Dominion Strategy Forum

Miscellaneous => Forum Games => Non-Mafia Game Threads => Topic started by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 09:55:10 am

Title: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 09:55:10 am
Resistance: Avalon

Roles:

Good
Merlin: knows who the Evil players are
Percival: knows who Merlin is

Evil
Assassin: if Evil loses, names a player, and if that player is Merlin, Evil wins
Mordred: unknown to Merlin
Oberon: unknown to the other Evil players
Morgana: appears to Percival alongside Merlin

Wikipedia page (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Resistance_(game))

Players:
1. Tables
2. liopoil
3. Archetype
4. shraeye
5. Dsell
6. Twistedarcher
7. nkirbit
8. mail-mi
9. Qvist ashersky


Mission 1: 3 people - liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit - SUCCESS!
Mission 2: 4 people - liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi - FAILURE!
Mission 3: 4 people - liopoil, Archetype, nkirbit, ashersky - FAILURE!
Mission 4: 5 people - Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, ashersky - SUCCESS!
Mission 5: 5 people - Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, ashersky - FAILURE!



Mission 1, Proposal 1
Leader: nkirbit
Proposed Team: liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Votes
Accept: liopoil, Twistedarcher
Reject: Tables, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, mail-mi, Qvist ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 1, Proposal 2
Leader: mail-mi
Proposed Team: Dsell, Twistedarcher, mail-mi
Votes
Accept: Dsell, Twistedarcher, mail-mi
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, nkirbit, Qvist ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 1, Proposal 3
Leader: Qvist ashersky
Proposed Team: shraeye, Twistedarcher, Qvist ashersky
Votes
Accept: shraeye, Twistedarcher, mail-mi, ashersky
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, Dsell, nkirbit
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 1, Proposal 4
Leader: Tables
Proposed Team: Tables, Dsell, nkirbit
Votes
Accept: Tables, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit
Reject: liopoil, Archetype, Twistedarcher, mail-mi, ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 1, Proposal 5
Leader: liopoil
Proposed Team: liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 3
Fail: 0
The Mission is a Success!



Mission 2, Proposal 1
Leader: Archetype
Proposed Team: liopoil, Archetype, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Votes
Accept: liopoil, Archetype, Dsell
Reject: Tables, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 2, Proposal 2
Leader: shraeye
Proposed Team: liopoil, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Votes
Accept: Dsell, Twistedarcher
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 2, Proposal 3
Leader: Dsell
Proposed Team: shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Votes
Accept: Dsell
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 2, Proposal 4
Leader: Twistedarcher
Proposed Team: liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi
Votes
Accept: liopoil, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, mail-mi
Reject: Tables, Archetype, nkirbit, ashersky
Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 3
Fail: 1
The Mission is a Failure!



Mission 3, Proposal 1
Leader: nkirbit
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Votes
Accept: Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Dsell, mail-mi, ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 3, Proposal 2
Leader: mail-mi
Proposed Team: shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, mail-mi
Votes
Accept: mail-mi
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 3, Proposal 3
Leader: ashersky
Proposed Team: liopoil, shraeye, nkirbit, ashersky
Votes
Accept: liopoil, ashersky
Reject: Tables, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 3, Proposal 4
Leader: Tables
Proposed Team: Tables, liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Votes
Accept: Tables, shraeye, Twistedarcher 
Reject: liopoil, Archetype, Dsell, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 3, Proposal 5
Leader: liopoil
Proposed Team: liopoil, Archetype, nkirbit, ashersky
Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 3
Fail: 1
The Mission is a Failure!



Mission 4, Proposal 1
Leader: Archetype
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, ashersky
Votes
Accept: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, ashersky
Reject: Twistedarcher, mail-mi
Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 5
Fail: 0
The Mission is a Success!



Mission 5, Proposal 1
Leader: shraeye
Proposed Team: Tables, Archetype, shraeye, nkirbit, ashersky
Votes
Accept: Tables, shraeye, ashersky 
Reject: liopoil, Archetype, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 5, Proposal 2
Leader: Dsell
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Votes
Accept: Archetype, Dsell 
Reject: Tables, liopoil, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky
Proposal is rejected.


Mission 5, Proposal 3
Leader: Twistedarcher
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, ashersky
Votes
Accept: liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, ashersky 
Reject: Tables, nkirbit, mail-mi
Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 4
Fail: 1
The Mission is a Failure!

The Evil Team wins!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Tables on June 11, 2013, 10:03:00 am
/in

7 players is generally the sweet spot for Resistance, so I'd like those.

I've found that Mordred + Percival + LotL is resistance sided, but Mordred + Percival seems okay, or Morgana + LotL. I'll probably go with any setup.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: liopoil on June 11, 2013, 10:09:09 am
hmmm, interesting. /in.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: shraeye on June 11, 2013, 11:49:35 am
Why is 'unknown' written like that?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Archetype on June 11, 2013, 12:02:06 pm
Why is 'unknown' written like that?
I guess it'll have to stay unkn[/i]own.

/in
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 12:06:06 pm
Why is 'unknown' written like that?

(http://gfbrobot.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Avalon-Mordred-300x225.jpg)

http://boardgamegeek.com/thread/864435/riddled-with-typos-a-first-impression-revised
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: shraeye on June 11, 2013, 12:09:55 pm
Now I understand.  And now I hope to be an 'Unkown' character.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 12:10:52 pm
Now I understand.  And now I hope to be an 'Unkown' character.

I'm taking that as an /in and requesting at least one of Mordred and Oberon.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: shraeye on June 11, 2013, 12:17:27 pm
I formally request both!  at the same time!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 12:19:14 pm
I formally request both!  at the same time!

If we get at least 7 players and no formal requests to the contrary, consider it done.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Dsell on June 11, 2013, 12:26:40 pm
I think I will /in this.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Twistedarcher on June 11, 2013, 12:27:30 pm
/in
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: liopoil on June 11, 2013, 12:27:39 pm
oh we're requesting? and we can request two things at once? I'd like to be the assassin and percival at the same time, thanks.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 12:29:44 pm
oh we're requesting? and we can request two things at once? I'd like to be the assassin and percival at the same time, thanks.

I'm taking requests for what roles should or shouldn't be in the game, and I interpreted shraeye's request as such. Roles will of course be distributed entirely randomly.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 12:31:39 pm
Also, I'd like to know if the people would prefer I restrict the number of players to something smaller than 10, or are happy for me to keep taking sign-ups if we pass 7 or 8.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Dsell on June 11, 2013, 12:32:29 pm
I think 7 or 8 is nice, and a bit less to read... :P
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: liopoil on June 11, 2013, 12:32:45 pm
I assumed they would, I mean, if they weren't, that wouldn't work at all. I don't know any other roles, these look fine though.

for number of people, probably no more than 9.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: shraeye on June 11, 2013, 12:36:58 pm
oh we're requesting? and we can request two things at once? I'd like to be the assassin and percival at the same time, thanks.

I'm taking requests for what roles should or shouldn't be in the game, and I interpreted shraeye's request as such. Roles will of course be distributed entirely randomly.

Oh, well I don't care what's in the game, as long as I get ALL of the cool roles.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: liopoil on June 11, 2013, 12:39:04 pm
...says the guy who's running VANILLA resistance right now...
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 12:40:23 pm
...says the guy who's running VANILLA resistance right now...

+1
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 12:43:04 pm
Full disclosure, if we get at least 7 players and there aren't any strong objections, I'll probably put all of the listed roles in and if necessary combine the Assassin with one of the other Evil roles.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: shraeye on June 11, 2013, 12:46:01 pm
...says the guy who's running VANILLA resistance right now...
Right.  The only cool role in Vanilla Resistance is mod.  And I have it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: nkirbit on June 11, 2013, 02:55:15 pm
/in.  All the roles possible!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: nkirbit on June 11, 2013, 02:59:05 pm
But not plot cards.  TA had been telling me for months that I need to play with plot cards, and I finally did in a few games I played with him, and they ruined every single game :(
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Dsell on June 11, 2013, 04:20:39 pm
I prefer no plot cards too, at least for this game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: mail-mi on June 11, 2013, 04:37:37 pm
/innnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: Qvist on June 11, 2013, 06:58:11 pm
/in
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups open)
Post by: liopoil on June 11, 2013, 07:09:07 pm
wow, I think that's 9 already!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Tables on June 11, 2013, 09:41:33 pm
I like the idea of Oberon + Mordred. With 9 players I'd quite like to add Percival - 9 player is pretty tough on Resistance as there's a lot of extra variables, even if the spy numbers stay the same. You might want to add in Morgana as well to maybe pull it a little more back towards 50/50 (Since this would be 3 special spies, Mordred doubling as assassin is the BGG PBF norm if you have three special minion roles).

So:

Mordred-Assassin
Morgana
Oberon
Merlin
Percival
Loyal Servant
Loyal Servant
Loyal Servant
Loyal Servant
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 09:42:48 pm
Due to requests to limit the player count to less than 10, I have closed signups at 9. Others are welcome to be a backup in case someone drops out, and if there's enough interest someone can always run another game. At this stage the set-up will be:

Merlin
Percival
Loyal Servant of Arthur
Loyal Servant of Arthur
Loyal Servant of Arthur
Loyal Servant of Arthur
Mordred/Assassin
Morgana
Oberon


No Plot Cards or Lady of the Lake or Excalibur.

Absent any major objections, we should be ready to go when the other game finishes.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Tables on June 11, 2013, 09:57:40 pm
Hm, that post was made 1 minute after mine... did I change your mind on the setup, confirm what you wanted to do, or did you barely notice my post while posting :P?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 11, 2013, 10:02:57 pm
I changed the Assassin from Morgana to Mordred, but other than that it would have been the same.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 12, 2013, 08:57:13 am
Here's a crude but handy little diagram showing what information each power role gets.

(http://i.imgur.com/ngkbl75.png)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: shraeye on June 12, 2013, 10:38:29 am
What!?! So I CAN'T be all the cool roles at the same time???  That's rude rude rude.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 12, 2013, 10:41:37 am
What!?! So I CAN'T be all the cool roles at the same time???  That's rude rude rude.

Fine, just for you, I'll give you a roughly 11% chance of being both Mordred AND the Assassin. Don't tell anyone!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: shraeye on June 12, 2013, 10:48:57 am
Ok, mum's the word.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: mail-mi on June 12, 2013, 12:15:57 pm
Here's a crude but handy little diagram showing what information each power role gets.

(http://i.imgur.com/ngkbl75.png)
Let me get this straight: Perceval thinks Merlin or Morgana could be Merlin, right?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 12, 2013, 03:07:56 pm
Let me get this straight: Perceval thinks Merlin or Morgana could be Merlin, right?

That's correct. He will receive two names in his PM and will know one is Merlin and the other Morgana, but not which is which.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: mail-mi on June 12, 2013, 03:11:29 pm
Let me get this straight: Perceval thinks Merlin or Morgana could be Merlin, right?

That's correct. He will receive two names in his PM and will know one is Merlin and the other Morgana, but not which is which.
Okay kewl.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 17, 2013, 02:42:28 am
As mentioned in the V/LA thread, my computer's not working, so I probably won't get this going until that's been resolved.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 24, 2013, 03:49:24 am
With the other game in the process of finishing, I'd like to start this as soon as I have constant access to a computer, which will hopefully be by this weekend or not much after.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Tables on June 26, 2013, 10:36:32 pm
Yay!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 27, 2013, 02:28:42 am
Should be good to start on Monday. Can I get a PM from every player to confirm that you're still in please? I'll send out PMs some time over the weekend.

Question to those more experienced than me: what do you think of the balance of the game? Would it be better or worse with the Lady of the Lake?

There will be a Specatator QT, PM me if you're interested.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Tables on June 29, 2013, 12:33:10 pm
I think LotL would make the game more balanced. I'd say currently it's a little spy sided. I'm not too experienced with 9 player but it tends to be spy sided by default, so LotL sounds good.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: liopoil on June 29, 2013, 12:36:17 pm
Well, I have very little experience, and actually don't know what lady of the lake is, but I assume it helps resistance. My intuition says that spies have an advantage, so I agree with tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 29, 2013, 06:23:42 pm
Done. We'll use the Lady of the Lake.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 29, 2013, 06:31:46 pm
Off the top of my head, the person to the right of the original leader starts the game with the LotL token. After the 2nd, 3rd and 4th missions, whoever has the token passes it to anyone else who has not had the token before, and they get to see their alignment (ie Good or Evil).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 29, 2013, 06:33:05 pm
Also, I think we might be ready to start some time this afternoon (Australian time, so the middle of the night forum time).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: liopoil on June 29, 2013, 06:35:25 pm
cool!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on June 30, 2013, 10:12:02 pm
The room is silent as nine figures take their seats around the Round Table. Suspicion is everywhere. Arthur has ordered this Council. He has missions that must be undertaken, and at least three of them succeeded in order for him to take his rightful place on the throne. But evil is among the group, in the form of the elusive Mordred, the wily Morgana, and the rogue Oberon. There is hope for those loyal to Arthur, though, since the powerful wizard Merlin and his heroic friend Percival are also present. Everyone is disguised, of course. The Loyal Servants of Arthur must discover the identities of the Mordred and his Minions before it is too later, and with the aid of Merlin's knowledge. But they must be careful, since Mordred is never without a backup plan, and should he discover the identity of Merlin and assassinate him by the end of the Council, not even succeeding Arthur's missions will help his ascent to the throne.

Player order is as follows:

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit
mail-mi
Qvist


I will always list players in player order.

Each leader will have 48 hours to propose a team for the current quest, by posting Propose: Player1, Player2, Player3 in-thread. Players will then have 24 hours to vote Approve or Reject by PM to me. If the proposal is approved by receiving at least 5 Approve votes, then each player on the mission will have 24 hours to send Succeed or Fail by PM to me. I will then announce how many Successes and how many Fails were played. Each mission requires only one Fail to fail, except mission 4, which requires two. The above deadlines will not have strict punishments, but players will be expected to adhere to them unless they have a valid IRL reason why they can't. Repeated or extended delays without explanation from any player may result in me looking for a substitute.

The player immediately before the first leader on mission 1 will start the game with the Lady of the Lake token. After the second, third and fourth missions, the player with the LoTL token will have 24 hours to use it by posting LoTL: Player in thread. I will respond to this by informing the player who played the token of the alignment of the player they played it on. That player does not need to respond in any way. The token will then be passed on the player it was played on. It can only be played on a player who has not had the LotL token before.

Most importantly:

No communication by players about this game outside of this thread. This includes to other f.ds members (other than myself of course).

No discussion of role card artwork or role PM flavour.



The missions are as follows:

Mission 1: 3 people
Mission 2: 4 people
Mission 3: 4 people
Mission 4: 5 people (two fails required to fail)
Mission 5: 5 people


random.org has selected nkirbit to be our first leader, which means Twistedarcher will begin the game with the Lady of the Lake token.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher (LotL)
nkirbit
mail-mi
Qvist


(Colours in this case indicate potential leaders for this mission.)

nkirbit has 48 hours to propose a team of three people to go on the first mission.

Game on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Archetype on June 30, 2013, 10:39:58 pm
Wooo

Ok, so what exactly does LotL do? I've only played the Base game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: nkirbit on June 30, 2013, 10:53:56 pm
Hi guys!

How I believe the LotL works (never actually having played with it)

At the end of round 2, TA will pass the token to a player of his choice, at which point he will be told if that player is resistance or spy.  That player then will, at the end of round 3, pass the token to a player, and learn their alignment.  Once a player uses the token, he will never be eligible to have it used on him again, so TA is never an eligible target.

I will come back with my team soon.  There's really not much to say before we see at least one vote, so I don't want to wait too long.  I'll give you a sneak preview, though:  I'm going to put myself on the team!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Twistedarcher on June 30, 2013, 10:59:57 pm
Woohoo. I have power :D
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Twistedarcher on June 30, 2013, 11:07:36 pm
Now, normally, I'd just reject any proposal for Mission 1 that I'm not on. It's what I always do.

Since I'm LotL, though...I'm assuming it probably makes more sense to me to be off the mission, then I could potentially check someone out who's on the mission if it fails. So I may consider missions that don't have me on them.

Do people think that me being LotL means that I probably shouldn't go on the first mission?

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Archetype on June 30, 2013, 11:44:15 pm
I have no read on you, TA. So I don't know how you should handle LotL yet. I'll be rejecting all Mission 1 proposals as well since I'm the 5th person in line.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 01, 2013, 01:52:37 am
I have not read everything yet but put me on the mission!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Dsell on July 01, 2013, 01:58:25 am
Now, normally, I'd just reject any proposal for Mission 1 that I'm not on. It's what I always do.

Since I'm LotL, though...I'm assuming it probably makes more sense to me to be off the mission, then I could potentially check someone out who's on the mission if it fails. So I may consider missions that don't have me on them.

Do people think that me being LotL means that I probably shouldn't go on the first mission?

I would think if you are resistance you have even more incentive to be on the mission because if it fails you have a better chance of finding who failed it, correct? And by being on it you may scare any spies on the mission into passing it, which is fine by me.

So I would say I think you should be on it, except that I find your logic the tiniest bit suspect. Or perhaps I am thinking about it wrong/misunderstanding? (This is my first game with any Avalon powers, for the record.)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Tables on July 01, 2013, 09:07:54 am
Hi guys!

How I believe the LotL works (never actually having played with it)

At the end of round 2, TA will pass the token to a player of his choice, at which point he will be told if that player is resistance or spy.  That player then will, at the end of round 3, pass the token to a player, and learn their alignment.  Once a player uses the token, he will never be eligible to have it used on him again, so TA is never an eligible target.

I can confirm this is correct. Note a common error: It's at the end of the second round the LotL is first used, not the end of the first. I note this mostly for other player's benefits, nkirbit is correct here.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 01, 2013, 09:13:43 am
Right mission proposal stuff:

We want to ideally learn something about Twistedarcher and Liopoil's loyalties before the end of the first mission. Naturally this is very hard to do, but it's possible to learn something. TA because he has Lady of the Lake, and Liopoil because he has the fifth proposal. That might not sound important, but it can be: If the first four proposals get shot down, which isn't unlikely, then Liopoil will have free reign to propose whatever team he wants, which as a spy, is a pretty much guaranteed fail, and even as Resistance, puts him in a precarious position.

Checking TA seems a bigger priority to me, though. If either proposal 4 or 5 passes in mission 1, then he'll have or be near hammer for mission 2, and THEN gets to check someone, which if he's a spy, is very not good for us.

The best way to try and get a read on someone is seeing voting patterns, for them on or off mission. On mission is more valuable. I would suggest proposals on mission 1 including at least one of these two, at least up to about the 4th proposal (which incidentally is me) or maybe 3rd (Qvist).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 01, 2013, 09:29:11 am
If either proposal 4 or 5 passes in mission 1, then he'll have or be near hammer for mission 2, and THEN gets to check someone, which if he's a spy, is very not good for us.
I'm confused about what this means.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 01, 2013, 10:05:42 am
In general, the later someone proposes in a round, the more dangerous it is and more beneficial for them: The last proposal can't be voted down (meaningfully anyway), so it must go ahead, so that person has the 'hammer', the effectively free choice of who to send. Typically, the last two proposals are most likely to be sent - it's in the Resistance's best interest to get information, which means often not sending risky missions until later in a round. And almost every mission is risky.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: liopoil on July 01, 2013, 11:29:46 am
I'll be rejecting all Mission 1 proposals as well since I'm the 5th person in line.
no you aren't, I am! :)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 01, 2013, 12:14:56 pm
Oh, I get it at the end of round 2, not this one, oops.

Dsell, I was talking about LotL generally, not in my case. Of course, I want to be on any and every mission, but I'm not sure how it goes generally.

Tables, I get your point about wanting to learn information about myself, but I disagree about Liopoil. The thing is, in order to learn anything about it, we'll need to send a mission with him on it. At this point, it's moot that he has the fifth proposal on the first mission. We will be sending the first mission with no information, and it's only this first information that Liopoil has the last proposal all. There's really nothing we can do about getting information on him for the first mission. We should be more concerned with setting it up so that the fifth proposal for the SECOND mission goes on the first mission, if we are going to set it up like that. Learning about Liopoil's alignment will be futile.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 01, 2013, 12:16:09 pm
Oh, I see what you're saying, about learning stuff from voting patterns on the first mission. I'm not too optimistic about that being useful, really, especially if Lio is told that we're watching his voting patterns carefully!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 01, 2013, 12:30:54 pm
If it does go to the 5th mission, then arch will be the first leader next round, and nkirbit will be the 5th. I agree that the 5th leader for mission 2 should be in mission 1, for the most part. So unless I see a good reason not to, my proposal will be myself, nkirbit, and one other person, perhaps TA because he is LotL.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 01, 2013, 12:31:44 pm
There's more than just Lio's voting patterns to watch. I agree that it's much harder to learn much in the first mission, but from the second onwards, we should be very careful about the hammer.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 01, 2013, 12:34:25 pm
we should watch ALL of the voting patterns! just maybe look at some of them closer than others...
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 01, 2013, 01:14:20 pm
propose team:  nkirbit, twistedarcher, liopoil
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 01, 2013, 01:20:24 pm
hmmmmm. I'm not sure..... on one hand, I want to be on the mission, and by rejecting, there is a chance a proposal will be passed in 2-4 without me on it. on the other hand, there are also fewer things to look at if we accept this.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 01, 2013, 01:25:22 pm
Sure
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (signups closed)
Post by: Archetype on July 01, 2013, 01:37:17 pm
I'll be rejecting all Mission 1 proposals as well since I'm the 5th person in line.
no you aren't, I am! :)
Oh, haha you're right! My mistake.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 01, 2013, 01:38:56 pm
Hello resistance!

Hey, there's a mission, and I'm not on it! Guess who's rejecting this mission? (hint: his name starts with m and ends with ail-mi.)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Qvist on July 01, 2013, 02:28:52 pm
Hello resistance!

Hey, there's a mission, and I'm not on it! Guess who's rejecting this mission? (hint: his name starts with m and ends with ail-mi.)

Guess who's Merlin!? His name starts with Q and... oops.

I'm not in the mission, I will most likely reject it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 01, 2013, 02:33:38 pm
I think one of the differences about the first mission in a game this large is that there's 3 people on the mission, not 2.

Normally, with 2 people on the mission, it's easy to take the stance of "It's either myself and the guy nominating, or I reject, no questions asked".

With the question of a third person, though, it's a bit more complicated. Sure, it should still be yourself and the guy nominating, no matter your alignment. But who's the third person?

I think Liopoil is a decent choice, given he's the hammer. I think I'd be a decent choice, given I'm LotL. Any other suggestions for who that "third person" should be, or do people think it should be fairly random?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 01, 2013, 02:44:01 pm
I think one of the differences about the first mission in a game this large is that there's 3 people on the mission, not 2.

Normally, with 2 people on the mission, it's easy to take the stance of "It's either myself and the guy nominating, or I reject, no questions asked".

With the question of a third person, though, it's a bit more complicated. Sure, it should still be yourself and the guy nominating, no matter your alignment. But who's the third person?

I think Liopoil is a decent choice, given he's the hammer. I think I'd be a decent choice, given I'm LotL. Any other suggestions for who that "third person" should be, or do people think it should be fairly random?
Third person should be the one proposing the mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 01, 2013, 02:46:52 pm
I think one of the differences about the first mission in a game this large is that there's 3 people on the mission, not 2.

Normally, with 2 people on the mission, it's easy to take the stance of "It's either myself and the guy nominating, or I reject, no questions asked".

With the question of a third person, though, it's a bit more complicated. Sure, it should still be yourself and the guy nominating, no matter your alignment. But who's the third person?

I think Liopoil is a decent choice, given he's the hammer. I think I'd be a decent choice, given I'm LotL. Any other suggestions for who that "third person" should be, or do people think it should be fairly random?
Third person should be the one proposing the mission.

That's the second person!

There's yourself, the person proposing the mission, and then one more spot.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 01, 2013, 02:56:01 pm
The only way I'll accept a Mission 1 right of the bat would be full random.

So let's say I take:

Myself

Rolled 1d9 : 2, total 2

Rolled 1d9 : 3, total 3


and then whoever the dice randomly decide on from the player list:

1.Tables
2.liopoil
3.Archetype
4.shraeye
5.Dsell
6.Twistedarcher
7.nkirbit
8.mail-mi
9.Qvist

If the dice are duplicates or you roll you're own number, you of course have to do it again.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 01, 2013, 02:56:42 pm
I rolled myself...

Rolled 2d9 : 1, 4, total 5
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 01, 2013, 02:57:13 pm
And there you go.

I'd send myself, Dsell, and shraeye.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 01, 2013, 02:59:00 pm
And there you go.

I'd send myself, Dsell, and shraeye.
Oh wait. '5' is the total :P

It would be Me, Tables, and shraeye
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 01, 2013, 03:00:29 pm
I don't like full random. We can't analyze dice rolls. We CAN analyze who people choose to taken on missions, even they claim to do it randomly.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 01, 2013, 03:00:52 pm
wait, what, you're doing it wrong. you take a list 8 players, excluding yourself, and roll a d8 and d7, ommiting whatever you rolled on the d8 for the second roll. And why do you want full random?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 01, 2013, 03:07:13 pm
wait, what, you're doing it wrong. you take a list 8 players, excluding yourself, and roll a d8 and d7, ommiting whatever you rolled on the d8 for the second roll. And why do you want full random?
I wouldn't want to do full random, but I'd accept a full random mission since I know that the person sending the mission won't be trying to mislead us. So not really a double standard. But I hate Mission 1 anyway and full random seems the best way to handle it. But then I guess TA is right that there would be no interactions to analyze. But then the mission would be more likely to fail since Spies could have tampered with it. And of course Merlin knows better.

Never mind. Not a good idea.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 01, 2013, 03:39:39 pm
I don't mind full random for one reason: Two or more spies may end up on the mission, and that is generally a very very good thing for the resistance since they have no communication. (Well ok, another reason is that as resistance it is often really hard to choose who to put on the first mission, but that shouldn't be FULL random). The downside is that there is much less to analyze, and since we're playing via forum I prefer having things to go back and analyze.

I would very much like to be on the mission but I would like to be upfront about the fact that I don't always reject mission 1 even if I'm not on it...in my (non-forum) experience, mission 1 rarely fails, and if it does there is something juicy to analyze. I don't know how it goes with forum games, but when I play, very little meaning is put on the first mission--it usually passes (good for resistance) and it also gives virtually no information (good for spies).

If someone wants to try to convince me that I should strongly oppose any round 1 mission without me, I'm listening. I may still reject it, of course, but I don't have a habit of auto-rejecting.

That said, I'd still like to be on the mission. ;D
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 01, 2013, 03:57:37 pm
I agree that we shouldn't choose randomly, if only for the reason that it's less fun.  Play the game!  We're here to make choices.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Qvist on July 01, 2013, 04:03:09 pm
Yeah, I agree. Please do not choose fully random.
How can we read the choices otherwise!?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 01, 2013, 04:16:10 pm
I agree with the idea that TA should probably be on the mission, as LOTL.  If it creates a disincentive for spies to fail the mission, that's awesome, as we're 1/3rd of the way to winning.

In my experience with larger games (spy team of 3+) failing the first mission is much, much more viable for spies than it is in smaller games.  So any way we can pass missions is great.. and a plan we should take.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 01, 2013, 04:34:24 pm
Choosing randomly means you don't want to give away any information about yourself. Guess who doesn't want to give away information about themselves? Hint: Three of them are spies, the other needs to do it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 02, 2013, 02:22:04 am
Could I see a quick synopsis (from nkirbit or otherwise) of why Liopoil and TwistedArcher were chosen as the other people to go on the mission? I have impressions but I'd like to see the reasons spelled out, or, if it's essentially random, I'd like to hear that.

It seems to me that we will need more time, so I expect I will be rejecting this mission proposal.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 02, 2013, 02:24:05 am
I do want TA to go on the mission.. I think he should because he's the LOTL, and having him on the mission could be an incentive for spies not to fail, which is good.

Myself is obvious enough.

Lio was a pretty arbitrary choice.  I don't expect this mission to pass, so didn't put much thought into it and pretty much just picked someone.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 02, 2013, 02:28:25 am
I do want TA to go on the mission.. I think he should because he's the LOTL, and having him on the mission could be an incentive for spies not to fail, which is good.

Myself is obvious enough.

Lio was a pretty arbitrary choice.  I don't expect this mission to pass, so didn't put much thought into it and pretty much just picked someone.

LOTL activates after round 2, though, correct? I was misunderstanding that when I made my initial assessment, which makes me think him being on mission 1 is less beneficial. Maybe it still helps though? I am not sure.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 02, 2013, 02:34:08 am
Yeah, it does, so it's not as helpful as it would be if it is round 1.  Still, I have no reason to trust any player over any other at this point except for TA, since I know he's the LOTL.  And I think it makes more sense to put him on than off.  2/3 of the time it will help, and 1/3 of the time it will hurt.. may as well play the odds.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 02, 2013, 08:58:51 am
I do want TA to go on the mission.. I think he should because he's the LOTL, and having him on the mission could be an incentive for spies not to fail, which is good.

Myself is obvious enough.

Lio was a pretty arbitrary choice.  I don't expect this mission to pass, so didn't put much thought into it and pretty much just picked someone.
I thought that incentive was tied to Twisted being able to check the others on the mission, which happens after round 2 and not this round.  Right now I'm reading things and just trying to form up some solid thoughts.  The only thing that I have is a suspicious feeling for Twisted's posts.  Right now there are two people who keep jumping in with "Hey guys, this is helpful" attitudes.  That's Tables and Twisted.  Reading both of their posts, Tables looks informative, Twisted looks "helpful" in that special sort of scum way.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 02, 2013, 08:59:49 am
Yeah, it does, so it's not as helpful as it would be if it is round 1.  Still, I have no reason to trust any player over any other at this point except for TA, since I know he's the LOTL.  And I think it makes more sense to put him on than off.  2/3 of the time it will help, and 1/3 of the time it will hurt.. may as well play the odds.
Why is Twisted haveing LOTL  a reason to trust him?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 02, 2013, 09:00:58 am
If it does go to the 5th mission, then arch will be the first leader next round, and nkirbit will be the 5th. I agree that the 5th leader for mission 2 should be in mission 1, for the most part. So unless I see a good reason not to, my proposal will be myself, nkirbit, and one other person, perhaps TA because he is LotL.
I think you should wait until you're up to decide this.  There will be plenty of reasons to change your proposal, based on what everybody is saying; and also based on the missions that have been suggested and voted on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 02, 2013, 11:26:39 am
I do want TA to go on the mission.. I think he should because he's the LOTL, and having him on the mission could be an incentive for spies not to fail, which is good.

Myself is obvious enough.

Lio was a pretty arbitrary choice.  I don't expect this mission to pass, so didn't put much thought into it and pretty much just picked someone.
I thought that incentive was tied to Twisted being able to check the others on the mission, which happens after round 2 and not this round.  Right now I'm reading things and just trying to form up some solid thoughts.  The only thing that I have is a suspicious feeling for Twisted's posts.  Right now there are two people who keep jumping in with "Hey guys, this is helpful" attitudes.  That's Tables and Twisted.  Reading both of their posts, Tables looks informative, Twisted looks "helpful" in that special sort of scum way.

You just always find me scummy :(

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 02, 2013, 11:58:59 am
Yeah, it does, so it's not as helpful as it would be if it is round 1.  Still, I have no reason to trust any player over any other at this point except for TA, since I know he's the LOTL.  And I think it makes more sense to put him on than off.  2/3 of the time it will help, and 1/3 of the time it will hurt.. may as well play the odds.
Why is Twisted haveing LOTL  a reason to trust him?

It's not a reason to trust him.  It's just the fact that if a spy is on a mission with TA, they may choose to not fail it because they're afraid of TA outing them later.  I want to make sure TA is on at least one of the two missions.. putting him on this is a good way to start.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 02, 2013, 12:40:19 pm
I have yet to receive all the votes. As of this post, the 24 hour deadline is just over 30 minutes away. If you have not voted for the current proposal, please do so ASAP.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 02, 2013, 12:46:44 pm
oh, yeah, I never made up my mind.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 02, 2013, 12:47:57 pm
If it does go to the 5th mission, then arch will be the first leader next round, and nkirbit will be the 5th. I agree that the 5th leader for mission 2 should be in mission 1, for the most part. So unless I see a good reason not to, my proposal will be myself, nkirbit, and one other person, perhaps TA because he is LotL.
I think you should wait until you're up to decide this.  There will be plenty of reasons to change your proposal, based on what everybody is saying; and also based on the missions that have been suggested and voted on.
well yeah, that's not set in stone or anything of course
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 02, 2013, 12:54:29 pm
Also I've just properly looked at the setup again. It's worth noting how splintered the spy team is. Two of them know each other, but the third is in the dark about both. That means double fails could happen, which is good. It also means Merlin knows one spy that nobody else knows. In fact, Merlin knows the spy that Percival also sort of knows, and an unknown that nobody knows.

I don't think this information is actionable just yet, but I think Merlin and Percival should bear it in mind, and the whole resistance team should watch out for any kind of communication or instruction between spies.

In fact, when a mission is approved, I STRONGLY advise radio silence until the result. This period in particular is the easiest time for spies (well, Mordred and Morgana) to co-ordinate fails, and total silence means they can't communicate without essentially outing themselves. The small time we lose for communicating ourselves is of minimal consequence, I think.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 02, 2013, 01:00:52 pm
good points. Agree with silence after mission has been approved, although, the spies can't really have a secret code or anything anyway.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 02, 2013, 01:15:42 pm
I agree with Tables. I know in the last game we didn't have it, but we really should have.

I'm also failing the proposed mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 02, 2013, 01:16:14 pm
Failing = Declining :P
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 02, 2013, 01:26:40 pm
I agree with Tables. I know in the last game we didn't have it, but we really should have.

I'm also failing the proposed mission.
OMGOSH failing = obvspy!! vote: arche!

Anyway, I think TA should be on the mission because he is LOTL.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 02, 2013, 01:38:31 pm
I agree with Tables. I know in the last game we didn't have it, but we really should have.

I'm also failing the proposed mission.
OMGOSH failing = obvspy!! vote: arche!

Anyway, I think TA should be on the mission because he is LOTL.
SCUMSLIIIIIIIIP

I agree TA should be on the mission, but its better to gather information so we see who he should go with.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 02, 2013, 02:14:04 pm
I'd just like to confirm, as Merlin, that Archetype is a spy and that was indeed a scumslip.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 02, 2013, 02:14:25 pm
Assassin: Come at me bro.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 02, 2013, 02:26:09 pm
I am super fine with TA being on one or both of the next missions. I'd say put him on mission 1, and if it passes he's practically a lock for mission 2, since if that fails he'll have a slightly smaller pool to investigate. If mission 1 fails, though, I see no reason to put him on the second.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 02, 2013, 02:43:18 pm
Assassin: Come at me bro.
Ok

Still a o k with TA being on the first mission. Not sure about the second mission too, But we'll have to see results from the first.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 02, 2013, 06:44:39 pm

In fact, when a mission is approved, I STRONGLY advise radio silence until the result.
agree 100%
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 02, 2013, 06:45:05 pm
Yeah, it does, so it's not as helpful as it would be if it is round 1.  Still, I have no reason to trust any player over any other at this point except for TA, since I know he's the LOTL.  And I think it makes more sense to put him on than off.  2/3 of the time it will help, and 1/3 of the time it will hurt.. may as well play the odds.
Why is Twisted haveing LOTL  a reason to trust him?

It's not a reason to trust him.  It's just the fact that if a spy is on a mission with TA, they may choose to not fail it because they're afraid of TA outing them later.  I want to make sure TA is on at least one of the two missions.. putting him on this is a good way to start.
But see, you said exactly that...so that's why I'm confused.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 02, 2013, 06:46:44 pm
Assassin: Come at me bro.
Oh man i so wish I could +1 this.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 02, 2013, 08:18:30 pm
Yeah, it does, so it's not as helpful as it would be if it is round 1.  Still, I have no reason to trust any player over any other at this point except for TA, since I know he's the LOTL.  And I think it makes more sense to put him on than off.  2/3 of the time it will help, and 1/3 of the time it will hurt.. may as well play the odds.
Why is Twisted haveing LOTL  a reason to trust him?

It's not a reason to trust him.  It's just the fact that if a spy is on a mission with TA, they may choose to not fail it because they're afraid of TA outing them later.  I want to make sure TA is on at least one of the two missions.. putting him on this is a good way to start.
But see, you said exactly that...so that's why I'm confused.

Haha, fair enough.  I meant entrust in the first paragraph I suppose, as in I want to send him on the mission more than anyone else. 
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 02, 2013, 10:03:22 pm
Mission 1, Proposal 1

Leader: nkirbit
Proposed Team: liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit

Votes
Accept: liopoil, Twistedarcher
Reject: Tables, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, mail-mi, Qvist

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher (LotL)
nkirbit
mail-mi
Qvist


mail-mi is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 3 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 02, 2013, 10:09:46 pm
Well, I guess we don't really learn anything from that one...

Lio, why accept when you had the fifth mission? Are you happy with Nkirbit on the team?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 02, 2013, 10:09:58 pm
hmmmmm. I'm not sure..... on one hand, I want to be on the mission, and by rejecting, there is a chance a proposal will be passed in 2-4 without me on it. on the other hand, there are also fewer things to look at if we accept this.
Could you show your final thought process when you decided to accept?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 02, 2013, 11:30:12 pm
I am curious why nkirbit chose to reject his mission?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 02, 2013, 11:54:43 pm
I am curious why nkirbit chose to reject his mission?

Two reasons:

One, I want more information.  I don't expect to gather much information this round, but there's always the chance that a spy slips up and makes an obviously bad vote.

Two, I want the fifth proposal here to be accepted, so I will be in line to be the fifth player the next time around.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 03, 2013, 12:09:20 am
Two, I want the fifth proposal here to be accepted, so I will be in line to be the fifth player the next time around.
Why would you want to be the 5th player in line?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 03, 2013, 01:40:22 am
Two, I want the fifth proposal here to be accepted, so I will be in line to be the fifth player the next time around.
Why would you want to be the 5th player in line?

Last player gets to be the one to force the mission through, should it come to that.  It means I can put me on the mission, because I trust me!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 03, 2013, 02:17:20 am
Two, I want the fifth proposal here to be accepted, so I will be in line to be the fifth player the next time around.
Why would you want to be the 5th player in line?

Last player gets to be the one to force the mission through, should it come to that.  It means I can put me on the mission, because I trust me!
I know the last mission is an auto-pass, but why should it be you that does it?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 03, 2013, 02:22:15 am
Two, I want the fifth proposal here to be accepted, so I will be in line to be the fifth player the next time around.
Why would you want to be the 5th player in line?

Last player gets to be the one to force the mission through, should it come to that.  It means I can put me on the mission, because I trust me!
I know the last mission is an auto-pass, but why should it be you that does it?

Well, his point is that it's in his best interest for it to be him, ie why he voted against his own mission. Which, sure, could make some sense if he thought it was unlikely to pass anyway.

Also, mail-mi, I would like to be on the mission!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 03, 2013, 02:48:16 am
eh, yeah I guess. Now that I think about it, I would decline the mission too, but I don't think I would have the foresight of being on the final mission, which wouldn't be that big of a deal to me to be honest.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 03, 2013, 09:29:15 am
Lio's vote is the only one there that strikes me as a little odd, but I don't think I can really consider it suspicious - it doesn't seem like a good time to vote yes if he's Resistance, and it doesn't seem like a good time to vote no if he's a spy. So *right now* I don't think I can read anything into these votes.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 03, 2013, 09:39:43 am
I went back and forth a few times on my vote. My final reasoning:

I really like this mission. I agree with Lotl being on the mission, I'm on the mission, and I have absolutely no issue with nkirbit being on the mission. Yes, as I have control of the 5th mission, I can offer whatever mission I want and get it through. I don't think that the mission I propose could be much better than this one. However, by declining this mission, there is a very non-zero chance that there will be a proposal passed which I really don't like before it gets to me. The only con to accepting this mission is that we have less to analyze for mission 2. this is a big negative, however, it's pretty hard to quantify. I decided that the benefit of having myself on the mission is greater than the negative of less info.

going forward, I will be more likely to reject as it gets closer to mission 5.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 03, 2013, 09:46:30 am
Lio's vote is the only one there that strikes me as a little odd, but I don't think I can really consider it suspicious - it doesn't seem like a good time to vote yes if he's Resistance, and it doesn't seem like a good time to vote no if he's a spy.
But then his vote would be bad-resistance play, but good spy-play?  Did you mix up words there?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 03, 2013, 09:57:09 am
Er, yes. What I meant was:
it doesn't seem like a good time to vote yes if he's Resistance, and it doesn't seem like a good time to vote yes if he's a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 03, 2013, 09:58:56 am
why not? I felt my explanation was adequate. on the contrary, I think I would vote yes even if I was a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 03, 2013, 10:07:34 am
You control proposal 5, which is a good incentive to vote no constantly, regardless of your allegiance. Actually, your statement about feeling okay about nkirbit worries me. Why? Surely he should have a 50% chance of being a spy to you (less if you're Merlin)? Do you not feel that four more proposals of information, plus the discussion that happens, will help us find more information about who the spies are?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 03, 2013, 10:16:33 am
50%? no, assuming I'm a vanilla resistanceperson (may or may not actually be that), nkirbit has a 5/8 chance of being resistance. that's the same for every other player. nkirbit could be anyone and I wouldn't really care all that much. 4 more proposals will help us, but what will also help us more is putting me on the mission. I might not be put on the mission, because we might not get to proposal 5.

but yes, best case scenario for me is we get to proposal 5. I'm not sure that will happen.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 03, 2013, 10:21:34 am
...I was thinking it was 7 player, which is what the vast majority of my games are (and the odds are really nice: 50/50 chance of anyone being loyal, even for Percival, Merlin knows two spies and has a 1/6 chance on the last one). Yes, odds are different in that case. And I'm derping.

Hmm... it's actually a little better in that case, I'll grant you.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 03, 2013, 01:39:28 pm
Two, I want the fifth proposal here to be accepted, so I will be in line to be the fifth player the next time around.
Why would you want to be the 5th player in line?

Last player gets to be the one to force the mission through, should it come to that.  It means I can put me on the mission, because I trust me!
I know the last mission is an auto-pass, but why should it be you that does it?

Well, his point is that it's in his best interest for it to be him, ie why he voted against his own mission. Which, sure, could make some sense if he thought it was unlikely to pass anyway.

Also, mail-mi, I would like to be on the mission!
Why not? I've been getting a resistance-ish read on you, so I'll propose mail-mi, Dsell, and TA
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 03, 2013, 02:22:37 pm
Could I request that mission proposals and results are recorded in the first post? It makes it a lot easier to keep track of everything.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 03, 2013, 02:27:26 pm
I will be accepting any mission that has me on it, since I have the exact same read on all of you.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 03, 2013, 03:03:19 pm
I will accept this mission!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 03, 2013, 04:07:59 pm
Can you explain your read on Dsell, mail-mi?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 03, 2013, 04:15:04 pm
Quick request: Could you please specify which mission/proposal you're voting for in your vote PMs, to make sorting through all the votes easier? Thanks!

(No need to revote if you've already voted on the current proposal.)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 03, 2013, 05:15:29 pm
Man, I still don't like having Twisted on this mission.  Is it really that important?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 03, 2013, 05:31:45 pm
Man, I still don't like having Twisted on this mission.  Is it really that important?
no, it's not essential, but why don't you want him on the mission?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 03, 2013, 05:37:29 pm
It just seems like a good idea to me.  I've had multiple games with 3+ spies where the spies simply win by having three separate players fail the first three missions... having TA on the missions will reduce the chances of spies failing because they're more likely to be caught than if he were not on the mission, I think.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 03, 2013, 05:47:31 pm
Man, I still don't like having Twisted on this mission.  Is it really that important?
no, it's not essential, but why don't you want him on the mission?
His posts off the bat felt very disingenuous to me. 

my post from before:  feel free to actually check up on Twisted/Table's posts this time.
Quote
The only [thought] that I have is a suspicious feeling for Twisted's posts.  Right now there are two people who keep jumping in with "Hey guys, this is helpful" attitudes.  That's Tables and Twisted.  Reading both of their posts, Tables looks informative, Twisted looks "helpful" in that special sort of scum way.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 03, 2013, 06:08:36 pm
TA shouldn't be given a clear pass to be put on every mission. But putting him on proposals is fine. I'm beginning to get a somewhat suspicious read on him, especially because that last post is EXACTLY what the spies want, while Resistance want a clean team, not one they're on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 03, 2013, 06:09:48 pm
TA shouldn't be given a clear pass to be put on every mission. But putting him on proposals is fine. I'm beginning to get a somewhat suspicious read on him, especially because that last post is EXACTLY what the spies want, while Resistance want a clean team, not one they're on.

But I have no reason to trust any of you! (nor to suspect, to be fair) The only person I can trust is myself.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 03, 2013, 06:12:33 pm
Yes you do. There's four pages of discussion, people have said things, there's one set of voting. Same logic applies that applies in mafia. There's info there, and you can get some vague reads on people based on it, already. We're out of the "RVS" of Resistance, if such a thing exists.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 03, 2013, 06:13:43 pm
Yes you do. There's four pages of discussion, people have said things, there's one set of voting. Same logic applies that applies in mafia. There's info there, and you can get some vague reads on people based on it, already. We're out of the "RVS" of Resistance, if such a thing exists.

Unless someone messes up and votes really obviously, I would really consider all of Mission 1 "RVS", for the most part. It's definitely useful to look at nominations going backwards, but right now, I don't have reads on any of you.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 03, 2013, 06:15:51 pm
I have a read on you. I am suspicious. I would say there's at least a 50% chance you're a spy, from my point of view.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 03, 2013, 06:18:06 pm
oh well, there's nothing I can really do to disprove that at this point, I suppose.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 03, 2013, 08:03:54 pm
I have a read on you. I am suspicious. I would say there's at least a 50% chance you're a spy, from my point of view.

Could you expound?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 03, 2013, 08:24:30 pm
Can you explain your read on Dsell, mail-mi?
I start off with a resistance-ish read on everyone at the start. And he requested it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 03, 2013, 09:07:45 pm
I have a read on you. I am suspicious. I would say there's at least a 50% chance you're a spy, from my point of view.

Could you expound?

It's mostly based on his attitude towards the first mission (Spies don't care much who the other two people are, Resistance do), and apathy towards getting information by looking at discussion. It strikes me as somewhat off.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 03, 2013, 09:08:42 pm
Can you explain your read on Dsell, mail-mi?
I start off with a resistance-ish read on everyone at the start. And he requested it.

This is a different view than what you had last game (when you were a spy)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 03, 2013, 09:18:16 pm
I'll be declining this mission by the way. If I had to pick someone, mail-mi would be my top Resistance read purely because of how different he is this game from the last.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 03, 2013, 09:22:08 pm
I'll be declining this mission by the way. If I had to pick someone, mail-mi would be my top Resistance read purely because of how different he is this game from the last.

Are these two statements unrelated? They sound unrelated.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 03, 2013, 09:26:02 pm
I'll be declining this mission by the way. If I had to pick someone, mail-mi would be my top Resistance read purely because of how different he is this game from the last.

Are these two statements unrelated? They sound unrelated.
They are very unrelated. But I was already making a post telling everyone I was failing the mission, so I might as well through in my top Resistance read. Especially since TA mentioned this different behavior just a post above me. Conserving space and all that.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 03, 2013, 09:34:28 pm
So you would rather someone besides your top resistance read lead a mission? You are not going to be a leader for mission 1.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 03, 2013, 10:09:58 pm
So you would rather someone besides your top resistance read lead a mission? You are not going to be a leader for mission 1.
I'd rather mail-mi be on the mission, yes. As well as TA since he's LotL. But I'd rather gather information than pass a mission with someone on it who may or may not be Resistance.

And besides, Resistance members can be wrong. See Twistedarcher from last game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 03, 2013, 11:58:35 pm
So you would rather someone besides your top resistance read lead a mission? You are not going to be a leader for mission 1.
I'd rather mail-mi be on the mission, yes. As well as TA since he's LotL. But I'd rather gather information than pass a mission with someone on it who may or may not be Resistance.

And besides, Resistance members can be wrong. See Twistedarcher from last game.

Ok, yes, but...every proposal, especially for mission 1, is going to have someone on it who "may or may not be Resistance." Like...that is everybody man. XD
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 04, 2013, 12:01:48 am
So you would rather someone besides your top resistance read lead a mission? You are not going to be a leader for mission 1.
I'd rather mail-mi be on the mission, yes. As well as TA since he's LotL. But I'd rather gather information than pass a mission with someone on it who may or may not be Resistance.

And besides, Resistance members can be wrong. See Twistedarcher from last game.

Ok, yes, but...every proposal, especially for mission 1, is going to have someone on it who "may or may not be Resistance." Like...that is everybody man. XD
No, haha. I meant mail-mi specifically. Even though he is my top Resistance read it doesn't mean that I'm going to auto pass any mission he's on. That would be ridiculous! What I'm saying is that I'd rather have information about people's votes than try and pass a mission with mail-mi on it - who may not even be Resistance!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 04, 2013, 12:20:42 am
Ok, I will admit that letting it go to the fourth or fifth proposal online where you have a record of votes is more effective than in real life, where we usually only bother remembering the votes that stick out at the time. Hmm. I still feel like a voting pattern early may not be such a hard thing to fake, but maybe not.

Ok, but we have 2 spies who know who each other are, and one spy who isn't even aware of who the others are...and while that is good for us because 2 spies may unwittingly end up on a mission together, that person's voting ought to look just like any Resistance member, and the other spies only have to worry about 1 teammate!

Look I know voting is important to analyze, especially online, but I am unconvinced that it is worth waiting and waiting until we are down to one of our final proposals and then forcing something through. So, I approve of this mission and will continue advocating for it. (And I am likely to say the same about any future proposal that includes me+TA since I agree with the LOTL theorizing.)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 04, 2013, 12:23:21 am
Lol I realize that my first couple paragraphs are a bit contradictory, I apologize but since this is my first game online and with Avalon rules, so this is kinda a test game for me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 04, 2013, 12:40:23 am
Oh I totally agree with passing the beginning missions IRL, it's too hard to remember what people have done. But online I see almost no reason to not run it up to the 4th or 5th proposal every time. It's much easier to go back and put together potential scum pairings.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 04, 2013, 05:19:37 am
Expecting to run to proposal 4 or 5 each time is a dangerous play: In particular it lets spies always vote no until those missions because 'it wasn't going to go ahead anyway'. Every proposal should be considered on it's own merit, but with knowledge of how many proposals still to come there are and in particular who has them. The "knowledge of how many proposals still to come" part should be a significant factor, but not the biggest of all.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 04, 2013, 12:05:27 pm
Expecting to run to proposal 4 or 5 each time is a dangerous play: In particular it lets spies always vote no until those missions because 'it wasn't going to go ahead anyway'. Every proposal should be considered on it's own merit, but with knowledge of how many proposals still to come there are and in particular who has them. The "knowledge of how many proposals still to come" part should be a significant factor, but not the biggest of all.

Yes, this is what I'm trying to say, thank you. If it's predetermined that we're going to proposal 5 then all a spy has to do is vote no until then. Easy. Let's not make it that easy for them and at least consider voting yes on proposals before then.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Qvist on July 04, 2013, 04:15:29 pm
Nothing really we've learned so far. I'm not on the mission and I'm the next one who may propose, so I don't think I want to accept that mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 05, 2013, 03:28:55 am
Just waiting for one more vote. Everyone stare menacingly.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 05, 2013, 09:32:44 am
I'm moving.  Life is difficult.  Apologies.

Expecting to run to proposal 4 or 5 each time is a dangerous play: In particular it lets spies always vote no until those missions because 'it wasn't going to go ahead anyway'. Every proposal should be considered on it's own merit, but with knowledge of how many proposals still to come there are and in particular who has them. The "knowledge of how many proposals still to come" part should be a significant factor, but not the biggest of all.
agree; good point

Look I know voting is important to analyze, especially online, but I am unconvinced that it is worth waiting and waiting until we are down to one of our final proposals and then forcing something through. So, I approve of this mission and will continue advocating for it. (And I am likely to say the same about any future proposal that includes me+TA since I agree with the LOTL theorizing.)
What about the thirdperson on eht mission?  Who do you want?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 05, 2013, 11:45:20 am
Mission 1, Proposal 2

Leader: mail-mi
Proposed Team: Dsell, Twistedarcher, mail-mi

Votes
Accept: Dsell, Twistedarcher, mail-mi
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, nkirbit, Qvist

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher (LotL)
nkirbit
mail-mi
Qvist


Qvist is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 3 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 05, 2013, 11:47:40 am
cool. cool, cool, cool.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 05, 2013, 11:55:41 am
Not all too surprising.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 05, 2013, 12:26:53 pm
Look I know voting is important to analyze, especially online, but I am unconvinced that it is worth waiting and waiting until we are down to one of our final proposals and then forcing something through. So, I approve of this mission and will continue advocating for it. (And I am likely to say the same about any future proposal that includes me+TA since I agree with the LOTL theorizing.)
What about the thirdperson on eht mission?  Who do you want?

Probably my biggest resistance-read at the moment would be Tables, but I don't think Tables would put TA on the mission. And I would accept a mission with me+TA+anybody because none of my reads are strong at this point.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 05, 2013, 12:41:27 pm
You're right I'm not intending to, although it's still early days. My read might change. In fact my read will almost certainly change, in one direction or another.

Mission votes weren't really surprising. But still... all yes votes on mission? I'm kind of concerned about that, a little, but I guess it's not that surprising.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 05, 2013, 11:47:42 pm
Hey Qvist, put me on the mission!

I don't find the mission votes surprising or concerning at all. I don't see how we're going to get better reasoning than what we had. The mission leader is in all likelihood going to vote for their mission from now on, I think it makes sense to have TA on the mission, and it's not surprising to me that he'd approve a mission he's on. And then there has to be another person. That person is frankly a bit lucky, and I think it makes sense for that person to approve the mission since there's no guarantee they'd make it on to the next mission (unless their the next leader). Most every round 1 mission is going to look like this unless TA is replaced by a "random" someone. And I don't happen to think it's too early to pass something (look at the pace we're going).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 05, 2013, 11:52:36 pm
Hey Qvist, put me on the mission!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 05, 2013, 11:53:18 pm
Hey Qvist, put me on the mission!

I don't find the mission votes surprising or concerning at all. I don't see how we're going to get better reasoning than what we had. The mission leader is in all likelihood going to vote for their mission from now on, I think it makes sense to have TA on the mission, and it's not surprising to me that he'd approve a mission he's on. And then there has to be another person. That person is frankly a bit lucky, and I think it makes sense for that person to approve the mission since there's no guarantee they'd make it on to the next mission (unless their the next leader). Most every round 1 mission is going to look like this unless TA is replaced by a "random" someone. And I don't happen to think it's too early to pass something (look at the pace we're going).
I may or may not pass this one. I will probably pass 4 and 5.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 06, 2013, 02:06:14 am
Hey Qvist, put me on the mission!

I don't find the mission votes surprising or concerning at all. I don't see how we're going to get better reasoning than what we had. The mission leader is in all likelihood going to vote for their mission from now on, I think it makes sense to have TA on the mission, and it's not surprising to me that he'd approve a mission he's on. And then there has to be another person. That person is frankly a bit lucky, and I think it makes sense for that person to approve the mission since there's no guarantee they'd make it on to the next mission (unless their the next leader). Most every round 1 mission is going to look like this unless TA is replaced by a "random" someone. And I don't happen to think it's too early to pass something (look at the pace we're going).
I may or may not pass this one. I will probably pass 4 and 5.

Well, obviously you'll pass mission 5, but I don't see why you're saying you'll pass this one or not yet.  This is exactly something a spy would say, and then when they pass a mission that has a spy on it, they can go "Oh, well, I said I would pass it before, so it's not odd."

It's just weird to me to say you'll "probably pass that mission" when you don't even know who will be on it yet.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 06, 2013, 02:52:21 am
There is something else that unsettles me about mail-mi. I have been asking to be on each mission, and I genuinely want to be on them! However, mail-mi put me on the mission specifically because I'd asked, which strikes me as something a spy would want to do as an excuse to put someone he believes to be resistance (no guarantee since the spies are not all aware of each other). Except for mission 4, spies want exactly 1 spy on the mission, so mail-mi jumping to put me on the mission makes me slightly nervous.

At this point, only slightly though. Do my reasons make sense? I hope I'm not entrapping a resistance member, but I do feel like my plea to be on the mission is more appealing to a spy than a resistance member.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Qvist on July 06, 2013, 03:56:51 am
## Propose: shraeye, Twistedarcher, Qvist

Why? I trust myself most. Twistedarcher is LotL and shraeye was basically random as I don't have a big read on anyone yet.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 06, 2013, 06:20:47 am
I agree with DSell. That's very suspicious looking of mail-mi, but then again, it's still early days. Spies are happy to try and rationalise just putting anyone on, especially if that anyone are not spies themselves. Resistance aren't likely to be swayed by people saying 'put me on'
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 06, 2013, 11:52:51 am
Rly guyz? You're calling me a spy because I put Dsell on the mission cuz he asked? The other choice was completely random. Is that really any different?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 06, 2013, 12:08:19 pm
Both are pretty suspicious moves. As a Resistance member you want the people least likely to be spies, i.e. you care. As a spy, you want to be on the mission and that's all that really matters, i.e. you don't care.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 06, 2013, 12:16:24 pm
Naw, I still think mail-mi is Resistance. He's so much different from last game.

I find Dsell a little suspicious when he says "I hope I'm not entrapping a resistance member". That level of precaution seems a bit too much to be coming from a Resistance member. I don't think Dsell is a Spy, but its something we can look at later if we need to.

I'm most likely declining this mission. But the problem with that is that Tables and I seem to not see eye to eye and he's the leader for the next proposal, so I'm probably going to decline the mission he proposes which may force the mission to the 5th proposal and have that one guaranteed to pass. I'm null on liopoil, so that may not be a bad thing, but I don't know. Maybe I'm just being too worrisome.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 06, 2013, 12:49:16 pm
Are you OMGUSing me? I think you just OMGUS'd me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 06, 2013, 12:56:38 pm
How is that OMGUS? You didn't express suspicion of him, he just disagreed with your read.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 06, 2013, 01:01:43 pm
He said he's going to decline my proposal because I'm suspicious of him. How is it not?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 06, 2013, 01:08:11 pm
He said he's going to decline my proposal because I'm suspicious of him. How is it not?
What? no. We just have different views, so I will most likely not accept your mission.

But I do have a question for you, Tables: You say both randomly deciding who goes on a mission and taking someone who wants to badly go on a mission are suspicious moves. mail-mi took someone who wanted to go. Are you suspicious of Qvist for taking a 'random' person?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 06, 2013, 01:10:45 pm
He said he's going to decline my proposal because I'm suspicious of him. How is it not?

I don't see where you say you're suspicious of him or where he says he'll reject your mission because your suspicious of him.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 06, 2013, 01:10:58 pm
*you're

aaauuuuuugggghhhhhh
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 06, 2013, 01:23:38 pm
But the problem with that is that Tables and I seem to not see eye to eye and he's the leader for the next proposal, so I'm probably going to decline the mission he proposes

There.

The issue with choosing people who ask is that it's meaningless except as a means for a spy to point at and go 'that's my reasoning'. Everyone wants to go on the mission themselves, because for resistance, it's one less variable, and for spies, it means the option of failing exists. So picking people who ask is... pretty pointless. All it does is encourage extra noise of people asking to go on missions, which isn't helpful. So as resistance, it's not useful, and as resistance, you don't have any incentive to pick people asking. As a spy, however, it serves as a way to pick randomly (among those you don't care about going as long as people are going) and to point to later and say 'oh that's why I picked them'.

Picking randomly isn't helpful, but often your 'random' picks have some kind of reasoning behind them. Picking people who ask is downright unhelpful.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 06, 2013, 01:34:22 pm
I realize that Spies don't care who goes on the mission, so they would be more likely to take those that ask, but I find pure random people to accompany on the mission much more helpful for the first Mission since Spies could roll into having their partner join them.

I remember last game mail-mi frequently said 'I'm declining this because I'm not on the mission' and that works...like once. If that is always your excuse, it is very scummy. For the reasons you stated of "...spy to point at and go 'that's my reasoning'". I think the same thing can be applied here. We can do it on the first mission to sort of test the waters of who is on the mission. I also think random is helpful, especially on the first mission, because it'll break people down into two categories: Those who oppose it and those who embrace it.

I've never done full random IRL (I've never had a die just ready to be rolled), but I think it's something we can at least try and see what happens. In case someone wants to go dig this up in the future to condemn me for pushing random picks, I'm only supporting it on the FIRST Mission. On the other one's, I agree that it is very unhelpful.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 06, 2013, 01:58:45 pm
We certainly don't want to SEND a random mission, since it's extremely unreliable. I for one have a few reads. I know one person I'm definitely sending, and have some thoughts for a second. So I should be able to pick out a team, based on reads, by mission 1.4.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 06, 2013, 02:49:43 pm
Since I'll be doing Mission 2 by the earliest, the point of me sending a random mission is moot. I'm just trying to show people that a random mission isn't that bad if you don't have many reads. If you have as good as reads as you think you do, then sure. Pick the members of your mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 06, 2013, 03:05:54 pm
You're attributing a lot to that little quote, Tables.

But I agree with your reasoning regarding picking people who've asked.

Btw can anyone else confirm or deny that mail-mi is acting very different than last game when he was a spy? I was not following that game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 06, 2013, 03:09:33 pm
You're attributing a lot to that little quote, Tables.

But I agree with your reasoning regarding picking people who've asked.

Btw can anyone else confirm or deny that mail-mi is acting very different than last game when he was a spy? I was not following that game.
TA and lio were in the last game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 06, 2013, 03:10:47 pm
hmmm. I do think that choosing Dsell because he asked is an easy excuse for a spy. But I dunno, Mail-mi does this sort of thing sometimes.

I think mail-mi has been MORE suspicious this game than last. For the first few missions last game, I thought mail-mi was resistance. Not sure what that means about his alignment this time around.

I do not like full random, not one little bit.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 06, 2013, 04:27:42 pm
OKAY srsly? you guys are accusing me of being a spy because i put someone on the mission that asked to instead of going full random? RLY?

Just read how ridiculous that sounds.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 06, 2013, 05:32:20 pm
I am not saying you are a spy. But I am saying it makes me a bit more suspicious of you.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 06, 2013, 06:21:13 pm
OKAY srsly? you guys are accusing me of being a spy because i put someone on the mission that asked to instead of going full random? RLY? with a slight read?

Just read how ridiculous that sounds.

I'm not accusing you of being a spy, just being suspicious.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 07, 2013, 02:24:16 am
I...am not sure this mission was extremely well-thought out if Qvist was trying to get it passed. Without revealing how I plan on voting, Qvist's "random" mission member Shraeye has been fairly outspoken in being critical of TA, or at least of TA being on the first mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 08, 2013, 12:32:16 am
Bump?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 08, 2013, 10:33:56 am
Still waiting for multiple votes.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 08, 2013, 12:07:30 pm
Hey, I just got my internet back post-move. 

Tables, lio...could you say me what you think about Twisted?  I'd prefer to keep him off the first mission, but it's nice to have a reduced variable by being on the mission myself.

Also, I'm concerned that if Tables' mission is passed, then Twisted will be the 5th proposal for #2 as well as having LotL.  That seems like a lot of power for one person to have.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 08, 2013, 12:22:38 pm
Hey, I just got my internet back post-move. 

Tables, lio...could you say me what you think about Twisted?  I'd prefer to keep him off the first mission, but it's nice to have a reduced variable by being on the mission myself.

Also, I'm concerned that if Tables' mission is passed, then Twisted will be the 5th proposal for #2 as well as having LotL.  That seems like a lot of power for one person to have.

We don't have to let it go to the 5th proposal...if people are concerned, they can and should pass an earlier proposal.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 08, 2013, 12:24:46 pm
Yeah, I'm kind of concerned about that. There's always the option of passing proposal 3 or 4 if we're suspicious of him, I think that's fine. It's not ideal but it's okay.

I'm slightly suspicious of TA. Him, along with Mail-mi, are my current scumreads. I have a slight resistance read on nkirbit (voting his own proposal down and he's seemed somewhat town in general). Most everyone else I'm fairly neutral on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 08, 2013, 03:57:52 pm
...I'm not really suspicious of TA...

I believe I have voted.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 08, 2013, 05:24:17 pm
I'm kind of just waiting for votes at this point before discussing anything more.  Mail-mi is my only (slight) suspicion at the moment.. everyone else is null.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 08, 2013, 07:35:17 pm
Well, I just voted to accept the mission.  I could be wrong about thinking Twisted is evil, which is best.  If he's spy, at least he won't control LotL AND the 5th proposal of the next mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 08, 2013, 08:27:23 pm
Well, I just voted to accept the mission.  I could be wrong about thinking Twisted is evil, which is best.  If he's spy, at least he won't control LotL AND the 5th proposal of the next mission.
Oh, that's a good idea.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 09, 2013, 10:27:35 am
Still waiting for a vote? Generally it's a good idea to send reminders to people who haven't voted after 24 hours.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 09, 2013, 10:35:53 am
Still waiting for a vote? Generally it's a good idea to send reminders to people who haven't voted after 24 hours.

I've sent two. The player in question hasn't been on the forum for a few days.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 09, 2013, 05:21:37 pm
Still waiting for a vote? Generally it's a good idea to send reminders to people who haven't voted after 24 hours.

I've sent two. The player in question hasn't been on the forum for a few days.
*quickly checks the sign up list* That would be...Qvist!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 09, 2013, 11:22:25 pm
A tumbleweed slowly tumbles by...
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 09, 2013, 11:41:20 pm
A tumbleweed slowly tumbles by...

Tumbleweed is obvspy, I will reject any missions with tumbleweed on it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 13, 2013, 03:08:45 pm
Bump[
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 17, 2013, 08:12:18 pm
ashersky has been kind enough to sub in for Qvist, despite never having played the game before. Many thanks to ashersky for helping the game on its way. Just waiting for the last vote.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 17, 2013, 08:24:11 pm
Hooray Ashersky!

...spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 17, 2013, 08:35:11 pm
YAAAAAAAAAY asher! Welcome, have a seat, do you like apple juice?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 17, 2013, 08:36:48 pm
oh yeah, this game!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 17, 2013, 08:45:53 pm
Okay, so I'm reading the thread now.  I think I have a rudimentary understanding of the game rules.

Big issue for me though, is a lot of your posts refer to resistance and spies and stuff.  I don't know what those are, given the Round Table flavor of the game.  So it all means nothing to me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 17, 2013, 08:48:15 pm
resistance=town
spies=scum
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 17, 2013, 08:53:44 pm
resistance=town
spies=scum
SHHH don't tell him that?

Does your PM say spy or resistance? This will help us.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 17, 2013, 08:56:57 pm
resistance=town
spies=scum
SHHH don't tell him that?

Does your PM say spy or resistance? This will help us.

It said Merlin.  What does that mean?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 17, 2013, 08:57:12 pm
I keep seeing vote counts, but no bolded votes.  How does one vote?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 17, 2013, 08:57:26 pm
Also, why are people different colors in the vote counts?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 17, 2013, 08:57:49 pm
Are there no vote counts as we go?  Like, are we at L-something?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 17, 2013, 09:00:59 pm
votes are via PM. the current leader makes a proposal, then everyone sends Jimmmmm a PM with their vote. we're waiting for you to vote.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 17, 2013, 09:05:08 pm
votes are via PM. the current leader makes a proposal, then everyone sends Jimmmmm a PM with their vote. we're waiting for you to vote.

Oh.  The "leader" just picks people, right?  No other powers?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 17, 2013, 09:08:28 pm
yep. leader gets passed to the next player after each proposal.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 17, 2013, 09:12:24 pm
So then, the people who make up the mission, if it is approved, tell the mod if it passes or fails, right?  One fail kills the mission, except for the last one which requires two fails.

Both town and scum have the option to pass or fail, or does town auto-pass?

In theory, we can use failed mission team make-up to scum hunt?

How does voting for or against a mission tell us anything?  I'm confused on how to scum hunt outside of pass/fail mission stuff.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 17, 2013, 09:19:38 pm
I think town can fail missions, but there is no scenario where it is a good idea.

scum want them self or their buddies on the mission. that's how you scumhunt.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 17, 2013, 09:19:48 pm
So then, the people who make up the mission, if it is approved, tell the mod if it passes or fails, right?  One fail kills the mission, except for the last one which requires two fails.

Both town and scum have the option to pass or fail, or does town auto-pass?

In theory, we can use failed mission team make-up to scum hunt?

How does voting for or against a mission tell us anything?  I'm confused on how to scum hunt outside of pass/fail mission stuff.

Town have to pass, scum can choose to pass or fail.

To me personally, scum-hunting is much more logic and much less reading people.

Voting for or against a mission can tell us a lot. The spies know who each other are (well, normally, in this variant only two of them know each other). That said, they're more likely to approve a mission that they know will fail. Analyze teams, and analyzing voting patterns, are the two main tools that we have.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 17, 2013, 09:26:46 pm
And the real votes are published by Jimmmmm, right?  So people can say "oh I'd approve this one" or "I won't approve any until my turn" in thread but be lying.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 17, 2013, 09:27:31 pm
Mission 1, Proposal 3

Leader: Qvist ashersky
Proposed Team: shraeye, Twistedarcher, Qvist ashersky

Votes
Accept: shraeye, Twistedarcher, mail-mi, ashersky
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, Dsell, nkirbit

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher (LotL)
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky


Just a reminder that the colours here indicate former, current and potential leaders for the current Mission.

Tables is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 3 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 17, 2013, 09:31:02 pm
Both town and scum have the option to pass or fail, or does town auto-pass?

Spies may either Succeed or Fail missions, while Resistance members must Succeed. Of course, I will still require a PM from every player on the mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 17, 2013, 09:46:06 pm
resistance=town
spies=scum
SHHH don't tell him that?

Does your PM say spy or resistance? This will help us.

It said Merlin.  What does that mean?

Hold on a second. I'm Merlin. Are you sure you aren't Percival and your PM just had the words Merlin next to me?

Anyway mail-mi, why the yes vote? I'm suspicious.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 17, 2013, 09:46:34 pm
I'll probably need to go reread this thread before making a proposal. It's been a while, I think I've forgotten most of my reads.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 17, 2013, 10:51:08 pm
resistance=town
spies=scum
SHHH don't tell him that?

Does your PM say spy or resistance? This will help us.

It said Merlin.  What does that mean?

Hold on a second. I'm Merlin. Are you sure you aren't Percival and your PM just had the words Merlin next to me?

Anyway mail-mi, why the yes vote? I'm suspicious.

Because one of these missions has to pass, and I wasn't uncomfortable with this mission, so I passed it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 19, 2013, 07:39:49 pm
Propose Mission 1.4: Tables, nkirbit, Dsell

Me because I trust myself. nkirbit I've already mentioned, slight resistance read on. I agree with most things he's been saying and he voted down his first proposal, which is a slightly resistance thing to do. Dsell I'm not so confident on, but his voting pattern is fine, he's late in proposal order next mission so information on him = good and he was proposed on a mission by nkirbit who is currently my biggest scumread, which is somewhat a good sign.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 19, 2013, 07:41:23 pm
Propose Mission 1.4: Tables, nkirbit, Dsell

Me because I trust myself. nkirbit I've already mentioned, slight resistance read on. I agree with most things he's been saying and he voted down his first proposal, which is a slightly resistance thing to do. Dsell I'm not so confident on, but his voting pattern is fine, he's late in proposal order next mission so information on him = good and he was proposed on a mission by nkirbit who is currently my biggest scumread, which is somewhat a good sign.

Who is this supposed to be? 
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 19, 2013, 07:42:26 pm
mail-mi, sorry.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 19, 2013, 07:44:22 pm
Lio:  Which group do you plan on proposing if the vote gets to you?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 19, 2013, 08:16:39 pm
Lio:  Which group do you plan on proposing if the vote gets to you?
you know, I don't think I should say that. I want to maximize the chance of this mission being rejected, yes? Well, if I say, "my mission will be me, player X, and player Y" then only player X and Y will reject this for sure, the others who aren't on either mission will decide which they like better.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 19, 2013, 08:22:27 pm
I do not like that yes vote by mail-mi at all. he's the guy who rejects almost everything he isn't on!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 19, 2013, 08:53:28 pm
I do not like that yes vote by mail-mi at all. he's the guy who rejects almost everything he isn't on!
In last game.... when I was a spy... which I'm not here.


Do I have a problem with this mission? No. Will I vote yes? Probably.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 19, 2013, 08:56:25 pm
Do I have a problem with this mission? No. Will I vote yes? Probably.
why though?

I don't really have a problem with nkirbit or dsell on the mission. tables I am a bit worried about. He keeps claiming merlin... which, I dunno, not neccessarily scummy, but it makes me uneasy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 19, 2013, 09:14:40 pm
Do I have a problem with this mission? No. Will I vote yes? Probably.
why though?

I don't really have a problem with nkirbit or dsell on the mission. tables I am a bit worried about. He keeps claiming merlin... which, I dunno, not neccessarily scummy, but it makes me uneasy.
I'm fine with Tables, and want to see him on a mission for now.  Dsell seems neato, and I don't recall too much from nkirbit.  I'll look up some voting stuff, then make my decision.  Possible accept/ possible decline.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 19, 2013, 10:31:35 pm
I claimed Merlin? I don't remember doing that. Well, I might have said it, but then I say things like that occasionally. I'm either Merlin, Percival or generic Loyal Servant. No point giving it away just yet.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 19, 2013, 10:38:53 pm
This is an intriguing decision for me.  On one hand, I want to be the fifth leader next time around, and I am a supporter of the putting TA on this mission plan, so I want to deny it.

But, I am on this mission, and that's a big, big plus.  I'm not guaranteed to be on Lio's mission (although it seems possible that he would put me on).  And there's no guarantee that TA is put on the mission next time around.

If I could be guaranteed that Lio would put TA/Myself/Lio next time, I would obviously accept the mission.  But I can't be sure of that, and being on a mission is good enough for me, so I'm going to accept it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 19, 2013, 10:42:53 pm
I think the LotR should be on the mission.  Which one was that?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 20, 2013, 02:18:04 am
Dsell seems neato

:D


I heartily endorse this mission!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 20, 2013, 02:21:30 am
I think the LotR should be on the mission.  Which one was that?

LotL? Hehe. It's Twisted. And while I half agree with you (I think if he's resistance it's better if he's on at least one of the first 2, he's not necessarily resistance though) I don't like the idea of rejecting solely on that and putting all the power in Lio's hands. And I'm speaking hypothetically here, because since I'm on the 4th mission, I'm happy! I'd have to have some big reservations indeed to reject a 1st mission 4th proposal with me on it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 20, 2013, 02:23:02 am
Oh, and since Tables has been one of the most vocal critics of TA, he was never going to be on Tables' mission. I don't remember Lio's thoughts on TA offhand but I wouldn't necessarily hold your breath on getting TA on the mission at this point.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 20, 2013, 02:37:40 am
This is an intriguing decision for me.  On one hand, I want to be the fifth leader next time around, and I am a supporter of the putting TA on this mission plan, so I want to deny it.

But, I am on this mission, and that's a big, big plus.  I'm not guaranteed to be on Lio's mission (although it seems possible that he would put me on).  And there's no guarantee that TA is put on the mission next time around.

If I could be guaranteed that Lio would put TA/Myself/Lio next time, I would obviously accept the mission.  But I can't be sure of that, and being on a mission is good enough for me, so I'm going to accept it.
This is too many words.  Why do you want TA on the mission?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 20, 2013, 02:45:48 am
The reason to have the LotR on the mission is, if it fails AND the LotR is Round Table, he can investigate one of the other two on the mission to figure out who sabotaged, right?

So that makes sense to me.  He needs to be on a mission so he can do the checking.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 20, 2013, 11:46:59 am
The reason to have the LotR on the mission is, if it fails AND the LotR is Round Table, he can investigate one of the other two on the mission to figure out who sabotaged, right?

So that makes sense to me.  He needs to be on a mission so he can do the checking.

LotL cannot be used until after round 2. Also, why are you answering for nkirbit?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 20, 2013, 11:56:33 am
The reason to have the LotR on the mission is, if it fails AND the LotR is Round Table, he can investigate one of the other two on the mission to figure out who sabotaged, right?

So that makes sense to me.  He needs to be on a mission so he can do the checking.

It sounds logical in theory, but this is literally the least helpful thing you can do with LotL. It's a lot more helpful to get resistance reads from LotL than it is to get scum reads (this isn't mafia where you're finding scum, this is Resistance where you want to find Resistance). And on top of that, the person you check gets LotL so you want them to be Resistance, so they can get a useful read as well, instead of it being 'wasted' from there. And if you keep it in resistance hands long enough, you get a chain of trust, where person 1 (if they're a rebel) knows person 2 is a rebel, who knows person 3 is a rebel, who knows person 4 is a rebel, so person 1 knows 4 rebels instantly.

So you really want to pick someone which maximises the chance of them being a rebel, not the opposite. If LotL is on a mission and it fails and they pick someone on the mission, there's a roughly 2/3 chance either the LotL is a spy or they pick a spy from the others, which is not good. I guess more accurately you'd say it's a 1/2 chance of going from rebel to spy (since if it's in spy hands at the start, it doesn't matter what you do to the LotL, it's still starting in spy hands).

Getting a read on the LotL is the main reason to put them on missions. As of right now, I'm somewhat suspicious of TA, although it is still early days.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 20, 2013, 01:55:00 pm
Wait, LotL isn't on the mission? Hm... that puts some doubts.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 20, 2013, 07:16:42 pm
The reason to have the LotR on the mission is, if it fails AND the LotR is Round Table, he can investigate one of the other two on the mission to figure out who sabotaged, right?

So that makes sense to me.  He needs to be on a mission so he can do the checking.

LotL cannot be used until after round 2. Also, why are you answering for nkirbit?

Does scum have a QT in this game?  Sounds like Dsell has chatting capability with his partners.

vote: Dsell
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 20, 2013, 07:39:27 pm
Yeah, we have a... wait a second...
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 20, 2013, 07:45:14 pm
Scum!Dsell is the only read I have this game, so I'll vote down any mission with him on it until that read changes.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 20, 2013, 07:45:44 pm
And if someone could tell me if scum do in fact have a QT to talk in outside of here...
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 20, 2013, 08:50:35 pm
Obviously they don't. It'd be extremely spy sided if they did, since they could co-ordinate fails and the like too easily. Not to mention Oberon is in the game.

I'm curious about your read on DSell. I've seen you say only one thing about him all game, and I don't even understand that. What makes you so confident on him?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 20, 2013, 08:56:35 pm
Obviously they don't. It'd be extremely spy sided if they did, since they could co-ordinate fails and the like too easily. Not to mention Oberon is in the game.

I'm curious about your read on DSell. I've seen you say only one thing about him all game, and I don't even understand that. What makes you so confident on him?

Not confident, and now that you say that scum don't have a QT (they do know each other, though, right?), I'm less convinced.

Dsell asking why I "answered for nkirbit" was what I think someone who is scum and conscious of the fact that people would pick up on connections to other players would say.

Scum know each other.  That's information they might slip up and share if they seem to be communicating/helping each other.  So pointing it out like that could be overcompensating by scum.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 20, 2013, 09:47:11 pm
To be clear, Ashersky, there's only a pair of scum who know each other.  The third scum isn't known by and doesn't know of the other two.

I have no issue with Dsell's statement.  Pretty much my only read at this point is a slight spy read on mail-mi.  The lack of reads this early in a resistance game isn't out of the ordinary.. if we were playing in person, we'd be about 3-5 minutes into the game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 20, 2013, 09:59:31 pm
Scum don't have a QT. They couldn't, if you wanted the game to have any semblance of balance. This is purely a question of rules, I'm not going to lie about rules when the mod will just contradict me a few hours later. Your persistence on the point makes me think you might be a spy yourself though, already knowing the answer, but trying to use the point to feign ignorance. Or Oberon.

(http://i.imgur.com/ngkbl75.png)
To remind you/everyone.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 20, 2013, 10:46:51 pm
To be clear, Ashersky, there's only a pair of scum who know each other.  The third scum isn't known by and doesn't know of the other two.

I have no issue with Dsell's statement.  Pretty much my only read at this point is a slight spy read on mail-mi.  The lack of reads this early in a resistance game isn't out of the ordinary.. if we were playing in person, we'd be about 3-5 minutes into the game.
:'(
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 21, 2013, 10:56:44 am
Still awaiting 4 votes.

Interesting that we had 9 people sign up within 8 hours, yet we come nowhere near close to meeting 24 hour vote deadlines.

I acknowledge that I have been similarly sluggish in other games and am not really one to talk.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 21, 2013, 01:40:59 pm
This game is dragging along :/  The first one was much faster, right?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 21, 2013, 07:17:35 pm
Back momentarily from V/LA.

So I guess it comes down to whether I trust Tables or liopoil...and I think I have to go with liopoil. I like Dsell on the mission, don't really care about nkirbit on the mission, and am a bit uneasy Tables himself being on the mission. For some reason. I can't remember why since its been so long, but I remember I was suspicious of him for something.

I'm always fine with voting publicly, so I'll be voting NO to this Mission. Sorry, Tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 21, 2013, 08:49:58 pm
but I remember I was suspicious of [Tables] for something.

Well work on remembering it; then tell us.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 21, 2013, 08:58:41 pm
but I remember I was suspicious of [Tables] for something.

Well work on remembering it; then tell us.
Looked back. He said I was OMGUS'ing him when I really wasn't. Nothing much, but its something.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 21, 2013, 09:00:39 pm
Who else needs to vote.  Let's get a move on already.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 21, 2013, 09:01:31 pm
Who else needs to vote.  Let's get a move on already.
i have.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 22, 2013, 12:52:40 am
Mission 1, Proposal 4

Leader: Tables
Proposed Team: Tables, Dsell, nkirbit

Votes
Accept: Tables, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit
Reject: liopoil, Archetype, Twistedarcher, mail-mi, ashersky

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher (LotL)
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky


liopoil is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 3 people.

For the sake of moving the game along, any fifth proposal will be auto-accepted. As soon as the team is proposed, those on the mission can immediately send in their Succeed or Fail.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 22, 2013, 01:08:09 am
Shraeye, why did you accept this?  Was it pretty much exactly what you were saying earlier, or did something else come into play?

Mail-mi, you had said previously that you would likely accept this mission.  What changed?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 22, 2013, 10:30:59 am
Awesome.

Here's the plan:

We talk for a little bit, maybe people state the case for why they and not someone else should be On the mission. But the important part is that as soon as I have proposed the mission there is no more posting, so that spies can't try to coordinate the pass/fails.

I'm fine with the group deciding this one really - with the condition that I am on the mission. I am thinking that nkirbit is a good choice, because he will be the fifth to propose next mission. For this mission you guys have to blindly put your trust in me (or in someone else, but you chose not to do that.) this way you won't have to do that for nkirbit.

TA is the other clear option, because he's lotl, but I don't think it really makes a big difference to have lotl on the mission really.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 22, 2013, 01:06:47 pm
Shraeye, why did you accept this?  Was it pretty much exactly what you were saying earlier, or did something else come into play?

Mail-mi, you had said previously that you would likely accept this mission.  What changed?
Because I realized TA wasn't on the mission. I would really like TA to be on this mission, but if he isn't I can't really reject this mission, right? If he is not on this mission I can hope He's on the next one.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 22, 2013, 01:16:31 pm
Yup, exactly what I said before.  I looked up voting history, and I think nkirbit is ok, and DSell is good.  Tables I have resistance-read on too.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 22, 2013, 02:55:02 pm
LotL should be on the mission.  I'd like to be on it, of course, but I have 1st pick next time so I don't care too much.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 23, 2013, 12:00:43 pm
well, I don't really have much of a read on anyone. I'm putting myself and nkirbit on the mission, and I guess I might as well throw TA on too.

so unless somebody has a good reason why someone is more likely to be resistance than TA, I'll be proposing TA, nkirbit, liopoil soon.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 23, 2013, 07:21:02 pm
I say just propose.  I'd like to be on the mission, but we need to get a move on either way.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 23, 2013, 08:02:36 pm
Propose Mission: Liopoil, Nkirbit, TwistedArcher

No more posting!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 23, 2013, 09:25:16 pm
Mission 1, Proposal 5

Leader: liopoil
Proposed Team: liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit

Proposal is accepted.

Each player on the mission has 24 hours to send me their Succeed or Fail.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 23, 2013, 10:15:28 pm
Mission 1, Proposal 5

Leader: liopoil
Proposed Team: liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit

Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 3
Fail: 0

The Mission is a Success!

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher (LotL)
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky

Archetype
is the new leader and has 48 hours to propose a team of 4 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 23, 2013, 10:15:54 pm
Yay.

So we should send the same people again, right?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 23, 2013, 10:17:06 pm
I don't get to use LotL until after THIS mission, right?

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 23, 2013, 10:17:29 pm
I don't get to use LotL until after THIS mission, right?

Correct.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 23, 2013, 10:18:17 pm
So we should send the same people again, right?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 23, 2013, 10:18:25 pm
In a smaller game, I'd say that we really learn nothing from the first mission. With 3 spies, though, the odds of a spy failing the first mission go up. Although I don't want to give Nkirbit and liopoil too much credit, they are definitely my top two resistance reads right now.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 23, 2013, 10:18:39 pm
So we should send the same people again, right?

That's what I want to see happen.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 23, 2013, 10:19:46 pm
So we should send the same people again, right?

That's what I want to see happen.

It seems like we'd have to, to force scum to fail the mission if they were on it and passed it for WIFOM.  And if there's no scum on the mission, then that's also great news.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 23, 2013, 10:35:27 pm
Yes, I am absolutely a fan of putting the same three and choosing a fourth.

I really think that spies want to fail the first mission in a game with three spies.  I always do.  With two spies, it's debatable, but with 3, it's not even close, in my mind.  So Lio and TA are by far my biggest resistance reads.

My only preference for the fourth is not mail-mi.  Still a slight spy read.  Nothing major, but when you're choosing one player out of 5, you don't choose your only scum read.

TA, Lio, any ideas on the fourth? 
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 23, 2013, 10:43:18 pm
Excellent result, I think this means my initital assessment on TA was probably wrong, and you three are all clean. It's possible there were two scum on the mission, but I'm leaning towards the whole mission being clean. Still one must always remember the alternative.

nkirbit, I don't think it's dependent on the number of spies, but the number of people on the mission. Failing a two person mission is risky - one person knows for sure you're a spy, and you're locked in a 1v1 scenario for the rest of the game, but failing a 3 person gives you room to hide.

For the fourth I'd obviously advise myself - I know I'm clean, and if you three are all clean, then not picking me is very likely to be a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 23, 2013, 10:52:44 pm
I don't think there's any 3 spy game with just 2 on the first mission, is there?   But yes, that's another reason why spies are more likely to fail the mission in a smaller game.

In 2 spy games, if one spy is outed, it's very, very difficult to win.  In 3 spy games, it's not great, but it's certainly easier to deal with.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 23, 2013, 11:05:54 pm
Still just three on the 2nd mission?  When does it go up to 4?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 23, 2013, 11:08:26 pm
Still just three on the 2nd mission?  When does it go up to 4?

We have 4 players on the 2nd mission.

Nkirbit, a 7 player game has 3 spies, but 2 people going on the first mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 23, 2013, 11:08:58 pm
It's 4 on this one.  4 on the third as well, and 5 on the last two, I'm guessing, but I'm not 100% sure.

Jimm, could you post these for us as a reference?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 23, 2013, 11:10:41 pm
Well, I actually have a box of the resistance 10 feet from me!  Let's open it up and look!

It's 3, 4, 4, 5, 5.  Note that the fourth mission requires two fails for the spies to fail it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 24, 2013, 01:03:44 am
Well, alright.

hashtagPropose Mission: Archetype, liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit


We have the Dream TeamTM for 3 of the members and then myself. The 4 people I trust so far in this game all rolled into one mission. I don't really expect this mission to pass as players may not trust me/would rather have themselves or one of their scum buddies on the mission, but there's no harm in proposing it I suppose (Well OK, minor harm since we lose a proposal if it gets declined. But there really is no other mission I'd propose at this point).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 24, 2013, 02:43:04 am
The proposal is entirely expected and is entirely getting voted down by me for hopefully obvious reasons.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 24, 2013, 03:01:48 am
The proposal is entirely expected and is entirely getting voted down by me for hopefully obvious reasons.

Because you aren't on it?  Or because you think Archetype is mafia?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 24, 2013, 03:38:09 am
The proposal is entirely expected and is entirely getting voted down by me for hopefully obvious reasons.

Because you aren't on it?  Or because you think Archetype is mafia?

Actually, in retrospect it probably wasn't that obvious of a reason. I blame posting in the middle of the night.

There are people on the mission proposing later in the round. That means even if I liked this proposal, I've got no incentive to vote yes now, since they could propose the same thing later in the round if they think it's good. But actually, I prefer the mission with me on it anyway.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 24, 2013, 08:28:39 am
Yeah, I see what Tables is talking about.  Every person other than the "golden three" will very likely propose a mission with said person (200% obvious resistance) and the previous trio.

What I can't figure out is if that's a bad thing or not.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 24, 2013, 10:44:10 am
Shraeye and Dsell are most likely going to propose a similiar mission to mine and nkirbit and TA are going to propose something else. I'd personally would rather have myself or nkirbit or TA be the mission leaders (no offense shraeye and Dsell).

I'd rather have my own mission go through, but if not I'd be willing to go with TA's almost blindly. It is sort of putting all of our eggs in one basket, but there's a 50% chance of him being Town. Which isn't as likely as I'd like it to be, but its fairly likely.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 24, 2013, 10:58:05 am
awesome!

you guys are great. Last game I had to put in a bunch of effort to get the people who passed the first mission also on the second mission. although to be fair, the first mission had 2 people that time.

potential people to be the 4th player:

ashersky
archetype
dsell
shraeye
tables
mail-mi

these are in order from first choice to be on the mission to last choice, based on very little. I think I will accept this mission, unless TA (or maybe nkirbit) agrees with me about ashersky. The reason I think ash is resistance is the way he replaced into the game, I dunno, it read towny. Not much.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 24, 2013, 11:03:59 am
How did it read towny?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 24, 2013, 11:12:26 am
well, he was confused about stuff he wouldn't be confused about as a spy. And sure, he could fake it, but I thought it was more likely genuine. I'm not super confident about it, and really, most of my reads in that list are just gut.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 24, 2013, 12:34:23 pm
Mission 2, Proposal 1 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 1am July 25th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 24, 2013, 12:56:11 pm
I'd rather have my own mission go through, but if not I'd be willing to go with TA's almost blindly. It is sort of putting all of our eggs in one basket, but there's a 50% chance of him being Town. Which isn't as likely as I'd like it to be, but its fairly likely.
What do you mean by this?

Why is there only a 50% chance of Twisted being town?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 24, 2013, 04:35:18 pm
awesome!

you guys are great. Last game I had to put in a bunch of effort to get the people who passed the first mission also on the second mission. although to be fair, the first mission had 2 people that time.

If the first mission passes in a 7 player game, I read almost zero into it. In 7 player, the first mission is passed by spies about 90% of the time. Even with 5 or 6 it's not unusually for the 2 person mission to pass.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 25, 2013, 05:42:48 am
Awaiting 3 votes.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 25, 2013, 11:31:21 am
I'm going to be rejecting this one.  Just want more information, and I don't think there's any pressing need for me to accept one of these proposals at this point.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on July 25, 2013, 11:38:52 am
I'm going to be rejecting this one.  Just want more information, and I don't think there's any pressing need for me to accept one of these proposals at this point.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 25, 2013, 11:39:25 am
I'd hope not nkirbit... you have the 5th proposal!

I'm accepting though. I have no problem with arch being the 4th member of the mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 25, 2013, 11:49:53 am
I'd hope not nkirbit... you have the 5th proposal!

I'm accepting though. I have no problem with arch being the 4th member of the mission.

I don't either, but I do have a problem with accepting the first mission and getting no information.  I want to see who accepts and rejects a number of missions, not just one.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 25, 2013, 07:05:31 pm
I accepted this mission for several reasons: It's essentially similar to what mine would be at this point, I do think we want the LotL to be on the second mission, and I would rather be the leader on mission 3 than mission 2.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 26, 2013, 03:25:14 pm
Just waiting for mail-mi to return from being V/LA.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 27, 2013, 07:03:33 pm
Hey guize I'm here. Hooray that it passed.

I have a completely null read on everyone at this point (A lot of things can be forgotten on a 50 miler) so I'm gonna reject this mission and reread.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 27, 2013, 07:41:27 pm
Mission 2, Proposal 1

Leader: Archetype
Proposed Team: liopoil, Archetype, Twistedarcher, nkirbit

Votes
Accept: liopoil, Archetype, Dsell
Reject: Tables, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher (LotL)
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky


shraeye is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 4 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 27, 2013, 09:03:43 pm
I accepted this mission for several reasons: It's essentially similar to what mine would be at this point, I do think we want the LotL to be on the second mission, and I would rather be the leader on mission 3 than mission 2.

I mean, having Archetype instead of you is pretty different, right?

If you assume that Myself, TA, and Lio are resistance, there are six players left in the game, three of whom are spies.  If you're resistance, that means that out of Archetype, Shraeye, Mail-mi, Tables, and Ashersky, there are 3 spies.  60% chance for a random player who wasn't on the last mission to be a spy.

So I think that the difference between having yourself and having Archetype on the mission is big enough that they're not "essentially the same".
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 27, 2013, 09:17:48 pm
Eh, like I said. I didn't expect it to go through.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 28, 2013, 04:05:38 am
I accepted this mission for several reasons: It's essentially similar to what mine would be at this point, I do think we want the LotL to be on the second mission, and I would rather be the leader on mission 3 than mission 2.

I mean, having Archetype instead of you is pretty different, right?

If you assume that Myself, TA, and Lio are resistance, there are six players left in the game, three of whom are spies.  If you're resistance, that means that out of Archetype, Shraeye, Mail-mi, Tables, and Ashersky, there are 3 spies.  60% chance for a random player who wasn't on the last mission to be a spy.

So I think that the difference between having yourself and having Archetype on the mission is big enough that they're not "essentially the same".

I mean besides the inclusion of me. Of course, I'd rather be in it, but to the outside voting observer, I think they look about the same unless people have really strong reads on one of us. So things being equal (to outsiders at least), I'd rather have a chance to lead mission 3 than mission 2.

And while I genuinely had hopes that mission would succeed, I do think there was a non-zero chance it could have gotten 2 fails.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 28, 2013, 08:57:50 pm
Propose: Dsell, liopoil, TwistedArcher, nkirbit
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on July 28, 2013, 08:58:38 pm
Also, looking at Proposal #1 and Proposal #5 for the first mission, it's interesting that these were the same people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 28, 2013, 09:01:01 pm
Propose: Dsell, liopoil, TwistedArcher, nkirbit
wow. this makes me think that either shraeye is resistance or one of his spy buddies is on the mission. I lean towards the former.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 28, 2013, 09:15:53 pm
Propose: Dsell, liopoil, TwistedArcher, nkirbit
wow. this makes me think that either shraeye is resistance or one of his spy buddies is on the mission. I lean towards the former.

Why towards the former? As a resistance member this is EXTREMELY risky of a proposal. As a spy, it's entirely in his favour if it passes. Unless Shraeye can come up with a very good explanation for this proposal, he's jumping right to the top of my scumdar.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on July 28, 2013, 09:31:25 pm
Propose: Dsell, liopoil, TwistedArcher, nkirbit
wow. this makes me think that either shraeye is resistance or one of his spy buddies is on the mission. I lean towards the former.

Why towards the former? As a resistance member this is EXTREMELY risky of a proposal. As a spy, it's entirely in his favour if it passes. Unless Shraeye can come up with a very good explanation for this proposal, he's jumping right to the top of my scumdar.

Why?  I don't understand either position.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on July 28, 2013, 09:33:39 pm
as a spy it is not in his favor if it passes unless he knows his buddy is on the mission, which seems unlikely. as resistance, it makes sense because if he sent himself it probably would be rejected, sending dsell might be more likely.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 28, 2013, 09:49:19 pm
Propose: Dsell, liopoil, TwistedArcher, nkirbit
wow. this makes me think that either shraeye is resistance or one of his spy buddies is on the mission. I lean towards the former.

Why towards the former? As a resistance member this is EXTREMELY risky of a proposal. As a spy, it's entirely in his favour if it passes. Unless Shraeye can come up with a very good explanation for this proposal, he's jumping right to the top of my scumdar.

I agree heartily with tables here. If he is resistance, he knows that he is resistance. Why wouldn't he put himself on the mission?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 28, 2013, 09:53:45 pm
Propose: Dsell, liopoil, TwistedArcher, nkirbit
wow. this makes me think that either shraeye is resistance or one of his spy buddies is on the mission. I lean towards the former.

Why towards the former? As a resistance member this is EXTREMELY risky of a proposal. As a spy, it's entirely in his favour if it passes. Unless Shraeye can come up with a very good explanation for this proposal, he's jumping right to the top of my scumdar.

Would you say the same thing about Dsell accepting the last proposal?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 28, 2013, 09:56:23 pm
I'm going to withhold judgement on this until I see the votes and Shraeye has a chance to explain why he proposed the group that he did.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 28, 2013, 09:59:42 pm
At this point, my only reads are resistance on Lio and TA and spy on mail-mi.  Everyone else is still null.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 28, 2013, 11:03:31 pm
as a spy it is not in his favor if it passes unless he knows his buddy is on the mission, which seems unlikely. as resistance, it makes sense because if he sent himself it probably would be rejected, sending dsell might be more likely.

This is really odd reasoning. Why do you think everyone on the proposal is resistance, including DSell? What makes you so confident of that? If he's a spy and knows a spy is on mission, it's great for him. If he's resistance, he'd have to be bloody confident in DSell to choose him over himself, and considering DSell is no more trusted than anyone else, putting him on is extremely questionable and risky as resistance. And the fact he didn't include himself is ample reason for every resistance member to question his motive. Finally, why are you answering for him? It sounds like you know more than you're letting on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 28, 2013, 11:27:06 pm
as a spy it is not in his favor if it passes unless he knows his buddy is on the mission, which seems unlikely. as resistance, it makes sense because if he sent himself it probably would be rejected, sending dsell might be more likely.
Finally, why are you answering for him? It sounds like you know more than you're letting on.

Well Ashersky asked Lio to justify his reasoning.

This is unexpected from Shraeye, but I probably will pass it. It is somewhat suspicious but perhaps more suspicious than spies want to look right now. Still, I'd rather be leader for mission 3.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 28, 2013, 11:37:04 pm
At this point, my only reads are resistance on Lio and TA and spy on mail-mi.  Everyone else is still null.
:'( do you have reasons I can refute?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 28, 2013, 11:38:46 pm
Mission 2, Proposal 2 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 9pm July 29th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 29, 2013, 01:25:52 am
At this point, my only reads are resistance on Lio and TA and spy on mail-mi.  Everyone else is still null.
:'( do you have reasons I can refute?

It's really just you saying "I'm going to accept mission 1 proposal 4" well before we were at that point.  I've played a lot of games with a decent amount of people, and I've heard a number of people say that.  A majority of the time, they're spies, and I use that to build the case against them (or I don't even reveal it, because they're obv spy elsewhere.. and save it for a later game :D)  It's just a trend I've noticed.

The reason for it is that resistance and spies are pulling towards two different objectives.

Resistance members want two thing:  Missions that are more likely to pass, and missions that are more likely to provide them with information.  Particularly on the first mission, the best way to ensure that this is the case is to do everything you can to put yourself on the mission.  Obviously, this isn't always possible, but saying something like, "I'm going to pass this mission, regardless of who is on it," works directly against what a resistance member should be trying to do.  Note that the information hunting is why we often should fail missions even if we would be okay with who is on them.  The first and fifth groups were exactly the same in mission 1, but I'm definitely glad that I failed the first one, because by going through the process of voting, I came out with a spy-read on mail-mi, and one that I'm reasonably confident about for this point of the game.

That being said, I will obviously listen to your explanations of what you did, and to help you out, here are two questions:

1) What was your reason for saying that you were likely to pass proposal 4? (#174, by you).
2) Why did you change your mind?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 29, 2013, 09:58:32 am
1) cuz I had no problem with the mission (shraeye, Dsell, and liopoil, I believe. It's been a while and I'm on phone), but someone pointed out that 2) LotL wasn't on the mission, and that changed my mind for me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on July 29, 2013, 02:07:03 pm
Um, yeah. This mission gets a big decline from me. I understand not including yourself on the mission in Mission 1, but with as much information as we have, I think this is a bad proposal by shraeye.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 29, 2013, 03:23:45 pm
1) cuz I had no problem with the mission (shraeye, Dsell, and liopoil, I believe. It's been a while and I'm on phone), but someone pointed out that 2) LotL wasn't on the mission, and that changed my mind for me.

No!  This is not what happened!

What actually happened:

#174:  Mail-mi says he will probably accept proposal 4.
#237:  Tables proposes' the group for proposal 4.

What I'm talking about you saying that you would pass proposal 4 well before it was even proposed.  Your explanation said "you had no problem with who was on the mission"... but you didn't even know who was going to be on the mission at that point!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on July 29, 2013, 03:32:50 pm
1) cuz I had no problem with the mission (shraeye, Dsell, and liopoil, I believe. It's been a while and I'm on phone), but someone pointed out that 2) LotL wasn't on the mission, and that changed my mind for me.

No!  This is not what happened!

What actually happened:

#174:  Mail-mi says he will probably accept proposal 4.
#237:  Tables proposes' the group for proposal 4.

What I'm talking about you saying that you would pass proposal 4 well before it was even proposed.  Your explanation said "you had no problem with who was on the mission"... but you didn't even know who was going to be on the mission at that point!
Okay I was getting my time line wrong.

174 I say I will probably pass 4 and 5.
237 Tables proposes.
243 I state that i don't have a problem with this mission and that i will probably vote yes.
248 Ash points out LotL is not on the mission.
256 I realize that, and the fact is I want LotL on the mission, so I reject it.

Better?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 29, 2013, 03:40:29 pm
It's your 174 I have an issue with, for reasons I've stated above.  In my experiences, players who say things like that are more often scum than not.  That's all.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 29, 2013, 10:25:59 pm
Waiting for one vote.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on July 30, 2013, 05:32:46 pm
Mission 2, Proposal 2

Leader: shraeye
Proposed Team: liopoil, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit

Votes
Accept: Dsell, Twistedarcher
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher (LotL)
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky


Dsell is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 4 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on July 30, 2013, 05:36:12 pm
Shraeye, why'd you reject it?  (I'm not surprised that you did and probably know why, but I do want to hear it from you).

Lio, you said you were leaning resistance on Shraeye, but rejected his mission?  How come?


I rejected it because for this mission to be a success, I basically have to guess correctly that both Shraeye and Dsell are resistance.  If Shraeye is a spy, I don't think he proposes a group with no spies on it, and even if he is resistance, he still could be wrong about Dsell.  So both have to be resistance for this to be good.  I'd rather have to choose to trust only one person outside of myself/Lio/TA.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on July 30, 2013, 05:40:21 pm
Ah. Shraeye voting no for this suddenly makes him look a lot better in my eyes. It also makes DSell and TA look very suspicious, since they need to trust more people than necessary to think this mission would succeed.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on July 31, 2013, 01:31:01 am
Ah. Shraeye voting no for this suddenly makes him look a lot better in my eyes. It also makes DSell and TA look very suspicious, since they need to trust more people than necessary to think this mission would succeed.

By no means did I think it would pass. But I hoped it would. Again, I'd much rather be leader of mission 3, being on mission 2 was just a nice plus. Anyway, that's moot now that I'm leader. I haven't decided on a team yet.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 01, 2013, 01:53:35 pm
Propose: Dsell, shraeye, TA, nkirbit

I think shraeye's last proposal was resistance-y. TA is lotl. Several have stated that nkirbit seems resistance-y and he was on the first mission. I am there for obvious reasons.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 01, 2013, 01:58:20 pm
What are people's suspicions right now? I've already mentioned mine - TA from early voting patterns and voting yes to mission 2.2, DSell slightly for voting yes to 2.2 and then proposing the same thing. Mail-mi for... things (uh been a while, might have to re-read him I guess).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 01, 2013, 02:02:05 pm
This isn't the same mission as 2.2.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 01, 2013, 02:14:56 pm
Propose: Dsell, shraeye, TA, nkirbit

I think shraeye's last proposal was resistance-y.
Why do you think that?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 01, 2013, 02:22:28 pm
This isn't the same mission as 2.2.

My bad. Looked similar and had two people I suspect, so I just assumed it was identical.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 01, 2013, 02:38:06 pm
It's a no-go from me. I trust nkirbit and TA, but Dsell I'm a little uneasy about and shraeye is a bit more suspicious because of his proposal.

Why is it so dead in here?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 01, 2013, 03:31:30 pm
Propose: Dsell, shraeye, TA, nkirbit

I think shraeye's last proposal was resistance-y.
Why do you think that?

I think that it was a bold move, and it made you stand out more than spies want to stand out right now, especially with lotl around. And indeed, people are finding you suspicious for proposing that mission. You didn't vote for it though, which makes it feel like resistance proposing a mission that was unlikely to pass in the first place in order to give us more info on how people would vote. A gambit, sort of. I don't know if that's how you intended it but that's how it came across to me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 01, 2013, 03:44:07 pm
wow. you really think that shraeye is more likely to be resistance than me? okay...
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 01, 2013, 03:53:43 pm
wow. you really think that shraeye is more likely to be resistance than me? okay...

Oh definitely. I am basically completely null on you. First mission passing means virtually nothing to me.

Besides, people already rejected a variation of that mission with Archetype instead of me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 01, 2013, 05:13:58 pm
I think first mission passing with 3 people means... more. I think I said before it was very likely the three were resistance, perhaps that was an overstatement, because there's every possibility there were in fact two spies who both ducked, or one spy who decided to go deep cover, but I'd definitely consider this an indicator in favour of those on M1 being resistance. But there's a difference between an indication and proof. I don't have an issue with someone being switched out if the mission leader thinks someone else is better and can defend it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 01, 2013, 05:33:23 pm
I think first mission passing with 3 people means... more.

For you, sure. I'm going off of my experiences here and while I technically agree with you, slightly more than nothing at all is still not weighing on me much here.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 01, 2013, 06:16:27 pm
Mission 2, Proposal 3 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 2pm August 2nd forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 02, 2013, 02:40:51 am
Dsell, why did you choose Lio to kick off the mission instead of myself or TA?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 02, 2013, 02:53:19 am
TA is lotl and I think there is merit in him being on the mission in case he is resistance and it fails. Narrows the pool. And really with you it was a toss up. It could have been either of you, I chose you because of 2 things: the general consensus is that you're more likely resistance meaning this mission is more likely to pass if you're on it, and also because I think I buy into some of those reasons why people think you're resistance. You rejected your own mission, your reasoning has seemed largely sound to me,I think there may have been one or two other things but I don't remember at the moment. To sum: I have more of a residence read on you than Lio.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 02, 2013, 07:45:24 pm
Just a reminder: if you're the leader of a mission proposal, please remember to vote for it. Waiting for one vote.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 02, 2013, 08:06:26 pm
Sorry guys, took for granted that I have to vote on my own proposals. My bad. :-X
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 02, 2013, 08:13:10 pm
Mission 2, Proposal 3

Leader: Dsell
Proposed Team: shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit

Votes
Accept: Dsell
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher (LotL)
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky


Twistedarcher is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 4 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 02, 2013, 08:30:57 pm
Yay......
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 02, 2013, 08:55:01 pm
Haha.

TA:  We have 6 players to choose from, if you plan on sticking to the TA/Nkirbit/Lio plan.

Mail-mi, Dsell, Shraeye, Tables, Ashersky, and Archetype.

I obviously prefer not to send mail-mi.
I prefer not to send Dsell, since that's bad if either Dsell is a spy or Shraeye is a spy (since Shraeye was okay sending Dsell and us.).  They both could be resistance, but I don't think that we should send a mission that requires us to trust two people when we can send one that requires us to trust one.

I'd prefer the fourth to come out of Shraeye, Tables, Ashersky, and Archetype.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 02, 2013, 08:57:29 pm
Haha.

TA:  We have 6 players to choose from, if you plan on sticking to the TA/Nkirbit/Lio plan.

Mail-mi, Dsell, Shraeye, Tables, Ashersky, and Archetype.

I obviously prefer not to send mail-mi.
I prefer not to send Dsell, since that's bad if either Dsell is a spy or Shraeye is a spy (since Shraeye was okay sending Dsell and us.).  They both could be resistance, but I don't think that we should send a mission that requires us to trust two people when we can send one that requires us to trust one.

I'd prefer the fourth to come out of Shraeye, Tables, Ashersky, and Archetype.

I'd say no Shraeye, since he figured into your no Dsell equation.

I'd like to go on one.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 02, 2013, 09:27:59 pm
I good with ash or arch, those are my top choices.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 02, 2013, 09:29:58 pm
The reason I sent Dsell/twisted/lio/nkirbit is because I figured that one likely scenario (and one that would tell us really nothing) was that Arch sends Arch/TA/lio/nkir, I send shra/TA/lio/nkir, and dsell sends dsell/TA/lio/nkir, all with no success.

So by preempting Dsell's mission, I give us something to think about, and put it on Dsell to come up with a team that wasn't the one that just got sent.

I'm not sure what I expected, but I was surprised to be on his mission, and not surprised taht it super-failed with only Dsell voting for it.


I think the bit from all this that had me most suspicious was Tables' reacting with suspicion when I sent Dsell instead of myself, but then ending up ok with me because I downvoted it.  Then when Dsell sent a team, Tables thought it was the same team that got sent before.  An explanation of what's in your mind right now would help, Tables.

Mail-mi's confusion about why I didn't send myself seems genuine.  I'm cool with myself/mail-mi being picked as a fourth with lio/TA/nkirbit.  ash/arch I'm null on.  I'd prefer not to send Dsell or Tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 02, 2013, 09:32:16 pm
What are people's suspicions right now? I've already mentioned mine - TA from early voting patterns and voting yes to mission 2.2, DSell slightly for voting yes to 2.2 and then proposing the same thing. Mail-mi for... things (uh been a while, might have to re-read him I guess).

For those who didn't respond to it. I'd still like to hear from you all.

Asides from myself, I think I'd support Shraeye as the fourth. I would be most against DSell or Mail-mi and would consider the other two.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 02, 2013, 09:34:35 pm
Haha.

TA:  We have 6 players to choose from, if you plan on sticking to the TA/Nkirbit/Lio plan.

Mail-mi, Dsell, Shraeye, Tables, Ashersky, and Archetype.

I obviously prefer not to send mail-mi.
I prefer not to send Dsell, since that's bad if either Dsell is a spy or Shraeye is a spy (since Shraeye was okay sending Dsell and us.).  They both could be resistance, but I don't think that we should send a mission that requires us to trust two people when we can send one that requires us to trust one.

I'd prefer the fourth to come out of Shraeye, Tables, Ashersky, and Archetype.
Why do you have a (incorrect) scum read almost every day we play together? Ugh, anyway send me!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 02, 2013, 09:36:40 pm
Haha, I do read mail-mi scummy often when he is not, that is true.

That being said, I'm not good at mafia.  At all.  But I would like to think I'm at the very least decent at this game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 02, 2013, 09:37:51 pm
I think the bit from all this that had me most suspicious was Tables' reacting with suspicion when I sent Dsell instead of myself, but then ending up ok with me because I downvoted it.  Then when Dsell sent a team, Tables thought it was the same team that got sent before.  An explanation of what's in your mind right now would help, Tables.

I don't really know what else I can say beyond what I've already said. Not sending a mission with yourself at this point seemed very suspect - why would you think picking someone else was a better thing than picking yourself? As a spy it makes sense, you can try and argue it away, but you've actually just picked a team with exactly one spy. As resistance, you've got little incentive to not be on your proposal. But the moment I saw you not vote your own mission up I realised it was just a trap - resistance members were a lot less likely than spies to upvote a mission where the leader didn't trust themselves, and DSell and TA fell into it. I hadn't considered that it might just be that in advance, but it was actually a very good resistance play now I think about it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 03, 2013, 02:05:07 am
I'm really warning up to the idea of shraeye being resistance and mail-mi being spy. Nkirbit is my top town read as he is being just so protown.

We've sort of come down to the same problem as last proposal. It only comes down to whether I trust TA or nkirbit. Well, I trust nkirbit more as he is my top read, but I think TA is likely Resistance too. I'll have to see what he proposes.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 03, 2013, 03:32:06 am
Archetype has had, in my view, no real impact on the game thus far, which makes him somewhat suspicious to me. Perhaps it shouldn't, but he's not improving his position in my eyes. I'm still mildly suspicious of mail-mi. I'm rapidly becoming more suspicious of Tables. I don't know if I can put a finger on it, which is the opposite of what you're supposed to say in this game but his reactions recently, particularly to shraeye's gambit, have felt off. I feel like he is at least partially responsible for turning the tide of opinion against me, since I have done nothing to earn suspicion this round besides approve missions that I've been on.

I am least suspicious of the people I put on the mission, my top resistance read is shraeye.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 03, 2013, 06:20:09 am
...since I have done nothing to earn suspicion this round besides approve missions that I've been on.

You say this like it's not a good reason to suspect someone. A mission isn't made by it's strongest member but it's weakest. Voting yes purely because you're on mission is pro-spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 03, 2013, 01:51:09 pm
...since I have done nothing to earn suspicion this round besides approve missions that I've been on.

You say this like it's not a good reason to suspect someone. A mission isn't made by it's strongest member but it's weakest. Voting yes purely because you're on mission is pro-spy.

But that's not the only reason I've approved these missions! I wanted one of the first proposals to pass so that I could be a leader on mission 3, the first mission where we will have some real information. I don't put much of any stock into the first mission succeeding. I don't think voting patterns on the first couple missions are very damning yet (I already feel like I have a different style of voting/play because all of my games to this point have been IRL). I don't have strong suspicions. My last list is my suspicions but they are all so minor at this point in the game. There is no one I am so suspicious of that I would refuse any mission they're on no matter what at this point. And in fact, the second and third missions proposed here in round 2 looked pretty good to me! I was on them, I'm not going to refuse that without real good reason at this stage in the game. The other factors (getting a chance to be leader mission 3 rather than mission 2) weighed much more heavily on me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 04, 2013, 07:38:31 pm
Sorry, here now. Haven't read at all this weekend, its been a really hectic one. I'll have my proposal up by 9 pm at the latest, sorry Jimm
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 04, 2013, 07:48:02 pm
Proposal: Twistedarcher, Nkirbit, Liopoil, Mail-mi

I have much higher resistance-reads on Nkirbit and Liopoil than on anyone else. It's not a guarantee that spies fail the first mission, and I think anyone on the first mission, when the first mission passed, has a much higher chance of being spy than anyone else.

I also disagree with most people's Mail-mi reads, and I think he's resistance. His play is different than the last resistance game, when he WAS a spy, and I'm suspicious of how many people have come out and said they think he's a spy. I think he's more likely a resistance, and our spies are more likely in the Dsell/Tables/Archetype/Ashersky group who I have null reads on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 04, 2013, 07:51:46 pm
Hey look I'm on a mission! A mission that I also approve of the other people. It's a yes from me!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 04, 2013, 07:56:36 pm
Mission 2, Proposal 4 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 8pm August 5th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 04, 2013, 08:04:58 pm
Reject reject reject.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 04, 2013, 08:27:01 pm
Gaw. As much as I really dislike pushing it to the last proposal, I'll have to reject this mission. Primarily because I have a more scummier read on mail-mi and only a null on liopoil.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 04, 2013, 08:34:46 pm
I'm leaning towards Archetype for the fifth mission.  So if you have a townier read on him than you do on mail-mi, deny and wait for my mission!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 04, 2013, 08:48:40 pm
I'm actually going to accept this I think. It puts me as the fifth proposal next round, which is a plus for sure. and well, mail-mi isn't my first choice, but eh, you're all pretty much the same :P
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 05, 2013, 03:32:05 am
It probably goes without saying, but I don't really like this proposal. But on the other hand, it's one person I suspect putting another person I suspect on... that's worth me mulling over at least.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 05, 2013, 11:56:39 am
Proposal: Twistedarcher, Nkirbit, Liopoil, Mail-mi

I have much higher resistance-reads on Nkirbit and Liopoil than on anyone else. It's not a guarantee that spies fail the first mission, and I think anyone on the first mission, when the first mission passed, has a much higher chance of being spy than anyone else.

This paragraph doesn't seem to jive? I think I know what you mean but care to explain yourself?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 05, 2013, 11:57:40 am
Proposal: Twistedarcher, Nkirbit, Liopoil, Mail-mi

I have much higher resistance-reads on Nkirbit and Liopoil than on anyone else. It's not a guarantee that spies fail the first mission, and I think anyone on the first mission, when the first mission passed, has a much higher chance of being [c]spy[/c]Resistance than anyone else.

This paragraph doesn't seem to jive? I think I know what you mean but care to explain yourself?

Whoops. I need to stop making these "scum slips"

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 05, 2013, 12:02:58 pm
I'm cautiously optimistic about this mission actually. At the very least I think it likely eliminates the possibility of a TA/mail-mi known spy team. I do wish it were shraeye or myself on the mission rather than mail-mi or Lio but I might be willing to let this one play out.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 05, 2013, 10:02:08 pm
Mission 2, Proposal 4

Leader: Twistedarcher
Proposed Team: liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi

Votes
Accept: liopoil, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, mail-mi
Reject: Tables, Archetype, nkirbit, ashersky

Proposal is accepted.

Each player on the mission has 24 hours to send me their Succeed or Fail.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 05, 2013, 10:03:35 pm
No one talk until after the mission, please.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 06, 2013, 06:54:24 pm
Mission 2, Proposal 4

Leader: Twistedarcher
Proposed Team: liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi

Votes
Accept: liopoil, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, mail-mi
Reject: Tables, Archetype, nkirbit, ashersky

Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 3
Fail: 1

The Mission is a Failure!

Twistedarcher now has 24 hours to use the Lady of the Lake to investigate any other player by typing LotL: PlayerName in thread. The named player does not need to respond in any way - I will give the result by PM.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 06, 2013, 07:28:53 pm
Boo everyone.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 06, 2013, 07:35:41 pm
Dang it. That puts me in a bad spot.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 06, 2013, 07:57:55 pm
Boo!

Fos TA for telling us not to talk in a message starting with the word no
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 06, 2013, 08:57:25 pm
Boo!

Fos TA for telling us not to talk in a message starting with the word no
? I don't follow.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 06, 2013, 09:12:27 pm
Boo!

Fos TA for telling us not to talk in a message starting with the word no

I WAS THINKING THE SAME THING NOT COOL

Do we have lotl info now? How does that work exactly?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 06, 2013, 09:13:48 pm
Boo!

Fos TA for telling us not to talk in a message starting with the word no
? I don't follow.

Starting the post about not talking with the word "no" could be signaling in and of itself.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 06, 2013, 09:26:06 pm
Boo!

Fos TA for telling us not to talk in a message starting with the word no
? I don't follow.

Starting the post about not talking with the word "no" could be signaling in and of itself.
Ah.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 06, 2013, 09:30:57 pm
Do we have lotl info now? How does that work exactly?

Twistedarcher will choose who to investigate by posting in the thread. I will respond by PM and then announce that the Lady of the Lake has been resolved, the token has been passed on, and that it's time for the next mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 06, 2013, 09:31:42 pm
Thank you!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 06, 2013, 11:15:27 pm
Thoughts on who I should investigate?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 06, 2013, 11:19:50 pm
If we think Twisted's post on not talking is suspicious enough (meaning that there are 2 spies on the mission, and Twisted is one of them), then we should demand Twisted to send LotL to our (not his) other scumread from that mission.

If Twisted and his target are both spies, then either Twisted gives up a partner, or when LotL passes again, we can get knowledge of two spies.


Or should Twisted just investigate his top resistance read?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 06, 2013, 11:24:27 pm
I think we should have TA choose and justify his response himself.  If he's a spy, the last thing we want to do is to make the decision for him.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 06, 2013, 11:26:13 pm
Although, I will say that starting a message with the word "no" could be interpreted in any number of ways, and really isn't much better than just guessing randomly, I would think.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 06, 2013, 11:29:54 pm
Do people think it's better for me to resistance-hunt or spy-hunt?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 06, 2013, 11:36:41 pm
Not sure.  I've never played with LOTL before now.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 06, 2013, 11:47:56 pm
Not sure.  I've never played with LOTL before now.

Same. I would think if you have a strong feeling one way or the other, though, following that may be wise.

Or just give it to me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 06, 2013, 11:49:41 pm
Er, my last post might seem a little vague. What I mean is that if you have a strong read on someone one way or the other, confirming that trust/suspicion by giving them lotl could be a good idea.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 07, 2013, 07:09:20 am
I think it's better to resistance hunt in this game.  If we find resistance, we can make sure they are on every mission, which makes our task easier.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 07, 2013, 11:34:09 am
Resistance hunting is HUGELY better than spy hunting, for reasons I've explained in detail in earlier posts. I'll see if I can find it.

My strongest resistance read is nkirbit, and there being only one fail on that mission makes me actually more confident (it's very likely there was 1/4 in that mission, a small chance there was 2/4 spies, minute that it was 3/4, and he was my best read before, so couple that with the odds being the mission had a 25% spy rate compared to the normal 33%), so he'd be my choice for who gets it. Obviously I wouldn't object to getting it myself - it gives me less information, but I know you'll get a clean read. If you call me dirty, you out yourself as a spy to me, as well.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 07, 2013, 11:35:13 am
The reason to have the LotR on the mission is, if it fails AND the LotR is Round Table, he can investigate one of the other two on the mission to figure out who sabotaged, right?

So that makes sense to me.  He needs to be on a mission so he can do the checking.

It sounds logical in theory, but this is literally the least helpful thing you can do with LotL. It's a lot more helpful to get resistance reads from LotL than it is to get scum reads (this isn't mafia where you're finding scum, this is Resistance where you want to find Resistance). And on top of that, the person you check gets LotL so you want them to be Resistance, so they can get a useful read as well, instead of it being 'wasted' from there. And if you keep it in resistance hands long enough, you get a chain of trust, where person 1 (if they're a rebel) knows person 2 is a rebel, who knows person 3 is a rebel, who knows person 4 is a rebel, so person 1 knows 4 rebels instantly.

So you really want to pick someone which maximises the chance of them being a rebel, not the opposite. If LotL is on a mission and it fails and they pick someone on the mission, there's a roughly 2/3 chance either the LotL is a spy or they pick a spy from the others, which is not good. I guess more accurately you'd say it's a 1/2 chance of going from rebel to spy (since if it's in spy hands at the start, it doesn't matter what you do to the LotL, it's still starting in spy hands).

Getting a read on the LotL is the main reason to put them on missions. As of right now, I'm somewhat suspicious of TA, although it is still early days.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 07, 2013, 11:56:45 am
Yeah, I think TA should investigate someone he is on the fence about with being Resistance. Eliminating 1 Spy isn't nearly as effective since you have 2 others to worry about.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 07, 2013, 12:08:39 pm
I disagree with going for someone you're on the fence with. Unless your strongest read is someone you're like 90%+ confident in, I'd say just go with the strongest read. Confirmation is a powerful thing, especially since it means two people get LotL results the next round, and three the round after, if they're all resistance reads (since you know whatever they say will be truth).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 07, 2013, 12:10:28 pm
I disagree with going for someone you're on the fence with. Unless your strongest read is someone you're like 90%+ confident in, I'd say just go with the strongest read. Confirmation is a powerful thing, especially since it means two people get LotL results the next round, and three the round after, if they're all resistance reads (since you know whatever they say will be truth).
Really? If it was me, I'd go with someone I'm not sure about. If my gut read says that someone is Resistance, I don't want to waste an investigation confirming it. It's true that confirmation is powerful, but I don't know. To me it would feel like a waste.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 07, 2013, 12:13:46 pm
Tables is right here, a mafia-player's instinct might say to use it like a cop.  But really it's better to resistance hunt, especially because if you peg resistance, then you can completely trust who they say THEIR result is.  And if #2's chosen guy is Resistance, then you can trust the #3 result as well.

It really really helps to hit resistance.  It's much better than picking a spy, and then it's 1/1 depending on who we believe (or 2 spies who are playing us).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 07, 2013, 12:28:00 pm
Lady of the Lake: Nkirbit
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 07, 2013, 02:01:41 pm
Yeah for what it's worth I'm in agreement with Tables here, that is a clever use of lotl so I think investigating nkirbit is smart.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 07, 2013, 04:06:34 pm
Unfortunately, I realise I'm kind of accelerating the learning process of LotL by telling you all how it should be used... but I guess I'm just competitive :D.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 07, 2013, 07:32:30 pm
Twistedarcher has used the Lady of the Lake token on nkirbit.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit (LotL)
mail-mi
ashersky


nkirbit is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 4 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 07, 2013, 07:33:15 pm
So TA and nkirbit know each others' alignments?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 07, 2013, 07:35:14 pm
I think TA just knows nkirbit's.

Are you going to tell us what it is?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 07, 2013, 08:01:41 pm
Nkirbit's good.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 07, 2013, 08:02:18 pm
I believe TA's claim.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 07, 2013, 08:02:35 pm
So one of Lio / Mail-mi is a spy. Probably not both, but definitely one.

Since they're one good / one bad, I honestly want to avoid both of them. I know we're taking one good person out of play, but that leaves 2 spies and 5 resistance in the remaning 7 players, which is pretty good odds.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 07, 2013, 08:03:31 pm
I believe TA's claim.

What is TA's claim?  That you are good?  Wouldn't you support that even if you are bad?  I don't understand.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 07, 2013, 08:03:42 pm
And yes, I have no mod confirmed info about TA's alignment.  I will, however, have the LOTL for next round.

And it's my turn to propose!  We need four people.

We have a couple of ways to play this:

1)  Try and figure out who the spy on the last mission was, and replace them.
2)  Try an entirely different group.

I will think on it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 07, 2013, 08:04:10 pm
I believe TA's claim.

What is TA's claim?  That you are good?  Wouldn't you support that even if you are bad?  I don't understand.

Yeah, I would support it either way.  It was a joke!  Perhaps not a good one, though :(
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 07, 2013, 08:05:15 pm
So one of Lio / Mail-mi is a spy. Probably not both, but definitely one.

Since they're one good / one bad, I honestly want to avoid both of them. I know we're taking one good person out of play, but that leaves 2 spies and 5 resistance in the remaning 7 players, which is pretty good odds.

Keep in mind.. you're the only one who knows that you're good.  So for me, I know there is at least one spy in Lio/ Mail-mi / TA.

You could be a spy who LOTL'd me and said my real alignment for town-cred.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 07, 2013, 08:05:22 pm
Just a reminder that the LotL can only be used on someone who has not had the LotL token before.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 07, 2013, 08:09:46 pm
And yes, I have no mod confirmed info about TA's alignment.  I will, however, have the LOTL for next round.

And it's my turn to propose!  We need four people.

We have a couple of ways to play this:

1)  Try and figure out who the spy on the last mission was, and replace them.
2)  Try an entirely different group.

I will think on it.

I'd say #2. Obviously you don't have the benefit that I do, but I'm going to advocate avoiding both Mail-mi/Lio from my PoV, and if you could get a firm resistance read outside of that, or even find a spy, that would be pretty great.

Actually, I'm not sure that you wouldn't want to spy hunt. If you find a spy outside of Lio/mail-mi, I know that there's 2 spies out of 3 players. (2/4 for the rest of you). That leaves 1 spy out of 5 for you all, and 1 spy out of 6 for me.

If you find a spy outside of Lio/mail-mi/TA (from everyone's point of view), that would really, really, really narrow down the pool and give us a good group of people who are more than likely resistance.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 07, 2013, 08:10:34 pm
Oh shoot, I misread your post. I thought you were talking about who to use the LoTL on next, not on who to put on this mission.

I don't want Lio/mail-mi, and I absolutely will reject any mission that doesn't include Nkirbit.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 07, 2013, 08:30:00 pm
Hmmm, interesting. so, I know that one of TA/mail-mi is scum. I'm fine with not being on the mission now, can totally understand suspicions on me. I suggest we put nkirbit and three people who haven't been on a mission yet on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: yuma on August 07, 2013, 08:35:03 pm
/tag
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 07, 2013, 08:37:47 pm
I'm still up for it! I'd be happy with shraeye on the mission as well.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 07, 2013, 08:45:10 pm
I'm still up for it! I'd be happy with shraeye on the mission as well.

Why?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 07, 2013, 09:12:28 pm
I'm still up for it! I'd be happy with shraeye on the mission as well.

Why?
Well, lets see.

5 people 'off wagon'
1. Archetype
2. Dsell
3. shraeye
4. ashersky
5. Tables

Out of those 5, I trust myself the most. We need 4 on the mission, and nkirbit is the leader, so he'll add himself. I'll accept if he adds me, since their is very little chance the mission will get all passes if he doesn't. That leaves 2 spaces left. I want shraeye to be one of them since I have the strongest resistance read out of the lot. That leaves one space. I'm null on everyone else, so I don't care who that goes to as long as its not Tables.

So to sum up: The reason I want shraeye on the mission is because I'd rather have the 2 empty spots be most likely good/null than null/null.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 07, 2013, 09:21:03 pm
But why do you have a resistance read on shraeye?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 07, 2013, 10:09:30 pm
If we assume that there was only 1 spy on the mission, "off wagon" there are 3 resistance, 2 spies.  So if we pick me and three off-wagon people, the only way the mission passes is if we correctly pick 3 out of 5.

I kind of hate that.  If we get one spy on it, it's very hard for us to learn anything, and we would have to get both 4 and 5 correct.

So I'm going to have to take along some of Lio/TA/Mail-mi.  I think leaving off all three is very poor for us.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 07, 2013, 10:10:10 pm
I still think a spy would likely fail mission 1, btw.  I know I absolutely would if I were a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 07, 2013, 10:41:59 pm
If we assume that there was only 1 spy on the mission, "off wagon" there are 3 resistance, 2 spies.  So if we pick me and three off-wagon people, the only way the mission passes is if we correctly pick 3 out of 5.

I kind of hate that.  If we get one spy on it, it's very hard for us to learn anything, and we would have to get both 4 and 5 correct.

So I'm going to have to take along some of Lio/TA/Mail-mi.  I think leaving off all three is very poor for us.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 07, 2013, 10:48:28 pm
Dangit sorry that post was a mistake. And what I was going to say was actually a really bad idea for this game. So I actually don't have anything new to say at this juncture. Sorry!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 07, 2013, 11:22:37 pm
I'd like to hear the idea, even if it's bad. Maybe it will give someone a good idea
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 07, 2013, 11:31:25 pm
The idea is to flip the game on its head a bit and try to figure out who the spies are and then put them on the mission, hoping for a multi-fail. Which can work well with 2 spies, which is mostly what I've played with before. But it doesn't work as well with 3. And I think with the resistance hunting from lotl we ought to focus on that.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 08, 2013, 03:25:38 am
I still think Mail-Mi is a spy, FYI.  Nothing has changed that.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 03:31:16 am
Yes, I regret wavering on that point enough to accept the last mission, though to be sure there's no guarantee the lady would have been any more to my liking. I do like that you get to be leader on mission 3 though. We have a whole lot more info now.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 03:32:36 am
The *last would have been anymore to my liking

Sidenote...we are not supposed to edit posts here are we?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 08, 2013, 03:33:19 am
Just switch me in for mail-mi.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 08, 2013, 03:41:39 am
I don't have much time now before I go out but I have a few thoughts, I'll try and explain later:

I think Mail-mi is the only on mission spy. Not confident about that, but I'd say I'm maybe 50-60% sure.

I'm now about 95% sure Nkirbit is good. He's just been extremely pro-resistance and with TA giving a good read I feel even better.

I want to know why people off mission voted yes to that last mission. In all the excitement following the proposal passing, we kind of lost track of that.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 08, 2013, 03:46:46 am
Sidenote...we are not supposed to edit posts here are we?

No.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 03:53:02 am
I voted yes because there was no guarantee that the fifth mission would be any better and because I wanted nkirbit to have the opportunity to lead mission 3. He was my 2nd biggest resistance read at the time and most of the rest in line did not look as good to me. Plus, my suspicion of mail-mi was just not big enough to justify me boycotting any mission he was on no matter what. In hindsight I should have followed that suspicion since it was really all I had, but hey, we are not playing for a flawless game here we are just playing to win.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 03:55:16 am
And if it seems backwards to vote for proposal 4 when nkirbit was 5th, I wanted him to lead the 3rd mission for all the same reasons I wanted myself to lead the 3rd mission. There's just so much more information.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 08, 2013, 08:29:52 am
If we assume that there was only 1 spy on the mission, "off wagon" there are 3 resistance, 2 spies.  So if we pick me and three off-wagon people, the only way the mission passes is if we correctly pick 3 out of 5.

I kind of hate that.  If we get one spy on it, it's very hard for us to learn anything, and we would have to get both 4 and 5 correct.

So I'm going to have to take along some of Lio/TA/Mail-mi.  I think leaving off all three is very poor for us.
I agree a lot.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 08, 2013, 08:33:38 am
I was operating under the assumption that TA/lio/nkirbit were good, and wanted to add a person to that mission.  mail-mi/me were my preferences there, as they corresponded to my resistance reads.  Mail-mi hasn't felt as he did last game when he was a spy, and his reaction to my proposal didn't seem fake/spy-ish.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 08, 2013, 10:41:34 am
The reason I sent Dsell/twisted/lio/nkirbit is because I figured that one likely scenario (and one that would tell us really nothing) was that Arch sends Arch/TA/lio/nkir, I send shra/TA/lio/nkir, and dsell sends dsell/TA/lio/nkir, all with no success.

So by preempting Dsell's mission, I give us something to think about, and put it on Dsell to come up with a team that wasn't the one that just got sent.

I'm not sure what I expected, but I was surprised to be on his mission, and not surprised taht it super-failed with only Dsell voting for it.


I think the bit from all this that had me most suspicious was Tables' reacting with suspicion when I sent Dsell instead of myself, but then ending up ok with me because I downvoted it.  Then when Dsell sent a team, Tables thought it was the same team that got sent before.  An explanation of what's in your mind right now would help, Tables.

Mail-mi's confusion about why I didn't send myself seems genuine.  I'm cool with myself/mail-mi being picked as a fourth with lio/TA/nkirbit.  ash/arch I'm null on.  I'd prefer not to send Dsell or Tables.
^That post is the one that gives me a townread on shraeye, Dsell.

Well if we take a look at the previous mission,

Nkirbit I have a townread on
Twistedarcher I have a townread on

Mail-mi and liopoil are left over. Out of the 2, mail-mi is the scummiest, but he is very much unlike last game. Assuming there is only one scum on the mission, it's one of those 2.

So, nkirbit. You should propose nkirbit/Twistedarcher/me/whoever else you have a townread on. I trust nkirbit's judgement just as much as my own at this point.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 08, 2013, 10:43:43 am
FoS: Dsell for that scum all on one mission plan. Those almost never work unless we're 75% certain someone is scum. And even then, why would would need them to prove it?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 08, 2013, 11:21:55 am
FoS: Dsell for that scum all on one mission plan. Those almost never work unless we're 75% certain someone is scum. And even then, why would would need them to prove it?

He did this last game too. It was equally silly, but he was resistance,
So meh
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 12:54:37 pm
FoS: Dsell for that scum all on one mission plan. Those almost never work unless we're 75% certain someone is scum. And even then, why would would need them to prove it?

He did this last game too. It was equally silly, but he was resistance,
So meh

Uh what? This is my first game of resistance on the forum, right?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 12:57:10 pm
Also wth Archetype, I said it was a bad idea and DIDN'T say it, nkirbit wanted me to. Keep in mind that 90% of my previous games have been 2 spy games, where I don't think it's always such a bad plan.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 08, 2013, 01:01:15 pm
Oops, got Dsell and Arch backwards.

Well, FoS Arch now, for FoS'ing Dsell for an idea that he himself proposed in the last game as resistance.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 01:05:26 pm
Oops, got Dsell and Arch backwards.

Well, FoS Arch now, for FoS'ing Dsell for an idea that he himself proposed in the last game as resistance.

It's funny, I actually went back and double checked the whole non-mafia games forum to be sure. XD
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 08, 2013, 01:12:28 pm
We're talking about putting one of lio-mail-mi-TA on the mission? uh-oh. I'm fine with that, as long as it's me...at least  one of MM and TA is a spy, so I am not risking either one of them on the mission. I'm even a bit nervous about nkirbit, because if I was a spy, I would heavily consider giving a town result on my buddy, and there's a good chance from my perspective that TA is spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 08, 2013, 01:14:33 pm
We're talking about putting one of lio-mail-mi-TA on the mission? uh-oh. I'm fine with that, as long as it's me...at least  one of MM and TA is a spy, so I am not risking either one of them on the mission. I'm even a bit nervous about nkirbit, because if I was a spy, I would heavily consider giving a town result on my buddy, and there's a good chance from my perspective that TA is spy.
Switch around my name and liopoil's name and you have what I think too.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 01:19:56 pm
We're talking about putting one of lio-mail-mi-TA on the mission? uh-oh. I'm fine with that, as long as it's me...at least  one of MM and TA is a spy, so I am not risking either one of them on the mission. I'm even a bit nervous about nkirbit, because if I was a spy, I would heavily consider giving a town result on my buddy, and there's a good chance from my perspective that TA is spy.

Alarm bells! Red flags! Where did this sudden spy read on TA and even nkirbit come from? You voted for TA's mission, did you not? "Good chance" that they're both spies?? There was one fail on the mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 08, 2013, 01:22:31 pm
We're talking about putting one of lio-mail-mi-TA on the mission? uh-oh. I'm fine with that, as long as it's me...at least  one of MM and TA is a spy, so I am not risking either one of them on the mission. I'm even a bit nervous about nkirbit, because if I was a spy, I would heavily consider giving a town result on my buddy, and there's a good chance from my perspective that TA is spy.

Alarm bells! Red flags! Where did this sudden spy read on TA and even nkirbit come from? You voted for TA's mission, did you not? "Good chance" that they're both spies?? There was one fail on the mission.

From my perspective, one (or maybe 2 of) TA, nkirbit, or liopoil has to be a spy. That really ups my spy read on TA for sure. And, of course there is a "good chance" that TA and nkirbit are both spies, they just happened to coordinate their fails to get 1 and TA investigated his buddy to give him lots of cred. I don't see the alarm bells, it's actually the same position I'm in.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 08, 2013, 01:24:11 pm
Oops, got Dsell and Arch backwards.

Well, FoS Arch now, for FoS'ing Dsell for an idea that he himself proposed in the last game as resistance.
No. Last game liopoil suggested it and I only went along to prove to you I was Resistance. I think it's a bad idea, but going along with it helped you make the right choice at the end and let us win. But thats just beating a dead horse, so I'll stop bringing up that game. Bottom line: it's almost always a bad idea to put all spies on the mission.

And sorry, Dsell. I missed where you said that you didnt want to say it, but nkirbit wanted you to.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 08, 2013, 01:27:33 pm
I'd be very surprised if either TA or nkirbit were scum.

Should we all do a reads list? I can post mine.

(town to scum)
1. Archetype
2. nkirbit
3. Twistedarcher
4. shraeye
Everyone else is largely null.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 08, 2013, 01:31:26 pm
Nkirbit is obviously 100% resistance to me, but he should be very close to 100% resistance to most people, too.

The only way he's spy is if I'm a spy as well. Yet the last mission had 1 fail, not 2 fails.

I trust Nkirbit more than anyone else, and I think most other people should, as well.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 01:38:31 pm
Nkirbit is obviously 100% resistance to me, but he should be very close to 100% resistance to most people, too.

The only way he's spy is if I'm a spy as well. Yet the last mission had 1 fail, not 2 fails.

I trust Nkirbit more than anyone else, and I think most other people should, as well.

This is certainly the case for me, I suppose in their situations liopoil and mail-mi have to make claims like this.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 08, 2013, 01:43:38 pm
Except, ok, I am not giving enough credit to the possibility that TA is a spy. The mission he proposed could be construed as a way of framing mail-mi for the fail and then getting resistance cred for using lotl on nkirbit.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 08, 2013, 02:50:49 pm
On TA:  If TA is a spy, his two options are to:

1) Say I'm resistance.  This is true, but it sort of maintains his cover.
2) Say I'm a spy.  This is false, and I immediately accuse him of being a spy.  Everyone else knows that there is 1 spy in 2 of us.  I think this is worse for TA, especially since a few people had given me resistance reads.

So given that he chose me, I think it makes more sense for him to say I'm resistance should he be a spy.

That doesn't make him a spy, though.  In fact, I lean resistance, because if he were the spy on the mission, I think that one of his best choices would be to LOTL mail-mi and call him a spy.  I would have believe that, and he knows that I would have believed that.

The fact that he didn't go this route means that he is likely resistance to me.

On Lio:
Slight town-read, still, since he didn't fail mission 1.

On Mail-Mi:

Still think he's a spy.  It's still entirely based on the "I'm going to pass this mission that I have no clue who's on it".  I really do equate this to a scumslip.. I have caught spies using this train of thought multiple times, and do think mail-mi is a spy here.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 08, 2013, 02:55:55 pm
I'm definitely going to put TA on my proposal.  Possibly Lio.  I need to re-read Ash, Arch, Dsell, Shraeye, and Tables and see what I think about them.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 08, 2013, 04:00:15 pm
I'd be very surprised if either TA or nkirbit were scum.

Should we all do a reads list? I can post mine.

(town to scum)
1. Archetype
2. nkirbit
3. Twistedarcher
4. shraeye
Everyone else is largely null.

Let's not out Merlin. Posting your main reads is good, trying to get everyone's reads is quite dangerous.

I'd like to see some people's main reads in each direction, but making an ordered list is quite nasty for Merlin to try and hide in.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 08, 2013, 05:08:00 pm
I'd be very surprised if either TA or nkirbit were scum.

Should we all do a reads list? I can post mine.

(town to scum)
1. Archetype
2. nkirbit
3. Twistedarcher
4. shraeye
Everyone else is largely null.

Let's not out Merlin. Posting your main reads is good, trying to get everyone's reads is quite dangerous.

I'd like to see some people's main reads in each direction, but making an ordered list is quite nasty for Merlin to try and hide in.
D'oh. You're right.

I just realized something else. Never-mind. Don't do it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 08, 2013, 06:24:32 pm
Nkirbit is obviously 100% resistance to me, but he should be very close to 100% resistance to most people, too.

The only way he's spy is if I'm a spy as well. Yet the last mission had 1 fail, not 2 fails.

I trust Nkirbit more than anyone else, and I think most other people should, as well.

This is bad, I think.  The bolded portion shouldn't read that way.  It should say "I 100% KNOW nkirbit is resistance..." etc. etc.

This sounds more like you are trying to get people to believe your LOTR claim.  If you are resistance, you aren't lying, and you would be surer than just "more than anybody else."

That, with your "no" post to signal to your partner on the mission, makes me much more suspicious of a TA/Nkirbit team.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 08, 2013, 08:07:23 pm
Dude, when will you learn to not read into my wording :( Of course Nkirbit is 100% resistance. Therefore I trust him. I don't know that anyone else is 100% resistance. Therefore I trust Nkirbit more than anyone else.

And yeah, I do have a vested interest in getting people to believe my LOTL claim, I want people to believe Nkirbit is resistance!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 08, 2013, 08:21:32 pm
Dude, when will you learn to not read into my wording :( Of course Nkirbit is 100% resistance. Therefore I trust him. I don't know that anyone else is 100% resistance. Therefore I trust Nkirbit more than anyone else.

And yeah, I do have a vested interest in getting people to believe my LOTL claim, I want people to believe Nkirbit is resistance!

We're playing on a forum, based on what we write.

Wording is all we have to go on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 09, 2013, 06:00:54 pm
Propose Group:

Nkirbit, TA, Shraeye, Archetype.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 09, 2013, 08:36:05 pm
Mission 3, Proposal 1 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 6pm August 10th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 10, 2013, 06:11:40 am
Hmm... that might actually be a clean proposal. I'm not so confident on Arch as the other three but it still looks actually pretty okay.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 11, 2013, 05:37:05 pm
Sorry, I just got back from the v/la I mentioned in the other thread. I ended up staying an extra day longer and had, to my surprise, zero connection whatsoever. I'll be reviewing the mission and voting promptly.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 11, 2013, 05:50:13 pm
Unfortunately I felt I had to reject this one, partially because of tables' stamp of approval. I can't bring myself to believe that the four on the mission plus tables are all clean. That leaves the spy team as liopoil, mail-mi, and ashersky, and because of the second mission I don't think mail-mi and liopoil are both spies.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 11, 2013, 05:54:21 pm
Unfortunately I felt I had to reject this one, partially because of tables' stamp of approval. I can't bring myself to believe that the four on the mission plus tables are all clean. That leaves the spy team as liopoil, mail-mi, and ashersky, and because of the second mission I don't think mail-mi and liopoil are both spies.

I am not a spy, either.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 11, 2013, 06:00:58 pm
Unfortunately I felt I had to reject this one, partially because of tables' stamp of approval. I can't bring myself to believe that the four on the mission plus tables are all clean. That leaves the spy team as liopoil, mail-mi, and ashersky, and because of the second mission I don't think mail-mi and liopoil are both spies.

I am not a spy, either.

I'm not actually trying to make a statement about the individuals on the spy team there, I'm just saying that the spy team that would have to exist for the previous situation to add up basically cannot be.

I don't have a resistance read or a spy read on you actually.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 11, 2013, 06:38:22 pm
I don't have a resistance read or a spy read on you actually.

If I had to guess, I believe everyone else (not counting spies) would say this about me.

I subbed in, of course, and I've never played Resistance before, forum or IRL.  I don't have a good feel for how to play, how to look resistance-y, or even how to affectively read vote results or vote myself.

I'm following along, though, and voting promptly, to ensure the game continues to move forward.  That's all I can really do.  I would like to be on a mission, though.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 11, 2013, 08:22:03 pm
Waiting for one vote.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 11, 2013, 10:32:30 pm
Mission 3, Proposal 1

Leader: nkirbit
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit

Votes
Accept: Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Dsell, mail-mi, ashersky

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit (LotL)
mail-mi
ashersky


mail-mi is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 4 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 11, 2013, 10:46:12 pm
That vote makes me think it's more likely this was a good mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 11, 2013, 11:08:12 pm
Interesting.

This may be an auto-reject from me. I trust ashersky to propose a better mission, and it's highly likely mail-mi is scum. But I'll hold off sending in my reaction for now to see what mail-mi proposes.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 11, 2013, 11:26:54 pm
Waiting for one vote.

Oh ugh I assumed I was the last person, I probably wouldn't have telegraphed my vote if if realized. No big deal though.

Tables, why the reject?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 11, 2013, 11:31:36 pm
My spy reads are Dsell, one of Mail-mi/Liopoil (although I don't know which, leaning mail-mi maybe), and one of Tables/Ashersky (no idea which). I think the four on that last mission were good.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 11, 2013, 11:36:55 pm
My spy reads are Dsell, one of Mail-mi/Liopoil (although I don't know which, leaning mail-mi maybe), and one of Tables/Ashersky (no idea which). I think the four on that last mission were good.

I understand the toss up between mail-mi and liopoil, but why is it between ashersky and tables and why the spy read on me?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 11, 2013, 11:55:59 pm
Oh hey it's my turn. Hm. I'm pretty sure any mission with me on it will not pass with you guys, but I'm the only one I know is 100% resistance. I have a resistance read on Dsell , how about...

Propose: mail-mi, nkirbit, Dsell, shraeye
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 12, 2013, 12:21:47 am
Nope.  Still think Mail-mi's a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 12, 2013, 12:50:30 am
I trust the other three, but not mail-mi. So it's a no go for me.

I've been trying to solidify some townreads, but hat only leaves a few possibilities for scum.

I trust Dsell, shraeye, nkirbit, and Twistedarcher, so that leaves liopoil, mail-mi, ashersky, and Tables as potential scum. I'm 75% sure that my townreads are all town and 50/50 on lio/mail. I actually don't think I'm going to take the risk in having someone outside my group of townreads a and myself go on missions to maximize the possibility of the mission being a success. A scum could have slipped under the radar into my townreads, but I was confident in my reads last game, and I had the scum team nailed down there.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 12, 2013, 03:05:26 am
Mission 3, Proposal 2 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 12am August 13th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 12, 2013, 06:26:54 am
Waiting for one vote.

Oh ugh I assumed I was the last person, I probably wouldn't have telegraphed my vote if if realized. No big deal though.

Tables, why the reject?

I can propose the exact same mission later on. And that voting looks decent. A little concerning that everyone on mission voted yes but no off mission no's is good.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 12, 2013, 12:31:30 pm
what do you mean by "no off mission no's"?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 12, 2013, 12:43:44 pm
I believe he means "no off mission yes's". I agree that it's a good sign that no one off mission approved it -- if all 3 spies are off mission, they'll definitely want to vote it down.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 12, 2013, 01:19:17 pm
I believe he means "no off mission yes's". I agree that it's a good sign that no one off mission approved it -- if all 3 spies are off mission, they'll definitely want to vote it down.
I still think it is a good proposal.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 12, 2013, 01:23:25 pm
Me too.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 12, 2013, 02:29:45 pm
TA, I would like to hear your answer to my inquiry from earlier.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 12, 2013, 02:47:46 pm
what do you mean by "no off mission no's"?

Whoops. Meant no off mission yes votes as TA assumed, as in nobody off mission wanted it to pass. It's not a clear sign of anything but it's a small indicator.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 12, 2013, 11:18:55 pm
Mission 3, Proposal 2

Leader: mail-mi
Proposed Team: shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, mail-mi

Votes
Accept: mail-mi
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, ashersky

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit (LotL)
mail-mi
ashersky


ashersky is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 4 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 12, 2013, 11:24:28 pm
So this is my first time proposing a mission, ever.

How does this work?  Up until now, it just seems like everyone just does what they feel like.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 12, 2013, 11:44:17 pm
So this is my first time proposing a mission, ever.

How does this work?  Up until now, it just seems like everyone just does what they feel like.
If you don't include either myself or nkirbit, its a no-go for me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 12, 2013, 11:53:15 pm
Wow. Well that got shot down.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 13, 2013, 12:05:11 am
How do I choose who I want to include?  Resistance reads only?  Try to have one spy read?  That's more my question.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 13, 2013, 12:06:11 am
Out of {Arch - Shraeye - Dsell} who's most likely resistance?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 13, 2013, 12:24:03 am
Out of {Arch - Shraeye - Dsell} who's most likely resistance?

Dsell ;)

But to answer your earlier question, I'd definitely be putting your top resistance reads on the mission, which should almost certainly include nkirbit and likely yourself.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 13, 2013, 12:33:49 am
Out of {Arch - Shraeye - Dsell} who's most likely resistance?
I would say not arch.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 13, 2013, 01:16:35 am
So this is my first time proposing a mission, ever.

How does this work?  Up until now, it just seems like everyone just does what they feel like.
If you don't include either myself or nkirbit, its a no-go for me.

That's strong.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 13, 2013, 01:17:29 am
I think you should be picking your four strongest resistance reads.  If we can pass the next two missions, that'd be terrific.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 13, 2013, 01:17:41 am
Out of {Arch - Shraeye - Dsell} who's most likely resistance?
I would say not arch.

Any reason why?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 13, 2013, 01:19:05 am
Out of {Arch - Shraeye - Dsell} who's most likely resistance?

I really have no idea.  I'm fairly indifferent between that group.  The one thing we do have in this group is Shraeye putting Dsell-Lio-Ta-Nkirbit on mission 2... that could make them partners, both resistance, or one resistance and one spy.  I really don't know what to think there.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 13, 2013, 01:32:08 am
So this is my first time proposing a mission, ever.

How does this work?  Up until now, it just seems like everyone just does what they feel like.
If you don't include either myself or nkirbit, its a no-go for me.

That's strong.
I dont mean to come across so demanding like that, but we're starting to get to the point where we need resistance members only on the mission. But then again we can have all townies with a couple sitting out. So never mind. I'm not as opposed to a mission not containing myself and/or nkirbit, but I would feel a whole lot better if it did.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 13, 2013, 01:34:08 am
Out of {Arch - Shraeye - Dsell} who's most likely resistance?
Obvious answer: myself

But more seriously probably shraeye. Dsell is more nullish to me and shraeye is giving me a townier vibe.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 13, 2013, 07:43:59 am
you gotta aim to get resistance reads on the mission, in my opinion.

Most definitely put nkirbit on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 13, 2013, 07:52:25 am
propose: nkirbit, ashersky, liopoil, shraeye
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 13, 2013, 09:57:48 am
Mission 3, Proposal 3 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 8am August 14th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 13, 2013, 01:17:12 pm
My spy reads are Dsell, one of Mail-mi/Liopoil (although I don't know which, leaning mail-mi maybe), and one of Tables/Ashersky (no idea which). I think the four on that last mission were good.

I understand the toss up between mail-mi and liopoil, but why is it between ashersky and tables and why the spy read on me?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 14, 2013, 09:54:16 pm
No comments, at all?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 14, 2013, 11:40:07 pm
Well its a reject from me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 14, 2013, 11:50:26 pm
I'm rejecting it.  It's very, very close though.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 15, 2013, 12:11:49 am
My spy reads are Dsell, one of Mail-mi/Liopoil (although I don't know which, leaning mail-mi maybe), and one of Tables/Ashersky (no idea which). I think the four on that last mission were good.

I understand the toss up between mail-mi and liopoil, but why is it between ashersky and tables and why the spy read on me?

Come on TA
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 16, 2013, 10:41:45 am
Mission 3, Proposal 3

Leader: ashersky
Proposed Team: liopoil, shraeye, nkirbit, ashersky

Votes
Accept: liopoil, ashersky
Reject: Tables, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit (LotL)
mail-mi
ashersky


Tables is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 4 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 16, 2013, 12:49:48 pm
I think I'm going to propose Tables, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit - essentially proposal 3.1 again, but replacing my weakest resistance read with myself. Anyone got any thoughts before I propose it (being in position 4, I'm leaning a little cautiously towards not rushing since if this gets voted down, Liopoil has total control)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 16, 2013, 01:11:41 pm
I'd be this || close to accepting that purely because my top three townreads are on it, even though I don't trust you, Tables, as much as I probably should. If liopoil is willing to say what he'll propose, I'd rather consider that then go for this and hope liopoil doesn't propose a better mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 16, 2013, 01:23:12 pm
my mission will have myself and nkirbit. it will not have mail-mi or TA.

why do people have resistance reads on TA??
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 16, 2013, 02:50:25 pm
Lio, I think if TA were a spy, he would've LOTL'd mail-mi and claimed a spy result on him.  Regardless of Mail-mi's alignment (and even if both he and mail-mi were spies, there's a 2/3 chance they don't know they are partners).  I would instantly believe that claim, and think it would have been his best move as a spy.  That's why I think he's resistance.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 16, 2013, 02:58:54 pm
but that would look really bad, because we had decided that he should look for resisitance... and he didn't think mail-mi is resistance. and if all he has to do to get resistance cred is to claim a resistance result, well, that's pretty easy for him, right?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 16, 2013, 05:04:33 pm
Can folks explain why my proposal was so terrible?  I'm still trying to learn this game.  I included the LOTR, a person who got the successful mission through AND had auto-win choice (lio), myself, and a town read in shraeye (for doing that odd voting down his own mission thing).  Is it really just a game where we always refuse all teams where we aren't listed, and then the final one goes through every time?

If that's how it works, it seems like we could just skip the first four tries every phase.

Also, I'll continue to vote against missions without myself.  I don't trust anyone else.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 16, 2013, 05:16:39 pm
There was nothing wrong with your proposal. But it's in the Resistances interest to vote more missions down than they vote up. You get a lot more potential information this way. Note this isn't the same as voting down the first four missions, it's still often a good idea to be voting up early proposals, especially if you don't trust the mission leaders further down the line.

My resistance read on TA mainly springs from thinking mission 2 had most likely only one spy on it, and he was also on the passed mission one.

And actually considering that, I think I'd rather put Liopoil on than Shraeye. So liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, Tables is more likely what I'd propose. I realise this is a lot less likely to get through voting (becuase Lio will likely vote it down for having TA, which is fair), but I also think it's a more likely good proposal. And actually, I'm not too fussed if it doesn't go through since I think Lio is resistance. But of course I trust me to pick a team I'm happier with than I trust anyone else to.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 16, 2013, 05:50:12 pm
but that would look really bad, because we had decided that he should look for resisitance... and he didn't think mail-mi is resistance. and if all he has to do to get resistance cred is to claim a resistance result, well, that's pretty easy for him, right?

He wouldn't have asked who he should be looking for.  He could have just started with using the LOTL on mail-mi.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 17, 2013, 11:25:58 am
Tables, you mentioned earlier that you'd have the option of repeating the first mission, which you approved of but rejected. Any consideration towards that at this point?

TA, why have you refused to answer my question 4 times now? Do you feel that you're above answering them because more people have a resistance read on you than on me?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 17, 2013, 11:27:29 am
but that would look really bad, because we had decided that he should look for resisitance... and he didn't think mail-mi is resistance. and if all he has to do to get resistance cred is to claim a resistance result, well, that's pretty easy for him, right?

He wouldn't have asked who he should be looking for.  He could have just started with using the LOTL on mail-mi.

I would have been suspicious if he used it without asking thoughts on how best to use it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 17, 2013, 11:40:23 am
Tables, you mentioned earlier that you'd have the option of repeating the first mission, which you approved of but rejected. Any consideration towards that at this point?

TA, why have you refused to answer my question 4 times now? Do you feel that you're above answering them because more people have a resistance read on you than on me?

I see no reason to not replace someone on that mission with myself, since I know that's a safer bet. Although I'm inclined to believe everyone on the proposal is clean, I'd still probably put it at like a 30%+ chance of having a spy somewhere on it.

Okay, I think I'm going to go with my most recent suggestion.

Mission 3.4: Propose Tables, liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 17, 2013, 11:44:41 am
you realize that the only way that mission is clean is if mail-mi is a spy? which, sure, is quite possible... and the proposal might be clean... however, I think I am going to reject, because I would prefer than neither TA nor mail-mi is on the mission, and I have the next proposal which I know will be passed.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 17, 2013, 03:00:28 pm
you realize that the only way that mission is clean is if mail-mi is a spy?
...which I'm not, and is why im not voting it up because there is a spy on it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 17, 2013, 03:16:16 pm
you realize that the only way that mission is clean is if mail-mi is a spy?

I for one thing that Mail-mi is the most likely scum out there, so I'm pretty happy to take this chance. I figured you'd vote it down though, I'm fine with that, just don't screw up the next proposal please. I'm happy with any four among me, you, TA, nkirbit and Shraeye (one of those might be a spy, but I have resistance reads on you four at least), and that leaves one more person I'm not sure on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 17, 2013, 04:35:21 pm
Its a reject from me, Tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 17, 2013, 06:36:14 pm
Mission 3, Proposal 4 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 12pm August 18th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 17, 2013, 08:48:26 pm
Its a reject from me, Tables.

That's okay. I know it doesn't have your spybud Mail-mi on it, and who knows who Oberon is, right?

(Disclaimer: This accusation might just be for lolz and fun)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 17, 2013, 08:54:28 pm
Yeah, I was really hoping-

Waiiiiit you're not be scum buddy!

But yeah I'm already a bigger fan of lio's proposal.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 17, 2013, 10:03:43 pm
I'm rejecting this because I don't really trust Tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 17, 2013, 10:42:05 pm
Lio gets to choose, clearly.  I trust him more than Tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 17, 2013, 11:23:19 pm
My spy reads are Dsell, one of Mail-mi/Liopoil (although I don't know which, leaning mail-mi maybe), and one of Tables/Ashersky (no idea which). I think the four on that last mission were good.

I understand the toss up between mail-mi and liopoil, but why is it between ashersky and tables and why the spy read on me?

Come on TA

Sorry, I have not been giving this game the attention it deserves.

You are hitting my gut that you're a spy. You just are. SOrry, I know that's ntohing you can argue out of, but I'd guess you are a spy.

The second spy is between Lio/Mail-mi, with the other one being resistance most likely.

Nkirbit is resistance, I am resistance. One of Lio/mail-mi is resistance. I believe Arch to be resistance, and Shraeye is probably resistance. So, Ash and Tables are left.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 17, 2013, 11:25:51 pm
I don't like this mission, but it's going to be better than Liopoil's, so I'll accept. I'm mostly wary of Liopoil. But, he'll be on the next one, and I won't, so I don't think I'll get a better mission.

One good thing about this mission proposal is that it basically tells me that if Tables is a spy, Mail-mi is a spy as well. Not 100% sure, but if Lio failed the second mission, and Tables was also a spy, he wouldn't put them both on the mission. So if Tables is a spy, Mail-mi is probably spy. This doesn't run the other direction though. Nkirbit, Tables may be a useful person to use LoTL on, but we can discuss that later.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 18, 2013, 01:09:54 am
I don't like this mission, but it's going to be better than Liopoil's, so I'll accept. I'm mostly wary of Liopoil. But, he'll be on the next one, and I won't, so I don't think I'll get a better mission.

One good thing about this mission proposal is that it basically tells me that if Tables is a spy, Mail-mi is a spy as well. Not 100% sure, but if Lio failed the second mission, and Tables was also a spy, he wouldn't put them both on the mission. So if Tables is a spy, Mail-mi is probably spy. This doesn't run the other direction though. Nkirbit, Tables may be a useful person to use LoTL on, but we can discuss that later.

What do you mean by it doesn't run the other way?  I'm just not sure what you're talking about.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 01:48:39 am
If Tables is a spy, I'd be pretty sure that mail-mi is also a spy. If mail-mi is a spy, that doesn't mean Tables is a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 18, 2013, 11:18:31 am
oh, that makes sense Twisted.  I'll be accepting this.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 18, 2013, 01:22:26 pm
If Tables is a spy, I'd be pretty sure that mail-mi is also a spy. If mail-mi is a spy, that doesn't mean Tables is a spy.
Are you saying that if this mission fails that I am more likely spy? Or if it passes? If it passes I know I'm damned (curse you spy in Nk/TA/liopoil) but if it fails I think I would be more likely to be resistance (well, to you guys.)

If this mission can prove im resistance I'm accepting, otherwise nope.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 01:57:31 pm
If Tables is a spy, I'd be pretty sure that mail-mi is also a spy. If mail-mi is a spy, that doesn't mean Tables is a spy.
Are you saying that if this mission fails that I am more likely spy? Or if it passes? If it passes I know I'm damned (curse you spy in Nk/TA/liopoil) but if it fails I think I would be more likely to be resistance (well, to you guys.)

If this mission can prove im resistance I'm accepting, otherwise nope.

If it fails, I couldn't be sure if you're the spy, or if Lio/Tables are both spies, but it would be one or the other. We could use LoTL to clear it up, possibly. Heck, I'm pretty sure of that, even if we end up taking another mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 02:00:02 pm
Although it's also entirely possible that this mission is clean, and Tables just chose well and left spy mail-mi off of it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 18, 2013, 06:57:17 pm
Since Mail-mi is basically my only confident spy read, there was a group of 3 with a passed mission behind them, and LotL near confirming one person, there wasn't exactly much chance of me putting Mail-mi on mission.

Incidentally:

If Tables is a spy, I'd be pretty sure that mail-mi is also a spy. If mail-mi is a spy, that doesn't mean Tables is a spy.
Are you saying that if this mission fails that I am more likely spy? Or if it passes? If it passes I know I'm damned (curse you spy in Nk/TA/liopoil) but if it fails I think I would be more likely to be resistance (well, to you guys.)

If this mission can prove im resistance I'm accepting, otherwise nope.

This line rubs me the wrong way. Nkirbit can't be a spy unless TA is, and if TA is a spy, nkirbit could still be clean. So including nkirbit on that list seems off to me. It's possible it's a mistake, but in general resistance members, constantly trying to work out who the spies are through reads and deduction, tend to be less prone to forget key bits of information, while a spy is more inclined to simply push blame away from themselves. That said (and I'm remiss to point this out but I think it's worth noting) Merlin often makes the same mistakes. Merlin looks more like a spy to the resistance than any generic resistance member does, because he knows things. Not saying 'Mail-mi is Merlin', but it's just something to bear in mind if you have reads primarily based on people seeming more confident in stuff than they should be.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 18, 2013, 07:39:55 pm
Mission 3, Proposal 4

Leader: Tables
Proposed Team: Tables, liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit

Votes
Accept: Tables, shraeye, Twistedarcher 
Reject: liopoil, Archetype, Dsell, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit (LotL)
mail-mi
ashersky


liopoil is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 4 people.

A reminder that any fifth proposal will be auto-accepted. As soon as the team is proposed, those on the mission can immediately send in their Succeed or Fail.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 07:45:35 pm
shraeye trusting Tables is the only odd thing about that last vote.

Shraeye, anything you can share about why you think Tables is trustworthy?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 18, 2013, 08:14:15 pm
shraeye trusting Tables is the only odd thing about that last vote.

Shraeye, anything you can share about why you think Tables is trustworthy?
nothing about tables in particular.  He's not trustworthy to me, nor untrustworthy.  pretty null.  But Twisted's reasoning made sense.  as I said.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 18, 2013, 08:15:41 pm
booo to ashersky from asking questions with obvious answers.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 08:16:26 pm
I don't like this mission, but it's going to be better than Liopoil's, so I'll accept. I'm mostly wary of Liopoil. But, he'll be on the next one, and I won't, so I don't think I'll get a better mission.

One good thing about this mission proposal is that it basically tells me that if Tables is a spy, Mail-mi is a spy as well. Not 100% sure, but if Lio failed the second mission, and Tables was also a spy, he wouldn't put them both on the mission. So if Tables is a spy, Mail-mi is probably spy. This doesn't run the other direction though. Nkirbit, Tables may be a useful person to use LoTL on, but we can discuss that later.

You mean here?  If this was "obvious" then I'm a dummy.  This is so convoluted, and it's coming from a huge scum read.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 08:17:28 pm
Someone else mentioned spies don't know each other, totally, so how can TA make conclusions based on how spies know each other?  That seems flawed.

He says people leaving other people off missions based on alignment is a tell.  But how can Tables, for example, know that mail-mi is a spy, even if Tables is a spy?  Maybe he knows, but not completely, right?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 08:17:45 pm
I say all of this because there was a chart some time ago.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 08:19:32 pm
I would both love to be on this next mission and would love to be the recipient of lotl.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 18, 2013, 08:22:14 pm
Someone else mentioned spies don't know each other, totally, so how can TA make conclusions based on how spies know each other?  That seems flawed.

He says people leaving other people off missions based on alignment is a tell.  But how can Tables, for example, know that mail-mi is a spy, even if Tables is a spy?  Maybe he knows, but not completely, right?
I think some spies know eachother and some don't.  That picutre never was entirely clear to me.

I don't like this mission, but it's going to be better than Liopoil's, so I'll accept. I'm mostly wary of Liopoil. But, he'll be on the next one, and I won't, so I don't think I'll get a better mission.

One good thing about this mission proposal is that it basically tells me that if Tables is a spy, Mail-mi is a spy as well. Not 100% sure, but if Lio failed the second mission, and Tables was also a spy, he wouldn't put them both on the mission. So if Tables is a spy, Mail-mi is probably spy. This doesn't run the other direction though. Nkirbit, Tables may be a useful person to use LoTL on, but we can discuss that later.

You mean here?  If this was "obvious" then I'm a dummy.  This is so convoluted, and it's coming from a huge scum read.
I don't get how Twisted is a huge scumread.  He is to you?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 18, 2013, 08:29:02 pm
okay. putting nkirbit and myself on for sure, that leaves two spots... not mail-mi or TA for sure...

tables
ashersky
archetype
dsell
shraeye

two out of these five.

re: ashersky: two of the spies know who each other are. the third, neither know about, and the third doesn't know who the other two are either. he's all alone. merlin knows who the all alone player is, and one of the two who know each other. percival knows merlin and the same one-of-two spies who know each other, he just doesn't know which is which.  I know exactly how this works because I am a spy I asked Jimmm :)

one thing I don't know: when you use the Lotl on a player, do you find out their role in addition to their alignment, or just alignment?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 08:31:35 pm
I just got Nkirbit's alignment, not role. Alignment would be broken -- a spy could find merlin, for example.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 08:32:16 pm
Oops, I mean role would be broken.

Waiting for Ash to call a scumslip on that one!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 08:45:16 pm
Waiting for one vote.

Oh ugh I assumed I was the last person, I probably wouldn't have telegraphed my vote if if realized. No big deal though.

Tables, why the reject?

I can propose the exact same mission later on. And that voting looks decent. A little concerning that everyone on mission voted yes but no off mission no's is good.

It kinda bothers me that tables posted this and then proposed a mission that was 50% different. Back when he was giving his approval of that mission I felt pretty confident that there had to be a spy in there somewhere. But since he said he approved it but then rejected it and proposed something completely different it makes me wonder if mission 1 really was clean after all and tables is a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 18, 2013, 08:46:51 pm
I liked mission 1, yeah boy yeah.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 08:51:19 pm
I liked mission 1, yeah boy yeah.

I liked it well enough until I saw that tables gave it his stamp of approval. That was one too many people approving and it forced me to accept a spy team that seemed highly unlikely. But now I'm not sure tables ever actually approved of it at all.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 08:57:23 pm
I liked mission 1, yeah boy yeah.

I liked it well enough until I saw that tables gave it his stamp of approval. That was one too many people approving and it forced me to accept a spy team that seemed highly unlikely. But now I'm not sure tables ever actually approved of it at all.

So do you think there was exactly one spy on the first proposal? Or how many spies do you think were on it?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 09:06:20 pm
You mean here?  If this was "obvious" then I'm a dummy.  This is so convoluted, and it's coming from a huge scum read.
I don't get how Twisted is a huge scumread.  He is to you?
[/quote]

Right.  I made a point on this a few pages back, based on stuff with nkirbit.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 09:08:31 pm
But you thinking I'm a spy isn't based on logic, right? It's based on just reading me? Logically, I should have more resistance cred than anyone else other than Nkirbit in the game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 09:09:22 pm
I liked mission 1, yeah boy yeah.

I liked it well enough until I saw that tables gave it his stamp of approval. That was one too many people approving and it forced me to accept a spy team that seemed highly unlikely. But now I'm not sure tables ever actually approved of it at all.

So do you think there was exactly one spy on the first proposal? Or how many spies do you think were on it?

When I rejected it, it was because I thought there must be at least one. However, I am speculating that tables only wanted to give the appearance of approval, that he never approved at all. If this is the case I think it's very possible that there are 0 spies on the mission, or 0 that tables knew about.

Does that make sense?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 09:11:18 pm
Yeah, it does. I wouldn't be surprised by 0 spies on the mission, but I also wouldn't be surprised if Tables was also resistance. That's probably where I'm leaning right now.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 09:12:48 pm
But you thinking I'm a spy isn't based on logic, right? It's based on just reading me? Logically, I should have more resistance cred than anyone else other than Nkirbit in the game.

The problem is, I don't know how logic works in this game.

Like, there is literally nothing for me to use to figure out if you are a spy or a rebel.  I don't know what one or the other really wants to do in any situation, other than "rebels want success and spies want failure."  The only thing that matters is getting on a mission and failing it, if you are a spy, right?  And who goes on a mission is just a choice of the 5th person on a list every round.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 18, 2013, 09:19:27 pm
But you thinking I'm a spy isn't based on logic, right? It's based on just reading me? Logically, I should have more resistance cred than anyone else other than Nkirbit in the game.
I don't think that's true, even from a neutral standpoint.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 09:21:12 pm
But you thinking I'm a spy isn't based on logic, right? It's based on just reading me? Logically, I should have more resistance cred than anyone else other than Nkirbit in the game.
I don't think that's true, even from a neutral standpoint.

Because spy or resistance, you gain no extra cred from calling nkirbit spy or resistance.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 09:21:58 pm
But you thinking I'm a spy isn't based on logic, right? It's based on just reading me? Logically, I should have more resistance cred than anyone else other than Nkirbit in the game.
I don't think that's true, even from a neutral standpoint.

I do. Why don't you think so?

For it to not be true, you're saying that if I'm a spy, 100% of the time, I will use LoTL on a resistance member, and then call him resistance. I think spies have incentive to either give LoTL to another spy this early, or to call that resistance member a spy.

Or, you're suggesting that Nkirbit and I are both spies, which I don't think anyone believes to be true.

I was also on the first mission that passed, when I would have incentive to fail it as a spy.

How do I not have more resistance cred than anyone other than Nkirbit, from a neutral point of view?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 09:22:08 pm
Yeah, it does. I wouldn't be surprised by 0 spies on the mission, but I also wouldn't be surprised if Tables was also resistance. That's probably where I'm leaning right now.

I can understand that, but that doesn't work from my perspective. For me, either proposal 1 was clean (or clean to tables' knowledge) and tables is a spy, or proposal 1 was dirty and tables could be either spy or mistaken resistance. Proposal 1 and tables cannot both be clean because that forces me to accept a mail-mi, liopoil, and ashersky spy team. Because of mission 2, I'm unwilling to do that. I rejected proposal one under the assumption of the second situation, but because tables did not re-propose proposal 1 like he said he might and because he changed 50% of the team, it makes me suspicious that the first situation may actually be correct.

Neither situation 1 nor situation 2 puts tables in a great light, so he is one of my top scumreads (along with mail-mi).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 18, 2013, 09:23:51 pm
Yeah, it does. I wouldn't be surprised by 0 spies on the mission, but I also wouldn't be surprised if Tables was also resistance. That's probably where I'm leaning right now.

I can understand that, but that doesn't work from my perspective. For me, either proposal 1 was clean (or clean to tables' knowledge) and tables is a spy, or proposal 1 was dirty and tables could be either spy or mistaken resistance. Proposal 1 and tables cannot both be clean because that forces me to accept a mail-mi, liopoil, and ashersky spy team. Because of mission 2, I'm unwilling to do that. I rejected proposal one under the assumption of the second situation, but because tables did not re-propose proposal 1 like he said he might and because he changed 50% of the team, it makes me suspicious that the first situation may actually be correct.

Neither situation 1 nor situation 2 puts tables in a great light, so he is one of my top scumreads (along with mail-mi).

That's fair enough. I think our analysis of the situation is simply differing from me knowing that I'm resistance, and you know that you're resistance (or faking it if you're a spy).

Once this mission happens, we should do a more thorough analysis of nominations / possible teams, which we haven't done so far really.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 09:32:40 pm
My reasoning should work for ashersky too, but replace ashersky with Dsell in the impossible scum team. Do you agree, ashersky?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 09:35:41 pm
My reasoning should work for ashersky too, but replace ashersky with Dsell in the impossible scum team. Do you agree, ashersky?

I can't work out what Tables has to do with the first mission.  He didn't propose it and he wasn't on it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 18, 2013, 09:44:08 pm
I don't understand what's happening?  A lot of people are arguing about perspectives.  Whatever.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 09:56:06 pm
My reasoning should work for ashersky too, but replace ashersky with Dsell in the impossible scum team. Do you agree, ashersky?

I can't work out what Tables has to do with the first mission.  He didn't propose it and he wasn't on it.

He supported it. Which meant for me that the four people on the mission plus tables supported the mission. That's five people. So four people are left. One is me so the only way that everyone who supports the mission is clean is if the spy team is mail-mi, liopoil, and ashersky (or Dsell in your case) because they're the only people left. Because I don't think that CAN be the spy team, logically there must be at least one spy on or supporting the proposal. So I rejected it.

But so did tables, even though he said he supported it. Then he said he could propose the same thing later and wanted to see how people would vote. Ok. But then later, he didn't propose the same thing, he changed half the people! Which makes me think, ok maybe he only pretended to support proposal one. In which case maybe it's clean and he was the spy.

You should be able to follow the same logic and come to the same general conclusion. Which is not that he's a spy necessarily, but he looks bad.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 10:00:01 pm
My reasoning should work for ashersky too, but replace ashersky with Dsell in the impossible scum team. Do you agree, ashersky?

I can't work out what Tables has to do with the first mission.  He didn't propose it and he wasn't on it.

He supported it. Which meant for me that the four people on the mission plus tables supported the mission. That's five people. So four people are left. One is me so the only way that everyone who supports the mission is clean is if the spy team is mail-mi, liopoil, and ashersky (or Dsell in your case) because they're the only people left. Because I don't think that CAN be the spy team, logically there must be at least one spy on or supporting the proposal. So I rejected it.

But so did tables, even though he said he supported it. Then he said he could propose the same thing later and wanted to see how people would vote. Ok. But then later, he didn't propose the same thing, he changed half the people! Which makes me think, ok maybe he only pretended to support proposal one. In which case maybe it's clean and he was the spy.

You should be able to follow the same logic and come to the same general conclusion. Which is not that he's a spy necessarily, but he looks bad.

The stuff you say there makes sense, I guess.  I would find it very hard to believe that the spy team is mail-mi/liopoil/Dsell, although surely there could be a spy or two in there.

What I still don't understand is, well, the 1st mission only had 3 people on it, and there was no voting.

The 2nd mission had 4 people, but Tables voted against it.  Dsell/shraeye were two off-mission who accepted and nkirbit was on-mission and rejected.

The 3rd mission hasn't been decided yet.

So that's why I have no idea what you are talking about when you say what you say about Tables and the 1st Mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 10:01:56 pm
Sorry. Mission two, proposal one. Nkirbit's proposal.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 18, 2013, 10:04:21 pm
My reasoning should work for ashersky too, but replace ashersky with Dsell in the impossible scum team. Do you agree, ashersky?

I can't work out what Tables has to do with the first mission.  He didn't propose it and he wasn't on it.

He supported it. Which meant for me that the four people on the mission plus tables supported the mission. That's five people. So four people are left. One is me so the only way that everyone who supports the mission is clean is if the spy team is mail-mi, liopoil, and ashersky (or Dsell in your case) because they're the only people left. Because I don't think that CAN be the spy team, logically there must be at least one spy on or supporting the proposal. So I rejected it.

But so did tables, even though he said he supported it. Then he said he could propose the same thing later and wanted to see how people would vote. Ok. But then later, he didn't propose the same thing, he changed half the people! Which makes me think, ok maybe he only pretended to support proposal one. In which case maybe it's clean and he was the spy.

You should be able to follow the same logic and come to the same general conclusion. Which is not that he's a spy necessarily, but he looks bad.
I don't understand why you find it hard to think that's the spyteam, if you're resistance (why must there logically be one spy on or supporting each proposal??).  And if you're a spy, I don't care.




The stuff you say there makes sense, I guess.  I would find it very hard to believe that the spy team is mail-mi/liopoil/Dsell, although surely there could be a spy or two in there.
I don't see why that's a hard spyteam to believe in, if you're resistance.  and if you're a spy, I don't care.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 10:07:03 pm
Sorry. Mission two, proposal one. Nkirbit's proposal.

Sorry, mission THREE proposal one. Ugh.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 10:09:31 pm
Shraeye, I think it's very unlikely that both mail-mi and liopoil are spies. There was just one fail on mission 2 and I think there have been a couple other things.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 10:22:46 pm
Quote
Mission 3, Proposal 1
Leader: nkirbit
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Votes
Accept: Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit
Reject: Tables, liopoil, Dsell, mail-mi, ashersky
Proposal is rejected.

Here's the thing being discussed.  Everyone on the mission votes yes, everyone off votes no.

Tables, as I understand it, said he was going to vote yet, but then did not.

If everyone on mission is town, that leaves 3 spies in 5, minus myself.  So that makes Tables/lio/mail-mi/Dsell.

Lio/TA/nk/mail-mi was the 1 fail mission 2.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 18, 2013, 11:06:51 pm
So back to my original question: do you find tables somewhat suspicious for saying he approved of the proposal, then rejecting it, then saying he could propose the same thing, then changing half the people? I was already suspicious of him, and this makes me even more uneasy about him.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 18, 2013, 11:09:21 pm
So back to my original question: do you find tables somewhat suspicious for saying he approved of the proposal, then rejecting it, then saying he could propose the same thing, then changing half the people? I was already suspicious of him, and this makes me even more uneasy about him.

That stuff is suspicious, yes.  I left him off my proposal, too.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 19, 2013, 04:09:47 am
Waiting for one vote.

Oh ugh I assumed I was the last person, I probably wouldn't have telegraphed my vote if if realized. No big deal though.

Tables, why the reject?

I can propose the exact same mission later on. And that voting looks decent. A little concerning that everyone on mission voted yes but no off mission no's is good.

It kinda bothers me that tables posted this and then proposed a mission that was 50% different. Back when he was giving his approval of that mission I felt pretty confident that there had to be a spy in there somewhere. But since he said he approved it but then rejected it and proposed something completely different it makes me wonder if mission 1 really was clean after all and tables is a spy.

How is replacing one person 50% different?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 19, 2013, 04:17:11 am
Oh, wait, I did change two people in the end didn't I? Yeah that was because Shraeye was a strongish town read based on 2.2. I even mentioned I intended to propose this before I did, and nobody batted an eyelid. But now I actually did propose it everyone's suspicious? THAT seems off to me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 19, 2013, 04:40:36 am
I wasn't thinking about your proposal in context of proposal 1. When I read back and saw that you had mentioned proposing the same thing, combined with the fact that you didn't do it and the fact that you had given your support to proposal 1 then rejected it...yeah it raised my suspicions a bit.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 19, 2013, 06:33:42 pm
Put up a team, Lio!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 19, 2013, 08:12:00 pm
When did I ever say I would support mission 1? I don't recall saying such a thing, given I never had any reason to support it. I only see one post from me between it being proposed and going ahead, and I certainly don't say I was going to support it in that.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 19, 2013, 08:21:04 pm
propose mission: Ashersky, Archetype, Liopoil, Nkirbit

everyone shhhhh now.

Ash really seems to be confused as to how it works, and, well, I think he would be louder as spy. Arch seems similar to last game.

I know, not much.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 19, 2013, 08:21:09 pm
When did I ever say I would support mission 1? I don't recall saying such a thing, given I never had any reason to support it. I only see one post from me between it being proposed and going ahead, and I certainly don't say I was going to support it in that.

I think he thinks you saying "I can just put up the same team later" was a tacit statement of support.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 19, 2013, 08:22:40 pm
everyone shhhhh now.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 19, 2013, 09:48:51 pm
Mission 3, Proposal 5

Leader: liopoil
Proposed Team: liopoil, Archetype, nkirbit, ashersky

Proposal is accepted.

Each player on the mission has 24 hours to send me their Succeed or Fail.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 19, 2013, 11:18:49 pm
Mission 3, Proposal 5

Leader: liopoil
Proposed Team: liopoil, Archetype, nkirbit, ashersky

Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 3
Fail: 1

The Mission is a Failure!

nkirbit now has 24 hours to use the Lady of the Lake to investigate any other player by typing LotL: PlayerName in thread. The named player does not need to respond in any way - I will give the result by PM.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 19, 2013, 11:19:20 pm
that was a bad team, liopoil.  and you should feel bad.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 19, 2013, 11:22:45 pm
I'd suggest Tables as LoTL, Nkirbit. Or maybe Shraeye.

Either Lio is spy, or it's Mail-mi and one of Ash/Arch.

Is it worth figuring out Lio/mail-mi or trying to go outside of that?



Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 19, 2013, 11:25:58 pm
I'd suggest Tables as LoTL, Nkirbit. Or maybe Shraeye.

Either Lio is spy, or it's Mail-mi and one of Ash/Arch.

Is it worth figuring out Lio/mail-mi or trying to go outside of that?
I say don't use it on lio or mail-mi. For me, at least, I'm pretty sure one of them is the spy (*cough* liopoil *cough*) and I think it'd be more effective if he investigated someone he's on the fence about.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 19, 2013, 11:30:28 pm
I think mail-mi was the spy on the second mission.  And I think that Lio and TA are resistance.  So I think that out of Archetype/Ashersky, 1 is a spy.  I have no clue which, so I'm going to use the LOTL there.

I would like input on why people think Archetype and Ashersky are either spy or resistance.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 19, 2013, 11:30:47 pm
Hmmm.  I've suspected the TA/nkirbit combo for awhile, and this doesn't assuage that.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 19, 2013, 11:31:18 pm
I think mail-mi was the spy on the second mission.  And I think that Lio and TA are resistance.  So I think that out of Archetype/Ashersky, 1 is a spy.  I have no clue which, so I'm going to use the LOTL there.

I would like input on why people think Archetype and Ashersky are either spy or resistance.

Do you want to catch a spy or confirm resistance?  Does it matter either way?  If you are a spy, do you lie or tell the truth?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 19, 2013, 11:33:58 pm
Hmmm.  I've suspected the TA/nkirbit combo for awhile, and this doesn't assuage that.

Do you think TA accepts M3P4 if both him and I are spies, especially knowing that Lio has stated he will bring me but not him?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 19, 2013, 11:34:47 pm
I think mail-mi was the spy on the second mission.  And I think that Lio and TA are resistance.  So I think that out of Archetype/Ashersky, 1 is a spy.  I have no clue which, so I'm going to use the LOTL there.

I would like input on why people think Archetype and Ashersky are either spy or resistance.
I don't think you should be aiming for spies.  Seriously.

Aim for your resistance reads.  We HAVE to get resistance on future missions, and we HAVE to be thinking about the final mission as well.

If you hit a spy, great, we know 1 person not to include.  but that's all the info we're getting for the rest of the game.  We will not be happy in mission 5.

If you hit a resistance, then he'll have a chance to resistance hunt after mission 4, and we can go into mission 5 knowing a LOT of resistance.  THAT is what is going to make winning easier.

Not finding a single spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 19, 2013, 11:36:59 pm
Well, if its a him or me type of situation, I guess he's more likely to be a spy. But I think your thinking of liopoil being town is flawed. All signs point to him being scum, IMO. So I think if you're looking for Resistance, you can investigate ashersky or I (I think there was only one spy on the mission; I really don't think liopoil would include his partner).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 19, 2013, 11:38:18 pm
Well, if its a him or me type of situation, I guess he's more likely to be a spy. But I think your thinking of liopoil being town is flawed. All signs point to him being scum, IMO. So I think if you're looking for Resistance, you can investigate ashersky or I (I think there was only one spy on the mission; I really don't think liopoil would include his partner).

I agree with this line of thinking.  I think one of lio or nkirbit is the single spy on the failed mission, and that Arch and I are both town.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 19, 2013, 11:40:07 pm
I could get behind sending it to Archetype.  I'm not feeling good about ashersky.  I don't see why you want to send it to somebody who you see as competing 50/50 with somebody else for being a spy.  How about just send that on to me?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 19, 2013, 11:42:37 pm
Nkirbit, if you think Liopoil is resistance, I would send the LoTL there. That proves a resistance, and proves (to me at least) that mail-mi is a spy. We'd then just avoid Arch/Ash on the next mission, and hope Lio could give us more information.

The risk of Lio being a spy might make this not worth it, though.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 19, 2013, 11:44:35 pm
you should still send it to me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 19, 2013, 11:52:46 pm
I think mail-mi was the spy on the second mission.  And I think that Lio and TA are resistance.  So I think that out of Archetype/Ashersky, 1 is a spy.  I have no clue which, so I'm going to use the LOTL there.

I would like input on why people think Archetype and Ashersky are either spy or resistance.
I don't think you should be aiming for spies.  Seriously.

Aim for your resistance reads.  We HAVE to get resistance on future missions, and we HAVE to be thinking about the final mission as well.

If you hit a spy, great, we know 1 person not to include.  but that's all the info we're getting for the rest of the game.  We will not be happy in mission 5.

If you hit a resistance, then he'll have a chance to resistance hunt after mission 4, and we can go into mission 5 knowing a LOT of resistance.  THAT is what is going to make winning easier.

Not finding a single spy.

Yes, I'm planning on LOTL'ing whoever I think is more likely resistance out of Arch/Ash, and here's why:

I know that I'm resistance.
I think that Lio and TA are resistance.
I think that one of Ash and Arch are resistance.

If I choose correctly out of Ash and Arch, that gives us four players that I trust for the next mission.  That's all we need.  Then hopefully either Ash or Arch can find a fifth.

And if I choose incorrectly out of Ash and Arch, well, we lose LOTL after the fourth mission, but I still get a fourth resistance member to trust.  And we have to find a fifth, knowing one spy for sure.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 19, 2013, 11:53:58 pm
I will hands down reject any mission with Lio on it, unless you have a LoTL result on him. That's just too big of a risk for my taste.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 19, 2013, 11:54:26 pm
I do have a somewhat strong read on Shraeye as resistance, for what it's worth.

LOTL'ing Lio might not be the worst.  I'll think about it.  I think it's better than Shraeye, since although I think Shraeye is resistance, LOTL'ing Lio gives us information about mail-mi's alignment, wheras Shraeye would just give us info about him.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 19, 2013, 11:55:51 pm
Well, if its a him or me type of situation, I guess he's more likely to be a spy. But I think your thinking of liopoil being town is flawed. All signs point to him being scum, IMO. So I think if you're looking for Resistance, you can investigate ashersky or I (I think there was only one spy on the mission; I really don't think liopoil would include his partner).

Why do all signs point to Lio being scum?  Do you think he was the only spy on both of the last two missions, and TA/Nkirbit/Mail-mi/Archetype/Ashersky are all resistance?  Is that all the signs?  Because I think that's pretty unlikely.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 19, 2013, 11:55:58 pm
If you are so sure that Lio is resistance, seriously LoTL him. I think it's a terrible idea to go through assuming he's resistance without LoTLing him.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 19, 2013, 11:58:05 pm
I will hands down reject any mission with Lio on it, unless you have a LoTL result on him. That's just too big of a risk for my taste.
^This
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 19, 2013, 11:59:01 pm
LOTL: Liopoil
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:00:00 am
I could get behind sending it to Archetype.  I'm not feeling good about ashersky.  I don't see why you want to send it to somebody who you see as competing 50/50 with somebody else for being a spy.  How about just send that on to me?

These are my thoughts precisely. I think archetype is more likely resistance but I think one of them is a spy.

Which is why I too think this was a terrible mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:00:20 am
Shoot ugh this was a bad evening to be busy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:00:54 am
Cool, I hope he's resistance.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:03:08 am
When did I ever say I would support mission 1? I don't recall saying such a thing, given I never had any reason to support it. I only see one post from me between it being proposed and going ahead, and I certainly don't say I was going to support it in that.

Hmm... that might actually be a clean proposal. I'm not so confident on Arch as the other three but it still looks actually pretty okay.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 20, 2013, 12:08:00 am
nkirbit has used the Lady of the Lake token on liopoil.

Tables
liopoil (LotL)
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky


Archetype is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 5 people. A reminder that two Fails are required for this mission to Fail.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:09:02 am
When did I ever say I would support mission 1? I don't recall saying such a thing, given I never had any reason to support it. I only see one post from me between it being proposed and going ahead, and I certainly don't say I was going to support it in that.

Hmm... that might actually be a clean proposal. I'm not so confident on Arch as the other three but it still looks actually pretty okay.

I think we have a mixup with Mission / Proposal here.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:09:56 am
When did I ever say I would support mission 1? I don't recall saying such a thing, given I never had any reason to support it. I only see one post from me between it being proposed and going ahead, and I certainly don't say I was going to support it in that.

Hmm... that might actually be a clean proposal. I'm not so confident on Arch as the other three but it still looks actually pretty okay.

I think we have a mixup with Mission / Proposal here.

I was talking about 3.1 the whole time and I said so.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 12:11:06 am
I was wrong.  Lio is a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:13:43 am
Nkirbit, what does this make you think of mail-mi? Do you think there were 2 spies on mission 2?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:13:56 am
So mail-mi is probably resistance.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:15:46 am
Also gives Arch/Ash more resistance cred.

Makes Dsell/Shraeye/Tables more likely to be spies, since they've been off every mission and Lio has been on every mission.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:16:00 am
So mail-mi is probably resistance.

I agree with this.

But unless he put a spy on the mission with him, (maybe he didn't know) arch and ash are resistance. This changes things.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 12:16:26 am
Nkirbit, what does this make you think of mail-mi? Do you think there were 2 spies on mission 2?

I mean, I guess I would have to say so.  I really do think that what he said was a scumslip.  Resistance members just don't say things like, "I'm going to accept this future mission!"  From all my experience, they just don't.  So I'm not ready to say he's 100% spy, but the evidence really does pull against my gut feeling.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 20, 2013, 12:20:28 am
So I say anyone that was on that mission is good. So I'm including myself, ashersky, nkirbit, shraeye, and Twistedarcher. Most likely anyway, unless anyone disagrees (besides liopoil). The 5th spot was a tossup, but I trust shraeye over mail-mi.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:24:16 am
So I say anyone that was on that mission is good. So I'm including myself, ashersky, nkirbit, shraeye, and Twistedarcher. Most likely anyway, unless anyone disagrees (besides liopoil). The 5th spot was a tossup, but I trust shraeye over mail-mi.

Sorry, I'm confused, what mission is this referring to?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:25:09 am
Well, if we really really still suspect mail-mi enough to keep him off the mission this next mission is more likely to pass with a max of one spy. It is still possible that one I'd arch or ash is still a spy, but that seems less likely now.

Even if you think I am a spy, I URGE you to put me on the mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:25:28 am
One word of caution -- it's entirely possible that Liopoil included a spy buddy on the 3rd mission, with the understanding that Lio would fail, as he did on the last mission, and then new spy buddy would pass. It's not all that farfetched.

I really do trust mail-mi now, though.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:26:07 am
Oh, this one needs two fails? I'd absolutely include Arch/Ash then, I can't see a scenario where they both aren't spies.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:26:15 am
both are spies, sorry
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:27:27 am
Looking back, I am way more suspicious of both Shraeye and Dsell for accepting Proposal 2.4 that likely had only one spy, and that they weren't on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:28:19 am
both are spies, sorry

I agree that there's no way they're both spies.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 20, 2013, 12:37:03 am
So I say anyone that was on that mission is good. So I'm including myself, ashersky, nkirbit, shraeye, and Twistedarcher. Most likely anyway, unless anyone disagrees (besides liopoil). The 5th spot was a tossup, but I trust shraeye over mail-mi.

Sorry, I'm confused, what mission is this referring to?
The one lio failed.

I would be very surprised if ashersky was scum. Liopoil had it good with a guranteed mission failure, why would he include his spybuddy? So no, Ashersky is as towny to me as nkirbit.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:37:16 am
One word of caution -- it's entirely possible that Liopoil included a spy buddy on the 3rd mission, with the understanding that Lio would fail, as he did on the last mission, and then new spy buddy would pass. It's not all that farfetched.

I really do trust mail-mi now, though.

Why do you trust mail-mi? I trust him more, but not tons. I'm still wary of putting him on any missions.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 12:37:44 am
So I say anyone that was on that mission is good. So I'm including myself, ashersky, nkirbit, shraeye, and Twistedarcher. Most likely anyway, unless anyone disagrees (besides liopoil). The 5th spot was a tossup, but I trust shraeye over mail-mi.

Sorry, I'm confused, what mission is this referring to?
The one lio failed.

I would be very surprised if ashersky was scum. Liopoil had it good with a guranteed mission failure, why would he include his spybuddy? So no, Ashersky is as towny to me as nkirbit.

Why are you assuming that Lio has a spybuddy?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:39:03 am
So I say anyone that was on that mission is good. So I'm including myself, ashersky, nkirbit, shraeye, and Twistedarcher. Most likely anyway, unless anyone disagrees (besides liopoil). The 5th spot was a tossup, but I trust shraeye over mail-mi.

Sorry, I'm confused, what mission is this referring to?
The one lio failed.

I would be very surprised if ashersky was scum. Liopoil had it good with a guranteed mission failure, why would he include his spybuddy? So no, Ashersky is as towny to me as nkirbit.

This is not a bad point, but keep in mind that there's one spy who's unknown to the other two. That could very well be one of the two of you, from my perspective.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 20, 2013, 12:39:27 am
…because he's scum?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 12:40:12 am
So I say anyone that was on that mission is good. So I'm including myself, ashersky, nkirbit, shraeye, and Twistedarcher. Most likely anyway, unless anyone disagrees (besides liopoil). The 5th spot was a tossup, but I trust shraeye over mail-mi.

Sorry, I'm confused, what mission is this referring to?
The one lio failed.

I would be very surprised if ashersky was scum. Liopoil had it good with a guranteed mission failure, why would he include his spybuddy? So no, Ashersky is as towny to me as nkirbit.

Why are you assuming that Lio has a spybuddy?

Yeah, Lio could also be the unknown spy himself and the mission was a shot in the dark
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 12:41:49 am
So I say anyone that was on that mission is good. So I'm including myself, ashersky, nkirbit, shraeye, and Twistedarcher. Most likely anyway, unless anyone disagrees (besides liopoil). The 5th spot was a tossup, but I trust shraeye over mail-mi.

Sorry, I'm confused, what mission is this referring to?
The one lio failed.

I would be very surprised if ashersky was scum. Liopoil had it good with a guranteed mission failure, why would he include his spybuddy? So no, Ashersky is as towny to me as nkirbit.

This is not only an Ashersky defense but an Archetype defense. The fact that Ashersky is as towny as Nkirbit might be hyperbole, but it shouldn't be true. This may be Archetype trying to get us to trust him.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 20, 2013, 12:44:07 am
Oh wow forgot about that guy. That actually seems fairly probable as Ashersky and I were nearly random.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 01:00:21 am
So I say anyone that was on that mission is good. So I'm including myself, ashersky, nkirbit, shraeye, and Twistedarcher. Most likely anyway, unless anyone disagrees (besides liopoil). The 5th spot was a tossup, but I trust shraeye over mail-mi.

Sorry, I'm confused, what mission is this referring to?
The one lio failed.

I would be very surprised if ashersky was scum. Liopoil had it good with a guranteed mission failure, why would he include his spybuddy? So no, Ashersky is as towny to me as nkirbit.

This is not only an Ashersky defense but an Archetype defense. The fact that Ashersky is as towny as Nkirbit might be hyperbole, but it shouldn't be true. This may be Archetype trying to get us to trust him.

I agree.  If anyone wants to jump to the conclusion that we should trust all people who were on a mission with Lio, it's other scum who were on missions with Lio.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 01:01:45 am
For what it's worth, the players are I trust the most are TA and Shraeye.  Then Archetype and Ashersky.  Then the rest.  Then Lio.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 01:16:09 am
Why not mail-mi?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 01:17:40 am
Why not mail-mi?

Because of the reason I've been continuously stating.  It's extremely scummy, and this isn't a game where you get many statements like that.  I'm less convinced that he is scum than I was before... I was absolutely convinced he was before.  Now, he's about null.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 01:38:37 am
I wish I knew what was so terrible about Dsell, TA, nkirbit, and shraeye that everyone but myself rejected it. That was and still is my top 4. I am baffled, frustrated, and a little jaded that people seem to refuse to hear me this game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 01:43:26 am
On a more productive note I'm rejecting anything with liopoil or tables, probably mail-mi too. Pretty tempted to reject anything without me on it but not sure yet.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 01:53:57 am
Also, the five people who are in line to have proposals on this mission are the five people I trust most, so let's try not to take this one to the fifth proposal please.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 08:43:12 am
Guys, I'm not a spy... So I know that nkirbit is, and so I know TA is too. yay, two scum caught. but seriously guys, why aren't you considering that they could both be spies. it makes a lot of sense:

mission one I had the fifth proposal, and they had no choice but to be on the same mission. Well, it's okay if that mission passes, and they were both pretty scared of a double-fail, so the result makes sense

mission two they got stuck again - they could really exactly try to get separated without it looking suspicious. exactly one fail is a perfectly likely result. they can't let the mission pass again. 1 fail is the result that will happen half of the time. Remember last game, where munch and mail-mi successfully got exactly 1 fail twice in a row? yeah, I don't think it's that hard. plus, they're twins, they can probably telepathically coordinate that!

LotL: Nkirbit. makes perfect sense. keeps it so that the spies have control of the LotL, and also gives his partner massive towncred, making it more likely that exactly one will be on the next mission. Yeah, he could probably easily frame mail-mi, but eventually TA would probably get caught with that, and well, it does make himself more suspicious. And nkirbit can do that next time anyway, with more plausibility.

mission 3: 1 spy on, failed. you wonder why TA accepted the one they both were on, and rejected the ones he wasn't on? because that's what he has to do to avoid extreme suspicion, duh. and he knew I would put nkirbit and not him on it for the last proposal anyway, and it seemed unlikely that any other mission would pass. and if they were both on it again it wouldn't be too bad, they can just fail it the same way they did mission 2.

lotl: liopoil.

of course I looked super-suspicious after that, being the only non-nkirbit player on both failed missions. easy frame there. now all they need to do it both get on this mission and win. or heck, just get nkirbit on the last mission.



Well, it's either the above, or I'm just a spy. Me being a spy is plausible I guess. but everything fits for a nkirbit-TA spyteam, with an oberon out somewhere. And man, they sure got lucky that TA was LotL.

I can't reasonably expect to get on this mission, but you can't put TA and nkirbit on this mission either. I really do think that from a neutral perspective, a Nkirbit-TA team is very nearly, if not equally likely as liopoil being a spy.

also: lol @ mail-mi getting suspected. he's very very likely resistance now. I would be shocked if he was a spy, and even if you aren't me and know that nkirbit and TA are spies, he's still got to be a big resistance read. I say this because I'm his spypartner, of course.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 20, 2013, 08:43:45 am
I was wrong.  Lio is a spy.
Arg, why did you let yourself get bullied into giving liopoil the LotL?  You were going to pick ash or arch.  I would prefer arch of those two, but would have preferred either over liopoil.  Lio's mission was just terrible, he gained lots of spyness from proposing that in my eyes.

I now have a big spyread on TA as well, due to him pushing for you to LotL liopoil (which destroys future information).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 20, 2013, 08:44:36 am
I wish I knew what was so terrible about Dsell, TA, nkirbit, and shraeye that everyone but myself rejected it. That was and still is my top 4. I am baffled, frustrated, and a little jaded that people seem to refuse to hear me this game.
We also need to be very careful about who has the 5th proposal to the 5th mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 08:47:31 am
I was wrong.  Lio is a spy.
Arg, why did you let yourself get bullied into giving liopoil the LotL?  You were going to pick ash or arch.  I would prefer arch of those two, but would have preferred either over liopoil.  Lio's mission was just terrible, he gained lots of spyness from proposing that in my eyes.

I now have a big spyread on TA as well, due to him pushing for you to LotL liopoil (which destroys future information).
confused. you're frustrated at me for my mission. frustrated at nkirbit for lotl-ing me. suspicious of TA for pushing nkirbit to lotl-ing me. who do you actually think is the spy?

I don't get what's so crazy about my mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 20, 2013, 08:47:55 am
mission 3: 1 spy on, failed. you wonder why TA accepted the one they both were on, and rejected the ones he wasn't on? because that's what he has to do to avoid extreme suspicion, duh. and he knew I would put nkirbit and not him on it for the last proposal anyway, and it seemed unlikely that any other mission would pass. and if they were both on it again it wouldn't be too bad, they can just fail it the same way they did mission 2.

streeeeeeeeech.  Whew, that was a big one, I hope you feel better now.

But seriously, I'm just going to assume you're a spy for the rest of the game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 20, 2013, 08:50:29 am
why take Twisted off and put on two untested players (Archetype/ashersky).  If you are resistance, then you are just taking two shots in the dark, when we have more info to go off of.  If you're a spy, it's a great way to frame more people.

nkirbit I was just plain frustrated at; it looks like he got bullied into putting LotL on you by Twistedarcher.

Twisted I'm suspicious of.

Definitely spy: liopoil
likely spy: Twisted
other people: they go here
definitely resistance: nkirbit, shraeye
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 08:51:32 am
proposal order list thing:

1. Archetype
2. shraeye
3. Dsell
4. Twistedarcher
5. nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky
Tables
liopoil

oh crap, TA and nkirbit have the 4th and 5th proposals. If we don't pass one of the first three proposals, we lose.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 08:52:53 am
why take Twisted off and put on two untested players (Archetype/ashersky).  If you are resistance, then you are just taking two shots in the dark, when we have more info to go off of.  If you're a spy, it's a great way to frame more people.
what??

as resistance, I KNOW that at least one of mail-mi and TA are spies. no way can I put either one of them on my mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 08:54:21 am
and you say I'm definitely spy, and still suspicious of TA? I hadn't really thought of that, I suppose it's possible (from your point of view). is one of us oberon?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 08:59:39 am
mission 3: 1 spy on, failed. you wonder why TA accepted the one they both were on, and rejected the ones he wasn't on? because that's what he has to do to avoid extreme suspicion, duh. and he knew I would put nkirbit and not him on it for the last proposal anyway, and it seemed unlikely that any other mission would pass. and if they were both on it again it wouldn't be too bad, they can just fail it the same way they did mission 2.
streeeeeeeeech.  Whew, that was a big one, I hope you feel better now.

But seriously, I'm just going to assume you're a spy for the rest of the game.
that's not a stretch at all man. not at all. if TA had accepted mission with nkirbit not TA on them, or rejected one with both on, he would look so so so terrible. he knew I would put nkirbit and not him on it, because, well, I said I would, and more importantly, I knew that one of mail-mi and TA is a spy, so I'm not putting either on, period. and it really did not seem like any of those missions had a good chance of passing anyway, so he can safely accept ones he doesn't like, and reject ones he does like. And if, somehow, they had both ended up on mission 3, it would not be the end of the world; they'd just do the same thing they did the last mission, easy-peasy. Just like mail-mi and munch did last game, which you modded!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 20, 2013, 11:53:48 am
When did I ever say I would support mission 1? I don't recall saying such a thing, given I never had any reason to support it. I only see one post from me between it being proposed and going ahead, and I certainly don't say I was going to support it in that.

Hmm... that might actually be a clean proposal. I'm not so confident on Arch as the other three but it still looks actually pretty okay.

...Your point? I'm very confused about what you're quoting the second post for, when I clearly suggest I don't think it's the best possible team.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 20, 2013, 12:59:48 pm
Yeah, liopoil. I think you're done.

I now have a big spyread on TA as well, due to him pushing for you to LotL liopoil (which destroys future information).
This is a really good point. I was a ok with him investigating me so that I could join nkiribt's cult of known goodness, but Twisted was really pushing for lio to be on the mission.

I got thinking last night. If liopoil is the hidden spy, why would he propose the mission he did? Why include entirely new people with one of them possibly being a Spy? Why not do liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi again?

So I think we have two scenarios:

1. For Mission 2, liopoil put in a Succeed. That means someone else on the mission is a Spy. And so he didn't want to go with them again since at least one of his spybuddies was on the mission. So for Mission 3 he swapped out Twistedarcher and mail-mi (potential Scumbuddy canidates) for Ashersky and I and then put in a success (meaning that ashersky is scum) or put in a fail hoping that any potential spy buddies would put succeed. I think if what he did for Mission 2 is true, then he most likely failed the 3rd Mission making ashersky more likely to be town.

2. For Mission 2, liopoil failed the Mission. He has to figure that A) One of his scumbuddies is on the mission, or B) It's all Town. The problem is, if he figured that everyone was Town, then for Mission 3 he should have proposed that same mission again and failed it. So that leads me to believe that Point A) is true and he figured out that one of his scumbuddies (Twistedarcher OR mail-mi) were on the mission. This somewhat increases the probability of ashersky being Town.


However, if he's not the hidden Spy. It makes me 90% sure ashersky is Town and doesn't affect my opinion on mail-mi or Twistedarcher.
So:


##Propose Mission 4.1: Archetype, Dsell, shraeye, nkirbit, ashersky
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 20, 2013, 01:02:39 pm
This is one of those missions which shakes every assumption and likelihood I'd been considering up to now. I think I need to work everything over, starting from the facts. Clear every suspicion I had before now, start over. This might be somewhat train of thought-ish, but I'll try and work out and summarise my main thoughts towards the end.

As a reminder, remember only TWO spies know each other. There's a third totally unknown spy.

nkirbit and Liopoil have been on every mission, and at least one is a spy. That's pretty bad. We're three missions in and we've let a single spy fail two missions. I'll need to consider both cases. I'll start arbitrarily with nkirbit.

Assumption: nkirbit is a spy
If nkirbit is a spy, so is TA. If that's the case, both M1 and M2 were at least double spy. It's very possible both would have ducked on mission 1. It's less likely exactly one did on mission 2. If one was Oberon, in particular, I expect Oberon would have failed M2, while M1 is possible but not certain. What about the other? Mordred, being hidden from Merlin, might well have played deep cover twice, perhaps in the hope that Oberon was on M2. Morgana seems a lot more likely to have thrown a fail in the second mission, but it's not really a huge difference. But I really can't work out anything in detail from this. Mordred-Oberon seems like a possible pair, but still seems kind of like a perfect storm to have actually happened.

What if both knew each other? nkirbit proposed a mission with TA on it, then voted it down, but TA voted it straight up. An interesting choice. Liopoil then proposes a team which is double spy, out of the blue, which is kind of unlucky, and both spies knowing their partner is there, decide to pass. This makes sense. But with both having passed, they're in a kind of awkward position of both being very likely to be put on missions together. And then nkirbit apparently picks up TA's radio silence post as being potentially a signal, pointing it out (possible bus) The mission is voted up by two people off mission.

Question 1: DSell, what's going on with your votes over the course of M2?[/b] I see you approve every mission over the course of M2. These missions contain all of the following people:
liopoil*
Archetype*
Twistedarcher*
nkirbit*
DSell
Shraeye
mail-mi*

People with a * next to them you seem to trust enough to vote for missions they're on when you're off mission.

This voting just looks insane for a resistance member, to me. Firstly you approved SEVEN different people over the course of one mission (which guarantees of course at least one spy). There were six different people over the first three proposals and six over the last two. What made you so happy to throw out trust to so many different people? Did your reads change between M2.3 and M2.4, or did you think the six people in those two missions were the most likely resistance? All of these votes look very suspicious to me right now.

Going back to the actual proposal, Shraeye also votes yes off mission. This actually also seems odd to me. Looking over the voting though he does explain his yes vote, and it seems genuine. Okay then.

From here, TA checks nkirbit and obviously (under the assumption) lies and says nkirbit is clean. If one of them was Oberon, now all the spies know Oberon and Oberon knows one of his buddies. If TA is Mordred, Merlin would then be able to deduce that from him saying nkirbit (a spy known to Merlin) was clean.


With TA having checked nkirbit, things get a little trickier to deduce. They've managed to set up a big con, and it's easy to blend in with what they've said - pretty much everything that happens from now on would make sense if they were spies or if they were resistance. That said, missions with only nkirbit seem to be consistently rejected by TA, despite him knowing they'll fail, and being likely able to defend the choices. This seems to make TA+nkirbit spy pair seem a fair bit less likely to me.

Conclusion from this assumption: It seems unlikely to me that nkirbit + TA are both spies. There's a few times when the voting would make more sense, but especially later on, TA is far too conservative with his votes, and being put together on so many missions which they voted up makes it seem even less likely. Of course, this is my thoughts BEFORE considering Lio as a spy. Even if this seems unlikely, if spy Lio looks even less likely, it has a very good chance of being the truth.

That said this took far longer to look over than I expected. I might need to take a break before looking at spy Lio assumption.

PPE: I see the next proposal has gone up already. Mission 4's proposals are sure to be some of the most interesting, because of that two spy condition.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 01:13:23 pm
Yeah, liopoil. I think you're done.

If liopoil is the hidden spy, why would he propose the mission he did? Why include entirely new people with one of them possibly being a Spy? Why not do liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi again?
what the.... if I was the hidden spy, why would I propose that? everyone knows there is a spy in mail-mi-lio-TA-nkirbit, so proposing that mission again makes me obvspy.

And I'm not "done", I'm resistance! I don't get why you all think I'm obviously a spy.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 01:14:27 pm
I am turning this one down. It puts too much on Tables probably being a spy, and it doesn't include myself / mail-mi, who I think is resistance. I trust Shraeye, but the likelihood that there's two spies in there is just too high.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 20, 2013, 01:15:07 pm
Yeah, liopoil. I think you're done.

If liopoil is the hidden spy, why would he propose the mission he did? Why include entirely new people with one of them possibly being a Spy? Why not do liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi again?
what the.... if I was the hidden spy, why would I propose that? everyone knows there is a spy in mail-mi-lio-TA-nkirbit, so proposing that mission again makes me obvspy.

And I'm not "done", I'm resistance! I don't get why you all think I'm obviously a spy.
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 01:15:45 pm
I'll be accepting this one. 
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 20, 2013, 01:16:45 pm
I am turning this one down. It puts too much on Tables probably being a spy, and it doesn't include myself / mail-mi, who I think is resistance. I trust Shraeye, but the likelihood that there's two spies in there is just too high.
Maybe I'm banking too much on Tables being a Spy, but I'm fairly certain you or mail-mi is a Spy. There may be one spy on the mission, but I don't think there is two.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 01:18:30 pm
I am turning this one down. It puts too much on Tables probably being a spy, and it doesn't include myself / mail-mi, who I think is resistance. I trust Shraeye, but the likelihood that there's two spies in there is just too high.
Maybe I'm banking too much on Tables being a Spy, but I'm fairly certain you or mail-mi is a Spy. There may be one spy on the mission, but I don't think there is two.

I don't get why everyone thinks mail-mi is a spy. I really don't. Yes he's been scummy, but this is mail-mi we're talking about. The logic overwhelmingly points to him being resistance to me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 01:19:09 pm
Yeah, liopoil. I think you're done.

If liopoil is the hidden spy, why would he propose the mission he did? Why include entirely new people with one of them possibly being a Spy? Why not do liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi again?
what the.... if I was the hidden spy, why would I propose that? everyone knows there is a spy in mail-mi-lio-TA-nkirbit, so proposing that mission again makes me obvspy.

And I'm not "done", I'm resistance! I don't get why you all think I'm obviously a spy.
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.

Why?  I mean, I know why I'm ignoring Lio, since I saw his LOTL flip, and I know why TA is ignoring Lio, since he saw my LOTL flip, but why aren't you considering both sides? 
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 01:19:31 pm
If I had to guess now, I would guess the spies are Lio/Mail-Mi/Tables
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 01:20:09 pm
I am probably accepting this one, though it requires a ton of faith in shraeye. But I am very grateful to be on the mission, thank you arch.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 01:20:56 pm
I was wrong.  Lio is a spy.
Arg, why did you let yourself get bullied into giving liopoil the LotL?  You were going to pick ash or arch.  I would prefer arch of those two, but would have preferred either over liopoil.  Lio's mission was just terrible, he gained lots of spyness from proposing that in my eyes.

I now have a big spyread on TA as well, due to him pushing for you to LotL liopoil (which destroys future information).

I wanted Nkirbit to give it to his biggest resistance read. If that was Liopoil, I thought there was a huge downside to giving the LoTL to someone else but still trusting Lio.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 20, 2013, 01:24:59 pm
Yeah, liopoil. I think you're done.

If liopoil is the hidden spy, why would he propose the mission he did? Why include entirely new people with one of them possibly being a Spy? Why not do liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi again?
what the.... if I was the hidden spy, why would I propose that? everyone knows there is a spy in mail-mi-lio-TA-nkirbit, so proposing that mission again makes me obvspy.

And I'm not "done", I'm resistance! I don't get why you all think I'm obviously a spy.
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.

Why?  I mean, I know why I'm ignoring Lio, since I saw his LOTL flip, and I know why TA is ignoring Lio, since he saw my LOTL flip, but why aren't you considering both sides?
1. Even though mail-mi/TA are potentially spies, I'm really leaning mail-mi.

2. I was one of the people to acknowledge the common denominator of liopoil on both failed missions.

3. His reaction to being called out as a Spy reads really fake to me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 01:25:52 pm
Tables, I know that my voting there may look crazy, and I'd be super suspicious of anyone voting like that on the third or fourth mission. But it was the second mission, I felt like I had no info and very few suspicions. And furthermore, I had a lot of incentive to accept the first two so that MY proposal would be for the third mission, when we have SO much more info. Remember, I'm the skeptical player who puts virtually no stock in the first mission passing. It means almost nothing to me. And since we now know with certainty that there was at least one spy on mission one, I feel somewhat justified in that skepticism.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 01:27:12 pm
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.
That's fine, if I was actually certainly a spy. There is no way you can be certain about that if you are a vanilla resistance member, which we all claim to be. (of course, TA and nkirbit have to pretend to be certain, and if I am a spy, they are certain. But they have info you don't if they are resistance). There is a non-zero chance that TA and nkirbit are spies.

If nkirbit is a spy, so is TA. If that's the case, both M1 and M2 were at least double spy. It's very possible both would have ducked on mission 1. It's less likely exactly one did on mission 2. If one was Oberon, in particular, I expect Oberon would have failed M2, while M1 is possible but not certain. What about the other? Mordred, being hidden from Merlin, might well have played deep cover twice, perhaps in the hope that Oberon was on M2. Morgana seems a lot more likely to have thrown a fail in the second mission, but it's not really a huge difference. But I really can't work out anything in detail from this. Mordred-Oberon seems like a possible pair, but still seems kind of like a perfect storm to have actually happened.

What if both knew each other? nkirbit proposed a mission with TA on it, then voted it down, but TA voted it straight up. An interesting choice. Liopoil then proposes a team which is double spy, out of the blue, which is kind of unlucky, and both spies knowing their partner is there, decide to pass. This makes sense. But with both having passed, they're in a kind of awkward position of both being very likely to be put on missions together. And then nkirbit apparently picks up TA's radio silence post as being potentially a signal, pointing it out (possible bus) The mission is voted up by two people off mission.

I think the most likely scenario is that they both know who each other are. it makes the most sense that way. but I could also see one of them being oberon and one of them decided to slowplay it.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 20, 2013, 01:28:48 pm
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.
That's fine, if I was actually certainly a spy. There is no way you can be certain about that if you are a vanilla resistance member, which we all claim to be. (of course, TA and nkirbit have to pretend to be certain, and if I am a spy, they are certain. But they have info you don't if they are resistance). There is a non-zero chance that TA and nkirbit are spies.
WIFOM
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 01:29:58 pm
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.
That's fine, if I was actually certainly a spy. There is no way you can be certain about that if you are a vanilla resistance member, which we all claim to be. (of course, TA and nkirbit have to pretend to be certain, and if I am a spy, they are certain. But they have info you don't if they are resistance). There is a non-zero chance that TA and nkirbit are spies.

If nkirbit is a spy, so is TA. If that's the case, both M1 and M2 were at least double spy. It's very possible both would have ducked on mission 1. It's less likely exactly one did on mission 2. If one was Oberon, in particular, I expect Oberon would have failed M2, while M1 is possible but not certain. What about the other? Mordred, being hidden from Merlin, might well have played deep cover twice, perhaps in the hope that Oberon was on M2. Morgana seems a lot more likely to have thrown a fail in the second mission, but it's not really a huge difference. But I really can't work out anything in detail from this. Mordred-Oberon seems like a possible pair, but still seems kind of like a perfect storm to have actually happened.

What if both knew each other? nkirbit proposed a mission with TA on it, then voted it down, but TA voted it straight up. An interesting choice. Liopoil then proposes a team which is double spy, out of the blue, which is kind of unlucky, and both spies knowing their partner is there, decide to pass. This makes sense. But with both having passed, they're in a kind of awkward position of both being very likely to be put on missions together. And then nkirbit apparently picks up TA's radio silence post as being potentially a signal, pointing it out (possible bus) The mission is voted up by two people off mission.

I think the most likely scenario is that they both know who each other are. it makes the most sense that way. but I could also see one of them being oberon and one of them decided to slowplay it.

I have bolded Lio's reasoning on why he's a spy and I'm not.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 01:32:00 pm
Yeah, liopoil. I think you're done.

If liopoil is the hidden spy, why would he propose the mission he did? Why include entirely new people with one of them possibly being a Spy? Why not do liopoil, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi again?
what the.... if I was the hidden spy, why would I propose that? everyone knows there is a spy in mail-mi-lio-TA-nkirbit, so proposing that mission again makes me obvspy.

And I'm not "done", I'm resistance! I don't get why you all think I'm obviously a spy.
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.

Why?  I mean, I know why I'm ignoring Lio, since I saw his LOTL flip, and I know why TA is ignoring Lio, since he saw my LOTL flip, but why aren't you considering both sides?
1. Even though mail-mi/TA are potentially spies, I'm really leaning mail-mi.

2. I was one of the people to acknowledge the common denominator of liopoil on both failed missions.

3. His reaction to being called out as a Spy reads really fake to me.
what? 1 has nothing to do with me. 2, yes, I was on both failed missions. so was nkirbit. 3, okay, you have a read. YOU HAVE A READ. reads are never ever certain, and this is just about my reaction, which I believe happened before you stated you thought I was a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 01:33:14 pm
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.
That's fine, if I was actually certainly a spy. There is no way you can be certain about that if you are a vanilla resistance member, which we all claim to be. (of course, TA and nkirbit have to pretend to be certain, and if I am a spy, they are certain. But they have info you don't if they are resistance). There is a non-zero chance that TA and nkirbit are spies.
WIFOM
I have no clue what wifom has to do with my quote.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 01:33:58 pm
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.
That's fine, if I was actually certainly a spy. There is no way you can be certain about that if you are a vanilla resistance member, which we all claim to be. (of course, TA and nkirbit have to pretend to be certain, and if I am a spy, they are certain. But they have info you don't if they are resistance). There is a non-zero chance that TA and nkirbit are spies.
I have bolded Lio's reasoning on why he's a spy and I'm not.
huh?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 20, 2013, 01:35:14 pm
I don't mean to sound rude, but I will be ignoring everything you say. You are certainly a Spy.
That's fine, if I was actually certainly a spy. There is no way you can be certain about that if you are a vanilla resistance member, which we all claim to be. (of course, TA and nkirbit have to pretend to be certain, and if I am a spy, they are certain. But they have info you don't if they are resistance). There is a non-zero chance that TA and nkirbit are spies.
WIFOM
I have no clue what wifom has to do with my quote.

Nothing, in fact.  What you said is true if you're a resistance member, and false if you're a spy, but you're not trying to WIFOM at all.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 20, 2013, 01:43:41 pm
I am probably accepting this one, though it requires a ton of faith in shraeye. But I am very grateful to be on the mission, thank you arch.
No worries about faithing me.  Imma back y'all up 100%.

Also, I need to read this in depth before I accept/reject this mission.  It's critical to find some reasonable scumteams, and to do our damnedest to keep the majority of the reasonable scumteams off the mission.  I can't focus on this in depth while at work.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 02:15:23 pm

##Propose Mission 4.1: Archetype, Dsell, shraeye, nkirbit, ashersky

hmmmm. we have to accept either this mission, shraeye's, or dsell's mission. I'm fairly sure that both shraeye and dsell will: put nkirbit on the mission, and not me. based on his previous posts, I doubt shraeye will put TA on. Dsell might though, and if dsell is a spy and it get to him, he wins. I'd prefer either this mission or shraeye's then. I really think mail-mi is resistance, so I would like him on the mission... dunno if shraeye is going to do that. but, I do still think arch and ash are resistance too... if you just replaced dsell with mail-mi on this mission it would be perfect. (within what I can reasonably expect). I guess I'll accept.

It'll be really tough to win this one... even if this mission succeeds, next mission will be really hard.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 02:21:15 pm
missions with only nkirbit seem to be consistently rejected by TA, despite him knowing they'll fail, and being likely able to defend the choices. This seems to make TA+nkirbit spy pair seem a fair bit less likely to me.
I really think that's what TA had to do as a spy. It would look really bad if he had accepted one.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 02:35:25 pm
missions with only nkirbit seem to be consistently rejected by TA, despite him knowing they'll fail, and being likely able to defend the choices. This seems to make TA+nkirbit spy pair seem a fair bit less likely to me.
I really think that's what TA had to do as a spy. It would look really bad if he had accepted one.

So...I'm a spy because I did exactly what I would do as resistance?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 03:06:09 pm
no, it's null. It's obviously the right move as resistance, and as a spy you have to do it anyway. So it's meaningless. tables was saying that it made him think the TA-nkirbit team is less likely.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 20, 2013, 03:36:31 pm
Lio, if you're resistance, you'll be blameless in our defeat. But there is no way that I'm taking that chance on you in this game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 20, 2013, 05:08:58 pm
I would definitely urge everyone to think very carefully before simply deciding Lio is the spy. I'm not saying he isn't, just that when something shakes up information in a big way, we should proceed with caution. Especially considering what Lio says about M4.3 - we should stop and think very carefully by that point (heck, everyone should do it ASAP).

The moment we get to M4.4, then we consider Lio 100% spy, because if that's incorrect, we've lost anyway. But until then, he's not a confirmed spy, and treating him as one could very well mean losing the game.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 20, 2013, 05:18:28 pm
I don't like nkirbit on this mission.  The rest is good.  No idea what to do.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 20, 2013, 06:28:17 pm
As an aside to everything, Jimmmm, are you using a modified version of my Resistance spreadsheet? I didn't notice it at first, but after staring at the voting results for hours I've realised it's extremely similar.

I'm going to continue looking over the facts, continuing with Lio vs. nkirbit. Once again this'll be kind of stream of thoughty.

Assumption 2: Lio is a spy

This one has in some ways a lot less to work with, because there's more unknowns. Firstly, we don't know if Lio is Oberon, Morgana, or Mordred. Each one would lead to slightly different conclusions. Secondly, we have much less of an idea of how many spies there have been on each mission. It's definitely at least one every time, but how many missions have had two or more spies? So far six different people have been on missions, and considering there's two 'groups' of spies, it's very possible one was double spy. Heck, it's possible that Lio has never played a fail card all game. Finally, this assumption doesn't even contradict the first one. It's not impossible that nkirbit, TA and Lio are all spies, with a lucky Oberon pass (even two possibly) to his spybuddy. This is quite a tall order however. It seems very unlikely however, but if this were the case, all the spies need to do is sit back and wait as the resistance divides itself between nkirbit or Lio as the loyal one. M4 might succeed, but they won't need to care too much, as M5 would be pretty much in the bag.

So lets work on three sub-assumptions, see if any strike me as probable.

Assumption 2.1: Lio is Oberon

Oberon is alone. He doesn't know his spy buddies, so all he can really do is get himself onto missions to try and fail them. In fact, he's kind of worse than alone - the only person who knows he's a spy is Merlin, who therefore wants people to suspect Lio, but of course doesn't want to give himself away.

Having M1.5 gives him a strong leg up for this. He's instantly on M1, but decides to pass, possibly to get trust or to avoid a double fail with only three people (at which point, Resistance can bar all three from missions and be in a decently strong position - guaranteed to pass M4 and having one spy in 6 people to pass 2 more), or maybe both together. Either way he passes M1, which is pretty reasonable.

His voting in M2 fits Oberon pretty well. Then again, it's just a largely normal 'I don't trust many people' voting set. He votes no to the mission he isn't on, and yes to two missions he is. His voting here is really unremarkable, honestly.

His voting on M3 isn't much more noteworthy. Again, no off mission yes votes, and the only on mission no is when he was proposing next. His proposal, again the hammer, can't reveal much - he doesn't know who his buddies are. He picks a largely agreeable team, and then the mission fails.

Probably the only notable thing about his votes here are the lack of off mission yes votes. Normally you'd probably expect to have seen one or two from a typical person by now, but Lio has zero. That can largely be explained however by him having the hammer twice.

Subconclusion: It seems possible, but doesn't really jump out at me that he might be Oberon.

Assumption 2.2: Lio is Morgana

As Morgana, Lio would be the most 'known' spy. Merlin knows he's bad. Mordred knows he's a partner. Percival might have deduced he's a spy, or otherwise believe he's merlin, or other things.

I won't go through everything again, but I'll just do a summary of notable Morgana related points.

Firstly he's picked missions 1 and 3 knowing they'd go ahead. For M1 he seemed fairly complacent about who to put on mission. I expect that means he was intending to pass, regardless of putting a buddy on or not. Kind of odd, but okay. For M3, he didn't want TA or Mail-mi on mission. Which, makes sense as a move to look resistance, and of course makes even more sense if TA or Mail-mi is his spy buddy. I had been suspicious of Mail-mi in the past, firstly because of some odd posts and then later because someone had to be a spy on M2. But now, that spy is known (under this assumption) to be Lio, so that's moot.

Subconclusion: It seems possible, but quite unlikely to me. Except that slight hinting at TA/Mail-mi there's no real indication he has a team-mate however. I think his play seems very conservative though, for someone who should have potentially two resistance members attacking them early (something that didn't really seem to happen). I wouldn't say this is the most likely scenario.

Assumption 2.3: Lio is Mordred

Mordred is just the much more hidden version of Morgana. Percival has no idea. Merlin has no idea. Only Morgana knows Mordred. This makes Mordred just that little bit more likely to play passes, trying to stay undercover a little longer, perhaps avoid any kind of run-ins with Oberon.

Lio passed mission 1, and that's probably the biggest thing that would make me think 'Mordred'. Other than that, this is largely the same as Morgana. However, he didn't seem to have any (notable) suspicion early, or even really for a while. He was proposal 5 twice, nobody seemed fussed the second time, and he went on every mission. Of note of course is the fact that there was only one fail on the second and third missions - does that mean he would have been the only spy? Or perhaps he played a pass multiple times, and someone else threw in at least one fail?

Subconclusion: Again, this feels possible, but much more likely than him being Morgana. He's played like Mordred. He hasn't gotten much suspicion from anyone, early on. His voting, again, is very conservative, and his proposals seem designed to keep him UTR. But I still can't put my finger on any teammates he's likely working with.

Conclusion: Looking this over, and comparing to the nkirbit scenario, I feel like while none of these are really hugely probably, Oberon seems very plausible, and the nkirbit scenario is a lot more unlikely. I really can't pick out any likely spy teams, or partnerships, but it does seem like Lio is likely a spy. That would make Oberon the most likely candidate.

This sums up what I think of just the facts so far, and it mostly only focused on two (kind of TA as well) people. But from here we still need to deduce the remaining spies. I'll have to look over probably... everything... to try and get an idea of who else to suspect based on posts, which might take a while.

I know lots of people are still suspicious of me, which is fair enough. I don't need to go on this mission for it to succeed. I don't even need to be on the last one, just as long as we pick out the three spies properly. But right now, we do need to consider the facts carefully and see what can be picked out. I'll have to have a look at Lio's interactions with others, for example, see if anything does jump out at me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 07:07:04 pm
Thanks for actually thinking it through tables...
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 20, 2013, 07:16:30 pm
Mission 4, Proposal 1 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 1pm August 21st forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 20, 2013, 07:32:53 pm
I am the one person on M2 that has not had LOTL. Because NK and TA were both on that mission, I'm really like 95% sure that lio is a spy.

But, that's only one spy down, and 2 to go. Because this mission doesn't include Me (not a spy) or TA (very likely not a spy), I am turning it down.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 08:13:56 pm
what? mail-mi, I don't get your reasoning at all for why I'm a spy. I don't get anyone's reasoning really, except tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 20, 2013, 08:24:13 pm
what? mail-mi, I don't get your reasoning at all for why I'm a spy. I don't get anyone's reasoning really, except tables.

Well, if he believes Nkirbit is resistance, that's pretty good reasoning for why you're a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 20, 2013, 08:25:00 pm
yeah, but he didn't say anything about believing nkirbit is resistance. and if he does, why is that?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 20, 2013, 08:57:00 pm
yeah, but he didn't say anything about believing nkirbit is resistance. and if he does, why is that?
Because if TA and NK were spies, there's a 66% chance that they didn't know the other was a spy, and as such they probably would have both failed it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 21, 2013, 08:47:21 am
I haven't looked over everything just yet, but from what I have read, I'm still getting a bad vibe from mail-mi. At first, I was thinking he very likely couldn't be a spy, because of the M2 result, but after thinking it through I realised: If he didn't know Lio was his partner, I think it would be likely he'd throw a pass on M2, because he'd be spy candidate #1 if a fail did come up. So he passed in the hope of staying UTR and hoping Oberon was in those three. This isn't a line of reasoning to say 'Mail-mi=spy', it's just to say it's actually more viable than I'd initially considered.

However that said, I do still feel like Mail-mi has been the most scummy person. I can't really put my finger on exactly why though, it's just a kind of bad vibe.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 21, 2013, 02:35:07 pm
I am nervous of Mail-Mi as well, although I think Tables is the most likely partner, should mail-mi have one.  Two reasons:

Tables was leading the mission that Mail-Mi said he would accept.  The only thing that Mail-Mi knows about M1P4 is that Tables will likely be on it.

I think that Tables discussing which players are possibly Merlin is scummy in its own right.  I don't think that it's something that resistance ever wants to talk about, since it can possibly provide info to the assassin about who Merlin actually is.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 21, 2013, 03:17:51 pm
I won't be able to vote until later today; I'm in the middle of some great math thoughts.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 21, 2013, 03:47:24 pm
I am nervous of Mail-Mi as well, although I think Tables is the most likely partner, should mail-mi have one.  Two reasons:

Tables was leading the mission that Mail-Mi said he would accept.  The only thing that Mail-Mi knows about M1P4 is that Tables will likely be on it.

I think that Tables discussing which players are possibly Merlin is scummy in its own right.  I don't think that it's something that resistance ever wants to talk about, since it can possibly provide info to the assassin about who Merlin actually is.

I don't remember talking about Merlin explicitly. I know I considered mentioning it a few times, but have always avoided actually saying anything. Either way talking about Merlin is totally non-advantageous for a spy, because they have post game to discuss that.

I'm not sure what you're referring to with mail-mi's voting, considering every mission I've proposed Mail-mi has voted down, and vice versa. In fact, we've never both voted yes to the same mission. I honestly don't know what you're talking about here, and it's especially annoying because you're the only person I can still be reasonably confident is resistance (considering if you're a spy, so is TA, and if I think Lio and Mail-mi are as well that'd be 4 spies).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 22, 2013, 10:32:40 am
Mission 4, Proposal 1

Leader: Archetype
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, ashersky

Votes
Accept: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, ashersky
Reject: Twistedarcher, mail-mi

Proposal is accepted.


Each player on the mission has 24 hours to send me their Succeed or Fail. A reminder that two Fails are required for this mission to Fail.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 22, 2013, 10:35:38 am
?? auto-accept?

I wasn't able to review any of this "days" proceedings

I am disappoint.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 22, 2013, 11:04:54 am
Radio Silence
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 24, 2013, 02:42:03 am
Mission 4, Proposal 1

Leader: Archetype
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, ashersky

Votes
Accept: Tables, liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, nkirbit, ashersky
Reject: Twistedarcher, mail-mi

Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 5
Fail: 0

The Mission is a Success!

liopoil now has 24 hours to use the Lady of the Lake to investigate any other player by typing LotL: PlayerName in thread. The named player does not need to respond in any way - I will give the result by PM.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 24, 2013, 03:52:33 am
Woo!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 24, 2013, 04:58:54 am
For reference: The reason I called for radio silence even though it seems pointless is because, the mission could have had Oberon and another spy on it. Assuming they weren't confident either way, and that they didn't want to give unnecessary information, stopping potential communication makes things harder for them to try and work it out.

Anyway, LotL... well, all things considered, I don't think people are going to believe what Liopoil says anyway, and we're going into M5. I still think it could be potentially useful information mind, but it'd be best if we suggest who Lio gives it to.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 24, 2013, 10:13:45 am
Well, I guess there was only 0/1 spies on that and I was wrong. Cool, cool, cool.

Off mission was myself, Liopoil, Mail-mi, and Tables. This means that either mail-mi/Tables is a spy, in my eyes. I thought mail-mi was clean, but there's pretty overwhelming evidence that he's bad, and a lot of you think it, so maybe I should just sheep that view.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 24, 2013, 10:36:03 am
!!!!!

Yay!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 24, 2013, 10:37:14 am
We should move forward with the same group, right?

How likely is it any/all spies on Mission 4 pass it?  They need 2 on to fail, so unless they had 2 on and both passed, they're screwed if we just send the same 5, right?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 24, 2013, 10:41:25 am
Mission 4 is the only Mission which requires more than one Fail to Fail.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 24, 2013, 10:42:16 am
Mission 4 is the only Mission which requires more than one Fail to Fail.

Oh, so the final mission only needs one.

So I guess it could be a spy move to pass Mission 4 with the express purpose of getting on Mission 5.  Yuck.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 24, 2013, 10:54:21 am
cool cool cool!!

So, this is the last LotL of the game, so I don't need to worry about a resistance member getting it. And since I already know who two of the spies are, I want to find the third. If I find the third, I know everyone's alignment, and if I just find a resistance member, I don't

moreover, since I know there was at least one spy on that mission (nkirbit) it is impossible that nkirbit knew one of the other 4 people on the mission is a spy. even if one is oberon, it still seems possible they might figure it out. So all four people on that mission besides nkirbit get resistance cred from me.

off mission is: liopoil, TA, mail-mi, tables. I'm not invetigating myself or TA - I already know their alignments. And I have a big resistance read on mail-mi for being on mission 2 with 2 spies.

So, by POE, my investigation choice is clear.

LotL: Tables
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 24, 2013, 10:55:01 am
Just ignore what Liopoil says, he's a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 24, 2013, 11:05:49 am
liopoil has used the Lady of the Lake token on Tables.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky


shraeye is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 5 people. A reminder that only one Fail is required for this mission to Fail.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 24, 2013, 11:07:08 am
Tables is resistance

that means there's a good chance there actually were two spies on that mission... craziness.

Just ignore what Liopoil says, he's a spy.
Just ignore what TA and nkirbit say, they're spies.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 24, 2013, 11:10:15 am
we're in a tight spot here guys... I'm obviously not going to be on the mission, so we need to get all other resistance members on the mission. Which means I have to convince you not to put TA or nkirbit on the mission either... and tables must be on the mission if I am not... and the third spy can't be on the mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 24, 2013, 11:12:44 am
mail-mi has the fifth proposal. If he's the last spy (unlikely I think), we must accept either shraeye's or dsell's mission, which must be: ash, arch, shraeye, dsell, tables. (you can put me on, but I doubt you will).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 24, 2013, 11:28:36 am
So I think the general consensus is that mail-mi and liopoil are spies, yes? That leaves the last one between Teistedarcher/Tables. I guess a spy could've snuck on that last mission, but I trust everyone on the mission, so I'll accept any mission that was the one before. Of someone can give me a good reason why X should be in place of Y on the mission, I may be ok with that.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 24, 2013, 11:47:25 am
So I think the general consensus is that mail-mi and liopoil are spies, yes? That leaves the last one between Teistedarcher/Tables. I guess a spy could've snuck on that last mission, but I trust everyone on the mission, so I'll accept any mission that was the one before. Of someone can give me a good reason why X should be in place of Y on the mission, I may be ok with that.
that is NOT the general consensus. This really bothers me, especially because you are probably resistance. you are losing the game for us with assumptions like this.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 24, 2013, 12:20:50 pm
So I think the general consensus is that mail-mi and liopoil are spies, yes? That leaves the last one between Teistedarcher/Tables. I guess a spy could've snuck on that last mission, but I trust everyone on the mission, so I'll accept any mission that was the one before. Of someone can give me a good reason why X should be in place of Y on the mission, I may be ok with that.

I agree that mail-mi and liopoil are spies, but why does that leave TA/Tables as the only possible ones left?

The last one is between TA/Tables/Arch/Ash/Shraeye/Dsell, for me.  I do have views and preferences between that group, but I don't know for sure between them?

How did you jump to TA/Tables as the only two possibilities for the last spy?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 24, 2013, 12:22:07 pm
>but I trust everyone that was on the mission
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 24, 2013, 12:23:01 pm
>but I trust everyone that was on the mission

Why?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 24, 2013, 12:27:08 pm
I have a bunch of vote analyzations and some quotes on my computer. Once I get to it, I'll post them.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 24, 2013, 01:59:23 pm
So I think the general consensus is that mail-mi and liopoil are spies, yes? That leaves the last one between Teistedarcher/Tables. I guess a spy could've snuck on that last mission, but I trust everyone on the mission, so I'll accept any mission that was the one before. Of someone can give me a good reason why X should be in place of Y on the mission, I may be ok with that.
No. It is not. I am not a spy. Also, I think it's very likely that there was 1 spy on that mission that decided to pass to get on mission 5.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 24, 2013, 04:07:01 pm
Well, Lio jumped the gun and investigated without any guidance. He's right about me, of course, but I agree with everyone else that not much should be read into it.

I'm going to third (fourth?) the group saying Mail-mi and Lio are very likely two of the spies. That leaves one more. Now, who voted down M4? Hmm... well at least one spy voted it up, but we knew that because nkirbit and Lio both voted it up. I was actually pretty aprehensive when that happened, but I guess maybe Lio is Oberon? If that were the case, then TA might well be spy #3, knowing there's not two spies on the mission and thus voting it down. But then Lio's yes vote seems odd. A bid for information, perhaps?

Also, I'd like people to justify their votes for 4.1. I voted yes because my two strongest scumreads, Lio + Mail-mi, were off mission, making it very unlikely that two spies were on mission. It also leaves nkirbit towards the end of the voting, giving potentially multiple chances to try and nail a good team.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 24, 2013, 04:11:13 pm
I voted no because TA and I were not on the mission, and that would mean there has to be a spy on the mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 24, 2013, 04:17:02 pm
I created the mission. Liopoil is a spy, so he was off. I was fairly certain two of Twisted/Tables/mail-mi were spies, so they were all off.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 24, 2013, 04:19:17 pm
I was on it and was pleased that Liopoil as well as two of my largest spy reads, Tables and mail-mi, were off mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 24, 2013, 04:19:56 pm
Lio, mail-mi, and tables, my three largest spyreads, were all off-mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 24, 2013, 04:24:58 pm
I voted no because while Lio was off mission, so was mail-mi, who I had a resistance read on. I'm really iffy on Arch/Ash, but I had thought it was more likely one of them was a spy than mail-mi, and I didn't have any reason really to trust Dsell/Shraeye over Tables.

I guess I am coming around to the view that mail-mi was a spy, but I'm not convinced that Tables is the third spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 24, 2013, 04:27:13 pm
I voted no because while Lio was off mission, so was mail-mi, who I had a resistance read on. I'm really iffy on Arch/Ash, but I had thought it was more likely one of them was a spy than mail-mi, and I didn't have any reason really to trust Dsell/Shraeye over Tables.

I guess I am coming around to the view that mail-mi was a spy, but I'm not convinced that Tables is the third spy.

Who do you think the third spy is, then?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 24, 2013, 04:29:31 pm
I don't know, honestly. I still don't completely trust Arch/Ash but unfortunately I don't have any way to differentiate them from missions -- I need to go back and look at the votes. And I don't have any reason to trust Shraeye/Dsell over Tables, although I am inclined to think that Shraeye is resistance and Dsell is much more likely town. I need to look at the voting and see what makes sense.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 24, 2013, 05:17:24 pm
Honestly, I'm still a little baffled as to why I'm so high on so many people's scum radars. I don't remember doing anything particularly odd. I'm wondering if it's mostly to do with association.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 25, 2013, 05:51:17 pm
Le bump. Do people still have nothing to say?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 26, 2013, 10:18:12 am
so i'm working on misison.  why is mail-mi a spy?

Archetype/ash/nkirbit/me are going on my misison.  I'm trying to pick a 5th.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 26, 2013, 10:19:35 am
there are 6 resistance, yeah?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 26, 2013, 10:24:09 am
there are 6 resistance, yeah?
yeah. you need to make mail-mi the 5th, and swap nkirbit for tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 26, 2013, 10:39:37 am
there are 6 resistance, yeah?
yeah. you need to make mail-mi the 5th, and swap nkirbit for tables.
so you say mail-mi isn't spy.  Why is Dsell a spy?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 11:01:09 am
For what it's worth, DSell is my best guess for the 3rd. Both him an Mail-mi have said some odd stuff and made some curious votes (For DSell at least, his mission 2 and 2.3 in particular is very suspect). I know I'm good, I think Lio isn't but he obviously has to say I am. The only mission I wouldn't be on that I'd consider voting for is Archetype/ash/nkirbit/Shraeye/Ashersky
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 11:01:46 am
Er wait I listed Ash twice (copied Shrae's list obviously), make that uhh... who's mission? Arch, Ash, nkirbit, Shraeye, TA.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 26, 2013, 11:09:14 am
there are 6 resistance, yeah?
yeah. you need to make mail-mi the 5th, and swap nkirbit for tables.
so you say mail-mi isn't spy.  Why is Dsell a spy?
well I think ash and arch are resistance not only because of my read, but also because they were on mission 3 with nkirbit. I think mail-mi is resistance because he was on mission 2 with two spies. I know TA+nkirbit are spies, and I know tables+liopoil are resistance. that just leaves the last spy to be in the group of dsell and shraeye, and since I know you'll put yourself on, dsell should be the one not on. But I do think dsell is more likely to be the last spy than you are because of his weird voting.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 26, 2013, 11:21:19 am
I like Tables' words the best. so far.  I plan to propose Tables,ash,archetype, nkirbit, shraeye.  Now accepting last minute attempts to change my mind.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 11:48:52 am
I like that you're putting me on mission, and I wouldn't suggest taking me off, but I'm aware the mission is likely to get downvoted, since too many people are suspicious of me. Still I would say that's among the best guesses I could give at a clean mission (anything with me+nkirbit+3 of Ash, Arch, Shrae, TA I'm about as confident as each other in).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 26, 2013, 11:51:14 am
I like Tables' words the best. so far.  I plan to propose Tables,ash,archetype, nkirbit, shraeye.  Now accepting last minute attempts to change my mind.
by putting nkirbit on, you bet the game that I'm a spy. I think everyone is two fast to come to the conclusion that I'm a spy and not TA-nkirbit. me being a spy may be the more likely option from a neutral perspective - but not by much.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 12:02:58 pm
I don't think I was too fast in it. Honestly, Lio, if we lose because you're a rebel, it won't be that you didn't play well enough, it'll just be that nkirbit+TA played it extremely well (and most likely, got very lucky with various actions).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 26, 2013, 12:09:25 pm
I don't think I was too fast in it. Honestly, Lio, if we lose because you're a rebel, it won't be that you didn't play well enough, it'll just be that nkirbit+TA played it extremely well (and most likely, got very lucky with various actions).
you weren't, everyone else was though.

sure, it won't be my fault if we lose, but I'd rather just not lose at all. So I'm gonna keep trying to win.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 26, 2013, 12:16:33 pm
my voting pattern for this mission is pretty fixed. at this point I will accept ANYTHING that meets all the following criteria:

- has at 1 or more of {tables, liopoil} on the mission
- has 0 of {nkirbit, TA} on the mission.

if one of those is not the case, I reject.

So, basically, I'm accepting anything that has even a tiny chance of being a pure resistance mission from my perspective. That's because it's unlikely that there will be any mission that meats those criteria.

A mission of liopoil, tables, ash, arch, mail-mi would likely win the game for us... oh well.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 26, 2013, 12:19:46 pm
I can't tell if Tables is trying to reassure about the loss to just liopoil, or himself too.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 01:06:00 pm
I'm expecting to lose and expecting Lio to win. But yeah I'm not certain Lio is a spy. How could I be? I didn't look at his allegiance. I'm reasonably confident in nkirbit, but I'm worried I'm making a mistake. Don't you feel the same way? I expect all resistance except nkirbit+TA (if they are in fact resistance) would do.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 01:07:13 pm
*Just to clarify, while that's what I expect, I'm hoping it won't end that way. But I'm not seeing a lot of chance here. Even if we get the mission through without a spy, which is already a long shot, Merlin has to survive, and I'm not really confident in that either.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 26, 2013, 01:15:39 pm
now you're all just saying things at eachotehr.

I think this mission is good

propose: Tables, shraeye, nkirbit, archetype, ashersky
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 26, 2013, 01:24:09 pm
Do we want people to say their votes beforehand?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 01:29:50 pm
I don't think that's beneficial. If the spies see enough yes votes and the mission is dirty, they can all vote yes and win. Conversely if they see enough no votes, they know they can throw in obfuscating yes votes when the mission would be clean.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 26, 2013, 01:36:44 pm
I don't think that's beneficial. If the spies see enough yes votes and the mission is dirty, they can all vote yes and win. Conversely if they see enough no votes, they know they can throw in obfuscating yes votes when the mission would be clean.
agreed.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 26, 2013, 01:42:45 pm
I don't think that's beneficial. If the spies see enough yes votes and the mission is dirty, they can all vote yes and win. Conversely if they see enough no votes, they know they can throw in obfuscating yes votes when the mission would be clean.
That's what I was thinking. I was going to say my vote, but then I wondered if I should ask first.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 01:44:26 pm
Well, I don't think there's an issue with people occasionally saying in advance how they're going to vote, but it's not beneficial if everyone does it (of course, remember that sometimes lying is an advantage).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 26, 2013, 01:49:26 pm
I'm going to reject this mission.

Also, I'm lying in the above sentence.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 26, 2013, 01:55:41 pm
The statement below is true.

The statement above is false.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 26, 2013, 02:24:49 pm
No no no no no no no no way, no.

I don't see how people are believing nkirbit but not TA. I certainly don't trust him as MUCH, but I think it's more likely that they're both resistance than TA being a spy with Lio.

I also still do not trust ash, I think it's super possible that he was the lone spy on the last mission.

The people I am still suspicious of, in order, are: Lio, mail-mi/tables, TA/ashersky. I trust shraeye, arch, and nkirbit.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 26, 2013, 02:50:40 pm
Here's where I'm at:

I absolutely don't want Lio or Mail-mi on the mission.

I absolutely want myself and TA on the mission.

I probably don't want Tables on the mission.

I want 3 out of the 4 of Dsell/Shraeye/Archetype/Ashersky.

I just need to figure out exactly who I want out of the last group.  I've been busy recently, but I'll go back and do a comprehensive re-read sometime of those four.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 26, 2013, 03:10:06 pm
I'd axe Dsell, as I did.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 03:35:46 pm
Here's where I'm at:

I absolutely don't want Lio or Mail-mi on the mission.

I absolutely want myself and TA on the mission.

I probably don't want Tables on the mission.

I want 3 out of the 4 of Dsell/Shraeye/Archetype/Ashersky.

I just need to figure out exactly who I want out of the last group.  I've been busy recently, but I'll go back and do a comprehensive re-read sometime of those four.

Bold: Why?

Also, I still don't see why you suspect me so much. If you're not willing to re-read me, why re-read the other four? You'd be looking to find four rebels in a group of four people, which doesn't really seem sensible. You need to also be considering me+Mail-mi really.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 26, 2013, 03:57:10 pm
yeah, i'm still not too sure why everyone says mail-mi is a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 26, 2013, 04:06:51 pm
yeah, i'm still not too sure why everyone says mail-mi is a spy.

ditto this. Man we disagree so much in mafia but you are making so much sense in this game!

This is the mission I would probably pick if I couldn't going, but it's going to be really hard for me to accept a mission I'm not on.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 26, 2013, 04:16:03 pm
Here's where I'm at:

I absolutely don't want Lio or Mail-mi on the mission.

I absolutely want myself and TA on the mission.

I probably don't want Tables on the mission.

I want 3 out of the 4 of Dsell/Shraeye/Archetype/Ashersky.

I just need to figure out exactly who I want out of the last group.  I've been busy recently, but I'll go back and do a comprehensive re-read sometime of those four.

Bold: Why?

Also, I still don't see why you suspect me so much. If you're not willing to re-read me, why re-read the other four? You'd be looking to find four rebels in a group of four people, which doesn't really seem sensible. You need to also be considering me+Mail-mi really.

Because at that point in the game, it doesn't make sense for spy!TA to act the way he did.  He had better options if he were a spy, such as LOTL'ing Mail-mi and calling him a spy (regardless of whether mail-mi is actually a spy or not).  Giving LOTL to a town player and calling them town is a pretty weak move for a spy to make, and I don't think TA would have done that as a spy.

I suspect you because I suspect mail-mi heavily, and view you as his likeliest partner.

I suspect mail-mi strongly, again, because of him pre-announcing which mission he would accept.  That's an incredibly scummy post in a game where you usually just don't get incredibly scummy posts.  I've caught multiple scum doing this before in real life.  I consider it a scumslip.  That's how scummy I view that action... resistance has ABSOLUTELY ZERO REASON to ever say anything like, "I'm going to accept proposal #4", but scum have plenty of reason to do so.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 26, 2013, 04:21:46 pm
Liopoil, in order for you to be resistance, that means:

Nkirbit and TA are both spies.
#1 Nkirbit proposed Nkirbit + TA, TA accepted.
#2 Nkirbit, TA both passed mission 1.
#3 TA proposed both Nkirbit, TA on Mission 2 Proposal 4, TA accepted
#4 Mission 2, TA/nkirbit split pass/fail
#5 TA used LoTL on spybuddy, called him resistance
#6 Nkirbit proposed both Nkirbit and TA on Mission 3, Proposal 1, both accepted
#7 TA proposed Mission 3, Proposal 4 that both TA and nkirbit were on

This is a much larger stretch than the explanation that Liopoil is simply a spy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 26, 2013, 04:24:38 pm
I don't get it, none of those 7 things are unlikely.....
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 04:32:38 pm
So I'm scum because the person I've been most suspicious of all game is scum? Explain this one to me again, please. How am I Mail-mi's likely partner? How do you know Mail-mi even has a partner?

Is this the post from Mail-mi you're referring to?

Hey Qvist, put me on the mission!

I don't find the mission votes surprising or concerning at all. I don't see how we're going to get better reasoning than what we had. The mission leader is in all likelihood going to vote for their mission from now on, I think it makes sense to have TA on the mission, and it's not surprising to me that he'd approve a mission he's on. And then there has to be another person. That person is frankly a bit lucky, and I think it makes sense for that person to approve the mission since there's no guarantee they'd make it on to the next mission (unless their the next leader). Most every round 1 mission is going to look like this unless TA is replaced by a "random" someone. And I don't happen to think it's too early to pass something (look at the pace we're going).
I may or may not pass this one. I will probably pass 4 and 5.

Is this the post you're referring to?

Liopoil: All of 1-4 are probably more likely to not happen than to happen. 5-7 from there are much more likely because it's easy for them to communicate anyway (whoever played the fail before can play the fail again, and a double fail in 4 people is less important anyways). And it's the combined odds of all of them which matters, which together is remote.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 04:33:07 pm
Oh I derped again, said the same thing twice. I'm not very good at checking what I'm saying, am I :P?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 26, 2013, 04:49:24 pm
Liopoil: All of 1-4 are probably more likely to not happen than to happen. 5-7 from there are much more likely because it's easy for them to communicate anyway (whoever played the fail before can play the fail again, and a double fail in 4 people is less important anyways). And it's the combined odds of all of them which matters, which together is remote.
but I mean, the point is, you can say that about anything. for instance:

what are the odds that I, as a spy, would: reject M1P1, accept M2P1, reject M2P3, AND accept M3P3?? it's a ridiculous arguement, because I just chose some random proposals, and there has to be some combination of accept/rejects, though all are unlikely.

And 1-4 are all very ordinary things.

#1: one of them might be oberon, or maybe they're "bussing", a very valid tactic there.
#2: passing mission 1 is ordinary, and heck, if I'm a spy, I did it too.
#3: again one of them might be oberon, and to pretend to be resistance, they should have resistance reads on each other. no excuse not to put the other on the mission
#4: there has to be SOME combination of pass/fails, and actually, that one is the most likely!!

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 26, 2013, 04:49:33 pm
So I'm scum because the person I've been most suspicious of all game is scum? Explain this one to me again, please. How am I Mail-mi's likely partner? How do you know Mail-mi even has a partner?

Is this the post from Mail-mi you're referring to?

Hey Qvist, put me on the mission!

I don't find the mission votes surprising or concerning at all. I don't see how we're going to get better reasoning than what we had. The mission leader is in all likelihood going to vote for their mission from now on, I think it makes sense to have TA on the mission, and it's not surprising to me that he'd approve a mission he's on. And then there has to be another person. That person is frankly a bit lucky, and I think it makes sense for that person to approve the mission since there's no guarantee they'd make it on to the next mission (unless their the next leader). Most every round 1 mission is going to look like this unless TA is replaced by a "random" someone. And I don't happen to think it's too early to pass something (look at the pace we're going).
I may or may not pass this one. I will probably pass 4 and 5.

Is this the post you're referring to?

Liopoil: All of 1-4 are probably more likely to not happen than to happen. 5-7 from there are much more likely because it's easy for them to communicate anyway (whoever played the fail before can play the fail again, and a double fail in 4 people is less important anyways). And it's the combined odds of all of them which matters, which together is remote.

Yes, that's the post I'm referring to, and the reason I'm suspicious of you is that you were the one leading mission 4.  The only thing he knows about the composition of the group you would propose is that you would likely be on it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 26, 2013, 05:03:02 pm
Mission 5, Proposal 1 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 1pm August 27th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 26, 2013, 06:39:41 pm
Liopoil: All of 1-4 are probably more likely to not happen than to happen. 5-7 from there are much more likely because it's easy for them to communicate anyway (whoever played the fail before can play the fail again, and a double fail in 4 people is less important anyways). And it's the combined odds of all of them which matters, which together is remote.
but I mean, the point is, you can say that about anything. for instance:

what are the odds that I, as a spy, would: reject M1P1, accept M2P1, reject M2P3, AND accept M3P3?? it's a ridiculous arguement, because I just chose some random proposals, and there has to be some combination of accept/rejects, though all are unlikely.

And 1-4 are all very ordinary things.

#1: one of them might be oberon, or maybe they're "bussing", a very valid tactic there.
#2: passing mission 1 is ordinary, and heck, if I'm a spy, I did it too.
#3: again one of them might be oberon, and to pretend to be resistance, they should have resistance reads on each other. no excuse not to put the other on the mission
#4: there has to be SOME combination of pass/fails, and actually, that one is the most likely!!



This argument doesn't work. The points made are things that are necessary for the spy team to be the case from where we are. In your case we wouldn't be asking, what's the chance you voted that way given you're a spy, but given you voted that way, what's the chance you're a spy? There's a subtle but very important difference.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 26, 2013, 07:43:51 pm
Liopoil: All of 1-4 are probably more likely to not happen than to happen. 5-7 from there are much more likely because it's easy for them to communicate anyway (whoever played the fail before can play the fail again, and a double fail in 4 people is less important anyways). And it's the combined odds of all of them which matters, which together is remote.
but I mean, the point is, you can say that about anything. for instance:

what are the odds that I, as a spy, would: reject M1P1, accept M2P1, reject M2P3, AND accept M3P3?? it's a ridiculous arguement, because I just chose some random proposals, and there has to be some combination of accept/rejects, though all are unlikely.

And 1-4 are all very ordinary things.

#1: one of them might be oberon, or maybe they're "bussing", a very valid tactic there.
#2: passing mission 1 is ordinary, and heck, if I'm a spy, I did it too.
#3: again one of them might be oberon, and to pretend to be resistance, they should have resistance reads on each other. no excuse not to put the other on the mission
#4: there has to be SOME combination of pass/fails, and actually, that one is the most likely!!



This argument doesn't work. The points made are things that are necessary for the spy team to be the case from where we are. In your case we wouldn't be asking, what's the chance you voted that way given you're a spy, but given you voted that way, what's the chance you're a spy? There's a subtle but very important difference.
but those 7 aren't things that are neccessary for the spyteam to be possible. well, maybe for #2, #4, and #5, but the others are just things that happened. and those three are silly:

#2: they both passed mission 1. that's what I would expect. and if there was 1 fail you could say "oh, they can only be spybuddies if  one passed, one failed". you can make this arguement no matter what actually happened on that mission, so really the point is just "they were both on the same mission" which isn't a point at all.

#4: again, same thing. them splitting is still the most likely outcome. and if there were no fails, you would say "oh, they would have both had to pass it again". Again, you can say something akin to this regardless of the outcome of the mission, so the point boils down to "they were both on the same mission" again, which is meaningless.

#5: so what? He had to have investigated SOMEONE, and he had to have given SOME result, and giving a resistance result on your spybuddy is no less likely than the rest, in fact, it is MORE likely.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 26, 2013, 09:38:15 pm
All votes within 8 hours of proposal. I'm proud of you all!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 26, 2013, 09:38:32 pm
Mission 5, Proposal 1

Leader: shraeye
Proposed Team: Tables, Archetype, shraeye, nkirbit, ashersky

Votes
Accept: Tables, shraeye, ashersky 
Reject: liopoil, Archetype, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky


Dsell is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 5 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 26, 2013, 09:39:52 pm
Ok good.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 26, 2013, 11:54:02 pm
Tables has been extremely pro-resistance the last couple of days though.. perhaps he deserves points for that.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 26, 2013, 11:54:19 pm
Ok good.

Why good?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Archetype on August 26, 2013, 11:57:57 pm
Ok good.

Why good?
I didn't want it to pass. I don't trust Tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 27, 2013, 12:00:40 am
Ok good.

Why good?
I didn't want it to pass. I don't trust Tables.

Hm, okay?  I'm actually going back and forth about tables.. he has been extremely towny lately.  What are your concerns about Tables?  Convince me!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 27, 2013, 01:53:55 am
Tables has been extremely pro-resistance the last couple of days though.. perhaps he deserves points for that.

I really do agree with this, despite my strong suspicions. I am chocking it up to good spy play, but I admit there's a chance he's resistance.

I have a super hectic day tomorrow but I will be weighing options for my mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 27, 2013, 02:04:35 am
My best bet for the team is tables, dsell, liopoil. Tables as the hidden spy who thought that
Mail-mi was his partner before learning it was actually liopoil.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 27, 2013, 02:08:55 am
My best bet for the team is tables, dsell, liopoil. Tables as the hidden spy who thought that
Mail-mi was his partner before learning it was actually liopoil.

The people I believe to be resistance don't trust mail-mi though, so I'm ok leaving him off. The team I want is me/nkirbit/shraeye/arch/ash.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 27, 2013, 02:10:23 am
My best bet for the team is tables, dsell, liopoil. Tables as the hidden spy who thought that
Mail-mi was his partner before learning it was actually liopoil.

The people I believe to be resistance don't trust mail-mi though, so I'm ok leaving him off. The team I want is me/nkirbit/shraeye/arch/ash.

If I believe that you are resistance, then I believe that nkirbit is resistance, and your quoted team is my dream team.

If I believe that you are a spy, then I believe that nkirbit is a spy, and your quoted team destroys my dreams.

Basically, the scumteam is TA-nkirbit-liopoil or it isn't.  I don't know which.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 27, 2013, 02:11:22 am
My best bet for the team is tables, dsell, liopoil. Tables as the hidden spy who thought that
Mail-mi was his partner before learning it was actually liopoil.

Hmm but then I would have expected mission 3 to turn up with 2 fails, not 1. Gah
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 27, 2013, 08:07:57 am
My best bet for the team is tables, dsell, liopoil. Tables as the hidden spy who thought that
Mail-mi was his partner before learning it was actually liopoil.
I'm not wanting dsell or liopoil on any missions.

I definitely want ash/arch/shraeye/nkirbit.  That last one is super tough.  I liked what Tables said earlier, but yeah, it's possible he's the hidden spy.

I still don't quite see the spy-read on mail-mi.  It looks like nkirbit, for example, has given mail-mi a permanent spy read since mission 1 simply because of what is arguably poor play.  just because it's poor play, doesn't mean it's spy-play.  Twisted I go back and forth on.  He's my gut spy-read since beginning, but now that evidence is available, I realize that I have no idea how to use it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 27, 2013, 09:48:40 am
My best bet for the team is tables, dsell, liopoil. Tables as the hidden spy who thought that
Mail-mi was his partner before learning it was actually liopoil.
I'm not wanting dsell or liopoil on any missions.

I definitely want ash/arch/shraeye/nkirbit.  That last one is super tough.  I liked what Tables said earlier, but yeah, it's possible he's the hidden spy.

I still don't quite see the spy-read on mail-mi.  It looks like nkirbit, for example, has given mail-mi a permanent spy read since mission 1 simply because of what is arguably poor play.  just because it's poor play, doesn't mean it's spy-play.  Twisted I go back and forth on.  He's my gut spy-read since beginning, but now that evidence is available, I realize that I have no idea how to use it.
It also seems that nkirbit has a scum read on me every game we play together.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 27, 2013, 10:03:03 am
My best bet for the team is tables, dsell, liopoil. Tables as the hidden spy who thought that
Mail-mi was his partner before learning it was actually liopoil.
I'm not wanting dsell or liopoil on any missions.

I hate that I'm in the same sentence as Lio here. The only evidence anyone has presented against me is that my voting was weird on one of the early missions, and I think I explained each one of those votes.

Why do people trust ashersky??
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 27, 2013, 10:04:57 am
My best bet for the team is tables, dsell, liopoil. Tables as the hidden spy who thought that
Mail-mi was his partner before learning it was actually liopoil.
I'm not wanting dsell or liopoil on any missions.

I hate that I'm in the same sentence as Lio here. The only evidence anyone has presented against me is that my voting was weird on one of the early missions, and I think I explained each one of those votes.

Why do people trust ashersky??

How can you differentiate ashersky from arch?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 27, 2013, 10:05:36 am
My best bet for the team is tables, dsell, liopoil. Tables as the hidden spy who thought that
Mail-mi was his partner before learning it was actually liopoil.
I'm not wanting dsell or liopoil on any missions.

I hate that I'm in the same sentence as Lio here. The only evidence anyone has presented against me is that my voting was weird on one of the early missions, and I think I explained each one of those votes.

Why do people trust ashersky??

How can you differentiate ashersky from arch?
well, arch is overly certain I'm a spy, and ashersky isn't.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 27, 2013, 10:10:15 am
Arch proposed mission 4.1. It passed and succeeded. Major resistance cred.

Before that, my gut was telling me he was more likely resistance than ashersky, but I think that until 4.1 there was no actual evidence differentiating them.

My concern is that ash might have been the lone spy on the mission, although he is one of my most minor spy reads. In fact, it's really not a spy read, it's just that it's still a null read, and I don't see how anyone has any better than a null read on him at this point.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 27, 2013, 11:09:33 am
I'm reading more resistance on Arch and Ash mostly by the process of deduction - there's only three spies. Ash also made that gambit in M2, which I think was a very pro-resistance move and also lead to more odd voting from DSell.

Oh, and you've been reading me as pro-resistance in just the last couple of days? What about before that :P? Although those that have played with me before (which might actually be nobody) know I'm primarily an information player, the later in the game we get the more active and useful I become relative to the 'average' other player.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 27, 2013, 01:30:13 pm
I'm reading more resistance on Arch and Ash mostly by the process of deduction - there's only three spies. Ash also made that gambit in M2, which I think was a very pro-resistance move and also lead to more odd voting from DSell.

I think you may be thinking of shraeye here?  I don't remember ash doing any gambits, but that is where part of my resistance read on shraeye comes from.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 27, 2013, 01:32:26 pm
Also, you keep insisting that my voting was odd. I think I've addressed those arguments pretty thoroughly, though nobody has really responded to my counterarguments.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 27, 2013, 01:36:07 pm
Yes, I meant Shraeye there, my bad. I'm more confident on Shrae than Ash and Arch as a result.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 27, 2013, 01:46:07 pm
Yes, I meant Shraeye there, my bad. I'm more confident on Shrae than Ash and Arch as a result.

Same here. But I am more confident in Arch than Ash for proposing 4.1.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 27, 2013, 02:32:06 pm
That's reasonable, I can see that.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 28, 2013, 01:05:15 am
So, I had less time today than I had anticipated. I have an easier schedule tomorrow and will propose a team. It is all about filling that fifth spot with the right person!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 28, 2013, 01:09:00 am
This guy!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 28, 2013, 03:33:05 pm
I plan on proposing Dsell, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Archetype, Twistedarcher

The only person I'm willing to replace is TA and unless I hear a stellar argument otherwise, probably only with Ashersky.

Shraeye, I know you have reservations about TA, this is your chance to change my mind on him (I think he is slightly better than neutral, and my read on Ash at the moment is as neutral as it gets).
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 28, 2013, 04:04:09 pm
I plan on proposing Dsell, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Archetype, Twistedarcher

The only person I'm willing to replace is TA and unless I hear a stellar argument otherwise, probably only with Ashersky.

Shraeye, I know you have reservations about TA, this is your chance to change my mind on him (I think he is slightly better than neutral, and my read on Ash at the moment is as neutral as it gets).
mmmmhmmmm
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 28, 2013, 04:53:54 pm
I plan on proposing Dsell, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Archetype, Twistedarcher

The only person I'm willing to replace is TA and unless I hear a stellar argument otherwise, probably only with Ashersky.

Shraeye, I know you have reservations about TA, this is your chance to change my mind on him (I think he is slightly better than neutral, and my read on Ash at the moment is as neutral as it gets).

If you trust nkirbit, you trust TA, right?  Lotl means they both have to be town, or both mafia, since town!nkirbit would have just told us TA was scum when he received the Lotl.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 28, 2013, 04:55:09 pm
I plan on proposing Dsell, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Archetype, Twistedarcher

The only person I'm willing to replace is TA and unless I hear a stellar argument otherwise, probably only with Ashersky.

Shraeye, I know you have reservations about TA, this is your chance to change my mind on him (I think he is slightly better than neutral, and my read on Ash at the moment is as neutral as it gets).

If you trust nkirbit, you trust TA, right?  Lotl means they both have to be town, or both mafia, since town!nkirbit would have just told us TA was scum when he received the Lotl.

No, I have no way of knowing for sure if TA is town or not.  TA LOTL'ing me doesn't tell me anything about his alignment.

I am very confident he is town, though.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 28, 2013, 04:59:56 pm
I plan on proposing Dsell, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Archetype, Twistedarcher

The only person I'm willing to replace is TA and unless I hear a stellar argument otherwise, probably only with Ashersky.

Shraeye, I know you have reservations about TA, this is your chance to change my mind on him (I think he is slightly better than neutral, and my read on Ash at the moment is as neutral as it gets).
mmmmhmmmm

Nothing more to add? ::)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 28, 2013, 05:07:33 pm
I plan on proposing Dsell, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Archetype, Twistedarcher

The only person I'm willing to replace is TA and unless I hear a stellar argument otherwise, probably only with Ashersky.

Shraeye, I know you have reservations about TA, this is your chance to change my mind on him (I think he is slightly better than neutral, and my read on Ash at the moment is as neutral as it gets).
mmmmhmmmm

Nothing more to add? ::)
nope, that says it all.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 28, 2013, 05:19:53 pm
I plan on proposing Dsell, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Archetype, Twistedarcher

The only person I'm willing to replace is TA and unless I hear a stellar argument otherwise, probably only with Ashersky.

Shraeye, I know you have reservations about TA, this is your chance to change my mind on him (I think he is slightly better than neutral, and my read on Ash at the moment is as neutral as it gets).

If you trust nkirbit, you trust TA, right?  Lotl means they both have to be town, or both mafia, since town!nkirbit would have just told us TA was scum when he received the Lotl.

If you trust me, you trust Nkirbit, but it doesn't work the other way around. I saw Nkirbit's alignment, but he did not see mine.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 28, 2013, 05:23:19 pm
I plan on proposing Dsell, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Archetype, Twistedarcher

The only person I'm willing to replace is TA and unless I hear a stellar argument otherwise, probably only with Ashersky.

Shraeye, I know you have reservations about TA, this is your chance to change my mind on him (I think he is slightly better than neutral, and my read on Ash at the moment is as neutral as it gets).

If you trust nkirbit, you trust TA, right?  Lotl means they both have to be town, or both mafia, since town!nkirbit would have just told us TA was scum when he received the Lotl.

If you trust me, you trust Nkirbit, but it doesn't work the other way around. I saw Nkirbit's alignment, but he did not see mine.

I trust nkirbit more, then.  I'd take TA's place on that mission, Dsell.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 28, 2013, 05:31:08 pm
Well, damn. I really feel like I need the approval of everyone on-mission for this but I don't think I'll get it because of Shraeye.

Propose: Dsell, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Archetype, Twistedarcher

PPE: Sorry Ash, I did seriously consider it because I think it's slightly more likely to pass, but ultimately the likelihood of it passing doesn't outweigh my desire for this specific mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 28, 2013, 06:47:58 pm
I do still feel DSell is the most likely 3rd spy, so this is naturally getting a no from me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 28, 2013, 06:50:57 pm
Mission 5, Proposal 2 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 6pm August 29th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 28, 2013, 06:52:19 pm
I'm leaning towards wanting Tables on the mission.. he has been very pro-town today.  I feel like he's less of a risk than others.

I'll also get to propose later, so failing isn't that large of a risk for me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 29, 2013, 09:14:26 pm
Mission 5, Proposal 2

Leader: Dsell
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, nkirbit

Votes
Accept: Archetype, Dsell 
Reject: Tables, liopoil, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, mail-mi, ashersky

Proposal is rejected.

Tables
liopoil
Archetype
shraeye
Dsell
Twistedarcher
nkirbit
mail-mi
ashersky


Twistedarcher is the new leader, and has 48 hours to propose a team of 5 people.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 29, 2013, 09:28:16 pm
okay, if mail-mi is a spy, they've already won, so I'm treating mail-mi as IC. So now we've got to reject the next two missions, and mail-mi has to make the right call.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 29, 2013, 10:47:02 pm
okay, if mail-mi is a spy, they've already won, so I'm treating mail-mi as IC. So now we've got to reject the next two missions, and mail-mi has to make the right call.

Actually, if TA/nkirbit/mail-mi are spies, can't this game just end with resistance being endgamed?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 29, 2013, 11:09:46 pm
Propose Team: Twistedarcher, Nkirbit, Shraeye, Ashersky, Archetype.

The dream team.

Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 29, 2013, 11:11:17 pm
I have reservations about arche, and Dsell or I would be better.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 29, 2013, 11:11:39 pm
Mission 5, Proposal 3 has been proposed. Players are asked to have their vote in by 11pm August 30th forum time.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 29, 2013, 11:12:01 pm
Probably the only mission I'd accept that I'm not on, though I'm still not sure I'll accept it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on August 29, 2013, 11:12:42 pm
I have reservations about arche, and Dsell or I would be better.

More reservations about Arch than Ash??
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: ashersky on August 29, 2013, 11:17:25 pm
If TA/nkirbit are resistance, than I believe this current proposal is our best bet.

That's a gamble, though.  Anyone have anything to say on the topic of TA/nkirbit?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on August 29, 2013, 11:19:06 pm
I have reservations about arche, and Dsell or I would be better.

More reservations about Arch than Ash??

Well, yes, but I have reservations on arch more.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 29, 2013, 11:20:57 pm
I think we should be taking tables.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 30, 2013, 06:08:21 am
nkirbit, who would you propose? I'm actually more willing to accept this than I would a mission that switched both me+DSell on (regardless of who came off), so I'd like to know your thoughts on DSell before deciding what to do.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: shraeye on August 30, 2013, 08:25:48 am
I think we should be taking tables.
instead of who?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on August 30, 2013, 12:32:05 pm
nkirbit, who would you propose? I'm actually more willing to accept this than I would a mission that switched both me+DSell on (regardless of who came off), so I'd like to know your thoughts on DSell before deciding what to do.

Nkirbit/TA/Tables/Shraeye for sure.

The fifth would be out of Arch, Ash, and Dsell.  Dsell has fallen because others have shown concern, and it's important for my mission to pass because I don't want to let it get to mail-mi.  I would be happy when any of those three, but I will consider leaving off Dsell if that's what others I trust want.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 30, 2013, 02:08:30 pm
Id say Arch out of those 3.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 30, 2013, 02:27:11 pm
Ash would be my preference, but I'm okay with Arch as well. Heck I WOULD still approve if DSell was on mission 5.4, but only because it really then comes down to that proposal vs. Mail-mi's, which I'm very uncomfortable about just by virtue of it being mail-mi leading.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 30, 2013, 02:31:38 pm
We need to accept Nkirbit's mission, if we don't accept mine.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 30, 2013, 03:08:11 pm
Need? What makes you so confident mail-mi will propose something dirty?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 30, 2013, 03:41:10 pm
I don't know mail-mi is a spy, but I know that Nkirbit isn't. I would much rather the game not get decided by mail-mi's mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on August 30, 2013, 03:44:21 pm
Fair enough. Just be careful with wording. I'd say 'need' is too strong a word here, unless you're certain about mail-mi putting a spy on mission. And well I guess if he'd expressed positive opinions on Lio that might have been the case (from your perspective), but as far as I know that isn't the case.

(Inb4 I get accused of coaching)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Twistedarcher on August 30, 2013, 04:12:13 pm
I actually did trust mail-mi, but everyone I believe is resistance thinks he's probably a spy, so it's key that we accept before his mission.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: liopoil on August 30, 2013, 04:17:37 pm
yeah, this is hopeless. everyone suspects mail-mi, and so it seems clear that one of nkirbit's/TA's missions will go through, and even if they don't, mail-mi will probably put at least nkirbit on the mission. You all should have kept a more open mind to all the possibilities. I'm giving up. gg spies.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 31, 2013, 06:21:51 pm
Mission 5, Proposal 3

Leader: Twistedarcher
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, ashersky

Votes
Accept: liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, ashersky 
Reject: Tables, nkirbit, mail-mi

Proposal is accepted.

Each player on the mission has 24 hours to send me their Succeed or Fail.

Thread locked.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 31, 2013, 10:19:29 pm
Mission 5, Proposal 3

Leader: Twistedarcher
Proposed Team: Archetype, shraeye, Twistedarcher, nkirbit, ashersky

Votes
Accept: liopoil, Archetype, shraeye, Dsell, Twistedarcher, ashersky 
Reject: Tables, nkirbit, mail-mi

Proposal is accepted.

Results

Succeed: 4
Fail: 1

The Mission is a Failure!

The Evil Team wins!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on August 31, 2013, 10:21:43 pm
Before we commence post-game discussion, I'd appreciate it if each player could submit to me a list of the PRs (Merlin, Percival, Mordred, Morgana and Oberon), and who you think each one is. Whoever gets the closest relative to the information you have will receive respect (upvotes) from me.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 01, 2013, 07:17:30 pm
Congratulations to the Evil Team: liopoil, mail-mi and Archetype.

Thanks to everyone for playing.

Here is a QT in which I posted some thoughts, most of which were towards the start of the game: http://www.quicktopic.com/50/H/TXB6yt9QQWjmR

Here are everyone's post-game guesses:

Tables - Percival

Merlin: nkirbit - correct
Percival: Tables - correct
Mordred: ashersky - INCORRECT
Morgana: mail-mi - correct
Oberon: liopoil - incorrect


liopoil - Mordred

Merlin: nkirbit - CORRECT
Percival: Archetype - INCORRECT
Mordred: liopoil - correct
Morgana: mail-mi - correct
Oberon: shraeye - INCORRECT


Archetype - Oberon

Merlin: mail-mi - INCORRECT
Percival: nkirbit - incorrect
Mordred: liopoil - CORRECT
Morgana: Twistedarcher - INCORRECT
Oberon: Archetype - correct


shraeye - Servant of Arthur

Something awesome, like Merlin: Tables - close
The spy on the last mission: Twistedarcher - INCORRECT


Dsell - Servant of Arthur

Merlin: Archetype - INCORRECT
Percival: Tables - CORRECT
Mordred: ashersky - INCORRECT
Morgana: mail-mi - CORRECT
Oberon: liopoil - incorrect


Twistedarcher - Servant of Arthur (received Merlin's information after the game)

Merlin: nkirbit - correct
Percival: Tables - CORRECT
Mordred: liopoil - correct
Morgana: Archetype - incorrect
Oberon: mail-mi - incorrect


nkirbit - Merlin

Merlin: nkirbit - correct
Percival: Tables - CORRECT
Mordred: liopoil - correct
Morgana: mail-mi - Correct
Oberon: Archetype - Correct


mail-mi - Morgana

Merlin: nkirbit - CORRECT
Percival: Tables - CORRECT
Mordred: liopoil - correct
Morgana: mail-mi - correct
Oberon: Archetype - CORRECT


ashersky - Servant of Arthur

Merlin: Dsell - incorrect
Percival: shraeye - incorrect
Mordred: liopoil - CORRECT
Morgana: Twistedarcher - INCORRECT
Oberon:  nkirbit - INCORRECT
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: mail-mi on September 01, 2013, 07:21:06 pm
Wow. Somehow I guessed all of those right.

NK going against the last proposal totally made me think he was merlin (who knew the whole spy team after he LOTL'd liopoil) and Tables was a total guess. Oberon was a hard choice between arche and ash, but ash was probably resistance. And of course, me and liopoil.

 ;D I won. GG!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 01, 2013, 07:24:46 pm
MVP has to be either liopoil or Archetype. lio for getting himself on missions early and Arch for flying under the radar and getting on the crucial last mission.

On the other hand, mail-mi wins the post game guessing game for getting everything correct and being the only one other than Merlin (who used LotL on Mordred) to correctly identify the whole spy team.

Also, props to all three spies for correctly identifying Merlin.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on September 01, 2013, 07:26:06 pm
You got my list slightly wrong, that was the pre-losing list. I actually put someone else as Mordred. I don't remember who. Erm probably was Arch, let me check... Ashersky? Sure whatever, I said that.

Oh, man, all three spies even got Merlin. I thought I was doing a decent job of looking like Merlin as well. I think Lio not being Oberon was probably the big kick in the teeth. I knew if he wasn't, there was a good chance I'd obviously not be him. I was pretty confident mail-mi was bad and nkirbit was good from quite early, so from then on it was just a case of trying to look like I was Merlin, which I apparently failed at.

Well, good game spies. You played well.

(nkirbit, did you think I was Percival for a while, or did you legitimately only work it out during M5? Just curious...)
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 01, 2013, 07:31:15 pm
You got my list slightly wrong, that was the pre-losing list. I actually put someone else as Mordred. I don't remember who. Erm probably was Arch, let me check... Ashersky? Sure whatever, I said that.

Fixed.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Tables on September 01, 2013, 07:34:12 pm
I have no idea why I'd put Ash down, but in case context doesn't make it clear, I'd decided most of the people anyway. Once the mission failed I knew someone on mission was the last spy (knowing mail-mi + Lio were spies for near certain), honestly, Arch probably should have been my first guess. Would have still gotten them the wrong way around though. And even if the mission went ahead, spies would have almost certainly assassinated nkirbit.

It was a good game. It felt very tense, and quite close, at least until I saw the final result. But a good game of Resistance still only has one winner, and I think the people who played better won here.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: nkirbit on September 01, 2013, 07:47:56 pm
I figured you were Percival when you were pushing for the mail-mi being a spy narrative.

I kept hoping someone would make a case on arch.. I reasonably couldn't, would have obviously been Merlin had a done so.

Spies got very lucky in that they twice had one fail on a mission with two spies, but they also played very very well

Mail-mi saying, "I'm going to accept this proposal" for no reason IS a scum slip. I stand by that
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Dsell on September 01, 2013, 08:08:58 pm
Thank you Jimmmmm for running this!

Major props to Archetype, who had me quite fooled.

To be honest, I didn't enjoy this game much. I kinda felt like people were punishing non-conforming thinking and playing. I wasn't exactly right about things but after a certain point I felt I wasn't even being heard. There were a couple points where I was really upset about it. I think resistance played pretty poorly here, and spies (especially arch) quite well.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 01, 2013, 08:14:15 pm
Thank you Jimmmmm for running this!

Major props to Archetype, who had me quite fooled.

To be honest, I didn't enjoy this game much. I kinda felt like people were punishing non-conforming thinking and playing. I wasn't exactly right about things but after a certain point I felt I wasn't even being heard. There were a couple points where I was really upset about it. I think resistance played pretty poorly here, and spies (especially arch) quite well.

I think if we played again it would be good to restrict it to 5-7 players, especially while we still have a fair few people still learning the game. It seems that multiple people still don't really understand exactly how the roles work, which is pretty important. Maybe it would have been better if we played a smaller game with fewer roles. I'll definitely play if someone else wants to run another game at some point, otherwise if I think there's enough interest I might eventually run another game myself.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Twistedarcher on September 01, 2013, 08:27:09 pm
I'd be happy to run another game, is there interest?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 01, 2013, 08:28:13 pm
I'd be happy to run another game, is there interest?

What are you thinking of running? ie number of people, roles etc.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Twistedarcher on September 01, 2013, 08:28:38 pm
I'd be happy to run another game, is there interest?

What are you thinking of running? ie number of people, roles etc.

Whatever the people want!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Twistedarcher on September 01, 2013, 08:28:56 pm
Although probably limited to 7 players.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 01, 2013, 08:29:33 pm
I'd be happy to run another game, is there interest?

What are you thinking of running? ie number of people, roles etc.

Whatever the people want!

I'd probably play whatever, but I'd suggest no more than 7 people at this stage, and at least Merlin and probably Percival.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Tables on September 01, 2013, 08:32:31 pm
7 players is really the sweet spot for Resistance. 6 players comes close, but feels a little more dry. So I'd try for 7 players personally.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Twistedarcher on September 01, 2013, 09:00:00 pm
Are you guys against plot cards for the most part?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Archetype on September 01, 2013, 10:03:30 pm
Woo!

This was fun! I've never played this expansion, so being Oberon was fun. It was a bit tough at the beginning since I didn't know who to defend and who to accuse, so I just acted like a Servant, and it worked well. I almost failed the mission with lio and I, then decided against it for Towncred and if there was a Spy buddy on the mission I'd know who it is. Luckily, getting Dsell to trust me worked really well, so that was a big boost. Admittedly, I thought Ashersky was Merlin for pulling a 'I have no idea what is going on here' scam, but once nkirbit started asking me a bunch of questions, I knew it was him.

Overall, awesome game! And I'd always be up for another!
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Archetype on September 01, 2013, 10:05:46 pm
Also, well played mail-mi. I thought you were Percival and knew nkirbit was town, so you figured I was scum since nkirbit (at least, from what I could tell) was hinting that I was a Spy, but didn't really come out with it.

Bad luck to you, lio. If  nkirbit had investigated me this game would've been a bit different.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: shraeye on September 01, 2013, 10:36:58 pm
being just a reguular peep was tough.

Basically, there were a ton of people who had interactions that I only sorta knew about or understood.  It made "scumhunting" not so easy.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 01, 2013, 10:57:33 pm
Are you guys against plot cards for the most part?

Since being introduced to the game on these forums I've played quite a bit of Avalon IRL. I've never played with plot cards, but I strongly suspect that I prefer roles to plot cards, which is why I bought Avalon and not the original. So I will play with plot cards if that's what we're doing, but it wouldn't be my preference.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: nkirbit on September 01, 2013, 11:53:29 pm
This game also dragged on way, way too long for what it was, which is why I don't think it translates nearly as well as mafia does.  I found myself losing interest by like, Mission 2, unfortunately.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: mail-mi on September 01, 2013, 11:54:59 pm
Y'all should join my How to Host a Murder game. I don't know how well it'll work PBF, but link in the sig. It'll be fun and not too long.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 02, 2013, 12:03:28 am
This game also dragged on way, way too long for what it was, which is why I don't think it translates nearly as well as mafia does.  I found myself losing interest by like, Mission 2, unfortunately.

What's the solution? Fewer people? Shorter deadlines?
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: nkirbit on September 02, 2013, 12:06:33 am
This game also dragged on way, way too long for what it was, which is why I don't think it translates nearly as well as mafia does.  I found myself losing interest by like, Mission 2, unfortunately.

What's the solution? Fewer people? Shorter deadlines?

I'm not sure there is one, unfortunately... it's just doomed to be a worse forum game than mafia.  Mafia's based entirely mostly on interactions, so it's reasonable to just sit there and expect people to talk.  This is based on actions, such as who votes where etc. and a lot of actions are required.  You can't realistically have deadlines shorter than 24 hours, and having up to a week or so per mission is really just too long for what the game is.  It just doesn't have the depth of mafia, and that's fine in real life because a game takes 30 minutes, but online it's just too slow for the amount of depth it has.

It's still okay.. just not great.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 02, 2013, 12:34:10 am
Some stats.

Most Missions (out of 5)
nkirbit: 5
liopoil: 3
Archetype: 3
Twistedarcher: 3
ashersky: 3
shraeye: 2
Dsell: 1
mail-mi: 1
Tables: 0

Most Correct Proposals (guaranteed to succeed) (out of 2)
Tables: 1
Archetype: 1 (mission 4, only 1 Spy)
Dsell: 1
ashersky: 1
Everyone else: 0

Most Correct Votes (out of 18)
nkirbit: 13
Tables: 12
ashersky: 11
shraeye: 10
Dsell: 10
mail-mi: 10
Archetype: 9
liopoil: 8
Twistedarcher: 5

Highest % Correct Approvals
nkirbit: 2/3
Tables: 2/4
shraeye: 3/8
Dsell: 3/9
ashersky: 2/5
mail-mi: 1/4
Archetype: 1/5
liopoil: 1/6
Twistedarcher: 1/8

Most Approved Leader (out of 16)
liopoil: 9 (everyone who rejected a 4th Proposal)
Twistedarcher: 9
Archetype: 8
Tables: 5
nkirbit: 5
shraeye: 4
ashersky: 4
mail-mi: 2
Dsell: 1

Most Proposed Team Member (out of 16)
nkirbit: 14
Twistedarcher: 10
shraeye: 8
liopoil: 6
Archetype: 5
Dsell: 5
ashersky: 4
Tables: 1
mail-mi: 1
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: yuma on September 03, 2013, 11:19:14 am
Fun game. I was watching through most of it. During the last day I thought mail-mi, lio and dsell were the scum team from a viewers standpoint. Although I never quite grasped the significance of all the roles/interactions, so wasn't really looking for those indicators.

I might be interested in trying this out, if only for the sake of potentially buying for my game collection.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Dsell on September 03, 2013, 02:00:30 pm
Fun game. I was watching through most of it. During the last day I thought mail-mi, lio and dsell were the scum team from a viewers standpoint. Although I never quite grasped the significance of all the roles/interactions, so wasn't really looking for those indicators.

I might be interested in trying this out, if only for the sake of potentially buying for my game collection.

If you've got a good game group I highly recommend it! I don't have Avalon but even the base game is a blast. I am trying to figure out the best way to implement some elements of Avalon with the base game, because I really like the roles.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Twistedarcher on September 03, 2013, 02:57:31 pm
http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=9305.0

For people interested in another game
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Tables on September 03, 2013, 07:12:18 pm
Fun game. I was watching through most of it. During the last day I thought mail-mi, lio and dsell were the scum team from a viewers standpoint. Although I never quite grasped the significance of all the roles/interactions, so wasn't really looking for those indicators.

I might be interested in trying this out, if only for the sake of potentially buying for my game collection.

If you've got a good game group I highly recommend it! I don't have Avalon but even the base game is a blast. I am trying to figure out the best way to implement some elements of Avalon with the base game, because I really like the roles.

You could buy the promos? You should be able to locate them on BGG, I think.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Dsell on September 03, 2013, 08:28:25 pm
Fun game. I was watching through most of it. During the last day I thought mail-mi, lio and dsell were the scum team from a viewers standpoint. Although I never quite grasped the significance of all the roles/interactions, so wasn't really looking for those indicators.

I might be interested in trying this out, if only for the sake of potentially buying for my game collection.

If you've got a good game group I highly recommend it! I don't have Avalon but even the base game is a blast. I am trying to figure out the best way to implement some elements of Avalon with the base game, because I really like the roles.

You could buy the promos? You should be able to locate them on BGG, I think.

I didn't know those existed! I'll check it out, thanks.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Jimmmmm on September 03, 2013, 11:28:05 pm
Fun game. I was watching through most of it. During the last day I thought mail-mi, lio and dsell were the scum team from a viewers standpoint. Although I never quite grasped the significance of all the roles/interactions, so wasn't really looking for those indicators.

I might be interested in trying this out, if only for the sake of potentially buying for my game collection.

If you've got a good game group I highly recommend it! I don't have Avalon but even the base game is a blast. I am trying to figure out the best way to implement some elements of Avalon with the base game, because I really like the roles.

You could buy the promos? You should be able to locate them on BGG, I think.

I didn't know those existed! I'll check it out, thanks.

I got these sent over from the BGG store a month or so ago. $5 plus $1 for postage to Australia, bargain! Playing as a Spy with Excalibur around was so intense! You never know whether to Succeed or Fail a mission, because what's the person with Excalibur going to do? It was great when I Succeeded a mission only to have a Loyal Servant turn that into a Fail and get lots of suspicion for it.
Title: Re: The Resistance: Avalon (Evil wins!)
Post by: Qvist on October 14, 2013, 07:05:39 pm
Sorry for the sudden disappearing and thanks for ashersky subbing in. I haven't read what I missed - it's just too much - but congrats to the winners.