the game. Your welcome

well, if we do that you certainly win the game.

Also silver I don't know if it's just me but sometimes when I read your posts I think like oh ya if we follow this we have an easy win. And then I remember that I don't know if you yourself are town or not

you don't?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:42:23 pm
let's see - another reason to kill ash over faust is that the killer was afraid of ash.

that means if Joseph thought ash was a much better scum hunter than faust, that could be a reason.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:43:17 pm
or Hydrad... but I think Hydrad likes sheeping faust in general?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:48:59 pm
maybe it's also ash's and faust's reads? Although that can go both ways. If ash found Joseph scummy, that could be a reason for Hydrad to kill him to cast suspicion on Joseph or vice versa.

I did see scum choosing kills based on accurate reads before, though.

I think I expressed town reads on Hydrad before... not sure how likely I was as a target, but probably the next best choice if the SK didn't want to risk protection. so... maybe I was left alive to mislynch Joseph ... ?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 07:52:21 pm
though faust's reads are more important since he can decide 2 kills if he wants to

but faust didn't really post read lists and ash

Voting patterns on scum point toward Haddock > gkrieg = Hydrad = Joseph.

even if this wasn't referencing the third mafia, Hydrad = Joseph, so... this is probably a dead end.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (N1)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 08:04:06 pm
So, SK's don't like attention.

Day 1 wagons:

iguanaiguana (7):  Witherweaver, gkrieg, ashersky, faust, silverspawn, yuma, Awaclus
Roadrunner (1): Hydrad
yuma (1): Haddock
ashersky (1): Joseph

not voting (3): e, iguanaiguana, Roadrunner


Looks like you both make great SKs!

but this was the iguana wagon which no-one expected to be lynched so it's moot anyway

Day 2 wagons:

Roadrunner (6): yuma, ashersky, silverspawn, Haddock, Joseph, Awaclus
Haddock (3): Hydrad, gkrieg13, Witherweaver 
Joseph (1): faust
ashersky (1): Roadrunner

not voting (0):


Note that this is a scum wagon. And instead of helping, Hydrad sits on the second-towniest person. How scummy!

This is how Joseph joined the wagon:

So I'm voting for a claimed JK, that seems bad so Unvote. If he's lying, we can just kill him another day.
Realistically, the only 2 people getting lynched here are RR and Haddock, and I strongly prefer the RR lynch. So, Vote: RR. This is L-1.
PPE:3

He likes putting people at L-1

vote: yuma

L-1 I believe

not sure if that gives him non!SK credit?

Hydrad takes a stance here, which is as non-commital as you can get

don't really want to lynch RR but would over a no lynch.
Don't want to do yuma even more... If he really was the 100% only chance I guess I would still lynch him. But I wouldn't be happy.
gkreig and Haddock I'm ok with a lynch.

And the day 3 wagons:

gkrieg (4): silverspawn, Hydrad, Haddock, faust
Haddock (1): ashersky
Hydrad (1): gkrieg

not voting (1): Joseph
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 08:05:30 pm
I have sort of an idea. Hydrad, Joseph, whom would you have killed last night if you were the SK?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 28, 2015, 08:06:41 pm
and off for today, I think
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on November 28, 2015, 10:36:37 pm
I have sort of an idea. Hydrad, Joseph, whom would you have killed last night if you were the SK?

Hmm interesting. Let me see if I can dive into SK!Hydrad train of thought.

So I feel like most of the time I would just shoot faust. I'd see it as me hoping he vigs someone and I vig him leaving us at 4 so that I would only have to live through 1 mislynch. I probably wouldn't care much about if he was getting protected or not because I would try and take a strat to end the game sooner if I could as the more time the easier chance I have of blowing it and getting lynched. Also faust is scary and I feel like he would find me out sooner or later.

But if SK me chickened out to much. I'm guessing this might happen like 30% of the time?

I'd probably realize asher is a potential mislynch and go for silver as he has played a ton of games with me and I think if he really looked would have a high chance of noticing SK me.

Buuuut theres also times that when I'm night killing I don't think it through at all and I would just randomly pick someone that doesn't actually make sense. I would still debate about killing faust but there would be a chance if I decided to kill other then faust that I just pick a random person out of the other options and go with it. I'd say this will only happen a few times and most likely only during the first day or 2. Once I'm near the end of the game I would almost certainly think through my night kill.

So ya thats SK me. So SK me probably wouldn't of shot asher. But I guess If I was really SK would I let everyone know that asher is who I would kill? I dunno... Since I'm not the SK. And I don`t really know how I could try to figure out my train of thought for that one since the only way I think I could figure it out is if I was the SK and did kill asher. Which I guess for me means I did the random lynch.

Ah well I guess we will never know!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 29, 2015, 04:36:00 am
Curious, is RR often scum or not?

ah. problem solved. Joseph clearly doesn't understand probability. he must be the SK
Pretty sure I do understand probability, I have a Masters degree in Mathematics...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 29, 2015, 04:40:23 am
no, that would be the absolute probability. But we already know that a letter has been rolled, so you need to compute the probability of one letter by dividing it through the sum of them all. Which in this case just means you have to double it.

this might be unclear. what I mean by 'a letter' is 'a letter other than T' and what I mean by 'them all' is 'the sum of the probabilities of all letters that are not T'. Which is 50%, so you double it.
Right, that confuses things even more.  In fact it's not even as simple as just 20% as far as I can figure.
To simplify it, imagine that you roll two 5-sided die.  Given that you know you have rolled at least one 5, the chances of having rolled 2 5s are in fact 1/9 rather than 1/5.
(The probability of at least 1 5 is 1/5+(4/5*1/5) = 9/25, and there is a 1/25 chance of 2 5s, so the probability of 2 given at least 1 is (1/25)/(9.25)=1/9).

I think the chance of a third P given that we had 2 is by similar reasoning about 1/13=7.7%.  This might still be wrong though, I'm not sure if the fact that there are in fact 7 letters affects anything.  I think it doesn't, but it's actually not a an easy exercise of probability.  I'm working on it, my probability is rusty.

No, it's really simple.

We know that there is a power role. That is a number between 51 and 100.

The chance that this number is between 66-75 is 10 / 50 = 20%.

That's it.
Yep, it's conditional probability (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability).
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 29, 2015, 04:42:06 am
At work but just wanted to say hi!  Let's lynch joeseph/silver and Faust shoots the other! I've solved the game. Your welcome
How about we lynch Hydrad/silver, and faust shoots the other, then we win.

Of course, ss could suggest the same thing, so this only works if we know one of me/Hydrad/ss is town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 29, 2015, 04:45:18 am
I have sort of an idea. Hydrad, Joseph, whom would you have killed last night if you were the SK?
If i was the SK, then faust, as he was an IC with the power to potentially kill me.

I'm very confused as to why faust isn't dead right now.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: Haddock on November 29, 2015, 06:10:48 am
Pretty sure I do understand probability, I have a Masters degree in Mathematics...
OK, so I do as well, and this problem is annoying me.
 
Yep, it's conditional probability (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability).
Yes, I know what conditional probability is.  My argument is based on conditional probability.  To make my point, let's toymodel this.  Simplify it.  Let's say there's a 1/3 chance of a T, 1/3 of a P, and 1/3 of some other power role (say K).  Suppose that there are only 3 letters rolled as well, and we know that we have rolled them all to be Ps or Ks.  Then for each one a P or a K is equally likely. 

But the probability that we have rolled 3 Ps given that we know we have rolled at least 2 Ps is 1/4, not 1/2.
The 8 equally likely possibilities are:
PPP, PPK, PKP, KPP, KKP, KPK, PKK, KKK.
Of those, exactly 4 have at least 2 Ps.  Only 1 has 3 Ps.  So P(3 Ps|at least 2 Ps)=1/4.

The argument is the same if there are 5 PRs and P is one of them, and you get 1/13.

I think the argument changes again when there are in fact 7 die.  I did some stuff in my head in bed and got 2/23, but I'm not confident about that.  I'm going to run some simulations.

Meanwhile I am still thinking about SK possibilities, will contribute properly to that soon.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 06:52:31 am
Curious, is RR often scum or not?

ah. problem solved. Joseph clearly doesn't understand probability. he must be the SK
Pretty sure I do understand probability, I have a Masters degree in Mathematics...

the joke was that RR is as likely to be scum as anyone else since it's random. no-one is more likely to roll scum. and you didn't ask 'has he been scum a lot in the past' instead just 'is he often scum' as in 'is he more likely to be scum than others'?

I'll admit that it was a pretty bad joke
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 07:03:21 am
The 8 equally likely possibilities are:
PPP, PPK, PKP, KPP, KKP, KPK, PKK, KKK.
Of those, exactly 4 have at least 2 Ps.  Only 1 has 3 Ps.  So P(3 Ps|at least 2 Ps)=1/4.

Now I understand what you are thinking, but no.

Imagine 10 coin flips. You know that the first 9 are on heads, you don't know #10. Obviously, #10 is 50% heads/tails.
Imagine 10 coin flips. You know that any 9 of those have been on heads, you don't know what the other one was. Obviously the other one is 50% heads/tails, because every coin flip is.

But according to your logic, it is now 10 times as likely that the final coin is tails than heads, because heads has one out:

HHHHHHHHHH

whereas tails has 10

THHHHHHHHH
HTHHHHHHHH
HHTHHHHHHH
HHHTHHHHHH
HHHHTHHHHH
HHHHHTHHHH
HHHHHHTHHH
HHHHHHHTHH
HHHHHHHHTH
HHHHHHHHHT


Flips are independent. You can compute one without considering the others. And so are letters rolled this game.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2015, 07:07:24 am
Can you guys cut irrelevant probablity discussion until after the game? It clutters the thread. Thanks.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2015, 07:09:03 am
silverspawn, Joseph and Hydrad: Before you read any further, answer the following question: If you were the SK, which power would you have chosen N0 - 1-shot Bulletproof or Ninja/Strongman Kills? Please give your reasoning.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 07:27:42 am
I didn't know SK could be those things ;_;

Okay. there is one mafia kill every night. There's roughly 0.8 investigative roles used per night until the tracker(s) die(s).

Being killed means you lost. Being tracked probably means you lost.

Being shot with BP means scum probably knows you are the SK. That's pretty bad. They can shoot you later if they want. You only have 1 protection. They might also scumhunt you and cause a lynch. If a vig shoots you, it's your end, so we can just pretend like it doesn't even protect vs vigs.

Being tracked when having Ninja is actually positive value, since now you're less likely to be lynched.

Strongman is a small bonus, I guess it goes through doctor and JK? But I think I like Ninja a bit more than 1-shot BP already.

So yeah, Ninja/Strongman sounds better.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 29, 2015, 08:17:50 am
Bulletproof doesn't seem that useful, since once you're shot once, scum almost certainly know you're SK, and will just shoot you again next night. Therefore, bulletproof isn't very useful.

On the other hand, strongman gives a small advantage (since it's reasonably likely there's a doctor in the game), and ninja gives an advantage too.

Thus if I were SK, I'd go Ninja/Strongman.

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 29, 2015, 08:18:28 am
And yes I realise I basically just repeated ss, but I agree with the logic behind it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 29, 2015, 12:28:24 pm
Can you guys cut irrelevant probablity discussion until after the game? It clutters the thread. Thanks.
Sorry yes I will stop after this final comment:
SS, your 10 flip example is basically right, it comes out to 1/11 because order matters.
I've run the simulations, and I was right, the probability of a third P was exactly 2/23=8.696%.  We can take this up more after the game ends.

Hydrad, we need you to answer faust's question.  It's a good question.

SS, you may have already done so, but can you answer your own question?  Who would you have shot?

Also:
And instead of helping, Hydrad sits on the second-towniest person. How scummy!
Not sure about tone here, this might be a joke. 
But disagreeing with you that I was towny is not scummy in this game.
gkrieg and Awa both pushed me a bit, sure, and they were scummy, but so did ash, and while I found him scummy at least in part because of that, he turned out to be town.  This isn't an SK tell I don't think.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 29, 2015, 12:29:03 pm
SS, you may have already done so, but can you answer your own question?  Who would you have shot?
I'll bring this out to make sure you don't miss the question, ss, it is kinda buried in that post.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 12:32:19 pm
SS, you may have already done so, but can you answer your own question?  Who would you have shot?

faust

and don't worry, I read your posts.

Not sure about tone here, this might be a joke. 
But disagreeing with you that I was towny is not scummy in this game.
It was mostly a joke.

obviously pushing you is not good since you're confirmed town, but scummy =/= SK-y, so it's meh.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on November 29, 2015, 12:34:55 pm
silverspawn, Joseph and Hydrad: Before you read any further, answer the following question: If you were the SK, which power would you have chosen N0 - 1-shot Bulletproof or Ninja/Strongman Kills? Please give your reasoning.

oh. I forgot they got these.

I would go bulletproof since as SK I just need to live as long as I can I think.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2015, 12:47:06 pm
Okay, so I'm pretty sure the SK chose Bulletproof. I am not sure what this means regarding the answers you gyus gave.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 29, 2015, 01:05:14 pm
Okay, so I'm pretty sure the SK chose Bulletproof. I am not sure what this means regarding the answers you gyus gave.
I would agree with this.  Would the SK instinctively lie about this?  Maybe...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 01:27:08 pm
Okay, so I'm pretty sure the SK chose Bulletproof. I am not sure what this means regarding the answers you gyus gave.

well, it means it's not me, for once

how do you know?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2015, 02:48:46 pm
Okay, so I'm pretty sure the SK chose Bulletproof. I am not sure what this means regarding the answers you gyus gave.

well, it means it's not me, for once

how do you know?

I thought that the only reason not to shoot me would be that the SK is afraid of me being doctored. A Strongman would not have to worry about that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 29, 2015, 02:49:46 pm
A reread of Ash really doesn't reveal anyone who a pressured SK would want to shoot, except maybe me.  This might explain the shooting of Ash, I might have been lynchable based on that if I weren't the PR.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2015, 02:55:34 pm
My gut says it's Hydrad. I would like everyone on our suspect list to make a case for why we should not lynch you.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 05:04:26 pm
My gut says it's Hydrad. I would like everyone on our suspect list to make a case for why we should not lynch you.

let's see

- I'm a VT
- I would have shot you for sure
- I would have picked strongman/ninja
- If I was a SK, I wouldn't feel comfortable complaining about the concept of a SK
- I didn't even know there was BP / Ninja (or noticed the kill on n2 ...)
- uhm... I'm town
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 05:07:36 pm
I do have a preference of Joseph over Hydrad though. I think we still treat this like a democratic decision rather than let the IC's decide?

Though I guess if both of you want to lynch Hydrad, sure.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 29, 2015, 05:36:03 pm
My case:

- I'm VT
- I would have picked Strongman/Ninja, and then definitely would have killed faust (why let an IC that can nighkill me survive?!)
- Hydrad said he'd want BP, which is weird- my choice of Strongman/Ninja seems to have been accepted as the "normal"/obvious choice
- I only just found out what Ninja actually does, and also only just realised the SK had extra powers
- If I was SK, I'd probably be dead by now- I don't survive long in games as scum, so the same would probably be true as SK
- I'm town

My preference is for a Hydrad lynch.

If both ICs agree on a lynch candidate, we should do that. Otherwise, normal democracy

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 05:49:55 pm
well since no-one seems to want to lynch me, we'll just win anyway!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2015, 07:29:56 pm
- I'm VT
So you say.

- I would have picked Strongman/Ninja, and then definitely would have killed faust (why let an IC that can nighkill me survive?!)
So you say.

- Hydrad said he'd want BP, which is weird- my choice of Strongman/Ninja seems to have been accepted as the "normal"/obvious choice
I did not ask for a case for why Hydrad is scummy.

- I only just found out what Ninja actually does, and also only just realised the SK had extra powers
So you say.

- If I was SK, I'd probably be dead by now- I don't survive long in games as scum, so the same would probably be true as SK
SK # mafia.

- I'm town
So you say.

I mean, this is it? None of this points out any actual evidence that, you know, I could look over and confirm. you're just saying "hey, trust me here!" That's not good enough.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2015, 07:30:55 pm
silver's case is not a lot better by the way, but he at least managed to include one piece of evidence.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 29, 2015, 07:32:09 pm
I do have a preference of Joseph over Hydrad though. I think we still treat this like a democratic decision rather than let the IC's decide?

I don't think a lynch should happen that has not been approved by both me and Haddock. Or, you know, at least me :P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 07:41:15 pm
silver's case is not a lot better by the way, but he at least managed to include one piece of evidence.

well, what is or isn't evidence is pretty subjective. I think the fact that I complained about the SK is pretty strong evidence, but it's probably nothing for you, since you don't know me quite well enough to understand why I couldn't do that as the SK, so it's again just something I say.

And it's hard to argue why I'm not the SK, because I've never been one, so I don't know what exactly I'd have done differently. The biggest thing you do in mafia is scumhunting, and I'm pretty sure I would have tried to do that too.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on November 29, 2015, 09:55:51 pm
hmm I'll get to the case in a bit. But I wanted to say now that I know theres a BP SK potentially If I was BP SK i probably wouldn't of killed faust if I knew my BP wasn't used yet.

But in case there is a BP SK should faust announce who he will target tonight? Because otherwise if he shoots and gets it right we won't know who it was and will have to guess anyways.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 29, 2015, 10:03:45 pm
please don't use of instead of have. it hurts me everytime someone does it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on November 30, 2015, 02:27:57 am
Hmm so why am I not the SK?

I don't really know how to answer that. I don't believe I have any experience with being an SK but I'll try to think how I would play if I was one.

For one thing I'd probably be more outgoing if I was an SK. when I'm scum and a tiny bit when I'm town I'm always worried about messing up. Not because I'm afraid of losing. But I hate dissapointing my teammates.

When I'm the SK though I probably will feel more free and just enjoy the game since I know no one will be dissapointed if I mess up.

So thats some fun info that isn't useful at all to you guys because I could just be making that up.

As for actual points in the game that makes me not be the SK...

I don't really have any good reasons why I'm not the SK. My day votes would probably be similar so I guess I could check on night kills as thats the biggest thing between me now and SK me probably.

e kill.

I guess I could of done that.

WW kill. oh. thats totally what I would do as I'm guessing this is who SK killed. WW is one of the people I'm most scared of when I'm scum. Although I forget if he thought me as towny this game. If he didn't suspect me as scum I might have let him live buuut he still might get killed anyways.

asher kill. I already discussed this one. I think I wouldn't do this most of the time.

Now once again you can't trust any of this at all... and actually it almost feels like I'm building a case for me being scum with some of my points. But whatever. Maybe you can gain something from this anyways.

So my case is! uhhh not very good. Apologizes!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on November 30, 2015, 02:28:11 am
please don't use of instead of have. it hurts me everytime someone does it.

Also sorry. I didn't even notice I did it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 30, 2015, 05:04:48 am
OK, so here's my question.

Would a 1-shot BP know if they were shot?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 30, 2015, 10:13:27 am
OK, so here's my question.

Would a 1-shot BP know if they were shot?
Anyone?  I'm happy for anyone playing to answer this question, but EFHW, if it's a question you feel comfortable answering then that would be nice too. :)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: EFHW on November 30, 2015, 11:54:11 am
That is not a question I can answer here.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 30, 2015, 11:54:56 am
OK, so here's my question.

Would a 1-shot BP know if they were shot?
Anyone?  I'm happy for anyone playing to answer this question, but EFHW, if it's a question you feel comfortable answering then that would be nice too. :)
In any game I've seen, a BP player isn't aware that they've been shot.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 30, 2015, 11:57:32 am
Also, I'm not sure what I can say about not being the SK.

As the SK is basically town until today, so the only things I can really talk about is today, which has had almost nothing.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on November 30, 2015, 11:59:39 am
I think the key to this might be :

Why is ash, not faust, dead? For whom would this be a good move?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 2)
Post by: faust on November 30, 2015, 01:11:54 pm
Reread time! Starting with Joseph and doing silver last, because that will be the most work.

Notable things:
- off the iguana wagon
- votes RR early D2
- then changes to vote for me
- thinks both me and RR are scummy
- no big reaction towards my vote on him
- Joseph's new scumreads are: RR, Hydrad, Haddock. Still votes for me.
- goes after yuma after his half-claim. Getting yuma lynched here is very good for the SK.
- puts RR to L-1
- makes an argument that scum was off-wagon
- does some SK hunting (thinks Hydrad is SK)
- gkrieg and Haddock are his top scum reads. Convenient.
- does not do anything to find the SK, instead just argues we should lynch Hydrad/silver.

The main thing that kept me away from Joseph was that L-1 on RR, because I thought that would attract too much attention for a SK. Seeing that he pushed RR for all of D2 makes this argument weak.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 30, 2015, 01:32:56 pm
That is not a question I can answer here.
Why not?

This setup is semi open. That means the setup of the setup is open, and the randomization leading to the actual setup is closed.

Whether or not a BP would know if his BP has been used up is a question about the setup of the setup, the open part. Everything about that setup should be public knowledge.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on November 30, 2015, 06:17:29 pm
So Hydrad.

- not around for D1 craziness
- defends Haddock
- thinks RR is town
- Haddock is Hydrad's only scum read
- is torn about RR
- votes for Haddock
- asks some questions, participates
- believes yuma's claim
- talks about SK first thing on D3
- votes for me
- does not look for the SK on D4. But his "why I'm not SK" post seems townish

Okay, so this looks more townie than Joseph, I'd say. The behaviour he shows on RR is unlikely to come from an SK I think, because it looks quite scummy no matter how he flips.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on November 30, 2015, 06:25:50 pm
In any game I've seen, a BP player isn't aware that they've been shot.
Let's work under this assumption.  Then that's fairly strong evidence that the SK is BP, because they reckon they're safe from one shot worth of vigging, hence not killing faust.

I think mafia might have shot the SK day one.  Seems a bit unlikely, maybe, but it's no more unlikely than one of the teams happening to shoot a jailkept character.  If we work under this, then as time goes on mafia are going to think more and more that they shot the SK.  Then they'll push for that lynch because pushing an SK lynch gives them a little bit of towncred. 

That argument probably implicates Hydrad a bit,  he's the only one of the possibilities that scum really pushed at all.

On the other hand, the fact of an ash kill implicates SS a bit, I can see him shooting ash to try to push suspicion onto the less experienced players, ie. me and Joseph.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 30, 2015, 06:30:58 pm
In any game I've seen, a BP player isn't aware that they've been shot.
Let's work under this assumption.  Then that's fairly strong evidence that the SK is BP, because they reckon they're safe from one shot worth of vigging, hence not killing faust.

I think the fact that the SK didn't shoot faust is, as faust said, strong evidence for him being BP for a different reason; if he was not BP he would be strongman, and strongman doesn't care about protection.

since faust is comf!town there is very little reason to shoot someone else

I think mafia might have shot the SK day one.  Seems a bit unlikely, maybe, but it's no more unlikely than one of the teams happening to shoot a jailkept character.  If we work under this, then as time goes on mafia are going to think more and more that they shot the SK.  Then they'll push for that lynch because pushing an SK lynch gives them a little bit of towncred. 

That argument probably implicates Hydrad a bit,  he's the only one of the possibilities that scum really pushed at all.

On the other hand, the fact of an ash kill implicates SS a bit, I can see him shooting ash to try to push suspicion onto the less experienced players, ie. me and Joseph.
[/quote]
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on November 30, 2015, 06:35:35 pm
On the other hand, the fact of an ash kill implicates ss a bit, I can see him shooting ash to try to push suspicion onto the less experienced players, ie. me and Joseph.

eh... I don't think that's a very good narrative. I've been saying that ash is probably the SK when you asked me about him, he'd have been the most convenient thing for SK!me to push.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on November 30, 2015, 07:12:21 pm
so after all this I guess I prefer Joeseph? i would say i'm at 58% thinking hes SK.

My biggest worry is I know silver is good enough to trick me. But as long as I become more towny then silver its fine!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 03:58:59 am
Whelp, I think there's not much more to be said at this point. 

I'm pretty convinced that ss is town here.  One of the biggest points he has going for him is his persistent and vocal townread on me.  I just don't think an SK wants to have such strong public townreads, they know it might box them into a corner later.  (OK so IG was the SK in Switch and had a bit of a townread on me, but different circumstances.  I was scum then.)

If SS is the SK then he's played a truly superb game, gg.

So, my thinking?  Let's just lynch Hydrad and Joseph, one after the other.  Order doesn't really matter at this point.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on December 01, 2015, 04:09:37 am
Whelp, I think there's not much more to be said at this point. 

I'm pretty convinced that ss is town here.  One of the biggest points he has going for him is his persistent and vocal townread on me.  I just don't think an SK wants to have such strong public townreads, they know it might box them into a corner later.  (OK so IG was the SK in Switch and had a bit of a townread on me, but different circumstances.  I was scum then.)

If SS is the SK then he's played a truly superb game, gg.

So, my thinking?  Let's just lynch Hydrad and Joseph, one after the other.  Order doesn't really matter at this point.

I want to reread silver before making that decision. And I want us to keep an open mind for tomorrow.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on December 01, 2015, 07:23:18 am
So, my thinking?  Let's just lynch Hydrad and Joseph, one after the other.  Order doesn't really matter at this point.

that is an amazing plan. 0% chance for a scum win!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 07:54:38 am
So, my thinking?  Let's just lynch Hydrad and Joseph, one after the other.  Order doesn't really matter at this point.

that is an amazing plan. 0% chance for a scum win!
Well yes, you would say that.  Man, ss, you're scary.  Faust, you're right, I won't give in this easy.  Reread will happen soon.  5 days left, right?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on December 01, 2015, 08:02:49 am
So, my thinking?  Let's just lynch Hydrad and Joseph, one after the other.  Order doesn't really matter at this point.

that is an amazing plan. 0% chance for a scum win!
Well yes, you would say that.  Man, ss, you're scary.  Faust, you're right, I won't give in this easy.  Reread will happen soon.  5 days left, right?
... you have no reason to be scared of me  :( ...
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on December 01, 2015, 01:11:19 pm
So, my thinking?  Let's just lynch Hydrad and Joseph, one after the other.  Order doesn't really matter at this point.

that is an amazing plan. 0% chance for a scum win!
Or not.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on December 01, 2015, 01:12:10 pm
So, my thinking?  Let's just lynch Hydrad and Joseph, one after the other.  Order doesn't really matter at this point.

that is an amazing plan. 0% chance for a scum win!
Or not.
50% chance of scum win, depending on if ss or Hydrad is SK
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on December 01, 2015, 04:33:09 pm
So, finally, silver:

D1:

- votes iguana early
- then not around until the hammer drops
- thinks yuma is scummy after the lynch

D2:

- votes for Awaclis and RR (well done)
- thinks there was no NK
- gets in a fight with Awaclus
- continues going after RR
- switches to Awaclus after RR's self-vote
- a bunch of discussing RR's self-vote
- ultimately changes back to RR
- after a bunch of finding RR scummy, he switches to me
- scumslip argument + "if there is a SK"
- votes for me and then changes back to RR quickly
- some twilight talk

D3

- wonders if there has to be a SK
- suspects that yuma jailkept him
- forgets that scum and SK are in seperate teams
- suspects gkrieg and Hydrad
- says ash is probably the SK

D4

- opens with "why did SK shoot ash? I would have gone after him"
- says that SKs are stupid
- scumhunts

Okay, so major things:
- silver thinks there was no night kill N1. I think a SK would double check to see if really both kills failed. So if silver is SK, that would be a lie. I am not convinced it is a lie.
- he thinks counterclaiming me would be a good move for scum on D3 because he is confused and thought there would be a 2-person scum team. I don't think that happens to the SK, and it's a weird thing to make up.
- I don't think SK!silver would shoot ash and then in his first post talk about how he would have gone after ash today. That is something he wants town to figure out so that he looks more townie.

So I basically think it cannot be silver.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on December 01, 2015, 04:33:21 pm
Vote: Joseph
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on December 01, 2015, 04:39:46 pm
well in that case i really hope it is joesph. otherwise we lose.

But i agree with faust here on his read. SS really doesn't look like the SK. If I was in your guys shoes I'd also probably vig me over SS.

anyways can I vote now?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on December 01, 2015, 04:41:53 pm
well in that case i really hope it is joesph. otherwise we lose.

But i agree with faust here on his read. SS really doesn't look like the SK. If I was in your guys shoes I'd also probably vig me over SS.

anyways can I vote now?

I don't mind.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on December 01, 2015, 04:42:38 pm
Vote: Joesph
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on December 01, 2015, 04:43:45 pm
I will not shoot tonight by the way. That's because of the 1-shot BP; if I hit the SK, they might survive. If I don't, we lose. It's a high risk-low reward situation. You will have to figure things out without me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on December 01, 2015, 04:45:27 pm
nice! vote: Joseph
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on December 01, 2015, 04:48:43 pm
nice! vote: Joseph
You should kill Hydrad instead.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on December 01, 2015, 04:48:54 pm
I will not shoot tonight by the way. That's because of the 1-shot BP; if I hit the SK, they might survive. If I don't, we lose. It's a high risk-low reward situation. You will have to figure things out without me.

ah thats kinda annoying to me because I know i'm going to just lose vs silver. I'd almost rather you shoot me to get it over with.

I'm just going to hope its Joesph.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on December 01, 2015, 04:49:23 pm
And I think that was hammer right?

Joesph are you SK?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 04:50:40 pm
Ok I'm fine with this.
I think I marginally preferred Joseph over hydrad. Never did get round to properly rereading ss, but I trust you faust.
Please be a good flip!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on December 01, 2015, 04:52:10 pm
Ok I'm fine with this.
I think I marginally preferred Joseph over hydrad. Never did get round to properly rereading ss, but I trust you faust.
Please be a good flip!

Eh. If Joseph is not the SK, you should absolutely look at silver yourself. He's townier than the others, but he's also more capable of appearing townie I think. But Joseph's play has been so anti-town that he had to be lynched.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 04:56:30 pm
Eh. If Joseph is not the SK, you should absolutely look at silver yourself. He's townier than the others, but he's also more capable of appearing townie I think. But Joseph's play has been so anti-town that he had to be lynched.
Yep I will be rereading ss definitely.  I was going to get there eventually anyway.
Sorry to be so slow and end up leaning on you so hard.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on December 01, 2015, 04:57:47 pm
I have hope still then if SS is SK!

Joesph come back and tell me if you were SK or not... I'm impatient.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on December 01, 2015, 04:58:15 pm
I have hope still then if SS is SK!

if Joseph is not the SK then it's you. stop acting so innocent.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on December 01, 2015, 04:59:25 pm
I have hope still then if SS is SK!

if Joseph is not the SK then it's you. stop acting so innocent.

ah but you see I am innocent because I'm not the SK. so if you aren't either then we don't even need to battle yet since Joesph is the SK!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on December 01, 2015, 05:00:21 pm
I have hope still then if SS is SK!

Joesph come back and tell me if you were SK or not... I'm impatient.
Apparently I miscounted the first time and have already been hammered.

GG
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on December 01, 2015, 05:01:57 pm
I have hope still then if SS is SK!

if Joseph is not the SK then it's you. stop acting so innocent.

ah but you see I am innocent because I'm not the SK. so if you aren't either then we don't even need to battle yet since Joesph is the SK!

he probably is, otherwise I think he would talk more.

but still. it feels like you want to set up my mislynch tomorrow.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on December 01, 2015, 05:02:10 pm
or should I say 'felt' since that was a confession? I think?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 05:04:35 pm
or should I say 'felt' since that was a confession? I think?
Yeah I dont know, was it?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Hydrad on December 01, 2015, 05:08:09 pm
I have hope still then if SS is SK!

if Joseph is not the SK then it's you. stop acting so innocent.

ah but you see I am innocent because I'm not the SK. so if you aren't either then we don't even need to battle yet since Joesph is the SK!

he probably is, otherwise I think he would talk more.

but still. it feels like you want to set up my mislynch tomorrow.

well to be fair If Joesph wasn't the SK I kinda do want to setup your lynch tomorrow. whether I'm town or SK as thats the only way I win.

But ya I think Joesph confessed so were good now?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 05:36:56 pm
Flippity Flippity.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on December 01, 2015, 05:49:21 pm
Flippity Flippity.
I feel like I wasn't clear enough before.

I'm the SK.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 05:52:28 pm
Flippity Flippity.
I feel like I wasn't clear enough before.

I'm the SK.
Epic. Yeah we were'nt entirely sure. Thanks for clarifying.

Sincerely, well played, I think if we hadnt been lucky enought to clear out the mafia early we might have struggled.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Joseph2302 on December 01, 2015, 06:02:39 pm
Flippity Flippity.
I feel like I wasn't clear enough before.

I'm the SK.
Epic. Yeah we were'nt entirely sure. Thanks for clarifying.

Sincerely, well played, I think if we hadnt been lucky enought to clear out the mafia early we might have struggled.
Also, I knew I was behind in the game, so was relying on some faust miskills to give me a chance.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on December 01, 2015, 06:09:01 pm
Flippity Flippity.
I feel like I wasn't clear enough before.

I'm the SK.
Epic. Yeah we were'nt entirely sure. Thanks for clarifying.

Sincerely, well played, I think if we hadnt been lucky enought to clear out the mafia early we might have struggled.
Also, I knew I was behind in the game, so was relying on some faust miskills to give me a chance.
Well, there was really no reason for me to shoot after the mafia was gone.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: faust on December 01, 2015, 06:11:39 pm
I wonder, what was the flavor for the SK?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 06:14:39 pm
No spoilers! Let EFHW do it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: silverspawn on December 01, 2015, 06:15:20 pm
No spoilers! Let EFHW do it.

yeah
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ (Day 4)
Post by: EFHW on December 01, 2015, 07:09:53 pm
Vote Count 4.final

Joseph (3): faust, Hydrad, silverspawn

not voting (2): Joseph, Haddock

With 5 alive, it took 3 to lynch.

Tonks (aka Joseph) was really Dolores Umbridge, the Serial Killer!   She wasn't a Death Eater, but boy was she evil!  Guess she finally just snapped when the centaurs attacked her, and decided to kill everyone she could.

THE ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS!!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: gkrieg13 on December 01, 2015, 07:54:54 pm
Well that was one of the first games I made it past D1 as scum.  Awaclus dying made it pretty hard for me the next day though
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 08:02:57 pm
Yeah that was a tough game for you guys, I feel like after one good lynch happened it basically snowballed.

Fwiw, I think mvp candidates here are yuma, ss and faust.  But I wanna go through and look at everyone's reads to see their quality, id be really interested to know how on point various people were.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: faust on December 01, 2015, 08:09:04 pm
Yeah that was a tough game for you guys, I feel like after one good lynch happened it basically snowballed.

Fwiw, I think mvp candidates here are yuma, ss and faust.  But I wanna go through and look at everyone's reads to see their quality, id be really interested to know how on point various people were.

During my reread, I noticed that silver's reads were pretty much spot on the whole game. I think that plus the fact that he believably presented himself as town in the end earn him the MVP. Though yuma gets an honorable mention for preventing two town deaths with a single night action.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 08:10:04 pm
If thats what happened. Maybe mafia shot Joseph D1?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 08:16:42 pm
I mean N1, of course. Fairly unlikely, I'll admit.

Speaking of which, ss Joseph and I should conclude this probability discussion.
At this point I'm entirely sure that I'm right, but want to convince you. I might have to dedicate a thread to it tomorrow.
Right now,  bed.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: silverspawn on December 01, 2015, 08:47:37 pm
I mean N1, of course. Fairly unlikely, I'll admit.

Speaking of which, ss Joseph and I should conclude this probability discussion.
At this point I'm entirely sure that I'm right, but want to convince you. I might have to dedicate a thread to it tomorrow.
Right now,  bed.

right, I had written a post about that which I then didn't submit because faust said no  :P

But I saved it, and can post it now. Here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=14209.msg546676#msg546676) is your post for context, and here (http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=14209.msg546682#msg546682) is the example I'm referencing.



And if you still want to know the actual flaw in your argument - well, not every outcome you or I are listing is in fact equally likely. It would be equally likely if we had zero information about the flips, but since we know that heads has been flipped 9 times, this particular out:

HTHHHHHHHH

is much less likely than this

HHHHHHHHHH

because, if heads has been flipped 9+ of 10 times, then each individual flip is much more likely to have been heads, and therefore the second flip is much more likely to have been heads.

basically, it's the difference between 'what's the chance for 9 heads in 10 flips vs 10 heads?' (10-1) or 'we already flipped 9 heads; what's the chance that the tenth is also a head vs that it's a tails? (1-1)



You said you simulated it. What you simulated is probably "what's the odds of 2 P's and 1 K out of 3 letters looking only at those who have 2K's?' or something to that effect, thus making the same mistake as you did above.

What you should simulate is, you randomly set two letters to the results we already know, and randomize a result for the third one. Except then it is so simple that you don't need to simulate it anymore, because you can effectively take out the letters which you have already determined, and only have to look at one.

I know the feeling of getting your mind wrapped around such a problem and getting really confused with it, it happened to me before. It proves that you have an urge to understand stuff on a deep level. But in this case the result is just really simple.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: silverspawn on December 01, 2015, 08:49:50 pm
If the above doesn't convince you, I'd say go for it and open a thread. But I think it will if you think deeply about it.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: iguanaiguana on December 01, 2015, 08:52:31 pm
Good job town  8) 8) 8) :P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Witherweaver on December 01, 2015, 08:58:29 pm
Hooray!

Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 01, 2015, 09:29:43 pm
If the above doesn't convince you, I'd say go for it and open a thread. But I think it will if you think deeply about it.
Dude. I hate to do this. But im reading for a PhD in mathematics.  I assure that my argument is entirely correct.
The problem with yours is that you are asking the question:
"if 9 coins have been flipped as heads, what is the probability that the 10th one is also a head."
The answer to that is 50:50.

But thats a completely different question to
"I flip ten coins, and tell you that at least 9 of them were heads. What is the probability that all ten were?

Your idea that Hthhhhh is more likely than hhhhhhh is not correct, their absolute probability is the same.

I will start a new thread tomorrow with a combinatorial proof that the answer is 2/23, as well as C# code for the simulation I did.

If youre interested,  the way I did the simulation was to get a pc to list all the possibilities, weighted accordingly, then count:
a=(weighted) number of situations with exactly 3Ts, 3Ps and 1K.
b=(weighted) number of situations with exactly 3Ts, 2 or more Ps and 1 or more K.

Then the answer is just a/b.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: EFHW on December 01, 2015, 09:44:42 pm
Mod qt: http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/4v2L62nghAcEa

DE qt: http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/ZQLF8VPNt2nKE
SK qt: http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/fDr3RcRDNMepU
Harry/Bellatrix qt: http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/HnWFKYSMbvnG

Healer: http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/DcyVkUnRrk8fR (http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/DcyVkUnRrk8fR)
Vig: http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/4cge7Uf9CRW6
Vengeful: http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/qtsSgBaxgwH2b
JK: http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/Y3vyQY4tqyDvk

e (Ron): http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/b2sPJ8pWU4nK
ashersky (Luna): http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/fUubyKeyE9Fe
iguanaa (Mrs. Weasley): http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/BXkBTxAzxEban
Hydrad (Prof. McGonagall): http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/QuPpqH6Qr3ap
silverspawn (Ginny): http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/UDv7N7HkEyuQ

speccy: http://www.quicktopic.com/51/H/JUcz2DhbMhR
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: EFHW on December 01, 2015, 09:51:56 pm
MVP shared between yuma and faust.  yuma for sticking to his guns about Roadrunner. He also jk'd gkrieg N2, though the strongman was stronger.   faust for shooting Awaclus and doing the work to find Joseph. Between them they found all four scum!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Witherweaver on December 01, 2015, 09:53:55 pm
MVP shared between yuma and faust.  yuma for sticking to his guns about Roadrunner. He also jk'd gkrieg N2, though the strongman was stronger.   faust for shooting Awaclus and doing the work to find Joseph. Between them they found all four scum!

Wait, Strongman got through JK and Doctor?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: EFHW on December 01, 2015, 10:03:21 pm
MVP shared between yuma and faust.  yuma for sticking to his guns about Roadrunner. He also jk'd gkrieg N2, though the strongman was stronger.   faust for shooting Awaclus and doing the work to find Joseph. Between them they found all four scum!

Wait, Strongman got through JK and Doctor?

yes, I went over it many times and the wiki clearly said the strongman evaded doctors (plural) and jailkeepers (plural). For jailkeeping it said specifically that it protected from one nk attempt only, but there was nothing like that limiting strongman's powers. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on December 01, 2015, 10:20:20 pm
That was the best and worst scum gave I ever had.

But man, I am bad scum. I like being town more as well.

GG everyone, thanks for the flavor EFHW
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Witherweaver on December 01, 2015, 10:38:38 pm
MVP shared between yuma and faust.  yuma for sticking to his guns about Roadrunner. He also jk'd gkrieg N2, though the strongman was stronger.   faust for shooting Awaclus and doing the work to find Joseph. Between them they found all four scum!

Wait, Strongman got through JK and Doctor?

yes, I went over it many times and the wiki clearly said the strongman evaded doctors (plural) and jailkeepers (plural). For jailkeeping it said specifically that it protected from one nk attempt only, but there was nothing like that limiting strongman's powers. 

Ah; we usually treat it differently here.. basically goes through one "layer" of protection.  But it's up to mod.   We've discussed it in the thread about standardizing. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: EFHW on December 01, 2015, 11:17:51 pm
MVP shared between yuma and faust.  yuma for sticking to his guns about Roadrunner. He also jk'd gkrieg N2, though the strongman was stronger.   faust for shooting Awaclus and doing the work to find Joseph. Between them they found all four scum!

Wait, Strongman got through JK and Doctor?

yes, I went over it many times and the wiki clearly said the strongman evaded doctors (plural) and jailkeepers (plural). For jailkeeping it said specifically that it protected from one nk attempt only, but there was nothing like that limiting strongman's powers. 

Ah; we usually treat it differently here.. basically goes through one "layer" of protection.  But it's up to mod.   We've discussed it in the thread about standardizing.
unfortunately, the people I would normally consult were all playing!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: scott_pilgrim on December 02, 2015, 12:05:57 am
If the above doesn't convince you, I'd say go for it and open a thread. But I think it will if you think deeply about it.
Dude. I hate to do this. But im reading for a PhD in mathematics.  I assure that my argument is entirely correct.
The problem with yours is that you are asking the question:
"if 9 coins have been flipped as heads, what is the probability that the 10th one is also a head."
The answer to that is 50:50.

But thats a completely different question to
"I flip ten coins, and tell you that at least 9 of them were heads. What is the probability that all ten were?

Your idea that Hthhhhh is more likely than hhhhhhh is not correct, their absolute probability is the same.

I will start a new thread tomorrow with a combinatorial proof that the answer is 2/23, as well as C# code for the simulation I did.

If youre interested,  the way I did the simulation was to get a pc to list all the possibilities, weighted accordingly, then count:
a=(weighted) number of situations with exactly 3Ts, 3Ps and 1K.
b=(weighted) number of situations with exactly 3Ts, 2 or more Ps and 1 or more K.

Then the answer is just a/b.

I guarantee you silverspawn's argument is correct.  If all ten coins are heads, there are 10C9=10 different ways that you could have seen that 9 of them were heads, so it is 10 times as likely that you will be telling us about the HHHHHHHHHH case than it is that you will be telling us about the THHHHHHHHH case (which only has one possible way for you to see nine heads).  Since the HHHHHHHHHH case is 10 times as likely as each of the ten single-tails cases, the probability that the last coin is tails is 10/20=1/2.

During the game, you said that if you roll two five-sided dice, and are told that one shows a 5, then the probability that the other shows a 5 is 1/9.  Again, this is incorrect for the same reason.  If we did roll two fives, there are two chances that we will be told about one of the fives, compared to only one chance in each of the other eight cases, which gives us a 2/10=1/5 chance, which is exactly what we would expect.

If you are still unconvinced, let me show you an extension of your reasoning.  Suppose I roll two five-sided dice.  You would agree that the probability of rolling doubles is 1/5, right?  Now I tell you that one of the dice shows x, where x=1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 (but I don't tell you which value x is).  Now by your argument, the probability that the other die shows x (and therefore, the probability that we rolled doubles) is 1/9.  But this is absurd; my telling you that one of the dice shows a value we already know it must show cannot possibly change the probability of getting doubles.  I could correctly say that 100% of the time without even looking at the dice; it is information we already have, so it cannot affect our probability.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on December 02, 2015, 12:07:16 am
Wrong thread Scott?
:P
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 02, 2015, 05:09:24 am
Scott, SS, all other interested parties, here's the new thread.

http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=14325.0

I need to go to work now, but I will be responding to Scott's thoughts in that thread at some point today.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 02, 2015, 05:09:35 am
And woo town! :)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: silverspawn on December 02, 2015, 06:12:40 am

 :(
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 02, 2015, 06:13:49 am

 :(
You are MVP in our hearts, ss! :)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2015, 08:22:20 am
MVP shared between yuma and faust.  yuma for sticking to his guns about Roadrunner. He also jk'd gkrieg N2, though the strongman was stronger.   faust for shooting Awaclus and doing the work to find Joseph. Between them they found all four scum!

Wait, Strongman got through JK and Doctor?

yes, I went over it many times and the wiki clearly said the strongman evaded doctors (plural) and jailkeepers (plural). For jailkeeping it said specifically that it protected from one nk attempt only, but there was nothing like that limiting strongman's powers. 

For real?

Oh, well. All's well that ends well. But I wish I could have lived longer. Although, who knows what would have happened. I could have very easily seen me trying to push a mislynch through on faust--who wouldn't have been confirmed as a vig as a vig's existance wouldn't have been confirmed if I had died--instead of gkrieg and who knows what would have happened after that? So, I am not too disappointed.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 02, 2015, 08:25:41 am
Oh, well. All's well that ends well. But I wish I could have lived longer. Although, who knows what would have happened. I could have very easily seen me trying to push a mislynch through on faust--who wouldn't have been confirmed as a vig as a vig's existance wouldn't have been confirmed if I had died--instead of gkrieg and who knows what would have happened after that? So, I am not too disappointed.
This is true, your death helped us enormously in figuring out the setup.  Sad but true.  I think we still would have done OK, having the extra protection would also have meant more shots at goal at the end.

In all seriousness, how come I played so much better as scum than town?  Scumhunting perhaps not my forte, just acting. :D
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2015, 08:26:37 am
That was the best and worst scum gave I ever had.

But man, I am bad scum. I like being town more as well.

GG everyone, thanks for the flavor EFHW

Honestly, I don't think you played too bad. Like I said when I had the case on you, it was really just one aspect of your play style that was visibly different and really I only noticed it because I decided N0 that 1. I wanted to do something that would make me slightly suspicious in the eyes of other cause I didn't want to be NKed as the JK and that thing was 2. deciding to aggressively tunnel you (because voting for you is apparently a "scumtell" in previous games) to see if you would OMGUS back as I thought that could be a scum tell for you

if I hadn't come to that conclusion, you might not have been lynched.

And add to the problem that I could have very easily been mislynched if I had not been able to claim JK. I think if I didn't have that in my back pocket I would have been the lynch Day2. Of course I woudlnt' have played that as aggressively as I did... knowing I could claim JK gave me a little bit more freedom than I normally would of have had.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2015, 08:37:09 am
And ash! I saved you from dying Night1 from faust's vig! You owe me!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2015, 08:40:38 am
And ash! I saved you from dying Night1 from faust's vig! You owe me!

Yes, you did.  As I said in the speccy, I think I played a bigger part in the RR lynch than people give me credit for, too. 

Joseph -- why in the world did you shoot me instead of faust?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 02, 2015, 08:42:24 am
He explains that in his QT.  It sorta makes sense.  He's gambling, basically.  Relying on a misshot from faust to save the game.  I think that's a mistake, we were never going to have faust shoot that night I don't think.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: faust on December 02, 2015, 09:06:55 am
He explains that in his QT.  It sorta makes sense.  He's gambling, basically.  Relying on a misshot from faust to save the game.  I think that's a mistake, we were never going to have faust shoot that night I don't think.

I don't quite get how a miskill by me is any more likely than a mislynch by the town, and both of these yield the same results for Joseph.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2015, 09:12:18 am
He explains that in his QT.  It sorta makes sense.  He's gambling, basically.  Relying on a misshot from faust to save the game.  I think that's a mistake, we were never going to have faust shoot that night I don't think.

I don't quite get how a miskill by me is any more likely than a mislynch by the town, and both of these yield the same results for Joseph.

A miskill by you makes it lylo with you, SK!Joseph, VT (SS or Hydrad).

You dead made it lylo with me, SK!Joseph, SS, and Hydrad.

Be basically rolled the dice on winning in against a subset of {Joseph + faust + one or two VTs} vs {Joseph + ash + 2 VTs).

Not sure why he thought he had a better chance against you than me.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Witherweaver on December 02, 2015, 09:34:50 am
MVP shared between yuma and faust.  yuma for sticking to his guns about Roadrunner. He also jk'd gkrieg N2, though the strongman was stronger.   faust for shooting Awaclus and doing the work to find Joseph. Between them they found all four scum!

Wait, Strongman got through JK and Doctor?

yes, I went over it many times and the wiki clearly said the strongman evaded doctors (plural) and jailkeepers (plural). For jailkeeping it said specifically that it protected from one nk attempt only, but there was nothing like that limiting strongman's powers. 

For real?

Oh, well. All's well that ends well. But I wish I could have lived longer. Although, who knows what would have happened. I could have very easily seen me trying to push a mislynch through on faust--who wouldn't have been confirmed as a vig as a vig's existance wouldn't have been confirmed if I had died--instead of gkrieg and who knows what would have happened after that? So, I am not too disappointed.

We couldn't possibly protect you any more than we did!

I think it's okay.. it was a 1-shot Strongman from JOAT, right?  So scum had a one-time invincible kill. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Witherweaver on December 02, 2015, 09:36:07 am
He explains that in his QT.  It sorta makes sense.  He's gambling, basically.  Relying on a misshot from faust to save the game.  I think that's a mistake, we were never going to have faust shoot that night I don't think.

I don't quite get how a miskill by me is any more likely than a mislynch by the town, and both of these yield the same results for Joseph.

Mislynch by town gives Joseph a lot of time to be found out or make a mistake.  It also gives more opportunity to sway the result, but you have to be fairly confident for that.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: EFHW on December 02, 2015, 10:20:28 am
Yeah that was a tough game for you guys, I feel like after one good lynch happened it basically snowballed.

Fwiw, I think mvp candidates here are yuma, ss and faust.  But I wanna go through and look at everyone's reads to see their quality, id be really interested to know how on point various people were.

During my reread, I noticed that silver's reads were pretty much spot on the whole game. I think that plus the fact that he believably presented himself as town in the end earn him the MVP. Though yuma gets an honorable mention for preventing two town deaths with a single night action.

Saw this too late.  silver would also have been a good choice for MVP.  Not fair, you didn't have a PR to make your reads happen.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: silverspawn on December 02, 2015, 10:27:01 am
Saw this too late.  silver would also have been a good choice for MVP.  Not fair, you didn't have a PR to make your reads happen.

Yeah, I honestly think it should be me, too. yuma had accurate targets, I had accurate reads, but I also managed to avoid lynches until the end.

You could still change it - I think you need to decide on one anyway? Are split mvp's a thing? ash?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: ashersky on December 02, 2015, 10:41:24 am
Saw this too late.  silver would also have been a good choice for MVP.  Not fair, you didn't have a PR to make your reads happen.

Yeah, I honestly think it should be me, too. yuma had accurate targets, I had accurate reads, but I also managed to avoid lynches until the end.

You could still change it - I think you need to decide on one anyway? Are split mvp's a thing? ash?

I can give .5 MVPs to each in the stats, I guess.

I think it should be me, anyway. ;)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: silverspawn on December 02, 2015, 10:52:50 am
Yeah, I think you would be reasonable, too. Being NKd as town is sort of an accomplishment as it means that scum thought you were dangerous (unless you are vigged), and you avoided mislynch for the first 2 days, and you were the driving force behind the RR lynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: iguanaiguana on December 02, 2015, 10:53:51 am
All of you can have .25 MVPs, & an MVP nod to Wanda the Iguanda for providing a lot of information with his mislynch.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: faust on December 02, 2015, 11:07:27 am
Well, I am happy to offer up my MVP to someone else (is that even a thing?) I was horribly wrong on RR and that could easily have meant that I would be mislynched if night actions didn't work out so nicely, which would have been a huge blow to the town.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ TOWN WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 02, 2015, 11:10:05 am
I think it should be me, anyway. ;)
Sorry, but if you'd had your way I would have been lynched and probably would have vengekilled you. :P  Not ideal.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 02, 2015, 11:10:44 am
Admittedly maybe I deserved the pushing I was getting.  I didn't play fantastically this game.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2015, 11:19:41 am
I don't think I should get a MVP nod. Sure I was right on RR, saved ash from a NK and should have partially saved myself from a NK.

But... and this is a big but... the only reason I didn't get lynched was because I outed myself as a PR. If I had been better able to convince others of RR without outing myself as a PR then I think I should at least be in the discussion for the MVP. But given that I had to resort to that desperate move--which then meant I was going to be a target for NK, I think disqualifies myself in the light of others playing pretty well.

I say ss gets it because he avoided a mislynch. If ss had died and ash had to avoid the mislynch I would give it to him. But since ash died, I say it goes to ss.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Witherweaver on December 02, 2015, 11:22:04 am
I guess I would nod towards Faust for finding the SK in the end.  To me, that's often the most difficult part.  (And, he shot Awaclus, and was on the last Mafia lynch.)  But I don't really disagree with the points towards anyone else. 
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: 2.71828..... on December 02, 2015, 11:46:18 am
I don't know, my game was pretty spot on. I mean, had scum not killed me they might have killed one of you guys. Which might have changed everything. Being the first NK really set town up for success.

MVP performance in my opinion
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2015, 11:52:42 am
I don't know, my game was pretty spot on. I mean, had scum not killed me they might have killed one of you guys. Which might have changed everything. Being the first NK really set town up for success.

MVP performance in my opinion

iguana probably has a better claim than you. His lynch really setup your NK. Without that lynch, who knows if you would have been NKed or not?
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Awaclus on December 02, 2015, 12:40:09 pm
Well, I am happy to offer up my MVP to someone else (is that even a thing?) I was horribly wrong on RR and that could easily have meant that I would be mislynched if night actions didn't work out so nicely, which would have been a huge blow to the town.

Killing me was huge, though.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Roadrunner7671 on December 02, 2015, 12:40:55 pm
Oh, let's clarify.
The Mafia killed 2.7, as we wanted to kill off wagon.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: EFHW on December 02, 2015, 01:08:29 pm
Clearly we had a number of deserving players in this game.  I'll leave it to the democratic process to decide who will get the MVP.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2015, 01:38:55 pm
vote: ss
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: yuma on December 02, 2015, 01:39:15 pm
vote: ss

oh cool there is a poll
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: liopoil on December 02, 2015, 04:36:31 pm
Should only players vote? I read bits of this. Town was quite good!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: EFHW on December 02, 2015, 10:13:44 pm
Should only players vote? I read bits of this. Town was quite good!
go ahead
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: EFHW on December 03, 2015, 12:00:08 am
With 61.5% of the vote,  silverspawn is a clear winner. Congratulations,  you are MVP.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: silverspawn on December 03, 2015, 06:06:17 am
:)
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: iguanaiguana on December 03, 2015, 07:53:36 am
Props to EFHW for being willing to let the participants decide the MVP. That's a very giving thing to do; it was entirely her decision if she wanted it to be hers.
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: iguanaiguana on December 03, 2015, 07:53:53 am
Also congratz ss
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: EFHW on December 08, 2015, 11:32:58 am
The Compiled Story: (text not in purple was written by the character/player)

M71 -  Harry Potter Mafia II:  JK++

The Order of the Phoenix has rushed to the Department of Mysteries to rescue Harry and his friends from the Death Eaters.  Everyone reaches the amphitheater at the same time.  The Death Arch stands in the middle, a glittering glass vial hanging above it.  Dumbledore and Voldemort have each cast a spell intended to bring the prophecy to their side.  Now they are dueling for their lives in the entrance hall, while their supporters fight for the prophecy, which hangs, magically suspended, over the top of the arch.  But where are the Death Eaters?  They have taken polyjuice potion and are imitating members of the Order of the Phoenix whom they waylaid before they could get to the Ministry!  Or are they imitating the kids, having subdued them in the brain room or something? The adults stalk warily around the amphitheater, while the kids stand in just inside their circle, wands trained on each other, friends and comrades no longer able to trust each other. 

(From here on, “Order of the Phoenix” includes both the adult members and the kids that haven’t been replaced by Death Eaters).

The Death Eaters think they have the upper hand because their Dark Lord has drawn an invisible line around the prophecy that delivers to the Dementers anyone who crosses it whose true self does not have a dark mark.  They have to mask their dismay, though, when
Specialis Revelio informs them that the Order of the Phoenix knows all about the trap (thank you, Snape) and Dumbledore has placed a protective spell on the prophecy so that anyone whose true self does have a dark mark cannot approach it without being sucked into the Arch.  Once all the Death Eaters are eliminated, Dumbledore’s spell will demolish Voldemort’s line.  Or, once the Order is reduced to few enough people, the Death Eaters can throw off their pretend identities and kill the Order, neutralizing the spell on the prophecy. But how to make the enemy cross the line?  The Order of the Phoenix know they may die, but they are brave and willing to sacrifice themselves to defeat Voldemort.  The Death Eaters are smug and arrogant, laughing inside at how easy it is to trick good people.

So a bizarre negotiation begins.  Everyone claims to be either a Hogwarts student or a member of the Order of the Phoenix.  The group will have to vote on who to force towards the prophecy.
Day 1

    Mad-Eye Moody laughed gruffly, his normal eye and his magical eye separately examining each person in turn as the adults walked in a circle around the Arch and the kids.  When he came behind Neville, he suddenly feinted an attack.  Neville jumped in confused alarm, crying out and waving his wand incoherently.  “This should be interesting,” Mad-Eye growled.  Neville gathered himself together and stared at Mad-Eye defiantly, wand now at the ready.  Harry was looking to Sirius as though craving reassurance, recognition.  But Sirius was cold to him, suspicious and sad.  Tonks and Lupin could not meet each others’ eyes.  Mrs. Weasley kept pointing her wand at different people, wanting someone to attack, but avoiding looking at her two children.  Luna stood idly, her wand at her side, contemplating Kingsley, whose upright bearing seemed to indicate his wish to create order, protect, and lead.  Herminone seemed to be calculating furiously, while Ron stood between her and Harry looking bewildered, unsure what he should be doing.  Prof. McGonagall’s lips were pressed in the thinnest of lines, as if containing great emotion and great power as well.  Ginny was alert but calm, with her wand raised and determination, not fear, on her face.

    “So,” said Kingsley, “here we are.  Let us proceed.”

... A few minutes later ...

Mrs. Weasley (aka iguanaiguana) was really getting on everyone’s nerves.  Hovering over her kids, acting moody and erratic.  The Order didn’t think it was really her, and the Death Eaters knew she was a scary good dueler, so a bunch of the group got impulsive and forced her to approach the prophecy, while the others stood by and said nothing.  The room went dark and cold, everyone suddenly felt like crying, and then she was gone, taken by the Dementers.  The room returned to normal and the group stood in shock.  What had they just done?  She was a Member of the Order of the Phoenix!

Day 2

“Molly, No!” cried Lupin.  “What have we done?”  He sank down with his head in his hands.  It seemed like there was a long time where nothing happened.  Everyone else stood around looking at each other, as if they couldn’t take in the new information.  Then out of nowhere there was a sudden intense flash of white followed by a criss-crossing of beams of colored light that were gone an instant later.  Everyone had spots before their eyes and couldn’t see anything for a few moments.  When their eyes had recovered they were shocked to see someone lying on the floor. 
Ron (aka e). There was no mark on him to show how he had died.  “The Avada Kedavra curse,” whispered Sirius.  Ron didn’t change appearance, so he must have been himself, not an imposter.  He was a Member of the Order of the Phoenix.  Hermione  and Ginny were crying as Prof. McGonagall pointed her wand at the body.  It rose about a foot in the air and floated under her direction to a spot against the far wall.  Kingsley covered it with his cloak.  Hermione became overwhelmed with grief. “You can’t die, you never kissed me! I mean, how long does it take you boys to make a move? I waited for three years you pimple-headed dunce! What were you waiting for? You should really have read a book about girls or love. In fact there should be a class just for boys, called 'How to Interact with Girls.' You know who could teach that class? Snape or Filch. You know why? Because both of them have 100 times more game than you have when it comes to the ladies!”  She sobbed and Harry put his arm around her shoulders and talked to her softly.  “We need you Hermione, you’re the smartest one here.  Help us!”  She nodded tearfully and stood up straighter, though pale.   Luna came over and handed her a piece of chocolate.  “This fell out of Ron’s pocket, I hope it helps.”

The arguments were abruptly interrupted when a flock of owls swooped in with that day’s mail.  But the owls swooped out again when they felt the magic around the Arch, leaving only Hermione’s Daily Prophet with this news: Vote Count 2.3

Harry got fed up with Hermione’s campaign against him and tried to shut her down with
Silencio.  She dodged it easily, however, and gave him a look like “that’s the best you’ve got?”

Harry fought valiantly. Dogged in his own defense, but ultimately not persuasive. He couldn’t believe his ears when the hammer fell.  He was the Chosen One, the only one who could hear the prophecy.  They were all here fighting over the prophecy, and now they kill him?  What about all those times he faced Voldemort and won? What about The Boy Who Lived?  All those adventures with Hermione, and now she leads the charge against him?  He struggled mightily against the ropes conjured around him by Sirius, but it was in vain.  He was pushed across the line and ...  sucked into the Death Arch!  Just before he fell out of view, his true form revealed itself.  That wasn’t Harry, it was
Bellatrix Lestrange, Death Eater Goon (aka Roadrunner7671)[/b]!! 

“See, I knew that couldn’t be Harry,” said Hermione.  “He wasn’t acting like himself.  And you know what, Luna and Sirius are starting to seem suspicious too....”

"Someone wake up Lupin and tell him what happened," said Professor McGonagall.

“This means we don’t know what happened to the real Harry!” exclaimed Ginny.  “Maybe he isn’t actually dead!”  The adults in the group didn’t look optimistic about this, but Ginny was determined to hold onto that thread of hope. 

In utter disbelief, Mad Eye stared at the body in front of him. How could he not have seen through this facade? Was he getting sentimental in his old age? He had sworn to protect Harry, the Boy Who Lived, but should he not have known him well enough to be able to tell him and Bellatrix Lestrange apart? Lestrange of all people...

This was a wake up call. He had become too trusting. Anyone here could still be the enemy. Everyone needs to be on their watch. Mad Eye crept up behind Kingsley, Tonks, Sirius and then Professor McGonagall  and shouted at each of them “CONSTANT VIGILANCE!” Professor McGonagall was startled and checked her surroundings to see if anyone was nearby . Sirius was annoyed and said without turning around, “Moody, please...”  Kingsley’s reaction was most unexpected.  He yelled “Kill them all!”  Tonks just ignored him.  She’d known her mentor for too long to be surprised by such antics.  The only sign that she had noticed was that her hair briefly flared orange before returning to the teal blue she had been wearing, and were those whiskers? 

Day 3

This time when the flash of light came it was accompanied by a loud bang, and all ten fell to the ground momentarily unconscious.  When they awoke, there was a muffled yell about a library, several streaks of colored light, and then all was still.  Only seven people got up again.  Hermione, Sirius and Neville were all sprawled on the floor, not moving.  Then
Sirius (aka Awaclus) began to transform - into Lucius Malfoy the Death Eater Goon! Everyone else was stunned (or pretending to be). Hermione (aka yuma) was holding keys in her hand, symbolizing her role as the Order’s Caretaker.  Neville (aka Witherweaver) had a large bar of chocolate lying next to him on the floor.  He was the Order’s Healer.   He also had a note folded in his hand:  "My only regret is... that I have... boneitis."  A couple people chuckled fondly, everyone else looked really confused.  They tossed Malfoy's body into the Arch and laid Hermione and Neville next to Ron.
The owls came again trying to deliver the mail, but were once again scared away by the magic of the Arch.  One owl dropped a cylindrical package that landed on Lupin’s head and fell to the floor.  He picked it up and unrolled it.  It was the latest issue of
The Quibbler and these were the headlines:

“Singer Stubby Boardman missing and presumed dead”
"Scandal afield! Rumors flying that golden snitch actually pyrite!"
"New Muggle-Wizard Business Partnership Launches First
Spell-powered Car Prototype for Mass Production"[/i]
[/b]

Lupin exclaimed,  "What in the name of Godric Gryffindor? Of course the Snitch isn't made of pyrite, it's made of a high-quality spell-iminium, it's the only substance that can contain the power of the charms it has to have on it! Everybody knows that, seriously."  He tossed the paper aside disdainfully.  "This is NOT the time."  Luna came over and picked up the magazine, tenderly smoothing it out and checking for bent pages.  "Never mind Professor, I'll take it. Daddy said this issue would have some astounding news.  Wait until he hears about the Death Eater impersonating Stubby Boardman!"

Initially several people were very keen to make Mad Eye Moody cross the line, but once it became clear that it was he who had successfully identified Sirius as an imposter, Mad Eye became trusted among the group.  He took command, as he had been itching to do all along, being a former Head of the Auror Office.  People were saddened by the deaths of Hermione and Neville, but took heart at the death of Malfoy.  Some people thought Lupin could be the third Death Eater, but in the end they settled on Kingsley.  Kingsley, being universally liked and trusted in the wizarding community, was not an obvious choice at first, but his protection of the fake Harry and his uncharacteristic seeming lack of attention in general made people suspicious.  And they were right! It was
Antonin Dolohov (aka gkrieg13), Death Eater Dueler who was sucked into the Death Arch.  Kingsley Shackelford had never been there at all.

Day 4

After Dolohov had disappeared behind the curtain, there was a bright flash of white light, a really loud bang, and thick smoke came out of the Arch and took several moments to dissipate.  When their vision had cleared, the group saw Luna -- on the other side of the line.  Luna seemed ridiculously unconcerned about her impending death.  “Daddy says you can always tell a serial killer because wrackspurts won't go in their ears.  I think the Department of Mysteries has a room dedicated to studying wrackspurts - you just have to find it.  Don’t worry about me, I’ll be fine.” Tonks and Lupin exchanged incredulous looks.  At that very moment a dirigible plum appeared over her head.  She grabbed on just as everyone felt the familiar depression that always announced the arrival of the Dementers.  The Dementers were angry.  They wanted a victim.  So as she was spirited away,
Luna (aka ashersky) cried out “Expecto Patronum!” and her hare Patronus shot from her wand and chased away the Dementers.  A quickly fading “I’m a Member of the Order of the Phoenix” was the last they heard from her. 

“Since the Dementers came, I guess we know she really was in the Order,” said Professor McGonagall.   

“And Luna’s Patronus
is a hare,” added Ginny. (It remains inexplicable why none of them thought then or earlier to force everyone to produce their Patronuses to prove who they were.)

... many hours later ...

Tonks (aka Joseph) was really
Dolores Umbridge, the Serial Killer!   She wasn't a Death Eater, but boy was she evil!  Guess she finally just snapped when the centaurs attacked her, and decided to kill everyone she could.

THE ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS!!
Title: Re: M71 - Harry Potter II: JK++ The ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WINS
Post by: Haddock on December 08, 2015, 12:17:40 pm
I love it.   ;D
Thanks again for running this, EFHW.