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Author Topic: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (Game Over! Town Wins!)  (Read 76555 times)

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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #525 on: February 19, 2016, 12:07:11 pm »

Also, Hydrad didn't shoot?
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #526 on: February 19, 2016, 12:11:54 pm »

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #527 on: February 19, 2016, 12:13:16 pm »

I think he was leaning against shooting.

So without shooting, we still lose if we mislynch the VTs before hitting scum? 

e, any result?

We should look at team possibilities.  It has to be:

1. Ash, Silver
2. Silver, Awaclus
3. Awaclus, Ash

Each person in there can of course switch themselves out for me if they like spinning wheels.  I haven't reread yet, but my initial reaction was that I can't rule any of these out right away.  The Ash vs. Silver fight just over-the-top enough to believe it's staged.  But if we can rule out one of these partners, that would be good, because then we can lynch the common person in the other two.

At any rate, I'm still leaning Silver.
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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #528 on: February 19, 2016, 12:13:37 pm »

That's actually bad, I think.  Helps scum's slim chances.

ICs have 2/4 chance today, VTs have 2/3 chance.  If we somehow screw up today and night actions stink, we are at Lylo tomorrow.
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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #529 on: February 19, 2016, 12:15:50 pm »

I think he was leaning against shooting.

So without shooting, we still lose if we mislynch the VTs before hitting scum? 

e, any result?

We should look at team possibilities.  It has to be:

1. Ash, Silver
2. Silver, Awaclus
3. Awaclus, Ash

Each person in there can of course switch themselves out for me if they like spinning wheels.  I haven't reread yet, but my initial reaction was that I can't rule any of these out right away.  The Ash vs. Silver fight just over-the-top enough to believe it's staged.  But if we can rule out one of these partners, that would be good, because then we can lynch the common person in the other two.

At any rate, I'm still leaning Silver.

1. WW, SS
2. SS, Awaclus
3. Awaclus, WW

I'd lean 1 > 2 = 3, which means vote: SS when we are ready to vote.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #530 on: February 19, 2016, 12:16:11 pm »

Huh.  I guess not.  I'm assuming noone has any kind of protective role that could account for that?  I don't know why anyone would have protected Hydrad's potential target, so I don't see that happening.

Weird.  Ah well.
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M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #531 on: February 19, 2016, 12:16:56 pm »

Well, unless you protected me.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #532 on: February 19, 2016, 12:18:01 pm »

I don't have anything to claim as far as night actions go.

I am leaning toward ash being scum, but will need to do some rereading
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #533 on: February 19, 2016, 12:19:11 pm »

Scum killing hydrad is interesting to me. Like, very interesting
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #534 on: February 19, 2016, 12:20:13 pm »

I don't have anything to claim as far as night actions go.

I am leaning toward ash being scum, but will need to do some rereading

Haddock can claim something that should clear me, I assume.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #535 on: February 19, 2016, 12:20:29 pm »

Scum killing hydrad is interesting to me. Like, very interesting

You owe IG a drink.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #536 on: February 19, 2016, 12:21:01 pm »

I will have to re-read before making a decision (to search for potential partner interactions and stuff, to which I haven't paid any attention so far), but intuitively I'd be the most willing to lynch silver out of the remaining claimed VTs.
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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #537 on: February 19, 2016, 12:21:31 pm »

I will have to re-read before making a decision (to search for potential partner interactions and stuff, to which I haven't paid any attention so far), but intuitively I'd be the most willing to lynch silver out of the remaining claimed VTs.

And out of the PRs?
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #538 on: February 19, 2016, 12:21:56 pm »

So everyone wants to lynch Silver.  At least one of those everyone is scum.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #539 on: February 19, 2016, 12:23:08 pm »

Also depends on what Haddock might be able to claim about ash.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #540 on: February 19, 2016, 12:24:13 pm »

I will have to re-read before making a decision (to search for potential partner interactions and stuff, to which I haven't paid any attention so far), but intuitively I'd be the most willing to lynch silver out of the remaining claimed VTs.

And out of the PRs?

At this point, I'm willing to 100% count on all claimed PRs being town.
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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #541 on: February 19, 2016, 12:24:51 pm »

So everyone wants to lynch Silver.  At least one of those everyone is scum.

Intellectually speaking, you are the most likely, right?
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #542 on: February 19, 2016, 12:25:28 pm »

I will have to re-read before making a decision (to search for potential partner interactions and stuff, to which I haven't paid any attention so far), but intuitively I'd be the most willing to lynch silver out of the remaining claimed VTs.

And out of the PRs?

At this point, I'm willing to 100% count on all claimed PRs being town.

Unless a VT counterclaims now.

That'd be amazing............ly bad.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #543 on: February 19, 2016, 12:26:15 pm »

So everyone wants to lynch Silver.  At least one of those everyone is scum.

Intellectually speaking, you are the most likely, right?

Why?  Do you think there is something indicating me and Silver?  I would say you look worse, because your argument with him escalated unnaturally quickly.
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Awaclus

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #544 on: February 19, 2016, 12:26:52 pm »

I will have to re-read before making a decision (to search for potential partner interactions and stuff, to which I haven't paid any attention so far), but intuitively I'd be the most willing to lynch silver out of the remaining claimed VTs.

And out of the PRs?

At this point, I'm willing to 100% count on all claimed PRs being town.

Unless a VT counterclaims now.

That'd be amazing............ly bad.

Well, it'd be about time to do it if anyone has anything to counterclaim.
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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #545 on: February 19, 2016, 12:29:23 pm »

So everyone wants to lynch Silver.  At least one of those everyone is scum.

Intellectually speaking, you are the most likely, right?

Why?  Do you think there is something indicating me and Silver?  I would say you look worse, because your argument with him escalated unnaturally quickly.

That'd be an emotional reason, which is a good theory (although wrong -- no way we are partners because no way he would go for the fake fight angle). 

I meant because you were first out of the gate to single him out and then to immediately call everyone scum who wants to lynch him.  Premeditated plan to incriminate and then immediately clear your partner.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #546 on: February 19, 2016, 12:34:09 pm »

Ah, well, no, that's not the case.  I was just leaning towards him based on my memory of yesterday.

Why do you think Silver wouldn't go for the fake fight thing?  Seems like you two would definitely do it, considering there's a common meta of you always finding him scummy.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #547 on: February 19, 2016, 12:34:17 pm »

I just had something of a thought, but I need to go actually get some work done today, so don't really have time to explain it.

For some reason I have this awful image of coming back to find the lynch already done, so please no hammering while I'm gone.  A few hours only, promise.
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #548 on: February 19, 2016, 12:35:10 pm »

And, scum that wants to lynch him is just a fact.  There has to be at least one scum in the set VT\{Silver}
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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #549 on: February 19, 2016, 12:35:46 pm »

Ah, well, no, that's not the case.  I was just leaning towards him based on my memory of yesterday.

Why do you think Silver wouldn't go for the fake fight thing?  Seems like you two would definitely do it, considering there's a common meta of you always finding him scummy.

I think his personality doesn't lend itself to that type of play.
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